Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-10-15 | Houston Rockets v. Phoenix Suns -1.5 | Top | 127-118 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 20 m | Show |
I am playing on PHOENIX. The NBA is abuzz with Suns talk that Phoenix would rather not hear about after Sunday's game -- the Suns have lost on an astounding four buzzer beaters this season, the most in the league since the Jazz in 2006-07. I think that will serve as extra motivation for the Suns Tuesday night considering Houston was one of the four teams that beat them on a last-second shot when they met in January. That was the fourth straight win and cover for the Rockets over the Suns and I think we'll see a fired up Suns squad Tuesday at home. Phoenix should be helped by the return of team leading scorer Eric Bledsoe, who missed Sunday's buzzer-beating loss against Sacramento so he could be with his wife for the birth of their first child. I don't have any hard stats on this one, but it's not uncommon for a new dad to play like a man on fire in his next game after the birth of his kid and I think Bledsoe will be jacked up for Tuesday's tilt. The Suns haven't been scoring like their usual selves lately but they still rank fifth in the NBA with 105.7 points per game and six players are averaging in double figures. I think they'll do what it takes to slow Houston's James Harden just enough and their edge in depth and energy level will help them pull out the win from there. 10* Main Event |
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02-10-15 | Georgetown v. Seton Hall | Top | 86-67 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 13 m | Show |
I am playing on SETON HALL. I really like Seton Hall here for a number of reasons Tuesday night, not least of which is the Pirates have home court edge at the Prudential Center for this nationally televised battle on FOX Sports 1. The Hall is 8-3 against the spread on home court this season while a recently stumbling Hoyas squad is 4-5-1 away from home court this season. Georgetown is coming off two losses and dropped spreads and an absolutely horrendous 18-of-60 shooting performance in a loss to Nova where the Hoyas couldn't cover even with 9.5 points to work with. Even though the Pirates have lost two in a row themselves, this is not the team GU wants to see right now. Seton Hall took both meetings last year and I think the Pirates will make the necessary adjustments to pull themselves out of their recent funk. The Hall got caught up in playing a half court offensive game in its last two matchups and I believe we'll see the Pirates push the pace more against a Georgetown team that would love nothing more than to slow the game down. Three-pointers will also be key in this matchup where the spread is almost inconsequential and the Pirates clearly have they edge there. They rank first in the nation at defending the 3-pointer (25.5 percent) and it gets even better at home where they hold foes to just 20 percent 3-point shooting. The Hoyas went a disgraceful 1-of-17 from beyond the arc against Villanova and Seton Hall owned them from downtown in last year's meetings by draining a combined 19-of-37 long balls. I think the adjustment to pace and the 3-point advantage are the keys for Seton Hall here and I feel bettors can take advantage of this miniscule spread as a result. 10* Personal Favorite |
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02-09-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Indiana Pacers +4.5 | Top | 95-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
I am playing on INDIANA. The Spurs don't have the best timing when it comes to playing the Pacers here. Even if they'd met them a week ago, they'd be facing a much less confident team than they will face Monday night. Indiana enters this contest on its first three-game winning streak of the season after squeaking out a 103-102 victory Sunday at Charlotte. The Pacers were set as 2-point favorites in that matchup, meaning they were just two points away from also covering for their third straight game. The Spurs typically don't mind playing in back-to-back games despite their, ahem, 'experience' but I think they will come into this one a little tired after facing the Raptors Sunday night. Toronto changed the pace of that contest throughout and impressively out-defended San Antonio when it needed to. The Spurs shot just 33.3 percent on field goals and just 25 percent on three-pointers. I think the Spurs will come into this one slightly off-balance and still searching for their road legs in what will be the second of a nine-game road trip that will end on the last day of the month. The Pacers don't mind playing defensive ball with anyone and I think home court and an off-balance Spurs team that is slightly worse at rebounding will all be factors in this one. I'll take the points and the Pacers. 10* Best Bet |
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02-09-15 | Duke v. Florida State +11 | Top | 73-70 | Win | 100 | 22 h 20 m | Show |
I am playing on FLORIDA STATE. You could say the Seminoles are the conference Achilles Heel of Duke, with the Noles winning and covering three of the last six matchups. They have also beaten a nationally ranked Duke team six times under head coach Leonard Hamilton. So no matter where these teams sit in the conference standings, I would definitely lean toward an FSU squad at home with an opening line of double digits to work with. As luck would have it, Florida State also happens to be playing its best basketball of the season right now. The Seminoles have won three of their last four games and they've covered the spread in five of their last six games. The Seminoles are shooting 46.7 percent from the field and 37 percent from long range over their past four games and are playing some stout defense to go with it. The Seminoles averaged 6.3 blocks and 4.3 steals per game in those four outings and they are the only team in the ACC averaging more than five blocks per game in conference play. They are also coming off tying their season high of nine blocks against Virginia Tech in their last game, a 73-65 win and cover as 1-point faves. I think Florida State will be able to slow the pace and grind Duke into a defensive battle on home court, which makes this spread look like way too many points for me. The Blue Devils also don't really like the quick turnaround after the weekend and are 3-12-1 against the spread in their last 16 Monday games. 10* Main Event |
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02-08-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Memphis Grizzlies -2 | Top | 88-94 | Win | 100 | 23 h 32 m | Show |
I am playing on MEMPHIS. If anyone is going to slow the Atlanta Hawks, it's going to be the best defensive team in the league which is why I like the Grizzlies here on Sunday. Memphis isn't just the best defensive team in the league with only 95.9 points against per game, the Grizz have been off the charts at protecting the hoop lately. They're stifling teams to just 84.8 points per game over their last five outings and holding teams to just 25.5 percent on three-pointers in that span. It's that latter stat that I really like for this game because even though Atlanta plays a fantastic all-around game, the Hawks need their 3-ball to be working to beat the best in the NBA. The Hawks are the best 3-point shooting team in the league and about one third of their points come from treys. That's a huge discrepancy compared to most teams, especially the Grizzlies, who rely on threes for only about 19 percent of their points this season. I foresee this contest being a battle of which team can impose its will and force the other to play to its style. And with the Grizzlies being at home and playing the most suffocating defense we've seen from any team so far this season, I like Memphis to win that battle. And if you're worried about Memphis losing to Minnesota last game, the West's worst team, you can throw that one into the waste basket as far as I’m concerned. I think the Grizzlies simply got caught looking ahead to Sunday's matchup with the NBA's best. 10* Personal Favorite |
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02-07-15 | Gonzaga v. San Francisco +13.5 | Top | 81-70 | Win | 100 | 27 h 26 m | Show |
I am playing on SAN FRANCISCO. In a disappointing season for the Dons, this will absolutely be the biggest game of the year for San Francisco and I'm taking them with double digits in points to work with. This game will be a 'Gold Out' at War Memorial Gymnasium and will be featured on ESPN2, which will also be one of the last games on the board for sports bettors (11:30 p.m. ET). I feel the Dons are being given too many points to work with simply because they've lost four in a row. But those losses have all be closely contested matchups, decided by an average of 6.25 points per game. When you line up the statistics, we also don't see the kind of huge discrepancy between these teams that their records suggest. Gonzaga is only scoring about four more points on the road than San Francisco is at home and the Dons are actually allowing two fewer points at home than the Zags allow on the road. Gonzaga also had its second-worst shooting performance of the season in the first meeting against San Francisco (38.8 percent) and when you put it all together, I just think oddsmakers are being too generous here. The public is going to look to continue to pile on the Zags but I think there's a great opportunity here to take the underdog. If it were in any other gym, maybe not, but lucky for us this game isn't in any other gym. 10* Best Bet |
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02-07-15 | SMU v. Tulsa -1 | Top | 68-57 | Loss | -106 | 24 h 57 m | Show |
I am playing on TULSA. Everywhere you look, Tulsa is on a streak of some kind right now so don't be fooled by the fact SMU is ranked in the top 25 and Tulsa isn't. The Golden Hurricane have won 12 straight games and 21 straight conference games going back to last season and they helped bettors to the window to the tune of a 7-4-1 against the spread record during the most recent streak (one game didn't have a line). With a spread that's basically a coin flip on Saturday, my money is on the Golden Hurricane once again here. The current hot streak has Tulsa sitting atop the AAC at 10-0 and they're using defense mostly to do it. The Hurricane rank third in the conference in scoring D (56.9 points against per game) and they're holding opponents to just 38.8 percent on field goals. They are also coming off a 13-point win over Houston in which Tulsa came out in the second half and absolutely suffocated UH, allowing only 10 points in the second half in one of the finest defensive halves of the college hoops season by any team. During the streak, Tulsa is outscoring opponents by an average of 11 points, so in my mind this spread is way too low. I also like the fact the Hurricane's top two scorers, James Woodard and Shaquille Harrison, should be closer to 100 percent. The two players each average over 15 points per game and Woodard was suffering from the flu last game while Harrison had a slightly banged up ankle. 10* Personal Favorite |
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02-07-15 | Chicago Bulls -1.5 v. New Orleans Pelicans | Top | 107-72 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
I am playing on CHICAGO. The Bulls are mired in a three-game losing streak but I believe one of their biggest problems is one of the easiest to fix: intensity level. When one of your biggest problems at the pro level is you're not trying hard enough consistently enough, it's not that hard to turn it around. "Where do you get your intensity from?" head coach Tom Thibodeau said this week."You get it from your concentration and maximum effort. And how do you build that habit? You build it through repetition like you do through everything else. Practice is important. Practicing together is important. All those things are. Your meetings are important. Shootarounds are important. It's all important." The Bulls come into Saturday's game with two full days off between games, which means they've had plenty of time to work on everything they need to in practice to get some good habits going. It also means Mike Dunleavy has had some added time to get healthy and there's a chance he may play Saturday. With or without Dunleavy, I still like the Bulls here, but with him the Bulls get a much needed bolstering in their perimeter game too and Thibodeau gets some added minutes into his lineup. I think we'll see a different Chicago squad Saturday night that is hungry to finish its current 6-game road streak on a high note after starting it 1-3. 10* Personal Favorite |
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02-06-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Indiana Pacers +5.5 | Top | 99-103 | Win | 100 | 23 h 41 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Indiana Pacers as my 10* Best Bet Friday. The Pacers play hosts to the surging Cleveland Cavaliers, who will take the court for the second game of back-to-back outings, coming off a high-profile matchup versus the Los Angeles Clippers Thursday. Indiana will try to take advantage of this tough situational/schedule spot. Cleveland has struggled in Indianapolis, covering just once in its last five trips to Bankers Life Fieldhouse, and the home team is a solid 5-0 ATS in the last five meeting between these clubs. The Pacers are aiming for some consistency after alternating wins and losses in their last five games. Indiana is coming off a 114-109 victory at home to the Detroit Pistons Wednesday – a season high in scoring for Indiana. The Pacers have put in some solid offensive efforts in recent outings and will need to pick up the scoring pace to keep up with the Cavs. They’re averaging 103.7 points on 51.3 percent shooting in their last three contests – an NBA best in that span. Cleveland’s winning ways have puffed up its spreads due to the market reacting. However, the Cavs are a costly 9-14 ATS away from home and have played just two of their last 10 on the road. Cleveland is shooting only 43.7 percent as visitors and allowing opponents to put up 101 points per road game. Indiana has a hard-nosed defense, especially at home where teams have gone just 43.6 percent from the field for an average of 96.3 points per game. The Cavaliers playing the second of back-to-backs on the road and the Pacers’ offensive uptick are why I’m playing on Indiana as my 10* Best Bet Friday. |
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02-06-15 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Orlando Magic -3 | Top | 97-103 | Win | 100 | 23 h 40 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Orlando Magic as my 10* Personal Favorite Friday. The Magic are rare favorites at home hosting the lowly Los Angeles Lakers Friday. We’re getting great value with Orlando here, as Los Angeles is on a cross-country road trip and dropped the first two stops of this four-game trek. The Lakers’ annual “Grammy Trip” – with the music award show taking over the Staples Center this week – wraps in Cleveland Sunday, opening up Los Angeles for a major lookahead spot to that weekend showdown with LeBron James & Co. The Lakers are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven road games heading into Friday’s contests in Orlando. The Magic are taking the court for the first times since head coach Jacque Vaughn was fired, looking to snap a 10-game losing skid. Orlando has seen improvement in those final two games, covering at San Antonio and Oklahoma City this week. It lost 110-103 to the Spurs to Wednesday, shooting 50 percent from the floor including a 10-for-21 night from beyond the arc. The Magic get a break on defense against a Lakers team lacking a proven scoring punch. Los Angeles has mustered an average of only 88 points per game in regulation in its last seven games and shoots just 42.8 percent from the field on the road. The Lakers also give up 107.4 points per road game – second most in the NBA. The Magic's shakeup on the sidelines and the Lakers' tough road spot are why I’m playing on Orlando as my 10* Personal Favorite Friday. |
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02-05-15 | USC v. California -5 | Top | 69-70 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 39 m | Show |
I’m playing on the California Golden Bears as my 10* Personal Favorite Thursday. The Golden Bears host the Southern California Trojans in a battle of two Pac-12 rivals headed in different directions. Cal is making a February push with back-to-back wins while USC enters this contest on a six-game slide. The Golden Bears have bounced back from a six-game skid of their own with victories over Washington and Washington State on the road. Cal is back in Haas Pavilion Thursday, looking to build on those impressive showings. The Golden Bears scored 76 and 90 points in those victories – a massive jump in production from their 55-point average over those six straight losses. Cal also has some payback in mind for the Trojans, who beat the Golden Bears last month. Southern Cal upended the Golden Bears 71-57 in Los Angeles, with Cal shooting just over 35 percent from the field and going 4 for 20 from beyond the arc. The Bears’ talented backcourt will put that poor performance behind them in front of the Cal faithful Thursday. The Golden Bears don’t give away much, turning the ball over just 11.4 times per game and limiting foes to just 7.0 offensive rebounds per game. Southern Cal, which averages only 62.4 points per road game, will have to work for each one of its points and won’t get anything free against this revengeful Cal defense. The Golden Bears’ momentum and the Trojans' conference free-fall are why I’m playing on California as my 10* Personal Favorite Thursday. |
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02-05-15 | Phoenix Suns v. Portland Trail Blazers -4.5 | Top | 87-108 | Win | 100 | 27 h 17 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Portland Trail Blazers as my 10* Personal Favorite Thursday. The Blazers are happy to be home after a 0-3 road trip last week. Portland suffered a bit of a hangover from that rough road patch, just squeaking by Utah at home Tuesday. The Trail Blazers are looking to put together a strong run before the All-Star Break and can take the first step toward that with a win over the Phoenix Suns Thursday. The Blazers got a big boost down low with the return of center Robin Lopez this week. Lopez was out with a hand injury and gives Portland some needed frontcourt depth, taking some of the defensive attention off LaMarcus Aldridge. Lopez is a tough defender and a presence on the boards. He scored 11 points and pulled down six boards with two blocks in his first game back. Lopez looks to be a thorn in the side of his former team Thursday. The Suns aren’t a beefy team up front and have been abused by bigger opponents on the boards this season. Phoenix has a -2.3 rebounding margin and has allowed opponents to grab 12 offensive rebounds per game – third most in the NBA. The Blazers eager to get back on track at home and their ability to dominate the Suns on the glass are why I’m playing on Portland as my 10* Personal Favorite Thursday. |
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02-05-15 | Dallas Mavericks v. Sacramento Kings +4 | Top | 101-78 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Sacramento Kings as my 10* Best Bet Thursday. The Kings are in the midst of a tough patch of games, having just one win in their last 10 contests – a skid that started with a 108-105 overtime loss to the Dallas Mavericks, the same team Sacramento hosts Wednesday night. While most team’s wouldn’t want to face the Mavs in the middle of such a slide, the Kings have always played Dallas tough and have covered the spread in five of their last six meetings, including that Jan. 13 home loss. There's a revenge angle for Sacramento, which snapped an eight-game losing streak with a win over Indiana then followed that with a loss to Golden State Tuesday. The Kings dominated the inside against the Mavericks last time out, winning the rebounding war 59-44 – 12 offensive rebounds – and scoring 54 points in the paint. Sacramento is one of the better teams at getting the ball deep into the paint, averaging 43.9 points in the paint per game this year. Dallas will be playing the second of back-to-back games Wednesday, traveling overnight from the Bay Area immediately following a road game against the Golden State Warriors Tuesday. The Mavericks will be in no shape to body up with the Kings physical frontcourt after chasing the active Warriors up and down the court. Dallas is the fifth-oldest team in the NBA with an average age of 28.5 years old. It shows with a 3-7 ATS mark in their last 10 games with no rest. The Kings' consistent ATS success against the Mavericks and their ability to push around a fatigued Dallas squad are why I’m playing on Sacramento as my 10* Best Bet. |
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02-04-15 | Miami Heat v. Minnesota Timberwolves | Top | 101-102 | Win | 100 | 24 h 26 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Minnesota Timberwolves as my 10* Best Bet Wednesday. The Timberwolves are on the rise, covering the spread in four of their last six games and now have star point guard Ricky Rubio back in the mix. Minnesota fans have to be excited about the combo of Rubio to stud rookie Andrew Wiggins, who has emerged as the next big NBA star. Wiggins has been slowing down a bit, having to shoulder the scoring load for the T-Wolves, but should see a boost with Rubio running the point. Minnesota welcomes a Miami Heat team coming off a physical loss to the Detroit Pistons Tuesday night. The Heat were rolled 108-91 for their third loss in four games, covering the spread only once in that span. Miami has lacked a scoring punch since star guard Dwyane Wade went down with a hamstring injury, averaging only 82 points in those three games, and will be even slower with the ball having to play the second of back-to-back games on the road. The Timberwolves are getting much tougher inside with Nikola Pekovic playing his way back into shape and reserve forward Gorgui Dieng making leaps in bounds in his recent efforts. Minnesota is also counting down the days until Shabazz Muhammad returns, but for now it will continue to improve inside and out in the second half of the season. The T-Wolves' gradual improvement and the Heat running on empty for the second stop of back-to-backs are why I’m playing on Minnesota as my 10* Best Bet Wednesday. |
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02-04-15 | Detroit Pistons v. Indiana Pacers -4 | Top | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 23 h 28 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Indiana Pacers as my 10* Personal Favorite Wednesday. The Pacers host the Detroit Piston inside Bankers Life Fieldhouse Wednesday, catching the Pistons playing the second of back-to-back games after a hard-fought matchup in Miami Tuesday. Detroit has snapped a four-game slide with two big wins against the Heat and Houston Rockets and are ripe for a letdown in this tough schedule spot. The Pistons don’t have a very deep bench, usually going only three or four into their reserves. Detroit leans on its starters for big minutes and with guard Brandon Jennings out for the remainder of the season, the team is missing its motor on both ends of the floor. The Pistons only get 18.7 points per game from their bench – among the lowest averages in the NBA – and will have no choice but to look to these backups for production Wednesday night. The Pacers, on the other hand, have enjoyed an extended break. Indiana hasn’t been in action since January 31, giving them time to rest up and prepare for this pivotal matchup with Detroit. Indiana has only two wins in its last 10 games but it comes into Wednesday having gone 18-7-2 ATS in its last 27 games off three or more days rest. The Pistons' short bench on short rest and the Pacers' extended break and prep time are why I’m playing on Indiana as my 10* Personal Favorite Wednesday. |
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02-04-15 | East Carolina v. Connecticut -13.5 | Top | 52-65 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 20 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Connecticut Huskies as my 10* Personal Favorite Wednesday. The defending national champs need an easy layup to snap their two-game skid before heading back out on the road again, and the Huskies find that should-be gimmie in the East Carolina Pirates. Connecticut dropped road games at Houston and Cincinnati, and have been dismal away from Storrs during AAC play. At home is a different story for the Huskies. UConn allows just 56.9 points per game as a host, compared to 64.6 points per game on the road. It also forces 12.6 turnovers and allows only 6.8 offensive rebounds in those home stands – little things that make the difference when it comes to the scoreboard. The Huskies are desperate for a victory so you can expect that defense to be drum tight Wednesday night. The Pirates sit near the bottom of the AAC but did snap a three-game skid with a home win over Cincinnati. The Pirates were 10.5-point underdogs in that victory against the Bearcats so there could be a letdown situation for ECU in this road game. East Carolina is managing only 57.1 points per road trip on 35.9 percent shooting and are just 1-8 ATS in its last nine away tilts. The Pirates are very dependent on the 3-pointer, getting 33.6 percent of their offense from beyond the arc, but fire at just 32.2 percent from distance on the road. The Huskies hungry for a much-needed victory and the Pirates’ woes on the road are why I’m playing on UConn as my 10* Personal Favorite Wednesday. |
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02-03-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Sacramento Kings +9.5 | Top | 121-96 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 10 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Sacramento Kings as my 10* Best Bet Tuesday. The Kings have some revenge in store for the Golden State Warriors Tuesday. The last time these California rivals clashed, Sacramento was embarrassed by a 37-point third quarter eruption from Warriors guard Klay Thompson that eventually gave Golden State a 126-101 home win. With that still fresh in the minds of oddsmakers, books are handing up a pile of points for the home team and there is great value on the Kings Tuesday night. Sacramento gets a boost from the home crowd after a drawn-out road trip that took them out East and included a postponed game due to snow in New York. Golden State could get caught looking past the Kings and at their next two games with Dallas and at Atlanta, especially after what happened between these teams last time. The Warriors haven’t been sharp on the road in recent games, covering just twice in their last eight away from home, most recently a loss at Utah last week. The Kings are going to look to push around the Warriors under the basket, sitting second in the NBA in rebounds with 54.9 total boards per night. That includes 11.1 rebounds on the offensive end and plenty of second looks at the hoop. Golden State has struggled to keep opponents off the glass, and allow an NBA-worst 12.7 offensive rebounds a night. The Warriors were especially weak on the boards in their last three, allowing an average of 15 offensive rebounds in that 1-2 span. The Kings’ out for revenge and the Warriors' weakness on the glass is why I’m playing on Sacramento as my 10* Best Bet Tuesday. |
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02-03-15 | Mississippi State v. Tennessee -9 | Top | 71-66 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 59 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Tennessee Volunteers as my 10* Personal Favorite Tuesday. The Volunteers are at home, tackling the Mississippi State Bulldogs Tuesday night. Tennessee is slowly climbing the SEC standings with wins in four of its last six outings, posting a 4-2 ATS mark in that span. The Vols have owned the Bulldogs in Knoxville, winning four straight and going 44-10 at home all-time to Mississippi State. They’ve covered in four of their last five meetings with MSU heading into Tuesday. Tennessee rolled the Bulldogs in their first meeting of the season, winning 61-47 as a 2-point road favorite. The Volunteers locked down Miss State to just 30.6 percent shooting in that game, including a 1-for-9 mark from the 3-point line. The Bulldogs were also dominated on the boards, getting out-rebounded 36-24 with 13 of those Tennessee boards coming on the offensive end. But despite that one-sided win, The Vols aren’t taking MSU lightly in the rematch. Head coach Donnie Tyndall told reporters he’s seen growth in the Bulldogs offense over the past two weeks, with MSU averaging 69.5 points per game since that loss to UT. The Vols know they have to step it up on defense, even though they're playing solid basketball on that end of the floor. Tennessee is holding opponents to just 40.8 percent shooting inside Thompson-Boling Arena, and have forced more than 15 turnovers per game as a host. The Bulldogs aren’t the best rebounding team either, giving up 15 offensive boards in their last outing with LSU. The Vols crash the glass hard, averaging more than 10 offensive rebounds a night – 14 in the win over Auburn. The Volunteers' success at home against the Bulldogs and their stingy defense is why I’m playing on Tennessee as a 10* Personal Favorite Tuesday. |
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02-02-15 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Phoenix Suns +2 | Top | 102-101 | Win | 100 | 27 h 41 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Phoenix Suns as my 10* Best Bet Monday. The Suns get a crack at one of the Western Conference’s top dogs at home when they welcome the Memphis Grizzlies to US Airways Center Monday. Phoenix recorded two solid home wins in its previous appearances in front of the purple and orange faithful, knocking off Eastern Conference contenders Chicago and Washington. Phoenix is a change in gears for the Grizzlies, who are more comfortable playing a plodding, methodical pace. The Suns average 99.3 points per 100 possessions – second fastest in the NBA – and produce 107.4 points on their home court – third highest in the league. Phoenix will look to suck the Grizzlies into a track meet, and get them out of their comfort zone on both ends of the floor. The Suns have picked up their toughness around the hoop in recent games, averaging 56.0 total rebounds an outing over their last three contests. This is a sharp uptick in rebounding for Phoenix, which pulls down an average of just 50 rebounds a night on the season. This also includes a major improvement crashing the offensive glass, after the Suns corralled 15 offensive boards in the loss to Golden State. Memphis is a team that thrives on pushing around opponents for those loose ball. The Grizzlies snatch up 51.5 rebounds an outing, while limiting foes to only 49.9 rebounds overall. The Grizzlies are on a six-game tear and could be ripe for a bit of a letdown after putting Oklahoma City in its place Saturday, with a big statement victory. The Suns’ ability to dictate the pace and their improved work on the boards are why I’m playing on Phoenix as a 10* Best Bet Monday. |
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02-02-15 | Iowa State v. Kansas -7.5 | Top | 76-89 | Win | 100 | 27 h 33 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Kansas Jayhawks as my 10* Main Event Monday. The Jayhawks have a massive Big 12 battle with the Iowa State Cyclones Monday. Kansas nearly got caught looking ahead to ISU in its weekend tilt with Kansas State, jumping out to a big lead early then letting up in the second half. The Jayhawks can stake their claim as the team to beat in the conference with a win over the Cyclones at home, where they’ve gone 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games in Allen Fieldhouse. Kansas is tightening up on defense, limiting its last three opponents to an average of 60 points on 34.4 percent shooting. You can be sure the Jayhawks aren’t taking Iowa State lightly after suffering back-to-back losses to the Cyclones, including an 86-80 loss in Ames in January. This is a big revenge spot for KU, which looks to take advantage of one of the top home-court edges in the country. Iowa State is a power house at home but its numbers dip when on the road. The Cyclones are just 1-2 away from home in conference play and suffered an embarrassing loss at Texas Tech in its last road outing. Kansas has a toughness inside that should pester ISU big man Georges Niang. The Jayhawks have blocked a total of 19 shots in the last two games and have swatted an average of 7.7 in their last three outings. The Jayhawks out for revenge on their home court and the Cyclones' issues on the road are why I’m playing on Kansas as my 10* Main Event Monday. |
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02-01-15 | Los Angeles Lakers v. New York Knicks -2.5 | Top | 80-92 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show |
I’m playing on the New York Knicks as my 10* Personal Favorite Sunday. The Knicks welcome a Los Angeles Lakers team making the cross-country hike to the Big Apple for a very early start time Sunday afternoon. Due to the Super Bowl, the NBA schedules its Sunday contests for matinee matchups, meaning this 2 p.m. ET tipoff comes at 11 a.m. back in Los Angeles. The Lakers aren’t used to taking the court so early. And on top of that travel, time shirt and early start, L.A. is vulnerable to a massive letdown spot after stunning the Chicago Bulls in overtime in their most recent outing. It was a big game for the Lakers, with former star forward Pau Gasol returning to the Staples Center for the first time since leaving the team. And the bigger the game, the bigger the fall. We’re taking advantage of this very unique situational spot on Super Bowl Sunday. That win snapped a nine-game losing skid for the Lakers, who have been toothless on offense during this stretch. Los Angeles has managed to score over 100 points in regulation just three times in its last 10 games and shoots just 43.1 percent on the road, mustering only 98.3 points per road game. Those scoring numbers are already declining with Kobe Bryant out for the year with a shoulder injury. New York is licking its chops come the weekend. Rarely are the Knicks the favorites and even fewer are the amount of teams below them on the NBA pecking order. New York is playing some of its best basketball of the season, with four wins in its last six outings, including a solid home victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Knicks have covered in five of their last six overall and the home team has covered the spread in each of the past six meetings between these big-market franchises. The Lakers’ rough situational spot and the Knicks’ improved play is why I’m playing on New York as my 10* Personal Favorite Sunday. |
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01-31-15 | Colorado v. UCLA -6 | Top | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 25 h 53 m | Show |
I’m playing on the UCLA Bruins as my 10* Personal Favorite Saturday. |
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01-31-15 | Los Angeles Clippers +5 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 105-85 | Win | 100 | 26 h 1 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Los Angeles Clippers as my 10* Best Bet Saturday. |
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01-31-15 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State -1.5 | Top | 64-56 | Loss | -106 | 24 h 23 m | Show |
I’m playing on Oklahoma State as my 10* Rivalry Game of the Month. |
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01-30-15 | Kent State v. Buffalo -5.5 | Top | 55-80 | Win | 100 | 23 h 56 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Buffalo Bulls as my 10* Personal Favorite Friday. |
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01-30-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Utah Jazz +9.5 | Top | 100-110 | Win | 100 | 22 h 3 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Utah Jazz as my 10* Best Bet Friday. |
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01-29-15 | Utah v. UCLA +6.5 | Top | 59-69 | Win | 100 | 21 h 30 m | Show |
I’m playing on the UCLA Bruins as my 10* Best Bet Thursday. |
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01-29-15 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Orlando Magic +4.5 | Top | 115-100 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 52 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Orlando Magic as my 10* Best Bet Thursday. |
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01-28-15 | Washington Wizards v. Phoenix Suns -5 | Top | 98-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
I am playing on PHOENIX. The Wizards will be playing their third West Coast game in five nights when they visit Phoenix Wednesday and the Suns aren't the kind of team you want to be facing on weary legs. Phoenix is the third highest scoring team in the NBA and is scoring even more lately with 110.8 points per game over the team's last five compared to a season average of 107.4. The Wiz have been lighting it up a little lately too with at least 103 points in each of their last three games, but they are a little banged up heading into this one. Forward Paul Pierce is questionable with a toe injury and NBA assist leader John Wall is questionable with an Achilles injury. Don't count on either one missing out, but even if they do play I wonder how long they can keep pace with a Phoenix team that loves to run the floor. Phoenix has lost two in a row, but I like the Suns to bounce back here with a more focused effort on Wednesday. They have run into technical foul trouble lately and coach Jeff Hornacek is cracking down on his team. "Something is going to have to be done; we don’t play them, we continue to sit them like this or we get new guys in here that want to win a championship," Hornacek said after a loss to Clippers on Sunday. I like Phoenix to come back strong here against what is quickly becoming a road weary Wizards team. 10* Personal Favorite |
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01-28-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Utah Jazz +6.5 | Top | 94-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
I am playing on UTAH. The Jazz have made some recent moves that are giving the team a bit of a new look when it takes the court and I like that new look to cover the number at home Wednesday. Coach Quin Snyder has begun starting Dante Exum at point guard and he now has Trey Burke coming off the bench to give him a better one-two punch. The Jazz won their first two games since Snyder made the move (though they lost to Boston last game) and the team appears to be improving all around. Exum brings a faster pace to Utah and over the two wins he averaged 14 points with some hot shooting from 3-point range (8-of-15) to go along with 4.5 assists. Burke averaged 14.5 points in the two wins while playing 25 minutes and the shared playing time seems to be giving the Jazz a much needed lift. I like Utah to cover here against a Clippers squad the Jazz have covered two of three games against this year despite losing all three straight up. L.A. is playing its third game in four nights against fast paced teams, albeit the Jazz might be considered newly so. I think it's a lot to ask the Clippers to cover this number on the road on Wednesday and I'm taking the Jazz. 10* Best Bet |
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01-28-15 | Indiana v. Purdue -2.5 | Top | 67-83 | Win | 100 | 18 h 29 m | Show |
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01-28-15 | Duke v. Notre Dame +1 | Top | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 17 h 22 m | Show |
I am playing on NOTRE DAME. I am taking the Irish in this nationally televised game on ESPN2 where I think the home crowd is going to make a huge difference in a gritty contest. |
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01-27-15 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Miami Heat -4 | Top | 109-102 | Loss | -102 | 21 h 12 m | Show |
I am playing on MIAMI. The Heat are playing like a new team these days and the secret behind why might be out of the bag after this past weekend. His name is Hassan Whitehead. |
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01-27-15 | Pittsburgh -4 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 67-70 | Loss | -104 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
I am playing on PITTSBURGH. Virginia Tech comes into this game in an absolutely brutal spot and I think they're going to have a tough time with Pitt here. The Hokies enter this game having played four consecutive top 15 teams - Virginia, Notre Dame, UNC and Louisville - and they lost all four to make it seven straight defeats. The Hokies now enter Tuesday's game on a 12-game conference losing streak and I believe they won't be able to shake off the hangover after the most recent loss, to state rival Virginia. was their most crushing. They blew a 10-point lead to lose by three points as 16.5-point dogs. Virginia Tech will be without its top scorer, guard Justin Bibbs again Tuesday, who has missed the last three games with a concussion. The Hokies just aren't the same squad without him and they are averaging a measly 53.3 points in his absence. The Hokies are also getting obliterated on the boards night in and night out. They have been out-rebounded by a minimum of 13 boards and as many as 25 over their past three outings and I just don't believe they can get hot enough shooting without their best player to make up for that. 10* Personal Favorite |
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01-26-15 | Denver Nuggets +12.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers | Top | 98-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Denver Nuggets as my 10* Best Bet Monday. |
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01-26-15 | Syracuse v. North Carolina -10.5 | Top | 83-93 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
I’m playing on the North Carolina Tar Heels as my 10* Main Event Monday. North Carolina takes a five-game winning streak into this clash with Syracuse at home, continuing to build momentum as ACC play stiffens up. The Tar Heels have had some close games during this span but will benefit from a home-court crowd in Chapel Hill and a complete mismatch in pace. North Carolina is scoring more than 79 points per game and runs one of the fastest paces in the country, averaging 72.8 possessions per game. The Tar Heels will look to their speed to force Syracuse out of its slow-motion comfort zone. The Orange, known for their zone defense, have also been playing a methodical pace on offense, as to combat their own offensive inefficiencies. Syracuse is turning out 68.4 points per game on under 44 percent shooting from the field, including a poor 31.9 percent touch from the 3-point arc. That field goal percentage dips to just above 40 percent when hitting the highway. North Carolina will use its speed and scoring depth to put SU on its heels, beat the zone defense down the floor before it can set up and force the Orange to pick up the pace on offense. Even the slightest lead can balloon for UNC, with Syracuse lacking the horse power to claw its way back on the scoreboard. The Tar Heels' up-tempo attack and the Orange’s lack of scoring pop on the road is why I’m playing on North Carolina as a 10* Main Event Monday. |
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01-25-15 | Detroit Pistons v. Toronto Raptors -6 | Top | 110-114 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 23 m | Show |
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01-25-15 | Indiana v. Ohio State -7 | Top | 70-82 | Win | 100 | 20 h 43 m | Show |
10* Ohio State analysis |
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01-24-15 | Florida +3 v. Ole Miss | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 23 h 18 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Florida Gators as my 10* Best Bet Saturday. |
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01-24-15 | Illinois v. Minnesota -5 | Top | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 20 h 44 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Minnesota Golden Gophers as my 10* Personal Favorite Saturday. |
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01-22-15 | Brooklyn Nets v. Los Angeles Clippers -11.5 | Top | 84-123 | Win | 100 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
I am playing on the CLIPPERS. This game is as much about playing on the Clippers as it is about playing against the Nets. |
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01-22-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Chicago Bulls +5 | Top | 81-104 | Win | 100 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
I am playing on CHICAGO.The Bulls are in a bit of a slump but I believe their problems are somewhat straightforward to fix and oddsmakers are being too generous here. |
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01-21-15 | Indiana Pacers +11.5 v. Atlanta Hawks | Top | 91-110 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
I am playing on INDIANA 10*. Atlanta has been on a quite a streak lately but I think this is a few too many points for them to cover. The Pacers have lost five straight and are desperate for a strong effort. Keep in mind that four of Indiana’s five losses during this streak have been by less than double digit points. Indiana has been strong on the road the road as a betting team with 14 ATS wins compared to just nine ATS losses this season. Atlanta has gotten the best of Indiana the last two meetings this season so revenge will be on the mind of the Pacers. The Hawks have a high profile home game coming up against a strong Oklahoma City Thunder side on Friday night that is sure to attract some media attention. Don’t be surprised if Atlanta gets caught looking ahead to that game a little bit here. Atlanta has been on massive ATS streak here over the past little while and is indeed a strong team. However, as the streak continues the points spread continues to get higher for the team and this spread is one of the highest it has had to cover so far this season. I expect the Pacers to provide a much tougher test than most will be expecting. INDIANA 10* Best Bet |
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01-20-15 | Minnesota v. Nebraska -3 | Top | 49-52 | Push | 0 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
I am playing on NEBRASKA. The Huskers have used their tough defense to go 2-0-1 against the spread over their last three games and they face a Minnesota team that isn't exactly loving Big Ten season right now. The Gophers are just 1-5 since conference play began and their bettors haven't seen a dime in any of those games after an 0-6 against the spread start. I don't think Minnesota's luck is about to change going up against a Nebraska field-goal defense that ranks third in the Big Ten and is on pace to be the best Husker D in over 50 years. Nebraska also held its first 16 opponents this season to just 27.6 percent from beyond the 3-point line until they let Wisconsin shoot better than 50 percent last game. I think that was just an anomaly though and we'll see Nebraska return to its normal self Tuesday night. Minnesota is notorious to Big Ten counterparts for being better at home than on the road and the Gophers' numbers are proving it so far again this year. They are 0-3 SU and ATS on the road in conference play and allowed at least 70 points in all three games. The Gophers also score about 10 fewer points on the road than their overall average this season. I think Nebraska's Tim Petteway, the Big Ten's second leading scorer, will generate enough Huskers enough offense to cover this small number against a weak road team and the Husker D will take care of the rest. 10* Main Event |
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01-17-15 | UC-Davis v. Cal State Fullerton +1.5 | Top | 79-68 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
I’m playing on Cal. State Fullerton as my 10* Best Bet Saturday. |
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01-17-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Houston Rockets -2.5 | Top | 131-106 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Houston Rockets as my 10* Personal Favorite Saturday. |
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01-17-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Chicago Bulls +2.5 | Top | 107-99 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Chicago Bulls as my 10* Best Bet Saturday. |
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01-17-15 | Butler v. Georgetown -4 | Top | 59-61 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Georgetown Hoyas as a 10* Personal Favorite Saturday. The Hoyas are back home in DC after playing their last two games on the road, opening the doors of the Verizon Center to the Butler Bulldogs. This is a revenge spot for Georgetown after falling to Butler earlier in the season, losing 64-58 in the Battle 4 Atlantis tournament in November. The Hoyas found themselves down early in that contest and couldn’t battle back, but were coming off a grueling game versus Wisconsin and an overtime affair with Florida. Fast forward to Saturday, and Georgetown is getting great line value as a short favorite at home to the Bulldogs. Georgetown isn’t going to give many second-chance looks at the basket, with 37.7 boards per contests. That includes limiting opponents to an average of only 7.3 offensive rebounds over the Hoyas’ last three games. Butler, which leads the Big East in rebounding, ripped down just six offensive rebounds in the first meeting with the Hoyas and won’t find easy second looks Saturday. Georgetown will look to pick up the pace versus the Bulldogs and beat their zone back to the key. The Hoyas defense is forcing 13.5 turnovers per game, with 7.8 of those coming off steals. The Hoyas will parlay those takeaways into easy transition buckets before the Bulldogs can get set on defense. The Hoyas out for revenge on their own court and their ability to clean the glass is why I’m playing on Georgetown as my 10* Personal Favorite Saturday. |
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01-16-15 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Utah Jazz -7.5 | Top | 85-94 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
am playing on UTAH. I love this spot for the Jazz Friday night at home against the Lakers. The two biggest reasons are a huge improvement on defense for the Jazz and a Lakers team playing in one of its worst situations.
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01-15-15 | Auburn v. Florida -14 | Top | 55-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
I am playing on FLORIDA. SEC conference season has sort of become Gator season and it's hard not to love Florida now that league play has begun. |
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01-14-15 | Xavier v. Villanova -10.5 | Top | 75-88 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
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01-14-15 | Washington Wizards v. Chicago Bulls -5.5 | Top | 105-99 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Chicago Bulls as my 10* Personal Favorite Wednesday. |
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01-14-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Boston Celtics +7 | Top | 105-91 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Boston Celtics as my 10* Best Bet Wednesday. |
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01-13-15 | Arkansas v. Tennessee +3.5 | Top | 69-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Tennessee Volunteers as my 10* Best Bet Tuesday. The Volunteers are chomping at the bit to get back on the court after a sluggish loss to the Alabama Crimson Tide last time out. Tennessee hosts the red-hot Arkansas Razorback back, and oddsmakers are being very generous in Knoxville. We see great value with the Vols at home Tuesday. The home team has covered in four of the last five meeting between these SEC rivals and the underdog has been a profitable 10-4 ATS in the previous 14 clashes between Arkansas and Tennessee. Arkansas has been able to put up some big numbers to start the season, ranking seventh in the country in scoring. However, the Hogs defense hasn’t been nearly as efficient – especially away from home. The Razorbacks are giving up 77.5 points per game to host teams heading into this contest. Tennessee is trying to shake itself out of an offensive funk with a new look. Head coach Donnie Tyndall told the media he plans on tinkering with his starting lineup in order to put more experience on the floor during these tight SEC matchups. Tyndall is trying to find other outlets on offense besides Josh Richardson, who has taken the brunt of opponents’ defensive attention. Junior forward Derek Reese is expected to get more minutes and will help lighten the scoring burden on Richardson. The Razorbacks' defensive woes on the road and the Volunteers looking to jump start their scoring at home is why I’m playing on Tennessee as my 10* Best Bet Tuesday. |
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01-12-15 | Houston Rockets v. Brooklyn Nets +7 | Top | 113-99 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Brooklyn Nets as a 10* Monday. Brooklyn hosts the Houston Rockets Monday, who are stacking the frequent flyer miles recently. Houston was in New York to play the Knicks Thursday, then had to fly home for a game against the Utah Jazz Saturday, before heading back to the Big Apple to face the Nets. Brooklyn hopes to catch a jet-lagged Rockets squad Monday night. Houston has played five of its last seven away from home and isn’t nearly as tough defensively on the road, allowing foes to average 101.5 points per road game compared to just 92.4 points against inside the Toyota Center. The Nets have dropped five straight but remain competitive most nights thanks to their controlled pace and stingy defense. Brooklyn has limited opponents to just over 92 points per game in this five-game slide. The Nets can throw some big bodies at the Rockets, keeping center Dwight Howard busy with the combo of Mason Plumlee and Brook Lopez down low. Not only are those two big men physical on the defensive end but they’re helping pick up the slack on offense. Brooklyn’s offense plays a much slower pace than Houston, averaging 94.3 points per 100 possessions. The Nets can lure the Rockets into a methodical half-court game if they can take care of the basketball. Houston thrives on transitioning off turnovers, and Brooklyn can’t allow those mistakes to end up as easy buckets. The Rockets’ frantic travel schedule and Brooklyn’s underrated defense is why I’m playing on Brooklyn as a 10* Monday. |
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01-10-15 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Chicago Bulls -7.5 | Top | 87-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Chicago Bulls as a 10* Personal Favorite Saturday. The Bulls have a bad taste in their mouths after getting rolled by the Washington Wizards Friday night. Chicago is a resilient team and will take out those frustrations on the lowly Milwaukee Bucks inside the United Center Saturday. The Bulls couldn’t slow down the Wizards' attack, which fired 47.7 percent from the field and knocked down eight of its 15 looks from beyond the arc. Chicago also committed 16 turnovers in the loss. Nights like those often leave players eager to get back on the court and erase the poor showing. Luckily, for the Bulls and us, they don’t have to wait long to do so, and present great value as a home side Saturday. Milwaukee brings a bit of momentum into this matchup, which trims the spread a touch, earning back-to-back wins over Minnesota and Philadelphia – the Bucks’ fellow basement dwellers. Milwaukee is very small inside right now, with center Larry Sanders in limbo, forward Ersan Ilyasova out with a concussion, and rookie Jabari Parker lost for the year. Chicago’s backcourt combo of Derrick Rose and Jimmy Butler continue to struggle from the floor so expect the Bulls to get on the backs of their big men in this matchup, and exploit a thin Milwaukee forward corps. Joakim Noah is working his way back to health and has some talented forwards around him in Pau Gasol and reserve center Taj Gibson. Chicago often dominates inside when playing at home, averaging 45.1 points in the paint in the Windy City, compared to just 38.3 on the road. The Bulls’ anxiousness to erase Friday's poor performance and their dominance inside against a thin Bucks frontcourt is why I’m playing on Chicago as a 10* Personal Favorite Saturday. |
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01-08-15 | San Francisco +22.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 57-88 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
I am playing on SAN FRANCISCO. This series has a history of Gonzaga laying too many points against an inferior San Francisco team and I think we have the same situation tonight. |
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01-07-15 | Seton Hall v. Xavier -7 | Top | 58-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
I am playing on XAVIER. After upsetting two ranked teams last week, Seton Hall has completely lost its element of surprise and I like Xavier to be fully prepared tonight and I really like them to cover the number. |
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01-05-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Los Angeles Clippers -5 | Top | 107-98 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
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01-05-15 | Dallas Mavericks v. Brooklyn Nets +6.5 | Top | 96-88 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
I am playing on BROOKLYN. I like that Brooklyn is getting a small pile of points at home here tonight in a matchup where both teams are playing on zero rest. |
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01-03-15 | Gonzaga v. Portland +12 | Top | 87-75 | Push | 0 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Portland Pilots as my 10* Main Event Saturday. The Pilots are one of the hottest bets in college basketball heading into this weekend, riding a five-game ATS winning streak and have covered in nine of their 12 lined games this season. Portland is getting plenty of points at home to the Gonzaga Bulldogs Saturday. The Pilots’ potent offense has lifted it over the oddsmakers’ expectations in those games. They’re putting up 73.3 points a night with one of the best perimeter games in the WCC. Portland is shooting 38.6 percent from beyond the arc but has been especially hot from distance the last three games, knocking down 47.4 percent of its looks from long range – averaging nine 3-pointers per contest in that span. That ability to stretch the defense with that outside shooting touch lines up perfect against Gonzaga. The Bulldogs depend on their size inside to push around teams. However, with the Pilots bringing those big men outside the key, and returning to friendly rims after playing the last two games away from home, Gonzaga’s biggest strength could be neutralized. This will technically be Gonzaga’s four straight road game after playing Cal Poly on a neutral court and traveling to BYU and San Diego before the New Year. The Bulldogs will find some size challenging them inside on the offensive end of the floor, and won’t dominate the boards like they have most opponents. Portland had outrebounded 12 of its 14 opponents and ranks 28th in rebounding margin at plus-7.6. The Pilots' sharp shooting from beyond the arc and their toughness on the glass is why I’m playing Portland as my 10* Main Event Saturday. |
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01-03-15 | Connecticut v. Florida -9.5 | Top | 63-59 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Florida Gators as a 10* Saturday. |
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01-02-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Utah Jazz +4.5 | Top | 98-92 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 44 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Utah Jazz as my 10* Non-Conference Game of the Week Friday. The Jazz play hosts to the Atlanta Hawks, one of the hottest teams in the NBA. The Hawks have won eight of their last 10 contests, including a statement win against the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last outing. The market is jumping on Atlanta’s success and this spread is puffed up a bit to reflect that shift in betting action. That opens up value on Utah, especially with this being the first stop of a three-game Western Conference road run for the Hawks, who could get caught looking ahead to matchups in Portland and in Los Angeles. The Jazz are playing some of the best basketball of their season so far, with wins coming in five of their last seven games. In fact, Utah has been a solid wager with ATS victories in seven of its previous 10 outings, including back-to-back home wins over Philadelphia and Minnesota. The Jazz have tightened up their defense during this stretch, allowing just under 92 points during that seven-game span – a sharp decline from their season defensive average of 100.0 points per game. Utah has trimmed that number to 88.7 points over its last three, with foes shooting just 41.8 percent. The Jazz playing solid defense at home against a Hawks squad hitting the highway with some inflated odds if why I’m playing on Utah as my 10* Non-Conference Game of the Week Friday. |
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12-31-14 | Georgetown v. Xavier -5 | Top | 53-70 | Win | 100 | 26 h 10 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Xavier Musketeers as my 10* Personal Favorite Wednesday. |
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12-30-14 | Illinois v. Michigan -1.5 | Top | 65-73 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Michigan Wolverines as my 10* Main Event Tuesday. |
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12-29-14 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Charlotte Hornets -3 | Top | 104-94 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Charlotte Hornets as my 9* Personal Favorite Monday. The Milwaukee Bucks visit the Hornets, picking up their busy road schedule Monday night. The Bucks seem to be hitting the wall with three losses in their last four games and key players on the sidelines. |
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12-27-14 | Tennessee State v. Tennessee -21.5 | Top | 46-67 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 59 m | Show |
10* Tennessee. Analysis before 7am PST |
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12-26-14 | San Antonio Spurs +3.5 v. New Orleans Pelicans | Top | 90-97 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
I am playing on SAN ANTONIO. The Spurs looked flat in a loss to Oklahoma City on Christmas Day and I believe they’ll bounce back today against the Pelicans. |
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12-26-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Detroit Pistons +3 | Top | 109-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
I am playing on DETROIT. Despite a four-game losing streak, the Pistons are showing some signs of coming together as a team and I like them to take a win from the sub-par Pacers today. |
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12-25-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Los Angeles Clippers -2.5 | Top | 86-100 | Win | 100 | 30 h 1 m | Show |
10* Clippers. Analysis before 10am PST |
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12-25-14 | Ohio v. Nebraska -6 | Top | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 23 h 30 m | Show |
I am playing on NEBRASKA. The Cornhuskers are coming off their lowest scoring game of the season after a 50-42 win over Loyola-Marymount, but they finished the game on a high note and I think they’ll carry that momentum into this Christmas Day game against Ohio. Junior Terran Pettaway has been a shining offensive bright spot for the Huskers and he hit two three pointers and went 7-for-8 at the free throw line in overtime to lead Nebraska to the win. Nebraska also came up with two big stops in OT to seal the deal. “(The offense) is going to come. One thing we pride ourselves on is defense, and that’s what got us through the Big Ten (last year),” Pettaway said after the game. Nebraska’s defense held LMU to just 16 points in the first half, a record for futility in a half in the Diamond Head Classic in Hawaii Ohio might be just the team to be facing to get some scoring going. The Bobcats have allowed an average of 74.2 points against over their last five games and they're allowing opponents to shoot 43.6 percent from the field during that span. Nebraska is allowing super stingy 60.4 points per game over its last five, which isn't far away from the team's season average of 61.9. I feel the Huskers' suffocating defense, along with the generous defense of Ohio, will propel the Huskers to a win and cover on Christmas Day. 10* Personal Favorite |
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12-23-14 | Boston Celtics v. Orlando Magic -2.5 | Top | 95-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Orlando Magic as my 10* Personal Favorite Tuesday. Orlando plays host to a Boston Celtics team trying to find a new identity after dealing away point guard Rajon Rondo last week. The Magic are getting solid value at home Tuesday. Boston’s up-tempo attack was missing that extra gear in a 100-84 road loss to the Miami Heat Sunday. The Celtics, who play one of the fastest paces in the NBA, scored a season-low 84 points on 39.8 percent shooting. Marcus Smart took over the point guard duties and Jameer Nelson came off the bench, failing to fill the scoring punch Rondo provided. This Celtics team has plenty of work to do to plug those gaps but hitting the road won’t help the cause. Orlando is a solid defensive team, giving up 99.3 points per outing, and plays one of the more methodical paces in the game – averaging 94.6 per 100 possessions. It could drag this game into a snail's pace and force Boston to play a halfcourt set. The Magic remain one of the better outside shooting teams in the NBA, knocking down 37.4 percent of their looks from beyond the arc. That number bumps up to 38.6 percent inside the Amway Center. Orlando is getting terrific production from reserve guard Evan Fournier, who has knocked down 40.7 percent of his 3-point attempts and comes into Tuesday with the hot hand, hitting seven of his 12 shots from distance. If Orlando continues to knock down 3-point buckets, that could put some serious space between them and Boston on the scoreboard – a gap that the Celtics offense may not be able to close with the rotation a mess and the offensive identity in flux. A Boston offense in turmoil and the Magic’s sharp shooting from outside is why I’m playing on Orlando as my 10* Personal Favorite Tuesday. |
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12-20-14 | Utah v. UNLV +8 | Top | 59-46 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
I am playing on UNLV. The Rebels play on the Strip for the first time in the school's history in this Coaches vs. Cancer matchup at the MGM Grand Arena and I love that they're getting a pile of points. |
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12-20-14 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Los Angeles Clippers -10 | Top | 102-106 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
I am playing on the CLIPPERS. Los Angeles is laying a bunch of points but that doesn't bother me much here and I think they'll handily take care of the Bucks tonight. |
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12-19-14 | Toronto Raptors v. Detroit Pistons +8 | Top | 110-100 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
I am playing on DETROIT. Despite Detroit’s troubles this season, the team is showing some positive signs and I believe the Pistons are in a good spot to take the points Friday night. |
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12-17-14 | Dallas Mavericks v. Detroit Pistons +6.5 | Top | 117-106 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 46 m | Show |
I am playing on DETROIT. The Pistons have shown signs of playing better recently with two wins in their last three games and I believe we’ll see a team hungry for a win tonight after failing to give the Motor City faithful a victory on home court in their last 10 games at the Palace. Detroit went 2-1 on its recent West Coast road trip that ended with a 22-point drubbing at the hands of the Clippers. I think we can throw that last game out for what was likely a weary Pistons squad that was playing its third game in four nights in the Pacific Time Zone. The good news in that blowout is that Jodie Meeks had a chance to see some floor time and he scored 20 points in 29 minutes. I think that could be just what he needed in his third game since returning from injury and I believe Detroit will start to see a much-needed contribution from him from 3-point range, where Detroit has struggled all season. Trade rumors are swirling around the Pistons these days and that’s another reason I like them right now. It’s reasonable to think some players may want out of this losing squad that seems desperate for answers and sometimes we see teams elevate their play with potential trades in the works. I like that Detroit is getting a handful of points at home here also. The Mavs are coming off a win over the Knicks last night and they tend to scrape out wins, but not cover in the second game of back-to-backs. They are 4-1 straight up in that spot this season but just 1-4 against the spread. 10* Best Bet |
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12-13-14 | Gonzaga v. UCLA +5 | Top | 87-74 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
I’m playing on the UCLA Bruins as my 10* Main Event Saturday. The Bruins take a four-game winning streak into the weekend but face a huge test in the Gonzaga Bulldogs inside Pauley Pavilion. Oddsmakers aren’t giving UCLA much respect and there is value in a very talented Bruins team. |
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12-13-14 | Northern Iowa v. VCU -6 | Top | 87-93 | Push | 0 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
I’m playing on the VCU Rams as my 10* Personal Favorite Saturday. Virginia Commonwealth is one the mid-major gatekeepers, having shown its dominance in past NCAA tournaments. The Rams host a fellow mid-major star in No. 24 Northern Iowa Saturday. |
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12-12-14 | Detroit Pistons +10 v. Phoenix Suns | Top | 105-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
I am playing on DETROIT. I believe the Pistons are going to play with a little desperation tonight as they aim to avoid tying a franchise-worst 14-game losing streak. I believe that, along with a few other elements, will help them cover against the Suns tonight and I anticipate it happening with room to spare. |
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12-12-14 | Iowa State v. Iowa -6 | Top | 90-75 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 40 m | Show |
I am playing on the IOWA HAWKEYES. Home court has been the ultimate factor in this bitter in-state rivalry with 10 of the last 11 victories going to the home side. It’s the biggest reason I like the Hawkeyes tomorrow, with this game being held in Iowa City. |
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12-11-14 | DePaul v. George Washington -9 | Top | 68-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
I am playing on GEORGE WASHINGTON. Home court is one of the biggest reasons why I love the Colonials to win and cover the number in this home-and-home series with DePaul that will finish next year in Chicago. |
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12-10-14 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Minnesota Timberwolves +10.5 | Top | 82-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
10* T-Wolves. Analysis before 10am PST. |
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12-10-14 | Boston Celtics v. Charlotte Hornets -2.5 | Top | 87-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Charlotte Hornets as my 10* Personal Favorite Wednesday. The Hornets have enjoyed an extended break following a win over New York that snapped a 10-game losing skid. That’s given Charlotte time to focus on what’s working and bring some important bodies back before taking on a Boston Celtics squad that’s already had a busy week. |
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12-06-14 | Philadelphia 76ers v. Detroit Pistons -9 | Top | 108-101 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Detroit Pistons as my 10* Personal Favorite Saturday. The Pistons take on the Philadelphia 76ers playing the second night of back-to-back games after a hard-fought contest against the Thunder Friday night. |
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12-06-14 | Gonzaga v. Arizona -3.5 | Top | 63-66 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Arizona Wildcats as my 10* Game of the Week Saturday. The Wildcats put their unbeaten record up against the unblemished Gonzaga Bulldogs and can boost their national ranking with another win over one of biggest mid-major powers in the country. |
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12-03-14 | Creighton v. Tulsa -1 | Top | 64-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
I am playing on TULSA. I believe the Golden Hurricane are undervalued in this spot tonight and we can thank an incredibly tough schedule to date for that. |
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12-03-14 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Washington Wizards -9 | Top | 95-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
10* Wizards. Analysis before 10am PST |
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12-02-14 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Detroit Pistons -1 | Top | 106-96 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 16 m | Show |
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11-30-14 | Washington v. UTEP -1.5 | Top | 68-65 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
I’m playing on the UTEP Miners as my 10* End of Month Blowout Sunday. The Miners battle the Washington Huskies in a showdown between undefeated programs in the final of the Wooden Legacy in Anaheim. UTEP has already added two big non-conference wins to its NCAA resume, with victories over Xavier and Princeton in this tournament. The Miners also knocked off the Huskies’ rival, Washington State, in their opening game of the year. UTEP won’t be intimidated by this major conference opponent Sunday in California. Washington’s 5-0 mark to start the schedule doesn’t boast many big-name opponents. The Huskies knocked off Long Beach State and San Jose State to grab a spot in the championship game and have yet to play a member of a major conference. Washington has puffed up its early-season stats against this weak slate of games and collides with a tested UTEP team still trying to prove its place in the rankings. The Miners are an aggressive team that gets to the paint, draws fouls and crashes the boards. UTEP averages 16.8 free throws per game, drawing 21.2 fouls an outing. On the glass, the Miners pulled down 38.5 rebounds a night – 11 of those on the offensive end. They don’t give back much in return, allowing an average of only seven offensive boards. The Miners’ impressive non-conference calendar and their ability to get to the line and control the boards is why I’m playing on UTEP as my 10* End of Month Blowout. |
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11-29-14 | Albany NY v. UNLV -7 | Top | 59-75 | Win | 100 | 24 h 18 m | Show |
I’m playing on the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels as my 10* Game of the Week Saturday. The Rebels host the Albany Great Danes at the Thomas & Mack Center Saturday, back home after a showing in the Coaches vs. Cancer Classic tournament in New York. |
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11-28-14 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Atlanta Hawks -2.5 | Top | 91-100 | Win | 100 | 21 h 44 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Atlanta Hawks as my 10* Personal Favorite Friday. The Hawks host the New Orleans Pelicans, who are in a grueling stretch of games in which they play nine of 11 contests away from the Big Easy. |
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11-24-14 | Phoenix Suns +5 v. Toronto Raptors | Top | 100-104 | Win | 100 | 21 h 6 m | Show |
I am playing on PHOENIX. The Raptors are getting more attention than just about anyone would have projected at this point in the early season and as a result we're going to start seeing their lines inflate. I feel that's the case Monday night at home when they're laying a handful against the smoking-hot Suns. The Suns have won four in a row and I expect them to pour everything they have into their final game of a six-game road trip in Toronto. Phoenix is playing fantastic team basketball right now and using a deep bench to stay fresh during the club's travels. Head coach Jeff Hornacek said "There is something about being on the road" after Saturday's win over Indiana and talked about how his team is finding its groove. Gerald Green scored a game-high 23 points against the Pacers while Isaiah Thomas chipped in with 16 with both players coming off the bench. No player saw more than 26 minutes on Saturday night, which is why I fully expect the Suns to maintain top speed tonight. Phoenix is the fourth leading scoring team in the NBA with 105.3 points per game and they are the best free throw shooting team. They also hold the edge in rebounding margin over the Raptors, who are one of the worst rebounding squads in the league with a margin of -2.31. I like the Suns to get it done against a slightly overvalued Raptors team and I'll take the points while I can get them. This is just the third time all year Phoenix has been an underdog. 10* Best Bet |
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11-19-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Denver Nuggets -6.5 | Top | 100-107 | Win | 100 | 29 h 44 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Denver Nuggets as my 10* Revenge Best of the Best Wednesday. The Nuggets get a chance to even the score with the Oklahoma City Thunder Wednesday, hosting OKC after losing to the Thunder 102-91 on the road earlier this month. |
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11-18-14 | New York Knicks +3.5 v. Milwaukee Bucks | Top | 113-117 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 38 m | Show |
I am playing on NEW YORK. The Knicks finally snapped their streak of futility after seven games with a win over the Denver Nuggets on Sunday. I like the Knicks to continue their winning ways Tuesday night in Milwaukee and they even have a few points to work with as the underdog. New York is finally showing signs of life in its new and much talked about triangle offense implemented by coach Derek Fisher this season. The Knicks managed 100 points or more in each of their last two games, which were the first games they reached triple digits all season. “Every game I'm starting to become a little bit more comfortable with my role,” Carmelo Anthony said after the game. Anthony poured in 28 points and had just 14 field goal attempts on Sunday and he’s made 20 of his past 27 shots over his last six quarters for 58 points. With Anthony playing more effectively, J.R. Smith had his best game of the year Sunday also with 28 points of his own. I don’t feel oddsmakers quite believe the Knicks have sorted out their woes yet, which is why we’re getting a good number on New York here on Tuesday. I expect the cat to be out of the bag in another game or two and every NBA bettor will soon know the Knicks have found their offensive rhythm. 10* Best Bet - Knicks |
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11-17-14 | Houston Rockets v. Memphis Grizzlies -4 | Top | 93-119 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
I am playing on MEMPHIS. The Grizzlies have won 19 straight games at home and catch Houston in a great spot on home court on Monday. The Rockets are playing the second game in a back-to-back situation after facing Oklahoma City last night and this is their third game in four nights. Houston did try to use its bench at OKC in a game in which they scored just 69 points, but their two stars James Harden and Dwight Howard each played over 37 minutes apiece. I believe that’s an especially tough spot for Howard, who will face his toughest post challenge of the season with the Grizzlies’ duo of Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph. The pair have helped lead Memphis to a 9-1 start to the season and are a huge reason why they lead the NBA in points allowed at 91.3 and rank fourth in defensive efficiency. Memphis is also getting fantastic back court play right now from point guard Mike Conley, who’s average six assists and almost 17 points per game. The return of Courtney Lee on Nov. 5 has been a huge help also. He’s averaging 15.5 points on 53.3 percent shooting in the six games since his return. A defensive stalwart on the road is a brutal matchup for the Rockets during this grinding stretch of their schedule. I believe Memphis will continue its winning ways at home and cover the small number set by oddsmakers. 10* Personal Favorite |
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11-15-14 | Phoenix Suns v. Los Angeles Clippers -6.5 | Top | 107-120 | Win | 100 | 29 h 8 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Los Angeles Clippers as a 10* Situational Best of the Best Saturday. The Clippers have enjoyed an extended break, with their last game coming five days ago. That’s a much-needed hiatus after an inconsistent start to the year. Los Angeles will have fresh legs against the Phoenix Suns, who are playing the second half of back-to-back games Saturday night. The Suns roll into L.A. fresh off a home loss to the Charlotte Hornets Friday night. Phoenix, which will be playing its third game in four nights Saturday, crumbled in the fourth quarter after having a one-point lead, giving up 29 points to the Hornets in the final frame. The Suns have allowed opponents to top the 100-point plateau in six of their last seven games and rank 24th in the league in defense. The Clippers hope the time off worked out the kinks in their offense. Los Angeles is shooting 44.9 percent from the field and averaging just over 100 points per game, after posting 108 points per outing in 2013 – tied for tops in the NBA.The Clippers won’t need too much extra in the points department to edge a weary Suns team, about to tip off a six-game road trip which will send them East for most of the month. This situational matchup, with the Clippers well rested and the Suns going back-to-back nights, is why I’m playing on Los Angeles as a 10* Situational Best of the Best Saturday. |
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11-14-14 | Utah Jazz v. New York Knicks -3 | Top | 102-100 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 16 m | Show |
I’m playing on the New York Knicks as a 10* Personal Favorite Friday. The Knicks welcome a road weary Utah Jazz team to Madison Square Garden and try to snap a six-game losing slide in what is shaping up to be a must-win game for New York. The Knicks have stumbled out of the blocks, falling back in the Eastern Conference standings. New York’s offense has struggled to find its form in head coach Derek Fisher’s new triangle offense, coming into Friday ranked among the bottom of the league in scoring. However, star forward Carmelo Anthony is starting to heat up – scoring 27 points on 10-of-17 shooting in the loss to Orlando - and can spark this offense if he finds his stroke. The Jazz may be the perfect opponents to help New York end this slide. Utah’s defense is giving up 102.2 points per game to start the season, and allowed Atlanta to shoot better than 51 percent from the field in their loss to the Hawks Wednesday. On the other side of the floor, the Jazz don’t pose much of an offensive threat to the Knicks, managing just 90.5 points per game over their last four contest. New York has owned Utah in recent meetings, having covered the spread in 20 of their previous 26 head-to-head battles, including a 9-0 ATS winning streak against the Jazz inside MSG. A desperate Knicks teams and a road-weary Jazz side is why I’m playing on New York as a 10* Personal Favorite Friday. |
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11-12-14 | Orlando Magic v. New York Knicks -6 | Top | 97-95 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
I am playing on the KNICKS. While New York is still struggling to find any sort of rhythm, the good news is that the Knicks are catching the right team at the right time to get back on track. The Magic are coming off an excruciating loss to the Raptors last night during which they held a double-digit lead at one point. Orlando collapsed in the final quarter and was outscored 32-17 to lose 104-100. “It’s very hard, but it’s basketball,” guard Evan Fournier said after the loss. “I feel like I’m saying the same stuff for five games: We play good and we have a little stretch where we just don’t pay attention to the details, and that’s basically where we lose the game.” Magic coach Jaque Vaughn had to play his starters more than he likely would’ve wanted to in a back-to-back situation with four of his starting five playing at least 39 minutes each. But the Magic were desperately trying to salvage the win and managing for tonight’s game against the Knicks went out the window. I believe the Knicks will be able to take advantage of a fatigued and demoralized Magic squad on home court tonight. Orlando went 5-13 in the second game of back-to-backs last season and the Knicks have won and covered nine of the last 10 meetings with Orlando. 10* Personal Favorite |
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11-11-14 | Orlando Magic +11 v. Toronto Raptors | Top | 100-104 | Win | 100 | 28 h 59 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Orlando Magic as my 10* Best Bet Tuesday. The Magic head north of the border to face the Toronto Raptors Tuesday night. Toronto has jumped out to a strong start to the season but has built that record against some softer opponents. The Raptors added another tick to their win column with a blowout over Philadelphia Sunday. Toronto is surprising some with its 6-1 record to open the year but a quick glance at who those victories have come against will make you think twice about Toronto’s elite status. The Raptors have puffed up their odds with wins over the hapless Sixers, Celtics, Hawks and Tuesday’s opponents the Magic, and taken advantage of teams missing key players – Wizards and Thunder. Those six clubs have a combined record of 14-25 and Washington is currently the only one over .500. Unlike the overvalued Raptors, the Magic have been very undervalued in their recent outings. Orlando has covered in three of its last four games – all of those ATS wins coming as an underdog. The Magic have done a good job defending in that span, giving up just over 96 points in regulation in those four contests. That’s a major improvement on Orlando’s season average of 101 points against. The Raptors’ soft opening schedule and the Magic’s new-found defense is why I’m playing on Orlando as my 10* Best Bet Tuesday. |
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11-09-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Phoenix Suns +1 | Top | 95-107 | Win | 100 | 26 h 38 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Phoenix Suns as my 10* Best Bet Sunday. Phoenix is at home hosting a Golden State Warriors side coming off a huge game against the Houston Rockets Saturday night. Golden State will be ripe for a letdown after mixing it up with the Western Conference-leading Rockets. Back-to-back games will have the Warriors up-tempo offense a step slower, which will benefit a Phoenix side rested up and motivated after a crushing loss to Sacramento in two overtimes Friday night. The Suns are planning on picking up the pace with their offense – perfect timing to put Golden State on its heels. Phoenix opened that loss to Sacramento with a 36-point first quarter before pumping the breaks the rest of the game. Head coach Jeff Hornacek liked what he saw in that opening frame and is telling his backcourt to pick up the pace instead of walking into the offense. The Suns have the horses to match the Warriors' pace, scoring an average of 103.2 points per game to start the season. Phoenix has covered in four of its previous five meetings with Golden State and has come away as an ATS victor in six of its last eight games versus the Warriors inside US Airways Center. A letdown spot for the Warriors and the Suns' commitment to pushing the pace is why I’m playing on Phoenix as my 10* Best Bet Sunday. |