Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-22-24 | James Madison +5.5 v. Wisconsin | 72-61 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Wisconsin was just 2-9-1 ATS in games when coming off a loss this season, including 0-3 ATS in games outside the Big Ten. They also carry the uncertainty of being a No. 5 seed going against a No. 12 seed. Like its football brethren, JMU is making a strong splash in its second year of Division 1 competition as they wrapped up a second 20-win season. Looking over their stat sheet, it was anything but a fluke as they ranked 8th in Scoring Margin, 10th in Scoring Offense, and 14th in Turnover Margin. Hey, it’s why they were one of only THREE teams to win 30 games this season… and note these 10 teams featured rosters dotted with the oldest players, by age: St. Bonaventure, Washington, TCU, North Carolina, St. John’s, Nevada, James Madison, Tulane, Texas, and Seton Hall. Together these teams went 216-111 SU and 166-156-5 ATS for the season, with only one team (the 14-17 Green Wave) failing to produce a winning record. Finally, this same contingent went 20-13 ATS as an underdog when coming off a loss, including 16-7 ATS as dogs of +3 or more points. With the Dukes on the list, a take is in order here |
|||||||
03-22-24 | Longwood v. Houston -23.5 | 46-86 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Safe to say, the Cougars blew it. They were in the rocking chair and had the No. 1 overall seed of the tournament locked up until Cyclone rolled in and blew it all to smithereens when they scored a season-low 41 points in a 28-point wipeout loss to Iowa State in the Big 12 title game. For what it’s worth, Division-1 teams are 45-28 SUATS in opening round games of the tournament when coming off a game in which they tallied fewer than 50 points the previous contest, including 4-0 SUATS when they sport a .838 or greater win percentage. Meanwhile, head Cougar Kelvin Sampson is 15-3 SU and 10-5 ATS in his career in games after failing to score 50 points in the last game. |
|||||||
03-22-24 | Texas A&M v. Nebraska +1 | 98-83 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 4 Units Although the Aggies are like vacuums on the offensive glass, they're simply far too inefficient to advance in this one. Nebraska's defense is capable of consistently forcing missed shots until they grab a board. The Huskers shouldn't fear Texas A&M at the free throw line either. The battle on the other end features a mediocre three-point defense against a Nebraska squad that attempts 26.4 per game and hits 35.8% of them. The Huskers hit free throws and protect the ball well enough to optimize their possessions. Texas A&M let their last two opponents exceed 85 points. Roll with Nebraska to advance and beat the tight spread. |
|||||||
03-22-24 | Colorado v. Florida -115 | 102-100 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Gators were the epitome of a team on an up-and-down ladder this season, yet survived 11 losses to gain admittance to this party. In addition, they struggled in games outside the SEC (5-8 ATS). However, they’ve gone 7-0 ATS in opening round games of this tournament when coming off a loss. Finally, Play-in teams are coming off a win are just 12-46 outright all-time. |
|||||||
03-22-24 | Stetson v. Connecticut -26.5 | 52-91 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 4 Units The Hatters have never gone dancing before and now they’re the one team in this tournament that knows beyond a doubt that they’ll get slaughtered. Still, when you’re taking almost four touchdowns, getting slaughtered does not eliminate the possibility of cashing a ticket. Stetson lost by 31 at Houston and 16 at ULNV this season and after playing the majority of its games on the road, it paid enough benefits to land them in this contest. Not enough, though, to overcome UConn’s 5-1 ATS in opening round games as a favorite of -26 or more points – by an average win margin of 38 PPG. And since the Huskies are riding a 23-5 SU and 22-6 ATS mark in this tournament since 2009, we’re not going to try on this hat today. |
|||||||
03-22-24 | New Mexico v. Clemson +2.5 | 56-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 4 Units The Tigers is 6-1 ATS when taking points this season, including 3-0 ATS from non-conference foes. In addition, Clemson enters this fray with a super-sharp 5-0-1 ATS log in this tournament against foes arriving off a win. Now that they’ve appeared to turn the corner under veteran head coach Brad Brownell, we see them possibly deep in this event. NCAA Tournament dogs with a gap of 3 or more seeds are 16-10 SU and 17-9 ATS first-round games, including 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS when coming off consecutive losses. With that, New Mexico enters this contest, having swept its way through the Mountain West tournament, winning and covering 4 games in 4 days in the process. Prior to the surge, though, the Lobos were riding a 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS skein. |
|||||||
03-22-24 | Western Kentucky +14.5 v. Marquette | 69-87 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Marquette was the No. 8 team in this season’s AP Preseason Top 25 poll, were it not for an oblique injury to Big East Player of the Year, PG Tyler Kolek. He is one of the most unique passers in the game and leads the nation in Assists Per Game. The Eagles were 22-6 this season with him and just 2-2 without him. If he's back in the lineup, Marquette is a genuine threat to cut down the nets. For now, though, they ride a 1-5 SUATS record of late in this tourney. The Hilltoppers swept the CUSA tourney en route to earning a bid and were 8-3 ATS when taking points this season and 10-2 ATS in games when coming off a win of more than seven points. They are also 7-0 ATS as a dog of late in this tournament.. |
|||||||
03-22-24 | UAB +6.5 v. San Diego State | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Aztecs rode a winning train right to the title game of last year’s NCAA tournament. Yet, despite an up-and-down campaign this season, which saw them drop 4 of their final 6 games to conclude the season, they find themselves back as a No. 5 seed in a dreaded matchup against a rising 12 seed. Keep in mind that 5 seeds coming off a loss are just 10-21 ATS since 2012, including 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS when the 5-seed sports a sub-700 win percentage. |
|||||||
03-21-24 | Samford +7.5 v. Kansas | 89-93 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units These disrespected puppies bring quite a bit into this tourney and MUST be respected. The 29- win Bulldogs were also rock-solid in the stat wars this season, ranking No. 5 overall in Points Per Game as well as No. 15 in Overall Win Margin. They also won 29 of their final 32 games after opening the season with a pair of losses at Purdue and VCU. The question is whether Kansas can regroup after losing leading scorers G Kevin McCullar Jr. (18.3 PPG) and C Hunter Dickson (18.0 PPG and 10.8 RPG) down the stretch. Keep a close eye on the injury ticker, as both are expected back during this tournament. For now, though, Sam (not Stan) gets the call |
|||||||
03-21-24 | Drake v. Washington State +1.5 | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Drake looked impressive in its three-game run to the Missouri Valley Tourney championship, fending off a pair of strong teams in Bradley and Indiana State to claim the title. Unfortunately, despite winning 27 games last season, and 28 this campaign, the Bulldogs have little to show for it in this tournament, going 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS in this event. Yes, they’re riding a recent 4-0 SUATS win streak but they’re just 8-15 ATS outside the conference the past two seasons, including 2-9 ATS with three or more days of rest. Drake went one-and-out last year, and if the current line stays the same, WSU will bring along a 6-3-1 ATS record as pups this season. Finally, Pac-12 teams are 4-0 SUATS since 1990 when dancing against the Missouri Valley. |
|||||||
03-21-24 | NC State v. Texas Tech -4.5 | 80-67 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Who would have thought it? The Wolfpack upset arch-rival UNC as a double digit dog in the ACC championship game as they ride a 6-game win skein into this party. Their mission will be to shake a 0-3 SUATS losing skein in this tourney, something that could prove difficult given its 0-5 SU and 1-3-1 ATS mark in the Big Dance when entering off an upset win. It also doesn’t help to know that ACC tournament champions coming off a SU underdog win are 0-6 ATS in this tournament. With it, the Red Raiders enter knowing they were 0-5 ATS this season against foes coming off a SU underdog win. So, what gives today? TTRR’s 10-4 SU and 9-5 ATS overall mark of late in this tournament gains the nod. |
|||||||
03-21-24 | St. Peter's +22.5 v. Tennessee | 49-83 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Vols have never made a Final Four. Could this be the year? With this year’s party wide open, they likely have as good a chance as ever. However, the biggest weight holding them down is the fact that No. 2 seeds from the SEC are just 22-32-3 ATS in the NCAA, as well as 5-8 ATS when dancing off of a loss. Rick Barnes doesn’t aid the situation, either, with a lukewarm 19-31 ATS career mark in this event (28-26 outright). It all ties into the SEC’s super soft 11-16 ATS mark in first-round games the past five seasons, with only three outright wins coming by 20 or more points. On the other side of the court, the Peacocks love spreading their feathers in this tournament, where they won and covered three of their four games in their most recent engagement in 2022, making it as far as the Elite 8 Round. They were also 21-10 ATS overall this season, including 7-0 ATS when coming off a SU underdog win (they upset Fairfield in the title game of the MAAC tourney). Only one way to look here. |
|||||||
03-21-24 | Knicks v. Nuggets -9.5 | 100-113 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Knicks own a miserable 4-14 SU and 6-12 ATS overall in this series despite their recent heroics. The Knickerbockers also show up here off a same-season revenger at Golden State and they’re just 7-14 SUATS after facing the Dubs. Yes, the Knicks own the fourth-best record in the East but overall this season the Eastern Conference owns a .477 win percentage compared to the West’s superior .523 mark. Those numbers should come into play tonight as the Nuggets take a bite out of the Big Apple. |
|||||||
03-21-24 | McNeese State +6.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 65-86 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 29 m | Show |
NCAAB Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units McNeese is led by second-year head coach Will Wade, who previously took LSU and VCU to the NCAA Tournament and will lead McNeese to its first tournament appearance since 2002. His troops dominate the NCAA statistics, ranking No. 1 in Win Margin, No. 3 in both Defensive Field Goal Percentage and Turnover Margin, No. 5 in Defensive Points Per Game, and No. 10 in Offensive Field Goal Percentage. Needless to say, that’s quite a laundry list. Meanwhile, after a lethargic 11-5 start to the season, the Zags closed like a racehorse, but it was too late when they fell to Saint Mary’s in the West Coast Conference title game. With it, they ride a 1-8 ATS overall mark in their last nine games into this tourney contest. That’s not promising news against a 12-seed that can flat-out play, a double-conference champion taking points from a foe that was neither. Finally, McNeese head coach Wade is 3-0 ATS as a No. 8 or lower seed in the NCAA tournament versus .800 or fewer opponents |
|||||||
03-21-24 | Blues +116 v. Senators | 5-2 | Win | 116 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units St Louis has won four of the last five overall and the Blues have won eight of the last 11 head-to-head versus Ottawa. St Louis has also won six of the last eight played on the road against the Senators. Ottawa has won just three of its last 12 games overall and has lost five straight against a team from the Western Conference. St Louis goalie Jordan Binnington has a 2.83 goals against average and .913 save percentage. Binnington was in goal on December 14 when St Louis defeated Ottawa 4-2 and pushed aside 32 or 34 shots faced between the pipes. In contrast, Ottawa goalie Joonas Karpisalo has a 3.37 goals against average and .887 save percentage. Ottawa has lost eight of the last 10 games that Korpisalo has been in goal and Korpisalo was in goal when the Senators lost to the Blues 4-2 last December. The incentive is much higher for St Louis to win as they are just four points behind the second and final wild card spot in the Western Conference, while Ottawa is on the verge of being eliminated from postseason contention. |
|||||||
03-21-24 | Colorado State +3.5 v. Texas | 44-56 | Loss | -120 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units We know that No. 10 or 11 seeds who win a Play in game are live in opening round contests and are 6-5 SU and 8-3 ATS when facing .750 or fewer foes. A quick glance at the Longhorns’ lousy 11-20-1 ATS overall ledger, including 3-9-1 ATS against non-conference opponents this season seals the deal. And we didn’t even mention Hook ‘Ems haughty 3-12-1 ATS record in this tournament since 2010. |
|||||||
03-21-24 | Nevada v. Dayton +1.5 | 60-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Nevada did play well outside the conference this season, going 11-2 SU and 9-4 ATS but our concern is its underachieving 3-7 SUATS log the last ten games in this event, including a 1-5 SUATS mark against .696 or greater foes. While the Flyers were third-place finishers in the Atlantic-10, they finished just one game back of the top spot. Dayton has endured a three-game losing streak in this tournament but are 5-1-1 ATS in The Dance when they sport a sub .750 win percentage. Strange to see the Flyers as a higher-seeded underdog; however, we’re not about to back down. |
|||||||
03-21-24 | Oregon v. South Carolina | 87-73 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 4 Units The Gamecocks turned on the jets at the right time this campaign when they closed out the season on a 12-4 SU and 11-5 ATS run, including 6-1 ATS away from Columbia. They were also an eye-opening 12-1 SU and 10-3 ATS outside the SEC, including 8-0 ATS against non-conference opponents that were coming off a win. They also went 25-9 ATS under second-year head coach Lamont Paris when playing on three or more days of rest, including 20-3 ATS of late. The Ducks won their final four games of the season to capture the final Pac-12 tournament. They also bring a 7-1 ATS ledger in their last eight games into the tournament fray. While there are good numbers abounding on both sides of the ball, our call goes to the hotter Cock squad |
|||||||
03-21-24 | Morehead State +12 v. Illinois | 69-85 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Big Ten tournament champions are just 2-6-1 ATS in tourney openers since 2014. What Morehead State has on its side is the fact that they rank No. 5 in Defensive Field Goal Percentage, No. 8 in Defensive Points Per Game, and No. 76 in Rebound Margin. Those sticky stats are what pulls off upsets during The Dance, even if troubled former NFL WR Antonio Brown has labeled the Eagles as his choice to win this tournament. Finally, the Illini are 3-12 ATS as a favorite under head coach Brad Underwood when facing a non-conference opponent coming off consecutive wins, including 1-9 ATS when Illinois owns a greater than .700 win percentage. |
|||||||
03-21-24 | Long Beach State +20.5 v. Arizona | 65-85 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units All the talking heads want to discuss is the possibility of No. 2 Arizona facing No. 1 North Carolina in the West Regionals. The stakes would be big – a trip to the Final Four – with Caleb Love, who last spring transferred from the Tar Heels to the Wildcats, trying to defeat his former teammates and his former teammates trying end his season. But that’s the future maybe and fortunately for today’s combatants, they get to stay somewhat close to home by meeting at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City. The 49ers are 18-7 ATS as a dog in Pac-12 performances, which puts us on Long Beach versus Arizona today. |
|||||||
03-21-24 | Duquesne +10 v. BYU | 71-67 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Duquesne head coach Keith Dambrot (LeBron James’ high school coach in Akron) led his team to their first NCAA tournament bid in 47 years (1977) as they beat VCU to gather its 4th win in four days and win the A-10 title. Note that 33 such teams have accomplished this feat this century and they’ve pretty much kissed their sisters in NCAA tourney openers, going 15-8 SU and 16-16-1 ATS, but 7-13 SUATS when coming off a win of 6 or more points. Still, they were 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS as either a pick or dog this season and since we’re not interested in laying close to double digits today, we suggest you put up your Dukes with Duquesne |
|||||||
03-21-24 | Michigan State -1 v. Mississippi State | 69-51 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It’s Tom Izzo time, and the tournament knows it, as this marks his 26th consecutive appearance in the event. The Wizard is 21-7 outright in games against the SEC, including 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS during March Madness. In addition, he also stands 19-6 SU in opening round games in this tournament, not to mention 12-4 SU and 11-5 ATS overall in this tournament as either a favorite or a dog of 4 or fewer points against foes seeded higher than his squad. It was a bit of a disappointing season for the Bulldogs, a 21-win team last season that welcomed all five of its starters back this campaign. Yes, they won 21 games again this season, but they entered this contest just 2-4 overall in their last six games. The bottom line is Sparty will be out to prove the aforementioned preseason prognosticators correct, and we’re not about to get in the way. |
|||||||
03-20-24 | Clippers v. Blazers +12.5 | 116-103 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Los Angeles has dominated Portland, winning the last seven games. However, the Trail Blazers have won two of the last three games against the spread. It is the double-digit spread that is the concern. The Clippers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight while Portland is 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10. The Trail Blazers may have won only three of their last 10 games, but they hold their own. That will be the case here as well, as they lose, but only by single digits. |
|||||||
03-20-24 | Colorado -2.5 v. Boise State | 60-53 | Win | 100 | 32 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Since this is the first year of No. 10 seeds being forced into Play-In games in this event, we’re looking at the matchup on its merits. For openers, the Buffaloes fell to Oregon in the Pac-12 championship game, a loss which snapped an 8-game winning skein by Colorado. They will be looking to even the score from a 13-point loss against the Broncos two seasons ago as small chalk. The Buffs have beaten the MWC in 20 of the last 27 games in this geographical matchup, with a 6-1-1 ATS ledger in those games when CU is coming off a loss. On the other side of the court, Boise State has taken the gas in all five of its NCAA tourney appearances this century while going 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS. They are also just 7-12 outright against .700 or greater Pac-12 opponents. With the Pac-12 intent on closing the books on a high note on its fabled conference, it’s preordained the Buffaloes run their footloose and fancy-free way in this final party. |
|||||||
03-20-24 | San Francisco v. Cincinnati -7 | 72-73 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The San Francisco Dons are the pick here, with their remarkable offensive firepower and sharpshooting capabilities setting them apart. Averaging 77.9 points per game on an impressive 48.9% shooting from the field and 35.4% from beyond the arc, the Dons' ability to light up the scoreboard cannot be overstated. Their free-throw shooting is reliable at 75.8%, ensuring they capitalize on opportunities at the line. Defensively, San Francisco is no slouch either, limiting opponents to 66.3 points per game. Key players like Jonathan Mogbo, who not only leads in scoring and rebounding but also contributes significantly in steals and blocks, exemplify the team's balanced attack. The Dons' performance against high-caliber opponents this season shows they're battle-tested and should be able to dominate in this game. |
|||||||
03-20-24 | UNLV +4 v. Princeton | 84-77 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Runnin' Rebels come into this game as the type of team equipped to handle the Princeton offense. The Tigers rely heavily on the 3-point shot, ranking 9th in the country in 3-point field goals made per game. The Rebels are 56th in the nation in 3-point defense and are 72nd in the country in scoring defense overall. The Rebels were done in against San Diego State by their inability to rebound but that shouldn't be a factor in this game with both teams near the bottom of the rebounding rankings. It will take a big effort given the fact that Princeton is undefeated at home but I like the Runnin' Rebels as well due to their must more stringent schedule this season. Princeton is 2-1 against NCAA Tournament teams this season but that includes two games against Ivy League representative Yale. The Rebels have had 11 games against tournament teams this year, going 5-6. UNLV is also effective on the road after going 7-3 away from home this season. They have also won 10 of their last 13 games in a tougher conference. |
|||||||
03-20-24 | Bucks v. Celtics -8 | Top | 119-122 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The Celtics were riding high at 29-8 on the season. They had just come off a same-season revenge victory at home against Minnesota the night before and immediately hit the road for a back-to-backer versus Milwaukee. The Bucks stormed out to a 41-23 lead after the first quarter and never looked back, going on a 25-0 run before the white flag was raised and the starters were benched, taking a 75-38 lead into the half, the largest lead in franchise history. When it was over, Boston’s hide was thoroughly tanned after a 135-102 beating. The payback tips at 7:40 in Beantown tonight, and for what it’s worth, Boston is 3-0 ATS in this series when avenging a same-season defeat of 25 or more points, with every win by double-digits. They are also 16-5-1 ATS the last twenty-two games in this series, including 7-1-1 ATS when coming off a home contest. The Bucks are just 1-7-1 ATS as a dog against foes seeking same-season revenge from a loss of 30-plus points; and finally playing on any .545 or greater NBA team seeking same-season revenge from a loss of 33 points if they are facing a .545 or greater foe is 16-2 ATS. |
|||||||
03-20-24 | Maple Leafs -134 v. Capitals | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Capitals have won three games in a row and are facing a team on short rest, making it easy to think they'll win this one on their home ice. The problem is that the Maple Leafs are having a great season and look to take over this game from the first period. The Maple Leafs should create plenty of scoring chances with Auston Matthews, William Nylander, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Maple Leafs should limit the Capitals offense, which averages only 2.66 goals per game, with T.J. Brodie, Jake McCabe, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Joseph Woll to make plenty of big saves. The Maple Leafs should win the game with a strong performance on the road. |
|||||||
03-20-24 | Loyola-Chicago +5.5 v. Bradley | 62-74 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The ability to control the glass is critical to win games and there is a bit of a difference as Loyola Chicago is averaging 36.7 total rebounds per game while Bradley is grabbing 34.7 total rebounds per game. The Ramblers have been able to keep the offensive numbers very similar and it makes it hard for the Bradley Braves to step up and pull out a lead. All in all, take Loyola Chicago to pull off the upset on the spread. |
|||||||
03-20-24 | SMU v. Indiana State -7.5 | 92-101 | Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units While some schools turned down the NIT, Indiana State star Robbie Avila said his team is "motivated as ever." Avila, a center, averages 17.5 points, 6.6 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game, and he hits 40.5 percent of his 3-point attempts. "To be able to have that opportunity to come back and win some more hardware is a blessing," he said. Five players score in double digits per game, and the Sycamores are tied for eighth in Division I at 84.4 points per game. Finally, SMU is 3-11 ATS their L14 games. |
|||||||
03-20-24 | Grambling State +4 v. Montana State | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 29 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Here we go again, kowtowing to the wishes of the Well-Oiled Machine and fading a .500 favorite in the 17-17 Bobcats while using the double-champion Tigers from the SWAC. And why not? Grambling won 20 games with its first SWC conference title. Since 2018, the SWAC has won its opening round game three times in its five NCAA appearances, including two of the last three contests. They’ve also captured nine of their last ten overall games to conclude the season. This is from a unit that started the campaign on a 2-10 downer. Meanwhile, Montana State was picked to finish in eighth place in the Big Sky by the Scribes in a preseason vote but outplayed the press while winning its third-straight Big Sky title. However, they are another No. 16 seeded chalk artist that has struggled in these First Four games. We’ll be gambling with Grambling this evening. |
|||||||
03-19-24 | Nuggets v. Wolves +7.5 | 115-112 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Minnesota returns home to begin a four-game homestand on Tuesday. They are 23-8 at home (2-0 ATS as a home underdog). Minnesota won the first matchup 110-89 on Nov. 1 on its home court. Edwards led the Timberwolves with 24 points on 8-for-16 shooting, and Mike Conley chipped in 17 points on 7-for-9 shooting. Jokic finished with 25 points and 10 rebounds in that contest. Murray scored 14 points for Denver, which shot only 39.6 percent from the field and 18.2 percent (6 of 33) from 3-point range. In addition, Denver is 11-15 ATS as a road favorite. |
|||||||
03-19-24 | Colorado State v. Virginia +2.5 | 67-42 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units If it looks strange to find the Cavaliers taking points in this contest, it should. For openers, they are likely the most disrespected 23-win team in the nation. Virginia, a team that was 23-5 outright against sub .730 opposition this season, has faced a total of nineteen No. 9 or lower seeds in this event, winning thirteen games straight up while being installed as the favorite in all nineteen contests! The Cavs’ staunch scoring defense ranks No. 3 overall in the nation, allowing 59.5 PPG. It fits like a glove next to the Rams' 0-4 SU all-time mark in games where it failed to score 80 points in this tournament. Then there’s the fact that Colorado State will be laying points for the first time in the Big Dance this century, checking in five times as a dog. While losing 7 of the 10 games they played against ACC foes since 1990, the Rams must also overcome the fact that the Mountain West Conference is little more than Play Dough in the hands of the ACC in this tournament, going 1-13 SU and 3-11 ATS dating back to 1990. |
|||||||
03-19-24 | Kansas State +6 v. Iowa | 82-91 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units K-State (19-14) had plenty of Quad-1 victories to hold out hope for an at-large berth in the NCAA Tournament. But too many close wins in the lower quadrants, combined with an unusual number of bid thieves, eliminated any chance of the Wildcats making the field of 68. The Hawkeyes (18-14) also had a chance to make the big dance. They played six games against teams that ended up with top-3 seeds in the NCAA Tournament: Creighton, Purdue (twice), Iowa State and Illinois (twice). Iowa went a combined 0-6 in those games. |
|||||||
03-19-24 | Mavs v. Spurs +8.5 | 113-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Antonio, stands 4-2 SUATS in this series in this role, but also 15-8 SU and 13-9 ATS at home when seeking same-season triple revenge under head coach Greg Popovich, including 11-5 SU and 12-3 ATS in this role versus .577 or greater foes. Those strong numbers also include a 6-0 SUATS mark when Pop’s troops sport a sub. 600-win percentage. Dicey spot for Dallas who enters off the double avenger on Sunday against Denver with a whopping 37-point get-even game at Utah on deck. The Mavericks’ 2-6 ATS effort in their last eight games against triple revenging foes means they’ll be on our fade list tonight. |
|||||||
03-19-24 | Jets v. Rangers -115 | 4-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Winnipeg Jets are only 4-3 in their last seven games. The New York Rangers continue to dazzle, earning the win in five of their last six games. They also continue to dominate at home where they are 24-8 on the season. Winnipeg has been inconsistent when it comes to scoring. They have scored three or fewer goals in five of their last seven games. They were productive this past weekend but took advantage of horrible defensive opponents in the Ducks and Blue Jackets. The Rangers have only conceded 13 goals in their last five games. Igor Shesterkin has been outstanding, conceding two or fewer goals in three of his last four games. |
|||||||
03-19-24 | Maple Leafs -130 v. Flyers | 3-4 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Flyers look to step up on their home ice but they run into a buzzsaw Maple Leafs team that looks to take over this game from the first period. The Maple Leafs, who average 3.58 goals per game, should create plenty of scoring chances with Auston Matthews, William Nylander, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Maple Leafs should limit the Flyers offense, which averages only 2.91 goals per game, with T.J. Brodie, Jake McCabe, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Ilya Samsonov to make plenty of big saves. The Maple Leafs should win the game with a strong performance on the road. |
|||||||
03-19-24 | Penguins v. Devils -122 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Penguins are coming off an impressive win but I see the Devils stepping up on their home ice and taking over this game. The Devils should create plenty of scoring chances with Jack Hughes, Jesper Bratt, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Devils should limit a Penguins offense that averages only 2.91 goals per game, with Kevin Bahl, John Marino, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Nico Daws to make plenty of big saves. The Devils should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice. |
|||||||
03-19-24 | North Texas +3 v. LSU | 84-77 | Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units North Texas will use its tough defense to contain LSU's average offense and the Mean Green will find a way to score enough points against a below-average LSU defense to pick up a victory on Tuesday and move on to the second round of the NIT. North Texas allowed an average of only 62.4 points per game which was 7th best in the country and gave up 40.7% shooting which was 31st in the nation. In contrast, LSU gave up 74.8 points per game which was 268th. The Tigers allowed 33.3% shooting from 3-point territory, which was 160th and that plays to North Texas's strength on offense as the Mean Green shot 37.5% from three-point range which was 21st in the nation. North Texas averaged 34.7 rebounds per game while holding their opponents to 29.4 boards per contest. |
|||||||
03-19-24 | Boston College +3.5 v. Providence | 62-57 | Win | 100 | 2 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This game's line moved from 6.5 to 3.5 following the injury update to Carter, Providence's first-team all-conference guard. His absence limits a Friars squad that depended on the junior to score more after losing Hopkins to an ACL injury. Carter was averaging nearly 20 points on 14 shots per game — who will pick up the scoring slack? The obvious candidate is Oduro (11.2 FG attempts per game), but Providence will also count on more production from Pierre, who will likely attempt more three-balls (4.3 3PT attempts per game) with Carter sidelined. |
|||||||
03-19-24 | Xavier v. Georgia -1.5 | 76-78 | Win | 100 | 2 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Georgia (17-16) makes its first NIT appearance since 2017, which also marked the program's most recent postseason trip. The Bulldogs have endured a late-season slump, dropping five of their last seven games -- including their exit from the second round of the Southeastern Conference tournament with an 85-80 loss to Florida. However, defeats of a 20-win Ole Miss team on March 5 and Missouri in the first round of the SEC tournament on March 13 gave Georgia its highest win total since going 18-15 in 2017-18. The Musketeers head into the NIT at 3-7 over their last 10 games against a tough Big East Conference schedule. They closed with an 87-60 loss at reigning national champion UConn at the Big East tournament last Thursday. Georgia is 16-9 ATS in their L25 games overall. |
|||||||
03-18-24 | Hawks v. Lakers -8.5 | 105-136 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Hawks still had to face the Clippers at the time this preview was written, so no line was available. However, one should expect Los Angeles to be favored by at least six in this game. Both teams are 5-5 in their last 10 games, but Atlanta is playing on back-to-back nights in Los Angeles against two teams battling for playoff position. The Lakers have won the last two meetings between these teams in Los Angeles and won both of those games by 16 points. In fact, when L.A. defeats Atlanta, they win big, so look for a dominating performance out of the Lakers. |
|||||||
03-18-24 | Sabres +100 v. Seattle Kraken | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Sabres look to bounce back from a rough loss and I see them taking over this game against a struggling Kraken team. The Sabres should create plenty of scoring chances with Jeff Skinner, Alex Tuch, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Sabres, who allow only 2.96 goals per game, should limit the Kraken offense, which averages only 2.68 goals per game, with Rasmus Dahlin, Owen Power, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen to make plenty of big saves. The Sabres should win the game and provide great odds in the process as road Underdogs. |
|||||||
03-18-24 | Heat v. 76ers -2 | 91-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Sixers (37-30) struggled for a bit Saturday but pulled away for a 109-98 win over the Charlotte Hornets. Tyrese Maxey scored 30 points, Kelly Oubre Jr. added 22 and Buddy Hield had 14 for the Sixers, who played without Joel Embiid, Tobias Harris, De'Anthony Melton and Robert Covington. Spoelstra tweaked his lineup again without Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic and Kevin Love. Herro has been out since Feb. 26 with injuries to his knee and feet. Spoelstra is cautiously optimistic about Herro's return before the end of the regular season. They'll need him if they have aspirations of another deep playoff run. |
|||||||
03-18-24 | Cavs +7 v. Pacers | 108-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cleveland improved to 77-30 in games with Mitchell, who is scoring 28 points per game in addition to career-high averages in assists (6.2), rebounds (5.4) and steals (1.8). They’ll need Max Strus (knee) and Evan Mobley (ankle) back in the lineup if they want to outduel the Milwaukee Bucks for the second seed in the Eastern Conference playoff race but they can rest tonight against a Pacers team that can’t seem to find their groove since February arrived, going just 8-11 ATS. They tend to suffer from the Monday Blues, too, with at 6-14 SU and 7-13 ATS effort in their last twenty performances, including 2-11 SUATS against avenging opponents. Indiana beat Cleveland twice in the opening weeks of the season and as we all know, revenge is a dish best served cold. The Cavs’ 3-0-1 ATS record as a pick-or-dog in this series with same-season double revenge exactly seals the deal. |
|||||||
03-17-24 | Red Wings +124 v. Penguins | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Red Wings are coming off an impressive win and I see them taking over this game from the first period. The Red Wings should create plenty of scoring chances with Lucas Raymond, Alex DeBrincat, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Red Wings should also limit a Penguins offense that averages only 2.85 goals per game with Olli Maatta, Jake Walman, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Alex Lyon to make plenty of big saves. The Red Wings should win the game and provide great odds in the process as road Underdogs. |
|||||||
03-17-24 | Nuggets v. Mavs +4 | 105-107 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Dallas stands 9-3 ATS with same-season revenge in this series over the last seven years. In addition, Jason Kidd’s boys are currently riding a nifty 11-5 SUATS run, including cashing their last five tickets in a row. Meanwhile, the Nuggets arrive off a Friday visit to San Antonio and will be staring dead ahead to a same-season revenge contest with their chief combatant, Minnesota, in the Western Conference playoff race. That spells trouble, with Denver just 3-8 ATS away before Minny meetings, including 1-5 ATS versus winning foes. The Nuggets are on an impressive SU run right now, winning four straight before the Spurs and ten of their last eleven, but the Mavs check plenty of boxes here. Look for Kidd & company to reach the winner’s circle in the last regular season meeting between the two D’s. |
|||||||
03-17-24 | Wisconsin v. Illinois -160 | 87-93 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units If Wisconsin doesn't go overtime yesterday and get physically pounded by Edey, I might lean toward the Badgers. But this is a team that has played three games including a blowout, a solid win and an overtime win over one of the best teams in the nation. That takes a physical and emotional toll when you face an Illini squad that has played just two games and has Shannon Jr, who will have a fun matchup with Storr. But the Illini also have Domask, Hawkins (6-10, 2250), and Quincy Guerrier, who had 13 points on Saturday. Athletically, Storr can stay with some of those guys, but the rest of the Badgers will have trouble with the Illini's quickness. |
|||||||
03-17-24 | Suns v. Bucks -133 | 129-140 | Win | 100 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Phoenix Suns have not been a reliable squad to back recently. They are only 4-4 in their last eight games, covering the spread on just two occasions in that span. The Milwaukee Bucks continue to succeed, issuing a 7-3 record in their last ten games. Phoenix has been kept in check recently, averaging only 112.5 points in its last five games, below its season average. Milwaukee is the superior offensive squad. Phoenix is averaging 117 points per 100 possessions compared to 118.5 per 100 by Milwaukee. When the Bucks win, it’s usually by comfortable margins. Four of their last five home wins have been by at least nine points. |
|||||||
03-16-24 | Predators -114 v. Seattle Kraken | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Nashville has won 11 of its last 13 and the Predators have won eight of the last 10 that Jusse Saros has been in goal. Saros has a respectable 2.83 goals against average with a .907 save percentage and a pair of shutouts, Joey Daccord has a very strong 2.34 goals against average for Seattle but has lost four of the last five games that he has played in goal for the Kraken. At the other end of the ice, Seattle struggles to put the puck in the net, with a goals for average of only 2.71 which is 27th in the NHL. Nashville has played well against Western Conference opponents winning eight of the last nine and the Predators have played very well on the road of late winning seven of the last eight. |
|||||||
03-16-24 | Oregon v. Colorado -139 | 75-68 | Loss | -139 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Oregon comes in with three straight ugly wins where they haven’t cracked 70 points in downing Utah, UCLA and Arizona. The Ducks are banged up and trying to get by with smoke and mirrors at this point. That might be too much to ask against a Colorado squad with eight straight wins on the books. The Buffaloes just held a very good Washington State team to 52 points, marking just the second time this season the Cougars failed to crack the 60-point mark. Williams coming back was a boost psychologically for Colorado: though he struggled in 19 minutes, his presence provided a boost. Colorado has been rolling and that keeps going here as they win the conference tourney crown. |
|||||||
03-16-24 | Warriors v. Lakers -135 | 128-121 | Loss | -135 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units LA finds themselves tied with Golden State for the 9th and 10th seeds in the Western Conference playoff race. The Warriors also lost on Wednesday, dropping a 109-99 same-season revenger to Dallas, but the Dubs landed in a tough situation as a result: they’re a mere 3-10-1 ATS away after Dallas when facing an avenging opponent, including 1-6 SUATS against winning foes. The Lakers earned tonight’s avenging role three weeks ago when they lost at Golden State, 128-110, and they bring the NBA’s third-best Field Goal Percentage into this fray. With just 14 games remaining in the regular season, the race is suddenly on, so expect a big game out of LeBron James here. Finally the Lakers are 6-0 SUATS in this series when seeking same-season revenge from a loss of 7 or more points. |
|||||||
03-16-24 | UTEP v. Western Kentucky -3 | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Western Kentucky is having a strong Conference USA Tournament, winning the first game by 20 points and the second by 31, while holding opponents to an average of 61.5 points per game and scoring an average of 87 points per game. In Thursday’s semifinals victory, Western Kentucky shot 50% from three point land hitting 11 of their 22 attempts. On the defensive end of the court, Western Kentucky made 11 steals and held Middle Tennessee to 31% shooting overall and 25.9% shooting from 3-point territory. Western Kentucky lost its first meeting versus UTEP on the road 93-87, but bounced back at home with a 90-80 victory in the second game between the two. This time around it appears as though Western Kentucky is playing far better defense then when facing UTEP the first two times and will use its new-found defensive pressure along with its high octane offense that has the highest adjusted tempo in the nation, per Kenpom, to win by double digits today. |
|||||||
03-16-24 | Kent State v. Akron -4.5 | 61-62 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Zips have won three of their last five games. They’re playing well offensively, scoring 73 points per game in their last three games. They shot the ball better at the charity stripe, making over 76 percent of their free throws during that span. They’re the better rebounding team and they dominated the glass in their first two meetings, so expect them to get a lot of extra scoring chances in this game. They turned the ball over less than nine times per game and won’t give the Golden Flashes a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Golden Flashes played well defensively in their last game, but they’ve given up over 73 points per game in their last three games and gave up 80 points per game in two games against the Zips, so I don’t have a lot of confidence in their defense. The Golden Flashes have won two straight games, including an impressive win over the top-seeded Toledo Rockets. They aren’t playing well offensively and they were held under 70 points in three of their last four games. They’ve also struggled at the charity stripe, making less than 65 percent of their free throws in their last three games. They won’t win the rebounding battle and they’ve been careless with the ball. The Zips held three of their last four opponents under 64 points and they’ve had Kent State’s number this season, winning both of their games by an average margin of 9.5 points, so expect more of the same in this game. Go with the Zips to cover the spread. |
|||||||
03-16-24 | Hurricanes v. Maple Leafs +115 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This will be a great game between two of the best teams in the NHL. The Hurricanes look to pull off the upset but the Maple Leafs have won two games in a row and look to step up on their home ice. The Maple Leafs, who average 3.57 goals per game, should create plenty of scoring chances with Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Maple Leafs should limit the Hurricanes' offense with Jake McCabe, T.J. Brodie, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers at the blue line and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Ilya Samsonov to make plenty of big saves. The Maple Leafs should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice. |
|||||||
03-16-24 | New Mexico v. San Diego State -140 | 68-61 | Loss | -140 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New Mexico's run in this tournament is over, they have gotten here by playing fast and using their guards to push the tempo and score quickly. The top post players were on the other side of the bracket, they did not have to play Osobor and Utah State, but now they do have to play LeDee and San Diego State. LeDee leads the conference in scoring, and will be the difference maker here. He has been dominating the tournament and will do so again here. In the first round he went for 34 and 16 as UNLV did not have a post player to stop him, then he went up against the conference player of the year in Osobor, and still put up 22 and 8 in a win. New Mexico has Toppin inside, but the freshman is thin and inexperienced, LeDee will take advantage here. Both teams have excellent guard play that will offset, the battle in the paint will decide the game, which is why the Aztecs will take the crown. |
|||||||
03-16-24 | Cavs v. Rockets +4.5 | 103-117 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rockets (31-35) won for the sixth time in seven games on Thursday, rolling over the Washington Wizards 135-119 for their fourth consecutive victory. Houston has generated momentum despite being without standout center Alperen Sengun (ankle/knee) for the last two games, relying on a smaller lineup with rookie guard Amen Thompson replacing Sengun. The three-guard lineup worked against the Wizards. Thompson (20 points, 11 rebounds, four assists, three steals) contributed an all-around effort to complement the scoring of Jalen Green and Fred VanVleet, who totaled 64 points, with Green adding eight boards and VanVleet nine assists. Houston's play of late has sparked hopes of challenging for a play-in berth in the Western Conference, with recent wins bolstering those odds. |
|||||||
03-16-24 | Texas A&M v. Florida -150 | 90-95 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Gators have the type of team that can match up well with the Aggies. The Aggies are led by one of the best backcourts in the country in Taylor and Radford. The pair combined for 55 points in the win over Kentucky. The Aggies' third guard, Obaseki, has emerged to average 14 points in the two Aggies’ wins thus far. The Gators can match that. Clayton Jr. is neck-and-neck at the moment with Taylor for SEC Tournament Most Outstanding Player and his backcourt mate Pullin has averaged almost 15 points per game in the two tournament games while leading the team in assists and steals. The Gators have their stellar third guard as well with Will Richard averaging double-digits in the two wins, including 17 in the win over Georgia. The Aggies thrive in their ability to get shots up quickly and attack the offensive glass. They meet their equal in the Gators. The Gators finished first in the SEC in rebounding while the Aggies finished second. Texas A&M was able to slow down Florida in the second half of its home win over the Gators earlier this season. Florida has to play fast and I’m banking on that happening on Saturday. That type of game switches the advantage over to the Gators. It will be another tightly contested game today but this one will be a more high-scoring game that will ultimately favor the Gators. |
|||||||
03-16-24 | Rangers -135 v. Penguins | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New York is tough at both ends of the ice, as goalie Igor Shesterkin has a 2.60 goals against average and .912 save percentage. As a team, New York has a goals against average of only 2.67, which is fifth best in the NHL. Pittsburgh struggles to put the puck in the net as the Penguins are 25th in goals for. New York has won 14 of its last 18 games and Shesterkin has been in goal for 11 of the 14 victories. The Rangers have won six of the last eight versus Pittsburgh and New York has won 10 of its last 14 against the team from the Eastern Conference. Pittsburgh has lost four of its last five. Pittsburgh showed signs of throwing in the towel for this season when trading away Jake Guentzel who still remains second in points for the Penguins this season. |
|||||||
03-15-24 | NC State v. Virginia -3 | 73-65 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units NC State has won three straight after flopping down the stretch but one has to be concerned about fatigue being a factor as they play for the fourth straight day here. Kevin Keatts doesn’t go with a deep rotation and that can take a toll when playing a physical team like Virginia who bleeds the life out of you on every possession. Sure, the Cavaliers have looked about as effective offensively as Angola did against the original Dream Team back in the ’92 Olympics over the last month but they can strangle teams on the defensive end of the floor. Look for Virginia, with fresher legs, to take down the Wolfpack and end their Cinderella run. |
|||||||
03-15-24 | Suns v. Hornets +9.5 | 107-96 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These are two of the worst teams in the NBA at covering the spread. With that said, someone needs to cover, and Charlotte is in a much better spot. The Suns will have to make some decisions with their rotation, they play three games in four days, and will need to find spots to get bench guys major minutes to not tire out their stars. The Suns play the Celtics, Hornets and Bucks in these three games, the obvious game to rest some of their players is when they play this Hornets team. The Hornets have been over achieving lately, they won two of their last three games, and find a surprisingly effective one-two punch with Bridges and Miller. Vaslije Micic has been a welcomed surprise for the Hornets, he has scored double figures in each of his last seven games, and is coming off a 25 point game last time out. The Suns are going to be tired as they have to play the Celtics the night before, then immediately travel to Charlotte. This is a good spot to fade a team on a back to back. |
|||||||
03-15-24 | Texas A&M v. Kentucky -5 | 97-87 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Wildcats are the stronger of the two teams nearly across the board offensively. They are a better shooting team by far, a strong 3-point shooting team, and are nearly equally efficient. They have a stronger bench and can compete with the Aggies in the paint. Defensively, the Aggies have the advantage. They are stronger in every defensive category excluding 3-point defense. That will be the Aggies' undoing on Friday night. The game went back and forth and was decided by the Aggies' advantage on the offensive glass and the free-throw line. The Aggies shot 30 free throws in the game compared to 21 for the Wildcats and they had 25 offensive rebounds. I expect a rested and fresh Kentucky team to shoot the ball better in the rematch and keep the pace fast to build a lead that the plodding Aggies can't come back from. |
|||||||
03-15-24 | St. John's v. Connecticut -9.5 | 90-95 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Fittingly, these teams have already played in Madison Square Garden this season, a home game for St. John's. The Huskies won 77-64. Although the Red Storm is playing better these days, UConn is still on a different level than almost every team in the country. This defense can beat up the best offenses, something that St. John's already knows. UConn held the Red Storm to 65 points in round one and 64 in round two. The Huskies have one of the nation's most efficient offenses, something that St. John's can't fend off forever. Expect the Huskies to win convincingly again. |
|||||||
03-15-24 | Middle Tennessee v. Western Kentucky -5.5 | 54-85 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sam Houston State has had a solid defense all season allowing just 69.6 points per game and the defense was on full display Wednesday when holding FIU to 59 points. The Bearkats offense is averaging 72.3 points per game. Sam Houston has covered the spread in eight straight games and on the season is 17-11-1 ATS. Sam Houston State defeated UTEP twice during the regular season. The Bearkats defeated the Miners in late January 60-56 and again in late February 65-54 but split the games against the spread, losing the first and winning the second. UTEP’s defense will be a thorn in the side of Sam Houston State but the Bearkats will use their own tough defense that held FIU to 59 points on Wednesday to shut down the below average UTEP offense. The Miners are shooting just 44.8% overall which is 169th and from 3-point territory hit only 32% of their attempts, which is 306th in the country. This game will be similar to the first two, which were very low scoring and will be close throughout with Sam Houston State pulling away over the final 10 minutes. |
|||||||
03-15-24 | Mississippi State v. Tennessee -10 | 73-56 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Vols dropped their only game against the Bulldogs this season and it was their defense that let them down. The Vols allowed the Bulldogs to shoot over 50% from the floor in the loss and were outscored 36-32 in the paint. Additionally, the Bulldogs' bench came alive and scored 33 points compared with just four points from the Volunteers' bench. With this game in Nashville, the Vols should have a significant home-court advantage and I expect a much better effort both from their defense and with the efficiency of their offense. The Vols finished the season first in the SEC in fewest turnovers per game but had 16 turnovers in the loss to Mississippi State. Look for the Vols' to bounce back nicely here with a comfortable double-digit win to advance to the SEC Conference Semifinals. |
|||||||
03-15-24 | UTEP v. Sam Houston State -4.5 | 65-63 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sam Houston State has had a solid defense all season allowing just 69.6 points per game and the defense was on full display Wednesday when holding FIU to 59 points. The Bearkats offense is averaging 72.3 points per game. Sam Houston has covered the spread in eight straight games and on the season is 17-11-1 ATS. Sam Houston State defeated UTEP twice during the regular season. The Bearkats defeated the Miners in late January 60-56 and again in late February 65-54 but split the games against the spread, losing the first and winning the second. UTEP’s defense will be a thorn in the side of Sam Houston State but the Bearkats will use their own tough defense that held FIU to 59 points on Wednesday to shut down the below average UTEP offense. The Miners are shooting just 44.8% overall which is 169th and from 3-point territory hit only 32% of their attempts, which is 306th in the country. This game will be similar to the first two, which were very low scoring and will be close throughout with Sam Houston State pulling away over the final 10 minutes. |
|||||||
03-15-24 | Michigan State +8 v. Purdue | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Michigan State needed that win over Minnesota yesterday to give that some confidence and momentum. In that first game, they were not manhandled on the boards. Purdue shot 51% from the field, but that was at home, where Edey went to the line 20 times and made 14. The motivation is for Michigan State to attempt to take down Purdue to get a better seed and Tom Izzo could use the bracket as motivation. If they don't win and 10 different things happen, they could be on the outside looking in. |
|||||||
03-14-24 | Mavs v. Thunder -9.5 | 119-126 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Oklahoma City is 22-8 ATS at home, including 19-6 ATS as home chalk. Rest assured, they will be more than anxious to make amends for a 146-111 defeat at Dallas a month ago, the worst loss this season by the Thunder. On the other side of the coin, the Mavericks were riding a 0-7 ATS skein in this series until the aforementioned drilling in Dallas. Look for OKC to improve on its A-OK 12-4-1 ATS mark in games when seeking revenge from a same-season loss of 32-plus points here tonight. |
|||||||
03-14-24 | Georgia v. Florida -8 | 80-85 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Gators should come into this game knowing that there isn't anything certain about their NCAA Tournament status so a win here is imperative. The Gators have defeated the Bulldogs in both games, one in overtime, 102-98, and then by just six points, 88-82. The most surprising thing in the two games was the shooting of the Bulldogs. They shot a combined 51% in the two games overall and 36% from 3-point range. The area that should be concerning for the Bulldogs is in the paint. Florida outrebounded Georgia 87 to 58 in the two games and the Gators scored nearly 100 points in the paint combined in the two games. At their best, the Gators are a difficult matchup with tons of length and a top-notch backcourt. |
|||||||
03-14-24 | Villanova v. Marquette -4 | 65-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Marquette scored 87 points against the Villanova Wildcats the first time. The Golden Eagles put up 85 the second time. Nova can not keep up with Marquette if they score 80 again. Not based on Wednesday's disastrous performance. So, just like both of January's matchups, Marquette will cover the spread. Turnovers and shooting are clear favorites for the Golden Eagles. This one won't be close, as Marquette dominates shorthanded. |
|||||||
03-14-24 | Boston College v. Virginia -4 | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Virginia enters their portion of the ACC Tournament in a tenuous spot for a spot in the March Madness field after their offense disappeared in the second half of the season. The Cavaliers did down Georgia Tech in their finale to finish the regular season 22-9 overall and 13-7 in the conference on the year. Against Georgia Tech, Virginia took control of the game with a 13-3 run midway through the first half to break a 15-15 tie. The Cavaliers were up 14 at the half, saw the lead trimmed to nine briefly early in the second half, but reeled off a 16-5 run to take a 20-point edge before cruising from there. The Cavaliers have the rest advantage, having been off since Saturday while Boston College plays for the third straight day here. |
|||||||
03-14-24 | New Mexico State v. Western Kentucky -6 | 69-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Western Kentucky is 42nd in the nation in scoring with an average of 80.2 points per game and shoots 46.7% overall which is 67th in the nation. Western Kentucky gives up plenty of points at 75 per game but that is due in part to having the highest adjusted tempo per Kenpom at 75.2, which creates far more possessions than normal, yet the Hilltoppers are holding opponents to the 50th lowest field goal shooting percentage and 64th lowest three-point shooting percentage. New Mexico State scores only 67.6 points per game, is 299th in field goal shooting percentage and 247th in three-point shooting percentage. Western Kentucky lost by two points on the road to New Mexico State earlier this season but at home defeated the Aggies by 14 points. Western Kentucky covered the spread in both meetings between the two. |
|||||||
03-14-24 | Maple Leafs -123 v. Flyers | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Maple Leafs have won four of their last six games and five of their last six road games. They have played well offensively, scoring 15 goals in their last four road games. They have also played well on special teams, converting over 22 percent of their power play opportunities. The Flyers have done a good job of killing penalties, but they’ve struggled defensively in recent games, giving up 10 goals in their last three games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Maple Leafs in this game. The Flyers have lost four of their last six home games. They have struggled offensively, scoring only five goals in their last three games. They’ve also struggled on special teams, converting less than 15 percent of their power play opportunities. The Maple Leafs are good at killing penalties and they played well defensively in recent games, giving up seven goals in their last three games, so expect them to keep Philadelphia’s offense in check. |
|||||||
03-14-24 | Kansas State +6.5 v. Iowa State | 57-76 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Wildcats kept their NCAA Tournament hopes alive with their comeback win over Texas on Wednesday, but can they beat the Cyclones twice in one week to advance? K-State took down Iowa State last weekend at Bramlage, holding the Cyclones to 43.1 percent shooting, including 5-for-17 (29.4%) from long range. The Wildcats were also inefficient (40.7 FG% and 29.2 3PT%) but scored 20 points off Iowa State turnovers. It was enough on Saturday, but it's doubtful the Cats will be able to overcome poor shooting again on Thursday to move on. That said, Iowa State isn't a great offensive team, ranking 131st nationally in true shooting percentage. It got to the free-throw line a lot in the first meeting between these teams, but it isn't reliable at the charity stripe (69.0 FT%). As long as the Wildcats don't pick up too many cheap fouls, I don't envision the Cyclones winning by enough to cover. Expect K-State to use the atmosphere at T-Mobile Center to its advantage again tomorrow to at least cover the spread in a must win game for Kansas State. |
|||||||
03-14-24 | Arkansas v. South Carolina -6.5 | 66-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It has been a resurgent season for South Carolina, which finished 11-21 only a season ago. The Gamecocks are well on their way to their first NCAA Tournament appearance since 2016-17. Despite its upswing, South Carolina carries a chip on its shoulder into the conference tournament. Gamecocks guard Meechie Johnson said he and his teammates are determined to prove their regular-season success was not a fluke. He did not hesitate when asked about his motivation heading into the tournament. |
|||||||
03-14-24 | St. John's v. Seton Hall +4 | 91-72 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units St. John's is hot, but Seton Hall has cooled down their offense all season. In game one, the Red Storm finished with 65 points. In the second one, they only mustered 62. The Pirates are strong defensively and will keep St. John's in check yet again. Which is why, if they don't pull off another win, they'll at least keep it within one possession. Seton Hall is more reliable at the free throw line, which helps against the St. John's defense. The Pirates have controlled the glass in both meetings. Expect a Seton Hall to give St. John's fits again. |
|||||||
03-14-24 | Xavier v. Connecticut -15 | 60-87 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In round one, UConn scored 80 on Xavier. In the second meeting, the Huskies ran it up to 99 points. Considering that the Musketeers' defense guided them for most of the season, that's an ominous sign for today's battle. If (when) the Huskies score 80+ again, Xavier's offense won't be able to keep up. UConn has the best defense in the Big East as well. Rebounding and turnovers should favor the Huskies too. They say that the Huskies feel at home in The Garden, and that'll be crystal clear on Thursday. Take UConn to cover the spread comfortably. |
|||||||
03-13-24 | Cincinnati v. Kansas +2.5 | 72-52 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kansas Jayhawks, with their impressive season record of 22-9 and standing 6th in the Big 12, exhibit a compelling case for victory in this matchup. Their offensive arsenal, averaging 76.0 points per game with a field goal percentage of 49.4%, is a testament to their efficiency and ability to dominate on the court. Coupled with a solid defense that limits opponents to 68.6 points per game and a formidable 40.5% shooting from the field, Kansas has the depth and skill to control the game's pace. The resilience and tactical acumen shown by key players like Charlie McCarthy and Dajuan Harris Jr., with his 6.4 assists per game, are pivotal to the Jayhawks' success. Even considering potential injury concerns, the depth and quality of Kansas's roster, along with their proven track record and statistical superiority, strongly position them for a win in this high-stakes Big 12 showdown. |
|||||||
03-13-24 | Michigan v. Penn State -6.5 | 57-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Michigan has some talent, but they have been one of the worst Power 5/6 teams all season. DePaul might be worse and a few others, but when you don't play defense, there's usually something more than just a lack of talent as an issue. Juwan Howard's days may be numbered and maybe he gets the benefit of the doubt due to his health and alum status. Penn State is a year away from making a dent in this league once Rhoades gets his players. Baldwin Jr. is one of his players and he'll be the big difference in this game. |
|||||||
03-13-24 | Cavs +7 v. Pelicans | Top | 116-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
NBA Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Cleveland was 7-4-1 ATS this season as a road pick-or dog. The Cavs saw a three-game series win skein snapped in a 123-104 home loss to New Orleans in late December. Meanwhile, on the flip side, the Pelicans arrive off an 18-point same-season avenger against Atlanta with another same-season revenge contest on tap against the Clippers. Finally, New Orleans is 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS in non-conference games after facing Atlanta |
|||||||
03-13-24 | Predators v. Jets -146 | 4-2 | Loss | -146 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This will be a great game between two of the top teams in the Central Division. The Predators look to pull off the upset but the Jets have been rolling and look to take over this game from the first period. The Jets, who average 3.06 goals per game, should create plenty of scoring chances with Kyle Connor, Nikolaj Ehlers, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Jets, who allow only 2.38 goals per game, should limit the Predators offense with Dylan DeMelo, Josh Morrissey, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shooting lanes, allowing goaltender Connor Hellebuyck to make plenty of big saves. The Jets should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice. |
|||||||
03-13-24 | Kings -154 v. Blues | 1-3 | Loss | -154 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Blues look to step up on their home ice but I see the Kings controlling this one from the first period. The Kings, who average 3.05 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Kevin Fiala, Anze Kopitar, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Kings, who allow only 2.59 goals per game, should limit the Blues offense, which averages only 2.78 goals per game, with Drew Doughty, Matt Roy, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Cam Talbot to make plenty of big saves. The Kings should win the game with a strong performance on the road. |
|||||||
03-13-24 | Kansas State +5 v. Texas | 78-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Wildcats will be desperate and motivated, as they're playing close to campus and need a win to keep their NCAA Tournament hopes alive. They ended their regular season with a crucial win over Iowa State, riding their stingy defense to the upset. The first matchup between these teams was a dogfight. Kansas State, 20th nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency, defends well both inside and outside the arc. Its opponents shoot 40.6 percent overall and 31.3 percent from three-point distance. |
|||||||
03-13-24 | Vanderbilt +6 v. Arkansas | 85-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Razorbacks never lived up to their recent success this season. They were rarely consistent on either end and were one of the worst defensive teams in the SEC. In the first matchup, they allowed the Commodores, ranked last in the SEC in scoring and field goal percentage, to shoot over 50% from the floor and dominate the paint. The Commodores finished with 44 points in the paint and dominated the weak interior defense of the Razorbacks. Arkansas had just 26 points in the paint in the first game and the team likely would have been blown out save for a 36-point performance from Battle. The Razorbacks shot just 40% as a team in the game against statistically the worst defense in the SEC. The Razorbacks can and probably should win this game but 6.5 points is too much for them to give up at this point. |
|||||||
03-13-24 | Rutgers v. Maryland -3 | 51-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Terps have been the better team and I do expect Reese to play. It sounds like Kevin Willard sacrificed the Penn State game to have Reese ready for the tournament since that's the only way they are making the NCAA Tournament. Rutgers wants to grind this one out, but when you look at tournaments, it's nice to have one difference-maker on the floor on offense who can carry you. Maryland has that in Jahmir Young, who can at least get them past one round, but probably not much further than that. |
|||||||
03-13-24 | Florida International v. Sam Houston State -7 | 59-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sam Houston State’s defense, which allows an average of only 69.6 points per game on 42.9% shooting overall and 31.6% shooting from long distance will be too much for FIU. The Bearkats have covered the spread in each of their last seven games while winning each of the seven straight up. Sam Houston’s offense, while playing at an adjusted tempo of 67.8 per Kenpom, which is 167th, is able to score an average of 72.3 points per game despite only a slightly above average pace. The Bearkats grab 9.6 offensive boards per game which is 83rd in the nation, giving them plenty of second look opportunities which helps to offset a below average field goal shooting percentage. Sam Houston State split its regular season two-game series with FIU, losing the first 68-61, but bouncing back to win the second on the road in South Florida 70-56. FIU was able to shoot well against Jacksonville State in its opening round victory, hitting 50% of its 3-point attempts but will be hard pressed to do the same against a tough Sam Houston State perimeter defense that is 62nd in the nation in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 31.6. |
|||||||
03-13-24 | Oklahoma v. TCU -2.5 | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Neither team finished the regular season with any momentum, as both dropped their season finales and three of their last four overall. The Sooners were dominated by Texas, while the Horned Frogs dropped a winnable game on senior day to UCF. Which squad will "get right" today? I'm betting the answer to that question is TCU. The Horned Frogs defeated the Sooners 80-71 in their lone regular-season meeting (Jan. 10). TCU was outshot and outrebounded but took better care of the basketball (+7 turnover margin) and scored 25 points off of Oklahoma's 14 turnovers. Senior forward Emanuel Miller paced the Horned Frogs with 27 points on 11-of-17 shooting in the home win. I feel confident TCU, winners of four of the last five in this series, is due to bounce back. This game impacts both squads' NCAA Tournament resumes, but the Horned Frogs are better positioned to take advantage. OU has been without junior forward John Hugley IV (8.4 PPG) since early February and senior guard Rivaldo Soares aggravated an ankle injury in the Sooners' loss to the Longhorns. He averaged 17.6 points, 4.0 rebounds, and 1.3 assists per game on 73.5 percent shooting in Oklahoma's last three games, so his availability will be crucial to the Sooners' success. TCU is experienced and deep enough to take advantage, especially beyond the arc (36.4 3PT%). Miller is a consistent scorer, having reached double figures in 19 straight games. The Horned Frogs' tournament resume is less complete than the Sooners' is — they'll make the necessary plays to win and cover. |
|||||||
03-13-24 | Notre Dame v. Wake Forest -8.5 | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Notre Dame took the only meeting between the teams this season and they have been better offensively down the stretch than they were most of the year. The problem for the Fighting Irish is that they sputtered defensively, giving up 80 points to Georgia Tech in their first-round victory. Notre Dame has to find a way to defend the Demon Deacons, who have a variety of weapons on the offensive end of the floor. Wake Forest is stellar at the charity stripe and they know they need at least one, if not two, victories, to improve their resume for the tournament committee. The Demon Deacons take advantage of a fatigued Notre Dame squad to pick up a win and advance to the quarterfinals. |
|||||||
03-13-24 | UCF v. BYU -5.5 | 73-87 | Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units BYU's 90 points on Feb. 13 were the most UCF allowed this season and the most the Knights have surrendered since Miami scored 88 points in November last season. Central Florida's hot shooting kept it alive in that game, but it can't count on another performance like that tomorrow. If the Knights are going to win or cover, they'll need to live up to their billing as one of the nation's best defensive squads. |
|||||||
03-12-24 | Golden Knights v. Seattle Kraken +130 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Golden Knights got a solid performance in their victory over Detroit. However, this is a team that is not playing very good hockey right now. The victory came after four straight losses, and they have lost seven of their last nine. The most disturbing part of that is that they have given up 42 total goals in those nine games. Seattle was shut out by Winnipeg, but that came after back-to-back wins on the road. They are 3-3-0 in their last six games at home, giving up 15 total goals in all six games. Look for a rebound opportunity for Seattle, who have already proven that they can beat the Golden Knights in Seattle this season. |
|||||||
03-12-24 | Celtics v. Jazz +6.5 | 123-107 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units A nasty 126-97 loss in Beantown, the worst by Utah in this series since at least 1990, dropped the Jazz to 7-4 ATS of late in this series. And it sets up nicely as well, with Boston wrapping up a 5-game west coast road wing here tonight. Consider that Utah is 119-37 SU and 89-65-2 ATS at home against non-rested non-conference foes since 1990, including 9-3 ATS as a dog. |
|||||||
03-12-24 | Panthers +101 v. Stars | 4-3 | Win | 101 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This will be a great game between two of the best teams in the NHL. The Stars look to step up on their home ice but the Panthers are rolling and look to take over this game from the first period. The Panthers, who average 3.31 goals per game, should create plenty of scoring chances with Matthew Tkachuk, Sam Reinhart, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Panthers, who allow only 2.34 goals per game, should limit the Stars' offense with Gustav Forsling, Aaron Ekblad, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky to make plenty of big saves. The Panthers should win the game with a strong performance on the road. |
|||||||
03-12-24 | 76ers v. Knicks -6 | 79-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Knicks are not losing back to back games at home against a team that doesn't have their star player. Coach Thibodeau will have his troops ready for this game. Maxey will likely return for the 76ers, but the Knicks should also be getting their best perimeter defender in Anunoby back for this game. The Knicks are too small in the backcourt to put Anunoby on Maxey all game, but if Philly's All-Star gets hot, they have an answer in Anunoby to slow his production. Brunson had an off game, he will bounce back here, he only shot 1-9 from three in the game, while he is shooting over 40% from three on the year. Brunson will get back to his averages and help lead the Knicks to a victory here. A win here would also give the Knicks the tiebreaker over the 76ers, which can be very important come playoff time, especially if the 76ers get hot when Embiid returns. The best unit in this game in terms of analytics is the Knicks' defense that ranks 9th in efficiency, they were able to hold the 76ers to 79 points, the defense will show up again, while the offense gets back on track with a win here. |
|||||||
03-12-24 | Miami-FL v. Boston College +2.5 | 65-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miami had high expectations heading into the season but vastly underperformed when all was said and done. Nine straight losses to end the season hardly inspire confidence heading into the conference tournament either. Boston College won their final two games of the regular season and they won a pair of meetings against Miami, including one six days ago on the road. While the Eagles are nothing great this season, they at least have momentum, not to mention having had success against the Hurricanes this season. With nine straight defeats, it’s impossible to back the Hurricanes here, especially as a favorite. Take the Eagles and the points but don’t hesitate to sprinkle on the moneyline as well. |
|||||||
03-11-24 | San Francisco v. Gonzaga -9 | 77-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Will the third time be the charm for San Francisco? The Dons have Cinderella qualities, but if they're going to make a statement in March, they need to slay the Zags. USF is a combined 0-4 against WCC darlings Gonzaga and Saint Mary's, as everyone but leading scorer Jonathan Mogbo (14.7 PPG and 10.3 RPG) has struggled to play up to their potential. The Dons are at their best when their guards get in a rhythm, as they space the floor and create mismatches for Mogbo. They attempt nearly 40 percent of their shots from beyond the arc, but those shots have been difficult to hit against the Bulldogs and Gaels. Gonzaga is among the top teams in the nation in opponent two-point shooting percentage, forcing the Dons into off-rhythm shots. I won't expect that to change in today's semi-final game, as the rested Bulldogs haven't forgotten their identity. USF is a fun team to watch when it's at its best, but I don't expect too much cheering from the Dons' sideline tonight. |
|||||||
03-11-24 | Celtics -9.5 v. Blazers | 121-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It will be very likely that Boston wins this game, but many will question if 14 is a bit of a stretch. There is no denying that they have dominated the Trail Blazers of late, winning three of the last four games, and winning each of those games by at least 14. Plus, Portland has been terrible of late. However, in their last 15 losses, only three of those were by more than 13. That would make it seem like Portland could keep this game close. However, Boston is too talented at both ends of the court. They have dominated Portland in the past and will do so as well here. Boston is 7-2-1 against the spread in their last 10. |
|||||||
03-11-24 | Islanders +145 v. Kings | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I know the Islanders played the night before, but it was in Anaheim. That's a quick trip for the New York squad as Ilay Sorokin gets the start and he's been solid this season at 22-13-11 with a 3.01 goals against average and a .909 save percentage. In their six-game-winning streak, Sorokin has been sensational as has the offense. He's been in net in five of those victories. The Islanders are 14-12-5 on the road and face a team that is just mediocre at home. |
|||||||
03-11-24 | Mavs v. Bulls +4.5 | 127-92 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bulls return home after an impressive 3-1 run through the West Coast. They are still within striking distance of the Miami Heat, Indiana Pacers, and Philadelphia 76ers who are ahead of them in the standings. The Bulls are 24th in the NBA in points per game. They are 23rd in field goal percentage and 19th in 3-point field goal percentage. The Bulls are 25th in the league in 3-point field goals made per game. On the defensive end, the Bulls are 13th in scoring defense. They are 11th in field goal defense and 16th in 3-point defense. The Bulls are also 16th in total rebounds per game and second in fewest turnovers per game. |
|||||||
03-11-24 | Devils v. Rangers -145 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The New Jersey Devils have not been able to find a groove all season and resorted to trading a key player in Tyler Toffoli. They have lost four of their last five games. The New York Rangers continue to shine. They have issued a 7-3 record in their last ten games and are 22-8 on home ice. The Devils continue to struggle defensively and in the net. They have squandered four or more goals in four of their last five games. The Rangers are piling on the goals against the Devils this season, netting 10 goals in the two wins, while only allowing three goals. I recommend the puck line as four of the Rangers' last five wins have occurred by at least two goals |
|||||||
03-10-24 | 76ers +7 v. Knicks | Top | 79-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The fact that the Sixers were nicked 110-96, at home three weeks ago, gets their attention, especially given the fact that Philly is 10-4 ATS of late with same season revenge from a double-digit loss, including 4-0 ATS as a dog of more than three points. New York is 0-6 ATS at home since February when hosting avenging foes. Finally, Philadelphia is 12-5 ATS in this series with same-season revenge from a loss of 14 or more points, including 6-0 ATS away. |