OKC Thunder.

OM play.

Game 529.

7:10 PM PST/10:10 PM EST.

My friends, I've been doing this for a very long time, and I don't understand why the line is so short in this matchup. The Thunder have dominated the Blazers, taking 16 consecutive games in this series straight up. They have swept the four-game season series from Portland each of the past four campaigns. I mean they really crush this team. The Thunder are the only remaining on beaten team in the NBA, and trust me when I tell you, they want to stay that way. As we all know, going back to last season they have now prevailed in nine consecutive games. Entering tonight's matchup they have gotten us paid, covering their last three outings, all as favorites of 15.5, 13.0, and 8.5-points. This is a team as a perfect 4-0 on the road this season. Meanwhile Portland comes off their first loss following a three-game straight up win streak, but are just 2-2 straight up at home this season. I don't see any reason why this matchup will not see history repeating itself. Portland possesses a solid offense and a solid offensive rebounding core. However, their defense is getting steamrolled. They have to face a team with one of the nastiest, and most frustrating defenses in the NBA, ranking second in points allowed. They will get frustrated here tonight on the offensive side of the court. Meanwhile, OKC also possess the fifth-ranked scoring offense in basketball. They're the best free-throw shooting team in the league as well, and rank in the top-10 on the offensive glass, which tells me they're going to get a lot of second shift opportunities. This line is short. Take Oklahoma City. Thank you.

Houston Rockets.

Fast Break play.

Game 523.

5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST.

The Houston Rockets are starting to find their rhythm, winning four in a row straight up, and covering three of those four outings. This does include wins and covers in both away games during that span. Meanwhile, the Memphis Grizzlies are struggling. We all know about the headlines their star player, Ja Morant is making. Well, the other night after their home loss at the hands of the Detroit Pistons, 114-106, which was their third consecutive loss, and their fifth consecutive no cover, he certainly seemed to be out of sorts. He's not happy, which means you're going to see his performance dip a bit. And obviously, being that he is the face of the team, the rest of the team is going to feel the effects of that. Houston has dominated Memphis, taking six of the last eight overall matchups straight up, covering six of those eight meetings as well. However, they did lose the most recent meeting with the Grizzlies, back at the end of January last season, 120-119. One thing the Rockets do like, is revenge. I believe they'll get it here. Take Houston. Thank you.

Milwaukee Bucks.

Game 526.

2:10 PM PST/5:10 PM EST.

To say Milwaukee has had their way with Sacramento would be an understatement. The Bucks have taken nine of the last 10 meetings in this rivalry, straight up, covering six of those 10, which does include wins and covers in the two most recent matchups, last January and last March. The Kings enter this contest struggling, losing three in a row, and four of their five overall games this season, which does include a winless mark as a visitor, going 0-3 on the road in 2025. Meanwhile Milwaukee is playing some great basketball, winning four of the five outings thus far in this regular season, which does include all three games played on their own court, and going back to last season they have covered six straight games. Giannis sat out their last game and is listed as questionable here tonight (as of posting this play). Always do your due diligence and check status especially in the NBA. But this team has taken down some solid opposition already with him not on the floor, beating the Warriors a few nights ago at home, 120-110 as a 7.5-point underdog. Sacramento seems to be having trouble finding their rhythm. They're having trouble scoring, ranking 26th, and averaging just 111.0 PPG, and are going up against a very frustrating defense here. That would be enough for me, but Milwaukee is lighting up the scoreboard, accounting for over 121.8 PPG (ranking 6th) and also ranking 3rd overall in field goal percentage, and eighth in three-point percentage. I also see them dominating at both ends of the court on the board. I think the line is short here. Take the Bucks. Thank you.

Chicago Bulls.

Fast Break play.

Game 560.

5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST.

These two teams look to be heading in opposite directions already this early in the regular season. Sacramento is just 1-3 straight up, only covering one of those outings as well, winless on the road at 0-2 SU, and going back a bit, has only covered one of their last six games going back to last season. As a matter of fact, the last three meetings in this rivalry have all been covered by Chicago, who has also taken two of the last three SU. Speaking of the Bulls, they are a perfect 3-0 so far, both SU/ATS, winning and covering both games played at home already. As a matter of fact, this is the first time this season they are made of favorite. They took down Detroit at home before taking it on the road and taking down Orlando, and then their last outing, prevailing over Atlanta. At least six members of the team have scored in double-digits in each game this season. A bit uncanny because it has been their defense that has been absolutely astounding. Offensively, they average over 118.0 PPG, and are solid on the boards. But defensively, they're in the top-10 and just about every major category. This is going to be a big problem for the visitor here as the Kings rank 26th in scoring, accounting for just 110.5 PPG. They rank the middle of the road in field goal percentage, but are one of the worst in the NBA from the free-throw, line hitting just 71.4%. This is another issue for the team as I feel this will be a very physical game. That would be enough for me, my friends. But they're one of the worst in the league on the offensive glass, and not very much better other defensive glass. Overall, their "D" has been decent, but a game like this between two physical teams will be won in the paint and on the boards. Both of those areas they are at a disadvantage. Take the Chicago Bulls. Thank you.

Chicago Bulls.

Gsme 524.

5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST.

These two teams certainly play each other very competitively. Atlanta has taken the two most recent matchups. However, Chicago has won six of the last 10 overall meetings. Having said that, the Hawks are just 1-2, both straight up and against the spread this season. They started out the campaign with an ugly home loss at the hands of the Raptors, 138-118 when they were basically at full strength. They came back on the road to take down the Magic with authority, only to get embarrassed at home in their last outing by the Thunder. They were without three major players in that game, who are all listed as questionable tonight. As of posting this play, Johnson, Porziņgis, and Risacher are all still listed as questionable. Playing devil’s advocate, they all play, and come in here rusty. Porziņgis, may be a little depleted as he did miss the last game due to flu-like symptoms. It is the first game of the season that concerns me about this team. They were really crushed by Toronto. Meanwhile, Chicago is 2-0 both SU and ATS, and currently possesses the top defense in the NBA, yielding just 104.5 PPG. I know it's early in the season, and they really haven't played the best opposition yet, but they rank in the top-three also in field goal percentage allowed, and three-point percentage allowed. Atlanta is having trouble on the offensive side of the court, which does not vote well against this defense tonight. Take the Bulls as a home underdog. Thank you.

San Antonio Spurs.

Game 530.

5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST.

San Antonio has taken the last three meetings against Toronto, both straight up against the spread, and enter tonight's matchup a perfect 3-0 SU on the season. They are also either 3-0 or 2-0-1 ATS depending on the line you played them at. Let's face it, Victor Wembanyama is a force to be reckoned with. The star center is averaging 33.3 PPG and 13.3 RPG. Toronto is just 1-2 both SU and ATS, dropping back-to-back games. While both teams played last night, the Raptors should come in here fatigued, following their 139-129 road loss and no cover at the Mavericks, while the Spurs had an easier time at home last night taking down the Nets, 118-107.  While Toronto possesses one of the most explosive scoring offenses in the league, they also possess one of the worst scoring defenses in the NBA. San Antonio is accounting for over 121.0 PPG, and our monsters on the offensive glass, and possess the number two scoring defense in basketball. They're also one of the best on the defensive boards as well. This is a true test for the Spurs, and I think they come through for all of us. Take San Antonio. Thank you.

Philadelphia 76ers.

Game 522.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

The NBA, no matter how early in the season, always has a laundry list of injuries. Both of these teams are going to be without some players. However I think we can all agree after watching Orlando and Philadelphia play several games, the oddsmakers are overvaluing the Magic here. Orlando has yet to cover a game. As a matter of fact, going back to the last season they are on a 0-5 ATS cold streak. They opened up this season, with a slight win over Miami before dropping games to both Atlanta and Chicago. This will be their first road game of the campaign. They have taken three of the last four meetings in this rivalry, but going back a bit, Philadelphia has dominated, taking six of the last 10 matchups. Speaking of which, the 76ers are 2-0 this season, covering their first game on the road at the Celtics before missing a cover at home against the Hornets by just one-point. While Charlotte's defense is slightly better, the Philly offense is exploding. They are also hitting over 43% from downtown, which tops the NBA right now, and are very good on the defensive glass. This will be a tough matchup, but giving the 76ers points at home is a gift. Take Philadelphia. Thank you.

Indiana Pacers.

Game 5 Winner.

Game 509.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

Oklahoma City certainly deserves to be in the NBA Finals. For most of this season, the Thunder proved to be a true force to be reckoned with. No one gave the Indiana Pacers too much thought coming into this series. But here we are in Game 5, as the series is all tied up, 2-2. The Pacer style of play seems to be frustrating their opponent here. They match up very well. Giving them nearly double-digits, in my opinion, is a big mistake made by the oddsmakers. I know OKC is playing at home at the Paycom Center, where they are 44-8 SU this season. Even if Oklahoma City comes in here and plays their best game and wins, I still feel this is way too many points to give Indiana. I don't see the Pacers letting their foot off the gas at all, and once again being extremely competitive in Game 5. By the way, this playoff campaign, after each loss, they came back to win and cover (5-0 ATS in that situation). Taking Indiana plus the points. Thank you.

Oklahoma City Thunder.

BEST BET.

Game 505.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

Dropping the first game of the Finals brought the Thunder back down to Earth. They got back to business in Game 2, and proved that they are the best team in the NBA. Playing on the road at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse doesn't change a thing as far as the outcome. But the oddsmakers put a short line out to try to trap you. We will not fall for it. OKC took care of business in the last matchup, and will do the same here tonight. They will take no chances, especially being on the road. They will once again prove why they are the best team in basketball. Take the Thunder. Thank you.

***61.1% NBA RUN (22-16-1). Today, we CRUSH THE BOOKS on the hardwood with my PACERS/KNICKS GAME 2 WINNER.

New York Knicks.

Game 2 Winner.

Game 540.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

As of posting this play very early in the a.m., most of the money has come on the Indiana Pacers. But I am here to tell you once again, the general public is wrong. Yes, New York held a 14-point lead within three minutes left in regulation in the series opener. And yes, they let the game slip away. But head coach Tom Thibodeau and his team know that they cannot fall behind 2-0, and then take this series on the road. New York is a very good team, loaded with playmakers. It is true Indiana has played them tough over recent seasons. But something further motivates them here, and that is Tyrese Haliburton's actions in Wednesday’s contest. Halliburton made a choke sign towards the Knicks bench, and their crowd. Trust me when I tell you this did not sit well with anyone in the building. New York still built up that tremendous lead before they let it slip away. They have the ability to do so again here, and will not fall back in the series. They will tie the series up, and make a statement for Halliburton and Indiana team that they are a superior squad. Take the Knicks. Thank you.

Minnesota Timberwolves.

GAME 1 WINNER.

Game 527.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

Sports betting isn't about who wins. Sports betting is about who covers. The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered three of four meetings with the Oklahoma City Thunder this season. Going back a little further, they have covered seven of the last 10 matchups. They also enter this round, a little hotter, and certainly better-rested. They have won and covered eighth of 10 playoff games this season. They also dispatched of the Golden State Warriors four days before the Thunder needed seven games to send the Denver Nuggets home. They are better rested, have more momentum, and have their opponents number. Speaking of their opponent, Oklahoma City is a darn good team. But I don't feel they warrant being this high of a favorite in Game 1 of this round. They are dangerous at both ends of the court. But I think we can all agree, their defense has shown signs of cracking, while they're offense can be stalled. This is way too many points. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

MONEYMAKER PLAY.

Game 581.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

As good as the Oklahoma City Thunder are, the Denver Nuggets cover against them. Remember my friends, sports betting isn't about who wins, it’s about who covers. The Nuggets have covered five of seven meetings with the Thunder this season. Folks, this is a lot of points. I am aware the Thunder possesses the fourth-ranked scoring offense, and the second-ranked scoring defense in the NBA. But they are just not crushing it like they were in the regular season. A lot of people forget the Nuggets own the second-ranked scoring conference, top the league in field-goal percentage, rank fifth in three-point percentage, and fourth on the offensive glass. Denver’s regular season and postseason leading scorer, Nikola Jokic has struggled the last three games. He is just 21-of-63 from the field, which is just 33.3%, and just 18.2% from downtown, shooting 4-of-22. Moreover, he has average only 5.0 assists per contest over the last three games. This is a superstar that shot less than 40% just once in the regular season, but hasn't reached that percentage since the series-opener. I feel he will step up here, and have his best numbers this series. Obviously both teams want this win. No matter what the final score, I do believe it will be a lot closer than this point spread. Take the Nuggets. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

MONEYMAKER PLAY.

Game 581.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

As good as the Oklahoma City Thunder are, the Denver Nuggets cover against them. Remember my friends, sports betting isn't about who wins, it’s about who covers. The Nuggets have covered five of seven meetings with the Thunder this season. Folks, this is a lot of points. I am aware the Thunder possesses the fourth-ranked scoring offense, and the second-ranked scoring defense in the NBA. But they are just not crushing it like they were in the regular season. A lot of people forget the Nuggets own the second-ranked scoring conference, top the league in field-goal percentage, rank fifth in three-point percentage, and fourth on the offensive glass. Denver’s regular season and postseason leading scorer, Nikola Jokic has struggled the last three games. He is just 21-of-63 from the field, which is just 33.3%, and just 18.2% from downtown, shooting 4-of-22. Moreover, he has average only 5.0 assists per contest over the last three games. This is a superstar that shot less than 40% just once in the regular season, but hasn't reached that percentage since the series-opener. I feel he will step up here, and have his best numbers this series. Obviously both teams want this win. No matter what the final score, I do believe it will be a lot closer than this point spread. Take the Nuggets. Thank you.

Cleveland Cavaliers.

BEST BET.

Game 573.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

The Cavaliers, the #1 team in the East ran through the Miami Heat in the first round of the playoffs sweeping them, 4-0. They then entered round two, the conference semifinals, and took losses in the first two games at home. They certainly remedied their situation by shredding the Indiana Pacers in Game 3 on the road, 126-104. People forget how good the Cavaliers really are. This is a team that has won and covered all three road games this postseason. Going back a little further, Cleveland has won and covered five consecutive games played as a visitor. This team is money on the road. Their defense stifled the Pacers in the last matchup, and will give them another heavy dose of defense here. No matter how you slice it, the Indiana defense ranked 20th during the regular season, yielding a whopping 116.6 points per game. This does not bode well when you're facing the NBA’s top-scoring offense. Cleveland is also better at both ends of the court overall on the boards. They will even the series here, and get another win and cover. Take the Cavaliers. Thank you.

Minnesota Timberwolves.

SLAM DUNK.

Game 569.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

This series is now tied 1-1. Minnesota took Game 2 with authority, 117-93, in the absence of Steph Curry. Golden State is a very good team. But without one of the most seasoned and savvy players in the NBA, it looks like they are just sitting ducks. Curry is their leading scorer, and one of the best three-point shooters in the history of the NBA. We know the Warriors heavily rely upon their outside shooting. In the last outing, without the guard, they shot just 28% from beyond the arc, a dismal 9-for-32. Not only does the absence of their leader affect their shooting, it also affects their defense, and whatever they do in transition. The Timberwolves are a darn good team. They enter this matchup winning eight of their last 10, and covering seven of those 10, which does include ATS covers in three of four on the road. They possess one of the best outside shooting teams in the NBA, and a truly frustrating defense. While I'm never crazy about laying points on the road in pro hoops, this game is a winner. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Oklahoma City Thunder.

FAST BREAK PLAY.

Game 565.

7:00 PM PST/10;00 PM EST.

After losing the series-opener at home, a heartbreaking two-point loss, the Oklahoma City Thunder came out in Game 2 to rout the Denver Nuggets, 149-106. I feel they ride that momentum here into Game 3 on the road, where they are a very small favorite. This is one of the best overall teams in the NBA, and one of the best road teams in the NBA as well. The Thunder are 34-8 away from home this season, and have also covered 11 of their last 14 games played as a visitor. They know they cannot allow the Nuggets to go up 2-1 in this series. They will come out here riding the momentum from the last matchup, and devour the home team in this matchup. Take Oklahoma City. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

SLAM DUNK PLAY.

Game 557.

6:30 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

Traditionally, when a heavy favorite in a series opener at home loses Game 1, you would look to side with them in Game 2. But that's not the case here as the Nuggets face the Thunder at the Paycom Center in the second game of this round. Denver has been a thorn in Oklahoma City’s side, winning three of the last four meetings, both straight up and against the spread. Going back a little further, they have also covered four of the last five matchups played at the Paycom Center. Obviously OKC cannot afford to lose another game at home. After this the next few games are played in Denver. I am aware the Thunder have only lost back-to-back games twice during the regular season, and are of the best home teams in the NBA. But the Nuggets match up well with them. People forget Denver possesses one of the best offenses in the league, ranking second in scoring, first in field goal percentage, fifth in three-point percentage, and fourth on the offensive boards. To make matters worse for opponents, they're also a top-10 team on the defensive side of the court on the boards as well. It's true, the Oklahoma City Thunder defense ranks second in basketball. But they're outclassed on the boards here. That is a big factor, and a huge edge for the visiting team in this matchup. I think this is way too many points. Take the Nuggets. Thank you.

Golden State Warriors.

SLAM DUNK PLAY.

Game 587.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

A lot of people like the Minnesota Timberwolves in this series because they have younger legs. With all respect to them, they are a very good team. However, experience plays a huge part, come the postseason. One thing the Golden State Warriors have, is a seasoned squad come playoff time. They showed what they are made of in Game 7 in the first round series with the Houston Rockets. This is a team that doesn't get rattled, and knows how and when to turn it up. Giving them this many points is a huge mistake. Especially because they won and covered the last three meetings in this rivalry, going back to December 2024. My friends, that includes both meetings played on the road. This is a team that has had success away from home this season, going 26-19 as a visitor. Yes, Minnesota has had four extra days to rest and prepare for this series. But I do feel with their lack of playoff experience, they are going to come in here rusty. I am aware they have won and covered their last three games. But this is a whole different monster here. Golden State possesses very similar numbers on offense, and their defense can be very frustrating. They are also a little stronger on the offensive boards, which will give them a lot of second-chance opportunities. I mentioned earlier this is way too many points. I feel the Warriors can win this game outright. But I'll take the points. By the way, if you're worried about being in a big underdog here, don't be. I think we learned a lesson from the Pacers, Knicks, and Nuggets already. Take the Warriors. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

FAST BREAK PLAY.

Game 521.

7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST.

The Nuggets can close out the series tonight. They certainly don't want the Clippers to even it up here, at all. This is a team that was very successful when they traveled this season, going 25-18 away from home. While Los Angeles has struggled over the last two games, I am well aware they ran hot for a bit prior to that. However, I feel the oddsmakers are giving them way too much credit in this situation because they are faced with elimination, and are playing at home. Those two reasons do not justify this high of a number. Take the Nuggets. Thank you.

New York Knicks.

SLAM DUNK PLAY.

Game 519.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

After taking back-to-back contests in this series in Games 3 and 4, New York lost a heartbreaker the other night at home, 106-103. Outside of the series opener in which the Knicks prevailed, 123-112, every matchup since has been a close one. New York must not allow Detroit to even up this series. They must win tonight, or at the very least, keep this game extremely competitive. Please understand Detroit enters this matchup losing and failing to cover seven of their last 10 games, which does include five of their last six played on their own home court. I feel, on both sides of the court, NY has a little too much, and they're certainly better coached. Take the Knicks. Thank you.

Golden State Warriors.

Slam Dunk.

Game 430.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

The Golden State Warriors, and their extensive playoff experience is showing what it takes to win this time of year. They have the opportunity to finish out this series, and get some well-needed rest before the next round. This is a good road team, possessing an overall away record of 25-18 this season. They have covered six of their last seven games played as a visitor as well. With all respect to the Houston Rockets, they have now dropped six of their last seven, both straight up and against the spread. They have a ton of talent, folks. But they don't have the playoff experience to contend with their counterpart here. Take the Warriors. Thank you.

Cleveland Cavaliers.

SLAM DUNK.

Game 561.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Game 3's can sometimes be tricky in the NBA. Especially when a team goes on the road after winning the first two of the series. But I don't see anything tricky about the Cavaliers/Heat matchup. Cleveland has dominated Miami, taking four in a row, all in 2025. There are an excellent road team, sporting a 30-11 away record this season. They enter this matchup winning seven of their last 10 straight, up and four of the last six against the spread. This does include ATS covers in the last two games played on the road at the Knicks, and the Pacers. Meanwhile, the Heat are struggling, dropping six of their last 10 straight up, which does include three of their last four played at home. I just don't see them deep enough, or talented enough to compete in this matchup. I also don't see the Cavaliers letting their foot off the gas here. There is no way they're gonna’ allow Miami to get back in this series. Take Cleveland. Thank you.

OKC THUNDER.

FAST BREAK PLAY.

Game 545.

6:30 M ST930 PM EST.

The first two games of this series were played at the Paycom Center, in which the Thunder were favorites of 13.0 and 14.0 points. They covered both of those games. As a matter of fact, they've taken 10 in a row over the Grizzlies, covering nine of the 10, which does include all six meetings this season. In the six matchups this campaign, they have won by 24, 13, 17, 21, 51, and 19 points. There is no question they outclass the Memphis. They enter this matchup covering six consecutive games, and eight of their last overall 10 contests. They are one of the best road teams in the NBA, going 32-8 away from home this season. They're also, overall, on the campaign, 57-24-4 against the spread. They will not allow their opponent to gain any ground here. Once again, their high-flying offense will light up the scoreboard against one of the poorest defenses in basketball. Take OKC. Thank you.

Golden State Warriors.

FAST BREAK PLAY.

Game 541.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

With the Golden State Warriors at full strength, this is a time of year this team specifically, will shine. They have several players with a ton of playoff experience. While the Houston Rockets are a good team, they lack postseason seasoning. That was evident in Game 1 of this series in which the Warriors, on the road took down the Rockets, 95-85. Houston pulled down 22 offensive rebounds to just six offensive boards for Golden State. But yet their advantage in second-chance opportunities was absolutely horrible Steph Curry took the game on his shoulders. The one-two punch of him and Jimmy Butler, is phenomenal. Yes, the Warriors let a very large lead dwindle. But they still took the game at the end, and did what they had to do. That is because of the experience they possess in playoff games. Making them this much of an underdog is a mistake. They know they must not allow their opponent to even up this series before going home for the next two matchups. Take Golden State. Thank you.

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS.

LATE BAILOUT.

Game 515.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

Sports fans, I understand why the line is what it is. But I do feel the oddsmakers are looking to put you in a bear trap here. Golden State is a deep team, a talented team, and is a very good road team. They face a Houston opponent that is a very good team, too. However, they did lose and fail to cover their final three regular season games. They face a very frustrating defense here. They did take the most recent meeting about two weeks ago at Golden State, as the team limited Steph Curry to just three-points. As one of the best players in the history of this league, and one of the most experience players as well, I see Curry coming back here with a vengeance, making a statement, and bringing a victory to his team. Take the Warriors. Thank you.

OKC THUNDER.

FAST BREAK.

Game 514.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Don't think for a single second that this is a lot of points. Oklahoma City is one of the best home teams in the NBA, at 35-6 at the Paycom Center. They are also 55-24-4 ATS this season. They have dominated Memphis, taking nine consecutive games straight up, covering eight of the nine. They have won and covered all four a matchups this season by 24 points, 13 points, 17 points, and 21 points. I just don't see the Grizzlies competing defensively against a top-five offense in every major category. Let's not forget the Thunder also possess the league’s second-best defense as well. Take Oklahoma City. Thank you.

Minnesota Timberwolves.

FAST BREAK PLAY.

Game 507.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

I know this game is being played in L.A. But Minnesota has given Los Angeles some headaches over recent seasons. I feel the Lakers are being overvalued here, for sure. The Timberwolves enter this matchup winning eight of their last nine games straight up, and covering six of those nine, which does include three or five on the road. Let's face it, the Lakers have some high-profile players. But their numbers are middle of the road. Minnesota scores more on offense, allows less on defense, is better from downtown, both offensively and defensively, is better from the free-throw line, is better at both of the court on the boards, and owns better numbers defensively. For the life of me, I feel the oddsmakers are putting this number out so high because they know LeBron James and company is going to get money wagered on them. In all sincerity, I think this game should be closer to a Pick ‘em. So. I'll take the points and take the Timberwolves. Thank you.

Detroit Pistons.

LVSM.

Game 501.

3:00 PM PST/6:00 PM EST.

I don't know if you're aware of this, but I am a born and raised New York Knicks fan. And yet, I think they're significantly overvalued in this matchup. Yes, they are playing at home where they're 27-14 straight up this season. But this team struggled a bit down the stretch, dropping four of their last seven games straight up. They also had a lot of problems with the Detroit Pistons, losing and failing to cover the three most recent matchups in December, January, and April. By the way, two of those three matchups were played at Madison Square Garden. Speaking of the Pistons, Cade Cunningham is going to be back on the court (check status). They were very successful on the road this season, possessing a 22-19 away record. New York puts up solid statistics at both ends of the court. But I just don't think they should be this high of a favorite in this matchup, particularly against a Detroit defense that is top-five on the defensive glass. They will take away a lot of second-chance opportunities for the Knicks, and give themselves more opportunities in transition. Take the points with the Pistons. Thank you.

Milwaukee Bucks.

Slam Dunk.

Game 503.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The Bucks really have something to prove in this matchup. They come into the Gainbridge Fieldhouse to face a Pacers team they have dominated of late, taking four of the last six meetings straight up, covering five of those six games, which does include four consecutive ATS covers, and yet, they are heavy underdog. They also enter this game one of the hottest teams in the NBA, winning eight in a row straight up, and covering seven of those eight outings. This does include ATS covers in three of their last four on the road. This team certainly is more successful when Damian Lillard is on the floor. Latest news (check status) is he will be missing Game 1, for sure. I feel Milwaukee still has a lot of fire power. If you have kept up with Lillard’s injury, he hasn't taken the court since March 18. This is a team that puts up some solid numbers at both ends of the court, tops the NBA in three-point shooting, and it's definitely frustrating on defense, where they rank in the top-10 in most categories. Indiana can score. But their defense is deplorable. They themselves, have some players that are either out, questionable, or not back at full strength. I feel that you'll see Giannis Antetokounmpo light up the scoreboard, and put up some of his best postseason numbers ever. This is way too many points to give the Bucks. Take Milwaukee. Thank you.

Orlando Magic.

LVSM PLAY.

Game 565.

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.

The Orlando Magic are currently sitting in the eighth spot in the Eastern Conference. They certainly can use some victories right now. They enter tonight’s contest winning two in a row, and five of their last eight straight up, covering six of those eight outings. During that span, they have covered five of six games played on the road. They have dominated the Charlotte Hornets, taking eight of the last nine matchups, both straight up and against the spread. This does include wins and covers in all three meetings this season. Speaking of the Hornets, they are really struggling, and my opinion, they're not playing for anything, and they've thrown in the towel on the season already. They have dropped six of their last 10 straight up, and have failed to cover five of their last seven against the spread. I just don't see them putting up too much of a fight here, at all. This is one of the worst teams in the Eastern Conference, let alone the entire NBA. The Magic needs a game, and will get it. Take Orlando. Thank you.

Boston Celtics.

Fast Break Winner.

Game 561.

7:10 PM PST/10:10 PM EST.

Boston is a phenomenal squad, and they are heading back to the playoffs once again this season. The Celtics are currently surging, winning nine of their last 10 straight up, and covering six of those 10 outings. Meanwhile, Sacramento is struggling, dropping seven of the last nine SU, and five of their last seven ATS. The reason why I like the Celtics so much here is because in the only matchup with the Kings this season, back in the second week of January at home, they were embarrassed, 114-97. They have an opportunity to give a little payback, and exact some revenge in this contest. I just see this game getting truly out of hand. Take Boston. Thank you.

Chicago Bulls.

LVSM.

Game 557.

6:10 PM PST/9:10 PM EST.

Currently, Chicago is sitting in the ninth spot in the Eastern Conference, at 31-40. They need to put some victories on their record. They enter this matchup striding, winning seven of their last nine straight up, and eight of those nine against the spread. They face a Denver opponent tonight they have taken down in the only meeting this season, back at the January at home, 129-121. The Nuggets are a good team, no doubt about that. They are also a very good team when playing at the Ball Arena. But they have been overvalued, only covering three of their last nine overall. Going back a bit, they have failed to cover seven consecutive contests played on their own court. Take the Bulls. Thank you.

Well folks, the janitor of the Sportsbetting industry, yours truly, swept the board again last night in college basketball, going 3-0 in tournament play: UConn, Duke, and Alabama all got us paid. Overall, I am riding a 25-10 college basketball run. But the winning just doesn't stop there. I've won seven of my last 10 in NBA, and I am on a 62.5% NHL hot streak. No matter how you slice it, if you follow me, you will get you paid. I've got three big premium releases in the NBA going off tonight: my Slam Dunk, which are on a 5-1 run, my Las Vegas Strip Move, and my Fast Break Winner. Get all three and go 3-0.

For Todays Free Play winner: Toronto Raptors.

Game 547.

4:10 PM PST/ 7:10 PM EST.

Normally my friends, I don't come in with teams that aren’t playing for anything this late in the season. And it's true, both the Wizards and the Raptors are going to be two lottery-bound teams. But I think the situation here heavily favors the visitor. Giving them points I feel as a mistake. To say the Toronto has dominated the Washington would be an understatement. They have taken seven of the last nine meetings in this rivalry, both straight up and against the spread. This does include two of three this season. They enter this matchup ice-cold, dropping four in a row. But don't be concerned about that as the home team has also dropped four in a row coming into tonight. The big difference for us, Toronto has been covering. They have covered seven of their last 10, which does include four of their last five as a visitor. Washington has dropped three straight on their own home court. I just feel the Raptors have a little more pride, are a little deeper with talent, and have the Wizards number. I feel the visitor should be a favorite. So, I will take advantage of the odds makers mistake here. I will take the Raptors. Thank you.

Los Angeles Lakers.

Slam Dunk.

Game 549.

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.

Going to keep this break down very short and very sweet, just like me LOL. Los Angeles took their worst defensive beating this season in their last outing, allowing Chicago to decimate them for 146-points, in a 31-point loss. I look for the Lakers to come back tonight, and make a statement here. Yes, Orlando is a good team, and yes, they have been covering. But the Lakers are prideful team, and let's face it, they are full of ego. After their last outing, getting shredded, looking bad, and being embarrassed, they will come out here with something to prove. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

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 Tuesday’s FREE WINNER: Los Angeles Clippers.

Game 563.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

 This is a game if the line will be a little bit lower would've probably been a premium release for me. As of posting this play, the Clippers are lying about six-points. They enter this matchup looking to better their situation in the Western Conference. They currently sit in the eighth spot at 35-29 overall, winning three in a row. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are dwelling in the 14th spot in the West, at 17-48, and are riding a four-game straight up losing streak. They lost a heartbreaker last night at home against Memphis. While they did cover the game (their first ATS cover in their last six outings), I just don't think they have what it takes to bounce back in this situation. I think they got the wind knocked out of them last night, and it's going to sting for a few days. The Clippers took the only meeting this season against the Pelicans back at the end of December on the road, 116-113. Obviously, New Orleans has been hit by the injury bug pretty badly. Plus, it looks like (check status) some of their starting playmakers might be out resting this evening. While their defense is one of the worst in the NBA, ranking 26th, and getting plowed over 119.1 points per game, they are also horrible in most major defensive categories. The rank 29th in field goal percentage allowed, and 29th on the defensive boards. That would be bad enough. But their offense is absolutely atrocious. Granted, Los Angeles is struggling offensively, too. However, their defense ranks fourth in basketball, allowing just 108.7 points per game, and also ranks in the top-10 in most defensive categories. Oh, they are also one of the best in the league on the defensive glass. They will take away any second-chance opportunities their opponent has this evening. As I mentioned earlier, if this line was a little lower, I would've put out the Clippers as a premium play. But I still put a lean on them. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

Golden State Warriors.

Game 519.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Granted, the Warriors have been playing a lot of road games lately. But they've also been winning and covering. Entering this matchup, they are on an 8-2 run, both SU and ATS. While the Knicks have had an extra day to rest for this matchup, and are riding a three-game straight up win streak, they are being seriously overvalued as they have only covered three of their last 10 overall outing. By the way, they are on a six-game ATS no cover slide, their last six games played at Madison Square Garden. Take Golden State. Thank you.

Cleveland Cavaliers.

Game 533.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

The Cleveland Cavaliers don't just own the best record in the East at 48-10, they possess the best overall record in the NBA. Just behind them in the conference sits the Boston Celtics. These two teams have met three times this season as Boston took the first meeting back in mid-November at home by three-points, Cleveland took the second meeting back in the beginning of December at home by four-points, and in the most recent meeting 24 days ago on the road, Boston prevailed 112-105. Since that defeat, the Cavaliers have rattled off eight consecutive victories, covering their last six contests. They come in here with an extra day to rest and heal, and face an opponent which happens to be a mediocre, 18-10 at home this season. Boston does come off a road loss, and embarrassing road loss two days ago at the hands of Detroit. I don't see them in a big bounce back mode here. I look at this game is more of not just a revenge factor, but the Cavaliers coming in here and proving they can beat the Celtics at the TD Garden to gain back a psychological edge for a definite postseason showdown. Please don't forget Cleveland is also the best road team in the NBA at 21-6 straight up as a visitor this season. I feel giving them points as a huge mistake. I like them outright. But I'll take the points with the Cavaliers. BTW, Boston has Denver up next and might be saving some gas in the tank for the Nuggets. Thank you.

Golden State Warriors.

Game 519

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.

Golden State is starting to stride again, and at just the right time. The Warriors currently sit in the eighth spot in the Western Conference at 31-27. They have won and covered four in a row, and six of their last seven outings. They are playing pretty darn good basketball. They have covered four of their last five as a visitor. They are relatively healthy, and enter this matchup with confidence knowing they have won, and for our purposes, they have also covered the last three meeting with the Orlando Magic. Golden State, during their six victories over their last seven games have averaged over 124.6 points per game, while allowing just 103.6 points per game. Yes, Orlando is playing some decent basketball against the number, covering four their last five games. But this team has been very erratic. They've only split out their last 10 contests straight up and against the spread. They come off an embarrassing 40-point loss at home two nights ago at the hands of Cleveland. I feel this is an ideal situation for the Warriors, who really need to continue to stride to better their situation in the Western Conference. Take Golden State. Thank you.

Atlanta Hawks.

BEST BET.

Game 552.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

This game, I can't figure out the line for the life of me, folks. As of 5 AM Pacific Standard Time this morning, Trae Young is listed as probable to play here tonight. Obviously being the Hawks leading-scorer and floor general, he is significant. But either way, Atlanta has dominated Orlando, taking eight of the last 10 meetings straight up, covering seven of those 10 matchups. This does include the only matchup this season in Orlando 10 days ago, 112-106. As a matter of fact, the Magic leave a lot to be desired overall, especially when they travel. I mean this team is just 2-7 ATS the last nine overall games. This does include failing to cover five of their last six games played as a visitor. You know there was a time when the Hawks were money at home. Right now, they sit at 12-12 at the State Farm Arena. But this team went into the break playing some really good basketball. They finished the first half of the regular season winning and covering four straight. Going back a bit, they have been ATS money, covering eight of their last 10 games. Remember folks, this isn't about who wins, it's about who covers. And Atlanta has been covering. They have one of the best offenses in the league, while Orlando has one of the best defenses. It's just that the Magic can't score. I feel they're not gonna’ be able to compete on the scoreboard at all here. I really like Atlanta at home in this matchup. Take the Hawks. Thank you.

Boston Celtics.

SLAM DUNK.

Game 543.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

I wanted to give everybody out there a big winner to start off the second-half of the NBA campaign. Let's go to the Eastern conference and talk Celtics/76ers. These two teams have faced each other twice this season, with each visitor taking a contest SU. The 76ers have covered both. But going back a bit, the Celtics have certainly dominated this series, taking six of the last eight SU, and splitting out the eight against the number. Now I would normally look to fade Boston here in the situation as they have the New York up next, three days from now. I'm not saying I would normally feel they're gonna’ lose this matchup. But maybe they would ease off the gas a little bit come to fourth quarter. But this is beginning of the second-half of the season. They are well-rested, they certainly come in here healthier, and going into the break, they were red-hot winning seven of their last eight SU, and covering their last three outings. Meanwhile, I think we can all agree Philadelphia is one of the most disappointing teams this season. There was a lot expected of this team prior to the regular season. But yet, here they are the second half of the campaign sitting in the 11th spot in Eastern Conference, 14-games under .500, at 20-34. They're just 10-17 at home, and went into the break losing seven of their last eight SU, and failing to cover six in a row. You know the Celtics are not happy being the No. 2 team in the conference. They can start off the second-half of the campaign with a statemen. And I believe they will. They are healthier as I mentioned earlier, will dominate on the boards, and will certainly frustrate Philly at both ends of the court. I think they come out here with something to prove. That's why I love Boston today. Lay the wood and take your bookmaker's money. Thank you.

Dallas Mavericks.

NBA Revenge Game of the Week.

Game 536.

5:40 PM PST/8:40 PM EST.

The Mavericks were without several key players last night at home and still took down the Warriors, 111-107. That was their third straight up victory over their last four outings, and their fifth consecutive ATS cover. They lost to the Heat in the only meeting this season, back at the end of November on the road in overtime, 123-118. Speaking of Miami, they are struggling, riding a three-game lose and no cover streak. As a matter fact, they've only covered three of their last 10 outings. I expect his team to come in here a little tired following last night's road game at Oklahoma City in which they were in control for most of the game, only to get thumped in the fourth quarter, being outscored 32-8 in the period, to drop the game, 115-101.They are going to be fatigue here. Take Dallas. Thank you.

Golden State Warriors.

Best Bet

Game 533.

5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST.

The Houston Rockets will be without several players this evening. It is reported that both Eason and Adams (check status) will be unavailable tonight. The Rockets depth isn't as deep as it was at the start of the season. Injuries have hurt this team. VanVleet and Smith are both still sidelined. This team is going to be a bit thin. With this being the last game before All-Star break, Houston doesn't really need the victories right now. They are currently sitting at fourth place in the Western Conference with a very respectable record of 34-20. Golden State does need victories. They are playing .500 basketball, at 27-27. They also come off their first loss since acquiring Jimmy Butler. He arrived and immediately had an impact as a team won and covered their first two games on the road at the Bulls and the Bucks, before falling last night at the Mavericks. They want to go into All-Star break above .500. These two teams have met three times this season with Golden State taking two of the three. They not only have dominated the series, taking nine of the last 10 matchups straight up, but they have also covered four in a row, and eight of the last nine. Take Golden State here. Thank you.

Portland Trailblazers.

Smart Money Play.

Game 559.

6:10 PM PST/9:10 PM EST.

Portland took down Denver back in the middle of December at home, 126-124. They enter this matchup winning 10 of their last 12 straight up, and covering 11 of those 12 games. This includes covers in three of four road games during that span. While the Nuggets are very good team, the oddsmakers know this, and tend to overvalue them. Yes, they are a six-game straight up win streak, and have covered four in a row. But I think this is way too many points to lay against a very game opponent. This is the first of two games played at the same location between these two teams between tonight and Wednesday night. I really do feel the Blazers are the smart side here. I know how good Denver's offense is. But their defense is very beatable. I think this game will be a lot closer than the pointspread. Take Portland. Thank you.

Cleveland Cavaliers.

Game 535.

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.

Following a four-game-win and cover streak, the Cavaliers took one on the chin last night on the road in Boston, 112-105. They were getting crushed, and made a valiant comeback only to fall short. They will not be happy with that outcome, and will take their frustrations out on the Pistons today. Detroit has dropped eight of their last 10, both straight up and against the spread. To make matters worse for this team, they have had zero success in this rivalry, losing 10 consecutive meetings against Cleveland, and only covering two of those meetings. The Cavaliers own the best record in the East for a valid reason. Take Cleveland. Thank you.

Portland Trailblazers.

Game 518.

7:10 PM PST/10:10 PM EST.

Normally, I look to take a team in a back-to-back situation coming off a loss. However, I'm going to go opposite that angle here. Portland took down Phoenix just two nights ago on the road, 127-108. I can't understand for the life of me why the Suns are this much of a favorite as a visitor here. They have been seriously overvalued, only covering four of their last 10 overall games. Meanwhile, the Blazers are starting to stride, winning seven of their last eight straight up, and all eight of those games against the spread. Giving this team points at home is a mistake. Especially With DeAndre Ayton getting another shot at revenge at his old squad. Take Portland. Thank you.

Memphis Grizzlies.

Game 512.

5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST.

I think the line is a little short here. Maybe it is because Victor Wembanyama is supposed to return tonight (check status). Whether the Spurs leading scorer is on the court or not, I still feel this line is off. The Grizzlies have taken nine of the last 10 meeting straight up, which does include wins and covers in both meetings this season, both taking place in January. Both were played in San Antonio, winning the first by 14 points and the second by 28 points. Both of those contests the Spurs had their stand out forward on the court. Memphis owns the NBA’s top-scoring offense, averaging over 123.4 points per game. They're also possess the second-best offense in the league on the offensive glass. They will get a ton of second chance opportunities. Let's not forget they're also a top-10 defensive rebounding squad as well. I think that's going to be the big difference here. Lay the short price with the Grizzlies. Thank you.

Houston Rockets.

Game 567.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

Houston will come into this matchup looking for a little vengeance. Atlanta has had their way in this series, taking six of the last eight meetings, from November 2019 through February 2024. But these are two very different teams right now. The Rockets, own the second-best record in the West at 31-14, while the Hawks possess the ninth best record in the East at 22-24. There was a time when Atlanta was tough at home. But this season, they are barely keeping their head above water at 11-10 at the State Farm Arena. They have hit a cold streak, dropping five in a row SU, going 1-4 ATS during that span. As a matter fact, they have failed to cover three straight on their own court. This does not bode well as Houston is running red-hot, winning eight of their last 10 SU, covering eight of those games. By the way, the Rockets have covered nine straight games as a visitor. That hot road run has gone back since last year. This is a very good team when they travel at 16-6 SU overall on the road. The Hawks are all about their offense. But will run into the NBA's fifth-ranked defense here, and one of its best on the boards. This line should be higher. Take Houston. Thank you.

Indiana.

Game 523.

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.

Obviously, one of the best feel good stories so far this NBA regular season is the Detroit Pistons. A season ago, they won just 14 games, and now have already amassed a 21-19 record. No question, the city of Detroit is happy with their sports teams. The Lions are one of the best teams in the NFL, the Red Wings are currently possessing a winning record, despite being one of the bottom teams in the Atlantic division, and of course the Pistons are playing surprisingly good basketball. But two situations are in play in this matchup. First of all, the Indiana Pacers, which are also playing great basketball, come off their first loss and no cover after riding a six-game straight up and against the spread win streak. So, I'm looking for them to bounce back here. Meanwhile, Detroit is playing hot, winning eight of the last 10 and covering six of those 10. But come off one of their biggest wins this season on the road three nights ago at Madison Square Garden, defeating the Knicks, 124-119 as an eight-point underdog. I see them in a letdown situation tonight. Sportsbetting has very little to do with who wins and who loses. It has to do with who covers. Right now, the Pacers have covered four straight games played as a visitor, and nine of the last 10 overall games away from home. They are money when they travel, folks. The Pistons are 6-4 ATS overall their last 10. But have only covered two of their last five played at the Little Caesars Arena. I actually have Indiana on my line, a favorite of better than a basket here. I think the wrong team is favored. Take the Pacers plus the points. It's a winner. Thank you

Milwaukee Bucks.

Game 531.

12:10 PM PST/3:10 PM EST.

New York might have taken the last three meetings with Milwaukee straight up, and against the spread. But the Knicks are starting to show cracks. They have dropped four of their last five, both SU/ATS, while Milwaukee enters this matchup, red-hot, winning three in a row SU (2-1 ATS). I am sure you'll see a big difference here, down low in the physical play of the Bucks, and without question, they will exploit the Knicks 26th-ranked three-point defense with their second-ranked three-point shooting offense. Take the points with Milwaukee. Thank you.

Cleveland Cavaliers.

SLAM DUNK.

Game 551.

5:40 PM PST/8:40 PM EST.

Owners of the best overall record in the NBA (29-4), and the Eastern Conference’s top-team, the Cleveland Cavaliers are crushing it. Are they making a statement against the Western Conference? They have dominated the West, going 9-0 against them this season, and winning by an average of 16.3-points per game. They face a Dallas Mavericks team that are struggling without their top player, Luka Dončić. Since he has gone down, the team is just 1-3, both straight up and against the spread, riding a three-game slide both SU/ATS. If the Cavs had a tough opponent on deck, I would be a little leery here of a letdown. However, on Sunday they play the Hornets at home. I don't see them looking ahead in this spot. I just don't see the Mavericks keeping pace on the scoreboard here at all. Nor do I see them slowing down the NBA's top three-point scoring offense. Take Cleveland. Thank you.

Toronto Raptors.

Slam Dunk.

Game 521.

7:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST.

The Toronto Raptors might be just 2-6 straight up, which does include a winless, 0-3 away record. But they have been money to anyone who follows them this season, covering seven of their eight games. This season alone, they have been made a double-digit underdog three times, covering all three of those games, and nearly a double-digit underdog three more times, and have covered all of those contests as well. While the Sacramento Kings are beginning to stride, winning four of their last five SU, they have failed to cover their last several at the Golden 1 Center. This is a turnaround from a November 2, Raptors 131-1-28 overtime win at home. And normally you look to play the better team in the revenge situation when playing host. But I really do feel the oddsmakers are giving the Kings way too much credit here, especially against a Raptors opponent that has been covering games. Take Toronto. Thank you.

Cleveland Cavaliers.

Slam Dunk.

Game 529.

5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST.

This is the first real test for the Cavaliers, which are the only undefeated team left in the Eastern Conference. Not only are they 6-0 straight up this season, they are us also 6-0 against the spread. To go even back a little bit further, they have covered eight in a row, and nine of their last 10 going back to May of last season. They have been money to sports bettors. Oh, by the way, they've also covered four straight as an underdog. If they want to be taken seriously as a true Conference contender, they must show it here tonight. Take the Cavaliers. Thank you.

Boston Celtics.

Finals Game 3 Winner.

Game 505.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

As of posting this play very early in the a.m. Pacific Standard Time on Wednesday, most of the general public is moving on the home team, Dallas Mavericks here. I am here to tell you that is a mistake. With all respect to the Mavericks, they just cannot compete with the Celtics. Boston has taking six consecutive straight up meetings in this rivalry going back to November of 2022. And just to let you know, depending on the line you got in Game 2 of this series, you either won or you pushed. Let's go with the fact most people got the game at -6.5. If you did, then that made the Celtics not just win six straight games in this rivalry, but also cover six straight meetings as well. If you got the game late and you got it at -7.0, then you pushed. But overall, you can see on both sides of the court how Boston outclasses Dallas. As of this point, the Celtics have no injuries to report (check status always) at all. They are healthy, and to be quite honest, they have played much stronger in this postseason. They have also played three less games than the Mavericks. Statistically, as I mentioned earlier, they are just too much at both ends of the court. They can score for sure. But they also possess one of the most frustrating and ferocious defenses in the NBA. And that is the difference in this series. Dallas is allowing the Boston offense to score basically at will. With all respect to the Mavericks, and their superstars, Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving, they just can't do it all by themselves. Giving Boston a full basket as of this post, is a mistake. The Celtics have what it takes to win this game out right. But to er on the side of caution, I will take them plus the two-points. Take Boston. Thank you.

Dallas Mavericks.

Game 5 Winner.

Game 511.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

The line in this matchup went up due to questionable players for the Mavericks. I doubt very much Dallas’ star, Luka Doncic is going to sit this one out my friends. They also have Dereck Lively listed as questionable. Early whispers are he's going to see action here, but that is unofficial. Always do your due diligence and check injuries. Dallas took the first three games of this series, winning and covering each, and lost a heartbreaker, 105-100 in Game 4. The funny thing about that contest, the disparity between field goal percentage and rebounds was close. And yet Doncic and Kyrie Irving both felt they let their team down in the matchup. I see these two superstars coming out here looking to close out this series, and shining brightly. Please take note, Boston finished off Indiana in the Eastern Conference in four-games, and are sitting at home resting and preparing for the Finals. A couple other items I'd like you to be aware of; first, Dallas has covered their last four games on the road. Second, Minnesota has failed to cover four of their last five games at home. And lastly, I feel the line in this matchup, even with the questionable injuries for the visitor, is still way off. The Mavericks are going to keep this game very competitive, if not when it outright. I think the line is inflated for sure. Take Dallas plus the points. Thank you.

Dallas Mavericks.

Game 2 Winner.

Game 555.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

We've all read headlines surrounding the Minnesota Timberwolves top-ranked defense, and how they held the mighty Denver Nuggets down. I think you can all agree the Dallas Mavericks are not the Denver Nuggets. The Mavericks match up well with the Timberwolves, no doubt about that. They also enter Game 2 of this series a little hotter, winning seven of their last nine, while the Timberwolves have dropped four of their last six. As a matter of fact, the Dallas has covered three of the last four meetings in this rivalry. No matter what, I feel this game is going to be extremely competitive, and certainly a lot closer than the point spread. We must take the underdog here. Take the Mavericks. Thank you.

New York Knicks.

EARLY INFO MOVE.

Game 529.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

Sport fans, I am well aware the home team has won each game in this series straight up. But as we all know, sports betting isn't about which team wins, it's about which team covers. New York has covered three of the last four overall meetings in this series. If you recall in the last series with Philadelphia, they covered two of three as a guest. The Knicks have a chance to close out this series here, and I believe they'll come into this matchup still riding momentum from the Game 5, 121-91 victory at home a few days back. New York dominated the boards in that last matchup, outrebounding Indiana, 53-29. Not only that, but despite a less than stellar percentage from downtown overall from the floor, they shot 47%, and made most of the free throws. Once again, I feel this will be a physical contest which will give New York the edge. Hartenstein and Hart are monsters down low. And let's face it, Brunson has been absolutely stellar. I just feel this is way too many points to give the scrappy Knicks. Especially, if they want to face the Celtics in the Conference Finals a bit fresh. Take New York. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

RD 2 TOP PLAY.

Game 525.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

I don't think it's a stretch to say the defending NBA Champions were embarrassed in the first two games of this round of the 2024 playoff. They finished the regular season on fire, then went into the first round and took down the Los Angeles Lakers in five games with authority. Games 1 and 2 of this series, they lost at home by seven and 26 points. This was one of the best home teams in the league this season. However, those defeats lit a fire under their butts and they then came out to win Games 3, 4, and 5, both straight up and against the spread. As a matter fact, the average margin of victory over the last three games in this series was 16.6 points per game. There's no way they're going to allow Minnesota to tie this series up. I see them winning out right. But I'll take the points with better than a basket here. Take the Nuggets. Thank you.

Minnesota Timberwolves.

VI Move.

Game 519.

7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST.

If you've been watching this series, then you know Minnesota took the first two games on the road only to get embarrassed in the next two games at home. Now we see, because the Nuggets are returning home and have won the last two games, that they are a big price here. I just don't see them being this much of a price against a team this good. Please understand, the last two games the Timberwolves allowed a combined 232 points. This cannot sit well with the No. 1 defense in the NBA. That's right, Minnesota leads the NBA in points allowed and field goal percentage allowed. They just let Denver shoot a combined 55.3% the L2 matchups. I see their defense tightening up here, thus allowing their offense to succeed in transition. By the way, they've also covered four of the last five meetings played at the Ball Arena. Take the Timberwolves. Thank you.

Oklahoma City Thunder.

Game 3 Winner.

Game 505.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have certainly dominated the Dallas Mavericks, taking seven of the last 10 meetings, which does include four of six matchups this season alone. The funny thing about these matchups, are each time the Mavericks got a win, they immediately got a loss for the next several contests with the Thunder. I really feel Oklahoma City, which by no accident is the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference this postseason, and owns a 26-17 straight up road record, is the better team. No disrespect to Dallas, which is the No. 5 seed, and let's face it, is a very good team. But I just don't see the matchups for them. On top of all that, the Thunder enter this game following their first loss after riding a 10-game win streak. They are an excellent bounce-back team, my friends. They have also won and covered both away games during this postseason. I feel you will see them still a bit fresher as they didn't have as long of a series in their opening round as did their counterpart. I think you're going to see Giddey shine here following a couple of games in which he struggled in this series. I think you're also going to see less success from downtown in this Game 3 matchup for both Washington and Doncic. Take Oklahoma City. Thank you.

Indiana Pacers.

Game 1 Winner.

Game 555.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

There are a few underlying story plots in this Pacers/Knicks matchup. For starters, New York PG, Jalen Brunson, who leads all the NBA players in scoring this postseason, and Indiana HC, Rick Carlisle do not like one another at all. This stems back from their time together in Dallas. Then there is despite New York dropping two of three this season against Indiana, they are a six-point favorite (as of this post). Both teams defeated solid opposition in the opening round of the playoffs, as the Pacers ousted the Bucks in six games, while the Knicks dispatched of the 76ers, also in six games. Neither has had any extra time to rest, heal, or prepare for this round. Both squads have some personnel that are listed as questionable (check status). The old adage of "offense gets glory, but defense wins the games" is resonating here. The Pacers possess the League’s No.1 scoring offense as well as its best squad in field goal percentage. The Knicks happened to own the NBA's second-ranked scoring defense. They are also monsters at both end of the court on the boards. I really do feel these two teams not only know each other well, but dislike each other even more. I do feel the Indiana offense is going to be able to put up points, especially behind their stellar, three-point shooting. This is a place in which the Knicks had some difficulty this year defensively. As a matter fact, it has been their Achilles heel. And I think this will be the difference maker. Taking the Pacers. Thank you.

Minnesota Timberwolves.

Game 1 Winner.

Game 529.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

In my opinion this is the most anticipated matchup in the second round of the playoffs. Regardless of who wins the Cavaliers/Magic Game 7 meeting on Sunday, none of the other three matchups consist of teams seeded this low. The No. 3 Timberwolves and the No. 2 Nuggets will square off here. These two teams met four times this season, splitting out the four meetings straight up. However, the Timberwolves have covered three of the four this season. Going back to last season, Minnesota has covered five of the last six overall matchups. Many people thought they would not get past Phoenix in the opening round because they could not beat them in any of the meetings during the regular season. But they dispatched them in four games. The Nuggets devoured the Lakers in five games. While the T-Wolves had an extra day off to rest, heal, and prepare for this round, they also enter this matchup covering four consecutive outings. Meanwhile the Nuggets are on a 1-3 ATS run. Going back to the matchups this season, Minnesota, in their two victories in those matchups really had their way with Denver. Meanwhile the two matchups that the Nuggets prevailed, were a lot closer. While nobody can deny the experience of Denver, Minny can keep pace with them offensively, and possess the NBA's No. 1 defense, allowing 106.5 points per game. They also top the league in field goal percentage allowed. While Denver is not far behind them in both of those categories, I just don't see them having their way here. I believe the frustrating defense of the Timberwolves will be the difference and keep this game extremely close. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Orlando Magic.

Game 6 Winner.

Game 524.

4:00 PM PST/7;00 PM EST.

When it comes to playing at home, there is certainly a big advantage, especially in the NBA. To go one further, particularly in the playoffs. The home team has won each of the five meetings in this Rd. 1 series. However, the Magic have covered the last three meetings. They return home where they sport an overall record of 31-12, while the Cavaliers are just 22-21 as visitor this season. After suffering a one-point loss on the road a few days ago in Game 5, I see Orlando returning home, and evening out of series with authority. Take the Magic. Thank you.

Oklahoma City Thunder.
GAME 4 WINNER.
Game 559.
5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

Being up 3-0, the Western Conference’s top-seeded, Oklahoma City Thunder has an opportunity to finish off the series and get some rest, some time to heal, and extra time to prepare until they take on the winner of the Los Angeles Clippers/Dallas Mavericks series. This would be huge for the Thunder. And let's face it, they have the ability to close out this series in a sweep. They have taken seven of the last eight meetings straight up against the New Orleans Pelicans, covering six of those eight meetings. This series alone, they have outscored their opponent by an average of 18.3 points per game. Let's face it, the Pelicans, without their top player, Zion Williamson are basically dead in the water. This is a team that's lost five of the last six straight up, going 2-4 ATS during that time. They have failed to cover eight of the last 10 games played at the Smoothie King Center. I just don't see them putting up too much of a fight as they know their season is over. Take the Oklahoma City. Thank you.

New Orleans Pelicans.

ATR play.

Game 519.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

I think we can all agree that Zion Williamson is one of the most exciting young players in the NBA today. As far as the postseason goes, we kind of know, without him the team is going to be in a tough situation to advance. However, this team took down Sacramento on the 19th without their star player, and then lost a heartbreaker, 94-92 in Game 1 of this series, right here at the Paycom Center. This is a team that has played their counterpart very competitively, winning five of the last six meetings, straight up, covering four of those six, which does include three consecutive meetings. I don't see why this game will be any less competitive. Way too many points. Take New Orleans. Thank you.

Dallas Mavericks.
ATR.
Game 513.
7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST.

The majority of people out there felt Dallas was going to take Game 1 of this series with ease. Well, the game plan Los Angeles came in with in the absence of Kawhi Leonard was a big surprise for their opponent in the series opener. If you look at the first half of that game, the Clippers were blowing up the Mavericks. However, Dallas head coach, Jason Kidd made some changes and the second half belonged to the them. There are no more surprises up the Clippers sleeve. Take Dallas. Thank you.

Cleveland Cavaliers.

ABOVE THE RIM.

Game 502.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

I'm gonna’ keep this breakdown very short and very sweet, just like me (lol). Donovan Mitchell seems to have his injury issues in the rearview. The star player accounted for over 30 points in Saturday's game 1, 97-83 win and cover at home over the visiting Orlando Magic. That victory gave the Cavaliers seven wins over the last nine meetings with the Magic, as they have covered seven of those nine meetings as well. Furthermore Orlando, although is a decent team, struggles badly on the road, where they are just 18-24 this season. Most recently they have failed to cover five consecutive games played as a visitor. Maybe it's because they're so banged up. Yes, it's true Cleveland is a lot healthier. I just see the Cavaliers smell blood in the water here. Cleveland. Thank you.

Phoenix Suns.

GAME 1 MONEYMAKER.

Game 577.

12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST.

 Yes, the Minnesota Timberwolves finished the regular season a very impressive, 56-26. But this is a team that must be nervous because they have been bounced out of the first round in each of the past two seasons. As a matter of fact, they haven't made it past the first round since 2004. On the other hand, Phoenix ended the regular season winning six of eight games, which does include their final three contests. It's no secret the Suns have dominated the Timberwolves, winning nine of the last 10 straight up, and covering nine consecutive meetings. Getting to the postseason is one thing. But succeeding in the playoffs is an entirely different monster, and Phoenix has made the playoffs for the fourth consecutive year. I think giving this team points is a mistake. Take the Suns. Thank you.

Chicago Bulls.

SLAM DUNK.

Game 559.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Just like me, I'm going to keep this breakdown very short, and extremely sweet (lol). The Miami Heat will be without both, Jimmy Butler and Terry Rozier. While I get why a lot of the general public are coming in on the home team here, I really don't think they grasp the severity of these two missing players in this specific matchup. These are two of their three highest-scoring players, not to mention their starting cornerstone. A few items I'd like to make you aware of; for starters, last years, PLAY IN matchup saw Miami finishing on a 15-1 run to overcome Chicago, and end their season. The Bulls must be salivating, knowing they get another chance at the Heat here. Oh, by the way, there's one more thing I want you to know: Chicago covered both meetings in Miami this season. I think it's going be a competitive game and a physical game. Right now, Chicago is a little deeper, a little hungrier, and is looking for a little payback. Take the Bulls. Thank you.

Los Angeles Lakers.

Game 541.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

When it comes down to elimination time, cream rises to the top. And whether you like him or not, LeBron James does not like missing the playoffs. The Lakers have a fight on their hands right now to make sure they make the postseason cut line. This is a team that has taken five of the last six meetings with their opponent, going back to February of 2023. Oh, by the way they've also covered five of those six meetings (lol). They enter this matchup running pretty hot, winning seven of their last 10 straight up, while the pelicans, despite a strong road stand, in which they won all four games, failed to win their last outing, which coincidentally, was at home against this very opponent. I just don't see King James and Company not putting out their best effort here. Take the Lakers. Thank you.

Boston Celtics.

Slam Dunk Play.

Game 525.

2:10 PM PST/510 PM EST.

The Celtics own the best record in all of pro basketball, at 57-16. However, this team enters this matchup, off back-to-back losses for only the third time during this regular season. That is why I'm compelled to side with the Celtics here. I look for them to bounce back strongly against a team that they've had their way with. They have taken five in a row straight up and seven of the last 10 in this rival. They have also been money in this rivalry covering seven of those 10 as well. Meanwhile the Pelicans are playing “hit or miss” basketball right now. It's hard to believe they have a better away record than they do a home record. That's right, they are just 21-14 at the Smoothie King Center, as opposed to 24-14 as a visitor this season. I just don't think the Celtics are going to allow themselves to fall into a little bit of a funk and drop another game so close to the regular season ending. Trust me when I tell you they want to coast into the last of the regular season games and go into the playoffs with momentum. Take Boston. Thank you.

Orlando Magic.

Slam Dunk Play.

Game 545.

5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST.

Orlando has been red-hot, winning seven of their last nine straight up, and eight of their last 10 against the spread. They have had their way, like many in the league over Detroit, winning the last four meetings in a row straight up, and covering the last three, which does include both meetings this season. The Pistons are once again struggling. They are riding a four-game straight up losing streak, and they have failed to cover three in a row. They just can't keep pace at either end of the court with the superior Magic. Take Orlando. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

Slam Dunk Play.

Game 541.

7:10 PM PST/10:10 PM EST.

For a team that won the NBA Championship last season, and is currently tied for first place in the Western Conference, at 36-16, the Denver Nuggets aren't getting too much respect, are they? Trust me when I tell you, it's not sitting well with the team. Granted, the Sacramento Kings are very respectable, 29-21 overall this season. And I will admit, are a formidable foe. I know they are playing at home. But I still don't see them being favored here. As of posting this play, they are favored by one-point. I have the other side a favorite of 2.5 points. Having said that, I am aware the Nuggets played last night and took down the Lakers on the road, 114-106. It marked the third consecutive win and their eighth in their last 10 outings. They have been playing excellent on the road. And if you're worried about Denver playing on back-to-back days, don't be. They are money on the second of back-to-back games. Meanwhile, Sacramento dropped their last two outings. They got crushed four nights ago on the road in Cleveland, 136-110. They then followed that game up two days ago at home, losing to the sad-sack, Detroit Pistons, 133-120.  Normally I would look to play a team to bounce back after an embarrassing defeat like the Kings suffered. But in their only meeting this season, back at the beginning of December, Sacramento took down Denver at home, 123-117. I see revenge as a motivation for the visitor here. While the Kings possess an explosive scoring offense, they leave a lot to be desired on the defensive side of the court. This does not bode well as Denver is superior on both ends of the court on the glass, and possess the NBA's fourth-ranked scoring defense. Once again, they say revenge is a dish best served cold, and I see the Nuggets coming in here with vengeance in their hearts. Take Denver. Thank you.

Cleveland Cavaliers.

EC GOW.

Game 521.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.  

Cleveland is playing some amazing basketball. They sit atop the Central Division at 33-16, which is good enough for them to have the second-best record in the Eastern Conference. They are rolling, winning seven in a row and 15 of their last 16 straight up covering, 11 of those 16 outings. They have dominated Brooklyn, taking the last four meetings in a row SU, which includes both this season. The Nets are in trouble. Not only are they banged up and depleted, but they are really struggling at 20-30. They have lost and fail to cover three consecutive games played at the Barclays Center. I just don't see their lackluster offense doing anything against the very frustrating, third-ranked defense of the Cavaliers here. Take Cleveland. Thank you.

Golden State Warriors.

Slam Dunk Play.

Game 515.

4:10 PM PST/710 PM EST.

Golden State is in a very uncharacteristic situation right now. They sit in last place in the Pacific Division with a record of 23-25. Overall, they are 11th in the Western Conference. If they are going to make a serious run at the postseason, they must turn the corner now. And believe it or not, they are starting to stride. The Warriors have won four of their last five, both straight up and against the spread which includes three of four during their current road trip. While the Pacers are a respectable, 29-23, they are showing some signs of inconsistency. They've only covered four of their last 10 overall games and have failed to cover three straight at home. Both teams can score a ton of points. But the Indiana defense has been absolutely atrocious, allowing over 122.5 points per game and 50.2% shooting from the field. Offensively, they are a powerhouse. But much of their offensive success relies upon their ability to shoot from beyond the arc. And facing a Golden State opponent, which ranks in the top 10 defending the three, is going to be very frustrating here. This is way too many points. Take the Warriors. Thank you.

Magic.

SD play.

Game 577.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

I feel the line is way off here. Miami, despite being at home, should not be this high of a favorite. I actually feel the line should be at least a “Pick ‘em” or maybe Orlando -1.0. I understand that each team has won and covered a meeting in this series this season at home. But Orlando comes in here red-hot, winning three in a row and four of their last five straight up, while covering their last five straight. Miami is a train wreck. They are the epitome of inconsistency. Moreover, they are a little bit banged up and depleted on their bench. I see their starters getting tired, especially come the second half. Take the points with the underdog. Thank you.

Blazers.

Late Bailout.

Game 557.

5:40 PM PST/8:40 PM EST.

There is no question that Portland isn't a very good team, while Denver is. However, this isn't about wins and losses. This is about covering the number. The Nuggets took down the Blazers just a few days ago, 120-108 on their home floor. However, they failed to cover the big number. And yet there's another big number here tonight. I want you to know Portland enters this matchup covering seven of their last 10 overall, which does include three of four games as a double-digit underdog. On the other hand, Denver is once again being overvalued. This is a team that has failed to cover three straight as a double-digit favorite. As a matter of fact, my friends, they've only covered seven of their last 10 overall games. As I mentioned earlier, they are significantly overvalued. Take the points with the ‘dog and take your bookmakers money. Thank you.

Clippers.

Slam Dunk.

Game 545.

3:10 PM PST/6:10 PM EST.

My friends, we all know how good Jimmy Butler is. And yes, the Heat have won and covered their last two outings. Let's not forget this team overall, is not great. Their supporting cast has just not stepped up when they need to. Prior to the last two games, this team was on a seven-game straight up losing streak, failing to cover eight in a row. Meanwhile, the Clippers are a solid team, folks. They won eight of their last 10 straight up and seven of those ten against the number. They took down Miami 121-104 on January 1 at home. And my opinion this line is very short. I just don't see the lackluster, Heat offense competing on the scoreboard with the top-10 ranked, explosive offense of the Clippers. To make matters worse, on the opposite end of the court, Los Angeles ranks the top-10 in every major category. I just don't see Miami grabbing any rebounds, let alone putting up a fight. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

Sacramento Kings.

Slam Dunk play.

Game 571.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

Maybe it's because they made it to the NBA finals last year that so many people are shocked at how the Miami Heat are struggling right now. They currently ride the longest active losing streak in the NBA of seven games. They've failed to cover eight in a row. Oh, by the way. surging at the moment, are the Sacramento Kings. They are on a four-game straight up winning streak, covering three of the four contests. By the way, three of those four consecutive wins (their last three) we're all played on the road. They're playing very well as a visitor, going 13-10 away from home this season. This is a team that is relatively healthy and can score points with the best of them. That's right, they average over 118.4 points per game, which does not bode well for the Heat which only average 110.4 points per game. While Miami has a decent defense, they just can't compensate for their lack of offense. Take Sacramento. Thank you.

Phoenix Suns.

Slam Dunk Play.

Game 535.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

Following a seven-game straight up win streak, the Suns have now dropped their last two outings. What better team to face than the struggling Heat, which are riding a six-game straight up slide and have failed to cover seven in a row. Take Phoenix. Thank you.

New York Knicks.

Slam Dunk Play.

Game 519.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

New York is one of the season’s most pleasant surprises. The Knicks currently sit in fifth place in the Eastern Conference, at 26-17. On the other hand, to say Brooklyn has been disappointing, would be an understatement. They sit in 11th place in the East, at 17-25. The Knicks have dominated the Nets, winning and covering all three meetings just in the last 11 months. They also enter tonight's matchup rolling, winning nine of their last 11 SU, and eight of those 11 ATS. They've had an extra day to rest, heal, and prepare for tonight's crosstown matchup. Brooklyn is on a 4-15 straight up run, in which they have only covered three of those 19 contests. They are a little more banged up, and in my opinion, are inferior at both ends of the court. Speaking of both ends of the court, look for the Knicks to dominate the boards, as they rank third on the offensive glass and second on the defensive glass. Take New York. Thank you.

Boston Celtics.

Slam Dunk play.

Game 536.

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.

You may not realize this because it's so early in the regular season, but this game is a big matchup. Very possibly, these two teams can face each other come the NBA Finals. Trust me when I tell you, each wants to win this contest. However, there's a few things that certainly compels me to take the home team here. First of all, the Denver Nuggets, although they are very good, are 17-4 at home, but just 11-10 on the road. As a matter of fact, when it comes to covering as a visitor, their numbers aren't very impressive at all, failing to cover their last four games played as a guest. On the other hand, the Boston Celtics are 20-0 at home this season and have covered three of their last four as host. But going even further into this, the last time these two teams met was last New Year's Day, January 1, 2023 in Denver when the Nuggets bested the Celtics, 123-111. That stopped a six-game Boston straight up win streak in this rivalry. By the way, the Celtics still covered six of the last eight meetings, going back several seasons. Boston certainly is one of the most complete teams in the NBA at both ends of the court, ranking in the top-five and most major categories. They are excellent from beyond the arc, which will be a big advantage for them as Denver ranks 16th in the league at defending the “3”. Two other major factors really urge me to side with the “green and white” here. First, they are the best in basketball on the offensive glass, which means they're going to get a ton of second-chance opportunities. And secondly, they are significantly stronger from the free-throw line. You can expect this game to get very physical. The Celtics hit over 80.6% from the line, while the Nuggets are just 75.2% from the line. This might be a lot of points, but it doesn't scare me. Take Boston. Thank you.

Cleveland Cavaliers.

Slam Dunk.

Game 560.

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.

Cleveland comes into tonight's matchup, both with momentum and well rested. The Cavaliers have won their last four games, covering three of the four. They will have fresh legs to boot, having not taken the floor since January 11. Granted, Chicago has won four of their last five, straight up. But they have failed to cover their last few games. And as we all know the Bulls lose a little something when they travel. They are just 6-12 on the road this season, and have only covered one of their last four as a guest. To say Cleveland has had their way in this rivalry would be an understatement. They have taken five in a row, both straight up and against the spread over Chicago. This does include a 109-95 win and cover on the road in the only meeting this season, back at the end of December. The Bulls certainly have some talent. But facing a Cavaliers team on the road, that is well rested, riding a win streak, and that has had their number will be fatal for the team. Take Cleveland. Thank you.

Oklahoma City Thunder on the ML.

Best Bet play.

Game 535.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

Don't look now, but the Thunder possess the Western Conference’s second-best overall record and the NBA's fourth-best overall mark. This team is playing some great basketball, my friends. Last night they took down the team with the best overall record in all of pro basketball, the Boston Celtics, at home, 127-123. They are now on a five-game win and cover streak. Going back a little further, they have won and covered eight of their last nine contests. They go into State Farm Arena to face a very disappointing, Atlanta Hawks opponent here. Overall, Atlanta is just 13-19, losing four of their last five straight up and riding a five-game no cover slide. I remember a day when the Hawks were money at home. However, they have failed to cover 11 consecutive games on their own court this season, and overall, 12 of 13 games played at the State Farm Arena this campaign. They can still score points on offense. But their defense is absolutely atrocious. They've become a league doormat, allowing over 122.7 points per game, which ranks them 27th in scoring. To make matters worse, they are allowing 50% shooting from the floor, which ranks 28th, and 37.9% from downtown, which ranks them 24th. In today's league that still wouldn't be that bad but they are horrible on the defensive boards as well. They face one of the leagues best scoring offenses. Not only does the Thunder average over 121.5 points per game, they rank in the top-three in field goal percentage, three-point percentage, and if the game gets physical, they are also the best team in basketball from the free-throw line. They've got a pretty frustrating defense as well. This game will get out of hand. But I am posting this very early, so just to err on the side of caution, take Oklahoma City on the Moneyline. Thank you.

Brooklyn Nets.

Game 525.

6:10 PM, PST/910 PM EST.

With all respect to the defending world champion, Denver Nuggets, they are not the same team they were a season ago. At least not yet. Right now, they sit in fourth place in the West at 16-9. This is a respectful record. But I think we can all agree they are just not in sync. Something isn’t clicking on the Nuggets, and it is showing. Yes, they are a good team. But they are not good enough to lay double-digits against just about any opponent in the NBA, especially the surging, Brooklyn Nets. The Nets have won seven of their last 10 straight up and eight of their last 10 against the spread. They are playing superb basketball. They have covered three of their last four as a visitor, and have given the Nuggets all they can handle in recent matchups. At both ends of the court, they are playing so0lid basketball. They are the best team in the NBA on the offensive glass. So, second-chance shots are huge here. And there is a big mismatch between their third ranked three-point shooting offense, and the Nuggets 14th ranked three-point defense. Giving Brooklyn this many points as an early Christmas present. Take the Nets. Thank you.

Sacramento Kings.

Game 570.

7:10 PM, PST/10:10 PM EST.

This line might be a bit skewed here, due to the fact that Kings played last night in a barnburner, eking out a one-point victory over the Warriors at home. But let's face it, this team is playing some great basketball. They have won eight of their last 10 straight up, riding a momentum wave for sure. On the other hand, the Clippers are certainly struggling. They were highly touted this season. Meanwhile, they are just 7-9 straight up. And as far as covering your spread goes, they are atrocious, going 6-10 ATS. They struggle went on the road as well where they are just 2-6 straight up away from home. And by the way, overall, just 2-6 ATS their last eight in the role of a favorite. Many out there might think they're in for a bounce back situation here tonight after getting embarrassed a few nights ago at home against the Denver Nuggets. I don't see it. This team is not built to bounce back the way they are currently struggling. I just don't see them keeping pace offensively on the scoreboard in this matchup. Take Sacramento. Thank you.

Indiana Pacers.

Game 521.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

My friends, Indiana is playing some very solid basketball. Offensively, they lead the NBA in scoring, averaging over 125.7 points per game. As a matter of fact, in just about every offensive category, they rank in the top-10. Granted, their defense leaves a lot to be desired. But their rebounding core is strong on the stop end of the court. On the other hand, Atlanta is struggling. Right now, they sit at 6-6 and to be quite honest with you, they are point spread poison, failing to cover five of their last six outings. I remember a time when the Hawks were money at home against the number. Not anymore. They have failed to cover their last four games played at the State Farm Arena. This is a team that can score, but is getting manhandled on the boards. Particularly on the offensive glass. So, they aren’t getting too many second-chance opportunities. Defensively, they are in big trouble here trying to stop the deadly, seventh-ranked three-point shooting team of the Pacers. I just don't see the Hawks. Keeping pace here (No pun intended). I really think the wrong team is favored. So, take Indiana. Thank you.

Philadelphia 76ers.

Game 555.

12:10 PM PST/310 PM EST.

Like many teams in NBA Philadelphia has dominated. But there might not be a team they have flexed their muscles more against than the Brooklyn Nets. The 76ers have taken eight in a row in this series straight up, going 7-1 against the spread. They enter today's match up sitting in second place in the Eastern Conference, just 1.0 game behind the Celtics at 9-3. They can further distance themselves from the third place team in the East, the Milwaukee Bucks. Let's face it, Philadelphia does not like Brooklyn, at all. They take an enormous amount of enjoyment in beating the Nets. The 76ers are significantly healthier than their counterpart this evening as the Nets will be without Ben Simmons and Cam Thomas once again. On a sidenote, as a big basketball fan, it seems like the 76ers are also enjoying success even more without James Harden on the roster. On both sides of the court, they possess significantly stronger statistics. They are all so much stronger at both ends of the court on the boards. But where I feel you are going see the biggest advantage for the visitor, is at the free-throw line, where they top the NBA, ranking first, hitting over 86.3%, while Brooklyn ranks 21st, making a mere 76.2% of their free throws. Take the 76ers. Thank you.

Phoenix Suns.

Game 561.

5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST.

Obviously, at 3-4 the Phoenix Suns aren't looking like the team they were just a season ago. However, injuries are a big part of that. When you don't have all-universe, players, like Booker and Beal on the floor, it’s going to show in the record.  On the other hand, the Chicago Bulls, at 3-5 are exactly where many thought they would be at this point. This is not a very good team. So, this is a perfect opportunity for the Suns to flex their muscles. They have had an extra day off to prepare and rest for this match up. They have also covered three of four road games this season. On the other hand, the Bulls have covered just one of their four games played at home in 2023. And to say Phoenix has had their way in this series would be an understatement. Just going back the last few seasons, they have taken seven in a row straight up, covering five of the seven meetings. They need a big ego boost and this is the situation they get it. Take the Suns. Thank you.

Indiana Pacers.

Game 556.

4:10 PM, PST/710 PM EST.

The Indiana Pacers offense is proving to be one of the most explosive in the NBA thus far. As a matter fact, they top the league in scoring, averaging over 124.9 points per game. They rank in the top-10 in every major offensive category. Their defense leaves a lot to be desired. However, facing an opponent like the Utah Jazz isn't going to be a problem this evening. The Jazz have a mediocre offense and a defense that's allowing a league-ranked, 26th, allowing 120.1 points per game. It is ridiculous. They are going to get lit up like a Christmas tree in November.  Look for a little payback from the Pacers as they lost their last two outings against the Jazz last December and this past February. But these are two different teams this season. As you know, Utah is on a 0-3 run, both straight up and against the spread. They just don't have what it takes to keep pace on the scoreboard here. Taking Indiana. Thank you.

Golden State Warriors.

Crash the Boards

Game 521.

3:10 PM PST/6:10 PM EST.

Guys, there is no alternate universe that the Cleveland Cavaliers should be a favorite over the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors have taken the last 10 meetings in a row straight up, going back to June, 2018, covering nine of the 10 meetings. They enter this matchup red hot, winning their last five outings, which includes all four away games thus far this season. They are also 3-1 ATS as a visitor in this short season. Guard, Klay Thompson is listed as questionable here. That's going to be closer to a gametime decision. Obviously, we would want him on the floor. But please remember this team is deep with talent and have one of the smartest coaching staffs in the League. The Cavaliers are just 2-4 on the season straight up, covering just one of their six contests. They have lost and failed to cover all three games played at home so far. They possess a very low-scoring, lackluster offense, averaging nearly 12 points per game less than tonight's opponent. That would be bad enough, but the Warriors enter this match up with a top-10 defense as well.  Oh, by the way, look for one of the sharpest-shooting outside teams in basketball to absolutely shred the Cavaliers from beyond the arc as well. They Golden State. Thank you.

Dallas Mavericks.

Game 573.

7:10 PM PST/10:10 PM EST.

The Denver Nuggets are an amazing team. They will definitely be there at the end of the regular season to defend their NBA title, barring a major injury. However, they haven't played the best of the best yet. And I get it, coming off their first defeat of the season, they should look strong this evening. However, Dallas matches up quite well with them. They are also 4-0 straight up and 3-1 ATS so far. Granted, they haven't played the best of the best in the league yet either. But they have covered four of the last six meetings in this series, winning four of those last six straight up as well. Kyrie Irving is listed as questionable this evening. Even without him on the floor (check status), they still are deep enough to run in this match up. Way too many points to give them. Take the Mavericks. Thank you.

Washington Wizards.

Game 571.

5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST.

Guys, Miami is certainly off to a disappointing start at 1-4 so far this season. This is a team that won 44 games a season ago. But please take note, only 13 wins were by the margin of 10 or points or more. This is a lot of points to lay for this team. The Heat aren't known to be the best scorers in the league…by far. And to add insult to injury lol, they are just 1-4 ATS this season as well. This is just way too many points for a team that is in crisis to give. Take the Wizards. Thank you.

Milwaukee Bucks.

Game 566.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

 Milwaukee suffered not just a big defeat, but an embarrassing ass-whooping at the hands of Toronto on the road a few nights ago. This is a team that does not take losing lightly. They will bounce back here against an inferior opponent. The Bucks have had their way with the Knicks, winning and covering six consecutive meetings going back to November, 2021. I just don't see New York's lackluster offense keeping peace on the scoreboard here with a team that is looking to redeem themselves. Take Milwaukee. Thank you.

Indiana Pacers.

Fast Break play.

Game 539.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

The Boston Celtics are an outstanding basketball team. They are only one of three teams in the NBA currently that are still undefeated. But after tonight's contest, they have to go on the road to play Brooklyn, Minnesota, and Philadelphia. I'm not saying they're gonna’ take it easy this evening, but they are certainly going to be in a lookahead mode. Please understand that the Indiana Pacers are 2-1, both straight up and against the spread this season. Not only that, but they have covered four of the last five meetings with the Celtics. They play them very competitively, and I just don't see them getting this many points. Taking Indiana. Thank you.

Milwaukee Bucks.

Slam Dunk play.

Game 531

4:10 PM, PST/7:10 PM EST.

These two teams normally play each other very competitively. However, this season they look to be going in opposite directions. The Bucks are going to settle for nothing less than an NBA title. Meanwhile, the Raptors are just trying to stay alive. Milwaukee started the season 2-1, while Toronto is 1-3. They are on a three-game losing streak, failing to cover their last two outings. They have some grit on the team, they just don't have the personnel to contend with Milwaukee. They've only faced one solid upon thus far, and yet are averaging just 99.5 points per game. I just don't see them keeping pace on the scoreboard with the Bucks here. Take Milwaukee. Thank you.

Detroit Pistons.

Game 511.

5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST.

Guys, I'm not going tell you, I expect the Detroit Pistons to win the NBA Championship this season. But I will tell you, as far as sports betting goes, look for them to be an under-the-radar, ATS, cover machine, particularly in the beginning of the campaign. They have already gone 3-0 ATS in their three outings this season. They have actually won two of the three SU. They went on the road to Charlotte as an underdog and won outright, 111-99. Then at home a few nights ago, they crushed the Bulls as a 2.5-point underdog, 118-102. Oklahoma City is a good team. They are really a decent team… but not world beater. And I don't see them laying this many points to anyone, especially a team that matches up well with them. Last night, they hosted the defending NBA Champions, Denver Nuggets and took a beating, 128-95. Not only will they come in here with tired legs, I believe they are going be outmuscled. As I mentioned earlier, I don't expect the Pistons to win the NBA title. But they are playing very unselfish ball, playing tough in the paint, and their defense has certainly stepped up a bit. This game is going to be a lot closer than the point spread. Take Detroit. Thank you.

Oklahoma City Thunder.

Fast Break.

Game 537.

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.

Guys, I had Cleveland on the moneyline the other night, to get us all paid on the road at Brooklyn. And I expect great things from the Cavaliers this season. I really do. While Oklahoma City is certainly an improved team, I feel that many out there, including the odds makers and the general public don't feel they going to be able to compete too well this season. Well, that would be a big mistake my friends. I do feel they are going to be able to compete. I feel especially this time of the campaign, so early, we could take advantage of some lines that might be a little bit off. And I feel this line is certainly off. For starters, they've covered seven of the last 10 meetings with Oklahoma City. They are also a very unselfish team. I watched this team in their season-opener on the road in Chicago, absolutely beat the Bulls in every aspect of the game, including tallying over 30 assists. They match up well here. And I think giving them this many points, is a mistake. Take the Thunder. Thank you.

Miami Heat.

Crash The Boards.

Game 541.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

Guys, the Boston Celtics are monster team, no doubt about that. Their season-opener, was a tough one. They visited Madison Square Garden to face their archrival, New York Knicks, and believe me, the game was even closer than the 108-104 score. They did not cover the game as it landed on the number. Going back a bit, this team gets seriously overvalued. They've only covered two of their last eight coming into tonight's matchup. And by the way, their opponent tonight is a very good team. As a matter fact, they've covered eight of the last 10 meetings in this Eastern Conference rivalry. You can expect a very physical game this evening. And I think that definitely benefits the road team here. Miami can play very physical basketball, especially down low. I think they're going to come in here a little better rested than the Celtics.  These two teams know each other very well. And as I mentioned earlier, I expect a very physical game. I just think this is way too many points for the Celtics to lay against a very formidable foe. Take the Heat. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

Slam Dunk.

Game 535.

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.

Guys, if this was a different situation, I would look at this match up very differently. These two teams, over recent seasons have played one another very competitively. However, having said that, the Nuggets will take out some revenge over the Grizzlies here tonight. We all know that Ja’ Morant is going to be sidelined for a while. That's bad enough. But now without, center, Steven Adams, I just don't see Memphis competing in the paint here at all. The Nuggets have been money on the road covering, their last five a season ago as a visitor. Take Denver. Thank you.

Phoenix Suns.

Fast Break play.

Game 503.

7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST.

Last season, both of these teams left the playoffs a lot earlier than they expected. They enter this season the second and third choice (at most books) to win the Western Conference Title. The Suns have taken four of the last five meetings over the Warriors, which includes three of four a season ago. There's a lot of underlying storylines going on here like Kevin Durant taking the floor in a Phoenix uniform against his former team. Plus, his old buddy, Chris Paul is now sporting a Golden State uniform. However good, Steph Curry and company is, especially at home, it is going to be an uphill battle for the Warriors in this matchup as they face a bolstered front line of Durant, Booker, and Beal. As in any game, always do your due diligence and check injury reports…especially in the NBA. I expect a faster start out of the gate by the Suns this season. Take Phoenix. Thank you.