Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-11-20 | Michigan State -1.5 v. Illinois | 70-69 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
631 Michigan State at Illinois This is traditionally the time of year when the Spartans start to play their best ball. But after losing three straight games the onus is on this squad tonight. Coming off a loss to instate rival Michigan, we expect a superior effort tonight from the visitor. Ranking in the Top 20 in both offensive and defensive adjusted efficiency, this team beat the Illini by 20 in early January. Better team gets it done tonight. PLAY MICHIGAN STATE |
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02-08-20 | Virginia +7.5 v. Louisville | 73-80 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
673 Virginia at Louisville This number is awfully high considering how these two play defense. With a total in the 114 range we will gladly take the points with the #1 defense in college basketball. The Cavaliers are 2-3 SU against Top 50 opposition this season, and have held every opponent to 70 points or less. Louisville is on a 9 game winning streak and sit at 11-1 in conference. Coming off five straight games of 77 points or more the Cardinals will have a much tougher time offensively here. Despite the gaudy 20-3 record Louisville is only 2-3 SU vs Top 50 opposition. With just one win being higher than this current number. PLAY VIRGINIA |
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02-08-20 | Purdue v. Indiana -2.5 | 74-62 | Loss | -104 | 1 h 16 m | Show | |
642 Purdue at Indiana Trailing the Boilermakers in the standings, and coming in having lost three straight, this is a must win game for the host. Just two home losses on the season for Indiana. Purdue has won back to back games including a blowout of Iowa by 36 points last time out. But before that this team lost 5 of 7. The Boilermakers are only 2-6 SU on the road this year. Lay it with the Hoosiers. PLAY INDIANA |
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02-05-20 | UNLV v. Utah State -10.5 | 54-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
842 UNLV at Utah State The Rebels are 1-9 straight up on the season against top 100 opposition. The lone victory was a 70-53 blowout over this Utah State squad. UNLV has just two road victories on the season and both went to overtime. Turnovers have been a problem all season ranking 281st offensively and 277th defensively. Utah State is 70th in offensive turnovers. This is a team ranking in the top 60 both in offensive and defensive adjusted efficiency. After falling apart late in its showdown contest at San Diego State, we expect a fired up host here. The Aggies only home loss on the season came against the undefeated San Diego State team. PLAY UTAH STATE |
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02-04-20 | Xavier v. DePaul -1 | Top | 67-59 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
632 Xavier at DePaul The Musketeers had been cruising to an 11-2 record before Big East play. Now with the tougher schedule Xavier has dropped 5 of its last 7. The Saturday win at Seton Hall was just the second straight up road win of the season. While Xavier’s defense has traveled well this team ranks 289th in the nation in three point accuracy. That and a 319th ranked free throw percentage will likely come in to play here. Very similar to Xavier, DePaul feasted on non-conference competition, but sits at 1-8 in Big East play. But only two of those defeats came by double digits. This is a team on a four game losing streak that has road trips to Georgetown and Creighton on deck. This is a must win game for the host, and we expect its best effort of the conference season. PLAY DEPAUL |
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02-03-20 | North Carolina +9.5 v. Florida State | Top | 59-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
861 North Carolina at Florida State Now that the Tar Heels are getting healthy we want to look to back North Carolina in these type of situations. While the Tar Heels have gotten better, the wins haven’t come around. Two overtime losses and a one point loss to Boston College last time out keep this team out of the press. But that gives us plenty of value here against a #5 rated team we have ranked 20th. While Florida State is 9-3 SU against top 100 opposition, wins have come by margins of 3, 3, 4 and 1 point. This is a team that is getting favorable bounces going 7-2 in close games. The Tar Heels have the talent to take this to the wire. PLAY NORTH CAROLINA |
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02-01-20 | Oregon v. Stanford +2.5 | 60-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
752 Oregon at Stanford Oregon has played five top 40 teams on the season with a 3-2 record including a win by 2 and an overtime win by 1. Despite the 18-4 record these two teams are much closer in talent. The Cardinal have dropped three straight games by a combined 11 points. This is a team that has lost on this court just twice all season. They are also 16-6 ATS vs divisional rivals on this court. PLAY STANFORD |
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01-29-20 | Baylor -3.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 67-53 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
847 Baylor at Iowa State Surprised this number is available considering how dominant the Bears have been on the road. Undefeated on true road courts this season, and no lookahead with TCU at home on Saturday. Baylor beat Iowa State at home 68-55 just two weeks ago. The Bears rank 21st in adjusted offensive efficiency and 4th in adjusted defensive efficiency. Baylor is dominant on the offensive boards at 5th in the country. Iowa State has already lost three times at home this season, including a defeat to Florida A&M. This squad has also lost 6 of 8 overall with the wins coming against the Oklahoma schools. While the offense is 41st in adjusted offensive efficiency, the defense ranks 140th. The Cyclones are 291st keeping the opposition off the offensive glass. That is the telling stat here as the Bears should dominate down low offensively. This is a cheap number. PLAY BAYLOR |
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01-25-20 | Pacific v. Gonzaga -20.5 | 59-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
794 Pacific at Gonzaga While the Tigers look to be a pretty good team based on a 15-7 record, the truth is they are 3-7 against top 200 opposition. They are 4-3 SU on the road but the best team it played away from home is 120th ranked UC Irvine. Gonzaga is 20-1 on the season and was just knocked out of the #1 spot despite not losing a game. We expect the Zags to take no prisoners the rest of the way in the West Coast Conference. We saw some of that the last two outings with a 23 point win over BYU and a 50 point blowout of Santa Clara. Lay it with the team on a mission. PLAY GONZAGA |
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01-25-20 | Southern Illinois v. Illinois State -2 | 58-55 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
650 Southern Illinois at Illinois State The Salukis sit at 4-3 in conference after back to back home wins over Drake and Northern Iowa. But this is a team that is 0-7 on the road this season. Southern Illinois is a pretty good defensive team that struggles on the offensive end. They haven’t reached 70 points in eight straight games. Illinois State is desperate for a victory having lost six straight entering play today. But it has two winnable home games with Southern Illinois and Evansville. The Redbirds are a good three point shooting team who should have a solid advantage playing at home. Lay it with the Redbirds. PLAY ILLINOIS STATE |
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01-25-20 | LSU v. Texas | 69-67 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 57 m | Show | |
626 LSU at Texas All is right for the Tigers right now with a seven game winning streak. But a closer look shows how lucky this team has been. Five straight victories by a total of 13 points with one of those games going to overtime. LSU has an excellent offense, especially around the basket. But offense doesn’t work as well normally on the road. Texas is 2-4 in conference and have lost back to back games against West Virginia and Kansas. Playing LSU is actually a step down in class for the Longhorns. Must win game for the host, against a fat and happy Tigers squad. PLAY TEXAS |
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01-24-20 | St. Peter's v. Rider -6 | Top | 66-70 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
862 St Peters at Rider The Peacocks have dropped 3 of 4 as of late but blew out Quinnipiac on the road last Saturday. Now 3-6 SU on the road this season. Saint Peter’s is an excellent offensive rebounding team ranking 8th in the country. But very weak offensively at 331st in effective field goal percentage, and bad holding onto the ball at 348th. The Broncs of Rider have lost 6 of 8 and sit at 3-4 in conference. This looks like a must win game for the host. Rider is 4-1 SU at home this year with the lone loss being the last time it played at Alumni Gymnasium. While St Peter’s is great in offensive rebounding, that plays directly into what Rider does best, hit the glass. The Broncs are 60th in offensive rebounding, and 8th in the country keeping opposing teams off the offensive glass. Rider is also extremely good getting to the line and keeping opponents from getting to the strike. We look for Rider to take advantage of a solid home court here and get back in the win column. PLAY RIDER |
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01-23-20 | Texas-San Antonio +9.5 v. North Texas | 78-98 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
637 UTSA at North Texas The Roadrunners had a tough non-conference slate, losing to the likes of Oklahoma, Utah State and Oregon State. But that strengthend this teams resolve as UTSA has won 8 of 12 as of late. At 3-3 in Conference USA play, and with three straight winnable games after this, the Roadrunners could set themselves up pretty well with a win here. North Texas is 6-1 in conference and have won six straight. Coming off a 20 point victory over Rice, this team looks prone for a letdown. While the Mean Green are a very good scoring team, it ranks 322nd in turnovers and 323rd in free throw rate. The line shows the host to be significantly better, but our numbers disagree. PLAY UTSA |
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01-23-20 | Jacksonville v. Lipscomb -3 | 89-85 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
240 Jacksonville at Lipscomb The Dolphins have dropped 6 of 7 and are 1-4 in the Atlantic Sun Conference. This is one of the worst offenses in college basketball. Ranking 339th in adjusted offensive efficiency and 316th in effective field goal percentage. This is also a club that turns the ball over (297th) and doesn’t force turnovers (327th). Lipscomb has dropped three straight and is now 2-4 in conference play. The weakness of the Bisons is defense as they rank 328th in adjusted defensive efficiency. Despite a 7-12 overall record this team is an acceptable 4-3 at home. This is a cheap number considering Jacksonville’s inability to put points on the board. PLAY LIPSCOMB |
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01-23-20 | Illinois-Chicago +4.5 v. Oakland | 80-50 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show | |
613 Illinois Chicago at Oakland After an 0-7 start on the road the Flames tasted victory for the first time Saturday at IUPUI. That’s back to back wins which puts this team at 3-4 in conference. The Flames rank 65th in defending the perimeter at 30.5%. Oakland has been on a terrible 3-11 run, including 1-3 straight up at home. At 2-5 this is a must win game for the Golden Grizzlies. The question is if this team is up for it. Oakland is 334th shooting from the perimeter, that has been the Achilles heel for this club. Tough to lay points with a team that turns the ball over at 308th, and can’t score from three. PLAY ILLINOIS CHICAGO |
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01-22-20 | Georgetown v. Xavier -4 | Top | 57-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
782 Georgetown at Xavier Hoyas have dropped 4 of 6 lately, along with three straight on the road. Georgetown ranks 288th defending the three, which is always a concern on the road. At 1-4 in conference and off three straight losses, you know you will get a full effort from the host. Really like this defense which ranks 38th defending the three, and 68th against 2 point attempts. We expect this Xavier defense to clamp down and get this team back in the win column. PLAY XAVIER |
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01-18-20 | Utah +7 v. Arizona State | Top | 64-83 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
807 Utah at Arizona The Utes have lost 4 of its last 5 games. But those contests were against San Diego State, Oregon, Colorado and Arizona, all top 20 programs. Now the Utes step down in class to take on an Arizona State team we rank 94th in the nation. Utah is 36th in the country in offensive effective field goal percentage, and 4th in defensive free throw rating. This is a quality team despite the overall record. Arizona State has yet to beat a team in the top 55, so we can’t see this team pulling away from Utah. Especially considering its the 297th shooting 3 point percentage unit. PLAY UTAH |
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01-18-20 | Indiana v. Nebraska +6.5 | Top | 82-74 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 1 m | Show |
770 Indiana at Nebraska The Hoosiers have dropped 3 of its last 5 and sit at 3-3 in league play. Indiana is also winless on the road this season dropping all three contests. This club is 307th in the country in 3 point shooting, which makes it tough to lay a number with on the road. Nebraska is 7th in the nation in offensive turnover percentage, so the Hoosiers will not get many easy baskets. At 2-4 in conference this is a must win game for the Huskers with trips to Wisconsin and Rutgers on deck. PLAY NEBRASKA |
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01-18-20 | Nebraska-Omaha -4.5 v. Denver | Top | 76-91 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
677 Nebraska Omaha at Denver Omaha is a team that lives and dies by the perimeter. Ranking 68th in 3 point shooting and 301st in defending the three. This club is 3-1 in conference play with the lone loss coming last time out at South Dakota, a 91-81 defeat. While many will look at the 1-8 SU record on the road. A closer look sees that this team has been extremely tested playing at Wichita State, Dayton, St Mary’s and Arizona. Denver at 4-15 is a bad basketball team. Especially on the offensive end of the court. Ranking 339th in offensive adjusted efficiency and 350th in offensive rebounding percentage. This is a get right game for the visitor. PLAY NEBRASKA OMAHA |
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01-18-20 | Dartmouth +12 v. Harvard | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
635 Dartmouth at Harvard The first of back to back games for these two. The Crimson have reeled off six straight wins entering Saturday action, and the team is undefeated on its home court. That said this line is a bit inflated based on the talent of these two clubs. Harvard ranks 305th in defending from the perimeter, which keeps a dog of this size live. Dartmouth is also an excellent defensive rebounding team, so it’s likely one and done for the host. Just too many points to lay in this one. PLAY DARTMOUTH |
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01-18-20 | Detroit v. Green Bay -6 | Top | 80-83 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
620 Detroit at Green Bay The Titans have just one road victory on the season. That win came on Thursday as Detroit beat Milwaukee 90-84. This is a club that ranks badly in just about every individual category. Including 312th in defensive adjusted efficiency and 320th in offensive effective field goal percentage. Green Bay doesn’t turn the ball over, ranking 13th in the nation. It’s also a very good shooting team at 46th in 3 point accuracy. We look for the Phoenix to use their solid free throw shooting to extend a second half lead. PLAY GREEN BAY |
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01-17-20 | Wisconsin +9.5 v. Michigan State | 55-67 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
861 Wisconsin at Michigan State It’s well known by now how well home teams have done in the Big 10 Conference. They have dominated league play thus far, but now is the time to fade those inflated prices. Wisconsin only has two straight up losses on the road this year, at NC State and Rutgers. With wins at Tennessee, Ohio State and Penn State. The Badgers are 26th in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency. While Michigan State is coming off an embarrassing 29 point loss at Purdue, this club is only 5-4 SU vs top 60 opposition. In what we expect to be a defensive struggle this is way too many points to give. PLAY WISCONSIN |
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01-17-20 | Furman -3 v. Wofford | Top | 52-66 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
859 Furman at Wofford Big fan of this Furman offense which ranks 15th in effective field goal percentage. It’s also a team that forces turnovers but doesn’t turn the ball over themselves. This club dominates in the paint ranking 5th in the nation in 2 point shooting percentage. Wofford has a solid home court advantage, but ranks 300th in adjusted defensive efficiency. Going up against this Furman offense won’t be easy. The host also struggles to get to the line ranking 318th, so late game foul shots may not be there in a close game. PLAY FURMAN |
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01-16-20 | CS Sacramento +7 v. Northern Colorado | 52-71 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
Now on a 16-2 College Basketball run after sweeping our two releases yesterday. Thursday we continue our hard court dominance with a west coast best bet. Join us as we continue to see these games extremely well. |
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01-16-20 | Southern Illinois +10 v. Loyola-Chicago | Top | 48-64 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
637 Southern Illinois at Loyola Chicago The visitor has really struggled on the road this season, but that said this line is extremely high. Coming off a blowout loss at Bradley, we find great value on the underdog here. At 7-2 SU at home and coming off a 34 point domination of Evansville, this line is extremely inflated. Value play on the dog here. PLAY SOUTHERN ILLINOIS |
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01-15-20 | Xavier v. Marquette -3 | 65-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
826 Xavier at Marquette The Musketeers are 0-4 SU against top 40 opposition, and are coming off back to back home losses to Creighton and Seton Hall. This is a poor shooting club from the perimeter, which makes it hard to win away from home. Marquette has lost 3 of 4 as of late, as this becomes a must win game for the host. Unlike its opponent, this team ranks 5th in the country in 3 point shooting. PLAY MARQUETTE |
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01-15-20 | Indiana v. Rutgers -3 | 50-59 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
796 Indiana at Rutgers Hoosiers sit at 13-3 on the season and are off back to back wins over Ohio State and Northwestern. But a closer look shows Indiana only playing two try road games. A 20 point loss at Wisconsin and a 16 point loss at Maryland. Rutgers has an excellent defense, and is undefeated on this home court this season. PLAY RUTGERS |
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01-14-20 | San Diego State -7 v. Fresno State | 64-55 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
647 San Diego State at Fresno State The undefeated Aztecs have been especially impressive on the road. Road margins have been by 5, 17, 22, 9 and 20 points. San Diego State has played three top 30 teams overall and won by 5 at BYU, 31 on a neutral vs Creighton, and 10 on a neutral vs Iowa. This team is just as good away as at home. Fresno ranks 312th in the country in forcing turnovers, so the Bulldogs are at a disadvantage against this talented team. At 4-3 at home on the season this club just doesn’t have the horses to compete in this one. PLAY SAN DIEGO STATE |
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01-14-20 | DePaul +9.5 v. Villanova | Top | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
633 DePaul at Villanova The Blue Demons have started conference play 0-3. But have solid wins over Iowa, Minnesota and Texas Tech on the season. Defense travels and this Dave Leitao team is highly ranked in that regard. Villanove is 12-3 and looks solid once again, but this club doesn’t win by margins. Overall 4 of the last 5 wins have come by margins of 5, 6, 1 and 8 points. DePaul has the ability to slow down this Wildcat offense. PLAY DEPAUL |
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01-14-20 | Central Michigan +9 v. Toledo | 74-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
619 Central Michigan at Toledo The Chippewas are winless on the road which may be the reason why we are getting such a nice number here. But it did play Kent State within six points on Saturday, and the Golden Flashes are better than the Rockets. You tend to find great betting value later in the season going against non-conference trends, and we see that here. Toledo comes into this game dropping 5 of 6, and relies too heavily on perimeter shooting. Being at home should help, but it’s tough trusting a team to lay this many points without forcing turnovers. We expect this one to go down to the wire. PLAY CENTRAL MICHIGAN |
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01-13-20 | Coppin State +4.5 v. Florida A&M | 54-65 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 44 m | Show | |
994 Coppin State at Florida A&M Coppin State rides into this contest with an 8 game losing streak. But have far easier chances for a victory the next couple Saturdays when facing North Carolina A&T and Morgan State. This club ranks 344th in 3 point shooting, which really should be tough to improve on playing on the road. Florida A&M is just 3-11 on the season but have won 3 of the last 5 outings. Five non-conference games against top 100 opposition has prepared this team well for league action. This is also just the second true home game of the year for the host. PLAY FLORIDA A&M |
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01-13-20 | North Carolina Central -6.5 v. Maryland-Eastern Shore | 69-64 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 52 m | Show | |
991 NC Central at Maryland Eastern Shore LaVelle Moton’s team comes into this contest at 5-11 on the season, and 1-1 in the MEAC. But this team has already faced 4 top 100 opponents. Defensive turnovers are big for this club as it ranks 27th in the country in defensive turnover percentage. MD Eastern Shore is 2-15 on the year, with victories over Clarks Summit and 349th ranked Howard. Offensively this club ranks 293rd in offensive rebounding percentage. And that’s the best category for this weak Clifford Reed squad. Central steps way down in class here and takes out some frustrations. PLAY NC CENTRAL |
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01-12-20 | Arizona v. Oregon State +4.5 | Top | 65-82 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
848 Arizona at Oregon State The Wildcats started the year impressively with 9 straight victories, including wins over Illinois and New Mexico State. But Arizona has struggled as of late dropping 4 of its last 6 games. They are just 2-4 against top 100 opposition. This club is also winless on the road after dropping an overtime decision at Oregon on Thursday. Oregon State has one home loss this season, last time out against Arizona State. With a 1-2 conference record and a trip to Washington on deck, this is a must have game for the host. The Beavers are a terrific offensive team that ranks 28th in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency. We look for the host to pull the upset. PLAY OREGON STATE |
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01-12-20 | Wichita State -1.5 v. Connecticut | 89-86 | Win | 100 | 2 h 23 m | Show | |
823 Wichita State at Connecticut The Shockers are 4-1 on the season vs top 100 opposition, including a 80-61 victory at Oklahoma State. This team has it all, a 41st ranked adjusted efficiency offense, and a 10th rated adjusted efficiency defense. Connecticut has dropped 2 0f 3 lately, including a 15 point loss at South Florida. The Huskies are 2-3 on the season vs top 100 opposition, and this is by far its toughest opponent. UConn is a very good defensive team, but offensively this team is lacking. Don’t feel the Huskies are up for the test today. PLAY WICHITA STATE |
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01-11-20 | Kansas State +5 v. Texas | Top | 50-64 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
761 Kansas State at Texas This Kansas State defense travels. Ranking 40th in adjusted Efficiency, and 15th in defensive turnover percentage. This is a winless team in conference action. We just can’t trust Texas in the roll of a favorite. Especially in late game situations. The Longhorns are 314th in the country in free throw shooting, and 342nd drawing fouls. Texas is 1-4 straight up against top 100 opposition. PLAY KANSAS STATE |
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01-11-20 | Chicago State v. UT-Rio Grande Valley -19 | Top | 63-87 | Win | 100 | 1 h 6 m | Show |
784 Chicago State at UT Rio Grande Valley When you are a child your parents always tell you, if you can’t say something good about someone, don’t say anything. Well, Chicago state is 48th in the country in getting to the line and 71st in free throw percentage. So there you go. Grand Valley is 5-10 on the season and are a large favorite here. But this club has played nine teams rated in the top 200 in the country. The host has only lost once on this floor all season. While the records are somewhat similar, the talent advantage is sizable. PLAY UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY |
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01-11-20 | South Dakota State -2 v. IUPU Ft Wayne | 70-61 | Win | 100 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
757 South Dakota State at IPFW State has strong shooting numbers with a 31st ranked effective field goal percentage. They are also in the top 10 in the nation in 2 point shooting percentage. Fort Wayne rarely gets to the free throw line ranking 341st, and only shoot 64.9% from the stripe. After winning 2 of 3 against the likes of South Dakota, North Dakota and Western Illinois, this is a substantial step up in class for the host. PLAY SOUTH DAKOTA STATE |
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01-11-20 | Texas Tech v. West Virginia -4.5 | Top | 54-66 | Win | 100 | 2 h 23 m | Show |
744 Texas Tech at West Virginia The Red Raiders have just two wins all season against top 100 opposition. They are also winless on the road this year as this is only the second true road game of the season for Texas Tech. West Virginia is undefeated at home with every game being decided by 5 points or more. This is also the first home game for the Mountaineers on four weeks, so we should get a really fired up crowd. PLAY WEST VIRGINIA |
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01-11-20 | VMI +19 v. East Tennessee State | 55-61 | Win | 100 | 2 h 48 m | Show | |
683 VMI at East Tennessee State VMI is not a good basketball team, but when looking at game scores this club is much better than its results. Let’s face it, nobody wants this team on the road after dropping three straight on its own home court. That gives us value here. After back to back tough opponents in Furman and UNC Greensboro, we can see this team looking past this VMI squad. Line is just too high to not take the hard trying road club. PLAY VMI |
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01-11-20 | Oakland -3 v. Cleveland State | Top | 68-55 | Win | 100 | 1 h 9 m | Show |
659 Oakland at Cleveland State Oakland has dropped 7 of 8 but really step down in class against the Vikings. It beat a similar Detroit team by 9 in late December. Cleveland State is 3-1 in conference but have feasted on the other bottom tier teams in the league. Cleveland State is just 4-3 at home and ranks in the 330th range in all offensive categories. PLAY OAKLAND |
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01-11-20 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Georgia State -12 | Top | 62-84 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show |
640 UL Monroe at Georgia State Monroe has been terrible on the road with an 0-6 mark. The closest contest was a six point loss at Texas A&M. This squad struggles turning the ball over ranking 311th in the country. ULM is a good shooting team fro the perimeter but that’s something that hasn’t helped them on the road. Georgia State is not only great from 3 point range at 12th in the nation, but are 24th in defending from the perimeter. On an undefeated home court we look for a blowout. PLAY GEORGIA STATE |
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01-11-20 | DePaul v. St. John's -3 | Top | 67-74 | Win | 100 | 1 h 15 m | Show |
604 DePaul at St Johns DePaul has the better record, but the host is the better team. The Blue Demons feasted on questionable competition in the non-conference season. Mike Anderson’s squad specializes in taking care of the ball. Ranking 27th in not turning the ball over, and 22nd in forcing turnovers. This is also a team in the top 50 in adjusted defensive efficiency. Starting the conference season at 0-3 this becomes a very important game for the host. Let’s lay the small number with St Johns. PLAY ST JOHNS |
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01-10-20 | Wright State -10 v. IUPU-Indianapolis | Top | 84-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
833 Wright State at IUPUI Wright State takes good care of the ball and is a solid offensive rebounding team. This club is unedited in true road games this season. The host has really struggled this year when stepping up in class. Against top 11 opposition this team has lost to Butler by 33, Bradley by 34, Loyola Chicago by 23 and Ball State by 48. PLAY WRIGHT STATE |
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01-08-20 | UNLV +6 v. Boise State | 66-73 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
835 UNLV at Boise State Don’t look now but these Rebels ride into Boise on an impressive four game winning streak, winning every game by double digits. New coach TJ Otzelberger has this young team playing with confidence. This team ranks 13th in the country in offensive rebounding. The Rebels sit at 3-0 in Mountain West Conference play. Boise State comes in at 10-6 on the season, but sit just 2-2 in conference play. Other than the home overtime win over BYU in mid-November, this team hasn’t had an impressive win. With San Diego State on deck this is a must win game for the host. Which is why this line is inflated. Boise hasn’t shown us enough to trust them laying this amount of points. PLAY UNLV |
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01-08-20 | Seton Hall v. Xavier -3 | 83-71 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
826 Seton Hall at Xavier The Pirates are having a solid season entering the game on a four game winning streak. But just a 1-3 record vs top 50 opposition. Seton Hall is also just 2-2 SU on the road. This is a very good defensive team, and defense travels, but this is a very tough environment for Kevin Willard’s squad. Xavier isn’t a team that relies on perimeter shooting, which makes them easier to handicap. You know on a given night what this team is going to give you. On an undefeated home court we really like this defensive squad. Cheap line in our viewpoint. PLAY XAVIER |
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01-08-20 | Davidson v. Rhode Island -4 | 58-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
790 Davidson at Rhode Island Not overly impressed with this Davidson team. Now 1-4 SU vs top 80 squads and one of the worst teams getting to the line. Davidson ranks 334th in free throw rate and 327th in offensive rebounding rate. Rhode Island is 59th in the country in defensive adjusted efficiency. They are also very good with the ball, forcing 21.5% turnovers while only turning the ball over 17.2%. Off back to back losses we like the Rams here. PLAY RHODE ISLAND |
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01-07-20 | Baylor v. Texas Tech -3 | Top | 57-52 | Loss | -106 | 21 h 29 m | Show |
654 Baylor at Texas Tech The Bears are 11-1 on the season and have run off 10 straight winners. But it’s time to really see what Baylor is made of with back to back games against Texas Tech and Kansas. This is also the first true road game of the season for the Bears. The Red Raiders dropped three in a row earlier, with two coming in overtime. But this club gets better as the season goes on and we love the Texas Tech coaching staff. After already playing three top 30 teams, we expect the Red Raiders to be primed. PLAY TEXAS TECH |
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01-06-20 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Coastal Carolina -7 | Top | 64-93 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
854 UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina Simply can’t trust Monroe to score enough away from home. On the season this team has produced 57, 59, 45 and 36 points away from home. Too many turnovers and a poor offensive efficiency has led to this 6-7 overall record. Coastal ranks 10th in the country in 3 point percentage and is an excellent offensive rebounding team. Let’s lay it with the host. PLAY COASTAL CAROLINA |
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01-05-20 | Massachusetts +10.5 v. St. Louis | 80-83 | Win | 100 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
831 Massachusetts at St Louis UMass has dropped 7 of 8 but have played a very tough schedule. Virginia, St Johns, Rutgers, Yale and Akron to name a few. But this is still a team that shoots 36.0% from behind the line and forces turnovers at a 22.2% rate. St Louis is 11-3 but have feasted on lower division and weaker Division 1 opponents. When stepping up this team has lost to Seton Hall, Auburn and Duquesne. The best win on the season was by 3 points on a neutral against Kansas State, the 87th ranked team by our numbers. This line is simply too high. PLAY MASSACHUSETTS |
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12-23-19 | Portland v. Boise State -10.5 | 69-85 | Win | 100 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
812 Portland & Boise State in Honolulu We cashed 2 of our 3 college basketball plays yesterday, the lone loss on these Broncos. But we come back on Boise State today as it completely outclasses the Pilots. Georgia Tech played what could be its most complete game of the year yesterday. Boise is much better than what it showed. Big bounce back from the Broncos. PLAY BOISE STATE |
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12-22-19 | Georgia Tech v. Boise State -1.5 | 74-60 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
796 Georgia Tech and Boise State in Honolulu Haven’t been impressed at all by this Yellow Jackets bunch. Just one win against top 140 competition, and that came in overtime against NC State. Tech is a poor shooting team that turns the ball over too often. Boise State specializes on taking care of the ball and forcing turnovers. Great matchup for the Broncos. BOISE STATE |
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12-22-19 | Xavier +2.5 v. TCU | 67-59 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
787 Xavier at TCU Really liking this Xavier team who only has two losses on the season. A five point defeat to Florida, and a two point loss at Wake Forest. This is a top 20 defense that defends the perimeter. TCU has beaten up on a weak schedule. Only playing two teams ranked in the top 100. The Musketeers are the best team they have played all season. PLAY XAVIER |
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12-22-19 | South Carolina +10.5 v. Virginia | 70-59 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
769 South Carolina at Virginia The Gamecocks are a solid defensive team and a club that pound the offensive glass. South Carolina is undefeated on the road including a 67-54 win at Clemson last time out. The Gamecocks can take this to the wire. PLAY SOUTH CAROLINA |
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12-21-19 | Western Kentucky +6.5 v. Rhode Island | 82-86 | Win | 100 | 1 h 19 m | Show | |
641 Western Kentucky at Rhode Island The Hilltoppers haven’t played in two weeks but are off an overtime win hosting Arkansas. This is a team with a 109.8 adjusted offensive efficiency and shoots a solid 76.6% from the line. The Rams are a good defensive team, but this line is simply too high. PLAY WESTERN KENTUCKY |
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12-19-19 | Northern Illinois -18.5 v. Chicago State | 75-60 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
721 Northern Illinois at Chicago State The Huskies enter this game on a three game losing streak, and now get to take out some frustrations on one of the worst teams in the nation. Northern Illinois defends the perimeter very well and keeps opponents off the offensive glass. Chicago State has played two Division 1 opponents losing by margins of 44 and 57 points. The Huskies feast tonight. PLAY NORTHERN ILLINOIS |
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12-18-19 | Michigan State v. Northwestern +12 | 77-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
668 Michigan State at Northwestern This is only the second true road game for the Spartans this season, and first since November 14th at Seton Hall. Michigan State has dropped three games so far and has a history of struggling early on in the season. Northwestern started Big 10 play with a 14 point loss at Purdue. But home teams have been golden thus far in conference play, and we feel this Wildcat team can give the Spartans some trouble. Northwestern defends the three well and is a very good free throw shooting team. This one goes to the wire.PLAY NORTHWESTERN |
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12-18-19 | Tennessee State +9 v. Indiana State | 72-78 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
647 Tennessee State at Indiana State The Tigers just won its first road game of the season which should provide positive momentum here. Indiana State on the other hand is in the midst of a five game winning streak, including an overtime winner on Saturday against Wright State on the road. We see a letdown here for the Sycamores who enters this contest fat and happy. PLAY TENNESSEE STATE |
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12-17-19 | Grambling State +24 v. Marquette | 72-93 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
425 Grambling State at Marquette Marquette is coming off a solid win over Kansas State, and now plays three lesser teams during the holidays. With Christmas afoot the home court values are lessened as the student body goes home over the holidays to be with family. The general fan ship is also less inclined to take in a sporting event with holiday shopping on the menu. Therefore we will gladly take the points with a Grambling State team excited to play a quality opponent. PLAY GRAMBLING STATE |
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12-17-19 | Mississippi Valley State +29.5 v. Wright State | 50-92 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
409 Mississippi Valley State at Wright State No doubt that Mississippi Valley State is a bad basketball team. Its only win this year came against a team called North American. But luckily we don’t have to bet money lines to be successful. Not with a line of this magnitude. Wright State has this contest before taking on rivals Toledo , Green Bay and Milwaukee. Coming off a 23 point win over Southern, we can’t see this club looking to run up a score. Only once has this club won by more than 23 points all season, and that was against a non-division one program in Urbana. PLAY MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE |
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12-16-19 | Kent State v. Cal-Irvine +2.5 | 68-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
838 Kent State & Cal Irvine at El Paso The Golden Flashes have been dominant against lesser competition, but we feel the wrong team is favored here. We really like the way Irvine defends the glass, which could be the deciding factor here. This team permits just 43.8% effective field goals which is key on this neutral court. PLAY CAL IRVINE |
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12-16-19 | Charleston Southern v. James Madison -6.5 | 60-81 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
386 Charleston Southern at James Madison Both teams really like to run but we question the depth of this CSU squad. The team already ranks 351st in FG% and is poor for the perimeter. James Madison has the 13th fastest pace in the country and ranks 107 spots higher in our rankings. Cheap number here for the host. PLAY JAMES MADISON |
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11-13-19 | Monmouth +17 v. Kansas State | 54-73 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
627 Monmouth at Kansas State King Rice’s crew is coming off an embarrassing defensive performance in a 94-74 loss at Hofstra. They allowed an adjusted defensive rating of 123.2. In its first two games the opposition is shooting 17 of 35 from long range, which is simply not sustainable. Kansas State is coming off an overtime victory at UNLV in which it was very fortunate to win. Our numbers show it should have lost the game by 3 points, not win by 4. K State forced a turnover rate of 35.8% in that contest, a far cry from the 12.3% TO rate in this opener vs North Dakota State. Our numbers show plenty of value on the underdog in this one. PLAY MONMOUTH |
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11-12-19 | North Texas +13.5 v. Arkansas | 43-66 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
783 North Texas at Arkansas This line has moved down but still shows solid value on the underdog. We’ve been impressed with the Mean Green defense around the basket, yielding just 35% shooting from 2 point range. It gave VCU all it could handle on Friday in a 59-56 road loss. Arkansas cruised to a 91-43 win over Rice, and look fat and happy after playing about as good as you possibly could in that blowout win. It’s also been a full week since opening night, so a bit of rust could play a factor. PLAY NORTH TEXAS |
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11-10-19 | UC-Santa Barbara +5.5 v. UCLA | 61-77 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
711 Cal Santa Barbara at UCLA Coming off a 22-10 season Joe Pasternack’s squad will be stepping up in class here after an 83-62 victory over Jackson State. But we like their chances as this is a team who goes eight deep, and shoots well from the perimeter. UCLA survived Long Beach 69-65 but we were not impressed. Other than the ability to get to the line Mick Cronin’s new team didn’t show much on the offensive end. With an effective field goal percentage of 44.3, while allowing a 54.8% EFG number. Cronin is a really good coach but these aren’t his players. It will take some time before we trust the Bruins laying points. PLAY CAL SANTA BARBARA |
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11-09-19 | Cal-Irvine v. Pepperdine -1.5 | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
656 Cal Irvine at Pepperdine Irvine survived San Diego 76-73 but really were fortunate with the win. Irvine was 2 of 11 from deep, and that can’t happen here against the Wave. Pepperdine laid an egg last time out against California, losing by 16. The defense was horrid allowing the Bears to shoot an effective field goal percentage of 66.7%. Coming off a disappointing season we expect a big bounce back game here. Eight players played at least 33% of the minutes in the opener, that depth will be the difference tonight. PLAY PEPPERDINE |
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11-09-19 | Valparaiso v. St. Louis -9 | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
607 Valparaiso at St Louis Valpo was very inefficient last time out against Toledo, but pounded the Rockets on the boards in a 79-77 victory. Matt Lottich’s crew didn’t force the issue, shooting mainly from the outside. That won’t cut it against this St Louis squad. This club pounded Florida Gulf Coast last time out 89-67, and we look for more of the same here. St Louis rarely turns the ball over and dominated the opposition on the offensive boards. What worked for Valpo last time out is a detriment here. PLAY ST LOUIS |
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03-25-19 | Longwood +14.5 v. DePaul | Top | 89-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
609 Longwood at DePauk The Lancers are trying to even up its season record tonight at 17-17 with an upset of DePaul. Longwood lives and dies by the 3 pointer, allowing opponents to take 50.3% of its shots from long range. The Lancers themselves take 50.4% of its shots from beyond the arc. But DePaul isn’t a team that takes a lot of 3 pointers with only 33% of its attempts coming from that area. What we like about the visitor is that it only attempts 16.5% of its shots from midrange. Anytime you have a team that puts up 50% of its shots from deep, you have a team that can pull off a upset. This club is 6-1 ATS catching double digits and 3-4 straight up. We like the Lancers chances here. PLAY LONGWOOD |
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03-24-19 | Buffalo v. Texas Tech -4 | Top | 58-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
870 Buffalo & Texas Tech Playing in the MAC the Bulls don’t get to see this type of defense very often. The Red Raiders only permit 30% of opponent shots at the rim, while forcing the opposition to attempt 30.5% from mid range. This is also a squad that is excellent against the 3 as it holds the opposition to just 29.5% accuracy from downtown. Buffalo allows opponents to take 39.2% of shots at the rim where Texas Tech shoots 67.4%. This matchup favors the Red Raiders and we expected this line to take that in to account, which is hasn’t. PLAY TEXAS TECH |
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03-21-19 | Northeastern +7.5 v. Kansas | 53-87 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
783 Northeastern & Kansas Kansas is only 8-9 when not playing at home this season. Although this is the top team in the country in SOS. Kansas is getting out rebounded by 2.4 per game. The Campus is 1073 miles from this location, so the committee didn’t do the Jayhawks any favors for a change. Northeastern is 5th in the country in effective field goal percentage. But 328th in the country in offensive rebounds. So neither team has an advantage on the glass. We haven’t liked this Kansas team all season, and with the injuries to key players this club is just a shell of its preseason hype. There is a reason why the Jayhawks are seeded this way, and the location doesn’t help the situation. This one will go down to the wire. PLAY NORTHEASTERN |
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03-21-19 | New Mexico State +6.5 v. Auburn | Top | 77-78 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show |
781 New Mexico State & Auburn The Aggies are ranked #2 in the country in shooting inside the arc, and are on a 19 game winning streak. This team loves to shoot the 3 and Auburn struggles against outside shooting teams. NM State is 5th in the country in rebounding margin. Very deep team who can afford to get into foul trouble. Auburn is 2-5 against Top 25 teams and only 10-7 away from home. This club is 8th in the country in offensive efficiency, but has a 220th in effective field goal defense. Campus is a whopping 1876 miles from this location. With two teams playing similar styles we much prefer the underdog here in a game that has a decent shot of an outright victory. PLAY NEW MEXICO STATE |
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03-21-19 | Minnesota v. Louisville -5 | 86-76 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 16 m | Show | |
774 Minnesota & Louisville Rick Pitino Jr taking on Louisville where his dad coached is a major story here. The Golden Gophers are a poor shooting team. This club is only 2-9 in true road games. Louisville is just 3-8 against Top 25 opposition, but Minnesota is far from that type of quality team. While the Cards are just 3-7 its last 10 games, this is a club that is 4th ranked in SOS. The coaching edge should be huge here as we favor the Cardinals. PLAY LOUISVILLE |
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03-15-19 | Iowa v. Michigan -8 | Top | 53-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
814 Iowa & Michigan Not only are the Wolverines off a loss to instate rival Michigan State, the team is in revenge for a 74-59 loss at Iowa. Michigan permits only 29% of opponents attempts to be from beyond the three point line. In addition, Michigan only allows 29.4% accuracy from that range. That’s a big part of this Iowa offense as the Hawkeyes attempt 39.5% shots from that area and connect on 36.3% of long range shots. Michigan forces opponents to shoot midrange on 35.9% of its shots, while Iowa only forces opponents to attempt 20% from that low efficiency area. Iowa permits 39% of opponents shots at the rim, while Michigan shoots a solid 66.1% in that area. PLAY MICHIGAN |
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03-12-19 | Binghamton +16.5 v. Vermont | Top | 51-84 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
603 Binghamton at Vermont The Bearcats have played much better on the road this season than at home. With a 10-22 record this team will be playing very loose in this one as the season likely ends tonight. The Bearcats are weak against the 3 pointer, allowing 37.7% success this season. But when it comes down to closer shots this team can compete against Vermont enough to make a game of this. The Catamounts are 25-6 and already beat the Bearcats twice this season. In a one bid league all Vermont has to do is win and advance. That gives the underdog a great chance to stay under this number. Playing at home where Vermont has lost only twice all season, we can see the host just going through the motions here and using the bench players extended minutes. Keep in mind Vermont uses an 11 man rotation, so the starters get extended minutes of rest. PLAY BINGHAMTON |
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03-11-19 | San Diego v. St. Mary's -4.5 | Top | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
888 San Diego & St Mary’s Fourth game in five days for a Toreros team who has a very short bench. Four players average at least 71% of the team minutes, with three going for 82.1% or higher. There is only eight players in this rotation, so foul trouble is always a concern. San Diego takes far too many shots from midrange at 33.2% of attempts, and far too little around the rim at 26.8% of attempts. This team has already lost to St Mary’s by 17 and 20 points this year. That increases the Gaels win streak in this series to 11 straight victories. This line is too short in our regard as the Gaels need to bounce back strongly here after losing its last regular season game to arch rival Gonzaga. Fresher team gets it done in a big way today. PLAY ST MARY’S |
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03-02-19 | Rutgers +9 v. Iowa | 86-72 | Win | 100 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
697 Rutgers at Iowa Revenge game for the Scarlet Knights who lost at home to Iowa in a game the team really thought it deserved. The strength of the Iowa defense is only allowing 31.8% shooting from downtown. Yet Rutgers rarely shoots from behind the 3 point line. Rutgers is very good defensively around the rim allowing just 55.5% of opponent shots to be successful. With both teams going in opposite directions and the Iowa coach being suspended, we will gladly take the points with the Scarlet Knights. PLAY RUTGERS |