10-06-19 |
Bucs v. Saints -3 |
|
24-31 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 38 m |
Show
|
Bucs/Saints 1:00: Saints doing an amazing job to keep winning momentum after Brees went down. Bridgewater stepped in and delivered as the Saints reeled off 2 straight against good teams - Seattle and Dallas. Like the Saints here as well. Defensively, Saints' pass defense has been porous but responded well last week. TB's Winston had a monster game last week but he's inconsistent and will throw interceptions. And TB's defensive secondary has been vulnerable for most of the season. Technically, interesting to note that Sean Payton is 33-13-1 ATS following consecutive SU/ATS wins including 23-4-1 ATS vs winning foes. He's also 9-2 ATS off a SU win vs an opponent off a SU dog win. Hard to fade those numbers. Saints deliver.
|
10-06-19 |
Jaguars +3.5 v. Panthers |
|
27-34 |
Loss |
-119 |
11 h 57 m |
Show
|
Jaguars/Panthers 1:00: Both teams lost their starting QBs and both flourishing in the process. Carolina's Kyle Allen stepped in and guided his team to victories while Gardner Minshew has been fabulous working his magic as well. I'm going to lean to Jacksonville here behind Minshew. He has Fournette (225 yards rushing last week) and a few more vertical threats in Chark, Westbrook and Conley. Carolina super dependent on McCaffrey (411 rush/218 receptions) to ignite offense. I'm looking for Jacksonville's defense to shake up QB Allen and end his magic. Jaguars the call.
|
10-06-19 |
Ravens v. Steelers +3.5 |
|
26-23 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 28 m |
Show
|
Ravens/Steelers 1:00: Ravens off 2 straight defeats in which defense gave up a ton of points. Now they're going in to Pittsburgh laying points in a historically tightly contested series in which the dog is 7-1-1 ATS; moreover, I can't remember the last time the Ravens were a favorite on the road in this series. Tomlin has been a dangerous dog in his coaching career including 12-1 ATS as a dog vs a .500 or greater opponent. Sure, Pittsburgh is coming off a short week and banged up a bit; however, they'll be up for one of their most fierce rivals. And they have the quality depth on both sides of the ball to stay competitive, especially on their home field. Pittsburgh the call.
|
10-05-19 |
Texas v. West Virginia +10.5 |
|
42-31 |
Loss |
-109 |
2 h 6 m |
Show
|
Texas/West Virginia 3:30: West Virginia heading in right direction with HC Neal Brown. Brown, while with Troy, went 6-0 ATS as a home dog of more than 9 points. He's got Oklahoma transfer Austin Kendall running the show and he's doing a solid job as his offensive line is improving - especially to help establish run game. Texas, meanwhile, having trouble defending the pass (124th in nation) and not good when laying double digits on road. Texas also has Oklahoma on deck and the Longhorns are 1-7 ATS in this situation.
|
10-05-19 |
Maryland -13.5 v. Rutgers |
|
48-7 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
10-05-19 |
Utah State +28 v. LSU |
|
6-42 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
10-05-19 |
Iowa +4 v. Michigan |
|
3-10 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
10-04-19 |
Central Florida -3 v. Cincinnati |
|
24-27 |
Loss |
-120 |
19 h 45 m |
Show
|
|
09-30-19 |
Bengals v. Steelers -3 |
|
3-27 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 12 m |
Show
|
Bengals/Steelers 8:15: Both teams struggling to find an identity after losing key starters in the off-season. Steelers reeling after losing QB Big Ben (elbow), WR Antonio Brown (released), RB Bell (traded to Jets). But QB Rudolph has shown promise with a strong outing last week at SF. He has quality weapons in Smith-Schuster, James Washington and Diontae Johnson. Pittsburgh should look to get run game going against one of the bottom feeders of the NFL in run-stop-units. Bengals' defense allowing 169 YPG on nearly 5 YPC! Sure, Pittsburgh's defense isn't worth mentioning among the elite either. They're struggling but have some pretty good young talent including S Fitzpatrick (from Miami). Cincinnati's QB Dalton is putting up big numbers in Zac Taylor's system; however, with superstar A.J. Green (ankle) gone for an extended time, the Bengals thrust Boyd, Tate and speedster Ross into the play-making roll. The only problem is there is no run game (42 YPG on 2.4 YPC) - last in the NFL! Consequently, Pitt defense should tee off on the shaky Bengals' offensive line and make life miserable for Dalton and Mixon. Technically, Steelers an amazing 25-5 SU on MNF including 4-1 ATS run. They're also a super 19-3 ATS when they're less than .500 vs less than .500 division opponent; moreover, a perfect 13-0 ATS as less than .500 favorite vs divisional opponent off a SU loss. Finally, the Bengals have been a whipping boy for the Steelers with Pittsburgh controlling an 18-7-1 ATS mark over the last 26 games in this series. We'll roll with Pittsburgh.
|
09-29-19 |
Jaguars +3 v. Broncos |
|
26-24 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 51 m |
Show
|
Jacksonville/Denver 4:25: Broncos' OC Scangarello not getting it done with Flacco and company. The first year signal caller's offense has generated a just 16, 14 and 16 points over their 3 weeks of work. Jacksonville defense showed improvement the last few weeks defensively, including a strong performance on the 19th vs Tennessee (7 points). We'll look for that dominating pass rush led by Campbell to do damage to immobile Flacco. On the other hand, rookie QB Minshew II proved that his relief appearance at Houston on the 15th was no fluke. He followed up with a strong start against Tennessee. Denver's defense has yet to register a sack or fumble recovery. Fangio was an excellent DC but questionable HC. Technically, Jaguars are 7-0 ATS with rest vs less than .600 opponent. And Marone is 4-0 ATS off a home game vs an opponent off a double digit SU loss. Jacksonville the call.
|
09-29-19 |
Vikings +1.5 v. Bears |
|
6-16 |
Loss |
-112 |
14 h 39 m |
Show
|
Vikings/Bears 4:25: Bears have not looked impressive on the offensive end with Trubisky and it's not going to get easier here vs the stout Vikings defense. So far, Allen Robinson II is the only key cog at a wide out in the passing game vs a ball hawking Vikings' secondary in Waynes, Rhodes, Harrison and Smith. Vikings seeking double revenge from last year's sweep. Look for the #2 rush offense in the NFL behind Delvin Cook to grind out the yardage while Cousins will have another weapon to add to his dangerous receiving arsenal (Diggs, Thielen) today with the return of Treadwell. Vikings 6-1 ATS in Week 4 and catch Chicago on a short week off that MNF game. Minnesota the call.
|
09-29-19 |
Raiders +6.5 v. Colts |
|
31-24 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 49 m |
Show
|
Raiders/Colts 1:00: On the surface, looks like an easy call with Indy. Colts are coming off two straight wins whereas the Raiders dropped two straight following a win over Denver. A closer look, however, reveals a rash of injuries to key personnel for Indy. All Pro LB Leonard (concussion), S Hooker and DE Lewis cut into their defensive depth for the second week. And T.Y. Hilton (quad) takes away QB Brissett's top deep threat. Oakland is hoping OT Trent Brown (ankle) is good to go in order to help the character of Gruden's offense - run game behind RB Josh Jacobs. Technically, Oakland a sweet 8-0 ATS on the road vs the AFC South. Keep in mind that the last year, the Colts went into Oakland and smothered them 42-28. Interesting to note that the Colt's HC Reich is 0-4 ATS vs a less than .500 opponent seeking revenge. And since the Colts are 0-4 ATS in Week 4, we'll side with Oakland which is 5-1 ATS off a SU loss.
|
09-29-19 |
Patriots -7 v. Bills |
Top |
16-10 |
Loss |
-109 |
10 h 46 m |
Show
|
Patriots/Bills 1:00: Patriots have won 29 of 34 in this series and they're 16-5-1 ATS in Buffalo. With Edelman traveling, Brady (calf) able to practice this week, and a defense that has not given up a single offensive TD this season, New England is primed to deliver again. Sure, Bills are a quality team for I cashed the winning ticket with them in Week 1; however, areas of concern offensively with Josh Allen and surely Belichick will find a way to exploit his and the rest of the Bills' offensive weaknesses. A few points of value here as the Bills are a mere 1-4 ATS at home vs winning road teams.
|
09-28-19 |
NC State +7 v. Florida State |
|
13-31 |
Loss |
-120 |
6 h 30 m |
Show
|
|
09-28-19 |
SMU -7.5 v. South Florida |
|
48-21 |
Win
|
102 |
2 h 14 m |
Show
|
SMU/USF 4:00: SMU run game cooking and Texas transfer QB Buechelle running an efficient offense with multiple support from coaching staff and players. USC defense pretty good but offensively, they're stuck in neutral. Poor QB play with McCloud and even worse Barnett. And USF sloppy play exacerbated with penalties. SMU the call.
|
09-28-19 |
Clemson v. North Carolina +27.5 |
|
21-20 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
09-28-19 |
Virginia +11 v. Notre Dame |
|
20-35 |
Loss |
-116 |
2 h 42 m |
Show
|
|
09-28-19 |
Northwestern +25 v. Wisconsin |
|
15-24 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 39 m |
Show
|
|
09-28-19 |
Arkansas v. Texas A&M -23 |
|
27-31 |
Loss |
-109 |
10 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
09-27-19 |
Arizona State v. California -4 |
|
24-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 41 m |
Show
|
Arizona State/California 10:30: California's defense picking up where it left off last year. Although there are some troublesome spots, Golden Bears have now held their last 11 opponents to less than 24 points. And they put away SEC Ole Miss last week on the road with superior play from their QB Chase Garbers who perhaps played his best game in two seasons at the helm of California's improving offense. Arizona State very competitive in games but overvalued at 1-3 ATS. They got upset at home vs Colorado last week. The Sun Devils are just 1-8 ATS off a SU conference favorite loss. Bears 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of less than 12 points off a non-conference game. Cal the call.
|
09-27-19 |
Duke +3 v. Virginia Tech |
|
45-10 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 43 m |
Show
|
Duke/Virginia Tech 7:00: Virginia Tech has shown regression in areas this season. Despite all the returning starters on a Bud Foster defense, they've made mediocre offenses appear to be juggernauts. They were outstated by BC, Old Dominion and Furman in their 0-3 ATS ledger this season. Duke is hungry for revenge from last year's 31-14 embarrassment at home. Blue Devils are 9-1 ATS on the road with revenge off a non-conference game and 5-0 ATS as a dog with rest. Duke the call.
|
09-26-19 |
Eagles v. Packers -4 |
|
34-27 |
Loss |
-106 |
20 h 30 m |
Show
|
Eagles/Packers 8:20: Could make a case for the Eagles here in three competitive games but underachieved in the Vegas money at 0-3 ATS. This will be there toughest assignment thus far and on a short week. Defensively, Eagles have concerns in their secondary and, offensively their vertical threat Desean Jackson (abdominal strain) is still out. They're also having trouble getting the run game started - fumble problem related - and that won't bode well vs the new improved GB defense. Packers have gotten after the QB so far - 12 sacks and their secondary is much improved from a year ago. Offensively, Packers' QB Rodgers, despite the 3-0 mark, disappointed in the offense and he should come out smoking under the bright lights tonight with his weapons Adams, Marquez-Valdez-Scantling, and Aaron Jones. Eagles' pass defense ranks 29th vs the pass and they've only registered 2 sacks. Packers 9-0 ATS as a non-division home favorite of less than 13 points off a non-conference game. GB the call.
|
09-23-19 |
Bears v. Redskins +5.5 |
|
31-15 |
Loss |
-105 |
17 h 19 m |
Show
|
Bears/Redskins 8:15: Sure, Redskins have been a miserable MNF performer at 0-6 ATS and everybody and their brother have pounded Chicago on this one. But don't get too excited about the Bears. They're generally slow out of the gate in September (5-12 ATS) and do not play well on the road against teams with losing records at home (1-5 ATS); after all, in Nagy's season debut last year, as good as it was, the Bears failed to cover at lightweight Arizona, Miami and NY Giants. Moreover, keep in mind that the Redskins are 5-0 ATS in this series. Sure, the Redskins' defense was a sieve against their first two opponents; however, Philly and Dallas do have respectable offenses, Chicago's offense is 30th in the NFL. Gruden can be dangerous as a dog and we'll grab the generous amount of points on the homie.
|
09-22-19 |
Texans +3 v. Chargers |
|
27-20 |
Win
|
104 |
15 h 14 m |
Show
|
Texans/Chargers 4:25: Can't count on the Chargers this time of year at 4-8 ATS in first 3 games of the season over the last 4 years. Moreover, their makeshift home stadium - now Dignity Health Sports Park in Carson, is almost equivalent to a road game where their stadium capacity is a mere 30,000, almost never sold out and lots of times more than half filled with traveling team fans. LAC now 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 designated home games. Love QB Rivers but he's a sitting duck lots of times and Houston's Watt, Merciless and rookie Omenihu will be bringing the heat. And with Chargers' S Adrian Phillips out, Houston's QB Watson overdue for big game. Chargers have had trouble closing out games and that trend should continue. Texans 4-0 ATS off an ATS loss and should deliver here.
|
09-22-19 |
Saints v. Seahawks -4.5 |
|
33-27 |
Loss |
-105 |
15 h 57 m |
Show
|
Saints/Seahawks 4:25: Thought this line would be a bit higher considering the importance QB Brees (thumb) brings to the offense. Bridgewater is an adequate replacement and Hill is respectable in his novelty role; however, noisy Century-Link Field will be too big a test considering this is Bridgewater's first start in years. Pete Carroll a strong 10-2 ATS as a greater than .500 team vs an opponent off a SU loss. Seattle the call.
|
09-22-19 |
Steelers +7 v. 49ers |
Top |
20-24 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 56 m |
Show
|
Steelers/49ers 4:25: Teams heading in opposite direction as the Steelers remain winless and without their #1 QB while 49ers rolling 2-0 out of the gate. Easy call for the 49ers, right? Not so fast. 49ers a money burning 1-13 ATS in their last 14 favorite rolls; moreover, HC Shannahan 0-7 ATS at home off a non-division game vs an opponent off a SU loss. Furthermore, 49ers are 1-8 ATS at home off scoring more than 22 points. Sure, Garoppolo is continuing his success and everything is running smooth in SF. But Pittsburgh is not an easy out. Steelers' HC Tomlin 11-1 ATS as a road dog vs an opponent off back-to-back SU wins. Steelers' QB Rudolph showed promise last week vs Seattle. And he's got weapons in Smith-Schuster, a solid TE and his old college teammate - speedster James Washington. I do realize Pitt's defense is struggling but they have talent and will figure it out. Surely, newly acquired Fitzpatrick will make an immediate impact. Steelers the call.
|
09-22-19 |
Raiders v. Vikings -8 |
|
14-34 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 40 m |
Show
|
Oakland/Minnesota 1:00: Zimmer a cash cow as a non-division home favorite at 18-2 ATS. Oakland hits the road off a tough loss. Raiders are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games and face an ornery Vikings team eager to get back in the win column after early game collapse at Green Bay. Minnesota did make a strong comeback that fell short but positive momentum should carry over here. Vikings a more complete team now that their running game is Cook-ing, literally! And Thielen, Diggs and Rudolph eager for breakout games. Should come here vs a still suspect Raiders' defense.
|
09-21-19 |
Notre Dame +15.5 v. Georgia |
|
17-23 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
09-21-19 |
Nebraska -13 v. Illinois |
|
42-38 |
Loss |
-104 |
6 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
09-21-19 |
West Virginia v. Kansas +5 |
|
29-24 |
Push |
0 |
3 h 1 m |
Show
|
|
09-21-19 |
Appalachian State v. North Carolina -2.5 |
|
34-31 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 16 m |
Show
|
|
09-21-19 |
LSU -23.5 v. Vanderbilt |
|
66-38 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 40 m |
Show
|
LSU/Vanderbilt Noon: Given the same game with the old LSU offense under Orgeron, this would be a tough call laying that amount of wood; however, with the wide open attack of LSU Pass Game Coordinator - Brady, we'll lay it! Joe Burrow is a perfect fit for the Tigers' offense which has arguably the best receivers in the NCAA at his disposal. And throw in the run game, Vandy, which , which allows a generous 512 YPG or 7.8 yards per play, long day for the Commodores; after all, LSU still has that historical solid defense and Vandy offense not a threat. LSU 7-1 ATS as a road favorite of 12 or more vs an opponent off a SU loss. Tigers the call.
|
09-20-19 |
Air Force +7.5 v. Boise State |
|
19-30 |
Loss |
-125 |
21 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
09-19-19 |
Houston +5 v. Tulane |
|
31-38 |
Loss |
-105 |
67 h 23 m |
Show
|
Houston/Tulane 8:00: Tulane is no joke as HC Fritz has them improving every year; however, Houston still ahead of the recruiting game and should deliver here. The Cougars stomped Tulane last year 48-17 under former HC Applewhite. Now West Virginia's former head man - Dana Holgorsen calling the shots and he's picked up the Cougars recent tradition of covering as a dog (2-0) with covers against two ranked teams - Oklahoma and Washington State. Houston is a dangerous 14-1-1 ATS as a dog over the last 7 years. Defensively, the Cougars need work but have the explosive offensive firepower to match points with Tulane. Houston the call.
|
09-16-19 |
Browns v. Jets +7 |
|
23-3 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 36 m |
Show
|
Browns/Jets 8:15: Didn't think line move would be this dramatic. QB Darnold is clearly not an NFL Top 5 QB and the Browns haven't shown they are what they were hyped to be in pre-season after getting blown out by the Titans on their home turf. Jets are replacing Darnold with veteran Trevor Siemian who had a winning record as a starter with Denver. Jets are also seeking to avenge last year's loss in QB Mayfield's debut. Jets a dangerous 8-3 ATS as a MNF home dog where the Browns are a troublesome 0-4 ATS on MNF off a double digit SU loss. We'll grab the points here.
|
09-15-19 |
Eagles v. Falcons +2 |
|
20-24 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 60 m |
Show
|
Eagles/Falcons 8:20: Going to grab value with a Falcons team that is 10-1 SU/ATS in home opener with Matt Ryan as their QB. Falcons are also 4-0 ATS in Week 2 while the Eagles tend to struggle in Week 2 at 2-8 ATS. The Falcons did get mauled last week in Minnesota but do sport a plethora of weaponry to exploit an Eagles' defense that got shredded by Case Keenum last week. Defensively, Falcons' got worked on the ground but held Cousins to under a 100 yards passing. Falcons have a ball hawking secondary and great LB in Deion Jones. Atlanta should settle in at home and deliver.
|
09-15-19 |
Vikings +3 v. Packers |
|
16-21 |
Loss |
-120 |
11 h 37 m |
Show
|
Vikings/Packers 1:00: Vikings kicked the crap out of Atlanta last week and I'm liking them going into Green Bay to make a run for the money. Sure, GB slugged it out successfully against Chicago but Bears' defense wasn't the same without DC Fangio. And QB Trubisky was his usual self (mediocre) when facing Green Bay, regardless of coordinator. I like Minnesota's run game with Delvin Cook and QB Cousins surely has the receiving weaponry and protection (OL) when the passing game gets rolling. As for the GB offense, QB Rodgers and company converted just 2 of its 12 third downs last week. And their won game was not good. They'll face a stiffer test against the very good Vikings' defense. Vikings tied in GB and won in Minnesota last year. Zimmer is 11-2 ATS vs an opponent off SU/ATS win with revenge.
|
09-15-19 |
Cowboys -5 v. Redskins |
Top |
31-21 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 17 m |
Show
|
Cowboys/Redskins 1:00: Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in Washington and should deliver the goods. Prescott has 10 TD passes 0 INTs in his last 5 NFC road games. He surely has many weapons to go to at FedEx Field including Cobb, Cooper, Gallup and RB Elliot not to mention his tight ends. Redskins got worked in the second half last week at Philadelphia. Hard to imagine them sustaining a balanced attack with Case Keenum's limited weaponry with TE Reed out. We'll jump on the Cowboys here.
|
09-14-19 |
San Diego State -16.5 v. New Mexico State |
|
31-10 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
09-14-19 |
Oklahoma -22 v. UCLA |
|
48-14 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
09-14-19 |
Florida State v. Virginia -7 |
|
24-31 |
Push |
0 |
6 h 52 m |
Show
|
Florida State/Virginia 7:30: Florida State's defensive woes should catch up with them here. Seminoles are allowing a generous 520 YPG in non conference play against non-power 5 schools. HC Taggart in a panic mode brought in Jim Leavitt as another quality control assistant (former Fla State DC Mickey Andrews already on staff) to fight damage control for beleaguered DC Barnett. Too many voices from too many egos make a mess. We'll look for well disciplined Virginia, which boasts a defense that allows just 228 YPG and offensively running smooth with QB Bryce Perkins at the helm. Mendenhall's boys should continue to roll.
|
09-14-19 |
USC -4 v. BYU |
|
27-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 24 m |
Show
|
USC/BYU 3:30: BYU feeling good off upset win at Tennessee; however, that win watered down by Tennessee's opening game loss to lightweight Georgia State. USC coming off blowout over Stanford and in the process found future star in freshman QB Slovis. He has explosive weaponry to go to under first year OC Herrell who will find holes in the BYU secondary to exploit. Too much speed for the Cougars to contain unless they didn't cut their grass or watered down the grass field excessively. USC the call.
|
09-14-19 |
Eastern Michigan +7.5 v. Illinois |
|
34-31 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
09-13-19 |
North Carolina +3 v. Wake Forest |
|
18-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
09-12-19 |
Bucs v. Panthers -6.5 |
|
20-14 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 45 m |
Show
|
Bucs/Panthers 8:20: Panthers did a respectable job against incumbent NFC champ - Rams in Week 1. Defensively, they limited explosive plays and made Los Angeles work for everything they got. I believe they can fluster interception prone TB QB Winston. On the other hand, Newton did a nice job running the offense but need some vertical push up the field with Samuel or Moore. McCaffrey is outstanding but Carolina struggles when he is overused. TE Olsen (back) should be good to go. These teams split games last year with each winning on their home field. More of the same tonight. NFL away team in first Thursday Night game of season is 1-15 SU (2-10-4 ATS). TB is 1-8 ATS on Thursdays and 1-9 ATS as a division dog of more than 3 points vs an opponent with revenge. We'll look for the more polished Panthers to rule on their home field.
|
09-09-19 |
Broncos -2.5 v. Raiders |
|
16-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 48 m |
Show
|
Broncos/Raiders 10:15: Raiders attempting to be relevant again but it shouldn't happen tonight. It's hard to turn the from excitement over AB playing and wake up a few days before opening day and he's gone (Patriots). Oakland now has to rely on Tyrell Williams (from Chargers) as their #1 receiver. He's good but not the game breaker Antonio Brown is. And not sure the Raiders' run game is back. Still offensive line question marks. Denver's new HC Fangio has a wealth of defensive bodies to instill his wisdom in. Edge rushers Miller and Chubb should wreak havoc on QB Carr. And grabbing Kareem Jackson (Texas) and former player Callahan (Bears) will surely boost the secondary. Offensively, still believe QB Flacco has some juice in him. OC Scangarello (disciple of Kyle Shanahan) should help the offense roll especially with the additions of Ja'waan James (OT) and Risner (draft). Raiders' DC Guenther has never had a formidable defense even while with Cincinnati. Last year, 29.2 PPG allowed - worst in NFL... Denver does their best work early in the season, including 7-0 in season openers. Denver the call.
|
09-09-19 |
Texans +7 v. Saints |
|
28-30 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 32 m |
Show
|
Texans/Saints 7:10: Value with a Texans team that shored up its biggest problem last season: protecting Deshaun Watson. They added Howard and Scharping through the draft and grabbed Matt Kalil (Carolina) and stole Tunsil from Miami. A healthy Hopkins gives them a dangerous offensive weapon and Fuller should play. RBs Hyde and Duke Johnson were good pick ups to replace Lamar Miller (ACL). Sure, Clowney is off to Seattle but got some good defensive talent in the draft and in the offseason. New Orleans is loaded but overvalued here considering some key defensive players out. We'll look for Houston to hang around.
|
09-08-19 |
49ers v. Bucs |
|
31-17 |
Loss |
-125 |
15 h 44 m |
Show
|
49ers/Bucs 4:25: Arians should restore winning to Bucs team that hasn't been relevant since the Jon Gruden days. It should start today against SF that has been quite shaky in the early stages of both seasons under Shanahan. Garoppolo, recovering from ACL, was shaky virtually all pre-season. TB's defense, which was pitiful the last few years under DC Mike Smith, will be much improved under Todd Bowles. Offensively, the Bucs emphasized offensive line in the off-season and we should see the improved results here vs SF's hot shot new edge rushers...Arians is 11-4 as a pick or home dog and should deliver.
|
09-08-19 |
Falcons +3.5 v. Vikings |
|
12-28 |
Loss |
-106 |
12 h 40 m |
Show
|
Falcons/Vikings 1:00: Atlanta should be much improved this year. Last year, defensive injuries hurt them and the offensive line struggled. This year, the defense is getting healthy as LB Deion Jones (foot) is finally healthy. In addition, CB Trufant should be good to go. Offensively, Falcons focused on bolstering their offensive line through the draft and acquisitions. It should pay off in dividends as they are loaded with offensive skill weaponry: Julio Jones, Sanu, Ridley, RB Freeman, QB Ryan and throw in TE Hooper. Vikings always tough under Zimmer but not sold on QB Cousins. And numbers on both sides of the ball were down for Minnesota last year. Falcons' HC Quinn is 3-1 ATS in road openers and we'll roll with him.
|
09-08-19 |
Ravens -6.5 v. Dolphins |
|
59-10 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 46 m |
Show
|
Ravens/Dolphins 1:00: Ravens' HC Harbaugh not only the king of pre-season (17-0 run) but pretty solid in Week 1 at 8-1 SU/ATS; as a matter of fact, since 2014, Ravens have held Week 1 opponents to just 10 PPG / 227 YPG. Miami, however, stripped of talent and Flores will have trouble improving a run stop unit in the bottom tier of the NFL, especially against electrifying QB Lamar Jackson. Baltimore the call.
|
09-08-19 |
Bills +3 v. Jets |
|
17-16 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 5 m |
Show
|
Bills/Jets 1:00: Bills have had success in this series at New York including a 41-10 waxing last season. Jets did avenge that loss but Bills hold a grudge well. Buffalo is 9-2 ATS on the road with revenge in season openers. And they're 3-0 ATS in the first of consecutive away games. Josh Allen has some new weapons to go to this year in rookie RB Singletary, Cole Beasley and John Brown. And defensively, the #2 defense in the NFL adds super athletic DE Ed Oliver! Jets have a few big time additions too in RB Bell (19 months since taking a snap) and #1 draft choice Quinnen Williams. However, HC Gase dropped in numbers running the offense in Miami and 2nd year QB Darnold faces a tough test. Bills with the upset.
|
09-07-19 |
LSU v. Texas +7 |
Top |
45-38 |
Push |
0 |
1 h 18 m |
Show
|
|
09-07-19 |
Nebraska -4 v. Colorado |
|
31-34 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 46 m |
Show
|
|
09-07-19 |
Texas A&M +17 v. Clemson |
|
10-24 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
09-07-19 |
Syracuse +1.5 v. Maryland |
|
20-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
|
Syracuse/Maryland 12:00: Syracuse arrived as a legitimate contender last year and reloaded while maintaining the nucleus of last year's 10 win campaign. Maryland, however, had 52% of starts by seniors last year and in rebuilding phase under Locksley. So I'm not putting much weight in Week 1 blowout over lightweight Howard. And considering they're 0-9 ATS after scoring 35+, money on Syracuse.
|
09-05-19 |
Packers v. Bears -3 |
|
10-3 |
Loss |
-115 |
20 h 12 m |
Show
|
Packers/Bears 8:20: Not a big play for GB QB Rodgers has inflicted plenty of heartbreak to the Bears over his terrific career; however, I do believe the stability of the Bears, coming off a 12 win campaign, will win out in this one. Nagy will not have super DC Fangio (Denver) to call the defense; nevertheless, Chuck Pagano has 10 returning starters plus some good depth to take command with. The Packers, however, have to change their entire system on both sides of the ball and rev up a new culture under HC LaFleur. I see a more seamless transition with the Nagy organization and will give the Bears the edge on a field where they covered 7 of 9 last year.
|
09-02-19 |
Notre Dame -18 v. Louisville |
|
35-17 |
Push |
0 |
18 h 22 m |
Show
|
Notre Dame/Louisville 8:00: Louisville should get it rolling under new HC Satterfield but it will take time. Former Cardinals' HC Petrino did not leave the cupboard bare as lots of starters return as well as reserves with playing time; last season, however, those returnees were part of 122nd offense in points scored and 128th in points allowed. QB Juwan Pass had his confidence destroyed as he was yanked repeatedly. It won't be an overnight turnaround for him vs a well disciplined Notre Dame defense tonight. Moreover, ND's offense returns QB Ian Book (68% completions last year), two of his top three receivers and an experienced offensive line. ND's HC Kelly has a tendency to start seasons strong (6-2 ATS September) and we'll lay the wood.
|
08-31-19 |
Virginia -2.5 v. Pittsburgh |
|
30-14 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 56 m |
Show
|
Virginia/Pittsburgh 7:30: Pittsburgh is 4-0 SU in this series and the tide should turn tonight. Virginia is coming off a successful season under Mendenhall in which the Cavaliers were a covering machine. That success should continue on into this season with Virginia bringing back lots of bodies plus Mendenhall's best recruiting class yet. And defensively like the secondary with NFL prospect CB Bryce Hall leading the way. Pittsburgh does have a new OC in Whipple to put some pep into the archaic system last year; however, a rebuilt o-line will take time to gel. Virginia the call.
|
08-31-19 |
Virginia Tech -4 v. Boston College |
|
28-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 36 m |
Show
|
Virginia Tech/Boston College 4:00: BC has heavy graduation losses and in the start of a rebuild instead of a reload. V Tech, however, had 60% underclassmen starts made by 23 players which was in the top percentile of BCS Football last year. And V Tech has a bitter taste in their mouth from last year's late collapse, which is rare for Fuente. VT the call.
|
08-31-19 |
Georgia State v. Tennessee -24 |
|
38-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 36 m |
Show
|
Georgia State/Tennessee 3:30: Quite a talent disparity here as Tennessee loaded with 4* recruits with significant playing time last year. Tennessee returns 10 starters offensively and 7 on defense with a veteran secondary. On the other hand, Georgia State, which won only two games last year, returns a significant amount of bodies on both sides of the ball but at a talent level much lower than Tennessee's. Given the fact that the Panthers are just 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 road games, it will be rough sledding in Knoxville today for the Panthers.
|
08-31-19 |
East Carolina +18 v. NC State |
|
6-34 |
Loss |
-109 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
East Carolina/NC State Noon: EC finally has a chance to cover some games this year thanks to the AD finding a decent coach. Mike Houston steps in for Scottie Montgomery (9-25 ATS) with an impressive resume. He coached James Madison to two FCS Championship appearances, one national title and six conference championships. Montgomery did leave him some athletes to work with. He's got a solid versatile QB in Ahlers (1785 pass, 592 rush and a 12/3 TD/INT ratio. Ahlers has weapons to go to and the Pirates have a load of returning starters on the line on both sides of the ball. Pirates are 8-3 ATS vs the ACC and 3-1 ATS in this series. NC State suffered some key losses including QB Ryan Finley along with some very good skill personnel...More discipline and better execution we should see from EC this season and it starts today.
|
08-30-19 |
Oklahoma State -13.5 v. Oregon State |
|
52-36 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 40 m |
Show
|
|
08-29-19 |
Utah -6.5 v. BYU |
|
30-12 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
08-29-19 |
Ravens -5.5 v. Redskins |
|
20-7 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 7 m |
Show
|
Ravens/Redskins 7:30: Hard to dismiss the fact Baltimore has won 16 straight pre-season games. They are 6-0 ATS in Week 4 and should deliver here. Baltimore's defense is well coached and even the defensive personnel clinging to make the final cuts is well informed on assignments. We'll look for them to give Washington's #1 pick Haskins trouble. Haskins has been erratic in pre-season and he won't have an easy time tonight. On the other hand, Baltimore starts 6th round pick McSorley who fits into the Ravens' system with RG III and Lamar Jackson. Ravens the call.
|
08-25-19 |
Steelers v. Titans -1 |
|
18-6 |
Loss |
-108 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
Steelers/Titans 8:00: The proverbial dress rehearsal Week 3 and both teams will compete hard. We'll give the edge to the Titans who have somewhat of a revenge motive from their 40-17 demolition in 2017 regular season and last year's 16-6 Pre-Season Week 3 loss. Home team has the edge in this series (4-1 ATS) and the Titans have the luxury of an experienced regular season backup QB in new acquisition Tannehill. RB workhorse Derrick Henry (calf) won't play but pretty good depth at that position including Dion Lewis. Titans coming off a loss should deliver goods here.
|
08-24-19 |
Seahawks -2.5 v. Chargers |
|
23-15 |
Win
|
100 |
69 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
08-24-19 |
Florida -7 v. Miami-FL |
|
24-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 35 m |
Show
|
Florida/Miami U 7:00: We'll lay a TD here knowing Dan Mullen has a solid core group coming back. Sure, the offensive line is inexperienced with only 1 returning starter but there is experience in the rotation in significant playing time. QB Felipe Franks should has the veteran leadership and has a pretty good supporting cast of weapons. Miami U, however, should reload on defense but the sputtering offense now led by QB Jarren Williams has its work cut out for them. Florida the call.
|
08-23-19 |
Browns -2.5 v. Bucs |
|
12-13 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 14 m |
Show
|
Browns/Bucs 7:30: Will lay a bit with the Browns who are off to a strong pre-season start. Mayfield, Gilbert and Blough all doing well at the helm moving the ball offensively. During dress rehearsal week, we'll look for starters to get the most action of the pre-season and TB still has to address their defense which was 31st in points allowed last year; therefore, new DC Bowles has his work still cut out for him. Browns now 5-1 ATS in pre-season while Bucs 1-5 SU. Browns the call.
|
08-22-19 |
Giants +3 v. Bengals |
|
25-23 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 16 m |
Show
|
Giants/Bengals 7:00: Shurmur has the NYG's offense cooking with Jones and Manning sharing time. Tate should be out but still enough weaponry to put a dent in the Bengals' revamped defense. On the Bengals' side of the ball, Dalton won't have A.J. Green (out) while starters Boyd and Malone have just 7 catches between them. And Bengals' offensive line had 6 penalties in the first quarter last week. Still need to clean up stuff. Giants the call.
|
08-17-19 |
Chiefs v. Steelers +2.5 |
|
7-17 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 44 m |
Show
|
|
08-17-19 |
Dodgers -1.5 v. Braves |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-106 |
8 h 46 m |
Show
|
|
08-15-19 |
Raiders v. Cardinals -1 |
|
33-26 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 12 m |
Show
|
Raiders/Cardinals 8:00: Cardinals' QB Murray sharp in execution last week. He should follow up well here testing a Raiders' secondary that is very talented but young and not yet in rhythm schematically. Cardinals' HC Kingsbury brings a college style offense that also suits backup QB Hundley well. Hundley flourished at UCLA but has struggled in his NFL career. Raiders' offense should be better this week but Arizona defense should be fine behind DC Vance Joseph. Small play on Cardinals.
|
08-14-19 |
Mariners -1.5 v. Tigers |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 30 m |
Show
|
Seattle/Detroit 7:10: Seattle has virtually owned this series (18-4 run) and should make it nine straight vs Detroit tonight. Veteran journeyman Edwin Jackson gets the nod and he is probably approaching his final few starts of his career. Jackson has been battered ever since he had a decent return debut to Detroit from Toronto. Jackson sports a lofty 9.35 ERA over his last few starts. And the Detroit bullpen is in the bottom tier of MLB. Countering for Seattle is Marco Gonzales who has been respectable against Detroit, and decent on the road and at night. We'll grab Seattle on the run line.
|
08-09-19 |
Yankees -1.5 v. Blue Jays |
|
2-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 34 m |
Show
|
Yankees/Blue Jays 7:07: Worth a shot taking red hot NY on run line. They're crushing the ball and Reid-Foley's control struggles over his last few games will only add fuel to the fire. NY driving in 6.29 RPG vs righties and sports a 38-13 mark vs pitchers with a WHIP greater than 1.30. We'll look for former Blue Jay - Happ to feel comfortable back on his old stomping grounds. He split a pair against Toronto this season while holding his former mates to a paltry .191 batting average. Yankees 12-2 on the road with Happ and control a 7-1 run in this series. Yankees deliver big.
|
08-08-19 |
Jaguars v. Ravens -4 |
|
0-29 |
Win
|
104 |
18 h 37 m |
Show
|
Jaguars/Ravens 7:30: Ravens do well in pre-season week 1 with a 6-1 ATS mark whereas Jaguars do not play the pre-season dog role well at 1-5 ATS. Ravens a bit ahead of schedule in terms of progression and should deliver at home.
|
06-07-19 |
Raptors v. Warriors -4.5 |
|
105-92 |
Loss |
-103 |
20 h 36 m |
Show
|
Raptors/Warriors 9:07: Was all over the Raptors in Game 1 and 3 but will side with the incumbent champs here. Klay Thompson (hamstring) makes a big difference in the smooth operation of their offense. And Cousins, who had a strong Game 2 but sluggish G3, is due to step up his game. Meanwhile, not sure Lowry, Gasol and Green can sustain their high level of play. They've shown their share of inconsistencies in the playoffs. Warriors the call.
|
06-05-19 |
Raptors +4.5 v. Warriors |
|
123-109 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
Raptors/Warriors 9:07: Dog 5-1 ATS in this series and we'll ride the dog here. GS with a number of key players either out or hobbling. Durant (calf) and key reserve Looney (clavicle) out. Iggy is hobbling and Thompson (hamstring) is limited. Cousins had a great Game 2 but he's still not in basketball shape to play at a fast full court pace the Raptors want to be in. We'll look for some support for Leonard with Siakam getting back in his playoff groove while needing Gasol and Lowry to add something. Toronto the call.
|
06-02-19 |
Warriors +2 v. Raptors |
|
109-104 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 9 m |
Show
|
Warriors/Raptors 8:07: Just when you think the Warriors are on the ropes, they usually respond favorably with a knockout. To a degree, they're an NBA version of the New England Patriots. Sure, Durant is out again, Curry carried them as best as he could in Game 1, and lackluster bench play eventually shot them down; however, Warriors don't panic and most likely will turn up their game here. They're 7-3 ATS off a SU loss and 12-5 ATS off an ATS loss. Green and Thompson should significantly step up tonight. And Curry should continue his hot post-season run. And most importantly, someone off the Warriors' bench should emerge as a scoring threat like so many times before. Warriors and the bucket the call.
|
05-25-19 |
Bucks +2.5 v. Raptors |
|
94-100 |
Loss |
-105 |
18 h 23 m |
Show
|
Bucks/Raptors 8:30: Bucks have been resilient for most of the season at 21-6 ATS off a SU loss. Milwaukee is equipped with bona fide star Giannis with Middleton and Bledsoe as his well schooled supporting stars. And Mirotic, who averaged 15 PPG, is overdue to get back on track after a poor showing Thursday. As for Toronto, Leonard is clearly carrying the Raptors with occasional breakouts from Van Vleet and Lowry; however, Siakam is the only consistent big-time supporting player. Milwaukee is 10-4 ATS on the road against a team with a home winning % above .600 and 20-8-1 ATS on 1 day rest. With the dog at 9-3 ATS in this series, Bucks should take it to Game 7.
|
05-23-19 |
Raptors v. Bucks -7 |
|
105-99 |
Loss |
-109 |
5 h 23 m |
Show
|
|
05-21-19 |
Bucks -3 v. Raptors |
|
102-120 |
Loss |
-106 |
9 h 55 m |
Show
|
|
05-20-19 |
Warriors -3.5 v. Blazers |
|
119-117 |
Loss |
-105 |
18 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
05-19-19 |
Bucks +2.5 v. Raptors |
|
112-118 |
Loss |
-109 |
15 h 30 m |
Show
|
Bucks/Raptors 7:05: Raptors inability to find closing help for Leonard will lead to their demise. Bucks have that extra juice in the 3rd and 4th quarter. Bucks 6-1 ATS as a dog in this spread range whereas the Raptors are a poor 3-7 as a slight favorite. Bucks also can handle prosperity well going 24-7-1 ATS following a 10+ victory. They've also covered 4 straight in Toronto. Bucks the call.
|
05-17-19 |
Raptors +6.5 v. Bucks |
|
103-125 |
Loss |
-107 |
5 h 6 m |
Show
|
Toronto/Milwaukee 8:35: In Game 1, Raptors played an outstanding 3 quarters of basketball but couldn't close in the 4th. Look for their HC Nurse to use his bench a bit more wisely and preserve Leonard, who was gassed in final quarter of Game 1, so that he will be able to do what he's capable of doing - closing. And finally confidence in booming in Lowry who broke out of his post-season misery. I don't anticipate Lopez sustaining his excellence; after all, that comes once in a great while for him. Road team 7-1 ATS in this series and Raptors have been a successful road team this whole season at 29-18 ATS. We'll take the points.
|
05-16-19 |
Blazers +7.5 v. Warriors |
|
111-114 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
05-15-19 |
Raptors +6 v. Bucks |
|
100-108 |
Loss |
-100 |
19 h 13 m |
Show
|
Raptors/Bucks 8:30: Good matchup but ultimately Game 1 comes down to a bit of staleness from the well rested Bucks. Milwaukee just 4-14-1 ATS following 3+ days rest. Toronto is riding momentum off buzzer beater and hungry. Road team in this series 7-1 ATS and Toronto has covered 4 of 5 in Milwaukee. And with the dog 7-0 ATS in this series, we'll look for Leonard and company to hang around in Game 1.
|
05-14-19 |
Blazers +8 v. Warriors |
|
94-116 |
Loss |
-115 |
21 h 47 m |
Show
|
Blazers/Warriors 9:00: Good opportunity for Portland in Game 1 without Durant. Blazers' McCollum playing at a high level and surely Lillard is bound to get it going, perhaps tonight. Moreover, Kanter is doing a great job filling injured Nurkic role. We'll look for the Blazers' bench to continue to pick it up with Curry, Collins and hopefully Hood (knee) to get a lions share of minutes. Warriors have not been good off wins at 2-7 ATS and recently sluggish closers at home at 1-4 ATS. Value with Blazers tonight.
|
05-12-19 |
76ers v. Raptors -6 |
|
90-92 |
Loss |
-105 |
15 h 21 m |
Show
|
|
05-10-19 |
Warriors v. Rockets -7 |
|
118-113 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 21 m |
Show
|
Warriors/Rockets 9:00: Warriors were having trouble covering on the road with Durant (2-5 ATS last 7); tonight, they go into a dominant venue, where the Rockets have covered 10 of their last 11, without their leading playoff scorer and rebounder. Sure, Looney, Livingston, McKinnie and Jerebko are good players; however, they're nowhere near the caliber of Kevin Durant. And considering that Durant has been the most effective defensive stopper against Harden, it will be mighty tough for Golden State to stay in this one. Moreover, Houston's best defender P.J. Tucker - who has been the most effective of all Rockets guarding Durant, can now be freed up to stop the next most dangerous weapon - Curry. Rockets take it to Game 7.
|
05-09-19 |
Raptors v. 76ers +2.5 |
|
101-112 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 46 m |
Show
|
Toronto/76ers 8:05: Line shift a bit too much here with value on the home team. Even though Toronto has taken control of the series, the last time Toronto played in Philly, they were 2 1/2 point dogs; now, they've become 2 1/2 point favorites over the course of two games! Sure, Embiid is a bit banged up and dragging the team down with multitude of little injuries; however, the Sixers still have an All-Star lineup. We'll look for Redick and Simmons to step up and help Butler out. Home team 8-3 ATS in this series; furthermore, Philly is 5-2 ATS in this dog price range while Toronto has struggled as a small favorite in this price range at 3-6 ATS. 76ers the call.
|
05-08-19 |
Rockets +6 v. Warriors |
|
99-104 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
05-08-19 |
Celtics +8.5 v. Bucks |
|
91-116 |
Loss |
-104 |
4 h 1 m |
Show
|
Celtics/Bucks 8:05: Celtics have too much talent and pride to let this series go quickly. Celtics have to get more from their bench. Hayward, Smart and Rozier gave very little point production in Game 4. We'll look for a more collective effort here. Celtics 4-0 ATS off a double-digit loss at home. They've covered 6 of their last 7 on the road and sport a strong 10-4 ATS in Milwaukee. Now is the time to take the points.
|
05-07-19 |
Blazers +5 v. Nuggets |
|
98-124 |
Loss |
-102 |
6 h 23 m |
Show
|
Blazers/Nuggets 10:35: Been hammering the Nuggets in this series but with the dog and road team at 4-1 ATS, taking the points here. Lillard overdue to get untracked from perimeter and Kanter should step up after an off game Sunday. Nuggets a middle of the road defensive team which leaves lanes open for Lillard and McCollum to capitalize on. As great as Jokic is, his foot speed a step slow to react to moves from Kanter and or as a weakside defender. We'll take the points.
|
05-07-19 |
76ers +6.5 v. Raptors |
|
89-125 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 31 m |
Show
|
76ers/Raptors 7:20: With arguably the best starting 5 in the Eastern Conference, the potential has to start showing for the 76ers. Leonard has proven to be unstoppable but his supporting cast should not be allowed to beat Philadelphia. 76ers have responded well off straight up losses at 4-0 ATS. We'll look for a tight one.
|
05-06-19 |
Bucks v. Celtics -1.5 |
|
113-101 |
Loss |
-109 |
18 h 53 m |
Show
|
Bucks/Celtics 7:05: Greek Freak was driving to the hole too easily while Boston's defense had poor positioning and slow feet. Look for Brad Stevens to has his men do a better job cutting off those lanes, especially in the 3rd quarter when Giannis heats up. And surely the return of Marcus Smart will help bring energy to the Celtics on both ends of the floor. We'll need Irving to have a big game. Celtics the call.
|
05-05-19 |
Raptors v. 76ers -1.5 |
|
101-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 56 m |
Show
|
Toronto/Philadelphia 3:35: 76ers, arguably equipped with the most talented lineup in the Eastern Conference, is starting to live up to its potential. As for Toronto, Leonard doing great but getting little from his supporting cast. And now that Siakam (calf) is out for this game, I seriously doubt there is another PF who can adequately take his place. 76ers should continue to roll here.
|
05-04-19 |
Warriors v. Rockets -3 |
|
121-126 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 57 m |
Show
|
Warriors/Rockets 8:35: Rockets overdue to get a win in this series and it should come here. So far the Rockets have been very competitive in trading blows with the Warriors. Rockets are comfortable at home where they've covered 8 of their last 9. Golden State, on the other hand, has not covered two straight in a month - span of 12 games. We'll look for the Rockets to deliver here.
|
05-03-19 |
Nuggets +4 v. Blazers |
|
137-140 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 25 m |
Show
|
Denver/Portland 10:35: Denver crapped out in the 2nd Quarter of Game 2 and it cost them. We'll look for a much better concerted efforted tonight. Denver is 5-2 ATS in Portland. Jokic is too good of a player to be contained. Look for him to do more of what he did in Game 1 with crisp passes and dominant iso in the low block. Murray (thigh) should be good to go. Not sold on Portland, collectively, as a finisher.
|
05-03-19 |
Bucks v. Celtics -2 |
|
123-116 |
Loss |
-106 |
19 h 18 m |
Show
|
Bucks/Celtics 8:05: Bucks are a dangerous team when allowed to play with pace and run the floor. Middleton, Bledsoe and Giannis can light it up when given open lanes. We'll look for Celtics' HC Stevens to do a much better job of stopping dribble penetration at this location. Milwaukee just 1-6 ATS in Boston. Rarely does a superstar have back-to-back bad games. Look for Irving to turn it up several notches here.
|
05-01-19 |
Blazers v. Nuggets -4 |
|
97-90 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
Blazers/Nuggets 9:05: Blazers were sloppy with the ball and poor execution down the stretch. And Denver HC Malone was surely not happy with Lillard's dribble penetration and open looks. We'll look for Denver to clean things up on the defensive end. And the Blazers have no answer for Jokic whose versatility is killing them. Sure, Kanter had 26 points despite a shoulder injury but only has so much left in the tank. Blazers are now 1-4-1 ATS in Denver and I still see them falling short here again.
|