Rams +2.5

This is a nice spot to fade the Vikings. Minnesota had a fantastic season, but ultimately put themselves in this spot on Monday thanks to a poor offensive performance on Sunday in Detroit. This is a game where they’ll come in on a low and they’re going to struggle against a Rams team that is healthy now and playing well. Los Angeles has so many weapons on the offensive side and they won the first meeting by 10 against this Vikings team. After benching everyone last week, the Rams will be fresh and have the edge in this spot.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Bucs -2.5

Sunday Night #6 Commanders and the #3 Bucs. Both teams enter with momentum: the Commanders are riding a 5-game win streak, while Tampa Bay has won 6/7, including 2 straight, boasting a 5-4 home record. I’m taking the Bucs at -3. Commanders’ defense will likely struggle against the Bucs' dynamic trio of Mayfield, Evans, and Irving. Tampa’s offense offers versatility, thriving on the ground with Irving or through the air, depending on the game flow. Their defense is equally impressive, capable of delivering key stops and forcing turnovers in high-pressure moments. Washington's D is unlikely to contain Tampa’s attack, and their offense won't keep up in a shootout. Commanders are 3-8 SU in their last 11 visits to Tampa, while the Bucs are 6-3 ATS in their last 9. Back the Bucs to cover.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Eagles -4

This is too tough of a spot for the Packers against the Eagles. Green Bay is going up against a red hot team that right now is firing on all cylinders. Jordan Love is also banged up as he injured his had on Sunday against the Bears. Combine that with the Packers missing a few key pieces on the defensive side and this is a mismatch for them. Hurts and this Eagles offense continue to roll and they will ride their momentum right into this matchup. Grab the Eagles as they’ll have plenty of energy coming from this home crowd as well.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Steelers +10

This is far too many points as AFC North foes meet in the Wild Card round. Pittsburgh and Tomlin are the kind of team that will be up and ready for this kind of game as they’ll game plan better than anyone. Pittsburgh will look to almost take the air out of the ball and slow everything down, keeping Jackson and the Ravens offense off the field. The Steelers defense tends to show up in big games as well, which adds more value to grabbing this many points. Divisional underdogs have covered 10 out of the last 14 opportunities in the playoffs and this is a great spot to continue that trend.

Saturday 9* NFL ATS Play

Lions -2.5

The Lions have value here on SNF as they take on Minnesota. Detroit continues to find ways to win and they had to come from behind against the 49ers last week. The Lions won the first meeting in Minnesota without some key players and this game they'll be much healthier. This Lions defense is also going to be hungry to bounce back as well. They were torched against the 49ers last week, which was a rare occurrence. Detroit will pin their ears back and blitz Sam Darnold all game long, which should result in them forcing him into some tough passes and turnovers. Combine that with the Lions offense clicking on all cylinders and this is a good spot for the Lions at home.

Sunday Night 8* NFL ATS Play

Dolphins +1

Miami has the value here over the Jets. Tyler Huntley played very well last week in Cleveland as he beat them both with his arm and legs. He's stepping up and Miami still has outside hopes for the playoffs coming into play here. They have won 6 of 8 and they're getting good play all around. Miami has also dominated this series. They come in winning 4 straight in this head to head series and have won 12 of the last 14. This is the perfect spot for them to beat up on a Jets team that has given up. Grab Miami.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Seahawks -7

The Seahawks are the move as they take on the Rams. The Rams have already clinched the division and this game means nothing to them. Oddsmakers believe they're going to bench players and as the game goes on they'll see starters sit out more and more. Seattle can still get to double digit wins and there is a lot to play for in terms of Geno Smith in terms of his contract incentives. The Hawks are playing well and they're going to come out with much more fire in this game. Look for them to pick apart this Rams side, who will be depleted and playing with a lot of 2nd stringers. Lay the points in this spot.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Falcons -7.5

The Falcons are the move here against the Panthers. Michael Penix Jr has been solid since taking over. The offense looks more in sync and they will pick apart this Panthers secondary. Defensively, the Falcons are going to have a ton of success against the Panthers as they will be without Chuba Hubbard. They will stack the box and force Young into some tough passes, as he has struggled against the blitz. This is a good spot for Atlanta to dominate on both sides of the ball. The value is with them.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Bucs -14

The Bucs are the move as they take on the lowly Saints on Sunday. Tampa Bay is playing exceptionally well right now as Baker Mayfield has this offense rolling. Over the last 3 games, they are averaging 7.0 yards per play. That also works with the combination of Bucky Irving producing a lot with his legs. The Bucs put up 51 points in the first meeting and the Saints overall have scored just 10 points in their last two games. This is a complete mismatch. Grab the Bucs in what will be a completely lopsided game.  

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Steelers +2.5

While the Steelers likely will know they’re out of the AFC North race by the time this game starts, they still have value as they are playing for seeding. Pittsburgh is looking to lock in a matchup with the Texans and with Pickens back, there’s good value here. This Bengals defense is too hard to trust. They still have a lot of gaps and issues, which Pittsburgh’s offense will expose Saturday night. The Steelers will control the possession and they will sustain drives against the Bengals, which will open up a lot of gaps downfield in this secondary. Grab the points in the AFC North battle.

Saturday 8* NFL ATS Play

Lions -3.5

Detroit has the value here as they look to keep pace in the division with the Vikings. They’ll have their key matchup next week with them, but for now they matchup well with the 49ers who have been so disappointing. The 49ers come in eliminated from postseason play, while the Lions continue to battle for the 1 seed. San Francisco is playing terrible at home and Brock Purdy hasn’t looked good. Detroit is red hot on both sides of the ball and they’re going to overwhelm this San Fran side. The motivation is all with the Lions and the value sits with them.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Falcons +3.5

The Falcons and Commanders both came through with crucial wins last week, keeping their playoff hopes alive. Now, two rookie quarterbacks take center stage on Sunday Night Football in a game with major postseason implications. Daniels faces off against Penix Jr., and I’m expecting the Falcons to deliver. Atlanta’s offense is hitting its stride. In Week 16, the Falcons put up 34 points against the Giants, fueled by a 17-point second quarter and 14 in the third. Penix Jr. was efficient, completing 18 of 27 passes for 202 yards, while Bijan dominated on the ground with 94 yards and two touchdowns on 22 carries. This balanced attack will catch the Commanders off guard. Recent trends back the Falcons: they’re 6-3 SU in their last nine against Washington and 7-3 SU against NFC opponents in their last 10. Meanwhile, the Commanders are just 2-4 ATS in their last six and a dismal 3-8 ATS in their last 11 December matchups. As it stands, Atlanta is sitting atop the NFC South, poised for a playoff berth, while Washington’s path likely hinges on snagging a wildcard spot. With the Falcons getting +3.5, it’s time to ride with the “Dirty Birds” on Sunday! 

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Vikings PK

The Vikings are primed for a strong performance Sunday and should cover in this matchup. Fresh off a dominant 34-0 shutout of the Saints in Week 16, the Packers improved to 11-4, but the Vikings are on an absolute tear. They head into Week 17 riding an eight-game winning streak, boasting a 13-2 record after a thrilling 27-24 victory over the Seahawks. Before that, Minnesota notched back-to-back double-digit wins, dismantling the Bears 30-12 in Week 15 and outscoring the Falcons 42-28 in Week 14. This team is firing on all cylinders, with the Darnold-to-Jefferson connection hitting its stride. Minnesota's offense is humming, averaging 26.4 points per game (9th in the NFL). Meanwhile, their defense has been more reliable than Green Bay’s, which gives the Vikings an edge in what should be a hard-fought contest. Aaron Jones facing his former team adds an interesting subplot, and I trust the Vikings to get the job done. Both teams have plenty on the line, but Minnesota’s trends are impossible to ignore. They’re 10-4-1 against the spread in their last 15 games, 8-0 straight up in their last eight, and 7-1 straight up at home over their last eight games. While I loved grabbing the Vikings at +1.5 earlier this week, I’m still happy to back them at pick 'em odds. Roll with the Vikings on Sunday. 

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Cowboys +7.5

Dallas feels like a great pick this Sunday. As we head into Week 17, the Cowboys are riding some serious momentum, winning two straight and four of their last five to improve to 7-8. After a tough Week 14 loss to the Bengals, Dallas rebounded impressively with a 30-14 win over the Panthers and a nail-biting 26-24 victory against the Buccaneers. They were underdogs in both games, even closing as +4.5 against Tampa Bay, but still managed to come out on top. Meanwhile, Philadelphia, needing a win to lock up the NFC East, will have to rely on Kenny Pickett as Jalen Hurts remains sidelined with an injury. I’m backing Dallas here—take the points.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Saints +2

The Saints are in a great spot to bounce back on Sunday as they host the Las Vegas Raiders. With a dismal 3-12 record, the Raiders sit at the bottom of the AFC West and have had a season to forget. They did manage to break a six-game losing streak in Week 16 with a 19-14 win over the Jaguars, covering as 2-point favorites, but it feels like too little, too late for Vegas. Meanwhile, the Saints (5-10) are coming off back-to-back losses, including a crushing 34-0 defeat to the Packers in Week 16, where they failed to cover as 14-point underdogs.

Despite their struggles, I expect the Saints to turn things around here. The numbers support New Orleans as well: Las Vegas is 1-10 straight up in their last 11 games and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 matchups against the Saints. On the flip side, New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in their last six home games against the Raiders. With both teams officially out of the playoff picture, look for the Saints' defense to make it a tough day for Raiders QB Aidan O’Connell.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Bills -10

I’m all in on the Bills to cover this Sunday. It’s a classic AFC East showdown, featuring the struggling Jets (4-11) taking on the dominant Bills (12-3). The Jets have been abysmal against the spread this season (5-10) and simply don’t have the firepower to keep up with Allen and the Bills’ explosive offense. New York ranks 12th in third-down conversions and 16th in red-zone efficiency—mediocre at best. They’re also 1-5 straight up in their last six games and have lost seven of their last nine against Buffalo. It’s hard to envision them turning things around here. On the other hand, the Bills sit atop the AFC East and are one of the top Super Bowl contenders in the league. They rank 2nd in the NFL in PPG (31.3) and 7th in YPG (366), making them a nightmare for opposing defenses. Buffalo has been lights-out at home, riding a 7-game winning streak at Highmark. The Bills are also 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games and 9-1 straight up over the same stretch. This feels like another statement game for the Bills as they gear up for the postseason. 

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

New England +5.5

The public continues to pound the Chargers and this is a nice spot to fade them on Saturday. New England has been fighting until the end and QB Drake Maye has been developing more and more. New England should have success against this Chargers defense that has regressed from their hot start. The Pats took the Bills to the brink last week and they’re going to come out with some inspired play. Grab the points in this spot.

Saturday 9* NFL ATS Play

Seahawks -4

Seattle and Chicago meet and this is a good spot for the Hawks. Chicago has dropped 9 in a row and they’re going through some serious growth pains here on both sides of the ball. Seattle does come in off a tough loss, but they’re beating up on bad teams and this is a must win spot for them. Look for Seattle to establish their run game early and they will wear down this Chicago front. Lay the points in this spot.

Thursday 8* NFL ATS Play

Ravens -5.5

The Ravens have value on Christmas Day against the Texans. Everything is on the line for the Ravens here as they are playing to put themselves in the drivers seat of the AFC North. Baltimore will catch Houston short handed even more after the loss of Tank Dell last week. They were already thin and the depth right now just isn’t there. Baltimore is the better overall team and they’re going to pick apart this Houston defense. Baltimore will control the possession and they’ll sustain a lot of drives deep into Houston territory.

Wednesday 7* NFL ATS Play

Packers -14

The Packers have the value here as they take on the Saints. Green Bay will take on a decimated Saints team that’ll march out Spencer Rattler. He struggled last week and he has not looked good as a starter as they continue to lose games by big margins. Green Bay is rolling right now and playing a night game here on national tv will be such a tough spot for Rattler and company. Green Bay will lean on the rushing attack early and it’s going to open up so many passing lanes for Love. This is a complete mismatch. Grab Green Bay.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

49ers -1.5

Both the Dolphins and 49ers come in with identical record, but it’s San Fran with the value. They have been leaning on this defense all season long and they’re only giving up 22.9 ppg. They can slow down this Miami offense that has been very inconsistent. They have dropped 2 of their last 3 and their inability to come up with 3rd down conversions and sustain drives has killed them. San Fran can expose that here and force the Dolphins into some tough 3rd down situations. Grab the 49ers who are the better team and have more weapons.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Jags +2.5

The Jaguars have the edge as they take on the Raiders. Las Vegas is a debacle and they just don’t have any sort of firepower to keep up. The Jags took the Jets to the brink last week and they’re still fighting here. Jacksonville’s Mac Jones is battling and he’s putting together some solid drives. He’s going to be able to build off the last couple of weeks and he’ll be able to pass on this Raiders defense. Jacksonville is still the better team and there Raiders are simply too hard to trust. Lay the points.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Giants +9

The Falcons are going to try to switch things up and this is a spot for the Giants to take advantage of that. Atlanta will go with Michael Penix Jr and him laying this many points is tough to justify. This will be a game where they’re conservative with the play calling at first, not allowing him to take many chances with deep balls. The Giants can keep this game close as they will come in with the idea of controlling the clock. This is just too many points to lay with the Falcons.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Jets +3

The Jets have the value here grabbing the points. New York’s offense has been clicking the last three weeks and they’re off a 32 point performance last week against the Jags. This team hasn’t given up and Rodgers right now is flinging the ball all over the place. The Jets offensively are clicking on all cylinders and they’re going to have success against this Rams secondary that has struggled at times. Los Angeles has been too inconsistent to trust and we’re getting good value here. Grab the points.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Texans +3.5

Houston has the value here as they take on Kansas City. The Chiefs have clinched basically everything and they will have Patrick Mahomes not at 100% coming into play. He injured his ankle against the Browns last week and while he’s expected to play, he won’t be completely healthy. The Texans have won back to back games and they’ve leaned on their defense to step up. They’ve given up just 20 and 12 points in the last two games and they can hold this Chiefs team down. This will be a grind of a game and it’ll be close throughout, which will benefit the Texans. Grab the points.

Saturday 8* NFL ATS Play

Chargers -2.5

The Chargers have the value over the Broncos on TNF. Denver’s offense has looked inconsistent as of late and now they run into the best defense in the NFL in this one. LA dominated the first meeting between these two teams as they led 23-0 heading into the 4th quarter. This is going to be a game where the Chargers lean on their defense and put a ton of pressure on Nix and this Broncos backfield. They’ll force him into some tough throws and not allow them to get their run game working. Grab the Chargers in this spot as they have the edge on both sides of the ball.

Thursday 8* NFL ATS Play

Vikings -7

The Vikings have the value here as they take on the Bears on Monday. Minnesota blew out the Falcons last week and they are the better overall team right now. They’re playing at a high level while the Bears have just been too inconsistent to trust. Chicago 7 straight games and they have looked atrocious offensively. This is a game where they’re going to struggle to slow down this Vikings attack, while their offense will see a lot of 3 and outs. This Chicago defense will be gassed and struggle all game long, allowing more and more big yardage plays. Lay the points.

Monday Night Football 7* NFL ATS Play

Seahawks +3

This is a good matchup for Seattle, who welcomes in the Packers on Sunday. Green Bay has lost to teams such as the Lions, Vikings, and the Eagles this season and they have had their hands full with teams like the Hawks. Seattle’s defense has been on fire, as they’ve allowed 21 points or less during this 4 game winning streak. Seattle is getting production on both sides of the ball and they’re going to cause some havoc against this Packers backfield. They can slow the run game down and force them into some long third down situations. This line is a bit off and the Seahawks can even win this game outright. Grab the points. 

Sunday Night 9* NFL ATS Play

Broncos -3.5

The Broncos have the value here on Sunday as they welcome in the Colts. This is a tale of two completely different defenses. Denver has ranked near the top in many defensive categories throughout the season as they rank 2nd in net yards per game for example. They blitz all game long and their ability to suffocate opposing receivers has been top notch. On the flip side, the Colts have been the complete opposite. They rank 23rd in that same category and they’ve got torched consistently. Bo Nix and this offense will pick apart the secondary and the Broncos will have a ton of offensive success. This is such a tough place to play with the altitude, especially for a team that plays in a dome. Lay the points.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Panthers -2.5

The Panthers and Cowboys will clash on Sunday afternoon and this is a great spot for the Panthers. Carolina’s Bryce Young has vastly improved week by week and he’s getting much better protection from the offensive line. The Panthers have dropped 3 in a row, but taken 3 top teams to the brink in each week. The Cowboys are off a demoralizing loss to the Bengals and they just are too inconsistent to trust. We’re getting great value against this Cowboys defense, that has struggled mightily. Carolina will come in and feed off the positive momentum and they’re the move here on Sunday.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Commanders -7

The Commanders have the value here as they take on the Saints on Sunday. New Orleans will be without QB Derek Carr, which will have this offense all out of sorts. Regardless of which backup QB starts, the Saints have had zero success with both of them. This is a well rested Commanders side that will come out quickly. They’ll lean on Brian Robinson, who is healthy, and going against a weak rush defense. They rank at the bottom in rush yards before contact, while the Commanders have rushed for more than 200 yards five different times. Lay the points.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Jets -3

The Jets have the value here as they head into Jacksonville. New York will have the major QB edge here with Rodgers over Mac Jones. The Jets offense is starting to figure some things out as well, as they’ve scored a combined 73 points over their last 3 games. This is the number 31 ranked pass defense Rodgers will go up against on Sunday and he should have a field day with this secondary. Look for them to take plenty of shots down field and really open things up as they have the major edge here. New York hasn’t shown any quit and they’ll come out with fire here. Grab the visitors. 

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Texans -2.5

This is a bad matchup for the Dolphins, who take on the Texans on Sunday. Houston matches up well with this Dolphins rushing attack, that ranks 30th with their ground game. Miami struggles enough to run the ball, but their pass game will have so many issues against the 2nd best pass defense in the NFL. Houston can lean on their defense here and set their offense up with some short fields in this one. With two weeks to prepare for this game, Stroud and this offense will be fresh and come out firing against this secondary. Look for them to dominate on both sides of the ball here. Grab the Texans.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Cowboys +5.5

Dallas and Cinci battle on MNF and this is a good spot on the Cowboys. Dallas actually has played much better as of late and they’re off back to back impressive wins over the Commanders and Giants. They’re finally getting the offense rolling as they’ve put up 34 and 27 points in the two wins. This is a good matchup against a Bengals team that just can’t figure it out this year. They’re struggling and inconsistent at times on both sides of the ball which has led to them being a mess at times. Dallas has the momentum and they can get out of the gates early in this one given how much the Bengals have struggled defensively. Grab the points. 

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Chiefs -3.5

The Chiefs have the value Saturday as they welcome in the Chargers on SNF. Kansas City is just so tough to solve as they continue to find ways to win every week. They have that clutch factor that no other team has and they’re going to come out and try to make a statement against the Chargers here. This will be a tough travel spot for LA, who will go into the cold this week. They also are in a tough spot with JK Dobbins out once again. This offense lacks a spark with him out and the Chiefs will pick that apart. With the home crowd rocking as well, there’s just too many factors against the Chargers. Lay the points.

Sunday Night 9* NFL ATS Play

Bills -3.5

The Bills are the move as they head into LA. This will feel almost like a home game across the country as the Bills travel exceptionally well and they’re expected to pack this stadium on Sunday. They’ve covered 6 of their last 7 and they’ve dominated the NFC as a whole. They’re playing at such a high level and they run into an inconsistent Rams team. Los Angeles is just 5-7 ATS this season and they’ve had issues on both sides of the ball. Buffalo is just too talented and they’ll roll offensively in this matchup. Lay the points in what’s a lopsided game from the start.

Sunday 10* *RARE* NFL ATS Top Play

Seahawks +3

This is a great spot on the Hawks here’s catching 3 points. Seattle and Geno Smith already took down the Cards once this season and now they look to do it again. They’re playing exceptionally well and Murray right now is tough to trust. He’s struggled in back to back weeks and this Hawks defense loves to pin its ears back and fire away with blitzes. Seattle will stop this rushing attack and force the Cards into some long third down situations as well. This is a great spot and matchup for Seattle, who is the better team and has the edge on Sunday.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Vikings -5.5

Minnesota has the value here as they welcome back Kirk Cousins and the Falcons. This Vikings team is just too good on both sides of the ball. They are one of the best in the league when it comes to stopping the run and they are going to stack the box here to make Cousins throw. He’s been turning the ball over more this season and the Vikings will force him into some tough passing windows. Minnesota will also pick apart this Falcons defense. Look for them to establish the run early and it’ll open up a lot of receivers as this game goes on. Lay the points.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Giants +5.5

This is too many points in this spot for the Giants. The Saints will travel outdoors to some frigid temps in New York and some teams don’t typically fare well in situations like this. They’re also going to be without Taysom Hill, who is out once against Sunday. They’re just 1-5 in their last 6 without him and this will be another struggle spot. They’ve only averaged 15.3 ppg in that 1-5 stretch and it’s going to be a struggle for them to move the ball in general. The Giants defense will blitz all game long and they're going to have a nice edge in this spot. Grab the home side. 

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Packers +3.5

This is a revenge spot for the Packers on Thursday night as they head into Detroit. The Lions won by 10 in Green Bay last month, but that game saw the Packers have many injuries heading into it. Green Bay is healthier and Jordan Love is playing at such a high level right now. They picked apart Miami on Thanksgiving night and they continue to produce some big numbers time and time again. This is a game where they’re going to come out and try to make an impact right from the start. They’ll get things going with Josh Jacobs and the run game, which will open up a lot of passing lanes. Green Bay can keep up with the Lions offensively and this is a spot where they’ll have a ton of motivation. Grab the points. 

Thursday 9* NFL ATS Play

Rams -2.5

The Saints switched coaches and they come in on a high, but this is a let down spot for them as they take on the Rams. The Rams have a dangerous offense that will put together some big plays down field as they have multiple threats out wide. With them getting healthy, Nucua and Kupp both are threats down field and they’ll have plenty of targets on Sunday. The Saints secondary has been burned by many teams and the Rams can cause them a lot of issues in this spot. Overall, the Rams are the more talented club and worth laying the small number. 

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Seahawks +1

The Jets are in turmoil on and off the field and this is a good spot to fade them. Seattle is just well coached and this team has continued to improve week after week. Meanwhile, the Jets and Aaron Rodgers experiment continues to be a drag and they’re struggling every week as the fan base has become very frustrated. This is a spot for the Hawks to utilize their speed and really find some chunks of yards down field on passes. The weapons Smith has outside are so dangerous and they’re going to find a lot of open space against this secondary. Grab the Hawks as they’re the better team at this price.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Cardinals +4

The Cardinals are in a good spot here against the Vikings. Minnesota is going to be without a couple key pieces as Cam Robinson and Ivan Pace are missing on Sunday. This is a spot where Arizona will utilize Murray’s legs and arm and they can take out the gaps in this Vikings defense. Look for them to open things up a bit and take a few shots down field, as this Minnesota secondary is vulnerable. They’ll get out to a fast start and this will be a game where they can dictate the time of possession. Grab the points.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Bengals -3

The Bengals have the value at this line here on Sunday. Pittsburgh has fared well this year, but this team has had issues still at times and this is a spot for the Bengals to get back into things. Burrow and company have done well offensively and they can pick apart this Pittsburgh secondary. The Steelers have some injuries on the defensive side and Cinci can take advantage of that. This has been an overachieving season for Pittsburgh and they’re going to have some regression. Cinci matches up well and this is a good spot on them.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Chiefs -12.5

The Chiefs and Raiders meet on Friday and this is a good spot for the Chiefs here laying the points. Kansas City and Vegas are just on different levels right now. Vegas comes in 2-9 and they’ve dropped 7 in a row as this team has been abysmal on both sides of the ball. Vegas has given up 28.5 ppg while scoring just 18.7. They won’t keep up with this firepower from KC, who just keeps finding ways to win. They’re the better team and this offense is going to roll the Vegas secondary. This is also a revenge spot for the Chiefs after losing last Christmas to this Raiders team. Lay the points.

Black Friday 8* NFL ATS Play

Dolphins +3.5

Miami has the value in this night spot as they take on the Packers. Miami has been playing well and this is a matchup for them where they’re being undervalued a bit. Offensively, they have all their weapons back and Tua has 4 or even 5 receivers out wide who can make a huge impact. Defensively, Miami has improved each week and they will see a Packers team that does have some key injuries they’re dealing with. With cold temps, this be a game where Tua can be a difference maker with his legs as well. This is just too many points in this spot with both teams on short rest. Grab the visitors here.

Thanksgiving Day 9* NFL ATS Play

Cowboys -3

The Cowboys have value as they take on the Giants. New York will go with Drew Lock at QB as he will take over for the injured Tommy DeVito. The Giants have just been a debacle from the start as they’ve handled so many off the field situations wrong. Combine that with their inability to find consistency offensively and they’re just a struggle overall. Dallas hasn’t been any better, but they do have a win over Washington last week to build off of. They looked much more competent on both sides of the ball and they’re always ready for this Thanksgiving spot. Lay the small number as this is a good spot for them to grab a home win.

Thanksgiving Day 8* NFL ATS Play

Lions -9.5

The Lions and Bears open the Thanksgiving slate and this is a good spot on the Lions. Detroit is winning and continues to win big. They’ve gone 10-1 SU, but also 9-2 ATS as they’re cashing left and right. They’re dominating on the offensive end as they’re putting up 32.7 ppg. The Bears right now just don’t have the firepower to keep up. Chicago and Caleb Williams have had some bright moments, but this offense just doesn’t have it to score in flurries like the Lions. Look for Detroit to control the possession and continue to pick up big yardage chunks as they’ll overwhelm the Bears from the start. Lay the points.

Thanksgiving Day 7* NFL ATS Play

Chargers +3

The Chargers and Ravens meet on MNF and this is a good spot on the Chargers. They’re flying under the radar right now as they continue to dominate in every facet. They’re putting up big numbers offensively and they’re getting a ton of key stops on the defensive end. They rank at the top of the defensive rankings in terms of scoring defense as they’re allowing just 14.5 ppg. They’re blitzing continuously and they’re causing a lot of havoc in opponents backfields. This will be a game they come out and look to make a statement as the Ravens right now are one of the top teams in the league. Grab the home side on Monday.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Eagles -2.5

This will be a battle of two offenses who have a ton of talent and have been roller coasters all season. We’re on the Eagles here as they’re coming in healthy and close to full strength. They’re at their best when they have playmaker AJ Brown out wide. They’re 7-0 and averaging almost 30 ppg when he’s playing and this offense runs through him. He adds such a dynamic threat and that’s going to be the case here as this Eagles offense will pick apart the Rams. Look for Phili to pick up some big yardage plays and push the tempo on this Rams defense. The Rams have struggle to stop teams like Phili and that’ll be the case on Sunday. Lay the number.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Seahawks PK

Seattle and Arizona have an interesting matchup here and this is a good spot for the Hawks grabbing a point. Seattle’s defense can stop the run and that’s what they’ll do here on Sunday. Arizona loves to run the ball and with the Seahawks getting back LB Ernest Jones, they’re going to have the capabilities to slow this rushing attack down. Look for Seattle to win the battle at the line of scrimmage and really push back when the Cards work the run game in. We’ve seen the Seattle offense be threatening and they’ll find some gaps in this Cards defense. Grab the Seahawks as they’re the better overall team.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Raiders +6

This is a let down spot for the Broncos as they go into Vegas. Denver is off a huge win against the Falcons, but it was a game where they played off the charts. This will be a let down kind of spot and a game where they regress a little bit. It’s always tricky to play in Vegas and the Raiders will blitz Nix all game long. They’re at their best when they can mix together some solid blitz packages and force opposing QBs into some bad decisions. Look for the Raiders to win the time of possession and really put an emphasis on establishing the run game early. They can keep this Broncos offense off the field and start to frustrate them as the game goes on. Grab the points.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Colts +7.5

This is a great spot for the Colts against the Lions on Sunday. Indianapolis has been underrated a bit as they’ve dealt with a very tough schedule so far. The Colts have been beaten up by injuries throughout the year, but this team is finally near full health and they can compete with this Lions side. They love to establish the run with Taylor and they can take the air out of the ball and turn this into a slow developing game. The Colts are 6-1 ATS when Richardson starts and they’re going to keep this one close. Grab the points.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Commanders -10

The Commanders welcome in the Cowboys and this is a good spot on Washington here. Dallas is just a mess. They have nothing going right now and with all the injuries, this team just has no spark. The turmoil on and off the field continues and they’re getting a good Washington team in this spot. Jayden Daniels has looked sharper and sharper every week and this offense is rolling. Combine that with the defense stepping up now and this team has become a force. Look for them to make things miserable for the Cowboys and for Washington to control the possession in this game. This is a good spot on the Commanders to have a lopsided game.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Browns +3.5

This is a clear mismatch record wise, but Cleveland is going to get up for this game. Under the lights and against their arch rival? This is a good spot for Cleveland to come out firing. The Browns and Winston have had some signs where they have looked good offensively and they’re going to lean on Chubb here with the run game. He continues to get healthier and healthier and this will be a game where he wants to come out with aggression after what happened last year in Pittsburgh. Cleveland’s defense will blitz and they’re going to do everything to rattle this Pittsburgh backfield. There could be some rain in the forecast as well, which will play into the Browns favor. Grab the points as this is just too many for a divisional game where the Browns will treat this like it’s their playoff game.

Thursday 8* NFL ATS Play

Chargers -1

The Chargers and Bengals headline SNF and there’s good value here on the Chargers laying the small number. Los Angeles has the top scoring defense in the NFL so far and they’ve done it with blitzing all game long and they just suffocate opposing receivers. They’re forcing turnovers and putting together short fields for their offense that has led them to a ton of success early in games. Cincinnati just has been far too inconsistent to trust. They’ve struggled to get anything going offensively and their inability to get off the field on third downs defensively has led them to a lot of struggles. The Chargers are the better team and they will lean on their defense from the start here. Grab the home side on Sunday night.

Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY

Titans +6

The Titans and Vikings meet on Sunday and this is a good spot for the Titans. Tennessee continues to play much better at home and this will be a game they get up for here. Three of their four home games have been decided by one score or less as they’ve been able to keep games close with their tough pass defense. The Vikings offense has been sputtering a bit and that bodes well here for a Tennessee team that can force them into some long third down situations to get off the field. This game will be a grind and be one of those close games throughout where neither team pulls away. Grab the points.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Browns PK

Cleveland heads into New Orleans to take on the Saints on Sunday. This is a good spot for Cleveland to bounce back in. Cleveland had a bye week to get themselves fresh and healthier and they will take on a Saints team that is still bad. While they did win their previous game, their defense still allowed 468 yards and averaged over 6 yards against per play. That’s just not sustainable and this is a Cleveland offense that has shown some good signs under Winston. They’re going to get Chubb going early in this game and wear down the Saints front. Grab the points.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Rams -4.5

This is a good bounce back spot for the Rams after a disappointing game last week against Miami. The Rams couldn’t get anything going offensively and their struggles put them in a hole they just couldn’t get out of. They have a nice edge here though against a Pats team that just doesn’t have firepower to keep up. This will be the kind of game where Kupp and Nucua are clicking on all cylinders and putting together some big yardage plays. Combine that with the Rams putting a ton of pressure on this Pats backfield and this will be a game where they are dominating on both sides of the ball. This is a good spot and number on Los Angeles to come out and bounce back. Grab the Rams.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Commanders +3.5

Washington and Philadelphia headline Thursday Night Football and this is a good spot on the Commanders. Washington led for a majority of the game before a late Pittsburgh touchdown sealed their fate in a loss last Sunday. Still, this Commanders team is overall one to tough to deal with and they’re being undervalued in this game. Jayden Daniels is going to be a handful for this Eagles defense that hasn’t seen many good and healthy offenses like this one here in 2024. Philadelphia will struggle to slow him down as he can beat teams with his arm and legs. The Eagles have been inconsistent overall and last week they played such a depleted Cowboys team. This is a different type of game and the value is with the Commanders.

Thursday 8* NFL ATS Play

Rams -1

The Rams and Miami headline Monday Night Football and this is a good situational edge on the Rams. Los Angeles has won 3 in a row while the Dolphins are heading in the other direction losing 3 straight. This is a game of momentum and right now it’s all on the Rams side. Los Angeles is rolling since Goff got his weapons back out wide and this offense is lethal. They have that downfield threat back and their ability to pick up big chunks has given them many scoring chances. The defense of the Rams has improved mightily and they come in after sacking Smith 7 times last week. They’re going to pick apart this Miami offensive line and they’ll cause a lot of havoc once again in the backfield. This is a solid spot for the Rams on a low line.

Monday 9* NFL ATS Play

Lions -3.5

The Lions battle the Texans on Sunday Night Football and this is a good spot on the Lions. Detroit comes in against a Houston team that has a lot of question marks. Their receiving core is thin right now with Dell and Collins both in question. If both remain out, it’ll be Woods taking over the 1 spot which will spell a lot of trouble for Houston’s ability to have a pass game. Detroit has looked good all season long and this offense in particular has put up some huge numbers. They’ve won 6 in a row and put up over 40 twice and over 50 once in that span. Detroit if the better team and they’re going to put a ton of pressure on early in this game. The Texans right now aren’t built to dig out holes early and this Detroit offense will put them in one. Lay the points.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Cardinals +2

The Cardinals and Jets meet on Saturday and this is a nice spot on Arizona. The Jets have been a dramatic team all season long with all their coaching moves, trades, and Aaron Rodgers. While they’re off a win, this team still has too many flaws. The Cardinals are playing exceptionally well and they’re getting a lot of different players to step up lately on both sides of the ball. They’re 4-1 over their last 5 games and during the wins defensively, they’ve been dominant. Look for their offense to control the possession, while the defense steps up and makes things so difficult for Rodgers and company. Grab the points in this spot on Sunday.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Chargers -7.5

The Chargers have the value on Sunday as they take on the Titans. This Chargers team has been good at just about everything under Harbaugh. He’s been able to them to tighten things up and defensively they have been one of the best in the entire league. Their ability to blitz and get into the backfield has caused a ton of havoc for opposing QBs. They are the number on scoring defense in the NFL and they’ve given up over 350 yards just one time. This is a prime spot for them to make things so difficult for a Titans team that has made so many mistakes offensively this season. Turnovers have killed them and this will be a spot where they are forced into a few of them on Sunday. Lay the points. 

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Saints +3.5

A new era begins for the Saints after firing head coach Dennis Allen. Things and moves like this can spark a team and that’s what’s going to be the case here. The Saints come in off a bad loss to the Panthers in a game where they actually outplayed them for the most part. The Falcons are going to struggle here as they’re extremely thin at WR coming into Sunday. They’ll be without Drake London and Grady Jarrett, as the thin receiving core will cause a lot of issues with this pass game. The Saints are going to stack the box and for them to throw. New Orleans isn’t far off despite their early season struggles. They’re working with a healthier Carr now too, who played decent in the loss to Carolina. Look for Carr to step up here and for this to be a good spot on the Saints grabbing the points.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Broncos +8

The Broncos have value against the Chiefs on Sunday afternoon. Kansas City is undefeated and they’ve just continued to find new ways to win. They also continue to struggle to cover at times and this is far too many points in this spot. Denver has looked good this season and Bo Nix in particular has been stellar. He’s stepped up for this offense and has them at least putting up a good fight most times. Aside from last game, the Broncos defense has been good and they’ve been able to really make things difficult for opposing defenses. This will be a spot where they can cause some issues for the Chiefs pass game and not allow anything easy for them. This will be a much closer game than the experts are expecting as the Broncos are being undervalued. Grab the points.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

49ers -6.5

The 49ers and Bucs clash on Sunday and this is a good spot on San Fran laying the points. Tampa Bay gave everything they had against KC in a game where they took them to OT. However, it’s apparent the injuries this team has are just going to be too much as the games go on. With their two key receivers out and a few on the defensive end, they’re just struggling more and more as the weeks go on. San Francisco will get their huge boost finally with the return of McCaffrey into their backfield. This offense is completely different with him and they are so much more dangerous. This is a Bucs defense that ranks near the bottom in many defensive categories as well, which will see them struggle mightily against the 49ers attack. Lay the points. 

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Ravens -5.5

The Ravens and Bengals meet on Thursday Night Football and this is a good spot on Baltimore. These two teams played to a classic in Cincinnati earlier this season that saw the Ravens come from behind and defeat Cinci in OT. Baltimore is a team on a mission right now and Lamar Jackson has this offense rolling. They’re one of the best in the league and with him and Henry in the backfield, they’re putting up some big numbers. Henry has been able to get the run game going early and it’s opening up a ton of passing lanes for this offense. Cincinnati’s defense has been sub par and they’re getting burned on a regular basis. Baltimore is going to dictate a lot and their speed is just going to be too much for the Bengals. Grab the Ravens to keep rolling.

Thursday 9* NFL ATS Play

Vikings -5.5

The Vikings welcome in the Colts for Sunday Night Football and we’re on Minnesota here laying the points. Indianapolis had their share of drama as they decided to bench Richardson and will now go with Flacco at QB. While Flacco has had some magic, this isn’t the best matchup for him. The line for the Colts is beat up and that doesn’t bode well here against one of the best pass rushes in the league. Minnesota loves to pin their ears back and blitz, which will have them causing havoc in the backfield on Sunday. The Vikings will have a field day with this secondary and should have plenty of shots down field that will open up. They have had a few extra off days as well, which will help them in this spot. Look for the Vikings defense to set the tone and for the Colts to be frustrated on both sides of the ball all game long. Grab Minnesota.

Sunday Night Football 8* NFL ATS Play

Bengals -7

The Bengals and Raiders battle on Sunday and this is a good spot for Cincinnati. The Bengals dropped to 3-5, but there’s no panic from Burrow and company as they know they are still right there. This is a good matchup for them as the Raiders just don’t have much on either side of the ball. They’ve had a ton of issues slowing teams down and despite them being 3-5, Burrow has been picking apart opposing secondaries with the pass game. The Raiders rank 27th in the NFL when it comes to points against as they’ve given up a lot of big plays. Burrow will be able to work with Higgins and Chase and find some plays deep down field. This will be a game where they control the time of possession and force the Raiders to scramble defensively. Lay the points as this is a spot the Bengals need a convincing win.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Chargers -1

The Browns and Chargers will meet in Cleveland and this is a great spot on LA. Everyone is back to buying the Browns hype as they beat Baltimore last week with Winston taking over. Winston could have thrown multiple interceptions that the Ravens just simply dropped. The Chargers defense won’t have that as they’re one of the best in the league and they’re going to blitz Winston all game long. Cleveland also has been battling a lot of injuries and the list just got bigger on the defensive end. Ward is out and combining that with a few key injuries already and they’re thin on this side of the ball. With the public pounding the Browns, this is a good spot to fade them. Grab the visitors.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Broncos +9.5

The Broncos catch a lot of points and there’s good value here on them Sunday. Denver has one of the best, if not the best, defense in the NFL. They have been one of the best when it comes to forcing turnovers and they’re causing havoc in the backfield of the opposition. The Ravens had some flaws exposed against Cleveland and this Broncos defense is a step up in competition. Baltimore has had their own issues on the defensive end and their inability to get off the field on third down has hurt them. They’re running into a hot Bo Nix right now too, as he has proven to be a solid pick so far. He’s making big plays and taking care of the ball. This is a good situational spot as well, given the Ravens just played the Browns and then have the Bengals looming next week on Thursday. Grab the points.

Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP Play

Jets -1.5

The Jets welcome in the Texans on Thursday and this is pretty much a must win for the Jets here. They’ve gone on an absolute skid and hit rock bottom with a loss to the Pats on Sunday. Situationally, they have the edge here as this has been an awful stretch for the Texans scheduling. This will be the Texans 4th game in 19 days and this will mark the 3rd game on the road. The Texans continue to battle injuries too as both Collins and Diggs are out for this game, leaving them very thin out wide. This is a game where the Jets have to come out with some fire on both sides of the ball. There’s no excuse for how they’ve been playing and Rodgers has to be better for starters. Defensively, they’re going to blitz all game as they have to force this Texans front back as they cannot let Stroud and Mixon get going early. This is a good spot for New York and you’re going to see some inspired play from the Jets.

Thursday 7* NFL ATS Play

Steelers -6

Monday Night Football offers an intriguing matchup as the Steelers once again find themselves in prime time. The Giants will counter them and we’re fading New York in this spot. Pittsburgh and Mike Tomlin are typically money when it comes to playing in prime time. They’re fresh off a beat down of the Jets at home on Sunday Night Football as Russell Wilson got himself going early. The Giants are going to have their hands full with the Steelers front, as they love to blitz. A couple key injuries have this Giants offensive line struggling right now and Pittsburgh will make things so difficult for Jones and company in the backfield. Combine that with this Steelers offense looking solid with Wilson calling the shots and this team is becoming a complete package right now. They’re the better team and have dominated when it comes to playing in prime time. Grab the home side minus the points.

Monday 9* NFL ATS Play

49ers -4.5

The 49ers and Cowboys meet on Sunday Night Football and were on the 49ers laying the points. Both teams have been beat up with injuries this season, but right now it’s the Cowboys that have all the gaps. Dallas has one of the worst defenses in the entire league and they’ve been getting torched constantly. They conceded 47 points last week and things won’t get any easier for them against this 49ers offense. San Francisco is going to lean on this run game and pound the ball to wear down this Dallas front. The Cowboys have been giving up huge chunk plays on the ground and it’s resulted in them wearing down as the game goes on. Look for that to happen once again as they just don’t have anyone who can stop the run game from the 49ers side. Dallas has allowed over 180 yards on the ground in over half their games and they’ll struggle to slow down another rushing attack on Sunday night.

Sunday Night 7* NFL ATS Play

Bengals -2.5

The Bengals meet with the Eagles on Sunday and there is solid value on the home side laying the small number. Cincinnati is starting to figure things out here as Joe Burrow is playing very well. With Higgins and Chase now both out wide, opposing defenses are having so many issues when it comes to slowing down the pass attack. Cincinnati now sits 3-4 after their slow start and they’re going to be right in the thick of the playoff race when it’s all said and done. Their defense dominating on Sunday as well against Cleveland, which should carry over against the Eagles. Philadelphia’s offense hasn’t looked as threatening this season by any means as they’ve had their struggles moving the ball. Their offensive line has been atrocious and this Bengals defense can get into the backfield here. Cincinnati has the more situational edge and they’re the better team overall in this spot.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Dolphins -3

The Dolphins and Cardinals clash on Sunday and we’re on the Dolphins here laying the points. Tua will return under center for the Cardinals and there’s an extremely motivated guy right there coming back for this Miami side. He returns to an offense that is actually playing well and they have been able to run the ball very well with him out. He’s made it very clear he isn’t going to be shy about running the ball himself and his dual threat ability makes this Miami offense so tough to deal with. Combine that with the Dolphins playing solid defense as well and this team is going to have the edge on both sides of the ball. Arizona comes in on shorter rest after their dramatic win over the Chargers on MNF and this will be a spot where they struggle to move the ball. This will be a 10:00am local kick off for Arizona traveling across the country and it’ll make it a tough spot for them. Lay the points with Miami.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Vikings -3

Minnesota has value here as they take on the Rams on Thursday Night Football. The Rams right now are so injured and with a short week, there’s going to be some big gaps in this team coming into Thursday. They have had a to be of issues moving the ball and don’t let a win over the Raiders get you hyped about this Los Angeles team. They have had a ton of trouble moving the ball and their offensive line has been a major red flag. Minnesota is going to come out with a ton of motivation following their last second loss to Detroit and they’re going to make some adjustments defensively. They will put together many more blitz packages and cause a lot of havoc against this Rams OL. Minnesota and Sam Darnold have looked good offensively and they will continue to find success deep down field. There’s good value here laying the small number.

Thursday 9* NFL ATS Play

Chargers -2.5

Monday Night Football pins the Chargers and Cardinals against each other and we’re grabbing the Chargers here as they lay the points. Los Angeles and Arizona both had some key injuries on Sunday, but we’re getting good value on a Chargers team that is playing well offensively. Herbert came out of the bye and raced this Chargers team out to a 23-0 lead and Herbert has been taking care of the ball which has been the most important thing. He's thrown just 1 interception to 6 touchdowns so far and he threw the ball 34 times against Denver. Arizona lost a lot of key pieces, which includes Harrison Jr, who is in concussion protocol. The Cardinals just don’t have the firepower to keep and with a lot of question marks about people playing on Sunday, there’s good value with the Chargers here.

Monday 9* NFL ATS Play

Bucs +3.5

The Bucs and Ravens headline MNF and this is a great spot for the Bucs as they catch points here. Tampa Bay is being overlooked in this spot tremendously. They’re 4-2 and they have been firing on all cylinders on the offensive end. Baker Mayfield has thrown for nearly 1500 yards and 15 touchdowns this year already. Him and Mike Evans continue to be one of the toughest combos to slow down and they’ll be able to have a ton of success against this Ravens secondary. Baltimore has let up 38 and 23 points in each of their last two games and Tampa Bay can really put together a solid game plan here against them. This is a good spot for them to make a statement as they’ll have their chances to win this one outright. Grab the points still as this should be a close game either way when it’s all said and done.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Steelers +2

Prime time pins the Jets and Steelers against one another and we’re on the Steelers here. Pittsburgh and Mike Tomlin seem to just flourish in spots like this. They always come out in prime time games put up good performances and regardless whether it Justin Fields or Russell Wilson, they are going to be poised for a good offensively day. On the flip side, the Jets here are being overvalued after acquiring Devante Adams. Their offense is still going to have issues and this Pittsburgh defense is going to wreck havoc in the backfield all night long. Look for them to put together plenty of different blitz packages and not give Rodgers any time. This will be a game where the Pittsburgh defense is the difference maker and they force a few turnovers in game where they can win this outright. Grab the points with the home side.

Sunday SNF 8* NFL ATS Play

Chiefs +2

It’s a Super Bowl rematch as the Chiefs and 49ers meet on Sunday. We’re on the Chiefs, as this team will always have value when you get points with them. Kansas City is the healthier side for sure and they come in off a bye which will add to their value in this spot. Kansas City will see the 49ers likely be on their 2nd or even 3rd string in the safety area which should give them plenty of chances down field. Combine that with the 49ers RB injury issues and there’s a whole lot of question marks surrounding San Francisco entering play. When you have the best player on the field as well in Patrick Mahomes, there’s always going to be value in a spot like this. The Chiefs Andy Reid will pull out all the stops and they’ll look to expose that injured 49ers secondary.

Sunday 10* *RARE* NFL ATS Play

Falcons -2.5

The Falcons and Seahawks battle on Sunday and this is one of those cases where these two teams are going in opposite directions right now. The Seahawks have dropped 3 in a row after a 3-0 start and they’re getting absolutely torched on the defensive end. Seattle has given up 42, 29, and 36 points during these 3 losses and they right now are just so banged up in the secondary. Atlanta has been trending upward, with 3 straight wins and they have put up 26, 36, and 38 points. They’ve been able to run a balanced attack and their run game has worn out opposing defenses. That’s going to be the gameplan here as the Seahawks have been struggling mightily against the run game during this run. Combine all this with them playing this at 10am on west coast time and the advantages sit with Atlanta.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Colts -3

Indianapolis and Miami will meet Sunday and we’re grabbing the Colts here, laying the points. The public has pounded the Dolphins early and this is a good spot to fade them. The Colts are going to have Anthony Richardson and Jonathan Taylor back which is also a huge boost to this side. Miami continues to march out Tyler Huntley, who hasn’t looked the best since taking over the QB reins. The Colts offense has been clicking on all cylinders and it’s going to add another speed element with the returning starters. This is going to be a game where the Colts offense will use their speed and tempo against this Dolphins defense, that has struggled at times. The Colts are the better team on both sides of the ball and there’s good value laying the points here.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Packers -2.5

The Packers have the value as they matchup with Houston in what could be the best game of the week. We’re getting two very good QBs going up against each other and it should provide a lot of fireworks. The Texans being without Nico Collins is going to be a big edge for the Packers in this matchup. The Texans pass offense goes through him and these tough Packers’ safeties can be much more aggressive with them missing their big threat. Green Bay has also been dominant at home. They’ve covered in 7 of their last 11 here and Jordan Love has covered in 6 of his last 8. The Packers continue to give him plenty of time as well as they’re one of the best when it comes to protecting the QB as they rank 6th. This is a good spot for the Packers to show they are a top team in the NFL right now. Lay the small number on the home side.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Jets +2.5

Monday Night Football will have plenty of storylines as the Jets take on Buffalo. The Jets surprised the NFL world as they fired Robert Saleh out of nowhere and now they’ll move forward with an interim coach into play. We’ve seen this before many times where teams get the big boost after a coaching change and this will be a game Aaron Rodgers looks to make a statement himself. He should get plenty of help as well from his defense, that is one of the better defenses in the league. They’ll go up against a short handed Bills side, as Shakir and Cook are both listed as out for Monday. Allen struggled last week going just 9 for 30 and right now they’re struggling to find any sort of rhythm. That doesn’t bode well for them against a hungry Jets team that will look to quiet some of the doubters. Grab the points as New York is going to be the hungrier team in this spot.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Lions -3

The Lions head into Dallas on Sunday and we’re laying the points on the road. Dallas comes in off a crazy road win that saw them catch a huge break late in the 4th on a fumble and then eventually score on 4th down with just seconds left to win. This is not a good spot for them after being worn out as they’re going to get torched defensively. The Cowboys have been one of the worst in the entire NFL when it comes to stopping the run. They will have to deal with Montgomery and Gibbs, who both run wild with speed and power for this Lions backfield. Detroit also is in a situational edge as they come in off the bye and got some key pieces healthy coming into this matchup. Goff has also found his form as of late which just adds even more value to this spot. He’ll be inside of a dome even with this being a road game and they’re going to dictate just about everything. Back the Lions on Sunday.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Broncos +3

The Broncos and Chargers clash on Sunday and we’re on the Broncos here grabbing the points. While the Chargers did have a bye week to start to get healthy, this still doesn’t justify them being road favorites in this spot. The Broncos have been able to lean on their defense, which has stepped up tremendously here this season. They’ve forced a lot of bad decisions from opposing QBs and their ability to get off the field on third down has been one of the best in the NFL. The Chargers have a lot of gaps in their defense and some of their key players playing at under 100% right now. Denver’s offense has been able to produce a lot of solid drives and Bo Nix is starting to really settle in. This is a good spot for the the Broncos to control the time of possession and really put the Chargers in some tough spots on both spots of the ball.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Steelers -3

The Steelers and Raiders battle in Vegas and we’re on the Steelers here laying the points. Like many teams that travel to Vegas, the Steelers fans travel better than any fan base and you’re going to see this feel like a home game for them. This is a good bounce back spot for them after losing in the final seconds against the Cowboys last week too. Pittsburgh has came out of the gates and still looked good overall and this defense is going to have a field day with the Raiders. They will put together a lot of different blitz packages as the Raiders have had a ton of issues with their offensive line this season. Vegas was smacked around the Broncos last week and they have had many issues defensively as well. This team just isn’t built to match up well with a team as physical as the Steelers. This is a very valuable spot for the Steelers with such a low line.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Packers -4.5

The Packers welcome in the Cardinals on Sunday and we’re playing the Packers, minus the points. This is a good spot to fade this Cardinals defense. Arizona has ranked near the bottom in many defensive categories to start this season and they’ve been torched at times. Jordan Love is back to 100% and this Packers offense has been able to find big chunk plays downfield. The Packers also catch the Cardinals at a good time here as this is a bit of a let down spot. They came from behind and upset San Francisco last week on the road and now going into Green Bay is going to be a tall task. Murray plays well at home, but we have seen him struggle outside the dome throughout his career. Given how well this Packers team plays at home too, this is a great value spot on them as this line should be higher. Back the Packers.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Steelers -2.5

The Steelers and Cowboys battle on SNF and there’s good value on the Steelers in this spot. Pittsburgh gave one way on Sunday for their first loss of the season as sloppy play ended up costing them. Still, this Pittsburgh team looks like they are hitting on all cylinders offensively. They racked up 404 yards in the loss and they’re leaning on Fields with his legs and arm. He’s made this Pittsburgh offense a huge threat and they will make things super difficult for the Cowboys. Dallas is just 9-10 ATS on the road since 2022 and they have looked far too inconsistent. Combine that with Tomlin covering 3 straight prime time games and this lines up well for the Steelers. Back the home side here.  

Sunday Night Football 7* NFL ATS Play

Packers -3

The Packers and Rams clash on Sunday and the value sits with the Packers here. Green Bay saw Jordan Love return and while he threw for 389 yards and 4 TDs, he threw for 3 interceptions that ultimately doomed them. Love looked like himself in the 2nd half and that is extremely encouraging coming into play here on Sunday. Green Bay is going to pick apart this Rams defense. They rank last in yards per attempt and are 31st in scoring defense as they have so many issues right now. They have struggled to slow anyone down and this secondary continues to be roasted. Green Bay has also dominated this head to head matchup. They’ve covered in 9 straight meetings with the Rams and in that span, they’ve averaged 28 ppg. Green Bay is the better team on both sides of the ball and we’re getting a good number on them Sunday. Back the Packers.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Broncos -2.5

The Broncos and Raiders clash on Sunday and were on the Broncos here laying the small number. Denver was written off after their sluggish start to the season, but since then they now have wins in back to back games against the Bucs and Jets. This team is playing with the confidence now and they’re going to come out and ride that momentum wave on Sunday. Their defense is making such a huge impact so far. Coming into Sunday, they have averaged just 4.2 ypg against, which ranks 2nd in the NFL. They are putting together a ton of different blitz packages and their ability to force opposing QBs into some tough decisions has allowed them to get off the field. The Raiders should have lost to the Browns last week and the Vegas offense will have such a tough time moving the ball. Expect the Broncos to stack the box and not give this backfield anytime to make decisions. There’s value here on Denver.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Browns +3.5

The Browns are in the danger zone and now they are almost in a must win spot here on Sunday against Washington. Cleveland could just as easily be 3-1 as they had chances to win against New York and Las Vegas in back to back weeks. Finding a couple of silver linings though, one in particular is Watson is playing much better. He is starting to get more comfortable and he will continue to play well. Him and Cooper have found that chemistry again and that will continue to grow as the weeks go on. This game will lean on the Browns defense. Cleveland’s defense has kept them in every game and given them chances to win in every which way. They’re going to blitz and make things uncomfortable for Daniels. Look for them to force the rookie into some difficult spots as Cleveland will have their chances to win this game outright. Back the Browns.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Bengals +2.5

AFC North rivals clash as the Bengals and Ravens battle on Sunday. We’re on the Bengals, who catch points at home. Cincinnati is being undervalued here because of their slow start. Still, Cincinnati bounced back and got a nice road win at Carolina and their offense is still rolling. Burrow has played exceptionally well the last couple of weeks and this offense has been extremely tough to stop. They matchup well with the Ravens, as they can go toe to toe with the explosive offense Baltimore brings. This rivalry has always produced close games too. Every game over the last 3 years has seen the Bengals win, or lose by less than 3 with the exception of one game where Burrow got hurt. Cincinnati can get right back into this with a win on Sunday and they will come out with a lot of fire. Expect them to dictate the tempo and win the time of possession here. Grab the points.  

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Bucs +1.5

The Bucs and Falcons headline a very interesting Thursday Night Football game. We’re on the visitors here as the Bucs have the value. This Falcons team has been interesting to start the season. They haven’t looked good offensively and yet they still keep finding ways to win games. However, this Bucs team is one that is showcasing they can be a top team in the league. Baker Mayfield is sustaining drives and putting together a solid start to his 2024 campaign. This Bucs team is playing with a ton of confidence and their ability to get into short yardage situations has allowed them to continue drives and stay on the field. That’s going to be the key here as they’re going to keep Cousins and this Falcons offense off the field. Tampa Bay is the better overall team and the Falcons inability to close out drives with points will be the difference.

Thursday 9* NFL ATS Play

Browns +1.5

Cleveland heads into Vegas on Sunday and this game is basically a pickem. The local and national media continues to just drill Cleveland and Deshaun Watson as the Browns 1-2 start has been a major disappointment. This was a similar take after week 1 and they bounced back in Jacksonville. The Cleveland defense is going to still be the difference. They did not allow a point in the 2nd half against the Giants last week and they gave this offense every chance to go down and steal the game. They’re going to pin their ears back and blitz even more as Vegas right now is a mess at the QB spot. Minshew is likely going to be the starter and after getting shutdown by the Panthers last week, he’s going to be on a short leash. That doesn’t bode well for his confidence and that gives the Browns a nice edge. Watson is going to bounce back and this Browns offense should be able to find more success against this terrible secondary. This is a good line on the Browns to quiet the media and get back to .500.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Chiefs -7

The Chiefs head into LA to take on the Chargers and the value sits with Kansas City. Harbaugh is being tested early and it’s going to extremely difficult against this Chiefs team with all the injuries. The Chargers saw Justin Herbert, Joey Bosa, Joe Alt and Rashawn Slater all go down with injuries in Week 3 and combine that with Derwin James being suspended and this team is going to be without 5 of their best players. This is a recipe for disaster as the Chiefs look like they’re in mid season form. They went into Atlanta and won on Sunday Night Football and they’re getting huge contributions on both sides of the ball. Mahomes has dominated the chargers in his past too. He’s thrown for 25 touchdowns to just 6 interceptions as he’s had their number. With all the injuries mounting up, the Chargers will have issues on both sides of the ball themselves. This is a complete mismatch and we’re getting good value here. Back the Chiefs.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Jets -7

The Jets and Broncos both come in off wins and they battle here on Sunday in New York. This is a perfect let down spot for the Broncos right here. They played a near flawless game in Tampa as they upset the Bucs at home last week. They caught Tampa Bay maybe looking ahead as this Denver side hasn’t looked good overall with Bo Nix calling the shots. After a huge win like that, this will be a tough spot for them having to deal with the Jets who are on a high right now. The Jets and Aaron Rodgers will be on extra rest as they demolished the Pats. New York will come in with a ton of confidence now as they believe they can win this with Rodgers under center. Their ability to establish the run game with Hall, has opened up a lot of passing lanes for Rodgers. They’ll pick apart this Broncos secondary.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Rams +3

The Rams and Bears clash in Chicago on Sunday and we’re on the visitors here, grabbing the points. The Rams right now have all the momentum. They were staring 0-3 right in the face and erased a 24-14 deficit to the 49ers to eventually hit a field goal and steal the win 27-24. It essentially could have saved the season for them as Matthew Stafford knows how to win. He’s a vet that can drive down the field at any moment and the Rams can lean on him here as they battle through some injuries to start the year. They matchup very well with the Bears, who have dropped back to back games as Williams still doesn’t have much going offensively. The Rams defense should be able to cause a lot of issues for him early in this game and get a nice push against this offensive line. Los Angeles is the better team overall and the Bears right now have nothing working for them. This is a good spot to grab the points.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play