12-08-13 |
Carolina Panthers v. New Orleans Saints -3 |
|
13-31 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 9 m |
Show
|
The Saints look to wash out their bad loss to the Seahawks last week. The Saints are a different team at home and that is where they will host the Panthers tonight. Things for Brees & the offense seem to click better at home and they cannot lay down against this tough Panthers team. The Saints are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Play on the Saints.
|
12-08-13 |
Seattle Seahawks v. San Francisco 49ers -2.5 |
|
17-19 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 6 m |
Show
|
Sharp money is coming in on the 49ers at home & I like it. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings & the home team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings. San Francisco has also taken four straight home games against the Seahawks.
Play on the 49ers at home laying less than a FG.
|
12-08-13 |
Kansas City Chiefs -3 v. Washington Redskins |
|
45-10 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 44 m |
Show
|
The Chiefs are still a great team. They do not match up with the Broncos good which 2 of their losses have came. The Chiefs travel to the Redskins today and they feel as its a must win to get back in the grove. K.C. is 4-1 on the road and is riding 3 straight losses. The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Play on the Chiefs to get it done.
|
12-07-13 |
Ohio State v. Michigan State +6 |
|
24-34 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 5 m |
Show
|
The Spartans boast the nation
|
12-07-13 |
Missouri v. Auburn |
|
42-59 |
Loss |
-112 |
7 h 56 m |
Show
|
The sharp money is coming in on Missouri & I think for good reason here. Auburn has had some great luck this year in both their big wins against Georgia & Alabama. I don't want to take anything away from them on the big wins but Missouri is the better balanced team here & their defense makes big plays to put the offense in good spots. Missouri takes this game on the neutral field.
Play on Missouri.
|
12-07-13 |
Marshall v. Rice +7 |
|
24-41 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 47 m |
Show
|
Huge value with Rice being home today getting 7 points. Rice is 7-1 at home this year while Marshall is just 3-3 on the road. The Thundering Herd are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. The Owls are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Play on Rice.
|
12-06-13 |
Bowling Green v. Northern Illinois -4 |
|
47-27 |
Loss |
-106 |
33 h 2 m |
Show
|
Northern Illinois looks to pick up their 3rd straight MAC Championship. Jordan Lynch is at the helm and this kid is great. He has 25 straight wins over MAC opponents. Bowling Greens lead LB is out since early November and they will miss him on this game. I expect Northern Illinois to take this game by at least a touchdown. Their defense will create some turnovers & Lynch will capitalize. Bowling Green is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
Play on Northern Illinois to get it done once again.
|
12-02-13 |
New Orleans Saints v. Seattle Seahawks -4.5 |
|
7-34 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 29 m |
Show
|
The Seahawks 10-1 on the year & sit at 5-0 unbeaten at home. They host the Saints on Monday Night Football & look to extend their franchise record with the home win streak. The Seahawks hold a one game lead for home field advantage for the Playoffs over the Saints and would love to leave a mark against them in the Monday Night spotlight. . Seattle is tied for the NFL lead with 16 interceptions and boasts a plus-11 turnover margin. We saw the Saints struggle on the road against the Jets a few weeks ago and this one will be no easier. The Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Seahawks are 10-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record & are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.
Play on the Seahawks -4.5
|
12-01-13 |
NY Giants +1 v. Washington Redskins |
|
24-17 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 53 m |
Show
|
The Gmen look to keep their slim playoff hopes alive after a late heart-breaker last week against the Cowboys. RG3 is no longer the reliable got o playmaker for the Skins and is causing some issues in the locker room. The Redskins are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 vs. NFC. The Giants are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 13 and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
Play on the Giants.
|
12-01-13 |
Miami Dolphins v. NY Jets UNDER 40.5 |
|
23-3 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 21 m |
Show
|
The Jets have only scored one TD in the last 31 possessions with Geno Smith under the center. They will rely heavy on the running game and controlling the clock tomorrow as Miami has trouble stopping the run & Rex Ryan still shows no faith in Geno throwing the ball. Miami has has trouble with injuries all year and also off field stuff with the o-line. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York. The under is 6-1 in Dolphins last 7 vs. AFC East.
Play on the Under 40.5 points.
|
12-01-13 |
New England Patriots v. Houston Texans +9 |
|
34-31 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 19 m |
Show
|
Houston has not had the year that they wanted but their defense does play well against the pass and they will be at home hosting the Pats on Sunday. The home team is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The Patriots are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Texans are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Take the Home Dog with the Texans.
|
12-01-13 |
Tennessee Titans v. Indianapolis Colts -3.5 |
|
14-22 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 16 m |
Show
|
The Colts are a perfect 3-0 against the AFC South this year and look to get back in the win column at home tomorrow as they host the Titans. The Titans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Indianapolis. The Colts are 10-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. I look for Luck to take charge and have a great game tomorrow picking up the home win. Indianapolis has won nine of the last 10 meetings.
Play on the Colts
|
12-01-13 |
Arizona Cardinals v. Philadelphia Eagles -3 |
|
21-24 |
Push |
0 |
15 h 9 m |
Show
|
Chip Kelly gets the bye week and looks to keep this win streak alive and make it 4 in a row. They host another hot team with the Cardinals. The Eagles will look to rush the ball as the Cards have trouble stopping the run. I think Chip will have this defense in a better spot with the week off and able to prep. The Eagles are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in Week 13. The home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The Cardinals are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Play on the Eagles at home.
|
11-30-13 |
Texas A&M v. Missouri -4 |
|
21-28 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 23 m |
Show
|
Missouri has been money for me all year taking them in the right spots. Today I believe is another good spot for them at home against this A&M team. The Tigers will beat you on both sides of the ball. The Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games & are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Look for the Tigers defense to make key stops and the offense to make the big plays to follow it up.
Play on Missouri.
|
11-30-13 |
Alabama v. Auburn +11 |
|
28-34 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 14 m |
Show
|
Auburn is unbeaten at home this year and will have the biggest test of the year as the Tide roll into town. Auburn has scored at least 30 points in seven consecutive games for the first time since 1994. The Tigers have won 86 consecutive games when hitting the 30-point mark. The Crimson Tide are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Tigers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Look for a close fought game here. Take the home team plus the points.
Play on Auburn.
|
11-30-13 |
Georgia v. Georgia Tech +3.5 |
|
41-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
We all known Georgia Techs plan today. Control the ball, tempo, and stuff it down the throat of the Bulldogs. Tech has three 1,000 yard rushers going into today. The Bulldogs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Yellow Jackets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games. Take the home team plus the points.
Play on Georgia Tech.
|
11-30-13 |
Rutgers -2.5 v. Connecticut |
|
17-28 |
Loss |
-106 |
4 h 47 m |
Show
|
Rutgers needs a win to become bowl eligible & UConn wants this season to be over. Rutgers is riding a 2 game win streak and will put senior QB Chas Dodd in to replace Nova who has not performed well. Rutgers has taken 6 of the last 8 against the Huskies. The Huskies are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.
Play on Rutgers -2.5
|
11-29-13 |
Oregon State v. Oregon OVER 68.5 |
|
35-36 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 46 m |
Show
|
Oregon State will keep with their passing attack which will allow the clock to stop. Oregon with 2 losses they wish never happened will look to run up the score on this rivalry game. The over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Oregon.
Play on the Over 68.5 points.
|
11-29-13 |
Washington State +16.5 v. Washington |
|
17-27 |
Win
|
101 |
6 h 6 m |
Show
|
Underdog is 13-5 ATS in their last 18 meetings and 16.5 points may just be to many as the Washginton State offense can move the ball. The Cougars are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. Expect a close game here and possible upset alert.
Play on WSU.
|
11-29-13 |
Toledo v. Akron +9 |
|
29-31 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 51 m |
Show
|
Akron has looked good in the past coming off a bye week, while Toledo has not. The Rockets are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a bye week. The Zips are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a bye week. The Rockets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Play on the home dog.
|
11-29-13 |
East Carolina v. Marshall OVER 65 |
|
28-59 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 60 m |
Show
|
Exciting high scoring offenses clash today. We should see 40 points by one team & 30 by the other. The over is 16-5 in Thundering Herd last 21 conference games. The over is 12-3 in Pirates last 15 games in November. Lets keep following these OVER trends and play the over here.
Play on Over 65 points.
|
11-29-13 |
Iowa v. Nebraska -2 |
|
38-17 |
Loss |
-108 |
3 h 38 m |
Show
|
Iowa has not won at Nebraska since 1943. Nebraska hosts Iowa today and are two point favorites which is a good spot keeping it under 3. The Cornhuskers are 15-4-2 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Iowa plays very well against the run but Nebraska run game is even tougher and expect them to pound it all day. The Hawkeyes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Play on the Cornhuskers.
|
11-28-13 |
Pittsburgh Steelers v. Baltimore Ravens -2.5 |
|
20-22 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 44 m |
Show
|
Baltimore is not an easy place to go into to play & the Steelers are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games. The Ravens are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. The edge goes to the home team in this one and the Ravens will pull out a close win.
Play on the Ravens.
|
11-28-13 |
Green Bay Packers v. Detroit Lions -6.5 |
|
10-40 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 46 m |
Show
|
Both teams are having some major problems with now and both of losing streaks. The Lions are in a better spot today at home. The offense needs to turn it on as Green Bays defense is giving up a ton of yards. The Green Bay offense is doing nothing to help with the loss of Rodgers and other key players. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The Packers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC. The Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC North.
Play on the Lions.
|
11-25-13 |
San Francisco 49ers -4 v. Washington Redskins |
|
27-6 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 25 m |
Show
|
Both teams are struggling right now & the 49ers , the better team really need to show up tonight to make a late push for the wildcard spot. They have loss consecutive games and Kaepernick needs to find his rhythm again. The Redskins have plenty of problems on offense outside the running game. The 49ers will key in on Morris tonight and put the weight on RG3 who has problems with not only his game right now but also in the locker room. The favorite is 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The road team is 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Key Trend/Angle: The Redskins are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
Play on the 49ers to show up and get it done.
|
11-24-13 |
San Diego Chargers +4.5 v. Kansas City Chiefs |
|
41-38 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 24 m |
Show
|
The Chargers also have some other statistical advantages. They are converting 3rd downs at 46%, compared to the Chiefs 35% conversion rate. I like Phillip Rivers to keep the chains moving this afternoon and catch the Chiefs in a perfect play against situation. Key Trend: Kansas City is 1-11 ATS as divisional favorites since 2007 Look for Rivers to continue playing good with the 7th best offense in the league. I like the Chargers getting some points.
|
11-24-13 |
Chicago Bears v. St. Louis Rams -1 |
|
21-42 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 22 m |
Show
|
The Rams seems to rise to the occasion at home against a good team. The Rams are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Bears are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 vs. NFC. Take the Rams here as their defense will show up again.
|
11-24-13 |
Carolina Panthers v. Miami Dolphins +5 |
|
20-16 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 20 m |
Show
|
Carolina is 0-8 SUATS All-Time as a non-divisional road favorite off a SU and ATS win Miami is 11-1 ATS their last 12 games as a non-divisional single digit underdog. The Panthers have a short week to plan to head into Miami. The Fins are hungry for a win after starting the season so well and not playing well for 5 weeks now. Take the Fins at home plus the points as they are due for a win.
|
11-24-13 |
NY Jets v. Baltimore Ravens -3 |
|
3-19 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 16 m |
Show
|
The Ravens have taken 7 straight in this series. Although the Jets have alternated a win, loss all season they are 1-4 on the road while the Ravens are 3-1 at home. The Ravens are 6-1-2 ATS in their last 9 games in November, while the Jets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November. Play on the Ravens at home to get it done against a not so good Jets team.
|
11-24-13 |
Pittsburgh Steelers +1 v. Cleveland Browns |
|
27-11 |
Win
|
115 |
4 h 11 m |
Show
|
Roethlisberger was named AFC Offensive player of the week last week & looks to continue playing well. He is 15-1 in his career against the Browns. Both teams have shown defensive struggles but the Steelers are the better team here and want this win bad. Big Ben will carry them in a close one but grab the win.
|
11-23-13 |
Baylor v. Oklahoma State +8.5 |
|
17-49 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 2 m |
Show
|
|
11-23-13 |
Texas A&M +5.5 v. LSU |
|
10-34 |
Loss |
-106 |
7 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
11-23-13 |
Oregon v. Arizona +20.5 |
|
16-42 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 31 m |
Show
|
|
11-23-13 |
Mississippi State v. Arkansas +1.5 |
|
24-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 23 m |
Show
|
|
11-21-13 |
New Orleans Saints v. Atlanta Falcons +10 |
|
17-13 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 6 m |
Show
|
The home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings & the Dirty Birds use to be unbeatable at home. Matty Ice is having a tough season and look to get back on some sort of track tonight while hosting the Saints. The Falcons get 10 points tonight while they try to slow down the one dimensional Saints team. The Saints have shown they can be beaten but the Falcons will have to be playing well in front of the home crowd tonight. The Saints are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. The Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. Take the home dog in this spot.
|
11-18-13 |
New England Patriots +3 v. Carolina Panthers |
|
20-24 |
Loss |
-102 |
7 h 32 m |
Show
|
Tom Brady loves the MNF spotlight and is 13-4 in his career on Monday night games. The Panthers have proven people wrong and have picked up some quality teams but tonight the Pats will get the better of them and getting 3 points is a gift. The Patriots are coming off a bye week and will have an answer for Cam Newton. The Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings & the road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
|
11-17-13 |
Arizona Cardinals v. Jacksonville Jaguars +9.5 |
|
27-14 |
Loss |
-117 |
21 h 16 m |
Show
|
I am still looking for a break out game from Maurice Jones Drew and have that feeling that he might get it against a Cardinals defense that should be a bit flat from their extended stay at home. Like I mentioned earlier, this is an angle that I used when Atlanta visited Arizona in Week 8 after not playing on the road for over a month, and I will lean heavily on this angle again this afternoon and also the West Coast team playing an early game along with the fact that Arizona is 1-5 as a road favorite the last 4 years.
Play on Jacksonville Jaguars
|
11-17-13 |
Washington Redskins +4.5 v. Philadelphia Eagles |
|
16-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 13 m |
Show
|
Getting over a field goal in this what should be tight game is a nice spot to be in. Offense powered teams in this NFC East matchup but the Skins looks to have the advantage. The Eagles have shown signs of more struggles this season while the Redskins seem to keep on finding break out players. The Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Philadelphia. The road team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings. Play on the Skins.
|
11-17-13 |
NY Jets -113 v. Buffalo Bills |
|
14-37 |
Loss |
-113 |
21 h 9 m |
Show
|
The Jets find themselves in a playoff hunt and a bit of confidence after defeating the Saints last week. The Jets bring in new addition to the defense with Ed Reed. The Bills have some key injuries in the WR position and may need to rely on the run game which is no easy task against this Jets defense. Santonio Holmes looks to come back to help out the Jets offense. The Jets have taken nine of the last 11 meetings. Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Buffalo.Jets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings. Play on the Jets.
|
11-16-13 |
Alabama v. Mississippi State +24.5 |
|
20-7 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
The home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings & Mississippi St is getting a nice amount of points here. Miss. State has a nice double deuce offense led by dual threat Dak Prescott who is the team's leading rusher also. Look for the home crowd to keep the Bulldogs in this game as this is another PRIME Let down situation with an inflated line.
Play on the Home Dog here.
|
11-16-13 |
Texas Tech +28 v. Baylor |
|
34-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 37 m |
Show
|
As the college season continues, the pressure mounts for these undefeated teams and so do the lines ( as this one is inflated). Baylor is coming off their biggest win of the season and the situation call for Texas Tech to cover the spread tonight. Injuries: Baylor's #2 receiver, senior Tevin Reese, is out for the season. Also running back Seastrunk who is averaging 8.7 yards per rush is listed as questionable, and their #2 running back , senior running back is listed as doubtful.
|
11-16-13 |
Houston +17 v. Louisville |
|
13-20 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
Both teams lost a close game to UCF and Houston will be able to keep this game close. +17 points is quiet a bit in the matchup even on the road. The Cougars are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games and are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Cardinals are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
|
11-16-13 |
Michigan v. Northwestern -2.5 |
|
27-19 |
Loss |
-116 |
6 h 58 m |
Show
|
Northwestern defense is key to this team and they will need to play well against Michigan today to grab the win. The Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The Wildcats are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS win.
Play on the home team here to get it done.
|
11-16-13 |
West Virginia -6.5 v. Kansas |
|
19-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 32 m |
Show
|
West Virginia lost a tough one last week against Texas and looks to get back on track against a struggling Kansas team. WVU is not having the season they want but they have a chance to beat up on a not so good team today.
Key Trend: Mountaineers are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Play on WVU to pick up a win they desperately need.
|
11-14-13 |
Georgia Tech +11.5 v. Clemson |
|
31-55 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 5 m |
Show
|
Georgia Tech is getting some nice points tonight. We all know they want to keep the ball on the ground and are very hard to stop. They will control the tempo of this game to keep it close. The underdog is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 meetings. Clemson Tigers are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Take GA Tech Plus the points in this nice underdog value spot!
|
11-14-13 |
Marshall v. Tulsa +13.5 |
|
45-34 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 3 m |
Show
|
Tulsa looks to pick up only its 2nd home field win this season. They are getting just under 2 touchdowns here and its a nice cushion for them to be in. Marshall is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. Tulsa is 9-1 ATS their last 10 home conference games vs. 600 or greater opponents. Tulsa also has covered the spread 16 the last 21 times at home against a team with a winning record. Taking the points with Tulsa tonight!
|
11-13-13 |
Ball State +7.5 v. Northern Illinois |
|
27-48 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 11 m |
Show
|
Love Ball State getting over a TD tonight.
Trends: Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Cardinals are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week. Huskies are 0-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Play on Ball State
|
11-12-13 |
Buffalo +3.5 v. Toledo |
|
41-51 |
Loss |
-104 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
|
Key Trends: Rockets are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week. Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Tuesday games Bulls are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf. Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Take Buffalo to keep this game within a FG
|
11-11-13 |
Miami Dolphins v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 |
|
19-22 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
First Thoughts: Miami has so much going on right now and the offense line may be in trouble tonight losing two starters to the bullying mishaps happening last week. The Bucs will need to take advantage of this and pick up their first win of the season.
Advantage: Goes to the Bucs. Miami hasn't won in Tampa Bay since October 1988. The Bucs are also getting 3 points at home.
Key Trends: Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Buccaneers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
|
11-10-13 |
Dallas Cowboys v. New Orleans Saints -6.5 |
|
17-49 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 48 m |
Show
|
The Saints come back to their home field after a bad beat to the Jets last week. The Saints play much better at home and are unbeaten there this year while the Cowboys do not play well away from home. The Saints are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games. The Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings. Play on the Saints.
|
11-10-13 |
Carolina Panthers v. San Francisco 49ers -5.5 |
|
10-9 |
Loss |
-108 |
23 h 35 m |
Show
|
First Look: Both the 49ers (5 game win streak) & the Panthers (4 game win streak) are playing some good football right now.
Notable Advantages: The 49ers are coming off of a bye week and are hosting the Panthers at home. The 49ers defense is going to be one of the toughest the Panthers have seen. They have caused 13 turnovers in the last 5 games.
Key Trends: Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Final Thoughts: The Panthers should get exposed this week and will show they are not one of the top teams in the NFC but certainly have a playoff run in them.
Play on the 49ers.
|
11-10-13 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. Baltimore Ravens +2 |
|
17-20 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 35 m |
Show
|
The Ravens have won 4 of the last 5 vs. the Bengals including going 3-0 SU at home. Also note that Flacco is 3-0 ATS in his career as a home dog vs. sub .700 opponents and the fact the defending Super Bowl Champs are 4-0 SUATS as dogs in games off 3 straight losses just solidifies my selection today.
Play on Baltimore Ravens
|
11-10-13 |
Jacksonville Jaguars +13 v. Tennessee Titans |
|
29-27 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 34 m |
Show
|
We have to date back to 2009 when the Titans were a double digit home favorite and I feel there is value with the Jags this afternoon. They have nothing to lose and I promise you that they would love to get their first win today. This is a situational play that favors the Jags, and given the fact the double digit dogs have been profitable this year in the NFL, placing a solid wager on the Jags this afternoon. The last team that Jacksonville beat was actually Tennessee last year and that should give them confidence as well. I also like the fact that Jones-Drew is going up against a bottom tier run defense of the Titans.
Play on Jacksonville Jaguars
|
11-10-13 |
Buffalo Bills v. Pittsburgh Steelers -3 |
|
10-23 |
Win
|
106 |
19 h 12 m |
Show
|
Whoever the Bills start in the QB spot this week I still like the Steelers. The Bills are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings and Big Ben looks like he is starting to get his groove back a bit. The Bills are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Play on the Steelers.
|
11-09-13 |
LSU +13 v. Alabama |
|
17-38 |
Loss |
-115 |
11 h 20 m |
Show
|
Nick Saban has this Alabama team kicking ass and taking names currently against some cupcakes, but clearly this will be their first test of the season since beating Texas AM in Week3 in my opinion. Alabama is holding opponents to only an average of 3 points in the first half this year, and HC Les Miles will have some tricks up his sleeve as this will not be the case tonight. Alabama pulled the 21-17 victory last year, but LSU won the 'ITS' 435-342 and won the Time of possession battle easily.
LSU has a double deuce offense led by Stephen Hill who is averaging 7.2 yards per rush and quarterback Mettenburger has two legit NFL reveivers in Beckham and Landry and they can bust free at any time for a touchdown.
Alabama has played a cupcake SEC schedule and I have the feeling that they will not be fully ready for LSU, strictly because they haven't played a ranked team in over a month. Tonight, give us Les Miles with double digits who is 7-3-1 ATS as a dog of 4 or more points at LSU.
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11-09-13 |
Virginia Tech +7 v. Miami (Florida) |
|
42-24 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 18 m |
Show
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Virginia Tech comes into this game off B2B losses, but I like them for a number of reasons against a Miami team who just saw their undefeated season go down the drain. Virginia Tech is 8-1 'ITS' this year behind a defense that is only allowing 253 yards per game. They have the #1 ranked pass defense and the #7 run defense. Virginia Tech has only been a dog once this year and that was when playing @ Georgia Tech when they were a 7 point dog. The Hokies came up big and won the game SU, 17-10.
Miami won 30-12 last year so this is a revenge game for senior quarterback Logan Thomas. Thomas will need to take care of the ball and he will be able to lead his team to a victory. Although Miami won 30-12, Virginia Tech won the 'ITS' 421-347. It was 3 Hokie turnovers that made this score misleading. There was also a big kickoff return by Duke Johnson and a blocked punt that led to a 2 Miami touchdowns. I do not think that will be the case tonight.
On the Miami side of the ball, they have many negatives going for them tonight. First, there is the 'Bubble Burst' theory which is very much in effect tonight. Also, the Miami offense has taken a big set back with the loss of RB Duke Johnson. This guy is a NFL back and the loss of him is BIG, as well as WR Phillip Dorsett. I believe that the Hokies stout defense will stand up and cause havoc for Miami, and they will control the field and give Logan Thomas good field position so he can make some plays and put some touchdowns on the board. HC Frank Beamer is one of the best college coaches when playing with revenge, covering at a 63% rate in the blind. If we look closer though, Beamer is 7-0 ATS when playing with revenge when coming off a loss.
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11-09-13 |
Vanderbilt v. Florida -10 |
|
34-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 16 m |
Show
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The Gators are in the midst of one of their worst seasons in recent memory, and come into this matchup at just 4-4. With games against Florida State and South Carolina still on the schedule, the Gators are going to start picking up some wins if they even want to finish .500 this season. Vanderbilt as a program is still on the upswing, but they haven
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11-09-13 |
Kansas State v. Texas Tech -2.5 |
|
49-26 |
Loss |
-106 |
3 h 3 m |
Show
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Texas Tech has a huge advantage with this game being at home. They are coming off back to back tough losses against two very good teams. K-State is just 2-3 on the road this year and is 4-4 overall while the Red Raiders have only two losses this year and will get back on track today. The Red Raiders are the favorite today by -2.5 points and the favorite is 4-1 ATs in the last 5 meetings. K-State is just 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. Play on the Red Raiders to get it done at home.
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11-09-13 |
Penn State v. Minnesota -2.5 |
|
10-24 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 60 m |
Show
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Last week Penn St. loses in a hail mary in overtime and it sums up how they are feeling right now, down and out. Heading into Minnesota will not be getting easier for them as the Gophers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. I look at Penn St. who lost to Indiana this year and was out played all game, while Minnesota beat up on Indiana. The Gophers will be to hyped at home and will keep this nice season running good. Play on the Gophers to pick up their 8th win on the season.
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11-07-13 |
Oregon -10.5 v. Stanford |
|
20-26 |
Loss |
-106 |
8 h 19 m |
Show
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Ducks QB Marcus Mariota will need to put last years loss to Stanford behind him. The Ducks have beat Stanford 9 times in the last 11 meetings. Mariota has not thrown an INT since last time he faced Stanford. He needs to have another career game like he has been doing all season. The Ducks have to many weapons and this game is by far the biggest they will play all year. Standford will also be without DE Ben Gardner which may be trouble as the Ducks have rushed for at least 325 yards in five games. Key Trends: Ducks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Stanford. Ducks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
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11-07-13 |
Washington Redskins -1 v. Minnesota Vikings |
|
27-34 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 49 m |
Show
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Ponder gets the 3rd straight start for the Vikings & although he has looked decent he is 0-5 as a starter this season. He will also be without TE Kyle Rudolph in tonights game. The Redskins will need to use Morris in a heavy run attack to balance the offense up and help RGIII out a bit. The Redskins had a 7 game winning streak last year to win the NFC East & if they want to make a run at it again this year they need to beat up on the Vikings who are terrible week in and week out. Key Trends: Vikings are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC. Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf. Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
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11-07-13 |
Oklahoma +16.5 v. Baylor |
|
12-41 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
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This will be by far Baylor's toughest game of the year, and one that Oklahoma can keep close. The only game that Oklahoma has gotten out-statted all year was to Texas and Texas had an outerbody experience that game. What I really like about Oklahoma is they have a double deuce offense that is led by a power running game that is averaging 234 yards a game. Baylor has been able to build such big leads, their front 7 has not been tested as they will be tonight. I can guarantee you Stoops will not let this one get out of hand. In closing, this is a Big Time Role Reversal game for Baylor. They are 1-20 SU all time vs. the Sooners and the only two times they have been a favorite in this series ,they lost both games SU. Key Trends: Sooners are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings in Baylor. Underdog is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Road team is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 meetings.
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11-04-13 |
Chicago Bears v. Green Bay Packers -10 |
|
27-20 |
Loss |
-106 |
8 h 53 m |
Show
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The Packers host the Bears tonight and look to improve to a impressive 6-2 on the year. Rodgers is 5-0 against the Bears lifetime & after tonight he should be 6-0. RB Eddie Lacy has been running hard lately and has given this power offense a nice balance which opens up the pass game for one of the best QB's in the game. The Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Green Bay & the favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Double digit favorites are now 0-3 in the last 3 with Seattle, Dallas & Denver. Tonight I see that going the other way and the Packers getting the job done at home covering the 10 points.
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11-03-13 |
Indianapolis Colts v. Houston Texans +2.5 |
|
27-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
34 h 30 m |
Show
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The Texans play well at home & even with the backup QB playing this Indy offense is very beat up and not a lot of options for Luck to go to. This is a must win for the Texans and a great value spot as a home dog. The home team is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The Colts are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Houston. Lets fade the public here and grab the Texans.
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11-03-13 |
Baltimore Ravens -1 v. Cleveland Browns |
|
18-24 |
Loss |
-119 |
29 h 22 m |
Show
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This Ravens defense will need to lead this team this week and I think they will grab the road victory against this Browns team who commits plenty of turnovers. Flacco is 11-0 against the Browns in his career & actually looked like the QB they needed last week.
Key Trends: Ravens are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Cleveland. Ravens are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings. Road team is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
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11-03-13 |
New Orleans Saints v. NY Jets +6.5 |
|
20-26 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 54 m |
Show
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The Jets got absolutely man handled last week in Cincy but now they return to home as a nice dog getting 6.5 points. The Jets have played well at home while getting points and look to Geno to not make mistakes and the defense to give him some chances. I look for Rex to have this team ready and keep it close.
Key Trends: Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 9. Jets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
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11-03-13 |
San Diego Chargers v. Washington Redskins -114 |
|
24-30 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 51 m |
Show
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The Redskins get Meriweather back and looks to help this defense at home. The Redskins play better at home than on the road and the Chargers will overlook this game bc they host the Broncos next week. I look for the Redskins to come out and pick up a nice home win for their home crowd.
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11-03-13 |
Tennessee Titans v. St. Louis Rams +3 |
|
28-21 |
Loss |
-115 |
26 h 49 m |
Show
|
The Rams defense is legit and it showed in last weeks heart breaker loss to the Seahawks. The Titans QB Locker is pretty banged up which will put a extra work load on Johnson who the Rams should be able to contain. I look for the same effort from the Rams this week and grab the win at home.
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11-03-13 |
Kansas City Chiefs v. Buffalo Bills +4 |
|
23-13 |
Loss |
-115 |
26 h 47 m |
Show
|
The Bills have won 10 of the last 11 home games against the Chiefs & look to give the Chiefs thier first loss of the season. Sharp money is coming in on the Bills and we will gladly follow it and take the Bills at home here. This Bills defense is tough and will need to contain Charles. Give the offense some chances to win the game. Taking the Bills at home to get the Win!
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11-02-13 |
Miami (Florida) +21 v. Florida State |
|
14-41 |
Loss |
-110 |
26 h 29 m |
Show
|
This Miami defense is good. In this rivalry game +21 points with a good defense is a lot of points to be getting. Miami may not be able to knock off the Seminoles this week but I do see a close hard fought game.
Key Trends: Hurricanes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Florida State. Underdog is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 meetings. Road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
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11-02-13 |
Tennessee v. Missouri -10 |
|
3-31 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 26 m |
Show
|
I have been riding and cashing Missouri for the last few weeks. They have made us money up until last week letting a late game slip away against S. Carolina. This week they look to get back on track and host Tennessee. The Vols will give a freshman QB the go for his first start this season. This Missouri team will be to determined to get back in the Win column and are will not hold back in this matchup.
Key Trends: Tigers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss. Tigers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.
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11-02-13 |
Auburn v. Arkansas +8 |
|
35-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
24 h 23 m |
Show
|
Arkansas has won four of the last five meetings and will be getting 8 points at home on Saturday. Arkansas has lost 5 straight but they did start the season off going 3-0.
Key Trends: Razorbacks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Razorbacks are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
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11-02-13 |
San Jose State v. UNLV +5 |
|
34-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 17 m |
Show
|
UNLV is getting some points at home right now. They have some nice value as their offense is balanced and can move the ball well. SJS defense is not good against the run. The Rebels should be able to control this game offensively and sneak out a win. Key Trends: Rebels are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. Rebels are 5-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
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11-02-13 |
Middle Tenn State v. UAB +4 |
|
24-21 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 21 m |
Show
|
Home Dog Special with UAB. Write Up Pending.
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11-02-13 |
Temple v. Rutgers -12.5 |
|
20-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 33 m |
Show
|
Rutgers is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Rutgers looks to stop a currently losing streak of two games and this home game against long time rival is the spot that looks good. Temple is god awful this year sitting with just 1 win. The Rutgers defense is tough & its time for the offense to get back on track. Owls are 2-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
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11-01-13 |
USC v. Oregon State -3.5 |
|
31-14 |
Loss |
-101 |
10 h 47 m |
Show
|
Oregon State is 5-0 'ITS' their L5 games which tells me that this offense is still clicking and the Beavers defense is holding their own. Oregon State is avg 487 yards of offense a game, while USC is only avg. 379 ypg and USC quarterback Kessler is obviously light years behind Oregon State's Sean Mannion. Mannion has a 30 TD/ 3 INT mark on the season and this guy can spread the ball around to all of his weapons.
I actually feel Oregon State is 14-17 points better than USC and that will be the margin they win by tonight. USC has the better defense slightly, but that will not matter tonight, especially given the Trojans recent road struggles.
Trends: Trojans are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record
Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
Trojans are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
Trojans are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games.
Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Oregon State. Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Beavers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Beavers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Home team is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Play on : Oregon State
|
10-31-13 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. Miami Dolphins +3 |
|
20-22 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 39 m |
Show
|
Miami lost 27-17 last week to New England, but it was a closer game than what the final score indicates. Miami actually out gained the Patriots by 49 yards which further tells me that they will put up a solid performance tonight at home. I favor home teams on Thursday night NFL games based alot on the fact of the short week of rest for the road team. This is a 'let-down/ look-ahead for the Bengals, and they will get caught with their pants down tonight at Sun Life Stadium in Miami. Key Trends: Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
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10-31-13 |
Rice +4 v. North Texas |
|
16-28 |
Loss |
-114 |
12 h 47 m |
Show
|
Rice is the better team but North Texas is on a 3 game winning streak and this line opened up North Texas -2.5, but has since been pushed to -4.5. I am liking the value with Rice tonight. North Texas has not won 4 straight games since 2004 and it will not happen tonight. I like underdogs that have a solid running game and Rice fits that mold and I have no problem taking the generous points tonight. Key Trends: Owls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Owls are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games in October. Mean Green are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win. Mean Green are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
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10-30-13 |
Cincinnati -2 v. Memphis |
|
34-21 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 9 m |
Show
|
The sharps & public seem to be pretty well split between this Wednesday night College Football Game. Most sharp money is coming in on Memphis but I am going to disagree on this one. I cannot put my faith and money on Memphis while their offense has been struggling and it shows supports a 1-5 record so far this season. The passing game has been very unimpressive putting a lot on the running game. Both teams are coming off of a bye week and had some time to prepare for this one. I like the Bearcats offense who has been multiple weapons in the backfield and split out in the WR position. The Bearcats are also playing with more heart after following the loss of players in the car accident a few weeks ago. Play on Cincy here to get it done on the road. Key Trends: Memphis Tigers are 5-11-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Bearcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
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10-28-13 |
Seattle Seahawks v. St Louis Rams +13 |
|
14-9 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 4 m |
Show
|
|
10-27-13 |
Atlanta Falcons v. Arizona Cardinals -1 |
|
13-27 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 58 m |
Show
|
|
10-27-13 |
Pittsburgh Steelers v. Oakland Raiders +3 |
|
18-21 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 40 m |
Show
|
|
10-27-13 |
Miami Dolphins v. New England Patriots -6 |
|
17-27 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 37 m |
Show
|
|
10-26-13 |
Stanford v. Oregon State +4 |
|
20-12 |
Loss |
-115 |
35 h 37 m |
Show
|
|
10-26-13 |
Penn State v. Ohio State -14.5 |
|
14-63 |
Win
|
100 |
32 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
10-26-13 |
Arizona v. Colorado +14 |
|
44-20 |
Loss |
-120 |
32 h 4 m |
Show
|
|
10-26-13 |
Florida Atlantic +24 v. Auburn |
|
10-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
32 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
10-26-13 |
South Carolina v. Missouri -2.5 |
|
27-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
31 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
10-26-13 |
Northwestern v. Iowa -3.5 |
|
10-17 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
10-24-13 |
Marshall v. Middle Tenn State OVER 56.5 |
|
49-51 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
10-22-13 |
Louisiana-Lafayette v. Arkansas State +3 |
|
23-7 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 25 m |
Show
|
Arkansas State is getting points at home tonight as they look to take control of the Sun Belt Conference which has been the spot they have been in, in recent years. They have had a tougher schedule then UL Lafayette this year taking on a few Top 25 ranked teams. They offense is run heavy and led by a 1st year QB with some nice targets to pick from. The defense needs to show up tonight to win this game. At home I think they do so, and remain unbeaten at home on the season. Red Wolves are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week. Take Arkansas St. here at home getting points!
|
10-21-13 |
Minnesota Vikings v. NY Giants -3.5 |
|
7-23 |
Win
|
106 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
10-20-13 |
Houston Texans +7 v. Kansas City Chiefs |
|
16-17 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
|
|
10-20-13 |
New England Patriots -3.5 v. NY Jets |
|
27-30 |
Loss |
-104 |
4 h 1 m |
Show
|
|
10-20-13 |
Dallas Cowboys v. Philadelphia Eagles -3 |
|
17-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 1 m |
Show
|
|
10-19-13 |
Washington State +39.5 v. Oregon |
|
38-62 |
Win
|
100 |
55 h 28 m |
Show
|
|
10-19-13 |
Florida State v. Clemson +3 |
|
51-14 |
Loss |
-110 |
54 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
10-19-13 |
Auburn +13.5 v. Texas A&M |
|
45-41 |
Win
|
100 |
49 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
10-19-13 |
Iowa +18 v. Ohio State |
|
24-34 |
Win
|
100 |
49 h 58 m |
Show
|
|
10-19-13 |
Florida v. Missouri +3 |
|
17-36 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 31 m |
Show
|
|