10-19-13 |
Texas Tech -5 v. West Virginia |
|
37-27 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
10-17-13 |
Seattle Seahawks v. Arizona Cardinals +7 |
|
34-22 |
Loss |
-120 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
10-17-13 |
Miami (Florida) v. North Carolina +10 |
|
27-23 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
10-15-13 |
Louisiana-Lafayette v. Western Kentucky -3 |
|
37-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
10-14-13 |
Indianapolis Colts -1 v. San Diego Chargers |
|
9-19 |
Loss |
-108 |
75 h 2 m |
Show
|
|
10-13-13 |
Washington Redskins +6 v. Dallas Cowboys |
|
16-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
53 h 4 m |
Show
|
|
10-13-13 |
New Orleans Saints v. New England Patriots -1 |
|
27-30 |
Win
|
100 |
47 h 48 m |
Show
|
|
10-13-13 |
Oakland Raiders +9.5 v. Kansas City Chiefs |
|
7-24 |
Loss |
-129 |
46 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
10-13-13 |
Pittsburgh Steelers +3 v. NY Jets |
|
19-6 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
10-12-13 |
Stanford v. Utah +8 |
|
21-27 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
10-12-13 |
Michigan -2.5 v. Penn State |
|
40-43 |
Loss |
-111 |
26 h 39 m |
Show
|
|
10-12-13 |
Oregon v. Washington +14 |
|
45-24 |
Loss |
-115 |
25 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
10-12-13 |
Northwestern v. Wisconsin -10 |
|
6-35 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 9 m |
Show
|
|
10-12-13 |
Boston College +24.5 v. Clemson |
|
14-24 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
10-12-13 |
South Carolina -5 v. Arkansas |
|
52-7 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 59 m |
Show
|
|
10-12-13 |
Missouri +8 v. Georgia |
|
41-26 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
10-10-13 |
NY Giants +8 v. Chicago Bears |
|
21-27 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 16 m |
Show
|
|
10-10-13 |
Rutgers +19.5 v. Louisville |
|
10-24 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 21 m |
Show
|
|
10-06-13 |
Denver Broncos v. Dallas Cowboys +9 |
|
51-48 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
|
|
10-06-13 |
New England Patriots v. Cincinnati Bengals |
|
6-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 54 m |
Show
|
|
10-06-13 |
Baltimore Ravens +3 v. Miami Dolphins |
|
26-23 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
10-06-13 |
Detroit Lions +7.5 v. Green Bay Packers |
|
9-22 |
Loss |
-115 |
5 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
10-05-13 |
Ohio State v. Northwestern +7 |
|
40-30 |
Loss |
-105 |
21 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
10-05-13 |
Ole Miss v. Auburn +3 |
|
22-30 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
10-05-13 |
Oregon v. Colorado +40.5 |
|
57-16 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
10-05-13 |
Central Florida v. Memphis +10 |
|
24-17 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
10-05-13 |
Georgia Tech v. Miami (Florida) -5.5 |
|
30-45 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 37 m |
Show
|
|
10-05-13 |
Penn State -3 v. Indiana |
|
24-44 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
10-03-13 |
UCLA v. Utah +6 |
|
34-27 |
Loss |
-104 |
13 h 39 m |
Show
|
Pending Write Up
|
10-03-13 |
Buffalo Bills v. Cleveland Browns -3.5 |
|
24-37 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
09-30-13 |
Miami Dolphins v. New Orleans Saints -6.5 |
|
17-38 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 8 m |
Show
|
Both of these teams are now 4-0 and have been looking good. The Saints offense is running smoothly and very high powered right now. This fast pace, passing attack may be a bit to much for the Dolphins defense to handle. I expect a close game but Sean Peyton has this Saints team ready to go & at home they will find a way to get it done again.
Key Angle: (81%) The Saints are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
|
09-29-13 |
New England Patriots +2.5 v. Atlanta Falcons |
|
30-23 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
09-29-13 |
Philadelphia Eagles +11 v. Denver Broncos |
|
20-52 |
Loss |
-105 |
27 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
09-29-13 |
Indianapolis Colts v. Jacksonville Jaguars +9.5 |
|
37-3 |
Loss |
-125 |
24 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
09-29-13 |
Baltimore Ravens v. Buffalo Bills +3 |
|
20-23 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
09-28-13 |
Wisconsin +7 v. Ohio State |
|
24-31 |
Push |
0 |
11 h 42 m |
Show
|
The Buckeyes haven't lost in 16 games now as the pressure continues to mount for them. This will be their stiffest test of the season tonight vs. Wisconsin. The Ohio State front 7 returns only one starter this year and I see Wisconsin having a big advantage in between the hedges tonight. Wisconsin is averaging 8 yards per rush this season behind a solid offensive line. They have a 3 headed monster in the backfield that will be hard to stop. Wisconsin's QB Stave is adapting to HC Anderson's offense and he has 1st Team Big 10 WR Abbrederris as his bread and butter. All of Wisconsin's starting receivers are 6'2 or better and they should have an advantage over the smaller corners of Ohio State. Wisconsin is always tough on the road in Big 10 conference games. They have only lost 3 out of their last 20 conference road games by more than 7 points. The OVER is 15-4-1 in these 20 games as well. The underdog is 8-3 the last 11 meetings when these two teams square up, and new HC Gary Anderson would love to pull the upset off tonight. HC Anderson is a perfect 11-0 ATS his L11 tries as an underdog . Wisconsin lost last year in Overtime to Ohio State, but they won the 'ITS', 360-236. Look for the Badgers to go blow for blow tonight with the Buckeyes and we all know, pressure bust pipes in College Football as this has late field goal written all over it. Play on: Wisconsin
|
09-28-13 |
Oklahoma -3.5 v. Notre Dame |
|
35-21 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 13 m |
Show
|
The Irish have no impressed me yet this year. The Sooners had a week off to prepare for this one and its a big revenge game after letting the Irish put away the Sooners last year. Bob Stoops has the Sooners defense ready to go and I expect them to show up in a big way today. The Sooners are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games. The Fighting Irish are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
|
09-28-13 |
Connecticut v. Buffalo +1 |
|
12-41 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 14 m |
Show
|
Uconn had Michigan beat but the Wolverines scored the last 17 points of the game to end all hope of an upset. UConn actually only had 206 total yards of offense in the game. It was 4 Michigan turnovers that makes this score misleading. Buffalo comes into this game knowing they have lost the last 3 meetings vs. Uconn, but they return 17 starters this year and start all 11 Junior and Seniors on the defensive side of the ball. On offense, Buffalo has Big playmakers with RB Oliver and WR Neutz who are both 1st Team MAC performers. Buffalo is also coming off a bye week and HC Quinn has his best team yet this year. Buffalo is 4-2 ATS as a home dog the last 2 years and this a perfect opportunity for these seniors to finally get a win vs. the Huskies and their inept offense. RB Oliver missed the game last year, but Buffalo still won the 'ITS' 361-360. He should be good to go this week as the extra week off will help the power running back as Buffalo knocks off the Uconn Huskies in fashion this afternoon. Play on : Buffalo
|
09-28-13 |
Florida State v. Boston College +23.5 |
|
48-34 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 13 m |
Show
|
We are seeing a line that has been adjusted big time because of the public's perception on FSU. They were an 11 point road favorite to open up the season @ Pittsburgh (won that game easily) , and now are a 3 touchdown road favorite at Boston College. I still have questions about this Seminole defense and also about Freshman quarterback Winston who will be making his 2nd career road start. The Seminoles lost 6 starters from their front 7 from last year. The lone returning starter is C. Jones who was 1st Team ACC last year and he is questionable for this game as a suspension is looming. Florida State is 1-6 ATS their L7 road games and will be facing a Boston College team that is coming off a bye week and I expect them to be fully prepared. On offense, they rely on SR running back A. Williams who is a big bruising back that will carry the workload while they have WR A. Amidon who is the fastest player on the team and can be a nightmare in the open field. HC Addazio inherited a Boston College team with a butt-load of returning starters and his team will be motivated for this game after they got rolled by the Seminoles last year, 51-7. B.C. has a punt returner by the name of Spiffy Evans who avg. 25 yards a return last year and he can be the 'X' factor in this game that gives Boston College the field position it needs to score points. The Eagles were 2-0 ATS last year a DD home dog last year and I love this team catching 3 touchdowns coming off a bye week as the extra preparation will make the difference. Even though it's two weeks away, FSU plays Clemson and this is a small look-ahead spot for them as well. Play on Boston College
|
09-28-13 |
Akron v. Bowling Green -15 |
|
14-31 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 11 m |
Show
|
-Akron is coming off B2B covers and will be looking for another strong performance tonight. They will have their hands full as Bowling Green improved their defense by 109 yards last year and have the MAC's best defense this year, easily. I saw them hold Tulsa to 51 rushing yards in their season opener and expect more of the same this Sarurday.. Granted, their defense disappeared @ Indiana (314 rush yards), but this is a refreshed Bowling Green team that will be looking to take their frustrations out on Akron, who figures to be bit deflated after going toe-to-toe with Michgan and then Ul-Lafayette last week. Bowling Green won 24-10 last year @ Akron. Bowling Green held Akron to only 32 yards in the second half as they erased a 10-0 deficit and scored 24 unanswered points. Bowling Green has a offense this year ranked #20 in the nation led by Matt Johnson and will be looking to name the score in this one. Akron has the #116th ranked pass defense in the nation as this should be a good ol' butt kickin from beginning to the end. Bowling Green also holds the edge concerning scheduling dynamics. Bowling Green played Murray St last week and has UMass next week. So they will be fresh, focused, and determined to cover this spread. This will be Akron's 3rd road game in 5 weeks and they have a home coming game vs. Ohio next week, then Northern Illinois the following week. Bowling Green is on a 10-3 ATS run overall dating back to last year and are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Play on Bowling Green
|
09-28-13 |
South Carolina v. Central Florida +7 |
|
28-25 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 37 m |
Show
|
Getting a nice home dog here with the UCF Knights. They beat Penn State on the road and we are getting a TD here. Led by Junior quarterback Blake Bortles who has seven touchdowns and just one interception. The Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. The Gamecocks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
|
09-26-13 |
San Francisco 49ers -3 v. St. Louis Rams |
|
35-11 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
|
|
09-26-13 |
Virginia Tech +7 v. Georgia Tech |
|
17-10 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 41 m |
Show
|
-Virginia Tech comes into this game with the 5th ranked defense in the country. They held Alabama and Marshall to season low yards as well as East Carolina. Marshall and Alabama have two of the highest powered offenses in the country and the Hokies have been able to do this by only allowing 2.6 YPC. Georgia Tech's wishbone offense is clicking, but the Hokies will be prepared for it. Last year, Virginia Tech held Ga. Tech to 196 yards on the ground. (Georgia Tech was only held under 200 yards rushing in 3 games last year). Obviously, they lost all 3 of those games. I expect the Hokies to play 'Beamer Ball' and come up with a couple of big turnovers and to cover this spread easily tonight. Georgia Tech has FS Isaiah Johnson out for the season now with a torn ACL . His replacement, sophomore Chris Milton (5-11, 185), has missed practice this week and might miss this game also. I look for QB Logan Thomas to make some plays down the field and to use his athletic ability to keep the Hokies in this game. I actually am looking for Virginia Tech to win this game straight up so I will be more than happy to grab the generous points in this ACC Thursday night match-up.
|
09-26-13 |
Iowa State v. Tulsa -2.5 |
|
38-21 |
Loss |
-115 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
|
09-23-13 |
Oakland Raiders +16 v. Denver Broncos |
|
21-37 |
Push |
0 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
Is anybody going to give Oakland a chance tonight? We don't think so, and we have no problem fading the public on MNF. Afterall, Denver disposed of the Raiders last year , 37-6 and 26-13. The first game they were only a 6.5 point favorite but the linesmakers had not adjusted for Peyton's brilliance. So now, this line is 8.5 points higher than last years game and we feel that Oakland is a team that is about 4-6 points better than last year. They already covered as a DD dog @ Indy as QB Pryor has a 64% completion rate and has rushed for 162 yards in his first two games giving this offense a RG III type of spread option look. McFadden is healthy as well avg 4.9 YPC. We have to believe that the Broncos are pleased with beating two Elite teams to open the season and with a game vs. Chip Kelly and the Eagles, we have to expect them to spend a little more time preparing for that offense in practice and not fully focusing on the Raiders. Denver is 1-6 ATS the L7H vs. the Raiders . The Raiders are 3-0 ATS the L10 years as a dog of 14+points and this is a team that believes they can compete. Charles Woodson is proving to be a team leader on the defensive side of the ball that the Raiders need. Bronco Tackle Ryan Clady is OFY now along with C Koppen and reserve guard Kuper. An unhealthy offensive line, and the Raiders can bring some added pressure and this might be the difference in the game, getting Peyton off the field on 3rd down. Denver has committed 21 penalties this year, compared to a better disciplined Raider team that has only 13. Take these generous points tonight as Peyton and the Broncos are in a classic let-down spot after beating his little brother. Oakland is 13-6 ATS their L19 vs. the AFC West and 8-3 ATS in their L11 after allowing less than 250 yards in their previous game. They are also 7-3 ATS their L10 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The Broncos are 1-4 ATS their L5 MNF games. Play On Oakland Raiders +16
|
09-23-13 |
Oakland Raiders v. Denver Broncos OVER 48.5 |
|
21-37 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 19 m |
Show
|
Typically I do not play overs on Monday night games. But I am liking the over tonight in this Monday Night Game. The over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. The Broncos fast pace offense has no trouble putting up points and the Raiders have also been able to score the first 2 weeks of the season. Lets play the over tonight as I see a high scoring Monday Night Game.
|
09-22-13 |
Chicago Bears v. Pittsburgh Steelers +3 |
|
40-23 |
Loss |
-125 |
12 h 42 m |
Show
|
Chicago @ Pittsburgh------The Steeler's problem is their offense, not the defense. They are 31st in the NFL in total offense and are under pressure. The Steeler's will try to get RB Bell and TE Miller back in action this week. 75 rushing yards in 2 weeks is not Steeler football. The good thing about this game is there is value with Pittsburgh as they have been installed as a small 1.5 point homedog. The Steelers have been a home dog only twice in the L4Y. They are 2-0 SU and ATS in those games. The won, 15-9 vs. Atlanta and 25-17 vs. New England). The UNDER is 2-0 in those games as well. Cutler has looked decent in HC Trestman's system, but we all know the gun slinger will throw some INT's. He has 5 TD and 3 INT so far this year and this will be HC Trestman's first look at this Steeler defense. The Bears are in the middle of a divisional sandwich game with Detroit on deck. They haven't started 3-0 since 2006 and I feel the Steelers are the value play tonight. Under normal conditons, the Steeler's will be a 4-6.5 point favorite. This is a simple case of the linesmakers over compensating. Big Ben and the Terrible Towels Fly High Tonight. The Steeler's defense is ranked 9th still and they are only allowing 3.1 Rush Yard/ Attempt. With the majority of the money on the Bears and knowing that Pittsburgh is 9-4 ATS in their L13 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game while the Bears are 0-4 ATS their L4 games off a SU win. Take the Steelers
|
09-22-13 |
Jacksonville Jaguars +19.5 v. Seattle Seahawks |
|
17-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 31 m |
Show
|
Jacksonville @ Seattle-----Poor Jacksonville. They have become the laughing stock of the NFL and what a good time for the Seahawks to take this one easy after a BIG divisional win last Sunday Night. Seattle has BB road games coming up with the first @ Houston next week. The largest spread they were asked to cover last year was -10.5 vs. Saint Louis and they won by only by 7, 20-13. (The score was actually tied 13-13 in the 4th quarter).As a matter of fact, that game was played after they beat San Fran last year so this is the same type of situation. This is an inflated line that we haven't seen since the 2007 New England team . New England was a HF of 18+ points three times that year and went 0-3 ATS. Seattle has now lost starting tackle Russell Okung and they still have defensive injuries although one can't tell after watching the first two games of the season. Seattle is 0-7 ATS off a DD ATS win telling us a let-down is in effect today. Take the Jags plus the points.
|
09-22-13 |
Houston Texans -1 v. Baltimore Ravens |
|
9-30 |
Loss |
-114 |
44 h 18 m |
Show
|
Grabbing the Texans now as we may see a bit of a line move here shortly as Ray Rice is now doubtful for Sundays game. The Ravens are having enough trouble moving the ball with little depth at WR and not such good production from their TE. With Ray Rice being out I expect the Texans to have a much better advantage in this matchup and move to 3-0 on the season. The Ravens defense is giving up a lot of yards, is it due to no more Ray Lewis , maybe so but they need to figure something out and I do not think that this week is where it will happen. Grabbing the road favorite here only laying 1 point. The road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
|
09-22-13 |
NY Giants -1 v. Carolina Panthers |
|
0-38 |
Loss |
-116 |
4 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
09-21-13 |
Missouri v. Indiana +1 |
|
45-28 |
Loss |
-107 |
32 h 51 m |
Show
|
Missouri @ Indiana ------Missouri is off a bye week and qualifies as one of our mission teams this year. However, we do not think they should be installed as a RF going up against a high powered Hoosier offense. Indiana returns 19 starters TY and are looking to build off the 31 PPG they avg. last year. They racked up 600+ yards of total offense against a Bowling Green last week that has a very good defense. We know Missouri is a biiger school than B. Green, but we saw them go 1-4 'ITS' last year on the road . They only put up 384 total yards vs. Toledo in Week 2 so the 38-23 scored is misleading. Toledo only returns 3 starters Ty and gave up 472 YPG last year so this Missouri offense is a big ? Indiana QB Sudfeld has a 70% completion rate and a 10 TD/ 2 INT mark that should have these Hoosiers moving the chains early and often. Indiana has two big 6'3" receivers that will try to exploit the shorter 5'10" corners of Missouri and the Hoosiers high octane offense should be too much for Missouri when the clock hits zero's.
|
09-21-13 |
Auburn +17 v. LSU |
|
21-35 |
Win
|
100 |
32 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
09-21-13 |
Arkansas State v. Memphis +4 |
|
7-31 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 23 m |
Show
|
Arkansas State @ Memphis -----This is a Memphis team that improved their defense by 107 yards last season and return 8 starters, including a strong front 7. They won the 'ITS' last week vs. MTSU, 350-284, despite losing 17-15. They held MTSU to 60 yards rushing for 2.1 YPC. Memphis lost 33-28 last year to Arkansas St, but that was when they had Malzahn has a HC and quarterback Aplin who had a 26 TD/ 4 INT mark last year. Now they have a new HC who is calling his own plays and they lose 2 of their top 3 receivers from last year. Arkansas State only returns 5 on the defensive side of the ball and are coming off a 'inside-out' win vs. Troy last week. Troy actually won the 'ITS' 614-539 but had 4 turnovers that proved costly. That all sets up for a defensive minded Home Dog in Memphis playing in a 'double -inside-out' affair tonight. I am saying that Memphis lost last week, but out gained MTSU. Arkansas St. won Last week, but got out gained by Troy. Memphis is 13-4 ATS their L17 home games vs. an opponent with a winning road record and the underdog is 5-1 ATS the L6 meetings. I am seeing 70% of the money on Arkansas State and have no problem fading this team in a classic 'double inside-out- affair'.
Play on Memphis +4
|
09-21-13 |
Marshall v. Virginia Tech OVER 51 |
|
21-29 |
Loss |
-110 |
24 h 51 m |
Show
|
Play Over 51.5-I understand Virginia Tech is not a C-USA team, but the lowest total in Marshall's game last year was 61.5 and that was @ Purdue. The final score was 51-41. Marshall has one of the top 5 offense in our opinion and they can easily score 24 points or better in this game. They lost 34-31 last week to Ohio, but won the 'ITS' 482- 335. In their season opener, they put up 591 yards on Miami Ohio. The Marshall defense gave up 43 points last year and Virginia Tech and HC Beamer will be able to exploit this soft defense. We saw a total of 51.5 twice last year in Virginia Tech games and the OVER was 2-0 in those games. So Marshall's combined scores last year were 84 points and we are getting a total now 33 points under that. Yes, the Hokies offense is sub-par, but they should have the benefit of the home crowd and SR. qb Logan Thomas that we see putting up over 30 points this afternoon. The linesmakers have over-compensated for Virginia Tech's lack of offense so far this year. They will not have a problem today. Look for the total to end in the low 60's.Prediction: Virginia Tech 34 Marshall 28
|
09-21-13 |
San Jose State v. Minnesota -3.5 |
|
24-43 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 55 m |
Show
|
Minnesota -3.5 Minnesota looks to start 4-0 for the first time since 2008 and it is very much within their reach with San Jose St. coming to town off of a bye week. San Jose State has not won coming off of a bye week since 2008. The Golden Gophers will most likely split time between two QB's this week moving fwd. and I like it. They both have great abilities to pass the ball and move down the field. The Golden Gophers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
|
09-21-13 |
North Carolina v. Georgia Tech -5.5 |
|
20-28 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 55 m |
Show
|
Georgia Tech -5.5 The Tar Heels travel to Georgia Tech for their ACC season opener. North Carolina is 1-9 in ACC openers since 2001. The Yellow Jackets triple option offense is backed by some solid defensive play this year only giving up 14 points in two games. G.T. looks to move to 3-0 on the year & 2-0 in the ACC. G.T. quarterback Lee was named ACC offensive back of the week, is responsible for eight of the Yellow Jackets
|
09-20-13 |
Boise State +4 v. Fresno State |
|
40-41 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
09-19-13 |
Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 v. Philadelphia Eagles |
|
26-16 |
Win
|
100 |
58 h 44 m |
Show
|
Kansas City @ Philadelphia----Any Reid is making a visit back to the city of Brotherly Love where Chip Kelly and the Eagles will be playing their 3rd game in 10 days and we feel like this Quack Attack of Chip Kelly is going to be under pressure tonight. Andy Reid knows this Philly team better than anybody else and he has a West Coast offense that can go up-tempo as well. We do not want to look at ATS marks for these teams right now since both teams have new head coaches. We do know that Philly has B2B games against the Manning brothers (OVER anybody), and this is somewhat a trap game. We do not think these guys are exactly conditioned for the Chip Kelly offense and 3 games in 10 days has to be tiring. The Chiefs are a Sleeper team and we love them as a RD this year, especially with a run defense that is only allowing 2.8 YPC over the first two games. The Eagles rely on the run game as they have avg. 5.9 YPC the first two games, but we think the Chiefs will be able to contain Mc Coy and Vick and Andy Reid has the clear coaching advantage tonight. Alex Smith has a 4 TD/ 0 INT ratio so far this year and is managing the game great. Jamal Charles will have a chance to flourish also tonight. He is getting plenty of touches and should have a great game in this fast paced game. The Chiefs have a great pass rush as well as they have already recorded 9 sacks on the year. We told you that as long as these Philly games stay under the total of 54, the OVER should be good. We think this game has a good shot of going OVER of course, but we are going to rely on Andy Reid and his coaching experience to get the win tonight as the Eagles defense should be winded in the 2nd half and that's when the Chiefs should win this game.
|
09-19-13 |
Clemson -13.5 v. North Carolina State |
|
26-14 |
Loss |
-115 |
11 h 33 m |
Show
|
N.C. State will have their hands full tonight with Clemson in town. N.C. State has Junior quarterback Pete Thomas starting & has three interceptions and no touchdowns since taking over for Brandon Mitchell, who injured his foot in the season opener. This Clemson offense is explosive and has so many weapons that will be hard for N.C. State to slow down. Clemson feels good with beating Georgia already this season and will make a run for the title this year. The road team is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 meetings. The Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in North Carolina State.
|
09-16-13 |
Pittsburgh Steelers +7 v. Cincinnati Bengals |
|
10-20 |
Loss |
-120 |
23 h 35 m |
Show
|
Something just feels off about this spread. The Steelers looked bad last week against the Titans, and Maurkice Pouncey has been lost for the season, but can the Bengals really cover such a large spread against their division rivals? Both teams are sitting at 0-1 and really need a victory, but it
|
09-16-13 |
Pittsburgh Steelers v. Cincinnati Bengals UNDER 41 |
|
10-20 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 37 m |
Show
|
Taking the under 41 here. Both defenses are going to be the highlight of this game while both teams try to avoid the dreaded 0-2 season start. Harrison gets his start against his former team and will be running wild. The Under is 8-0 in Steelers last 8 games in Week 2 & the Under is 6-0 in Bengals last 6 vs. AFC which puts together a nice 14-0 Under Key Angle/Trend. Play the Under 41.
|
09-15-13 |
Denver Broncos v. NY Giants +5 |
|
41-23 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 51 m |
Show
|
A meeting of the Manning's and this line is inflated for Denver based on the first weeks results. We can almost guarantee you the Giants will not have 6 turnovers and that Peyton will not throw for 7 TD's. The only time the Giants have been a home dog in the L3 years was in 2011 when they played the Brilliant Green Bay Team that was the undefeated at the time. They were a 7 point dog and lost the game 38-35 only. Needless to say, the public will be on Denver again this afternoon, and we are seeing value with the Giants who are 8-1-1 ATS their L9 as a dog. Denver is 0-3 SU in their first road game the L3 years and it what will be the Most Watched game on TV this Sunday, this is a great time to fade the public. Take the points in this one, I don't think we will need them though
|
09-15-13 |
New Orleans Saints v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5 |
|
16-14 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 30 m |
Show
|
New Orleans @ Tampa Bay-----Who Dat, Who Dat? The Saints got a HUGE win for Sean Payton and the WHO DAT Nation and now they have a tough divisional game vs. a Tampa Bay team that got caught napping vs. the Jets. The Saints are 0-3 ATS in their L3 road openers and an emotional letdown is expected this week as they have been installed as a RF and nobody is giving the Bucs a chance in this game.....but ME.There was a lot of money riding on the Bucs last week and nobody wants any part of them this week. The Saints embarrassed the Bucs 41-0 LY and I can promise you these professionals remember that. Freeman threw 4 picks that game and he is in a contract year so we are expecting this guy to perform to his full capability. The Saints do have some defensive injuries and we just can't see them being as motivated for this game. For the Bucs to start off 0-2 and a game @ New England in Week 3, then that would be a disaster. Tampa Bay is 6-0 ATS w/ div revenge in Games 1-4 of the season and covered as a 3 pt. home dog in their season opener LY vs. Carolina. I can almost guarantee you that Doug Martin will not avg. only 2.7 YPR this week like he did vs. the Jets. Vincent Jackson had 216 rec yards in the 1st matchup between these two teams LY and he is off to a big start again. The scheduling and motivational dynamics favor Tampa Bay in this game and although I expect them to win this game SU
|
09-15-13 |
St Louis Rams v. Atlanta Falcons -5 |
|
24-31 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 27 m |
Show
|
The Falcons look to get back on track and pick up a win today infront of the home crowd. We all know what Matty Ryan can do on his home field and he and this team are to good to fall to 0-2. The favorite is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings & the home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Going in with the Falcons to cover the 5 points and grab a nice victory.
|
09-14-13 |
UTEP v. New Mexico State +4 |
|
42-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 54 m |
Show
|
UTEP @ New Mexico St. ------UTEP has the misfortunes of being a road favorite after losing in overtime last week, 42-35. They trailed for most of the game, then tied it up, then lost. We have to expect them to come out flat tonight. Utep is 3-24 ATS as favorites of less than 13 points, and are 0-2 ATS as a RF the L2 years (OVER is 2-0 in those games). UTEP gave up 395 yards on the ground last week for 7.5 YPR and this tells us that this team IS NOT WORTHY of being a road favorite, especially when New Mexico St is seeking revenge from LY's 41-28 loss. Sure, New Mex. St has gotten beat bad the first two weeks, but that was against Big 10 schools. That will be to their advantage... New Mex St. new HC, Doug Martin, was the OC here in 2011 when he improved the offense from 16 PPG to 24 PPG. The Offensive Line returns 9 of the Top 10 (78 CAR STRT) The defense is expecting to start 10 SR's and we expect them to put up a nice effort today. They have been using the mobile QB of Andrew Mc Donald who is the team's leading rusher so far TY and if UTEP cannot stop the run, it might get nasty in this 'I-10 rivalry' where the home team is 12-4 SU. New Mex St has a DEEP receiving core and we look for them to go up-tempo vs. a regressing UTEP team with a 1st year coach that only has 4 returning starters on
|
09-14-13 |
Alabama v. Texas A&M +9.5 |
|
49-42 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 26 m |
Show
|
Ala @ A+M-----One team beat ALA last yr, Tex A+M. The Crimson Tide are so well respected that Vegas has listed them as a 9 pt Fav at the Heisman Trophy winners house and home of the 12th man! John Shively and My SEC confidant tell me that Alabama has practiced every day for this game. Ala held V.T. to 212 yds of total Offense
|
09-14-13 |
Louisville -14 v. Kentucky |
|
27-13 |
Push |
0 |
3 h 56 m |
Show
|
This Louisville team is for real this year with Teddy Bridgewater leading the offense. If he gets a solid performance from him defense today the Cardinals should have no problem running up the score. Even with the Cardinals are the road I am still laying the 14 points here as it is a in-state rival. The Cardinals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Kentucky & road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
|
09-12-13 |
NY Jets +13 v. New England Patriots |
|
10-13 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
|
The Jets getting 13 points here & I like it. Geno Smith takes full control of the offense now that Sanchez will need surgery. Geno will learn from week to week, do things that are wrong & correct them. The Jets are suppose to be terrible this year but they do have that 1-0 record with a great comeback win in week 1. Geno is a playmaker, and will do what it takes with who he has around them. The road team is 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 meetings.
|
09-09-13 |
Houston Texans -3.5 v. San Diego Chargers |
|
31-28 |
Loss |
-107 |
89 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
09-08-13 |
NY Giants +3.5 v. Dallas Cowboys |
|
31-36 |
Loss |
-109 |
63 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
09-08-13 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3.5 v. NY Jets |
|
17-18 |
Loss |
-101 |
56 h 40 m |
Show
|
|
09-08-13 |
Atlanta Falcons +3 v. New Orleans Saints |
|
17-23 |
Loss |
-100 |
56 h 40 m |
Show
|
|
09-08-13 |
New England Patriots -9.5 v. Buffalo Bills |
|
23-21 |
Loss |
-105 |
56 h 40 m |
Show
|
|
09-07-13 |
South Carolina v. Georgia -3.5 |
|
30-41 |
Win
|
100 |
35 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
09-07-13 |
Florida -3 v. Miami (Florida) |
|
16-21 |
Loss |
-100 |
31 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
09-06-13 |
Wake Forest v. Boston College -3 |
|
10-24 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
09-02-13 |
Florida State v. Pittsburgh +11.5 |
|
41-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
09-01-13 |
Colorado v. Colorado State -3 |
|
41-27 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 31 m |
Show
|
Colorado State is in a good spot here to take this season opener. Colorado is a god awful team last year and I do not see them improving much here. Jim McElwain, who was the offensive coordinator for Alabama
|
09-01-13 |
Ohio +21 v. Louisville |
|
7-49 |
Loss |
-112 |
4 h 4 m |
Show
|
Ohio looks to continue their season opener win streak to 4 in a row. They have a solid Louisville team at home standing in front of them tonight. Last year Ohio upset Penn State on the road. I do not see Ohio with another upset but they are good enough to keep this game closer than you may think. Getting 3 touchdowns is very good value here. Ohio defense has some things to prove but their offense brings back a solid running game and a senior QB. Play on Ohio +21 tonight.
|
08-31-13 |
Miami (OH) v. Marshall -20 |
|
14-52 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 44 m |
Show
|
|
08-31-13 |
Mississippi State v. Oklahoma State -10.5 |
|
3-21 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
08-31-13 |
Buffalo +35 v. Ohio State |
|
20-40 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 45 m |
Show
|
|
08-30-13 |
North Dakota State v. Kansas State -13.5 |
|
24-21 |
Loss |
-115 |
10 h 18 m |
Show
|
Two one loss teams will match up in this opener tonight. K-State replaced Klein at the QB postions with Waters who was a all-star junior college player. Not much of a QB that likes to leave the pocket but his arm will show you why. K-State gets the kinks out in their home opener and rolls tonight.
|
08-30-13 |
Texas Tech v. SMU +5.5 |
|
41-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 51 m |
Show
|
Home Dog here with SMU. The Texas Longhorns former QB Garrett Gilbert will get the call for SMU here in this high paced heavy passing offense and I think it fits him well. On the other side Texas Tech will be rotating two freshman QBs tonight on the road. SMU defense loves taking the ball away and finished 3rd last year in takeaways. They lose some players but Randall Joyner comes back to lead the D-squad along with true freshman Zelt Minor. Like this home dog tonight. SMU plus the points.
|
08-29-13 |
Ole Miss -3 v. Vanderbilt |
|
39-35 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 47 m |
Show
|
The Ole Miss offense will be ready getting a handful of players back. Vandy will have their hands full as a home dog but I like Ole Miss in this spot. Lots of action coming in on Ole Miss from the sharps, I will tail and cash my ticket with them!
|
08-29-13 |
Utah State v. Utah -2.5 |
|
26-30 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 34 m |
Show
|
Advantage goes to Utah tonight at home. I will take this game under a field goal with the -2.5 . THey find a way to get it down in their home opener rivalry game.
|
08-29-13 |
Tulsa +4 v. Bowling Green |
|
7-34 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
Tulsa is riding high coming off winning the C-USA last season and winning the Liberty Bowl. Tulsa finished 11-3 last season and has beat Bowling Green in all 3 matchups. I see Tulsa starting the season right where they left off last season and grabbing a win. Bowling Green loses one of the best d-lineman in the county and Tulsa brings back a RB Duo that will tear up most defenses. Tulsa will rely on there offense to put up points as their defense may struggle a bit but will make key plays when the momentum is going in their way set by the offense.
|
08-29-13 |
North Carolina v. South Carolina UNDER 57.5 |
|
10-27 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 52 m |
Show
|
Along with take the side on this game, I feel that this game will be a low scoring game. North Carolina offense brings back the senior QB and go to WR but only brings back 2 linemen. On the other side South Carolina spread hurry offense may need some adjustments after week 1. Play on the under.
|
08-29-13 |
North Carolina +13 v. South Carolina |
|
10-27 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 55 m |
Show
|
Grabbing +13 points here as we saw N.C. jump from 11.5 points. This game should be a lot closer than the public think. Although N.C. is on the road here S.Carolina only brings back 11 starters from last year and lost 5 senior line backers and need to replace RB Lattimore which is not easy. South Carolina may win this game but I will take the 13 points in this spot as I think this game can go ethier way and decided by a TD.
|
02-03-13 |
Baltimore Ravens v. San Francisco 49ers -4 |
|
34-31 |
Loss |
-106 |
8 h 6 m |
Show
|
I see the 49ers defense making plays today and giving over rated Flaaco some trouble. The 49ers offense will be led by Kapernick who will make the big plays needed and feed off the defense.
Yes the Ray Lewis story is motivating to a lot of people out there. He is one of the best to step on the field but making it to the superbowl today is as far as he goes .. he will walk off the field coming close but no cigar.
49ers are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
A win will lift San Francisco into a tie with the Pittsburgh Steelers for the most Super Bowl victories.
|
01-20-13 |
San Francisco 49ers -4 v. Atlanta Falcons |
|
28-24 |
Push |
0 |
7 h 51 m |
Show
|
Matty Ice gets his first playoff win last week against the Seahawks. After a dominating first half they came out in the 2nd half flat and are very lucky to be playing in this game today.
Kaepernick is the real deal & will be the deciding factor in this one. The Falcons defense can give up a lot of yards and preparing for Kaepernick is not an easy task.
The 49ers are riding high and are the team this year beat. I am laying the points on the road here for the 49ers to get that W!
|
01-13-13 |
Houston Texans +10 v. New England Patriots |
|
28-41 |
Loss |
-110 |
75 h 44 m |
Show
|
|
01-13-13 |
Seattle Seahawks v. Atlanta Falcons -130 |
|
28-30 |
Win
|
100 |
99 h 59 m |
Show
|
Write Up Pending
|
01-12-13 |
Baltimore Ravens v. Denver Broncos UNDER 46 |
|
38-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
51 h 44 m |
Show
|
|
01-07-13 |
Alabama -9 v. Notre Dame |
|
42-14 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 39 m |
Show
|
If you thought the fighting Irish would be playing in the national title game this season .. I give you props because I did not see it coming from a mile away. I still do not know if they should be the #1 team in the country and I think they will get exposed tonight.
The Tide have played a much tougher schedule than the Irish all year and they are way more familiar in the Title game than the Irish. The Tide will Roll to back-to-back championships and grab their 3rd in the last 4 years.
Crimson Tide are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.
Expect a defensive showdown in this one but I like the Tide to take this one by 2 touchdowns.
|
01-06-13 |
Indianapolis Colts v. Baltimore Ravens -7 |
|
9-24 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 3 m |
Show
|
Ray Lewis back in the line-up & playing in his last playoff chance in his career before hanging it up. He will have this defense ready to go against a rookie QB.
The Colts proved more than what anyone expected this year but it stops today as the veteran Raven team at home know what to do today.
The public is all over the Colts today and we are going with the home team favorite.
Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
|
01-05-13 |
Minnesota Vikings v. Green Bay Packers -7.5 |
|
10-24 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
01-05-13 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. Houston Texans -4.5 |
|
13-19 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 60 m |
Show
|
|
01-04-13 |
Texas A&M v. Oklahoma +3.5 |
Top |
41-13 |
Loss |
-115 |
11 h 49 m |
Show
|
Oklahoma getting points here and they have a great chance of winning this one outright. Johnny Football is a great player but the freshman Heisman winner will be over his head tonight as the Sooners had a long time to prep for him and his offense.
Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Aggies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Oklahoma.
Fun Fact: Heisman Trophy winners are 4-18 ats vs teams that are .699 or better on the season and 0-14 ats in that role vs an opponent that allowed less than 150 yards rushing in their last game.
|
01-03-13 |
Kansas State v. Oregon -7.5 |
|
17-35 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 55 m |
Show
|
We see the line starting to drop here. I am going to take the -7.5 here. Oregon will be to much having the time to prepare here. Chip Kelly is one of the top prospects to go to the NFL next season and he will lead his team to one more victory and run up the score if he has the chance too.
Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 bowl games. Ducks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games on grass. Ducks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
|