Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-15-18 | 76ers v. Knicks OVER 217 | Top | 118-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
Philly Special - Rickenbach NBA Game #705 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:35 ET - The 76ers kicked me hard on Tuesday when their game versus the Pacers did not go over the total. The game was perfectly on pace with the 1st quarter, 2nd quarter, 3rd quarter...ALL 3...being perfect for an over. Then came a dreadful 4th quarter that burned badly. I wasn't the only one getting burned as the Sixers did too! That dreadful performance cost them an important W in the standings. As a result, I look for Philly to take out their frustration on a dreadful Knicks team and that means plenty of points here! New York is 9-2 to the over in their last 11 games versus teams that average 106 points or more per game. The fact is that the Knicks just aren't playing defense any more and the over was 7-2 in their 9 games prior to a rare under versus Dallas Tuesday. As for the Sixers, they've averaged 113 points per game in their last 5 road games and they will not take their foot off of the gas after what happened against the Pacers! 10* OVER the total in New York |
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03-11-18 | Pacers v. Celtics OVER 208.5 | Top | 99-97 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach NBA Game #813 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers @ 7:35 ET - The over is 10-3 in Boston's last 13 games versus teams that are averaging 106 points or more per game. The over is 6-2 this season when the Celtics are off of a game where they scored 115 points or more. The Pacers have stayed under the total in 6 straight games and Indiana's most recent game with Boston was also an easy under. However, their 4 prior meetings with the Celtics all went over the total. Look for Boston, the home team, to dictate the tempo here and 7 of their last 8 games have gone over the total. The Pacers have averaged 105.3 points per game in their last 7 road games. Red hot Boston has won 6 of their last 7 games. The Celtics have averaged 116.9 points per game in their last 8 games. They have allowed an average of 113.5 points per game their last 4 home games and we're getting good value here with the low total on this one. 10* OVER the total in Boston |
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03-05-18 | Pistons v. Cavs OVER 218.5 | Top | 90-112 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
Divisional Total of the Year - Rickenbach NBA Game #701 Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:05 ET - The Cavaliers are banged up in the frontcourt and won't be able to prevent Blake Griffin and Andre Drummond and other Pistons from plenty of scoring in the paint. On the other end of the court Cleveland will exploit Detroit's perimeter defense. The Pistons have had one good game defensively (held Milwaukee to 87 points) in their last 6 games. In the other 5 games Detroit gave up hot shooting from the outside and allowed an average of 113.4 points per game. Overall, the Pistons have allowed 105 points or more in 9 of their last 11 games. Of course the Cavs issues on defense have been well-documented this season and they're allowing 110 points per game on the season. In their last 7 home games, Cleveland has allowed 119.3 points per game. The Cavaliers lost at Detroit in late January and the over is 19-9 this season when Cleveland is playing with revenge this season. Also, when off of a game where they allowed 115 points or more, the Cavs are a long-term 33-16 to the over. The Pistons game at Miami stayed under the total by a bucket but, prior to that, the over was 4-1 in Detroit's last 5 road games and the lone under was by a half point. Look for another wild one between these two divisional foes as they go over for the 4th time in the last 5 meetings! 10* OVER the total in Cleveland |
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02-13-18 | Heat v. Raptors OVER 206 | Top | 112-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher Top Play - Rickenbach NBA Game #501 Tuesday 10* OVER the total in Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat @ 7:05 ET - These teams met early last month and the low-scoring battle resulted in a 5th straight under in this series. Also, the Raptors enter this game having played solid defense recently. Their most recent game went over the total but the 3 prior stayed under. However, I am going contrarian here because I am anticipating a very high-scoring match-up. The Heat, prior to a low-scoring win over the Bucks, had gone over the total in 3 straight games. That was part of a 4-game stretch where Miami allowed 108.5 points per game. Couple this sub-par stretch on the defensive end with the fact that the Raptors put up a ton of points at home and you have the recipe for a shootout here. The Heat offense will respond after shooting just 36.4% in their most recent game. Miami had previously averaged 105.7 points per game in their 3 prior games. The over is 11-5 (including 3-1 this season) when the Heat are off of a game where they allowed 85 points or less. As for Toronto, the over is 32-20 (including 13-8 this season) when they are off of a game where they scored 115 points or more. Also, the Raptors are 21-13 to the over (including 5-2 this season) when they are playing with home loss revenge. 10* OVER the total in Toronto |
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02-11-18 | Pistons v. Hawks OVER 210 | Top | 115-118 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
Afternoon Annhilation - Rickenbach NBA Game #805 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Atlanta Hawks vs Detroit Pistons @ 3:35 ET - The Pistons are off of a loss Friday versus the Clippers where their offense let them down, particularly in the 4th quarter. As a result, don't be surprised when you see that offensive production will be the emphasis for them in this match-up! Prior to that under Friday, the over was 6-1 in Detroit's 7 previous games as the Pistons had averaged 111.1 points per game in those 7 games. They should have no trouble putting up big points here as they take advantage of the sub-par defense of the Hawks in this one. That said, this one can be expected to be a shootout because Atlanta has averaged 106.8 points per game in their last 5 home games. The Hawks are off of a home loss to Cleveland but had gone 3-3 in their 6 prior games. The fact that Atlanta has been playing better on offense and getting some wins gives them some added confidence on the offensive end and the result is some big point totals. Other than allowing 82 points to Memphis (definitely an aberration), the Hawks have given up point totals averaging 116.6 points per game in their other 5 home games since January 23rd. The over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these teams and, given the situation here, that trend should certainly continue here. Also, the over is 9-5 this season when the Hawks are off of a game where they allowed 115 points or more. The over is 8-4 in Detroit's games against Southeast Division opponents this season. 10* OVER the total in Atlanta |
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02-05-18 | Wizards v. Pacers OVER 212.5 | Top | 111-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
Earliest Cash Top Play - Rickenbach NBA Game #703 Monday 10* OVER the total in Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards @ 7:05 ET - Both of these teams are "feeling it" right now as the Pacers have won 4 of their last 5 and the Wizards have won 4 straight. Indiana has averaged 110.6 points per game in their last 7 games. Washington has averaged 116 points per game in their last 5 games. The Wizards are 63-37 to the over as an underdog. Also, in the 2nd half of a season, when facing a team that averages 106 points or more per game, Washington has gone 20-8 to the over. 5 of the last 7 meetings between these teams has resulted in an over. Look for the Indiana over to go to 7-3 this season when facing a team from the Southeast Division as both teams have been red hot and confident in the offensive end. Both teams stayed under the total in their games on Saturday but the Wizards had been 8-3 to the over and the Pacers had been 5-1 to the over. Those streaks resume here. 10* OVER the total in Indiana |
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01-31-18 | Knicks v. Celtics OVER 207.5 | Top | 73-103 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
ESPN Early Top Play - Rickenbach NBA Game #711 Wednesday 10* OVER the total in Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks @ 8:05 ET - The Knicks most recent road game stayed under the total but that broke a streak of 9 straight New York games going over the total. Certainly the pace was there for another over as the Knicks allowed Phoenix 94 field goal attempts. The problem for the Suns was they had one of their worst shooting nights of the season and the game easily stayed under the total. New York did score 107 points in that game and, with scoring 111 points in last night's home win versus Brooklyn, that was the 10th time in their last 11 games that they've scored at least 107 points. As for Boston, 3 of their last 4 games have gone over the total. The Celtics have allowed 102 points or more in 7 of their last 8 games. Boston has scored an average of 109 points per game their last 4 games. The Celtics are 3-1 to the over this season when they enter a game having played each of their 3 prior games on the road. With both teams happy to be back on the east coast after lengthy west coast road trips, look for a free-flowing high-scoring match-up here. The over is 7-1 the last 8 times the Knicks are in the 2nd night of a back to back situation. 10* OVER the total in Boston |
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01-28-18 | Lakers v. Raptors OVER 217.5 | Top | 111-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach NBA Game #807 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Toronto Raptors vs Los Angeles Lakers @ 6:05 ET - After a lackluster effort versus a Western Conference foe resulted in a home loss to begin their 3-game homestand, the Raptors won't make the same mistake here. Toronto likes to run and play at a fast pace but they had bad energy from the start in their loss to Utah Friday and will make up for that here versus the Lakers. The reason the play is the total and not the side is because the Raptors are a double digit fave here and Los Angeles comes into this game hot and putting up a lot of points. With the Lakers having won 4 straight and 8 of their last 10, look for a shootout here. Los Angeles is averaging 107.7 points per game during this 10 game run. The Raptors were held to 93 points in their home loss to Utah. That is noteworthy here because the over is a perfect 5-0 this season when Toronto is off of a game where they were held to 95 points or less! The Raptors are averaging 112 points per game at home and the Lakers allow 112 points per game on the road. With Toronto also fired up off of that loss you can expect about 120 here which should have the Lakers hitting about 110 per the spread on this one. In other words, it should fly over the total. The over is 6-1 this season in Lakers Sunday games. The over improves to 6-0 ATS this season when the Raptors are off of a game in which they were held under 96 points of offense! 10* OVER the total in Toronto |
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01-27-18 | Nets v. Wolves OVER 214 | Top | 97-111 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
Rickenbach NBA Game #511 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Minnesota Timberwolves vs Brooklyn Nets @ 9:05 ET - The Timberwolves have allowed 114 points per game their last 8 games and their last 3 opponents have all knocked down 53.9% or better from the field. Minnesota has averaged 117 points per game in their last 4 games and also will give a huge effort at home so I expect plenty of points here. The Wolves only home game between January 20th and February 1st is this one so look for Minny to "run and gun" just like they've done in the past versus the Nets. Each of their last two home games versus Brooklyn have flown over the total and they scored 129 points the last time they hosted Brooklyn. The Nets have averaged 109 points per game in their last 3 match-ups with Minnesota and, also, Brooklyn is 20-8 to the over in their games against Northwest Division opponents. The Nets were averaging 109 points per game in their last 7 road games before a rare poor shooting effort at Milwaukee last night. I fully expect Brooklyn will return to their high-scoring ways tonight. The over is 36-22 when the Nets face a team that allows an average of 106 points or more per game. Minnesota is 4-0 to the over in their last 4 games and they are a long-term 25-12 to the over when on an over streak of 3 or more games. Also, the Timberwolves are 5-1 to the over this season when off of a loss by a double digit margin. 10* OVER the total in Minnesota |
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01-26-18 | 76ers v. Spurs OVER 200 | Top | 97-78 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
Top Play - Rickenbach NBA Game #815 Friday 10* OVER the total in San Antonio Spurs vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 8:35 ET - The last two meetings between these teams averaged 216 points and I expect another free-flowing affair here. The Spurs have scored 100 points or more in 12 of their last 17 games. The Sixers have scored 100 points or more in 11 of their last 12 games. This total has dropped from an early opener of 205.5 all the way down to a 200 and with odds truly favoring each team getting to the century mark here I like my chances with the over. The 76ers were off yesterday and also are off tomorrow. That helps insure plenty of minutes from key personnel. Also, the Spurs without Kawhi Leonard means a key defender is not on the floor. Looking at the last 3 match-ups between these teams you're talking, of course, about 6 halves of basketball. 5 of the 6 halves have totaled over 100 points! Again, just another proving point here about the value of the over in this one based on the low total. This one should easily get past 200 and, in the process, the over goes to 6-1 this season when Philadelphia faces a team from the Southwest Division. 10* OVER the total in San Antonio |
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01-22-18 | Kings v. Hornets OVER 210 | Top | 107-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
Top Play Total - Rickenbach NBA Game #701 Monday 10* OVER the total in Charlotte Hornets vs Sacramento Kings @ 7:05 ET - The Hornets are 3-0 to the over in their last 3 games. Charlotte has averaged 118.7 points per game in these 3 games while allowing 107.3 points during this stretch. The struggling Kings enter this game on a 7-game losing streak. Sacramento has allowed 110.6 points per game in these 7 losses but the Kings have scored 105 points or more in 3 of their last 5 games. Though Sacramento is averaging only 97.7 points per game on the season, the Hornets are 4-0 to the over this season in games against teams averaging 98 points or less per game. The Kings are a long-term 76-53 to the over in games against Southeast Division opponents. Overall, 4 of the last 5 meetings between these teams have gone over the total. Also, the over is 9-4 the last 13 times these teams have met in Charlotte. The Hornets are coming off of a loss and will push the pace here as they seek the blowout win. Couple that with their recent hot shooting stretch and you can expect this one to easily eclipse the number. 10* OVER the total in Charlotte |
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01-18-18 | Magic v. Cavs OVER 226 | Top | 103-104 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Game #501 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic @ 7:05 ET - The Magic come into this game off of an outright win as a home dog to the Timberwolves Tuesday. Orlando has gone 5-2 to the over this season when off of a upset win as an underdog. Also, the Magic are 6-2 to the over in games with a posted total of 220 points or more. The past 3 seasons combined, Orlando is 8-3 to the over in road games with a posted total of 220 points or more. The Cavaliers have been slumping but most of the losing has been coming on the road. Yes, they did lose their most recent home game but that was to the World Champion Warriors Monday and the Cavs had previously won 13 straight home games. Even with that loss, in their last 6 home games Cleveland has averaged 117.2 points per game! They'll be ready for a blowout home win here and are catching the Magic at the right time off of their upset win of Minnesota. However, I wouldn't be surprised to see Orlando lose this one by about 10 points (right at the line) which is why the big value is with the over. That's because the angry Cavaliers won't take their foot off of the gas in this one. Cleveland did lose at home to the Magic earlier this season. While the Cavs did get some revenge with a win at Orlando earlier this month, they still want to make a statement here at home. The result should be an easy over. The Cavaliers are 13-4 to the over in home games with a posted total of 220 points or more. The Cavs are also 30-12 to the over when they allowed 115 points or more in their prior game and also 10-2 to the over when they enter a game on a losing streak of 3 games or more. 10* OVER the total in Cleveland |
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01-17-18 | Heat v. Bucks OVER 202 | Top | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Game #709 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat @ 8:05 ET - This is a revenge game for the Bucks as they had a horrible shooting night and were held to just 79 points in a loss at Miami Sunday. After that fluke performance, look for Milwaukee to put up a ton of points Wednesday at home. The problem for the Bucks though is that they certainly aren't known for their defensive prowess and they'll have their hands full trying to stop the Heat tonight. Miami is hungry to bounce back off of a loss Monday at Chicago which snapped their 7-game winning streak. The Heat have been shooting the ball very well and have averaged 106.3 points per game in their last 8 games. Milwaukee has averaged 109.2 points per game in their last 13 home games. The Bucks are 5-2 to the over this season when off of an upset win as an underdog and they are also 16-8 to the over this season when playing with revenge. Miami enters this game on a 6-2 run to the over. 10* OVER the total in Milwaukee |
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01-16-18 | Wolves v. Magic OVER 217 | Top | 102-108 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 54 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #501 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Orlando Magic vs Minnesota Timberwolves @ 7:05 ET - Orlando has allowed 53.5% shooting from the field in their last 4 games. On the season the Magic allow 111 points per game. The over is a perfect 3-0 in the last 3 meetings between these teams and the Timberwolves come into this game averaging 117 points per game in their last 5 games. Minnesota has shot 51% from the field in their last 5 games. This is simply the perfect situation for an offensive eruption for the T-wolves considering their hot shooting and Orlando's poor efforts on the defensive end. The real key to the value here is that the Magic also have shot 50% or better in 2 of their last 3 home games and also shot 50.5% from the field in their high-scoring loss at Minnesota earlier this season. I look for more of the same in the rematch here in Florida. The Timberwolves are 7-2 to the over this season when off of a divisional game and Minnesota's defense certainly is unlikely to be at it's best for this non-conference match-up after the big win over Portland. Minny offense has no trouble here but watch the Magic score right along with them in what figures to be an absolute shootout! 10* OVER the total in Orlando |
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01-15-18 | Heat v. Bulls OVER 207 | Top | 111-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
Afternoon Annihilation - Rickenbach NBA Game #711 Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat @ 3:35 ET - Miami put a lot of effort on the defensive end in yesterday's game as they held the Bucks to just 79 points in that home victory. Now the Heat are on the road in a back to back and feeling quite content about their defensive performance yesterday. As a result, don't be surprised when today's game turns into a shootout. The Bulls have been playing much better basketball, particularly on the offensive end, and as a direct result of that Chicago is on a 16-4 (80%) run to the over in their last 20 games. The over is a perfect 5-0 in the Bulls last 5 home games. Also note that the Heat were 5-1 to the over prior to yesterday's low-scoring result with the Bucks. The Bulls are 15-6 to the over this season in games against teams with a winning record. 10* OVER the total in Chicago |
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01-14-18 | Pelicans v. Knicks OVER 218 | Top | 123-118 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Game #803 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in New York Knicks vs New Orleans Pelicans @ 3:35 ET - The Knicks have gone over the total in 4 of their last 5 games as they continue to score quite well but can't get stops on defense. The Pelicans have gone over the total in 15 of their last 21 games. New Orleans is averaging 111 points per game on the season but also allowing 111 points per game. Of course this is why there is a big total posted on this game even though the last 5 meetings between these teams have all stayed under the total. I look for this one to be different as the Pelicans are allowing 93 field goal attempts per game their last 4 games. The Knicks have had some recent overtime games so one always has to factor that in when evaluating a team's performance. However, the fact is that New York has allowed at least 45% from the field in 5 of their last 8 games and the Knicks have shot 49.4% from the field in their last 5 games. The over is 15-9 this season when the Pelicans are playing with revenge and New Orleans is 10-5 to the over this season when they are off of a game where they allowed 115 points or more. 10* OVER the total in New York |
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01-10-18 | Magic v. Bucks OVER 216.5 | Top | 103-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
Game of the Week - Rickenbach NBA Game #711 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Milwaukee Bucks vs Orlando Magic @ 8:05 ET - I am not expecting to see much defense in this one! The Bucks are off of an ugly loss at division rival Indiana and they have a big game on deck against the World Champion Warriors. In other words, it is hard to blame Milwaukee for overlooking a 12-29 Orlando team. That said, very little defense here! The Bucks are 11-2 to the over this season in their games against teams with a losing record. Also, Milwaukee is 38-18 to the over long-term when they are entering a game off of a loss by a double digit margin. As for the Magic, their game at Dallas last night barely stayed under the total. Orlando did allow 114 points in that game and they've now allowed 120.3 points per game their last 3 games. The Bucks have allowed 114.6 points per game in their last 5 games. The over is 4-1 the last 5 times the Magic have had a back to back. In fact, on the season, in the 2nd game of a back to back Orlando is averaging 107.7 points per game. With the line on this game right around a 10 there is no reason to expect anything less than a 118-108 type game here which easily gets it over. I am expecting about 230 in this one. Both teams are allowing 38.6% three pointers this season and both teams shoot the 3-ball rather well (35.4%) also! 10* OVER the total in Milwaukee |
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01-08-18 | Bucks v. Pacers OVER 214 | Top | 96-109 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #701 Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 7:05 ET - The Bucks are 17-3-2 to the over in their last 22 games. You read that right...85% over their last 22 games. Milwaukee has shot 47% or better from the field in 10 straight games. Indiana averages 107 points per game on the season and the Bucks are averaging 106 points per game on the season. Both teams allow just as much as they put up. The Pacers are off of a blowout win over Chicago and the over is a perfect 3-0 the last 3 times that Indiana has held a team under 100 points. The Bucks are off of an upset win as an underdog and Milwaukee is 5-1 to the over this season when off an outright win as a dog. Also, the over is 12-5 this season in Bucks road games! These teams met last week in Milwaukee and the teams combined for 223 points despite Victor Oladipo being out. Now the Pacers leading scorer is back and I expect a high-scoring back and forth shootout here. 3 of the last 4 times the Pacers have hosted the Bucks the game has gone over the total. More of the same here. 10* OVER the total in Indiana |
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01-07-18 | Spurs v. Blazers OVER 198.5 | Top | 110-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach NBA Game #807 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs @ 9:05 ET - The Spurs will be without Kawhi Leonard here and while many people look at his point production, make no mistake about it, his absence certainly impacts the defense of San Antonio. The last time these teams met it was also in Portland and the Spurs got out of town with a tight 2-point win but the Trail Blazers had 96 field goal attempts in the game but had an off shooting night. They'll bounce back here and I expect a huge game from Portland but look for San Antonio to score right along with them. The Spurs have scored at least 100 points in 6 of their last 7 games. In fact, in those 6 games San Antonio averaged 107.5 points per game. The Blazers have scored 110 points or more in 3 straight games. The Spurs are 21-12 to the over the last 33 times they've been an underdog. Before the most recent game between these teams stayed under the total (again Blazers shot poorly that night), 5 of the last 7 meetings between these teams had gone over the total. More of the same here. 10* OVER the total in Portland |
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01-06-18 | Pelicans v. Wolves OVER 217 | Top | 98-116 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
Annihilation Top Play - Rickenbach NBA Game #513 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans @ 9:05 ET - The Timberwolves are off a low-scoring loss at Boston and have now stay under the total in 5 straight games. However, 4 of those 5 games were on the road and before that most recent under at home the Timberwolves had gone over the total in 4 of their last 5 home games. In fact, Minnesota is averaging 114.5 points per game in their last 6 home games. They're hosting a high-scoring, sharp-shooting New Orleans team whose average game this season totals 222 points! It is no wonder that 8 of the last 9 meetings between these teams has resulted in an over and I expect another one here! The over is 15-7 this season when the Pelicans are playing with revenge. Also, the over is 13-6 in New Orleans games against teams with a winning record and the over is 11-4 this season when the Pelicans are an underdog. The Wolves are happy to be back home but the Pelicans scored 122 points in their last visit and are seeking revenge. This one has the makings of a shootout! 10* OVER the total in Minnesota |
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01-05-18 | Knicks v. Heat OVER 202 | Top | 103-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
Game of the Week - Rickenbach NBA Game #801 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Miami Heat vs New York Knicks @ 8:05 ET - The series between these two teams has a history that has certainly trended under in recent seasons. However, the situation here as well as the way these two teams have been playing of late, certainly lends itself to a solid over in this one. The Knicks have averaged 105 points per game in their last 3 road games. However, the New York defense has allowed 108 points per game in their last 9 road games. Miami has averaged 114 points per game in their last 2 games and they are filled with confidence after shooting 51% from the field in each of those two games. Like the Knicks however, the Heat have left a lot to be desired on the defensive end of late. Not only is Miami allowing an average of 109 points per game their last 3 games, the Heat have given up 101 points or more in 6 of their last 8 games. On the season, both teams shoot quite well (particularly from 3 point land) but they both allow solid shooting (also particularly from beyond the arc). The over is 8-3 in New York's last 11 road games and they've allowed 103 points or more in 10 of those 11 games! The over is 4-2 the last 6 times the Heat have hosted an Eastern Conference opponent. 10* OVER the total in Miami |
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01-04-18 | Warriors v. Rockets OVER 229 | Top | 124-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
TNT Annihilation - Rickenbach NBA Game #501 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors @ 8:05 ET - The fact that the Rockets are without top scorer James Harden could actually help this game get over the total. How is that? Well the fact is that Harden does drive to the basket, force contact, and shoot free throws. The difference with him being out is that the Rockets are going to be jacking up even more threes. Houston is known for hitting threes at a high percentage (particularly at home) and now the Warriors are in town with Stephen Curry shooting lights out in his first two games since coming back from injury. The point is that the Warriors and Rockets are very likely to get into a very high-scoring shootout in this one. Since Curry returned for Golden State, their two games have averaged 258 points! For the Rockets, they poured in 116 points last night and the game only stayed under the total due to the ineptitude of the Magic offense as well as the fact that Houston was then able to coast to victory and rest up for tonight's big game. The over is 6-2 this season when the Warriors are off of a game where they allowed 115 points or more. The over is 30-18 the past 2+ seasons in Rockets games against Pacific Division opponents. 10* OVER the total in Houston |
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01-03-18 | Knicks v. Wizards OVER 210 | Top | 103-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Game #701 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks @ 7:05 ET - The Knicks are off of a home loss last night that got ugly in the 4th quarter as nobody could hit shots. Both the Spurs and Knicks played at the type of pace last night that should result in an over but, instead, the game fell short of the number due to poor shooting and a late collapse from the scorers of both teams. I'll get my payback tonight as I come right back with a Knicks over knowing that New York is 5-1 to the over this season in the 2nd game of a back to back. Also, the Wizards are 22-13 to the over the past 2+ seasons when they enter a game with 2 days of rest between games. Washington is on a 4-1 run their last 5 games and averaging 115 points per game during this hot stretch. For the Knicks, last night's game was just the 4th time in 13 games that New York didn't score more than 100 points in a game. They'll bounce back tonight in a typical "run and gun" affair involving these two teams as 5 of the last 7 meetings have gone over the total. The last 4 meetings between these teams have averaged 220 points a game and I expect to see at least that tonight! 10* OVER the total in Washington |
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01-02-18 | Spurs v. Knicks OVER 198.5 | Top | 100-91 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher NBA Game #503 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER the total New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs @ 7:35 ET - The Spurs are off of a horrific shooting performance at Detroit where they netted only 79 points. Now they face the same Knicks team they just lit up for 119 points on Thursday. New York comes into this game off of a win and the Knicks have averaged 106 points in their last two games. That said, they'll be willing to "run and gun" at home in this one and the Spurs will oblige as they are looking for a "breakout game" on offense after the horrible result in Saturday's loss to the Pistons. The Spurs are 4-1 to the over this season when off of an upset loss as a favorite. Long-term San Antonio is 140-98 to the over when off of a loss by a double digit margin. The Spurs also are 19-9 to the over in January games the past two seasons. The Knicks are 9-5 to the over in non-conference games and also 6-3 to the over when off of an upset win as an underdog. Both of those stats are current records this season and I expect another over to be added to those trends tonight. With the downward line move early on this one, I am going contrarian and going over the total here. 10* OVER the total in New York |
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01-01-18 | Bucks v. Raptors OVER 214.5 | Top | 127-131 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach NBA Game #703 Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 7:35 ET - Milwaukee has trended over this season but they enter this game off of back to back unders. That certainly holds some significance here as the Bucks have only had 3 straight unders one time this entire season and we are nearing the halfway point of the season. The Bucks allow 107 points per game on 47.5% from the field and 40.7% from three point land when on the road this season. Toronto averages 114.4 points per game on 48.2% from the field in their home games this season. The Raptors are off of an under versus Atlanta Friday as they took 105 shots but had a rather poor shooting night. The Bucks win at Oklahoma City Friday was the first time since November 20th that Milwaukee did not reach the century mark in points scored. Also, the Raptors have scored 107 points or more in 12 of their last 16 games. This is a playoff revenge game for the Bucks after losing to the Raptors last April. However, Toronto will control the tempo here at home and they're going to run and gun. Look for the Raptors over to improve to 4-1 this season in games against Central Division opponents. The Bucks are 4-1 to the over this season when off of an upset win as an underdog. Also, Milwaukee is 11-5 to the over in road games this season. More of the same here! 10* OVER the total in Toronto |
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12-30-17 | Heat v. Magic OVER 204 | Top | 117-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Game #503 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat @ 7:05 ET - The Magic are off of a rare win and a rare game where their opponent was held under 90 points. Prior to holding the Pistons to 89 points on a poor shooting night for Detroit, Orlando had given up 114.8 points per game in their 5 prior games! The Heat come into this game off of a rare horrific shooting night as they shot just 33.7% from the field in scoring only 87 points at home versus Brooklyn last night. The point is that the pace with with each of these teams played at in their most recent games supported an over but rare bad shooting resulted in an under. That is resulting in solid line value here. The Heat are allowing 102 points per game on the season and the Magic are allowing 110 points per game on the season. Miami has stayed under the total in 3 straight games now but they are 20-14 to the over when they enter a game on an under streak of 3 or more games. Orlando is 5-1 to the over this season when off of a win by a double digit margin. Also, the Magic are 5-2 to the over in their divisional games this season. This total was as high as a 208 and has dropped to a 204 as of gameday morning. I am happy to grab the extra value here! 10* OVER the total in Orlando |
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12-29-17 | Bucks v. Thunder OVER 208.5 | Top | 97-95 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Game #807 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 8:05 ET - The Bucks finally stayed under the total in a come from behind win versus the Timberwolves that certainly fell under the category of "ugly game" as it was played at a slower pace than you would typically see. The teams averaged just 73 field goal attempts between them. That under snapped a 9-game over streak for Milwaukee but the Bucks are still 14-2-1 to the over their last 17 games. Also, this is a back to back spot for Milwaukee and they've gone 5-1 to the over in back to back situations this season. This is a revenge game for the Bucks and they are 13-4 to the over when playing with revenge this season. With tired legs from a strong effort versus Minnesota last night, Milwaukee's defense will likely be lax tonight. That is bad news against a Thunder offense that has caught fire. Oklahoma City has shot 51.9% or better in 4 of its last 5 games. The Thunder are averaging 113.2 points per game their last 5 games and the Bucks have scored 100 points or more in 17 straight games! Milwaukee is averaging 108.5 points per game during this 17-game stretch. You can plainly see why I am expecting about 220 points in this one! 10* OVER the total in Oklahoma City |
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12-28-17 | Knicks v. Spurs OVER 199 | Top | 107-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach NBA Game #507 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks @ 8:35 ET - The Knicks are in a back to back spot and even though their game last night was ugly, the over is 5-1 this season when New York is in the 2nd game of a back to back. Also, the Knicks are 8-4 to the over in non-conference games and each of their last 2 visits to San Antonio have resulted in an over. The Spurs have been heating up on offense and have shot 48.8% or better from the field in 5 of their last 7 games. Their game versus Brooklyn Tuesday barely stayed under the total and prior to that 5 of San Antonio's last 7 home games had resulted in an over. We're getting value here because the Knicks have been staying under the total but truly the pace of their games has been conducive to an over. That said, with the way the Spurs are shooting and New York's willingness to run and be aggressive, this should fly over the total. 10* OVER the total in San Antonio |
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12-27-17 | Nuggets v. Wolves OVER 213 | Top | 125-128 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach NBA Game #713 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets @ 8:05 ET - The Nuggets are off of a big win over Utah last night where they held the Jazz to only 83 points. That makes it 3 straight unders in Denver's games but they haven't recorded more than 3 in a row since October. I see the streak of unders quickly coming to an end tonight as the Timberwolves have been red hot. Minnesota has won 4 straight games and offensive production has led the way. Minny has had 4 straight overs and the over is 10-3 in their last 13 games. The Timberwolves have been shooting the ball very well and the over is 5-1 in their divisional games this season. Also, Minnesota is a long-term 23-11 to the over when they enter a game on a streak of 3 or more consecutive overs. For Denver, the over is 9-5 this season and an incredible 41-13 the last 3 seasons combined when they face a team that is averaging 106 points or more per game. 10* OVER the total in Minnesota |
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12-22-17 | Wizards v. Nets OVER 211.5 | Top | 84-119 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
Total Annihilation - Rickenbach NBA Game #805 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Brooklyn Nets vs Washington Wizards @ 7:35 ET - The Nets burned me Wednesday with a very poor 4th quarter against the Kings. The game was on the pace for the over all the way through the first 3 quarters but then it was a dreadful final stanza that did me in. I'll get some payback here because the Wizards are off of a high-scoring win versus New Orleans Tuesday and that sets this one up perfectly for an over. The Wizards have a divisional home game on deck and may not bring the best of their defensive intensity here given the situation. The first game between Washington and Brooklyn this season stayed under the total but the over was 6-1 in the 7 prior meetings. Both these teams have been trending under of late but that has resulted in excellent line value with this total Friday. The well-rested Wizards should put up plenty of points hare and are 22-12 to the over when they enter a game on rest of 2 days or more. The Nets are averaging 110 points per game at home this season. The Wizards scored only 98 points in their most recent road game (coincidentally also at Brooklyn) but they had scored 106 points or more in 5 of their 7 prior road games. Washington, playing with revenge, comes up strong here! Keep in mind, the Wizards 4 prior games against the Nets saw them average 119.8 points per game. That type of production resumes in this rematch! 10* OVER the total in Brooklyn |
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12-21-17 | Bulls v. Cavs OVER 213.5 | Top | 112-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach NBA Game #503 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Cleveland Cavaliers vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:05 ET - Two of the hottest teams in the league match-up here and, yes, one of them is actually the Bulls! With their win last night versus Orlando, Chicago has won 7 straight games. Ever since Nikola Mirotic has come back, the Bulls offense has enjoyed a huge resurgence and this has helped lead the way to 7 straight wins! Chicago is averaging 111.1 points per game during this 7-0 run. Cleveland also comes in red hot as the Cavaliers had won 18 of 19 before their 3 point loss at Milwaukee Tuesday. Amazingly, the Cavs have not been held under 100 points since October! Cleveland has averaged 113 points per game in their 25 games since November 1st. The over is 5-2 this season when the Cavaliers are off of an upset loss as a favorite. Also, the Cavs are 5-1 to the over this season (and 27-11 to the over long-term) when off of a game where they allowed 115 points or more. Cleveland is also 12-5 to the over this season in their games against teams with a losing record. Last but not least the Cavaliers are 30-14 to the over the past 2+ seasons when they face a team that is allowing an average of 106 points or more per game. 10* OVER the total in Cleveland |
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12-14-17 | Kings v. Wolves OVER 203 | Top | 96-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach NBA Game #507 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Minnesota Timberwolves vs Sacramento Kings @ 8:05 ET - The Kings have allowed an average of "only" 101 points per game their last 3 games but opponents have averaged 89 field goal attempts in those 3 contests. The point is that the proper pace for high-scoring games has certainly been there but the results simply haven't followed as 2 of the 3 games stayed under the total. Now Sacramento faces a Minnesota team that won't hesitate to "run and gun" here. The Timberwolves have gone 8-4 to the over in their last 12 games as they've averaged 107 points per game during this stretch. The over is 3-1 in the last 4 meetings between these teams including a perfect 2-0 in games played in Minneapolis. The Timberwolves are 44-25 to the over when off of a non-conference game. Also, in this particular case the Wolves were upset by the Sixers! That holds significance here as Minnesota is 5-1 to the over this season (and on a long-term 24-8 run to the over long-term) when they enter a game off of an upset loss as a favorite. In other words, look for the Timberwolves to be very aggressive in the offensive end Thursday! 10* OVER the total in Minnesota |
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12-11-17 | Hornets v. Thunder OVER 206 | Top | 116-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Game #707 Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Oklahoma City Thunder vs Charlotte Hornets @ 8:05 ET - The Thunder are off of a couple poor shooting efforts but both those games were away from Oklahoma City. With OKC back home tonight and averaging 104 points per game in their last 8 games on their home floor, the Thunder offense gets back on track in this one. Additionally, their opponent tonight certainly has no hesitation in terms of being happy to push the pace. The Hornets games this season have averaged about 211.5 points and I look for another fast-paced shootout here. Charlotte has averaged 108 points per game in their last 4 road games. The Thunder have trended under this season but I love this situation in terms of them returning home off of a rather low-scoring road win and now facing a team that trends over. The Hornets are 4-1 to the over this season when off of a loss by 10 points or more in their prior game. Also, Charlotte is 7-2 to the over when off of a non-conference game. 10* OVER the total in Oklahoma City |
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12-01-17 | Warriors v. Magic OVER 227 | Top | 133-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
Earliest Cash Top Play - Rickenbach NBA 10* OVER the total in Orlando Magic vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:05 ET - This total opened up at a 230 and so, of course, under players got very excited with seeing such a big total and have pounded this thing down early. With it down to a 227 as of the time of this posting, I am rolling with the over in this one. This is a non-conference game and both teams are coming off of wins. As a result, there is very little incentive for either team to play much defense in this one. The Magic are off of a 13 point upset win where they shot "lights out" but they did allow 96 field goal attempts for the Thunder. In other words the pace was certainly there for a high-scoring game and they're not going to slow down the Warriors whom have both Kevin Durant and Stephen Curry listed as probable for tonight's game. Orlando has gone over the total in 5 straight games and Golden State has gone over the total in 5 of its last 7. The Warriors are 6-2 to the over in their games against teams with a losing record this season plus 6-2 to the over in road games with a posted total of 220 points or more. The Magic are 11-6 to the over in games with a posted total of 220 points or more the past 3 seasons combined. 10* OVER the total in Orlando |
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11-29-17 | Suns v. Pistons OVER 217 | Top | 107-131 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
Rickenbach NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Detroit Pistons vs Phoenix Suns @ 7:05 ET - The Suns finally held a team under 100 points yesterday but that's because it was the miserable Bulls. That win in Chicago marked just the 5th time this season that the Suns have managed to hold their opponent under 110 points. After the first 4 times, Phoenix allowed at least 113 points in their next game with all 4 games going over the total as the Suns allowed an average of 124 points in those 4 prior occurrences. I look for a similar result here as Detroit comes into this one off of a strong performance on offense as they scored 118 points at Boston. The Pistons shouldn't have any trouble scoring at least that tonight against the Suns and its a non-conference match-up which generally means less attention on defense. Detroit has, in fact, allowed at least 51% shooting from the field in 3 of their last 4 games so Phoenix is likely to be "trading buckets" with the Pistons for quite awhile in this one. Even with yesterday's under, the Suns are still 7-2 to the over this season in non-conference games. Also, the Pistons most recent home game was against the division rival Cavs and stayed under the total but, prior to that, they were on a 4-0 run to the over in home games! 10* OVER the total in Detroit |
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11-22-17 | Clippers v. Hawks OVER 209 | Top | 116-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach NBA 10* Top Play OVER the total in Atlanta Hawks vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 7:35 ET - The Clippers are off of an ugly turnover-filled game against the Knicks. The Hawks are off of a typical grinding game against the Spurs. However, now these two struggling teams face off and they are both in a situation they view as a winnable game. Keep in mind, Los Angeles has lost 9 straight while Atlanta has the worst record in the NBA. With that said, a winnable game is a big deal and I look for these two to push the pace in this one as each goes hard for that much needed victory. The Clippers are 3-0 to the over when off of an upset loss as a favorite. The Hawks have played a road-heavy schedule and that is significant to the value here as they are 5-1 to the over in home games this season. This total has been on a downward move since it was posted and you know what that means. Even more value here. 10* OVER the total in Atlanta |
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11-20-17 | Jazz v. 76ers OVER 210.5 | Top | 86-107 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
Earliest Cash Top Play - Rickenbach NBA Monday 10* OVER the total in Philadelphia 76'ers vs Utah Jazz @ 7:05 ET - The Jazz scored 125 points in their blowout win at Orlando Saturday. Utah is 7-3 to the over when they are off of a game where they scored 115 points or more. The over is 8-3 in the last 11 games for the Jazz and they've really picked up the pace on this road trip. Overall, the over is 4-0 in Utah's last 4 games away from home. The 76'ers are off of a home loss to Golden State. The Philly defense was crushed for 124 points and the over is now 8-2 in Philadelphia's last 10 games. As a favorite this season the over is 4-1 in Sixers game and, when off of a non-conference game, the over is 7-1 in Philadelphia's games. The Sixers are averaging 112.5 points per game their last 11 games. The Jazz are averaging 110.8 points per game their last 4 road games. When these teams met in Utah the game barely stayed under the total even though the Jazz shot only 30% from the field. In fact, Utah attempted 99 shots in that game! They'll get some payback here, at least in terms of better offensive production. However, the upstart 76'ers will be scoring big right along with them. The result should be a shootout. 10* OVER the total in Philadelphia |
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11-17-17 | Pistons v. Pacers OVER 209.5 | Top | 100-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach Friday NBA 10* Top Play OVER the total in Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:05 ET - The Pacers are off of a big win at Memphis but their defense continues to be an issue. Indiana has allowed their opponents to hit at least 50% from the field in 6 of their last 8 games. Also, one of those 2 "better" games on defense the Pacers still allowed 47.8% from the field. Indiana has allowed 107 points or more in 7 of their last 8 games. The Pistons are off of a low-scoring loss at Milwaukee and will be fired up here. That defeat ended a stretch of 5 straight wins for Detroit and the Pistons allowed 110 points per game in those 5 games. Overall, Detroit has won 8 of its last 10 games and they've averaged 110.3 points per game in those 8 victories. The over is 4-1 in the Pistons last 5 games and 5-3 in the Pacers last 8 games. The over is 4-2 this season in Detroit's games against teams with a losing record. Look for the over to improve to 6-3 in Pacers games this month as the Pistons were held to 35.3% from the field versus the Bucks Wednesday and Detroit is 3-0 to the over this season when off of a game where they held under 43% from the field. 10* OVER the total in Indiana |
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11-16-17 | Rockets v. Suns OVER 228 | Top | 142-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
TV Top Play - Rickenbach NBA Thursday 10* OVER the total in Phoenix Suns vs Houston Rockets @ 10:35 ET - Both teams play fast. Their pace is among the fastest in the league. The Rockets are off of a home loss to Toronto and that means they won't take their foot off of the gas in this game against out-classed Phoenix. Houston has gone over the total in 6 of their last meetings versus the Suns and Phoenix comes into this one well-rested. The Suns have been off since Monday and Phoenix is an incredible 18-3 to the over when they are playing with 2 days of rest between games. Also, when playing against a team that averages 106 points or more per game, the Suns are on a 32-14 run to the over. Both these teams have been weak defending the 3-ball as the Rockets are allowing 38.8% and the Suns are allowing 38.2% this season. Neither team is interested in slowing this game down and that should lead to an absolute shootout in this one with plenty of "run and gun". 10* OVER the total in Phoenix |
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11-09-17 | Cavs v. Rockets OVER 228 | Top | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
Top Play Dominator - Rickenbach Thursday NBA 10* OVER the total in Houston Rockets vs Cleveland Cavaliers @ 8:05 ET - Will anybody be playing defense in this game? The Rockets have the better numbers on the season but, in their last 5 games, Houston has allowed 47.2% from the field. Also, in the Rockets last two home games they've allowed 112.5 points per game. Of course the Cavaliers defense has been so bad this season that it's making headlines! That's what happens when you're allowing 114 points per game, 48.5% field goal percentage, and 41.9% three pointers! The Cavs defense is in trouble here as the Rockets are well rested and those fresh legs are ready to add to a 3-game run that has seen Houston average 125 points per game. Of course the key to the over here is the fact that Cleveland's offensive production is also "through the roof" of late! The Cavaliers are averaging 119 points per game their last 4 games and all 4 went over the total. Houston is also on a 4-0 run to the over! The Rockets are also 16-8 to the over when off of a game where they scored 130 points or more. The Cavaliers are 19-9 to the over in games with a posted total of 220 points or more. Also, Cleveland is 25-11 to the over when they are off of a game where they allowed 115 points or more. 10* OVER the total in Houston |
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11-04-17 | Mavs v. Wolves OVER 214 | Top | 99-112 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach Saturday NBA 10* Top Play OVER the total in Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks @ 8:05 ET - The Timberwolves are off of an under but it was their first of the season through 8 games as they've been an "over machine" so far. The Mavericks are also off of an under but they had gone over the total in 3 straight games prior to last night's low-scoring battle with New Orleans. Even though that game was low-scoring it had a lot to do with poor shooting for the Mavs and Pelicans. That said, with Dallas off of back to back poor shooting games, I look for them to get back on track tonight at Minnesota as the Timberwolves are allowing 113 points per game on 51% shooting this season! The Mavericks are allowing 107.4 points per game on 48% shooting this season. These teams have trended under in recent meetings but the situation here dictates a high-scoring shootout! 10* OVER the total in Minnesota |
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11-01-17 | Rockets v. Knicks OVER 212 | Top | 119-97 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
ESPN Top Play Dominator - Rickenbach Wednesday NBA 10* OVER the total in New York Knicks vs Houston Rockets @ 8:05 ET - The Knicks are hot and have won 3 straight games. This is New York's first 3 game win streak of this season but the past two seasons combined they've gone 7-1 to the over when they enter a game on a winning streak of 3 games or more. Surprisingly, the Rockets have trended under the total early this season but they are 15-7 to the over the past 2+ seasons in their games against Atlantic Division opponents. Generally not a lot of defensive intensity in match-ups like this and, keep in mind, the Rockets have averaged 123.5 points per game in their last two games against the Knicks. Houston made 36 of 95 three pointers in those 2 games versus New York last season. As for the Knicks, they did hit 40% of their threes when they hosted the Rockets last season and New York comes into this game having averaged scoring 112.3 points per game in their last 3 games. Also, at home this season the Knicks have not been held below 107 points. The Rockets are allowing 104.2 points per game on the road this season. Houston has not shot the ball well their past few games but that is unlikely to continue against a Knicks team not known for defense. The Rockets are likely to be angry and lighting it up from downtown tonight after their home loss to Philly and the Knicks - riding the confidence of a 3-game winning streak - should stay hot on the offensive end. The result should be a shootout here as the Knicks improve that aforementioned "over trend" to 8-1 the last 9 times. 10* OVER the total in New York |
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10-30-17 | Nuggets v. Knicks OVER 209 | Top | 110-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach NBA 10* Top Play OVER the total in New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets @ 7:35 ET - I like playing overs when two teams come in rolling with confidence and scoring a lot of points. When this happens it is only natural that a team lets up on defense because they are so focused on continuing their offensive onslaught and they have the added confidence factor of "who needs defense when nobody can stop us from scoring" as their mentality. That is the case here for the Knicks as they've won two straight games and averaged 110.5 points in their last two games. That included New York's big upset win at Cleveland last night. As for the Nuggets, they've also won back to back games and they've averaged 114.5 points per game. Keep in mind that Denver, other than the easy win over a hapless Sacramento team, has allowed an average of 107.2 points per game in their 5 contests against teams not named the Kings. As for the Knicks, they were allowing 108.7 points per game in their first 3 games this season and I am not sold on them necessarily having a defensive resurgence just because the Nets and Cavs both had poor shooting nights against them. Also, the Knicks have allowed an average of 129 points per game in their last two games versus Denver. Both match-ups went over the total last season and the Nuggets are a long-term 14-6 to the over in their games against Atlantic Division opponents. Also, the over is 29-16 in Denver's games when they are off of a game where they scored 115 points or more. Couple that with the Knicks being in a back to back and off of a huge upset win on the road and I expect a shootout tonight with an overall lack of effort on the defensive end. 10* OVER the total in New York |