02-26-17 |
Suns v. Bucks -6.5 |
Top |
96-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 44 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Phoenix Suns are sitting at the bottom of the Western Conference Standings, with nothing left to play for. The Bucks are just two games out of a playoff spot in the East, and they went into the All Star break as winners of three straight. Both teams lost their first game following the break, but the Suns lost in particularly disturbing fashion. They blew a double digit fourth quarter lead, and Devin Booker missed a potential game winning free throw in the final second of regulation, before losing 128-121 at Chicago. The Bucks have won four of the last five meetings between the two teams, covering the spread in all four of those games. The Greek Freak has score 30 or more in three straight games, and he should have another monster game against a Suns team that allows 112.7 points per game (29th in the NBA). The Bucks last home game was a 137-101 win over the Lakers, and a similar result is expected today.
Take MIL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-25-17 |
San Diego State v. Colorado State |
Top |
55-56 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on Colorado State.
"Colorado State comes in tied for first place in the conference (with Nevada and BSU), and the Rams are one of the hottest teams in the country right now. They've won seven of their last eight, with four of those wins coming on the road (at SDSU, at USU, at UNLV and at WYO). Senior forward Emmanuel Omogbo has really elevated his game, averaging 16.8 points and 11.4 rebounds per game in his last five. He scored 19 points and pulled in 16 rebounds in a win at Wyoming last Tuesday."
That's what I said about the Rams before they beat the Lobos by double digits at New Mexico Tuesday. They return home tonight to host San Diego State, a team that has struggled on the road. The Aztecs have lost seven of 10 road games, scoring an average of just 64.2 points on 38.8 percent shooting in those games. San Diego State is 2-7-1 ATS in it's last 10 road games.
Take CSU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-25-17 |
76ers +5 v. Knicks |
Top |
109-110 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 24 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Sixers have now won four of their last five overall, and they have covered the spread in six straight. They will play on the road in New York tonight, and the Knicks have lost six of their last seven, and have only covered the spread in three of their last 10 overall. The news gets bad to worse for the Knicks, as Kristaps Porzingis is out indefinitely with an ankle injury. Carmelo Anthony isn't pleased that he's still in New York after the deadline, and he is coming off an uninspiring performance against the Cavs. He scored 20 points on 9-of-25 shooting in a 119-104 loss. Playing on back to back night's is usually considered to be a disadvantage, but a young team like the Sixers coming off a long layoff, and then upsetting the hottest team in the NBA (Washington), should be up for this game. They've covered the spread in five straight when coming off a victory.
Take PHI.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-25-17 |
Hawks -140 v. Magic |
Top |
86-105 |
Loss |
-140 |
18 h 53 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Atlanta Hawks.
The Hawks are in position to battle for one of the top four spots in the Eastern Conference standings, but they dropped their first game back from the All Star break at home to Miami last night. It's understandable that they came out flat after a week long layoff, and it made matters worse that starting PG Dennis Schroeder was suspended for returning late from Germany and missing practice. They will play their second game in as many nights on the road at Orlando tonight, but I don't expect fatigue to be a factor. The Magic have lost five of their last six overall, and four of their last five at home. Serge Ibaka was second on the team in scoring, and their second best rebounder, but he's moved on to Toronto. The Magic got Terrence Ross in return, and he failed to impress in his debut. Ross scored 13 points on 4-of-17 shooting in a 112-103 loss to Portland on Thursday. The Hawks are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Orlando.
Take ATL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-25-17 |
Florida v. Kentucky UNDER 156.5 |
Top |
66-76 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on FLA@UK to go UNDER the total.
The Florida Gators have won nine in a row, and they are tied at the top of the SEC standings with Kentucky. They beat the Wildcats 88-66 at home earlier this month, and I expect a competitive game here in the rematch in Kentucky this afternoon. Both these team are capable of playing shut down defense, and both teams have held the opposition to an average of less than 70 points over their last five games. There two teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five meetings, and five straight at Kentucky. In a game of this magnitude, I expect to see hard fought battles for every possession. There won't be many easy buckets to be had here, and I expect to see another relatively low scoring battle. The under is 20-7 in Kentucky's last 27 home games versus ranked teams.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-25-17 |
AFC Bournemouth v. West Bromwich Albion OVER 2.5 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
128 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on AFC Bournemouth vs West Brom Over 2.5.
Only Swansea has conceded more goals in the Premier League this season than Bournemouth. The Cherries have conceded five goals in their last two games, but have scored six of their own in those contests. West Brom is coming off a 2-2 draw against West Ham United, and the Albions have tallied six goals in their last four Premier League matches. The Cherries have scored 21 goals and conceded 21 goals in 13 home games. That's an average of more than 3.5 goals per game total. Both these teams are more than capable of creating offense, and neither has had much success defensively. I expect both teams to score here, and we should see at least three goals scored between the two teams.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-24-17 |
Dayton -130 v. Davidson |
Top |
89-82 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 17 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Dayton Flyers. The Davidson Wildcats aren't as competitive this season as they have been in years past. They come into tonight's home game with a losing record in conference play, and they lost their last game by a score of 84-76 at Richmond. They have seven wins versus A-10 teams, and all but one of those came against teams that are below them in the standings. They did beat VCU at home back in January, but the Rams simply couldn't make a shot to save their lives in that game. Dayton comes to town as winners of seven straight, and 10 of their last 11. The Flyers have scored an average of 79.2 points on 45.7 percent shooting over their last five games. Davidson has twice as many losses at home as the Flyers do on the road this season, and the Flyers are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games. Take DAY. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-23-17 |
Hofstra v. William & Mary -7 |
Top |
96-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 13 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the William and Mary Tribe.
The Tribe are coming off a rare road win at Deleware, and they return home to face Hofstra. William and Mary might be the nation's best bet at home, with a perfect 12-0 record this season. They don't just win their home games, for the most part, they blow out their opponents. Their last five home wins have all come by a double digit margin, even against some of the top teams in the CAA. They beat the first place Seahawks by a whopping 18 points at home last month. William and Mary are averaging 91 points on an unbelievable 55.1 percent shooting at home. Hofstra comes in struggling, failing to cover in eight of their last 10 overall, and they are 2-6-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings at William & Mary.
Take CWM.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-22-17 |
Utah State v. San Jose State |
Top |
81-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 21 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the San Jose State Spartans.
The Spartans have had a stranglehold on last place in the Mountain West for most of the last decade. That is not the case this seasons. San Jose State comes into tonight's home game as winners of five of their last six overall. They are a solid 9-5 overall at home, and they host a struggling Utah State Aggies team. The Aggies are just 2-7 on the road, and they come in as losers of five straight road games. The Spartans have been rather efficient offensively, scoring 74.4 points on 48.7 percent shooting over their last five games. Utah State has scored just 66.2 points on 35.6 percent shooting during that same span. The Spartans have covered in five of their last six, while Utah State is just 1-7 ATS in it's last eight road games.
Take SJSU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-21-17 |
NC State v. Georgia Tech -4.5 |
Top |
71-69 |
Loss |
-115 |
32 h 46 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on Georgia Tech. The Wolfpack have lost seven of eight on the road, and their last two road games were losses by 20+ points. With nothing left to play for, they aren't likely to pose a threat to a Georgia Tech team that is very strong at home. The Yellow Jackets play a strong defense on their home floor, allowing opponents to average just 61.3 points per game on 36 percent shooting. That's even more impressive when you consider that they've played teams like Louisville and North Carolina. Georgia Tech beat Syracuse on Sunday, and I like them here on Tuesday night against a much weaker opponent. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-21-17 |
Clemson v. Virginia Tech -140 |
Top |
70-71 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Virginia Tech Hokies 1st Half.
The Hokies have been playing as well as anybody in the ACC recently. They have been very strong at home, boasting a 13-1 record. Those wins include upsets over Duke and Virginia. The Hokies already beat Clemson on their home floor earlier in the season, and they've won four of their last five home meetings with Clemson. Virginia Tech has scored over 84 points per game on better than 50 percent shooting at home, while the Tigers have averaged just 64.8 points per game on the road. This is the final road game for Clemson, before finishing the season with three straight home games. At this point it's easy to imagine the Tigers getting caught looking ahead to their upcoming home stand. The Hokies led at halftime the last time these two teams played (at Clemson), and they should get off to a good start here at home.
Take VT.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-20-17 |
Panthers v. Blues -135 |
Top |
2-1 |
Loss |
-135 |
22 h 38 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the St. Louis Blues. The Blues have won seven of nine games since firing head coach Ken Hitchcock and replacing him with Mike Yeo. Starting goaltender Jake Allen is 5-2 with a 1.87 GAA during that span, and he's 14-6-2 with a 2.50 GAA on home ice this season. St. Louis will host the red hot Florida Panthers, who come in as winners of four straight. This will be the final game of a five game road trip for Florida, and after picking up maximum points in the first four games, a let down seems likely here in St. Louis. The Panthers have struggled in previous meetings with St. Louis, losing seven of the last eight. The Blues boast one of the NHL's top special teams units, ranking 7th on the power play and 4th on the penalty kill. Florida has only converted on 15 percent of it's power play chances, ranking 27th in the league. Only three teams in the NHL have more wins on home ice than the Blues, and I think the price to back St. Louis as the home favorite is more than reasonable here. Take STL. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-19-17 |
Syracuse v. Georgia Tech +2.5 |
Top |
65-71 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
Syracuse is coming off back to back losses, but the Orange will come into Georgia Tech as the favorite. It seems strange that the bookmakers are asking bettors to lay points with a Syracuse team that has only won two road games all year. They beat Clemson by just one point, and needed overtime in their win at N.C. State. The Yellow Jackets are a stronger home team than the Tigers or the Wolfpack. They are 13-3 at home this year, with wins over North Carolina, Florida State and Notre Dame. The Orange have failed to cover the spread in each of the last four meetings in this series, and their last win at Georgia Tech came by a score of 46-45. The Yellow Jackets play a strong defense on their home floor, allowing opponents to average just 61.3 points per game on 36 percent shooting. That's even more impressive when you consider that they've played teams like Louisville and North Carolina. The Orange are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games, while the Yellow Jackets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 overall.
Take GT.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-19-17 |
Maryland +7 v. Wisconsin |
Top |
60-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Maryland Terrapins. The Badgers host Maryland Sunday, and the winner of this game will move into a first place tie with Purdue at the top of the BIG10. Wisconsin has only lost one game at home this season, while the Terps have only lost once on the road. The Badgers are coming off back to back losses, and they've failed to cover in four straight. They've been brutal offensively, averaging just 61.8 points on 38.6 percent shooting over their last five games. One reason for their struggles has been an injury to senior guard Bronson Koenig, who didn't play in a 64-58 loss at Michigan Thursday. He was just 1-of-8 from the field, scoring two points in 30 minutes in last Sunday's home loss to Northwestern. Koenig is officially listed as day to day, and might be able to play today. Maryland has won 10 of 13 games in conference play, and their three losses came by an average margin of just three points. They beat the Badgers at Madison last season by a score of 63-60, and they are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog. Melo Trimble comes in feeling the hot hand, he scored 32 points on 12-of-17 shooting in a 74-64 win at Northwestern on Wednesday. Take MD. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-18-17 |
Panthers v. Kings -149 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-149 |
21 h 60 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the LAK. The Florida Panthers will play their second game of a back to back, and third game in four nights on the road at LA Saturday. This will be their fourth straight game on the road, and they've won the first three. This looks like an ideal spot to take their foot of the gas, and suffer a bit of a let down against a desperate Kings team. LA absolutely needs two points here, coming into this game trailing Calgary by one point in the Western Conference standings. The Flames are currently occupy the final wild card spot in the West, but the Kings have two games in hand. Roberto Luongo has won three of his last four starts, but has given up a whopping 17 goals in those games, and he's just 6-7-4 with a 2.73 GAA on the road this season. The 37 year old veteran is expected to play despite leaving his last start early due to cramps. The Panthers rank 23rd in the NHL in scoring, and 28th in the league on the power play. The Kings have won six of the last seven meetings in this series, and Florida is 3-14 in it's last 17 visits to LA. Take LAK. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-18-17 |
Oklahoma +12 v. Oklahoma State |
Top |
92-96 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 32 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners.
Oklahoma finally snapped it's seven game losing streak with a win over Texas at home on Tuesday. It was the Sooners first game since they announced that leading scorer Jordan Woodard would miss the rest of the season with a knee injury. Woodard wasn't playing well, failing to score in double figures in three of his last four games. One of those games was a 68-66 home loss to the Cowboys, and Woodard scored just seven points on 3-of-11 shooting. Oklahoma State won that game with a buzzer beater, and here we are just over two weeks later and they are asked to cover a double digit spread in the rematch. While the Sooners will miss Woodard, I believe they will be better off giving his minutes to a healthy role player, rather than a struggling star who's unable to contribute due to injury. That was certainly the case against Texas, as backup center Jamuni McNease scored 14 points and pulled in 14 rebounds in 26 minutes. The Sooners have played close games in each of their last four visits to Stillwater, with only one loss, which came in overtime. The average margin of victory in those four games was just four points. This line appears to be a little inflated.
Take OKLA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-18-17 |
Illinois v. Iowa -4.5 |
Top |
70-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 19 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on Iowa (1st Half)
Illinois has been brutal on the road, losing five of six games, and scoring an average of just 66.5 points on 41.9 percent shooting. They did beat Iowa at home earlier this year, but I expect the Hawkeyes to execute revenge for that loss here on Saturday. Iowa is a much stronger team at home, where they average 80.8 points per game, and shoot over 40 percent from beyond the arc. I don't think Illinois can score enough points to keep those one close. The Illini have averaged just 61.4 points, shooting just 39.8 percent from the field in their last five games overall. Iowa's last two home games were double digit wins over Ohio State and Nebraska, and I think they can handle bottom feeders Illinois with relative ease.
Take Iowa.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-17-17 |
Panthers v. Ducks -141 |
Top |
4-1 |
Loss |
-141 |
20 h 25 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Anaheim Ducks. The Ducks host Florida tonight in their first game back from a six game road trip that began in Florida. The Panthers won that game by a score of 2-1, but they are in a much tougher spot here at the Duck Pond. Anaheim owns one of the league's better home records (17-6-2), and the Ducks have won three of their last four home meetings with Florida. Ultimately many games are decided by goaltending, and I'd have to give the Ducks a big edge in this department. Jon Gibson is coming off a 37 save shutout win in Minnesota, and he's 14-6-2 with a 2.11 GAA at home. Roberto Luongo has won three of his last four starts, but has given up a whopping 17 goals in those games, and he's just 6-7-4 with a 2.73 GAA on the road this season. The 37 year old veteran is expected to play despite leaving his last start early due to cramps. The Panthers rank 23rd in the NHL in scoring, and 28th in the league on the power play. They play again tomorrow night in LA, and I don't like their chances of coming out of California with any more points. Take ANA. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-17-17 |
Idaho v. Eastern Washington -5 |
Top |
67-77 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 53 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Eastern Washington Eagles. The Idaho Vandals are coming off a blowout loss (88-65) at North Dakota, falling to 4-8 on the road this season. They face another tough road game tonight, playing at Eastern Washington. They already lost to the Eagles at home earlier this season by a score of 69-62. The Eagles are a dominant team on their home court, with a record of 12-1 this season, and a record of 34-4 over the last three seasons. They score an average of 85.9 points on 49 percent shooting at home, and that's roughly 15 points per game more than the Vandals have averaged on the road. The Eagles won last year's home game against Idaho by a score of 74-60, and they've won their last four home games by an average margin of 12 points. Eastern Washington is coming off it's best defensive showing of the season, holding Northern Colorado to just 44 points on 28.3 percent shooting. I don't expect this game to be close, Eastern Washington should run away with it. Take EWU. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-16-17 |
Wizards -130 v. Pacers |
Top |
111-98 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 15 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Washington Wizards.
Washington might be the hottest team in the NBA, coming into tonight's game at Indiana as winners of 10 of their last 11. The only loss during that span came to the defending champion Cavaliers, in a game decided in overtime. The Pacers on the other hand have struggled, losing five straight, with four of those losses coming by a double digit margin. Paul George scored just 13 points on 4-of-19 shooting in a loss at Cleveland last night, and he only managed 13 points on 4-of-11 shooting the last time he played on back to back nights (a home loss to Milwaukee). The Wizards come in well rested, having had two days off since their win over Oklahoma City on Monday. They have a history of playing well in Indiana, covering the spread in seven straight visits. John Wall has averaged 27 points per game on 49 percent shooting in three games against the Pacers this season, helping the Wizards take two of the three. The Pacers will be without starting PF Thadeus Young, who has missed the last seven games due to a wrist injury. Backup PF Lavoy Allen has also missed the last two games, and is listed as questionable to play tonight.
Take WAS.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-15-17 |
Hawks v. Clippers -140 |
Top |
84-99 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the LAC. The Clippers appear to have their mojo back, coming into tonight's home game versus Atlanta as winners of three straight on the road. They put on a defensive clinic in an 88-72 win at Utah on Monday. Blake Griffin scored 26 points, pulled in 10 rebounds and dished out six assists, and the Clippers held the Jazz to just 32.2 percent shooting. Both the Clippers and the Hawks rank in the top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring, and both teams are coming off impressive defensive performances. Atlanta allowed Portland to score just 97 points in regulation in an overtime win at the Moda Center Monday. These two teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five meetings at Staples Center, and the under is 16-7-1 in Hawks last 24 versus Western Conference teams. This looks like a let down spot for the visitors, and I expect the Clippers to grind out a win at home against Hawks team that is 1-5 ATS in it's last six versus the Pacific Division. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-15-17 |
Hawks v. Clippers UNDER 213 |
Top |
84-99 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 23 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on ATL@LAC to go UNDER the total. The Clippers appear to have their mojo back, coming into tonight's home game versus Atlanta as winners of three straight on the road. They put on a defensive clinic in an 88-72 win at Utah on Monday. Blake Griffin scored 26 points, pulled in 10 rebounds and dished out six assists, and the Clippers held the Jazz to just 32.2 percent shooting. Both the Clippers and the Hawks rank in the top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring, and both teams are coming off impressive defensive performances. Atlanta allowed Portland to score just 97 points in regulation in an overtime win at the Moda Center Monday. These two teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five meetings at Staples Center, and the under is 16-7-1 in Hawks last 24 versus Western Conference teams. This looks like a let down spot for the visitors, and I expect the Clippers to grind out a win at home against Hawks team that is 1-5 ATS in it's last six versus the Pacific Division. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-15-17 |
San Jose State +7.5 v. Fresno State |
Top |
59-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 27 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the San Jose State Spartans.
San Jose State has been the worst team in the Mountain West for a long time, but apparently not this season. The Spartans have won four straight, including an upset win over the Lobos in New Mexico. They were an underdog in their last three games, and they are getting a bunch of points on the road at Fresno State tonight. They already beat the Bulldogs at home in January, and they have covered the spread in each of the last three meetings over the last three seasons. The Bulldogs are struggling, they've lost three straight, and they have a few key players sidelined with injuries. The Bulldogs last home game was a 67-70 loss to San Diego State, the same Aztecs team that the Spartans beat in San Jose just over a week ago. Fresno State is 5-11 ATS in it's last 16 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5, and the Bulldogs have failed to cover in five straight overall.
Take SJSU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-15-17 |
Blazers v. Jazz UNDER 205 |
Top |
88-111 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 38 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on POR@UTAH to go UNDER the total.
The Utah Jazz are coming off an embarrassing 88-72 home loss to the Clippers. The Portland Trailblazers are coming off a home loss to Atlanta, shooing just 35.9 percent from the field and scoring just 97 points in regulation. The two teams will meet in Utah tonight, and we should expect to see a defensive battle. Utah is a heavy favorite, and the Jazz have a history of locking in defensively off a big home loss. They've gone under in nine of their last 10 following a double digit home loss. The total for tonight's game is far higher than it has been in recent meetings. In fact each of the last 10 meetings in this series saw a number below 200, dating back to 2014. The Jazz will be desperate to end a three game losing streak, and that should mean a heavy emphasis on defense. Two of Portland's last three visits to Utah have failed to go over 200 points, and none of the three went over the total listed for tonight's contest.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-15-17 |
La Salle v. St Bonaventure -4.5 |
Top |
65-83 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 36 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies.
The La Salle Explorers had been enjoying their best season in the A-10 Conference in years, but have started to struggle in recent weeks. La Salle has lost five of it's last seven, with wins against bottom feeders Fordam and Massachusetts. The Bonnies have long been one of the toughest teams in his conference on their home court, and they've won four of their last five home games. The one loss came in overtime to powerhouse VCU. St. Bonaventure has averaged over 81 points per game at home, shooting 47 percent from the field. The Explorers are 4-5 on the road, and they've lost three of their last four road games by 10 or more points. It's no coincidence that La Salle has struggled over it's last seven games, as they have been without starting guard Pookie Powell for six of those seven contests. Powell averaged 13.4 points per game, logging an average of 31 minutes prior to suffering a knee injury in a loss to VCU in January. The Explorers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games, and they've failed to cover in four of their last five as an underdog.
Take SBON.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-14-17 |
Iona -110 v. Canisius |
Top |
83-89 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Iona Gaels. Iona has won seven of it's last eight overall, with the only loss during that span coming by just two points versus Siena. Canisius is just 3-3 over it's last six games, suffering home losses to Niagara and Rider during that span. For whatever reason, the Golden Griffins have struggled at home, failing to cover in eight of their last 11 at the Koessler Athletic Center. Iona has no trouble scoring on the road, averaging 81.1 points per game on 44.5 percent shooting. Rebounding has been a huge issue for Canisius, and they were out-rebounded 44-31 by Niagara in their last game. They are averaging fewer than 25 rebounds per game over their last five, and it's tough to win games with those kind of numbers. The Gaels have won seven of the last eight meetings in this series, and two of those win came on the road. I expect that trend to continue here in Buffalo tonight. Take IONA. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-14-17 |
Tennessee +14 v. Kentucky |
Top |
58-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 40 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Tennessee Volunteers.
The Wildcats are just 3-3 in their last six games, and one of those was an 82-80 loss at Tennessee. Kentucky is favored to win the rematch at home, and many bettors will be playing the revenge angle here. I think this line is just far too inflated, especially considering how the Wildcats have struggled in recent weeks. They failed to cover in home games against LSU and Georgia, lost at home to Kansas, and got absolutely crushed at Florida. They have won their last three home games versus the Vols, but not one of those wins came by more than 10 points. Seven of the last 10 meetings between the two teams have been relatively close (10 points or less). Kentucky has struggled defensively over it's last five games, giving up 78.2 points per game on 48.7 percent shooting. The Vols have allowed opponents to average 10 points fewer, with a field goal percentage of just 38.4 percent during that same span. Tennessee has been a good bet on the road, covering the spread in eight of their last 11. I'll take the points.
Take TEN.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-13-17 |
Warriors v. Nuggets +12 |
Top |
110-132 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 2 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. The Golden State Warriors are coming off a 130-114 win over the Thunder in Oklahoma City. That game was the second of a back to back, coming off a 122-107 win in Memphis the night before. They will play their third game in four nights on the road in Denver (at altitude) and this game couldn't be any more meaningless for the visitors. This is the ultimate let down spot for Golden State. This team has nothing left to prove to anybody. Kevin Durant scored 34 points in his first game back in Oklahoma City, despite dealing with hostile fans all night long. We don't have to speculate about what the Warriors did after the game, as their party plans are well documented. Durant wanted to rent out the Mahogany Prime Steak House, but was refused. He and his teammates ended up dining with the rest of the restaurant's regular clientele, which includes Russell Westbrook. It could be hard to get up for this game in Denver coming off such a marquee win. The Nuggets have won seven of their last eight home games, and they are battling for the eighth and final playoff spot in the West. Denver has covered the spread in six of their last eight versus Golden State, and they look good getting a double digit spread here tonight. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-12-17 |
Pelicans v. Kings OVER 210 |
Top |
99-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 57 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NO@SAC to go OVER the total.
The Pelicans are coming off a 122-106 win at Minnesota, and they shot 60 percent from the field in the victory. They play Sunday in Sacramento, and the Kings aren't the best defensive team in the NBA. Sacramento scored 65 points in the second half to come from behind and beat the Hawks 108-107 in overtime on Friday. They've scored an average of 107 points while wining three of five games during their current home stand. These two teams have gone over in three of the last four meetings, and the Kings have gone over in seven straight games coming off a win. The Pelicans have gone over in nine of their last 12 overall, mostly due to the fact that they give up an awful lot of points. Opponents have averaged over 112 points over their last five games.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-12-17 |
Nevada +3 v. San Diego State |
Top |
56-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 3 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Nevada Wolfpack.
The Wolfpack sit a half a game back of Boise State in the Mountain West, and they will play on the road at San Diego State Sunday. The Aztecs have dominated this conference for more than a decade, but they currently sit in the bottom half of the standings with a losing record in conference play. Nevada beat the Aztecs at home by a score of 72-69 earlier this year, ending a seven game losing streak in the series. The Wolfpack haven't had any trouble winning on the road this season, winning five of eight games and averaging a whopping 80.5 points. San Diego State has been beaten at home by Colorado State and New Mexico, two teams that trail Nevada in the standings. Scoring has been an issue for the Aztecs, averaging just 70.4 points per game on 40.5 percent shooting in their last five games. The Wolfpack are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games, while the Aztecs have failed to cover in four straight games as a favorite.
Take NEVADA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-11-17 |
Warriors v. Thunder +7.5 |
Top |
130-114 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 53 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on OKC. The Golden State Warriors visit the Thunder Saturday, in Kevin Durant's first game back at Oklahoma City. This will be the third meeting this season, and the Warriors won the previous two at home. Both of those games were high scoring, but neither game reached the inflated total. Once again the bookmakers are calling for a shootout, with another inflated number. These teams have failed to reach the total in four straight meetings, and the under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. This is a huge game for both teams, and we should see both sides giving 100 percent on both offense and defense. The Warriors have gone under in 19 of their last 26 road games, while the Thunder have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven home games versus a team with a winning record. The Warriors dominated the first two meetings, and Kevin Durant went off for 39 and 40 points (his two highest totals of the season). Playing on back to back nights, and dealing with all the emotions, I could see Durant struggling in tonight's game. He's hired additional security for this game, and that in itself may suggest his mind is on more than just basketball. The Warriors are just 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Oklahoma City. Take OKC. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-11-17 |
Oklahoma +9.5 v. Iowa State |
Top |
64-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 36 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners. The Oklahoma Sooners have lost six straight, and they are at the bottom of the BIG12 standings with a record of 2-9 within conference. With all the losses piling up, it's easy to forget just how competitive this team has actually been. Their last win came on the road at West Virginia by a score of 89-87. Since then, they've lost by just one point at Texas, and by two points at home versus Oklahoma State. Both of those games were decided by buzzer beaters. A home loss to Iowa State came by a score of 92-87 in double overtime. The Sooners were actually a two point favorite in that game, which means we see a 11.5 point swing in the rematch just three weeks later. These two teams have a history of playing close games, as each of the last five meetings have been decided by five points or less. Nine of the last 10 meetings have been decided by seven points or less, and neither team has been favored by more than 7.5 points in each of the last 10 meetings dating back to 2013. The Sooners are 7-2-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5, and the line in this revenge game appears to be grossly inflated. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-11-17 |
Fresno State v. Colorado State -3 |
Top |
62-78 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 5 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Colorado State Rams.
The Rams have really played well in recent weeks, winning five of their last six games. The only loss during that span came in a close game versus Mountain West powerhouse Boise State. They sit just a half a game out of first place in the conference, and they host a struggling Fresno State team this afternoon. The Bulldogs have lost three of their last four, and they are just 4-8 on the road. They have missed a couple of key players, leaving them shorthanded and undersized. Karachi Edo leads the Bulldogs in rebounds averaging 6.8 per game, and Cullen Russo is second on the team averaging 5.9 RPG. Edo is questionable with an ankle injury, and Russo is suspended indefinitely. The Rams are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games versus a team with a losing road record, and the Bulldogs have failed to cover in four of their last five road games.
Take CSU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-11-17 |
College of Charleston v. William & Mary |
Top |
79-89 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 4 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the William and Mary Tribe.
The Charleston Cougars are one of the top dogs in the CAA, sitting just one game back of UNC Wilmington with a 10-3 record. They are coming off a brutal loss at home to Northeastern, and now they head out on the road to face a William and Mary team that is 11-0 at home this season. The Tribe don't just win at home, they dominate the opposition. Their last home game was a 94-69 win over Northeastern, the same team that upset the Cougars. William and Mary averages a staggering 92.1 points on 55.4 percent shooting at home this season. The Cougars average just 66.5 points per game on the road. The home team has won seven of the last eight in this series, and the one exception was a 63-61 win for William and Mary at Charleston.
Take CWM.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-10-17 |
Lakers v. Bucks -160 |
Top |
122-114 |
Loss |
-160 |
21 h 12 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. The Lakers come into Milwaukee as losers of six of their last seven road games, and they've lost five straight at the Bradley Center. The Bucks are coming off a blowout loss to Miami, but the Heat have been beating everybody. Miami has won 12 straight, and during that span they beat both Golden State and Houston. The Bucks are just two games back of the Pistons who occupy the eighth and final playoff spot in the East, while the Lakers are in the middle of a rebuild, looking toward the future. This is a big game for Milwaukee, not so much for the visitors. The Bucks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games versus LA, and they have a .500 record at home. The Lakers are just 6-24 on the road, and they've failed to cover in six of their last seven when playing on one day's rest. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-09-17 |
Cavs v. Thunder -3.5 |
Top |
109-118 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 19 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the OKC Thunder.
After going through a rough patch, the Cleveland Cavaliers are officially "back in business". The defending champs have won four straight, scoring an average of 127 points in those games. They face a huge let down spot tonight though, playing on the road in the second game of a back to back, coming off last night's blowout win at Indiana. Don't be surprised to see the Cavs big three play limited minutes (if at all). Oklahoma City has improved it's home record to 18-7 after beating Portland and Memphis in it's last two home games. The Thunder have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games, while Cleveland is just 2-8 ATS in it's last 10 when playing on no rest.
Take OKC.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-09-17 |
North Carolina v. Duke -135 |
Top |
78-86 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 51 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Duke Blue Devils.
Duke has faced plenty of adversity this year, but has survived and appears to be peaking at the right time. The Blue Devils have won four of their last five, and they are 11-1 at home. They host rivals North Carolina tonight, and this is a revenge spot for Duke. The Tar Heels won 76-72 at Cameron Indoor last March. The Blue Devils had won the previous four meetings, and they are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5. North Carolina hasn't looked all that sharp on the road this season. They lost their last road game by a whopping 15 points at Miami, and they failed to cover in wins at Boston College and Wake Forest. They have allowed opponents to average 78.7 points per game on the road, while Duke is giving up just 63.2 points per game at home. Coach K is back on the bench after taking time off to have surgery. Things look like they are coming together for Duke, and this is a good spot to back the Blue Devils as a small favorite.
Take DUKE.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-09-17 |
Predators v. Rangers -130 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 46 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the NYR.
The Rangers have won three straight, and starting goaltender Henrik Lundqvist has been playing at the top of his game during that span. Lundqvist stopped 43-of-44 shots in a 4-1 win over the Ducks on Tuesday. The Rangers will host Nashville tonight, and the Predators have a losing record on the road this season (11-13-1). The home team is 4-1 in the last five meetings between the two teams, and the Rangers have out-scored Nashville 7-1 in the last two meetings at MSG. New York ranks 2nd in the NHL in goals scored, averaging 3.4 goals per game. The Predators have struggled to score, and they have been shutout twice in their last four games at New York. Nashville has alternated wins and losses in their last seven games, and coming off a home win over Vancouver, I expect that trend to hold true with a loss here in New York.
Take NYR.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-09-17 |
Purdue -125 v. Indiana |
Top |
69-64 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 54 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Purdue Boilermakers.
Indiana has lost three of it's last four overall, with the one win coming in triple overtime by a score of 110-102 at home versus Penn State. The Hoosiers have also lost four straight versus Top 25 teams, and they host the #16 ranked Purdue Boilermakers tonight. Purdue has won five of their last six overall, and two of those win came on the road. They beat Michigan State by 11 points in East Lansing, and upset Maryland at College Park on Saturday. The Hoosiers have been banged up, but they hope to get leading scorer James Blackmon back tonight. If in fact he plays, there's no guarantee that he'll be as effective as he was prior to missing the last three games. Even with Blackmon in the lineup, the Hoosiers suffered home losses to Wisconsin, Louisville and Nebraska. Indiana has given up over 80 points per game, allowing opponents to shoot 46.7 percent from the field in their last five games. Purdue has allowed just 67.8 points per game on 39.8 percent shooting during that same span. This is a huge game for Purdue who are just 1.5 games behind first place Wisconsin in the BIG10.
Take PUR.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-08-17 |
Virginia Tech v. Miami (Fla) -5.5 |
Top |
68-74 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 39 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Miami Hurricanes. The Hurricanes will host Virginia Tech tonight, and both teams are 5-5 in conference play. Virginia Tech actually has a better record at 16-6, but the Hokies have been blown out in three of their last four road games. The only exception during that span was a one-point win at Clemson. Miami has won three of it's last four, and that includes a double-digit home win over the #9 ranked Tar Heels. They have played exceptional defense at home, holding opponents to just 61.9 points per game on 38.1 percent shooting. The Hokies are allowing opponents to average over 85 points on better than 50 percent shooting while losing four of six road games. The Hurricanes are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5. I don't think the Hokies have what it takes to hang with the Hurricanes in Miami. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-08-17 |
Raptors -150 v. Wolves |
Top |
109-112 |
Loss |
-150 |
14 h 4 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors had lost eight of 10 before putting together back to back wins. They really missed leading scorer DeMar DeRozan who missed eight games during that span with an ankle injury. DeRozan returned to score 31 points on 11-of-22 shooting in a win over the Clippers on Monday, and he's expected to be back to 100 percent moving forward. Toronto will play on the road at Minnesota tonight, and the Wolves have lost four straight. This T-Wolves team is still young, and has a long way to go before it can expect to be playing in the post-season. The Raptors have won nine of the last 10 meetings between the two teams, and that includes three wins at Minnesota. Toronto has a winning record on the road this season, and is 9-2 ATS in it's last 11 at the Target Center. Zach Lavine's season ending injury has taken the wind out of the sails of this Minnesota team. He was averaging over 18 points per game, and led the team playing 37.2 minutes per game. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-08-17 |
Nuggets v. Hawks -175 |
Top |
106-117 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 29 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Atlanta Hawks. The Denver Nuggets currently occupy the eighth and final playoff spot in the Western Conference, but they are going to be hard pressed to keep it. They are in Atlanta tonight, and the Hawks have won five of the last six meetings between the two teams. Atlanta is coming off a home loss to Utah, but the Hawks are just a half a game back of Washington for the top spot in the Southeast Division. Denver is just 3-9 ATS in it's last 12 visits to Atlanta, and they've lost their last two games in Atlanta by a combined 30 points. The Nuggets leading scorer Danilo Gallinari remains out of the lineup with a groin strain, and Kenneth Faried and Emmanuel Mudiay are both banged up. The Nuggets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Take ATL. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-07-17 |
Butler v. Marquette -125 |
Top |
68-65 |
Loss |
-125 |
12 h 15 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Marquette Golden Eagles.
The Golden Eagles played at Butler in the middle of January, and they opened up a big lead early in that game. The Bulldogs trailed by 16 points at halftime, but went on to score 63 points in the second half, winning 88-80. This sets up a revenge opportunity for Marquette tonight, and the Golden Eagles boast an 11-2 home record and since their loss at Butler they have upset wins over #1 ranked Villanova, and #7 ranked Creighton. Butler is coming off back to back losses to Georgetown and Creighton, and the Bulldogs have lost three of their last four at Marquette. The Golden Eagles average 85.5 points per game on 51 percent shooting at home, and Butler has really struggled to score averaging just 73.4 points on 43.6 percent shooting over it's last five games. The home team has covered the spread in each of the last four meetings between these two teams, and I expect that trend to continue here tonight.
Take MARQ.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-07-17 |
Texas Tech v. TCU -145 |
Top |
61-62 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 49 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TCU.
The Texas Tech Red Raiders have lost five straight road games in conference play, and they failed to cover the spread in four of those five losses. They are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight as an underdog, and they are just 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings in this series. The Horned Frogs are 12-3 at home, and they are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games. TCU is coming off back to back impressive wins, blowing out Texas at home on Saturday, after upsetting Kansas State on the road during the week. TCU has average 78.4 points per game on 47.4 percent shooting at home, and that's 14 points more than the Red Raiders have averaged on the road. The Red Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5. I'll take the home team here as just a slight favorite.
Take TCU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-07-17 |
Illinois v. Northwestern -5.5 |
Top |
68-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 53 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Northwestern Wildcats.
Northwestern had won six straight before losing at Purdue last week. The Wildcats have had a week to recover from that game, while they host an Illinois team that has lost six of it's last seven. Illinois is 0-5 on the road this season, failing to cover in all five of those losses. They've also failed to cover in each of their last six losses overall. Scoring has been a huge issue for Illinois, averaging just 60.4 points on 39.4 percent shooting over their five games. The Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games, and have covered the spread in four straight home games versus teams with a losing record. While these teams have a history of playing close games in the past, this looks like a much tougher game for Illinois than previous trips to Evanston.
Take NW.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-06-17 |
Suns v. Pelicans -4.5 |
Top |
106-111 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 54 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the New Orleans Pelicans. The Pelicans have a losing record at home (13-14 overall), but they have won seven of their last 11 home games. During that span they beat the Spurs, Clippers and Cavs. They host Phoenix Monday, and the Suns have lost six of their last seven overall. Their last five losses have all come by a double digit margin, and they have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six overall. Anthony Davis has been banged up all year, but he's played through various injuries, and continues to dominate. He's averaged over 25 points and 15 rebounds over his last five games. They Suns have allowed opponents to average over 112 points per game, only Brooklyn ranks worse. The Bucks scored a whopping 137 points on 63.4 percent shooting, handing Phoenix a 137-112 home loss on Saturday. The worst team in the Western Conference is unlikely to provide much of a challenge to New Orleans team that is just 3.5 games out of a playoff spot. Take N.O. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-05-17 |
Patriots v. Falcons +3 |
Top |
34-28 |
Loss |
-106 |
325 h 23 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Atlanta Falcons. The New England Patriots will be the favorites in Super Bowl 51, and I can't argue with that. Tom Brady and Bill Belichick might go down in history as the league's best ever coach, and quarterback. It's been amazing watching them keep this team on top, despite the fact that they aren't the league's most talented team. Brady's receiving corps is mediocre at best, especially after the loss of Rob Gronkowski. The Patriots simply don't have the talent that Atlanta and Matt Ryan have to work with. Julio Jones might be the most dominant receiver in the league. They have a pair of dynamic running backs that are equally as dangerous in the passing game as they are running the ball. They led the NFL in scoring during the regular season, and they have played near perfect football so far in the playoffs. The only team that beat Brady this season was Seattle, who Atlanta played twice. The Seahawks rallied to win 26-24 at home in the regular season meeting, but Julio Jones got the better of Richard Sherman with seven catches for 139 yards and a TD. Atlanta won 36-20 in a home playoff win over the Seahawks just a few weeks ago, and once again Sherman couldn't keep Jones from reaching pay dirt. The Patriots defense had no answer for Russell Wilson in a 31-24 home loss to Seattle. Wilson threw for 348 yards and three TDs on 25-of-37 passing. They will have their work cut out for them trying to stop the probable MVP Matt Ryan, who has completed more than 70 percent of his passes for more than 1,000 yards and 11 TDs in his last three starts. The fact that the game is being played in a dome could also be an advantage for the "Dirty Birds". Take ATL. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-05-17 |
Patriots v. Falcons UNDER 59.5 |
Top |
34-28 |
Loss |
-130 |
40 h 10 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NE@ATL to go UNDER the total.
When the Falcons played the Packers in the NFC Championship game, we saw the highest total in the history of the NFL Playoffs. We saw a lot less scoring than expected in the first half of that game, but both teams exploded to score 41 combined points in the second half. Here is what I said prior to that game: "In order for both teams to score 30+ points, everything has to go right offensively. There's plenty that can go wrong. An injury to a key offensive player (heaven forbid one of the quarterbacks). We could see several drives cut short by turnovers (fumbles or INTs). Or one or both teams could be heavily penalized. Offensive holding penalties, offensive pass interference, unsportsmanlike conduct etc." The Patriots defense ranks 1st in the NFL in points allowed, so we shouldn't expect Atlanta to score at will the way they did against the Packers. While I expect a high scoring game, this number is so inflated, I believe there's a good chance that these teams come up just a little short of the total.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-05-17 |
Blazers v. Thunder -175 |
Top |
99-105 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 46 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Portland is coming off a tough home loss to Dallas by a score of 108-104. The Blazers now head out on the road, where they are just 8-18 this season. Oklahoma City is coming off a 114-102 home win over Memphis on Friday, and the Thunder are a solid 17-7 at home so far. Russell Westbrook went off for 38 points, 13 rebounds and 12 assists, for his 25th triple-double of the season. He should light up the scoreboard here on Sunday, facing one of he league's poorest defensive teams. Portland is allowing an average of 109.9 points per game on the road this year, ranking 26th in the NBA. The home team has won seven straight meetings in this series, and OKC is 5-2 ATS in those games (3-0 ATS at home). The Thunder have covered the spread in six of their last seven home games, and they are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a losing record.
Take OKC.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-05-17 |
Indiana v. Wisconsin -12.5 |
Top |
60-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 35 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Wisconsin Badgers The Indiana Hoosiers are coming off a triple overtime win over Penn State, by a score of 110-102. They had lost back to back road games prior to that, by a combined margin of 43 points. Now they head to Wisconsin, where the Badgers have won 18 straight. Wisconsin has beaten up opponents at home, winning their last four home games by an average margin of more than 15 points. The Hoosiers are in a tough spot, missing a pair of key players (OG Anunoby and James Blackmon). The Hoosiers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5. The Badgers on the other hand have covered the spread in four of their last five as a home favorite. This looks like a mismatch of epic proportions. Take WIS. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-04-17 |
Oklahoma +7 v. Texas Tech |
Top |
69-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 44 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners. Oklahoma has had some bad luck this season. The Sooners have lost four straight, and eight of their last 10. Their leading scorer Jordan Woodard has been battling injury and illness during that span, but despite all the adversity, they've still been quite competitive. Three of four losses on their current losing streak came in games decided by five points or less. They have covered the spread in six of their last eight versus BIG12 teams, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5. Texas Tech hasn't looked that great, failing to cover in six of it's last eight overall. The Red Raiders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a losing road record. Jordan Woodard no longer appears on the Sooners injury report, and if he's healthy the Sooners might just be a threat to win this game outright. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-04-17 |
Magic v. Hawks -7.5 |
Top |
86-113 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 55 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Atlanta Hawks.
The Hawks are just a half a game out of first place in the Southeast Division, and they host last placed Orlando tonight. The Magic are playing their second game in as many nights, coming off a home win over the Raptors. Orlando has lost five of it's last seven, with both wins during that span coming against Toronto. The Raptors played without leading scorer DeMar Derozan last night, and Kyle Lowry was unable to carry the load, scoring 18 points on just 5-of-20 shooting. This looks like a let down spot for the visiting Magic, and the Hawks have shown the ability to beat up on weaker teams. Atlanta has covered in four straight games against teams with winning percentage below 40 percent. The Hawks won the last meeting by a score of 111-92 in Orlando, and I expect a similar result here tonight in Atlanta.
Take ATL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-04-17 |
San Diego State v. Fresno State +1.5 |
Top |
70-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Fresno State Bulldogs.
San Diego State has long been the top team in the Mountain West, but they've taken a back seat this year to the likes of Nevada, Boise State and Fresno State. The Bulldogs are one of five teams that are ahead of the Aztecs in the conference standings, and their 10-1 home record is one of the reasons why. Fresno State swept the season series last year, winning 68-63 at San Diego in the most recent meeting. They haven't lost a home game in conference play, and they have already beaten the best teams in the Mountain West at home. The Aztecs have lost three of their last four road games, and they have only scored 62.1 points per game on 38 percent shooting on the road this season. The Bulldogs have covered the spread in five of their last six home games, while the Aztecs have failed to cover in six of their last seven road games.
Take FRES.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-04-17 |
San Jose State +11 v. New Mexico |
Top |
78-68 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 35 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the San Jose State Spartans.
New Mexico is coming off a road win at UNLV, in a game that they trailed until the dying minutes. They won by a score of 80-77, avenging their home loss to the Rebels earlier this season. Here is what I said prior to that game: "This is a revenge spot for New Mexico after losing at home to the Rebels by a score of 71-66 earlier this year. The Lobos might be hard pressed to earn a better result here tonight though, coming off a blowout loss to Nevada. Not only did they lose that game by 17 points, they also lost a pair of starters to injury. Most notable is leading scorer Tim Williams, who is out indefinitely with a foot injury. Sophomore guard Dane Kuiper suffered a concussion in the loss to Nevada, and he's expected to be out at least a couple weeks. Kuiper had a team high 17 points in the loss to the Rebels earlier this year." The Lobos are asked to cover a big number here in Saturday's game against San Jose State, who have lost five of their last eight. Not one of those losses came by more than 10 points though, and I don't think a shorthanded New Mexico team should be such a huge favorite.
Take SJSU
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-04-17 |
Minnesota v. Illinois -1 |
Top |
68-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 33 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on Illinois.
I bet on Illinois as a home dog in their last game versus Wisconsin. They came out a little flat, and Wisconsin jumped out to an early 12-2 lead. They would play the Badgers even he rest of the way, and held them to just 55 points. Here is what I had to say before that game: "The Fighting Illini are just 3-6 in conference play, but five of those six losses have come on the road. Their only home loss during conference play, came by just six points against BIG10 leaders Maryland. They are 10-2 overall at home, and they've averaged 80.5 points on 49.2 percent shooting in those games." The Illini have won six of the last seven in this series, and Minnesota is just 2-4 on the road. The Gophers have score just 66 points on 39 percent shooting on the road, and they should struggle against an Illinois team that has held opponents to just 68.8 points per game at home. The Gophers have failed to cover in 20 of their last 27 versus Illinois.
Take ILL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-04-17 |
Xavier v. Creighton -3.5 |
Top |
82-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 34 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Creighton Blue Jays.
After losing starting guard Maurice Watson, Creighton struggled, losing back to back games to Georgetown and Marquette. They bounced back big time with a 76-67 win at Butler on Tuesday. They have made the necessary adjustments, and in the absence of Watson Jr, guards Khyri Thomas and Marcus Foster combined to score 30 points on 11-of-22 shooting. Creighton is a monster at home, boasting an 11-2 record with wins over a pair of ranked teams (Butler and Wisconsin). They have scored an average of 84.6 points on 52.8 percent shooting at home, and this Xavier team shows no signs of being able to match that kind of offensive production. The Musketeers are coming off a rather uninspiring win over Seton Hall by just two points, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven overall. They couldn't handle Creighton at home, and I don't think they'll be able to hang with them here in Nebraska.
Take CRE.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-04-17 |
George Washington v. Richmond -5.5 |
Top |
75-84 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 6 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Richmond Spiders.
The Richmond Spiders are just a half a game out of first place in the A-10 Conference, and they have a home game against bottom feeders George Washington Saturday. The Spiders won at George Washington by a score of 77-70 earlier this season, and they've four of five home games in conference play. That includes wins over powerhouse teams like Rhode Island and St. Bonaventure. The Colonials have lost three of their last four road games, with all three of those losses coming by a double digit margin. George Washington has failed to cover in six of it's last seven, and is just 1-4 ATS in it's last five road games. Richmond has covered the spread in eight of it's last 10 conference games, and is 4-1 ATS in it's last five versus George Washington.
Take RICH.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-04-17 |
Seton Hall v. Georgetown -3.5 |
Top |
68-66 |
Loss |
-103 |
10 h 40 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Georgetown Hoyas. The Hoyas come into Saturday's home game versus Seton Hall off three straight wins. That includes a home win over Creighton, and an upset win at Butler, handing the Bulldogs their first home loss of the season. Georgetown is playing it's best basketball, scoring 72.6 points on 49.8 percent shooting in it's last five games. The Pirates have lost five of their last six overall, and they have lost six of seven road games this season. In their last game at Xavier, they struggled from the free throw line hitting just 6-of-12. They are shooting just 58 percent from the charity stripe on the road, and that's going to make it tough to steal a game here at Georgetown, when the Hoyas are hitting better than 73 percent at the line at home. The Hoyas have held opponents to an average of 39 percent shooting at home this season. Take GTWN. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-03-17 |
Rhode Island v. Davidson -1 |
Top |
70-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
30 h 45 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Davidson Wildcats.
Davidson got off to a bit of a shaky start this season, and a few weeks ago I bet heavily against them when they played at La Salle. Here is what I said prior to that game: "Davidson is normally one of the top teams in this conference, but this year's squad is struggling. They've lost three of four in conference play, and that includes home losses to Richmond and Fordham. Davidson's leading scorer Jack Gibbs was just 3-of-17 from the field in his last game, and the team as a whole shot just 28.9 percent from the field." They would end up losing 91-83 in that game, but have since won three straight. All three of those wins have come by double digits, and they held opponents to an average of just 62 points per game during that span. The Wildcats are 6-2 at home, and they host the Rhode Island Rams, who are just 2-5 on the road. Those two road wins came against bottom feeders Saint Louis and Duquense. Davidson beat the Rams at home last year by a score of 65-54, and I expect a similar result this time around.
Take DAV.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-02-17 |
Blackhawks -145 v. Coyotes |
Top |
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 2 m |
Show
|
10* analysis before game time
|
02-02-17 |
James Madison v. Elon -5.5 |
Top |
61-67 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Elon Phoenix. Elon has won four straight, and sits third in the CAA behind Charleston and UNC Wilmington. They will host bottom feeders James Madison tonight, and the Dukes have lost six of their last seven overall. They are just 2-10 on the road, and they've scored an average of just 64.1 points on 42.7 percent shooting in those games. That's 15 points less than Elon has averaged at home. When looking at these teams overall records, and season averages, it's important to note that Elon played a far tougher non-conference schedule with games against teams like Duke and Georgetown. This is a revenge game for Elon, who lost by just one points at James Madison earlier in the year. Yohanny Delambert scored 15 points, and dominated the boards with 17 rebounds for the Dukes in that game. He's since suffered a season ending injury, and they've really missed him. Take ELON. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-02-17 |
Northeastern v. William & Mary -185 |
Top |
69-94 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 10 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on William and Mary.
The William and Mary Tribe will host Northeastern Thursday, and the the two teams are tied, each with a 6-4 record in the CAA. William and Mary have won three straight home games by double digits, and they are still undefeated at home this season (10-0). That includes an 18-point victory over conference leading UNC Wilmington. The Huskies have lost three straight road games, all against teams that trail them in the standings. The Tribe are averaging over 90 points per game on better than 54 percent shooting at home, and Northeastern simply doesn't have the offense to keep up with that kind of scoring. The Tribe are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games, and 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games versus Northeastern. This looks like a mismatch in favor of the home team.
Take CWM.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-01-17 |
New Mexico v. UNLV +1.5 |
Top |
80-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 32 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on UNLV. This is a revenge spot for New Mexico after losing at home to the Rebels by a score of 71-66 earlier this year. The Lobos might be hard pressed to earn a better result here tonight though, coming off a blowout loss to Nevada. Not only did they lose that game by 17 points, they also lost a pair of starters to injury. Most notable is leading scorer Tim Williams, who is out indefinitely with a foot injury. Sophomore guard Dane Kuiper suffered a concussion in the loss to Nevada, and he's expected to be out at least a couple weeks. Kuiper had a team high 17 points in the loss to the Rebels earlier this year. The Rebels are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games, and they should be able to get it done against a shorthanded opponent tonight. Take UNLV. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-01-17 |
Baylor +6.5 v. Kansas |
Top |
68-73 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 3 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Baylor Bears. The #2 ranked Baylor Bears will take on the #3 ranked Jayhawks in Kansas tonight, and if anyone is going to end KU's 12 year reign at the top of the BIG12, it will probably be Baylor. This game reminds me a lot of last year's thriller when Oklahoma came to Lawrence, and lost 109-106 after three overtimes. The Sooners were ranked #2 at the time, and Kansas was ranked #1. This appears to be a difficult spot for the home team, coming off an emotional upset win at Kentucky. The Bears have only lost one game all year, and they haven't had any trouble winning on the road. They are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 road games, and the road team is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings in this series. The Jayhawks have only covered twice in their last eight games as a favorite, and I expect them to struggle with a tough opponent here in such a huge game for both teams. I'll take the points. Take BAY. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-01-17 |
Florida State v. Miami (Fla) -123 |
Top |
75-57 |
Loss |
-123 |
11 h 40 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Miami Hurricanes.
The Seminoles jumped out to an early lead in the ACC Standings, much thanks to a favorable schedule playing five of their first seven games at home. They come into Miami tonight off back to back losses (@Syracuse and @Georgia Tech). They have lost three of four road games overall, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Hurricanes are 10-1 at home, coming off a 77-62 home win over #9 ranked North Carolina. The Hurricanes have won three straight in this series, and four of their last five home meetings versus FSU. This looks like a tough game for the visitors to get back on track, and I think this FSU team might still be a little overrated. Miami has been a strong bet at home, going 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Take MIA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
02-01-17 |
Georgia Tech +10 v. Clemson |
Top |
62-74 |
Loss |
-108 |
11 h 35 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on Georgia Tech. Clemson is asked to cover a double digit spread at home versus Georgia Tech tonight, despite a history of close battles with this conference rival. Three of Clemson's last four home games against the Yellow Jackets have been decided in overtime, and six of the last 10 meetings between the two teams have been decided by less than five points. The Yellow Jackets are coming off back to back home wins over ranked teams (Notre Dame and Florida State). They were blown out in road losses at Virginia and Duke, but they've won two of their last three road games against unranked teams, with the one loss coming by a single point at Virginia Tech. Clemson lost 75-63 at Georgia Tech earlier this season, and the road team is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings in this series. It sure seems like a tough ask for the Tigers to cover this inflated number. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-31-17 |
Wisconsin v. Illinois +6.5 |
Top |
57-43 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 6 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on Illinois. The Fighting Illini are just 3-6 in conference play, but five of those six losses have come on the road. Their only home loss during conference play, came by just six points against BIG10 leaders Maryland. They are 10-2 overall at home, and they've averaged 80.5 points on 49.2 percent shooting in those games. Wisconsin is 3-2 on the road, but it's last road game was just a 78-76 win at Minnesota. They needed overtime to avoid a home upset to Rutgers on Saturday, and I think they might have a tough game on their hands in Illinois. The Fighting Illini have already beaten Michigan, Iowa and Ohio State at home, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. Wisconsin has covered the spread in nine of the last 10 in this series, but in their last four games at Illinois they were favored by -3, -4, -1.5 and -1.5. They are asked to cover a far bigger number here, and I'll take the points. Take ILL. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-31-17 |
Devils v. Red Wings UNDER 5 |
Top |
4-3 |
Loss |
-101 |
17 h 30 m |
Show
|
10* analysis before game time
|
01-31-17 |
Maryland +2 v. Ohio State |
Top |
77-71 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 4 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Maryland Terrapins. The #17 ranked Terrapins come into Columbus as winners of six straight, and they are 7-1 in conference play. They've picked up road wins at Michigan, Minnesota, Iowa and Illinois, but they are an underdog here against the Buckeyes. Ohio State isn't exactly playing great right now, coming off a blowout loss at Iowa. The Hawkeyes won 85-72, despite missing their leading scorer Peter Jok who sat out with a sore back. The Buckeyes are just 3-6 versus BIG10 teams, and that includes home losses to Purdue and Northwestern. Maryland won both meetings last year, winning 66-61 at Columbus in the last meeting. Ohio State has played four ranked teams so far, losing all four of those games. They show now signs of being able to knock off a top 25 team, not even at home. Take MD. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-31-17 |
Creighton v. Butler -6.5 |
Top |
76-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 3 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on Butler. This is a revenge game for the Bulldogs, after getting hammered at Creighton earlier this season by a score of 75-64. The Blue Jays are short-handed this time around, losing guard Maurice Watson Jr for the rest of the season. He led all scorers with 21 points on 9-of-14 shooting in the last meeting between these two teams. Without him the Jays have struggled, losing at home to Marquette, and on the road at Georgetown. They beat DePaul at home on Saturday, but playing on the road at Butler is a whole different ball game. The Bulldogs are 11-1 at home, and looking to bounce back after suffering their first home loss to Georgetown on Saturday. The Hoyas were simply shooting out the lights in that game, hitting 63.8 percent from the field, and 50 percent from beyond the arc. The home team has covered in four straight in this series, and Butler is 5-1 ATS in it's last six home games. I'll take the home favorite. Take BUT. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-30-17 |
Siena v. Quinnipiac +1.5 |
Top |
84-75 |
Loss |
-107 |
11 h 31 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Quinnipiac Bobcats.
The Bobcats have been making big money for betters in conference play, covering the spread in eight of their last nine games overall. I was fortunate enough to have them in several of those games. Here is what I said prior to their loss at Siena (they covered): "The Bobcats are coming off another loss on the road at St. Peters on Monday, and they are now just 6-10 overall. While they might not be getting wins, they have covered the spread in four straight games. They have been very competitive, especially on the road where they are 3-0 ATS in their last three. They are getting a bunch of points here at Siena, and the Saints are struggling. Siena hasn't covered the spread in nine straight games, and their last game was a 56-54 home win over the same St. Peters team that Quinnipiac nearly beat on the road. The Bobcats are killing it on the boards, averaging 40 rebounds per game over their last five. They out-rebounded St. Peters 40-28, and I expect the visitors to own the boards again tonight. Don't be surprised if the underdog gets an outright win here at Siena." The Saints managed to win that game by a score of 81-74, but I don't like their chances of doing it again on the road. They've been brutal on the road all year, winning just twice in 13 road games. They scored an average of just 70.9 points in those games, while Quinnipiac has averaged 82.6 points at home. The Bobcats have scored 90+ points in their last two home games, wins over Iona and Canisius.
Take QUIN.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-28-17 |
Ohio State v. Iowa -1 |
Top |
72-85 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 23 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on Iowa.
I bet on the Buckeyes in their last game, and they beat Minnesota by a score of 78-72 at home. They are playing at Iowa on Saturday, in what appears to be a much tougher game. Iowa should be hungry, coming off three straight losses. Two of those three defeats came on the road, and they lost a close game at home to BIG10 leaders Maryland. Their last win as an upset of #17 ranked Purdue, at home at Iowa City. The Hawkeyes have had a tough season, but they are still 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight home games. They've scored an average of 87.2 points on 47.4 percent shooting at home, and it's going to be difficult for the Buckeyes to match that kind of offensive production. Ohio State has scored an average of just 68.3 points per game on 44.4 percent shooting on the road. The Buckeyes aren't making bettors any money as an underdog, failing to cover in five of their last seven when getting points on the road.
Take IOWA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-28-17 |
Kings v. Hornets OVER 209 |
Top |
109-106 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 51 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on SAC@CHA to go over the total.
The Kings appeared to be well on their way to a third straight victory last night in Indiana, leading by double digits in the fourth quarter. They couldn't hang on though, eventually losing by a score of 115-111 in overtime. They might not have much left in the tank here on their second game of a back to back in Charlotte. The Hornets though have lost three straight, giving up an average of 110 points per game in those losses. This will be their second game in as many nights, and third game in four nights. Recent games between these two teams have been high scoring, the over is 4-1 in the last five head to head meetings. The total for tonight's game is lower than it was in the last two meetings, and I don't expect to see a lot of effort here on defense from two teams that might not make the playoffs. The Hornets have gone over in 13 of their last 17 when playing their second game of a back to back, and the over is 8-3 in their last 11 home games versus the Kings.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-28-17 |
Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech +6.5 |
Top |
60-62 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 59 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
I bet on Georgia Tech in their last game, getting 8.5 points at home to #6 ranked Florida State. They won that game outright by a score of 78-56, and here is what I said before tip off: "Georgia Tech is just 3-4 in conference play, but three of those four losses came on the road. They've played a lot better at home, including a 75-63 win over the Tar Heels." The Yellow Jackets have been the underdog in each of their last seven games against the Irish, and they've covered in all seven of those games. To say that these teams have played close games in recent meetings would be an understatement. In Notre Dame's last four visits to Atlanta, they've lost twice by a single point, won by two points, and lost by five points. There no reason why we should expect them to cover a big number here in this game.
Take GT.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-26-17 |
Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 202 |
Top |
88-96 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 17 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on LAL@UTAH to go UNDER the total.
The Jazz are coming off back to back losses, failing to score 100 points in both of those games. They are one of the lowest scoring teams in the NBA, averaging just 99.4 points per game (28th). It has been their defense that has helped them win 16-of-24 at home. They rank #1 in the NBA in points allowed, giving up just 95.5 points per game. They are likely to put even more emphasis on defense tonight, looking to get back on track against a struggling Lakers team. LA has failed to score 100 points in back to back losses at Portland and Dallas. They scored just 73 points, suffering their worst ever loss at Dallas on Sunday (122-73). They've lost seven of the last eight meetings in this series, and they've scored an average of just 82 points while losing their last three visits to Utah. The Jazz have gone under in five straight following a loss, and the under is 11-5-2 in their last 18 home meetings versus the Lakers.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-26-17 |
Canucks -104 v. Coyotes |
Top |
0-3 |
Loss |
-104 |
12 h 46 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Vancouver Canucks.
I took Vancouver in last night's win over the Avs, and I think they'll keep on rolling here in Arizona tonight. The Coyotes have won their last two games, but had dropped 13-of-15 before that. They haven't had a lot of success in recent meetings with Vancouver, losing eight of the last nine meetings. The Canucks have won four straight at Arizona, and they are 9-2-3 in their last 14 overall. Starting goaltender Ryan Miller was rested in favor of backup Jacob Marktsrom last night, and he will be ready to go in Arizona. Miller is hot, coming into tonight's game with a record of 7-1-2 (with a pair of shutouts) in his last 10. He's also won four straight versus the Coyotes, and he's only given up three goals in those four victories.
Take VAN.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-25-17 |
Washington v. Arizona State -160 |
Top |
75-86 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 7 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Arizona State Sun Devils.
Both the Huskies and the Sun Devils sit near the bottom of the PAC-12 standings with a 2-5 record. The Huskies have played two road games so far, losing at Stanford and California. Arizona State will look to snap a four game losing streak, coming off a tough stretch where they lost to UCLA, USC, Arizona and Utah. They've been quite good at home, scoring an average of 91.2 points on 48.2 percent shooting. The Huskies have failed to cover in five of their last six road games, and seven of their last eight as an underdog. The Sun Devils are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. I don't think Washington will be able to keep up with Arizona offensively.
Take ASU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-25-17 |
Canucks -125 v. Avalanche |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Vancouver Canucks. Vancouver trails Calgary by just a single point in the Wild Card standings, and the Canucks have three games in hand. They play on the road against the cellar dwelling Avalanche tonight, and they really need to bag two points here. The Avs are dead last in the NHL in both goals scored, as well as goals against. That has resulted in just one win in their last 12 games. Colorado's best player (Matt Duchene) was held out of Monday's loss to the Sharks, and the team said it was due to an illness. There is some speculation that Duchene will be traded to a contender. The Avs are also down a defenseman, with Tyson Barrie out indefinitely with a lower body injury. The Canucks have owned the Avs at the Pepsi Center, winning 11 of their last 15 visits. Expect more of the same tonight in Denver. Take VAN. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-25-17 |
Alabama v. Georgia -5.5 |
Top |
80-60 |
Loss |
-100 |
13 h 15 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Bulldogs.
The Alabama Crimson Tide are off to a good start, winning four of six games against SEC teams so far. They've played some of the weakest teams in the conference though, and hey were humbled in 20-point loss at Auburn in their last game. I think they could be looking at another one-sided loss here at Georgia. The Bulldogs are 4-3 in conference play, but two of those three losses came against SEC heavyweights (Florida and South Carolina). Georgia has won four straight against Alabama, covering the spread in all four of those wins. Alabama is just 2-7 ATS in their last seven visits to Georgia, and they've had a tough time scoring points in those games. The Tide are averaging just 67.4 points per game on the road, and that's not likely going to cut it here in Athens.
Take UGA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-25-17 |
Knicks v. Mavs UNDER 204.5 |
Top |
95-103 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 41 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on NYK@DAL to go UNDER the total. The Mavericks are coming off a blowout win over the Lakers, and they've held opponents to fewer than 100 points in four of their last five overall. Dallas only averages 96.6 points per game on offense (30th), but they have been one of the better defensive teams in league, allowing just 100 points per game (4th). They host the New York Knicks tonight, and the Knicks are struggling. New York beat the Mavs at home by a score of 93-77 at home in November, but had lost five straight in this series before that. Three of the last four meetings have gone under the total, and tonight's number is higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. Dallas has gone under in four of it's last five home games, and I expect another low scoring game in Texas tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-25-17 |
Raptors v. Grizzlies UNDER 201 |
Top |
99-101 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 12 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TOR@MEM to go UNDER the total. The Raptors came up just short in a 108-106 home loss to San Antonio last night, and they have their work cut out for them on the road at Memphis in the second game of a back to back. The Grizzlies have lost three of their last four, but they will like their chances of getting back on track against a short-handed and tired opponent. Toronto's leading scorer DeMar Derozan didn't play last night, and isn't expected to play in Memphis. The Grizzlies are a tough team to score on at the best of times, ranking third in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing fewer than 100 points per game. Toronto won the last meeting between these two teams in a shootout in Toronto, but they had gone under in five straight meetings prior to that. They've failed to reach the total in 13 of their last 17 trips to Memphis. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-25-17 |
Rockets -155 v. Celtics |
Top |
109-120 |
Loss |
-155 |
12 h 41 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on the Houson Rockets.
The Rockets have alternated wins and losses over their last seven games, and they are coming off a 127-114 at Milwaukee. They will look to get back on track in Boston tonight, and the Celtics are in rough shape. Boston has lost three straight, and they've been brutal defensively during that stretch. They play their second game of a back to back without Avery Bradley, who they have really missed. The Rockets are 6-1 straight up in the last seven in this series, and they are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 at Boston. James Harden should put up some big numbers tonight against this struggling Celtics defense.
Take HOU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-25-17 |
Florida State v. Georgia Tech +9 |
Top |
56-78 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. The Florida State Seminoles are sitting at the top of the ACC standings, and they are a big road favorite at Georgia Tech tonight. The Seminoles have only played two road games this season, winning by two points at Virginia, and getting blown out at North Carolina. Georgia Tech is just 3-4 in conference play, but three of those four losses came on the road. They've played a lot better at home, including a 75-63 win over the Tar Heels. The Seminoles won at Georgia Tech last year, but it was a close game decided by a score of 57-53. In fact three of the last four meetings between the two teams have been decided by six points or less. Not surprisingly, with so many close games in this series, taking the points has paid off in a big way. The underdog is 20-7 ATS in the last 27 meetings. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-25-17 |
Minnesota v. Ohio State -165 |
Top |
72-78 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 8 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the Ohio State Buckeyes.
After back to back wins over Michigan State and Nebraska, the Buckeyes came up just short in a 74-72 home loss to Northwestern on Sunday. They should be able to get back on track tonight, hosting Minnesota. The Golden Gophers have dropped three straight, including a double digit loss to the Spartans at East Lansing. Ohio State is averaging 75.5 points per game on 47.4 percent shooting at home, and that's 10 points more than the Gophers have averaged on the road. The Buckeyes are 5-0 straight up in their last five home games against the Gophers, and they've covered the spread in four straight at home versus Minnesota. This is also a revenge spot for the Buckeyes, who lost 78-68 at Minnesota earlier this year.
Take OSU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
|
01-24-17 |
Villanova v. Marquette OVER 152.5 |
Top |
72-74 |
Loss |
-105 |
16 h 8 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on Villanova@Marquette to go OVER the total. The Marquette Golden Eagles have scored at least 80 points in five straight games. Their most recent game was a 102-94 win at Creighton. Earlier this month they gave Villanova a run for their money, losing 93-81 in Philly. The Wildcats will visit the Bradley Center tonight, and Villanova has only lost once this season, losing 66-58 at Butler. Marquette also lost to Butler, but led by a whopping 16 points at halftime in that game. When the Wildcats visited Marquette last year, it was a shootout. Villanova won that game by a score of 89-79, but this year's Marquette team appears to be a lot more talented than it was a year ago. The Eagles are averaging 87.2 points per game on 51.8 percent shooting at home this season, and I think Villanova will have to score plenty of points to avoid another loss. The over is 8-1 in Marquette's last nine games as an underdog, and these teams have gone over in four straight meetings in Milwaukee. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
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01-24-17 |
Kent State v. Northern Illinois -165 |
Top |
73-66 |
Loss |
-165 |
8 h 24 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on NIU. Northern Illinois is particularly strong at home. The Huskies are 8-3 at home this season, and they were an incredible 18-1 at home last year. NIU is 17-7 ATS in it's last 24 home games, but they lost to Ohio at home on Saturday. They blew a late lead in that game, but I think the Huskies get back on track against an inferior Kent State team today. The Flashes are coming off a home win over Toledo, but had lost four straight prior to that. They were crushed by the Bobcats by a score of 85-67 in Ohio, and they lost to cellar dwellers Western Michigan in Kalamazoo. The Golden Flashes are 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 road games.
Take NIU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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01-24-17 |
St. Joe's v. St Bonaventure -7 |
Top |
63-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
29 h 21 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on St. Bonaventure. The Bonnies will host St. Joe's on Tuesday, and they are coming off back to back wins by combined 39-point margin. St. Bonaventure has been a beast at home over the last decade, but they haven't been as dominant on their own floor so far this season. While they are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games, their most recent home win came by a whopping 20 points in a 73-53 win over Fordham. The Bonnies have covered the spread in five straight meetings versus St. Joe's, and they won all five of those games by at least eight points. The Red Hawks have failed to cover in five of their last six visits to St. Bonnies, and they have averaged just 66 points per game while losing four of seven on the road. The Bonnies are scoring an average of 85 points per game on 47.4 percent shooting at home, and they should blow the doors off here in this one. Take SBON. GL, Jesse Schule
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01-23-17 |
Thunder v. Jazz -5.5 |
Top |
97-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 52 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on the Utah Jazz.
Utah has won six straight games, by an average margin of more than 11 points. The Jazz will host Oklahoma City tonight, and the Thunder have lost six of their last eight on the road. Five of those six losses came in games decided by a double digit margin. Center Steven Adams has missed the last two games with a concussion, and he still has to clear concussion protocol before he will be cleared to play. The Jazz beat the Thunder here in Utah in December by 20 points in the last meeting between the two teams, and the Jazz have covered the spread in five of their last seven home meetings versus the Thunder. Oklahoma City got the season started off on the right foot, but they had a soft schedule with a lot of early home games. They are just 10-13 on the road this season, and only three of those 10 road wins came against winning teams. I expect Utah to handle Westbrook and the Thunder easily.
Take UTA.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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01-23-17 |
Quinnipiac +10 v. Iona |
Top |
74-84 |
Push |
0 |
9 h 43 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on the Quinnipiac Bobcats.
The Bobcats beat Iona at home just last week, and they are currently among the hottest teams in the conference, with a record of 5-4 versus MAAC teams. They aren't the sexiest team in their conference, and they don't get a lot of respect from bookmakers. They've been the underdog in six of their last seven overall, and they've covered the spread in all seven of those games. I've bet on the Bobcats several times during that stretch, and the bookmakers aren't giving me any reason to jump off the bandwagon here today, giving them a double-digit cushion against a team that they just beat. Iona is a talented team that scores a lot of points, but the Gaels have given up an average of 84 points per game in their last five. They are coming off a 96-89 home win over Fairfield, yet they are asked to win by a far greater margin here against a superior Quinnipiac team. These teams have a history of playing each other tough, and the Bobcats have been playing everyone tough this season. Quinnipiac has covered the spread in each of it's last 6 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5.
Take QUIN.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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01-22-17 |
Steelers v. Patriots -5.5 |
Top |
17-36 |
Win
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100 |
130 h 56 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on the New England Patriots. The Pats didn't play particularly well in their win against Houston last week, and still they won by an 18-point margin. The Steelers offense was held to field goals last week, yet they still managed to sneak out of Kansas City with an 18-16 victory. Field goals aren't going to cut it here at Foxboro, and the Steelers are going to need Ben Roethlisberger to have a big game. Big Ben has not looked sharp recently, throwing a whopping eight INTs and just six TD passes over his last five starts. This is a tough matchup for Pittsburgh, facing a Patriots team that has won the last three meetings in this series by at least seven points. The Patriots have the better quarterback, the better defense, and a huge edge when it comes to a chess match between Tomlin and Belichick. The only advantage the Steelers might have is a superior running game with Le'Veon Bell, but the Patriots defense ranks among the league's best versus the run. New England's running game is pretty good in it's own right, with the regular season TD leader LeGarrette Blount. Take NE. GL, Jesse Schule
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01-22-17 |
Packers v. Falcons -4 |
Top |
21-44 |
Win
|
100 |
126 h 22 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on the Atlanta Falcons.
The Green Bay Packers did it again in Dallas. They used smoke and mirrors, and Aaron Rodgers magic to escape with a 34-31 win over the Cowboys. Now they gave up 429 yards, and Dak Prescott threw for 302 yards and three TDs. It was the fourth time in five games that an opposing quarterback threw for at least 300 yards on this Green Bay defense. The one exception was when Eli Manning threw for 299 yards at Lambeau a week earlier. Even Sam Bradford and Matt Barkley (Bears backup) have torched the Packers secondary. It could get ugly here in Atlanta, facing the league's #1 offense. The Falcons not only have a stud quarterback, but they can also play defense, and run the football. They say defense wins championships, and that's not good news for Green Bay fans. You rarely see one dimensional teams make it this far in the playoffs, and I think we'll see the Packers magical run come to an end here in the NFC Championship Game.
Take ATL.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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01-21-17 |
Ducks v. Wild UNDER 5 |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 19 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on Ducks vs Wild Under. The Mighty Ducks are 8-1-1 in their last 10 games, and during that time they've been rock solid defensively. Only one of those games saw more than five goals, and they held the opposition scoreless three times during that span, and they've conceded more than one goal just once in their last nine games. Starting goaltender Jon Gibson has been standing on his head, with a record of 7-1-1 with a 1.32 GAA and two shutouts in his last nine starts. The Ducks will be in Minnesota tonight, and the Wild are one of the league's toughest home teams. Devan Dubnyk leads the league in GAA and save percentage. He's won 15 of his last 18 starts. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to go over the total in each of the last five head to head meetings. The Ducks have only gone over the total twice in their last 16 games overall.
Take UNDER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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01-21-17 |
Ohio v. Northern Illinois -1 |
Top |
78-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 2 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on the Norther Illinois Huskies.
The Ohio Bobcats were cruising in the MAC, winning their first three games in conference play. The lost their leading scorer Antonio Campbell in last week's game against Eastern Michigan, and without him they scored just 53 points on 30.4 percent shooting. They lost to the Eagles at home, and then went out on the road to play Akron at mid week. Things didn't get much better against the Zips, losing by 15 points (83-68). They play the second best team in the MAC on the road today, and Northern Illinois is particularly strong at home. The Huskies are 8-2 at home this season, and they were an incredible 18-1 at home last year. NIU is 17-6 ATS in it's last 23 home games, and I think they'll mop the floor with a shorthanded Bobcats team.
Take NIU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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01-21-17 |
Iowa State v. Oklahoma |
Top |
92-87 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 33 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma Sooners. At first glance, this looks like a classic let down spot for Oklahoma. The Sooners last game was an upset win at West Virginia, with Jordan Woodard scoring the game winning bucket just before the end of overtime. Woodard leads the Sooners in scoring, and when he was sidelined for four games due to injury, Oklahoma struggled. He played just 24 minutes in a home loss to Kansas, and scored just seven points on 2-of-8 shooting. The Sooners led that game at the half by a score of 36-27, but couldn't hold off the mighty Jayhawks in the second half. Woodard has totaled 47 points in back to back wins over Texas Tech and West Virginia. The Sooners host the Iowa State Cyclones Saturday, and the home team has prevailed in nine of the last 10 meetings in this series. The Cyclones have lost three of their four road games this season, and are coming off back to back losses to Kansas and TCU. I don't expect Oklahoma to suffer a let down here at home, I think they'll be full of confidence and looking to build on some positive momentum. Take OKLA. GL, Jesse Schule
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01-21-17 |
Louisville v. Florida State -3 |
Top |
68-73 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 36 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on the Florida State Seminoles. The Louisville Cardinals scored 92 points in a blowout win over Clemson at home on Thursday, but I think they are primed to suffer a let down on the road at Florida State today. The Cardinal played their last game without starting PG Quentin Snider, who is the team's assist leader. They shot out the lights, hitting 56.3 percent from the field, and 40.9 percent from beyond the arc in the win over the Tigers. They can't count on such a high shooting percentage here in Tallahassee. The Seminoles are 13-0 at home this season, and have scored an average of 91.5 points on 51.6 percent shooting in those games. They've won five of six in conference play, with the only loss coming on the road at North Carolina. Even more impressive is the fact that five of their last eight wins have come against ranked teams. That includes an upset win at #12 ranked Virginia. Louisville has failed to cover in 11 of it's last 15 road games, while FSU is 12-5 ATS in it's last 17 home games. Take FSU. GL, Jesse Schule
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01-21-17 |
Tottenham Hotspur v. Manchester City OVER 2.5 |
Top |
2-2 |
Win
|
100 |
97 h 46 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on TOT@MCI to go OVER the total.
Manchester City is coming off a shocking 4-0 loss to Everton, and they now sit 5th in the Premier League standings, 10 points back of league leaders Chelsea. City will try to get back on track at home this Saturday, hosting the second place Spurs. Tottenham comes in as winners of six straight matches, scoring a whopping 19 goals during that span. We should expect plenty of action here at the Etihad, as these teams have combined to score at least three goals in eight of the last 10 meetings. City has won it's last three home matches, scoring six goals in those games. They've gone over 2.5 in each of their last five home games against Spurs.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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01-20-17 |
Panthers v. Canucks -110 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 18 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on the Vancouver Canucks.
The Canucks will welcome a familiar face on Friday night when Roberto Luongo and his Florida Panthers visit Rogers Arena. The veteran netminder led the Canucks to the Stanley Cup Finals in 2011, but he returned to Florida in 2013. He allowed three goals, losing his only visit to Vancouver last season. He's been struggling lately, losing 10 of his last 15 starts, posting a 2.80 GAA during that span. He's been lit up for eight goals in back to back losses to Calgary and the Islanders. The Canucks are rolling, coming into tonight's game with a record of 7-1-3 in their last 11. Vancouver's starting goaltender Ryan Miller is coming off a shutout win over Nashville, and he's 4-0-2 with a 1.63 GAA in his last six starts. He has very solid home numbers, going 11-4-1 with a 2.04 GAA at Rogers Arena this year. The Panthers are 2-5-1 in their last eight visits to Vancouver, and playing a third game in four nights following games on back to back nights in Alberta looks like another tough spot for the visitors.
Take VAN.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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01-19-17 |
Davidson v. La Salle -135 |
Top |
83-91 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 12 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on the La Salle Explorers.
At first glance it might seem strange to see Davidson getting points in a matchup with La Salle. The Wildcats have won all four meetings in this series dating back to 2009. This year's Davidson squad doesn't appear to be at par with those previous teams. I bet against the Wildcats in their last game, a home win over VCU. Here is what I said prior to the game: "Davidson is normally one of the top teams in this conference, but this year's squad is struggling. They've lost three of four in conference play, and that includes home losses to Richmond and Fordham. Davidson's leading scorer Jack Gibbs was just 3-of-17 from the field in his last game, and the team as a whole shot just 28.9 percent from the field." Now a home win over VCU might seem to suggest that the Wildcats have righted the ship, but I've drawn a different conclusion. They won that game by a score of 69-63, shooting just 40.4 percent from the field. The Rams simply couldn't buy a bucket, shooting just 34.5 percent from the field, and 17.6 percent from beyond the arc. I think that win says more about the poor play of VCU than it does about Davidson. They are going to struggle here against an Explorers team that is 7-1 at home, coming off back to back double digit wins over Rhode Island and George Washington.
Take LAS.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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01-19-17 |
Senators v. Blue Jackets -155 |
Top |
2-0 |
Loss |
-155 |
29 h 12 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on the Columbus Blue Jackets.
After winning a record 16 straight games, the Jackets have won just three of six overall. Starting goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky missed two of those three losses, but had a triumphant return stopping 24-of-35 shots in a 4-1 home win over Carolina on Tuesday. Bobrovsky leads the NHL in wins, and ranks in the top 5 in GAA and save percentage. He's an incredible 16-3 with a 1.79 GAA at home this season. The Senators started the season with veteran Craig Anderson and fan favorite Andrew "Hamburlar" Hammond as their top two goaltenders, but both have been sidelined by injury. Former Montreal backup Mike Condon has done a pretty solid job stepping in as their starting netminder, but he has rather pedestrian numbers on the road. Condon is 5-4 with a 2.93 GAA playing in 11 road games, and he's allowed at least three goals in five of his last eight starts.
Take CBJ.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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01-18-17 |
Miami (Fla) v. Wake Forest -1 |
Top |
79-96 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 0 m |
Show
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This is a 10* play on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons.
Wake Forest has lost four of five games in conference play, but they've had a tough schedule, much tougher than Miami. Three of their four losses come against Top 25 teams (Virginia, North Carolina and Florida State). Most recently they lost 93-87 at home to the Tar Heels, which is an impressive result against one of the top teams in the country. Miami is 2-2 in conference play, and their wins have come against lesser opponents in Pittsburgh and North Carolina State. They lost at home to Notre Dame, and were blown out by a score of 70-55 at Syracuse. Miami was a favorite in each of it's last two games at Wake Forest, but lost both those games outright by a combined 17 points. The Deacons are scoring an average of 86.9 points on 49.2 percent shooting at home, and it will be tough for the Hurricanes to keep up offensively. Miami has failed to cover the spread in five of it's last six road games, and is 1-5-1 ATS in it's last seven visits to Wake Forest.
Take WAKE.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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