Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-13-19 | Hurricanes v. Capitals -153 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
The set-up: This is a difficult matchup for Carolina. It always has been. After going 0-4 in the regular season vs. the defending champs, the Hurricanes whimpered to a 4-2 loss in Game 1 as well. Carolina is just 8-21 in its last 29 vs. the Capitals, including only 2-9 in its last 11 in the Nation’s capital. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Carolina is 0-4 in its last four as an underdog in the +110 to +150 range, while Washington is 5-1 in its last six vs. teams with winning records. This line could/should easily be much larger in my professional opinion. Washington Capitals 10* play |
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04-12-19 | Blues v. Jets -113 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -113 | 35 h 13 m | Show |
The set-up: The Jets fell apart late in Game 1 and let the Blues steal their thunder, but I look for the home side to easily bounce back in Game 2. The main objective of any visiting team to open a playoff series is to simply earn a “split” of the first two games, as that ensure that it takes back the home ice advantage. With that goal accomplished, I think the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done here. Additionally, considering the experience and how well the Jets actually play at home, there’s no question that we’re getting a great price here also. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but despite earning the win in Game 1, the Blues are still only 4-11 the last 15 in this series. The Jets on the other hand are 7-3 in their last ten when playing on one days rest. Look for the desperate and revenge minded home side to lay everything on the ice, and lay the reasonable price. Winnipeg Jets 10* play |
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04-11-19 | Hurricanes v. Capitals -135 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 98 h 34 m | Show |
The set-up: The Capitals took all four regular season meetings with the Hurricanes. The Hurricanes looked great over the second game, going 31-12-2 since the New Year, but I think they’ll stumble in Game 1 in this difficult road venue. The defending champs also played very well over the second half and now that the post-season is here, there’s no reason not to think that the defending champs won’t be able to make another deep run: “It’s going to be different games than the regular year,” star Capitals players Alexander Ovechkin commented yesterday. “But, it’s a good thing we have experience. What we did last year, we know exactly how we have to play and hopefully we’ll play like that again.” The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Washington is 4-1 in its last five vs. teams with winning records, while Carolina is 1-4 in its last five a road dog and only 17-38 in its last 55 when playing on three or more days rest. I think this is a very fair price. Washington Capitals 10* play |
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04-10-19 | Penguins +101 v. Islanders | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 73 h 28 m | Show |
The set-up: I like the Pens to pull off the slight upset in Game 1. The Islanders weren’t supposed to be this good after trading Jon Tavares to the Leafs, but a hot start and a good run at home and on the road has New York back in the playoffs, but the veteran experience and depth that Sidney Crosby and company bring to the table will prove to be the difference in my opinion (in Game 1 anyways!) Overall the Pens went 21-20 on the road, averaging 3.32 goals and allowing 2.76. The Isles were 24-17 at home, averaging 2.80 goals and allowing 2.27 in those contests. The pick: Take it for what you will though, but New York is just 1-5 in its last six when playing on three or more days rest, while Pittsburgh is 22-7 in its last 29 in the same position. For all the reasons listed above, play the visitors. Pittsburgh Penguins 10* play |
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04-05-19 | Kings v. Ducks -152 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 27 h 33 m | Show |
The set-up: This is the last game of the year for the Ducks. They’re 34-37-10 overall this season, but 6-3-1 in their last ten and they currently ride a two game win streak. Anaheim has been a “different” team at home this season, going 18-14-8 in front of the home town crowd. The Kings are 30-41-9 on the season and 5-4-1 in their last ten. Overall they’re 14-20-6 on the road. The pick: Take it for what you will, but the Kings are a poor 5-12 in their last 17 as a road underdog in the +110 to +150 range, while the Ducks are 43-13 in their last 56 as a favorite in the -150 to -200 range. I expect the home side to send the fans home happy in the final game of a disappointing season. Lay the price. Anaheim Ducks 10* play |
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04-04-19 | Coyotes v. Golden Knights -225 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -225 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
The set-up: These teams have played three times and the Knights have a 2-1 lead in the season series, however it was the Coyotes which scored the 5-2 road win on February 12th in the most recent match-up. Arizona though comes in off a deflating 3-1 home loss to LA on Tuesday and I think it’s ripe for the picking here as well. The Knights on the other hand are off a 3-1 home win over the Oilers on Monday. Arizona is now four games behind the Avalanche with two games to play. Las Vegas plays with the added incentive of being able to end the Coyotes campaign here and now. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Las Vegas is 10-2 in its last 12 when playing on two days rest, while Arizona is just 2-7 in its last nine road games vs. a team with a winning home record. I’m banking on a blowout. Lay it with confidence. Vegas Golden Knights 10* play |
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03-31-19 | Hurricanes v. Penguins -147 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 46 m | Show |
The set-up: Off a satisfying 5-2 home win over the Flyers, I think the Hurricanes stumble in this difficult road venue. The Penguins on the other hand will be eager to get back on track after a 3-1 home loss to Nashville. Carolina comes in on no rest and while it’s been sharp in those situations this season, I think it finally catches up to it here. Overall the Hurricanes average 2.84 goals and allow 2.84 as well when on the road this season. Pittsburgh hasn’t clinched a playoff spot either, but it’ll close to doing so with a win today. Overall the Penguins average 3.29 goals and concede 3.13 at home. The pick: Take it for what you will as well but Carolina is still just 10-14 (-9.1 units) vs. division opponents this year, while Pittsburgh is 41-22 (+10.9 units) in its last 63 after a loss by two goals or more in its previous game. Lay it. Pittsburgh Penguins 10* play |
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03-30-19 | Ducks v. Oilers -145 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -145 | 35 h 10 m | Show |
The set-up: I base my selections on many different things and for this particular one, I’m going to use good old plain common sense. Anaheim is in Calgary on Friday night and I believe it’ll come in “flat” here in the second game of the back to back. The Oilers have been all but eliminated from playoff contention, but they’ll be eager for a win here after a 3-2 shootout loss to Dallas at home in their latest outing. The-pick: Note that the Ducks are just 2-6 in their second game of a back to back on the road, while the Oilers are 7-3 in their last ten home games following an OT loss in which they scored two or less goals in. Lay the price. Edmonton Oilers 10* play |
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03-29-19 | Coyotes v. Avalanche -155 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 7 m | Show |
The set-up: Colorado has all the momentum here. It also now has a two point lead for the final wild card spot in the West over these very Coyotes. Arizona had lost five in a row before a 1-0 win over Chicago on Tuesday. Colorado though has gone 5-0-1 over its last six after a win over Vegas on Wednesday. Clearly this is a big game for both teams and I simply can’t understate how important I think that the home ice advantage is. The Coyotes offense has been completely anemic of late and I have a hard time seeing them just “flipping a switch” here (note that Arizona has scored just seven times over its last six games.) The Avs got further good news today with the expected return of captain Gabriel Landeskog. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Coyotes are just 9-20 in their last 29 when playing on two days rest, while the Avalanche are 6-2 in their last eight home games. For all the reasons listed above, lay the price. Colorado Avalanche 10* play |
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03-28-19 | Islanders v. Jets -160 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -160 | 30 h 36 m | Show |
The set-up: The Jets have lost two of their last three and after falling at home to Dallas last time out, I believe it’ll be “all hands on deck” here. The Isles come to town off a shutout loss in Columbus and I believe they’ll have a difficult time mustering much of an offensive attack here either vs. the focused home side in this difficult road venue. The Isles have only scored six goals over their last five games. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Jets are still 68-27 in their last 95 at home and 32-15 in their last 47 vs. the Eastern Conference, while the Isles are 1-4 in their last five when playing on one days rest and just 11-27 in their last 38 road games against at team with a home winning percentage over .600. All things considered, I think this line could easily be a lot higher. Winnipeg Jets 10* play |
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03-26-19 | Hurricanes v. Capitals -133 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 43 m | Show |
The set-up: After their 2-1 OT win over the Habs on Sunday, I think the Hurricanes will come out flat in the nation’s capital. Washignton comes in off a 3-1 win over the Flyers on Sunday. Overall the Hurricanes average 2.97 goals, while allowing 2.72. Washington averages 3.37 goals and it allows 3.07. The pick: This has been a difficult matchup for Carolina, as the Hurricanes have lost seven of their last nine in Washington. The Capitals come in on top form having won nine of their last ten as the favorite and with playoffs looming just around the corner, I look for the home side to keep the foot on the gas here as well. Lay the price. Washington Capitals 10* play |
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03-25-19 | Stars v. Jets -155 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -155 | 33 h 23 m | Show |
The set-up: Both teams are “hungry” for wins, so that entire angle can be thrown out the window. Winnipeg moved into first place in the Central with its convincing 5-0 win over Nashville on Saturday. Winnipeg won’t be taking the foot off the gas with just a handful of games remaining, meaning that the home games are even that much more important at this part of the season. The Stars are getting spectacular goaltending from Ben Bishop, who leads the NHL with a 2.05 GAA. But Winnipeg has a pretty good goaltender itself in Connor Hellebuyck, who is 31-20-2 with a 2.93 GAA this season. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Dallas is 2-8 in its last ten vs. a team with a winning record, while Winnipeg is 5-0 in its last five when playing on one days rest and 17-4 in its last 21 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. Expect Winnipeg to keep the foot on the gas once again and lay the price. 10* play on the Jets. |
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03-23-19 | Coyotes -145 v. Devils | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -145 | 21 h 20 m | Show |
The set-up: Both teams come in off losses, but the Coyotes are still in the hunt for a playoff spot and I believe they’ll bounce back in this favorable spot. Arizona lost 4-3 to Florida on the road, while New Jersey comes in off a 5-1 home loss to Boston. Going into their Eastern road trip the Coyotes had the eighth spot locked down, but after back-to-back losses, they’re now tied with Colorado. Coyotes’ goaltender Darcy Kuemper remains a respectable 11-12 with a 2.83 GAA on the road this season. The Devils are just counting down the days to the off season. New Jersey goaltender Cory Schneider is 5-15 with a 3.18 GAA on the year. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Arizona is 5-1 in its last six as a favorite in the -150 to -200 range, while New Jersey is 21-48 in its last 69 as a home underdog. New Jersey has lost three straight, getting outscored 12-2 in those games. Go with the desperate Coyotes to get back on track in a big way in this favorable matchup. Lay it. 10* play |
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03-19-19 | Panthers v. Stars -150 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
The set-up: Florida comes to Dallas off a 3-2 road loss to the Ducks, while the Stars lost 3-2 in a shootout to Vancouver at home on Sunday. This is the second time these teams have played and Dallas won the first matchup 3-0 on the road back on February 12th. I believe we’ll see a similar final outcome here as well. Florida looks poised for a letdown after its four game win streak was snapped last time out. The Stars won’t be taking anything for granted after two straight losses though (after winning six of their previous seven. Florida averages 3.21 GPG and it allows 3.28, while Dallas averages 2.51 goals and it allows 2.46. The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Florida is just 2-7 in its last nine in the third game of a “3-in-4” situation, while Dallas is 5-1 in its last six after scoring two goals or less in its previous outing. I think home ice plays a big part here as well. Lay the price. 10* play |
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03-17-19 | Blues -150 v. Sabres | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -150 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
The set-up: Buffalo comes in off a tiring 4-2 loss at Carolina last night and I think it’ll have a difficult time mustering much of an offensive attack against the Blues’ stifling defense. St. Louis cruised to an easy 5-1 win over Pittsburgh yesterday afternoon and I believe it carries that momentum over here as well. The Sabres have in fact lost seven straight. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but St. Louis is 8-2 in its last ten vs. tams with losing records. The Blues have won 20 of the last 23 in this series and have everything to play for here. The Sabres on the other hand are simply going through the motions at this point. I’m laying the price and expecting a blowout. 10* play |
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03-15-19 | Hurricanes v. Blue Jackets -125 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 30 h 40 m | Show |
The set-up: Carolina has won back-to-back games, but it’s been off since a 3-0 win at Colorado on Monday and I think it’ll stumble in this difficult road arena. The Jackets enter off a 7-4 win over the Bruins. This is an important game for both teams as they look to keep pace in the Wildcard race. However, I don’t think that the home ice advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor between these evenly matched clubs. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Carolina is already only 3-5 (-4.1 units) this season when playing with three or more days rest, while Columbus is 37-20 (+9.2 units) in its last 57 when playing with two days rest and 16-10 (+2.1 units) after allowing four or more goals in its previous outing. Lay the price. 10* play |
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03-14-19 | Predators -180 v. Kings | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 33 h 35 m | Show |
The set-up: I think the visitors could/should in fact be much larger favs here. The Predators come in off a 3-2 loss to the suddenly surging Ducks, while LA posted a 3-2 road win over Anaheim. If recent history is any precedence, then the Preds have to be loving their chances today as they’ve already taken both meetings with the Kings this season. Nashville averages 2.9 goals and it allows 2.7. Predators’ goaltender Pekka Rinne has a 2.54 GAA to this point. LA is just 13-17-2 at home this year. The Kings average 2.3 goals and the allow 3.2. Goalie Jon Quick has a terrible 3.28 GAA this season. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but LA is just 1-6 in its last seven at home, while the Predators are 4-1 in their last five when playing on one days rest. I think Rinne out duels Quick. Lay the price. 10* play |
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03-11-19 | Rangers v. Oilers -155 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 4 m | Show |
The set-up: Edmonton has quietly been playing well over the last three weeks, going 6-2-2 in its last ten. New York has been horrible all year and it’s been struggling of late by going just 3-3-4 in its last ten. The Rangers are now out of wildcard contention, while the Oilers still have a slim hope. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up great for the home side and it makes this a price in which I have no issues at all in laying. The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Edmonton is 4-0 in its last four vs. teams with losing records, while New York is a horrible 8-22 in its last 30 after allowing two goals or less in its previous game. Lay the price, expect a blowout victory. 10* play |
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03-10-19 | Golden Knights v. Flames -140 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
The set-up: Plain old common sense is the basis to this particular selection. These teams played in Vegas last week and the Knights posted the 2-1 win. Calgary is now one game behind Nashville for the Central division lead, but the Predators lost last night, giving the Flames an opportunity to re-gain it. They also play with revenge. They also catch a Las Vegas side that enters off a highly satisfying 6-2 win in Vancouver just last night. From a situational stand point, there’s no question that this one sets up great for the home side. The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Las Vegas is just 10-14 (-8.4 units) this season after scoring four or more goals in its previous game, while Calgary is a money-making 19-12 (+4.5 units) revenging a road loss vs. an opponent. Lay the price. 10* play |
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03-09-19 | Hurricanes v. Predators -150 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -150 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
The set-up: I base my picks on many different things. This one is based on scheduling and the revenge factor. Carolina lost at home to Winnipeg just last night and I think it comes in dog tired in the second game of the back-to-back at the end of the season. The Predators play with revenge here after falling 6-3 in Carolina earlier in the season. From a situational point of view, there’s no doubt that this one sets up great for the home side. The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Carolina is just 12-13 (-2 units) this year vs. teams with winning records, while the Predators are 67-45 (+7.7 units) the last two seasons revenging a loss vs. an opponent and 3-1 (+1.3 units) this year when playing with three or more days rest. This line should be higher. Lay it. 10* play |
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03-07-19 | Blue Jackets v. Penguins -126 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
The set-up: Columbus comes in off a 2-1 shootout win at New Jersey, but I think it’ll come up short here in this difficult road venue. Jackets’ net minder Sergei Bobrovsky is 11-13 with a 2.93 GAA lifetime vs. Pittsburgh. Overall Columbus averages 3.13 GPG and allows 2.77. The Pens though come in under the radar here in my opinion. At least in the stand point that the oddsmakers are slow in recognizing how well Pittsburgh is playing currently, entering having won three of its last four. Pens’ goalie Matt Murray is 7-2 with a 2.90 GAA lifetime vs. Columbus. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Columbus is just 13-14 (-4.2 units) this season in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent, while Pittsburgh is 6-2 in its last eight home games off a win and as a favorite in the -115 to -135 range. Great value on the home side here. 10* play on the Pittsburgh Penguins |
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03-06-19 | Blues -170 v. Ducks | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 18 m | Show |
The set-up: St. Louis will be eager to return to form after a 4-1 loss to Dallas on Saturday. The Blues have had a couple nights off to prepare for this one and to get back on track after losing three of their last four. The putrid Ducks earned a 2-1 win over Colorado on Sunday to end a five-game slide, but an immediate return to mediocrity seems imminent. The pick: Despite their recent scuffling form, the Blues come in confident by winning seven of their last ten away from friendly confines. The Ducks can’t say the same thing though as they’re just 3-10 in their last 13 in front of the home town crowd. I’m laying the price and expecting a complete blowout from the “better” and “hungrier” team. 10* PLAY |
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03-03-19 | Capitals -150 v. Rangers | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
The set-up: These teams are moving in opposite directions right now and I look for those trends to continue here. The Capitals enter off a 3-1 road win over the Islanders, while the Rangers come in off a 4-2 home loss to the Canadiens. Washington is now tied atop the Metro with the Islanders after that victory, so with a chance to claim the No. 1 position completely with a win here, I believe the defending champs continue their late season push towards the playoffs. Washington is 18-14 on the road, averaging 3.22 goals and allowing 3.38 in those games. The Rangers are 16-18 at home, averaging 2.85 and allowing 2.74. The pick: Take it for what you will though, but New York is just 15-37 in its last 52 after scoring two goals or less in its previous game, while Washington is 17-6 in its last 23 after allowing two goals or less in its previous contest. For all the reasons listed above, lay the price. 10* play |
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02-28-19 | Stars -117 v. Kings | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 55 m | Show |
The set-up: Dallas comes in focused after its 4-1 road loss to Vegas on Tuesday. LA enters off a humbling 6-1 loss to Carolina on Tuesday and I think it’ll have its hands full here as well. Stars’ goaltender Ben Bishop is a big difference maker for me in this one as he’s 19-14-2 with a 2.29 GAA this year. The Kings actually went 0-4 on their recent road trip and home ice has been anything buy “friendly” as they’re 12-15-2 overall there, including having lost nine straight. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but LA is 0-6 in its last six when playing on one days rest, while Dallas is 4-1 in its last five vs. a team with a losing record and 41-20 in its last 61 following a loss of three or more goals. Great price, play on the Stars. 10* play |
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02-27-19 | Flames -163 v. Devils | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
The set-up: Calgary enters off a 3-1 road win in Long Island just last night and I think the red hot visitors will keep the momentum rolling in the second game of the back to back. New Jersey comes in off a tough 2-1 home win over Montreal, but everything points to a return to mediocrity for the home side in my opinion. The Flames are sizzling with six straight wins. Calgary has given up just seven goals during its five game win skein. David Rittich gets the nod in the net for the visitors and he’s 12-6 with a 2.09 GAA on the road. The Devils earned a win last time out, but they’re still going be sitting out of the playoffs this year. New Jersey may have won four of its last six, but note that goaltender Corey Schneider is still just 4-10 with a 3.26 GAA on the year. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Calgary is 7-1 in its last eight vs. the Metropolitan and 25-9 in its last 34 as the favorite, while New Jersey is just 8-20 in its last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Look for Rittich to be the difference maker again here. Lay the price. 10* play |
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02-24-19 | Jets -128 v. Coyotes | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -128 | 28 h 2 m | Show |
The set-up: The Jets organization was devastated by a flu bug for most of February, but the team looks to have shaken that off and it’ll be out to build off its most recent 6-3 road win in Las Vegas on Friday. Arizona has won two straight, including a 3-2 victory in OT over the Canucks on Thursday, but I think the Coyotes will have their hands full in this lop-sided matchup. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Winnipeg is 19-11 (+5.2 units) this year already after scoring four or more goals in its previous contest, while Arizona is just 4-8 (-3 units) this season after playing three straight road games. All signs point to a classic letdown here for the home side. Great value, play on the Jets. 10* play |
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02-21-19 | Senators v. Devils -136 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 50 m | Show |
The set-up: Both teams come in off losses. Ottawa fell 8-7 on the road to Chicago, while New Jersey lost 4-3 at home to Pittsburgh. The Sens have now lost seven of their last ten. Ottawa goaltender Craig Anderson is 3-13 with a 4.35 GAA on the road and the Senators are only 8-21 overall on the road, averaging 3.03 goals and allowing 4.38 in those contests. The Devils haven’t been much better, as they come in having lost six of their last nine. Devils’ goalie Cory Schneider is 6-5 with a 2.21 GAA lifetime vs. Ottawa. New Jersey is 15-14 at home, averaging 3.13 goals and allowing 2.87 in those games. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Ottawa is 9-4 in its last 13 home games as a favorite in the -110 to -150 range, while Ottawa is a poor 16-49 in its last 65 as a road underdog. This one has beatdown written all over it. Lay the price. 10* play |
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02-19-19 | Lightning -155 v. Flyers | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 49 m | Show |
The set-up: The Lightning killed the Blue Jackets 5-1 last night and I think they’ll carry that momentum over here in the second game of the back-to-back. The Flyers enter off a 3-1 road win in Detroit. Note that Tampa was just 1:45 away from posting its third straight shutout last night. Tampa is expected to start Louis Domingue in net tonight and he’s 18-4 with a 2.90 GAA on the year. The Lightning are now 20-8 on the road, averaging 3.50 goals and allowing 2.93 in those contests. The Flyers have won 11 of their last 13, but they’re still six points out of the eighth spot in the East. Philly is still only 15-15 at home, averaging 3.00 goals and allowing 3.13 in those games. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Tampa is 19-6 (+6 units) this year vs. teams with losing records, while Philadelphia is just 4-9 (-5.3 units) after a win by two goals or more. The Bolts coasted down the stretch last night and I think they enter this one “fresher” that most would expect. Lay the price, expect a rout. 10* play |
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02-12-19 | Flyers v. Wild -145 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -145 | 29 h 60 m | Show |
The set-up: I base my picks on many different things. One thing I almost always take into account is scheduling. For the most part, that’s what I’m basing this selection on. The Flyers have been rolling of late, but after a humbling 4-1 loss at home to the Penguins, I think they’ll predictably come out flat here. On the other end of the ice, the Wild come in extremely focused on the task at hand as they’ve lost five of their last six games. From a “situational” stand point, there’s no question that this one sets up fantastically for the home side. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Flyers are still only 12-14 (-5.7 units) this season vs. teams with losing records, while the Wild are 11-8 (+2.1 units) in their last 19 following a non-conference game. Lay the price, expect a rout. 10* play |
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02-10-19 | Maple Leafs -160 v. Rangers | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -160 | 25 h 31 m | Show |
The set-up: Locked in a three way fight for second spot in the Atlantic with Montreal and Boston, and off a big win over the Habs just last night, I think the Leafs carry that momentum over today in this favorable matchup in The Big Apple. Leafs’ goaltender Frederick Anderson has won three straight over New York and overall he’s 5-2-1 with a 2.90 GAA vs. the Rangers. New York comes in off a deflating 3-0 loss at home to Carolina on Friday and I have a hard time seeing the Rangers’ offense keeping pace with the high-flying Leafs tonight. Rangers’ goaltender Henrik Lundqvist has lost three straight. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but New York is just 5-16 in its last 21 vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600, Toronto is 15-6 in its last 21 vs. clubs with a sub .500 record (also 5-2 in their last seven in New York.) Lay the price, expect a rout. 10* play |
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02-04-19 | Kings v. Rangers -126 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -126 | 27 h 28 m | Show |
The set-up: The Kings enter off a 4-2 loss in Long Island and I think they’ll have a difficult time in the Big Apple as well. New York is off a competitive 3-2 home loss to league leading Tampa and I expect it to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night here. LA is now a deplorable 8-17 on the road, averaging only 1.84 goals and allowing 2.96 in those contests. The Rangers are 13-13 at home, averaging 2.92 goals and allowing 2.62 in those contests. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but LA is interestingly just 8-22 in its last 30 when its opponent scores two goals or less in its previous contest and only 1-8 in its last nine vs. the Eastern Conference, while New York is 44-19 in its last 63 vs. a team with a win percentage below .400. In my professional opinion, this line could/should easily be much larger. Lay the price. 10* play |
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02-02-19 | Blues v. Blue Jackets -155 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -155 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
The set-up: The Blues have struggled this year, especially on the road. Columbus used to lead the Metro division, but it comes in having lost four straight and desperate for a victory. I think St. Louis is going to struggle against this hungry and focused home side and in this difficult road arena. Columbus has played some top tier teams of late, but finally it catches a break here facing the “on-again, off-again” Blues. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but St. Louis is just 1-4 in its last five after scoring five goals in its previous game, while Columbus is 43-21 in its last 64 home games vs. a teams with a losing road record. This one has blowout written all over it, lay the price. 10* play |
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02-01-19 | Maple Leafs -160 v. Red Wings | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -160 | 30 h 6 m | Show |
The set-up: Toronto goaltender Frederik Anderson is 12-4-1 on the road with a 2.79 GAA this year. He’s also 7-0-0 in his last seven vs. the Wings, posting a 2.50 GAA and .920 save percentage. Leafs’ forward Jon Tavares has two goals and five assists in three wins over the Wings this year, while Auston Matthews has six goals and five assists during a seven-game point streak vs. Detroit. Wings’ net minder Jimmy Howard is 9-8-4 with a 2.63 GAA at home, but he’d let up four goals to the Leafs on 34 shots in a loss back on October 11th. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Detroit is just 1-8 in its last nine after allowing two or fewer goals in its previous game, while Toronto is 13-5 in its last 18 vs. teams with losing records. No upset here as I look for Anderson to continue his red hot play away from friendly confines. Lay the price. 10* play |
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01-31-19 | Blue Jackets v. Jets -145 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 4 m | Show |
The set-up: These teams come in off other ends of the spectrum and I believe that dynamic carries over into this one. Columbus enters off a disheartening 5-4 home loss to lowly Buffalo, while Winnipeg comes in off a 4-3 shootout win over the Bruins. Columbus has in fact lost three in a row. Note that that Blue Jackets average 3.00 GPG on the road and allow 2.96. The Jets are 7-3 in their last ten. Winnipeg is 18-8 at home this season and it averages 3.81 goals and allows 2.65 in those contests. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Columbus is just 3-7 in its last ten vs. teams with a winning record, while Winnipeg is 16-5 in its last 21 in the third game of a three-in-four situation. In my estimation, this line could/should easily be a lot larger. Play on the Jets. 10* play |
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01-28-19 | Jets -130 v. Flyers | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -130 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
The set-up: Despite a 4-2 road loss vs. the Stars in its final game before the break, I think Winnipeg will bounce back here in this favorable matchup in its first game back after the All Star game. The Flyers on the other hand look poised for a predictable letdown here after the lay off and from their latest 5-2 road win in Montreal. Overall Winnipeg is 13-9 on the road though, averaging 3.05 goal and allowing 2.91 in those instances. The Flyers are only 10-13 at home though, averaging 2.83 goals and allowing 3.26. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Philadelphia is just 3-13 in its last 16 after scoring five goals or more in its previous game, while Winnipeg is 25-9 in its last 34 vs. the Eastern Conference. I’m banking on the Jets coming out flying to start the second half. Lay the short price. 10* play |
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01-23-19 | Coyotes v. Canadiens -170 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 55 m | Show |
The set-up: No need to overthink this one. I think the the Habs are well worth the price of admission in this spot. The Coyotes have actually been better on the road than at home this year, but after their big win in Ottawa just last night, I think they’ll be “dog tired” in the second game of the back to back and in this difficult venue. The Canadiens on the other hand are out to atone for a 5-2 home loss to the Flyers. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up great for the home side. The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Arizona is still just 52-119 in its last 171 vs. teams with winning records and only 6-17 in its last 23 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation, while Montreal is 10-4 in its last 14 vs. teams with losing records. All in all, I feel that the price is right. Play on Montreal. 10* play |
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01-20-19 | Red Wings v. Canucks -135 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 55 m | Show |
The set-up: Detroit comes in off a 6-4 loss in Calgary and heads out even further West to now face the Canucks, who enter off a 4-3 home win over Buffalo. I don’t think that the home ice advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor here. Wings’ goaltender Jimmy Howard is just 4-6 with a 3.12 GAA on the road this year. Detroit is 8-15 overall away from friendly confines, averaging 2.83 goals and allowing 3.74. Vancouver has scored 14 goals over its last three games. Jacob Markstrom is 10-8 with a 2.58 GAA at home this season. Vancouver averages 3.13 goals and allows 2.87 at home. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Vancouver is 6-2 in its last eight home games after a win in which it scored four or more goals in, while Detroit is just 1-6 in its last seven on one days rest. For all the reasons listed above, I think this is great value on the under-valued home side. 10* play |
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01-16-19 | Oilers +103 v. Canucks | Top | 3-2 | Win | 103 | 15 h 8 m | Show |
The set-up: Edmonton comes in off a 7-2 home win over Buffalo and I think it’ll carry that momentum over here as it looks to avenge an earlier loss to Vancouver as well. The Canucks come in off a satisfying 5-1 home win over Florida. Both teams are still in the playoff race. Both have struggled with consistency this year, but for me this play comes down to the trends. The pick: As note that the Oilers are 6-2 in their last eight after scoring five goals or more in their previous game, while the Canucks are a poor 4-11 in their last 15 when playing on two days rest (also note that the Oilers are already 17-11, +7.6 units this season in revenge a loss vs. an opponent). Play on the revenge-minded visitors. *10 Oilers |
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01-15-19 | Golden Knights v. Jets -127 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
The set-up: After winning eight of their last nine, I think the Knights stumble in this difficult road venue. Most recently Vegas managed a tough 4-3 OT win over lowly Chicago on Saturday. Can anyone say letdown spot here North of the border?! The Jets have won four of their last five, most recently beating the Ducks at home on Sunday. The pick: Both teams have been hot and it wouldn’t be difficult to write a compelling argument for either to actually win this game. However note that Vegas is already just 8-10 (-4.6 units) this season after scoring four or more goals in its previous contest, while Winnipeg is 15-8 (+5 units) this year after scoring four or more goals in its previous contest. The price is right, play on Winnipeg. *10 Jets |
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01-14-19 | Sabres v. Oilers -120 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 31 h 36 m | Show |
The set-up: The Sabres enter off a 5-3 loss at home to Tampa Bay, while the Oilers come in off a 3-2 home loss to Arizona on Saturday. These teams haven’t played yet this season, but the Sabres have won four straight in the series, including a 5-0 road victory last January 23rd. With a chance to avenge that pathetic effort and to atone for the listless setback at home to the lowly Coyotes, I think the Oilers find a way to get the job done here against a Buffalo team which is just 3-6-1 in its last ten. The Oilers are just 3-9-0 in their last 12, but I think that home ice will prove to be the difference here. The pick: Take it for what you will as well but Buffalo is just 2-7 in its last nine non-conference road games following a home loss in which it allowed five or more goals in. In my professional opinion, this is the very definition of “great line value.” Lay it. 10* play |
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01-13-19 | Lightning -149 v. Islanders | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -149 | 22 h 26 m | Show |
The set-up: Both teams played yesterday. The Isles lost 2-1 at home to the Rangers, while the Bolts came from behind to knock off of the Sabres 5-3 on the road. TB is averaging 4.1 GPG and it’s allowed three goals or less in 12 of its last 18. The Isles are averaging 3.00 GPG overall and allowing 2.6. The pick: TB has performed well in this spot for bettors though, going 6-2 in its last eight in the second game of a back-to-back scenario. The Isles have done well in the second game of a back-to-back as well, but this is a match-up which has confounded them for years (just 1-10 the last 11 in this series.) Look for TB to come in focused on the task at hand and lay the price. 10* play |
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01-11-19 | Sabres v. Hurricanes -128 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
The set-up: Carolina didn’t put up much of a fight in a 3-1 setback on Tampa Bay last night, but the Hurricanes don’t have to travel far to get back home to take on the Sabres on Friday. I think the home side got caught looking ahead to this more favorable matchup and I expect it to make the most of it after last night’s sub-par showing. Despite the Sabres 5-1 win over the Devils at home last time out, they’re still just 9-12 on the road, averaging 2.62 PG and allowing 2.90. The Hurricanes are 11-11 at home, averaging 2.82 GPG and allowing 2.64. Carolina had Petr Mrazek in net last night, but Curtis McElhinney will get the nod here (he’s 10-6 with a 2.26 GAA on the year and 6-2 with a 2.01 GAA at home). The pick: Take it for what you will as well but the Sabres are just 4-6 (-1.6 units) already this year after a win by two goals or more. I think McElhinney will prove to be the difference maker here. Lay it. 10* GRINDER |
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01-08-19 | Avalanche v. Jets -159 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
The set-up: Colorado posted a 6-1 home win over New York in its latest action, while the Jets posted a 5-1 blowout victory over the Stars at home on Sunday. The home side has to be feeling confident here though, as the only other game this year between the clubs was a decisive 5-2 home win for the Jets. Overall the Avs average 3.4 GPG, while allowing 3.0. The Jets have been better on both sides of the ice though, averaging 3.4 goals and allowing 2.8. The pick: Note though that the Jets have been even better vs. division opponents this season, going 9-3 (+5 units). Note as well that Colorado is just 9-11 (-2.9 units) this season revenging a loss vs. an opponent and only 6-9 (-4.9 units) after a win by two goals or more. I think the home side is well worth the price of admission in this one. 10* play |
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01-05-19 | Wild -160 v. Senators | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 45 m | Show |
The set-up: The Wild come in off a 4-3 road win over Toronto, while Ottawa enters off a 4-3 home loss to Vancouver. After suffering a five-game losing streak, the Wild have won two of their last three. Minnesota is only 9-10 on the road though, averaging 2.59 goals and allowing 2.89 in those contests. Wild’ goaltender Devan Dubnyk though owns a sharp 2.64 GAA lifetime against the Sens. Ottawa on the other hand is in a complete free-fall with six straight losses. The Senators are 11-11 at home, averaging 3.36 goals and allowing 3.18 in those contests. The Sens are expected to send out Anders Nilsson between the pipes and he’s 1-4 with a 3.23 GAA lifetime against Minnesota. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Ottawa is a poor 10-25 in its last 35 vs. the Western Conference, while Minnesota is a perfect 5-0 in its last five in this series. This is a price which I have no issues at all in laying. Play on the Wild. 10* play |
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01-03-19 | Flames v. Bruins -137 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 27 h 52 m | Show |
The set-up: No need to overthink this one. Boston enters off a satisfying 4-2 win on New Years Day over the Blackhawks in the Winter Classic and I think it’ll carry that momentum over here against an exhausted Calgary team which fought from behind and bested the Red Wings in Detroit just last night. From a situational stand point, there’s no doubt that this one sets up great for the home side. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Calgary is just 2-6 in its last eight in Boston and only 3-10 in its last 13 road games vs. teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while Boston is 14-3 in its last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Note that Bruins goaltender Jaroslav Halak is 8-1 with a 1.98 GAA at home as well. This line could/should easily be a lot larger in my estimation. Play on Boston. 10* play |
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12-29-18 | Golden Knights -133 v. Kings | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 25 h 19 m | Show |
The set-up: The Knights enter off a 2-1 home win over the Avs, while the Kings come in off a 2-1 home win over the Coyotes. Las Vegas has predictably had its struggles this year after its unreal first season, but it’s still 21-19 and only three points out of first place in the Pacific. Knights’ net minder Marc-Andre Fleury is so far 21-14 with a 2.60 GAA this year. LA has won four straight, but I think it’ll come crashing back down to Earth here. Still last in the Pacific, goaltender Jon Quick is 5-10 with a 2.92 GAA this year for the Kings. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Las Vegas is 14-3 (+11.3 units) in its last 17 in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent (lost to LA at home earlier in the year), while the Kings are a poor 38-55 (-20.3 units) the last two seasons vs. teams with winning records. Great price on the Knights. 10* play |
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12-27-18 | Flames v. Jets -139 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -139 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
The set-up: The Flames are atop the Pacific Division as they come out of the X-Mas break, despite a three-game losing streak. Winnipeg leads the Central and the overall Western Conference standings with 50 points. Calgary averages 3.43 GPG and it’s allowing 2.73. Calgary’s middle of the road on both the power play and penalty kill though. Winnipeg averages 3.53 GPG and it allows only 2.78. Jets’ goaltender Connor Hellebuyck is 3-1-0 with a 2.17 GAA lifetime vs. the Flames. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Jets are 8-0 in their last eight when playing on three or more days rest, while Calgary is just 1-5 in its last six in the same position. The Jets are 24-10-2 at home and I believe they’ll find a way to get the job done on Thursday night as well. 10* play |
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12-23-18 | Islanders v. Stars -136 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -136 | 25 h 56 m | Show |
The set-up: I don’t think that the home ice advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular match-up. The Isles enter off a 4-2 loss in Vegas, while Dallas fell to the lowly Blackhawks in their last game. Dallas though posted a 6-2 road win over the Isles in New York last month and I look for it to post a similar beatdown here as well. This is the end of a tough Western swing for the Isles and I think they’ll come out flat. Overall New York averages 2.8 GPG and it allows 2.8 GPG as well. Dallas is 11-4-1 at home and it averages 2.7 GPG, while allowing 2.8. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Dallas is 5-1 in its last six at home, while New York is just 1-4 in its last five when playing on two days rest. I like Dallas to bounce back on home ice. Lay the price. 10* play |
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12-20-18 | Ducks v. Bruins -154 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
The set-up: The Ducks have been playing a lot better of late, but I think they’ll finally come up short here in this difficult road venue. Anaheim comes in off a 3-1 loss in New York, while the Bruins return him off a 4-0 road win in Montreal. Anaheim averages 2.53 GPG and it allows 2.81. Boston averages 2.74 GPG and it allows 2.59. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Bruins are 18-6 in their last 24 when playing with two days rest, while the Ducks are just 2-8 in their last ten road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. No upset here, lay the price. 10* play |
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12-18-18 | Maple Leafs -160 v. Devils | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 60 m | Show |
The set-up: Toronto comes in as the “hungrier” team as it’s lost four of its last five. Overall Toronto is 21-10-2, while New Jersey is 11-13-7. The Leafs average 3.5 GPG and they allow 2.8. A date vs. the lowly Devils is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked. NJ has lost six of its last eight and it averages 3.00 GPG and allows 3.5. The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Toronto is 7-0 in its last seven when playing on two days rest, while NJ is just 1-5 in its last six home games following a three games or more losing streak. I’m laying the price and expecting a blowout. 10* play |
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12-17-18 | Ducks v. Penguins -165 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -165 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
The set-up: I don’t think that that home ice advantage can be overlooked as a deciding factor in this matchup. The Ducks have been red hot, but after winning three straight and ten of 12, including a 2-1 OT win over Columbus last time out, I think they’ll finally have a letdown here in this difficult road venue. The Pens have been consistently inconsistent all year, but they come in off back-to-back victories, including a tough 4-3 OT home win over the Kings in their most recent. The pick: The Ducks have had a hell of a time whenever they’ve come to Pittsburgh of late, going just 2-8 in their last ten in the Steel City. Pittsburgh is 4-0 in its last four at home and 17-5 in its last 22 vs. the Western Conference. This one has home side blowout written all over it. Lay the price. 10* play |
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12-16-18 | Sharks -146 v. Blackhawks | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
The set-up: The Sharks come in on top form with three straight wins and I look for the high-powered visiting side to carry that momentum over here. The Hawks come in on the other end of the spectrum, having lost nine of their last ten after a disheartening OT loss to Winnipeg on Friday. The Sharks have regrouped after a ho-hum start, anchored by improved defensively play, going 5-0-1 in their last six and surrendering just 12 goals in that span. The pick: Note as well that Chicago is just 1-4 in its last five at home and a terrible 15-41 in its last 56 vs. teams with winning records, while San Jose is 38-17 in its last 55 vs. teams with losing records. I’m laying the price and expecting a blowout. 10* play |
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12-14-18 | Bruins v. Penguins -144 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
The set-up: These are two hungry teams, but I think that the home side is “hungrier.” The Bruins are 17-10-4 this year, while the Pens are just 13-11-6. The Bruins come in off a 4-3 win over the Coyotes on Tuesday. The Pens on the other hand come in desperate after a lacklustre 6-3 loss at Chicago on Wednesday. The pick: The Bruins have the better record, but note that they’re just 13-16 (-9.1 units) in their last 29 following a three game unbeaten streak, while Pittsburgh is 11-6 (+2.5 units) in its last 17 after playing three straight road games. Great price on the desperate home side. 10* |
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12-13-18 | Coyotes v. Sabres -140 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
The set-up: Both teams have been better than they were last year, especially Buffalo. The Coyotes are 13-16 in the early going, while the Sabres are 18-13. Arizona comes to town off a 4-3 loss in Boston, while Buffalo comes in off a 4-3 OT home win over the Kings. Buffalo smashed Arizona 3-0 earlier in the year and I think it’ll find a way to get the job done here as well. Arizona averages only 2.59 GPG, making up for it on the defensive end of the ice by allowing 2.76. Buffalo average 2.97 GPG and it allows 2.94. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Arizona is just 34-80 in its last 114 on the road, while Buffalo is 5-1 in its last six when playing on one days rest. This one has blowout written all over it, lay the price. 10* play |
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12-11-18 | Coyotes v. Bruins -175 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
The set-up: I think the home side is well worth the price of admission in this one. The Coyotes enter off a 5-3 home loss to San Jose, while the Bruins come in off a 2-1 OT win at Ottawa. After a four-game win streak, the Coyotes have now lost back-to-back games and I expect them to flounder here as well in this difficult road venue. The Coyotes average 2.57 GPG and they allow 2.71. The Bruins come in having won two straight. Boston averages 2.67 GPG and it allows 2.53. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Bruins are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, while Arizona is just 19-40 in its last 59 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage above .600. Lay the price. |
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12-10-18 | Penguins -135 v. Islanders | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 22 h 26 m | Show |
The set-up: Pittsburgh is a terrible 12-16, while the Isles are slightly better 14-14, but I still think this one favors the underachieving visitors. The Pens are the “hungrier” side here off a 2-1 OT loss at Ottawa, while the Isles are poised for a letdown after their 3-2 road win in Detroit. So far Pittsburgh is averaging 3.43 GPG and allowing 3.18, while the Isles are averaging 2.89 GPG and allowing 2.89 as well. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Isles are just 2-4 in their last six home games following a road victory in which they allowed two goals or less in, while Pittsburgh is 5-1-1 in its last seven after allowing two goals or less in its previous outing. Lay the price. 10* |
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12-08-18 | Penguins -173 v. Senators | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -173 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
The set-up: Pittsburgh comes in off a 6-2 win at home over the Isles and I expect it to carry that momentum over here. Ottawa enters off a 5-2 home loss to the Canadiens and I believe it’ll stumble again here in this difficult match-up. Pittsburgh averages 3.52 GPG and it allows 3.22. The Sens average 3.52 GPG, but they allow 4.10. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Pittsburgh is 17-8 in its last 25 after scoring six or more goals in a home win its previous outing, while Ottawa is just 1-4 the last five in this series. Lay the price with confidence. 10* play |
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12-06-18 | Wild v. Flames -143 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
The set-up: I don’t think that the home ice advantage can be overlooked as a deciding factor in this one. The Wild have struggled on the road, especially against “good” home teams. Which Calgary is. Minnesota is just 2-5 in its last seven in Calgary overall. The Flames come in off a shootout win over the Blue Jackets and they enter having gone 10-1 in their last 11 when playing on one days rest. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Calgary is also 4-1 in its last five at home. This line could easily be a lot larger in my opinion. Play on the Flames. 10* play |
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12-01-18 | Jets -125 v. Devils | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
The set-up: Winnipeg catches a New Jersey team off an exhausting 6-3 loss in Pittsburgh just last night. The Jets are averaging 3.5 GPG and they’re allowing 2.9. Winnipeg enters on top form, having scored at least four goals in each of its last five games. New Jersey has now given up at least four goals in five of its last six games. The pick: The Devils are just 2-8 in their last ten in the second game of a back-to-back as well. This one has has “blowout” written all over it. |
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11-27-18 | Avalanche v. Predators -155 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -155 | 23 h 34 m | Show |
The set-up: Colorado may have won four straight, but Nashville comes in having won six straight at home. The Avs could be getting “lucky” of late as well, as note that the power play is just 1 for 9 in its last two games, having gone 9 of 13 in chances over the previous five. Note that Avs’ net minder Varlamov is a pedestrian 11-12-2 with a 3.28 GAA lifetime against the Predators. The home side counters with Pekka Rinne, who has a 2.10 GAA and .925 save percentage on the year. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Nashville is 6-2 in its last eight after scoring five or more goals in its previous outing, while the Avs are just 9-25 in their last 34 road games vs. teams with an above .600 winning percentage. Lay the price. |
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11-26-18 | Senators v. Rangers -145 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 48 m | Show |
The set-up: The Senators have been terrible defensively of late and I think that trend of futility gets carried over here. The Sens enter off a 7-4 loss at Dallas on Friday. The Rangers had won three in a row before a 5-3 loss to the Capitals at home on Saturday. The pick: Take it for what you will though, but the Rangers are 7-1 in their last eight at home and the home team is 10-1 in the last 11 in this series. Look for these very strong trends to continue and lay this very reasonable price. Play on New York. |
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11-23-18 | Flames v. Golden Knights -120 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 35 h 45 m | Show |
The set-up: As a professional handicapper, I base my picks on many things. This particular one is based upon the “revenge” factor. Sometimes “revenge” can be overused by handicappers as a legitimate angle, but after losing 7-2 to the Flames in Calgary last week, I think the Knights come in focused on the task at hand here. LV did go into the Thanksgiving break off a 3-2 win over Arizona. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Knights are a perfect 3-0 in their last three in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it gave up five or more goals in. The achilles heel of the Flames has been their play on the road and I look for that trend to carry over here. Lay the reasonable price. |
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11-15-18 | Panthers v. Blue Jackets -125 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
The set-up: Columbus is 10-6-1 overall, but only 4-4 at home. The Blue Jackets come in off a 2-1 win at Dallas and with a tough two-game Eastern swing starting on Saturday, I look for them to carry over their momentum here. Florida on the other hand comes in complacent after five straight victories. And with a game at New York on Saturday, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught looking ahead. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Columbus is 30-15 (+9.4 units) when playing with two days of rest. Great price on the hungry home side. |
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11-08-18 | Sabres v. Canadiens -133 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -133 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
The set-up: Buffalo enters off a 3-1 road loss to the Rangers, while Montreal enters off a 5-3 road loss to the Rangers as well. But I don’t think that the home ice advantage can be overlooked here. Note that this is a revenge game as well for the Habs after the Sabres took the first meeting at home 4-3. The pick: The Sabres have lost four of their last five. Overall they’re averaging 2.87 GPG and allowing 2.92. Montreal is averaging 3.07 GPG and it’s allowing 3.00. Take it for what you will though, but Montreal is 6-2 in its last eight when playing on one days rest, while Buffalo is just 45-103 in its last 148 vs. teams with winning records. Great price, play on the Habs. |
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11-06-18 | Stars v. Blue Jackets -134 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 47 m | Show |
The set-up: No need to over think this one in my opinion, as Dallas comes in “dog tired” after a tough game in Boston on Monday night. The Blue Jackets look to take advantage and break a two-game slide. The pick: With a game in the nation’s capital up next, Tuesday’s contest takes on added importance for the Blue Jackets. Take it for what you will as well, but Columbus is 7-2 in its last nine following a two games or more unbeaten streak. Lay the price. |
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11-01-18 | Penguins -145 v. Islanders | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -145 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
The set-up: Pittsburgh’s four game win streak in which it scored 24 goals and allowed six, came to an end in a 6-3 home loss to these very Islanders on Tuesday night. Can anyone say “payback time?!” The pick: And there’s no question that this sets up as a classic letdown spot for New York which comes in off three straight victories on the road. Take it for what you will as well, but the Pens are 8-3 in their last 11 after allowing six or more goals in the first game of a home and home set in which they lost. Lay the price and expect a blowout. |
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10-30-18 | Devils v. Lightning -148 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
The set-up: The Devils broke a three-game slide with a 3-2 home win over the Panthers, but I think they’ll come up short in the opener of this tough Eastern swing, with upcoming games Detroit on Thursday and Pittsburgh on Sunday. Tampa is already 4-1 at home this year and there’s no reason not to think it can’t keep the momentum rolling. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but New Jersey is a terrible 32-52 (-9 units) the last two season against teams with winning records, while tampa Bay is 24-7 (+11.7 units) in its last 31 when playing with two days rest. Overall a great price in my opinion. Play on the Bolts. |
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10-27-18 | Penguins -200 v. Canucks | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
The set-up: The Canucks fell flat in Arizona last time out and they come into this one suffering through some significant injuries. Pittsburgh on the other hand comes in on top form and off a resounding 7-0 beatdown of the Flames on Thursday night. I think the massive talent discrepancy on both ends of the ice tonight make Pittsburgh well worth the price of admission in this spot. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Pittsburgh is 7-2 in its last nine road games after scoring six or more goals in its previous outing. Lay the price. |
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10-24-18 | Lightning -127 v. Avalanche | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
The set-up: No need to overthink this one as I believe this sets up as a classic letdown spot for the Avs, who enter at 6-1-1-1 overall and who just went 4-1 on a current road trip. With lowly Ottawa coming to town next, there’s no question that this sets up as a “trap” game for Colorado. After a tough 5-4 OT loss in Minnesota, Tampa bounced back with a 6-3 win at Chicago on Monday. But with a game in Vegas on Friday night, I expect the Lightning to take full advantage of this favorable spot. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Avs are just 2-7 in their last nine home games following a three games or more unbeaten streak. Play on the Lightning. |
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10-22-18 | Blues v. Jets -165 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
The set-up: I think the Jets are well worth the price of admission in this spot. The Blues got off the schneid with an upset win in Toronto on Saturday night, but I believe they’ll stumble again here in this difficult road venue. The win against the Leafs snapped a three-game slide, but with three whole nights off before an extended home stretch, I believe the Blues have a predicable letdown here. Winnipeg lost 5-4 to Edmonton in OT, but it’s since won back-to-back games over the Canucks and Coyotes and with the Leafs coming to town next, I think they’ll come in focused on the task at hand. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but St. Louis is just 2-9 in its last 11 as a road dog in the +150 to +175 range. Lay the price, play on the Jets. |
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10-21-18 | Flames -125 v. Rangers | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
The set-up: This is an important road game for the Flames and I think they’ll find a way to get the job done in the Big Apple on Sunday night. Calgary has tough upcoming games against Montreal, Pittsburgh Washington and Toronto, so taking advantage of this match-up is important. The Flames dropped a 5-3 decision at home to the Predators last time out, but note that they’re 7-2 in their last nine road games when the line in the contest is set between -135 and +135. The pick: The Rangers on the other hand come in off two exhausting efforts, first winning 3-2 in a shootout at home to the Avs, before then falling 4-3 in OT at Washington most recently. I think New York comes in “gassed” here and I look for the hungry visitors to take advantage. |
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10-19-18 | Predators v. Flames +100 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
The set-up: The Predators have played five straight at home and they come in having won four in a row. With a game tomorrow night in Edmonton, I absolutely feel that this sets up as a letdown spot for the Predators. The Flames on the other hand come in hot, as they’ve won four of their last five, including a convincing 5-2 win at home over high-powered Boston last time out. And with a tough two-game Eastern Swing in the Big Apple and against the Habs starting on Saturday, there’s no doubt this is an important game for the home side. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Calgary is 7-2 in its last nine home games when the line in the game is set between -135 and +135. Nashville stumbles and the Flames hot run at home continues. Play on Calgary. |
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10-15-18 | Kings v. Maple Leafs -183 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
The set-up: LA comes in off a 5-1 road loss in Ottawa and I think it’ll have its hands full here with a red hot Leafs team which returns home after a 4-2 road win in Washington. The pick: The Kings are just 2-3 and the offense is averaging only 2.20 GPG. The defense/goaltending has been decent in allowing only 2.40 GPG, but Toronto is averaging 4.83 GPG, while allowing 3.67. Take it for what you will as well, but the Kings are just 2-6 in their last eight against a team with a winning record just 2-6 in their last eight when playing on one days rest. No upset here. Look for the Leafs to come in focused and to deliver another relatively simple victory in front of the home town crowd. |