The Boston Celtics are coming to Miami for the Eastern Conference Finals. They won a very physically demanding series vs Milwaukee at home in game 7. Milwaukee was a good draw for the Celtics as the Bucks often are willing to give up threes but make things tough inside. Boston took advantage of a lot of open looks all series long and attempted 55 three-point shots in game 7 making 22. Miami is well rested after defeating the 76ers in 6 games. A team playing at home in the NBA playoffs in series game 1 in the conference championship round is 90-40 (.692) all-time. When you have a game that is very close to being a pick-em the home team is very advantaged as history has proven. Boston is quite likely to face an emotional letdown for this one, and Miami has won 6 straight conference championship game 1's. A team that played their previous series that took 7 games vs a team off a series of fewer than 7 games is 6-22 SU. Maimi is 18-7 SU at home this year vs a winning team. I don't necessarily think Miami is a better team, I just think they are in the better situation for game 1. Make the play on Miami.