Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-09-22 | Wolves -5.5 v. Rockets | Top | 141-123 | Win | 100 | 21 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Houston snapped an eight-game losing streak with a last second win over Washington on Wednesday but it did not take long for the Rockets to give it back as they were hammered at home on Friday by 24 points against the Mavericks. The Rockets are now 11-29 which is the worst record in the Western Conference by three games. Houston is much better at home with a 7-11 record compared to going 4-18 on the road but that is still nothing special with the way they have been playing overall. Houston is 3-21 ATS in its last 24 games when playing teams with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 while going 1-11 ATS in its last 12 home games coming off a double-digit home loss. Minnesota has won three straight games and has moved into the No. 8 spot in the Western Conference and after a 4-9 start, the Timberwolves have gone 15-11 over their last 26 games. This game and the next one at New Orleans are both huge as the schedule after that is daunting as six of their next eight games after that are against current playoff teams. The offense has a big edge over the porous Houston defense that is ranked No. 29 in points allowed and No. 29 in defensive shooting percentage. While the road has not been great, the Timberwolves are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a losing home record. Here, we play on road favorites off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival going up against an opponent off a home loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 69-26 ATS (72.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (519) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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01-09-22 | Saints -4 v. Falcons | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 119 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFC South Game of the Month. The Saints avoided playoff elimination by defeating the Panthers last week and they can clinch a playoff berth with a win here combined with a loss by the 49ers. Both games kick off at 4:25 ET so there will be scoreboard watching by New Orleans but first and foremost, the Saints have to take care of their own business. New Orleans is now 8-8 as it has won three of its last four games and while two those wins were against the Jets and Panthers, the other was against the Buccaneers and the Falcons should not show much resistance this week. New Orleans possesses the No. 8 ranked total defense in the league and its 19.7 ppg are good for No. 4 in the NFL. The offense has not been great with Taysom Hill but he does not have to be great here against a poor Falcons defense. The Saints are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams with a losing home record. Atlanta was officially eliminated from playoff contention last week with its loss to the Bills and there is just pride on the line that is remaining. The fact the Falcons made it to Week 17 with hopes still alive was surprising as they have underwhelmed on both sides of the ball, coming into this game ranked No. 26 in total offense, No. 27 in scoring offense, No. 24 in total defense and No. 29 in scoring defense. The Falcons have just one home win this season which came against Detroit in a game the Lions had a chance to win late. Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points averaging between 70 and 95 rushing ypg after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in two straight games going up against teams allowing between 95 and 125 rushing ypg. This situation is 49-19 ATS (72.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (467) New Orleans Saints |
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01-09-22 | Stars v. Blues -160 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS BLUES for our NHL Sunday Breakaway. Dallas has won four straight games including a 3-2 home win over Pittsburgh on Saturday and it has a 24-hour turnaround as it heads to St. Louis so it is at a big travel and rest disadvantage here. The Stars improved to 12-3-0-1 at home but are just 4-9-0-1 on the road which has hurt them in their early playoff pursuit as they are sitting in the No. 12 spot in the Western Conference. It is no surprise the four-game winning streak has come at home and with the COVID break, this is the Stars first road game since December 17, which happened to be a 4-1 loss in St. Louis. The Stars are 6-13 in their last 19 games playing with no rest. St. Louis is coming off a win over Washington on Friday and it is 3-1 in four games since the break. The Blues are in third place in the Western Conference with 45 points, three points behind Nashville for first place. St. Louis is 13-3-0-2 at home and has won 10 of its last 11 on home ice. The Blues are 4-1 in their last five games against teams with a winning record. The magic number for St. Louis is two as Dallas is 1-11 against the money line when they score two or less goals this season while St. Louis is 12-0 against the money line when they allow two or less goals this season. Dallas is averaging just over two gpg on the road while the Blues are allowing just over two gpg at home. 10* (32) St. Louis Blues |
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01-09-22 | Minnesota +11.5 v. Indiana | Top | 60-73 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS for our Big Ten Game of the Month. Minnesota opened the season 10-1 with the lone loss coming against Michigan St. before getting hammered by Illinois on Tuesday by 23 points. The Golden Gophers have played a schedule that has been pretty difficult as it is ranked No. 105 in the country and they are a perfect 3-0 on the road with impressive wins over Michigan and Mississippi St. as well as a victory at Pittsburgh. They are ranked No. 115 in offensive shooting percentage and No 127 in defensive shooting percentage and those are solid rankings based on the strength of schedule. The Golden Gophers are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. We won with Indiana earlier in the week as it blew away Ohio St. with a late run in the 67-51 victory. The Hoosiers improved to 11-3 overall and 2-2 in the Big Ten and they are now a perfect `10-0 at home. Against the Buckeyes, they were favored the 3.5 points and now they are laying double-digits against a very formidable team so Indiana is severely overpriced here as we have this line at -8 and the Hoosiers are getting a little too much respect. The win over Ohio St. as well as a win over Wisconsin were solid but that is about it as their schedule has not been nearly as difficult as that of Minnesota. The defense has played solidly, but the Minnesota offense is capable of pouring in the points to cover. Here, we play on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games going up against an opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games. This situation is 40-14 ATS (74.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (821) Minnesota Golden Gophers |
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01-08-22 | Cowboys v. Eagles +7.5 | Top | 51-26 | Loss | -118 | 99 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Saturday Primetime Punisher. We played against Dallas last week as the Cardinals produced a wire-to-wire cover which sent Dallas out of the possibly of the chance of the top spot in the NFC and is currently in the No. 4 spot in the conference. Like last week, the Cowboys are overvalued once again as they have been moved to a touchdown favorite on the road. Both the Cowboys and Eagles have clinched playoff spots and Dallas is projected to have a home rematch with the Cardinals in the first round of the playoffs should the percentages hold true with the games this week. Obviously, the Cowboys do not want to open the playoffs with a pair of losses but this should be another close game and grabbing the underdog here is a great value play. The Cowboys are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games against teams with a winning record. The Eagles were able to clinch last week with their come-from-behind win over Washington coupled with the Vikings loss to the Packers. Philadelphia is playing its best football of the season as it has won four straight games and six of its last seven and while the opposition has been below average, building confidence is even more important. The Eagles have relied on their running game all season and will do so again here as they are ranked No. 1 in rushing offense and square off against the No. 15 ranked rushing defense. They have outgained their last seven opponents and by an average of 110.3 ypg. They can definitely win in their season finale but we are not even asking them to do that here. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where they forced no turnovers going up against an opponent after two consecutive games where they committed one or fewer turnovers. This situation is 57-28 ATS (67.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (470) Philadelphia Eagles |
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01-08-22 | Capitals -130 v. Wild | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -130 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON CAPITALS for our NHL Nonconference Game of the Month. We won with Minnesota on Thursday as it took care of Boston on the road as a sizable underdog but we are going against the Wild here as they head home in a tough matchup. Minnesota snapped a five-game losing streak with the victory but suffered a key loss in the process as Wild leading scorer Kirill Kaprizov, who is also seventh in the league in scoring with 40 points, was injured and will not play tonight. That is a big loss for the offense that is averaging 3.63 gpg including 4.29 gpg at home, both of which are third highest in the NHL. Washington is coming off a loss on Friday in St. Louis which was its second straight loss, only the fourth time the Capitals have dropped consecutive games this season. Washington counters the Minnesota offense with a strong defense as it is allowing 2.66 gpg which is eighth fewest in the NHL. the Capitals are 7-1 in their last eight games after scoring two goals or less in their previous game. Here, we play against home teams against the money line after having lost five or six of their last seven games, well rested team playing three or less games in 10 days. This situation is 50-19 (72.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (17) Washington Capitals |
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01-08-22 | Knicks v. Celtics -7 | Top | 75-99 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. We were on Boston on Thursday at New York and the Celtics were seemingly in control as they built a 25-point lead only to get outscored by 28 points the rest of the way and lost on a banked three-pointer at the buzzer. Boston will be seeking revenge tonight to try and catch the Knicks who moved a game up on Boston in the NBA Atlantic Division and it now sits two games out of the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. The Celtics return home where they are 11-8 on the season and this is the time to make a move as they have a home-and-home with Indiana on deck. The Celtics are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a winning road record. The Knicks have now won two straight games and five of their last seven with all of those wins coming against losing teams and while Boston is lumped into that group, it is only a matter of time until the Celtics get rolling with this roster. The Knicks are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win. Here, we play on teams revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off two or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite. This situation is 98-50 ATS (66.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (510) Boston Celtics |
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01-08-22 | Florida Atlantic v. Marshall -4.5 | Top | 90-77 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD as part of our CBB Saturday Night Triple Play. Florida Atlantic is a game over .500 at 7-6 may seem pretty impressive but once you look at the schedule, it really is not. Of those seven wins, the best is against Tennessee-Martin which is 6-8 and the Owls are coming off a loss against High Point in their last game, which came in 5-8. Additionally, three of those seven wins were against non-Division I teams. They are 0-3 on the road and were actually favored twice which they have no business doing. They were picked to finish near the bottom on the conference and we should see why in their opener. The C-USA opener was not good for Marshall as it got blown out by 23 points at Louisiana Tech back on December 30. That ran the losing streak to four games for the Thundering Herd and all of those were by double-digits, three coming on the road where they are 1-5 on the season. They are 7-7 overall which matches their loss total from all of last season so it is time to regroup and take care of an inferior opponent at a price that is much too low in this spot. Playing the third tough schedule in the conference should have them equipped for a blowout. 10* (754) Marshall Thundering Herd |
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01-07-22 | Hawks v. Lakers -2.5 | Top | 118-134 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. The Lakers might be turning a slight corner as they have won three straight games to get over .500 and while they are 9.5 games out of first place in the NBA Pacific Division, they are in sixth place in the Western Conference, trailing Memphis by five games for fourth place and there is a lot of basketball left. They remain home after the three home wins and they have Memphis on deck for Sunday before hitting the road. Los Angeles is 13-10 at home and the overall numbers are better than the record shows as it is ranked No. 7 in offensive shooting percentage and No. 12 in defensive shooting percentage so the record does consist of some bad luck with 10 of those losses decided in the final minutes. The Lakers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a losing straight up record. Atlanta is coming off a win over Sacramento to snap a 1-4 slide and the Hawks are 2-1 on this five-game roadtrip that concluded on Sunday afternoon against the Clippers prior to the Lakers/Grizzlies game late that night. Atlanta is 9-11 on the road which is far from horrible but is catching a smaller than expected number here. The Hawks are solid on offense as they No. 7 in scoring and No. 7 in shooting but the defense has struggled all season and they are ranked No. 24 in both scoring defense and defensive shooting percentage. Atlanta is 4-13 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Here, we play on teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 where the line is +3 to -3 after having won three of their last four games, playing a marginal losing team. This situation is 29-10 ATS (74.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (578) Los Angeles Lakers |
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01-07-22 | Columbia +17.5 v. Princeton | Top | 69-84 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLUMBIA LIONS for our CBB Ivy League Game of the Month. Columbia and Princeton tip off Ivy League action on Friday and the Tigers open the conference season as massive favorites. They have won five straight games and are 10-3 on the season to finish a solid nonconference campaign. Princeton was picked to finish second in the Ivy this season but it is laying its biggest number of the season and it has played some patsies along the way. The Tigers possess a solid offense that is ranked No. 20 in the country in scoring offense and No. 12 in shooting percentage offense but the defense has kept some teams in games as they are ranked No. 228 in scoring defense and No. 282 in shooting percentage defense. Columbia has had a rough stretch over the last three seasons, obviously not counting last year, but the Lions have been pretty competitive and coaching can be attributed to that. They have had some tough luck with close defeats as half of their losses were by six points or less and in 2019-20, they were the fourth unluckiest team in the country according to KenPom and they look to get back on track here following three straight losses prior to having 24 days off heading into this game. Columbia has been outscored by 9.5 ppg this season which certainly is not good but the number is too good here to pass up. Columbia is 41-21 ATS in its last 62 games after failing to cover four or five of their last six games against the spread. Here, we play against favorites of 10 or more points allowing between 67 and 74 ppg going up against teams allowing between 74 and 78 ppg, after a win by 30 points or more. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (881) Columbia Lions |
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01-06-22 | Celtics -1.5 v. Knicks | Top | 105-108 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Two teams that were supposed to make some noise in the Eastern Conference are doing anything but that as Boston and New York are both at 18-20 and sitting on the outside looking in at the playoffs. It is still early obviously and we like the spot Boston is in here as the Celtics are coming off a loss at home against San Antonio last night. They have now lost four of their last six games with three of those coming by five points or less. Boston is 7-12 on the road but they have covered 11 of those games while going 11-7 ATS overall against teams with a losing record. The Celtics are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games when their starting five players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. New York won its last game on Tuesday as it defeated Indiana by 10 points at home to snap a two-game slide. The Knicks have struggled offensively this season as they are averaging just 104.7 ppg which is No. 27 in the NBA and its 43.6 shooting from the floor4 is No. 25 in the league. They will face a Boston defense that has turned the corner as it allows 44.1 percent shooting from the floor which is No. 7 overall and have been solid against the three-point line, allowing just 34.4 percent which is No. 11. The Knicks have been better on the road where they are a game over .500 compared to going just 8-11 at MSG. The Knicks are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 on the season. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (553) Boston Celtics |
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01-06-22 | Wild +152 v. Bruins | Top | 3-2 | Win | 152 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA WILD for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. Minnesota is in a funk as it has lost five straight games including its last game against St. Louis in its first game back from the break 6-4. The Wild have allowed an average of 4.8 gpg over this stretch and while the defense has been average all season, it is not this bad. They are now 19-10-0-2 and their 40 points has them four points behind Nashville for first place in the NHL Central Division. The offense remains fine as they are averaging 3.65 gpg which is third best in the league while their 3.12 gpg on the road is good for No. 10 on highway ice. They are efficient on the offensive end as their shooting percentage is 11.1 percent which is second best in the NHL. the Wild are 6-2 in their last eight games against teams with a winning record. Boston has three straight games since coming out of the break but all three games were against teams with losing records and none of which are in playoff positions. The Bruins are 17-10-1-1 which has them in eighth place in the Eastern Conference and they are 9-5-1-0 at home which is good but nothing special yet they come in extremely overpriced here. Their depth is a little thin as they have three players on the NHL COVID protocol list. Boston is averaging only 2.87 gpg at home which is tied for tenth lowest and its shooting percentage of 8.0 is fifth worst in the league. Boston is 10-14 against the money line in its last 24 games after three straight games with 33 or more shots on goal. Here, we play on road teams against the money line with a winning percentage between .600 and .700 off 2 consecutive divisional losses, in the first half of the season. This situation is 22-4 (84.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (57) Minnesota Wild |
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01-06-22 | Ohio State v. Indiana -2 | Top | 51-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA HOOSIERS as part of our CBB Thursday Triple Play. Ohio St. has caught fire as it has won five straight games including a 3-0 record in the Big Ten and it is one of three remaining undefeated teams in the conference. The Buckeyes are now 9-2 overall with the losses coming against Xavier and Florida, both away from home where they are 3-2 on the season. They have really done nothing special on either side of the floor as they are ranked No. 83 in the country in scoring offense and No. 183 in scoring defense. Ohio St. is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 road games after four straight games where they made 47 percent of their shots or better. Indiana is coming off a loss at Penn St. to snap a three-game winning streak which dropped the Hoosiers to 1-2 in the conference. It was a poor shooting night as Indiana shot just 36.7 percent from the floor in the first half including 22.2 percent from three-point range. For the game, the Hoosiers were just 4-17 (23.5 percent) from behind the arc. Indiana is No. 1 in the Big Ten and No. 3 in the country in shooting defense at 35.4 percent while holding opponents to 29.6 percent from long range which is No. 4 in the conference. It also leads the Big Ten in scoring defense at 61.6 ppg and is No. 3 in the Big Ten in shooting offense at 48.3 percent and rebound margin at +8.46. The Hoosiers are 9-0 at home with a scoring margin on 23.7 ppg. The Hoosiers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. Here, we play on home teams as a favorite or pickem after a close loss by three points or less going up against an opponent after a combined score of 165 points or more. This situation is 110-58 ATS (65.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (750) Indiana Hoosiers |
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01-05-22 | Nets -6.5 v. Pacers | Top | 129-121 | Win | 100 | 22 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month. Brooklyn is coming off another loss as it has now dropped three straight games and getting out on the road is a good thing. The Nets now trail Chicago by two games for the top spot in the Eastern Conference and are a game clear of Milwaukee. They have been great on the road with a 13-3 record but are just 10-9 at home and the return of Kyrie should bolster them to end this skid. Unlike Indiana, they have been extremely solid on both ends of the floor as they are allowing 43 percent shooting, which is No. 2 in the NBA, and they are shooting 46.6 percent, which is No. 7 in the league. The defense has struggled during the losing streak but facing a below average offense is what they need here. The Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record. Indiana has lost four straight games, all against likely playoff teams, and it will not get any easier here against what will be a focused Brookyln team. The Pacers have struggled on offense over this losing streak as they have gone 152-355 which is just 42.8 percent and now have to face one of the best defensive teams in the league. Indiana is a horrible 3-14 on the road and while its 11-9 home record is more respectable, it is nothing to write home about. The Pacers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games overall. Here, we play on road teams after having lost four or five of their last six games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 65-34 ATS (65.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (541) Brooklyn Nets |
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01-05-22 | VCU v. Dayton -1.5 | Top | 53-52 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the DAYTON FLYERS as part of our CBB Wednesday Triple Play. We are catching a good line with Dayton here as it is being undervalued mostly based on its 5-3 record at home which is below standards this early in the season. This is the Atlantic Ten opener for the Flyers as the first two scheduled games against Rhode Island and St. Bonaventure were postponed. They come in playing tough defense and that is due to being deeper as it has been in a long time. Dayton has depth this season as 10 players are averaging 7.5 minutes per game or more and nine players have had at least one game of 10 points or more. The Flyers have eight players averaging at least 6.0 ppg with four averaging double-digits. After three suspect losses to UMASS-Lowell, Lipscomb and Austin Peay, they have turned the corner with wins in seven of their last nine games including a win over Kansas. Dayton is 6-0 ATS in its last six January games. VCU is also playing its first conference game and has not played since December 15 because of similar COVID issues. The Rams have a four-game winning streak but that momentum is long gone. They play a very slow paced game and their scoring average of 60.5 ppg certainly reflects that but they still do not shoot the ball well as their 42.8 percent clip is ranked No. 251 in the country. This includes just 29.3 percent from long range which is No. 318 in the nation and they are one of the worst free throw shooting teams in the country at a mere 64 percent. Here, we play against underdogs averaging 53 or fewer shots per game on the season, after a game where they made 55 percent of their shots or better. This situation is 47-18 ATS (72.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (668) Dayton Flyers |
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01-04-22 | LSU +5 v. Kansas State | Top | 20-42 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the LSU TIGERS for our CFB Game of the Week. We have seen a huge line shift in this game favoring LSU based on public perception and some opt outs but the Tigers will be highly motivated so avoid their first losing season since 1999 and will be doing for their remaining coaches as well. Everyone has been down on LSU this season and rightfully so as it opened with a double-digit loss to UCLA and while it recovered with three straight losses, it went on a 1-4 stretch that cost Ed Orgeron his job. Of their six losses, the Tigers lost three games by one possession, all against SEC bowl teams, and that included a six-point loss at Alabama. LSU lost two big names on its defense two weeks ago, as senior linebacker Damone Clark and defensive tackle Neil Farrell opted out but this team is still loaded with talent on defense and they will face a pretty pedestrian offense. LSU is 8-0 ATS in its last eight games after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game while going 6-0 ATS in its last six games after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in two consecutive games. Kansas St. comes into the game riding a two-game losing streak to finish at 7-5 overall. One of those wins came against Southern Illinois of the FCS while three others came against non-bowl participants. Overall, they went 0-4 against teams ranked within the top 30 (LSU is ranked No. 29) so they have struggled against better competition. Kansas St. is ranked No. 101 in total offense and No. 81 in scoring offense so a lower scoring game is a good possibility which favors the underdog. The Wildcats did not have any players opt out of this game so that is an advantage as their roster comes intact into this game but top to bottom, it does not match up to that of LSU. Running back Deuce Vaughn, who rushed for 1,258 yards and 15 touchdowns while also hauling in 47 receptions for 471 yards will be main focal point for the Tigers as slowing him down basically shuts down the entire offense and the Tigers have the front seven to do so. The Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last five games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. 10* (285) LSU Tigers |
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01-04-22 | Spurs +5.5 v. Raptors | Top | 104-129 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. San Antonio has lost three straight games following a three-game winning streak to fall to 14-21 on the season which includes a bad loss against Detroit in overtime in its last game on Saturday. The Spurs were making a move in December but the recent stretch has sent them back and with upcoming games against Boston, Philadelphia and Brooklyn on deck, this is a big game to right the ship and try to make a move in the Western Conference. San Antonio is 7-11 on the road which is just a half-game worse than its record at home so it has not been horrible on the highway especially considering it has outscored its opponents overall. Overall, the Spurs are ranked No. 5 in scoring offense at 111.5 ppg as well as No. 5 in shooting offense at 46.8 percent from the floor. Toronto has won two straight games to move to a game under .500 both overall and at home. The Raptors offense is not nearly as potent as they are averaging 106.9 ppg which is No. 20 and they are shooting just 43.9 percent which is No. 24 in the league. This includes a 34.2 percent shooting percentage from long range which is also in the bottom third of the league. Their defense has kept them afloat but they have struggled of late, allowing an average of 117 ppg over their last six games and they catch the wrong team at the wrong time here. Toronto has covered seven of its last eight games which is providing contrarian value going the other way as the Spurs have failed to cover their last two games after cashing the number in their previous four games. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off two or more consecutive road losses, well rested team - playing six or less games in 14 days. This situation is 82-40 ATS (67.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (521) San Antonio Spurs |
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01-04-22 | Flames v. Panthers -132 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the FLORIDA PANTHERS for our NHL Tuesday Breakaway. Florida has won three straight games since coming out of the break, all coming at home, where it is now 17-3-0-0 which is the best home record in the NHL. the Panthers have taken advantage of a favorable schedule, not necessarily because of weak competition but because of the home/road split where they have played 20 games at home compared to just 12 on the road. They are averaging 3.78 gpg, which is second most in the NHL and their home average of 4.35 gpg is also good for second best in the league. Florida is outscoring opponents by close to a goal and a half per game and that scoring differential is also near the top of the league. While they will be facing a strong defense, they should be able to pepper the Flames with scoring chances as they lead the league with 36.5 shots per game. the Panthers are 42-12 in their last 54 games as a home favorite. Calgary has won its first two games on this roadtrip which was very important with this game up next and then games against Tampa Bay and Carolina coming up after and the home record of these three teams is a crazy 38-9-1-2. The Flames are solid on the road at 13-4-2-0 and that is helping with this line for Florida. This will be strength against strength as the Calgary defense is the best as it allows just 2.11 gpg on the road but it has not faced an offense of this caliber as it has played just one team on the road that is ranked in the top ten in home scoring. The Flames are 0-4 in their last four games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on teams against the money line off three or more consecutive home wins going up against an opponent off a road win scoring four or more goals. This situation is 24-7 (77.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (24) Florida Panthers |
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01-04-22 | Kentucky v. LSU -1 | Top | 60-65 | Win | 100 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the LSU TIGERS as part of our CBB Tuesday Triple Play. Kentucky is off to a great start compared to the disaster from last season as it is 11-2 and ranked No. 13 in the country. The Wildcats have won four straight games that started with a 29-point win over North Carolina and while that was very impressive, that has been the only good win as the schedule has played a role in the success. The two losses came against Duke and Notre Dame with the latter being their only true road game of the season. Games against North Carolina and Duke have helped strengthen the Kentucky schedule but it is still ranked No. 324 in the country and that is out of 358 teams. This has inflated their offensive and defensive numbers as they are No. 11 in scoring offense and No. 33 in scoring defense. The Wildcats are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win. We played against LSU last week as it lost by 15 points at Auburn which was its first loss of the season and first true road game as well. The Tigers return home where they are 8-0 and will be out to make up for that first loss of the season. They do own quality wins away from home against Penn St. , Wake Forest and Louisiana Tech and we still are not sure how good this Kentucky team really is especially when it comes to tough SEC road games. LSU has played a much tougher schedule to attain its record as it has played the No. 144 ranked slate in the nation. Despite the tougher slate, they are on pace with Kentucky offensively, off the mark by just five points and on defense, LSU is ranked No. 5 in the country by allowing 55.3 ppg. The Tigers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play against road teams as an underdog or pickem that are averaging 76 or more ppg going up against teams allowing 63 or fewer ppg after three straight wins by 10 points or more. This situation is 127-71 ATS (64.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (622) LSU Tigers |
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01-03-22 | Browns v. Steelers +1 | Top | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 23 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Everything played out on Sunday, and not in a good way, for Cleveland as it was officially eliminated from playoff contention with Cincinnati, Las Vegas and Los Angeles all winning. The motivation level for the Browns should be at a low as they have nothing to play for with the exception of trying to beat their rival and eliminate the Steelers from the playoffs but looking at their own situation could easily outweigh that. It was a major disappointment this season for Cleveland which came in as a sleeper Super Bowl contender but never got anything going as poor execution, poor coaching at times and a poor passing game could not compliment a strong defense. The defensive effort on Monday is going to be a question mark but full focus is unlikely. The Browns are 0-5 ATS in their last five games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Pittsburgh is still alive in the AFC at 7-7-1 but it has to win out and get some help. After getting pummeled last week against Kansas City, the Steelers will not be a popular play but this is a good spot catching Cleveland at this time. While the playoffs are the big story, the future of Ben Roethlisberger is also a headline with his future in doubt indicating this probably will be his last home game. For what he has done with this franchise, every players will be giving 110 percent effort for him and to keep their playoff hopes alive. Both sides have been below average but the passing game has been surprisingly efficient at times as they are ranked No. 14 and that is what they have to bank on. The Steelers are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games as a home underdog. Here, we play against teams in a game involving two teams with 1.25 or fewer tpg forced, after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 35-17 ATS (67.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (132) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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01-03-22 | Grizzlies v. Nets -7 | Top | 118-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Memphis has won four straight games and remains one of the surprises out of the Western Conference as it is 24-14 and currently holds down the No. 4 spot in the conference, two and a half games ahead of Denver. The Grizzlies are a solid 10-6 on the road but they look to be extremely short-handed tonight as they have seven players on the NBA health and safety protocol list including Dillon Brooks, who is averaging 19.3 ppg, De'Anthony Melton, who is averaging 10.5 ppg along with five reserves so quality depth is an issue. They have been below average on both sides as they are allowing 45.6 percent shooting, which is No. 17 in the league, and are shooting 45.2 percent, which is No. 18 in the NBA. The success of the Grizzlies is keeping this line at a decent price as well. Brooklyn has lost two straight games including a loss to the Clippers on Saturday by four-points as a 14-point favorite. The Nets now trail Chicago by one game for the top spot in the Eastern Conference and are two games clear of Milwaukee. they have been great on the road with a 13-3 record but are just 10-8 at home which is also helping with the value. Unlike Memphis, they have been extremely solid on both ends of the floor as they are allowing 42.9 percent shooting, which is No. 2 in the NBA, and they are shooting 46.6 percent, which is No. 7 in the league. With the exception of no Kyrie Irving still, the roster remains almost completely intact with just two players on the NBA health and safety protocol list. The Nets are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off an upset loss as a favorite of 10 points or more, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 41-17 ATS (70.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (506) Brooklyn Nets |
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01-03-22 | Oilers +115 v. Rangers | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON OILERS for our NHL Monday Breakaway. We lost with Edmonton on Saturday but will be riding the Oilers in a good bounce back spot. Edmonton is coming off a loss at the Islanders, which was its second straight overtime loss and has dropped all three games since coming out of the stoppage. It has been a rough stretch for the Oilers which have lost nine of their last 11 games and they remain in fourth place in the NHL Pacific Division, trailing Vegas by seven points. Their defense has been shoddy but had a good effort against the Islanders yet the problem was the offense could get no rhythm as they tallied only 19 shots and did not have a single power play opportunity. They are averaging 3.38 gpg both overall and on the road and could catch a tired team Monday with a chance to get that offense back on track. The Oilers are 18-7 in their last 25 games against teams from the Metropolitan Division. The Rangers are coming off a win over Tampa Bay on Sunday so that is where the tiredness could come from and beating the Lightning could also set up a letdown opportunity. The 4-0 win came despite getting outshot by Tampa Bay 38-21 but took advantage of the power play, going 2-3 in the man advantage. They are just two points behind Washington for first place in the Metropolitan Division as they have won two straight games following a 1-3-0-1 stretch. They have scored only nine power play goals at home all season and overall, New York is averaging just 2.69 gpg at MSG which is seventh lowest in the NHL so this is the second straight game that Edmonton will face a low scoring team on their home ice. The Rangers are 7-20 in their last 27 games against teams from the Pacific Division. 10* (17) Edmonton Oilers |
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01-02-22 | Suns -3 v. Hornets | Top | 133-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Both Phoenix and Charlotte have been hit by COVID as each team will have some key players out on Sunday. For the Suns, Deandre Ayton, JaVale McGee and Jae Crowder while for the Hornets, Miles Bridges and P.J. Washington have all been placed on the NBA health and safety protocol list. The Suns were thumped in Boston on Friday by 15 points which was their third loss in four games and with the Warriors win at Utah Saturday, they trail the Warriors by a game in the NBA Pacific Division. Phoenix is 11-4 on the road and it has covered four of six games on the road against winning teams with five of those teams still possessing winning records. The Suns are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Charlotte has won three straight games to cove to two games over .500 and it is even more impressive considering the Hornets have played 23 road games compared to just 13 games at home which has translated into a schedule that is ranked No. 8 in the league so this will not be an easy out for the Suns. Charlotte is just 3-9 against the top ten in the league however and while going 13-3 against the bottom half of the NBA, it is just 6-14 against the top half. Charlotte is a perfect 7-0 ATS at home against teams with a winning record but those wins are at the time of the game and only three of those teams are currently over .500 so that is deceiving. The Hornets are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games against team with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (569) Phoenix Suns |
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01-02-22 | Flames -175 v. Blackhawks | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY FLAMES for our NHL Sunday Breakaway. After 19 days off following a four-game losing streak, Calgary took care of Seattle with a 6-4 win on Thursday to move to 16-7-6-0 on the season. The Flames had a hold of first place for a while in the NHL Pacific Division but Vegas has caught fire and the Flames sit six points behind the Knights. Their five-game roadtrip continues Sunday and with games at Florida, Tampa Bay and Carolina on deck, this is a big spot as those three teams are a combined 38-9-1-2 at home. Calgary is 12-4-2-0 on the road which is the best road record in the Western Conference and second best in the entire league. The defense has been the catalyst for the success as the Flames away allowing 2.17 gpg on highway ice which is best in the league and face a struggling offense. The Flames are 5-1 in their last six games as a road favorite. Chicago has lost three straight games following a 6-1 loss to Nashville on Saturday and the Blackhawks are now 11-16-4-0 overall and their 26 points has them sitting in seventh place in the NHL Central Division. They return home where they are 6-6-2-0 which is respectable but the offense remains an enigma here as they are averaging just 2.36 gpg in those 14 games which is fifth lowest in the NHL. the power play is part of the issue as they are scoring at a 15.4 percent clip. The defense has not been much better as they are allowing 3.07 gpg and that is tied for No. 23 in the league. The Blackhawks are 2-6 in their last eight games playing on no rest. Here, we play against home underdogs of +100 to +150 against the money line with a winning percentage between .300 and .400 revenging a road loss by three goals or more, playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season. This situation is 23-5 (82.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (13) Calgary Flames |
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01-02-22 | Cardinals +5.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 25-22 | Win | 100 | 148 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Game of the Year. Dallas is a public team to begin with but after its dominating performance on Sunday Night Football that everybody saw, the Cowboys will be heavily bet again and we have already seen a big line move from the advanced line. Dallas clinched the NFC East this past week and still has something to play for as it will be looking to secure the No. 2 seed in the conference. The Cowboys offense poured it on against Washington to remain No. 1 in both total offense and scoring offense but will be facing a tough defense this week and things will not come as easy. The Cowboys are just No. 18 in total defense and they face a duel threat in Kyler Murray which is a whole new test. We could definitely see a letdown here after the blowout against their rival. The Cowboys are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning record. This was going to be a play on Arizona even before the Dallas game against Washington and now we are getting even more value with the Cardinals that are in desperate need for a win. Arizona has lost three straight games to fall from the top seed in the conference to a Wild Card team. This includes a bad loss against Detroit but they were competitive against the Rams and Colts so playing a top level team here is no problem. Despite the three losses, the Cardinals won the yardage battle in all three games so while everyone is looking at just the scores, digging into the box score is more important. They have surprisingly struggled at home but are 7-1 on the road including solid wins against the Titans, Rams and 49ers. The Cardinals are 17-6-3 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after allowing 14 points or less last game. This situation is 57-23 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (109) Arizona Cardinals |
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01-02-22 | UCF v. SMU -3.5 | Top | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the SMU MUSTANGS for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. We won with SMU in its last game as it won and covered at Tulsa to open AAC action with a victory, its seventh straight following a pair of losses on a neutral floor at the Jacksonville Classic. The Mustangs are 8-0 at home this season that does include quality wins against Dayton and Vanderbilt and this could be argued as their biggest test of the young season. The Mustangs are 29-4 in the past 33 games at Moody Coliseum. SMU is leading the AAC in three-pointers made with 9.3 per game and three-point percentage at 38.2 percent which is No. 28 in the country while averaging 78.8 ppg which is No. 2 in the conference. The Mustangs are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. UCF is off to a solid 9-2 start following an upset win over Michigan at home on Thursday. The Knights shot 72.0 percent from the floor and hit all eight of their three-point attempts in the second half so the hot shooting was able to erase a 12-point deficit and after playing in front of the largest home crown in school history, a letdown is possible. The Knights are also 1-0 in conference play as they won their opener at Temple, who is expected to finish near the bottom on the AAC. They have won five straight overall and UCF is 3-1 on the road with the other two wins coming at Miami and Evansville so they will certainly have the attention of the Mustangs. The Knights are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a ATS win. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after four or more consecutive wins going up against an opponent after seven or more consecutive wins. This situation is 26-3 ATS (89.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (778) SMU Mustangs |
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01-01-22 | Warriors +5.5 v. Jazz | Top | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. This game sets up very similar for Golden St. with its game against Phoenix on Christmas. It is not often you see Golden St. as an underdog this big but here the Warriors are. Golden St. is coming off a loss to Denver but has won six of eight and eight of 11 games and they still have in the NBA Pacific Division. The Warriors lead Phoenix by a half-game and they now possess the best record in the NBA. Obviously, Steph Curry has been the main focal point of the Warriors success, but they rely on balance after that and the return of Andrew Wiggins provides more offensive pop. The offense remains potent as they are ranked No. 8 in scoring offense and No. 5 in shooting offense while the defense is still the top ranked unit in the league. The Warriors are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Utah is coming off a win over Minnesota on Friday to make it six straight wins but the opposition was below average as the best win came against Dallas at homer by four points. Utah is 26-9 overall and has actually been better on the road with a 12-3 record while going just 14-6 at home. The Jazz are the highest scoring team in the NBA and they are No. 1 in shooting offense while sitting at No. 6 from behind the arc and while the defense is not quite at that level, they are No. 8, No. 8 and No. 3 in those categories respectively so they are an all-around solid team but are overvalued here. The Jazz are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play against favorites after scoring 120 points or more two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 43 points or less in the first half last game. this situation is 44-17 ATS (72.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (557) Golden St. Warriors |
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01-01-22 | Utah +4.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 45-48 | Win | 100 | 75 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH UTES for our CFB Game of the Month. Utah closed the regular season with five straight wins to get into the Pac 12 Championship where it dominated Oregon for the second time in three games so it showed that it can slow down a potent offense as it allowed a combined 17 points to the Ducks. The Utes could be one of the most underrated teams in the country as it dominated most opponents and the run down the stretch brings in a ton of momentum into the Rose Bowl. They are making their first trip to the Rose Bowl but they will not be starstruck as it will be business as usual and while this line may seem low, it is not at all as the matchup involved has brought this number down despite the majority of the money and bets are on Ohio St. the Utes are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win. Ohio St. lost out on a chance for a spot in the College Football Playoff after getting manhandled by Michigan as its 10 wins were bookended by losses. The Buckeyes were dominated on the offensive and defensive lines when they played Michigan and Utah brings a similar type of physical play and can make life just as difficult. Ohio St. is ranked No. 1 in the country in both total offense and scoring offense so it will not be easy for the Utes but you know have been breaking down that Michigan tape. The Buckeyes are going to be without two of their top receivers as Chris Olave and Garrett Wilson have opted out which is surprising considering the magnitude of this game. They are on the opposite end of the motivation here. The Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season averaging between 190 and 230 rushing ypg going up against teams allowing between 140 and 190 rushing ypg, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. this situation is 50-17 ATS (74.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (281) Utah Utes |
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01-01-22 | Providence v. DePaul +1.5 | Top | 70-53 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the DEPAUL BLUE DEMONS for our CBB Game of the Week. Providence is coming off a pair of big wins over Connecticut and Seton Hall to improve to 12-1 on the season. The Friars have now won seven straight games and are ranked in the top 25 thanks to a solid defense but the offense is still lagging behind. Providence is averaging 69.8 ppg which is No. 237 in the country and the issue has been long range shooting where it is just No. 233, hitting at a 32.5 percent clip. They are 2-0 on the road with the wins coming over the aforementioned Huskies as well as Wisconsin and this could be a tough game to get up for in what might be considered a letdown spot. The Friars are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite. DePaul is coming off a tough loss against Butler but it is still off to a solid 9-2 start that includes wins over Rutgers and Louisville in non-conference play. The Blue Demons have played three straight road games and this is their first home game since December 7. They are 7-1 at home with the only setback being a four-point loss to Loyola-Chicago so they will be fired up to be back on their home floor. DePaul is ranked second in the Big East in scoring offense as it is averaging 79.5 ppg being led by Javon Freeman-Liberty who has averaged 20.2 ppg, 8.2 rpg and four apg. Overall, they are No. 42 in the country in scoring so they have the firepower to take control of this game against a below average offense. A win will snap a six-game losing streak against ranked opponents as the last win over a ranked team was a 79-66 decision against No. 5 Butler on January 18, 2020. The Blue Demons are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four home games. 10* (654) DePaul Blue Demons |
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01-01-22 | Oilers +101 v. Islanders | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
01-01-22 | Memphis v. Wichita State | Top | 82-64 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the WICHITA ST. SHOCKERS for our CBB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. It has been a decent start for Wichita St. which is 9-3 on the season but one of those losses came against North Texas at home and now it starts conference play. The Shockers have the best player on the floor in Tyson Etienne who is the reigning 2020-21 AAC Player of the Year and is off to a good yet unspectacular start. The Shockers have three starters back including Morris Udeze and Dexter Dennis on top of Etienne. Dennis was on the 2019-20 AAC All Freshman Team and Wichita St. also has another player who earned that honor last season with Ricky Council IV so not only is there great experience but talented experience. Wichita St. is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games after scoring 95 points or more. Memphis opened AAC action on Wednesday and it resulted in a one-point loss at Tulane as a 6-point favorite. The Tigers were once a top 10 team but have now lost five of their last six games and while the schedule has not been easy, the tough road continues here in another tough environment. They are 0-3 on the road with the losses coming by a combined eight points and those close defeats are providing a great number with the home team. The defense remains the big issue as they are allowing 70.6 ppg which is No. 232 in the country. The Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. Here, we play against road teams as an underdog or pickem after a loss by six points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game. this situation is 155-94 ATS (62.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (608) Wichita St. Shockers |
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12-31-21 | Georgia -7.5 v. Michigan | Top | 34-11 | Win | 100 | 77 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA BULLDOGS for our CFB Orange Bowl Winner. The College Football Playoffs begin on Friday and the second game has Georgia going up against Michigan in the Orange Bowl. The Bulldogs had the inside track for the No. 1 spot but fell to Alabama in the SEC Championship 41-24 but the game was closer as an Alabama interception for a touchdown early in the fourth quarter broke it open. We expect a big bounce back here especially from the defense as the 41 points allowed against the Tide was more than its previous five games combined. One of the concerns with the Georgia defense throughout the season was its pass defense as the front-seven has been great, but the Bulldogs did not have to face an offense with a lot of firepower, until Alabama. The Bulldogs do not have to worry about that here. The Bulldogs are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following an ATS loss. A tough loss against Michigan St. was the only blemish for Michigan this season as it closed the season with a home win over Ohio St. and then a rout of Iowa in the Big Ten Championship. The Wolverines play a different style of offense compared to the Tide as Michigan has run the ball 547 times through 13 games, more than any team Georgia has faced. Even though their rushing game is ranked No. 10 in the country with one of the top offensive lines, this is a much better matchup for Georgia. Defensively, the Wolverines are solid but not spectacular in one area as they are ranked No. 21 in rushing defense and No. 22 in passing defense. They will be facing one of the better offenses they have seen as the Bulldogs are No. 7 in the country in scoring. The Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last five neutral site games as an underdog. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points allowing 3.25 or less rushing ypc, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games. This situation is 61-30 ATS (67 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (269) Georgia Bulldogs |
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12-31-21 | Capitals -144 v. Red Wings | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
12-31-21 | Bulls v. Pacers +3.5 | Top | 108-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Chicago has won five straight games to move to 22-10 overall and it now sits in second place in the Eastern Conference, one game behind Brooklyn but it is also only 2.5 games out of fourth place. The Bulls are a solid 10-6 on the road but they are just 1-2 over their last three on the highway with the lone win coming against Atlanta. They remain shorthanded with seven players on the NBA health and safety protocol list including Lonzo Ball who has made an immediate impact for Chicago in his first year with the team. They have been one of the better offensive teams, ranking No. 8 in points scored and No. 3 in shooting offense but their defense remains a very average unit. Indiana has lost two straight games and is now seven games under. 500 for the season. The Pacers have been one of the worst road teams in the league where they are 3-13 but they are a much more respectable 11-8 at home where they have won five of their last seven with one of those losses coming against Golden St. by just two points and includes solid wins over Dallas, New York and Washington.. They are outscoring opponents by close to four ppg on their home floor where they are shooting 46.9 percent from the floor. Malcolm Brogdon was placed on the health and safety protocol list on Thursday but this is not an issue considering he has already missed the last three games with an Achillies injury. Here, we play against road teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after two consecutive covers as a favorite, playing a team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. This situation is 31-10 (76.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (530) Indiana Pacers |
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12-31-21 | Northeastern -8 v. William & Mary | Top | 70-71 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHEASTERN HUSKIES for our CBB Friday Enforcer. Typically, we do not lay this many points on the road but this is a great spot for Northeastern. William & Mary opened the season 0-12 before pulling off an upset on Wednesday against Hofstra by one point as a 17-point underdog. The early season nonconference schedule was not easy but it was far from difficult as some of those losses came against Hampton, Navy, Radford, Howard, Norfolk St. and American. This certainly presents a letdown spot for the Tribe after their maiden win of the season and while you can argue momentum is on their side, we will be banking on the opposite against a quality team that is hungry for a victory. William & Mary is ranked No. 314 or worse on offense in scoring, shooting, three-point shooting and free throw shooting. The Tribe are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 home games against teams with a losing road record. Northeastern opened Colonial League action with a three-point loss at Elon, its second straight loss following a three-game winning streak. The Huskies are projected to be a top team in the conference once again so this is actually a big early season game that they should be able to take care of easily. Northeastern has yet to win on the road as it is 0-4 but this is the best opportunity to end that before heading home for a pair of conference games against College of Charleston and UNC-Wilmington next week. The offense is significantly better than that of the Tribe while the defense is better in three of the four key categories. The Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (857) Northeastern Huskies |
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12-30-21 | Arizona State v. Wisconsin -6 | Top | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 59 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the WISCONSIN BADGERS for our CFB Blowout of the Month. Wisconsin had a seven-game winning streak snapped in its regular season finale against Minnesota which cost it a berth into the Big Ten Championship game. Instead, the Badgers finished in a three-way tie for second place at 6-3 and finished 8-4 overall. This Wisconsin team is not much different than most we are accustomed to as it has a strong rushing game and a defense that does not give up much. The Badgers finished No. 16 in the country with 215.3 ypg on the ground and defensively, they were No. 1 in the country in total defense, allowing just 241.4 ypg while finishing No. 6 in scoring defense, yielding only 16.4 ppg and this came against the No. 7 ranked schedule in the country. The Badgers are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Arizona St. also finished 8-4 but the very weak Pac 12 played a big role in that and the Sun Devils will have their hands full here especially with a lot of key players not making the trip because of opt outs and transfers. Arizona St. will not have its top two running backs, Rachaad White and Deamonte Trayanum, its top two cornerbacks, Chase Lucas and Jack Jones and its best linebacker, Darien Butler. The Sun Devils will lean even more heavily on quarterback Jayden Daniels who is a duel threat but without his two best rushers behind him, he could find it difficult to find a lot of success against the stout Wisconsin defense. Arizona St. does have a strong defense but again, it is missing key players and Arizona St. beat only one team with a winning record. The Sun Devils are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a rushing defense allowing 3.25 or less ypc, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games. This situation is 61-30 ATS (67 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (262) Wisconsin Badgers |
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12-30-21 | Marshall v. Louisiana Tech -6.5 | Top | 56-79 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. Louisiana Tech is off to a 9-3 start as it enters C-USA action on Thursday. It dies not have any great wins, Santa Clara on the road being the best, but its three losses came against Alabama, NC State and LSU and the Bulldogs are back in action after eight days off. They are 7-0 at home and overall, they have won 15 straight home games going back to last season. Louisiana Tech is ranked third in C-USA and No. 32 overall in the country in scoring offense at 80.7 ppg. The Bulldogs also rank first in the conference and No. 37 in the nation in assist/turnover ratio at 1.38. The Bulldogs are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams with a losing road record. Marshall is 7-6 on the season and is riding a three-game losing streak heading into Thursday. All three losses were by double-digits and while their nine days off should help to try and get them back together, they come in with a 1-4 record on the road with three of those losses coming by at least 10 points. The Thundering Herd were averaging 83.1 ppg during their first 10 games, but have averaged just 62.7 ppg during their three-game losing skid. The Thundering Herd are 0-7-2 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points shooting between 45 and 47.5 percent going up against teams shooting between 42.5 and 45 percent, after a game where they made 55 percent of their shots or better. This situation is 80-42 ATS (65.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (794) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
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12-30-21 | Lightning +120 v. Panthers | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING for our NHL Thursday Breakaway. Tampa Bay is coming off a 5-4 overtime win over Montreal on Tuesday and while it was not pretty, it got the Lightning on the right track following a layoff. Having a game under their belt will help in this matchup as they hit the road as an underdog against their in-state rival. Tampa Bay is 10-3-1-1 on highway ice and the offense has been the key as they are averaging 3.40 gpg which is fifth most in the NHL. They have not been as strong defensively which may be a concern here but they are in a great spot at a great price. The Lightning are 4-0 in their last four games against teams with a winning record. This is the first game for Florida since the layoff and while it may be fresh, the rust could be a detriment. The Panthers are six points behind Tampa Bay in the NHL Atlantic Division and they are that close thanks to a 14-3-0-0 record at home. They are one of the highest scoring offenses on home ice at 4.06 gpg which has carried them to this record and thus, a favorite price against the defending champions. The layoff might have been a good thing for Florida as it was riding a three-game losing streak prior to taking 14 days off and this includes two home losses including an ugly one against Ottawa 8-2. The Panthers are 1-4 in their last five games overall. Here, we play against home teams when the money line is -100 to -150 against division opponents, playing three or less games in 10 days. This situation is 41-16 (71.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (23) Tampa Bay Lightning |
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12-29-21 | Canucks v. Ducks -121 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -121 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the ANAHEIM DUCKS for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. The two-week hiatus certainly hurt Vancouver as it was riding a six-game winning streak so the momentum from that has been killed. The Canucks are 6-8-0-1 on the road and during that winning streak, only one of those victories came on the road. They are averaging just 2.73 gpg on the highway which is right in the middle of the pack so they have not been horrible but they will find it tough here as the Ducks allow just 2.35 gpg at home which is sixth best in the NHL. The Canucks are 3-8 in their last 11 games as an underdog. Anaheim closed out with a loss in overtime against Arizona as a -306 favorite but that is certainly in the rear view mirror. The Ducks are 10-4-2-1 at home and are catching a great number here which is partly due to the Vancouver winning streak prior to the time off. While the defense has been great at home, the offense is averaging 3.41 gpg on home ice which is tied for No. 8 in the league. With games against Vegas and Colorado on deck, this is a big game for Anaheim. The Ducks are 9-1 in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. Here, we play against road teams against the money line after successfully covering the spread in 6 or more consecutive games, well rested team playing 3 or less games in 10 days. This situation is 40-15 (72.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (22) Anaheim Ducks |
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12-29-21 | LSU v. Auburn -4 | Top | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the AUBURN TIGERS as part of our CBB Wednesday Triple Play. Since a loss in overtime against Connecticut, Auburn has won eight straight games to improve to 11-1 on the season and opens SEC action at home in an early season battle of ranked teams. The Tigers are 6-0 at home as half of their games have been off campus so they have looked good in what has not been a cakewalk schedule and are in a good spot as a small chalk. The Tigers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. LSU is off to a perfect 12-0 start and is ranked No. 16 in the country as it has outscored opponents by over 25 ppg. The Tigers have played a handful of neutral site games and this is their first true on campus road game and they are certainly being thrown into the fire out of the gate. These are the spots to go against, especially this far into the season. The Tigers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after a cover as a double digit favorite, with two more starters returning from last year than opponent. This situation is 38-13 ATS (74.5 percent) since 1997. 10* (660) Auburn Tigers |
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12-29-21 | Maryland -3.5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 54-10 | Win | 100 | 45 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the MARYLAND TERRAPINS for our CFB Wednesday Pinstripe Bowl Winner. Maryland is in its first bowl games since 2016 so it should be pretty fired to finally get back to the postseason. The Terrapins finished 6-6 which was rather disappointing after starting the season 4-0. But five of the next seven games came against ranked teams and one of the others was now 8-4 Minnesota. The Maryland offense is the best unit on the field in this game as it finished No. 33 in the nation in total offense and it will go up against a below average Virginia Tech defense that is missing key players. On the other side, the Terrapins have been below average as well but their strength is stopping the run and they will likely see a lot of that based on the Hokies personnel changes heading into the bowl game. The Terrapins are 5-1 ATS in their last six nonconference games. The Hokies also finished 6-6 highlighted by a season ending win against rival Virginia to become bowl eligible. It was considered a down year and that led to the dismissal of head coach Justin Fuentes so they will have a whole new coaching staff in place and that can be an issue. The personnel changes referred to is that Virginia Tech is down three key players on offense, quarterback Braxton Burmeister and its leading two receivers. They are also down their best cornerback and their top pass rusher so they could very well struggle against the pass. Overall, the offense is ranked No. 90 while the defense is ranked No. 72 and obviously those rankings are now skewed based on what they lost heading into Wednesday. The Hokies are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a ATS win. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off an upset win as a road underdog going up against an opponent off a road win. This situation is 41-17 ATS (70.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (249) Maryland Terrapins |
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12-28-21 | Golden Knights -148 v. Kings | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 32 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS for our NHL Western Conference Game of the Month. The NHL is back in action on Tuesday following long layoff and one game has already been postponed so we might see more at this point. We will keep this short based on the layoff. Vegas is 10-5-0-0 on the road while averaging 3.53 gpg in those 15 games which is second most in the NHL. The Golden Knights are 39-12 in their last 51 games against teams with a losing record. Los Angeles is 14-11-4-1 overall which includes an 8-6-1-1 record at home. The Kings have struggled on offense at home as they are averaging 2.88 gpg which is middle of the league and that is an issue to keep up here. The home/road splits on defense are very similar so this comes down to the potent Vegas offense. The Kings are 4-11 in their last 15 games as a home underdog. Here, we play on road favorites of -200 or less against the money line with a winning percentage between .600 and .700 revenging a loss of two goals or more. This situation is 61-19 (76.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (75) Vegas Golden Knights |
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12-28-21 | Fresno State v. Boise State -4 | Top | 55-65 | Win | 100 | 26 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOISE ST. BRONCOS for our MWC Game of the Month. MWC play tips off for Fresno St. and Boise St. on Tuesday. Fresno St. is coming off a blowout win over Weber St. last Wednesday which was its first road win of the season following three straight losses. The Bulldogs are 10-3 overall and that solid record is keeping this line relatively low. The Bulldogs allow 54.9 ppg and 38.2 percent shooting, ranking No. 3 and No. 23 in the nation, respectively. Of course, that has come against a relatively easy schedule so even though the Bulldogs have made a big jump in the power rankings, those defensive rankings are skewed. The Bulldogs are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Boise St. has won six straight games to improve to 9-4 on the season. The Broncos have two wins over Power Five Conferences, including a 10-point win over Mississippi, and neither of those came at home. The Boise St. offense has struggled at times but it has gotten hot during the winning streak, as it is shooting 48.5 percent from the floor and 39.8 percent from three-point range. The Broncos have also picked it up on the defensive side as they have allowed 60 or fewer points in all six games while allowing opponents to shoot 36.5 percent from the floor including 28.6 percent from behind the arc. The Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging between 67 and 74 ppg going up against teams allowing 63 or fewer ppg, after allowing 65 points or less in three straight games. This situation is 100-53 ATS (65.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (616) Boise St. Broncos |
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12-28-21 | Lakers -4.5 v. Rockets | Top | 132-123 | Win | 100 | 21 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. The Lakers are floundering with five straight losses with three of those coming against elite teams in Chicago, Phoenix and Brooklyn. This is the perfect opponent to break the streak even though they are short-handed with Anthony Davis and Russell Westbrook out with a knee injury and health and safety protocol respectively. This means it will be the LeBron James show and he will have Carmelo Anthony alongside to provide some scoring punch. While the offense has been below average during the losing streak, the defense has been horrible the last two games, allowing 138 and 122 points. They have gone just 12-22 ATS this season so there is value in the number based on that as well. Houston has lost three straight games, all on the road where the Rockets are 3-16, and they head home where they are a much more respectable 7-7. Because of that and the Lakers struggles, we are seeing some early money coming in on Houston. The Rockets have struggled defensively as they are No. 28 in scoring and No. 21 in scoring defense so even though the Lakers are short-handed with their stars, they can take advantage of this unit. They are better offensively but are still in the bottom half of the league and the worst part is that Houston is the third worst free throw shooting team in the NBA at 70.6 percent. The Rockets are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play on road favorites after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games going up against an opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (569) Los Angeles Lakers |
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12-28-21 | Louisville v. Air Force +1.5 | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 29 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Louisville and Air Force square off in the First Responder Bowl on Tuesday and the Falcons have some big edges here yet come in as the underdog. Air Force is the top rushing team in the country, averaging 341.5 ypg which no surprise, it also leads the nation in time of possession. Another reason is the fact that the Falcons have no problem keeping drives going as they have the fourth-most fourth down attempts in the country with 40 and they convert 77.5 percent of those which is third best in the nation. On the other side, the Falcons play strong defense as they are ranked No. 5 in total defense, trailing only Wisconsin, Georgia, Oklahoma St. and Minnesota, and they are ranked No. 7 in rushing defense. The Falcons are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Louisville does have a solid offense as it is No. 21 overall and No. 39 in scoring but it is nothing special and the Cardinals will be without two of their top four receivers. They have scored more than 24 points only three times in their last six games and those three came against non-bowl teams. Overall, Louisville went 1-6 against bowl teams. The Louisville defense will be a liability here as the Cardinals have struggled to stay off the field. They are ranked No. 84 overall including No. 77 against the run which will be a real issue here. They have outrushed the majority of their opponents but they have faced nothing like this. Forcing turnovers will be key but that is unlikely against the disciplined Falcons. The Cardinals are 11-27-1 ATS in their last 39 games against teams with a winning record. Here we play on neutral field underdogs outrushing their opponents by 100 or more ypg on the season, after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in three straight games. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (240) Air Force Falcons |
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12-27-21 | Jazz -6 v. Spurs | Top | 110-104 | Push | 0 | 21 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Revenge Game of the Month. Utah has won three straight games following a two-game losing streak that included a home loss against San Antonio as an 11.5-point favorite. The Jazz have gone five straight games without a cover which may be giving us some value here even though it is a big number in what might be considered a contrarian play despite the disparity in records between the teams. Utah is 23-9 overall and has actually been better on the road with a 10-3 record. The Jazz are the highest scoring team in the NBA and they are No. 2 in shooting offense while sitting at No. 4 from behind the arc and while the defense is not quite at that level, they are No. 7, No. 9 and No. 3 in those categories respectively. The Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a losing home record. The Spurs have won two straight games and are 5-3 over their last eight games to move to 13-18 on the season. San Antonio is a better road team than at home as well as it is 6-9 on its home floor and has been able to compete with some the better teams going 9-3 ATS against winning teams. While that is the case, this is not a good spot playing a team with revenge even though the Jazz are without Donovan Mitchell and that is a reason the line is lower than we would normally see. The Spurs are pretty solid on offense, ranked No. 6 in scoring and No. 4 in shooting but the defense has been the letdown as they are No. 24 in scoring, shooting defense and three-point defense. The Spurs are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Here, we play on favorites revenging a straight up loss as a favorite of seven or more going up against an opponent off two or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog. This situation is 30-6 ATS (83.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (553) Utah Jazz |
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12-27-21 | Dolphins -3 v. Saints | Top | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI DOLPHINS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. New Orleans is coming off a 9-0 win over Tampa Bay making this a letdown spot and on top of that, the Saints have been hit hard with players being placed on the COVID list. The offensive situation is not good as both Trevor Siemian and Taysom Hill are on the COVID list, so Ian Book will start at quarterback so the already poor offense will struggle even more. The Saints defense has carried this team all season because of the poor offense but this is not a good matchup with the Dolphins despite Miami having its own struggles on offense because the Saints have a tough time containing the underneath pass. Additionally, the Saints have allowed 402 ypg at home which is worst in the NFL. The Saints are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win. The Dolphins are one of the hottest teams in the NFL with six straight wins and at 7-7, it is still alive in the AFC Wild Card race. Miami has not been great on offense this season but it has played better of late and its strength counters the Saints weakness of defending the short pass. Miami likes to get the ball out quick and they can use that to their advantage here. The Dolphins total defense is right in the middle of the pack as is the scoring defense so they should have to problem containing the New Orleans offense. The schedule has been soft for the Dolphins during the winning streak but that is not a concern against this team. We have seen a complete flip with this line but it is justified. The Dolphins are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against home teams averaging between 4.9 and 5.4 yppl going up against teams allowing between 5.4 and 5.8 yppl. This situation is 47-20 ATS (70.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (481) Miami Dolphins |
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12-27-21 | Western Michigan -7 v. Nevada | Top | 52-24 | Win | 101 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our CFB Quicken Lane Bowl Winner. Nevada had high hopes heading into the Quicken Lane Bowl but things have changed as the Wolf Pack are severely depleted which caused this massive line shift. Overall, they lost 16 players to the transfer portal so the 8-4 regular season takes on a whole new meaning. The offense has been hit the hardest as Nate Cox, will be the starting quarterback, and he will be without the top six wide receivers from the regular season, all of which left the roster. The defense was not hit as hard but considering they finished No. 83 in total defense, it will not make a difference. The new starters have had little time to gel so the offense will find it difficult to find any cohesion. The Wolf Pack are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Western Michigan finished 7-5 with all five losses coming against bowl teams including one against Michigan. The Western Michigan offense will be hard to stop as they finished No. 15 in the country in total offense led by quarterback Kaleb Eleby who threw for 3,115 yards and 21 touchdowns and running back Sean Tyler who rushed for over 1,000 yards. The Broncos outgained all but two opponents this season and not only because of the offense, but the defense finished No. 29 in the country so they are solid on both sides. This is essentially a home game for Western Michigan as the game is being played in Detroit and the body clock for the Wolf Pack will be affected by the 11:00 start time. The Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season averaging 440 or more ypg going up against teams allowing between 390 and 440 ypg, after gaining 6.75 or more yppl in their previous game. This situation is 33-11 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (233) Western Michigan Broncos |
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12-26-21 | 76ers -3.5 v. Wizards | Top | 117-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month. The Sixers have not hit expectations this season with a 16-16 record and they are coming off a horrible loss to a depleted Hawks team that just got blown out by the Knicks so Philadelphia is in a great bounce back spot against Washington on Sunday. The Sixers have actually been a better road team than at home which has not been the case in years past as they are 10-8 on the highway compared to being just 6-8 at home. The defense has been decent but the offense has let them down as they are No. 25 in scoring offense and No. 15 in shooting which is not horrible but the rebounding is the issue but they could have an advantageous matchup here. Washington got off to a great start but the wheels have fallen off even though it has won two straight games including an impressive win at Utah. Prior to that, the Wizards dropped eight of their previous 10 games and currently they are 8-4 at home yet come in as an underdog. Red flag. Well, that is because Bradley Beal and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope have been put on the health and safety protocol list and that takes over 34 points away from the offense so the value has turned to the Sixers which have lost four of five games. The Wizards were No. 22 in scoring offense so that is not in play anymore while the defense has been average all season. Washington is 1-10 ATS when playing three or less games in 10 days while going 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Here, we play against road underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off two or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog. This situation is 55-22 ATS (71.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (533) Philadelphia 76ers |
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12-26-21 | Bucs -9.5 v. Panthers | Top | 32-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 21 m | Show |
This is s play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFC South Game of the Month. Tampa Bay is coming off a 9-0 loss against New Orleans to fall to 10-4 on the season and now sits in third place in the NFC. The shutout loss was just the third ever for Tom Brady, his first since 2006 and the fact the Saints did it should come as no surprise. He is 0-4 against New Orleans since joining Tampa Bay and it happens to be his only four game losing streak against any in his career. He is in a foul mood and that is not good for the Panthers. The injuries on the offense to Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Leonard Fournette are a concern but the Buccaneers are getting Antonio Brown back and Ronald Jones is not far behind Fournette so this offense will be fine. The Buccaneers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss. Carolina is trash despite a 5-9 record as the offense has brought it down, ranked No. 28 overall and No. 25 in scoring offense. Head coach Matt Ruhle indicated that Cam Newton will start but Sam Darnold will see time as well so things could go from bad to worst with a lack of chemistry going through the whole offense. The Panthers have lost four straight games including a 17-point loss to Buffalo last week and they have been outgained in seven of their last 10 games. They have been solid defensively or should we say were as they have allowed 30 ppg during the four-game losing streak. This is not a good sign against a pissed off Brady who gets to face Carolina twice in the last three games. Carolina is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 home games after one or more consecutive losses over the last three seasons. Here, we play against home underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage after having lost four out of their last five games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 36-15 ATS (70.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (457) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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12-25-21 | Warriors +6.5 v. Suns | Top | 116-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Western Conference Game of the Month. It is not often you see Golden St. as an underdog this big but here the Warriors are. Golden St. has won two straight, five of six and seven of its last nine games but has lost the lead in the NBA Pacific Division. The Warriors trail Phoenix by a half-game and they now possess the second best record in the NBA. Obviously, Steph Curry has been the main focal point of the Warriors success, they rely on balance with five players averaging between 6.7 and 8.4 ppg and with Alan Wiggins out, that balance will become more key. Curry has averaged 35.3 ppg over his last three games and in these spotlight games, this is where he steps it up even more. The Warriors are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Phoenix is on a five-game winning streak with the latest being a 113-101 win over the Thunder on Thursday. The Suns came into the season as contenders for the NBA Title after making the Finals last season and they are proving they are worthy once again. Led by Devin Booker and Chris Paul, the Suns are No. 3 in scoring and No. 2 in shooting offense but face a Warriors defense that is ranked No. 1 in both of those categories. One difference between these two teams in that while Phoenix is 9-0 against the Eastern Conference, it is 17-5 against the West while the Warriors are 14-3 against the Western Conference. Phoenix is just 1-3 ATS at home against teams with a winning record. Here, we play against home teams revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points, off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite. This situation is 63-31 ATS (67 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (589) Golden St. Warriors |
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12-25-21 | Browns +7.5 v. Packers | Top | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 33 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Saturday Enforcer. Cleveland has alternated wins and losses over its last nine games and it has won its last four games following a previous loss. Can the Browns win here following a loss against the Raiders? They definitely can but the line has gone from 4 to 7.5 in some spots so all we need is a close game. We will get a full effort from Cleveland as it needs to win out and get some help for a playoff spot. Green Bay had a top-10 run defense for most of the season but has struggled of late as it has allowed 143 yards and 137 yards to the Ravens and Bears respectively over their last two games. Cleveland will look to exploit this with its No. 4 rushing offense. The Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a winning home record. The Packers have clinched their third straight NFC North title and have a one game lead in the conference to try and secure a first round bye so this is a big game for them also. Winning here will not be easy for the Browns as Green Bay has yet to lose at home while outscoring opponents by over 13 ppg. Only two of the six wins have come teams with a shot at the playoffs so facing a desperate team puts them in a tough spot. The Packers will not have injured LT David Bakhtiari or CB Jaire Alexander, even though they have been practicing. While the Cleveland run game needs to flourish, so does the defense and we think the unit steps up. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 25 points or more in four straight games. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (453) Cleveland Browns |
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12-25-21 | Ball State +6 v. Georgia State | Top | 20-51 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALL ST. CARDINALS for our Camillia Bowl Winner. Georgia St. comes into the Camellia Bowl on a three-game winning streak including a win over Costal Carolina to open the streak. The Panthers finished 7-5 including a 6-2 record in the Sun Belt Conference which was good for a second place tie in the East Division. Their success has relied on a strong running game that is ranked No. 8 in the country, averaging 225.4 ypg and they face a pretty average Ball St. rushing defense and this part of the game is a reason while this line has climbed from 3.5 to 6. Despite the winning record, Georgia St. was outgained during the regular season including over 100 yards through the air. The Cardinals were able to secure a bowl berth with a 20-3 win over Buffalo in their season finale. It was an up and down season and the win over the Bulls stopped a rather poor end to the season. The Cardinals finished with just two wins in their final five games, but one of those defeats was a one-point loss at Northern Illinois and another coming against Miami, which is coming off a 13-point win in the Frisco Football Classic yesterday, by just a touchdown. The Ball St. passing offense is far from potent but it can take advantage of a weak Panthers passing defense. The Cardinals are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games when playing against a team with a winning record. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season. This situation is 38-19 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (231) Ball St. Cardinals |
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12-23-21 | 49ers -3.5 v. Titans | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -103 | 32 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. We have two teams going in opposite directions that square off on Thursday night. San Francisco has won two straight games and five of its last six to improve to 8-6 and is sitting in the No. 6 spot in the NFC. The 49ers are projected at 83 percent to make the playoffs and while this game will not be easy, the momentum is on their side. The offense has improved to No. 12 overall and No. 13 in scoring while the defense in No. 6 overall and face a Titans team that is still hurt by injuries. The 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Tennessee has lost three of its last four games with the lone win coming against Jacksonville. The loss last week knocked them from the top spot in the AFC down to the No. 3 spot. The Titans have turned the ball over 13 times in those three losses while quarterback Ryan Tannehill has been sacked 41 times which is second most in the NFL. Defensively, the Titans are No. 10 0verall and No. 16 in points allowed so while they are above average, they face a surging offense and have seen only one decent offense over their last five games. The Titans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against home teams averaging between 4.9 and 5.4 yppl going up against teams allowing between 5.4 and 5.8 yppl. This situation is 47-19 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (451) San Francisco 49ers |
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12-22-21 | Clippers -7 v. Kings | Top | 105-89 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. The Clippers have lost three straight games to fall to 16-15 overall and are now 9.5 games behind Golden St. in the Pacific Division. Their defense remains strong as they are No. 8 in scoring and No. 9 in shooting and the offense will have to get going as they are No. 25 in scoring and No. 21 shooting from the floor. The Clippers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road games when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .400 and .499. Sacramento is coming off a loss at Golden St. and has now lost five of its last seven games to drop six games under .500 on the season. The Kings are two games under .500 at home and have yet to cover a game against a winning team. The offense is ranked No. 6 in scoring but the defense has been the liability as they are No. 29 in points allowed and No. 25 in shooting defense. The Kings are 0-6 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play on road teams revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off two or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite. This situation is 43-16 ATS (72.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (569) Los Angeles Clippers |
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12-22-21 | Missouri v. Army -6.5 | Top | 22-24 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS for our CFB Game of the Week. Both Missouri and Army are coming off losses in their regular season finales and square off in the Armed Forces Bowl in Fort Worth. The Tigers have just on win this season against a team above .500 and that was against Central Michigan in their season opener. Missouri comes in very average on both sides of the ball and it is its inability to stop the run will play a huge factor. Missouri is ranked No. 125 in rushing defense, allowing 229.3 ypg and will face an Army offense that is ranked No. 2 in rushing offense at 286.9 ypg. Additionally, Army is second in the country in offensive time of possession at 35:59 so the ball control will also play a big part. Making matters worse, the Missouri defense will be without a trio of starters including their leading tackler as well as Akayleb Evans who decided not to play to get ready for the NFL draft. The Tigers are 3-15 ATS in their last 18 games following an ATS loss. The Army defense also has an edge here as the Black Knights are ranked No. 15 overall including No. 14 against the run. They have allowed 17 points or less in their last five games and their overall scoring defense is skewed because of the one game where they allowed 70 points to Wake Forest which has the No. 5 scoring offense in the country. The Black Knights are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. 10* (226) Army Black Knights |
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12-22-21 | Arizona v. Tennessee -1.5 | Top | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS for our CBB Wednesday Star Attraction. Arizona is off to an 11-0 start and hits the road for the third time this season and this is another tough test after going to Illinois and salvaging a four-point win. The Wildcats continue to lead the nation in offense, averaging 91.0 ppg but pace could be an issue here as it was against the Illini. Both three-point shooting and free throw shooting continue to be well below average which is a disadvantage in this matchup. Arizona was 32-70 from the floor in that Illinois game and it likely not get that many attempts here as Tennessee has not allowed more than 67 attempts to any opponent this season. The Wildcats are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog. The Volunteers have won two straight games following an overtime loss against Texas Tech and their only other loss came against Villanova in Connecticut. They are 6-0 at home while outscoring opponents by over 30 ppg and while this is their biggest test, they have the team that can knock off an unbeaten. Tennessee is ranked No. 20 in scoring defense and No. 22 in shooting defense so it can lock down the Wildcats offense. The Volunteers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play on teams after allowing 65 points or less in three straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 80 points or more in four straight games. This situation is 47-19 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (752) Tennessee Volunteers |
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12-21-21 | San Diego State -2.5 v. UTSA | Top | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. San Diego St. is coming off a loss against Utah St. after four straight wins and is getting a good line here after that 33-point loss. The Aztecs rely on a strong defense that is ranked No. 14 overall and No. 17 in scoring defense and can definitely slow down the Roadrunners. The Aztecs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. UTSA is coming off a win over Western Kentucky after suffering its first loss of the season against North Texas. They have scored over 40 points in six games this year, though they will be without running back Sincere McCormick after he opted out to focus on NFL Draft prep. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 outscoring opponents by 7 or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games. This situation 45-19 ATS (70.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (223) San Diego St. Aztecs |
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12-21-21 | Washington Football Team v. Eagles -6.5 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Tuesday Primetime Punisher. Philadelphia is coming off its bye week and catches Washington in a vulnerable situation. The Eagles need this win to remain in the NFC Wild Card race and are now catching a much better number than what was on the board a few days ago. A win here would push them straight into the final wild-card spot with a little help. The Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Washington is coming off a loss to the Cowboys last week and it is now dealing with a ton of issues. The team has over a dozen players on their COVID-19/reserve list, including starting quarterback Taylor Heinicke and now seven coaches are in the protocol. Washinton had won four straight games prior to the Dallas loss but the last three were just one possession games. They are No. 20 in total offense and No. 20 in scoring offense but it is the other side that has been hit the worst with the defense needing to sign players from other practice squads to fill in. Washington is 8-20 ATS in its last 28 games following a straight up loss. 10* (340) Philadelphia Eagles |
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12-20-21 | Vikings -6.5 v. Bears | Top | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Minnesota is at 6-7 following a win over Pittsburgh and its playoff hopes are very much alive. The Vikings will move up to the No. 7 spot if they beat the Bears tonight, and they will stay there if Washington loses Tuesday to the Eagles. They are ranked No. 4 in total offense and No. 9 in scoring offense and face a Chicago defense that is decimated with injuries so they should have their way here. The Vikings have put up more than 400 yards in seven games, including three of the last four and Kirk Cousins is again under scrutiny despite having one of his best seasons. The Bears have lost two straight games and seven of their last eight with that lone win coming against the Lions. With everything that has happened this week, Chicago has also been hit as of Sunday night, the Bears had 14 players on the COVID list, and all three coordinators also were in COVID safety protocols. The Bears are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games, against division opponents. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (331) Minnesota Vikings |
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12-20-21 | Tulsa v. Old Dominion +9 | Top | 30-17 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the OLD DOMINION MONARCHS for our CFB Monday Enforcer. Old Dominion has won three straight games including a win over SMU is its last game which can be considered a quality win and now the Monarchs are getting a huge number here. The Monarchs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Tulsa is still favored by a big amount despite having their coaches heading out and while that might not be a big factor to some, it is. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more. This situation is 61-23 ATS (72.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (220) Old Dominion Monarchs |
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12-19-21 | Texans +5 v. Jaguars | Top | 30-16 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our AFC South Game of the Month. Jacksonville is playing its first game without head coach Urban Meyer and that could fire this team up after that toxic environment but laying this many points is too aggressive. The Jaguars have lost five straight games and they have scored 17 points or less in seven straight games and while they might be rejuvenated here, they cannot be laying this amount. They have been favored just once all season and failed to cover that number and while Houston is not a good team, in a divisional game with two similar teams, it should not be over a field goal. The Jaguars are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Houston is not a good team plain and simple but this is a winnable game and players at this point of the season are playing for contracts so there is no giving up. Davis Miles is not a good quarterback but he is facing a defense that is ranked No. 26 in points allowed and the rushing offense can have success here. Houston is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games after scoring 14 points or less in two straight games. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems after a game where they committed no turnovers going up against an opponent after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 25-3 ATS (89.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (319) Houston Texans |
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12-18-21 | Loyola Marymount v. Nevada -6 | Top | 63-68 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEVADA WOLF PACK for our CBB Saturday Enforcer. Nevada has won four straight games to improve to 5-4 after a rough start where the Wolf Pack were away from home for five straight games. They are back home for their third strid straight game and are catching a good number here. They are ranked No. 39 in total offense and are expected to once again to make a run in the MWC and this is a game where they cannot afford to lose. The Wolf Pack are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. The Lions are coming off a loss against New Mexico St. at home and have won both road games this season which is a good spot to go against them here. The offense has struggled as they are ranked No. 248 in scoring offense, averaging just 69.1 ppg. Loyola Marymount has been turnover prone this season, giving the ball away 16 tpg, which is No. 29 most in the nation. The Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a home loss going up against an opponent off a home win by 20 points or more. This situation is 50-21 ATS (70.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (714) Nevada Wolf Pack |
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12-18-21 | Patriots v. Colts -2 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Saturday Primetime Punisher. The Patriots have won seven straight games and that has helped to create value in this number which has come down from the opener. New England has been a public team for years and this one is no different as we are seeing that money come in on them. What they did last week was a thing on genius but now they are in a dome and will have to rely on both sides against a team fighting for a playoff spot. The Patriots defense has been the strength and while they are No. 3 overall, they are just No. 18 against the run and that is a big issue here going up against Jonathan Taylor. The Patriots are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. The Colts are coming off a 31-0 win over Houston to move to 7-6 and is in good position for a Wild Card spot in the AFC. They are just 3-4 at home but do have some edges in this matchup that cannot be discounted. The Colts lead the NFL in takeaways, turnover differential and ypc on offense at 5.1 ypc, while Carson Wentz has been playing great with just five interceptions. Defensively, Indianapolis is No. 13 overall while being No. 16 against the run and No. 9 in points allowed. The Colts are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against teams off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog, when playing on a Saturday. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) since 1983. 10* (312) Indianapolis Colts |
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12-18-21 | UAB +6.5 v. BYU | Top | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS for our CFB Game of the Week. BYU is on a five-game winning streak, including wins against Washington St., Virginia, and USC but it is overpriced here on a neutral field. The Cougars played a tough schedule and were still able to win 10 games but this is an opponent that matches up well. The BYU defense is below average at No. 73 overall which includes No. 77 against the pass and No. 63 against the run so as a sizable favorite, the underdog has the edge in a possible back and forth game. The Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. UAB comes in off a win in its last game and has won three of its last four games to move to 8-4 on the season. The Blazers have faced a ton of good running backs this season and had success in stopping them so they can do it again against Tyler Allgeier who has been one of the best. The Blazers are 4-0 ATS in their last four game against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival going up against an opponent after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more. This situation is 60-23 ATS (72.3 percent) since 1992. 10* (211) UAB Blazers |
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12-17-21 | Coastal Carolina v. Northern Illinois +11 | Top | 47-41 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Northern Illinois is coming off a win over Kent St. to make in three wins in four games. The Huskies finished the season 9-4, but they were six points away from finishing 11-2. The Northern Illinois offense averages 30.8 ppg and 409.5 and ypg and they lead the nation in 4th down conversion percentage at 84 percent. The running game is the strength as they are ranked No. 4 in rushing offense with 229.5 ypg. Northern Illinois is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog. Coastal Carolina finished 10-2 following an overtime win over South Alabama to close the season but after a great start, the Chanticleers slowed down with a pair of losses with two of their last four wins coming by one possession. The offense was on high octane but they put up over a touchdown less in the second half of the season than the first. The defense finished well, being a respectable No. 18 overall and No. 19 in scoring defense but the rushing defense should be an issue here as the last time they faced a potent running game, they were outgained by 173 yards on the ground. The Chanticleers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a favorite. 10* (204) Northern Illinois Huskies |
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12-17-21 | St Bonaventure v. Virginia Tech -2.5 | Top | 49-86 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES for our CBB Friday Supreme Annihilator. Virginia Tech is coming off a loss against Dayton in its last game to fall to 7-4 on the season but faces a short line here in a good spot. The Hokies have relied on a great defense this season, allowing just 57.2 ppg which is No. 14 in the country against a pretty tough schedule. St. Bonaventure is also coming off a loss, falling to Connecticut following three straight wins but those were all at home. The Bonnies are ranked No. 138 in total offense and No. 148 in total defense so they are doing nothing special with their 8-2 record. The Bonnies are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play against neutral court teams as an underdog with a winning percentage of .800 or better playing a team with a winning record, on Friday nights. This situation is 42-20 ATS (67.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (852) Virginia Tech Hokies |
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12-16-21 | Chiefs v. Chargers +3 | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. The Chargers are coming off a win over the Giants to make it two straight victories and they have a chance to move into a first place tie with the Chiefs if they get a win tonight. The offense has been rolling as they have scored 37 or more points in three of their last four games and in home games, they are averaging 408.4 ypg which is near the top of the league and have a chance to expose a defense that has been playing above their heads of late. Los Angeles is just 4-3 at home but all three losses were by one possession and all against playoff contenders. The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. Kansas City has won six straight games to remain in the lead in the AFC West but this offense is still playing uneven despite the game against the Raiders and they face a tough road test here. The Chiefs have leaned on their defense over this stretch which is something we never would have said in September and October. They have allowed nine points or less in four of their last five games but were outgained twice and outgained the Giants by just 68 yards as well as outgaining Las Vegas by just 87 yards despite the lopsided score. After playing five of their last six games at home, this situation is not ideal. The Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in conference games. This situation is 70-35 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (302) Los Angeles Chargers |
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12-16-21 | Avalanche -160 v. Predators | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -160 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO AVALANCHE for out NHL Thursday Breakaway. Colorado has won five straight games, scoring seven goals in three of those, to move into fourth place in the NHL Central Division with 36 points.. The Avalanche remain the highest scoring team in the league. Overall, they are putting up 4.41 gpg and also lead the league in shooting percentage at 12.4 percent. The power play has been the strength but they also lead the league with six short-handed goals so they can get it done on both sides of the special teams. The Avalanche are 5-1 in their last six games against teams with a winning record. Nashville has also won five straight games which is keeping this number at a good price. The defense has been solid but the scoring remains a concern as they Predators are averaging just 2.77 gpg at home which is in bottom half of the league and that is a concern against the top offense in the NHL. This is a play on the CALGARY FLAMES for our NHL Tuesday Breakaway. Calgary has lost four straight games and has now fallen into second place in the NHL Pacific Division with 36 points, one point behind Anaheim. The Flames have scored three goals or less in each of these losses but the defense has still been solid, allowing just 3.2 gpg and they have been great on the road. Calgary has allowed just 2.06 gpg on the highway which is best in the league and after getting postponed last night, they are in a great spot here. 10* (61) Colorado Avalanche |
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12-16-21 | Chicago State v. IUPU-Indianapolis -2.5 | Top | 61-55 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the IUPUI JAGUARS for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. IUPUI has lost three straight games and is 1-8 on the season but is in a good spot here as it is favored for the first time at home. The Jaguars are just 1-6 against the number over their last seven games but this is a game to get back on track. They have two starters back from last season and this is not a horrible thing as they were bad in efficiency a year ago. Chicago St. comes in at 3-7 which includes seven losses over its last eight games. The Cougars are 0-5 on the road while getting outscored by 23 ppg and it is not like they have played a tough schedule with the toughest opponents being Pacific and bowling Green. They are ranked No. 332 in scoring and No. No. 342 in shooting offense so if there is a team that IUPUI can hang with, this is the one. Chicago St. is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 road games after playing two consecutive home games. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a road loss by 10 points or more, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season. This situation is 32-10 ATS (76.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (754) IUPUI Jaguars |
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12-15-21 | CS Bakersfield v. Abilene Christian -9.5 | Top | 59-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the ABILENE CHRISTIAN WILDCATS for our CBB Game of the Week. Abilene Christian has won six straight games following a 0-2 start with those two losses coming against Texas A&M and Utah with the former coming by just one point in overtime on the road. The Wildcats made noise last season with a win against Texas in the NCAA Tournament and have brought back 10 of their top 13 players including three starters. They are deep with nine players averaging at least 13 minutes per game and are led by a powerful backcourt of Coryon Mason and Mahki Morris but this team is again about defense that has allowed just 59.7 ppg during its winning streak. The Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win. CS Bakersfield has won three straight games and it also has stepped up defensively including allowing just 39 points against Boise St. the problem is with the offense though as the Roadrunners are averaging only 68.5 ppg on the season and that is No. 256 in the country and they have scored 64 points or less in three of their last four games. They beat Boise St. by scoring 46 points and that will not get it done here and while the Wildcats are no UCLA, a nearly 40-point loss is telling. The Roadrunners are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after four or more consecutive wins going up against an opponent after six or more consecutive wins. This situation 31-7 ATS (81.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (672) Abilene Christian Wildcats |
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12-14-21 | Alabama v. Memphis +5.5 | Top | 78-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS TIGERS for our CBB Tuesday Enforcer. Alabama has won four straight games including a huge win over Gonzaga 10 days ago and is now 8-1 on the season. The Tide are now ranked No. 6 in the country and they hit the road for the first time this season which puts them in a tough position as a road favorite. Ideally, this is a good spot but not on the road against a hungry team that is potentially just as good. Alabama is ranked No. 266 in scoring defense which is horrible heading to their first road game of the season. The Tide are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a road favorite. After going into the top 10 earlier in the season, the Tigers have lost four straight games, including a 74-72 home loss to Murray St. that put them with their longest losing streak in nearly five years. The last three losses against Georgia, Mississippi and Murray St. were by a combined nine points so now they are undervalued at home and need a big win to put on their resume before conference season starts. The Tigers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play against road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games going up against an opponent after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games. This situation is 36-9 ATS (80 percent) since 1997. 10* (634) Memphis Tigers |
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12-13-21 | Rams +2.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. The NFC playoff picture is jumbled but the Rams are in position for the top Wild Card spot and are still alive for the NFC West division title. They are two games back with a chance to cut that in half despite losses in three of their last four games. They are coming off a 30-point win over Jacksonville and while that might not say much, it brought back some much needed confidence heading into the final five games of the season which will not be an easy stretch. The Rams remain a top rated offense as they are ranked No. 6 overall and No. 5 in scoring offense and Matthew Stafford looks to be fully healthy after a couple rough games because of injury. The Rams are 25-12-1 ATS in their last 38 games against the NFC. The Cardinals are also healthy again with Kyler Murray and Deandre Hopkins back in the mix and at a short price in a divisional game, the public is all over them. They have won two straight games, both on the road, and they are back home where they are 3-2 on the season compared to a 7-0 record on the highway. While their 10-2 record is the best in the NFC, they have not played a great schedule as it is ranked No. 24 in the league. the defense has done its job but even though the first matchup resulted in a 17-point win, the Cardinals were outgained by 64 yards and they have been outgained in three of their last six games with two of the positives coming against Houston and Jacksonville. The Cardinals are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems after failing to cover the spread in three out of their last four games going up against an opponent after covering the spread in three out of their last four games. This situation is 27-5 ATS (84.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (129) Los Angeles Rams |
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12-13-21 | Cleveland State +12.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 93-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND ST. VIKINGS for our CBB Monday Enforcer. Cleveland St. has won six straight games following a 0-2 start and while this will be the biggest test of the season, the Vikings are well prepared. Following a season where they went 19-8 including a 16-4 record in the Horizon League, they have all five starters back and they are balanced and deep with nine players averaging at least 11 minutes per game. Fourteen players on the roster return as letter winners from last season while four transfer players join as well. The Vikings are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. The Cowboys are coming off a loss against Xavier which was their second straight following five straight wins. Thid team is solid defensively as Oklahoma St. has forced opponents into committing turnovers on 26.8 percent of all possessions this year, the 10th-highest rate among all Division I teams but the Cowboys have struggled on offense. They are No. 138 overall in total offense and they are shooting just 28.8 percent from long range which is No. 320 in the country. The Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Here, we play against home teams as a favorite or pickem off an upset loss as a home favorite, with four starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season. This situation is 36-10 ATS (78.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (875) Cleveland St. Vikings |
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12-12-21 | Panthers v. Avalanche -140 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO AVALANCHE for our NHL Sunday Breakaway. Colorado has won three straight games, scoring seven goals in each of those, to move into fourth place in the NHL Central Division with 32 points. . The Avalanche remain the highest scoring team in the league. Overall, they are putting up 4.38 gpg and also lead the league in shooting percentage at 12.4 percent. The power play has been the strength but they also lead the league with six short-handed goals so they can get it done on both sides of the special teams. The Avalanche are 21-8 in their last 29 after scoring five goals or more in their previous game. Florida is coming off a win at Arizona which is not saying much and it has now won four of its last five games. Three of those came at home however where it is 14-1-0-0 and catches a tough test here on the road. The Panthers are averaging just 2.91 gpg on the road and the power play has been rough as they have scored only four goals in 35 opportunities and that 11.4 percent is one of the lowest in the NHL. Overall, they are 4-3-2-2 on the highway and that sets up a bad spot here with value on the other side. The Panthers are 1-7 in their last eight road games. Here, we play against underdogs against the money line after scoring three goals or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring five goals or more in two straight games. This situation is 49-13 (79 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (6) Colorado Avalanche |
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12-12-21 | Mavs -4 v. Thunder | Top | 103-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Dallas is coming off a loss at Indiana on Friday which was its fourth loss in five games. The Mavericks have been huge underachievers all season but are just three game behind Memphis in the NBA Southwest Division and this should be a great opportunity to gain ground. The Mavericks are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Oklahoma City is coming off a loss against the Lakers following a pair of road wins bit it sits at 8-17 on the season and it is in a tough matchup here. The Thunder are 4-8 at home and have lost four straight here heading into Sunday. The Thunder are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS loss. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having lost two of their last three games, with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 on the season. This situation is 61-29 ATS (67.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (571) Dallas Mavericks |
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12-12-21 | Villanova v. Baylor -3.5 | Top | 36-57 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the BAYLOR BEARS for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. Following a big second half surge against Syracuse, Villanova has now won four straight games while covering three of those. The Wildcats are 1-1 on the road, the one victory coming against Penn but that should be considered a neutral court game as it was at the Palestra and now face their toughest test with UCLA coming in a close second. Villanova shoots a ton of threes but teams are shooting just 28.8 percent against Baylor from behind the arc as its perimeter defense is solid. The Wildcats are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Baylor has not let off the gas after the championship last season as it is 8-0 including impressive blowout wins over Stanford, Arizona St. and Michigan St. The Bears are among the top teams in the country in most shooting categories including top 20 in True Shoring Percentage and that is big here based on fast break points. Baylor is the second best team in the country in forcing turnovers as it averages over 19 per game and that leads to easy baskets. The Bears are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after four or more consecutive wins going up against an opponent after seven or more consecutive wins. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (748) Baylor Bears |
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12-12-21 | Cowboys -4 v. Washington Football Team | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFC East Game of the Month. The NFC East pretty much comes down to this game and if the Cowboys win, it is theirs. They have lost two of their last three games but are coming off a win in their last game on Thursday against New Orleans so they have had ample rest heading into Sunday. Because their last two games have been on a Thursday, they have had a good schedule break that has now gotten them to the healthiest they have been this season, especially on the defensive side. The Cowboys are an explosive team with the kind of playmakers on offense and defense that can get in gear and make a last month run into the playoffs. Dallas is 7-0 ATS against conference opponents this season while going 6-0 ATS after allowing six or more yppl in their previous game this season. Washington has won four straight games to go from 2-6 to 6-6 but this run has been a little suspect with the last three coming by just one possession. Washington, currently the No. 6 seed in the NFC, can shrink the Cowboys NFC East lead to one game with a victory and if Washington wins out, it takes the division but we just do not see that happening. This team needs Taylor Heinicke to continue his impressive play if they hope to win but it will difficult against this defense that is nearly back to full strength. The defense stepped up but COVID has again dealt a blow with Montez Sweat placed on the protocol. This team is overmatched on both sides and the Washington run comes to an end. The Football Team are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 against the NFC East. 10* (117) Dallas Cowboys |
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12-11-21 | Kentucky v. Notre Dame +4.5 | Top | 62-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH for our CBB Game of the Week. After a season opening loss to Duke, Kentucky has won seven straight games, all of which came at home and against some suspect competition. The Wildcats were favored by 23 points or more in six of those and now they hit the road for the first time this season as the game against Duke was on a neutral floor. Their offense has been potent as Kentucky is ranked No. 23 in scoring offense and No. 35 in shooting but again, it has come against a schedule that is ranked No. 354 in the country, which is fourth worst. The Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. Notre Dame has gotten off to a rough start as it is 3-4 including three straight losses but it has been tested and the schedule has been not on its side. The last five games have been away from home and this is its first home game in over three weeks. Defensive struggles have been a concern for the Irish, who has now have now allowed 70 or more points in their last three games but a return home will help. This is a great contrarian spot that can get a big win over a top 25 team. Here, we play against road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off three or more consecutive home wins going up against an opponent off a road loss scoring less than 60 points. This situation is 72-37 ATS (66.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (678) Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
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12-11-21 | Navy +7.5 v. Army | Top | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 51 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the NAVY MIDSHIPMEN for our CFB Saturday Top Play Winner. Army heads into the annual rivalry with an 8-3 record and will be going to its second straight bow game and fifth in the last six years. This coincides with this game as Army will try to beat Navy for the fifth time in the past six years, after losing 12 straight in this series, and capture their fourth Commander-in-Chief Trophy in the last five seasons. The Black Knights are ranked No. 2 in the country in rushing offense with 301.7 ypg, its sixth straight year of putting up at least 273 yards on the ground. The numbers are a bit skewed though as three of those games came against UMass, Bucknell, and UConn as they put up a total of 1,409 yards in those three games. Army is 9-22 ATS in its last 31 games against teams averaging 4.5 or less yppl. Navy comes into the game with a 3-8 record which is the second straight season it comes in with the worse by at least three games. The Midshipmen will miss their second straight bowl game after making a postseason appearance in seven of the previous eight years. The season could have been a lot better but close losses doomed Navy as four of its eight losses were by one possession. Navy is ranked No. 7 in the country in rushing at 228.2 ypg so the Midshipmen have been solid in running the ball and can have success here. Army is the 11th bowl bound team Navy will face as the Midshipmen have played the third toughest schedule in the country while the Army schedule is ranked No. 93. The Midshipmen are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games going up against an opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games. This situation is 51-20 ATS (71.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (103) Navy Midshipmen |
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12-10-21 | Cavs v. Wolves +1 | Top | 123-106 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Minnesota was on a roll but it has lost four straight games to fall three games under .500 but those losses came against some of the best teams in the NBA including Utah, Brooklyn and Washington. The last two losses came at home where they are now 7-8 but this is a great line in a rebound spot where they are still outscoring their opponents. The defense has been the fault yet they were great on that end of the floor during their run where they went 7-1 in an eight-game stretch. The Timberwolves are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Cleveland is coming off a win against Chicago on Wednesday to snap a two-game losing skid which came after a four-game winning streak. The Cavaliers are two games over .500 on the season and three games over .500 on the road which is definitely playing into this line. The road record includes three solid wins over Dallas, Miami and Washington but have gone down to the opposition occasionally this season and they are catching a team that is desperate for a win. The Cavaliers are 7-18 ATS in their last 25 games as a road favorite. Here, we play on home underdogs averaging between 104 and 108 ppg going up against teams allowing 104 or fewer ppg, after allowing 125 points or more. This situation is 27-7 ATS (79.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (542) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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12-10-21 | Loyola-Chicago -4.5 v. Vanderbilt | Top | 69-58 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOYOLA-CHICAGO RAMBLERS for our CBB Friday Enforcer. Loyola-Chicago is coming off another great season as it followed up its 2018 Final Four trip with a run into the Sweet 16 last year 25-6 season that resulted in another MVC Championship. The Ramblers lost one of the top players in the conference but have four starters back along with some elite transfer additions. They are off to an 8-2 start that includes wins over Arizona St. and DePaul while the two losses came against Auburn and Michigan St., the latter coming by just a bucket. They face another power team tonight but one that is not expected to do much in the SEC. They are shooting 51 percent from the floor including 41.7 percent from long range, both of which are No. 8 in the country behind another balanced offense. The Ramblers are 6-1-2 ATS in their last nine games as a road favorite. Vanderbilt is 5-3 to open the season with losses in its last two games against a good SMU team by 12 points and a weak Temple team by four points in overtime. The Commodores finished last in the SEC last season at 3-13, winning only nine games overall and they have only two starters back. They brought in two highly touted transfers but neither have yet to see the floor this season. Vanderbilt is averaging just 70.9 ppg which is No. 211 in the country but worse off is that it is shooting only 40.4 percent from the floor which is No. 312 in the nation. Scottie Pippen Jr. is a great player but the Commodores have only one other double-digit scorer and only one other player averaging more than 6.6 ppg. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a home loss going up against an opponent off a home win by 20 points or more. This situation is 87-46 ATS (65.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (875) Loyola-Chicago Ramblers |
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12-10-21 | Penguins v. Capitals -130 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON CAPITALS for our NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Month. Pittsburgh and Washington renew their rivalry on Friday night. The Capitals sit atop the Metropolitan Division with a 16-4-5-1 record which is good for a one point lead over Carolina and New York. They are 9-1-3-1 at home led by an offense that is averaging 3.57 gpg which is seventh most in the NHL. They are No. 4 in shooting percentage and their power play in ranked in the top ten. Their three-day gap between the Anaheim and Pittsburgh games came at a good time, and it is the first time this season that Washington has had more than two days between games. The Capitals are 21-10 in their last 31 games against teams with a losing record. The Penguins are coming off a 2-1-1 Western Conference roadtrip to improve to 7-3-3 away from home and while playing with revenge, this is not the spot. They took out Vancouver and Seattle in the last two games but the win over Seattle was costly as they lost leading scorer Jake Guentzel to an upper body injury. Their numbers have been excellent overall and they are on pace away from home as well Pittsburgh has struggled against the better teams in the league and facing one of the hottest is a challenge. The Penguins are 3-8 in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play against road underdogs of +100 to +150 against the money line after allowing one goal or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring three goals or more in two straight games. This situation is 119-51 (70 percent) since 1996. 10* (50) Washington Capitals |
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12-09-21 | Steelers v. Vikings -3 | Top | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. The public reaction should see more money coming in on Pittsburgh after we closer to gametime following the Steelers upset win over Baltimore and the Vikings loss to Detroit. Pittsburgh improved to 6-5-1 and is now a game and a half behind the Ravens in the AFC North. The Steelers did it with stingy defense as they allowed 19 points after giving up 41 points in consecutive games prior to that. The difference this season has been the home/road splits as they are allowing 27 ppg on road compared to 21.6 ppg at home. The offense has scored 17 points or less in three of their last four road games and will face a defense that should be embarrassed by their performance last week. The Steelers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games against teams with a losing record. Minnesota fell to 5-7 with the loss to the Lions and while it is well out of the division race, a Wild Card spot is still in play. The Vikings are a game back for the final spot and they have to take advantage of home games where they are 3-2 and finish the season with three home games over their last five and they still get to face Chicago twice. A lot of the heat is on Kirk Cousins which always seems to be the case but he is having a great season as he has completed 68.4 percent of his passes for 3,353 yards while tossing 25 touchdowns and just three interceptions. Again, it will up to the defense and stop the running game and make Ben Roethlisberger beat then and that will be hard for him to do. The Vikings are 42-19 ATS in their last 61 games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off an upset win as a home underdog, playing a losing team in the second half of the season. This situation is 24-4 ATS (85.7 percent) since 1983. 10* (102) Minnesota Vikings |
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12-09-21 | Ducks v. Blue Jackets -103 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS for our NHK Thursday Breakaway. Columbus is coming off a loss at Toronto on Tuesday which was its fifth loss over its last six games. All five of those losses came on the road however where the Blue Jackets are 4-8-0-0 compared to a 9-3-0- record at home that includes four straight wins. They are averaging 3.83 gpg at home which is fourth highest in the league and they have prospered at even strength as of their 46 goals here, 39 have come at the 5-on-5 situation. When favored, they have been potent on offense, averaging 5.14 gpg while allowing only 2.86 gpg on defense. The Blue Jackets are 10-4 in their last 14 games against teams from the Western Conference. After the Ducks opened their five-game road trip with a 4-3 shootout loss against the Capitals, they bounced back with a 2-0 shutout win against Buffalo on Tuesday. While going 9-4-1-1 at home, Anaheim is 5-4-1-2 on the road and it is getting outscored on average 3.50-3.25. They seem to be overvalued here with a lot of that having to with their home record and they have dropped six of their last 10 games overall. The Ducks are 6-15 in their last 21 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game. Here, we play on home favorites against the money line with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after having lost three of their last four games, in the first half of the season. This situation is 72-20 (78.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (34) Columbus Blue Jackets |
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12-09-21 | Purdue v. Rutgers +13 | Top | 68-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. After a 3-0 start to the season, Rutgers dropped three straight games by a combined seven points. Two of those were on the road and while a home loss against Lafayette was inexcusable, they did bounce back with a home win against Clemson but then travelled to Illinois and got destroyed by 35 points. The situation will not get any easier here but being back home in one of the most underrated home arenas is a big edge. Rutgers made it to the NCAA Tournament last season and won its first tournament game since 1983. Rutgers is 32-7 in its last 39 home games. Purdue comes in as the No. 1 team in the country following a hard-four seven-point win over a tough Iowa team. That was the Boilermakers first non-cover as a five-game win streak against the spready and while they are clearly the better team here, this is a letdown spot despite this being a revenge from last season that saw Rutgers win by five points. Making things more difficult, this is the first true road game for the Boilermakers and they are the last in the Big Ten to play a road. Some standings show a 1-0 road record but that game was played at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. Purdue is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 road games after four straight games outrebounding opponent by six or more. Here, we play against favorites of 10 to 19.5 points with a winning percentage of .800 or better after having covered five or six of their last seven games against the spread. This situation is 151-94 ATS (61.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (854) Rutgers Scarlet Knights |
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12-08-21 | Magic v. Kings -6.5 | Top | 130-142 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
12-08-21 | Wyoming +16 v. Arizona | Top | 65-94 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the WYOMING COWBOYS for our CBB Nonconference Game of the Month. Wyoming was the 15th least experienced team in the country last season but managed pretty well with a high potent offense that carried the Cowboys to 14 wins overall including seven in the MWC. They were the highest scoring team in the conference and they ranked No. 68 in the country in offensive efficiency. They have continued the high scoring offence this season as they are averaging 82.3 ppg which is No. 29 in the country and they are No. 18 in offensive efficiency to jump out to an 8-0 start. The schedule has not been great but Wyoming does own a pair of solid road wins at Washington and CSU Fullerton. The Cowboys are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog. Arizona is also undefeated at 7-0 to start the season and this is a tough spot laying this many points. The Wildcats are coming off a win against Oregon St. to open up conference play and they have a big game at Illinois on deck. Arizona is the highest scoring team in the country but this will be the toughest offense it has faced even taking pace into consideration. Arizona is ranked No. 12 in the country in pace while Wyoming is No. 289 and that greatly benefits the underdog, especially a big one, when it is efficient on that side of the ball. Wyoming is No. 5 in the nation in Opponent Effective Field Goal Percentage and No. 3 in Opponent True Shooting Percentage. The Wildcats are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Here, we play against favorites off a road win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages of .800 or better. This situation is 87-42 ATS (67.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (729) Wyoming Cowboys |
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12-08-21 | Avalanche -160 v. Rangers | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO AVALANCHE for our NHL Wednesday Breakaway. The Rangers come into Wednesday riding a seven-game winning streak including a win last night in Chicago as the six goals scored were the highest during this winning streak. They head back home where they are 8-1-1 yet come in as underdogs where they are 1-1 on the season. They have not been dominant here as New York is outscoring its opponents by just 0.70 gpg and has put up just seven power play goals on home ice. Nonetheless, the Rangers have won eight straight home games which is the most since 2017 but this is the toughest opponent coming in during this stretch. The Rangers are 13-28 in their last 41 games as an underdog. Colorado has alternated wins and losses over its last six games following a win on Monday at Philadelphia. The Avalanche remain the highest scoring team in the league and in their win at Philadelphia, they put up a season high 50 shots while registering three power play goals which tied a season high. Overall, they are putting up 4.14 gpg and also lead the league in shooting percentage at 12.3 percent. The power play has been the strength but they also lead the league with six short-handed goals so they can get it done on both sides of the special teams. The Avalanche are 11-2 in their last 13 games after scoring five goals or more in their previous game. Here, we play against underdogs against the money line after scoring three goals or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring five goals or more in two straight games. This situation is 48-13 (78.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (21) Colorado Avalanche |
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12-07-21 | Villanova -9 v. Syracuse | Top | 67-53 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the VILLANOVA WILDCATS for our CBB Tuesday Enforcer. Syracuse is coming off a pair of wins against Indiana and Florida St. and now faces its toughest opponent of the season going to MSG. The Orange have one of the worst defenses in the country as they are allowing 79.1 ppg which is No. 333 in the country and while that is a little bit skewed by the Indiana game that went to double overtime, they have allowed 84 points or more in four of their last six games including giving up 100 points to Colgate. Their three losses have come by 12 points or more with the last two coming on a neutral floor. The Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. Vilanova has won three straight games, all coming in the five-game rivalry in Philadelphia. The Wildcats find themselves ranked No. 5 overall in the country in the analytics standings despite two early losses but they were quality ones against UCLA and Purdue, one coming against the former in overtime. Four of the Wildcats five starters average double-digit ppg this year so balance is again a big factor. The Wildcats are 24-9-1 ATS in their last 34 neutral site games as a favorite. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after two straight wins by three points or less going up against an opponent after three straight wins by 10 points or more. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1997. 10* (639) Villanova Wildcats |
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12-07-21 | Wild v. Oilers -123 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -123 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON OILERS for our NHL Tuesday Breakaway. Minnesota has won six straight games heading into Tuesday night and we are getting line value based on that. The Wild have averaged one of the top offenses in the league but they are right average on the road and their goals allowed is average in the league as their 2.92 gpg given up is right in the middle. Their recent winning streak has mostly at home with five straight wins and the lone road win came in a shootout. The Wild are 1-4 in their last five games as a road underdog. Edmonton has lost two straight games following a three-game winning streak. The Oilers allowed three power play goals in the 5-1 loss and they are now three point behind Calgary in the NHL Pacific Division. Edmonton is averaging 4.00 gpg at home which is second in the league. The Oilers are 7-0 in their last seven games after scoring two goals or less in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams against the money line after allowing four goals or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring four goals or more in four straight games. This situation is 34-16 (68 percent) since 1996. 10* (18) Edmonton Oilers |
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12-06-21 | Penguins -122 v. Seattle Kraken | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PENGUINS four our NHL Monday Breakaway. We won with Pittsburgh on Saturday and we will back them again here in a good spot. They snapped a three-game slide with the victory over Vancouver and they carry that into tonight. The Penguins are 6-3-1-2 on the road and have a great edge on special teams as they are at 88.9 percent on the power kill, allowing just three power play goals away from home. The Penguins are 5-2 in their last seven games after allowing two goals or less in their previous game. Seattle came over loss with a win over Edmonton but it is in another tough spot here. Here, we play against home underdogs of +100 to +150 against the money line off a win against a division rival, with a losing record in the first half of the season. This situation is 53-18 (74.6 percent) over the last five seasons.10* (71) Pittsburgh Penguins |
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12-06-21 | Patriots v. Bills -2.5 | Top | 14-10 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Buffalo is coming off a win at New Orleans on Thanksgiving so it has had an extended break in getting ready for its biggest game of the season. The Bills are 7-4 and trail the Patriots by a half-game in the AFC East with a chance to leapfrog New England in the division. This is just their second home game in a month with the other one being the beatdown they took from the Colts, getting defeated 41-15 as Jonathan Taylor went off. Buffalo still possesses the top ranked defense in the NFL and faces a pretty average offense tonight that does not carry a rushing threat like Indianapolis or Tennessee, the two times it was hit hard by the run. On the other side, the Bills are No. 4 in total offense and they are a top 10 team in both phases which the Patriots have not seen during their winning streak. The Bills are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. New England has won six straight games to be where they are but the schedule has been on its side with only one win coming against a team that is over .500 and that came against the Titans which were without Derrick Henry. The defense is ranked No. 1 in scoring defense and they have allowed a solid 7.8 ppg in five wins during their winning streak against those five teams that are not offensively efficient and the other one was against the Chargers where they gave up 24 points. This game has a lot of similarities as the game against a balanced Dallas team where they lost in overtime while getting outgained by 235 yards. The Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. 10* (476) Buffalo Bills |
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12-05-21 | Ravens v. Steelers +4.5 | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our AFC North Game of the Month. We were on the Steelers last week and they got smoked against the Bengals and it is pretty much do or die time as they return home against their biggest rival in what is essentially a Week 13 playoff game. Pittsburgh is 5-5-1 which still has them in the mix in the AFC but there is little for error and at this number, the Steelers are getting no respect which maybe they should not be. They have been average on offense as they are ranked No. 22 in both total offense and scoring offense but they do have a good matchup here against a Ravens team that does not take the ball away and allowed 31.3 ppg prior to playing the Bears and Browns. The Steelers are 17-4-2 ATS in their last 23 games as a home underdog. We played against Tennessee two weeks ago pointing to the fact they were the most overrated team in the AFC at the time and Baltimore has moved into tat category. Of their eight wins, five have come by three points or less or in overtime and another by just one possession which certainly explains their +23 point differential which is the fewest margin of any divisional leader in the NFL. The Ravens have been outgained in three of their last five games and we are going to see a lot of blind bets again despite another bad turnover game with a lot of this being how the Steelers have been over the last month. The Ravens are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win. Here we play against favorites forcing 1 or less tpg, after a game where they committed three or more turnovers. This situation is 31-10 ATS (75.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (470) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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12-05-21 | Washington Football Team v. Raiders -1 | Top | 17-15 | Loss | -118 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the LAS VEGAS RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Washington has won three straight games to move to 5-6 on the season and actually controls its own destiny in the NFC East but that is not going to happen. They are coming off a win over Seattle on Monday night as the Seahawks once again struggled on offense and now they head to the west coast on a short week. This is a very average team that is ranked No. 19 in total offense, No. 20 in scoring offense, Mo. 18 in total defense and No. 25 in scoring defense. They are even worse on the defensive side than those rankings indicate as Washington is allowing 5.9 yppl which is No. 20 overall and it is second the last in DVOA and the Raiders possess an offense that can take advantage. Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games as an underdog. The Raiders have been off since Thanksgiving and that should give them a solid edge here heading back home. Las Vegas broke out of an offensive slump in the 36-33 victory in Dallas largely because it diversified its attack. This is obviously key for any team but especially the Raiders as they can do it with the passing and rushing games as long as they go with both. Starting quarterback Derek Carr leads the NFL in passing with 3,414 yards but the balance was key against the Cowboys as keeping them on their heels with a lot of play action looks. Running back Josh Jacobs had a season high 22 carries which he turned into 87 yards and his production will again be key. The Raiders are just one game behind Kansas City in the AFC West and in this clogged division, every game is meaningful at this point. The Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. 10* (468) Las Vegas Raiders |
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12-04-21 | Penguins -135 v. Canucks | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PENGUINS four our NHL Saturday Breakaway. Pittsburgh has lost three straight games but the last two came against the two best teams in the Western Conference and it gets a big letdown in class here. The Penguins are 5-3-1-2 on the road and have a great edge on special team as they are at 88.9 percent on the power kill, allowing just three power play goals away from home. The Penguins are 7-2 in their last nine games when their opponent scores five goals or more in their previous game Vancouver has won two straight games following a four-game losing streak but those two victories came against two of the worst teams in the Eastern Conference. The Canucks are averaging just 2.20 gpg at home and they are at a huge disadvantage here as they have allowed 13 power play goals in 32 opportunities at home which is the worst in the league. The Canucks are 2-11 in their last 13 games following a win. Here, we play against home underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line that are being outscored by their opponents by 0.5 or more gpg, after allowing two goals or less in two straight games. This situation is 217-94 (69.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (49) Pittsburgh Penguins |
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12-04-21 | USC v. Washington State | Top | 63-61 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON ST. COUGARS for our CBB Saturday Enforcer. USC is off to a 7-0 start including a victory in its conference opener over Utah at home by 20 points. The Trojans made a trip to the Elite Eight last season but after losing its two top scorers, it looked to be a rebuilding project early on but the schedule has been on their side to be able to et off to get off to their undefeated start. History is on their side here with 10 straight wins in this series against Washinton St. but this is the best Cougars team they have faced over that stretch and the line is telling us this with this line being the lowest over this stretch. USC has won both road games but those came against Temple and Florida Gulf Coast and going back, the Trojans are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. Washington St. went just 7-12 in the Pac 12 last season but good things are expected this year with four starters back and a huge incoming transfer after making a first round exit in the conference tournament last March. The Cougars also won their conference opener as they defeated Arizona St. by 22 points as they held the Sun Devils to only 29 points on the road. Call it great defense or just poor shooting by Arizona St. but either way, it was a great way to start and they head home where they are 4-1, the lone setback being against Eastern Washington which can be dialed up to a lookahead game. They are shooting over 17 percent better from the free throw line than the Trojans and the Cougars are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games going up against an opponent after going under the total by more than six points in three consecutive games. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (680) Washington St. Cougars |
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12-04-21 | Houston +10.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 20-35 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our AAC Championship Winner. This has the opportunity to be one of the best championship games of the weekend and Houston is catching a great number and is flying under the radar with Cincinnati being right in the middle of the CFP positioning. The Cougars opened the season against Texas Tech and after a 21-7 halftime lead, they allowed 31 unanswered second half points as quarterback Clayton Tune threw four interceptions which is his total over his last 11 games combined. Houston has gone 11-0 since then and absolutely dominated, getting outgained only once over that stretch. Obviously, the schedule has not been great or overpowering but the same can be said for the other side and it that first game went different, there would be a lot more on the line for both sides. The Cougars are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a road underdog. It is simple for the Bearcats, as if they win they are in. Cincinnati started the season as undervalued and rolled to a 5-1 start against the number including a big win against Notre Dame but then it hit a stretch of four straight spread losses and while those lines were all -22 or more, none of those teams match up with Houston. They are coming off a big win against East Carolina to remain undefeated but it was not easy with the Pirates remaining within in two possessions up until a late touchdown sealed it for the Bearcats. While both offenses have been potent of late, both of these defenses are ranked within the top 10 in the country and being able to grab an underdog as this price with that scenario is big. Here, we play on road underdogs that are outgaining their opponents by 75 or more ypg, after outgaining their last opponent by 225 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 96-53 ATS (64.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (313) Houston Cougars |
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12-04-21 | Utah State v. San Diego State -6 | Top | 46-13 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our CFB Game of the Week. San Diego St. won its last four games to take the MWC West Division title and its 11 victories are the most in program history. With a win, the Aztecs keep their hopes of an invite to a New Year's Six Bowl alive if Cincinnati goes down against Houston. Thanks to the better record, that get to host the conference championship and they have won six of seven home games, the lone loss coming against Fresno St. which was their last game they were outrushed and the line of scrimmage will be a big factor here. With Utah St. allowing 163.8 ypg on the ground, which is 8th worst in the conference, San Diego St. will use its strength where it is averaging 177.6 ypg rushing. On the other side, the Aztecs defense allowed just 78.7 ypg rushing, the best in the conference and No. 2 in the nation. The Aztecs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite. Utah St. won its season finale against New Mexico to claim the MWC East Division thanks to a tiebreaker with a head-to-head win over Air Force. The Aggies like to run an up-tempo offense but protection could be a problem. While they are averaging 304.8 ypg passing, San Diego St. gets to the quarterback well. Keeping Logan Bonner upright has been a challenge, as he has been sacked 20 times and the offensive line has allowed numerous quarterback hits. The Aggies are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 road games against teams with a winning home record. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a rushing defense allowing 3.25 or fewer rushing ypc, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games. This situation is 60-28 ATS (68.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (324) San Diego St. Aztecs |
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12-03-21 | Oilers -125 v. Seattle Kraken | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON OILERS for our NHL Friday Breakaway. Edmonton has won three straight games and remains one point behind Calgary in the NHL Pacific Division. The Oilers have been dominant at home with a 9-1-0-0 record and their record of 7-4-0-0 on the road is solid enough at this price range. They are averaging 3.36 gpg on the highway which is fourth most in the league and they can thank the power play for a lot of that as their .375 percentage is tops in the NHL by a wide margin. They have been average on defense with 3.00 gpg allowed but the penalty kill has been great, allowing only four goals and its penalty kill of 87.9 percent is No. 3 in the NHL and overall ,they have allowed just two power play goals in the last 19 opportunities over the last six games. The Oilers are 9-1 in their last 10 games after allowing two goals or less in their previous game. Seattle is coming off a shootout loss at Detroit to close a 202 roadtrip. The opportunities for scoring have been slim as the Kraken have been outshot in their last seven games and they have struggled at home on special played, converting just six times in 33 man up advantages and that .182 percentage is tied for No. 11 worse in the league. Seattle is a decent 5-6-0-0 at home but the feeling is that is getting too much respect here against a top level team. The 15 overall losses are fourth most in the NHL and they have struggled here as the Kraken are 0-7 in their last seven games against the Western Conference. Here, we play against home underdogs of +100 to +150 against the money line with a winning percentage between .300 and .400 revenging a road loss by three goals or more, playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season. This situation is 23-4 (85.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (27) Edmonton Oilers |