Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-18-22 | Braves -160 v. Cubs | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -160 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. The Braves had their 14-game winning streak snapped with a 1-0 loss on Friday afternoon. The Atlanta offense was held in check for the first time during this stretch as it had not scored fewer than three runs while averaging 7.2 rpg in those 14 games. The Braves got off to a slow start this season but has narrowed the gap to 5.5 games behind the Mets in the National League East with a great chance to start another streak over the weekend before hosting the Giants and Dodgers next week. Kyle Wright looks to keep the solid string of pitching going and he brings in a 2.57 ERA and 1.03 WHIP including a 2.13 ERA over his last six outings. Atlanta is 34-11 against the money line in its last 35 games as a road favorite of -125 or more. Chicago snapped a 10-game losing streak with the victory but the lethargic offense still managed only one run and the Cubs are averaging a mere 2.8 rpg over their last 11 games. Chicago is 12-24 at home which is the third worst home record in baseball behind Washington and Oakland and while the offense has had little success, the pitching has been just as bad with the exception of a solid effort from Keegan Thompson yesterday as the cubs allowed 9.0 rpg during the losing skid. Justin Steele has been solid of late but he catches the wrong offense at the wrong time. The Cubs are 1-10 against the money line in their last 11 home games against a National League starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.25 or better. Here, we play on National League road teams hitting .255 or worse and with a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.15 or better on the season going up against teams with a bullpen ERA of 4.50 or worse. This situation is 94-47 (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (951) Atlanta Braves |
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06-17-22 | White Sox +146 v. Astros | 3-13 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The White Sox are coming off a sweep at Detroit to open this roadtrip and while things will get more difficult here, they are in a good matchup at a great price. Chicago is one game under .500 on the season and with the three wins at Detroit, the White Sox are three games over .500 on the highway where they are the best hitting team in baseball. Chicago is hitting .274 away from home, which is by far the best in the American League, and it is crushing lefties with a .314 average. Lucan Giolito gets the ball for the White Sox and he brings in a 3.88 ERA and in 10 starts, he has allowed three runs or less eight times. The White Sox are 5-2 in their last seven games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. Houston won the final two games against Texas to take the three-game set and the Astros put an end to a 1-4 run. Houston is in control in the American League West as it now has a nine-game lead over the Rangers and a 10-game lead over the Angels. The Astros are 16-10 at home which is solid yet unspectacular and they should not be priced this high in this matchup. Framber Valdez has been great this season with a 2.64 ERA and 1.13 WHIP but most of his success has come on the road where he has a 1.61 ERA and 0.92 WHIP compared to a 4.15 ERA and 1.45 WHIP at home. The Astros are 3-7 in their last 10 games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. here, we play on American League teams averaging 4.2 or fewer rpg and after a win by 10 or more runs going up against starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 or better. This situation is 29-11 (72.5 percent) since 1997. 9* (921) Chicago White Sox |
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06-17-22 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +104 | Top | 12-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Yankees keep rolling along as they have won seven straight games to increase their lead to 10 games over Toronto and 12 games over Tampa Bay following the three-game sweep of the Rays. New York improved to 29-7 at home where it has played nine more games than on the road and while it is nine-games over .500 on the highway, the numbers drop. Pitching has led the way as the Yankees are ranked No. 1 in runs allowed per nine innings, batting average allowed and opponent OPS. Jordan Mongomery has been very good with a 2.70 ERA and 0.98 WHIP but New York is just 6-6 in his 12 starts, accounting for over a third of its losses on the season. Toronto is coming off a disappointing split with the Orioles culminated by a 10-2 loss on Thursday as Kevin Gausman got lit up in his worst outing of the season. The Blue Jays are 20-12 at home which is third best record at home in all of baseball so they have an opportunity and this is a big series for Toronto as it can cut into this lead and needs to avoid falling back further in the standings and at the very least, stay in first place in the current Wild Card standings. Ross Stripling is off to a solid start as he has a 3.14 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 15 games which includes a 2.81 ERA in seven starts. The Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last five games when their opponent allows two runs or less in their previous game. Here, we play against American League road teams with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.10 or better on the season. This situation is 297-169 (63.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (918) Toronto Blue Jays |
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06-17-22 | Giants v. Pirates +195 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Pittsburgh snapped a nine-game losing streak with a 6-4 win at St. Louis and are sitting at 12 games under .500 but the Pirates have been better at home where they are four games under .500 and the numbers are much better. They are allowing nearly two runs per nine innings less at home than on the road and the pitching will be key against a pretty potent offense. Their own offense has been pretty brutal but like the pitching, they have fared much better at home than on the road. Zach Thompson started the season with a 10.15 ERA in his first four starts but he has posted a 2.27 ERA over his last seven starts and one inning of relief where he has allowed two runs or less seven times. The Pirates are 5-1 in their last six games against the National League West. San Francisco had a five-game winning streak snapped with a 3-2 loss against Kansas City and is coming off a successful 6-3 homestand. The Giants are 4.5 games behind the Padres in the National League West and they hit the road where they are a respectable 16-13 but being over a 2-1 favorite on the highway is way too aggressive and it is mainly attributed to the solid recent pitching form. That includes Carlos Rodon who is coming off a pair of solid outings but those were at home and he has a 4.22 ERA in six road starts and San Francisco is 1-6 in his seven starts against National League teams with an OBP of .325 or worse. Here, we play on home teams hitting .190 or worse over their last five games going up against an opponent hitting .215 or worse over their last 10 games. This situation is 54-23 (70.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (910) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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06-16-22 | Angels -115 v. Mariners | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. The managerial change for Los Angeles has not done much as it is 2-5 in the seven games since Joe Maddon was fired but to their credit, the recent schedule has been very tough. During their 2-18 run, they have played just two teams with a losing record and that was just one game against the Rangers and three against the Phillies when they got hot after Joe Girardi got let go as the other 16 games have come against the Blue Jays, Yankees, Red Sox, Mets and Dodgers. The offense has dipped while the pitching has remained steady and one of those parts has been Shohei Ohtani. He has a 3.64 ERA and 1.12 WHIP on the season and over his last eight starts, he has allowed two runs or less in six of those and the two outliers came against the Yankees and Blue Jays. Seattle dropped its series with the Twins after getting shutout 5-0 on Wednesday which was its second series loss on this homestand that concludes with a five-game series against the Angels. The Mariners are a game over .500 at home but have struggled on both sides, especially the starting pitching that has posted a 4.75 ERA and a bullpen that has a 4.44 ERA. The Angels bats have cooled down considerably but the pitching they have faced has been off the charts and can definitely get to George Kirby who has been inconsistent in his seven starts and he has allowed seven home runs in his last five outings. Here, we play on teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a winning percentage between .460 and .499 after having lost six or seven of their last eight games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .380 and .460. this situation is 29-7 (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (965) Los Angeles Angels |
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06-15-22 | Rays v. Yankees -131 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK YANKEES for our MLB American League East Game of the Month. This is a big early season series in the American League East and while Tampa Bay is 10 games back, they can cut into the lead but are already off a loss. The Rays are a game over .500 on the road and while the pitching has been good, the offense has struggled with a .233 average while averaging only 4.5 runs per nine innings. Shane McClanahan has flown under the radar with a 1.87 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in 12 starts and Tampa Bay has won his last seven starts which is keeping this number down and while he pitched well in a 4-2 win last month against New York, that was at home where his last five starts have taken place and nine of 12 overall. The Rays are 3-7 in their last 10 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. New York is 27-7 at home and has easily gained control of the entire American League with a 45-16 record. While the offense is scary from pretty much top to bottom, the pitching has really dominated as the Yankees are ranked No. 1 in runs allowed per nine innings, batting average allowed and opposing OPS. Nestor Cortes was humming along with a 1.50 ERA and 0.87 WHIP through his first 12 starts but is coming off his worst start of the season as he allowed four runs, including a pair of home runs, on seven hits in just 4.1 innings. He dominated Tampa Bay last month in an eight inning gem. The Yankees are 17-5 in their last 21 games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on American League home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 allowing 4.4 or fewer runs per game on the season going up against an opponent starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing. This situation is 63-22 (74.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (920) New York Yankees |
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06-14-22 | Guardians v. Rockies +152 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES for our MLB Interleague Game of the Month. The Rockies are back home following a successful 4-3 roadtrip in San Francisco and San Diego and they bring in a 16-16 record at Coors Field. Colorado is seven games under .500 no thanks to its horrible 11-18 record on the road and heading back home, they average 5.8 rpg while hitting .271 which overall is the best home production in baseball. Antonio Senzatela takes the hill for the Rockies and while he has struggled throughout the season, he has actually pitched better at home with a 3.76 ERA compared to a 6.75 ERA on the road. Colorado is 17-7 against the money line in its last 24 home games after allowing two runs or less. Cleveland is playing its best baseball of the season as it has won 10 of its last 13 games and is now two games over .500 on the season. The Guardians trail the Twins by three games in the American League Central thanks to strong offense and pitching but they have not been nearly as good on the road as they are four games under .500. the numbers go down considerably on the highway and while the offense could get a Coor Field boost here, the pitching could be in trouble despite the ace taking the hill. Shane Bieber has been excellent this season with a 2.91 ERA and 1.12 WHIP and while he has been even more solid on the road, that is negated with him pitching at Coors Field. The Guardians are 5-17 in their last 22 games against National League West teams. Here, we play on National League home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.65 or worse on the season and who walked one or fewer hitters each of his last two outings. This situation is 28-10 (73.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (978) Colorado Rockies |
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06-13-22 | Padres v. Cubs +125 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The Cubs have to be happy to return home following a three-game sweep at the Yankees, getting outscored 28-5 in the process, which was their sixth straight loss and dropping them to 23-36 on the season. Home has not been kind to Chicago as it is 11-20 at Wrigley Field this season which is surprising considering it is actually outscoring opponents here with part of the reason going 4-8 in one-run games and a lot of the wins coming by huge amounts. The offense has been a little above average which obviously was not on display in New York but the Cubs are averaging 4.8 runs per nine innings at home which includes 5.1 runs per nine innings against right-handed pitching. Yu Darvish has been adequate but the success has come at pitcher-friendly Petco Park as he has a 5.82 ERA in six road starts. San Diego was on a 7-1 run prior to losing the final two games at home against the Rockies and it was unable to take advantage of the Dodgers getting swept against the Giants and a chance to take over first place in the National League West. The Padres are 20-11 on the road and while the pitching has led the way, this is not the matchup for that to continue. The offense has been a big disappointment as they are ranked No. 16 in runs scored per nine innings and No. 22 in batting average. They will face Justin Steele whose overall numbers are bad but the road has been the problem and he brings in a 3.69 ERA in seven home starts while allowing only one home run in those games. Here, we play against National League road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 hitting .255 or worse and with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.05 or better on the season going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA between 4.20 and 5.20. this situation is 60-29 (67.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (908) Chicago Cubs |
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06-12-22 | Dodgers -125 v. Giants | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -125 | 15 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. The Dodgers came into Saturday with the possibility of falling out of first place in the National League West as they have been down of late with a 4-8 record over their last 12 games with the Padres right on their heels. They will be out to avoid the sweep as the offense, which is the best in baseball in runs scored per nine innings, has been handcuffed in the first two games by scoring just four runs total. The Dodgers send Julio Urias to the hill and he has been very strong with a 2.78 ERA and 1.11 WHIP through 11 starts and this has been a great situation for him and the Dodgers which are 17-3 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175. San Francisco is hanging around in the division as well as the first two wins in this series has pulled it to within 4.5 games of Los Angeles. The Giants have used a strong offense to hang around as they are ranked No. 3 in runs scored per nine innings and No. 9 in OPS but have a tough matchup here. On the other side, the matchup could be even more tough as the pitching has been well below average as they are No. 20 in runs allowed per nine innings and No. 25 in batting average allowed. Carlos Rodon has been good but not great with a 3.51 ERA and has allowed four home runs in his last five games. The Giants are 3-9 in their last 12 games as an underdog. Here, we play on National League road favorites with a money line of -125 or more with an on-base percentage of .350 or worse and with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games going up against a team with a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.35 or better. This situation is 225-97 (69.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (959) Los Angeles Dodgers |
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06-12-22 | Orioles +114 v. Royals | 10-7 | Win | 114 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. The Orioles came through with our free play on Saturday and we will back them premium on Sunday. Baltimore dropped the first two games of this series against the Royals before a 6-4 win on Saturday and the Orioles are now 10 games under .500 but it has another good spot here. They are 10-20 on the road but half of those losses have come against teams with a winning record and will be out to split this series. Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in most major offensive and defensive categories but face a team that is even worse off. Dean Kremer has a 6.23 ERA but a 1.38 WHIP which is much stronger indicator of how he has pitched. The Royals had won three straight games for only the second time this season and despite this, they bring in the second worst record in the American League and third worst in all of baseball. Kansas City is 12-19 at home as the offense has struggled, averaging just 3.4 runs per nine innings while the pitching has been dreadful with a 4.66 ERA backed by a bullpen with a 5.08 ERA. The numbers for Brad Keller have been better than those of Kremer but he has struggled of late with a 7.31 ERA and 2.00 WHIP over his last three starts and the Royals have lost his last six starts. The Royals are 2-8 in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. Here, we play against American League home teams averaging 4.2 rpg and with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 2.00 or worse over his last three starts going up against a team with a bullpen ERA of 3.33 or better. This situation is 45-14 (76.3 percent) since 1997. 9* (969) Baltimore Orioles |
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06-12-22 | Rays -118 v. Twins | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. The Twins have won the first two games of this series and this is the first time they have won consecutive games since May 24th which concluded a six-game winning streak. Minnesota has lost six of its last 11 games over this recent stretch and has seen its lead in the American League Central increase to five games over the Cleveland Guardians. The Twins have improved on offense, averaging 6.8 rpg over their last eight games and overall, they are No. 5 in baseball with a .254 average but they have a very tough matchup on Sunday as they have not faced much over the last two games. The Rays have one of the best pitching staffs in baseball as they are ranked No. 5 in runs allowed per nine innings and No. 6 in batting average allowed and opponent OPS. The offense has been the issue as Tampa Bay is No. 22 in runs scored per nine innings and No. 24 in both batting average and OPS but has a great opportunity here against Cole Sands. On their side, starter Jeffrey Springs has been outstanding this season with a 1.62 ERA and 0.92 WHIP through seven starts and while he has allowed five home runs, take those away and he has allowed only three other earned runs which is pretty remarkable and he is becoming a big DFS threat with that and his recent strikeout potential. The Rays are 21-9 in their last 30 games as a road favorite. Here, we play on teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games going up against an opponent with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games. This situation is 77-45 (63.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (971) Tampa Bay Rays |
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06-11-22 | Mets v. Angels +122 | Top | 6-11 | Win | 122 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS for our MLB Interleague Game of the Week. The Angels snapped their 14-game losing streak with a win over the Red Sox on Thursday but it was short-lived as they opened their series against the Mets with a 7-3 loss on Friday. The longer run of 4-19 over its last 23 games has put Los Angeles nine games behind the Astros in the American League West with a big hill to climb. Friday was the seventh time over the last 11 games that it has scored three runs or less and that once potent offense has fallen to No. 16 in both runs scored per nine innings and batting average and No. 14 in OPS. Michael Lorenzen is coming off one of his worst outings as he allowed five runs in 5.2 innings while walking a season-high five batters but he has allowed three runs or less in six of his nine starts. The Angels are 5-2 in their last seven Interleague home games. The Mets snapped a two-game slide with the win and are now 4-4 on this current roadtrip. The average New York run has led to the lead dwindle in the National League East as it is 6.5 games in front of the Braves which have won nine straight games. The offense remains one of the best as they are ranked No. 2 in runs scored per nine innings and No. 1 in batting average so it will be another test for the Angels. Carlos Carrasco has been a great addition to this starting staff and he is coming off arguably his best start of the season, allowing two runs in seven innings while striking out 10 and walking none. The Mets are 4-9 in their last 13 Interleague road games. Here, we play on American League teams with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.20 or better on the season, and coming off an outing where he walked five or more hitters. This situation is 30-10 (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (932) Los Angeles Angels |
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06-10-22 | Rays v. Twins +102 | Top | 4-9 | Win | 102 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS for our American League Game of the Month. Minnesota is thankful the Yankees have finally left town as the Twins lost two of three, allowing 7.3 rpg in the series and last night they gave up 10 runs in a 10-7 loss despite the offense lighting up Gerit Cole for five home runs. The opponent does not get much easier this weekend but they will be facing an offense not even close to the same firepower. Minnesota has lost six of its last nine games and has seen its lead in the American League Central shrink to three games over the Cleveland Guardians. The Twins have improved on offense, averaging 6.5 rpg over their last six games and overall, they are No. 5 in baseball with a .251 average. Minnesota is 18-13 at home with the pitching leading the way with a 3.54 ERA despite a couple of recent hiccups. The Twins are 9-3 in their last 12 games following a loss. Tampa Bay is coming off a sweep over St. Louis which came after a series loss against the White Sox and it hits the road where it has yet to be tested. The Rays do have one of the best pitching staffs in baseball as they are ranked No. 5 in runs allowed per nine innings, batting average allowed and opponent OPS. The offense has been the issue as Tampa Bay is No. 21 in runs scored per nine innings and No. 24 in both batting average and OPS and its numbers drop on the road where it is 13-10 with all 13 of those wins coming against teams with a losing record. The Rays are 2-5 in their last seven games when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams hitting .215 or worse over their last 15 games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.00 or better over his last five starts. This situation is 58-17 (77.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (972) Minnesota Twins |
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06-09-22 | Red Sox v. Angels -114 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on LOS ANGELES ANGELS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. This has been one of the biggest contender tailspins we have seen in quite some time as the Angels have lost 14 straight games and are on a longer-term 3-18 run which has knocked them from first place in the American League West to now 9.5 games behind the Astros. Last night was the second 1-0 loss in three days for Los Angeles sixth time over the last nine games that it has scored one run or less and that once potent offense has fallen to No. 16 in runs scored per nine innings and No. 17 in batting average. Shohei Ohtani is coming off a pair of poor outings and will look to shut down the Red Sox whose own offense has not been great and he brings in a 3.74 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in four home starts. The Angels are 7-2 in their last nine games after losing the first three games of a series. Boston has won seven straight games and its pitching has led the way as it has allowed two runs or less in seven of its last eight games. The Red Sox are now three games over .500 and four games over .500 on the road and clearly has the momentum as they turn to Nick Pivetta who has been one of the top starters over the past month, posting a 1.32 ERA over his last six starts with Boston winning the last five. He has benefitted from the offense behind him that has averaged 9.6 rpg over those five games which has taken a lot of the pressure off. Here, we play on American League home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 allowing 4.4 or fewer runs per game on the season going up against an opponent starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing. This situation is 61-22 (73.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (918) Los Angeles Angels |
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06-08-22 | Phillies v. Brewers +120 | Top | 10-0 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. We lost with the Brewers last night as they took a 2-1 lead into the ninth inning but gave up two solo home runs and went on to lose 3-2. Milwaukee has lost four straight games and six of its last seven but still sits nine games over .500 and their lead in the National League Central remains a half-game over the Cardinals. The Brewers are 15-10 at home and outscoring opponents by 1.4 runs per game and are catching another great line here. Adrian Houser has been outstanding at home with a 1.95 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in five starts, four of which he has allowed one or no runs. The Brewers are 14-5 in their last 19 home games against right-handed starters. Philadelphia has won five straight games including four straight since manager Joe Girardi was fired and they all of a sudden a clutch team. They rallied from a 5-0 deficit on Sunday and then the comeback last night as the offense has come to life but four of those recent wins have come at home and Philadelphia is 11-14 on the road and allowing 5.04 runs per nine innings. They are favored tonight based on the starting pitching matchup as well as the streaks but there is not much difference in the former. Aaron Nola is coming off a poor outing against the Giants and he has allowed four or more runs in three of his last five starts. The Phillies are 19-40 in their last 59 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Here, we play against National League road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 averaging 4.7 or more rpg while hitting .240 or worse over their last 10 games going up against a team with a bullpen with an ERA of 3.75 or better. This situation is 33-10 (76.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (956) Milwaukee Brewers |
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06-07-22 | Dodgers v. White Sox +120 | 0-4 | Win | 120 | 23 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Dodgers are in a bit of a funk as they have lost five of their last seven games and have seen their lead in the National League West to two games over the Padres. Los Angeles is clearly solid in most areas as it is ranked No. 1 in runs scored and No. 2 in runs allowed but they are at a big disadvantage in the pitching matchup which is causing a lower line than normally seen on the road with their 18-9 record away from home. Mitch white is making just his fourth start of the season and he has been limited while posting a 4.79 ERA. The Dodgers are 2-8 against the money line in their last 10 road games after having lost five or six of their last seven games. Chicago has won two straight games following a four-game losing streak and overall, the White Sox are two games under .500. They return home where they are also two games under .500 and it has been a struggle overall as the high expectations coming in have not been met by a big amount yet they are still just five games behind the Twins in the American League Central. Michael Kopech is coming off his worst start of the season as he allowed five runs in three innings but that was at Toronto and he has a 2.05 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in four home starts. The White Sox are 13-3 in their last 16 Interleague games against right-handed starters. Here, we play against National League teams averaging 5.0 rpg and going 10 straight games with one or less errors going up against an American League starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 or better. This situation is 68-37 (64.8 percent) since 1997. 9* (930) Chicago White Sox |
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06-07-22 | Phillies v. Brewers -101 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -101 | 23 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Phillies are on a mini-roll with four straight wins, three since manager Joe Girardi was fired and they seem to be a completely different team. They rallied from a 5-0 deficit on Sunday to defeat the Angels and the offense has come to life but all four of those wins have come at home and Philadelphia hits the road where it is 10-14 and allowing 5.2 runs per game. It is still sitting four games under .500 and 11 games behind the Mets in the National League East. Philadelphia is 15-23 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. Milwaukee has lost three straight games and five of its last six but still sits 10 games over .500 yet their lead in the National League Central has shrunk to a half-game over the Cardinals. The Brewers remain home where they are 15-9 and outscoring opponents by 1.4 runs per game and are catching a great line here which is based on the recent streaks and not the 14-game differential in the records. Milwaukee has to credit the pitching to the great start as it is top ten in all three major pitching categories. The Brewers are 44-22 against the money line in their last 66 games after a five-game span with an OBP of .285 or worse. Here, we play against National League road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 averaging 4.7 or more rpg while hitting .240 or worse over their last 10 games going up against a team with a bullpen with an ERA of 3.75 or better. This situation is 33-9 (78.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (906) Milwaukee Brewers |
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06-07-22 | Tigers v. Pirates +115 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Detroit is coming off a sweep at the hands of the Yankees as the offense was pathetic, getting only 12 hits and four runs over the three-game set. The Tigers are now 21-33 overall including a 7-18 record on the road where they are getting outscored by nearly two runs per game as both offense and pitching have been bad, culminated with that sweep against the Yankees. The reason for the low line is due to the pitching of Tarik Skubal who has a 2.15 ERA and 0.95 WHIP through 10 starts but as is the case with most starters here, Detroit has a 2-3 record on the road in his outings compared to a 1-4 record at home. The Tigers are 8-17 in their last 25 games following a loss. Pittsburgh has won two straight games and five of its last six and it now sits four games under .500 which is not horrible thus far for a team that finished 40 games under .500 last season. The Pirates are two games under .500 at home and the record includes a 3-9 record against teams with a winning record and a 10-6 record against losing teams. The offense has struggled this season but have come alive of late, averaging five runs per game during the recent six-game stretch. Jose Quintana has a 2.32 ERA and 1.23 WHIP and he has allowed two runs or less in nine of his 10 starts. The Pirates are 38-16 in their last 54 interleague home games against teams with a losing record. Here, we play against road teams after two straight games with no home runs and with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.00 over his last five starts. This situation is 66-33 (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (922) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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06-06-22 | Mets v. Padres -112 | Top | 11-5 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. Following a six-game winning streak, the Mets lost the first two games against the Dodgers but bounced back to win the last two games to split the four-game set. New York is 37-19 including a solid 18-11 on the road and it has an 8.5-game lead in the National League East. The Mets have been solid on both sides, ranking in the top five in runs scored and runs allowed per nine innings with a differential of over one run per game. The Mets are 22-45 in their last 67 road games vs. a left-handed starter. San Diego is coming off an extra inning win over the Brewers to make it three straight wins to move to 33-21 and is just two games behind the Dodgers in the National League West. The Padres went just 3-4 on their recent roadtrip and are back home where they are 13-10 and look to continue the recent offensive surge after a rough run and a lot of the season struggled can be attributed to the absence of Fernando Tatis Jr. who has yet to take the field. The Padres are 14-3 in their last 17 games when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. Here, we play on teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games going up against an opponent with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games. This situation is 77-40 (65.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (954) San Diego Padres |
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06-04-22 | White Sox v. Rays -117 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -117 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. Tampa Bay took the opener of this series on Friday to make it three straight wins to improve to 31-21 and it remains six games behind the Yankees in the American League East. The Rays are 18-11 at home where the pitching has dominated with a 2.87 ERA which is third best in baseball and they are getting from both ends at starters and relievers have posted a sub-3.00 ERA. The hitting has not been as consistent but Tampa Bay averages 4.26 runs per nine innings at home against right-handed pitching. Tampa Bay is 10-1 against the money line against starting pitchers who strikes out five or more batters per start this season. The White Sox underachieving season continues as they have now lost four straight games while going 2-7 over their last nine. In those nine games, they have allowed an average of 7.7 rpg and the ERA from the starting pitching on the road is 4.29. The offense came into the season as one of the best on paper but injuries have really hurt as they are still without Eloy Jiminez and now Tim Anderson is on the shelf with a groin injury. Chicago is 12-14 on the road and going back, the White Sox are 12-41 in their last 53 games as a road underdog. Here, we play on home teams when the money line is +125 to -125with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than five innings per start, playing on Saturday. This situation is 67-31 (68.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (978) Tampa Bay Rays |
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06-03-22 | Mariners v. Rangers +110 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS RANGERS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. Seattle won in extra innings on Thursday to improve to 22-29 on the season and also went to 10-19 on the road, both of which are very bad. The Mariners have been one of the most disappointing teams in baseball through the first two months and while their overall rankings are not horrible, they have a -15 scoring differential and have gone 13-21 in non-one run games. Seattle is 4-15 against the money line in road games against American League teams with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. Texas fell to Tampa Bay yesterday to make it two straight losses following a 6-1 run and the Rangers are now 24-26. Both pitching and offense are ranked in the top half of baseball and the numbers increase slightly at home. The pitching has made the most strides as Texas has posted a 2.88 ERA over its last 10 games and faces an offense that has been inconsistent the entire season. The Rangers are 6-0 in their last six games when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game. Here, we play against American League teams averaging 4.2 or fewer rpg and starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA between 4.20 and 4.70. This situation is 31-8 (79.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (924) Texas Rangers |
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06-02-22 | Mariners v. Orioles -102 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. After getting shutout in the series opener 10-0, the Orioles responded with a 9-2 win on Wednesday and have now won eight of their last 13 games. Baltimore is 13-12 at home where it is hitting .247 while averaging 4.56 runs per nine innings against right-handed pitching which is above average across the league. The pitching has been even better here as the Orioles have a team ERA of 3.32 at Camden Yards that includes a 2.62 ERA from the bullpen. The Orioles are 4-1 in their last five home games against teams with a losing record. Seattle fell to 21-29 on the season with the Wednesday loss and also dropped to 9-19 on the road. The Mariners have been one of the most disappointing teams in baseball through the first two months and while their overall rankings are not horrible, they have a -16 scoring differential and have gone 13-21 in non-one run games. Seattle is 3-15 against the money line in road games against American League teams with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. Here, we play against American League road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 averaging 4.2 or fewer rpg and with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season going up against a team with a very bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better. This situation is 41-13 (75.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (970) Baltimore Orioles |
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06-01-22 | White Sox v. Blue Jays -125 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. Toronto took the series opener on Tuesday to make it six straight wins, the last four coming by one run. The Blue Jays have cut the lead in the American League East to 5.5 games with a 28-20 record and the offense, which got off to a slow start, has come around by averaging 6.8 rpg during this recent winning streak and that is a great upswing when facing a top level starter. The Blue Jays are 22-7 in their last 29 games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. Chicago is plugging along at a game under .500 after having lost four of its last six games and the White Sox are now five games behind the Twins in the American League Central. They are a game over .500 on the road but are averaging just 3.6 runs per nine innings on the highway. The White Sox are 4-17 against the money line in their last 21 road games when playing against a team with a winning percentage between .540 and .620. Here, we play on American League home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 allowing 4.4 or fewer rpg going up against an opponent starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing. This situation is 61-20 (75.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (924) Toronto Blue Jays |
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05-31-22 | Royals v. Guardians -122 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. Cleveland took the opener of this series on Monday with a 7-3 win and it remains up and down after a good start to the season. The Guardians are five games under .500 and have played a rugged schedule by playing 27 road games and just 16 home games where they are 8-8. Despite the record, they are in the top third in baseball in batting average and batting averaging allowed. Cleveland is 50-20 in its last 70 games against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175. Kansas City has lost two straight games and nine of its last 11 as it sits in last place in the American League Central at 16-31, 12 games behind the Twins. The Royals are 8-16 on the road and they bring in the third worst pitching staff in baseball as they are ranked No. 27 in runs allowed per nine innings while backing that up with rankings of No. 28 in batting average allowed and No. 27 in opposing OPS. Kansas City is 2-13 against the money line against teams with a bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season. Here, we play against American League road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season, after two straight losses by four runs or more. This situation is 48-17 (73.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (968) Cleveland Guardians |
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05-27-22 | Yankees v. Rays -120 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our A.L. East Game of the Month. The Yankees took the series opener on Thursday to increase their lead in the American League East to 5.5 games over Tampa Bay. New York has been solid on both sides as evidenced by its 32-13 record as it is ranked No. 6 offensively and No. 2 defensively in runs scored per nine innings with very similar OPS rankings as well. The Yankees are 15-6 on the road which is the second best road record in baseball based on winning percentage and as always, the public backs them and has cleaned up thus far but they have a tough matchup here. Jameson Taillon has been solid with a 2.95 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in eight starts and is being publicly backed here. Tampa Bay has won five of its previous seven games prior to Thursday and it can put a nice dent into the Yankees lead with a big weekend. The Rays are now 15-10 at home and the pitching has led the way with a 2.93 ERA that is equally solid from both the starting pitching and the bullpen. This has been a great situational spot as they are averaging 4.73 runs per nine innings against right-handed pitching and going back, the Rays are 40-14 in their last 54 home games against right-handed starters. Jeffrey Springs will be making his fifth start of the season and each start has been progressively better as his pitch count has increased and he has pitched to a 1.32 ERA and 0.80 WHIP and his numbers are even better in two home outings. Here, we play against American League road teams with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.10 or better on the season. This situation is 287-166 (63.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (970) Tampa Bay Rays |
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05-26-22 | Red Sox v. White Sox -102 | Top | 16-7 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. After a 16-3 bashing at the hands of the Red Sox on Tuesday, Chicago bounced back with a win on Wednesday to make it three wins in its last four games. The White Sox are back over .500 and they now trail the Twins by 4.5 games in the American League Central and can close out this series with a win in what is a good matchup. They are still a game under .500 at home as they have been hit hard with injuries as Luis Robert and Eloy Jimenez are both on the 10-day IL but there is still plenty in the lineup that can get to Michael Wacha who will likely have a limited pitch count once again. The White Sox are 9-3 in their last 12 games against teams with a losing record. Boston had its six-game winning streak snapped with the loss last night and the Red Sox remain in fourth place in the American League East, trailing the Yankees by 10.5 games. They are three games under .500 overall and three games under .500 on the road where the offense has struggled with a .210 average against left-handed pitching. Dallas Keuchel has struggled overall but his damage has come on the road with two awful starts against the Yankees and Guardians but brings in a 3.32 ERA in four home starts. The Red Sox are 3-7 in their last 10 games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Here, we play against American League road teams averaging between 4.4 and 4.9 rpg and after scoring one run or less going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA of 6.20 or worse. This situation is 50-23 (68.5 percent) since 1997. 10* (918) Chicago White Sox |
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05-24-22 | Red Sox v. White Sox -158 | Top | 16-3 | Loss | -158 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. Both Chicago and Boston are coming off a day off on Monday and both come in with some momentum. Following a double-header sweep on Sunday over the Yankees, the White Sox are back over .500 and they now trail the Twins by 4.5 games in the American League Central. They are a game under .500 at home with a 9-10 record with six of those losses coming against winning teams with the p[itching allowing a whopping 8.3 rpg but now they face a losing team in a good pitching matchup. Dylan Cease has gotten off to a great start as he is 4-1 with a 3.09 ERA and 1.17 WHIP through eight starts and he has allowed two runs or less in six of those. The White Sox are 20-4 in his last 24 starts against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record. Boston comes in riding a five-game winning streak to move to 19-22 overall and it has moved out of last place in the American League East but the Red Sox still trail the Yankees by 9.5 games. They improved to 10-10 at home but are 9-12 on the road where they are averaging just 4.08 runs per nine innings. Nick Pivetta is coming off a complete game win over the Astros and has tossed three straight quality outings with the lone loss coming against the White Sox in this same pitching matchup. The Red Sox are 1-4 in their last five road games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on American League home teams averaging 3.9 or fewer rpg on the season, after allowing two runs or less in two straight games. This situation is 34-11 (75.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (918) Chicago White Sox |
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05-23-22 | Phillies v. Braves +118 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our N.L. East Game of the Month. Philadelphia avoided a sweep at home against the Dodgers as it won on Sunday 4-3 with a two-out, walk-off win in the tenth inning thanks to an error by Max Muncy that would have ended the game. The Phillies are still in a rut as they have lost five of their last seven games and are now 19-22 overall which is good for a tie with Atlanta for second place in the National League East, eight games behind the Mets. The offense has been producing well this season but they have struggled of late, averaging only 2.3 rpg during this recent seven-game stretch. Zack Wheeler gets the ball for the Phillies and while he has been solid of late, he has a 10.80 ERA and 2.16 WHIP in two road starts. The Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. The Braves come into the new week with the identical record as it matches the Phillies as the most underachieving team in the division and possibly the entire National League. Atlanta is coming off a series win against Miami over the weekend and have been average by going 7-6 over their last 13 games with the offense remaining inconsistent with a chance to succeed on Monday. Over the past two weeks, the Braves starting rotation has been one of the best in baseball as they are ranked second in FIP and fifth in K/9 rate. Tucker Davidson will be making his second start of the season after allowing no runs on three hits in five innings against the Brewers. The Braves are 37-14 in their last 51 games following a loss. 10* (958) Atlanta Braves |
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05-22-22 | Padres v. Giants -131 | Top | 10-1 | Loss | -131 | 19 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. San Diego has won three straight games and five of its last six to move to 26-14 on the season which puts them a game and a half behind the Dodgers in the National League West. The Padres have killed it on the road as they are 16-8 and those 16 victories are the most in baseball and they have done it with pitching to the tune of a 3.72 ERA but do face a potent Giants offense that has scored six runs or more in eight of their last 11 games. MacKenzie Gore has been solid in his first six games with a 2.17 ERA but this will be the toughest offense he has had to face. The Padres are 8-21 in their last 29 games against teams with a winning record. San Francisco has dropped three straight games and five of its last seven to tumble into third place in the division with a 22-17 record, five games behind Los Angeles. The Giants are 11-9 at home and turn to Alex Cobb who has also pitched very well as he has allowed three runs or less in six of his seven starts and has a great K:BB ratio of 35:4. San Diego is ranked No. 23 in batting average and No. 21 in OPS and has another tough challenge here after scoring three runs or less in five of its last six games. The Giants are 54-21 in their last 75 games as a favorite. Here, we play against National League road teams averaging between 4.0 and 4.5 rpg and with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games going up against a starter with an ERA between 3.70 and 4.20. This situation is 31-10 (75.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (914) San Francisco Giants |
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05-21-22 | Mariners +142 v. Red Sox | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
05-20-22 | Tigers v. Guardians -102 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 24 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. Cleveland has dropped three straight games including a two-game sweep against the lowly Reds with a rainout in-between and the schedule remains easy so the Gaurdians need to turn things around this weekend. They are three-games under. 500 and they trail the Twins by 4.5 games in the American League Central. Their pitching has been average but the offense remains strong, recent run notwithstanding, as they are ranked No. 7 in runs scored per nine innings and No. 10 in batting average. Cleveland is 11-3 against the money line against teams whose hitters draw three walks or fewer per game this season. Detroit was off on Thursday following a pair of losses at Tampa Bay where the Tigers managed only one run in each game. They are in last place in the division at 13-25 which is the worst record in the American League. Detroit is 5-12 on the road where the offense has been awful, especially against right-handed pitching as it is hitting just .193 while averaging a mere 1.95 runs per nine innings. This number is low due to Aaron Civale being on the hill for Cleveland and his 9.85 ERA but he has struggled against top offenses including the Twins, Blue Jays and Yankees. Detroit is 3-16 against the money line after scoring two runs or less this season. Here, we play against American League road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 averaging 4.4 or fewer rpg on the season, after scoring two runs or less in two straight games. This situation is 43-13 (76.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (920) Cleveland Guardians |
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05-19-22 | White Sox -136 v. Royals | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX for our A.L. Central Game of the Month. Chicago is back to .500 on the season following a 2-1 loss to Kansas City on Tuesday and the White Sox remain in second place in the American League Central, two and a half games behind the Twins. The offense has struggled as they are ranked No. 26 in runs scored and No. 21 in batting average and it has been the pitching that has kept things close enough to keep them around in a lot of their games. They are a game over .500 on the road where the pitching has been even better. Vincent Velazquez put together four solid outings in a five-game stretch but got hammered in his last start where he allowed seven runs in five innings but that was against the Yankees. The White Sox are 7-1 in their last eight road games against right-handed starters. Kansas City has been up and down this season as the Royals are 8-17 over their last 25 games. They are in fourth place in the American League Central, seven games out of first place, and have struggled on both sides. Kansas city is ranked No. 23 or worse in all three major stat categories on offense and defense and while the offense is in a tough spot, the pitching is worse off. Carlos Hernandez has a 9.91 ERA and 2.03 WHIP in six starts with the Royals going 1-5 including four straight losses. On the other side, Kansas city is hitting a mere .218 against right-handed starters at home. The Royals are 7-19 in their last 26 games as an underdog. Here, we play against teams with a starting pitcher who lasts less than five innings per start and allowed six or more runs in his last two outings. This situation is 29-9 (76.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (959) Chicago White Sox |
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05-18-22 | Braves v. Brewers -136 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. Milwaukee has been on a tough stretch of late as it is 4-6 over its last 10 games and the Brewers are now two games ahead of the Cardinals for first place in the National League Central. Milwaukee is 11-5 at home and are ranked No. 6 in runs scored and No. 6 in OPS despite a recent run of scoring three runs or less in four of its last five games. The pitching has been just as good as the Brewers are No. 3 in BAA and send ace Corbin Burnes who has backed up his Cy Young season with a great start as he has a 1.77 ERA and 0.79 WHIP through seven starts including six straight quality outings where he has a 53:5 K:BB ratio. The Brewers are 65-26 in their last 91 games against with a losing record. The Braves snapped a two-game losing streak with the win on Tuesday and the early season has been a big disappointment for the defending World Series champions as they are 17-20 and remains seven games behind the Mets in the National League East. The offense has struggled to a .224 batting average which is near the bottom of baseball and they are ranked No. 24 in runs allowed per nine innings at 4.56. Atlanta is 7-9 on the road and send Max Fried to the hill who has been solid and is keeping this number in check. The Braves are 1-4 in their last five games against right-handed starters. Here, we play against road teams hitting.215 or worse over their last 15 games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.00 over his last five starts. This situation is 55-16 (77.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (902) Milwaukee Brewers |
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05-17-22 | Giants v. Rockies +152 | Top | 10-7 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. San Francisco went into Monday on a two-game losing streak following winning six straight games and it comes into Tuesday as the favorite but we all know anything can happen here. The Giants are a game and a half behind the Dodgers in the National Leage West which is the most competitive division in baseball with every team being at .500 or better. This is a matchup of two teams that are both very similar with great offenses and suspect pitching with the Giants ranked top nine in all offensive categories yet being worst or second to worst in pitching. Colorado has been awful on the road which is a common thing over the years but the Rockies are 12-7 at home which has kept them afloat and at Coors Field, the offense has been great. They are hitting .279 which is the best in baseball as is their 119 runs scored. They face Alex Cobb who has been pretty good but has not gone past 5.1 innings in any of his starts and faces a Rockies team hitting crushing righties and averaging 6.58 rpg against right-handed pitching at home. San Francisco is 1-8 against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season while the Rockies are 30-18 against the money line in their last 48 games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games. Here, we play against road favorites with a money line of -110 or more hitting .255 worse and with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than five innings per start going up against a team with a bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse. This situation is 34-17 (66.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (964) Colorado Rockies |
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05-16-22 | Astros v. Red Sox -113 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 23 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB A.L. Game of the Week. Houston has an 11-game winning streak snapped with a loss on Saturday but bounced back on Sunday with an 8-0 win over Washington to remain in first place in the American League West. The Astros are 5-1 on this current nine-game roadtrip and are 14-8 on the road for the season and this line that opened has and is going to continue to have the public on Houston. The offense broke out for 11 hits on Sunday but the Astros offense has been a letdown thus far as they are ranked No. 19 in batting average and they are hitting just .229 on the road. The Astros are 1-5 in their last six games as an underdog. The Red Sox are off to a rough start as they are in last place in the American League East with a 13-21 record which is 12 games behind the Yankees. Boston lost on Sunday to the Rangers which prevented a series sweep but did finish a respectable 3-2 on the roadtrip. Heading home would normally be a good thing but the Red Sox are 4-9 at home and those four home wins are tied for the fewest in baseball but to their credit, the 13 home games overall are tied for the fewest in the league and their schedule overall is ranked No. 9 in MLB. The Red Sox are 4-1 in their last five games during Game One of a series. Here, we play on teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games going up against an opponent with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games. This situation is 75-40 (65.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (920) Boston Red Sox |
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05-15-22 | Yankees -117 v. White Sox | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK YANKEES for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. The Yankees have seized control of the American League East as they have a 4.5-game lead over Tampa Bay. They are coming off a loss against the White Sox on Saturday as one of the best offenses in the league was handcuffed. It will not get easier here with Michael Kopech on the hill as he brings in a 0.93 ERA through six starts but he still does not have a win to show for it as he is 0-0 with minimal run support behind him. New York is No. 4 in runs scored and No. 1 in OPS so they can bust out at any time but it is the pitching that remains even more consistent with the No. 1 ERA in the league. The Yankees are 14-2 in their last 16 games against right-handed starters. Chicago has gotten off to a rough start, much less than expected after coming in as the favorite to win the American League Central. The White Sox are back at .500 following losses in the first two games in this series and getting the win on Saturday. The offense remains a liability as they are ranked No. 25 in runs scored and No. 25 in OPS and have to face Nestor Cortes who has been just as good as Kopech with a 1.41 ERA as he has allowed two runs or less in all six of his starts. The White Sox are 13-39 in their last 52 games as an underdog. Here, we play on American League favorites with a money line of -110 or higher with a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.15 or better on the season, starting a pitcher who walked four or more hitters in each of his last two starts. This situation is 49-10 (83.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (967) New York Yankees |
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05-14-22 | Orioles v. Tigers -115 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. Detroit took the opener of this series which snapped a three-game losing streak and put an end to a 1-9 run to comfortably put it in last place in the American League Central. The Tigers are 10-23 and have been equally as bad at home as on the road but the pitching came through again and the Tigers have allowed three runs or less in eight of their last 14 games and overall, they are ranked No. 15 in runs allowed, No. 12 in opponents batting average and No. 12 in opponents OPS. Baltimore had a decent run going before yesterday as it had won six of its previous eight games so get out of the cellar in the American League East as the Orioles are 2.5 games ahead of Boston. They have been good at home but have struggled on the road as they are 5-11 on the highway as the real issues has been the pitching as they have a 5.14 ERA including a 5.79 ERA from the starters. They have struggled overall as they are ranked No. 17 or worse in all six major stat categories on both sides. The Orioles are 19-61 in their last 80 games as a road underdog. Here, we play on American League home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season, after allowing two runs or less. This situation is 106-60 (63.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (916) Detroit Tigers |
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05-13-22 | Giants v. Cardinals +116 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. St. Louis has lost four of its last five games including a series loss against Baltimore to kick off this six-game homestand. The Cardinals are now 17-14 and sitting 2.5 games behind the Brewers in the National League Central. They are 8-7 at home which is nothing spectacular but that is helping with the number as they are catching a solid number here. St. Louis has been great on both sides as it is No. 9 in runs scored and No. 5 in runs allowed. They are coming off a split at San Francisco last weekend as the pitching was great for three games, giving up seven runs total but were shelled for 13 runs where Steven Matz was on the hill. The Cardinals are 13-4 in their last 17 during Game One of a series. San Francisco comes in riding a five-game winning streak that includes wins in the final two games against the Cardinals and then a series sweep over Colorado where the Giants outscored the Rockies 24-8. All of those wins came at home and they hit the road where they are 8-5 but six of those wins have come against teams with a losing record and again, that road record is playing into this number. San Francisco is in third place in the National League West, trailing the Dodgers by two games and they too has been above average on both sides. The Giants are 2-5 in their last seven road games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play against road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last five games going up against an opponent with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games. This situation is 25-9 (73.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (958) St. Louis Cardinals |
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05-10-22 | Astros v. Twins +125 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. Houston rolls into Minnesota riding a seven-game winning streak and the Astros are now just a half-game behind the Angels for first place in the American League West. All seven of those wins came at home where the Astros are now 9-4 and they come into Tuesday with a respectable 9-7 record on the road and they are favored here because of Justin Verlander being on the mound and he has been sensational coming back from Tommy John surgery as he has a 1.93 ERA and a 0.70 WHIP. They are still ranked near the bottom of the league in offense as they are No. 22 in runs scored and No. 27 in batting average as they are hitting just .217. The Astros are 2-7 in their last nine games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. Minnesota is coming off a home sweep against Oakland over the weekend and the Twins are now sitting in first place in the American League Central by three games over the White Sox. They are now 11-4 at home and are now catching a solid price with an offense that is ready. The pitching has been great during their recent resurgence and have Joe Ryan on the mound who has been just as good as his counterpart with a 1.63 ERA and 0.83 WHIP. Minnesota is 10-0 against the money line in home games against American League teams scoring 4.4 or fewer rpg this season. Here, we play against road favorites with a money line of -125 or more with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games, with a bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last five games. This situation is 29-13 (69 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (920) Minnesota Twins |
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05-09-22 | Marlins -115 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS for our MLB N.L. Game of the Week. Miami put an end to a six-game losing streak with an 8-0 win over the Padres on Saturday but followed that up with a tough Sunday loss as it allowed three runs in the bottom of the ninth in a 3-1 defeat. the Mets split with the Phillies on Sunday so the Marlins are now 5.5 games out of first place in the National League East. The pitching has been outstanding as Miami is ranked No. 8 in runs allowed and No. 7 in BAA, giving up just a .220 average. The Marlins are 7-8 on the road and while they are 6-13 outside the division, this is a good matchup against a bad offense. The Marlins are 6-1 in their last seven games as a road favorite. We won with Arizona on Sunday as it defeated Colorado to win its second straight series. The Diamondbacks have been playing very well with a 9-3 record over their last 12 games to keep pace in the National League West as they are 5.5 games behind the Dodgers in a division where every team in over .500. They are still a game under .500 at home as the offense has been awful, hitting a mere .164 while averaging just 2.94 runs per nine innings. The Diamondbacks are 7-15 in their last 22 games as a home underdog. Here we play against National League teams averaging 3.5 or fewer rpg and batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA of 5.70 or worse. This situation is 27-9 (75 percent) since 1997. 10* (955) Miami Marlins |
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05-08-22 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -143 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS for our Sunday Sweet Spot. Ariona won the opener of this series on Friday but gave it back yesterday with a 4-1 loss that snapped a four-game winning streak. The Diamondbacks are back at .500 which is solid considering there were no expectations coming in. Most impressive is who the Diamondbacks have done it against as they have played the No. 1 toughest schedule in MLB. Arizona is 6-8 at home with the four opponents being the Padres, Astros, Mets and Dodgers, all of which not only have winning records, but also winning road records. Zac Gallen has gotten off to a great start with a 1.27 ERA and 0.70 WHIP through four starts and has been even better at home. Arizona is 15-4 in its last 19 home games against National League teams allowing 4.5 or more rpg on the season. Colorado has been average on the road where it is 5-6 compared to an 11-5 record at home. Clearly, the Rockies have not only better success at home but the schedule has been in their favor thus far with now five more games taking place at home while two of the other three series at home were against losing teams. Overall, 22 of the last 24 games have come against teams with a losing record and through 27 games, they have played the No. 26 ranked schedule in baseball. Colorado is 8-26 in its last 34 road games against National League teams with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season. Here, we play on National League National League home teams 3.5 rpg and with a bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season going up against teams with a bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or better. This situation is 87-43 (66.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (910) Arizona Diamondbacks |
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05-07-22 | White Sox v. Red Sox -104 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. Boston lost the series opener on Friday 4-2 as it go handcuffed by Vincent Velazquez, who ended a 0-7 road run where he posted a 13.50 ERA, as he allowed just three hits and one run over five innings. Boston has lost three straight games and 10 of its last 13 and is now in last place in the American League East. The offense continues its struggles despite on paper what looks like a potent lineup. The Red Sox are averaging 3.41 runs per nine innings so the offense has not been able to outscore the opposition behind a bad bullpen but did look good Friday, allowing one run over three innings. They have scored two runs or less in 10 of their last 18 games and are due to bust out. Chicago is now a game under .500 following its fourth straight win but its own offense remains in neutral as they have scored four runs or less in all four of those games, averaging just 3.5 rpg. The White Sox offense has been worse than Boston overall and while it might have an edge going against Nick Pivetta, he also has positive leverage here as his last two starts have been his best and his first four starts came against the Yankees, Twins and Blue Jays twice. The White Sox are 5-7 on the road while averaging just 2.92 runs per nine innings on the road against right handed pitching while hitting a mere .219. Here, we play on home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games going up against an opponent batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games. This situation is 145-88 (62.2 percent) since 1997. 10* (974) Boston Red Sox |
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05-06-22 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -142 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS for our National League West Game of the Month. Colorado is coming off a successful homestand where it went 5-1, taking both series against Cincinnati and Washington, which are a combined 12-40 and now it hits the road where it is 4-5 compared to an 11-5 record at home. Clearly, the Rockies have not only better success at home but the schedule has been in their favor thus far with seven more games taking place at home while two of the other three series at home were against losing teams. Overall, the Rockies last 22 games have come against teams with a losing record and through 25 games, they have played the No. 26 ranked schedule in baseball. Colorado is 16-44 against the money line in its last 60 road games against right-handed starters. Arizona is coming off a day off on Thursday following a 7-2 run over its last nine games which got the Diamondbacks to .500 on the season. Most impressive is who the Diamondbacks have done it against as they have played the No. 1 toughest schedule in MLB. Arizona is 5-7 at home with the four opponents being the Padres, Astros, Mets and Dodgers, all of which not only have winning records, but also winning road records. Merrill Kelly has been the staff ace with a 1.27 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP and he has allowed one run or less in four of five starts. Arizona is 12-7 against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a five-game span this season. Here, we play on National League favorites with a money line of -110 or higher with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season, after a game where the bullpen threw eight or more innings. This situation is 169-62 (73.2 percent) since 1997. 10* (910) Arizona Diamondbacks |
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05-05-22 | Blue Jays -145 v. Guardians | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -145 | 23 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. Toronto had its position in first place taken over by the Yankees which has been on a role and losing the series against New York did not help matter. It is still early and the Blue Jays hit the road for the start of a four-game series with the Guardians before heading to New York for another series against the Yankees. This is one of the most potent offenses, at least on paper, in baseball but they have struggled of late, scoring three runs or less in six of their last seven games. Overall, they are No. 21 in runs scored yet No. 9 in average and No. 8 in OPS so the problem has been leaving those runners on base in clutch situations. They face Aaron Civale who has been horrible through four starts with a 10.67 ERA and 1.95 WHIP covering just 14.1 innings. Cleveland is coming off a pair of games on Wednesday following a Tuesday rainout which came after a three-game sweep at Oakland which snapped a seven-game losing streak. The Indians are now two games under .500 after a really good start to the season. The Guardians offensive rankings remain some of the best in the game but they are skewed by early results where they averaged 11 rpg in a four-game stretch after opening the season 0-2 but they have scored three runs or less in 11 of their last 17 games since then. Here, we play on teams batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games going up against an opponent starting a pitcher who allowed six or more runs in his last two outings. This situation is 37-14 (72.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (963) Toronto Blue Jays |
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05-04-22 | Rays v. A's +105 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND ATHLETICS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. Oakland has dropped four straight games and it has lost seven of its last nine games against a relatively easy schedule. The Athletics are now three games under .500 and sitting in fourth place in the American League West, trailing the Angels by four and a half games. The pitching has kept the team intact as the bats have been silent of late, scoring two runs or less in nine of their last 11 games and have a chance to open it up today. Frankie Montas was great over his first three starts but is coming off a dud last time out and looks to rebound against a middle of the pack offense. Tampa Bay has won six of its last nine games and is in third place in the American League East, four games behind the Yankees. The Rays are a game over .500 on the road and their numbers are pretty similar to the overall stats and the pitching has been hit or miss of late. They have allowed two runs or less in four of their last seven games but allowed eight runs or more in the other three. Overall, they are allowing 4.19 rpg which is No. 17 in the league and the Oakland offense should have a shot at Corey Kluber who has gotten off to a solid start but has a 3.94 ERA over his last three starts which is nothing special. Here, we play against American League teams averaging 4.2 or fewer rpg and starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA between 4.20 and 4.70. This situation is 27-7 (79.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (914) Oakland Athletics |
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05-03-22 | Angels v. Red Sox +112 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 112 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. Boston is back home following a rough road trip as it went 3-7 over the 10 games and the Red sox are now 9-14 overall with 16 of those 23 games taking place on the road. The Red Sox are 3-4 at home and their offense has been a big letdown thus far as they are averaging 3.59 rpg which is No. 24 in MLB while their .229 batting average and .622 OPS are No. 21 and No. 24 in the league respectively. Micael Wacha is off to a solid start as he is 3-0 with a 1.77 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in four starts with Boston winning three of those so he has accounted for a third of their victories. Boston is 23-6 in its last 29 games against the money line in home games after three consecutive games against division rivals. The Angels were shutout in their series finale against the White sox on Monday as they managed just two hits which put an end to a 7-1 run. Los Angeles remains in first place in the American League West as it is 2.5 games ahead of the Mariners, which are also coming off a loss, and 2.5 games ahead of the Astros which handed Seattle that loss last night. The offense is ranked in the top eight in the three major categories but the bats could get handcuffed again for the third time in the last four games. The Angels are 3-9 in their last 12 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams with a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or fewer home runs per start, after a game where the bullpen gave up six or more earned runs. This situation is 50-18 (73.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (968) Boston Red Sox |
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05-02-22 | Mariners +116 v. Astros | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE MARINERS for our MLB American League West Game of the Month. Seattle snapped a four-game losing streak as it salvaged the series finale in Miami and remains on the road as it heads to Houston for a big early season American League West series. The Mariners are 5-8 on the road and the offense needs to pick it up as the pitching has been solid. Lost opportunities have been the big problem for the Mariners on offense as they are stranding 7.55 runners on base per game which is fifth most in the league but this is a stat that will eventually find the mean which is about run per game less than that and with this offense, Seattle will turn it around. The Mariners are 20-6 in their last 26 games when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game. Houston lost another series on the road as it dropped two of three in Toronto to fall to 9-7 on the road and it comes in just 2-4 at home and the Astros will be a publicly backed team tonight based on the limited home slate thus far. Home or away, the Astros cannot hit lefties as they are betting .194 overall and .204 in those six home games and face Marco Gonzales who left his last start after one inning after getting hit by a line drive but he is fine and brings in a 3.86 ERA including a 3.00 ERA over his last five starts. The Astros are 2-6 in their last eight games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on road teams with a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.15 or better on the season, stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season. This situation is 45-18 (71.4 percent) over the last 5 seasons. 10* (911) Seattle Mariners |
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05-01-22 | Phillies v. Mets -166 | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW YORK METS for our MLB Sunday Star Attraction. After no-hitting the Phillies on Friday, the Mets were handcuffed on Saturday in a 4-1 loss as it managed only four hits against six Phillies pitchers. The Mets are 15-6 and still hold a two-game lead over the surprising Marlins and a four-game lead over Philadelphia. New York has a three-game series against Atlanta on deck to conclude this homestand and has a great chance tonight to take this one. The Mets are solid on both sides as the bats are No. 2 in hitting with a .261 average and No. 8 in runs scored with 4.67 rpg. But the pitching has been more dominant as they are No. 2 in runs allowed, BAA and opposing OPS. Max Scherzer has been dominant once again as he is 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.76 WHIP in four starts with the Mets winning all of those games. The Mets are 9-0 in their last nine games when their opponent allows two runs or less in their previous game. The Phillies are off to a slow start with an 11-11 record and while they have a top 10 offense, the pitching has been poor as they are No. 18 in runs allowed and No. 21 in BAA. Yesterday was just their third road win of the season and this is where the pitching has really hurt as they have a 5.73 ERA in nine games away from home. The Phillies are 2-10 in their last 12 games as an underdog. Here, we play on home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250, outscoring opponents by one or more rpg on the season, after scoring one run or less. This situation is 45-5 (90 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (962) New York Mets |
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05-01-22 | Guardians v. A's +107 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND ATHLETICS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. Oakland has dropped the first two games of this series and it has lost five of its last seven games against a relatively easy schedule. The Athletics are now a game under .500 and sitting in fourth place in the American League West, trailing the Angels by three and a half games. The pitching has kept the team intact as the bats have been silent of late, scoring two runs or less in eight of their last 10 games and have a chance to open it up today. Oakland is 4-5 at home where it is hitting just .198 and with this recent down surge, the Athletics are getting a great number here. The Athletics are 7-2 in their last nine games following a loss. Cleveland has bucked a seven-game losing streak with the opening of this series and now is three games under .500 after a really good start to the season. The Guardians offensive rankings remain some of the best in the game but they are skewed by early results where they averaged 11 rpg in a four-game stretch after opening the season 0-2 but they have scored three runs or less in 10 of their last 15 games since then. Cleveland is 6-9 on the road and while the numbers look good, those aforementioned four games took place on the highway and since then, it has averaged just 2.9 rpg over their nine road games during this trip. The Guardians are 2-7 in their last nine road games. Here, we play on underdogs with after having lost five or six of their last seven games, a with a winning percentage between .460 and .499 going up against teams with a winning percentage between .380 and .460. this situation is 24-9 (72.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (974) Oakland Athletics |
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04-30-22 | Mariners +110 v. Marlins | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE MARINERS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. Miami took the opener of this series on Friday with an 8-6 victory to make it six straight wins for the Marlins which remain in second place in the National League East. They are three games out with a lot of baseball left but not many expected them to be at this point this early on. The pitching has led the way as the Marlins are allowing 3.70 rpg which is eighth lowest in baseball and its .216 BAA in No. 7 in the league. The bats have been hit or miss as they have scored three runs or less in 10 of their 19 games. The Marlins are 4-10 in their last 14 games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. Seattle has lost three straight games to fall to 11-9 overall which puts it two and a half games behind the Angels in the American League East. The Mariners pitching has been solid as well as they have allowed three runs or less in half of their games while allowing four runs in another four games. They still rely on a potent offense that averages 4.81 rpg which is No. 5 in the league. They have the pitching matchup edge at a great price with Robby Ray on the hill as he has three quality outings in four starts. The Mariners are 5-1 in their last six games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams with a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.15 or better on the season, stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season. This situation is 45-17 (72.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (925) Seattle Mariners |
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04-29-22 | Phillies v. Mets -117 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play in the NEW YORK METS for our N.L. East Game of the Month. Despite a loss against the Cardinals on Wednesday where they Mets allowed a season high 10 runs, they remain in first place in the National League East by three games over Miami and four games over the Phillies and while the season is still early, they can create some separation this weekend. They have been solid on both sides, as they are No. 6 in runs scored and No. 4 in batting average while the pitching has allowed opposing hitters a .202 batting average which is No. 2 and the 3.08 rpg allowed is good for No. 4. Tylor Megill gets the ball and he has been solid despite coming off his worst outing as he is 3-0 with a 2.35 ERA and 0.91 WHIP ion three starts over 23 innings. The Mets are 8-0 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Philadelphia is coming off a four-game sweep over Colorado at home where it is now 8-5 and the Phillies improved to 10-10 overall but they hit the road where they have struggled with a 2-5 start. The offense has held its own but the pitching has been awful as they have a 6.05 ERA and 1.62 on the road, both of which are dead last in baseball. Aaron Nola is coming off his best start of the season after posting a 5.52 ERA through his first three starts. The Phillies are 1-9 in their last 10 games as an underdog. Here, we play on home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR/per start, playing on Friday. This situation is 43-18 (70.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (954) New York Mets |
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04-29-22 | Padres v. Pirates +166 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES for our MLB Friday Early Dominator. Pittsburgh lost the series finale 3-2 on Thursday against Milwaukee to make it three straight losses for the Pirates which got it back to .500 but are now three games under the even mark. Pittsburgh was a last place prediction for many in the National League Central but they are holding their own thus far with a very young team that comes in with a 4-5 record at home including a 4-2 record against teams not named Milwaukee as well as an overall record of 8-5 in games not including the Brewers. The Pirates are 16-7 in their last 23 games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. San Diego has won two straight and seven of its last nine games to move to 13-7 and is just a half-game out of first place in the National League West. The Padres are coming off a 2-0 road sweep at 3-16 Cincinnati, which is not saying much, and they are 6-4 on the road and are laying a hefty number here based on projections and pitching names, the latter being off base. Yu Darvish has seen his best days go behind him and he is off to a good start with three quality outings in four games but two of those were at home in pitcher friendly Petco Park and the other came against last place Arizona. The Padres are 6-14 in their last 20 road games against right-handed starters. Here, we play on National League home teams averaging 3.8 or fewer rpg and batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 to 5.20. This situation is 75-33 (69.4 percent) since 1997. 9* (952) Pittsburgh Pirates |
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04-28-22 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays -139 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. Toronto got an exceptional effort from Ross Stripling on Wednesday as he left the game in a 1-1 tie before the normally reliable bullpen got knocked around for six runs which put an end to a 6-1 run. The Blue Jays are now a half-game behind the Yankees in the American League East, which have won five straight games, and the brutal early season schedule continues after this with series against Houston and New York upcoming. Alek Manoah gets the ball for Toronto today and he has been a very under the radar pitcher as he has posted a 3.09 ERA over 23 career starts including a 2.00 ERA in three starts this season. The Blue Jays have dominated in this spot as they are 18-3 against the money line in his 21 starts against American League teams with a team batting average of .260 or worse. Boston snapped a four-game losing streak with the victory on Wednesday and currently sit in third place in the American League East at 8-11. They are 5-7 on the road and have a tough matchup going up against Manoah as he dominated Boston in two starts last season. The Red Sox are 9-25 in their last 34 games as an underdog. Here, we play on American League home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 allowing 4.4 or fewer rpg going up against an opponent starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing. This situation is 55-15 (78.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (924) Toronto Blue Jays |
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04-27-22 | Marlins v. Nationals +131 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. We lost with Washington last night but will be backing the Nationals again as home underdogs. Washington is off to a rough start with a 6-13 record including six straight losses on this current homestand. The Nationals have lost nine of 11 games at home and it should be no surprise that they are a slight home underdog here but this is a good spot to get into the win column. The offense has struggled but the pitching has been the real disappointment as they are last in baseball by allowing 5.7 rpg. Washington is 10-5 against the money line in its last 15 games against National League starting pitchers whose ERA is 2.40 or better. Miami improved to 8-8 with the win last night and the Marlins have won three straight games after a 1-3 run. They have been above average this season in both batting average and batting average allowed and they send Pablo Lopez to the hill and he is off to a solid start with a 0.52 in three starts with the last two coming at home and his only run allowed came in his first start on the road. This has way in his whole career where he has a 2.79 ERA at home and a 5.48 ERA on the road. Miami is 7-23 against the money line in its last 30 games after having won four or five of their last six games. Here, we play on National League home teams averaging 3.5 rpg and after scoring three runs or less five straight games going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better. This situation is 24-8 (75 percent) since 1997. 10* (962) Washington Nationals |
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04-26-22 | Marlins v. Nationals +116 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS for our MLB Tuesday Grand Slam. These were projected to be the two worst teams in the National League East and so far Washington is living up to those expectations with a 6-12 record including five straight losses on this current homestand. The Nationals have lost eight of 11 games at home and it should be no surprise that they are a slight home underdog here but this is a good spot to right the ship. The offense has struggled but the pitching has been the real disappointment as they are last in baseball by allowing 5.7 rpg. Josiah Gray has been a positive in the rotation as after a rough outing against the Mets, he has posted a 0.87 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in his last two starts, both wins for the Nationals. Washington is 10-4 against the money line in its last 14 games against National League starting pitchers whose ERA is 2.40 or better. That opposing starting pitcher is Sandy Alcantara who is off to a great start as he has a 1.86 ERA in three starts with the last two being quality outings. The Marlins have won two straight games which gave them a 2-1 series win over the Braves. The Marlins are 3-9 in their last 12 games when their opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams averaging 3.5 or fewer rpg and after scoring three runs or less in five straight games going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or better. This situation is 24-8 (75 percent) since 1997. 9* (908) Washington Nationals |
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04-26-22 | Mariners v. Rays -122 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -122 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. Tampa Bay took two of three against Boston over the weekend and has now won four of its last five games to remain in third place in the American League East, a game and a half behind Toronto. The Rays had a day off yesterday and have the edge remaining at home while Seattle has to travel across the country. Tampa Bay is 6-4 at home and it has been solid on both ends as it has a .244 batting average which is No. 8 in the league and its pitching is allowing just a .207 average and that is No. 5 in baseball. The day off means a bullpen game tonight with Matt Wisler starting and slated to go two or fewer. Tampa Bay is 31-11 in its last 42 home games with a money line of -100 to -150. Seattle is coming off a successful homestand where it went 7-2 following a 3-4 roadtrip to open the season. The Mariners are a half-game ahead of the Angels for first place in the National League West. They too have been solid on both sides but this is a tough spot coming off that homestand coupled with the long trip. The Mariners are 0-4 in their last four games as a road underdog. Here, we play on American League home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season, after allowing two runs or less in two straight games. This situation is 32-11 (74.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (916) Tampa Bay Rays |
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04-25-22 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays -120 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS for our American League Game of the Month. Toronto was looking good to get out of Houston with a series sweep and a 5-1 roadtrip but the Blue Jays allowed a two-run home run in the bottom of the 10th inning in an 8-7 loss. They are now tied with the Yankees for first place in the American League East and head back home with another series against the Red Sox. Toronto is 4-2 at home this season and is in a good hitting spot as it is hitting .280 at home including .289 against right-handed pitching while averaging 6.33 runs per nine innings. The Blue Jays are 23-7 in their last 30 games following a loss. Boston has lost two straight and four of its last five games to fall to 7-9 on the season which is three games behind Toronto in the division. The Red Sox pitching has been the strength but they are right in the middle of the pack in the major pitching categories so they have been far from spectacular. They are a game under .500 on the road and the bats can be blamed for that as Boston is hitting only .202 away from home while averaging just 3.64 runs per nine innings. The Red Sox are 9-23 in their last 32 games as an underdog. Here, we play against American League road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 averaging 4.4 or fewer rpg on the season, after scoring two runs or less in two straight games. This situation is 41-11 (78.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (960) Toronto Blue Jays |
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04-23-22 | Dodgers v. Padres +104 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 104 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. San Diego had a four-game winning streak snapped with a series opening loss on Friday to fall to 9-6 which is now two games behind the Dodgers in the National League West. The Padres are 5-3 at home and the offense has been up and down during this current homestand and it was the latter last night as they managed just one run on four hits against six pitchers which is a benefit heading into tonight with the Dodgers bullpen using a lot of arms last night. The Padres are 5-2 in their last seven games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Los Angeles is now 10-3 as it has won two straight and nine of its last 10 games and is in position to create some space in the division. The Dodgers improved to 4-2 on the road and are in a tough spot facing Yu Darvish who is coming off his best start of the season following a clunker against the Giants. Los Angeles possesses the highest scoring offense in baseball at 5.48 rpg and also has the best pitching to date as it is allowing just 2.58 rpg and that nearly 3.0 rpg scoring differential is easily the best. The Dodgers are 3-8 in their last 11 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Here, we play on home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 after a game where they had four or less hits, with a bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.20 the last 10 games. This situation is 62-31 (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (964) San Diego Padres |
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04-23-22 | Rockies v. Tigers -137 | 0-13 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS for our MLB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Colorado is coming off a successful 4-3 homestand to improve to 8-4 on the season and the Rockies trail the Dodgers by just one game in the National League West. 10 of their 12 games have taken place at home and while they are 2-0 on the road, those wins came against a very bad Texas team. Colorado is ranked No. 1 in the league in batting average and OPS but of course, a lot of that is due to the majority of the home games and the pitching is just the opposite, near the bottom of the league in runs allowed, batting average against and opposing OPS. The Rockies are 3-7 in their last 10 Interleague games as an underdog. Detroit is coming off an upset win over the Yankees on Thursday as it shutout New York 3-0 to salvage the final game of the three-game series. The Tigers are 5-7 which is respectable considering the strength of the early season schedule has been tough. While they are 3-6 at home, those three series were against the White Sox, Red Sox and Yankees so they take a small step down here against a team playing just its third road game of the season. The pitching has been solid of late as Detroit is allowing just 2.5 rpg over its last six games and the Tigers are 9-3 in their last 12 games as a home favorite. Here, we play on American League home teams with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season going up against a National League opponent with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season. This situation is 35-10 (77.8 percent) since 1997. 9* (980) Detroit Tigers |
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04-21-22 | Orioles v. A's -115 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND ATHLETICS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. Baltimore came through with a 1-0 victory on Wednesday to snap a two-game slide and the Orioles have now scored exactly one run in three straight games. They are now 4-8 on the season and followed up those first three wins with losses next time out and seem to be getting a lot of respect here. Baltimore is now 1-5 on the road and the offense has been abysmal as it has averaged 1.2 rpg in those six games while hitting just .208 which is eighth lowest in the league. Baltimore is 7-32 against the money line in its last 39 games against teams outscoring opponent by one or more rpg on the season. Oakland had a two-game winning streak snapped with the loss on Wednesday and is now a game out of first place in the American League West. The Athletics are 7-6 after a 0-2 start and three of the last four losses have been by one run while six of the wins have been by more than one run. The record could better as they are ranked in the top ten in both runs scored and runs allowed and they are 1.11 in scoring differential. They are 2-1 at home and need this to win the series before a three-game home set coming up over the weekend. The Athletics are 11-3 in their last 14 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Here, we play against American League road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 averaging 4.4 or fewer rpg, after scoring two runs or less in two straight games. This situation is 41-11 (78.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (968) Oakland Athletics |
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04-20-22 | Twins -122 v. Royals | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -122 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. We won with Kansas City last night as it held on for a 4-3 win to make it two straight victories following a five-game losing streak. The Royals improved to 4-5 at home and this is the final home game prior to a six-game roadtrip against two potential playoff teams. Kansas City plated four runs last night which is better than its average but was still nothing great and the Royals are now averaging 3.22 rpg which is No. 26 in the league while their .216 average in No. 23 in MLB. The Royals are 4-12 in their last 16 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. Minnesota has lost three of its last four games to fall to 4-7 on the season and the offense continues its struggles. The bats have been hit or miss as they have averaged 7.5 rpg in their four wins but have put up only 1.4 rpg in their seven losses but we should see them bust out tonight against a blow average starting pitcher. Daniel Lynch allowed six runs on nine hits, including three home runs, in five innings against the Cardinals in his season opener. The Twins are 3-4 on the road and could use this game before a six-game homestand against the division rival White Sox and Tigers. The Twins are 40-18 in their last 58 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. Here, we play on American League teams who had a batting average of .265 or worse last season, batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games. This situation is 37-18 (67.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (923) Minnesota Twins |
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04-19-22 | Twins v. Royals +106 | 3-4 | Win | 106 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS for our MLB Tuesday Grand Slam. Kansas City had lost five straight games following a 2-0 start to the season but won on Saturday before a Sunday rainout as the offense remains a liability. Kansas City has scored three runs or less in six of its eight games and its 3.13 rpg is No. 27 in the league while its .207 batting average is No. 26 in MLB. The Royals are 3-4 at home and in those three wins, they allowed total of two runs and that will be big here as while the bats need to wake up, starting pitcher Carlos Hernandez needs a good start after allowing four runs on six hits in just 4.1 innings against the Guardians in his opening start. The Royals are 5-2 in their last seven games against starters with a WHIP less than 1.15. Minnesota is coming off a win on Monday afternoon over the Red Sox to complete a series split with Boston. The Twins are 4-6 as early season high expectations have not come together yet. The offense has been hit or miss as they have averaged 7.5 rpg in their four wins but have put up only 1.2 rpg in their six losses. Chris Archer is also making his second start of the season after a solid opener although he went just four innings and this is just his seventh start since 2019. The Twins are 1-5 in their last six games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Here, we play on American League teams who had a slugging percentage .410 or worse last season, with a slugging percentage of .350 or worse over their last five games. This situation is 26-7 (78.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (974) Kansas City Royals |
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04-19-22 | Giants v. Mets -115 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK METS for our MLB Tuesday Afternoon Dominator. The Mets are off to an impressive 7-3 start and currently hold first place in the National League East. They have won all three of their series thus far and the pitching has led the way as New York is ranked No. 2 in runs allowed, batting average allowed and OPS allowed. The offense is not far behind as the Mets are ranked No. 6 in runs scored, No. 7 in batting average and No. 5 in OPS so they have been getting it done on both sides and that is something that will have to continue in the tough division. Tylor Megill gets the ball for New York after making a pair of impressive starts where he allowed no runs on three hits and no walks in each, going 5.0 and 5.1 innings respectively. The Mets are 5-0 in their last five games when their opponent allows two runs or less in their previous game. San Francisco has won five straight games and is now a half-game out of first place in the National League West behind the Dodgers which have reeled off seven straight wins. The Giants are doing it with pitching as well and this has been evident during the winning streak as they have allowed a total of seven runs in those five games and they have allowed two runs or less in seven of their nine games overall. The offense has been average and the pitching has let the bats off the hook for now but that will not last. The Giants are 2-8 in their last 10 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower. 10* (984) New York Mets |
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04-16-22 | Tigers v. Royals -113 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. Detroit has started the season very similar in its three series as it won the opener in all three only to go on to lose each of the next two games to close it out but the Tigers were able to grab Game Two last night, the first consecutive victories of the season. The Tigers made some offseason moves that should strengthen the team but they are still a ways away from even thinking about contending as they are +850 to win the American League Central. The pitching has been legit as they have allowed just three runs during the two-game winning streak. The Tigers are 5-11 in their last 16 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Kansas City has lost five straight games following a 2-0 start to the season as the offense remains a liability. Kansas City has scored three runs or less in five of its seven games and its 3.14 rpg is No. 26 in the league while its .200 batting average is also No. 26 in MLB. While the bats need to wake up, starting pitcher Kris Bubic needs a good start after his opener where he failed to get out of the first inning against Cleveland, allowing five runs on three hits in two two-thirds of an inning. The Royals are 4-1 in their last five games with the total set between 7.0 and 8.5. Here we play on American League teams who had a slugging percentage .410 or worse last season, with a slugging percentage of .350 or worse over their last five games. This situation is 26-7 (78.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (922) Kansas City Royals |
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04-15-22 | Cardinals +140 v. Brewers | 10-1 | Win | 140 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a play on the St. Louis Cardinals for our MLB Friday Grand Slam. St. Louis dropped the opener of this series 5-1 which put a halt to its 3-2 start to the season. The Cardinals are looking to get the offense back on track after scoring just one run as they came in averaging 6.3 rpg through their first four games. Miles Mikolas is coming off an uneven first start as he allowed two runs on six hits in just 3.2 innings against the Pirates but the offense and the bullpen bailed him out. The Cardinals are 13-3 in their last 16 games against teams with a winning record. Milwaukee has won three straight games following a 1-3 start but the offense has yet to score more than five runs in any of those first seven games. The Brewers are No. 24 in scoring offense and their .221 team average is No. 21 in the league. The pitching has been a little better but their team ERA is still north of 4.00. Freddy Peralta is also coming off a poor first outing as he allowed three runs on three hits in just four innings against Chicago. The Brewers are 4-13 in their last 17 games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play against home teams in the first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season with eight or more losses in their last 10 games going up against an opponent in the first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season with 26 or more wins in their last 40 games. This situation is 42-13 (76.4 percent) since 1997. 9* (957) St. Louis Cardinals |
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04-15-22 | Phillies +104 v. Marlins | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. Miami picked up the win in this series opener 4-3 on Thursday which was its second win of the season and snapped a three-game losing streak. The offense remains one of the worst in the league as the Marlins are averaging just 3.12 rpg which is No. 28 in all of baseball. The victory was their home opener on the season but this is not an intimidating place for visiting teams and we are not expecting back-to-back wins for Miami. Pablo Lopez gets the ball for the Malins and he is coming off a solid opening start as he allowed one run on three hits in five innings against the Giants. The Marlins are 2-7 in their last nine games following a win. Philadelphia has lost three straight games to fall to 3-4 on the season and the loss on Thursday was its first road game of the season. We are getting a good price with the much more talented team and a lot of that has to do with the recent struggles. The Phillies are averaging 3.0 rpg over this stretch and it is just a matter of time before this offense breaks out. Zach Eflin is coming off a shortened yet solid performance as he went four innings, allowing only two hits and no runs on just 68 pitches but he was on a limited pitch could and should be stretched out here. The Phillies are 9-4 in their last 13 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. 10* (955) Philadelphia Phillies |
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04-14-22 | Tigers v. Royals -120 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS for our MLB A.L. Central Game of the Month. Detroit has started the season very similar in its two series as it won the opener over Chicago and Boston only to go on to lose each of the final two games to close it out. The Tigers made some offseason moves that should strengthen the team but they are still a ways away from even thinking about contending as they are +850 to win the American League Central. Detroit goes to Casey Mize who is coming off a poor opening start as he allowed four runs on seven hits in five innings while striking out just two. He was pretty good last season with a 3.71 ERA over 30 starts although he allowed 24 home runs in just 150.3 innings. The Tigers are 4-13 in their last 17 games against teams with a losing record. Kansas City is coming off a rainout on Wednesday which came after a 6-5 loss at St. Louis to open the two-game series. The Royals are back home where they are 2-2 and they are riding a three-game losing streak heading into this four-game set with the Tigers. The pitching needs to get back on track as allowing one run in the two wins but gave up 33 runs during the three losses. Zack Greinke was supposed to start Wednesday but got pushed back a day because of the rain and that is not a bad thing. He went 5.2 innings in his first start, allowing just one run on five hits and that was against the now potent Cleveland offense. The Royals are 9-3 in their last 12 games following an off day. Here, we play on American League teams who had a slugging percentage .410 or worse last season, with a slugging percentage of .350 or worse over their last five games. This situation is 26-7 (78.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (922) Kansas City Royals |
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04-13-22 | Padres v. Giants -125 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. San Francisco bounced back from a series opening loss with a 13-2 victory on Tuesday as the Giants lit up Yu Darvish for nine runs on eight hits in just 1.2 innings. They will be out to take the series on Wednesday which would make it two series wins to start the season. They have allowed two runs or less in three of their five games and overall, the pitching and defense is ranked No. 6 in runs scored. Logan Webb gets the ball for San Francisco and he is coming off a solid outing in his first start as he allowed one run on five hits over six innings to register a quality start. When he is on the mound, he has gone 14-1 in his last 15 home starts. The Padres had a four-game winning streak snapped with the loss on Tuesday. San Diego has been average on both sides as they are ranked No. 14 in runs scored and No. 18 in runs allowed. This is the final game of a season-opening seven-game road trip and it welcomes Atlanta tomorrow for its home opener. Sean Manaea is coming off a spectacular opener as he tossed seven innings of no-hit ball against Arizona but was pulled despite throwing only 88 pitches. He was fortunate to face a very weak offense and he will have a bigger challenge here against a more potent offense. Here, we play against teams when the money line is +125 to -125 in the first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season with 11 or more losses in their last 15 games going up against an opponent in the first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season with 20 or more wins in their last 30 games. This situation is 31-8 (79.5 percent) since 1997. 10* (958) San Francisco Giants |
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04-12-22 | Indians v. Reds -103 | Top | 10-5 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS for our MLB Interleague Game of the Month. Cleveland opened the season with two losses against Kansas City as it managed just one run in those two games but exploded for 27 runs over the last two games to force the series split. This is a great spot to go against that offense. The Guardians remain on the road with a pair of games at Cincinnati and bring back opening day starter Shane Bieber who is coming off an average first start as he allowed one run on three hits but lasted just 4.2 innings. Cleveland is 3-14 in its last 17 games against the money line after scoring 10 runs or more. Cincinnati salvaged a split with the Braves as it won the series finale on Sunday. The Reds are coming off an off day after scoring six runs in three of the four games against Atlanta. This is the home opener for Cincinnati and have the slight pitching matchup here. Tyler Mahle is coming off a solid opening day outing as he allowed no earned runs on three hits while striking out seven against the Braves in a 6-3 victory. The Reds are 12-5 in their last 17 home games with the total set at 11.0 or higher. Here, we play on home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 batting .190 or worse over their last three games, after two straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs. This situation is 30-11 (73.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (918) Cincinnati Reds |
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04-11-22 | Padres v. Giants -139 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -139 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. San Diego dropped its season opener in Arizona but fought back by winning the final three games of the series, outscoring the Diamondbacks 18-7 over those final three games. The Padres are expected to give the Dodgers a run in the National League West but could be in for a challenge in this series opener. Nabil Crismatt went just three innings yesterday as the bullpen was forced to toss six innings and could be shorthanded tonight. Nick Martinez will be making his first Major League start since 2017 after spending four years in Japan and the quality of offense he now faces is a big step up. The Giants were able to win their series against Miami as they bookended wins with the loss coming in Game Two by one run. San Francisco is +500 to win the National League West which is not far behind the +300 Padres so this is a quality team that should have a big starting pitching edge here. San Francisco counters with Alex Wood who is coming off a solid 2021 season where he posted a 3.83 ERA and 3.44 xFIP and had a solid spring to back it up. Here, we play against teams when the money line is +125 to -125 in the first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season with 11 or more losses in their last 15 games going up against an opponent in the first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season with 20 or more wins in their last 30 games. This situation is 31-8 (79.5 percent) since 1997. 10* (958) San Francisco Giants |
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04-11-22 | Brewers -145 v. Orioles | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -145 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our MLB Monday Afternoon Dominator. After losing the first two games against the Cubs, the Brewers were able to salvage the final game of the series on Sunday with a 5-4 win as they rallied from an early 3-0 deficit. Milwaukee remains on the road and has a much easier series test to open the week and get a streak going. The Brewers are the favorites to win the National League Central and their starting pitching needs to pick it up as the three starters has tossed a combined 12.2 innings. Adrian Houser makes his first start after a successful 2021 season where he posted a 3.22 ERA and 1.28 WHIP over 28 games including 26 starts. The Orioles are in for another long season and they did not get off to a good start as they were swept in Tampa Bay, getting outscored 15-4 in the three-game set. This is the home opener for Baltimore but its home field edge is nothing great as they are clearly struggling on both sides. Bruce Zimmerman gets the ball for Baltimore and he is coming off a season where he posted a 5.02 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in 14 games and he had issues with the long ball as he allowed 14 home runs in just 64.3 innings. He is coming off a good spring but logged only nine innings throughout camp. Here, we play against home teams who had a poor bullpen last season with an ERA of 4.50 or worse, in an inter-league game. This situation is 30-11 (73.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (969) Milwaukee Brewers |
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04-10-22 | A's +190 v. Phillies | Top | 4-1 | Win | 190 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND A'S for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. Oakland has dropped the first two games of this series, dropping those by scores of 9-5 and 4-2. The A's lost a lot from last season as Matt Chapman, Matt Olson, Starling Marte and Mark Canha are all gone which puts a big dent into their offense but early in the season, they are ranked No. 12 in runs scored. Daulton Jeffries gets the ball for Oakland and this will be just his third career start. While his spring was below average, he earned the No. 3 spot in the rotation based on his ceiling. The Phillies offense has been on fire through the first two games by putting up 13 runs and their team batting average of .290 in second in the league. Philadelphia is expected to once again give the Braves a run but it comes into today as an overpriced favorite, the biggest through the first three games of this series. Zach Eflin counters for the Phillies and he has had a rough go of it through his first six years as he has a 4.92 ERA covering 583.2 innings and has been limited the last two seasons because of injuries. Here, we play against home teams who had a poor bullpen last season with an ERA of 4.50 or worse, in an inter-league game. This situation is 29-11 (72.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (929) Oakland A's |
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04-09-22 | Astros v. Angels +100 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. The Angeles have lost the first two games of this series including a 13-6 loss on Friday as they allowed eight runs in the seventh inning. There are high expectations in Los Angeles and while this is only the third game of the season, this could be an early turning point for confidence alone. They will take on Justin Verlander who is making his first start since undergoing Tommy John surgery and this is his first start in over 18 months. He has been sick on top of it so he is not going to be in top form tonight. The Astros are again the favorites to win the division but they will be more challenged than they have in recent years. They did not do much in free agency but lost Carlos Correa to the Twins as well as losing three key pitchers from their bullpen. They have looked good through the first two games but are in for a challenge in facing Noah Syndergaard who is making his Angels debut after spending his first six seasons with the Mets. Here, we play on road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher, good team from last season, outscored opponents by 0.5 or more rpg, after a combined score of 15 runs or more. This situation is 47-26 (64.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (978) Los Angeles Angels |
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04-08-22 | Padres -129 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
04-07-22 | Astros v. Angels -113 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS for our MLB Opening Day Sweet Spot. The Angeles are coming off a 77-85 season but are expected to make a move this year. They were killed with injuries last season as their three key players Shohei Ohtani, Mike Trout and Anthony Rendon played only 17 games together last season so if the core can stay healthy, they can knock the Astros off the top of the American League West. They will see where they stand right out of the gate as they host Houston with a fully healthy roster. Ohtani gets the opening day start following a solid 2021 season where he posted a 3.79 ERA and 1.22 WHIP over 165 innings pitched. Staying healthy was big for him last season in winning the MVP and he has the chance for a breakout season on the mound to back that up. Houston is coming off a World Series loss against the Braves as it lost 4-2 that included a 7-0 loss in the clinching game. The Astros are again the favorites to win the division but they will be more challenged than they have in recent years. They did not do much in free agency but lost Carlos Correa to the Twins as well as losing three key pitchers from their bullpen. They were solid on the road last season but seven games off from their record at home. Framber Valdez counters for Houston and he posted a solid 3.53 ERA last season but his 1.34 WHIP was below average. He struggled in the postseason and the pressure is on him to develop as a true No. 1 starter and we do not think he is there yet. 10* (986) Los Angeles Angels |
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11-02-21 | Braves +119 v. Astros | Top | 7-0 | Win | 119 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Game of the Month. Atlanta had a chance to close out the World Series at home in Game Five and after taking a 4-0 lead, things were looking good but the Astros kept chipping away and eventually won 9-5 to send the series back to Houston. The nine runs scored were just two fewer than the first four games combined so the offense can either carry that momentum forward or regress to where it was in three of the first four games, scoring a total of four runs. The Braves have not lost consecutive games since dropping four straight from Sept. 14-18 and the lineup gets a boost with the DH back in play. The Braves have the pitching matchup advantage with Max Fried pitching on extra rest as he looks to bounce back from a pair of poor outings. He had a tough outing in Game Two, giving up five runs in the first two innings but he was not hit hard as the damage came on ground-ball singles. Expect to see the pitcher we saw that posted a 1.74 ERA during the regular season after the All Star Break. Things are different on the other side as Luis Garcia will start on three days of rest in Game Six. He threw 72 pitches in Game Three and he will not be stretched too far here, putting a lot of pressure on the Houston bullpen that has logged a lot of innings in this series. The Braves are 6-0 in their last six games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. 10* (961) Atlanta Braves |
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10-29-21 | Astros v. Braves -109 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Friday World Series Winner. The Astros avoided a 2-0 deficit as the bats got going in Game Two but now the series shifts to Atlanta as the Braves do not want to give home field back. We feel they are in a good spot with the starters and at a good price on top of that. The Braves are 10-1 in their last 11 home games against teams with a winning record and their lone loss during that stretch occurred on Oct. 1, a day after they clinched the NL East. Houston snapped a five-game home losing streak in the World Series and while the Astros have the momentum, they are just 4-10 in their last 14 games as a road underdog. So far in the World Series, starters have accounted for 14.1 innings, while relievers have logged 20.2 so it will be up to Ian Anderson to log some innings, especially with a bullpen game likely for Game Four tomorrow. Anderson has been solid since the All Star break and in the postseason as the Braves have won his last seven home games and he has posted a 1.47 ERA through seven career postseason starts. Luis Garcia counters for the Astros and while he is coming off a solid effort against Boston, he is hard to be trusted. He is 1-1 with a 9.64 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in three postseason starts and the Atlanta bats can get revved up again in this matchup. Here, we play on teams when the money line is +125 to -125 having won 15 or more of their last 20 games going up against an opponent after having won three of their last four games. This situation is 48-31 (60.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (956) Atlanta Braves |
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10-27-21 | Braves +107 v. Astros | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our World Series Game of the Month. Atlanta grabbed Game One of the World Series last night and they look to take a commanding 2-0 lead behind an offense that has been solid from top to bottom with only catcher Travis d'Arnaud struggling. The Braves have not let down against quality opposition as they are 15-3 in their last 18 games against teams with a winning record. The Houston bats have been hot and cold and the latter is an issue with two of the big hitters going ice cold. Jose Altuve is 3-for-29 since the start of the ALCS, and Alex Bregman is 3-for-19 in his last five games. The Astros have now lost five straight World Series home games. After the injury to Charlie Morton last night and the Astros turning to their bullpen for significant innings, the Braves are going to need innings from Max Fried, who had a 1.47 ERA from Aug. 3 through his Game One outing against the Dodgers and while he struggled in Game Five, we should see a bounce back here. After going four straight games without issuing a walk, he had two last Thursday and he also allowed two home runs after allowing just one in his previous five games. He has pitched just as good on the road as he has at home so this should not be an intimidation. Jose Urquidy gets the ball for the Astros and he had a good season but his last game was a disaster. His lone playoff start this year was in Game Three against the Red Sox as he allowed six runs on five hits in 1.2 innings in Boston. Here, we play on teams when the money line is +125 to -125 having won 15 or more of their last 20 games going up against an opponent after having won three of their last four games. This situation is 49-30 (62 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (953) Atlanta Braves |
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10-26-21 | Braves +121 v. Astros | Top | 6-2 | Win | 121 | 27 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our World Series Game One Winner. The Braves took out the favorites to win the World Series and now will be looking for their first championship since 1995. They start off on the road where they are 2-3 in the postseason but only one of those losses were by more than one run. The loss of Ronald Acuna Jr. before the All Star Break could have killed the Braves, but instead they reloaded by adding Eddie Rosario, Adam Duvall, Joc Pederson and Jorge Soler and we have seen the results and they will get Soler back after having to sit because of COVID. The Astros will be seeking their second ring since 2017 and they have the firepower on offense but could get handcuffed here. Charlie Morton gets the start for the Braves and he is a great candidate for the Game One starter. He has a ton of experience, he is well rested and has plenty of knowledge of pitching at Minute Maid Park when he pitched with the Astros and then the Rays. Morton is well rested and has familiarity with the opposing ballpark, having played for the Astros during the 2017 and '18 seasons. Framber Valdez will counter for the Astros and he is coming off the best start of the postseason where he allowed just one run over eight innings but he is vulnerable. He allowed four runs in 4.1 innings in Game Two of the ALDS and three runs, two earned runs in 2.2 innings in Game One of the ALCS. He has a 4.20 ERA and 1.40 WHIP during the three starts. Here, we play on teams when the money line is +125 to -125 having won 15 or more of their last 20 games going up against an opponent after having won three of their last four games. This situation is 48-30 (61.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (951) Atlanta Braves |
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10-23-21 | Dodgers -154 v. Braves | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -154 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. The Dodgers took Game Five in dominating fashion as they won 11-2 to force the series back to Atlanta and we like the momentum on their side heading into Game Six. Los Angeles was in the same situation a year ago, trailing 2-0 and 3-1 in the NLCS before coming back to win it and while that was on a neural field, the true road atmosphere should not hurt them here. Max Scherzer was originally scheduled to take the mound for Game Six on Saturday, but he was scratched due to arm fatigue so Walker Buehler will be taking his place and we have seen a significant line move as Los Angeles has a much shorter price based on the change. Buehler was dominant in the regular season with a 2.47 ERA and struck 212 in 207.2 innings. He was not sharp last time out but with everything on the line, he will step up as Saturday night will be his 15th career postseason start and that goes a long way. The Dodgers are 8-3 in their last 11 road games. Ian Anderson has put together a solid season but he is catching some hot Los Angeles bats and he struggled in his first start against the Dodgers. He allowed two runs on three hits and three walks in just three innings and the pressure is on to keep the Braves in this and avoid an elimination Game Seven. 10* (923) Los Angeles Dodgers |
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10-22-21 | Red Sox +103 v. Astros | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Game of the Week. The Red Sox are on the brink of elimination as they will have to take the next two games on the road to advance to the World Series. It will not be easy in Houston but we like their chances in Game Six. This series could be in their favor as the Red Sox had a chance to win Game One but squandered a 3-1 lead and lost, 5-4, creating urgency for Game Two the next day which they won with the same pitching matchup going tonight. The bats have gone ice cold for Boston as after scoring 25 runs through the first three games, it has plated just three runs the last two games and a 2-1 series lead has turned into a 3-2 deficit. Meanwhile, the Houston offense has come back to life, scoring nine runs in each of the last two games to squarely put the pressure on Boston. The Red Sox have been here before though so they are not feeling it. Nathan Eovaldi gets the ball for Boston and he is exactly what the Red Sox need. He has given his team at least five innings in all three starts, something not many starters have done this October. As a starter in the postseason, Eovaldi is 2-0 with a 3.45 ERA, holding opponents to a .200 average. Houston counters with rookie Luis Garcia, who lasted just one inning in his Game Two start before leaving with a knee strain so who knows how effective he is going to be. In his first start of the postseason against the White Sox, he allowed five runs in just 2.2 innings so his 24.54 postseason ERA is not exactly a confidence builder. 10* (921) Boston Red Sox |
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10-21-21 | Braves v. Dodgers -140 | Top | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. The Dodgers are on the brink of elimination, again. With a 9-2 win over the Dodgers on Wednesday, Atlanta has a 3-1 lead in the NLCS, the same situation it was in a year ago against Los Angeles and eventually lost the series. The difference this time around is that the Braves will have the final two games at home should Los Angeles force a Game Six as opposed to playing on a neutral field last year. Despite the Wednesday loss, the Dodgers are 61-25 at home and have won seven of their last 10 home playoff games. Corey Knebel will get his third start of the postseason. With no bulk pitcher available, it will be a traditional bullpen game for the Dodgers. This is not ideal for an elimination game but the Dodgers had the second best bullpen during the regular season with a 3.16 ERA along with the second best bullpen in the postseason with a 2.74 ERA. Max Fried has had a great second half to the season so the Dodgers bats will once again have a challenge after he allowed two runs on eight hits over sin innings, definitely a good start but not one his best. The Dodgers are 13-3 in their last 16 games when their opponent allows two runs or less in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams after a game where they hit four or more home runs, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is less than 2.50 over his last five starts. This situation is 36-23 (61 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (920) Los Angeles Dodgers |
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10-20-21 | Astros v. Red Sox -120 | Top | 9-1 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The Boston bats finally went cold as after scoring two runs in the bottom of the first inning, the Red Sox did not score over the final eight innings of Game Four and the series is now tied at two games apiece. The momentum is on the side of the Astros after tying the game in the eighth and then busting out for seven runs in the top of the ninth but it is a different day and Boston is in a good spot to take the series lead before heading back to Houston. With another home run in Game Four, the Red Sox have hit 21 home runs in their first nine games of the postseason which is the second most in a nine-game postseason stretch in MLB history. Chris Sale has definitely been struggling with an 8.73 ERA over his last four starts but all of those came on the road. This will be the first time Sale has pitched at Fenway Park since Sept. 22, and he went 5-0 with a 2.48 ERA in six home starts this season. Framber Valdez will counter for Houston and he struggled in Game One, allowing three runs on six hits and three walks in just 2.2 innings. He has struggled of late with a 4.66 since the start of September. Despite the win last night, the Astros are 2-7 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record and despite the loss, the Red Sox are 7-1 in their last eight playoff home games while winning four straight games following a loss. 10* (916) Boston Red Sox |
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10-19-21 | Braves v. Dodgers -168 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 23 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. With the 5-4 loss on Sunday, the Dodgers are now in a 2-0 hole in the NLCS for the second consecutive season. It did not bother them last season however as they rallied from that as well as a 3-1 series deficit to win and go on to the World series. They are back home in a must win situation and two walk off wins, the Braves are in a tough spot to maintain that on the road. Walker Beuhler did not have his most electrifying stuff in his last start on Tuesday as he went just 4.1 innings and threw only 71 pitches but he was pitching on short and now he is rested and ready to go a week later. While his 3.38 ERA this postseason is still decent, he has been dominant in the postseason posting a 1.89 ERA in 2020 and a 0.71 ERA in 2019, covering 31.2 innings. Charlie Morton is also pitching on the same amount of rest after coming off an average effort as well where he tossed 69 pitches in just 3.1 innings. The Braves are only 8-8 in his 16 road starts. The Dodgers are 70-34 in their last 104 games against the money line after a game where they had four or fewer hits while going 40-13 in their last 53 games as a home favorite. The Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog. 10* (914) Los Angeles Dodgers |
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10-18-21 | Astros v. Red Sox -115 | Top | 3-12 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The ALCS heads to Boston as the Red Sox and Astros split the two games in Houston with the Red Sox now possessing the home field edge with three of the next five games taking place at Fenway Park should the series go that far. Boston used a pair of grand slams in the first and second innings to jump out to a big lead and take Game Two and the Red Sox became the first team ever with two grand slams in a postseason game. Boston has the hottest hitter on the planet right now and if Kiki Hernandez can keep it going, the Red Sox offense will continue to flourish. In his last five games, he is 15-for-25 with four doubles, five homers and nine RBIs. Eduardo Rodriguez gets the ball for Boston. He faced the Astros twice this season and was hammered both times with nearly identical stat lines as he allowed six runs in 4.2 innings both times. He was having trouble with his changeup back then and he has been much more consistent recently, posting a 2.89 ERA over his last seven games. He came through in a big spot for Boston in clinching Game Four of the ALDS, holding the Rays to two runs over five innings. This will be the first action for Jose Urquidy since October 3rd and while his arm is rested, the time off in a concern. The Astros are 1-6 in their last seven road games against a team with a winning record while the Red Sox are 7-0 in their last seven games against right-handed starters. 10* (910) Boston Red Sox |
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10-17-21 | Dodgers v. Braves +167 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 167 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. The Braves were able to take Game One of this series with a dramatic 3-2 win as Austin Riley hit a walk-off single in the bottom the ninth inning to jump out to a 1-0 series lead in the NLCS. They do have a much more daunting task on Sunday but are catching a solid number with the Dodgers being a very popular play. Ian Anderson gets the ball for Atlanta and he put together a very solid season with a 3.44 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 25 starts. He was nearly flawless against the Brewers as he tossed five scoreless innings, allowing just three hits and no walks while striking out six. He has been great at home, going 6-1 with a 3.26 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 12 starts with the Braves going 10-2 in those starts. Max Scherzer counters for Los Angeles and he picked up the save in Game Five of the NLDS. He has gone 0-1 in two postseason starts and while he pitched well, he received just two runs of support. He had two starts against the Braves, one good and one bad and in the latter, he allowed four home runs. The Braves hit 269 home runs this season, third most in baseball so that could be an issue as the long ball has plagued him throughout his career. The Dodgers are 7-15 in their last 22 League Championship road games while the Braves are 20-6 in their last 26 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. 10* (908) Atlanta Braves |
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10-16-21 | Dodgers v. Braves +116 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 116 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. The Braves and Dodgers will be facing each other in the NLCS for a second straight season and last year was epic with the Dodgers rallying from a 3-1 deficit to win three straight and make it to the World Series. We will going with the home team in Game One. Max Fried gets the ball for the Braves and has been sensational. He posted a 3.04 ERA and 1.09 WHIP over 28 regular season starts. He backed that up with six shutout innings while allowing just three hits and striking out nine and walking none in a 3-0 win over the Brewers. He faced the Dodgers twice, posting a 2.25 ERA and 0.83 WHIP, striking out 13 and waking one. Corey Knebel will open Game One tonight, with Tony Gonsolin expected to provide bulk innings at some point in the game. This bumps Max Scherzer to start Game Two on Monday. Gonsolin has not pitched this postseason but in 2020, he posted an 8.68 ERA in three starts over 9.1 innings. Here, we play on National League home teams between +125 to -125 with a slugging percentage of .430 or better starting a pitcher on 5 or 6 days of rest going up against a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.25 or better. This situation is 43-16 (72.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (906) Atlanta Braves |
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10-15-21 | Red Sox v. Astros -135 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. The Astros and Red Sox meet for the third time in the postseason since 2017 so these teams are very familiar with each other which should make for a very competitive series. Houston was the more dominant team in the ALDS as it outscored the White Sox 31-18 while averaging 7.8 rpg with pretty much the same lineup. Houston has a better overall pitching staff with a 3.78 season ERA compared to 4.26 for Boston. Framber Valdez will likely get the start for the Astros as he has been pushed back because of the Game Three rainout and he has posted a 3.14 ERA while going 11-6 in 23 games. Chris Sale will get the Game One start which is a bit surprising because of his recent struggles as he has recorded just 10 outs over his past two starts, lasting only one inning in Game Two of the ALDS against the Rays. Houston is 16-4 in 20 home games when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .540 and .620 while the Red Sox are 6-15 in their last 21 games as an underdog. Here, we play against road teams with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or fewer hits per start, after two straight games where their bullpen blew a save. This situation is 151-86 (63.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (902) Houston Astros |
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10-14-21 | Dodgers v. Giants -104 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -104 | 35 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our NLDS Game of the Year. The Dodgers avoided elimination with a 7-2 victory in Game Four, forcing a winner take all Game Five Thursday in San Francisco. This series, along with the regular season series, has shown how close these teams are as the Giants own a combined 12-11 lead in the 23 meetings this season. At basically even odds, we give the nod to the Giants which finished six games better at home than the Dodgers did on the road and while the starting pitching looks like a toss-up, we do give the edge to the Giants here. The Dodgers announced on Thursday that they were starting right-hander Corey Knebel and then turn to Julio UrĂas who was sensational with a 21-3 record to go along with a 2.93 ERA and 1.01 WHIP over 33 starts. The Giants will counter with Logan Webb who quietly put together a great season. He struck out 10 over 7.2 scoreless innings in Game One and will be pitching on five days of rest. The Giants are a perfect 13-0 in his 13 starts at Oracle Park, where he is 7-0 with a 1.78 ERA. Here, we lay on National League home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a slugging percentage of .430 or better, starting a pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days of rest going up against a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.25 or better. This situation is 43-16 (72.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (972) San Francisco Giants |
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10-12-21 | Giants v. Dodgers -155 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. San Francisco is coming off a 1-0 win on Monday to take a 2-1 series lead in this NLDS. The Giants are now only one win away from advancing to their first National League Championship Series since 2014. They will attempt to advance to the next round on Tuesday night but with the Dodgers against the wall, we expect Los Angeles to send this series back to San Francsico for the decisive Game Five. The Dodgers finished with the best home record in the National League during the regular season at 58-23 so getting shutout last night was a bit of a surprise. Anthony DeSclafani has had a solid season, going 13-7 with a 3.17 ERA and 1.09 WHIP over 31 starts. He faced the Dodgers three times this season and had one really solid start but still posted a 4.30 ERA while striking out just 15 and walking six hitters. In 13 starts this season, Tony Gonsolin allowed three runs or fewer in all of those and while he did not go deep too often, he has picked it up of late after heading back into the rotation in September. The Dodgers are 18-2 in home games after scoring and allowing three runs or less this season while going 13-3 in their last 16 games when their opponent allows two runs or less in their previous game. 10* (964) Los Angeles Dodgers |
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10-11-21 | Rays -112 v. Red Sox | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. This is obviously a must win for Tampa Bay after a heartbreaking loss on Sunday in 13 innings. It was one of their worst offensive games of the season as the Rays finished just 1-for-9 with runners in scoring position, stranding 10 runners overall while striking out 20 times, tied for fourth most in a single postseason game. Their top guns have not shown up this postseason so this could be the breakout game they need as Brandon Lowe is 0-for-14 with six strikeouts, Mike Zunino is 1-for-12 with six strikeouts, and Kevin Kiermaier is 1-for-11. Tapa Bay has yet to name a starter and will likely be Collin McHugh or Michael Wacha, neither of which did not pitch in Game Three, and which ever one goes will need to eat some innings after the bullpen was emptied on Sunday. Boston will turn to Eduardo Rodriguez who was 13-8 with a 4.74 ERA during regular season and he posted just five outs and 41 pitches in the 5-0 loss in Game One. The Rays are 5-1 in their last six games against left-handed starters while the Red Sox are 6-15 in their last 21 games as an underdog. 10* (955) Tampa Bay Rays |
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10-10-21 | Rays +101 v. Red Sox | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our Wild Card Game of the Month. Boston was able to take Game Two, and by a wide margin, to take over home field advantage in this best-of-five series. The Red Sox piled up 14 runs on 20 hits after trailing 5-2 after the first inning. The series shifts to Boston and the Rays are the value team today. The Rays will send Drew Rasmussen to the mound on Sunday. It was in Boston where Rasmussen made his transition into the rotation on Aug. 12 and since then, he has been a model of consistency, putting together a 1.46 ERA in eight starts. Nathan Eovaldi counters for the Red Sox and while he has been solid this season, he has not had a great career at home as he has a 3.76 ERA at Fenway Park. Boston is 8-20 in its last 28 home games when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .540 and .620. The Rays are 5-0 in their last five games following a loss. Here, we play against favorites off an upset win against a divisional rival as an underdog of +130 or higher against opponent off a loss by eight runs or more to a division rival. This situation is 27-12 (69.2 percent) since 1997. 10* (931) Tampa Bay Rays |
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10-09-21 | Dodgers v. Giants +102 | Top | 9-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. Despite having the better record and winning the season series, the Giants came in a bit of an underdog in the NLDS. They put that to rest with a 4-0 victory in Game One and while many will be backing the Dodgers to bounce back, we expect the momentum to carry San Francisco to a 2-0 series lead. They were never a power team but the Giants hit a franchise record 241 home runs this season, second most in baseball. They also allowed the fewest home runs this season so that combo is a big benefit in this series and it showed in Game One. Kevin Gausman gets the ball for the Giants and after some second half issues, he came on late as a mechanical adjustment helped Gausman recapture his All-Star form over his final two starts of the regular season. Here, we play on National League home teams with a slugging percentage of .440 or better going up against a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.25 or better starting a pitcher who is working on five or six days of rest. This situation is 71-24 (74.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (928) San Francisco Giants |
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10-08-21 | Braves +144 v. Brewers | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES for our MLB Game of the Week. We like Atlanta as the underdog here and the number has actually gone up. Milwaukee has not been quite as good at home (45-36) as on the road (50-31). Chalie Morton faced the Brewers once this season and while it resulted in a 2-1 loss, he tossed a quality outing, allowing two runs on three hits while striking out six and waking none over six innings. He went 14-6 with a 3.34 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 10.5 K/9 across 185.2 innings spanning 33 starts in the regular season and he is 7-3 in 13 postseason appearances, including 12 starts. The Braves finished third in the majors with 239 homers as Austin Riley had 33 homers, Freddie Freeman 31, and Ozzie Albies 30. Here, we play against National League home teams with an OBP of .310 or worse going up against a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.25 with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 over his last 10 games. This situation is 38-19 (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (919) Atlanta Braves |
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10-07-21 | Red Sox v. Rays -148 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our MLB Thursday Sweet Spot. After dropping four straight to the Red Sox early in the season, Tampa Bay won 11 of the final 15 meetings on the way to claiming its second straight AL East crown by eight games. The strength is pitching although the offense is not too shabby either. The Rays pitching staff features seven pitchers who finished games for the team in 2021 and bullpen that is one of the best in baseball despite 11 pitchers on the 60-day injured list. Tampa Bay was the only team in the American League with 100 wins. The Red Sox beat the Yankees 6-2 at home in the AL wild-card game Tuesday night, advancing to face the Rays. This was a surprising story as Boston was not expected to make the postseason and this is its first playoff experience since 2018. Red Sox pitchers allowed nearly a hit an inning (fifth-worst in baseball) so Tampa Bay can take advantage of this. The Red Sox are 4-12 in their last 16 games as a road underdog while the Rays are 24-8 in their last 32 games after allowing one run or less this season. 10* (914) Tampa Bay Rays |
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10-06-21 | Cardinals +210 v. Dodgers | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our MLB Wednesday Sweet Spot. The Dodgers are the heavy favorites here and probably for good reason considering they won 106 games. But this is too much of a price to pay considering the Cardinals finished as the hottest team in baseball to end the regular season with 17 wins over their last 20 games. St. Louis has won six straight road games and finished 45-36 on the season. Whie Max Scherzer has been dominant, Adam Wainwright had great season as well as he was 17-7 in the regular season with a 3.05 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 7.6 K/9 across 32 starts. Cardinals are 11-1 in their last 12 games as an underdog. Here, we play against home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 after six or more consecutive wins, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 27-27 (50 percent) over the last five seasons with a +24.2 unit profit. 10* (939) St. Louis Cardinals |
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10-05-21 | Yankees v. Red Sox +115 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 115 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our Wild Card Play In Game of the Year. Boston and New York continue their rivalry when they square off in the Wild Card play in game on Tuesday. In postseason games, New York leads 12-11, but Boston has won seven of the last eight. As far as the season series, Boston earned home-field advantage thanks to its 10-9 head-to-head record against the Yankees. Red Sox are 4-0 in their last four games when their opponent allows two runs or less in their previous game. Here, we play against American League road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 team with a slugging percentage of or worse.410 and hitting .215 or worse going up against a starting pitcher whose WHIP 1.30 or better. This situation is 36-12 (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (938) Boston Red Sox |
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09-30-21 | Angels -136 v. Rangers | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -136 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
This is the play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS for our MLB Thursday Afternoon Dominator. The Angels are coming off a 7-2 win over the Rangers on Wednesday and look to take the series on Thursday. The Angels are 13-6 in their last 19 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. The loss for Texas was its 100th of the season and it is one of three teams with 100 or more losses. The Rangers are 8-22 in their last 30 during game three of a series. Here, we play against American League home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.50 to 1.60 on the season and who is working on 5 or 6 days of rest. This situation is 40-17 (70.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (913) Los Angeles Angels |
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09-29-21 | Indians -105 v. Royals | Top | 5-10 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND INDIANS for our A.L. Central Game of the Month. Cleveland is coming off a loss to Kansas City in the second game of this series but we expect a bounce back here as the Indians have a big pitching advantage. Zach Plesac is 6-0 when starting against Kansas City with an ERA of 2.18 and a WHIP of 0.97. The Indians are 5-1 in their last six games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. Kansas City won 6-4 on Tuesday but putting together consecutive wins has been an issue. The Royals are 1-5 in their last six games following a win. Here, we play against American League underdogs hitting .265 or worse and starting a pitcher who is working on seven or more days rest going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA between 4.20 and 4.70. This situation is 53-15 (77.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (973) Cleveland Indians |
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09-28-21 | Yankees v. Blue Jays -122 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -122 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS for our A.L. East Game of the Month. This is a must win series for Toronto which sits on game out of the final Wild Card spot in the American League. The Yankees are one game ahead of the Red Sox while Toronto is one game behind Boston and the Mariners are 1.5 games out. If Toronto wins two games, it has a chance to make a final wild-card push at home against the Orioles which has the worst record in the American League. The Yankees are 0-5 in their last five games when their opponent allows two runs or less in their previous game while the Blue Jays are 10-2 in their last 12 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Here, we play against American League underdogs hitting .265 or worse starting a pitcher who is working on seven or more days rest going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA between 4.20 and 4.70. this situation is 53-14 (79.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (920) Toronto Blue Jays |