Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-24-24 | Nets v. Wolves -7.5 | 86-101 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I think the Nets don’t stand a chance in this matchup even though the Timberwolves play on the second night of a back-to-back, coming off a tough battle versus the Bucks. The Nets have been bad of late. Over their last two outings, the Nets have allowed a staggering 257 points while scoring just 179 in return. Brooklyn is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 encounters with the Timberwolves. The Nets have only covered once over their previous seven games overall, and I expect them to continue to struggle when they take on one of the best teams in the league. |
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02-24-24 | Texas A&M v. Tennessee -10.5 | 51-86 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Revenge will be a real factor on Saturday, as the Volunteers got smacked by the Aggies a few weeks ago. Tennessee is also trailing Alabama by one game in the SEC standings, so they can't afford to slip up now. Expect the Volunteers to send a message on their home floor this weekend. They will shoot much better than 37.1% (27.6% from three) now that the game is in Knoxville. The Aggies shot 46.7% (39.3% from deep) in the first meeting, far above their season averages. Tennessee's defense is elite, so that game was an outlier. Anticipate a blowout that sends the home fans streaming out with smiles tonight. |
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02-24-24 | Bruins +105 v. Canucks | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The offense has been great lately but the defense has led the way this season, allowing only 2.69 goals per game. Brandon Carlo and Charlie McAvoy have combined for 6.9 defensive point shares and 192 blocked shots while Matt Grzelcyk and Derek Forbort have combined for 3.7 defensive point shares to give the Bruins two great defensive pairings. In addition, goaltender Jeremy Swayman has stepped up with a .920 save percentage and a 2.47 goals-against average on 951 shots with 15.7 goals saved above average. |
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02-24-24 | Golden Knights +103 v. Senators | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Golden Knights are having a great season with their offense leading the way, scoring 3.14 goals per game with 10 goals in their last three games. Jonathan Marchessault and William Karlsson have scored 48 goals and 35 assists to lead the top line but the rest of the offense has stepped up as well. Ivan Barbashev, Chandler Stephenson, and Nicolas Roy have combined for 33 goals and 64 assists while defensemen Alex Pietrangelo and Shea Theodore have added seven goals and 41 assists from the point to open up the offense. |
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02-24-24 | Texas v. Kansas -8 | Top | 67-86 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
NCAAB Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units Self stands 57-8 SU and 44-20-1 ATS with conference loss revenge, including 25-2 SU and 2-5 ATS versus .666 or fewer foes, and Kansas is 6-1-1 ATS in this series with a revenge chip on their shoulder, including 3-0 SUATS at home by an average win margin of 21 points per game. Enter Texas, who has seen an 11-2 season start head south after going only 6-7 since conference play began in January, including 1-5 SUATS when coming off a win. The 19-7 Longhorns did manage to bounce back from a 21-point rout by Houston to edge Kansas State on Monday, 62-56, but it was not enough to keep Bevo from falling out of this week’s AP poll. Texas is a poor 10-24 ATS in outright losses as a road dog against revenge-seeking opponents. Finally, Kansas is 6-0 SUATS playing with LTKO (League Tournament Knock Out) revenge when facing a sub .740 foe. |
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02-24-24 | Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh -2.5 | 64-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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02-24-24 | Rangers -130 v. Flyers | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 1 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This will be a great game between two of the best teams in the Metropolitan Division. The Flyers look to step up on their home ice but the Rangers have been rolling and look to dominate in this one. The Rangers, who average 3.37 goals per game, should create plenty of scoring chances with Artemi Panarin, Mika Zibeanjad, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with quick passes. The Rangers, who allow only 2.74 goals per game, should limit the Flyers offense with Adam Fox, Ryan Lindgren, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Igor Shesterkin to make plenty of big saves. The Rangers should win the game to extend their winning streak to 10 games. |
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02-24-24 | Iowa v. Illinois -9.5 | 85-95 | Win | 100 | 1 h 39 m | Show | |
02-24-24 | West Virginia v. Iowa State -18 | 64-71 | Loss | -110 | 0 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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02-23-24 | Jets -1.5 v. Blackhawks | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Jets are having a great season and I see them controlling this one from the first period. The Jets, who average 3.06 goals per game, should pile on the goals against the Blackhawks, who allow 3.53 goals per game, with Kyle Connor, Nikolaj Ehlers, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Jets, who allow only 2.35 goals per game, should limit the Blackhawks offense, which averages only 2.07 goals per game, with Dylan DeMelo, Josh Morrissey, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Connor Hellebuyck to make plenty of big saves. The Jets should win the game and cover the spread in a dominant win on the road. |
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02-23-24 | Suns -3.5 v. Rockets | 110-114 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Suns have won five of their last six games and three of their last five road games. They have played well offensively on the road, scoring more than 117 points per game while making 50 percent of their shots. They have also done a good job at the charity stripe, making over 80 percent of their free throws. They rebound the ball well and they’re grabbing more than 10 offensive rebounds per game on the road, so expect them to get a lot of second-chance opportunities in this game. The Rockets have struggled defensively in recent games, giving up more than 115 points per game in their last three games, and will have a hard time slowing down the Suns in this game. The Rockets have lost five of their last six games. They have played well offensively at home, scoring more than 115 points per game. They struggled at the charity stripe in recent games, making less than 70 percent of their free throws in their last three games. Their rebounding has been very good and it will give them a chance in this game, but they’ve been careless with the ball, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Suns, who averaged more than 11 steals per game in their last three games. The Suns have also struggled defensively, but they played better in their last three games and will keep Houston’s offense in check. Go with Phoenix to cover the spread. |
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02-23-24 | Clippers v. Grizzlies +9.5 | 101-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Memphis went into the break with two straight wins as they took down Milwaukee at home in their previous contest. The Grizzlies entered Thursday 20-36 on the season and stood fourth in the Southwest Division, 13.5 games behind the Pelicans for the top spot. They were 13th in the Western Conference standings, 19.5 games behind the Timberwolves for the top spot, 13 games behind the Pelicans for the final guaranteed playoff spot and 8.5 games behind the Warriors for the final spot in the play-in tournament. |
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02-23-24 | Youngstown State v. Wisc-Milwaukee +3 | 84-80 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Panthers have won four of their last six games and six of their last seven home games. They are playing well offensively, especially at home where they are scoring more than 82 points per game. They’ve also taken advantage of their chances at the charity stripe, making over 71 percent of their free throws. Their ball movement is very good and they’re very aggressive on the offensive glass, grabbing 12 offensive rebounds per game at home, so expect them to get a lot of second-chance opportunities in this game. The Penguins haven’t played well defensively in recent games, giving up more than 80 points per game in their last three games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Panthers in this game. The Penguins have lost three of their last five games and two straight road games. They have played well offensively on the road, scoring more than 75 points per game. Their ball movement isn’t very good and they don’t rebound the ball as well as the Panthers, so don’t expect them to get a lot of second-chance points against them. They’ve also been careless with the ball, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Panthers have also struggled defensively, but they played better in recent games, holding their last three opponents to 70 points per game, so expect them to keep Youngstown State’s offense in check. Go with Milwaukee to cover the spread. |
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02-23-24 | Raptors +7 v. Hawks | Top | 123-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units Toronto takes the court with a same-season double revenge chip on its shoulder, including a one-point nip-job here in a 126-125 loss when the Hawks scored on a put-back with one second remaining in the game. Furthermore, they will enter the fray sporting an 8-1 ATS mark in this series as an avenging visitor. On the other side of the court sits the Hawks, a team that has struggled mightily this season in home games, including a jaw-dropping 1-15 ATS record in division contests. Atlanta is an anemic 1-5 SUATS against sub. 600 foes in games in which the Hawks are playing with a week off in between games. Finally, playing against any NBA team during the regular season with 7 or more days of rest when facing an unrested opponent is 10-1-1 ATS. |
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02-23-24 | Princeton v. Harvard +7 | 66-53 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Crimson head coach Tommy Amaker, the former Duke legend, brings a 57-43 ATS long-term dog log into this contest with Harvard, including 22-8-1 ATS in conference play of late. In addition, John Harvard’s initial donation to the University has been paying off in spades for backers of the team lately as they bring an 8-1 ATS mark as a dog in this series, along with a 4-0 ATS ledger in same-season revenge against Princeton from a loss of 23 or more points. On the other side of the coin, the Tigers arrive off a same season revenger with Yale knowing they are just 3-11 SU and 4-10 ATS in Yale follow-ups, including 0-3 ATS against avenging foes. |
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02-22-24 | Canucks -110 v. Seattle Kraken | 2-5 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Until the loss on November 24, Seattle had defeated Vancouver in three straight meetings. The Kraken are not intimidated by the Canucks at all, producing 15 total goals in those three victories. However, Vancouver is one of the best teams in the NHL, maybe the best. They defeated the Kraken 5-1 the last time these teams met in Seattle and have been victorious in four of the five meetings there. Vancouver has lost three straight games while Seattle has been victorious in two of their last three. However, the Canucks are getting the better goaltending this season, especially with Thatcher Demko in net. Look for Vancouver to win. |
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02-22-24 | Ohio State v. Minnesota -160 | 79-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Minnesota has the best record against the spread in the entire nation, and even more shocking is that the team in second place isn't even close to the Gophers. You'd be rich if you bet Minnesota all season, they are 22-3 against the spread, covering at an insane 88% hit rate, the next best team in the nation is South Florida, covering 76.2% of their games. That is not reason enough to bet Minnesota here, but the Gophers are still the play. Ohio State won the last matchup at home, but they could not stop Dawson Garcia, the big mad went for 36 points and 10 rebounds against this thin frontcourt of Ohio State. Expect Garcia to have success again, as the word ranked unit in this game is Ohio State's defense, which is only 108th in efficiency. This is also a typical let down spot, as Ohio State just had a massive home win over Purdue, and will now struggle to bring the same level of intensity on the road in Minnesota. The Gophers will make life difficult for Jamison Battle, as he returns to play his first ever game in this arena as an opponent. Minnesota will get their revenge and even the season series. |
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02-22-24 | South Alabama v. Southern Miss -170 | 83-64 | Loss | -170 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Eagles will be playing their fifth game in a six-game homestand, taking the court tonight after a 9-point loss to UL Monroe before a Saturday meeting with lowly Texas State. USM catches the Jaguars playing their first road game after four consecutive home contests, and South Alabama is an awful 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS in conference road trips this season. Yes, the Jags are on a three-game winning run, but they dropped five games in a row right before that streak. |
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02-22-24 | Suns v. Mavs -140 | 113-123 | Win | 100 | 60 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Mavs entered the All-Star break on a badly needed 6-game win skein and suddenly find themselves back in the thick of the Western Conference playoff chase, currently one game back of the 5th-seeded Suns. They bring a smart 7-4 SU and 8-3 ATS log in this series, looking to avenge a 132-109 beatdown they suffered here against Phoenix a month ago. Meanwhile for as hot as the Suns are perceived to be this season, they are only 6-14-1 ATS against opponents coming off a SUATS win, including 1-6-1 ATS when the Valley of the Sun is not coming off a double-digit win. Finally, Phoenix is a long-term 91-125-8 ATS in games against foes seeking revenge from a same-season loss of 20 or more points, including 0-7-1 ATS the last eight games. |
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02-22-24 | Knicks v. 76ers | Top | 110-96 | Loss | -113 | 60 h 49 m | Show |
NBA Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units 76ers figure to be anxious to avenge their worst loss of the season, a 128-92 thumping on this floor in early January. With it, they bring a sterling 7-1 ATS ledger into this game when sporting same-season revenge from a loss of 13 or more points this campaign. They’ve also beat New York like a drum of late, going 20-7 SU and 16-10-1 ATS in the last seven seasons. On the flip side, the Knickerbockers are just 3-9 SU and 3-8-1 ATS against well-rested foes that are playing with 7-plus days of rest. With New York riding a rocky 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS mark heading into the All-Star break, it’s time to seal this deal with the fact that Philadelphia is 109-14-1 ATS in division games it wins outright when playing with same-season loss revenge, including 73-6 ATS when coming off a loss. |
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02-22-24 | Magic +7.5 v. Cavs | 116-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is too many points to spot the best team in the NBA at covering spreads. Orlando is 36-19 against the spread this season, that is a success rate of 65.5%, better than any other team as the Thunder are second at 62.3%. Orlando covered three of their last four games before the break, and often win when listed as big underdogs as they did against Minnesota as 6.5 point dogs and against the Knicks when they were getting 5.5 points. Cleveland is big, but Orlando has been toying with massive lineups, inserting Jonathan Isaac and making Franz Wagner a 6'10 2-guard. Size will not be an issue for the Magic. Orlando's 4th ranked defense will not allow Cleveland to run up the score, and all their size inside will limit the production or Mobley and Allen in the paint. Banchero is having a monster year for the Magic, he is more physical than Mobley and too fast for Allen, he will be a matchup nightmare for Cleveland. The Magic are the best team in the league at covering spreads, they are well rested, and will keep this one close. |
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02-22-24 | Stars -150 v. Senators | 1-4 | Loss | -150 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Stars have won four of their last seven road games. They are playing well offensively, scoring 13 goals in their last three road games. They have also played well on special teams, converting 23 percent of their power play opportunities. The Senators aren’t great at killing penalties and they’re not very good defensively, giving up 11 goals in their last three home games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Stars in this game. The Senators have lost three of their last four games. They have struggled offensively, scoring eight goals in their last three games. They have struggled on special teams, converting 15 percent of their power play opportunities. The Stars are very good at killing penalties and they played well defensively in recent road games, giving up 11 goals in their last four road games, so expect them to keep Ottawa’s offense in check. Go with Dallas to cover the money line. |
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02-22-24 | Rangers +102 v. Devils | 5-1 | Win | 102 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Devils look to step up at home but the Rangers are the team to beat in the Eastern Conference and look to take over this game from the first period. The Rangers, who average 3.34 goals per game, should pile on the goals against the Devils, who allow 3.45 goals per game, with Artemi Panarin, Chris Kreider, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Rangers, who allow only 2.77 goals per game, should limit the Devils' offense with Adam Fox, K'Andre Miller, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Igor Shesterkin to make plenty of big saves. The Rangers should win the game to extend their winning streak to nine games. |
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02-21-24 | Maple Leafs -1.5 v. Coyotes | 6-3 | Win | 122 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Maple Leafs are having an exceptional season and I see them taking over this game from the first period. The Maple Leafs, who average 3.57 goals per game, should pile on the goals against the Coyotes, who allow 3.24 goals per game, with Auston Matthews, William Nylander, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Maple Leafs should limit the Coyotes offense, which averages only 2.87 goals per game, with T.J. Brodie, Jake McCabe, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Ilya Samsonov to make plenty of big saves. The Maple Leafs should win the game and cover the spread in a dominant win on the road. |
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02-21-24 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State -6 | 71-83 | Win | 100 | 29 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: Units
For openers, the five-returning starter Bulldogs join second-year head coach Chris Jans knowing they stand 11-4 SU and 10-5 ATS in this series with same-season revenge, including 5-0 SUATS in the last five games. Meanwhile, Ole Miss bolted to a surprising 18-3 start under first-year head coach Chris Beard before suffering a three-game losing skid they took into Saturday when they hosted Missouri. At just 7-21 outright on the road the past two seasons, including 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS against avenging foes, look for the Rebels to come up ‘soft’ in this Egg Bowl rematch. With both teams within firing distance of one another in the SEC race, this becomes ‘Priority One’ for the homestanding ‘Dogs. |
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02-21-24 | Duke v. Miami-FL +5.5 | Top | 84-55 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 37 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units It’s been a disappointing season for the 15-10 Hurricanes, who were ranked No. 13 in the AP preseason after losing to UConn in last season’s NCAA Final Four. Jim Larranaga’s troops started this campaign 11-2 before hitting a bumpy road that saw them sitting in 11th place in the ACC at press time, no thanks to three losses in their previous five home games. Couple that with a loss as a No. 1 seed to the Devils in the semifinals of last year’s ACC tourney, one that snapped a five-game ATS winning streak by the ‘U’ in this series, and we expect Larranaga to improve on his 10-3-1 ATS career mark in LTKO revenge affairs, including 8-2 SU and 8-1-1 ATS in games in which his troops sport a greater than .600 win percentage. With Duke just 11-24-1 ATS in games after skirmishes with the Seminoles, and Miami 15-6-1 ATS with conference loss revenge, including 10-1 ATS as a dog, we are on the Canes. |
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02-20-24 | Predators v. Golden Knights -130 | 5-3 | Loss | -130 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Golden Knights have defeated the Predators the last three times they have played in Vegas, and they have won two of the last three by at least three goals. While Nashville earned the victory in St. Louis, this is a club that is struggling of late, only winning three of their last 10 games. They have also given up at least four goals in seven of the last nine. Vegas is getting solid goaltending, giving up two or fewer goals in six of their last 10. |
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02-20-24 | Pittsburgh v. Wake Forest -6 | 58-91 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This number feels like a trap. Pitt has won five straight games, and their leading scorer just had a 41-point game, and they are getting 6.5 points? It seems obvious, but remember, Vegas is not your friend. This is Wake's game to win, they are better in every season-long analytical measure used by KenPom. Wake is 26th overall, while Pitt is just 52d, and Wake is better in both offensive and defensive efficiency. Do not let the recency bias sway your decision-making, Pitt won five straight, but only beat one ranked opponent and it was at home. Wake is coming off two losses, but both were on the road to ranked teams. Wake has more talent at the top, Sallis and Hildreth can be used defensively to slow down Hinson, and Sallis has big game potential as well as he is 4th in the conference in scoring. Pitt does not have a high-scoring big man inside, so points in the paint should favor Wake, especially with 6'10 Andrew Carr inside. Wake is the better team, and will bounce back strong at home where they are undefeated in conference play. |
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02-20-24 | Tennessee -11 v. Missouri | 72-67 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consecutive losses begin to place a mental toll on players. Missouri has become accustomed to losing, and may give up if Tennessee is able to get an early lead. This is exactly what Tennessee just did to Vanderbilt in their last outing, getting up 33-8 and closing the door on the Commodores early. The Volunteers will look to do the same here, they will be able to get whatever they want offensively, as they have the 15th ranked offense in terms of efficiency, while Missouri's defense only ranks 172nd. Tennessee is laying a big number on the road here, but that wasn't a problem two games ago when they went into Arkansas and defeated the Razorbacks by 29. Tennessee has also covered 20.5 points against Vanderbilt, and 14 against LSU in recent games, they can cover big numbers. Missouri stayed close against Ole Miss last time out, as they thought they would have a chance to grab their first win, but they will not have the same optimism here. Missouri only covered one game out of their last six, and Tennessee will look to finish this one early |
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02-20-24 | Butler v. Villanova -6 | 62-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Despite the Cats’ recent troubles, they hold all the cards in this series, going 6-0 SUATS at home. They’ll also be looking for revenge from an 88-81 setback at Butler three weeks ago. Villanova is 11-1 SU and 10-2 ATS with same-season conference revenge versus .680 or fewer foes while Butler stands just 10-16-1 ATS against same-season conference avengers. The Bulldogs also have a quintuple revenger of their own on deck against Seton Hall, and they’re 1-5 ATS as a dog of 3-plus points before the Pirates. It could be do-or-die for the Wildcats tonight. |
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02-19-24 | Kansas State +8.5 v. Texas | 56-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is too many points to spot a desperate team. Texas is not the class of the Big 12, they are far behind Houston and Kansas in terms of being a national powerhouse, and these two teams actually have the same record in league play. The only reason this spread is so high is due to recency bias. K-State is in a tough stretch, but they did not lose any key players to injury, and it is worth noting four of their last six losses came against ranked teams. Their last three losses have been by six or less points, and they know they need to start winning games for a chance at the postseason. The Wildcats can get there with defense, they are ranked 23rd in defensive efficiency and will bring that same energy on the road to Texas. The Longhorns have not been great at home, they have league home losses to Iowa State, Houston, UCF and Texas Tech, they do not protect their home floor. Texas gets strong contributions from their backcourt of Abmas and Hunter, but K-State's Carter and Perry will be with them every step of the way. Kaluma matches up well with Disu, and this game will be much closer than expected. |
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02-19-24 | Senators v. Lightning -155 | 4-2 | Loss | -155 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units How does a team respond after a blowout loss like Tampa Bay faced against Florida? They destroy a bottom feeder who comes to town for the next game. Ottawa has played well traditionally against the Lightning, winning three of the last four games, but they have lost the last three games in Tampa Bay. The Lightning have produced six goals in four of their last nine games, and they have plenty of offense, especially when it comes to the power play. The Senators have one of the worst penalty-killing units in the NHL, 30th overall at 74.2%. That should make it so that the Lightning get at least two power-play goals, helping them to win by at least two. |
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02-19-24 | Blackhawks v. Hurricanes -1.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Carolina has defeated Chicago four straight times and has won each of those games by at least two goals. In fact, they have shut out the Blackhawks in each of the last two meetings between these clubs and have held the Blackhawks to three or fewer goals in 10 straight meetings. As long as the Hurricanes score 4 goals in this game, they should easily win by two. That has not been a problem, as they have scored at least four in six of the last 10 meetings against Chicago. This should be a breeze for Carolina to easily cover the spread, even giving up the 1.5 goals. |
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02-18-24 | Utah v. UCLA -140 | 70-69 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Utah put the final touches on a mind boggling 90-44 annihilation of Nick Cronin’s Bruins. It was a real wake-up call for Cronin and company, who responded with an 8-1 SU and 7-1-1 ATS skein heading into Salt Lake City tonight. Both teams own funky ‘inside-out’ overall and conference records with the 14-11 Bruins sporting a 9-5 ledger in league games, while the 15-10 Utes enter just 6-8 in conference contests. Following a quintuple revenger loss against USC on Thursday, Utah has lost three straight on the scoreboard, plus the Utes are a weak 1-5 ATS after tangling with the Trojans. However, it’s the revenge factor for UCLA that fits more snugly than O.J.’s glove. The Bruins are 4-1 ATS since 1990 when seeking same-season revenge from a loss of 30 or more points, with one of the victories as a 14.5-point underdog over Arizona. Not so for the hosts, who are a money-burning 6-13 ATS as a favorite against foes with 20-points same-season revenge. |
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02-18-24 | Kings +110 v. Penguins | 2-1 | Win | 110 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kings were in a terrible rut in January, but have looked very good in the early part of this month, going 3-1-0 through the first four games. They closed out January with three points in their final two games, making them 4-1-1 through their last six. That includes going 3-1-1 in their last five games on the road. This team seems to play their best away from Los Angeles, and that is not good news for the Penguins. Pittsburgh won at Chicago on Thursday but had lost three straight games where they produced just five goals in total. These are not your father’s Pittsburgh Penguins, so take Los Angeles in a mini upset. |
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02-18-24 | Memphis v. SMU -4.5 | 79-106 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Memphis comes in off a road loss and they now have to travel to take on a team that has won five straight games. The Tigers are 6-4 straight up on the road but they have dropped three of their last four games as the visitors, including falling at Tulane and UAB. Memphis is just 4-6 ATS on the road this season and 8-17 ATS overall this season. SMU comes in with five straight wins in their pocket and they have posted a stellar 12-2 mark at home this year. The Mustangs are getting solid production throughout their rotation, making up for the fact that they have only two players averaging in double figures. SMU is an elite defensive team, giving them a big edge over Memphis in that department. That, coupled with home-court advantage and an offense that can hold its own, gives the Mustangs the edge. |
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02-17-24 | Jets v. Canucks -115 | 4-2 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Canucks have won three straight games and six of their last seven home games. They are playing well offensively and scored 11 goals in their last three games. They have also played well on special teams, converting over 23 percent of their power play opportunities. The Jets are good at killing penalties, but they have struggled defensively on the road, giving up 12 goals in their last four road games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Canucks in this game. The Jets have lost four straight road games. They struggled offensively in those games, scoring only two goals. They have also struggled on special teams, converting less than 15 percent of their power play opportunities. The Canucks are great at killing penalties and they’re playing well defensively, giving up only five goals in their last three games, so expect them to keep Winnipeg’s offense in check. Go with Vancouver to cover the money line. |
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02-17-24 | San Francisco v. Loyola Marymount +8.5 | 82-59 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The red-hot Dons enter off their 20th win of the season with a much bigger game on tap against conference bear Saint Mary’s. That’s because the Gaels are a perfect 12-0 in WCC play, a record that includes a 17-point thrashing of the Dons on January 20, so we can’t blame San Francisco for looking ahead to the rematch. The 9-2 Dons currently ride a five game win streak, but they failed to cash a ticket in any of those contests. Huge game for the Lions if they want to stop the bleeding and their recent 6-1 ATS mark as a home dog in this series tells us they may roar loudly tonight at Gersten Pavilion. |
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02-17-24 | Missouri v. Ole Miss -11.5 | 76-79 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Rebels need this win and being at home should be a huge help for them. They are 13-1 at home this season with their only loss coming at the hands of Auburn. The Rebels should roll against the mediocre Tigers' defense. Ole Miss makes up for accuracy with volume when launching 3-point field goals. They are just 9th in the conference in 3-point shooting but are 3rd in 3-point field goals made per game. Missouri is winless in conference play this year and has difficulties putting up points, ranking next-to-last in the SEC in points scored per game. Look for the Rebels to get back on track at the expense of the Tigers today. |
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02-17-24 | NC State +7.5 v. Clemson | 78-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units State head coach Kevin Keatts took his team to the Big Dance last year but after a first-round exit, he circled today’s game as one of the most important of the season for the Pack. NC State does enter on a 0-2 slide, but those losses came by margins of just 4 and 3 points. The Tigers arrive at Littlejohn Coliseum riding high on a three-game win skein – including the aforementioned upset of North Carolina – but a lousy 0-4 ATS against LTKO avengers coming off a loss. With the host in Clemmie contests this season checking in at 6-13-1 ATS, it's a NC State call today. |
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02-17-24 | Dartmouth v. Cornell -17.5 | 80-89 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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02-17-24 | Panthers -122 v. Lightning | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is going to be a great game between two of the best teams in the NHL. The Lightning look to step up on their home ice but the Panthers, who have taken four games in a row, look to step up and control this game from the first period. The Panthers, who average 3.24 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Sam Reinhart, Matthew Tkachuk, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Panthers, who allow only 2.44 goals per game, should limit the Lightning offense with Gustav Forsling, Niko Mikkola, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky to make plenty of big saves. The Panthers should win the game to extend their winning streak to five games. |
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02-17-24 | Predators v. Blues -102 | 5-2 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Blues have looked great in recent games and I see them stepping up and taking over this on both ends of the ice. The Blues should create plenty of scoring chances against a Predators defense that is allowing 3.28 goals per game, with Robert Thomas, Jordan Kyrou, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Blues should limit a Predators offense that is scoring only 2.96 goals per game with Nick Leddy, Colton Parayko, and the rest of the defensive unit forcing turnovers in the neutral zone and defensive zone while goaltender Jordan Binnington blanks the shots on the net. The Blues should win the game with a dominant performance on their home ice. |
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02-17-24 | Virginia Tech v. North Carolina -10 | 81-96 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Yes, if the Tar Heels’ win-loss chart was converted to a weather map, it would be showing mild turbulence as UNC enters this afternoon’s contest on a L-W-L-W-L pattern. The forecast brightens, though, with its 6-2 ATS recent record in this series, albeit with a pair of losses in the last two meetings, including a Donkey Round loss in the ACC tournament last season. On Tobacco Road, that’s the call for a tar-and-feathering and the Hokies look to be the perfect patsy. One of six teams with a losing record in conference play, Virginia Tech’s home win against Florida State on Tuesday snapped a 0-3 SUATS losing slide for the Hokies. Too bad for Tech that they’re 1-13 SU and 4-10 ATS away after facing the Seminoles, including 0-3 SUATS versus avenging folk. Finally, North Carolina is 27-1 ATS in its last 28 victories when avenging a loss against a conference foe coming off a win. |
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02-17-24 | TCU v. Kansas State -115 | 75-72 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units TCU is just 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS versus foes with a League Tourney Knockout (LTKO) chip on their shoulder, and a miserable 1-6 ATS in this series when KSU is looking to avenge a loss. Life has also been tough for TCU on the conference road, losing three of their last four away games. Considering all road trips for the Frogs this year have resulted in a puny win margin of +0.3 PPG, and finally, KSU is 5-0 ATS as a favorite with LTKO revenge. |
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02-17-24 | Texas A&M +8.5 v. Alabama | Top | 75-100 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 9 m | Show |
CBB Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Texas A&M’s 5-0 start to the season has withered to a 10-9 follow-up and with it the Aggies find themselves knocking on the Bubble. Worse, they enter off an embarrassing loss at Vanderbilt as 8.5-point chalk. However, with 4 starters back from last season’s 25-win unit, the talent is there, and all head coach Buzz Williams needs to do is stick to the script as he is 35-21-1 ATS as a visitor with the Aggies, including 19-5-1 ATS when coming off a loss. Despite a comfortable 109-92 win over LSU in their last contest, Alabama stands just 23-25 SU and 15-30-2 ATS after facing the Tigers. The Aggies are currently stuck smack in the middle of the SEC standings at 6-5 but with Tammy owning the No. 8 spot nationally in Rebound Margin, we’ll call for the outright upset. Finally, Texas A&M is 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS with SEC tourney revenge from the previous season, versus sub .750 opponents, including 5-0 SUATS when the Aggies own a greater than .600 win percentage |
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02-17-24 | Texas Tech v. Iowa State -6.5 | 74-82 | Win | 100 | 3 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Texas Tech just beat #6 Kansas, but that win is about to be over-valued. Tech was at home, and they were a 3.5-point favorite, this was not an upset. Kansas was playing without their top player, which clearly deflated the team, and once they got down relatively big, they folded instead of fighting back. That win does not erase the fact that three games ago they lost at home to Cincinnati, one of the worst teams in the Big 12. Meanwhile, Iowa State has been one of the best teams in basketball as of late. The Cyclones have the third most efficient defense in the nation, and Lipsey is a headache for opposing guards as he averages 3.0 steals per game. Iowa State has covered in their last four games and in six of their last seven. Tech's strength is their offense, but they have to go on the road in Ames to play one of the top three defenses in the country, any perceived offensive advantage will be taken away. Iowa State has a huge date coming up with Houston, this will not be a look-ahead spot, because they know they need to get to that game with a 9-3 record. |
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02-16-24 | Hurricanes -1.5 v. Coyotes | 5-1 | Win | 125 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Hurricanes are having a great season and look to control this game from the first period. The Hurricanes, who average 3.31 goals per game, should pile on the goals against the Coyotes, who allow 3.13 goals per game, with Sebastian Aho, Seth Jarvis, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Hurricanes, who allow only 2.88 goals per game, should limit the Coyotes, who average only 2.90 goals per game, with Jaccob Slavin, Brent Burns, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Pyotr Kotchetckov to make plenty of big saves. The Hurricanes should win the game and cover the spread in a dominant win on the road. |
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02-16-24 | Harvard v. Cornell -8.5 | 62-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cornell is coming off a disappointing loss to Yale, which knocked the Big Red out of a first place tie with the Bulldogs. Cornell will take that frustration out on Harvard when the Crimson visit the Big Red on Friday. Cornell's offense, which is averaging 83.7 points per game will be too much for the Crimson defense to contain. Cornell has the fifth best field goal shooting percentage in the nation at 50.2%. Harvard is shooting 34.4% from 3-point territory but faces a Cornell defense that is 73rd in the nation in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 31.6. Cornell won the first game played between the two this season, defeating Harvard 89-76 on the road and covered the spread as 4-point road chalk. In that matchup, Cornell held Harvard to 26% shooting from three-point territory as the Crimson missed 14 of 19 3-point attempts. Harvard has failed to cover the spread in three of the last four and in five of the last seven, while Cornell has covered the spread in six of the last nine. |
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02-15-24 | Utah +2 v. USC | 64-68 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Southern Cal hoops squad that finished 22-11 the previous season somehow found its way to last place in the soon-to-be-defunct Pac-12 with a 9-14 / 3-9 disaster. Our stunning stat of the day: USC is 0-25 ATS in its last 25 conference home losses, including 0-10 ATS as a dog. While that sinks in, we’ll remind you that the Utes had the rug pulled out on them twice by the Trojans last season. However, despite those losses, Utah is still 14-7 ATS in this series, including 8-1 ATS as a favorite and 8-1 ATS when playing with 3-plus days of rest. |
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02-15-24 | Portland v. San Diego -6 | 66-71 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units When looking at KenPom’s adjusted efficiency margin, Portland is 308th in the nation with a -11.93 rating while San Diego is 218th in the country with a -4.18 rating up to this point. When looking at the offenses lately, there is a bit of a difference here as the Pilots are scoring 67.4 points in their previous five games while the Toreros are averaging 79.3 points in their last four games. Go with the San Diego Toreros to cover the spread at home here. |
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02-15-24 | Oilers -187 v. Blues | 3-6 | Loss | -187 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Edmonton Oilers have the best record in the NHL since late December. The squad had won 17 games in a row at one point. They have cooled a bit recently but it's hard to bet against them considering their recent success. The St. Louis Blues have not been sharp at home, going 2-3 in their last five home games. Edmonton has been one of the elite defensive squads since they brought in new coach Kris Knoblauch. They have conceded three or fewer goals in seven of their last ten games. Edmonton is the superior offensive squad. St. Louis is weak offensively. They have an xGF/60 minutes of only 2.9 goals and are marked 24th in shots on goal. I recommend taking the Oilers to win in regulation for added value. |
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02-15-24 | Kings v. Devils -106 | 2-1 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kings were awful in the game Tuesday night in their previous contest as they were shelled by Buffalo. Los Angeles now faces a New Jersey team that has won two straight games. On the flip side, the Devils are playing their third game in four nights here and their fourth game in six nights. Los Angeles had been sound in the defensive end of the ice but they face a Devils team that is more than capable of lighting the lamp with regularity. New Jersey is better offensively with the return of Jack Hughes to the mix and with the Kings reeling, you have to give them the upper hand here. |
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02-15-24 | Panthers -148 v. Sabres | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Buffalo comes in off a one-sided victory and they do have the rest advantage with having Wednesday off while Florida was in Pittsburgh. The Sabres are at home, giving them the edge of not having to travel as well, but they have had their issues with the Panthers in recent years. Florida will have the lesser of their goaltending tandem between the pipes here as Stolarz is likely to get the call with Bobrovsky going Wednesday night. The Panthers are a dangerous offensive team, led by Reinhart and Tkachuk. Florida has rebounded nicely from a slow start and they continue to do damage. Look for the Panthers to pick up the road win here as their offense does the job once again. |
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02-15-24 | UL - Lafayette -3.5 v. Old Dominion | 68-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns are my definitive pick for this matchup, buoyed by a potent offense and stringent defense that has propelled them to a 16-9 overall and 8-4 conference record. Boasting an impressive average of 77.6 points per game, their ability to maintain a 46.6% field goal efficiency and a stellar 36.9% from the three-point line stands out. This offensive firepower is complemented by a defense that limits opponents to a mere 26.1% from beyond the arc, ranking second nationally, showcasing the Ragin' Cajuns' capability to dominate both ends of the court. With Kobe Julien leading the scoring charge with 18.2 points per game and Joe Charles anchoring the defense across rebounds, steals, and blocks, Louisiana possesses the depth and versatility to outmatch Old Dominion. The Cajuns' recent performances, underscored by a commanding win against BGSU, highlight a team in prime form, ready to extend their winning narrative against the Monarchs. |
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02-14-24 | Clippers v. Warriors -144 | 130-125 | Loss | -144 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Clippers beat the Warriors twice at home in December, 113-112 and 121-113. Back on November 30, the Warriors defeated the Clippers 120-114 as 2-point favorites at Chase Center. At the moment, both teams are playing at a high level, so I expect another tight battle between LA and Golden State. The Warriors have only dropped one of their previous eight contests. Stephen Curry has been unstoppable during that stretch, averaging 31.5 points on 50.0% shooting from beyond the arc. I like what I see from the Warriors, so give me Golden State plus points. The Warriors are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall and 5-3 ATS in their previous eight dates with the Clippers, who are 2-4 ATS in their last six games overall. |
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02-14-24 | Utah State v. Wyoming +7.5 | 84-76 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Utah State is currently one of four teams tied atop the Mountain West Conference with a 7-3 record but with the league in action over the weekend, a new leader could claim the No. 1 spot before this game takes place. While the Aggies host Boise State on Saturday (1-6 ATS after the Broncos), the Cowboys get treated to a week off, and they’re 4-0 ATS the last four conference games with a week or more of rest. They’ll also be looking to avenge an 83-59 whipping in Logan five weeks ago, and they’re a stout 7-3 ATS in this series when seeking revenge. Wyoming has held its own as a home dog of late, going 15-8 ATS, including 4-0 ATS the last four. |
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02-14-24 | Lakers v. Jazz -5.5 | 138-122 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Keep tracking the injury report because the Lakers might decide to rest some of their players. Hopefully, LeBron James and Anthony Davis will be ready to go. I want to see D’Angelo Russell in the lineup, too, as he’s averaged 24.0 points and 6.6 dimes over his last ten outings. |
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02-14-24 | Tennessee v. Arkansas +8.5 | Top | 92-63 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
CBB Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Tennessee has had their share of troubles in this series of late, going 1-4 SU the last five and 2-6 ATS the last eight away. If that’s not troubling enough, Tennessee owns a dreadful 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS record away from Knoxville versus an SEC foe with revenge. These two met just once last season, with the Razorbacks getting roasted by 17 points, and the Hogs are a money-making 11-6-1 ATS as home dogs when playing with the ‘R’ word. Finally, Arkansas head coach Eric Musselman is 11-1 SU and 10-2 ATS at home with revenge with Arkansas, including 10-0 ATS versus sub .800 opponents. |
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02-14-24 | Panthers -121 v. Penguins | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Panthers are having a great season and look to dominate this game from the first period. The Panthers, who average 3.19 goals per game, should create plenty of scoring chances with Matthew Tkachuk, Sam Reinhart, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Panthers, who allow only 2.50 goals per game, should limit the Penguins offense, which averages only 2.90 goals per game, with Gustav Forsling, Niko Mikkola, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky to make plenty of big saves. The Panthers should win the game with a strong performance on the road. |
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02-14-24 | Knicks +3.5 v. Magic | Top | 100-118 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units New York is 4-1 ATS away in its last five road games with same-season double revenge. They are also an eye-popping 55-1 ATS in their last fifty-six road wins, including 41-0 ATS in the last 41 games (18-0 ATS as a favorite). Whew. Toss in Orlando’s 2-23-1 ATS ledger in its last twenty-six home defeats (2-13-1 ATS as a dog). Finally, the Knicks are 4-0 SUATS in this series with same-season double revenge by an average win margin of 16 PPG |
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02-14-24 | Heat v. 76ers -155 | 109-104 | Loss | -155 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Embiid (knee), Harris (hip), Batum (hamstring), Melton (back) and Covington (knee) will remain out on Wednesday, and the Sixers won't have their latest acquisition available either. Six-time All-Star Kyle Lowry, who recently received a buyout from the Charlotte Hornets, officially signed with Philadelphia on Tuesday. Lowry averaged 8.2 points and four rebounds in 37 games (35 starts) for the Heat this season before he was traded to Charlotte on Jan. 23. He never got into a game for the Hornets, which is why the 76ers ruled out his chance to oppose his former Heat teammates as he needs to work back into game shape. |
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02-14-24 | Northern Kentucky v. Green Bay -168 | 58-57 | Loss | -168 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Phoenix have won five straight games and seven straight home games. They have played well offensively and score more than 73 points per game at home. They’ve also taken advantage of their chances at the charity stripe, making over 77 percent of their free throws. They rebound the ball well and they’ve been aggressive on the offensive glass, so expect them to get a lot of extra-scoring chances in this game. They also do a good job of protecting the ball and won’t give the Norse a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Norse aren’t very good defensively and they gave up more than 80 points per game in their last three games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Phoenix in this game. The Norse have won two straight games, but they’ve lost five of their last six road games. They have struggled offensively on the road, scoring less than 70 points per game. They also struggled at the charity stripe, making less than 70 percent of their free throws. Their ball movement isn’t very good and they don’t rebound the ball as well as the Phoenix, so don’t expect them to get a lot of extra-scoring chances against them. They’re also careless with the ball, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Phoenix. The Phoenix are very good defensively and they’re holding opponents under 65 points per game at home, so expect them to keep Northern Kentucky’s offense in check. Go with Green Bay to cover the spread. |
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02-13-24 | New Mexico v. Nevada -140 | 83-82 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams come into the Lawler Events Center off revenge games, with Nevada looking to atone for a 71-59 loss to San Diego State while New Mexico has its sights set on a UNLV squad that stopped a 12-1 midseason run by the Lobos. Let’s hope UNM lays points to the Wolf Pack, because Nevada is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a home dog, as well as 3-0 SUATS as a home dog versus greater than .545 foes. Not to be left out, Alford chips in with an 11-6 ATS record as a conference dog with Nevada versus .770 or greater opposition, including 7-3 ATS when seeking revenge. Finally, the last 15 meetings in this series has seen New Mexico go just 2-13 SU and 5-10 ATS versus Nevada – with one of the two wins coming earlier this season when the Lobos routed the Wolf Pack by 34 points in Albuquerque. |
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02-13-24 | Kings +5.5 v. Suns | 125-130 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Sacramento Kings will go for a season-series win over the host Phoenix Suns when two of the top teams in the Pacific Division face off on Tuesday night for the fourth of five regular-season meetings. By virtue of a late schedule addition brought about by the NBA in-season tournament, the Suns got the advantage of hosting the Kings three times this season. But they gave away that home-court edge when they were beaten 114-106 in Phoenix on Dec. 8 in the first meeting between the teams. The clubs have since split a pair of games, each winning at home, and now each also has one home date remaining in the five-game season series. Domantas Sabonis and De'Aaron Fox have been the driving forces in the Kings' success against the Suns this season. Sabonis has recorded triple-doubles in each of the past two meetings and has averaged 21.3 points, 13.3 rebounds and 9.3 assists over the three games, while Fox has gone for an average of 30.0 points. |
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02-13-24 | Heat +8.5 v. Bucks | 123-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units We’re riding the Heat again as they enter the All-Star break with positive momentum in hopes of a second-half turnaround. And for the second time in two games, they’ll be looking to even things up from a pair of same-season defeats. With it, Erik Spoelstra’s troops enter with an 8-4 SU and 9-3 ATS log on this floor when seeking double revenge with a winning record. Flipping the script, the Bucks are 1-5 ATS of late against same-season double avengers, including 0-3 ATS in the last three games as a host. |
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02-13-24 | Thunder -145 v. Magic | 127-113 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Thunder come into this matchup with one of the more well-rounded teams in the NBA. They are fifth in the NBA in scoring offense and are ranked third in the NBA in field goal defense. The Magic are more reliant on their defense to compete, ranking well below average in several offensive categories including points per game, three-point shooting, and three-point field goals per game. The Thunder, meanwhile, are in the top ten in field goal defense and are a respectable 13th in the NBA in 3-point defense. The Thunder also protect the ball well, ranked fourth in the league in fewest turnovers per game. I like the Thunder to roll here against a Magic team that has cooled off in recent weeks. |
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02-13-24 | Lightning v. Bruins -148 | 3-2 | Loss | -148 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is going to be a great game between two of the best teams in the NHL. the Lightning look to pull off the upset but the Bruins look to take over this one on their home ice. The Bruins, who average 3.38 goals per game, should pile on the goals against the Lightning, who allow 3.30 goals per game, with David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Bruins, who allow only 2.58 goals per game, should limit the Lightning offense with Brandon Carlo, Hampus Lindholm, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Jeremy Swayman to make plenty of big saves. The Bruins should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice. |
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02-13-24 | Blue Jackets v. Senators -179 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Ottawa comes in with three straight wins and they looked sharp in their first game back from the All-Star break Saturday night. The Senators are at home here and we have seen Columbus struggle on the road this season. The Blue Jackets are 7-11-6 as the visiting team on the year and they have had issues on both ends of the ice. Ottawa is solid offensively and if their goaltending holds up as it has in the last few games, they could play spoiler in the second half of the season. We have yet to see the Blue Jackets do much in the way of slowing teams on the defensive end of the ice. As a result, back the Senators here as they make it four straight wins. |
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02-13-24 | Avalanche -165 v. Capitals | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Colorado Avalanche are in need of wins as they near the end of a long road trek. I expect the squad to have an easy win. The Washington Capitals are stumbling, dropping seven of their last eight games. They have no depth and simply are not scoring enough goals. The Avalanche have averaged 3.7 goals in their last ten games which includes eight road games in that span. The Capitals have allowed at least four goals in five of their last seven games and I can’t see them containing a Colorado squad that leads the NHL in goals. Colorado just beat Washington by a 6-2 score in late January. |
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02-12-24 | Wild v. Golden Knights -133 | 5-3 | Loss | -133 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Vegas had dominated on home ice early on but went through a bit of a slump in early January. Now they are winners of four straight games at home and have gone 6-1-0 over their last seven home games. It has been spectacular goaltending on home ice leading the way, as they have held six of their last seven opponents to two goals or fewer, including allowing just one goal in four of those contests. This is a team struggling a bit on the road, but not at home. Minnesota has had very few answers for the Golden Knights since 2021, losing six of seven games, and they have not won in Vegas since May 2021, a span of four straight losses there. No reason to go against history here, as the Golden Knights dominate this contest. |
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02-12-24 | Kansas v. Texas Tech -135 | 50-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Jayhawks' struggles on the road this season have kept them on the outside looking in as far as earning a #1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. They have lost to good teams like Iowa State and Illinois but also marginally good teams like Kansas State and UCF away from home. Texas Tech comes into this game at 12-1 at home, only losing to Cincinnati. The teams that have the best shot to beat the Red Raiders are teams that shoot the ball well from long range and rebound well. The Jayhawks, however, don't shoot the ball well from long range, ranked just eighth in the conference in 3-point shooting and next to last in 3-point field goals per game. The Jayhawks are also just 9th in total rebounds per game. The Red Raiders have the type of offense to keep up with the Jayhawks and protect the ball well enough to steal this game at home against the higher-ranked Jayhawks. |
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02-12-24 | Nuggets v. Bucks -104 | 95-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units We’re looking at a matchup of a pair of teams that are considered among the elite squads in their respective conferences. Denver was flattened by Sacramento Friday night but they hope to have Porter Jr. and Caldwell-Pope back in the mix for this contest. Milwaukee rolled past a weak Charlotte squad without Middleton, giving them a chance to play their reserves while giving their starters a breather. Missing Middleton is a tough one for the Bucks but it gives guys like Portis and Beasley more opportunity to run. The Bucks are a solid 22-6 at home this season while the Bucks are 15-13 on the road. With the Nuggets potentially missing two starters, that puts too much pressure on Jokic and Murray to shoulder the load. Look for Milwaukee to come up with the victory in this contest. |
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02-12-24 | Pacers -11 v. Hornets | 102-111 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pacers, who should feel confident arriving in Charlotte, also might look different from a meeting earlier this month. They'll be back in Charlotte after winning there 115-99 on Feb. 4. That was the Hornets' second-lowest scoring output in their last nine home games. Indiana added forward Doug McDermott -- who played three seasons there (ending in 2020-21) -- in a trade with San Antonio. Even though he was scoreless in limited playing time at New York on Saturday, he should make an impact. The Pacers also have another factor that could work in their favor from the previous matchup with Charlotte. Point guard Tyrese Haliburton was on a minutes restriction coming off an injury, but he has worked his way up to logging 30 minutes a contest. His 22 points vs. the Knicks marked his largest output in his last 11 games. |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs +2 | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 202 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Consider that following: Teams arriving to a Super Bowl game off a point spread loss are 3-8 SU and 2-8-1 ATS since 1980. Those coming in off an SU win as an underdog in the Championship Round are 19-7-1 ATS. As well as all this Super Bowl history with these awesome stats: Super Bowl favorites of 5 or fewer points in ‘double rest’ affairs – a week of rest before their first playoff game and a week of rest before the big game – are 5-12 SU and 4-14 ATS (San Francisco), No. 1 seeds in the Super Bowl are 15-19 SU and 12-20-2 ATS since 1990, including 7-11 SU and 4-12-2 ATS versus non-No.1 seeds. (San Francisco), Teams who fail to score 20 points in the Super Bowl are 2-25 SU and 4-22-1 ATS since 1980. Teams that score 27 or more points in the Super Bowl are 31-5 SU and 28-7-1 ATS since 1980, and the SU winner of the Super Bowl game is 48-7-2 ATS. Pick the winner of the game, and you’ll likely have a winning ticket. We're on the Chiefs. |
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02-11-24 | Canucks -150 v. Capitals | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Canucks are having a great season and I see them taking over this one from the first period. The Canucks, who average 3.71 goals per game, should create plenty of scoring chances against the Capitals, who allow 3.08 goals per game, with J.T. Miller, Elias Pettersson, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with quick passes. The Canucks should limit the Capitals' offense, which averages only 2.37 goals per game, with Filip Hronek, Quinn Hughes, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Thatcher Demko to make plenty of big saves. The Canucks should win the game in a much-needed rebound performance on the road. |
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02-10-24 | Oilers -110 v. Kings | 0-4 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It would be easy to take Los Angeles, especially considering that Edmonton will be playing on back-to-back nights. However, Pickard has been extremely impressive of late, while the Kings have struggled to shut down opponents. That is not the kind of combination a team needs when they are struggling offensively, and the Oilers should be able to come away with four or five goals in this game. Edmonton has beaten Los Angeles four straight times and has been the victors in seven of the last nine. That includes winning the last three games in Los Angeles and they are 4-0-1 in the last five meetings there. The Oilers are not intimidated by the Kings in Los Angeles and will earn the victory here as well. |
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02-10-24 | Louisiana Tech +2.5 v. Liberty | 62-65 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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02-10-24 | Cavs -8 v. Raptors | 119-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cleveland has won eight straight and most of those games were played without their second and third leading scorers Darius Garland and Evan Mobley, who are both back and healthy. Cleveland's defense is second best in points allowed at 109.3 and 4th best in field goal shooting percentage allowed at 45.4. Toronto is 19th in points allowed, 23rd in field goal shooting percentage allowed and 22nd in 3-point shooting percentage allowed. Toronto has several new faces in the lineup from trades and that will take time for the players to mesh as a unit giving Cleveland an additional advantage on Saturday. Cleveland's back court of Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland are scoring a combined average of 47.1 points per game and handing out a combined total of 12 assists per contest. On defense, the two are combining to average 3.3 steals per game. |
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02-10-24 | 76ers v. Wizards +4.5 | 119-113 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The 76ers are juggling new pieces into their rotation after making several deals at the trade deadline. Coupling that with the slew of injuries that the team has and things are a little murkier for Philadelphia. The hope at the moment is that Embiid will return for a playoff run but even that is cloudy at this point. |
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02-10-24 | Penguins v. Jets -140 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pittsburgh Penguins are not a reliable squad to back when on the road. They have lost three consecutive road games entering Friday night. The Winnipeg Jets are a solid 16-7-2 on home ice. I expect the Jets to be a desperate team after losing five games in a row. The Penguins have not been scoring many goals recently. They have registered three or fewer goals in nine of their last ten games. They only have four wins in that span entering Friday. The Jets are the superior defensive team, and Connor Hellebuyck has been incredible. The Jets are conceding the fewest goals per game in the NHL. |
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02-10-24 | Michigan v. Nebraska -9 | 59-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With this game in Lincoln, the Wolverines should get back to their losing ways. They're allowing more than 80 points per game as the visiting team, which does not bode well for this game. Nebraska puts up more than 80 points per contest at home. On the other end, Michigan's turnover issues will cost them precious points. Nebraska doesn't send foes to the free throw line often either, which will hurt the Wolverines. Expect the Cornhuskers to get back on track with a blowout win. |
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02-10-24 | Spurs v. Nets -5.5 | 103-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Brooklyn dealt away several pieces ahead of the trade deadline but they are still hanging around the fringes of the play-in tournament field in the Eastern Conference standings. The Nets hope that they can find a way to make up ground but it could be tough sledding. Fortunately, they get a soft team here in the Spurs, who have dropped six straight contests and who are just 5-21 on the road this season. San Antonio has struggled defensively, even with the addition of Wembanyama to their rotation. This is the kind of game that the Nets need to win if they have any hopes of making a push for the postseason. Look for Brooklyn to claw out a victory in this one to get back in the win column. |
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02-10-24 | NC State v. Wake Forest -7.5 | 79-83 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Wake is led in scoring by 6'5 junior guard Hunter Sallis with 17.9 PPG, which is tied for 4th in the ACC. He is a 6'5 junior guard with NBA potential, he is projected to be a second-round pick according to NBADraft.net. Sallis is the top shooter on the team with 48 made threes on 39.0% shooting from deep. Kevin Miller is their playmaking point guard, he is a 6'0 sophomore point guard averaging 16.5 PPG and a team-high 3.8 APG. Miller had a 21-point game in the win over Syracuse. Cameron Hildreth is a 6'4 junior guard with a strong floor game, he averages 14.5 PPG, 4.8 RPG and 2.7 APG. Hildreth had a double-double against Syracuse with 13 points and 12 rebounds. Andrew Carr is their big man inside, he is a 6'10, 220-pound senior center averaging 14.1 PPG and 6.9 RPG. |
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02-10-24 | Detroit v. Northern Kentucky -13.5 | 67-79 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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02-10-24 | Capitals v. Bruins -1.5 | 3-0 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bruins square off against the Caps for the first time this season on Saturday. The timing of the meeting couldn't be any better for the Bs. The Caps come into this game with six straight losses and struggling to put the puck in the net. On the season, the Caps are just 30th in the NHL in shots on net. That is not a good recipe against a Bruins team that is second in the league in save percentage. They will square off against goalie Jeremy Swayman, who earned his first-ever All-Star berth after a strong first half of play. The Bruins have scored 13 goals in their last three wins and should have ample opportunity against a Capitals team that is just 22nd in save percentage this season. |
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02-10-24 | Illinois v. Michigan State -160 | 80-88 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units We’re looking at a clash of styles here as Illinois is a high-octane offensive unit that is capable of piling up points against a Michigan State team that grinds out every possession. The Spartans are at home here, where they have gone 12-2 on the year though they did open the season with an overtime loss to James Madison. Illinois has been only 3-3 on the road this season with losses to Tennessee and Purdue along with an OT loss to Northwestern. |
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02-09-24 | Pelicans v. Lakers UNDER 233.5 | 122-139 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Lakers don’t lean on 3-point shooting (35.1, 28th in 3-point rate), but they love to pick up the pace (101.0 possessions per 48 minutes, 6th). On the other side, the Pelicans are 25th in the league in 3-point rate (36.5) and 17th in pace (98.7). The total has gone under in four of the Pelicans’ last five outings, and I would ride this betting trend. As mentioned, the Pels have done a great defensive job lately, and I expect to see more of the same when they take on the Lakers. Six of the previous ten encounters between the Pels and Lakers have gone under. |
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02-09-24 | Hawks v. 76ers +3 | Top | 127-121 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
NBA Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units The primary difference between these two squads has been their performance in conference play this season where Philly stands 19-11 SU and 18-10 ATS overall, while the southbound and down birds are 13-20 SU and 7-26 ATS (more below). The 76ers were 5-0 SUATS in this series until Atlanta pulled the rug out on them in a 139-132 loss a month ago. Inside this series, Philadelphia is 4-0 SUATS with same-season revenge from a loss of 4 or more points. With the Hawks arriving off a get even rematch at Boston and a puny 3-15 ATS in Celtics follow ups versus avenging opposition. Finally, Atlanta is 0-8 ATS this season versus .400 or greater foes with same-season revenge |
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02-09-24 | Dayton -105 v. VCU | 47-49 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Rams are 0-3 SUATS versus .800 or greater conference foes seeking LTKO (League Tournament Knockout) revenge. Dayton also knows how to cash tickets away from UD Arena, going 7-2-1 ATS in road and neutral site games this season. VCU’s rookie head coach Ryan Odom was not along for the ride in last year’s A-10 title game and is the first “outsider” to take over the tradition-rich program in over a decade. Expect him to get a sour taste of meaningful LTKO revenge tonight. |
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02-08-24 | Iowa -115 v. Penn State | 79-89 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams are tied in the lower half of the Big ten standings at press time, but the Hawkeyes sport the superior record, and after dropping their last meeting with Penn State, 83-79, they will also be out for revenge. As for the 10-11 Lions, they quickly lost their roar after a 4-0 start to the season, going just 5-11 in their next 16 contests (check Saturday result at Indiana). Making matters worse, they are an awful 1-5 SUATS versus avenging opponents this campaign while Iowa stands 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in this series in revenge-seeking mode, including 5-0 SU ATS with a winning record. We like backing winning teams looking to exact revenge from losing opponents. |
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02-07-24 | Pistons v. Kings -12.5 | 133-120 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pistons have done a great job covering the spread lately, but I expect them to slow down at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento. The Kings’ offense will be too much for Detroit. Sacramento is third in the league in 3-pointers per 100 possessions (14.8) and seventh in effective field goal percentage (56.3%). Back on January 9, the Kings cruised past the Pistons 131-110, covering an 11-point spread on the road. Sacramento made 57.4% of its field goals, and Domantas Sabonis went off for 37 points, 13 assists, and ten rebounds. I expect more of the same when the Kings host the Pistons. |
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02-07-24 | Pelicans +7.5 v. Clippers | 117-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pelicans arrive at Los Angeles on a three-game winning streak and will provide a stern test for that Clippers defense while coming off a 138-100 home victory over the Toronto Raptors on Monday. It was New Orleans' fifth-highest scoring game of the season, just two weeks removed from a 153-point game against the Utah Jazz. Brandon Ingram scored a season-high 41 points to go along with nine assists for New Orleans on Monday, while CJ McCollum had 20 points. The Pelicans shot 51 percent from the floor. Ingram's dominant performance included 8-of-11 shooting from 3-point range and no turnovers in 30 minutes. Ingram made five of his 3-pointers during a short burst of the third quarter, when the team went 10 of 14 from distance. While Ingram has averaged 21.8 points in 46 games this season, Zion Williamson leads the team with an average of 22.1 points across 40 games. McCollum posts 19.2 points per contest and has played in 36 games. |
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02-07-24 | Georgia v. Mississippi State -7.5 | 62-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The 5-returning starter Bulldogs from Starkville will be out for revenge tonight knowing they are 3-0 SUATS at home with the revenge chip. They are also a long-term 139-49-9 ATS as conference favorites with revenge in games they win outright. On the flip side, Georgia is 87-189-4 ATS as a conference dog in games it loses straight-up against avenging foes. Throw in a nasty 11-27-1 ATS mark for the Dawgs in games before hooping it up with the Hogs of Arkansas and we see MSU taking UGA behind the woodshed here. |
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02-07-24 | Spurs +8.5 v. Heat | 104-116 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units What a difference a year makes. The new-look Spurs, led by 7’4” rookie phenom Victor Wembanyama, got out of the gates like a turtle stuck in molasses at 5-27 SU and 12-20 ATS in games before the New Year rolled in. They’ve picked up the pace since, though, riding a 5-11 SU and 10-5-1 ATS mark over their next sixteen games. They invade South Beach tonight, where Miami’s fall from grace has been dramatic as they’ve gone from Miami Nice to Miami Vice in the blink of an eye after encountering a 1-7 SU and 0-8 ATS slide in mid-January. The Heat checks in off a revenge contest here against Orlando last night, with another same-season revenge battle on tap with Boston. |
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02-07-24 | Hawks v. Celtics -11.5 | 117-125 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Atlanta Hawks are poor on the road. They only have 10 wins in 24 road games on the season. The Boston Celtics are incredible at home, going 23-3. The Hawks’ defense won’t hold up against this Celtics squad. The Hawks continue to give up a ton of points. They are conceding 120 points per 100 possessions compared to only 110 points per 100 by the Celtics. Also, Boston will shine in the offensive end. They are shooting 37.9% from beyond the arc and the Hawks are pegged 28th in the NBA in three-point defense. Defensively the Celtics remain difficult to solve, allowing an average of only 111 points in their last five games. |
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02-07-24 | Lightning +116 v. Rangers | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Tampa Bay's stretch of eight wins in its last nine games resembles what the Rangers achieved in the opening weeks of the season. The Lightning were 14-13-5 following a 4-2 loss at Calgary on Dec. 16. Since then, they are 13-5-0 in their past 18, including a 10-3-0 run since their 5-1 home loss to the Rangers on Dec. 30. Tampa Bay won five straight Jan. 9-20 and entered the break with three straight 6-3 victories. Tampa Bay also is on the verge of getting healthier as it attempts to stay hot. Defensemen Mikhail Sergachev and Erik Cernak are expected to return from injuries as the Lightning start a four-game road trip. |
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02-07-24 | Wisconsin -5 v. Michigan | 68-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Losing 80-72 to ANYONE would be a leap forward for the 7-14 Wolverines, who have dropped 9 of their last ten games, and gone 7-18 SU and 9-16 ATS overall since March of last year. In the process, they’ve turned up the heat on head coach Juwan Howard, who has nearly exhausted the good will he accrued over the years by being a member of Michigan’s iconic Fab Five team. The Wolverines were winners in the last meeting with the Badgers, 87-79, but Wisconsin boasts a solid 13-4-1 ATS record when seeking revenge against Michigan. Bucky took a 4-0-1 ATS mark this season as a revenge-seeker into Sunday’s hoster against the Boilermakers but regardless of that outcome, we’ll look for the woes of the Wolves to continue tonight. |
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02-06-24 | Texas Tech +6 v. Baylor | 73-79 | Push | 0 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Grant McCasland has set Lubbock on fi re with a 16-4 start, including a current run of 10-2. As a result, the No. 15 Red Raiders sit just a half-game back of the top spot in the Big 12. TTRR will be looking to get even tonight with a Baylor squad that annihilated them in their last meeting, 89-62, on February 4 of last year. McCasland’s crew stands 18-10 ATS when seeking revenge in this series and they catch the No. 18 Bears in a bad before-and-after situation: Baylor is off a triple revenger against Iowa State (1-5 ATS post Cyclones) with Kansas revenge on deck (3-7 ATS before Rock Chalk). This is where upsets occur, so grab the points in this classic revenge sandwich. |
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02-06-24 | Dayton v. St. Joe's +2 | Top | 94-79 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units while the Hawks may not be the powerful basketball presence of years gone by (last winning season was in 2015-16), they are 10-5 ATS at home in this series, including 7-2 ATS when seeking revenge. Head coach Billy Lange chips in with a 9-4 ATS record with the Hawks versus .800 or greater foes, including 4-1 ATS with the revenge chip. The fact of the matter is the Flyers have bigger fish to fry on Friday when they visit VCU with LTKO revenge on the their minds, and Dayton is a feeble 2-6 SUATS in its last eight A-10 contests against avenging conference foes. The bottom line is St. Joe’s has won 10 of its 12 games SU at Hagan Arena this season. Finally St. Joseph’s is 9-1 ATS in this series when seeking revenge, including 6-0 ATS at home. |