Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs +2.5 | Top | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 98 h 3 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs. Game 102. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. Hello friends, in all sincerity, I feel both of these teams deserve to be playing in the Super Bowl. As a matter fact, I predicted in the preseason, that these two teams would be playing for this season’s Lombardi Trophy (notice they named it after an Italian lol). Having said that, with all respect to the San Francisco 49ers and Brock Purdy, they just have proven that they could win at this level. I know Purdy was not there a few years back when the 49ers made it to the Super Bowl. But I still feel that they are a little bit short of what they need to do to win the Super Bowl. Whether you like it or not, Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs are the new Tom Brady and the Patriots. Not only have they gotten here quite a few times over the last several seasons, but they have prevailed on this platform. I have said it before and I will say it again, whatever you did prior to the Super Bowl does not matter. It is a moot point. Patrick Mahomes is a money player. He comes up big in big game situations. If you are worried about the hype about this team not being what they were, or that their defense can't stop the rush, just look at the Conference title game against a Ravens opponent, which happened to be the NFL’s top-rushing offense. They possess a defensive unit that has not allowed a single opponent to put up better than 27 points this season. My friends, after the Conference Title win, Patrick Mahomes was interviewed, and made it a point to say that the team was cognizant of being an underdog there. HMMM. How would you feel if you were the heavyweight champion of the world, and yet you faced the new kid on the block and were an underdog? Trust me when I tell you, Mahomes and the Chief will take care of business here and probably win this game outright. But I will take the points to err on the side of caution. Kansas City is the play plus the points. Thank you. Props As far as props go, we are all well-aware that not just in the Super Bowl (which was usually the only major prop contest of the year), PROPS have really exploded over recent years. Every single game in every sport, every day you'll find a list of prop bets available to you longer than your arm. Listen folks, when it comes to props, if it doesn't give you value, step away. If you just want to bet some props for poops and giggles, then bet 20 props for 10 bucks a game, and have all the poops and giggles you can possibly handle. However, if you're serious about making money, be disciplined. Let me tell you what I mean by that: There is a prop out there about Patrick Mahomes throwing a touchdown; Will Mahomes throw a TD? Do I think he's gonna’ throw a TD? I think he's gonna’ throw several TD’s. But the odds on him to throw a TD, ranges from -450 to -500. There is no value in it my friends. There is no value at all. Listen, God forbid on the first series of the game he gets hurt and he is sidelined, then you are screwed. And to be honest with you, unless you're betting hundreds of thousands of dollars, there's no significant profit in it anyway. Let it go. Below are some props that I really feel strongly about. They are all props that I feel give us value. PROPS These are the props I feel are most “valuable” and the ones with a star are stronger, two stars are really strong as far as “value” goes. Will the game be tied after 0-0? YES +145 * Shortest FG of game 27.5 yards. UNDER -110 * Will there be a ST or Defensive TD? Yes +250 * Longest rush by Purdy 6.5 yards. OVER Even Money Total TD passes by Purdy 1.5. OVER -110 Total receiving yards by Kittle 49.5. OVER -110 * Will Kittle score a TD? Yes +170 Total TD passes by Mahomes 2. OVER +170 Will Pacheco score a TD? Yes +120 10)Total receiving yards by Kelce 72.5. OVER -110 * 11)Longest reception by Kelce 21.5 yards. OVER Even Money 12)Total receptions by Kelce 6.5. OVER -110 ** 13) Will Kelce score a TD? YES +105 ** |
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01-28-24 | Lions v. 49ers -7 | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 32 m | Show | |
San Francisco 49ers. NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME WINNER. Game 322. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. My friends, I'm gonna’ keep this analysis a lot like me, very short and extremely sweet (LOL). I will admit that I drank the blue Kool-Aid several times this season winning a few and dropping a few with the Lions. This is a very good team. Don't get me wrong. They are certainly deserving of their postseason spot. But could we possibly be jumping the gun here and maybe more wanting them to wins than thinking they're going to win? Let's start with the elephant in the room. As of posting this play, the status of Deebo Samuel is uncertain. However, please remember that that situation is already included in the current number. In my opinion, if he plays this number should be closer to -9 or -10. And that's only so they don't get overwhelmed with underdog bets. If he plays, great. If he does not, it will not significantly affect the offense. This squad is loaded with playmakers. They've got an arsenal of receivers, one of the best tight ends in the game, and let's not forget in the backfield, one of the most valuable players to their team playing today. I feel Brock Purdy and the fourth-ranked passing offense of San Francisco will totally pick apart the 27th ranked pass defense of Detroit. Let's be honest guys, just about every opponent the Lions have faced since early-November, has put a lot of points up on them. While they own solid, stop-unit against the rush, they haven't faced too many offenses that is as loaded at every key position as they're going to face here this weekend. A big part of their success offensively, is there ground game. Once again, they're lining up against the second-ranked run defense in the league. As far as the passing game goes, there is no question. Jared Goff has put up some very impressive numbers. However, look at their schedule and you will see that when the quarterback has faced defenses that are strong in the middle of the field with good linebacking corps, he has put up his five worst performances this season. I'm happy for the Detroit fans. They certainly deserve some excitement. But maybe they're a little overexcited and come in here overconfident. One more item my friends, big games usually come down to big plays by quarterbacks and mistakes. Brock Purdy makes very few mistakes. As a matter fact, the offense has done very well not turning the ball over too often. The same can't be said for Detroit. They have committed 23 turnovers on offense this season. That does not bode well when you're going up against the team that's already snagged 27 takeaways. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
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01-28-24 | Chiefs +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 142 h 29 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs. AFC Championship Game Winner. Game 319. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. There is no question these are the two best teams in the AFC. However, you cannot ignore the success of Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in the postseason. As far as Lamar Jackson and the Ravens are concerned, they are certainly a great squad. But let's be honest, when it comes down to the playoffs, Jackson and the team overall, falls a bit short. Trust me when I tell you, Kansas City did what they needed to do on the road in Buffalo last Sunday. Although Baltimore did the same at home against Houston, there is a big difference in the level of opponent from last week to this week for them. The Chiefs are clicking at the right time. They overcame injury issues mid-season. But finished strong, and won and covered both postseason contests. The Ravens have been solid all season long. But at times their defense has shown cracks. I know this somewhat contradicts their top-ranked scoring defense. But hear me out. At times, they showed vulnerability. You cannot say the same for the Kansas City stop-unit. Yes, I am aware that Baltimore's "D" allows just 16.5 points per game, while the KC "D" allows 17.3 points per game. But Kansas City has not allowed a single opponent this season to reach 30 points in scoring (27). Offensively, the Ravens put up more points statistically. They top the league on the ground. But leave a lot to be desired in the air. This is going to be an issue because they are facing one of the toughest pass defenses in football. Kansas City will completely shut down the passing game of Baltimore and allow their defense to key on the running game. The Chiefs have proven they could win a tough game on the road against a solid opponent in the playoffs. They showed us this last week. I also think they are better coached, more disciplined, and a lot more experienced in the postseason. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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01-21-24 | Chiefs +3 v. Bills | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 79 h 49 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs. AFC JANUARY GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 317. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. Two of the most acclaimed quarterbacks in the NFL are going to be meeting one another for the seventh time. Kansas City and Buffalo have each won three of the previous matchups. However, Patrick Mahomes has bested Josh Allen when it counts, taking both playoff meetings. I don't want to upset any Bill fans. But I've been doing this for a long time, and I want you to know there are fun players, and there are money players. Josh Allen is the first. He puts up amazing numbers every year. But when it comes down to games he must win, let's be honest, the mistakes pile up and the Bills lose. On the other hand, Patrick Mahomes is a money player. He wins when games are on the line. He wins when crunch time is upon him. And he wins in the postseason. No matter what you do during the regular season, when it comes to the playoffs, it is a whole different monster. I hear people talking about the weather up in Buffalo. But Kansas City is no stranger to cold weather. I know the Bills closed out the regular season one of the hottest teams in the league. And that did include a three-point outright win on the road at Arrowhead in early-December. But giving Mahomes and the experienced, Kansas City Chiefs points in January is a big mistake. Not only will Mahomes be a major difference in this contest. But the consistently solid defense of the Chiefs will be a major factor as well. This is a squad that has yielded a mere, 17.3 points per game, and ranks fourth against the pass. They are going to get a lot of pressure on Allen and force him to make mistakes. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs +3 | 9-32 | Win | 100 | 56 h 17 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers. WC CONSENSUS GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 152. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. You would think that this time of year in the playoffs Philadelphia would be the play. I'm here to tell you they are a go against. This is not the same Eagles team we have come to watch over the last several seasons. Let's face it, they backed into the postseason, losing five of their last six straight up, and failing to cover seven straight and eight of their last 10. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have been a surprise, earning a postseason spot, winning five of their last six SU, and covering seven of their last 10 ATS. Momentum plays a big part come the postseason, my friends. And to be honest with you, Tampa Bay wasn't expected to be here. And a team with nothing to lose is very dangerous. The Philadelphia defense has gotten shredded for over 25.2 points per game this season, ranking 30th in points allowed. While their offense still has a lot of weapons, they also make a lot of mistakes, turning the ball over 28 times this season. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay has a solid run defense, ranking fifth in the league, which can and will neutralize the rushing attack of Philadelphia here. They will cause a lot of three-and-outs thus putting the Eagles “D” on the field a little more than they would like to be. I believe 4000-yard passer, Baker Mayfield (check status) will have a very good day here lining up against the 31st ranked pass defense of Philly. I expect him to play, folks. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you. |
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01-14-24 | Packers v. Cowboys -7 | 48-32 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 37 m | Show | |
Dallas Cowboys. Sunday WILD CARD BEST BET. Game 148. 1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST. I am aware the Packers have won covered the last four meetings with the Cowboys, going back to 2017. I am also aware they have won three in a row straight up, covering their last two, coming into the playoffs. But if there is any team in the NFL that has a significant home-field advantage, it is Dallas. They are on a 16-game win streak at AT&T Stadium. They are a perfect, 8-0 on their own field this season. They also know they can't let their guard down here in this round. You know this stadium is going to be loud and crazy as the loyal fans of the Cowboys are going to watch their first home playoff game since 2018. Please remember that although Green Bay is a good team. They haven't been consistently good this season. They are also at a big disadvantage as the Dallas Cowboys head coach knows the Green Bay Packers team inside and out. On both sides of the ball, the home team here is one of the most complete in all of the NFL. I see their rushing attack moving the chains and allowing Dak Prescott to open up the passing attack. I don't see the Cowboys letting their foot off the gas here. They will leave no doubt. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins v. Chiefs -4.5 | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 25 h 25 m | Show | |
Kansas City Chiefs. Saturday Wild Card Best Bet. Game 144. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. When this line first came out, I will admit I leaned towards the ‘dog. However, looking at the injury report and recent performances has compelled me to take the favorite here. The story of the Dolphins this season was a very good story. However, they have dropped three of their last five games, both straight up and against the spread, including their last two coming into the postseason. Momentum means a lot this time of year, my friends. Their once once powerful offense has tallied a total of 33 points the last two outings, while their defense has gotten flattened for 77 points. Something you may find very strange is this team has only averaged a mere 19 points per game against the six fellow playoff teams they faced this season. By the way, they lost five of those games. What does that tell you? It tells you this team can put up some numbers, but when they have to step up in class, they fall short. Kansas City was struggling for sure. But they still made it to 11 wins this season. Their offense started to step up a bit. And it's hard to go against Patrick Mahomes at home in the month of January. But I believe it will be their defense that will shine in this matchup. You may not realize this, but this defense ranks second in the league in point scored, allowing only 17.3 points per game. I know the Miami offense tops the NFL in passing yards per game. However, they are going up against one of the best pass defenses in football. Oh, by the way, as I mentioned earlier, the Dolphins are going to be without quite a few starters on the defensive side of the ball. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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01-07-24 | Vikings v. Lions -3.5 | Top | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show |
Detroit Lions. NFC North Game of the Month. Game 478. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Detroit currently has the No. 3 seed in the NFC playoff picture. But does have an opportunity to step up to the No. 2 seed with a win here and some help. The Vikings playoffs chances are basically hanging on by a thread. Now normally I would be a little apprehensive about a game like this. But Detroit head coach, Dan Campbell announced he will be playing quarterback, Jared Goff, and his starters in this contest. For how long, who knows. But they want this win. They lost a heartbreaker last week on the road to Dallas by one-point. That ended a two game straight up win streak. But did extend their ATS cover streak to three consecutive games. They don't want to go into the postseason on a two-game slide. They need a big ego boost here. And what better team to face than their hated division rival, which happens to be on a three-game slide straight up themselves. As a matter fact, they've lost five of their last six straight up. failing to cover five straight. One thing for sure, with the announcement that Nick Mullins will start at quarterback for the Vikings, you can expect the Lions to throw a lot of different schemes at him with their very talented defense. On the flipside of the ball, Goff is going to have his best performance of the regular season because most of Minnesota secondary is either banged-up or out here. FYI, Detroit has taken three of the last four meetings in this series straight up and six in a row against the number. Take the Lions. Thank you. |
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01-07-24 | Bucs -4 v. Panthers | Top | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers. NFC South Game of the Month. Game 479. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Tampa Bay controls their destiny here folks. In other words, they win and they are in the playoffs. Let's throw away the fact the Buccaneers are 7-1 ATS as a visitor this season. Let's throw away the fact Carolina has been eliminated from any postseason chances quite a while back. Throw away the fact that this home team is just 2-14, which is the worst record in the NFL this season. And throw away the fact that Carolina is also just 1-4 SU against division opponents this season. The Buccaneers are a smart, well-coached, disciplined squad, certainly outclassing their opponent in this matchup. They were riding a four-game straight up win streak prior to last weeks, 23-13 loss on the road at the Saints. But did extend their ATS cover streak to three in a row. They have dominated this division rivalry, taking eight of the last 10 meetings, straight up, and covering seven of those 10 matchups. The Panthers aren't going to jeopardize any of their significant starters here. And let's face it, even if they were going to play all out, they just don't have the personnel to contend here. If they did, they wouldn't have finished this season with the worst record in football. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you. |
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12-31-23 | Rams -5.5 v. Giants | Top | 26-25 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 11 m | Show |
Play LA. Los Angeles needs victories right now. And let's be honest, this is a team that has turned it up when they needed to, winning five of their last six straight up, and five straight against the spread. Word has come down that New York is basically throwing in the towel here, as many of their starters are going to be sidelined in place of backups. The Rams need the game, while the Giants have already made January vacation reservations. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys -4.5 | Top | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 31 m | Show |
Play Dallas. Having suffered back-to-back losses for the first time this season, the Dallas Cowboys return home and get back on track. They are a perfect 7–0 at AT&T Stadium this season, covering six of those games. As far as Detroit goes, I think they're a very good team. However, every time they need to step up in class, they truly let us down. I'm not saying they are posers. I'm just saying they can't win in crunch time. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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12-24-23 | Colts +2.5 v. Falcons | 10-29 | Loss | -100 | 41 h 47 m | Show | |
Indianapolis Colts. Game 457. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Guys, I understand that Atlanta is playing at home. But I still think the wrong team is favored here. The Falcons have dropped five of their last seven, both straight up and against the spread, including the last two games coming into this matchup. Meanwhile the Colts have been much more consistent, winning and covering five of their last six games coming into this contest. Taylor Heinicke has been named starter here. I could just leave the analysis at that and I think we'd all know what we should do (LOL). But I'm not crazy about this kid. I don't like the way he calls a game, and I don't think he's a leader. At least not yet. I see the 1-2 punch of Minshew and Moss moving the chains offensively for Indianapolis and wearing down an already-fatigued Atlanta defense. Take the Colts. Thank you. |
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12-21-23 | Saints v. Rams -3.5 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Rams. Game 452. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Despite both the Saints and the Rams possessing identical, 7-7 records, Los Angeles is in the seventh seed while New Orleans is in the ninth seed in the NFC. The Saints come off back-to-back wins and covers against the Panthers and the Giants. However, facing Bryce Young and Tommy DeVito are far cry from facing Matthew Stafford. Neither Carolina’s, Chuba Hubbard, or New York's, Saquon Barkley could do anything on the ground either. It's not because the New Orleans run defense is so good. It was because those running offenses are so bad. Tonight, they must face a very solid ground attack of Kyren Williams. Prior to their last two games, the Saints defense got thrashed for 27, 24, and 33 points against the likes of the Vikings, the Falcons, and the Lions. I expect them to get thrashed again this evening, facing the leagues ninth ranked-scoring offense. Speaking of Los Angeles, they enter this matchup winning four of their last five straight up, and their last four consecutive against the spread. This team is rolling. And they are rolling at the right time. They need victories to better their situation for a postseason opportunity. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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12-17-23 | Commanders v. Rams -6.5 | Top | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 44 h 56 m | Show |
Los Angeles Rams. Game 324. 1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST. Following their three-game straight up win streak, Los Angeles lost a heartbreaker last week on the road at Baltimore, however, extending their ATS cover run to three consecutive outings. The Rams sit at 6-7 and need wins right now. After this week’s matchup with the Commanders, they have a home game against the Saints, before finishing up the regular season on the road at the Giants, and then the 49ers. This is a team that certainly controls its own destiny. As far as Washington goes, they have now dropped four in a row straight up, and three straight against the spread. Possessing the NFL's worst defense in total yards, passing yards, and points allowed, it is evident that this game will be a nightmare. During their four-game slide, the commanders have allowed 29, 31, 45, and 45 points. Look for Matthew Stafford, who has accounted for 10 TD’s and just one INT over the last three games, to light up the leagues poorest secondary, while Kyren Williams keeps the Washington defense honest on the ground. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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12-17-23 | Jets v. Dolphins -8.5 | 0-30 | Win | 100 | 41 h 56 m | Show | |
Miami Dolphins. Game 320. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. If you looked at this game and did your due diligence, you will see the Dolphins are the play. Money came in on the Jets early then bounced back on the ‘Fins. In your research, you had to have checked the remaining regular season games for Miami. Following this contest, they have Dallas at home, Baltimore on the road, finishing the regular campaign up with Buffalo at home. That is a tough slate to end the season. This is a must win for the team and sincerely, the only real pushover for the Dolphins. The Jets have only won one game since November began and only covered one outing since mid-October. They won last week and got their “face-saving” victory behind them. Now New York comes back down to Earth. No way their laughable offense, which has posted 13 or less points in five of their last six outings, can match up with the angry, redemption-seeking, second-ranked scoring offense of Miami here. This game gets ugly. Take the Dolphins. Thank you. |
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12-17-23 | Falcons -2.5 v. Panthers | Top | 7-9 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 2 m | Show |
Atlanta Falcons. Game 307. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The NFC South has three teams tied at 6-7 and one team bringing up the rear, at 1-12. With last week’s loss at home against Tampa Bay, Atlanta dropped from the number four seed in the NFC, all the way down to the number 10 seed. The Falcons need every victory they can get right now. And what better team to face than the Panthers. Carolina is only one of two teams in the NFL eliminated from any chance at postseason play. possess the worst record in all the football at 1-12. And as far as sportsbetting is concerned, they've only covered two games in 2023. Atlanta comes into this matchup a little angry and looking for a vengeance after letting their two-game win and cover streak come to an end a week ago. Surely, they are very confident here, knowing they took down Carolina back in early September, 24-10. I just don't see the Panthers, which rank 30th in the league in scoring, and during their current six-game slide has averaged a dismal, 11.6 points per game, keeping pace on the scoreboard here. It's just might be Atlanta’s biggest offensive output this season. Take the Falcons. Thank you. |
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12-16-23 | Broncos +5 v. Lions | 17-42 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 15 m | Show | |
Denver Broncos. Game 311. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. My numbers have the line here closer to 1.0 or maybe 1.5. Detroit, which was one of the most exciting stories this season, has dropped two of their last three straight up, and three of the last four against the spread (which includes their last two games played at home). I will admit that I drank the blue Kool-Aid for a while. But it seems every time the Lions are asked to step up or play big, they fall short. Denver is one of the hottest teams in the NFL, winning six of their last seven straight up, and covering five of those seven outings against the spread. Since mid-October, their stop-unit has been one of the toughest in football. Coincidentally, when their defense stepped up, so did their offense. Looking at the history between these two squads, the Broncos have dominated, winning and covering the last three meetings going back eight seasons. With each of these teams completing the regular season on January 7, after this week, the Broncos certainly have a smoother ride, playing at home against the Patriots and Chargers before going on the road to face the Raiders. However, the Lions path is a lot tougher. After this week, they play visitor to both the Vikings and the Cowboys, before finishing the regular season at home once again against their division rival, Minnesota. The statistics are obvious. Detroit should have success on the ground against the NFL’s poorest run defense. However, that is a ranking that comes from the regular season, overall. And to say the Broncos "D" has significantly improved, would be an understatement. Look for quarterback, Russell Wilson to put up some of his best numbers so far in 2023. Take Denver. Thank you. |
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12-10-23 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 13-33 | Loss | -115 | 133 h 49 m | Show |
Philadelphia Eagles. Game 127. 5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST. My friends, there is no question that these are two of the best teams in football. They just happen to both be NFC representatives. And also, both share the NFC East division. This game has serious implications down the road, for sure. The Philadelphia Eagles own an NFL-best, 10-2 record. The Dallas Cowboys are at 9-3. There are only two other teams in the NFC at 9-3, the Detroit Lions and the San Francisco 49ers. As far as us sports bettors go, Philadelphia is 6-3-3 ATS this season, while Dallas is 8-4 overall against the number on the campaign. The Eagles are money on the road, going 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS as a visitor in 2023. But it's hard to ignore the fact the Cowboys are a perfect 6-0 straight up at AT&T Stadium this season, covering five of their six games played as host. But even more than that, Dallas is riding a 14-game straight up home winning streak, which happens to be the second-longest in franchise history. Philly took a November 5 meeting at home over Dallas, 28-23 to give the team two wins and covers over the last three meetings with their division rival. The Eagles, who got caught, looking in a mid-October contest on the road at the New York Jets, just suffered their most embarrassing defeat in quite a while, losing 42-19 to the 49ers on national TV. This isn't a team that takes losing lightly, sports fans. I expect them to bounce back here and make a statement against a team they know very well. Not only that, this victory would certainly give them control over the Division. Remember, this is a team chock full of talent on both sides of the ball. Put a pin in that we're gonna’ come back around to it in a moment. They have manhandled just about every opponent they have faced this season, including some of the NFL elite (Miami, Dallas, Kansas City, and Buffalo). As far as Dallas goes, they have been one of the most exciting teams in the 2023 regular season. They're currently riding a four-game SU hot streak, covering three of the four. However, I've got to tell you, a lot of their wins have been against subpar opponents. Looking at their schedule thus far, they beat all the teams they should've beaten. But a late-September road loss at the hands of Arizona, throws up a red flag to me. And they did get embarrassed a few weeks later on the road at San Francisco. Other than the 49ers and the Eagles (games they both lost), they haven't faced too many of the Leagues powerhouse opponents. During their current hot run, they took down the New York Giants, the Carolina Panthers, and the Washington Commanders (a combined record of 9-28) before last week’s, 41-35 squeaker over the Seattle Seahawks. As far as injuries, both teams are relatively healthy at major positions as of this post. Both quarterbacks are seasoned, both possessing the luxury of an arsenal of receivers, and both running backs are outstanding. Statistically, the Cowboys own better numbers, both offensively and defensively. And on paper, they look like the better team. However, I think we can all agree that football is not played on paper. It is played on the gridiron. The Cowboys have an explosive passing attack and can exploit the sometimes, leaky Eagles secondary. However, Dallas’ offensive success relies upon their ability to run the ball to open up the passing game. And they're going to have a lot of problems here, moving the chains on the ground against the NFL’s stout, fourth-ranked rush defense. And at times on defense, the Cowboys stop-unit struggles come the second half against solid ground attacks. And the Eagles certainly have a solid ground attack. They rank eighth in the League, averaging over 126.0 yards per game on the ground. A combination of the Cowboys not facing a high-level of opponents this season along with the Eagles needing to bounce back and make a statement after last week’s loss, and throw in the fact, I just don't like Dak Prescott in big game situations, compels me to take the points here. Jalen Hurts has proven he can succeed in must-win games, while Prescott has not. Speaking of the points, the +3.5 is huge here. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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12-10-23 | Lions -3 v. Bears | 13-28 | Loss | -120 | 47 h 26 m | Show | |
Detroit Lions. Game 109. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Detroit is tied for the second-best record in the NFC at 9-3. They have won five of six road games this season straight up, and are 6-2 SU in conference play. As far as the NFC North goes, they are 2-1 SU against Division opponents this season. As far as covering on the road, they have gotten sports bettors paid, going 5-1 ATS as a visitor in 2023. They have taken the last three meetings against Chicago SU, going 2-1 ATS. I am well aware the Bears are rested, coming off a bye week. But I think we can all agree they really aren't too much of a team. With all respect to Chicago fans, this team is downright atrocious. And my friends, they've only covered one game at Soldier Field this season. Things have changed for sure for them as they have no more home field advantage. Granted, they do lead the NFL against the rush, defensively. Looking at their schedule, you will see the defensive numbers are skewed, having not lined up against too many solid running attacks. Detroit ranks third in the NFL in rushing, averaging over 137.7 yards per game on the ground. The ground assault will keep the Bears defense honest, and open up their passing game, which ranks fourth in the football. That is the mismatch that really caught my eye here. Because Chicago is one of the worst defensive teams against the pass in the League, ranking 25th. They have given up a ton of yards in the air to every decent quarterback they have faced. I see the 1-2 punch of quarterback, Jared Goff, and running back, David Montgomery, putting up their best numbers of this regular season here. Take Detroit. Thank you. |
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12-03-23 | Lions -4 v. Saints | 33-28 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
Detroit Lions. Game 453. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The Detroit Lions have a nice cushion in the NFC North and are currently tied for the third seed in the NFC at 8-3. They come off a disappointing, Thanksgiving Day loss at home against the Green Bay Packers. The first time they dropped the game this season in mid-September, they followed it up with four consecutive wins and covers. They lost their next game in late-October, following that defeat up with three consecutive straight up wins, going 2-1 ATS. This is a team that bounces back very well. They are also 4-1, both straight up and against the spread as a visitor in 2023. Meanwhile, New Orleans is just 5-6 overall on the season, covering just two games on the campaign. At home, they split out at 2-2 straight up, failing to cover all four on their home field. They are riding a two-game straight up losing streak, failing to cover their last three outings. On both sides of the ball, the Lions outclass the Saints. They own a top-10 offense, averaging over 26.7 points per game. And what better team to face to change things around for their leaky defense. The Saints offense is mediocre at best. They are in for a very frustrating day here. Defensively, they can't stop the rush at all, which is not good in this matchup. I just look for the Lions, which are a well-coached, talented team to bounce back here and get back on track and start getting some victories to close out the season. Take Detroit. Thank you. |
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11-26-23 | Ravens -3 v. Chargers | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 31 h 20 m | Show | |
Baltimore Ravens. Game 271. 5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST. With the Miami Dolphins victory the other night, prior to this Sunday's contest, the Baltimore Ravens share the AFC’s top-spot with them at 8-3. They have an opportunity to take sole possession of the top-seed in the Conference with a victory here. They had a few extra days to rest, heal, and prepare for this meeting. After this game, they will be idle with a bye week prior to a December 10 home game against the Rams. This team is running hot, winning five of their last six games straight up, covering four of those six. Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Chargers dwell in the AFC West cellar, at 4-6, and own the Conferences 13th spot. They have lost and failed to cover their last two outings, while only covering one of five home games in the 2023 regular season. The Chargers offense certainly can be dangerous. However, running into the NFL's second-ranked defense is going to be a problem. That's right, the Ravens allow a mere, 16.1 points per game, ranking 30th against the pass and 13th against the run. But I think it will be on the other side of the line of scrimmage that will prove to be fatal for Los Angeles. They ranked 31st in total yards allowed, 32nd in passing yards allowed, and 25th in total points allowed defensively. Dual-threat quarterback, Lamar Jackson will light up the scoreboard, both on the ground, and in the air here. If you recall, he heads up the NFL’s top-ranked rushing offense, while sitting at fourth in the League in points scored, accounting for over 27.6 points per game. Justin Herbert was listed as questionable with a left finger injury. Guys, I expect him to play (check status). But the point is moot, as he must lineup against one of the toughest defenses in the NFL, particularly against the pass. Oh, by the way, the Baltimore stop-unit is by far and away the best in pro football at sacking the quarterback, leading all teams with 44.0 sacks. This game gets ugly. Take the Ravens. Thank you. |
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11-23-23 | 49ers -6.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 56 h 18 m | Show |
San Francisco 49ers. Game 109. 5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST. My friends, currently following the Monday Night contest, the Eagles possess the best record in the NFC, at 9-1, followed by the Detroit Lions at 8-2, then at 7-3, sits the Dallas Cowboys and the San Francisco 49ers. The 49ers started off the season winning their first five outings, covering four of the five. Then they suffered a three-game slide in which they were crushed by injuries. I don't think it's a coincidence that as they’ve gotten healthy, they've won their last two games. This is a team that I feel is one of the best in the National Football League. After this week, they take a little hiatus until a December 3 meeting on the road at the Philadelphia Eagle's. I don't see them overlooking the Seattle Seahawks or being in a lookahead spot at all. They must take this game very seriously. They have to. They have a few extra days off to rest, heal, and prepare for their biggest matchup of the season in their next game. I know the Seattle Seahawks are getting some money put on them here in Vegas (as of post). For the life of me, I don't see why. They were beaten in their last outing by the Los Angeles Rams, 17-16. They allowed Los Angeles to put up 10 unanswered points in the fourth quarter to lose the game very late. This isn't just a reflection of their roster and personnel, it is a reflection of the coaching staff as well. Please understand that the 49ers have won both of their divisional games this season. They took both NFC West games in 2023 thus far: on the road at the Rams in mid-September, then a few weeks later at the beginning of October at home against the Cardinals. As far as the Seahawks go, their quarterback, Geno Smith, banged up his elbow in Sunday's loss. As of Tuesday morning, posting this play, he is questionable. I feel he's going to play. Whether he does or it's back up, Drew Lock, I don't think it matters. They will be going to go up against the NFL's top-ranked scoring defense. San Francisco allows just 15.7 points per game and have already snagged 19 takeaways. That does not bode well for a Seattle offense that's already coughed up the ball 11 times. Let's face it, their offensive unit is mediocre at best. They are horrible at running the ball and middle of the pack at throwing the ball. But either way, they are overmatched with a fast, ferocious, and furious San Francisco stop-unit. On the defensive side, they are facing a top-10 offense, both on the ground and in the air. Let's face it, the 49ers offensive unit has gotten healthy and are truly dangerous. I feel this team should be a favorite of nearly double-digits. So, laying right now less than a touchdown is an early Christmas present. Oh, by the way, San Fran took all three meetings last season, both SU and ATS. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
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11-19-23 | Vikings +2.5 v. Broncos | Top | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 32 h 33 m | Show |
Minnesota Vikings. Game 473. 5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST. Guys, I've worked in every facet of this business. I spent several years working in line services. And even worked alongside the original Vegas odds makers. I'm pretty good at creating lines for games. And yet, for the life of me, I just don't see the line the odds makers put on this game. It looks like a trap to me. I have the Minnesota Vikings 1.0 to 1.5 points favorites here. This is currently the hottest team in the NFL, winning and covering five in a row and six of their last seven. As a matter fact, they have covered 5 straight road games. Is this all because Kirk cousins is out? My friends, he's been out for quite a while. Joshua Dobbs has done a very good job filling in at the helm. And their defense has certainly been much-improved. Maybe the odds makers made the line what it is because the Broncos are riding their own three-game win and cover streak. But let's face it, they beat a subpar Packers opponent, happen to catch the Chiefs at the right time, and come off a road win against the struggling Bills. Granted, two of those three teams are known as NFL elite. But I think they have just been very lucky. I feel Dobbs is going to have an enormous amount of success in the air here. I also feel they're going to establish the run against the NFL's worst rush defense. You know overall, the once-feared Denver “D” ranks dead last in points allowed this season, getting plowed for over 27.6 points per game. Meanwhile, offensively, I don't see them moving the chains as easily as they have against their last few opponents. Please remember that prior to the current win streak, the Broncos failed to cover their first five games of this season. The wrong team is favored. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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11-19-23 | Jets v. Bills -7 | Top | 6-32 | Win | 100 | 28 h 44 m | Show |
Buffalo Bills. Game 472. 1:25 PM, PST/4:25 PM EST. Where to begin...hmm. For starters, this is definitely a disappointing season for the Buffalo Bills. They sit in second place in the AFC East at 5-5. This was a team touted to definitely be in the AFC Title game. Having said that, they began the 2023/2024 campaign off with a big nationally television broadcast loss back on September 11 on the road at the New York Jets. This was a very well publicized game. If you recall, Aaron Rodgers went down in the first series for New York. Everybody gasped, everybody said that's it for the Jets, and everybody said the Buffalo Bills will crush them here tonight. Well, that didn't happen. Following that loss, the Bills then rattled off three consecutive wins and covers. But have since gone just 2-4 straight up and 0-6 ATS. They come off an embarrassing home defeat to the Denver Broncos. This is a team that does not take a losing lightly. This is a team that especially does not losing in front of their loyal fans. They must kickstart the season with the win here, or they are in dire straits. So, this brings me to my next point...revenge. They don't like losing period. They furthermore don't like losing to Conference opponents. And to go one further, they especially do not like losing to Division opponents. They've had this rematch circled since the opening season lost. The New York Jets are horrible. They lost their last two and failed to cover their last three. Their offense is nonexistent. To be quite honest, they haven't scored a touchdown in 36 straight drives as quarterback Zach Wilson has only thrown one touchdown in his last five games. Over the last two contests, they have zero touchdowns, while Wilson has been sacked 10 times. This does not bode well as they face a very angry Bills defense looking for a little redemption. You know overall the Buffalo's stop-unit still ranks fifth in points allowed, yielding just 18.4 PPG. Offensively, they still score quite a bit, ranking eighth and averaging over 26.2 points per game. If Buffalo is going to get their season back on track, they must start with a big revenge win here. Take the Bills. Thank you. |
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11-12-23 | Lions -3 v. Chargers | 41-38 | Push | 0 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Detroit Lions. Game 257. 1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST. There's still a lot of questions surrounding the Detroit Lions around the league in around the sports betting industry. People are deciding whether they are a contender or a pretender. In my opinion, they are a contender. They own the second-best record in the NFC at 6-2. Believe it or not, the same questions surround the Los Angeles Chargers. They certainly have a solid roster of talent. But each time they're asked to step up in class, they lose, and they fail to cover. Sure, they can beat teams like Minnesota, Las Vegas, Chicago, and New York. But this season, they took losses against Miami, Dallas, and Kansas City. Don't kid yourself, Detroit deserves to be put in the same class as those teams. They are equally good at home as they are on the road. They rank in the top-10 in every major offensive category. Their defense is only allowing 20.6 points per game. I feel the major mismatch between the leagues sixth-ranked passing attack going up against its 32nd ranked pass defense is going to be the factor here. Take the Lions. Thank you. |
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11-12-23 | Texans v. Bengals -6 | 30-27 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Cincinnati Bengals. Game 246. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The early season funk of the Cincinnati Bengals is now in the past. This is a team looking as strong as we expected them to be this season. I think we all know that a few injuries, especially to quarterback, Joe Burrow, not being 100% to kick off the campaign was the reason why they fell short of expectations early. However, over the last month, they have won and covered all four games against some formidable opponents; on the road in Arizona, at home against Seattle, on the road in San Francisco, and at home against Buffalo. Not only has their offense have gotten it done, but their defense has stepped up. While the Houston Texans certainly have talent, and in my opinion, the best young quarterback playing today, this team just falls short overall. They don't have a ground assault to complement the passing game. It hurts them offensively. On defense, while they have played well overall, they rank 24th against the pass, and that does not bode well as they go up against the Burrow and the surging aerial assault of the Bengals. I do believe this is the game in which Cincinnati establishes their ground assault behind the legs of Joe Mixon. Remember, the Bengals are tied for second place in the AFC north, along with the Browns and the Steelers. A big win today and they can certainly move up a notch. Overall, they could notch another AFC victory. Take Cincinnati. Thank you. |
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11-06-23 | Chargers v. Jets +4 | Top | 27-6 | Loss | -120 | 56 h 8 m | Show |
New York Jets. Game 476. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 EST. Very simply, I feel the wrong team is favored here. On my two sets of power ratings, I have New York a 2.0-point favorite at a 4.3-point favorite. For starters, the Chargers are not the best road team. They have won just one game straight up on the road since January 1. They've also covered just one game on the road since January 1. They have to face a Jets team that have won three in a row straight up, and are just a half-point away from covering their last four outings. During their current win streak, their defense has allowed just 15.0 points per game, while their offense has stepped up to account for 21.3 points for game during the hot streak. Zach Wilson is showing significant signs of improvement and leadership, which does not bode well for a Los Angeles defense that ranks dead last in the NFL against the pass. Meanwhile, the erratic Chargers offensive unit, which solely relies upon the pass, lines up against the League’s fifth-ranked, pass defense and it's eighth overall stop-unit in points allowed. As I mentioned at the beginning of this analysis, I think the wrong team is favored in. Take the Jets. Thank you. |
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11-05-23 | Cowboys +3 v. Eagles | 23-28 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 19 m | Show | |
Dallas Cowboys. Game 471. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. This may sound crazy my friends. But despite possessing the best record in the NFL, I just don't feel the Philadelphia Eagles are in sync yet. They have looked vulnerable, fatigued, and at times, outclassed this season, despite their league-best record. Their defense, which tops the NFL against the rush, ranks 26th against the pass and 19th in points allowed. Guys, just over recent weeks they allowed the Washington Commanders to twice put up 31 points on them. They also let the Jets post 20 points on them. Guys, elite defenses don't allow teams like that to put up that many points. They must face the NFL’s third-ranked scoring unit in the Dallas Cowboys "O". The problem for the Eagles is that the Cowboys offensive unit is equally good in the air as well as on the ground. They account for over 28.0 points per game. And as far as a home field advantage goes, Philadelphia does not have one when it comes to covering the spread. They have covered just one game at home this season. Statistically, this is the best defense they've had to face this season. On both sides of the ball. They are in for a very tough battle here. Stepping up in class is going to hurt them. Personally, I think this line should be about to pick him. I will take the Dallas Cowboys. Thank you. |
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10-29-23 | Chiefs -7 v. Broncos | 9-24 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 29 m | Show | |
Kansas City Chiefs. AFC West Game of the Week. Game 271. 1:25 PM, PST/4:25 PM EST. Granted, these two teams met just a few weeks ago as the Chiefs prevailed at home, 19-8. They did get the win and cover there. Speaking of covering, this is a team that is 5-2 ATS this season. And going back a little bit further, have covered seven of their last nine outings. Playing in Denver is no benefit to the Broncos anymore. I remember a while back when the Broncos were a “gimmee” at home folks. But this team has covered just one home contest going back to last January. The Chiefs are rolling. Granted they have a meeting on deck with the Dolphins. But I don't see this team falling in the trap of being in a look ahead mode. They know how to stay focused on the task at hand. Let's face it, Denver has a lackluster offense that turns the ball over a lot (11 turnovers) and a defense that ranks 32nd points allowed, 32nd in rushing yards allowed, 30th in passing yards allowed, and 32nd in total yards allowed. I look for quarterback, Patrick Mahomes to have his best performance yet this season. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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10-29-23 | Bengals v. 49ers -5 | 31-17 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 22 m | Show | |
San Francisco 49ers. Afternoon Bailout. Game 274. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. The number in this game has been going up and down since it came out. Every time somebody comes in on one side, the line gets pulled back on the other side. Granted, the Cincinnati Bengals have one back-to-back games for the first time this season. They've also covered their last two as well. However, they line up against a 49ers opponent that just might be the most complete team in football. To make matters worse for the Bengals, the 49ers have lost and failed to cover their last two games. Please take a note that both of those games are played on the road and in both outings, they were without some key personnel. Several guys are expected to be back for San Francisco here at home in front of their faithful fans. They are certainly further along I believe than Cincinnati. Brock Purdy (check status) is expected to be on the field. Christian McCaffrey is a monster. And let's face it, they have more superstars on both sides of the ball than just about any other team in the NFL. Many people out there thought that these two teams might be competing down the road in the Super Bowl. And anything can happen between now, and then, my friends. However, I just don't see the Bengals defense containing Purdy and his arsenal of weapons. On the flipside, I do see the NFL’s third-ranked stop-unit of San Francisco, getting pressure on Joe Burrow. FYI, the 49ers have covered 10 straight on their home field. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
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10-29-23 | Jets -2.5 v. Giants | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
New York Jets. Best Bet. Game 263. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. In a battle for New York, the New York Jets are certainly in better shape at this point in the season than the New York Giants. They enter this matchup winning their last two games; on the road at the Denver Broncos, and at home against the Philadelphia Eagles. Not only that, but they've covered three consecutive outings. No let down situation here as this team has had some extra time off to rest, heal, and prepare. They are expected to see the return of two of their starting defensive secondary stars. That's spells doom for the New York Giants, which will be without starting quarterback, Daniel Jones. That leaves the offense in the hands of Tyrod Taylor. Granted, the Jets passing unit is one of the worst in football. But so is the Giants passing unit. At least the Jets have a monster running back to rely on in ball-carrier, Breece Hall. They also possess a much stronger stop-unit, yielding just 19.8 points per game. I expect their defense to put pressure on Taylor and create turnovers. Please remember you'll see as many green jerseys in the stands as you will blue jerseys. Take the Jets. Thank you. |
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10-29-23 | Vikings v. Packers | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 52 m | Show |
Minnesota Vikings on the moneyline. NFC NORTH GOM. Game 267. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM ET. It may be just the end of October, but my friends, this game has serious implications down the road. The Detroit Lions are in first place in the NFC North at 5-2. They have a Monday Night matchup at home against the Las Vegas Raiders this week. Sitting in second place is the Minnesota Vikings at 3-4. Third place sees the the Green Bay Packers at 2-4. And bringing up the rear at 2-5, is the Chicago Bears. If Minnesota wins, they pick up a few games on Green Bay. If Green Bay wins, they leapfrog Minnesota. Having said all that the Vikings are starting to stride. They have won and covered their last two outings: on the road at the Bears, the game wasn't as close as their 19-13 victory. Then at home last week as an underdog, they manhandled the 49ers. That game gave them their third ATS cover over their last four contests. Meanwhile, Green Bay is now riding a three-game losing streak, both SU and ATS. The Vikings are also looking for a little payback here. They're looking for revenge from last January’s, 41-17 beat down at the hands of the Packers. Granted, Green Bay has a pretty good best defense. However, not too many have been able to slow down, let alone, stop the third-ranked passing unit of Minnesota. On the flipside, the mistake-prone Jordan Love (seven INT's) is in trouble here as he goes up against the very stingy, very nasty, defense of Minnesota that has already snagged 10 takeaways. This line is going up and down a little bit. Just the err on the side of caution, take the Vikings on the money line. Thank you. |
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10-23-23 | 49ers -7 v. Vikings | 17-22 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
San Francisco 49ers. Game 473. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. My friends, the line is a little bit short here and for a good reason. The 49ers have several key players that are either out or listed as questionable as of posting this play. However, you cannot deny that this team is loaded on both sides of the ball. They rank second in scoring and second in points allowed. They rank in the top-10 in just about every major offensive and defensive category. On top of that, they don't turn the ball over at all. They come off their first loss of their season and must bounce back here, for sure. I know they have the Bengals on deck. And if Cincinnati was the team that we had thought they were going to be at this point in the season, I might look to go against San Francisco this evening. But they are not the team that we figured them to be and I don't think the 49ers will be in a look ahead spot. Minnesota cannot run the ball at all. And without a solid ground game to keep the San Francisco defense honest, I just don't think they're going to be able to pull up too many points on the board here. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
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10-22-23 | Chargers v. Chiefs -5 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 29 h 38 m | Show | |
Kansas City Chiefs. AFC West GOW. Game 468. 1:25 PM, PST/4:25 PM EST. I know there's money coming in on the underdog here. I know last year’s meetings were each separated by three-points. But football and sports betting are each based on situations. Let's face it, Los Angeles isn't the greatest road team, while Kansas City is a monster team at Arrowhead Stadium. Since they dropped their season-opening game by one-point to the Lions, the Chiefs have rattled off five consecutive straight up wins, going 4-1 ATS. And if you're keeping records, they have also won 12 straight Division games, straight up. Not only do they like to win games, they particularly enjoy beating AFC West opponents. Patrick Mahomes must be salivating, knowing the second-ranked passing offense in the NFL is going to line up against the 32nd-ranked pass defense in the League. Now that the Chiefs offense is starting to click, let's face it they are the most-complete team in football right now. Their defense has been outstanding, ranking second in points allowed, yielding just 14.7 points per game. I see they're LB corps spending more time in the Chargers backfield than the Chargers players lol. I look for Kansas City to make a statement here. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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10-22-23 | Lions +3 v. Ravens | 6-38 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 19 m | Show | |
Detroit Lions. High Roller Game 457. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. I admit it folks, I am drinking the Kool-Aid. Just from a sports betting point of view, the Lions are money. Going back to last season, they are on a 14-2 ATS cover streak. And when an underdog, they have covered seven straight. On the other hand, Baltimore is just 3-9ATS their last 12 games when laying a field goal or more. In my opinion, the wrong team is favored here. Very quietly, Detroit's offense ranks in the top-10 in every major category. I know the Baltimore defense is a true force. But they haven't faced a team this complete in quite a while, my friends. On the opposite side of the ball, the Lions stop-unit tops the League against the run. If they could at least slow down Lamar Jackson and the rushing offense of the Ravens, this game can surely get out of hand. Take Detroit. Thank you. |
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10-15-23 | Cardinals v. Rams -7 | Top | 9-26 | Win | 100 | 28 h 50 m | Show |
Los Angeles Rams. TEN DIMES PLAY. Game 272. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Covering their first three games of the season, Arizona was shaping up to be an under the radar ATS moneymaker. But when October arrived, the Cardinals fell back down to Earth, going 0-2, both straight up and against the spread as underdogs of 14.5 and 3.0 points. On the other hand, the Rams just might be the best sub .500 team in the League right now. And if they're going to take it up a notch, this is the matchup to kick it off. They have dominated their division foe, taking eight of their last 10 meetings, both SU and ATS. Arizona's only true offensive weapon, running back, James Conner is out, dealing a critical blow to the team. Reports are L.A. star wide receiver, Cooper Kupp will be a major factor here in his second game back from injury. Kupp, in his first game back from injury, a week ago, had eight receptions for 118 yards. The cobwebs have been shaken off now. Expect the Stafford/Kupp connection to pick apart the 26th ranked pass defense of ‘Zona in one of my highest-rated plays on the board this week. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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10-15-23 | Eagles -6 v. Jets | Top | 14-20 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 44 m | Show |
Philadelphia Eagles. Consensus play. Game 273. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Only one of two undefeated teams left this season, Philadelphia is truly scary. Why? Because we still haven't seen their "A" game. With a meeting with Miami, up next, you can expect them to stay focused here. Granted, New York has a stellar rushing attack, behind running back, Breece Hall. But the Eagles counter with the No. 1 "D" in the NFL vs. the run. With a potentially limited ground game to crutch on, quarterback, Zach Wilson and the 32nd ranked passing "O" of the Jets is in real trouble here. They will not be able to exploit the Eagles, shaky secondary. Philly is money on the road, with a 3-0 ATS mark as a guest this season. In a huge mismatch, the 2nd ranked rushing attack of the Eagles, will shred the NFL’s 29th ranked rush defense of the Jets. Yes, overall, the NY stop-unit owns some solid statistics. But when facing well-balanced offenses (Dallas 30, Kansas City 23) they are very beatable. FYI, I give a “mulligan” to Buffalo on that first game of the season against NYJ (lol). Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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10-09-23 | Packers +2.5 v. Raiders | 13-17 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Green Bay Packers. Game 475. 5:15 PM PST/7:15 PM EST. Green Bay had a few extra days to rest, heal, and prepare for this matchup tonight. Losing at home against division rival, Detroit will further motivate them to put forth a solid performance on national TV. What better team to face than Las Vegas. My friends, I know the Raiders team very well. I watch them during practices. I see them each home game. I can tell you this is not a very good team, no matter who is at the helm. Latest reports show Jimmy Garoppolo (check status) will be back under center. But guys, does it really matter? The offensive unit ranks 30th in scoring, averaging a mere, 15.5 points per game. They rank dead last in rushing. And without a solid ground attack in the league in today's game, a quarterback like Jimmy G is usually a sitting duck. They've already coughed the ball up 10 times as well. Meanwhile, defensively, their numbers are just as bad. They are allowing over 25.3 points per game and rank dead last, and for the record, that's 32nd in the league with just one take away. Jordan Love had a less than stellar (lol) performance last week. I expect him to bounce back here against a very beatable “D”. It's true, he also has one of the worst rushing attacks in football. However, they can put up points, they rarely turn the ball over, and he is a good passer. He has several solid receivers at his disposal. And I do think the ground game will get going a little bit here and give the quarterback some breathing room, keeping the Las Vegas defense honest. For everyone that likes trends out there: Green Bay has covered three of their four outings this season, which does include both road contests. Going back a bit, they've covered four in a row as a visitor. Meanwhile, Vegas has covered just one game in the 2023 campaigns thus far, failing to cover either of their two games played at home. I'll take the points with a Packers here. Thank you. |
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10-08-23 | Chiefs -3 v. Vikings | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs. High Roller. Game 471. 1:25 pm pst/4:25 pm est. Following their season-opening loss in which they were shorthanded for sure, Kansas City has now rattled off three consecutive wins, going 2-1 against the spread. Meanwhile, on the other end of the spectrum, Minnesota opened the season up going 0-3, both straight up against the spread, but came up with a big win last week on the road at Carolina to also earn their first cover of the campaign. But I've got to be honest, my friends, their defense has been absolutely atrocious and beating the Panthers is no big achievement. A big mistake made by sports bettor's out there is judging a team by their previous performance. I can tell you the Chiefs did not play their best game last week when they did eke by the Jets on the road. This is a game they have to get back on track, get all their ducks in a row, and get their foot on the gas. Facing an inexperienced quarterback that just can't seem to get a grasp of the NFL in Bryce Young is a far cry from going up against the most accomplished quarterback in the league today in Patrick Mahomes. Don't expect the Vikings defense to have the same success here this week at all. As a matter of fact, they are in for a huge let down for sure. On the opposite side of the ball, the Kansas City defense has really been superb, allowing just 15.0 points per game. My friends, please remember that the Vikings offense ranks dead least in the league in turnovers. I expect that number to skyrocket and for them to keep their 32nd ranking in tact after this contest. I look for this game to get out of hand. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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10-08-23 | Eagles v. Rams +4 | 23-14 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 22 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Rams Touchdown play. Game 468. 1:05 pm pst/4:05 pm est. Guys I'm going to level with you. While, I think the Philadelphia Eagles are a good team. I mean obviously, they are at 4-0. I just don't think they're the same team they were even a season ago. I think this team is struggling a bit. And the oddsmakers are still treating them like the team they used to be. Yes, they are perfect so far this season. But let's take a look at some of their opponents: New England Patriots, Minnesota Vikings, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and Washington Commanders (only one team with a winning record). Oh, by the way, they've only covered two of their four outings this season, too. The Los Angeles Rams are just 2-2 this season. However, they're a half a point away from covering all four outings. Let's start with some basics. First of all, the Eagles are traveling across the country. Jalen Hurts looks to be struggling. His numbers are certainly off from the season ago. And their defense has absolutely been atrocious. I mean come on folks, they allowed the Patriots to put up 20, the Vikings to put up 28, and the Commanders to put up 31. I see a major mismatch here between their 27th ranked pass defense and the explosive Rams passing offense, which ranks second in the NFL. On the flipside, I look for the seventh ranked pass defense of Los Angeles to wreak some havoc on Hurts and the 13th ranked passing attack in the league. I think the line is way off here. I think this is going to be a very tight game. To be honest with you, I feel Los Angeles has what it takes to possibly win this outright. But I will take four points at home with the Rams for sure. Thank you. |
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10-08-23 | Texans +2 v. Falcons | 19-21 | Push | 0 | 21 h 30 m | Show | |
Houston Texans. Bookie Buster. Game 453. 10:00 am pst/1:00 pm est. These two teams started the season very differently and now they’re heading in opposite directions again. The Atlanta Falcons started off the campaign winning their first two outings at home over both Carolina and Green Bay. But has since dropped road games against Detroit and Jacksonville. By the way, they failed to cover three in a row. The Houston Texans opened the season up with a road loss at Baltimore, and then a home loss against Indianapolis, only to win their next two games, the first on the road at Jacksonville, and the second at home against Pittsburgh. By the way, they've covered their last two outings. The last few weeks the Falcons defense have been nonexistent, while their offense has struggled badly. The opposite can be said for the Texans. Without question CJ Stroud is a quantum leap ahead of where Desmond Ridder. Stroud, who has 1,212 yards passing, six touchdowns, and zero interceptions, isn’t just producing, he is making zero mistakes. On the other hand, Ridder has only 744 yards passing, with only three touchdowns, and three interceptions. By the way, outside of running back, Bijan Robinson, Atlanta hasn't been too threatening offensively. Defensively, these teams have very similar statistics, however, one that stands out and certainly favors Houston is that they rank ninth against the pass, while Atlanta ranks dead last in the league at 32nd in passing. This is huge, my friends. Football is streaky right now. The Texans are streaking. Take Houston. Thank you. |
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10-08-23 | Jaguars v. Bills -5.5 | Top | 25-20 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 8 m | Show |
Buffalo Bills. No Limit Game 452. 6:30 AM PST/9:30 AM EST. Guys, I am well aware that Jacksonville has become a fan favorite in London. And they did not have to travel last week following their win against Atlanta across the pond. But Buffalo has revenge in their eyes. These two teams met at Wembley stadium in 2015 when the Jaguars came out victorious, 34-31. Losing doesn't sit well with the Bills. Speaking of the team, following their season-opening embarrassing loss on national TV to a jets team minus Aaron Rodgers, the team has now won and covered three consecutive outings against some solid competition. In all sincerity, the Jaguars haven't had to face an opponent as complete as the Bills yet this season. Trevor Lawrence is struggling. And now has to line up against one of the most ferocious stop-units in the NFL. As a matter fact, Buffalo ranks fourth against the pass sixth in total yards allowed, second in points scored, and first in takeaways, snagging 11 already. And now that Josh Allen is back on track and doing what he does, I see him absolutely dissecting the 21st ranked pass defense of Jacksonville. This game is going to get out of hand while Buffalo gets their revenge. Take the Bills. Thank you. |
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10-01-23 | Patriots v. Cowboys -6 | Top | 3-38 | Win | 100 | 48 h 34 m | Show |
Dallas Cowboys. Consensus Play. Game 274. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 EST. My friends, I think the line is a little off here. I think it should be closer to a -9 or even -10. Yes, I know Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots got a win ND cover last week on the road against the Jets. But haven’t they beat them like 15 straight times? Let’s look at their performance prior to last week when they beat a Jets team with a shaky quarterback. They opened up the season losing, 25-20 at home against Philadelphia, and then followed it up also at home, losing to Miami, 24-17. Last week’s win and cover was a rarity. That was their first win since January 1. And that was the first cover since December 12 of last year. I know “the Hoodie” is an amazing coach. But he just doesn’t have the personnel any more, my friends. Let’s look at Dallas. They opened up the campaign annihilating the New York Giants on the road, 40-0, then followed that up with a Week 2 win at home against the New York Jets, 30-10. Last week as an 11-point favorite, they lost outright on the road to Arizona, 28-16. This is a perfect “bounce back” situation for the Cowboys. I know they took a serious blow when they lost CB, Trevon Diggs. But this team is loaded and they have a lot of play makers on defense. I mean they rank third in points allowed, yielding just 12.7 points per game. They’ve already snagged seven takeaways as well. They are a little bit better against the pass than they are against the rush. But let’s face it, the New England 26th ranked scoring offense…to put it very simply, is lackluster. I doubt Mac Jones will have any success in the air here, even without Diggs in the secondary. And in all sincerity, their rushing attack isn’t very threatening. Defensively, they put up some decent numbers overall. But they did give up 25 points to the Eagles and 24 points to the Dolphins. Last week when they only allowed the Jets to put up 10 points…well guys, that’s the Jets. I see Dallas bouncing back with authority here getting the win and cover at home. By the way, the Patriots are just 1-3 ATS their last four on the road, while the Cowboys are 7-2 ATS their last nine games played in their house. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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09-25-23 | Eagles v. Bucs +5 | 25-11 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 33 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers. MNF GOM. Game 478. 4:15 PMPST/7:15PM EST. Granted, Philadelphia is 2-0 this season. But in all sincerity, they really haven’t impressed me too much. Their defense has allowed 24.0 points per game against the likes of New England and Minnesota. I understand they own one of the top rushing offenses in football right now. But the Tampa Bay run defense has been stellar, yielding just 54.0 yards per game on the ground. I don’t have too much faith in Jalen Hurts and the NFL’s 29th ranked passing unit. And they must face a frustrating “D” that has already snagged five takeaways. In my opinion, the Buccaneers wins against the Vikings and Bears having more impressive. Offensively, it’s tough to put any real faith in Baker Mayfield. However, this unit has not turned the ball over yet, which is huge. By the way, the Eagles are just 4-10 ATS their last 14 as a road favorite. And going back to the start of last season, away from home, they are a dismal, 3-7 ATS overall. This game does include last year’s Super Bowl. Home ‘dog on Monday night is the way to go. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you. |
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09-24-23 | Broncos v. Dolphins -6.5 | 20-70 | Win | 100 | 36 h 52 m | Show | |
Miami Dolphins. No Limit. Game 462. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The Miami dolphins have played some stellar football thus far in this young season, going 2-0, both straight up and against the spread. As a matter of fact, as far as us, sports bettors are concerned, they have covered five straight games going back to last season. They face a Denver Broncos team that was supposed to be much improved this year. However, after both losses, and no covers at home against Las Vegas and Washington, they now hit the road. Russell Wilson and the offense finally put up some points. But it was is a losing effort against the Commanders. Let’s face it, the Broncos defense was supposed to be their strength again this season. And yet, Washington posted 35 points on them. This is Miami’s first home game. They have a loyal fan base that will further motivate them here and big part of another victory for this team. To add insult (no pun intended) to injury, the Bronco’s secondary is a little banged up. Look for Tagovailoa to have his best performance yet this season. Take the Dolphins. Thank you. |
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09-24-23 | Bills -6 v. Commanders | Top | 37-3 | Win | 100 | 36 h 51 m | Show |
Buffalo Bills. Ten Dimes. Game 463. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The Buffalo Bills have extremely high expectations again this season. They are tired of being a bridesmaid. Following their season-opening loss to the Jets, sans Aaron Rodgers, they bounced back last week to absolutely crush the Raiders. Not only did their defense step up, play strong, and create turnovers, but Josh Allen played mistake free football. Great effort from running back, James Cook as well. Going back to Allen, he really wants to shake the reputation of being mistake-prone. I understand the Washington Commanders are off to a 2-0 start. But before we begin handing out Lombardi Trophies to Ron Rivera and his team, let’s please remember that this team has a lackluster offense, and a defense that sprung a lot of leaks a season ago. Their supposed “stop-unit” allowed the lackluster, Denver Broncos “O” to post 33 points on them last week. Quarterback, Sam Howell has a whopping, three starts at this level under his belt. And trust me when I tell you, none of the defenses he had to lineup against were as tough, as talented, or as angry as a defense he’s going to face this week. That Week 1 loss the Buffalo Bills experienced will not only make them a better team, it will make them a team looking for vengeance. They outclass the Washington Commanders in every aspect of the game. Lay the points with Buffalo. Thank you. |
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09-18-23 | Saints -3 v. Panthers | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
New Orleans Saints. MNF Winner. Game 289. 4:15 PM PST/7:15 PM EST. New Orleans opened up the season with a win, while Carolina did not. Derek Carr seems to have adjusted quite well to his new team and the role of quarterback and team leader. While I think we could all agree that Bryce Young has a bright future in this league, it’s going to take a while for him to adapt to the speed and the intricacies of the NFL. I don’t expect him to get in sync with his offense anytime soon. There is a reason why preseason predictions have the Saints running away with their division. This is an ideal opportunity for them to make a statement to a division rival and furthermore to the rest of the NFC South…that they are the top team in the division. On both sides of the ball, Carolina might be missing some key players (check status). New Orleans, which is certainly a little deeper, has a seasoned veteran quarterback at the helm, and reportedly a much-improved defense. You can expect head coach, Dennis Allen to throw everything at the rookie quarterback, Young, but the kitchen sink. The Saints defense will go at the Panthers offense and wreak havoc, forcing mistakes and at the very least, getting them off the field quickly. Thus, allowing New Orleans QB Carr to work his magic. Take the Saints. Thank you. |
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09-17-23 | Packers +2.5 v. Falcons | 24-25 | Win | 100 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
Green Bay Packers. No Limit. Game 265. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Guys, I really feel the wrong team is favored here. I like the matchups for Green Bay very much. While both teams are truly a work in progress, I think the Packers are a little further along. As far as ATS trends go, the Falcons are 3-13 ATS the L16 in the second of consecutive home games. Meanwhile, the Pack are 5-1 ATS in the second of consecutive away games the last six times in that situation. Green Bay shut down the Chicago ground game last week. I feel they can do the same here against Atlanta, and if so, will make it a lot tougher for Falcons quarterback, Desmond Ridder to have any success in the air. He had some trouble last week against the less than stellar Panthers defense. Without a running game he is going to be a sitting duck and turn the ball over. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
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09-17-23 | Seahawks v. Lions -4.5 | 37-31 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 56 m | Show | |
Detroit Lions. High Roller. Game 270. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Sports fans, all week long I’ve been reading about how Detroit got lucky winning on the road at Kansas City because they were missing a couple of key players. They still went on the road in Kansas City, the defending Super Bowl Champions and beat them. I am well aware of the fact that Seattle has had their number. The Seahawks have won five in a row, covering the last four going back to 2015. However, the worm has turned my friends. If people want to keep saying Detroit is just a lucky team, then they must be one of the luckiest teams on the planet. The second half of last season they went 8-2 their final 10 games covering nine of the 10 final contests. Now they return home for the first game in this campaign with a very big fan base in a very loud stadium. The Seahawks, lack of offensive prowess has been highly publicized. And now a couple of their offense of lineman are a little banged up (check status). The lions defense stepped up big time against some solid opposition a season ago. They come into this game with a little momentum following the Chiefs match up. I’m not a big fan of Geno Smith, guys. And to be honest with you, although Pete Carroll deserves the respect, I think his best days are in the rearview. Lay the points with the Lions at home. Thank you. |
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09-10-23 | Raiders +3.5 v. Broncos | Top | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 53 h 58 m | Show |
Las Vegas Raiders. NFL ANGLE PLAY. Game 471. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. With a new quarterback at the helm and signing their running back to a long-term deal, the Las Vegas Raiders are entering the 2023 regular season with excitement. Many out there will say the same for the Denver Broncos. However, an aging quarterback with a lackluster offense, which in turn had their defense spending too much time on the field last season and springing leaks, I feel this team is in trouble. For the Raiders, what better team to face than the Broncos. For us sports bettors, they have covered nine of the last 10 meetings, going back to September, 2018. They have also won eight of the last 10 straight up, which includes six consecutive matchups with their division rival. Jimmy Garoppolo had a 40-17 regular season record as a starter in six seasons with the San Francisco 49ers. He’s got some big receivers, including superstar wideout, Davante Adams. In the backfield, Josh Jacobs, who had 1,653 yards rushing a season ago is a workhorse. With a solid passing game and an incredible ground attack, this offense is going to be very hard to defend. Speaking of defense, Las Vegas certainly beefed up their stop-unit in the off-season. Let’s face it, Wilson is not the quarterback he once was. He doesn’t have the legs as he did in his youth. And without a solid ground attack, I feel the Broncos “O” is going to struggle once again this season. On paper, it looks like Denver has edges both overall on the roster and in coaching. But the last time this team beat the Raiders by more than one-point on their home field, was back in 2017. Playing in Mile High doesn’t offer the big advantage it once did. If you recall a season ago, the Broncos failed to cover four of their first five at home. This is way too many points to give a very hungry visitor, which has had their way in this series for years. By the way, Denver has failed to cover six straight as a divisional home favorite. Take Las Vegas. Thank you. |
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09-10-23 | Jaguars -4.5 v. Colts | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 34 h 32 m | Show | |
Jacksonville Jaguars. No Limit. Game 459. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The Jacksonville Jaguars enters this season with confidence, being touted as the top-team in the AFC South. They will begin the campaign the same way they finished last year’s campaign, with momentum. The Jags completed the regular season winning five straight then won the Wildcard contest, and fell just short in the divisional round. As far as us sports bettors go, they were money, going 9-2 ATS their last 11 contests, which includes both postseason outings. Speaking of covering the number, they face an opponent here, covering six of their last seven meetings against. On the other hand, the Colts were a dismal, 4-12-1 SU a season ago, failing to cover 11 of 17 outings. Rookie quarterback, Anthony Richardson will be making his first pro start here, after making a mere, 13 college starts for Florida. In my opinion, the youngster is in way over his head in this matchup. Not only are there major concerns surrounding the offensive line, but he doesn’t have stellar ball-carrier, Jonathan Taylor in the backfield. The star running back will be out of action for the first four games of the season. Jacksonville QB, Trevor Lawrence matured significantly last season. The “O” is well-balanced, possessing three solid rushers, along with an arsenal of talented receivers. Lawrence will absolutely pick apart the very beatable pass defense of Indy here. The Colts playing on their own field hasn’t been an advantage, dropping their last five games played at home SU, and going 1-4 ATS in that span. Meanwhile, the Jags took three of their last four as a visitor a season ago SU, finishing with four ATS covers. Take Jacksonville. Thank you. |
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09-10-23 | Titans v. Saints -2.5 | 15-16 | Loss | -120 | 33 h 22 m | Show | |
New Orleans Saints. Late Info Move. Game 464. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The line in this game is a bit off. At home, in the Superdome, in front of their loyal, loud, faithful fans, the Saints should more of a favorite. Maybe it’s because RB, Alvin Kamara will be missing three games, serving a suspension. Maybe it’s because the offense has a new QB at the helm in Derek Carr, who didn’t see very much playing time in the preseason. Or maybe it’s because last season, the New Orleans defense had some ugly performances. But, in the offseason, they signed ball-carrier, Jamaal Williams, the NFL’s touchdown leader a season ago. Carr is a veteran, who by the way, is reunited with his former coach, Dennis Allen. Maybe it gets overlooked, but the play-caller brings a ton of experience and solid stats to the table. He also has newly-acquired TE’s, Foster Moreau and Jimmy Graham. And back from an injury, WR, Michael Thomas is reported to be in solid form. Despite owning the League’s top-rushing defense, the Titans slumped last season, losing their final seven contests SU, only covering once, the last game of the season. The Tennessee offense has some outstanding talent. But they did rank among the worst in football in passing. The team beefed up their receiving core with the addition of WR, DeAndre Hopkins. As we all know, the success of this unit revolves around RB, Derek Henry. With some issues regarding their offensive line, especially without Nicholas Petit-Frere, Henry is carrying an even larger load on his shoulders…or should I say, legs. The line here is a gift. Take the Saints. Thank you. |
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09-10-23 | 49ers v. Steelers +3 | 30-7 | Loss | -125 | 33 h 8 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh Steelers. Bookie Buster. Game 466. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The 49ers are once again predicted to be one of the best teams in the NFL this season. On both sides of the ball, San Francisco possesses some of the best talent in football. Back at the helm is QB, Brock Purdy. Exactly how stable, healthy, and successful he will be in his first game returning from injury and surgery on his elbow, is uncertain. On the stop-end, Nick Bosa is going to be starting, reportedly seeing action for most of the game. He heads one of the most-ferocious defenses in the NFL. But both, the 49ers offense and defense are in for a tough battle here. The Steelers, which made a strong finish a season ago, winning seven of their last nine contests SU, and covering 9 of their final 12 ATS, are coming into this season expected to be the cellar-dweller in the AFC North. Not a familiar situation for this storied franchise, team, and city. Head coach, Mike Tomlin is not one to take bad reports lightly. Kenny Pickett matured quite well and has become the leader of the team and a true favorite of the fans. The QB has a slew of talented playmakers at his disposal, both on the ground and in the air. The “O” sports a brick wall in one of the most experienced offensive lines in the game today. The luxury of RB, Najee Harris along with a few new additions, will move the chains here for sure. On the defensive side of the ball, Pittsburgh has the personnel to possibly be one of the stingiest in the League. A healthy, TJ Watt will wreak havoc on the untested and unsteady, Purdy. Let’s not forget, this is a “D” that allowed 18 or fewer points 11 times last season. San Fran is 1-5 ATS the last six season openers, while Pitt is 8-1-1 ATS the last 10 as a home ‘dog. Take the Steelers. Thank you. |
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01-29-23 | 49ers +2.5 v. Eagles | Top | 7-31 | Loss | -100 | 120 h 13 m | Show |
San Francisco 49ers. NFL POSTSEASON ANGLE PLAY. Game 321. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. There is no question in my mind both the 49ers and Eagles deserve to be in the NFC Championship game. I mean finally we can throw away the bones and just eat the meat on an NFC matchup folks. Guys, an enormous amount of Philadelphia’s success comes from their ability to run the football. Hence it comes from their offensive lines ability to manhandle opposing defensive lines. That’s not going to be the case here this week, folks. San Francisco’s defense ranks No. 1 in the NFL in points allowed, No. 1 in total yards allowed, and No. 2 at stopping to rush. Oh, by the way they also rank 2nd in the League in takeaways, snagging 28 turnovers. And there is no way this defensive front is going to get manhandled. I’m not looking to take away anything from the Eagles offensive line. They are very good. But they’re not going to be able to manhandle their opponent here. That is going to seriously stunt their ground game. Jalen Hurts is a good quarterback. But I don’t think he would be the same quarterback put in other systems in the NFL. He’s also not 100%. And I think that will be an issue as well. Let’s face it guys, he isn’t the greatest passer in the world. And I really feel the San Fran secondary is going to add to their NFL-high 20 INT’s this season. You can also look for DE, Nick Bosa to have one of his best performances of the campaign as he goes up against LT, Jordan Mailata (Big mismatch, folks). Now defensively, Philly is pretty damn good as well. They are tops in the League against the pass and rank eighth in points allowed. They’re also pretty good at snagging takeaways, themselves. However, the 49ers “O” does not make many mistakes and does not turn the ball over very often. That is huge inn the playoffs, sports fans. Now, I keep hearing about how Brock Purdy is a rookie quarterback. Well folks, he spent four years as a starter in the Big 12. And he was on quite a few big game platforms in those four years. Now he’s in the NFL as a rookie. Yes, we all know he is a rookie. Well, he’s got seven games as a starter under his belt, which in case you’ve forgotten, are all victories. Guys, one more item on the subject of Purdy: when you are a “less-experienced” QB, you tend not to take any chances and force making plays. Therefore, make less mistakes. Keep that in mind. Listen folks, if you’re cooking in the kitchen and you’ve got Christian McCaffrey, Brandon Aiyuk, and George Kittle in the recipe, that’s going to be a pretty damn fine meal. Throw in the mix, Deebo Samuel, and you got the best food on the planet. I don’t feel the Eagles defense will be able to contain every one of those weapons. Particularly, McCaffrey coming out of the backfield. He will be a big reason why San Francisco moves the chains at will here. By the way folks, Philly has only covered one of the last six games played in the month of January, one of the last five games played versus NFC opponents, and one of the last five games played overall. On the flipside, San Francisco has covered 20 of the last 26 in the month of January, 20 of the last 26 versus NFC foes, and 23 other last 31 overall. Take the points with the 49ers and get paid. Thank you. |
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01-22-23 | Cowboys v. 49ers -4 | 12-19 | Win | 100 | 48 h 56 m | Show | |
San Francisco 49ers. NFC GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 318. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. I know, I know, I know all the headlines this week is that Mike McCarthy, Dak Prescott, and the Dallas Cowboys finally won a playoff game last week. Well sports fans, look who they beat. With all respect to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, they really weren’t a very good team. They couldn’t score, couldn’t stop opponents from scoring, have an aging quarterback, no running game, and are very weak in the trenches on both the offensive and defensive lines. So, let me ask you, who did the Cowboys really beat? Well, they enter this matchup against a San Francisco 49ers opponent that has rattled off 10 consecutive victories, covering eight of those 10 contests. Yes, I know Brock Purdy is a rookie quarterback. But my friends, he has the luxury of having Christian McCaffrey in the backfield, with all-purpose superstar, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, and arguably the best tight end in the game in George Kittle at his disposal. Not only do the 49ers rank among the best in the NFL in scoring, averaging 26.5-points per game, they also lead the NFL on the defensive side, allowing a mere 16.3-points per game. This isn’t just a team that can score tons of points and hope they get the last possession of the game. This is a team very complete on both sides of the ball. Dallas has not played a team like this in quite some time. As a matter of fact, outside of the Philadelphia Eagles game on Christmas Eve, in which they went up against back up quarterback, Gardner Minshew, they haven’t played a great team in quite a while. I am still not sold on Dak Prescott as he is one of the most erratic quarterbacks in the NFL. Let’s face it guys, he is shaky at best. They also turn the ball over quite a bit. Their offense has coughed up the ball 23 times, which does not bode well because the San Francisco defense ranks second in the League with 28 takeaways. On the flipside the Cowboys “D“ tops the league with takeaways. However, The 49ers “O“ rarely turns the ball over, ranking third in the League, only committing 17 turnovers. I just don’t feel the Cowboys stop-unit will be able to slow down, let alone stop the well-balanced offense of the 49ers. Christian McCaffrey, who is one of the most valuable players to his squad in the NFL, goes up against the 22nd ranked run defense in the NFL. By the way guys, say what you want to by Brock Purdy having very little experience. But the guy has tossed 16 touchdowns and only four interceptions for over 1,700 yards passing. He has a lot of weapons, as I mentioned, at his disposal. Too many for the Cowboys defense to keep up with. Dallas has failed to cover the last four games played following a straight up win, four of the last five playoff games, and nine of the last 11 January games. San Francisco is 12-2 ATS the last 14 home games, 20-7 ATS the last 27 versus the NFC, and 5-0 ATS the last last five Divisional Playoff games. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
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01-22-23 | Bengals +5.5 v. Bills | Top | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 44 h 28 m | Show |
Cincinnati Bengals. 98% ANGLE PLAY. Game 315. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. My friends, I will tell you that both Cincinnati and Buffalo might have gotten a little lucky last week. I will also tell you that this is where Buffalo Bills fans are going to be very angry at me, that Josh Allen is one of the dumbest quarterbacks in this league. He makes a lot of stupid mistakes…a lot of stupid mistakes. Let’s face it, when he was at Wyoming, they had literally one of the worst ranked offenses in the nation. They had such a good defense, they kept him winning for a bit. He came to Buffalo and he is surrounded by good personnel. But he still makes stupid mistakes and he puts the defense in predicaments where they get tired. You know who isn’t a dumb quarterback… Joe Burrow. He won at LSU, he went to the Super Bowl last year, and instead of being in a hangover this year, this is a quarterback that has led his team to nine consecutive straight up victories, covering eight of the nine. Well let me rephrase that. Depending on when you bet the Bengals last week, you either won, pushed, or lost by a hook. I do believe both offenses will have success in the air. Both will struggle a bit on the ground, but eventually will get their ground games going. But this is going to come down to mistakes. And the Bills rank 30th in the NFL, committing over 27 turnovers. And you know what? Most of them fall on the shoulders of Allen. Yes, he has talent athletically. I’m not going to debate that. But his mind is mush. He makes a lot of stupid mistakes. I am going with the smarter, more stable, proven winner in Burrow. This game is going to be a tight one, coming down to whichever team makes fewer mistakes. And that will be Cincinnati. The Bills have only covered two of the last seven at home, one of the last six against teams with a winning record, and only two of the last seven playoff games. Meanwhile, the Bengals are 6-1 ATS the last seven played the month of January, 36-17 ATS the last 53 on the road, and 5-1 ATS the last six in the playoffs. Take the points with the Bengals. Thank you. |
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01-21-23 | Giants +7.5 v. Eagles | 7-38 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 45 m | Show | |
New York Giants. NFC EAST GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 303. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. As good as the Philadelphia Eagles record is, they come into the postseason failing to cover the last four outings. Oh, by the way, they’ve lost two of the last three straight up as well. Jalen Hurts, as we all know is not 100%. A lot of people are looking at the fact that New York also has lost more than they have won since mid-November. However, they have covered four straight and 14 of their 18 contests this season. No, they’re not flashy or flamboyant. But they do have a quarterback who doesn’t make many mistakes. Granted, they face a defense that ranks No. 1 in the NFL against the pass. But what the Eagles do have problems with, and they’ve had problems with this all season, is well-balanced offenses. They have problems with offenses that could run the ball and then pass off the run. Well folks, Saquon Barkley is healthy and looking very, very good right now. We are talking about a running back who has tallied nearly 1,400-yards on the ground this season. Daniel Jones will keep the Philly defense honest by handing the ball off the Barkley, which will then open up the passing game. Because Barkley is such a strong ball-carrier, they will also eat up the clock and keep the Eagles “D” on the field and most importantly, their offense off it. The Eagles are a little hobbled and I do believe laying better than a touchdown is a huge mistake here. Remember one more item folks, nobody expected the Giants to get this far. There is no pressure on this team to win. All the pressure is on Philadelphia. New York has covered five of the last six meetings in Philadelphia. The road team has covered seven of the last 10 meetings in this series. Oh, by the way the Giants are also 5-0 ATS the last five games played on the road. Meanwhile, the Eagles have failed to cover the last four versus NFC opponents and the last five in the month of January. Take New York. Thank you. |
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01-21-23 | Jaguars +9.5 v. Chiefs | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 22 h 2 m | Show | |
Jacksonville Jaguars. Postseason Angle Play. Game 301. 1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST. My friends, you can say what you want about the Kansas City Chiefs. Yes, they are one of the most successful teams over the last several years. And yes, overall, this season they own a 14-3 record. However, this team is perennially overvalued. They have only covered five games on the campaign. And when playing host at Arrowhead Stadium, they have only covered one of their last nine. Let’s face it, this team is point spread poison. They face a red-hot Jacksonville Jaguars opponent here. This is a team that has won six consecutive outings straight up, going 5-1 against the spread. Yes, we all know they lost the November 13 matchup on the road to Kansas City. That was in the earlier stages of their development, where they were just trying to get in sync and on track. They followed that loss off with a win at home against Baltimore, then lost badly in Detroit, only to finish up the regular season winning out, before taking down Los Angeles a week ago in the WC round. It is specifically the Chargers win last week, being down badly and making a miraculous comeback that tells me how good this team really is. And furthermore, how good their quarterback is. The Jaguars are a much better team right now than the last time they faced the Chiefs. Let’s face it folks, Kansas City has looked very mortal this season. I mean just since the start of December, they’ve allowed Cincinnati to beat them and put up 27 points, then granted they rattled off five consecutive victories. But they allowed Denver to put up 28, Houston to put a 24, and Denver once again to put 24 on them. Their defense is looking fatigued and overworked. I think you’re going to see Trevor Lawrence have a lot of success here, especially coming in here motivated after last weeks come from behind victory. Jacksonville has covered seven of the last eight against AFC opponents and six of the last eight in the month of January. Take the Jaguars. Thank you. |
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01-16-23 | Cowboys v. Bucs +2.5 | 31-14 | Loss | -107 | 37 h 13 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers. MNF Winner. Game 152. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Sports fans, here’s a couple of facts for you; the Cowboys haven’t won a road playoff game in 30 years. Mike McCarthy, in his third year with the team, has yet to win a playoff game. Dallas is a lowly 6-18 ATS the last 24 games played in the month of January. And furthermore, they are 0-7 against Tom Brady, who already defeated them this season. Yes, I know I know I know, Tampa Bay has been point spread poison this season, going 4-12-1 against the number. But let’s face it, I doubt that things will change for Dallas here. I mean they needed last weeks win to significantly better their playoff situation. And yet they still could not earn a victory come crunch time. I am not a big fan of Mike McCarthy. I am not a big fan of Dak Prescott. Going back to Tampa Bay, you can’t argue Tom Brady is the most successful NFL playoffs player ever. When you come into the postseason it is a whole different monster. And there is no one better in January and February then Tom Brady. Understand that this is the first losing season as a starting quarterback in the NFL. Understand also Dallas has a lot more pressure on them than Tampa Bay. They had high hopes of being an NFC representative in the Super Bowl this season. Nobody expected too much of the Bucs. Let’s face it, they backed into the playoffs in arguably the weakest division in the NFL. But defensively overall they match up pretty good here. And one more item folks, they are also 11-2-1 against the spread as a home ‘dog the last 14 times in that situation. Oh, wait they’re also 5-1 straight up in the postseason under Brady. By the way, not only is Dallas 1-4-1 ATS the last six road games, they are also 0-4 ATS the last four playoff games. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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01-15-23 | Ravens v. Bengals -8.5 | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 25 m | Show |
Cincinnati Bengals. No Limit. Game 150. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST I am sure you recall these two teams met a week ago. Cincinnati took the game, 27-16. Lamar Jackson is out again here. As you all know, he hasn’t taken the field since December 4. And hasn’t played any significant amount of time since November 27. Let’s face it, the offense’s entire success revolves around Jackson working his magic, allowing the ground game to keep defenses honest. Even when he was healthy, in all sincerity, this team really wasn’t scoring a ton of points guys. In my opinion, Cincy is just about the most well-balanced team right now in the NFL. Offensively, they’re averaging over 26.1-points per game. And you can expect the first-ranked passing offense, led by Joe Burrow to light up the sky here against the 26th-ranked pass defense of Baltimore. Overall, they’re rushing stats aren’t very impressive. However, Joe Mixon is more than adequate folks…he really is. On the flipside, the Bengals defense is allowing just 20.1-points per game and has seemed to have gotten stronger over the last month, yielding just 16.7-points per game over the last four outings. My friends, coming into the postseason, Cincy has rattled off eight consecutive wins and depending on your line last week, eight consecutive covers as well. At the very worst, you got a push last week guys. I don’t normally look at momentum coming into the postseason in the NFL because the playoffs are a whole different monster. But understand that Joe Burrow and company made it to the big game a season ago. He has won in the playoffs and a few years back on a huge platform playing for LSU. This is a team full of talent and are playing with an enthusiasm and excitement that we very rarely see these days. I know it’s a big number, but understand the Bengals have covered the last six games played at home, are 19-6-1 ATS the last 26 versus AFC opponents, and 4-0-1 ATS the last five playoff games. Lay the points here with Cincinnati. Thank you. |
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01-15-23 | Giants +3 v. Vikings | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
New York Giants. Angle play. Game 147. 1:40 PM PST/4:40 PM EST. My friends I’m not looking to downplay the Vikings 13-4 record. Obviously, you’ve got to do something right to amass 13 regular season wins in today’s NFL. However, I’m not going to sit here and tell you I don’t think a little bit of that was luck. This is a team with 11 victories by a margin of eight-points or less. Speaking of 13-4 records, the New York Giants are the most bankable team in pro football, going 13-4 against the spread the season. These two teams met approximately three weeks ago with Minnesota prevailing on the road, 27-24. Let’s face it a lot of things went wrong for New York and they still only lost by three-points. They enter this matchup covering four in a row and six of their last seven (Talk about being bankable). With the fourth-ranked rushing attack in the league, I feel the Giants will move the chains against the 20th ranked run defense in football. They will use the rush to keep the Vikings defense honest and allow Daniel Jones to pass off the run. Say what you want about the quarterback, but he doesn’t make too many mistakes. No, he is not flashy. But he has passed for over 3,205 yards with a 67.2% completion rate and a 15/5 TD/INT ratio. Something to understand folks: Minnesota ranks 28th in points allowed, 20th against the rush, 31st against the pass, and 31st in total yards allowed. Their defense is atrocious. And facing an offense that can run the ball and pass off the run is going to be fatal for this team. On the flipside, New York has played pretty well defensively. The Vikings are 1-4 ATS the last five games played following a straight up win and 2-8-1 ATS the last 11 games played versus NFC opponents. The Giants 4-0 ATS the last four games played on the road, 7-0 ATS the last seven games played following a straight up loss, 5-1 ATS the last six games played versus NFC opponents, and 9-1 ATS the last 10 playoff games played on the road. Take New York. Thank you. |
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01-14-23 | Chargers v. Jaguars +2.5 | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
Jacksonville Jaguars. WC ANGLE PLAY. Game 144. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Jacksonville comes into this Wildcard contest winning five in a row and six of the last seven straight up, covering five of those seven games. Yes, I know recently they haven’t faced some of the NFL’s premier quarterbacks. And they are certainly going to face a very talented QB here today. But the defense has stepped up, holding their last three opponents to a total of 22 points scored. I know the Jaguars possess one of the poorer pass defenses in the league. But their offense has played so well, it is keeping opponents defenses on the field and more importantly, their offenses off it. They are certainly more well-balanced offensively. And Jacksonville is 5-1-1 ATS the last seven games played versus AFC opponents. I definitely like the home ‘dog here in the Wildcard round. Take the Jaguars. Thank you. |
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01-14-23 | Seahawks v. 49ers -9.5 | 23-41 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
San Francisco 49ers. Touchdown Play. Game 142. 1:35 PM PST/4:35 PM EST. One month ago, San Francisco took down Seattle on the road to give them a sweep of the Seahawks in this regular season 2-0, both straight up and against the spread. The 49ers enter today’s matchup possessing the top-scoring offensive unit in the league since Week 14. I just don’t see Seattle and they are lackluster “O“, keeping pace here offensively. Especially because they have the tougher task of facing the No. 1 ranked scoring defense in the NFL. By the way, the 49ers have also snagged 28 takeaways, while the Seahawks have committed 23 turnovers. This heavily favors the 49ers folks. They are 5-0 ATS the last five games played at home, 19-7 ATS the last 26 games played versus the NFC, 5-1 ATS the last six games played in the postseason, 8-0 ATS the last eight games played versus the NFC West, and 21-8 ATS the last 29 games played overall. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
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01-08-23 | Lions v. Packers -4.5 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
Green Bay Packers. Late Bailout Play. Game 460. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. The Packers control their own destiny. They win and they’re in. Their division rival, the Lions need a bit of help as well as a victory here today. As a matter fact the Lions might be eliminated even before this game starts. They need the Seahawks to lose to the Rams this morning. If Seattle wins, Detroit has no chance of making the postseason. Not only does Green Bay have momentum, winning and covering four straight games coming into this contest. But they are led by one of the most seasoned veterans in the game today in Aaron Rodgers. He gets to go up against the 30th ranked pass defense in the NFL. By the way speaking of defenses, the Green Bay stop-unit has held their last four opponents to an average of just 17-points per game. To make matters worse, the home team has covered the last six meetings between these two rivals. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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01-08-23 | Chargers +3.5 v. Broncos | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Chargers. NFL Angle Play. Game 469. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST A lot of people are playing the Denver Broncos here because they think they’re looking to play spoiler I guess the Los Angeles Chargers. Denver is out of the postseason. They have absolutely no shot as they are just 4-12 this year. However, at 10-6, Los Angeles is looking to secure the number five AFC spot with a victory here. This is a team that is certainly riding momentum, winning and covering for in a row. Granted, they are not too much of a threat on the ground. But they enter this match up with the fifth ranked passing attack in the NFL. I know the Broncos overall are good defensively. However, this is a stop-unit that has started to spring a leak over the last few months. Let’s face it, they allowed Las Vegas to put up 22, Carolina to put up 23, Kansas City to put up 34, Los Angeles to put up 51, and Kansas City once again to put up 27. Their defense has sprung a leak. It is tired and overworked. It is very vulnerable in the air. On the flipside, we all know the Broncos possess the worst scoring offense in the NFL, averaging is 16-points per game. Making Los Angeles an underdog is a mistake as the ‘dog is 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings in this rivalry. Oh, by the way, LA is also 6-2 ATS the last eight games played on the road, 9-4 ATS the last 13 games played on grass, at 8-3-1 ATS the last 12 games played in the month of January. Take the Chargers. Thank you. |
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01-08-23 | Cowboys -6.5 v. Commanders | 6-26 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
Dallas Cowboys. HIGH ROLLER PLAY. Game 473. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. A victory here and a little bit of help, and Dallas will be home for the first round of the playoffs. There is even a slight chance that they would wind up with the NFC East’s top-seed. What a better opponent to face then a division rival in which they’ve had their way with. The Cowboys have won and covered three consecutive meetings with the Commanders, including this year‘s only matchup, an early-October, 25-10 annihilation on the road. Washington enters this matchup having not won a single game since the end of November. They have failed to cover four straight as well. Let’s face it, offensively they just can’t compete with the explosive Dallas “O“. I mean the Commanders average just 18.4-points per game. A lot has been said over the course of the regular season about how good their “D“ is. However, this is a unit that has allowed their last four opponents to put up over 101-points on them. And a couple of those opponents are not known to have explosive offensive units. The Cowboys have covered six of the last eight meetings in this series on the road and sixth of the last eight overall meetings. By the way, they are also 23-9 ATS the last 32 versus the NFC East. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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01-08-23 | Browns v. Steelers -2.5 | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh Steelers. No Limit. Game 462. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. A lot has to happen, but Pittsburgh still has a slim chance of making the playoffs. Having said that, we all know Cleveland is out. The Steelers play at home in front of their loyal fans and can give them something to be excited about here with a big win. This is a team that has rattled off five wins over the last six outings, both straight up and against the spread. Not only that, but we all know Mike Tomlin and company enjoy payback. If you recall, the first meeting back at the end of September in Cleveland, the Browns embarrassed the Steelers 29-17. Even if Cleveland does look to play spoiler here, I don’t expect them to put their only true weapons, the rushing attack in jeopardy for far too long. Please remember, the Steelers do possess the seventh ranked run defense in the NFL. On the flipside, I just look for Kenny Pickett to continue to work his magic. The home team has covered seven of the last 10 meetings in this rivalry. Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS the last five games played versus teams with a losing record and 17-7 -3 ATS the last 27 games played in the month of January. Take the Steelers. Thank you. |
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01-07-23 | Titans v. Jaguars -6 | 16-20 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 26 m | Show | |
Jacksonville Jaguars. AFC South Game of the Month. Game 458. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Jacksonville took the December 11 meeting with Tennessee on the road, 36-22. That win and cover started their current four-game win and cover hot streak. On the other hand, the Titans are going in a very different direction. Since the end of November, they have lost and failed to cover six consecutive outings. Their offense has been non-effective and non-existent, accounting for a mere, 14.8-points per game during their slide. Being that they can’t move the chains offensively, their defense is overworked, tired, and getting plowed. This does not bode well as they are facing a Jags “O“ that comes off scoring performances of 36, 40, 19, and 31-points. I just don’t see the Titans 32nd ranked pass defense slowing down, let alone stopping Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars 10th ranked passing attack. Derrick Henry is expected to play. But for how long we can only speculate. As of this post, even if he plays the entire game, he still must lineup against one of the toughest and stingiest run defenses in the NFL. To make matters worse, Tennessee has coughed-up the ball 21 times, while Jacksonville has snagged 24 takeaways. The Jaguars are 5-0-1 ATS the last six versus AFC opponents, 6-2 ATS the last eight on Saturday, and 5-1 ATS the last six in January. Take Jacksonville. Thank you. |
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01-01-23 | Vikings v. Packers -3 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 26 h 56 m | Show | |
Green Bay Packers. NFC North GOM. Game 128. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. I’m not looking to take anything way from the Minnesota Vikings. But folks you’ve got admit, luck has played a part in their 12-3 record. Having said that I’m also going to give you a cliché. They say revenge is a dish best served cold. Well, the Green Bay Packers opened this season with an embarrassing 23-7 loss on the road at the hands of the Minnesota Vikings. They then won three consecutive victories before hitting a big slide. Since December began, things turned a corner for this team, winning and covering three straight games with authority. Green Bay is back in the playoff race. They can sneak into the postseason if they win their last two games as long as Washington loses at least once or the New York Giants lose both of their remaining contests. Either way the Packers must win here this week. This is a team that is striding at the right time. Plus, they have Aaron Rodgers at the helm who is out to prove there’s still some life left in his aging body. We talked about the Vikings being lucky. They’ve been very lucky. While they have won two of their last three games straight up, they failed to cover all three outings. Their main offensive strength is in the air. But they must go up against the NFL third ranked pass defense here. Dalvin Cook is solid. But in all sincerity, this “O” ranks 28th in rushing. On the flipside, they rank dead last in the NFL defending the pass and have to go up against a surging and angry Rodgers. Understand that the Packers have started to get healthy coincidentally the same time they started to win. The home team has covered nine of the last 13 meetings of the series. Green Bay has covered nine of the last 13 against Minnesota at home. Ohm, by the way the Vikings are just 0-3-1 ATS the last four versus NFC opponents. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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01-01-23 | Saints v. Eagles -5.5 | 20-10 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 32 m | Show | |
Philadelphia Eagles. No Limit Play. Game 110. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The Philadelphia Eagles can secure the top seed in the NFC playoffs by beating the New Orleans Saints here on Sunday. I must make you aware of the fact the New Orleans Saints can’t qualify for the playoffs if they don’t beat the Philadelphia Eagles here either. So, both teams have a lot riding on this game. I have to tell you no matter who is under center for Philly, I look for them to come out here and make a big statement following last week’s 40-34 loss in Dallas. Let’s face it, the Cowboys. But due to four turnovers, they lost the game. That won’t sit well with the Conference’s best team. While the Saints are very good at defending the pass, they are absolutely atrocious defending the run. The Eagles come in here ranked fourth in the league in rushing, accounting for over 153.8 yards per game on the ground. They also own the No. 1 scoring offense in the NFL, averaging over 29.7-points per game. Defensively, they are outstanding. I just don’t see New Orleans moving the chains, let alone getting in the end zone here. I do see the Eagles, which rank second in the NFL with 26 takeaways, forcing the Saints into making a lot of mistakes and turning the ball over. After all, they’ve already committed 23 turnovers, ranking 29th in the league. Philadelphia has won and covered the last two meetings over New Orleans. They also enter this game covering six of their last seven at home. Take the Eagles. Thank you. |
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12-26-22 | Chargers -4 v. Colts | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Chargers. MNF winner. Game 481. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. It would be bad enough for the Colts losing four in a row and seven of the last eight straight up. But the last loss on December 17 at the Vikings, 39-36 in overtime, blowing a 33-point lead is devastating. To add to their pressure, the Colts have not taken the field in nine days. Trust me when I tell you this is not an experienced, intelligent team lead by true leaders. So instead of bouncing back here, I look for things to get even worse for the Jeff Saturday experiment. To add to their laundry list of problems, their only true offensive threat, Jonathan Taylor is out. With the Jets, the Patriots, and the Raiders all losing this past weekend, the Chargers can clinch a playoff berth with the win here tonight. Los Angeles enters this matchup winning three of the last four straight up and possessing the league’s third-ranked passing offense. Justin Herbert, who has passed for over 4000 yards this season (4,019), on a 67.5% completion rate, with 21 touchdowns, is salivating knowing he gets to go up against a defense that has allowed 39, 54, and 24-points over the last three weeks. Running back, Austin Ekeler will keep the Indy defense honest and allow Herbert to open up the passing game. One more item folks, the Chargers rank amongst the best in the league at not turning the ball over, while the Colts rank as one of the worst in the league at creating turnovers. On the flipside, Indy has turned the ball over 27 times which already ranks dead-last in the NFL. As I mentioned earlier in this breakdown, things will go from bad to worse from the Colts. Los Angeles has been money on the road covering five of the last seven as a visitor. Take the Chargers. Thank you. |
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12-24-22 | Eagles +4.5 v. Cowboys | 34-40 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 56 m | Show | |
Philadelphia Eagles. NFC East Game of the Month. Game 471. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. This line is so off it is absolutely absurd. I know the absence of Jalen Hurts is significant. Obviously, as he is a favorite to take the league MVP this season as of this point. But can you really trust the Dallas Cowboys in a big-game situation like this? I mean come on folks a week ago they took an overtime loss in Jacksonville. They tend to get over valued by the odds makers, covering just two of their last six outings. And now they face a division rival who took them down 26-17 back in mid-October. And they are this high of favorite because Hurts is out. I’m here to tell you Gardner Minshew is one of the better backup quarterbacks in the NFL. Obviously, the dynamics change with him at the helm. Are people forgetting that this is the second ranked scoring offense in the NFL, averaging just under 30-points per game? Are people forgetting they rarely turn the ball over? Are people forgetting they own a top-five rushing attack? And it will be that rushing attack that will allow Minshew some time and open up the passing game. Their ground game ranks fourth in the league, averaging over 158.6 yards per game. My friends they face one of the worst rush defenses in the NFL here. Dak Prescott is erratic at best. Let’s face it the passing attack of Dallas is no attack, ranking 17th in the league. And they must lineup against the number one ranked pass defense in the NFL. Not only that but the Eagles only allow 19.1-points per game. And they’ve already forced and taken 25 turnovers. You can bet your butt that they will pressure Prescott and force him to make mistakes. Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS the last five games versus teams with a winning record. Take the Eagles. Thank you. |
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12-24-22 | Saints v. Browns -2.5 | 17-10 | Loss | -125 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
Cleveland Browns. Angle Play. Game 456. 10:00 AM PST 1:00 PM EST. Since Deshaun Watson took over the reins, the Browns are 2-1. Overall, Cleveland has won and cover three of the last four outings coming into this matchup. And now they see the return of Nick Chubb to spearhead the NFL’s fifth ranked rushing attack. Trust me when I tell you they are going to steamroll the very lax 23rd ranked New Orleans run defense. The Saints are going to be missing several key players. But even if they were at full strength, I still don’t see them even competing in this matchup. They are 0-5 ATS the last five games played following a straight up win and 1-5 ATS the last six games played on grass. Take Cleveland. Thank you. |
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12-24-22 | Bengals -3 v. Patriots | 22-18 | Win | 100 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
Cincinnati Bengals. No Limit. Game 459. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Sports fans, very few teams can come back from the devastating loss like the Patriots suffered last week in Las Vegas. Trust me when I tell you this is not the Bill Belichick New England squad that we are so used to seeing over the last two decades. Just over the last four weeks they are on a 1-3 run, both straight up and against the spread. And things aren’t looking too good for them as they face a team a arguably with the most momentum going into this weeks games. Cincinnati Bengals are running red-hot, winning and covering six consecutive outings. Joe Burrow and the Bengals top-10 offense are salivating just knowing they get to line up across from the leaky Patriots defense. Sure, overall, on the season the New England “D” has impressive stats. However, over the last four weeks they have allowed a combined 99-points. By the way the Patriots have lost the last five as home underdogs without Tom Brady, going 1-4 against the spread. Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS the last five games played in December, 35-17 ATS the last 52 games played on the road, and 20-7 ATS the last 27 versus the AFC. Take the Bengals. Thank you. |
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12-24-22 | Seahawks +10 v. Chiefs | 10-24 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
Seattle Seahawks. Oddsmakers Mistake. Game 465. 10:00 AM PST,1:00 PM EST. Both teams need to win here this week. Kansas City is looking to claim the AFC‘s number one seed. And Seattle is just looking to add to their chances of making the postseason. Folks I’m here to tell you that there is no way that the Chief should be a double-digit favorite against any opponent in the NFL. Especially one that matches up this well with them. Kansas City is absolute point spread poison folks. To be honest with you they have covered just one game since mid-October. I think we can all agree the odds makers tend to overvalue them because they know the general public likes to bet them. However, they’re making a huge mistake here. Seattle is on an 0-5 ATS slide themselves. But they have not been given this many points. The Chiefs defense has allowed 27, 28, 24-points over the last three outings. And to be honest with you, a couple of those foes possess lower-tier offenses. Seattle will be able to pass the ball with ease against the 22nd ranked pass defense of Kansas City. Granted the Chiefs will do what they do and put points up. But the lack of a major rushing game will not allow them to eat up a lot of clock in the process. There are also 0-6-1 ATS the last seven games played at home, 1-10-1 the last 12 games played following a straight up win, and 0-6-1 ATS the last seven games overall. Take the Seahawks. Thank you. |
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12-19-22 | Rams v. Packers -7 | 12-24 | Win | 100 | 37 h 33 m | Show | |
Green Bay Packers. MNF WINNER. Game 332. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Let’s go to Lambeau Field as the Rams take on the Packers. There is no question that both Los Angeles and Green Bay have fallen way short of expectations this season. I mean the Rams are just 4-9 following up their Super Bowl season. In all fairness a lot of their woes are due to injuries. But in all sincerity, a lot is also due to inconsistent play. They finally got a win last week, their first since October 16, as they faced the lowly Raiders. Baker Mayfield, who just joined the team two days earlier, rallied his team back from a 16-3 deficit late in the fourth quarter to steal a 17-16 win. The Packers will be a much, much different opponent here this week. First of all, Green Bay has dominated this series, winning seven of the last eight straight up, and all eight against the spread. Next, to say that Los Angeles is running on fumes would be an understatement. Their injured list is longer than Deshaun Watson plaintive list LOL. They already rank 25th in passing, 30th in rushing, and 29th in points scored. Oh, by the way, they also rank 28th in turnovers committing 20 miscues on the campaign. Green Bay got a big December 4 win over division rival Chicago, 28-19. What will certainly benefit this team is coming off that win and then having a bye week to rest, heal, and prepare for this week’s matchup. In rookie wide receiver, Christian Watson, Aaron Rodgers finally has a go to receiver to complement wideout Allen Lazard. On the ground, the Packers are pretty stable as Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon have combined for nearly 1,500 yards rushing and five TDs. The offense is now well-balanced and will certainly exploit the depleted, Los Angeles defense. It’s true, the Packers have lost three straight as a home favorite this season. But, in all sincerity, two of those games were earlier on, and before Rodgers started connecting with Watson. Throw into the mix that the biggest defensive threat Los Angeles has, Aaron Donald is unlikely to play here and I will tell you that I do feel Green Bay is going to light up the scoreboard. Oh, by the way, they also had a while to prepare for Mayfield at the helm. The Rams are 1-4 ATS their last five games played following a straight up win and 1-3-1 ATS their last five games played versus NFC opponents. I see the Packers making a push late in the season, and it starts here. Lay the TD with Green Bay, folks. Thank you. |
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12-18-22 | Cowboys -3.5 v. Jaguars | 34-40 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
Dallas Cowboys. Angle Play. Game 321. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. If there is one team in the NFL that you could actually say is “Jekyll and Hyde“, it’s the Jacksonville Jaguars. However, one trend you cannot ignore is the fact that since they started winning, they alternate weeks winning and losing. November 6 was a win and cover against Las Vegas, November 13 was a loss and no cover against Kansas City, November 27 was a win and cover at home against Baltimore, December 4 was a loss and no cover on the road at Detroit, and December 11 was a win and cover away from home at Tennessee. They are alternating wins and losses. Well, I think you’re going see the trend continue for them again here this week. The Jaguars are running into the NFL’s second ranked defense of the Dallas Cowboys, which is allowing just 17.6-points per game. The Cowboys are winning. Let’s face it they’ve won for in a row and six of their last seven straight up en route to an overall record of 10-3. During their current four-game hot streak, they are accounting for over 37.2-points per game. Not only that, but I do see them moving the chains with their well-balanced unit against the Jacksonville defense that last played a well-balanced unit and gave a 40-points to Detroit. The tandem of Pollard and Elliott have teamed up for over 1,600 yards rushing and 18 TDs this season. They will control the pace of this game, move the chains, and open up the passing game for Dak Prescott. One more item that is very important folks, the Cowboys are one of the most bankable teams in the NFL. They are 8-1 ATS their last nine games played in the month of December, 13-3 ATS their last 16 games played versus teams with a losing record, and 11-3 ATS their last 14 games played on the road. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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12-17-22 | Dolphins v. Bills -7 | Top | 29-32 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 27 m | Show |
Buffalo Bills. AFC EAST GOM. Game 310. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. Following four consecutive straight up victories, Buffalo needs a win this week to earn an AFC playoff spot and bring them one step closer to an AFC East title. The Bills dominated the Dolphins, taking seven consecutive meetings in this division rivalry prior to the very strange September 25 “Butt punt“ game resulting in a 21-19 loss on the road. Revenge plays a big factor in this contest this week. But so does Buffalo trying to further widen their lead in the AFC East. They face a Miami team that has lost back-to-back games the last several weeks. The Dolphins offense has sputtered, tallying a combined 34-points in losses and no covers to the 49ers and the Chargers both on the road. This is their third straight outing away from home. Miami is not known to play well in cold-weather places and their record In Orchard Park, New York is not very good, as they are just 2-7-1 ATS the last 10 meetings there. The Dolphins have one of the worst rushing attacks in the NFL. As a matter fact, they rank 29th in the league, averaging just 89.8 yards per game on the ground. Being that they are no threat on the ground, the Buffalo defense, which ranks second overall in the league, allowing at 17.0-points per game, can key on their passing attack. They have had success in the air. However, the last few weeks, their aerial assault has crash-landed, producing almost as many interceptions as touchdowns. The Bills have a very well-balanced offensive attack, averaging sixth in the air and eighth on the ground. Overall, they are fourth in the NFL in scoring, averaging 27.2-points per game. Their ground assault will keep the Dolphins defense honest while Josh Allen opens up the sixth ranked passing game against the 23rd ranked pass defense in the league, and work his magic. Temperatures are expected to be in the 20’s and wind gusts of over 35 miles per hour for this game. And possible chance of snow. All things that work in Buffalo’s favor. One more item folks. The Bills in their only other attempt this season facing a team that has beaten them previously, crushed the Jets last week 20-12. They are very good when seeking revenge. Miami is 0-4 ATS their last four games played following a straight up loss, 1-5 ATS their last six games played on the road, and 3-7 ATS their last 10 games played overall. Buffalo is 5-1 ATS their last six games played in Week 15, 9-3-2 ATS their last 14 games played following an ATS loss, and 7-3 ATS their last 10 games played in the month of December. Take Buffalo. Thank you. |
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12-11-22 | Bucs v. 49ers -3 | 7-35 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
San Francisco 49ers. Angle Play. Game 124. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. The number is short here due to the QB situation. Brock Purdy has the luxury of stepping in to a monster offensive unit. San Fran is loaded with playmakers on the “O”. They also possess one of the NFL’S best stop-units, ranking in the Top-10 in just about every major category. They are 13-3 ATS their last 16 games played versus the NFC and 8-2 ATS their last 10 games played at home. Take the 49ERS. Thank you. |
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12-11-22 | Browns v. Bengals -3.5 | 10-23 | Win | 100 | 2 h 50 m | Show | |
Bengals. AFC NORTH GOM. Game 114. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Cincy is 8-4 SU and 9-3 ATS this season and is looking for some revenge here after a late-October humiliating loss to Cleveland. The Bengals are playing solid ball, and making bettors money, covering nine of their last 10 outings. They have also covered 12 of their last 16 meetings with the Browns. Cincinnati is healthier, is at home, and is rolling. Take the Bengals. Thank you. |
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12-04-22 | Jets +3 v. Vikings | 22-27 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 26 m | Show | |
New York Jets. No Limit. Game 451. Ready 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. For those of you who remember Rodney Dangerfield, his catchphrase was “I get no respect“. Meanwhile he was one of the most successful comedians that ever lived. I kind of think the New York Jets feel the same way. No matter what this team does, they just can’t earn any respect. No respect from the league. No respect from the media. And no respect from the odds makers. Well, we can’t do too much about the league or the media. But we can certainly take advantage of the odds makers. Not only does the team own one of the best records in the AFC at 7-4. But they’re also 7-4 against the spread in 2022. As far as the Minnesota Vikings go, I have been saying for quite a while now that this team is one of the luckiest in the NFL. Guys, I cannot argue the fact they have won nine-games. But they got a little luck in winning those nine-games. One thing for sure, you can’t bet on them because they’re just 5-5-1 against the spread this season. This tells me that the odds makers know the general public is going to bet on them and they inflate the line because of it. And once again here in this weeks match up, they’re doing that exact thing. Ya’ know they rank 32nd in the NFL in passing defense. The way Mike White looked last week passing for over 315 yards and three touchdowns, and most importantly, no interceptions, tells me he’s going to have another successful performance this week. On the flipside, very quietly New York possesses the fifth ranked defense in the NFL, yielding a mere 17.8-points per game. And being that Minny has no rushing attack to speak of, the Jets defense can key on the passing game, pressure Kirk Cousins, and force mistakes. New York has been money on the road this season covering four of five as a visitor. Oh, by the way this is usually the time of year when Minnesota starts to fold like a cheap suit, only covering twice over the last eight in the month of December. I like the Jets outright. But I’ll take the points here with Gang Green. Thank you. |
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12-04-22 | Titans +4.5 v. Eagles | 10-35 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 24 m | Show | |
Tennessee Titans. High Roller. Game 457. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. There is no questioning the fact that the Philadelphia Eagles are a very good football team. However over recent weeks we seen teams play them a lot tougher. They could not cover the point spread in Houston at the beginning of November. They lost outright at home against Washington. They eked out a one-point victory at Indianapolis. And then they got a little lucky with a seven -point victory over the struggling Green Bay team at home. Over the last month, each of their opponents have come to realize they can exploit the Eagles weakness. That is when adversaries control the clock and the time in possession. By running the football each of those opponents have made it very difficult for Philly and their office to get an any rhythm on the field. Well, this week they have to go up against one of the best running backs in the NFL in Derrick Henry. The stellar ball-carrier already has over 1,048 yards rushing and 10 touchdowns on the ground. You’re going to see a heavy dose of him running the ball and pounding the Eagles defense play after play. This will keep the Philly “D” honest and on the field. And most importantly Jalen Hurts and their offense off it. By the way, last weeks 20-16 loss to Cincinnati was Tennessee’s first no-cover since mid-September. They are 5-0 ATS the last five games played on the road, 4-1 ATS the last five games played following a straight up loss, and 8-1 ATS the last nine games played overall. Take Tennessee. Thank you. |
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12-04-22 | Jaguars v. Lions | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 24 h 23 m | Show | |
Detroit Lions. Angle Play. Game 460. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM PST. You know guys, sports betting isn’t about who wins. It’s about who covers. And right now, no team is running as hot against the spread as the Detroit Lions. Detroit has covered four consecutive contests. Meanwhile they’ve also won three of their last four and to be honest, had the Buffalo Bills on the ropes the entire game last week. The Lions are without question, a much-improved team right now from the start of the season. And they are getting better with each passing week. And you know what folks, they’re getting healthier too. They should see the return of some key cogs in the wheel on both the offensive and the defensive squads this week. Lots of the headlines surrounding the Jaguars are about Trevor Lawrence orchestrating a game-winning drive last week against the Ravens. But in all sincerity, their defense was steamrolled the entire game. And I think we would all agree Lamar Jackson and Baltimore has been known to give up quite a few leads this season. I know both defenses here rank among the worst in the NFL. However, running back Jamaal Williams has very quietly tallied over 13 touchdowns on the ground. And wide receiver D’Andre Swift looks to be 100% healthy again. Having both of these guys full throttle this week will allow quarterback Jared Goff some time to do what he used to do… and that’s pick defenses apart. Let’s not forget Detroit had an extra few days to rest, heal, and prepare. And Dan Campbell has proven to be a pretty sharp guy. Jacksonville is 1-1-7 ATS the last nine games played on the road, 0-7 ATS the last seven games played in the month of December, 2-7 ATS the last nine games played versus teams with a losing record, and 5-13-1 ATS the last 19 games played overall. Detroit is 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played at home, 5-1 ATS the last six games played following in against the spread win, 5-2 ATS the last seven home games played versus teams with a losing road record, and 15-7 ATS the last 22 games played on field turf. Take the Lions as my best bet this week and take your bookmakers money. Thank you. |
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12-01-22 | Bills v. Patriots +3.5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
Guys I am all over the NFL LEADERBOARDS. My pro football has been HOT, HOT, HOT. And going into Conference Championships and Bowl Season the upcoming weeks in college football, I will crush every sports book on the planet. I have been documented at as much as 90% during this time of year in NCAA FOOTBALL. I have had Bowl campaigns in which I brought you nearly perfect Bowl seasons. This I the time of year you MUST follow a winning capper and I am one of the mot successful cappers in December and January in the history of this business. Grab a discount and ensure yourself a winning season. I also posted my two strongest college hoops releases thus far this short campaign today: 52-15 NCAAB LAS VEGAS STRIP MOVE which are 1-0 this season already and my PAC-12 GAME OF THE WEEK. I have them posted individually and in a DISCOUNTED 2-PACK. Thursday’s FREE WINNER: New England Patriots. Game 302. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Do you know what I hear out of the Buffalo camp? I hear that travel has been an issue for this team, short weeks has recently been an issue for this team, and weather has been an issue for this team. You know what I don’t hear? Anybody taking responsibility for any of their issues. Guys, I’m not looking to put down the Buffalo Bills or their fans. But I will tell you looking closely at their record so far this season, this team is only a couple of unlucky plays away from being a sub .500 team. Yes, guys they will make the playoffs. But this isn’t the powerhouse many out there believe they are. First of all, Josh Allen is a good quarterback. But he’s not a genius guys. He is far from it. He still doesn’t know when to tuck the ball and take a sack or throw it out of bounds. Their offense has over 19 turnovers already. And they all fall on the shoulders of Josh Allen. This doesn’t bode well when you’re facing a defense like the Patriots possess. Not only did they allow just 18.4 points per game, but they’ve also snagged 16 turnovers already. They are equally good against the pass as they are the rush. Granted their offense leaves a lot to be desired. But to be very honest with you, the Buffalo defense is overworked and tired. Their last three outings, they’ve allowed 81 points to Minnesota, Cleveland, and Detroit. Every week their defense is leaking a little more and more. My friends, I feel this is the week that running back Rhamondre Stevenson will really break out against an overworked and tired Buffalo defense. This will allow Mac Jones to open up their passing game a bit. I also think you might catch the Bills maybe looking ahead a bit. Between this game and the next two contests, they are facing three division rivals in the Patriots, the Jets, and the Dolphins. The next three weeks will decide who takes the AFC East my friends. And right now, it isn’t looking like Buffalo. By the way, I think of all the players that are injured this week, linebacker Von Miller’s absence will be the most significant. Buffalo is 1-3-1 ATS the last five games played on the road and 1-4-1 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a winning record. Meanwhile, New England is 7-3 ATS the last 10 games played at home and 4-0 ATS the last four games played versus AFC opponents. I really like the line on this game. So, I am siding with the Patriots. Thank you. |
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11-27-22 | Falcons v. Commanders -3.5 | 13-19 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
Washington Commanders. 95% ANGLE PLAY. Game 256. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Ron Rivera has the Washington Commanders not just believing they can win, he has them winning. This is a team that has won five of the last six straight up and is just a half-point away from covering six in a row. It seems that they are progressing with each game. If they were going to drop a game, it would’ve been last week in a letdown mode following the thumping of the Eagles a few weeks back. However, they came out strong a week ago and took down the Texans with authority. I don’t see the team slowing down. They have a very good chance of the postseason. Believe it or not they are still in the running for the Division. With teams like the Eagles and the Cowboys looking mortal, and the Giants, well being the Giants, the Commanders have a mathematical chance of taking the competitive NFC East. And what better team to face the Atlanta Falcons. Talk about a “Jekyll and Hyde” team. This team is not just struggling, they are also failing to get bettors paid covering just once since mid-October. The once high-flying aerial assault of their offense is currently ranked 31st, passing for just 154 yards per game. This offense solely relies upon the run. Well, that does not bode too well as Washington enters this matchup with the sixth ranked run defense. Overall, they allow just 20.3 points per game. I know their offense, statistically leaves a lot to be desired. But you can’t ignore the fact that they put up 55-points the last two weeks. One thing the Commanders string together is paydays for those who bet on them. They are 18-7-1 ATS 26 following a straight up win. Take Washington. Thank you. |
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11-24-22 | Patriots +2.5 v. Vikings | 26-33 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 29 m | Show | |
New England Patriots. NO LIMIT PLAY. Game 109. 5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST. Sports fans, I have been saying for months that I feel Minnesota is a very lucky team. Yes, I am noy going to argue the fact that they have won eight games. But I feel that scheduling and may be a little bit of luck has gone their way this season. If you look at the teams they’ve beaten, only one really good team did they get the better of and that was a few weeks ago at Buffalo, winning 33-30 in overtime. Let’s talk truth, they had a few things go their way for them to earn that victory. Other than that, they have played only two decent teams, and lost both of those contests in Philadelphia and against Dallas. In last weeks 40-3 embarrassing rout at the hands of the Cowboys, the Vikings weaknesses were exposed. One thing head coach Bill Belichick can do is exploit weaknesses. Put a pin in that we’re going to come back around to it. Very quietly, the Patriots are winning. They have won five of the last six straight up and six of their last seven against the spread. The Minnesota offensive line got flattened last week, allowing seven sacks. Like I said Belichick and his very smart coaching staff will exploit this weakness. Not only is the Vikings offensive line in for a long day here, but overall, their offense is going to have a tough time moving to chains whether it be on the ground or in the air against the top-10 Patriots “D”. In every category the stop-unit of New England is extremely strong. To add insult to injury, they only allow 16.9 points per game. Oh yeah, Minny has also lost one of their better receivers and a starting cornerback. Look for the New England offense to spring back to life here and further beat up on an overworked and overrated Vikings defense. The Patriots are 7-0 ATS the last seven in November, 3-0-1 ATS the last four on the road, and 3-0-1 ATS the last for versus teams with winning record. Take New England. Thank you. |
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11-24-22 | Bills v. Lions +9.5 | 28-25 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
Detroit Lions. ANGLE PLAY. Game 106. 9:30 AM PST/12:30 PM EST. Guys, I know how good the Buffalo Bills are. But this long and arduous season seems to be taking its toll on the team. And I think that we can all agree that over the last several weeks not only have they looked beatable, they have been beatable. This is a team that has dropped two of their last three and has failed to cover three of the last four. Their defense in the month of November has allowed 20, 33, and 23-points. Well, in comes the Detroit Lions, which have won and covered three straight. A victory here would put them in the NFC wildcard race. There is very little pressure on this them and they are starting to roll. Offensively, they account for over 25-points per game with a squad that is very well-balanced, having success both in the air and on the ground. It is through the air in which they will exploit the 20th ranked pass defense of Buffalo. Because they run the ball also with success, they can eat up the clock and keep the Bills defense on the field, and Josh Allen and their offense off it. I understand how poor the Lions defensive statistics are. But the Bills are looking mortal these days. Not only that, but their turnover ratio is now -3 over the last eight games. They’ve also only covered one of their last four as a visitor this season. Oh, by the way, they failed to cover the little last two as a double-digit favorite as well. Detroit is 6-0 ATS the last six in November, 7-2 ATS the last nine at home, 6-2 the last eight versus teams with a winning record, and 13-6 ATS the last 19 overall. Take the Lions. Thank you. |
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11-20-22 | Chiefs -5 v. Chargers | 30-27 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 10 m | Show | |
Kansas City Chiefs. AFC WEST GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 469. 5:25 PM PST/8:25 PM EST. Injuries are really starting to pile up for Los Angeles, despite covering their last two outings. On both sides of the ball, the list of injured players is too long to even name. Kansas City has their own health issues. But I think we would all agree the Chiefs are much deeper and more talented than the Chargers. Looking at the L.A.’s five victories this season, not one has come against an opponent currently owning a winning record. Meanwhile K.C. is starting to stride, Patrick Mahomes is about to surpass 3,000 yards passing and as long as he has Travis Kelce at his disposal, the Chargers can not trade scores with the Chiefs. Kansas City is posting over 30.0 points per game while their “D” has held their last two foes to just 17.0 points per game. To make matters worse for Los Angeles, they have failed to cover the last three at SoFi Stadium. The Chiefs are 8-1 ATS the last nine in Los Angeles and 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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11-20-22 | Commanders -3 v. Texans | 23-10 | Win | 100 | 26 h 51 m | Show | |
Washington Commanders. 91% ANGLE PLAY. Game 457. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. You know sports fans, with the Eagles looking mortal and the Cowboys…well looking like the Cowboys, the Commanders certainly have a chance at possibly competing for the NFC East crown. Moreover, sitting at 5-5 right now and a lot of NFC mid-level squads like the Seahawks, Cowboys, and Falcons all dropping games a week ago, this team has a very, very good chance at making the postseason. Taylor Heinicke will remain the starting QB, and why not? He’s been adequate and will be under center for his fifth start this season. Chase Young is expected to make his return. While it was released and he will be on “pitch count“, he will still have an impact on this game. Washington enters this matchup motivated and rolling. Let’s face it, they’re a half-point away from covering five straight and a little better than a field goal away from winning five straight. This is a team that is playing with momentum, enthusiasm, and optimism. No, they’re not flashy, but they do play good solid football. It seems that with each passing week, they are getting better and better. Their defense is holding teams to just over 21-points per game. And as I mentioned, their offense is improving with each outing. As a matter fact, the 32-points they put up, throwing a monkey wrench into Philly’s perfect season was the most they’ve accounted for in any outing thus far. On the other hand, the Houston Texans own the worst record in the NFL at 1-7-1. This is a team with very little talent, playing with no motivation, and let’s be honest, a head coach who hasn’t led a winning team in over a decade. They pose almost no threat offensively. And I feel things are going to get worse for this team. There are rumors that the Texans might have a quarterback change very soon. But it really doesn’t matter who is at the helm here, this team has very little talent. And because their offense is so weak, their defense is overworked. The Commanders are 15-6-1 ATS the last 22 games played following a straight up win, 4-1-1 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a losing record, 6-0-1 ATS the last seven games played in November, and 4-0-1 ATS the last five games played overall. Take Washington here. Thank you. |
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11-20-22 | Lions v. Giants -3 | Top | 31-18 | Loss | -120 | 124 h 14 m | Show |
New York Giants. High Roller Play Sunday, November 20, 2022. Game 462. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. -3. Consensus. The New York Giants are sitting in second place in the competitive NFC East, just one-game behind the Philadelphia Eagles. Many people out there feel that the Eagles schedule wasn’t the toughest so far this season. And judging from their performance on Monday night against the Washington Commanders, I think we all can visibly see they have some weaknesses that can be exploited. Just FYI my friends, they have trouble against teams that can run the ball and control the time of possession. And over the following few weeks, they are facing opponents that have strong rushing attacks. My point being, New York has a very good opportunity to win this division. But they can only do so if they keep their foot on the gas. They face a Detroit Lions team here that ranks 32nd in the league defensively. That’s right, they are dead-last in points allowed, getting steamrolled for over 29.3-points per game. To be quite honest, every major defensive category they rank amongst the worst in the NFL. But the one that truly stands out to me in this game, is their 31st ranking against the rush. Let’s put a pin in that and come back around to it. Detroit had only one straight up victory up until the last few weeks. They did beat Green Bay at home and Chicago on the road this month. But let’s talk turkey (so close to Thanksgiving LOL). Neither the Packers nor the Bears have any sort of offense. We all know that Aaron Rodgers is struggling as the team possesses the poorest record and some of their worst statistics in as far back as we can remember. As far as Chicago goes, no one expected them to do too much this season, and yet they’re still underachieving. By the way folks, these are two teams that Detroit knows very well and see several times each season, sharing the same division. Going back to New York, following their first loss of the 2022/2023 campaign in late-September, they then rattled off four consecutive wins and covers. They did lose a few weeks ago in Seattle. But last week they absolutely decimated Houston at home. This tells me they will start rolling again. Now offensively the Giants possess the third-ranked rushing attack in football. Saquon Barkley has accumulated over one 931 yards rushing and six touchdowns on the ground. You’re going to see a heavy dose of him this week. Not only that but he also has 29 receptions. He will star in his own highlight reel here in this matchup. He will keep the Lions defense honest, move the chains, and cross the goal line at will. His presence will also allow Daniel Jones to open up the passing game. The quarterback has very quietly passed for just under 1,600 yards on a 65.8% completion rate, with eight touchdowns and only two interceptions. He doesn’t make many mistakes. He’s not flashy. But he doesn’t have to be in this offense. This is also a unit that makes very little mistakes altogether, only committing three turnovers thus far this season. With the running attack New York possesses, they will control the time of possession, keep the Detroit defense on the field, and most importantly, Jared Goff and the Lions offense off it. When Goff and the “O” is on the field, they will have a tough time against a Giants “D” that is holding opponents to under 20-points per game (19.6 PPG). The Giants are 20-8-1 ATS the last 29 games played versus teams with a losing record, 4-1 ATS the last five games played at home, 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played in the month of November, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take New York. Thank you. |
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11-17-22 | Titans +3.5 v. Packers | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
Tennessee Titans. Game 311. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Very quietly the Tennessee Titans have covered seven consecutive contests, winning six of those seven outings straight up. Keep in mind they didn’t have Ryan Tannehill under center for a few of those games. The quarterback returned to lead this team from a 10–0 deficit to a 17-10 victory last week against the Denver Broncos. Granted, the Green Bay Packers did end a five-game losing streak themselves by rallying from a 28-14 deficit to force overtime and take a 31-28 decision over the Dallas Cowboys last week. But pump the brakes on that game my friends. I think we can all agree that Cowboys head coach, Mike McCarthy may have contributed to that. His decision making all season once again has been suspect. But in that specific game, I believe he caused Dallas to lose. Now we know that Aaron Rodgers’ numbers have fallen significantly this season. A lot of people are saying it’s because his receiving core is gone or injured. That is true. But at the same token, he can’t make plays like he used to. So, the Packers offense is leaning heavily on the running game. But this week they have to face the NFL’s second-ranked rush defense in the Titans. Tennessee only allows 85.1 yards per game on the ground this season. They will have some success in the air here. But overall, I think quarterback in real trouble. I don’t see this offense lighting up the scoreboard here. Let’s remember they only account for 18.5-points per game to begin with. On the flipside, Tennessee is going to give Green Bay a heavy dose of Derrick Henry on the ground. Especially because this is a place where Green Bay has gotten steamrolled defensively, ranking 26th and allowing over 140.6 yards per game to the rush. Green Bay has dropped three straight the season laying points at home. They are not reliable as chalk even if it is in Lambeau Field. Tennessee is 4-0 ATS the last four games played on the road, 5-0 ATS the last five games played versus teams with a losing record, and 5-0 ATS the last five games played on grass. Take the Titans. Thank you. |
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11-14-22 | Commanders +11 v. Eagles | 32-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Washington Commanders. Game 265. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. My friends, the Philadelphia Eagles certainly deserve all their accolades. I mean let’s face it, we are just past halfway through the season, and they are sitting at 8-0. They are a good football team. But I do feel that the odds makers are overvaluing them, especially here on Monday Night. Making them more than double-digit favorites against a very game division opponent like the Washington Commanders is a mistake. Washington enters this match up winning three of their last four straight up and are just a half-point away from covering all four of those outings. This is a team that’s getting better as the season progresses. They’re not as flashy and they don’t have as many big names on this team as the Eagles, but this team can play football. No, their offense isn’t breaking any records. But their defense is pretty darn good. And head coach Ron Rivera has them believing they can win. You know Philadelphia as I mentioned is a very good football team. But I think a little bit of luck and good situations have helped them a little bit to stay undefeated. I feel there’s a lot of pressure on this team to win at this point. However, Washington does not have any pressure on them. Every victory they get is just a bonus for them at this point. And the fact that they are 4-5 right now they still have a chance of making the playoffs. I just feel the Eagles come in here a little overconfident. And I believe is in a huge letdown mode. You know they haven’t played the strongest opponents yet this season. Outside of one or two games, most of their matchups have been against subpar teams. The Commanders are 8-3-2 ATS the last 13 games on grass, 5-0-1 ATS the last six games in November, and 3-0-1 ATS the last four games overall. Take Washington. Thank you. |
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11-13-22 | Cowboys -4 v. Packers | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 42 m | Show |
Dallas Cowboys. NFC GAME OF THE WEEK. Game 261. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Without question, Aaron Rodgers is a first ballot Hall of Famer. Also, without question he is one of the most successful quarterbacks of this generation. What is questionable is the fact that some think the Green Bay Packers can turn things around the season. Well sports fans, we are more than halfway through the regular season and they are just 3-6 both straight up and against the spread. They have dropped five in a row straight up and five of the last six against the number. The offense ranks 27th, accounting for a dismal 17.1-points per game. Yes, the defense has been more than adequate. They rank second against the pass and only allow 20.9-points per game. But they are tired and overworked. There was a high-hopes for this team as a true NFC competitor. They took a season-opening loss at Minnesota. Then they followed that up with three straight up victories. But since October 2, the Packers have failed to win a single contest. There once explosive offense has mustered just 15.8-points per game during their current slide. Because of this, their fatigued stop-unit is starting to spring leaks. I am well aware of the fact that they have taken three in a row against the Cowboys, both straight up and against the spread. But these aren’t the same two squads that have met in recent years. Dallas comes into this matchup winning six of their last seven, both straight up and against the spread. And had an extra week to rest, heal, and prepare. The Cowboys offense is adequate. But what makes them so good is they make so few mistakes. It has been their defense that has very quietly been one of the league’s best, holding opponents to just 16.6-points per game, ranking third in that category, fourth in passing yards allowed, 10th in total yards allowed, and fifth in takeaways, snagging 14 turnovers. This is particularly a place where the Packers have struggled, committing 13 turnovers thus far. The road team has covered the last four meetings in this NFC rivalry. Meanwhile the Cowboys are 6-1 ATS the last seven games played on the road, 19-7 ATS the last 26 games played versus NFC opponents, and 22-8 ATS the last 30 games played overall. The Packers are 1-4 ATS the last five games played at home, 2-6 ATS the last eight games played versus the NFC, and 1-5 ATS the last six games played overall. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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11-13-22 | Colts +4.5 v. Raiders | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 38 h 23 m | Show | |
Indianapolis Colts. AFC GOW. Game 257. 1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST. Sports fans, it’s not an often occurrence that a team gets a second-chance during the regular season. I’m here to tell you the Indianapolis Colts have just that, a second-chance this season. This is a team which has had their offensive line break down, affecting their running game, and even a change at the quarterback position. And most recently, the firing of their head coach. However interim head coach former center, Jeff Saturday is very well-liked by the front office, the fans, and most importantly, the players. He will bring a fresh new look, attitude, and optimism to this team this week. And what better opponent the face than the struggling Las Vegas Raiders. My friends I know the Raiders team very well. I live here in southern Nevada. I know the coaching staff. I know the players. I even watch practices. This team is not a very good team. Their head coach is one of the worst I have seen in recent memory making in-game decisions. And their quarterback is absolutely horrible. Guys this is not Fresno State. And Carr is not a big-game NFL quarterback. They enter this weeks matchup losing and failing to cover the last two games against teams that on paper, they were better than. Listen, the rumor mill around Vegas is there is a lot of dissension in the locker room. And things are going to get worse for this team before they even show a glimpse of getting better. As of this post, Sam Ehlinger is to remain the starting quarterback for Indy. And I believe he will have huge success in the year against the 26th-ranked pass defense of Vegas. On the flipside, please understand that the Colts possess a very strong, well-balanced defense. They rank 13th in the league allowing just 20.3-points per game. They rank sixth against the pass, 11th against the rush, and 5th overall in yards allowed. While the Raiders do have talent. I’m not gonna’ argue that. They just can’t get their act together. And forget about the quicksand factor. If anything goes wrong with this team during the game, things get significantly worse thereafter. They just don’t have real leadership, a smart coach, or a quarterback that can take them down the field with authority. The road team has covered four consecutive meetings in this series. Indianapolis is 18-7-1 ATS the last 26 road games versus teams with a losing home record. And guys Las Vegas is just 1-5 ATS the last six games played in November. They tend to fold like a cheap suit later on in the season. Take Indianapolis. Thank you. |
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11-13-22 | Texans v. Giants -4.5 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 35 h 20 m | Show | |
New York Giants. 89% Angle. Game 246. 10:00 AM PST 1:00 PM EST. My friends, the New York Giants are not pretty, they’re not flashy, and heck they’re not a very exciting football team. But what they are is successful this season. This is a team that was touted to be the poorest in the NFC East. But nearly halfway through the regular season, they are tied for second place at 6-2. What is astounding to me is the fact the 1-6-1 Houston Texans are only a 4.5-point underdog here. New York comes off a bye week following their first loss since September. It was also their first no cover since September. Look for them to bounce back strong here as they will steamroll the worst rush defense in the NFL with their fourth-ranked rushing offense. Let’s face it, Houston is just horrible. Offensively, defensively, their numbers are dismal. But as far as their offense goes, they rank 28th in scoring averaging a laughable 16.6-points per game. They have to line up against a New York Giants stop-unit, ranking ninth in the NFL, yielding just 19.6-points per game. The Giants had two weeks to stew over their first loss in quite a while, rest, heal, and prepare for this next contest. I look for them to not just come out here win and cover, but make a true statement. Going back a way, New York has won and covered four straight in this series. They are also 19-8-1 ATS the last 28 versus teams with a losing record, 7-2 ATS the last nine in November, and 4-1 ATS the last five overall. They may not do it pretty, but they do, do it. Take New York. Thank you. |
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11-13-22 | Vikings v. Bills -3.5 | Top | 33-30 | Loss | -105 | 51 h 28 m | Show |
Buffalo Bills. NO LIMIT GOM. Game 254. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. My friends, let’s face it the line in the Vikings/Bills matchup should be closer to eight or nine-points. It is this low due to the fact that we are uncertain as to the status of Josh Allen as of this point. If he goes, this line will skyrocket. If he doesn’t, then it looks like backup quarterback Case Keenum will be at the helm. And people are all nervous about this. With all respect, I could step up and take the helm and guide this team to victory. They rank third in the league in scoring, lighting up scoreboards for over 27.5-points per game. Now they do own the third-ranked passing attack in the NFL. Even if Allen does not go and Keenum is under center, please remember he is a 10-year veteran of the NFL. And he has put up some solid numbers on a couple of different teams. He has a receiving corps so good and so deep that trust me when I tell you, he can put up good numbers in the air here. But overall let’s not forget the fact that this team is one of the better rushing teams in the league. So, they can crutch on their ground game to open up the passing game. And that is all moot because they own the top-ranked defense in the NFL. They have been shutting down offenses all season long, allowing just 14.8-points per game. I mean they rank in the top-10 in every single defensive category. Now let’s talk about the Minnesota Vikings. In my opinion they are the luckiest team in the NFL. They are certainly not nearly as good as their 7-1 record. I think they’ve gotten darn lucky folks. I mean they needed the final two-minutes to beat the Commanders by just three-points, they beat Kyler Murray after he admittedly spent the night before without sleep playing Call of Duty (true story), they beat the Dolphins with a third-string quarterback, they beat the Bears by seven when they were really struggling, they needed a missed field goal to beat Andy Dalton and the Saints, they did beat the Lions, which are own one of the worst defenses in the league, they lost to the Eagles badly and beat the what now we have come to realize, a very overrated Packers. Like I said, they’re a very lucky team. No matter what they do offensively, they have to line up against a ferocious defense that knows they may have to compensate for a backup quarterback on offense. Plus, guys this team is horrible at defending the pass. As I said if Josh Allen plays this line is going to soar. And he’s gonna’ light them up in the air. And if he doesn’t, Case Keenum is good enough to light them up too. No, he’s not is flashy as Allen or as successful, but in this system against this pass defense, he could put up some good numbers. To add insult to injury, the Bills come off their first loss since September. And they are 6-1-2 ATS the last nine following a straight up loss, 5-1-1 ATS the last seven at home, and 11-4-1 the last 16 in the month of November. Take Buffalo no matter who is at the helm here. But get it in early just in case Allen does start on this line skyrockets. Take the Bills. Thank you. |
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11-06-22 | Titans +12.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 48 h 52 m | Show |
Tennessee Titans. AFC GOW. Game 471. 5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST. My friends, I’m not looking to ruffle any feathers here. I know the Kansas City Chiefs are one of the best teams in the NFL. But who the heck are they to be laying this type of wood against the Tennessee Titans? I get it, the Titans are having some quarterback issues. But no matter who is under center, the Tennessee offense is not a passing offense. This is a team that has accumulated a 5-2 straight up record, and for our purposes also a 5-2 ATS record, with the 31st ranked passing attack. So, I’m not going to let the odds makers trap me into thinking that if Tannehill can’t go and it’s Willis, that the Titans aren’t still the play here. This is a team that relies upon the rush. I know the Chiefs are good against defending the run. But they have yet to face a ground attack like the caliber of this one. Not only will Tennessee give them a heavy dose of Derrick Henry, who by the way is going to play sports fans, not only will they get a heavy dose of Henry, but Tennessee will also have the luxury of eating up a lot of clock, keeping the Chiefs defense on the field. Let’s not forget, no matter who is at the helm, KC ranks 30th in the league defending the pass. Defensively, I know the Titans are going to give up some yardage in the air to Patrick Mahomes. But I doubt that the Chiefs are going to have any success on the ground here at all against one of the stingiest run defenses in the league. The Titans have won five of the last six meetings in this series, both straight up and against the spread. This includes last years, 27-3 drubbing. They have also covered five straight coming into this matchup, are 4-0 ATS the last four versus the AFC, 5-2 ATS the last seven on grass, and 12-4 ATS the last 16 road games versus teams with a winning home record. Just in case you’re keeping count, the Chiefs are 0-4 ATS the last four following a straight up win, 0-5 ATS the last five versus AFC opponents, and 0-4 ATS the last four in Arrowhead. Take Tennessee folks. Thank you. |
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11-06-22 | Panthers v. Bengals -7 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 25 h 47 m | Show | |
Cincinnati Bengals. No Limit. Game 464. 10:00 AM PST 1:00 PM EST. Following a 4-1 straight up run, in which Cincinnati covered all five games, last week in Cleveland they were humiliated, 32-13. I look for them to bounce back strong here as on both sides of the ball they are significantly stronger than Carolina. It’s no secret the Panthers are one of the worst teams in the NFL. And after last weeks 37-34 near miss in overtime in Atlanta, I just feel this team is going to throw the white flag up on the season this week. As of this point, the Carolina starting quarterback has not been determined. But whether it’s Walker, Donald, or Mayfield, they are going to have to line up against a Cincinnati defense that did not allow a second-half touchdown prior to Monday. They will come here angry and looking for redemption. When the Bengals have the ball, their sixth-ranked passing offense will dissect one of the worst pass defenses in the league. And things will go better from bad to worse the Carolina here as they will be without starting safety, Justion Burris and have a banged-up cornerback Donte Jackson in the secondary. The Panthers are 1–6 ATS the last seven on the road, 0-4 ATS the last four versus teams with the winning record, 2-9 ATS the last 11 following a straight up loss, and 5-17 ATS the last 22 overall. The Bengals are 6-1 ATS the last seven at home, 4-1 ATS the lats four following a SU loss, 7-3 ATS the last 10 at home versus teams with a losing road record, and 13-3 ATS the last 16 overall. Take the Bengals. Thank you. |
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10-30-22 | Giants +3 v. Seahawks | Top | 13-27 | Loss | -105 | 43 h 49 m | Show |
New York Giants. NFC GOW. Game 269. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.
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10-30-22 | Patriots v. Jets +3 | 22-17 | Loss | -120 | 40 h 37 m | Show | |
New York Jets. Late Info Move. Game 266. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST My friends, the worm has turned in the AFC East. For decades we have watched the New England Patriots reign supreme. And we have also watched as the New York Jets have been the division doormat. While currently New England sits in last place in the division, New York has taken over the second-spot just behind Buffalo. After big road victories playing in tough places like Lambeau and Mile High, the Jets return to East Rutherford in front of their home crowd here. With the news that Mac Jones will be returning this week under center, the general public is playing New England. Come on folks. I like Jones. But let’s be honest. He has two touchdowns and six interceptions. And now he has to face the very stout New York “D”. You may not realize this but the Jets are not only yielding just 19.6 points per game, but they have also snagged 11 turnovers. The Patriots are one of the worst teams in the league committing turnovers, already coughing up the ball 15 times. In my opinion Bill Belichick and his team has an enormous amount of pressure on them. A lot more pressure than Robert Saleh and his boys. Actually, if you think about it, New York has almost no pressure on them because nobody expected them to win. Every victory they get is a bonus for the team at this point. Things will go from bad to worse for New England, while New York get another “W” here. The Patriots are 0-4 ATS the last four versus the AFC East. The Jets are 5-0 ATS the last five in October. The wrong team is favored here. But I will take the points with the Gang Green here, folks. Take New York. Thank you. |