Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-27-22 | Ravens +2 v. Bucs | 27-22 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Baltimore Ravens. Thursday Night Football Winner. Game 101. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Funny thing, the Baltimore Ravens are just a couple of plays away from being 7-0 instead of being 4-3. Coming in here needing some victories, I feel the Ravens are much hungrier for sure. Not only that, but I just don’t see the Buccaneers defense compensating for their lack of offense anymore. I mean let’s face it, this is a team that has dropped four of the last five straight up and all five of those against the spread. The Tampa Bay offense is so deplorable, that their defense has become overworked and fatigued. I just don’t see Tom Brady getting out of his funk. Nor do I see this team coming back in what we call the “do for “ factor. I understand the Bucs have quite a few injuries that has contributed to their current downfall. But this team is just not playing with any emotion. And they certainly have no momentum whatsoever. Look for quarterback Lamar Jackson to work his magic on the ground, keeping the Tampa Bay defense honest, which will open up the Baltimore passing game. As I mentioned, the Bucs defense is fatigued and overworked. There is no way they could content in this matchup. The road team is 5-0 ATS the last five meetings in the series. The Ravens are 23-11-1 ATS the last 35 games played on grass. The Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS the last four games played at home. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
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10-23-22 | Giants +3.5 v. Jaguars | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
New York Giants. No Limit. Game 453. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. I know a lot of people out there are waiting for a shoe to drop on the New York Giants. But I’m here to tell you folks, that their carriage is no way turning into a pumpkin. At least not this Sunday. At this time last year, they lost five of their first six games. What an improvement! You may not realize this, but they own one of the three best records in the NFC. And one of the four best records in all of football. Believe it or not, I think this team is going to actually get better because they welcome back a couple of key defenders last week. And what can we say about quarterback Daniel Jones? He seems to be more and more comfortable with each passing week in this system. Love them or hate them, this team is for real. If you don’t believe me, just look at last weeks win over the Ravens. They were down 20-10 in the fourth quarter and then they came back to take down Lamar Jackson and the mighty Baltimore team. On the flipside you got a Jacksonville Jaguars team that is riding a three-game loss and no cover streak. I get it, they should have lost in Philadelphia back at the beginning of the month. But no way should they have taken defeats at the hands of Houston at home or even in Indianapolis last week. They are going to have a tough time trying to move the chains against the feisty seventh-ranked New York defense. And I do feel you are going to see Daniel Jones and workhorse running back Saquon Barkley, who by the way is listed as questionable with the soldier issue but reports are that he will play…I believe we going to see these two have their best performances so far this season. I have New York being a two-point favorite in my power ratings line. Take the Giants and take them to the bank. Cinderella continues in that dress, in that carriage, and goes to another ball. Thank you. |
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10-23-22 | Browns v. Ravens -6 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
Baltimore Ravens. AFC North Game of the Month. Game 460. 10:00 AM PST /1:00 PM EST. The Ravens return home this week following another disappointing loss in which they blew another lead. They sit at 3-3 and are tied for the top spot in the division. In their three defeats this season, the Baltimore was ahead in all three, only to give up late leads. The Browns are absolutely horrible, failing to win or cover their last three outings. They possess one of the weakest defenses in the NFL, ranking 30th and yielding 27.2 points per game. Look for Lamar Jackson and company to bounce back here and take over the AFC North against their division rival. They have covered the last five meetings in this series. And are 5-1 ATS the last six games played following an ATS loss. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
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10-23-22 | Packers -4.5 v. Commanders | 21-23 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Green Bay Packers. Bookie Buster. Game 463. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Aaron Rodgers has his lowest QB rating of his career. The team has dropped their last two games and sit in second place in their division at 3-3. There is no way the Packers will let another poor opponent get the best of them. The Commanders are down to Taylor Heinicke at the helm. The team got a win last week over the Bears breaking their four-game slide (both SU and ATS). Their offense is non-existent, ranking 29th in the league, averaging a dismal, 17.0 points per game. They just won’t be able to content with an angry Rodgers and the Green Bay “O”. The Packers are 11-5 ATS the last 16 vs. the NFC. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
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10-17-22 | Broncos v. Chargers -4 | 16-19 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
Chargers. MNF PAYDAY Game 2576. 5:15 pm pst/8:15 pm est. There is no love lost between the Broncos and Chargers. A win here would certainly help Los Angeles jump another game ahead of Denver in the AFC West. And why shouldn’t they win? They have won their last two outings both straight up and against the spread. Meanwhile the Broncos are slumping. They have dropped their last two both straight up and against the number. Denver‘s offense is sputtering. They rank 31st in the NFL, averaging a dismal 15.0 points per game. I just don’t feel no matter how good their fourth ranked defense is, that they can keep pace offensively with the Chargers in this game. I do feel that the 1-2 punch of quarterback Justin Herbert and running back Austin Ekeler will be enough to put the Broncos on the ropes and eventually knock them out. The home team is 5-0 ATS the last five meetings in the series. The Broncos are 1-5-1 ATS the last seven games played on Monday night, 1-7 ATS the last eight games played versus AFC opponents, and 0-5 ATS the last five games played on the road. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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10-16-22 | Cowboys +6.5 v. Eagles | 17-26 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
Dallas. LATE BAILOUT. Game 273. 5:20 pm pst. If you got a guy winning you stay with him. And that’s why I feel Cooper Rush will be under center, Sunday Night. Very quietly, the Dallas “D” has held all opponents to 19-points or less per game, yielding an average of just 14.4 points per game. They are equally strong against the rush as well as the pass. Not only that, but they’ve already snagged seven takeaways that’s far this season. Dallas took both meetings a season ago. And going back to December 2020, they’ve won and covered the last three consecutive matchups in this division rivalry. The Eagles have a very good offense. But the Dallas “D” can certainly slow them down while Cooper Rush and his offense wears down the Philly ”D” and does some damage. The last few weeks, both Jacksonville and Arizona gave Philadelphia all they can handle. And I don’t think either of those teams are on the level of Dallas. This is way too many points to give a Cowboys team that can win this game outright. Dallas is 7-2 ATS the last nine overall meetings with the Eagles and 7-3 ATS the last 10 meetings in Philadelphia. They are also 10-1ATS the last 11 on the road, 22-7 ATS the last 29 versus the NFC East, and 20-7 ATS the last 27 overall. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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10-16-22 | Jaguars +1.5 v. Colts | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
Jacksonville. MVP PLAY. Game 255. 10:00 am pst. A bit of luster has come off the Jaguars shine after starting the season 2-1 and now falling to a subpar 2-3. But they have certainly been the Achilles’ heel for Indianapolis, going 13-1-1 ATS the last 15 meetings in this series. This does include a 24-0 spanking in mid-September. The Colts offense is nonexistent and facing the Jaguars top-10 defense, I doubt they have what it takes to finally cover a game in this division rivalry, let alone win here. The underdog is 6-0 ATS the last six meetings in this series. The Jaguars are 5-1-1 ATS the last seven meetings in Indianapolis. Take Jacksonville. Thank you. |
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10-16-22 | Vikings v. Dolphins +3 | 24-16 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
Miami. NO LIMIT PLAY. Game 264. 10:00 am pst. In my opinion, the Minnesota Vikings are the worst 4-1 team in the league. I’m not going to argue the fact there is talent on this team. But they just can’t string together consistent solid performances. Not only that, but they are crushing bettors, failing to cover four consecutive contests. Miami has some well-documented quarterback issues. But even if it is Skylar Thompson is at the helm, he has had a week to prepare. And you can bet that he and his stellar arsenal of wideouts will exploit the very vulnerable, Minnesota pass defense. There is no way I can, in good conscience lay points with Minnesota on the road. The Vikings are 1-5 ATS the last six games played on the road. The Dolphins at 16-5 ATS the last 21 games played at home. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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10-16-22 | 49ers -5.5 v. Falcons | Top | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 11 m | Show |
San Francisco 49ers. 10 Dimes Play. Game 265. Sunday, October 16, 2022. 10:00 AM PT/1:00 PM ET. -5.5 Consensus line. (As an early release I know the line can move. I have this number closer to -8.5. If it moves to -7, we are still good. If it goes to a 7.5, I would advise you just to err on the side of caution and buy it down to a TD). My friends, I have the line in this game closer to -8.5. Now obviously releasing this on a Tuesday we see -5.5. This is due to several reasons that I want to inform you about. For starters, it is the second of back-to-back road games for San Francisco. And their third road game in four weeks. Let’s put a pin in that. We are going to return to it in a moment. The number is also a little low due to the fact that the 49ers, as of posting this release have a few players that were injured in Carolina on Sunday. Cornerback, Emmanuel Moseley will be out, safety Jimmy Ward broke his hand, defensive lineman, Nick Bosa is dealing with a groin injury, and kicker, Robbie Gould tweaked his knee. The status of Bosa and Gould will be determined sometime this week. But early reports are optimistic that they will play on Sunday. Let’s go back to me addressing the 49ers playing on the road. Something you must know and something I feel is a significant advantage for the visiting team here, is that head coach Kyle Shanahan, over the last few seasons has implemented staying over on the east coast when he has back-to-back road games. They happen to stay at the very posh Greenbrier Resort in West Virginia. And just FYI, the last two seasons they stayed on the east coast which preceded with wins over the Eagles and Jets. They have had a lot of success utilizing extended stays on the road going 7-1 straight up their last eight implementing this option. Going back to the injuries, I don’t know if there is another team in the NFL this season that has adapted to banged-up players as well as San Francisco. They are deep at key positions. And following quite a few major injuries to starters this team is 3-1 both straight up and against the spread their last four games. I am well aware of the fact that the Atlanta Falcons are a perfect 5-0 against the number this season. But the clock strikes midnight this Sunday for this team at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. This is a very difficult matchup for Atlanta. To begin with, their passing unit is absolutely deplorable, ranking 30th in the league accounting for just 166.8 yards per game in the air. Their strength has come from their rushing attack. Well without Cordarrelle Patterson, their leading ball-carrier (out with a knee injury), they ran for only 151 yards combined against Tampa Bay in Sunday’s 21-15 road loss. When your quarterback leads the team in rushing with 61 yards, it’s an issue. By the way two of their rushes combined for more than a third of the rushing yards. Without Patterson pounding the ball on the ground, Mariota is going to be running for his life the entire game. He must face the NFL’s top-ranked defense here. The ferocious, 49ers stop-unit leads the league in points allowed (12.2), total yards allowed (249.2), and rushing yards allowed (71.4), and also ranks third in passing yards allowed. (177.8). Jimmy Garoppolo is looking very comfortable at the helm. As a matter fact, with each passing week, his performances are getting better and better. He gets to lineup against Atlanta’s 29th-ranked pass defense. You we’ll see the quarterback have enormous success in the air here. He has the luxury of a backfield that ranks eight in rushing, averaging over 138.8 yards per game on the ground. There is no way the inferior Falcons “D” can slow down, let alone stop this well-balanced offense. Throw in to the mix, playmaker extraordinaire, Deebo Samuel and San Francisco will be able to move the chains and score at will here. It won’t just be Garoppolo‘s numbers that will go up, so will running back, Jeff Wilson Jr. tight end, George Kittle, wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk, and as I mentioned, you can expect a lot from Samuel as well. Despite the Falcons against the spread success this season, they are just 2-5 ATS the last seven games played at home and 1-4-1 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a winning record. San Francisco is 5-2 ATS the last seven games played on the road, and 8-1 ATS the last nine games played versus NFC opponents. Take the 49ers here. Thank you. |
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10-10-22 | Raiders v. Chiefs -7 | Top | 29-30 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 31 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs. MNF GOM. Game 480. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. I live in Las Vegas. And I also have the opportunity to watch the Raiders practice on a regular basis. I know this team inside and out. Don’t think for a second that getting a win last week is going to inspire this squad. It was no fluke that they begin the 2022 campaign 0-4 both straight up and against the spread. And now that they got a win under their belt, trust me when I tell you they’re going to fall back down to Earth here. Serious “let down” mode folks. The Chiefs are looking to remain atop the AFC West by continuing their stellar play thus far this season. After starting the campaign 2-0, Kansas City did fall in a tough match up at Indianapolis several weeks ago. However, their bounce back in an outstanding performance in Tampa Bay last week showed just how good this team really is. That loss to the Colts a few weeks ago show them what they need to work on and improve. And now they are better than ever. Just in this series they have dominated Las Vegas, winning 13 of the last 15 meetings straight up as well as sporting an 8-1 straight up and 7-2 against the spread marks at Arrowhead Stadium. Derek Carr has talent. I will not debate that. But he makes very poor decisions. Especially when he is under pressure. That is exactly what Kansas City is going to do in this matchup. They’re going to blitz, blitz, blitz, throwing, throw a lot of different packages and schemes at him and pressure him badly. They are going to force him to turn the ball over for sure. There is no way the Raiders 24th ranked defense can’t even slow down, let alone stop the Chiefs offensively. The juggernaut which is the Patrick Mahomes-lead “O“, ranks in the top-10 in just about every major offensive category. This includes the most important category, scoring. They are accounting for over 32.3 points per game. This does not bode well for the lowly Raiders “D” which is getting plowed for over 25-points per game. On the flipside, please understand that the only success Las Vegas has had offensively thus far, is establishing the run and then passing off of it. Well, the Chiefs stop-unit tops the NFL against the rush. They are only allowing 65.8 yards per game on the ground. Las Vegas is 1-5 against the spread the last six games played on the road and 3-7 against the spread the last 10 games played on grass. Kansas City is 6-2 against the spread the last eight games played at home and 7-1-1 against the spread the last nine games played on Monday Night. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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10-09-22 | Eagles -5 v. Cardinals | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 54 m | Show | |
Philadelphia Eagles. Bookie Buster. Game 473. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. There is only one undefeated team in the NFL. And that is the Philadelphia Eagles. You know you would think that after the first full month of regular season, a team going 4-0, that they were due for a letdown. But the Eagles are showing no signs of taking their foot off the gas. They have covered three straight games, Guys, this is a team which has seen their quarterback, Jalen Hurts mature significantly coming into this season. You may not realize this, but this offense ranks second in total yards per game, sixth in passing yards per game, fifth in rushing yards per game, and fourth in points scored. Not only do they have a very dangerous receiving corps, but the legs of Miles Sanders and quarterback, Hurts, have combine for over 561 yards rushing and seven TDs on the ground. On the flipside, their “D” has played outstanding football. They rank in the top-10 in every major category defensively. And they lead the NFL in turnovers, already grabbing 10 takeaways. That is just outstanding to me. On the other hand, Arizona has been very typical thus far. They lost to two teams that on paper, they are better than in Kansas City and Los Angeles. But did beat two teams on paper, once again they should’ve beaten in Las Vegas and Carolina. They are struggling offensively. While Kyler Murray, I’m not going to argue the fact he is a very good athlete, but he is just not getting the job done. Neither is his supporting cast. And defensively, this team ranks 28th and the league, getting plowed for over 25.8 points per game. I’ll look for them to get absolutely picked apart in the air by Hurts and his arsenal of receivers, Brown, Smith, and Goedert. I know Philadelphia has failed to cover the last five meetings in Arizona, but these are two very different teams this season. The Cardinals are one of the worst home teams in the league ATS, failing to cover seven straight at State Farm Stadium. Not only that but they are also 2-5 ATS the last seven versus the NFC, 1-4 ATS the last five versus teams with a winning record, and 3-7 ATS the 10 overall. Take the Eagles here too soar. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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10-09-22 | Cowboys +5.5 v. Rams | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 44 h 49 m | Show | |
Dallas Cowboys. Late Info Move. Game 475. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. My friends, we’ve all heard of Super Bowl hangovers. However, it seems that the Los Angeles Rams are taking back to another level. I know they are just 2-2 after a month into the regular season and a lot can happen between now and December. But they be quite honest this team is in serious trouble. They beat the teams that on paper they should’ve beat in Atlanta and Arizona. And they lost to the teams that on paper they should’ve lost to in Buffalo in San Francisco. But it is the 49ers game that really influences my angle on this matchup. First of all, they come off a short week having played on Monday night. And normally I don’t gauge a current game solely on a previous team’s performance from the week before. But it’s hard to ignore the fact that the Rams just can’t move the chains or put any points on the board folks. I mean they rank 28th in total yardage, 20th in passing yards, 30th and rushing yardage and 29th and points scored. They are not just struggling; they are out of sync offensively. There are some underlying deep issues here for sure. They’re averaging a dismal 17.5 points per game. Granted the Cowboys “O” is not lighting up any scoreboards. But when your defense is allowing just 15.5 points per game, you don’t really need to light up the scoreboard folks. There’s a lot of talk this week that we may see the return of Dak Prescott. But with the way that Cooper Rush has looked, if I was a Dallas coach, I would definitely keep Prescott on the sidelines until I know he was 100% healthy. The backup quarterback has committed zero mistakes. And in my opinion, that’s the most impressive stat about Rush. They’re going to keep the ball on the ground with a heavy dose of the rushing attack. This will allow the passing game to open up and Rush can pick his spots in the air, guys. This is going to be a very slow-moving contest. Dallas is going to keep the ball on the ground, controlling the clock and the tempo, keeping the LA defense on the field. And more importantly their offense off of it. Not only do I think this game is going to be a lot closer than the point spread, I think Dallas has a good chance of winning it out right. This is a team that is 5-0 ATS the last five games played on the road and 16-5 ATS the last 21 games played versus the NFC. Meanwhile Los Angeles is just 1-4 ATS their last five games played at home and 3-7 ATS the last 10 games played versus teams with a winning record. Take the points to the bank with the Cowboys here folks. Say it with me…GO COOPER RUSH!!! Take Dallas folks. Thank you. |
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10-09-22 | 49ers -6.5 v. Panthers | 37-15 | Win | 100 | 44 h 38 m | Show | |
San Francisco 49ers. MVP Game of the Month. Game 471. 1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST. Starting the season off going 1-3 both straight up with against the spread, shouldn’t be too much of a shock for Carolina fans. I mean if you recall, last year they finished the season rattling off seven consecutive losses both straight up and against the number. Bringing in Baker Mayfield was supposed to be the remedy for this team. However, Mayfield’s quarterback rating of 30th is downright laughable. The offenses average a mere 19.5 points per game, ranking 24th in rushing, 30th in passing, and dead-last in total yardage. They must now go up against a San Francisco defense that has yet to allow an opponent to put up 20-points. The 49ers stop-unit tops the league in both total yards and points allowed while raking second against both the pass and the run. I see serious mismatches between these two squads here. Carolina has already coughed-up the ball six times, while San Francisco has snagged five turnovers already. No matter who is at the helm for the Panthers, I doubt very much they are going to be able to move the chains at all against this defense. On the flipside, Jimmy Garoppolo certainly has looked more comfortable at the helm. This last Monday he led the team to a 24-9 win and cover over the Los Angeles Rams. Some key cogs in the 49ers offensive wheel are returning as the entire offense is looking more and more in sync. And unbeknownst to many, this unit has a top-10 rushing attack. Throw into the mix playmaker extraordinaire, Deebo Samuel, and things are starting to significantly improve for San Francisco. They will completely shut down the Carolina “lack of” offense, while Garoppolo, Samuel and George Kittle make their way down the field and into the end zone at will. The 49ers are 7-1 ATS the last eight versus the NFC, 4-1 ATS the last five versus teams with a losing record, and 7-2 ATS the last nine overall. Under a touchdown is a gift here. Take San Francisco. |
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10-09-22 | Lions +3 v. Patriots | 0-29 | Loss | -100 | 41 h 39 m | Show | |
Detroit Lions. No Limit Play. Game 469. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Believe it or not, the wrong team is favored in the Detroit Lions/New England Patriots game on Sunday. Obviously, this is new territory for Bill Belichick and the Pats. We haven’t seen them start a season 1-4 in as far back as I can remember. Not only are they not winning, they are crushing bettors. They just got their first cover of the 2022 campaign. To add insult to injury they’re running out of quarterbacks up in Foxborough guys. Mac Jones out. Brian Hoyer out. That leaves the offense in the hands of Bailey Zappe. Who? Bailey Zappe. I mean in all sincerity, even with Jones and then Hoyer, they were struggling. They’re putting an atrocious 18.5 points per game on the board. And they’ve already committed nine turnovers. I know, I know, I know the Lions defense is absolutely horrible. But that’s old news. Nothing new there. But what is a new headline, is the fact that they possess the top-scoring offense in the NFL right now. That’s right, the Detroit Lions are accounting a whopping 35-points per game. They rank number one in total yardage, number five in passing yards, and number six in rushing yards. Jared Goff has a better receiving corps here that he has ever had in his tenure in the NFL. Not only that but he has the luxury of a very potent ground game to keep defenses honest. And it will be that ground game that will keep the Patriots defense backpedaling, allowing Goff to open up the very passing attack. Once again, yes, I know the Detroit defense is absolutely horrible. But I just don’t see the New England offense keeping pace with them score-for-score. And how about the fact that they’re 9-2 against the spread the last 11 in the underdog role. As a matter fact they’re ATS trends are some of the best in football; 13-3 the last 16 following and ATS loss, 6-2 the last eight on the road, 7-2 the last nine following a straight up loss, and 4-1 five overall. Personally, I think they win this game out right. But I will take the points just the err on the side of caution. I’m going to say something I haven’t said in years. Take the Lions folks. They are winner this Sunday. Take Detroit. Thank you. |
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10-03-22 | Rams +2.5 v. 49ers | 9-24 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Rams. MNF winner. Game 279. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. All week long all I keep hearing about is how strong the San Francisco 49ers defense is. And granted, so far this season they are looking good, only allowing 12.3 points per game. However, folks, who have they played? They’ve gone up against the Chicago Bears, the Seattle Seahawks, and the Denver Broncos. Not one of those offenses is a powerhouse, let alone a mediocre squad. As a matter fact, all three of those units are struggling badly. So once again who have they faced? They must now go up against a Los Angeles Rams team that after a season opening embarrassing loss to the Buffalo Bills, rattled off two consecutive straight up wins against the Atlanta Falcons and the Arizona Cardinals. The 49ers have also had problems putting points on the board themselves. Outside of putting up 27-points against the Seahawks, they put up 10-points against the Bears and 10-points against the Broncos. These are two defensive squads that have gotten smoked against good solid well-balanced offenses so far this campaign. Now, San Francisco has covered five straight in the series. But, they were an underdog in all five of those meetings. Now the Rams come in here as the underdog. And guess what folks? The ‘dog has covered seven consecutive matchups in this rivalry. The Rams are money on Monday Night, covering four of the last five. And are very good against the NFC sporting a 31-15-1 against the spread mark the last 47 against the conference. I think the wrong team is favored here. Los Angeles should be a field goal favorite for sure. And that is why we’re taking them tonight. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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10-02-22 | Broncos +3 v. Raiders | 23-32 | Loss | -120 | 27 h 30 m | Show | |
Denver Broncos. Late Info Move. Game 273. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. A lot of people out there in both the sports and the sports betting worlds feel that Las Vegas is due for a win. Well folks the “due for” factor only applies when you actually have some talent and some motivation. This team has neither. I know this team. I live here in southern Nevada. And I’ve watched several of their preseason games and I was in the stands for the debacle a few weeks ago when Arizona beat them in overtime. This team is not very talented. While there is some talent on the team, they have no organization. Their quarterback makes very bad decisions. And their coaches play calling is among the worst in the league right now. This is a team that has lost and failed to cover their last four games going back to last season. With a win here Denver can take hold of first place in the AFC West at least for a few hours. Because Kansas City, who is also tied with them at 2-1 in the division, has a very tough late-Sunday evening matchup against Tampa Bay. That game can go either way folks. So, the Broncos really have a chance of taking sole possession of first place in a very competitive division. Let’s face it, Denver played very competitively in their season opener in Seattle. Then came back to win the following two games against Houston and San Francisco at home. So far, this team has shown very little offensively. I’m not going to argue that fact. But when you’re playing a team that gives up nearly 26 points per game, your offense will to come to life. Trust me folks when I tell you that. One thing about this Broncos offense, they rarely turn the ball over. They have just three turnovers so far this season. But it will be their defense that will give them a win here this week. They have only allowed 12 points per game behind a very stingy stop-unit equally tough against the pass and the rush. The Raiders cannot run the ball at all. They own one of the worst rushing teams in the league, ranking 28th and averaging a dismal 80 yards per game on the ground. Any of their success comes in the air. And they must face the third ranked pass defense in football this week. The Broncos “D” will get to Carr and force mistakes from the shaky quarterback. The underdog is 7-1 ATS the last eight meetings in the series. Las Vegas is 3-7 ATS the last 10 versus the AFC, 2-7 ATS the last nine on grass, and 1-4 ATS the last five following an ATS loss. Take the Broncos. Thank you. |
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10-02-22 | Bills -3 v. Ravens | 23-20 | Push | 0 | 24 h 13 m | Show | |
Buffalo Bills. Touchdown Play. Game 257. 10:00 am pst/1:00 pm est. Sports fans, the Bills come off their first loss of the season as both their offense and defense looked out of sorts against the Dolphins last Sunday. It was the first time they looked to be outplayed in quite a while. They are now 2-1 and sit in second place in the division behind Miami. Well, Buffalo has to get back on track right now and make a statement. Not just a division, but to the rest of the AFC. And what better opponent to do that than Baltimore. News is that Lamar Jackson, through the first several games of the season is without a doubt the clear MVP. But who has he faced? The Jets, a loss to the Dolphins, and a banged-up Patriots squad. The last time these two teams faced one another, the Bills absolutely shut down Lamar Jackson, getting the win and cover 17-3 in January of 2021. I don’t think that will be a problem once again here as Buffalo owns one of the nastiest and most ferocious defenses in the NFL. They rank number one in total yards allowed, number two in passing yards allowed, number two in rushing yards allowed, number four in points scored, and already have snagged six takeaways. The Ravens have yet to face a defense like this. Especially getting this team off a loss, they’re going to come in here angry and motivated. On the flipside, Josh Allen who, let’s face it had a very subpar game last week, will be able to pass at will against the Ravens 32nd ranked pass defense. One thing for sure, Baltimore gives up a lot of points. This doesn’t bode well when you’re going up against the third ranked scoring offense in the NFL that averages over 30.3 points per game. Josh Allen will bounce back here and have one of his best games so far the season. And Buffalo will come out and make a statement that they are back on track. The Bills are 7-1-1 ATS the last nine following an ATS loss, 12-3-1 ATS the last 16 on field turf, and 6-2-1 ATS the last nine overall. Take Buffalo. Thank you. |
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10-02-22 | Vikings -3 v. Saints | Top | 28-25 | Push | 0 | 21 h 53 m | Show |
Minnesota Vikings. No Limit Play. Game 251. 6:30 AM PST/9:30 AM EST. With the NFC North currently in a three-team tie for first place, the Minnesota Vikings must put their foot on the gas immediately. And what better team to face than the struggling New Orleans Saints. New Orleans is 0-3 against the spread this season. They opened up the campaign with a one-point late win against Atlanta. Then they were humiliated at home by Tampa Bay. And then on the road in Carolina, they were so bad, they allowed the Panthers to stop their nine-game straight up and against the spread losing streak. Granted, Jameis Winston was certainly playing hurt. As of posting this play, his status is still undecided. If he plays, he is not going to be 100%. If he doesn’t, that means Andy Dalton will take the reins. Talk about picking the lesser of two evils (LOL). This is a team struggling to have any success on either side of the ball. On the other hand, Dalvin Cook is scheduled to play here. Look for the running back to run amok against the 26th ranked rushing defense of the Saints. Defensively, look for the Minnesota to completely shut down the struggling New Orleans offense. The Saints are 4-10 ATS the last 14 versus teams with a winning record. The Vikings are 10-1-1 ATS the last 12 on turf. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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09-25-22 | Packers +1 v. Bucs | 14-12 | Win | 100 | 41 h 18 m | Show | |
Green Bay Packers. Touchdown Play. Game 481. 1:25 pm pst/4:25 pm est. Both the Green Bay Packers and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are two of the best teams in the NFC. The Packers redeemed themselves from a season-opening loss in Minnesota to come back last week and devour Chicago at home. Tampa Bay has won and covered both of their outings this season, both on the road in Dallas and in New Orleans. It’s no secret the Buccaneers offense is sputtering. I know how good their defense is but their offense is sputtering. Now they are stepping up in class and facing the best “D” they have had to face so far this season. That’s right, the Green Bay Packers own a very good defense. Tom Brady is going to run into some issues trying to get the passing game going as his receiving core is severely depleted. To make matters worse, he hast to face the fourth ranked pass defense in the NFL. Now I know how good the Buccaneers defense is. They currently ranked first, yielding just 6.5 points per game. However, the Packers are running the ball with enormous success. They will be able to control the tempo and the clock here, keeping the Bucs defense on the field and tired and come the second half. I feel Tampa Bay is due for a huge let down folks. As I mentioned earlier this is the first big test of the season and Green Bay knows they can’t afford another loss like they did two weeks ago. The Packers are 10-4 ATS the last 14 versus the NFC, 20-8 ATS the last 28 on grass, 12-5 ATS the last 17 following a straight up win, and 9-3 ATS the last 12 versus winners. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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09-25-22 | Falcons +1 v. Seahawks | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 41 h 11 m | Show | |
Atlanta Falcons. Late Info Move. Game 483. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. One of the worst mistakes to make in sports betting is the judge a current weeks games from the last few weeks outcomes. Having said that, I feel the Atlanta Falcons should not be an underdog in this game with the Seattle Seahawks. At the very least, this game should be pick ‘em or even the Falcons minus one. I understand that Atlanta is 0-2 straight up. But we don’t get paid here with wins. We get paid with covers. They are perfect 2-0 against the spread the season. They kept very close games with two very good teams; the New Orleans saints and the Los Angeles Rams. Meanwhile, the Seattle Seahawks, which own one of the worst offenses in the NFL, are favored here. Let’s face it, Seattle’s offense ranks 31st in total yards, 28th in passing yards, 32nd in rushing yards, and 29th in points scored. Not only that, but they’ve turned the ball over four times already. The Atlanta Falcons defensive statistics are not the most impressive. But they have improved quite a bit this season. On the flipside, the Falcons offensive passing game has struggled to say the least. But reports are that Marcus Mariota is going to get Kyle Pitts more involved this week. If that happens great. If it doesn’t, they can still rely on one of the most proficient running games we have seen so far this pro football season. They rank seventh in rushing, averaging over 145 yards per game on the ground. You are going to see a heavy dose of Cordarrelle Patterson here. He is running for over 5 yards per carry. And trust me when I tell you he is a workhorse. He he’s going to keep the lackluster 25th ranked rush defense of the Seahawks on their toes and honest. Thus, allowing Mariota to open up the passing game. Remember the Falcons are still scoring points, accounting for over 26.5 PPG already. And I do think Mariota will have success in the air in this matchup especially without safety Jamal Adams in the secondary for the ‘Hawks. Atlanta is 4-1 against the spread the last five meetings with Seattle. And they are money on the road covering seven of the last nine away from home. By the way just in case you’re keeping score, Seattle is a 6-13 against the spread the last 19 versus NFC opponents. I Like the Falcons outright here. But I will take the points. Take Atlanta. Thank you. |
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09-25-22 | Rams -3.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 20-12 | Win | 100 | 41 h 4 m | Show |
Los Angeles Rams. NFL Game of the Month. Game 485. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Guys, the Rams are one of the best teams in football. They opened up the season against the Bills and got shellacked. They followed up last week with a win over Atlanta. Now odds makers overvalued them last week, making them a double-digit favorite while they only won by four-points. That was the team just getting back on track after their season opening loss. On the other hand, the Cardinals were thumped in their season-opener by Kansas City at home. Now I was in the stands for their trip to Las Vegas last week as they beat the Raiders in overtime. Guys in all honesty, Arizona didn’t beat Las Vegas. Las Vegas beat themselves. Following that game, the Cardinals are due for a big let down here. And trust me, the Rams are just the team to put them in that let down spot. Los Angeles has taken 10 of the last 11 meetings straight up, going 9–1-1 against the spread since 2017. FYI, just in case you’re keeping score, they are 7-0 against the spread the last seven meetings at the State Farm Stadium. The Cardinals defense ranks 32nd in scoring, getting plowed for over 33.5 points per game. Rams quarterback, Matthew Stafford is going to absolutely dissect and decimate the 31st ranked passing defense in football. Look for Los Angeles to get back on track here, lighting up the scoreboard offensively, while their defense gets a well-needed dominating performance. The road team is 11-4-1 ATS the last 16 overall meetings in this series. The Cardinals are 0-6ATS the last six at home, 1-4 ATS the last five following a straight up win, and 1-4 ATS the last five versus the NFC. My friends the Rams are going to make a statement in this match up. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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09-25-22 | Raiders v. Titans +2.5 | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 38 h 57 m | Show | |
Tennessee Titans. No Limit Play. Game474. 10:00 am pst.1:00 pm est. My friends I live here in Las Vegas. I watch the Las Vegas Raiders practice. And I was at the game last week when they blew the lead and lost in overtime to the Arizona Cardinals. In the second quarter of that game, while they were still up 20-0, I leaned over to my buddies and I said they’re gonna’ lose this game. My friends, this is not Fresno State. Quarterback Derek Carr, while he has talent, he is not a winner. He makes very bad decisions and does not react well to defenses. Not only that but the Raiders play-calling so far the first several weeks of the season has been absolutely atrocious. To be quite honest with you, the wrong team is favored here. I have the Tennessee Titans at least a two-point favorite on my power ratings. The Titans strength, without question comes from the legs of running back Derrick Henry. And they have certainly had trouble establishing the run so far thus resulting in their winless record, both straight up and against the spread sports fans. But coming off that embarrassing 41-7 loss in Buffalo last week is going to prompt this team to get back on track. That defeat will light a fire under their butts and will be the reason why they start winning again. This team has a lot of talent guys. And let’s face it, the Raiders defense is absolutely horrible. I know the Titans stop-unit’s numbers are just as bad. But that is a direct result of the fact that their offense isn’t running the ball with success and they are experiencing a lot of three and outs. That will all change here in this matchup. Like I said I know the Raiders team. And mentally they will not recuperate so fast from last week’s overtime loss. By the way, they are point spread poison. Here’s a few against the spread stats for you; Las Vegas is 1-7 the last eight versus teams with losing record, 1-5 the last six following a straight up loss, 1-4 the last five on the road, and 4-9 the last 13 overall. Tennessee will win this game out right. Look for Derrick Henry to run wild. Take the Titans. Thank you. |
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09-18-22 | Bears v. Packers -10 | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 48 h 4 m | Show | |
Green Bay Packers. Late Bail Out Play. Game 288. 5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST. The Green Bay Packers are one of the favorites to win the NFC and furthermore, to win the Super Bowl this season. And yet in their season-opener against the Minnesota Vikings, they took a 23-7 spanking. On the other hand, the Chicago Bears fans are talking playoffs already after their season-opening 19-10 victory over the San Francisco 49ers. One thing about Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers is that they do not take losing lightly. They are 6-0 against the spread after the last six regular season losses, with an average margin of victory coming by better than 15-points per game. You have got to admit, Chicago is severely outclassed here. And with the way Green Bay is looking for some vengeance and little payback after the week 1 ass-whoopin’, the Bears are in big trouble. To add insult to injury, the Pack have dominated this division rivalry, taking six consecutive meetings, both straight up and against the spread. By the way, the average margin of victory in those six wins is 12.5-points per game. I think we can all agree that Justin Fields is a long way away from running the Chicago office with any efficiency. And trying to compete with an angry Green Bay team…wow I feel bad for the young quarterback. Green Bay is 11-3 ATS the last 14 following a straight up loss, 7-2 ATS the last nine at home, and 9-4 ATS the last 13 versus the NFC. Chicago is 4-12 ATS to last 16 as an underdog, 0-5 ATS the last five versus the NFC North, and 4-9 ATS the last 13 overall. I’m not crazy about laying double-digits in the NFL, especially in Week 2. However, the Packers are going to open up a can of whoop-ass here and get back on track, making a statement to the NFC and the entire league. Lay the points and take Green Bay to the bank. Thank you. |
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09-18-22 | Falcons +11 v. Rams | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 44 h 56 m | Show | |
Atlanta Falcons. Late Info Move. Game 277. 1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST. Guys, I’m not looking to take away anything from the Rams. But they are way overvalue here. They were outscored by 21-points in the second half and absolutely dominated by the visiting Bills, getting thumped, 31-10 and their season-opener a week ago. Granted Buffalo is one of the AFC‘s favorites to take the conference and moreover the Super Bowl, but coming off a beating like that will affect any team mentally. On the other hand, Atlanta will come in here, I believe a little extra-motivated, having blown a 26-10 fourth-quarter lead at home against their division rival, New Orleans last week. Let’s face it, losing the game by two-points with a field goal with 19 seconds left in regulation, will sting quite a bit. Watching Los Angeles’ defense get gashed last week tells me that Atlanta’s running back, Cordarrelle Patterson and rookie wide receiver, Drake London can and will move the chains here this week against them. Let’s not forget that the Falcons defense was one of the poorest in the league last season and did rank dead-last in sacks. However, last week they did get to the fleet-footed Jameis Winston four times. Until Matthew Stafford gets the luxury of a capable ground attack to keep the defenses honest, I think he’s in for a very long season. I’m not trying to compare the Falcons defense to the Bills, which did tally seven sacks and three interceptions a week ago. But the Atlanta stop-unit is definitely much-improved. And certainly, good enough to make some noise here. And once again, because they have a good ground game to control the clock and the tempo. This game will be a lot closer than the double-digit point spread. The road team is 5-1 ATS the last six meetings in this series. The Falcons are 4-1 ATS the last five meetings against the Rams and 5-2-1 ATS the last eight on the road. The Rams are 1-4 ATS the last five as a favorite and 2-5 ATS the last seven overall. This is way too many points for Los Angeles to lay. Especially looking the way they look right now. Take Atlanta here. Thank you. |
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09-11-22 | Giants v. Titans -5.5 | 21-20 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Tennessee Titans. Touchdown Play. Game 475. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Very quietly the Tennessee Titans have become the favorites to take the AFC south. A lot of smart money here in Vegas came in on them to actually win the Super Bowl at 15-1. And here in Week 1 of the regular season, they match up against the New York Giants team that is touted to finish dead-last in the NFC East, and win only seven games. New York is in a rebuilding year once again. And to be quite honest there’s a lot of question marks surrounding the team. Their quarterback has it big question mark on him as well as the entire offensive line. The team was the dismal 4-13 a season ago. Now they must face a perennial playoff contender which ranked second in the NFL in rushing defense and sixth on third down defense. The Giants are 0-5 ATS the last five on the road, 0-5 ATS the last five during Week 1 of the season, and 0-6 ATS the last six overall. Take Tennessee. Thank you. |
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09-11-22 | Saints -5 v. Falcons | Top | 27-26 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
New Orleans Saints. High Roller play. Game 455. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. It is imperative that as the season begins the New Orleans Saints get a big division win here. The Atlanta Falcons are a team in transition to say the least. This is a true rebuilding year for them. And is an ideal opportunity for New Orleans to make a statement in the NFC South. The Falcons are in real trouble in this series opener. They are without Matt Ryan for the first time since 2008. This team was one of the worst in all of the NFL a season to go offensively. And it doesn’t look like they made too many improvements to better themselves. New Orleans is 4-0 ATS the last four meetings in Atlanta. By the way the road team is 5-1 ATS the last six overall meetings in the series. Take the Saints. Thank you. |
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09-11-22 | Eagles -4.5 v. Lions | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
Philadelphia Eagles. |
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02-13-22 | Rams v. Bengals +4 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 30 h 16 m | Show | |
Bengals. Super Bowl 56 Winner. Game 102. 3:30 pm pst. Two evenly matched teams. But Joe Burrow has already won on a national level at LSU. And Zac Taylor is 100% in the NFL postseason. We all know what happened to Sean McVay and the Rams the last time they made it to the Big Game. Not to overlook the fact that the Bengals have faced and beaten some tougher competition to get here. By the way, without question, Los Angeles is carrying way more pressure here. With all sincerity, Stafford isn’t the best when under pressure. Cincinnati is 6-0 ATS the last six games played vs. teams with a winning record, 5-0 ATS the last six games played as a ‘dog, 6-0 ATS the lats six games played following an ATS win, 3-0-1 ATS the last four games played in the playoffs, and 7-0 ATS the last seven games played overall. I like the Bengals outright. But I will take the points here. Thank you. PROPS Joe Burrow To Throw 2 Or More TD’s Sony Michel Rushing Yards Over 16.5 Cooper Kupp To Score A TD in 1H Game Will Be Tied After 0-0 Totals QB Sacks Over 5 Total FG’s By Both Teams Over 3.5 Totals INT’s By Both Teams Over 1.5 |
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01-30-22 | 49ers +3.5 v. Rams | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 74 h 7 m | Show |
49ERS. NFC GAME OF THE YEAR. GAME 323. 3:40 PM PST. San Francisco has beaten Los Angeles six straight meetings, covering five of the six, including four straight. We all know this. And so do both the 49ers and the Rams. It can’t but help boost the confidence in San Fran coming into this matchup. And moreover, it can’t but put further pressure on the minds of L.A. Both have outstanding passing attacks. But the Rams pass defense is a bit shaky. So, I give an advantage to the 49ers. Offensively, Los Angeles doesn’t really run the ball with all that much success. I mean folks, they average under a hundred yards per game on the ground. This makes them very vulnerable to the ferocious San Francisco pass rush which has wreaked havoc on their offense in both earlier meetings. So, I give another advantage to the 49ers. San Fran does own a top-10 rushing attack and will stress the run here thus allowing them to control the clock and the tempo, keeping the L.A. defense on the field, and most importantly, Stafford and their offense off the field. I think both teams without question deserve to be here. But I give a real edge to Jimmy G and the 49ers for sure. So, giving them 3.5 points, to me offers an incredible amount of value to us bettors. The ‘dog is 6-0 ATS the last six meetings. The 49ers are 5-1 ATS last six as a road ‘dog and 16-5 ATS the last 21 in the month of January. Take the 3.5 and bank on it. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
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01-30-22 | Bengals v. Chiefs -6.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -130 | 70 h 20 m | Show |
CHIEFS. AFC GAME OF THE YEAR. GAME 322. 12:05 pm pst. When these two teams met on January 2, the Bengals prevailed, 34-31. Following the game, Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes gave each other a handshake. Mahomes uttered five words…”See you in the playoffs.” Burrow is 2-0 in NFL postseason play. Mahomes owns an 8-2 career playoff record, including a 7-1 mark at Arrowhead Stadium. The Bengals OL allowed nine sacks in last week’s outing. To make matters worse, they claimed just one sack on Ryan Tannehill. The lack of playoff experience for their QB is significant. The breakdown of their offensive line is significant. Going on the road to KC (playing here is much different than playing at Tennessee) is significant. Throw in the mix that Cincy doesn’t run the ball with too much success makes the aforementioned issues even more significant. Then there is the play of Mahomes. The QB has taken his game to another level. With the momentum following last week’s OT win, the Chiefs roll here. Kansas City is 6-0 ATS the last six games played at home, 6-1 ATS the last seven playoff games played at home, 7-2 ATS the last nine games played vs. the AFC, and 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played overall. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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01-23-22 | Rams v. Bucs -2.5 | 30-27 | Loss | -117 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay. NFL GOM. Game 316. 12:00 pm pst. Rematches in the NFL are tricky. Los Angeles bested Tampa Bay, 34-24 back in September. But if you recall, last season the Buccaneers beat several teams in the postseason they had lost to in the regular season. They are an outstanding rematch team. Over his career, Matthew Stafford has played in just four playoff games. Tom Brady has played in 45. Things change come the playoffs. They change significantly. Both teams should be able to pass the ball here. But once again the playoffs change things. And if you’re not used to playing in January, the pressure is evident. Leonard Fournette is expected back and gives the Bucs the luxury of a ground game to keep the Rams defense honest. Brady will see the return of a key offensive lineman to give the seasoned veteran a bit more time in the pocket. Let’s be honest, defenses have been trying to contain the quarterback for decades without success. With two underdogs winning outright Saturday, Tampa Bay won’t take any chances here. This game rests on Brady’s experience and shoulders. L.A. is 2-5 ATS the last seven games played vs. teams with a winning record. Tampa Bay is 7-1 ATS the last eight games played at home, 4-0 ATS the last four games played in the postseason, and 5-1 ATS the last six game splayed vs. NFC foes. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you. |
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01-16-22 | Eagles v. Bucs -8.5 | Top | 15-31 | Win | 100 | 40 h 22 m | Show |
Tampa Bay. NFC GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 146. 10:00 am pst. We all know Philadelphia might have eked their way and backed into the playoffs. Tampa bay did not. As a matter of fact, they not only came in through the front door, they kicked the damn door down. Things change significantly when the postseason arrives. Jalen Hurts does not have the playoff experience needed to succeed. He will feel the pressure and buckle to it. Tom Brady is the most successful QB in the history of the sport and feels right at home come January and February. The Buccaneers OL is healthy. RB, Fournette is expected to make his return. Let’s not forget Brady’s number one go-to guy, “Gronk.” The October 14 matchup, Tampa Bay held Philly to just 215 yards of offense, while the Bucs nearly doubled that number. If you’re concerned about the Eagles rushing attack, don’t be. The Bucs counter with the NFL’s 3rd ranked run defense. Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS the last seven games played as a road ‘dog and 1-4 ATS the last five WC games. Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS the last seven games played at home and 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the NFC. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you. |
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01-15-22 | Patriots +4.5 v. Bills | Top | 17-47 | Loss | -102 | 24 h 45 m | Show |
New England. AFC GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 143. 5:15 pm pst. As we all know, these two division rivals met twice in December. The earlier meeting in Foxborough, the Patriots staff changed their entire offensive scheme to minimize Buffalos defensive strengths, thus leading to a 14-10 victory. The latter meeting in Orchard Park, in which the Bills prevailed, 33-21. They deserved their victory, but Buffalo showed all their cards. They have nothing left hidden up their sleeve. Guys, Belichick and his staff are pretty sharp. There’s no question they will come in here doing two things: Number one, offensively leaning on their potent ground attack which controlled the clock and slashed the Bills defense for over 371 yards on the ground on over 5 yards per carry in the December matchups. The second thing they’re going to do is to come in with a totally different defensive gameplan, throwing tons of different looks at Josh Allen who may have the physical tools but not mental ones just yet, and they will force mistakes. On both sides of the ball, these two teams are very similar talent-wise. So, this game comes down to preparation and coaching. There is no way Sean McDermott can outthink the “hoodie” in January. NO WAY! The road team is 19-6-2 ATS the L27 meetings in this series, the underdog is 5-1-1 ATS the L7 meetings in this series, and the Patriots are 15-3 ATS the L18 meetings played at the Bills. Take New England. Thank you. |
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01-15-22 | Raiders +6 v. Bengals | 19-26 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
Las Vegas. HIGH ROLLER. Game 141. 1:30 pm pst. Joe Burrow has had a good season. But he is playing with a sore knee and his team is just 5-5 the last 10 regular season contests. And some of those wins were against depleted opponents. Things change drastically come the playoffs. The QB doesn’t have the postseason experience needed to succeed. Derek Carr has nearly 5,000 yards passing (4,804 YP). His fourth consecutive season throwing 4,000-plus yards and has some playoff swagger under his belt and much more overall savvy. He and his team which has momentum winning four in a row SU and three in a row ATS (last three all as a ‘dog), will pick apart the 26th ranked pass defense of the Bengals. Look for Waller and the 6th ranked receiving corps in the NFL to have a season-best performance here. Looking closely at the Las Vegas defense, they have held their last six foes to an average of 294 YPG. The Raiders are 6-2 ATS the last eight games played as a road ‘dog. The Bengals are 3-7 ATS the last 10 games played at home vs. teams with a winning road record. Take Las Vegas. Thank you. |
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01-09-22 | Patriots -6.5 v. Dolphins | 24-33 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 4 m | Show | |
New England. EIP. Game 455. 1:25 pm pst. Bill Belichick has his team back in the playoffs and with a chance to win the AFC East. He wants his Patriots primed and ready to roll into the postseason. If you want proof as to how much, just look at last week’s, 50-10 demolishing of the Jaguars. The Dolphins are done for the season. Next Sunday, they will be playing golf. LOL. Outside of maybe a rookie receiving record, they have nothing to play for here. Nor do they want to jeopardize next season by getting any of their key players injured here. Let’s throw into the mix that revenge plays a factor too. If you recall, Miami bested New England back in September. And the Patriots are a team that do like their revenge. Here’s some trends you might find interesting: New England is 6-1 ATS the last seven games played as a favorite, 6-2 ATS the last eight games played vs. the AFC, 4-1 ATS the last five games played on the road, and most importantly, 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played in the month of January. Take the Patriots. Thank you. |
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01-09-22 | Panthers v. Bucs -8 | Top | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 70 h 57 m | Show |
Tampa Bay. HR play. Game 462. 1:25 pm pst. Tampa Bay is banged-up. But it won’t matter. After almost losing last week’s game, they will take no prisoners this week as they have an opportunity to grab the NFC’s #2 seed. They do need some outside help. But they must win here to have any chance at it. This is a team that owns one of the NFL’s best home records at 6-1 at Raymond James Stadium. They face a Carolina team on the verge of setting their own record, the team to finish with the worst record in the history of the NFL after starting the season 3-0. The Panthers are on an 0-6 run both SU and ATS, with the average margin of defeat during the slide coming by 14.6 PPG. Tampa Bay’s 2nd ranked scoring offense can and will light up the scoreboard here. And if that wasn’t enough, the Bucs have won and covered the last three meetings in this series, including a December 26th, 32-6 shellacking. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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01-02-22 | Chiefs -4.5 v. Bengals | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 87 h 2 m | Show | |
Chiefs. HR play. Game 115. 10:00 am pst. With last week’s 36-10 demolishing of Pittsburgh, Kansas City clinched a playoff spot. Right now, the Chiefs own a one-game lead over the Titans for the AFC’s best record. They want to be the top-seed come the postseason guys. Patrick Mahomes leads the No. 4 scoring offense in the league. This is a huge mismatch as the quarterback the will absolutely shred the Cincy 29th ranked pass defense. That would be enough for me to side with them here. But the Chiefs defense puts the icing on the cake my friends. They have allowed 17 points or less in seven of the last eight outings, which by the way were all wins. That’s right, this team has rattled off eight straight victories and six straight covers. Now folks Joe Burrow and the Bengals have come a long way. But this is still a young squad and I feel after last week’s beating of the Ravens, they are in serious let down mode here. KC is 5-0 ATS the last five games played vs. AFC opponents while Cincy is 2-5 ATS the last seven games played at home. Take the Chiefs all the way to the bank. Thank you. |
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01-02-22 | Raiders v. Colts -2.5 | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 87 h 9 m | Show |
Colts. TEN DIMES play. Game 101. 10:00 am pst. Let’s pump the breaks there, Raiders fans. The last two weeks in your 16-14 win over the Browns and your 17-13 win over the Bronco were both against teams that were ravished by missing starters and both came against backup quarterbacks. As of posting, Carson Wentz “may” be cleared to play here. But either way, Vegas is truly outclassed. Jonathan Taylor is chomping at the bit to face the Swiss-cheese like Las Vegas run defense. Let’s face it, when you match up the NFL’s 5th ranked scoring offense with its 26th ranked scoring defense, things are gonna’ get ugly folks. On the flipside, the Raiders are having issues crossing the goal line and now have to line up across from a Colts defense that has yielded 17 points or less in five of their last six contests. Las Vegas is 3-7 ATS the last 10 games played on the road while Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the AFC. Take the Colts under a TD. Thank you. |
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12-26-21 | Bills v. Patriots -1 | 33-21 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
New England. HIGH ROLLER. Game 472. 10:00 am pst. With a win here, New England will lock up the AFC East. These two teams met a few weeks ago with the Patriots prevailing, 14-10. That game was won in the trenches where the Bills are outmanned and outclassed. Bill Belichick and the much-sharper New England coaching staff prepared a perfect game plan for that contest. And will come in here with a different scheme but still very effective. Josh Allen is in for another long and unproductive day here facing one of the NFL. The Bills “O” took a big hit with the loss of WR, Cole Beasley. Coming off a loss, following a seven-game win streak (SU and ATS) expect the Patriots to win here with authority. Buffalo is 1-4-1 ATS the last six games played vs. the AFC, 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 0-4 ATS the last four game splayed following a SU win. New England is 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. the AFC, 5-0 ATS the last five games played as a favorite, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played at home. Take the Patriots. Thank you. |
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12-25-21 | Colts +1 v. Cardinals | 22-16 | Win | 100 | 57 h 47 m | Show | |
Colts. HR play. Game 415. 5:15 pm pst. If you recall, a season ago, Arizona flatlined down the stretch going 3-6. Well history repeats itself here and this season, they dropped four of their last seven outings. Kyler Murray hasn’t been the same since returning from his ankle injury and with WR Deandre Hopkins sidelined, the offense has shown very little consistency. Just the opposite for Indy which has won seven of their last nine SU and eight of their last 11 ATS. The Colts are very much alive in their division, coming off a big win vs. the Patriots last week. And if you’re concerned about them being on the road, Don’t be, they are 5-0 ATS the last five games played as a visitor winning some big games on the road vs. such notables as San Francisco and Buffalo. Jonathan Taylor and the 2nd ranked rushing unit in the NFL will take this game on his shoulders, or should I say his legs and demolish the beat-up, ‘Zona run defense. The Cardinals are 3-8 ATS the last 11 games played at home. Take Indy here. Thank you. |
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12-25-21 | Browns v. Packers -7 | 22-24 | Loss | -120 | 53 h 15 m | Show | |
Green Bay. LVSM. Game 454. 1:30 pm pst. I don’t care how depleted a team is, when you lose to the Raiders, you’ve hit rock bottom. Playing with just five days to rest, heal, prepare, and travel is tough. When you still have a slew of players in COVID-protocol that can’t practice and not knowing if they’re gonna’ play is even tougher. But the toughest thing of all is having to go into Lambeau and face the Packers and their loyal fans. The only 11-win team in the NFL still needs victories to lock up the NFC’s top seed and home field come the playoffs. Aaron Rodgers is on the cusp of being the teams all-time leader in TD passes. Look for this game to get uglier than Patrick Mahomes’ brothers tik tok videos. The Browns are 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. the Packers and 1-4 ATS the last five games played overall. The Packers are 20-8 ATS the last 28 games played following an ATS loss and 5-0 ATS the last five games played as a home favorite. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
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12-23-21 | 49ers -3 v. Titans | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
49ers. TNW. Game 451. With no real offensive threats to rely on since Derrick Henry went down, the Tennessee “O” has been nonexistent. Ryan Tannehill can not carry the load all by himself and has started to crack committing multiple turnovers on a regular basis. Well, in comes Nick Bosa and the mighty San Francisco defense. The 49ers are in a key position to earn an NFC WC spot, winning five of their last six. Jimmy G has the offense humming like a 57” Chevy. San Francisco is 4-1 ATS the last five games played as a road favorite, 5-2 ATS the last seven games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
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12-21-21 | Seahawks v. Rams -6.5 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Rams. BLOCKBUSTER. Game 328. 4:00 pm pst. The Rams won at the Cardinals on MNF. They are just one GB or Arizona in the conference. Seattle, at 5-8 mathematically can still make the postseason. But most-likely must win-out to do so. L.A. has Minny, Baltimore, and San Francisco remaining on the schedule. So, they really need a victory here to boost their confidence as it looks to be the least competitive foe left. The 3rd ranked passing offense in the NFL will shred the 32nd ranked pass defense here. The Seahawks are 1-5 ATS the last six meetings in this series, 4-9 ATS the last 13 games played on the road, and 4-10 ATS the last 14 games played vs. the NFC. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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12-19-21 | Packers -5.5 v. Ravens | Top | 31-30 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 40 m | Show |
Green Bay. LVSM GOM. Game 315. 1:25 pm pst. Sports fans, whether it is Lamar Jackson or Tyler Huntley at the helm, trust me, it won’t matter. Guys, this Ravens offense is mediocre at best. Just over the last month or so, they were outscored by Miami, Pittsburgh, and Cleveland once. None of those teams are powerhouses. In their two victories over the last five games, they eked out a 16-13 win over Chicago and a 16-10 win in an earlier meeting with Cleveland. Guys, this team is not a contender. But Green Bay is a contender. Aaron Rodgers will pick apart the leagues 31st ranked pass defense. This just might be his best performance of the season. On the flipside, whether it be on the ground or in the air, the Packers “D” will completely shut down the already stunted Ravens offense. With NFC reps, the Buccaneers and the Cardinals both also sporting 10 wins, the Packers want this win. My friends, since the Week 1 loss, Green Bay is on an 11-1 ATS run. They are money going 5-1 ATS the last six games played on the road, 7-1 ATS the last eight games played as a favorite, and 16-5 ATS the last 21 games played overall. The Packers win by double-digits. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
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12-18-21 | Patriots +2.5 v. Colts | 17-27 | Loss | -106 | 32 h 19 m | Show | |
New England. HR play. Game 311. Guys I have been rooting for Jonathan Taylor all season. And much of Indy’s success is because of the running back. But New England comes in here with the NFL’s 3rd ranked rushing defense and the overall top-scoring stop-unit. They are a swarming and stifling squad that will frustrate the Colts offense and slow down Taylor. During their seven-game SU and ATS winning streak the Pats “D” has allowed a mere, 10.4 PPG. On the flipside, Mac Jones is playing well beyond his years. He’s got a 70% completion rate on the campaign and over the last seven games, just two INT’s. He doesn’t make mistakes and the offense wears down opponents BIG TIME. The wrong team is favored here folks as the Patriots are 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. the Colts, 4-0 ATS the last four games played on the road, 6-1 ATS the last seven games played following a bye week, and 5-0 ATS the last five games played vs. the AFC. Take New England. Thank you. |
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12-16-21 | Chiefs -3 v. Chargers | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
Kansas City. TNW. Game 301. 5:20 pm pst. Kansas City has won six in a row SU while covering four straight. During their last six games, the Chiefs defense has forced 16 turnovers while yielding a mere 10.9 PPG. Los Angeles is getting plowed for a ton of points and seem to lose to any solid foe. The last two months the Chargers have been defeated by the Ravens, Patriots, Vikings, and Broncos. With KC’s defensive issues behind them we must side with the hot-handed Chiefs. They are 7-1 ATS the last eight games played at the Chargers, 8-3-1 ATS the last 12 games played in the month of December, and 22-10-1 ATS the last 33 games played vs. the AFC West. The Chargers are 19-40-1 ATS the last 60 games played at home, 4-10 ATS the last 14 games played as a home ‘dog, and 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. AFC opponents. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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12-13-21 | Rams v. Cardinals -1 | Top | 30-23 | Loss | -128 | 54 h 14 m | Show |
Arizona. MNF GAME OF THE YEAR. Game 130. 5:15 pm pst. This is an ideal opportunity for the division-leading Cardinals to further distance themselves from the rest of the NFC West. Kyler Murray is back and shook off the cobwebs in last week’s win and cover in Soldier Field. What impressed me most in the quarterbacks first game back is that he committed zero mistakes. It’s now evident that head coach Sean McVay is in way over his head. To make matters worse, there is no possible way for the team to compete in this matchup. L.A. is on a 1-3 run SU and a 1-5 run ATS. Sure, they can pass the ball. But, ‘Zona counters with one of the NFL’s best pass defenses and ranks 4th overall in the league, allowing just 18.7 PPG. Mistakes, turnovers, penalties, and a weak pass rush will prove to be fatal for the Rams here. Los Angeles is 2-5 ATS the last seven games played on the road. Arizona is 4-0 ATS the last four games played vs. NFC West opponents. Take the Cardinals. Thank you. |
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12-12-21 | Bills v. Bucs -3.5 | 27-33 | Win | 100 | 27 h 33 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay. HR play. Game 126. 1:25 pm pst. This is the time of year when cream rises to the top in the NFL. Over the course of the week, I keep hearing one thing. The Bills are a very good road team. Looking closely at their away record, they beat the Dolphins and the disappointing Chiefs, lost to the Titans, lost to the Jaguars, then beat two last-place doormats in the Jets and Saints. Now they must travel to Tampa to take on a Bucs team that has won and covered three straight. Tom Brady will dissect and decimate the overworked and overrated Buffalo defense here. On the flipside, Josh Allen is in for a long day lining up against a Tampa Bay “D” that is back at full strength and ranks 2nd against the rush. Without a successful ground game to crutch on, Allen is going to be a sitting duck here. The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS the last four games played at home, 12-3-2 L17 games played in the month of December, and 5-2 L7 games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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12-12-21 | Saints -5 v. Jets | 30-9 | Win | 100 | 24 h 49 m | Show | |
New Orleans. CONSENSUS play. Game 107. 10:00 am pst. Riding a five-game SU slide, if the Saints are going to salvage their season and save head coach, Sean Payton’s job, they must win here. No matter who is under center, New Orleans is expected to see the return of running back, Alvin Kamara and a few other key players. Let’s be honest, facing the 32nd ranked scoring defense of New York would remedy any offenses ailments. New Orleans is 6-2 ATS the last eight games played following an ATS loss and 17-8 ATS the last 25 games played as a road favorite. Take the Saints. Thank you. |
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12-12-21 | Cowboys -4 v. Washington Football Team | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 25 m | Show | |
Dallas. NFC EAST BB. Game 117. 10:00 am pst. The general public moved on the WFT team early this week because they have won and covered four in a row. But they will not be able to keep pace on the scoreboard with Dallas’ high-flying “O”. The Cowboys got back a few key cogs in the wheel on both sides of the line of scrimmage last week when they beat New Orleans on the road, 27-17. Dak Prescott and the 4th ranked aerial assault will shred the WFT’s 30th ranked pass defense. Throw in the mix the stellar 6th ranked rushing attack controlling the clock and the tempo and the Cowboys are going to hand the WFT and general public a big loss here. Dallas is 7-0 ATS the last seven games played vs. the NFC, 5-1 ATS the last six games played on the road, and 12-4 ATS the last 16 games played overall. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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12-09-21 | Steelers +3 v. Vikings | 28-36 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Steelers. TNW. Game 101. 5:20 pm pst. Minnesota is struggling. With back-to-back losses to San Francisco and Detroit, things have gone from bad to worse for the team. To add insult to injury (no pun intended), OT, Darrisaw and WR, Thielen will be sidelined here. Their only true offensive weapon, RB, Cook (check status) is questionable. Defensively, the Vikings have gotten plowed, allowing a total of 94 points the last three contests. Pittsburgh’s numbers aren’t too much more impressive. But QB, Roethlisberger (check statis) is most-likely playing and with the team coming off a win against rival Baltimore, the come in here with some momentum. The Steelers are 35-16-3 ATS the last 54 games played as a ‘dog and 13-5 ATS the last 18 games played as a road underdog. The Vikings are 2-7 ATS the last nine games played at home and 1-9 ATS the last 10 games played as a fav. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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12-06-21 | Patriots +3 v. Bills | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
Patriots. MNF Winner. Game 475. 5:15 pm pst. Guys the Bills are a very good team. But they are not a great team. At least not yet. Not crazy about the coaching staff and not crazy about the quarterback. The staff has made some poor late-game decisions and Allen, he has the physical talent, but guys, he’s a lunkhead. He takes too many unnecessary chances. Bill Belichick and his coaching staff knows this and will throw a lot of different schemes at him, shake him up, and force turnovers. The Patriots “D” rank No.1 in the NFL, allowing just 15.8 PPG and as importantly, have snagged 25 takeaways. Mac Jones is not, I repeat, is not a lunkhead. Apparently, you get a much better education in Alabama than you can in Wyoming. Guys every game he matures more and more and he has the confidence of six straight wins and for us we have the confidence of six straight covers. Not only that but New England also has the luxury of an ever-improving running game to keep the Buffalo defense honest. The Patriots are 4-0 ATS the last four games played vs. the AFC while the Bills are 1-3-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the AFC. I like New England outright here. But I will take the points anyway. Thank you. |
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12-05-21 | 49ers -3 v. Seahawks | 23-30 | Loss | -115 | 40 h 1 m | Show | |
49ers. LVSM play. Game 473. 1:25 pm pst. Very simply, San Francisco is starting to heat up while Seattle is as cold as ice. One team has won and covered three straight while the other has not. Jimmy Garoppolo has the 49ers offense purring like a 57’ Chevy. They have accounted for over 95 points during their three-game hot streak. Meanwhile, Russell Wilson and the dismal Seahawks (lack of) offense has tallied a total of 28 points over their three-game skid. Look for the NFL’s 6th ranked rushing attack to exploit the 23rd ranked run defense and allow Jimmy G to open up the passing game. San Francisco is 6-2 ATS the last eight games played as a road favorite. Seattle is 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. the NFC West. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
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12-05-21 | Eagles -6.5 v. Jets | Top | 33-18 | Win | 100 | 37 h 46 m | Show |
Eagles. HR play. Game 461. 10:00 am pst. Philly, my friends, believe it or not is just a half-game out of the final Wildcard spot in the NFC. The Jets, guys, the only thing the team is showing up for is to give QB, Zach Wilson some playing time following is month long hiatus. LOL. Sports fans, you don’t have to love the Eagles here as much as you have to hate the Jets. New York hasn’t won back-to-back games since a few opponents pulled their starters late last December. Wilson is in for a very long day trying to shake off the rust against the ever-improving Philadelphia pass rush. But the biggest mismatch is between the Eagles No.1 ranked rushing offense and the Jets 27th ranked run defense. Jalen Hurts, who it looks like should play here (check status), will put up his best numbers of the campaign both in the air and on the ground as he lines up against the NFL’s worst scoring defense. Going back a ways, Philly is 5-0 both SU and ATS in this series. Take the Eagles here. Thank you. |
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12-02-21 | Cowboys -5 v. Saints | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Dallas. TNW. Game 301. 5:20 pm pst. Losing their last two outings, 7-4 Dallas must turn things around here to both, widen their lead in the division and to keep pace with the conference teams sporting eight and nine wins. Don’t put too much stock in the fact that the Cowboys are dealing with COVID-19 issues. Dan Quinn takes the reins on the sidelines and most of the squad is still intact. They should see the return (check status of all players) of receiver, Lamb. And whether Elliott plays or not, Pollard can handle the load on the ground. But it will be Prescott who shines here facing the leagues 23rd ranked pass defense. Dallas is 6-0 ATS the last six games played vs. the NFC, 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. teams with a losing record, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played on the road. New Orleans is 2-5 ATS the last seven games played vs. the NFC, 3-8 ATS the last 11 games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 1-3 ATS the last four game splayed at home. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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11-28-21 | Vikings +3.5 v. 49ers | 26-34 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 10 m | Show | |
Minnesota. Consensus. Game 267. 1:25 pm pst. Minny is red-hot, winning and covering three in a row and four of their last five games. Dalvin Cook will run amok here against the NFL’s 20th ranked run defense. The only games San Fran has covered in Santa Clara since 2019, were against the LAR. They are 0-8 ATS against every other visitor. They are also 3-10 ATS the last 13 games played as a fav and 2-5 ATS the last seven games played following an ATS win. Minnesota is 4-0 ATS the last four games played on the road and 6-2 ATS the last eight games played as a road ‘dog. Take the Vikings. Thank you. |
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11-28-21 | Rams v. Packers +2 | Top | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 26 h 55 m | Show |
Green Bay. NFC GOM. Game 270. 1:25 pm pst. Making Green Bay an underdog in Lambeau Field is a huge mistake. The Packers are an NFC elite team for sure. And following a two-game skid, if the team is going to turn things around, it is this week. Their defense allowed the most points since Week 1 last week. Playing a sliding Rams offense that has accounted for 26 total points the last two games will remedy this. LA hasn’t covered since mid-October and making them a fav here truly is a huge mistake. They are 0-7 ATS the last seven games played vs. Green Bay and 3-8-1 ATS the last 12 games played in the month of November. Green Bay is 6-1 ATS the last seven games played vs. the NFC and 5-1 ATS the last six games played as an underdog. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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11-28-21 | Titans v. Patriots -7 | 13-36 | Win | 100 | 23 h 11 m | Show | |
New England. HR. Game 252. 10:00 am pst. Winners of five in a row both SU and ATS, New England is the hottest team in football. Mac Jones is maturing at a rapid rate. The offense has established the run like the Patriots teams of old. And their defense ranks #1, allowing just 16.1 PPG. Tennessee is a very good team. However, since the absence of Derrick Henry, their offense went from scoring 34 to 28, to 23, to just 13 points in last week’s loss. Because they can’t move the chains on the ground, you’re seeing a ton of three and outs and even more interceptions by Tannehill. Thus, resulting in an overworked and tired defense. New England is 4-1 ATS last five games played vs. the AFC, 4-0 ATS the last four games played as a favorite, and 4-0 ATS the last four games played in the November. Take the Patriots. Thank you. |
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11-28-21 | Steelers +4 v. Bengals | 10-41 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 54 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh. BC. Game 263. 10:00 am pst. Following four wins and a tie, Pitt lost a heartbreaker last weeks to LAC. Not only do the Steelers want to redeem themselves, but they have revenge in their hearts and their minds here. The Bengals took both meetings a season ago. Pittsburgh is 16-4-2 ATS the last 22 games played in Cincinnati, 4-1ATS the last five games played on the road, and 34-15-3 ATS the last 52 games played as an underdog. Take the Steelers. Thank you. |
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11-25-21 | Bills -5.5 v. Saints | 31-6 | Win | 100 | 37 h 12 m | Show | |
Buffalo. High Roller. Game 109. 5:20 pm pst. Sitting in 2nd place in the AFC East and coming off their worst loss of the season, Buffalo…if they want to make a run at the division and moreover, the conference, they must win here. On both sides of the line of scrimmage, the Bills outclass the Saints. Lay the points here. |
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11-25-21 | Raiders v. Cowboys -7.5 | 36-33 | Loss | -103 | 33 h 11 m | Show | |
Dallas. Consensus play. Game 108. 1:30 pm pst. Dallas comes off their poorest offensive effort this season. After covering their first seven games, the Cowboys have failed to cover two of their last three. On the other hand…the wheels have completely come off the Las Vegas wagon guys. Losing five of their last seven SU, six of their last eight against the spread. I don’t know what’s worse, their offense which has averaged 14.3 PPG their last three or their defense which has allowed 32.0 PPG over that same three-game span. Tough number but Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliott, and Tony Pollard are too much for Vegas to handle. The Cowboys are 4-0 ATS the L4 following a SU loss and 6-1 ATS L7 at home. I lean on Dallas here. Thank you. |
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11-25-21 | Bears v. Lions +3 | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 30 h 39 m | Show | |
Detroit. Game 106. 9:30 am pst. Sports fans, granted there’s no glitz or glamor in the Bears/Lions Thanksgiving Day matchup. Guys, living in Vegas, we have a melting pot of residents with a large population hailing from the Windy City. Funny thing…I haven’t seen a single person sporting a Bears jersey in over a month and a half. They are riding a five-game SU losing streak, going just 1-4 against the spread. And their once-feared defense has sprung a leak bigger than the hole that iceberg left in the Titanic. Wanna’ know something funny about the 0-9-1 Detroit team? They are getting us bettors paid. They’ve covered six games this season. One thing for sure, with back-to-back 130-plus yards performances, running back D’Andre Swift has Lions fans excited for the first time in years. He will get the bulk of the load here, slowing the pace, and keeping the Bears defense on the field. Chicago is 3-8 ATS the last eleven vs. the NFC North, 1-4 ATS the last five in the month of November, and 2-5 ATS the last seven on fieldturf. I’m taking the 3.5 points with Detroit here. Thank you. |
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11-21-21 | Dolphins -3 v. Jets | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 19 h 60 m | Show | |
Miami. High Roller play. Game 457. 10:00 am pst. These two AFC East rivals may sport similar record, but folks, trust me, they are worlds apart. The Jets, come account for a dismal, 17.9 PPG. Which would be funny if it weren’t true. Wanna hear a real joke? 36-year-old Joe Flacco is getting the start. Is this déjà vu? Weren’t we here before? This is not an ideal time for the not-so-swift-a-foot quarterback to make a comeback. The Dolphins “D” has tightened up quite a bit over recent weeks holding Tyrod Taylor and Lamar Jackson to a total of one TD, snagging four INT’s while tallying nine sacks. The New York defense or lack thereof ranks 32nd sports fans. Guys, I can go on and on here. But keeping it simple, it doesn’t matter who is at the helm for the Jets. They don’t have the personnel to compete with any opponent above the Pop Warner level. Miami has covered nine of the last 10 meetings in this rivalry. Here are some Jets ATS numbers for you. They are 5-17 ATS the last 22 games played vs. AFC East opponents, 2-8 ARS the last 10 games played as an underdog, and 0-5 ATS the last five games played vs. teams with a losing record. Take Miami and take your bookmakers money. Thank you. |
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11-21-21 | Washington Football Team v. Panthers -3 | 27-21 | Loss | -125 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
Carolina. Blue Chip. Game 460. 10:00 am pst. Cam Newton back under center. Christian McCaffrey back on the field. And a defense ranking 6th in the league, yielding a mere 19.3 PPG. Throw in the mix the WFT is in a big “let down” mode here following their first win in over five weeks, and this is an ideal time for Carolina to prevail. The WFT is 1-4 ATS the last five games played on the road and 1-5 ATS the last six games played as an underdog. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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11-21-21 | Ravens -5 v. Bears | 16-13 | Loss | -104 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
Baltimore. Consensus play. Game 461. 10:00 am pst. Even if Chicago sees the return of defense stars, Mack and Jackson, the Bears are still no match for Lamar Jackson and the powerful Ravens offense. Especially coming off a loss and having several extra days to rest and prepare. Chicago is 5-16-1 ATS the last 22 games played following a bye week and 1-4 ATS the last five games played as a home ‘dog. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
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11-21-21 | Packers v. Vikings | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 29 m | Show |
Green Bay. NFC NORTH GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 467. 10:00 am pst. Aaron Rodgers had a week to work off the rust. And he knows all too well how to handle the Vikings defense. Moreover, the Packers defense has become one of the toughest and stingiest in the league. They have shut down better offensive units than this one. Green Bay is 3-1 ATS the last four meetings in this series, 5-0 ATS the last five games played on the road, 4-0 ATS the last four games played vs. teams with a losing record, 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the NFC North, and 20-8 ATS the last 28 games played overall. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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11-18-21 | Patriots -6.5 v. Falcons | 25-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
New England. High Roller play. Game 311. 5:20 pm pst. It takes some teams a very long time to bounce back from a 43-3 beating. Atlanta had just four days. They now must face the striding New England team riding a four-game win and cover streak. The Patriots are resembling the team old, establishing the run and playing very good defense. Mac Jones will pick apart the Falcons Swiss-cheese like “D” just as Dak Prescott did on Sunday. New England is 6-0 ATS the last six games played vs. Atlanta, 26-10 ATS the last 36 games played vs. teams with a losing record, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played in the month of November. Take the Patriots. Thank you. |
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11-14-21 | Seahawks v. Packers -3 | 0-17 | Win | 100 | 26 h 44 m | Show | |
Green Bay. Ten Dimes Play. Game 260. 1:25 pm pst. As of post, it looks like Aaron Rodgers (check status) will be under center here. Russell Wilson (check status) is also expected to play. But in all sincerity, when Wilson was at the helm, while putting up some good individual numbers, he just couldn’t do enough to help his team play with any consistency. Green Bay is money, covering eight straight outings. Rodgers and his arsenal of weapons will dissect the leagues 29th ranked pass defense here. Wilson and the sputtering Seattle “O” will have problems with the 7th ranked pass “D” of the Packers. Green Bay has taken four of the last five meetings in this series SU and all five ATS. They are also 5-0 ATS the last five games played vs. NFC opponents. Seattle is 0-6-1 ATS the last seven games played at Lambeau Field and 3-7 ATS the last 10 games played on the road. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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11-14-21 | Browns +2.5 v. Patriots | 7-45 | Loss | -107 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
Cleveland. Bookie Buster. Game 243. 10:00 am pst. The oddsmakers know the general public are jumping on the Patriots bandwagon once again and are looking to trap you here. However, rookie quarterback, Mac Jones is going to be on the run all day against the ferocious Browns defense here (15.0 PPG the last three outings). There is also no way New England will be able to even slow down the NFL’s top-rushing attack (160.2 YPG on the ground). Cleveland is 5-1 ATS the last six games played as a road underdog. New England is 4-11-1 ATS the last 16 games played following a SU win. Take the Browns. Thank you. |
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11-14-21 | Bills -12.5 v. Jets | 45-17 | Win | 100 | 23 h 34 m | Show | |
Buffalo. AFC East GOM. Game 247. 10:00 am pst. Guys, just for the record, I am not a big fan of laying nearly two TD’s with any NFL team. But, when you’re touted as the AFC’s top team coming off the most embarrassing loss of the campaign, and you’re playing the Jets…well folks, things change drastically for me. The AFC East race is much closer than many anticipated. And with other conference reps like the Titans and the Ravens sporting just two losses, the three-loss Bills must make a move here. Guys, Ken O’Brien, Richard Todd, and yes even Joe Namath could be under center and New York would still struggle to put points on the board. The Jets average a laughable, 18.0 PPG and now must face a pissed-off Bills defense that tops the league in just about every category. Coming off their poorest offensive output since late-December 2019, Josh Allen and the Buffalo offense will go out to make a statement here. And what a statement it will be against the NFL’s biggest doormat. Here’s some ATS numbers for you…the Bills are 3-0-1 the last four games played following an ATS loss, 5-1-1 the last seven games played vs. teams with a losing record, and 9-2-1 the last 12 games played in the month of December. I would give you some Jets ATS stats, but you would need a box of Kleenex. LOL. Take Buffalo here under 2 touchdowns. Thank you. |
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11-14-21 | Bucs -9.5 v. Washington Football Team | Top | 19-29 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 27 m | Show |
Tampa Bay. High Roller. Game 251. 10:00 am pst. Tom Brady is on track to have one of the best seasons of his storied career. Suffering just their second loss of the campaign, the Buccaneers had a bye week to rest, heal, and prepare. The No.1 passing attack in the NFL faces the 32nd ranked pass defense. Not only will The WFT get picked apart in the air, they also won’t be able to move the chains at all. The WFT’s only strength is on the ground. Well, the Bucs are 2nd in the league defending the rush. One more item, guys. The WFT has committed 13 turnovers while Tampa Bay has 15 takeaways. The Buccaneers are 7-1 ATS then last eight games played following an ATS loss. The WFT is 0-4 ATS the last four games played at home. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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11-11-21 | Ravens -7.5 v. Dolphins | 10-22 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
Baltimore. Blue Chip Play. Game 113. 5:20 pm pst. It really doesn’t matter who is under center, Miami just can’t score. And scoring is what you need to do to compete with the top-ten offense (yards, passing, rushing, scoring) of Baltimore. To make matters worse for the Dolphins, they possess some of the poorest defensive numbers in the NFL. The Ravens are 9-0 ATS the last nine meetings with the Dolphins, 19-9 ATS the last 28 games played vs. AFC opponents, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played following an Ats loss. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
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11-07-21 | Packers +7.5 v. Chiefs | 7-13 | Win | 100 | 28 h 35 m | Show | |
Green Bay. HIGH ROLLER play. Game 469. 1:25 pm pst. Aaron Rodgers is out. This is why the line moved from 2.5 up to 7.0. Jordan Love is no Aaron Rodgers. But the Packers are one of the best and most well-balanced teams in the NFL. They have the supporting cast on offense to do what just about every other “O” has done to the Chiefs defense this season. That is light them up. Kansas City is getting plowed for 27.5 PPG. On the flipside, the Green Bay stop-unit has emerged as one of the toughest in football. With the 6th ranked pass defense they will contain Patrick Mahomes and the KC passing unit. The Packers are 4-0 ATS the last four games played on the road, 4-1 ATS the lats five games played as an underdog, and 7-0 ATS the last seven games played overall. The Chiefs are 0-4 ATS the last four games played at home, 2-12 ATS the last 14 games played following a SU win, and 4-15 ATS the last 19 games played overall. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
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11-07-21 | Cardinals +2.5 v. 49ers | 31-17 | Win | 105 | 27 h 28 m | Show | |
Arizona. BLUE CHIP Play. Game 471. 1:25 pm pst. The general public has moved this line several points. Yes, Arizona lost their first game of the campaign last week. But that was to Green Bay. And yes, George Kittle is expected to return here. However, the Cardinals own a top-five offense and a top-five defense. They will shred the 26th ranked run defense of San Francisco here. And will shut down the pedestrian 49ers offense. Getting ‘Zona off their first loss is going to be fatal for San Fran folks. The Cards are angry, motivated, and no longer have pressure on themselves. Arizona is 6-1-1 ATS the last eight meetings in this series overall, 4-0 ATS the last four games played on the road, 11-5 ATS the last 16 games played against teams with a losing record, 8-3-1 ATS the last 12 games played as an underdog, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take the Cardinals. Thank you. |
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11-07-21 | Vikings v. Ravens -6 | 31-34 | Loss | -107 | 24 h 27 m | Show | |
Baltimore. CONSENSUS Play. Game 456. 10:00 am pst. Baltimore comes off a bye week healed, rested, and prepared knowing they have a real chance here to put some serious distance between themselves and the rest of the AFC North. Kirk Cousins and the Minnesota offense showed exactly what they are made of, going 1-for-13 on 3rd down vs. the 29th ranked Dallas pass defense a week ago. Now the Baltimore pass “D” isn’t too much better. But they are rested and prepped here as I mentioned a moment ago. The real mismatch is when the Ravens have the ball. They are equally good in the air as well as on the ground. They will shred the porous Vikings stop-unit badly. Particularly on the ground where the NFL’s 3rd ranked rushing unit eats away a lot of clock and controls the tempo. One more thing. Coming off a loss, (ahem) an ugly loss to the Bengals following a five-game win streak will extra motivate the Ravens to bounce back with a vengeance here. Minnesota is 1-10 ATS the last 11games played on turf, 2-7 ATS the last nine games played following an ATS loss, and 3-11 ATS the last 14 games played overall. Take Baltimore to roll here folks. Thank you. |
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10-31-21 | Titans +2.5 v. Colts | 34-31 | Win | 104 | 18 h 44 m | Show | |
Tennessee. HIGH ROLLER play. Game 257. 10:00 am pst. Tennessee has emerged as a true force in the AFC. Right now, they are two games ahead of Indianapolis in the South and can put some real distance between them and the 2nd place team with a win here. Guys, if you’re worried about a let down here, don’t be. If that was gonna’ happen, it would have been last week. Two weeks ago, they took down the Bills then followed it up last week with a 27-3 smack down of the Chiefs. Indy is a good team, winning three of their last four SU and all four ATS. However, they really haven’t faced the same level of competition. The Colts are one-dimensional offensively, relying on the run. The Titans “D” is one of the best in the NFL at stuffing the run. Speaking of running, I have two words for you, “Derrick Henry.” The standout running back has 869 yards rushing and 10 TD’s on the ground. His ball-carrying will control the clock, the tempo, and wear down the mediocre, Indy stop-unit. These two teams met a month ago with Tennessee prevailing, 25-16 for the win and cover. The Colts are 3-7 ATS the last 10 games played vs. the AFC South. Take the Titans folks. Thank you. |
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10-31-21 | Panthers v. Falcons -3 | 19-13 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
Atlanta. CONSENSUS Play. Game 254. 10:00 am pst. Carolina has now lost and failed to cover four in a row. Without Christian McCaffrey in the backfield, Sam Darnold’s and the offenses numbers have dropped significantly. And for a team that showed heart at the beginning of the season, there is no cardiologist on the planet that can bring them back to life here. Football is about momentum and Atlanta certainly has that, going 3-1 SU and ATS the last four games. And in those four contests, veteran quarterback, Matt Ryan has accounted for 10 TD’s and just 1 INT. The Panthers are pretty good against the pass. But their offense is so poor, it’s put the defense in a position of being overworked and tired. Ryan will connect with Pitts, Ridley, and Patterson coming out of the backfield, move the chains, and cross the goal line, handing Carolina another loss, and more importantly another no cover. The Panthers 1-5 against the number the last six games played at the Mercedez-Benz Stadium and 1-6 ATS the last seven overall versus the Falcons. Lay the field goal folks with the Falcons. Thank you. |
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10-24-21 | Colts +4 v. 49ers | Top | 30-18 | Win | 100 | 31 h 15 m | Show |
Indianapolis. SNLB GOM. Game 471. 5:20 pm pst. San Francisco is on a three-game slide, both SU and ATS. Garoppolo is most-likely out (check status). And both Mostert and Kittle are injured. Even if the trio was in uniform, the team just does not match up well with an Indianapolis team that has covered their last three contests. Wentz (1,545 yards passing, 64.2% completion rate, 9/1) and Taylor (682 total yards and five TD’s) will decimate the overworked 49ers “D”. They are 1-5 ATS the last six games played at home and 10-27-1 ATS the last 38 games played as a favorite. The Colts are 7-2 ATS the last nine games played on the road and 8-3 ATS the last 11 games played in the month of October. Take Indianapolis. Thank you. |
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10-24-21 | Panthers -3 v. Giants | 3-25 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 25 m | Show | |
Carolina. BOOKIE BUSTER. Game 453. 10:00 am pst. Losing three in a row, the Panthers must turn their season around right now. Playing the Giants will do just that. New York can not score at all. And playing the NFL’s 6th ranked defense, things will go from bad to worse for the team. The 1-2 punch of Darnold and Hubbard will prove to be too much in this matchup as the tandem will light up the scoreboard here against the 30th ranked “D” of NY. Carolina is 8-1 ATS the last nine games played on the road. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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10-24-21 | Washington Football Team v. Packers -7.5 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 11 m | Show | |
Green Bay. CONSENSUS PLAY. Game 456. 10:00 am pst. Let’s be honest guys. As much as we all enjoy football. We are not here to have fun. We are here to make money. The Green Bay Packers are just that, THEY ARE MONEY! The Packers have won and covered five straight. Very simply, Green Bay, behind the leadership of Aaron Rodgers, is one of the best teams in the NFC and one of the best in all of football. They have lined up against some very tough defenses and have lit them all up. The WFT won’t be able to stop the bleeding here. Prior to the season starting, their defense was supposed to be one of the toughest in the league. Well, they rank 32nd vs. the pass, 31st in total yards allowed, 23rd in takeaways, and yes, 32nd (in case you’re keeping score, that’s dead-last) in points allowed. They are getting blasted for 31.0 PPG. That would be enough folks. But Green Bay’s stop-unit has emerged to be one of the best in the NFL. Look for Rodgers to have his best game thus far this season facing a defense that is allowing 65% completions. The Packers win by 2 TD’s or more. Thank you. |
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10-24-21 | Chiefs v. Titans +4.5 | Top | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 24 h 2 m | Show |
Tennessee. HIGH ROLLER. Game 458. 10:00 am pst. The cat is out of the bag folks. Kansas City is beatable and their weaknesses have been exposed. The Chiefs have crushed bettors, only covering two outings in 2021 and going back a bit, they are on a 4-13 ATS slide. The Titans, behind the rushing of Derrick Henry will shred the 27th ranked run defense of the Chiefs, controlling the clock and keeping Patrick Mahomes off the field. Tennessee is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings with KC, and 4-1 ATS the last five overall games played. Kansas City is 0-4 ATS the last four games played vs. AFC opponents and 0-4 ATS the last four games played following an ATS win. Take the Titans. Thank you. |
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10-17-21 | Cardinals +3.5 v. Browns | 37-14 | Win | 100 | 39 h 27 m | Show | |
Arizona. VEGAS INSIDER MOVE. Game 267. 1:05 pm pst. The only undefeated team in the NFL won both games in 2021 in which they were road underdogs. They enter this matchup in the same situation. The Cleveland offense owns the top-ranked rushing unit in football. But their top running back, Nick Chubb is ruled out this week. They are effective because they have two ball-carriers in the backfield. Without both, they aren’t the same. Baker Mayfield is in for a long day against one of the league’s best pass defenses. The Browns “D” sprung a leak last week allowing the Chargers to put up 47 points. The Cardinals have an awesome passing attack and will take a page from the Chargers playbook and exploit the Browns weaknesses. Arizona is 4-1 ATS the last five games played on the road, 7-3-1 ATS the last 11 games played as an underdog, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played overall. Take the Cardinals. Thank you. |
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10-17-21 | Chargers +2.5 v. Ravens | 6-34 | Loss | -100 | 36 h 8 m | Show | |
Los Angeles. HIGH ROLLER PLAY. Game 261. 10:00 pm pst. The Chargers are money, covering eight of their last nine games and are 4-0 SU and ATS their last four games played as a visitor. To go even further, Los Angeles is 6-0 ATS their last six games played vs. AFC opponents. The Ravens lost to the Raiders, went to the mat with an overrated Chiefs team, had a tough time with the winless Lions, beat a banged-up Broncos squad, and then needed overtime to best the Colts. None of these teams are as complete or are paying at the same level as LA. Baltimore is 0-5 ATS their last five games played at home vs. teams with a winning road record. Take the Chargers. Thank you. |
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10-17-21 | Packers -6 v. Bears | Top | 24-14 | Win | 101 | 37 h 32 m | Show |
Green Bay. TEN DIMES PLAY. Game 255. 10:00 am pst. Make no mistake of it guys, Green Bay is an NFC elite team. The Packers have now rattled off four straight wins and covers. This is a team, no matter the circumstance or the opponent, that does what it takes to win and also to cover. In one of footballs oldest rivalries, don’t kid yourself, Green Bay enjoys beating Chicago. They have taken nine of the last 10 meetings SU, going 7-3 ATS, including four consecutive wins and covers. The Bears defense, on paper, is good. However, they have faced two solid offenses in 2021, losing 34-14 to the Rams and 26-6 to the Browns. In comes Aaron Rodgers and the high-flying Packers offense which has posted 29.2 PPG during their current win streak. Chicago just doesn’t have the personnel to contend on the scoreboard here. The Packers are 17-5 ATS the last 22 at the Bears and 20-7 the last 27 overall vs. the Bears. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
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10-14-21 | Bucs -6.5 v. Eagles | 28-22 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay. Blue Chip play. Game 109. 5:20 pm pst. Slowing down Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay offense is a task that very few can accomplish. The Bucs are averaging 33.4 PPG. The Philly offense just won’t be able to keep pace score for score in this matchup. And finally getting a win last week at the Panthers, you can expect the Eagles to fall back down to Earth. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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10-11-21 | Colts +7.5 v. Ravens | 25-31 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
Indianapolis. MNF MM. Game 479. 5:15 pm pst. The Ravens are just a few points away from donning the same 1-3 record the Colts are sporting. Yes, they are riding a three-game SU win streak. But the team has a ton of holes that can’t be filled by gametime. Getting their first win of the year last week will give the Colts the boost of confidence they needed. Doubtful, Lamar Jackson can replicate last week’s 316 passing yard performance against the improving, Indy pass defense. This along with the Baltimore injury-plagued backfield, prompts me to take the TD on MNF here. The Colts are 6-1 ATS the last seven games played at the Ravens and 10-2 ATS the last 12 games played overall vs. the Ravens. Take Indianapolis. Thank you. |
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10-10-21 | Bills +3 v. Chiefs | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 31 h 17 m | Show | |
Bills. Sunday Night Late Bailout. Game 477. 5:20 pm pst. With all respect to the Chiefs, which are a talented team, they are not under the radar anymore. And, Andy Reid is no genius. Let’s be honest, his time has passed. The guy owns a 17-15 postseason record as a coach. He does not adapt well. The Kansas City defense ranks 31st in yards allowed, 27th vs. the pass, 30th vs. the rush, and 31st in points allowed. They are getting shellacked for 31.3 PPG. Patrick Mahomes and the offense are as good as any in football. But the Buffalo “D” is one of the toughest in the NFL right now. They are No.1 in total yards, No.1 vs. the pass, No.4 vs. the rush, and yes, No.1 in scoring, allowing a mere, 11.0 PPG. On the flipside, look for running back, Devin Singletary to shred the KC defense and allow Josh Allen to open up the passing game. The Bills are 5-1 ATS their last six games played on the road, 7-2-2 ATS their last 11 games played as a road ‘dog, and 8-3 ATS their last 11 games played vs. AFC opponents. Take the Bills. Thank you. |
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10-10-21 | Bears v. Raiders -5.5 | 20-9 | Loss | -104 | 27 h 16 m | Show | |
Raiders. Las Vegas Strip Move. Game 470. 1:05 pm pst. Even if they were riding in a tank, the Bears offense still couldn’t be able to get into the endzone. They are 30th in scoring, posting a dismal, 16.0 PPG. With a passing that ranks 32nd, the Raiders can key on their running game and shut down the entire offense. There is no possible way they can keep pace with the high-flying Las Vegas scoring machine. To make matters worse for Chicago, they must face a Vegas team returning home following their first loss of the 2021 campaign. Whether it is Andy Dalton or Justin Fields under center, Raiders head coach, Jon Gruden will have his defense prepared, primed, and ready to go. Quarterback, Derek Carr (1,399 yards passing, 64.1% completion rate, 8/3) and his arsenal of receivers will light up the scoreboard here and rival the lights on the Vegas Strip. Chicago is 1-6 ATS their last seven games played as a road ‘dog and 1-4 ATS their last five games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take the Raiders. Thank you. |
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10-10-21 | Eagles v. Panthers -3 | 21-18 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 45 m | Show | |
Panthers. BLUE CHIP. Game 456. 10:00 am pst. No Christian McCaffrey (check status), no problem. Following three straight wins and covers to kick-off the season, Carolina suffered a heartbreaking loss to Dallas last week. The Panthers will come in here angry. Chuba Hubbard is an able backup. The running back lines up against the NFL’s 32nd-ranked run defense. That would be enough. However, sorry Eagles fans, but the team is their own worst enemy, committing 44 penalties through four games. Their current three-game loss and no cover streak speaks for itself, Now, they must face a top-10 defense in every major category. The line should be closer to a touchdown here. Philadelphia is 1-7 ATS their last eight games played on the road, 4-9 ATS their last 13 games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 2-5 ATS their last seven games played overall. Take Carolina. Thank you. |
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10-10-21 | Packers -2.5 v. Bengals | Top | 25-22 | Win | 100 | 25 h 34 m | Show |
Packers. HIGH ROLLER. Game 465. 10;00 am pst. Since their season-opening loss, Green Bay has now rattled off three consecutive wins and covers. Cincinnati may be 3-1 as well. But, let’s take a look why. They beat a Minnesota team in overtime that is currently 1-3. They lost to a Chicago squad that can’t seem to cross the goal line. They trounced the fading Pittsburgh team that is struggling. And last week, they eked out a win and no cover against a winless Jacksonville club. Their last three outings, the Packers are posting 30.6 PPG. Aaron Rodgers is in top-form. So is his stellar wideouts, Davante Adams and Randall Cobb. The Bengals secondary is outclassed and outmatched here. Throw in the mix that Rodgers is supposed to get back several offensive linemen this week and when this game is over, it just might be the biggest aerial assault we’ve seen this season. Green Bay has a couple of linebackers playing in their second full game back and reports are that their linebacking corps is just about whole now. The Bengals are 1-6 ATS their last seven games played following a SU win. The Packers are 6-2 ATS their last eight games played overall. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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10-07-21 | Rams -2 v. Seahawks | 26-17 | Win | 100 | 32 h 0 m | Show | |
Los Angeles. Blue Chip Play. Game 601. 5:20 pm pst. This is an ideal spot for sportsbettors to get a big weekday win. The Rams come off their first loss of the season and are looking for redemption. A loss is more helpful to a team than a win. It shows where they need improvement. Let’s be honest, if Jimmy Garoppolo didn’t get hurt last week, Seattle would most-likely have suffered their third consecutive loss and no cover. Matthew Stafford and the Rams enter this matchup with the NFL’s 4th-ranked passing unit. They face the Seahawks 28th-ranked pass defense. You can also expect the running back corps of L.A. to establish the ground game vs. the leagues poorest rush defense. The Rams are 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series, 5-1 ATS the last six games played following a SU loss, and 23-9-1 ATS the last 39 games played vs. the NFC. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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10-04-21 | Raiders +3 v. Chargers | 14-28 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Raiders. MNF Winners. Game 279 5:15 pm pst. Las Vegas owns the NFL’s top-ranked passing attack as the offense is accounting for over 30.0 PPG. While Los Angeles is a good team, each week their defense is yielding more points than the previous week (16, 20. 24 points allowed) You can also expect the Chargers to be in “let down” mode following their victory over the Chiefs. The underdog is 18-6 ATS the last 24 meetings in this series. The road team is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings. The Raiders are 9-3 ATS the last 12 games played at the Chargers, 5-1 ATS the last six as a road underdog, and 4-0 ATS the last four games played on MNF. The Chargers are 16-37-1 ATS the last 54 games played at home, 3-10-1 ATS the last 14 as a home favorite, and 1-3-1 ATS the last five games played on MNF. Take Las Vegas. Thank you. |
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10-03-21 | Bucs -7 v. Patriots | 19-17 | Loss | -101 | 42 h 36 m | Show | |
Buccaneers. LATE BAILOUT. Game 277. 5:20 pm pst. Maybe Belichick isn’t that great of a coach with Brady as his QB. On both sides of the ball, New England is outclassed and overmatched here. After rattling off 10 consecutive victories including a super Bowl, Tampa Bay lost a game to Los Angeles last week. They will come in here pissed-off and looking for vengeance. The Bucs “D” will put pressure on the Pats rookie QB while Brady does what he does best. The Buccaneers are 5-0 ATS their last five games played following a loss. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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10-03-21 | Ravens v. Broncos | 23-7 | Win | 100 | 38 h 6 m | Show | |
Ravens. Blue Chip. Game 277. 1:25 pm pst. I understand Denver is undefeated and their defense ranks among the best in football. But their opponents thus far have a combined record of 0-10. Baltimore with their top-ranked rushing unit, has now rattled off two straight wins. The Bronco’s “D” have faced two rookie QB’s and a “never was.” Lamar Jackson is neither of those. The Ravens defense can and will neutralize the Bronco’s ground game and get to Teddy Bridgewater. Look for Baltimore to make a statement here. The Ravens are 9-4 ATS their last 13 meetings in this series, 4-1 ATS their last five games played on the road, 6-2 ATS their last eight games played vs. AFC foes, and 8-3 ATS their last 11 games played overall. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
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10-03-21 | Steelers v. Packers -6.5 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 38 h 50 m | Show | |
Packers. HIGH ROLLER. Game 275. 1:25 pm pst. Both Pittsburgh and Green Bay are dealing with a laundry list of injuries. But that is where their similarities end folks. These are two entirely different teams, playing two entirely different types of football, heading in two entirely different directions. Since their season-opening loss, Green Bay has shown they are an NFC elite team. After a season-opening outright win, Pittsburgh has dropped two in a row to two squads they were favored over and on paper, should have beaten. The Steelers offense just can’t seem to punch it in the endzone and won’t be able to keep pace with Aaron Rodgers and the high-flying Packers offense. Something unique this year that I have noticed. Green Bay has been adapting their schemes to matchup up with opposing defenses. Traditionally, they play THEIR game. But this season, they are changing their offensive gameplan to take advantage of the weaknesses by the opposing defense they line up against. Defensively, the Packers can counter Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers only offensive threat, their passing game, with a top-10 pass defense. Green Bay gets another win and cover while Pittsburgh sinks further into the abyss. Pittsburgh is 3-7 ATS their last 10 games played overall. Green Bay is 5-2 ATS their last seven games played as a home favorite. Take the Pack here guys and take your bookmakers money. Thank you. |
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10-03-21 | Panthers +4.5 v. Cowboys | 28-36 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 5 m | Show | |
Panthers. Las Vegas Strip Move play. Game 261. 10:00 am pst. Christian McCaffrey (201 yards rushing, one TD) isn’t the reason why Carolina is winning. Now that he is out, nothing changes. Chuba Hubbard is an able backup. The Panthers nasty defense is allowing a mere, 10.0 PPG. They will slow down Dak Prescott and the Cowboys offense. But it will be QB, Sam Darnold that continues to shine as he and the 8th-ranked passing unit lights up the Cowboys 31st-ranked pass “D”. Carolina has won and covered the last two meetings in this series and is 8-0 ATS their last eight games played on the road, 6-0 ATS their last six games played as a road ‘dog, 5-1 ATS their last six games played vs. NFC foes, and 5-1 their last six games played overall. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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10-03-21 | Titans -6 v. Jets | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 1 m | Show |
Titans. AFC GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 255. 10:00 am pst. Sports fans, just like me, I am gonna’ keep this analysis very short and extremely sweet. It’s no surprise that the Titans are perched atop the AFC South. It’s also no surprise that the Jets are winless. Listen guys, it takes at least five years for a good college QB to develop in to a good pro QB. Poor Zach Wilson. He’s having a heck of a tough time. The New York passing “LACK OF” offense ranks 30th. Wilson doesn’t have a ground game to rely on as that ranks 29th. Overall, the unit ranks dead-last in scoring, posting a dismal, 6.7 PPG. The Jet’s “D” isn’t that bad. But they spend so much time on the field, they are getting worn down. The legs of Derrick Henry will keep the New York stop-unit honest and allow Ryan Tannehill to hook up with his favorite wideout, Julio Jones and even Henry coming out of the backfield. The Titans “D” have improved with each contest and now they face an overworked Jets offensive line and a rookie QB. New York is 1-5 ATS their last six games played in the month of October and 0-4 their last four games played as an underdog. Take Tennessee and you will take your bookmakers money. Thank you. |
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09-30-21 | Jaguars v. Bengals -7.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Cincinnati. Thursday Night Winner. Game 102. 5:20 pm pst. Joe Burrow and Joe Mixon have been steadily improving. One thing for sure, they have been consistent. Lining up against one of the NFL’s weakest defenses will surely pay off for the Cincy offense. The Jaguars are allowing over 30.3 PPG while accounting for e mere, 17.7 PPG. They are 0-3 both SU and ATS this season. The favorite is 3-0-1 ATS the last four meetings in this series. Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. AFC opponents, 1-5 ATS the last six games played as an underdog, and 1-6 the last seven games played overall. Take Cincinnati. Thank you. |
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09-26-21 | Packers +3 v. 49ers | 30-28 | Win | 101 | 35 h 2 m | Show | |
Overall, my BIG GAMES ARE ON-FIRE. This Sunday I have isolated just 2 BIG GAMES on the NFL card for you: 2-0 HIGH ROLLER and my first BOOKIE BUSTER of the season. They went 12-2 a season ago. Get both, go 2-0, and GET PAID. Free NFL WINNER: Green Bay Packers. Game 495. 5:20 pm pst. The Packers are still slated to represent the NFC come this February. Their embarrassing season-opening loss fueled their fire. Last week, their game was as sharp as we expect it to be. This is the matchup Green Bay needs to put any doubts behind them and go forward with confidence. San Francisco has a slew of injuries, particularly to their running game. Currently, five running backs are listed as questionable or out. Without a solid rushing attack to crutch on, Jimmy Garoppolo just isn’t the same quarterback folks. On the other hand, Aaron Rodgers is an MVP quarterback that shines in both tough situations and in big games. This contest, he shines like the sun. The 49ers are 2-6 ATS the last eight game played at home and 5-20-1 the last 26 games played as a home favorite. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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09-26-21 | Ravens -7.5 v. Lions | 19-17 | Loss | -104 | 28 h 11 m | Show | |
Baltimore. High Roller. Game 473. 10:00 am pst. Guys, as far back as I can remember, no matter who is under center, Detroit just can’t win. The last year Barry Sanders donned a Lions uniform, I believe was 1998. It’s been 23 years and this offense hasn’t had a playmaker since. Let’s put a pin in that for a moment. Now, through the first two games, the Baltimore defense faced Vegas and KC, two big offenses. The Ravens “D” will make an example of Lions offense here. The Detroit defense has gotten smoked for over 76 points already. In comes one of the most-explosive offenses in the NFL here. Baltimore is No.1 in rushing, No.3 in total yards, and No.4 in scoring. YIKES!!! The Ravens have won and covered the L3 meetings in this series, outscoring the Lions, 110-39. This game gets uglier than a Kardashian prior to cosmetic surgery. LOL Baltimore is 6-1 ATS their last seven games played as a favorite, 11-5 ATS their last 16 games played on the road, and 8-2 ATS their last 10 games played overall. Take the Ravens. Thank you. |