Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-19-21 | Titans v. Seahawks -6.5 | 33-30 | Loss | -109 | 48 h 45 m | Show | |
Seattle. Las Vegas Strip Move. Game 292. 1:25 pm pst. Tennessee is a mess off the field as well as on it. Health protocols and injuries are already taking its toll in this team and it’s only Week 2. They were shelled by Arizona last week, 38-13. Now they must face one of the most complete teams in football. The Titans allowed Kyler Murray to light them up. Well, Russell Wilson will absolutely scorch them. Even if they didn’t have to contend with injuries and illnesses, they wouldn’t be to compete on this matchup. They are 0-4 ATS their last four games played in the month of September. Seattle is 5-0 ATS their last five games played this month. Take the Seahawks. Thank you. |
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09-19-21 | Broncos -6 v. Jaguars | Top | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 44 h 28 m | Show |
Denver. High Roller. Game 283. 10:00 am pst. Guys, I like Urban Meyer. And I like Trevor Lawrence. However, I like what I see in the Denver Broncos a heck of a lot more. Teddy Bridgewater and Melvin Gordon provide the perfect 1-2 punch to knockout most NFL defenses. And the Jacksonville defense, if you wanna’ call it that, they are in for a longer season than last year. Last week against Houston, they allowed 289 YP and 160 YR. Bridgewater and Gordon are salivating right now folks. Von Miller and the ferocious Broncos LB corps are going to go after the young Lawrence, wreak havoc, and create turnovers. Denver is still a well-kept secret to offer value, at least for another week or so. Here’s some ATS stats for you. Jacksonville is 3-8 ATS their last 11 games played vs. the AFC, 2-5 ATS their last seven games played at home, and 1-4 ATS their last five games played overall. Under a TD is an early Christmas present. Take the Broncos. Thank you. |
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09-13-21 | Ravens -4 v. Raiders | 27-33 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Baltimore. MNF winner. Game 481. 5:15 pm pst. With so many underdogs (11 of 15) not just covering, but also winning outright (8 of 15), Baltimore won’t take any chances this Monday Night Football contest. Ravens head coach, John Harbaugh is notorious for covering in the teams’ season-opener, going 5-0 ATS their last five in Week 1. They also get us bettors paid when in this situation, going 5-1 ATS their last six games played vs. the AFC, 4-1 ATS their last five games played on the road, 8-3 ATS their last 11 games played as a road favorite, and 12-5 ATS their last 17 games played on MNF. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
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09-12-21 | Broncos -3 v. Giants | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 37 h 17 m | Show | |
Denver. High Roller. Game 475. 1:25 pm pst. New York quarterback, Daniel Jones better take some life insurance out this week. He will be mauled by Von Miller and Bradley Chubb and the now full-strength Denver “D”. The Giants are in for a very long season and starting it off in Week 1 against the new and improved Broncos which are out to make a statement, just might be fatal. Denver is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series and 6-1 ATS their last seven games played on fieldturf. New York is 0-4 ATS their last four games played in week 1 and 6-17-1 ATS their last 24 games played at home. Take the Broncos. Thank you. |
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09-12-21 | Seahawks -3 v. Colts | 28-16 | Win | 101 | 34 h 1 m | Show | |
Seattle. Las Vegas Strip Move. Game 465. 10:00 am pst. The Colts are dealing with COVID issues along with some key injuries. But even at full strength, Indianapolis just doesn’t match up well with Seattle. The Seahawks are strong both up front and in their secondary. The seasoned Russell Wilson-led team are notoriously strong starters, going 4-0 ATS their last four games played in the month of September. The Colts are not, going 1-11-1 ATS their last 13 games played in Week 1 and 0-5 ATS their last five games played as a home ‘dog. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs -3 v. Bucs | 9-31 | Loss | -106 | 46 h 53 m | Show | |
Kansas City Chiefs. Super Bowl LV WINNER. Game 101. 3:30 pm pst. In a game that puts together the defending Super Bowl Champion and the league’s hottest young quarterback against a team led by the winningest quarterback in the history of the league, do away with all the smoke and mirrors. These two teams met back in the end of November in this same stadium, with Kansas City prevailing, 27-24. Patrick Mahomes bested Tom Brady. These are the NFL’s No.1 and No.2 passing offenses. Tampa Bay did away with the running attack for most of the season but as of late started to utilize the ground game. Kansas City has a mediocre rushing attack and has had a bit more success on the ground. Both offenses put up about the same number of points. A lot has been spoken about the Bucs defense being stellar against the run. They are. But these are two of the best QB’s in the game and both units are primarily passing attacks. Having said that, overall, these two defenses yield about the same number of points, literally a half-point difference. This game is going to come down to four major factors. First, coaching, Andy Reid is a much sharper coach with a better and more experienced playoff staff around him than Bruce Arians. Second, defense. We all know how good these offenses are. But the Chiefs are significantly better against the pass ranking 14th compared the Buccaneers, which are 28th. Third, special teams. Both have good kickers but KC has much better return specialists. Last, mistakes. And Patrick Mahomes has been more consistent than Tom Brady and overall, the Chiefs turn the ball over less. The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS L5 playoff games and 11-5 ATS L16 vs. teams with a winning record. Tale Kansas City. Thank you. PROPS The first set of props consist of smart money plays that offer little risk. The second set are a few props that offer huge value with a chance for a big payday. -Will Game Be Tied After 0-0, YES -110 -Largest Lead of The Game 14.5 Points, Under +100 -Total Sacks by Both Teams 3.5, OVER -120 -Shortest FG Under 27.5 Yards, YES -110 -Total Interceptions by Both Teams 1.5, Over +140 -Patrick Mahomes TD Passes 3, Over +200 -Darrel Williams Longest Rush 8.5 Yards, Over -110 -Travis Kelce Total Receptions 7.5, Over -135 -Harrison Butker Total FG’s 1.5, Over -125 -Tom Brady TD Passes 2, Over -125 -Leonard Fournette Total Rushing Yards 46.5, Over -110 -Mike Evans Total Receptions 4.5, Over -120 -Chris Godwin Total Receptions 5.5, Over -110 -Ryan Succop Total FG’s 1.5, Over -120 ----------------------------------------------------------------- -Will Game Be Decided by Exactly 3 Points, YES +425 -Will There Be More Than 3.5 Kickoff Returns, Yes +170 -First Score of The Game FG/Safety, YES +190 -Will There Be A Safety, Yes +800 -Will There be a Defensive TD, Yes +250 -Total Number of Kickoff Returns by Both Teams 3.5, Over +170 |
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01-24-21 | Bills +3 v. Chiefs | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -100 | 53 h 22 m | Show |
Buffalo Bills. AFC TITLE GAME WINNER. Game 313. 3:40 pm pst. The defending Super Bowl champion, Kansas City Chiefs certainly deserve all their praise. But they haven’t covered a game since November 1. As a matter of fact, their last seven regular season wins came by 2, 4, 3, 6, 6, 3, and 3 points. Throw in the mix last week’s six-point win over the Cleveland Browns, who outscored them in the 2nd half, and you realize they aren’t as unbeatable as their record shows. The Buffalo Bills enter this contest winning their last eight SU and going 9-1 ATS their last 10. In the regular-season matchup, the Chiefs came off their first loss of the campaign and was focused to bounce back against a still-maturing Bills squad. Buffalo has the confidence, the momentum, and the defense to rattle Patrick Mahomes and slow the Kansas City offense down. On the flip side, Josh Allen is 6-0 vs. top-10 total defenses this season. The Bills “O” ranks 2nd in scoring, putting up over 31.3 PPG. This doesn’t bode well as the Chiefs “D” is very beatable. Buffalo is 5-1 ATS L6 at the Chiefs, 4-0 ATS L4 on the road, 7-1-2 ATS L10 as a road ‘dog, and 6-1 ATS L7 vs. the AFC. Kansas City is 1-4 ATS L5 vs. teams with a winning record, 0-5 ATS L5 at home, 0-4 ATS L4 as a home fav, and 0-5 ATS L5 vs. the AFC. Take the Bills. Thank you. |
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01-24-21 | Bucs v. Packers -3 | 31-26 | Loss | -125 | 50 h 53 m | Show | |
Green Bay Packers. NFC TITLE GAME WINNER. Game 312. 12:05 pm pst. In a rematch from a mid-October meeting in which Tampa Bay throttled Green Bay, 38-10, you can expect a very different outcome here. That meeting was before the Packers offense became more well-balanced. The Buccaneers defense is good, but is vulnerable to the pass. Last week’s performance against Drew Brees, they took advantage of his diminished arm strength. Well, that’s not going to happen here. In comes Aaron Rodgers (48 TD’s, 5 INT’s, 70.7% CR, 4,299 YP) and one of the most explosive aerial assaults in the NFL. RB, Aaron Jones will keep the Tampa Bay “D” honest, allowing Rodgers to light up the sky in the air vs. the 21st ranked pass defense of the Bucs. We all know Tampa Bay abandoned the run this season. They don’t run the ball at all. When good, aggressive defenses go up against Tom Brady and key on him, the TB “O” sputters. Let’s face it the GB stop-unit vastly improved over the last two months, holding all opponents to 25 or less points. Remember that the Packers score 30 or more 13 times this season and have not turned the ball over in 11 outings. They rank No.1 in the NFL in offensive miscues. They don’t make mistakes. The Home Team is 5-2 ATS L7 meetings in this series. Tampa Bay is 3-7 ATS L10 in the month of January. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS L6 playoffs home games. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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01-17-21 | Bucs v. Saints -3 | Top | 30-20 | Loss | -112 | 49 h 58 m | Show |
NO. NFC GAME OF THE YEAR. Game 308. 3:40 pm pst. With no running game to speak of, Tampa Bay solely relies upon Tom Brady throwing the ball. Well, New Orleans owns a tough defense (21.1 PPG allowed) that ranks 5th vs. the pass. They have bested Brady and the Bucs both meetings this season SU and ATS and going back a bit, have won and covered five straight in this series. Drew Brees is 100% healthy and has the dangerous Alvin Kamara running the ball. Also, perhaps the most dangerous RB in the NFL coming out of the backfield as a receiver. Brees will hook up often with stellar wideouts, Harris and Thomas especially against the very vulnerable pass defense of the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS L5 in January and 1-4 ATS L5 as a road underdog. New Orleans is 7-1 ATS L8 vs. the NFC and 8-2 ATS L10 overall. Take the Saints. Thank you. |
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01-17-21 | Browns +10.5 v. Chiefs | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 45 h 26 m | Show | |
Cleveland. VIM. Game 305. 12:05 pm pst. KC deserves their praise. However, the oddsmakers have “inflated” their lines thus resulting in this team failing to cover their last eight outings. While Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offense can score, the defense leaves a lot to be desired. Particularly against the run. Every decent ground attack has piled up yardage and points on Kansas City. Well, in comes the NFL’s 3rd ranked rushing unit. While RB’s, Chubb and Hunt, who have combined for over 2,000 yards rushing and 20 TD’s on the ground, keep the KC defense honest and allow Baker Mayfield, who has thrown just one INT in the last 10 games, to hook up with his arsenal of receivers. Kansas City is 0-4 ATS L4 at home and 0-4 ATS L4 vs. the AFC. Take Cleveland. Thank you. |
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01-16-21 | Ravens +2.5 v. Bills | 3-17 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 39 m | Show | |
Baltimore. SMP. Game 303. 5:15 pm pst. Giving Lamar Jackson and the NFL’s No.1 rushing attack points in the playoffs is a mistake. This is a team that enters this contest winning six in a row SU and seven straight ATS. The matchup favors the Ravens ground attack against the lax 17th ranked rush defense of the Bills. When the postseason inexperienced Josh Allen and the Buffalo squad has the ball, they must line up against the No.2 stop-unit in football. The Baltimore “D” has made a habit of shutting down offenses that usually account for 30 points per game. The Ravens are 7-0 ATS L7 playoff road games, 16-5 ATS L21 vs. the AFC, 9-3 ATS L12 in January, and 20-8 ATS L28 overall. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
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01-16-21 | Rams v. Packers -6.5 | Top | 18-32 | Win | 100 | 23 h 3 m | Show |
GB. BCP. Game 302. 1:35 pm pst. There is no team in the NFL that is as “Jekyll & Hyde” as LA. While Green Bay has played the most consistent football in the league this season. Jared Goff will be under center here. That thumb injury may be a factor folks. The Rams won’t be able to keep pace offensively with the No.1 scoring offense in the NFL. FYI, the Packers defense have held their last six opponents to an average of 18.5 PPG. When Green Bay has the ball, the “Big 3” of Rodgers, Adams, and Jones will keep the Los Angeles “D” on the field, on their toes, and very busy. The favorite is 9-1 ATS L10 meetings in this series. The Rams are 0-6 ATS L6 vs. the Packers. The Packers are 7-2 ATS L9 in the month of January. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
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01-09-21 | Bucs v. Washington Football Team +8 | 31-23 | Push | 0 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
WFT. SMP. Game 146. 5:15 pm pst Washington has come alive the latter half of the season, wining five of their final seven games both SU and ATS. Their defense has held every opponent since mid-November to 20 points or less. Tampa Bay with Tom Brady has become solely a passing offense abandoning the run the entire season. This is a problem today as the WFT secondary ranks No.2 in passing yards allowed and 4th overall in scoring. Washington is 4-0 ATS L4 following a SU win, 4-1 ATS L5 as an underdog, and 4-0 ATS L4 on Saturday. Take the WFT. Thank you. |
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01-03-21 | Saints -6 v. Panthers | 33-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
NO. NFC SOUTH GOM. Game 113. 1:25 pm pst. The Saints can clinch the No.1 seed in the NFC with a win here and some help. RB, Alvin Kamara is out. But the offense is loaded with playmakers while the defense ranks among the best in the NFL. The Saints are 5-1 ATS L6 at the Panthers, 6-1 ATS L& vs. the NFC South, and 15-6 ATS L21 as a road favorite. Take New Orleans. Thank you. |
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01-03-21 | Titans -7 v. Texans | Top | 41-38 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
Tennessee. AFC SOUTH GOM. Game 111. 1:25 pm pst. Tennessee needs to win for a chance at the postseason. They own one of the best scoring offenses in the NFL (30.0 PPG). RB, Derrick Henry is looking to hit the 2,000-yard milestone and has a very good shot at it as he faces the league’s 31st ranked run defense. The favorite is 10-3 ATS L13 meetings in this series. The Texans are 2-5 ATS L7 at home, 3-8 ATS L11 as an underdog, and 5-11 ATS L16 overall. Take the Titans. Thank you. |
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01-03-21 | Cowboys -1 v. Giants | Top | 19-23 | Loss | -114 | 3 h 30 m | Show |
Dallas. NFC EAST GOM. Game 107. 10:00 am pst. A few things need to happen for Dallas to take the NFC East and make the playoffs. But they first need to win here. They have won and covered three straight as their defense has stepped up and both Andy Dalton Ezekiel Elliott are playing their best football of the season. Oh, and both are looking to reach season milestones. The Cowboys are 6-1 ATS L7 meetings in this series. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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12-26-20 | Dolphins -3 v. Raiders | 26-25 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 52 m | Show | |
Dolphins. LVSM. Game 461. 5:15 pm pst. The Raiders defense is one of the worst in football, ranking 29th and yielding 30.1 PPG. The Dolphins need to keep winning to maintain a postseason spot. This is a team that has been money winning eight of their last 10 SU and going 9-1 ATS. Very quietly they own the NFL’s No.1 defense allowing foes a mere 18.4 PPG. Going back a decade, they have taken five of six meetings with the raiders SU while covering all six. Las Vegas is 3-7 ATS L10 at home, 2-7 ATS L9 in December, and 0-4 ATS L4 overall. Miami is 4-0 ATS L4 vs. the AFC, 5-0 ATS L5 in December, and 20-6 ATS L26 overall. Take the Dolphins. Thank you. |
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12-26-20 | 49ers v. Cardinals -5 | 20-12 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
Cardinals. NFC WEST GOM. Game 460. 1:30 pm pst. No matter who is at the QB position, San Francisco is in trouble here. They are severely undermanned at quite a few key spots and without a true ballcarrier, they will have problems moving the chains. Arizona is fighting for a playoff spot as the Cardinals are red-hot, winning and covering their last two outings. The 49ers are 0-5-1 ATS L6 meetings in this series, 1-5 ATS L6 vs. the NFC, and 1-6 ATS L7 overall. The Cards are 4-1-1 ATS L6 in December, 4-1 ATS L5 vs. losers, and 6-2-2 ATS L10 following an ATS win. Take Arizona. Thank you. |
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12-25-20 | Vikings v. Saints -7 | 33-52 | Win | 103 | 28 h 46 m | Show | |
Saints. Game 452. 1:30 pm pst. Minny is riding a five-game no cover streak and possesses one of the poorest defenses against the rush in the NFL. Alvin Kamara will move the chains on the ground allowing Drew Brees to open up the passing game while also allowing the QB to shake of any rust before the postseason begins. On the other side of the ball, the only offensive weapon the Vikings have is Dalvin Cook. But the Saints “D: ranks 4th in the league yielding just 95.6 YPG on the ground. Minnesota is 2-5 ATS L7 meetings in this series, 0-4 ATS L4 vs. the NFC, and 1-4 ATS L5 in December. New Orleans is 9-2 ATS L11 vs. losers, 4-1 ATS L5 vs. the NFC, and 5-2 ATS L7 overall. Take the Saints. Thank you. |
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12-20-20 | Chiefs v. Saints +3 | 32-29 | Push | 0 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
NO. Game 366. 125. With Drew Brees most-likely back at the helm and tied for the best record in the NFC, New Orleans comes in here following their first loss since September. This is the most well-balanced and strongest defense Kansas City has had to face. But the real mismatch here is the NFL’s 7th ranked rushing offense of the Saints lining up against the 26th ranked run defense of the Chiefs. New Orleans is 6-1 ATS L7 as a home ‘dog. KC is 0-5 ATS L5 overall. Take the Saints. Thank you. |
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12-20-20 | Seahawks -6 v. Washington Football Team | 20-15 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 21 m | Show | |
Seattle. LVSM. Game 355. 10:00 am pst. Alex Smith is out. Not sure it would make a difference as the Seattle defense has literally improved each of the last five weeks, yielding 23, 21, 17, 17, and 3 points. I wouldn’t put too much stock in the WFT’s four-game win streak. They have faced four flat-footed QB’s. Meanwhile the last several weeks the Seahawks have once again become a well-balanced offense with the return of RB, Chris Carson. He allows Russell Wilson to open up the passing game. The WFT stagnant offense (22.1 PPG) just can’t keep pace here. The road team is 4-0-1 ATS L5 meetings in this series. The favorite is 5-2-1 ATS the L8 meetings. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
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12-20-20 | Bears +3 v. Vikings | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 22 h 13 m | Show | |
Chicago. NFCN GOM. Game 357. 10:00 am pst. Chicago got off the snide last week in their 36-7 dismantling of Houston. Meanwhile Minnesota has crushed bettors failing to cover four in a row. They are in for real trouble here as they must now face a Bears offense that has the 1-2 punch of Trubisky and a healthy Montgomery. The Vikings “D” has gotten steamrolled foe 31, 27, 24, and 3-26 points in consecutive weeks. Mind you three of those contests were against the likes of the Cowboys, Panthers, and Jaguars. The Bears are 5-2 ATS L7 meetings in this series. The Vikings are 1-4 ATS L5 at home. Take Chicago. Thank you. |
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12-13-20 | Steelers +2.5 v. Bills | Top | 15-26 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
Pittsburgh. LIM. Game 177. 5:20 pm pst. The pressure is off the Steelers as they come off their first loss of the season. They are also most-likely to see the return of their RB, James Connor. The Bills haven’t had to face a solid defense in months. Well, after their last week, you can expect the No.1 stop-unit in the NFL (17.6 PPG allowed) to come in here angry. Knowing quite well that they just might meet Buffalo in the postseason, Pittsburgh, which is the more seasoned team, will want this win. The Steelers are 6-1 ATS L7 vs. the AFC, 21-7-2 ATS L30 as an underdog, and 4-1 ATS L5 on the road. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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12-13-20 | Saints -7.5 v. Eagles | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
NO. BB. Game 173. 1:25 pm pst. New Orleans has won nine in a row SU and the last five ATS. Taysom Hill has been solid, making very few mistakes. Bit it is the stellar Saints defense that will once again shine here as they have help opponents to just 8.8 PPG during their current ATS win streak. Whether it’s an ice-cold Wentz or the inexperienced Hurts, the Eagles are in trouble here. Philly is 3-7 ATS L10 vs. winners and 4-9 ATS L13 overall. New Orleans is 24-9 ATS L33 vs. losers and 37-15 ATS L52 on the road. Take The saints. Thank you. |
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12-13-20 | Cardinals v. Giants +3 | 26-7 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
NYG. NFC GOW. Game 158. 10:00 am pst. The golden rule of sports betting is to ride a hot team. And there is no team hotter than the New York Giants. The “boys in blue” have rattled off four consecutive wins SU and are money, going 7-2 ATS their last nine outings. This is a big game for the G-men as they are tied for the NFC East lead with the WFT. The team is optimistic that Daniel Jones will play here. But even if he does not, having Colt McCoy is quite fortuitous. Arizona has sprung a leak dropping three in a row SU and five straight ATS. Their strength is running the ball. Well, NY’s is stopping the run. Take the Giants. Thank you. |
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12-13-20 | Texans -1 v. Bears | 7-36 | Loss | -112 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Houston. LVSM. Game 159. 10:00 am pst. In case you might have overlooked it, Chicago has gone from 5-1 to 5-7 and haven’t covered since November 1 (0-4 ATS run). Mitch Trubisky is always reliable to find new and improved ways to lose. Houston and the NFL’s No.2 passing unit are getting the bettors paid, riding a 3-1 ATS streak. DeShaun Watson, despite missing a few key receivers will wreak havoc on an overworked Bears defense that has given up 75 points the last two games. By the way, the Texans are 4-0 ATS the last four meetings in this series. Take Houston. Thank you. |
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12-07-20 | Bills +1.5 v. 49ers | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Buffalo. LVSM. Game 458. 5:15 pm pst. The hot-handed Bills have won four of their last five SU and three straight ATS. The 49ers offense, which is dealing with some absences, has struggled. They now must face a Buffalo “D” that looks to be back on track. They will shake up Nick Mullens (6 TD/7 INT) who certainly is no Jimmy G. The Bills, which are 8-3, can taste the AFC East crown. But with the Dolphins right behind them at 8-4, need every win they can get right now. Buffalo is 5-2-1 ATS L8 on grass and 6-1-2 ATS L9 as a road ‘dog. San Francisco is 1-5 ATS L6 on grass and 9-21-1 ATS L31 as a fav. Take the Bills. Thank you. |
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12-06-20 | Patriots +1.5 v. Chargers | 45-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
Patriots. LVSM. Game 473. 1:25 pm pst. Cam Newton showed that he still has what it takes to spark his team to victory. The Patriots have now won three of their last four, trying to keep home alive on their season. The defense has recently frustrated Lamar Jackson and Kyler Murray and will frustrate the young, Justin Herbert. The Chargers have crushed bettors, not covering since October, riding a five-game ATS slide. New England is 5-0 ATS L5 meetings in this series and 37-17-3 ATS L57 as a ‘dog. LA is 0-5 ATS L5 vs. the AFC and 3-8 ATS l11 as a fav. Take the Patriots. Thank you. |
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12-06-20 | Giants +11 v. Seahawks | Top | 17-12 | Win | 100 | 19 h 56 m | Show |
Giants. BB. Game 467. 1:05 pm pst. Colt McCoy takes the reins for a New York team that has won three in a row SU and six of eight ATS. Seattle has gotten burned by just about every offense they have lined up against in 2020. Offensively, you will see a slower pace by the Seahawks as they expect the return of their RB, Chris Carson. The Giants are 5-0 ATS L5 following an ATS loss, 6-0 ATS L6 as a ‘dog, and 21-8 ATS L29 on the road. The Seahawks are 0-4 ATS L4 following a SU win, 0-3-1 ATS L4 in December, and 2-5 ATS L7 overall. Take New York. Thank you. |
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12-06-20 | Lions v. Bears -3 | 34-30 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 4 m | Show | |
Bears. TD play. Game 456. 10:00 am pst. With Trubisky back at the helm and just a game out of a playoff berth, Chicago will do what they’ve done in five straight meetings with Detroit, and that’s win and cover. The Lions are distracted by sidelined players and an interim head coach. Detroit is 3-8 ATS L11 on the road, 5-12 ATS L17 vs. the NFC, and 1-4 ATS L5 overall. Take Chicago. Thank you. |
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12-06-20 | Saints -2.5 v. Falcons | Top | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
NFC S GOM. Game 463. 10:00 am pst. Taysom Hill brings a whole new dynamic to the New Orleans offense. He along with Kamara and Murray will control the tempo of this game and the clock. They will do it on the ground. Their defense (7.0 PPG allowed L4) will get to Matt Ryan and force mistakes. New Orleans is on an eight-game SU win streak and have covered their last four by over 25.2 PPG. They are also 5-1 ATS L6 meetings in this series, 23-9 ATS L32 vs. losers, and 36-15 ATS L51 on the road. Take New Orleans. Thank you. |
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11-29-20 | Saints -6 v. Broncos | 31-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 39 m | Show | |
New Orleans. LVSM. Game 267. 1:05 pm pst. The Saints which are riding a seven-game hot streak, proved they can win without Drew Brees. Taysom Hill brings a whole new dynamic to the offense. Kamara, Murray, and Hill will wreak havoc on susceptible and very beatable Denver rush “D.” On the flipside, their defense has allowed a total of 25 points over their last three contests, all against the spread winners. Denver had a win over Miami last week because they just happened to catch them at the right time. They won’t have nearly the same success here vs. the New Orleans stingy stop-unit. The Broncos have an anemic offense to begin with, ranking 28th and accounting for a mere, 20.6 PPG. The Saints are 7-1 ATS L8 vs. losers, 13-5 ATS L18 as a road fav, and 30-14 ATS L44 following an ATS win. Take New Orleans. Thank you. |
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11-29-20 | Giants -5.5 v. Bengals | 19-17 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 47 m | Show | |
Take NYG. TD play. Game 255. 10:00 am pst. Brandon Allen, who has only appeared in three games in his four-year pro career, and none since November of last year, gets the start at QB for Cincy. Winners of their last two SU and four in a row ATS, New York with a win here will be tied for the top=spot in the NFC East with Washington. Daniel Jones has improved nicely and has been very efficient. Great timing as the G-men defense has held opponents with a TD in the first half over their last three outings and held the Eagles without a third-down conversion in nine attempts. The Bengals have dropped their last two and five of six SU, finding new and improved ways to lose. The Giants are 15-5-1ATS L21 vs. losers and 21-7 ATS L28 on the road. Take New York. Thank you. |
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11-29-20 | Chargers +4.5 v. Bills | 17-27 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
Chargers. RA. Game 263. 10:00 am pst. The Chargers have been competitive in every game in 2020. Their losses were by 3, 5, 7, 3, 1, 5, and 8 points. This isn’t a very good matchup for Buffalo as in last week’s loss to Arizona showed once again that they have problems with dual-threat QB’s. Justin Herbert has a 68% completion rate for 2,699 yards passing, and 22/6 in the air and another 187 yards rushing and 3 more TD’s on the ground. The Chargers ground game will control the tempo and keep the Bills defense on the field, allowing Herbert and the 3rd ranked passing attack to move the chains in the air. The Bills don’t run the ball very well. They revolve around Josh Allen and the passing game. LA has a good secondary although they just lost CB, Hayward. No need to worry. They just activated both Harris and Facyson. They have won and covered the last four meetings in this series, are 4-1 ATS L5 following a bye week, 13-6-2 ATS L21 on the road, and 32-15-4 ATS L51 as a road ‘dog. Buffalo is 0-4 ATS L4 following a SU loss, 0-4 ATS L4 vs. the AFC, and 0-4 ATS L4 vs. losers. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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11-26-20 | Washington Football Team +3 v. Cowboys | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 30 h 34 m | Show | |
The winner of this game will take the top-spot in the NFC East. Dallas has become so reliant on the pass and now must face the NFL’s No.1 pass defense here. On the flipside, Alex Smith is beginning to get into a groove. He is smart, experienced, and capable. Any team can put points up on the league’s worst defense (31.8 PPG allowed). These two teams met October 25, when the WFT shut down the Cowboys with Dalton under center. WFT is 9-4 ATS L13 at Dallas, 5-2 ATS L7 following a SU win, and 5-1 ATS L6 in Week 12. Dallas is 1-7 ATS L8 vs. the NFC, 1-4 ATS L5 at home, and 2-8 ATS L10 overall. Take WFT. Thank you. |
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11-23-20 | Rams v. Bucs -4 | 27-24 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
I think you’re going to see the Rams in a “let down” mode after last Sunday’s, 23-16 win over the Seahawks. Not only does the Bucs have the defense to shake up the LA offense, but it’s very hard to go against “Tom Terrific” in a MNF spotlight. By the way, before Brady came to town, Tampa Bay took last year’s meeting, 55-40. They are a better offense now. The Rams are 6-13-1 ATS the last 20 as an underdog and 3-7-1 ATS the last 11 on MNF. The over is 5-0 in the Rams last five vs. the NFC, 5-0 in the Rams last five as an underdog, 14-3 in the Bucs last 17 vs. the NFC, and 18-6 in the Bucs last 24 overall. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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11-22-20 | Chiefs -7.5 v. Raiders | 35-31 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 23 m | Show | |
Kansas City. SNLBO. Game 471. 5:20 pm pst. Andy Reid and the Kansas City Chiefs do not like losing. Their one blemish in the 2020 campaign came at the hands of Las Vegas in Arrowhead. Since the defeat, they have won four in a row SU (3-1 ATS) by an average of 16.0 PPG. Need I remind you that this is the point in the season the Raiders usually start to plunge. KC can get some payback here while basically putting the division away in the process. The Chiefs are 12-5 ATS the last 17 at the Raiders, 24-9-1 ATS the last 34 on the road, and 33-16-2 ATS the last 51 overall. Take Kansas City, Thank you. |
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11-22-20 | Cowboys v. Vikings -7 | 31-28 | Loss | -101 | 30 h 34 m | Show | |
Minnesota. Consensus. Game 470. 1:25 pm pst. Dallas finally got a cover in their last game two weeks ago. Savor the flavor Cowboy fans, it’s not going to happen again here. It looks like Andy Dalton might get the start in place of Garrett Gilbert. It won’t matter who is under center. Without a ground game to keep the Minny defense honest, this offense won’t be able to move the ball. Ezekiel Elliott is getting pounded. During their current four game SU skid, the Dallas running back has 61 carries for just 208 yards (3.4 YPC). Dalvin Cook has brought life back to the Vikings offense. Since returning three games ago, the running back has tallied over 465 yards rushing and five TD’s on the ground along 125 yards receiving and another score in the air. The Cowboys own one of the worst rushing defenses in the NFL (31st). Cook will allow Kirk Cousins to pass the ball at will. The Vikings have covered the last five meetings vs. the Cowboys. They are also 4-1 ATS the last five vs. the NFC and 6-1 ATS the last seven overall. The Cowboys are 0-7 ATS the last seven vs. the NFC, 0-6 ATS the last six on the road, and 1-8 ATS the last nine overall. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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11-22-20 | Dolphins -3.5 v. Broncos | 13-20 | Loss | -114 | 29 h 1 m | Show | |
Miami. TD. Game 475. 1:05 pm pst. Miami is riding a five-game win and cover streak as “Tua-time” has become a phenomenon. As exciting as Tagovailoa is, it will be the Dolphins 5th ranked defense (20.2 PPG allowed) that will shine here. Whether it’s Drew Lock (check status) at the helm or not, the deplorable Denver offense just won’t be able to keep pace on the board with Miami in this matchup. Miami is 4-0 ATS the last four at Denver, 7-1 ATS the last eight vs. Denver, and 16-5 ATS the last 21 overall. Take the Dolphins. Thank you. |
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11-22-20 | Lions -2 v. Panthers | 0-20 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 35 m | Show | |
Detroit. LVSM. Game 455. 10:00 am pst. In one of this week’s larger line movements, the Lions went from a 2-point ‘dog to a 2-point favorite. We haven’t seen a swing like that since the days of Barry Sanders. LOL Quarterback issues on both sides of the field here. The Panthers have lost five in a row SU and things will go from bad to worse for this team as once again they are without their only offensive weapon, Christian McCaffrey. The Lions have won three of their last five both SU and ATS to creep back into playoffs talk. Detroit seems to beat lesser foes and Carolina certainly falls into that category. The Panthers are 1-7-1 ATS the last nine at home, 4-10-1 ATS the last 15 vs. the NFC, and 3-7-1 ATS the last 11 following a SU loss. Take the Lions. Thank you. |
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11-22-20 | Patriots -2 v. Texans | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 30 m | Show | |
New England. Situation. Game 457. 10:00 am pst. Bill Belichick and the Patriots are not accustomed to sporting a losing record this far into the season. They are trying to make a run of it as they have turned a corner, rattling off two straight victories. Look for Cam Newton and the NFL’s 2nd ranked rushing attack to terrorize the Texans 32nd ranked run defense, allowing Newton to open up the passing game. The Patriots are 22-8 ATS the last 30 vs. teams with a losing record. The Texans are 2-8 ATS the last 10 overall. Take New England. Thank you. |
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11-22-20 | Steelers -10 v. Jaguars | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 15 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh. RA. Game 459. 10:00 am pst. A few angles here I urge you not to get caught by. First, don’t fall in to the trap of judging a team solely from their last outing. Sure, the Jaguars made a nice showing in last week’s 4-point loss and cover to the Packers. But, rookie quarterback, Jake Luton is in for the longest day of his football career here as lines up against the stout, 3rd ranked (19.0 PPG allowed) Steelers defense. Second angle, there’s also no need to put stock into the fact that Pittsburgh has Baltimore on deck on Thanksgiving Day, they are focused. The 4th ranked Steelers offense (30.1 PPG) is going to shred the Jags 31st ranked “D” (30.1 PPG allowed). The road team is 5-0-1 ATS the last six meetings in this series. The Steelers are 5-0 ATS the last five vs, the AFC. The Jaguars are 1-4 ATS the last five vs. the AFC. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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11-16-20 | Vikings -3 v. Bears | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Minnesota, after two consecutive victories, can put themselves back in the playoff race and pick up a full game on the NFC North 2nd place Chicago team here. Since Dalvin Cook has returned, the Minny offense is starting to roll. This team is 5-1 ATS L6 games overall. The Bears are riding a three-game SU losing streak in which they are averaging a mere, 16.6 PPG. They just don't have enough firepower to match the Vikings on the scoreboard here. Minnesota is 8-3 ATS L11in November, 5-2 ATS L7 vs. NFC North and 5-2 ATS L7 on the road. Take the Vikings. Thank you. |
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11-15-20 | Ravens -7 v. Patriots | Top | 17-23 | Loss | -109 | 65 h 23 m | Show |
Take Baltimore. SNGOY. Game 273. 5:20 pm pst. They say revenge is a dish best served cold. For almost two decades, Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots have dominated the NFL, making a lot of enemies along the way. Well guys, the Ravens, having never won in five franchise regular season contests in Foxborough, are certainly on that list of enemies. The Baltimore defense, which tops the NFL in scoring (they only allow 17.8 PPG) will completely shut down the lackluster New England offense. But the biggest mismatch you're going to see here is between the league’s No. 1 rushing unit of Baltimore (170.1 YPG) lining up against one of the softest run defenses in football of New England (they rank 25th vs. the rush). The Ravens are 4-1-1ATS L6 at the Patriots, 11-3 ATS L14 vs. the AFC, 7-2 ATS L9 on the road, 6-1 ATS L7 in November, and 13-6 ATS L19 overall. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
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11-15-20 | Bengals v. Steelers -7 | 10-36 | Win | 100 | 30 h 58 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh. LVSM. Game 252. 1:25 pm pst. As of posting this game, reports are that Big Ben is most0liekly playing here. After last weeks come from behind win and no cover against the 2-7 Cowboys, the Steelers must come out here and shake off any rust and reaffirm themselves as an AFC elite team. They have a showdown with the Ravens in two weeks and the Bills in four, then to close out the regular-season, they face the Bengals, Colts, and Browns. Pittsburgh needs to get back in sync and boost their confidence. Defensively, they will shut down Cincy. You can expect a big letdown here following a win over Tennessee. They sat idle last week and it won’t benefit them here. The Bengals are 7-20-1 ATS L28 vs. the Steelers. The Steelers are 4-0 ATS L4 vs. the AFC, 6-2 ATS L8 at home, and 5-1 ATS L6 overall. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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11-15-20 | Bucs -5.5 v. Panthers | 46-23 | Win | 100 | 29 h 31 m | Show | |
Buccaneers. Game 261. 10:00 am pst. You can expect Bruce Arians, Tom Brady, and the rest of the Buccaneers to bounce back here from last week’s beatdown. Especially against a division rival. The Panthers are riding a four-game losing streak and it looks like their best offensive weapon, Christian McCaffrey is sidelined again (check status). The struggling Carolina offense is in for a long day here facing an angry, 9th-ranked Tampa Bay “D” looking to redeem themselves. The road team is 9-4 ATS L13 meetings. The Buccaneers are 9-2-1 ATS L12 following a double-digit loss at home and 5-2 ATS L7 as a road fav. The Panthers are 4-9-1 ATS L14 vs. the NFC and 1-6-1 ATS L8 at home. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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11-15-20 | Jaguars v. Packers -13.5 | 20-24 | Loss | -106 | 26 h 27 m | Show | |
Green Bay. BB. Game 258. 10:00 am pst. With Gardner Minshew II out, the situation with Jacksonville goes from bad to worse. Offensively, they weren’t too much of a threat to begin with. But having to try and contend with Aaron Rodgers and the explosive Green Bay offense is going to be impossible. The Jaguars rank 31st in scoring defense, yielding over 30.96 PPG. Well, in comes the Packers “O” that accounts for over 31.6 PPG. Green Bay, which is tied for the best record on the NFC, has to keep their foot on the gas in this one to hone their skills as they have Indianapolis and Chicago on deck. Of their six victories this season, five have come by double-digits. The Jaguars are 1-4 ATS L5 on the road, 1-4 ATS L5 vs. teams with a winning record, and 1-5 ATS L6 overall. The Packers are 4-1 ATS L5 at home, 10-3 ATS L13 in Week 10, and 6-2 ATS L8 overall. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
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11-09-20 | Patriots -7 v. Jets | 30-27 | Loss | -120 | 78 h 20 m | Show | |
Take NE. Game 475. 5:15 pm pst. Bill Belichick and his Patriots team have dropped four in a row SU. This is a real opportunity for the storied coach and his successful squad to show some pride and give both the team and the fans something to feel good about. New England is 4-1 ATS L5 meetings in this series and 22-7 ATS L29 vs. losers. New York is 1-5 ATS L6 vs. AFC and 1-7 ATS L8 overall. Take the Patriots. Thank you. |
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11-08-20 | Dolphins v. Cardinals -4.5 | 34-31 | Loss | -109 | 48 h 18 m | Show | |
Take Arizona. This is my BB. Game 472. 1:25 pm pst. No question, “Tua Time” is exciting for football. But, last week, the Dolphins were outgained, 471-145. The rookie QB now faces the experiences and hungry 9th ranked defense in the NFL. The Cardinals had a bye week last week, so they had time to rest and prepare for Tua here. ‘Zona and their 2nd ranked ground attack will decimate the overmatched Miami “D”. Kyler Murray and Kenyan Drake are an explosive duo. The Cards are 7-1 ATS L8 in week 9, 4-1-1 ATS L6 following a SU win, and 7-2-1 ATS L10 overall. Take Arizona. Thank you. |
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11-08-20 | Seahawks -3 v. Bills | 34-44 | Loss | -100 | 45 h 30 m | Show | |
Take Seattle. This is my HR play. Game 451. 10:00 am pst. If you don’t count their outings against the Jets and Pats, the Bills are giving up 30.2 PPG. In comes the top-scoring team (34-3 PPG) in the NFL. Buffalo has played three good teams in 2020, getting thumped by the Titans, outgained by 260 yards by the Chiefs, and got bailed out by the refs to eke out a win over the Rams. Seattle, which is 5-2 ATS this season, has too much firepower offensively behind Russell Wilson (2,151 YP, 71.5% CR, 26/6). By the way, the team has won 10 in a row SU playing in Eastern Time Zone, going 8-1-1 ATS. Buffalo is 0-4 ATS L4 overall. Take the Seahawks. Thank you. |
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11-08-20 | Bears +6.5 v. Titans | 17-24 | Loss | -100 | 45 h 22 m | Show | |
Take Chicago. This is my SMP. Game 455. 10:00 am pst. A few weeks ago, these two teams were a combined, 10-1. They are now 10-5. But Chicago covers, going 3-1 ATS L4 games. Tennessee has crushed bettors, covering just twice since mid-January (2-6 ATS run). The Titans offense revolves solely around the running game. The Bears own one of the NFL’s best stop-units. They will contain the rush while their stellar LB corps get to the flat-footed, Ryan Tannehill. Chicago is 5-2 ATS L7 as a ‘dog. Tennessee is 1-5 ATS L6 as a fav. Take the Bears. Thank you. |
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11-08-20 | Lions v. Vikings -4 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 45 h 6 m | Show |
Take Minnesota. This is my TD play. Game 458. 10:00 am pst. I feel this line is off several points, folks. The Vikings should be closer to a TD favorite. This game is do-or-die for them to turn their regular-season around and make a run at the postseason. Sure, the Vikings pass defense leaves a lot to be desired. But, with Matthew Stafford’s status up in the air (he’s eligible to play if tests negative five straight days), either way, the Detroit team will be distracted and out of sync. The Vikings are an entirely different team with Dalvin Cook on the field, s the Packers found out last week (3 rushing TD’s, 1 receiving TD). The Lions rank 23rd in run defense and 26th overall in scoring, giving up 29.4 PPG. With Cook in the backfield, it also allows Kirk Cousins to open up the passing game. And he will, guys. Detroit has lost and failed to cover five straight in this series, is 4-1 L14 vs. the NFC, and 5-13 L18 overall Minnesota is 7-3 L10 in November, 19-9-1 L29 vs. losers, and 38-18-1 L57 at home. Take the Vikings. Thank you. |
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11-02-20 | Bucs -10.5 v. Giants | Top | 25-23 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 25 m | Show |
Take Tampa Bay. This is my MNF GOM. Game 273. 5:15 pm pst. One of the NFL's top-scoring teams faces one of its lowest scoring here. Tampa Bay accounts for over 31.7 PPG as Tom Brady is putting up MVP numbers (1,910 YP, 18/4). He will decimate the New York secondary here. On the flipside, the Giants account for 17.4 PPG and might not touch the end zone here let alone the scoreboard. The road team is 6-0-1 ATS L7 meetings in this series. The Bucs are 5-2 ATS L7 on the road. The Giants are 6-20-1 ATS L27 at home. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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11-01-20 | Saints v. Bears +5 | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 53 h 50 m | Show | |
Take Chicago. This is my TD play. Game 268. 1:25 pm pst. Don't judge New Orleans from last week's performance against a depleted, Carolina secondary. Drew Brees must face one of the NFL's stingiest pass defenses here, Overall, Chicago yields only 20.0 PPG. Coming off a poor showing on MNF, expect Nick Foles and the Bears offense to put up points against a Saints "D" that has gotten scorched for 26, 26, 34, 37, 29, 27, and 24 points. New Orleans is 1-4 ATS L5 vs. winners and 0-4 ATS L4 following a SU win. Chicago is 12-4-1 ATS L17 as a 'dog and 4-1 ATS L5 vs. the NFC. Take the Bears. Thank you. |
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11-01-20 | 49ers +3 v. Seahawks | 27-37 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 46 m | Show | |
Take San Francisco. This is my NFC WEST MM play. Game 269. 1:25 pm pst. While Seattle sports a 5-1 record, take note that four of their five wins have come by single-digits. As a matter of fact, 15 of their last 17 W's are by single-digits. San Francisco is getting healthier and improving because of it. Jimmy G is one of the best in the NFL at play-action work and the Seattle "D" ranks 24th, yielding 28.7 PPG. The 49ers have a ground attack to keep the Seahawks honest. Defensively, San Fran matches up well here. They are 6-1 ATS L7 on the road, 7-1 ATS L8 as a 'dog, 4-1 ATS L5 vs. winners, and 5-2 ATS L7 vs. the NFC. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
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11-01-20 | Vikings v. Packers -6 | 28-22 | Loss | -106 | 52 h 38 m | Show | |
Take Green Bay. This is my NFC NORTH GOM. Game 254. 10:00 am pst. These two teams aren't heading in opposite directions, they are as far away from one another as the North and South Poles. Minnesota sports a 1-5 SU record, going 3-3 ATS, while Green Bay is 5-1, both SU and ATS. The Packers have dominated the series, taking three consecutive meetings SU and ATS, including a September 13, 43-34 victory in which Aaron Rodgers scorched the Vikings secondary for 364 Yards passing and four TD's. The future Hall of Famer also has something he hasn't had too often in his career, and that's a stable of solid ball-carriers. The ground game will keep the Minny defense honest while Rogers hooks up often with his stellar receiver, Davante Adams. the Vikings (lack of) defense ranks 30th, yielding 32.0 PPG. Well, the Packers "O" ranks 2nd in scoring (32.8 PPG) and doesn't make very many mistakes, ranking 1st in the NFL with only two TO's. Look for the struggling Kirk Cousins to force plays here and add to his whopping 10 INT's. Minnesota is 3-8 ATS L11 in Green Bay, 1-5 ATS L6 on grass, and 7-15 ATS L22 vs. winners. Green Bay is 4-0 ATS l4 at home, 4-1 ATS L5 vs. the NFC North, and 5-1 ATS L6 overall. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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11-01-20 | Steelers v. Ravens -3.5 | 28-24 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 15 m | Show | |
Take Baltimore. This is my HR play. Game 282. 10:00 am pst. Baltimore had a bye last week to rest, heal, and prepare. This is a perfect matchup for the superstar, Lamar Jackson to do what he does best, and that's make big plays on the fly. While the Pittsburgh defense is very good, they have given up points to some less than stellar NFL offenses. The league's top-scoring "D" of the Ravens have made a meal out of Steelers QB's in three of the last four meetings. Pittsburgh is 3-7-1 ATS L11 meetings in this series. Baltimore is 5-0 ATS L5 in November, 5-0 ATS L5 vs. the AFC North, and 12-5 ATS L17 overall. Take the Ravens. Thank you. |
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10-29-20 | Falcons v. Panthers -2 | 25-17 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 9 m | Show | |
Whether Christian McCaffrey is on the field or not, Carolina is still the play here. The Panthers bested the Falcons, 23-16 just a few weeks ago. Teddy Bridgewater will once again (313 YP, 2 TD's in the first game) exploit the lax Atlanta secondary which ranks 31st. The Falcons have found new and improved ways to lose this season and the campaign can't end fast enough for a few big names that are now in trade talks around the league. The Home Team is 11-5 ATS L16 meetings. The Falcons are 0-5 ATS L5 on grass, 1-4 ATS L5 vs. the NFC, and 8-21 ATS L29 in October. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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10-26-20 | Bears +6 v. Rams | 10-24 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Take Chicago. MNF WINNER. Game 475. 5:15 pm pst. Bears QB, Nick Foles rallied Chicago to a 20-26 win against the Falcons in Week 3 and has gone 2-1 as a starter since. The defense, which has held the last three opponents all to 19 points or less, is allowing Foles all the time he needs to get the offense going. All four of the Rams wins this season have come against NFC East foes (Cowboys, Eagles, Giants, WFT), which are a combined, 7-20. Chicago has covered all three road contests in 2020 and has been money against the spread going 4-0 ATS L4 MNF, 4-1 ATS L5 vs. the NFC, and 7-3 ATS L10 vs. the Rams. Take The Bears. Thank you. |
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10-25-20 | Panthers +8.5 v. Saints | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 39 h 35 m | Show | |
It's not who wins, it's who covers. And the line here of +7.5 is a gift, sports fans. New Orleans comes off a bye week which will help the aging but still dangerous, Drew Brees. However, the Carolina pass defense is nothing to shake a stick at. They have faced several solid quarterbacks and yet rank 7th, yielding a mere, 218.0 YPG in the air. Teddy Bridgewater ran into a very frustrating, Bears stop-unit last week, however, on the season he has a 70.9 percent completion rate and has tallied 1,676 yards passing. Look for him to bounce back here and produce. These two teams, being in the same division, know each other very well and the Saints are not the team they once were at home, donning a 2-6 ATS mark their L8 games played at Mercedes-Benz Superdome. The Panthers are 15-5 ATS L20 at the Saints and 4-1 ATS overall L5 vs. the Saints. Take Carolina. Thank you. |
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10-19-20 | Cardinals +1 v. Cowboys | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
Take Arizona. Andy Dalton takes over the reins for Dallas. He's a capable QB but understand that Cowboys success on offense comes from Prescott's mobility. Dalton has the mobility of a hot air balloon. Looking at the Arizona offense rank fifth in rushing and face the 30th ranked rush defense in football. They will control the clock and the tempo and do what every other opponent has done to the Cowboys, score points on the worst "D" in the NFL. Understand that Dallas is 0-5 SU and just two plays from also being 0-5 ATS. The Cardinals are 4-1 ATS L5 vs. the Cowboys and 8-2-2 ATS L12 on the road. The Cowboys are 1-6 ATS L7 as a favorite and 2-5 ATS L7 at home. Take Arizona. Thank you. |
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10-19-20 | Chiefs -5.5 v. Bills | 26-17 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Take KC. Yes. KC lost last week at home. They are still a force to be reckoned with and know that Buffalo is also a top-rated AFC team and will make an example of them here. The biggest mismatch is between Patrick Mahomes and the NFL's fourth ranked passing unit going up against the 24th ranked pass defense. The Bills have only face one solid opponent this season in the Titans and got blown up by them, 42-16. Look for more of the same here. The Chiefs are 9-2-1 ATS L12 vs. the AFC, 6-0-1 ATS L7 MNF, and 12-3-1 ATS L16 overall. The Bills are 3-7 ATS L10 as a home 'dog, 2-5 ATS L7 in October, and 14-29-2 ATS L45 home games vs. teams with a winning road record. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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10-18-20 | Rams -2.5 v. 49ers | Top | 16-24 | Loss | -120 | 31 h 59 m | Show |
Take LA. This is my NFC WEST GOM. Game 273. 5:10 pm pst. This is a chance for LA to gain some ground in the division. A rusty Garoppolo must face the NFL's second ranked pass defense here and will be pressured the entire game. On the flipside, San Francisco lost too many key players on :D" to slow down Goff, Henderson Jr., and Kupp. The road team is 4-1 ATS L5 meetings in this series. LA is 10-3 ATS L13 on the road, 5-0-1 ATS L6 on grass, and 15-5-1 ATS L21 vs. the NFC. take the Rams. Thank you. |
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10-18-20 | Packers v. Bucs | Top | 10-38 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 10 m | Show |
Take Green Bay. This is my ANNIHILATOR play. Game 271. 1:25 pm pst. Penalties, mistakes, pressure, and injuries are hurting Tampa Bay. Their run defense lost one of the best DL in football in Vita Vea. Expect RB, Jones to gain yards here and keep the Bucs "D" honest while Rodgers opens up the passing game as he sees the return of his favorite target, WR, Adams. The Packers are also healthy on the defensive side of the ball and the ever improving stop unit will pressure Brady. Green Bay is 4-0 ATS this season, 4-0 ARS L4 vs. the NFC, and 8-2 ATS L10 vs. winners, and 5-1 ATS L6 in October. Tampa Bay is 2-6 ATS L8 following a SU loss, 3-8 ATS L11 vs. the NFC, 0-5-1 ATS L6 vs. winners, and 1-7-2 ATS L10 at home. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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10-18-20 | Falcons v. Vikings -4 | 40-23 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 10 m | Show | |
Take Minnesota. This is my BB play. Game 256. 10:00 am pst. Dalvin Cook is out. But, Minny backup, Alexander Mattison is solid and will reach the century mark here, allowing QB, Kirk Cousins to open up the passing game against the NFL's 31st ranked pass defense. The Vikings have won four in a row over the Falcons, both SU and ATS. Atlanta is 1-4 ATS L5 vs. the NFC and 7-20 ATS L27 in October. Minnesota is 38-17-1 ATS L56 at home and 10-2-1 ATS L13 in October. Take the Vikings. Thank you. |
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10-18-20 | Browns v. Steelers -3 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 24 h 58 m | Show | |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my HR play. Game 262. 10:00 am pst. Both offenses are starting to roll. Cleveland owns one of the best rushing units in football. However, Pittsburgh ranks second in the NFL vs. the rush and sixth overall in scoring. The ferocious, Steelers stop unit will pressure the mistake-prone, Mayfield (four INT's) and force turnovers. Look for Big Ben and his arsenal of receivers, including his new favorite target, Claypool (four TD's) to shred the 30th ranked pass defense of the Browns. The home team is 4-0 ATS L4 meetings in this series. The Steelers are 7-3 ATS L10 vs. the AFC North. The Browns are 1-7 ATS L8 on the road. take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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10-18-20 | Ravens -9.5 v. Eagles | 30-28 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 52 m | Show | |
Take Baltimore. This is my TD play. Game 263. 10:00 am pst. This is the matchup that the depleted Eagles team is going to sorely miss their injured playmakers. The struggling Philly offense is going to be in for a long day here facing the top-ranked, stingy Ravens "D" (15.2 PPG allowed). But without several OL, a real deep threat, and a mediocre running game, this contest is going to get ugly. The Ravens are 6-1 ATS L7 on the road, 17-7-1 ATS L25 on grass, and 12-4 ATS L16 overall. The Eagles are 1-6 ATS L7 at home, 0-5 ATS L5 following a SU loss, and 1-5 ATS L6 overall. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
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10-11-20 | Vikings v. Seahawks -7 | 26-27 | Loss | -102 | 47 h 9 m | Show | |
Take Seattle. This is my SNLB. Game 476. 5:20 pm pst. A huge mistake in betting is judging a team solely on their last performance. Minnesota got their first win last week at Houston, which is now 0-4. The Vikings once-feared defense is getting steamrolled for 426.5 YPG and 31.3 PPG. They will not be able to stop or even slow down Russell Wilson and the mighty Seahawks "O", which has put up 31 or more points against every opponent this season. One of the few bright spots for Minnesota has been their running game. Bad news for Minny, Seattle is one of the best teams in the league at stuffing the run. The Vikings are 0-4 ATS L4 at the Seahawks and 6-15 ATS L21 vs. teams with a winning record. The Seahawks are 6-2 ATS L8 following an ATS win and 4-0 ATS L4 overall. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
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10-11-20 | Panthers +1.5 v. Falcons | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 40 h 11 m | Show | |
Take Carolina. This is my HR. Game 451. 10:00 am pst. Atlanta has found new and improved ways to lose, while their division rivals enter this contest winning and covering their last two outings. Teddy Bridgewater will exploit the NFL's 31st ranked pass defense and further ignite the flame under Dan Quinn's hot seat. Look for the Panthers ball-hawking defense (seven takeaways) to create turnovers. Falcons are 3-7 ATS L10 as a home favorite and 7-19 ATS L26 in the month of October. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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10-11-20 | Raiders v. Chiefs -11 | 40-32 | Loss | -109 | 40 h 6 m | Show | |
Take KC. This is my NL. Game 454. 10:00 am pst. There's going to be some naysayers out there talking about how this matchup is a storied rivalry with two teams that dislike one another, therefore it will be a tight game. Well, the first part is true. It is a longtime rivalry and they don't like each other at all. As far as the second part, this game is going to get uglier than the MNF hit Lawrence Taylor put on Joe Theismann in '85 to end his career. Patrick Mahomes and the well-balanced Chiefs offense (29.3 PPG) is deserving of all their praise. But, it will be their defense (ranked second, yielding just 17.5 PPG) that will shine here against a Raiders "O" that had problems with both the Patriots and the Bills the last two weeks (both losses and no covers). This is the game that will allow KC to truly separate themselves from the rest of the AFC West. Derek Carr has a career, 0-6 record at Arrowhead Stadium. And, the LV defense, which ranks in the bottom third in every major category (only four sacks and two takeaways) won't be able to slow down Mahomes at all. Las Vegas is 0-4 ATS L4 at Kansas City, 2-7 ATS L9 vs. the AFC, and 2-5 ATS L7 overall. Kansas City is 8-0-1 ATS L9 at home, 21-8-1 ATS L30 vs. the AFC West, and 18-7-1 ATS L26 overall. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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10-11-20 | Rams -7 v. Washington Football Team | 30-10 | Win | 100 | 40 h 1 m | Show | |
Take LA. This is my ANNIHILATOR PLAY. Game 457. 10:00 am pst. Kyle Allenwill be making his first start of the season and must face the improving and very hungry, Rams stop-unit here. The Washington Football Team have no ground game whatsoever. So, the eighth-ranked pass defense of Los Angeles can focus solely on the rusty Allen and the passing game. Look for a heavy dose of tandem ball-carriers, Henderson Jr. and Brown (405 YR, four TD's combined) to attack the very lax, WFT run defense here and open up the passing game for quarterback, Jared Goff (72.1% CR, 1,063 YP, 6/2) and his arsenal of receivers, Kupp, Woods, Higbee, and Reynolds (65 receptions and six TD's combined).This is a chance for LA to put themselves in with the NFC elite. The Rams are 14-4-1 L19 vs. the NFC and 9-3 L12 on the road. WFT is 1-4 L5 vs. the NFC and 2-8 L10 at home. Take LA. Thank you. |
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10-11-20 | Eagles v. Steelers -7 | 29-38 | Win | 100 | 40 h 54 m | Show | |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my TD play. Game 466. 10:00 am pst. The 3-0 Steelers come in here well-rested after an unscheduled bye week. Big Ben (777 YP, 7/1) and James Conner (224 YR, 2 TD's) will move the chains with ease. But, it will be the fifth-ranked Pittsburgh defense (19.3 PPG allowed) that will wreak havoc on the depleted Philadelphia offensive line and get to the shaky, Carson Wentz (7 INT's) and force mistakes. This is a pass rush that got the mobile, DeShaun Watson five times in their last outing. Wentz would be smart to take out extra life insurance before kickoff. The Steelers are 5-2 ATS L7 at home and 20-7-1 ATS L28 in the month of October.The Eagles are 1-4 ATS L5 vs. teams with a winning record and 1-4 ATS L5 overall. Take the Steelers. Thank you. |
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10-08-20 | Bucs -3.5 v. Bears | 19-20 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
Take TB. This my TNW. Game 301. 5:20 pm pst. Chicago is the worst 3-1 team in the NFL. Even with the upgrade of Nick Foles replacing Mitch Trubisky, the Bears still have no offense. They rank 21st in passing and 20th in rushing. They also turn the ball over a lot. They have yet to face a solid defense and still average a mere, 21.3 PPG. Tampa Bay is improving with each passing week on both sides of the ball. They are well-coached on "D" and own one of the best stop-units in football against the run. Offensively, they are posting over 30.0 PPG. Tom Brady, who is 5-0 with a 109.2 passer rating lifetime vs. Chicago. He and the offense are brimming with confidence after last week's come from behind win. Look for Brady (65.2% CR, 1122 YP, 11/4) and RB, Jones (253 YR, 1 TD) to keep the Bears defense on the field and pick them apart. The Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS L5 on the road. The Bears are 1-5 ATS L6 vs. the NFC, 0-6 ATS L6 vs. teams with a winning record, 1-8 ATS L9 following a SU loss, and 4-12 ATS L16 overall. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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10-05-20 | Falcons v. Packers -6 | Top | 16-30 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
Take GB. This is my NL. Game 280. 5:50 pm pst. Green Bay, at 3-0 both SU and ATS are playing great football. Aaron Rodgers and the top-ranked Packers offense (40.2 PPG) will shred the 31st ranked defense of the Falcons (31st in PA, 36.0 PPG and 31st in PY allowed). Atlanta is 2-11 ATS L13 in October. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS L6 at home. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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10-04-20 | Saints -4 v. Lions | 35-29 | Win | 100 | 59 h 0 m | Show | |
Take New Orleans. This is my ANNIHILATOR. Game 253. 10:00 am pst. New Orleans, which after opening the season with a big win over Tampa Bay, has dropped their last two outings. They come in here with something to prove. They also should see the return of several key role players. Not to mention, they are about the best ATS road team in football. They face a Detroit team that got a bit of luck last week, stopping an 11-game losing streak. One of the highest scoring offense in the NFL will devour one of its worst scoring defenses here. The Saints are 6-2 ATS L8 meetings with the Lions, 4-0 ATS L4 vs. teams with a losing record, 35-17 ATS L52 on the road, and 11-4 ATS L15 overall. The Lions are 3-9 ATS L12 vs. the NFC, 2-5 ATS L7 at home, and 3-11 ARS L14 overall. Take New Orleans. Thank you |
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10-04-20 | Browns v. Cowboys -4.5 | 49-38 | Loss | -104 | 59 h 53 m | Show | |
Take Dallas. This is my LVSM. Game 200. 10:00 am pst. Dak Prescott and the No. 1 passing unit in the NFL will decimate the depleted Cleveland secondary that is already a league doormat. With the issues Baker Mayfield is having (31st ranked passing unit), the Cowboys can key on Nick Chubb and the ground game. The Browns are 0-7 ATS L7 on the road and 1-5 ATS L6 overall. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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10-04-20 | Ravens -14 v. Washington Football Team | Top | 31-17 | Push | 0 | 59 h 47 m | Show |
Take Baltimore. This is my BB play. Game 269. 10:00 am pst. The Washington Football Team might want to change their name again. After this matchup, the team, the fans, and the city, are going to want to forget everything about this Sunday. Baltimore, which many feel (including yours truly) are serious AFC contenders, got embarrassed on MNF by the defending Super Bowl champs, Kansas City. Thus ending their 14-game regular season win streak. Facing this opponent six days later will allow the team to take out their frustration and will earn them their redemption. Look for Lamar Jackson and the offense to light up the scoreboard here, while their very angry defense, particularly John Harbaugh's pass rushers to get to the shaky, Dwayne Haskins Jr., and create turnovers. If he tossed three INT'S against the mediocre, Browns "D", the fierce, Ravens stop-unit will definitely take advantage. Baltimore is 5-0 ATS L5 as a road fav, 4-0 ATS L4 vs. teams with a losing record, and 11-3 ATS L14 overall. WFT is 3-8 ATS L11 at home, 1-5 ATS L6 as a 'dog, and 1-5 ATS L6 overall. Take BALTIMORE. Thank you. |
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10-01-20 | Broncos +1.5 v. Jets | 37-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Take Denver. We go from the Chiefs/Ravens MNF matchup to the battle of winless teams here. Brett Rypien gets his first start for Denver here. He looked pretty good last week filling in late for the benched, Jeff Driskel. Word is that RB, Lindsay (check status) will join Gordon in the backfield here. The Broncos defense, even without Von Miller, are still playing decent football. The Jets are a mess on both sides of the ball. they rank 32nd in scoring (12.3 PPG) and 27th on "D" (31.3 PPG allowed). Denver is 5-2 ATS L7 meetings in this series, 6-1 ATS L7 in October, and 10-3 ATS L13 on Thursday. New York is 4-11-1 ATS L16 vs. the AFC, 1-5 ATS L6 as a favorite, and 2-6 ATS L8 overall. Take the Broncos. Thank you. |
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09-27-20 | Raiders v. Patriots -5 | 20-36 | Win | 100 | 45 h 59 m | Show | |
Take New England. This is my BB play. Game 462. 10:00 am pst. Las Vegas comes in here prime for a letdown. they come off a short week, having played on MNF in which they bested a superior New Orleans team. This is also the second trip across the country in just a few weeks for the Raiders. New England returns home after a tough loss in Seattle. No team in football is better at bouncing back from a loss than his team. No head coach is better than Bill Belichick at maximizing his strength and exploiting an opponent's weakness. Look for Cam Newton and the Patriots offense to pad their stats here both in the air and on the ground. This is a mismatch. Las Vegas is 2-5 ATS the last seven vs. the AFC and 8-15-1 ATS the last 23 on the road. Take New England. Thank you. |
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09-27-20 | Rams +2.5 v. Bills | 32-35 | Loss | -114 | 45 h 53 m | Show | |
Take Los Angeles. This is my TD play. Game463, 10:00 am pst. Two 2-0 teams from opposite coasts square off. Both squads seem to be on the rise. But, I wouldn't put too much stock into the fact that LA is traveling through several time zones and playing early here. Sean McVay's Rams are 7-0, both SU and ATS the last three years on doing just that. They also possess a defense that held Dak Prescott and Carson Wentz in check thus far. The Bills are a good team but have had issues defensively with offenses that pass off the run. Enter the Rams and Goff, Kupp, Woods, Brown, and Henderson Jr. Los Angeles is 4-0 ATS the last four as a road underdog, 9-2 ATS the last 11 overall on the road, and 5-1 ATS the last six in September. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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09-27-20 | Bears v. Falcons -3 | 30-26 | Loss | -116 | 45 h 45 m | Show | |
Take Atlanta. This is my GI play. Game 476. 10:00 am pst. Yes, these two teams own mirror image records. But, in all honesty, the Bears have played far inferior foes (Lions and Giants) than did the Falcons (Seahawks and Cowboys). Mitch Trubisky and the pedestrian, Chicago "O" (21.0 PPG) can not go score-for-score with the high-flying, Atlanta offense (32.0 PPG). The Bears are 1-6 ATS the last seven on the road, 2-6 ATS the last eight vs. the NFC, and 1-4 ATS the last five overall. The Falcons are 4-1 ATS the last five following a SU loss, 4-1 ATS the last five vs. the NFC, and 5-1 ATS the last six overall. Take Atlanta. Thank you. |
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09-20-20 | Patriots +4 v. Seahawks | 30-35 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 10 m | Show | |
Take New England. This is my LB play. Game 287. 5:20 pm pst. Cam Newton brings a whole new dynamic to the New England offense. Mind you, Seattle has always had trouble with dual-threat quarterbacks over the years. But, this matchup is all about the Patriots defense. They were one of the best in football a season ago and are even better this season. No way Russell Wilson has the same luck here as he had last week against the very beatable, Falcons "D". Seattle is 2-7 ATS L9 at home and 1-5 ATS L6 in Week 2. New England is 7-3 ATS L10 on the road and 12-3 ATS L15 as an underdog. Take the Patriots. Thank you. |
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09-20-20 | Ravens -7 v. Texans | 33-16 | Win | 100 | 50 h 20 m | Show | |
Take Baltimore. This is my GRIDIRON PLAY. Game 283. 1:25 pm pst. The Ravens, on both sides of the ball are one of the most well-balanced teams in the NFL. They thumped Houston, 41-7 last November, keeping DeShaun Watson and the Texans ground game to some of their lowest stats of the season. Baltimore's "D" will once again keep the lackluster Houston "O" in check, while Lamar Jackson and the explosive Ravens offense show why they are NFL elite. The Ravens are 8-1 ATS L9 vs. the AFC, 5-0 ATS L5 on the road, and 10-2 ATS L12 overall. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
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09-20-20 | Rams +1 v. Eagles | 37-19 | Win | 100 | 47 h 11 m | Show | |
Take Los Angeles. This is my TD play. Game 261. 10:00 am pst. With no fans in the stands, Philly has very little home field advantage here. This on top of the fact that this team is once again banged-up, urges us to side with LA here as they come off a big win over Dallas last week. The Rams pass rush will go through the paper-thin Eagles offensive line that gave up eight sacks in Week 1, like butter. Los Angeles is 8-2 ATS L10 on the road and 13-3-1 ATS L17 vs. the NFC. Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS L5 at home and 1-7 ATS L8 in the month of September. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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09-20-20 | Bills -5.5 v. Dolphins | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 5 m | Show | |
Take Buffalo. This is my CONSENSUS play. Game 271. 10:00 am pst. Ryan Fitzpatrick is going to be in for another long afternoon here against the stout Buffalo defense. The Bills bested the 'Fins in both meetings a season ago and saw Josh Allen have some of his best performances as a pro (458 YP, 5 TD's). Miami has problems with dual-threat quarterbacks. Buffalo is 7-1-2 ATS L10 on the road. Miami is 0-6 ATS L6 in the month of September. Take the Bills. Thank you. |
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09-20-20 | Vikings +3 v. Colts | 11-28 | Loss | -100 | 47 h 0 m | Show | |
Take Minnesota. This is my DOW. Game 273. 10:00 am pst. Philip Rivers, new uniform, same mistakes. The Colts quarterback had a pair of interceptions in the Week 1 loss to the Jaguars. He now has 25 picks and three fumbles in his last 17 games. I know Minnesota gave up points in their opener, but that was too one of the best teams in the NFC. Expect their defense to come up big here and cause turnovers while Kirk Cousins and the Minny offense devours the mediocre Indy "D". The Vikings are 7-2 ATS L9 following an ATS loss and 11-5 ATS L16 in the month of September.Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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09-14-20 | Steelers -6 v. Giants | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 93 h 37 m | Show | |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my MNF WINNER. Game 479. 4:15 pm pst. This game opened up -3 and quickly soared to -6. I normally do not side with the general public, but sometimes in sports betting, you throw "normal" out the window. Big Ben is back and healthy. Look for him to connect early and often with receiver, Smith-Schuster. New York is without Eli for the first time since 2003. Daniel Jones is back at the helm and is joined by Saquon Barkley in the backfield. However, the offensive line is shaky at best and won't provide enough protection for the quarterback or open up holes for the running back. Throw into the mix that the ferocious, Pittsburgh defense was ranked third vs. the pass and an overall fifth in scoring (18.9 PPG allowed) a season ago. This doesn't bode well for the Giants. New York is 3-12-1 ATS the last 16 games played at home, 1-10 ATS the last 11 games played as a home 'dog, and 2-7 ATS the last 11 games played in Week 1. STEELERS -6 gets you paid. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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09-13-20 | Eagles -5.5 v. Washington Football Team | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 63 h 43 m | Show | |
Take Philadelphia. This is my NFC EAST GOW. Game 463. 10:00 am pst. Despite being bitten badly by the injury bug a season ago, Philly still took their division. They are now healthy. The Eagles have taken the last four meetings in this series SU, going 3-1 ATS (5-1 ATS last six meetings). Wentz has the best tight end tandem in football in Ertz and Goedert. They are accompanied by an arsenal of wideouts. This is an offense that is equally talented in the air and on the ground. This doesn't bode well for a Washington defense that will once again be a doormat. Washington has a second year quarterback and a rookie running back. It's going to be a very long and frustrating day for the offense here. Washington is 2-8 ATS the last 10 at home and 0-5 ATS the last five vs. the NFC East. Take the Eagles. Thank you. |
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09-13-20 | Bears +3 v. Lions | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 63 h 37 m | Show | |
Take Chicago. This is my DOW. Game 465. 10:00 am pst. Yeah, yeah, yeah, I know Stafford is back. But what good is it when the Lions have no OL whatsoever to protect him? In comes the Bears and their ferocious "D". Linebackers, Mack and newly acquired, Quinn are going to come at Stafford from both edges and create havoc. Trubisky is at the helm and gets to face the NFL's 32nd ranked pass defense here that he lit up for six TD's in both meetings last year. Both wins for Chicago. As a matter of fact, the Bears are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS the last two seasons vs. the Lions. They are also 9-4 ATS the last 13 vs. the NFC North. Take Chicago. Thank you. |
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09-13-20 | Browns v. Ravens -7 | Top | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 63 h 50 m | Show |
Take Baltimore. This is my AFC NORTH GOM. game 456. 10:00 am pst. After the Ravens lost to the Browns in week 4 last year, they were so motivated, they didn't lose another regular season contest. They did get some payback in a week 16, 31-15 win and cover over the Browns, but they are looking to exact some real revenge here and prove to the rest of the AFC that they are the best team in the conference. Cleveland is 0-6 ATS the last six on the road and 9-19-1 ATS the last 29 vs. the AFC North. Baltimore is 4-0 ATS the last four in Week 1 and 7-1 ATS the last eight vs. the AFC. Take the Ravens. Thank you. |
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02-02-20 | 49ers +1.5 v. Chiefs | 20-31 | Loss | -103 | 75 h 38 m | Show | |
Take San Francisco. Game 101. 3:30 pm pst.
I feel that the line here is about where it should be to appeal to both sides. I sincerely feel that this game is a true pick 'em. Both teams are very well coached and have had two full weeks to rest, heal, and prepare. Kansas City enters this game winning eight in a row SU and going 7-0-1 ATS. They rank fifth in scoring at 28.2 PPG behind the NFLs fifth ranked passing unit. Patrick Mahomes has been outstanding this postseason, passing for 615 yards with eight TD's and no INT's, adding 106 yards rushing and one score on the ground. The one weakness the offense has is that they don't have a real threat at running back to keep defenses honest and eat away the clock. This specific matchup will be extra difficult as San Francisco owns the No. 1 pass defense in football. They will slow down Mahomes a bit. But, he is capable and dangerous when pressured. The 49ers possess a monstrous ground attack, ranking second in the league. Overall, the "O" accounts for over 29.9 PPG (No. 2). Quarterback, Jimmy Garoppolo, who isn't as polished as his counterpart, has led this team to a 15-3 mark in his first healthy campaign. They will exploit the Chiefs 23rd ranked run defense. There’s an argument for both sides here. But, to win on this stage, you must be able to run the ball with authority, control the clock, and be able to put pressure on the opposing quarterback. All things that San Francisco does well. San Francisco is 5-0 ATS the last five games played as an underdog and 6-1 ATS the last seven games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take the 49ers. Thank you. Below are some of my favorite prop bets for Super Bowl LIV: Shortest Field Goal Of Game 27.5 Yards. UNDER -110. Both coaches are smart and will want any points they can muster, therefore take the under here. Will There Be Overtime? YES +800. In what I feel is going to be a close game, this prop offers huge value. Will The Game Be Tied After 0-0? YES -110. To me, this is one of the smartest of the prop wagers. Total Rushing Yards By Raheem Mostert 73.5. OVER -110. A huge part of the 49ers offense that gained over 278 yards rushing this postseason. Longest Rush By Patrick Mahomes 11.5 Yards. OVER -110. Mahomes has great feet and is facing a fierce pass rush so he will need to run the ball a bit to make plays and at times stay alive. He will gain some yards. Total Touchdown Passes By Patrick Mahomes 3. OVER +200. The Chiefs offense is all about the pass. The QB has 8 TD's this postseason. Total Rushing Yards By Patrick Mahomes 29.5. OVER -110. Mahomes' feet is a big reason why the Chiefs offense is successful. Total Rushing Yards By San Francisco 135.5. OVER -110. The 49ers are a running offense and will need to control the clock to keep the Chiefs "O" off the field. Longest Lead UNDER 14.5 points +110. I feel this is going to be a very tight game therefore no huge leads. San Francisco To Lead After First Quarter. YES -110. As I stated earlier, I feel this is going to be a tough game and the score will seesaw. |
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01-19-20 | Packers v. 49ers -7.5 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 30 h 24 m | Show |
Take San Francisco. Game 312. 3:40 pm pst. Giving the experienced and playoff savvy Aaron Rodgers a TD or more seems to be a mistake. This is a team that has rattled off six straight victories, including W's against some strong stop-units (Chicago, Minnesota). But, San Francisco has one of the best and most ferocious front seven's in the NFL. And let's be honest, Rodgers ain't no spring chicken anymore. The 49ers "D" ranks first vs. the pass and yields just 19.4 PPG. Just last week, they sacked Kirk Cousins six times and held Dalvin Cook to a mere, 18.0 yards on the ground. Jimmy Garoppolo has an arsenal of weapons at his disposal, with a talented wide receiving corps, tight end, George Kittle underneath, and the league's second ranked rushing unit, a weakness for the 23rd ranked run defense of the Packers. FYI, the last time meeting resulted in a San Fran, 37-8 win back at the end of November. Green Bay is 2-5 ATS the last seven meetings in this series. San Francisco is 4-1 ATS the last five in the month of January. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
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01-19-20 | Titans v. Chiefs -7 | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 27 h 55 m | Show | |
Take Kansas City. Game 314. 10:00 pm pst. Tennessee beat Kansas City (the Chiefs last loss) on November 10th. Derrick Henry has been outstanding as he is the only running back in history to rush for 180 or more yards in three straight games. The KC defense, which ranks 26th overall vs. the run, is going to get a heavy dose of the ballcarrier. BUT, Andy Reid and Steve Spagnulo are pretty sharp guys and over the last six weeks of the regular season, the stop unit got much, much better. Also, after being down 24-0 at the half last week, held Houston to just seven points in the second half. What urges so many to side with Tennessee is the same reason why me must go against them here. Yes, they beat Houston, New England, and Baltimore the last three weeks, but, this is the fourth straight road game for the team. Patrick Mahomes and the potent, Chiefs air assault will exploit the Titans 24th ranked pass defense. They will get up early and the Titans can not catch up as they are not built offensively to play from behind. Kansas City is 5-0-1 ATS the L6 vs. the AFC and 6-0-1 ATS the L7 overall. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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01-12-20 | Seahawks +4.5 v. Packers | Top | 23-28 | Loss | -109 | 77 h 35 m | Show |
Take Seattle. This is my LI play. Game 307. 3:40 pm pst. The Seahawks play more close games than any other team in football. I am not looking to take away any respect from Aaron Rodgers and a Packers team that won their last five outings. But, Russell Wilson, who is having a career year, has the ability to escape the pocket and make big plays here. The fourth ranked rushing attack of Seattle will shred the Green Bay 23rd ranked rush defense. One more item, Seattle is 8-1 SU as a visitor this season. The Seahawks are 8-1 ATS the L9 as a road underdog and 11-3-1 ATS the L15 overall on the road. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
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01-12-20 | Texans +10.5 v. Chiefs | 31-51 | Loss | -135 | 73 h 5 m | Show | |
Take Houston. This is my OM play. Game 305. 12:05 pm pst. I don't normally judge a matchup by a previous meeting, but these two AFC rivals met mid-October when Houston won, 31-24. It's not the win I am judging this release by, it's the difference in the point spread. In the earlier matchup, Kansas City was a 3.5-point favorite. Now, they are laying nearly a TD more. Since then, defensive end, J.J. Watt has returned and seems to be back at 100 percent. He will be headache for Chiefs quarterback, Patrick Mahomes. Hyde, Watson, and Johnson JR. are a devastating threat on the ground and face the lax, 26th ranked run defense here. The road team is 6-1 ATS the L7 meetings in this series. The Texans are 5-2-1 ATS the L8 on the road. The Chiefs are 2-8 ATS the L10 playoff games.Take Houston. Thank you. |
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01-11-20 | Titans +10.5 v. Ravens | 28-12 | Win | 100 | 54 h 21 m | Show | |
Take Tennessee. This is my TD play. Game 303. 5:15 pm pst.
On paper, Baltimore is a better team. However, being a better team and covering nearly double digits in the postseason are two entirely different things. Running back, Derrick Henry (1,746 total yards, 18 total TD's) led the NFL in rushing while quarterback, Ryan Tannehill led the league with a 117.5 passer rating. The duo will score points on the third ranked defense of the Ravens. There is another "X" factor that benefits the Titans. Defensive coordinator, Dean Pees spent several years on the Baltimore staff and knows head coach, John Harbaugh and the team well. Tennessee is 6-1-1 ATS the L8 vs. the AFC, 4-0 ATS the L4 on the road, and 6-2 ATS the L8 overall. Take Tennessee. Thank you. |
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01-11-20 | Vikings +7.5 v. 49ers | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -130 | 51 h 46 m | Show |
Take Minnesota. This is my TEN STAR. Game 301. 1:25 pm pst. While San Francisco is a solid team, there is a huge disparity ATS when they are playing on the road, compared to playing at home this season. The 49ers are 6-2 ATS away from Levi's Stadium, but just 3-4-1 ATS when playing host. Quarterback, Jimmy Garoppolo has won two Super Bowls, but never as a starter. And, to be honest, there is a lot more pressure on him than his counterpart, Kirk Cousins, who outdueled future Hall Of Famer, Drew Brees in last week's, 26-20 OT win against New Orleans. Winning on the road in the loudest and craziest venue in the NFL says a lot about the play caller. Look for running back, Dalvin Cook (1,654 total yards , 13 total TD's) to eat up the clock and move the chains on the 17th ranked rush defense here. The underdog is 5-2 ATS the L7 meetings. The Vikings are 7-3 ATS the L10 vs. the NFC, 5-2 ATS the L7 on the road, and 4-1 ATS the L5 overall. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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01-05-20 | Vikings v. Saints -7.5 | Top | 26-20 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 39 m | Show |
Take New Orleans. This is my NFC WC GOM. Game 146. 10:05 am pst. Normally, getting more than a TD in the postseason with a 10-6 team would be inviting. And it looks like running back, Dalvin Cook will return to the Vikings backfield (check status). However, this game is being played in the Mercedes-Benz Superdome, which is just about the loudest and wildest venue in football. So, laying more than a TD with a Saints team that has averaged 40.0 PPG over the last month and that has covered their last three outings, leaves no doubt. Future Hall-Of-Famer, Drew Brees is on fire, tossing 15 TD's and more importantly, 0 INT's during that four-game span. Running back, Alvin Kamara and tight end, Jared Cook have heated up, while wide receiver, Michael Thomas has set a single-season mark for receptions (149). Minny has one offensive weapon in Cook, who will be compromised here. Even if the ball-carrier is 100 percent, he still must line up against the league's fourth ranked run defense. The Saints are 5-1 ATS the L6 meetings vs. the Vikings and 8-3 ATS the L11 vs. the NFC. The Vikings are 4-14 ATS the L18 vs. winners and 2-5 ATS the L7 road playoff games. Just to err on the side of caution, buy this number down for the extra few pennies. Take New Orleans. Thank you. |
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01-04-20 | Bills +3 v. Texans | Top | 19-22 | Push | 0 | 55 h 20 m | Show |
Take Buffalo. This is my AFC WC GOM. Game 141. 1:35 pm pst. Both teams took it easy last Sunday, locked into their playoff seeds. When they last met, a little more than a year ago, Houston prevailed, 20-13. And despite Buffalo still in a maturing phase, their defense sacked Deshaun Watson seven times. Well, since then, the Bills stop-unit has gotten better. They rank fourth vs. the pass, 10th vs. the rush, and second overall in scoring, yielding a mere, 16.2 PPG. Yes, offensively, Buffalo hasn't posted better than 17.0 points in over a month. However, they did face the defenses of Baltimore, Pittsburgh, New England, and the improved, New York Jets. They run the ball very well and will move the chains against the NFL's 25th ranked run defense. J.J. Watt is slated to return here. A player of his caliber will always have an impact. But, he hasn't seen action in months and his timing might be a bit off. The Bills are 8-1-2 ATS the L11 on the road. The Texans are 1-6 ATS the L7 as a home favorite. Take Buffalo. Thank you. |
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12-29-19 | Raiders +3.5 v. Broncos | 15-16 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Take Oakland. Oakland need a lot of help to make the playoffs...a lot. But the team has had success against Denver covering the last four meetings and winning three of the four, including a September, 24-16 victory. The Broncos are 4-11 ATS the L15 vs. the AFC West and 2-7-1 ATS the L10 as a home favorite. Take the Raiders. Thank you. |