Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-06-21 | Louisville +10 v. Ole Miss | Top | 24-43 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
Louisville/Ole Miss 8:00: Louisville took a step back last season under Satterfield after an impressive 2019 campaign. We'll look at that as an anomaly with several instances of Covid19 protocol going into effect for the Cardinals. This year, the entire offensive line is back which helped QB Malik Cunningham and company produce an average of more than 200+ yards in both run and pass the last 2 seasons. Ole Miss has one of the worst defenses in the nation last season and had to outscore opponents to win games. They're still loaded offensively as Matt Corral has a great supporting cast. Louisville defense had some good showings last season and do return 7 starters with a number of players who got plenty of playing time. We'll look for Louisville to hang with the Rebels. Satterfield is 52-5 when scoring 30+ points. That's doable tonight! |
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09-05-21 | Notre Dame -7 v. Florida State | 41-38 | Loss | -109 | 1 h 9 m | Show | |
09-04-21 | Georgia v. Clemson -2.5 | 10-3 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Georgia/Clemson 7:30: Huge game in terms of playoff ramifications for each team, especially with the relatively light schedule each team is given. Each team has it's question marks. Clemson is breaking in two new offensive line starters who will have to tango with arguably the best defensive line in the country. And new QB Uiagalelei will have to pilot the offense. However, when Uiagalelei played in his only start last year, he lit up Notre Dame's defense for record numbers. He does have a solid supporting cast led by WR Justyn Ross. And the Georgia secondary has to break in three new starters. As for the Clemson defense, they return 9 starters and will make life not so great for Georgia QB J.T. Daniels and the deep RB corps. We'll give the edge to Clemson. |
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09-04-21 | West Virginia -2.5 v. Maryland | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
West Virginia/Maryland 3:30: WV didn't have a good road record last year but do bring back key parts of their winning program (6-4 SU). QB Doege has a solid set of skill personnel to go to including 1000+ rusher Leddie Brown behind a veteran offensive line. MD gets talent under Locksley but it rarely materializes into victories. MD 5-12 ATS as a dog. Under Locksley, Terps a money burning 6-10 ATS. Go with Neal Brown and his balanced team on both sides of the ball. |
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09-04-21 | Marshall v. Navy +2.5 | 49-7 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
Marshall/Navy 3:30: Navy had a rare losing season a year ago. During the pandemic, they didn't practice leading into their opener and consequently fell apart from there. QB problems led to poor rushing which was highly unusual for the normally strong run game of the Midshipmen. Niumatalolo should have his boys bounce back strong this season. He has Arline or Gilligan developed and a quality offensive supporting cast. Defensively, Navy showed promise down the stretch holding some pretty good offenses (Memphis, Tulane, Army) to less than 300 yards each. Marshall, on the other hand, has a loaded team but lack the continuity of Navy. Charles Huff takes over for veteran coach Holiday. We'll look for the scrappy Midshipmen to go 6-1 ATS vs Conference USA |
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09-02-21 | Bowling Green v. Tennessee -35 | 6-38 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
01-11-21 | Ohio State +9 v. Alabama | Top | 24-52 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 45 m | Show |
Ohio State/Alabama 8:00: Was all over Ohio State against Clemson and I'm staying on them here. Despite the Covid19 issues, the Buckeyes overwhelmed a really good Clemson team. OSU's underrated defensive line held more than its own against a very good Tigers' offensive line. Sure, Alabama's line is arguably the best but All-American C Landon Dickerson (leg) is a big loss. OSU's front 7 generated a nice pass rush against Clemson and will be challenged to do the same vs the Alabama machine. Question is: Can the Buckeye's defensive backs contain Heisman Trophy winner DeVonta Smith, RB Najee Harris and possibly the return of Jaylen Waddle (ankle). Don't think Waddle will play much, limited or at all, but Mac Jones surely plays pitch and catch routinely with receivers throughout 2020. Tonight, they face a pretty good Buckeyes' secondary with Ransom, All-American C Shaun Wade and Sevyn Banks. And OSU is in good hands with FS Josh Proctor in center field. We'll look for them to pick their shots zoning Metchie and Bolden while bracketing DeVonta Smith. As for the Alabama defense, they've been vulnerable to mobile QBs and remember, Ole Miss put 647 yards on this defense. And Florida thrashed their secondary as well. Look for OSU to feed red hot RB Sermon while QB Justin Fields (ribs) will work Alabama's freshmen DBs Moore and Branch with OSU's good receivers led by Chris Olave. Bottom line, OSU capable of trading points with Alabama and will need to win turnover battle and excel on special teams. OSU a perfect 10-0 ATS as dogs of 3 or more points. Buckeyes the call. |
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01-02-21 | Oregon +5 v. Iowa State | 17-34 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Oregon/Iowa State 4:00: At first glance, Iowa State was the call for me here; after all, I like HC Matt Campbell and his Cyclones gave me some solid wins this year; however, his bowl resume doesn't cut it. He lost bowls in 3 of his last 4 seasons. Sure, QB Purdy and the nations' leading rusher Breece Hall and solid while the Cyclones' defense fundamentally sound. But Oregon is not easy to prep for. HC Cristobal is gradually building the Ducks into a major contender again. He's won 2 straight bowls, off a PAC 12 Championship win and winning the recruiting war (12th ranked class). Ducks are loaded with speed and QB Tyler Shough should look to work a vulnerable Iowa State secondary that has given up too many explosive plays. On the other hand, defensively, Ducks are led by big time DE Thibodeaux who is a nightmare off the edge. Oregon also has a lockdown corner in Mykael Wright who can take away the Cyclones' top receiver. Ducks 5-0 ATS run vs teams above .500. Take the points. |
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01-02-21 | Ole Miss v. Indiana -9.5 | 26-20 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
Ole Miss/Indiana 12:30: Ole Miss had one of the most explosive offenses in the nation and that is always a concern as a go against when laying near double digits. What cost them a winning ledger this year is their defense which gave up a generous 536 YPG! Today, Kiffin will be handcuffed with more concerns: his top two receivers opted out for NFL prep; in addition, another good one - Sanders succumbed to injury in the final game of the season. Moreover, Covid19 issues popped up to sideline more players. On the other hand, Indiana is feeling pretty good about bowling. They landed #7 in the AP rankings and can win their first bowl in 29 years! Covered last year vs Tennessee and Tom Allen raised the bar this year and the team responded. Indiana is a perfect 7-0 ATS / 6-1 SU including a strong performance vs my choice yesterday - Ohio State! Today, of course, they won't have QB Penix Jr. but backup Tuttle was solid in his first start in a win over Wisconsin. Indiana relies much on a ball hawking secondary in a rock solid opportunistic defense which created 17 turnovers and creates good field position for its offense. We'll lay the wood. |
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01-01-21 | Ohio State +7.5 v. Clemson | 49-28 | Win | 100 | 17 h 11 m | Show | |
Ohio State/Clemson 8:00: Buckeyes had a banner of last year's 29-23 loss to Clemson posted in their weight room immediately after that loss. To say that they are determined to win this one is an understatement. Then Clemson HC Swinney's comments on the argument that OSU doesn't belong in this game added fuel to the fire. OSU came off a sluggish performance against Northwestern in the Big 10 Championship; however, they had 22 players out for that one and managed to find a way to get it done. That's a testament to solid depth, coaching and discipline. Tonight, a good chance the Buckeyes will be at near full strength. And the Buckeye's offensive line proved how durable they are opening holes for Master Teague's backup Trey Sermon who grinded out a record 331 yards. In last year's game, remember that Clemson was down 16-0 25 minutes into that game. Trevor Lawrence struggled mightily before a questionable roughing the passer call opened the door for them. With QB Fields and WR Olave good to go, Ohio State is a dangerous dog; as a matter of fact, OSU getting more than 3 points is 9-0 ATS. We''ll take the points. |
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01-01-21 | Notre Dame +20.5 v. Alabama | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
Notre Dame/Alabama 4:00: I realize Alabama is an offensive machine that no team has stopped or, for that matter, contained for four quarters. And Notre Dame has failed on the big stage much too often; as a matter of fact, 0-6 in BCS New Year's Bowl Games since '98 with an average margin of defeat by two touchdowns. And the 42-14 demolition back on January 7, 2013 always comes to mind. And just when you think ND has a legitimate contending team assembled, they get waxed 34-10 by Clemson on December 19th. Oddsmakers have read the script and laid the line. I think it's a bit inflated and here's why: Notre Dame arguably has their best offensive line in years. Didn't do well against a healthy full force Clemson defense on the 19th but can redeem themselves against an Alabama defense that has some defensive weaknesses in its secondary. Ian Book needs a big game when the lights are shining brightest and he should rise to the occasion; after all, he has three AP All-Americans - LG Banks (1st team), T Eichenberg (2nd team), RG Kraemer (3rd team) protecting him and opening holes for 1000+ yard rusher Kyren Williams. And ND has 3 tight ends including Brock Wright and "Baby Gronk" Mayer that can be utilized in condensed formations to pave the way for Williams or open the play action (Javon McKinley) or RPO game. Remember, Alabama's defense is yielding as exhibited on the 19th vs Florida. Defensively, ND is solid but will have its hands full with RB Harris, QB Mac Jones and Heisman Trophy favorite DeVonta Smith. And the offensive line of Alabama is brutal on defenses. There is hope, however, as their All-American center Landon Dickerson (leg) is out! That's a big loss and ND should capitalize. We'll look for ND to hang around in this one. |
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01-01-21 | Auburn v. Northwestern -3.5 | 19-35 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
Auburn/Northwestern 1:00: Auburn comes into this one without the greatest of motivation. Their head coach - Malzahn was fired mid December - and difficult to pinpoint if Auburn is "all in" for this game. Players and coaches wondering about their future after Boise State's Harsin was hired. Auburn's interim HC Kevin Steele (DC) is disappointed he didn't get the HC job. Northwestern, on the other hand, eager to get back on winning track and finish a strong year after giving Ohio State a run for the money in the Big 10 Championship. Northwestern has an awesome defense under longtime DC Hankwitz who is retiring after this game. Wildcats will play hard for him and we'll lay the points. |
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01-01-21 | Cincinnati +8.5 v. Georgia | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Cincinnati/Georgia Noon: At first glance, SEC powerhouse with #1 recruiting class taking on Group of 5 school seems like an easy call; however, Fickell, in his fourth year, has built the Bearcats into a legitimate contender notching bowl wins the last two seasons and coming into this one with a perfect 9-0 record. Fickell has managed to stockpile solid recruiting classes and has assembled an opportunistic defense (15 INTs/4 fumble recoveries) with a Top 20 defense. The Bearcats have a legitimate QB in Desmond Ridder (AAC Offensive P.O.Y) who has a solid supporting cast. Georgia's defense has its flaws - especially in the red zone. And with LB Ojulari out, pass rush is limited. As for Georgia's offense, they found their rhythm when USC transfer QB JT Daniels got healthy. But Cincinnati defense has some dudes and they've made it difficult for offenses to score - allowing just 16 PPG. Bearcats determined to make a case they deserved to be in the CFP but got a #8 ranking. We'll look for them to be competitive here. |
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12-31-20 | West Virginia v. Army +7 | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
West Virginia/Army 4:00: West Virginia was prepared to play Tennessee in this Liberty Bowl but Covid19 hit the Tennessee campus; consequently, Army gets their shot. The Black Knights are not an easy team to prepare for and WV has their work cut out for them. Army employs the traditional triple option and run it well. They won the Commander in Chief Trophy by virtue of knocking off Air Force Dec 19th to complete the armed forces season sweep (beat Navy earlier in season). This should be a grind it out game with heavy winds, rain in forecast in Memphis. Army is a statistically good defensive team in the top tier in yards and scoring allowed. WV is a solid defense too but has its deficiencies offensively and that should cost them the cover here. Army is 5-1 ATS vs the Big 12 and 6-2 ATS as a neutral side dog. Army the call. |
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12-31-20 | Ball State v. San Jose State -9 | 34-13 | Loss | -121 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
San Jose State/Ball State 2:00: These teams had breakout seasons but I'll settle for SJS here. The Spartans have a much better defense and can limit Ball State's solid run game that opens up the pass game for Drew Pitt and his top wideouts Hall and Tyler. Spartans possess a good defense that can get after the QB with 3.1 sacks per game led by Cade Hall. Offensively, Spartans are in good hands with QB Starkel. He's got a good supporting cast that can move the football. For the Cardinals, they're soft defensively and that will cost them. Their defense allows 442 YPG and a secondary that's been scorched more often than not. We'll look for the Spartans to deliver here. |
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12-31-20 | Mississippi State v. Tulsa -1 | 28-26 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Mississippi State/Tulsa Noon: Under normal circumstances, Miss State would not be in a bowl but 2020 season has been anything but normal. Granted a bowl bid, Miss State looks to win today in hopes of building on recruits moving forward. They have good young talent already as Leach moved on from the older established veterans; for example, Leach going with Fr QB Will Rogers and has true freshman Jaden Walley as his top receiver in recent weeks. Unfortunately for Miss State, Tulsa plays good defense. A Top 25 defensive team that plays the pass well (allows only 194 YPG). Remember, they did an amazing job against the #1 offense at the time - UCF - Oct 26th in an upset win; moreover, held an explosive Oklahoma State team to just 16 points Sept. 19th. Tulsa, however, will not have Bronko Nagurski Award Winner - LB Zaven Collins who opted out to prepare for the NFL draft. Nevertheless, a solid supporting defensive cast can hold this defense together. And Miss State doesn't have a consistent run game that will scare this defense. On the other hand, redshirt senior QB Zach Smith has a run game to fall back on with RB Corey Taylor and company. Don't like the Tulsa penalties but we'll look for them to get it together after a very competitive last second loss to the Bearcats in the AAC Championship. Golden Hurricane the call. |
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12-30-20 | Florida v. Oklahoma -4.5 | 20-55 | Win | 100 | 17 h 18 m | Show | |
Florida/Oklahoma 8:00: What shaped to be a competitive game is now a shifting line to Oklahoma. Florida will be without it's top three receivers TE Pitts, WR Toney, WR Grimes - opting out to prep for NFL draft; in addition, WR Copeland (Covid19) out. That puts pressure on QB Trask who went from a Heisman contender to just mediocre with an Oklahoma defense that stepped up their game for a change this season. Don't see the Gators hanging here vs Rattler and the Sooners' offensive machine. Oklahoma the call. |
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12-30-20 | Wisconsin -9.5 v. Wake Forest | 42-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Wisconsin/Wake Forest Noon: Wisconsin in another bowl and they usually deliver. 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS with HC Chryst leading the charge for the Badgers. Badgers once again keep same offensive philosophy: pound the football, eat clock and play great defense. Wisconsin run game not as potent as it has been in the past but good enough to move the football on the Demon Deacons' defense (107th nationally in yards allowed). WF will also be without their big time DE Carlos Basham who had 23 straight games with a TFL! He's preparing for the NFL draft. Offensively, WF can put points up - typical of a Clawson coached team. However, their top scoring RB Walker III opted out to prep for NFL draft. And besides, WF offense should spend limited time on the field; after all, Wisconsin is #1 in the nation in time of possession. Badgers sport the #1 defense in the nation in terms of yards allowed. They're 4-1 ATS vs the ACC. Badgers the call. |
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12-29-20 | Colorado v. Texas -7 | 23-55 | Win | 100 | 20 h 44 m | Show | |
Colorado/Texas 9:00: Good work by Karl Dorrell in guiding Colorado to this bowl with a 4-1 mark; however, this is the first ranked team the Buffaloes will play on the season and I believe this is fair value (-7) with the Longhorns. Texas opened as 11 point favorites but a significant amount of players decided to opt out to prep for the NFL including five team captains. The lone captain - Sr QB Sam Ehlinger - is one that gives us that value; after all, he been a big game winner for HC Herman over the last three years including blowout win in last year's Alamo Bowl over Utah 38-10. Moreover, Tom Herman has won his last 4 bowl games including last 3 with Texas. Finally, Texas is equipped with Top 10 recruiting classes the last three years and has stockpiled enough elite 5* athletes to deliver vs an inferior team. Sure, Colorado has RB Broussard but limited in superstar arsenal outside of him. Texas the call. |
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12-29-20 | Oklahoma State -1 v. Miami-FL | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State/Mia-FL 5:30: Miami U has a history of struggling in December and they're continuing that trend under Diaz. The Hurricanes are coming off a blowout loss to North Carolina. And they're now a money burning 1-6 SU/ATS in bowl games after last year's 14-0 debacle vs LA Tech. Oklahoma State is no LA Tech. They're a veteran team with a deep backfield that despite being without Hubbard (declared for NFL draft), still racks up big yardage on the ground - a tribute to their offensive line strength. And QB Spencer Sanders is coming off torching a Baylor secondary in a 42-3 route. Oklahoma defense is also solid considering playing in a conference that prides itself on putting up video game offensive numbers. Miami U offense is good and has been consistent but not sold on their defense which was lit up vs North Carolina for 778 yards! Gundy is a solid 7-3 ATS in bowl games and we'll grab Oklahoma State. |
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12-26-20 | Liberty +7 v. Coastal Carolina | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
Liberty/Coastal Carolina 7:30: Two well coached FBS upstarts which overachieved this year. We'll give the edge to the Flames. Both teams are similar with explosive players, good run games, and solid field generals. Liberty has been off since November 27th while Coastal Carolina ended its season with a win over Troy Dec 12th. Advantage Chanticleers; however, Hugh Freeze has worked plenty of magic in his days roaming the sidelines while at Ole Miss and now Liberty. He'll find a way to stay in this one; after all, he's got a really good versatile QB in Malik Willis to deliver a game plan around. |
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12-25-20 | Marshall +4.5 v. Buffalo | 10-17 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
Marshall/Buffalo 2:30: Both of these teams were cruising along until running into trouble down the stretch. Buffalo swept through the MAC en route to a 5-0 SU run before being upended by Ball State in the Conference Championship as a 12' point favorite. Marshall dominated for 7 straight games before knocked off by perceivable lightweight Rice as a 24' point favorite. Then got beat by a fired up UAB team in the Conference USA Championship. We'll look for Marshall to be the most resilient today. Marshall still has a very good defense with a #2 run stop unit in nation. They'll need to corral 1000+ yard rusher Jaret Patterson who tweaked his knee vs Ball State. On the other hand, Marshall's star RB Knox opted to sit out to prep for NFL. But Marshall still has a veteran offensive line and some good receivers in Woodyard and Keaton to help freshman QB Wells get over his shaky back-to-back outings. Marshall HC Holliday is 6-1 ATS in bowl games and 6-0 ATS as a dog vs an opponent off a SU loss. Buffalo 1-7 ATS on neutral sites and 1-4 ATS as a neutral site favorite. Marshall the call. |
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12-24-20 | Hawaii +10 v. Houston | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
Hawaii/Houston 3:30: Hawaii can be competitive here under veteran coaching gypsy - Todd Graham. Graham took all five of his teams to bowl games: Rice, Tulsa, Pitt, Arizona State and now Hawaii. He has a solid dual threat QB in Cordeiro. The Rainbow Warriors are very creative offensively and had an adequate amount of time to carve up a suspect Houston defense. On the other hand, Houston has only played one game in five weeks and should be out of rhythm. They've been sloppy with turnovers most of the season under Holgorsen. Hawaii has a great LB Muasau who leads the nation with nearly 8 solo tackles per game. Hawaii is more opportunistic defensively than their counterparts and should stay competitive here. Houston has been a horrible favorite this year at 0-5 ATS. We'll grab the points with Hawaii. |
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12-22-20 | Central Florida v. BYU -5.5 | 23-49 | Win | 100 | 18 h 2 m | Show | |
BYU/UCF 7:00: BYU turned in an outstanding season and much thanks to a great QB, run game behind a solid offensive line and strong defensive front 7. Future NFL draft pick - Zach Wilson has been sensational this year and should guide the #8 offense in the nation to the end zone frequently; after all, UCF defense leaves much to be desired (117th nationally). On the other hand, UCF has the #2 offense in the nation behind Dillon Gabriel who threw for 3,353 yards and 30 TD passes; however, he won't have his best receiver Marlon Williams who caught 71 balls for 1039 yards and 10 TDs. He opted out to prepare for 2021 NFL draft. Sure, Gabriel still has a super run game to fall back on and two other really good receivers in Robinson and Harris. But BYU has a very good defensive front and outstanding linebacker corps. Secondary has held up well but will be stressed tonight. Nevertheless, we'll look for BYU to eat clock with a run game and more magic with QB Wilson to deliver the goods. |
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12-22-20 | Tulane -2.5 v. Nevada | 27-38 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
Tulane/Nevada 3:30: Tulane's HC Willie Fritz has done an outstanding job bringing respectability back to the football program that's been dismal since the Tommy Bowden era of '97-98. When Fritz is a slight favorite (3 or less), he delivers as his perfect 10-0 SU/9-1 ATS mark indicates. And he's delivered on back to back SU/ATS wins in consecutive bowl wins. He's already developed true freshman QB Michael Pratt into a solid field general. Sure, Nevada has a really good QB Carson Strong and solid targets in Doubs and TE Turner. And the line protects its QB well with just 19 sacks given up on the season; however, this game is played in Boise, Idaho with strong wins of 18 MPH expected. Tulane has a great pass rush (36 sacks) led by Patrick Johnson (10). Nevada is not a great run team (112th nation). On the other hand, Tulane can run the rock behind a good offensive line. The Green Wave pounds out 218 YPG on the ground and that should be the difference. Tulane the call. |
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12-19-20 | Illinois v. Penn State -15 | 21-56 | Win | 100 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
Illinois/Penn State 5:30: Illinois a major disappointment this season will go in to this one with OC Rod Smith as the interim HC after Lovie Smith was let go. Penn State has turned things around since their dismal 0-5 start. They've won 3 straight and, amazingly, in line for a bowl game with a win here. Can't see the pedestrian offense of Illinois moving the football on a pretty good Penn State defense. On the flip end, Illinois defense didn't show up this year (104th ranked) and will struggle vs a heating up Penn State offense that's found their rhythm. |
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12-19-20 | Boise State v. San Jose State +7 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
Boise State/San Jose State 4:30: SJS no longer the MWC whipping boy. Fourth year Spartans' HC Brent Brennan has his men playing good football; as a matter of fact, they're one of only three teams to improve their overall offense by 100+ for two years straight; moreover, also improved 60 YPG defensively. And he's got the Spartans in the MWC Championship despite a mediocre, at best, recruiting class. He does, however, have playmakers on both side of the ball including Arkansas transfer QB Nick Starkel who's thrown for 1,453 yards, 13 TD/4 INTs in 6 games. Defensively, they get after the QB with Cade Hall (8 sacks) leading the rush. Sure, Boise State no joke and another year of being a worthy contender for the MWC title; however, Brent Brennan is 6-0-1 ATS when coming off a double-digit ATS win and we'll roll with the Spartans. |
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12-19-20 | Texas A&M -13.5 v. Tennessee | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Texas A&M/Tennessee Noon: A&M has rattled off six straight wins after their blowout loss at Alabama. The Aggies are now in line for a possible entry in the College Football Playoffs sitting at the #5 seed. They'll need a convincing win here and have to rely on some outside influences. We'll at least look for a convincing win. Tennessee is coming off a comfortable win over lightweight Vanderbilt; however, the Volunteers are a money burning 1-10 ATS at home off a SU win of over 14 points. A&M the call. |
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12-18-20 | Nebraska v. Rutgers +7 | 28-21 | Push | 0 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
Nebraska/Rutgers 7:30: Rutgers matched their victory total from the past two seasons. In Greg Schiano's second term for Rutgers, he's got them playing competitive football. In their three outright wins over Big Ten foes - Michigan State, Purdue and in OT at Maryland last week, they've been able to win the turnover battle. We'll look for heavy doses of RB Pacheco (100+ last week) and targets to Bo Melton (leading receiver). Starting QB Vedral (ankle) may not be able to go. That will be alright because Sitkowski does a decent job managing the offense. Defensively, Rutgers went off with 7 sacks last week. Nebraska's QB Martinez is more dangerous as a runner than through the air. Rutgers' defense in good hands with defensive minded Schiano. And Nebraska defense surely not worthy of donning the Black Shirts. Huskers 0-5 ATS off a SU favorite loss vs a conference opponent. We'll grab the points. |
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12-12-20 | Boise State v. Wyoming +10 | Top | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 16 h 53 m | Show |
Boise State/Wyoming 6:00: Boise State feeling good after coming off their successful road trip to Hawaii back on November 21st; however, 21 day lay off won't sit well in the highest elevation (7200 feet above sea level) in the football nation in Laramie. It will be cold, snow and wind gusts about 15 MPH. It fits well with Wyoming's grind it out on the ground game with their big offensive line and solid RB Trey Smith (154 yards last week). Sure, Boise has a great receiver in Shakir but the Wyoming pass rush should be disruptive on QB Fennegan. And Boise has had just one 100+ run game all season. We'll look for the hungry Top 25 Wyoming defense to deliver. Wyoming's underrated HC Bohl's a sweet 6-0 ATS at home off a SU loss vs a .500 or greater opponent. Him and his Cowboys are seeking triple revenge here. Cowboys dangerous off losses at 4-0 ATS and we'll grab the points. |
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12-12-20 | North Carolina +3 v. Miami-FL | 62-26 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
North Carolina/Mia-Fla 3:30: 'Canes coming on strong but can't count on them here. Miami-Fla has disappointed regularly in December to the tune of 2-9 ATS. They're coming off a comfortable blowout of lightweight Duke and sport a money burning 0-4 ATS mark off a 20+ win. They got by Duke without some key defensive players (Blades, McCloud, Ford) but won't have that luxury against the #5 offense in the nation that drops 534.5 YPG on opposing defenses. Sure, NC defense is nothing to rave about but it does make plays in key moments. NC should be able to outscore Miami Fla here. Dog in this series is 11-4 ATS. We'll look for Mack Brown's boys to get the best of Miami Florida again for the second straight year. |
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12-12-20 | Coastal Carolina -13.5 v. Troy | 42-38 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
Coastal Carolina/Troy 3:00: Going to jump on the bandwagon of the Chanticleers after their impressive win over then #13 ranked BYU. They're a well rounded team that has few weaknesses and proved they can hang with any mid-major school in the nation. They're healthy this late in the season as well and don't see a letdown here. Troy, on the other hand, is not the same team under HC Lindsey as they were under Neal Brown (now at West Virginia). Troy has a mediocre run game but are prolific passing the football; however, Coastal Carolina has a ball hawking secondary led by Strong's 5 INTs and a pair of bookend defensive ends - Gunter and Tarron Jackson (8' sacks) who can get after the QB. Offensively, CC is explosive with a solid offensive line, a solid run game behind Marable who grinded out 100+ against a very good BYU defense; a QB far beyond his years in redshirt freshman - McCall (20 TD passes), and a top notch receiver in Heiliah. We'll lay the wood. |
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12-12-20 | Utah +1 v. Colorado | 38-21 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Utah/Colorado 12:00: Colorado feeling good going into this one undefeated; however, not quite sold on the Buffaloes at this stage of the season. First off, they've taken on 4 teams with a combined record of 9-10. And last week, they barely snuck by a poor Arizona team that got blasted 70-7 last night by rival Arizona State. Sure, Broussard is a great running back but Utah has a solid defensive run stop unit (allowing 104.7 YPG - 11th nationally). And Colorado QB Noyer (4 TD/4 INT) does not strike fear in defensive backs. On the other hand, offensively, the Utes have found a really good running back of their own in Ty Jordan. And former South Carolina starting QB and graduate transfer Jake Bentley has the playmaking ability to rise to the occasion. Utah is 4-0 ATS in this series including a 45-15 beatdown last year. Colorado has a tendency to collapse late in the season as their 5-19 SU record during the last 8 games of the season indicates. And I don't believe new HC Dorrell will stop that trend. We'll grab the Utes here. |
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12-05-20 | Alabama -29 v. LSU | 55-17 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show | |
Alabama/LSU 8:00: We won't be afraid of the heavy chalk here. Alabama not only wants revenge from last year's 46-41 loss but the after game shenanigans by Orgeron and his players. Saban wants his recruiting base back and doesn't like Orgeron stepping on his toes. He'll be back on the sidelines tonight after taking last week off (Covid issues). LSU looks bad offensively with poor QB play from Finley and Max Johnson; moreover, continued missed assignments on the offensive line resulting in a poor run game (114th in nation). 'Tide defense good enough to stall them out for 4 quarters. On the other hand, young LSU defense was respectable last week vs A&M but face a different animal tonight. Mac Jones and company should light up a vulnerable secondary that's allowed 303 YPG! Roll Tide! |
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12-05-20 | Clemson -21.5 v. Virginia Tech | 45-10 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
12-05-20 | West Virginia +6.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 6-42 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
West Virginia/Iowa State 3:30: Big backer of Iowa State and Matt Campbell over the last 4 seasons but will fade them here. Coming off a huge win over Texas, feeling good and in line for Big 12 Championship; however, they're welcoming revenge against a coach (Neal Brown) who sports an 8-1 ATS mark as a road dog with revenge. Brown's Mountaineers got beat up pretty good at home last year 38-14. This season, WV has been in virtually every game (5-2 ATS) with a legitimate Top 10 defense and a good run game behind RB Leddie Brown. And QB Doege doing a decent job at the helm. Iowa State's had some trouble in December football at 1-6 ATS. And WV has a history of delivering vs an opponent off back-to-back wins at 11-0 ATS! Throw in that extra prep week for Neal Brown and we got ourselves a play on the Mounties. |
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12-05-20 | Bowling Green v. Akron -2.5 | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
Bowling Green/Akron 2:00: Two struggling teams in the MAC which look to get in the win column for the first time this season. We'll look for the Zips to break the longest losing streak in college football with a win on their home turf. Seeking revenge from last year's 35-6 blowout at Bowling Green, Akron should be able to get their anemic offense going vs a pathetic Falcons' defense. BG allows 524.3 YPG and an almost non-existent run-stop-unit allowing 339 YPG! Akron has a decent running back in Dollard, some decent offensive linemen and a few good wideouts. Defensively, Zips not good but should be able to limit a pedestrian BG offense that averages just 13.5 PPG. Akron the call. |
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12-05-20 | Texas A&M v. Auburn +5.5 | 31-20 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Texas A&M/Auburn Noon: Tigers 4-1 ATS in this series and played very well at home this year (4-0 SU/3-1 ATS). Sure, Auburn got blasted by a very good Alabama team last week but should bounce back vs an overrated A&M team that they can be competitive against. Auburn sports a 6-1 ATS mark in December and 9-0 ATS as a dog of 3+ points after allowing 35+. Auburn the call. |
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12-04-20 | UL-Lafayette +3 v. Appalachian State | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
UL-Lafayette/Appalachian State 8:30: Lots of action on Appalachian State coming off blowout of lightweight Troy. We'll grab the points with the explosive Ragin' Cajuns. HC Billy Napier took the baton from Mark Hudspeth in 2018 and is running with it like Bob Hayes in the '64 Olympics. He took ULL to two consecutive bowls and currently 8-1 SU. ULL is a dangerous dog - ask Iowa State - which is currently in line to vie for the Big 12 title. ULL went into Ames, IA and came out a 31-14 winner. 'Cajuns can hit teams from all angles with their explosive play ability - punt returns, kick returns, vertical passing game. And versatile QB Levi Lewis has 16 TD passes and 5 rush TDs. Defensively, they play the pass well with a ball hawking secondary but do have trouble stopping the run. And that is Appalachian State's game. Nevertheless, we're rolling with a Ragin' Cajuns team that an amazing 12-2 SU/ATS mark as a single digit dog. App State failed in their only step up out of conference winning opponent - Marshall 17-7 loss. ULL the call. |
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11-28-20 | LSU v. Texas A&M -15 | 7-20 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
11-28-20 | Mississippi State +10 v. Ole Miss | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
Mississippi State/Ole Miss 4:00: Mississippi State has gotten the best of this Egg Bow rivalry at 3-1 SU/ATS over the last 4 years. Two new coaching staffs and will side with Leach and the Bulldogs. Mississippi State finally establishing a bit of rhythm in their offense the way Leach likes it. Freshman QB Will Rogers stepped in and did a nice job vs an aggressive Georgia defense completing 79% of his passes for 330 yards and no INTs. Ole Miss defense is much more yielding allowing a generous 530 YPG. Sure, Ole Miss QB Matt Corral can sling it but Miss State capable of trading points and keeping it tight. Ole Miss off since November 14th, should be a bit rusty. Miss State the call. |
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11-28-20 | Pittsburgh +23.5 v. Clemson | 17-52 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh/Clemson 3:30: Narduzzi has been a dangerous dog as a head coach; as a matter of fact, he's defeated a Top 25 team in four consecutive seasons and surely can give Clemson a run for the money today. Keep in mind, in 2016, his Panthers were the last team to defeat Clemson (43-42) at Memorial Stadium at Clemson. And now that QB Kenny Pickett is healthy (404 yards passed last week), the Panthers are able to hang. Pittsburgh defense is rock solid leading the nation in TFLs (tackles for loss) and 2nd in the nation in sacks. Clemson may be out of rhythm not having played since November 7th OT loss @ Notre Dame; furthermore, QB Lawrence hasn't played since October 24th. Clemson 0-6 ATS off SU favorite loss. Pitt a sweet 10-0 ATS off double-digit ATS win vs opponent off SU favorite loss. Take the points. |
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11-28-20 | Penn State v. Michigan +1 | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Penn State/Michigan Noon: Two former Big 10 powerhouses reduced to mediocrity this year. We'll roll with the Wolverines whom have covered 5 of the last 6 in this series. Michigan is seeking to exact revenge from last year's 28-21 loss at Happy Valley. Penn State has not had success in its last two trips to the Big House where they were outscored by a combined 91-17. Penn State offense struggling to find a QB as Clifford and Levis ineffective. Michigan defense the worst in years but should be solid vs the turnover laden Lions. On the other hand, Harbaugh may have found his QB in Cade McNamara who rallied Michigan last week vs Rutgers. Penn State, like Michigan, allows a generous 36 PPG. Michigan a bit better holding on to the ball as Penn State sports a poor minus 9 turnover margin. Michigan the call. |
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11-27-20 | Notre Dame v. North Carolina +6 | Top | 31-17 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
Notre Dame/North Carolina 3:30: Never a good idea to underestimate Mack Brown getting his team prepared for big games. Brown has always been a dangerous dog including last year's 21-20 loss as a 27' point dog to Clemson. This year's team was expected to do great things but has underachieved; however, they're more than equipped with more maturity to keep this competitive against the #2 ranked Irish. Irish coming off a bye but will be without four year starting RG Tommy Kraemer (appendectomy). They're already without C Patterson (foot). Sure, NC defense gives up points but their explosive #4 offense (563.4 YPG) can trade points with any team in the country. QB Howell is as good as any QB in the nation. And keep in mind NC sports a +4 turnover margin to ND's -2 turnover margin. ND offense has made mistakes and the yielding but opportunistic Heels' defense can capitalize. Tar Heels 4-1 ATS as a home dog and a sweet 25-7 ATS at home vs a team with a winning road record. Mack Brown's boys have been strong off underachieving performances (5-1 ATS off ATS loss) and should deliver here. |
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11-27-20 | Iowa State +1.5 v. Texas | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
Iowa State/Texas Noon: Iowa State has a rare chance to win the Big 12 for the first time since 1912. They're on their way and have a legitimate chance this year and will need to beat Texas. They did it last year 23-21 and they're capable of delivering here. ISU HC Campbell has his team rolling on both sides of the ball coming off a blowout of a good KSU team. ISU has a better defense than Texas across the board. Offensively, every bit as productive with QB Purdy, O-Line and strong run game with RB Breece Hall (1,169 yards); moreover, a bit more disciplined with less penalties. Longhorns 1-6 ATS on Fridays and 0-3-1 ATS as chalk. Iowa State the call. |
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11-21-20 | Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh +3 | 14-47 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech/Pittsburgh 4:00: Pittsburgh had an extra week of rest (Covid 19) but got to resume practice Tuesday and should be good to go. Defensively, the Panthers are the real deal with a Top 10 defense in the nation. They lead the nation in TFL's with 93 and play the run well (allow 78.8 YPG) at #2 in the nation. They can limit VT's vaunted run game. Offensively, now that QB Pickett is back in the fray (out vs ND & Miami), they can get the offense cooking again vs a V Tech defense that is not the same this season as in seasons past under the great DC Bud Foster. V Tech surrendering 450.4 YPG! Not a team I want to be laying points on the road with, especially at a location they haven't won ATS at since 1999. Pitt is looking to avenge last year's 28-0 dud and we'll grab Narduzzi's boys here. Pitt 10-0 ATS off a double-digit ATS win vs an opponent off a SU favorite loss. |
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11-21-20 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern +7.5 | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
Wisconsin/Northwestern 3:30: Northwestern no joke this year. 11th ranked defense in the nation in total yards allowed and #2 vs the run. Offensively, Indiana graduate transfer - Patrick Ramsey brings an accurate QB to the field with a productive offense. NW has covered 8 of the last 9 in this series at Ryan Field. Wisconsin off huge blowout of Michigan and deserved of #10 ranking; however, hungry NW looking to avenge last year's 24-15 loss in Madison. Badgers just 2-13 ATS off SU & ATS win vs opponent off back-to-back SU & ATS wins. NW the call. |
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11-21-20 | LSU v. Arkansas +1 | 27-24 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
LSU/Arkansas Noon: Arkansas' HC Pittman (Covid 19) should be patrolling the sidelines today and we'll roll with him. Arkansas is 6-0 ATS with him on the sidelines. The Hogs got steamrolled last week vs an electric Florida offense that had great receivers and a Heisman Trophy QB contender. Today, they match up better. LSU is young and inexperienced in many areas. Sure, LSU WR Marshall is big time but the Tigers' QB situation still shaky. Finley didn't look comfortable at Auburn and he'll get the nod today. Arkansas has an opportunistic defense (13 turnovers) and should perform better defensively. Same is said offensively. QB Franks was under fire vs Florida but should have help with his run game against an LSU defense that allows 142 YPG. Moreover, an LSU pass defense that allows 335 YPG. Hogs took a beating last year vs the incumbent national champions, but should get revenge today vs a completely different team. |
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11-21-20 | Georgia Southern v. Army -3 | 27-28 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern/Army Noon: Both triple option teams but Army has the edge here. The #2 run unit in the nation with a better defense. Black Knights have yet to lose a game at Michie Stadium this year and they're in an angry mode after dropping last weeks game at Tulane. Extra incentive for Army HC Monken who used to coach the Eagles (2010-13). Knights 4-0 ATS off SU loss of 20+. They're 7-1 ATS as a favorite and roll with them. |
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11-20-20 | New Mexico +9.5 v. Air Force | 0-28 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
New Mexico/Air Force 9:30: Air Force coming off a bye after their home loss to Boise State. There are still question marks regarding their starter tonight. Daniels went down with a shoulder injury last week and Warren Bryan stepped in with unimpressive results (3 of 6 for 36 yards). AF lives by the run game which is #1 in the nation; however, NM plays the run well - #3 in the nation - allowing just 81 YPG. Rocky Long, yes that Rocky Long, who was a successful long time DC and head coach at New Mexico and San Diego State, is the Lobos' DC. He has been very successful in his 3-3-5 over the years stopping Air Force's vaunted triple option. New Mexico has been horrible defending the pass this season but AF won't put fear in the Lobos' secondary tonight. NM has had success in TFL's (14) and should be competitive. Offensively, NM's backup Trae Hall did a decent job last week. If Tuioti is unable to go, Hall can get it done. NM, a mediocre offense in production, yet has been very good protecting the ball this season (0 turnovers). They've stayed in games including 2-0 ATS last 2 vs pretty good offensive teams of Hawaii and Nevada. NM can be competitive here; after all, they're 7-1 ATS in this series! NM lost but covered late last year in this series. AF is 0-7 ATS vs less than .400 conference team w/ revenge. New Mexico the call. |
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11-19-20 | Tulane +6.5 v. Tulsa | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 17 h 53 m | Show | |
Tulane/Tulsa 7:30: Willie Fritz has done a great job in turning around a Tulane football program that was a doormat for years. In his fifth year, he's delivered winning seasons in his last two years including 2-0 SU/ATS in bowl games. This year, he has the Green Wave rolling off 3 straight wins by at least 17 points including notching a win over a Top 25 team (beat Army last week) for the first time in 36 years for the Green Wave. His Green Wave defeated Tulsa for 3 straight years. Sure, Tulsa is rolling with huge comeback wins with a really good QB and an outstanding linebacker. But I'll take Fritz over Montgomery in matching coaching wits any day of the week. Tulane has playmakers themselves with freshman QB Pratt maturing quickly (14/4 TD/INT last 7 starts). And a potent run game (243.2 YPG) that can wear down Tulsa's defense. Moreover, they've got the nation's sack leader in DE Patrick Johnson (10 sacks). Tulane 6-1 ATS off double digit ATS win vs conference opponent with revenge. Take the points. |
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11-18-20 | Toledo v. Eastern Michigan +6.5 | 45-28 | Loss | -101 | 17 h 17 m | Show | |
Toledo/Eastern Michigan 7:00: Eastern Michigan overdue to get a win after two close calls against the explosive offenses of Kent State and Ball State. Once again, they face another formidable offensive team that's hung 525.5 YPG on foes. But Eastern Michigan hangs around - that's what they do. 12 of their last 17 games have been decided by 8 points or less. The Eagles' versatile QB Hutchinson can move the offense. And defensively, Turan Rush is a disruptive force to QBs. Toledo defense not that aggressive and only registering 1/2 sack a game. EM 3-1 ATS in this series and will hang tight once again. |
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11-14-20 | Arkansas +17.5 v. Florida | Top | 35-63 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 5 m | Show |
Arkansas/Florida 7:00: Arkansas now a perfect 6-0 ATS after delivering 24 unanswered points last week vs Tennessee. Tonight, we're back on the Hogs. They're facing an overjoyed Florida team coming off a a monster 44-28 win over Georgia. Sure, QB Kyle Trask is lighting it up but won't have his go-to receiver TE Kyle Pitts (concussion protocol). Arkansas won't have HC Pittman (Covid 19) but former Missouri HC and current DC Barry Odom is capable of filling in. Arkansas defense leads the nation in forced turnovers (12) and no joke. Offensively, former Gator - Feleipe Franks - doing a nice job running offense. The Hogs play solid ball with limited turnovers and should be able to hang around here. We'll look for Arkansas to improve to 9-0 in the dog role. |
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11-14-20 | TCU v. West Virginia -3 | 6-24 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
TCU/West Virginia Noon: Big fan of Neal Brown who did wonders with Troy and now steering WV in the right direction. WV has a legitimate #4 ranked defense in the country and should be able to stall out an average TCU offense led by QB Duggan. Duggan, who does most of his damage on the ground, was held in check by the WV defense last year (23 yards on 8 carries) with 2 INTs and no TDs. Mounties defense even better this year. I'm not going heavy on this because of the status of LB Josh Chandler-Semedo (questionable) with knee injury. He's a big part of what they do. TCU's HC Patterson is a great defensive coach and they're playing well on road; however, we're banking on RB Leddie Brown (questionable) to set the tone in the WV productive run game. And QB Doege doing a pretty good job at the helm. WV 11-0 ATS vs an opponent off back-to-back SU wins. And they're 6-1 ATS as a home favorite vs .500 opponents. Mounties the call. |
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11-14-20 | Vanderbilt v. Kentucky -17 | 35-38 | Loss | -109 | 44 h 42 m | Show | |
analysis to follow... |
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11-14-20 | Miami-FL +3 v. Virginia Tech | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
Miami Fla/Virginia Tech Noon: Miami Florida in revenge mode from last year's 42-35 loss at home. Last year, the Hurricanes' offense was weak. This year, their offense is respectable under versatile Houston transfer QB D'Eriq King. The 'Canes should be able to drop 40+ on a Virginia Tech defense that left town with their retired DC Bud Foster. The feeble Hokie stop unit is giving up a whopping 469 YPG. And losing their second best LB Ashby won't help today. Tech is a money burning 3-16 ATS as favorites of less than 17 points vs an opponent with revenge. Canes have their share of problems defensively but can make stops when needed. Tech will also be without their RB Herbert (3rd in ACC in rushing) and TE Mitchell. The U will be back, at least for this game. |
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11-11-20 | Eastern Michigan +9.5 v. Ball State | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 41 h 9 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan/Ball State 7:00: Not buying the near double digit spread with an overrated Ball State team. Sure, their offense is respectable with QB Drew Pitt and RB Huntley. Yet the Cardinals give up way too many points defensively. They allowed the sluggish offense of Miami Ohio to drop 38 points on them. Eastern Michigan, on the other hand, is limited in arsenal; however, they're well coached and find ways of staying in games, as demonstrated against a pretty good Kent State team in a 27-23 loss last week. EM 21-6 ATS road run and 3-0 ATS in Muncie. Moreover, the Eagles are a sweet 18-4-1 ATS on the road in games off a loss under Creighton including 13 straight in that role! Cardinals got the best of them last year but EM should keep it tight in the revenge role here. |
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11-07-20 | Tennessee v. Arkansas +2 | 13-24 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
Tennessee/Arkansas 7:30: The Razorbacks were not supposed to be anything special this season ranked only ahead of SEC doormat Vanderbilt in pre-season rankings; however, Arkansas and first year HC Sam Pittman had other ideas as the overachieving Hogs are 5-0 ATS! On the other hand, the Volunteers had lofty expectations but have been a bust. The underachieving Volunteers have been outscored 109-24 since halftime at Georgia on Oct 10th. QB Guarantano has been pressured routinely with little help from his offensive line. Arkansas' defense is opportunistic with 10 forced turnovers. Arkansas has a competitive offense behind Florida transfer QB Franks. He sports an 11/3 TD/INT ratio, completing 63%. Tennessee defense not living up to expectations. We'll look for Arkansas to keep crashing the party. |
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11-07-20 | Michigan State v. Iowa -5 | 7-49 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Michigan State/Iowa Noon: Iowa state couldn't have started worse in first two games. Two conference losses after a rough spring and multiple allegations for improprieties on the staff. Nevertheless, Iowa was competitive in both those losses losing by a combined 5 points. On the other hand, Michigan State coming off a triumphant victory over their instate rival Michigan in Mel Tucker's first year with the club. Ran the ball well, QB Lombardi looked great and the newly installed 4-2-5 confuse the Wolves. Michigan State has a history of underachieving off victories at 0-4 ATS and last week surely was a big one. Look for a hungry Iowa team to come out firing as Ferentz gets his team on track while Michigan State employs a letdown in Iowa City. |
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11-07-20 | Liberty +17 v. Virginia Tech | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Liberty/Virginia Tech Noon: Hokies coming off a big win at Louisville but have shown an inconsistency off wins (0-4 ATS). They're facing the undefeated Flames which have taken on a light schedule, and surely the line reflects that. But don't count a Hugh Freeze team out. Remember, he's a winner - accumulating a 54-32-1 ATS mark as a head coach. He's built Liberty into a #25 ranked team in less than two seasons. Moreover, he's had an additional week to prepare QB Malik Willis and company. Flames pounding out 265 YPC on the ground and will give a yielding Hokies' defense (allowing 195 YPG) a run for the money. V Tech, known for their fierce defenses under retired DC Bud Foster has softened up considerably under new DC Justin Hamilton whose defense allows 458.5 YPG; consequently, VT should allow Liberty to stay in this one. Take the points. |
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11-07-20 | West Virginia +5.5 v. Texas | Top | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
West Virginia/Texas Noon: Texas is coming off OT win over Oklahoma State. It is a game in which the Longhorns finished with a 530--287 yard deficit. Texas has been playing behind virtually all year. Today, a good challenge awaits vs the vengeful Mounties. WV, which won easily over Kansas State last week, lost 42-31 last year in Neal Brown's first season. Don't dismiss Neal Brown in revenge. At Troy, he went 6-0 ATS as a road dog with revenge. He's got a solid QB in Doege, a Top 10 defense across the board, and an overall relatively healthy team. TX, on the other hand, has injuries to key personnel (Ingram), thin in the secondary, and is 14 yards per game less than West Virginia's offense but a much more yielding defense. Texas is 1-10 ATS after scoring 35+ points vs an opponent with revenge. WV the call. |
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11-05-20 | Wyoming -3.5 v. Colorado State | 24-34 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 54 m | Show | |
Wyoming/Colorado State 9:00: Cowboys are a bit ahead of the curve in football thus far compared with Colorado State. Wyoming's HC Craig Bohl has molded his team into a contender in his 7th year with the Cowboys. Wyoming has been in bowl games in 3 of the last 4 years (3-0 ATS in those). Defensively stout and relying on their RB Valladay last week, demolished an explosive offensive Hawaii team. We'll look for the same grind it out game against a rebuilding Colorado State team under Steve Addazio who has yet to find the right chemistry on both sides of the ball. There is uncertainty at QB with the more versatile Todd Centeio - good runner but average passer, and the better arm with O'Brien. They do have a good TE McBride. Nevertheless, we'll look for the well disciplined Wyoming defense to deliver. Cowboys are 9-0 ATS as favorites of less than 17 vs an opponent off a SU loss. Colorado State, which lost to Wyoming last year 17-7, is 0-5 ATS at home w/ revenge. Wyoming the call. |
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10-31-20 | LSU v. Auburn +2.5 | 11-48 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
LSU/Auburn 3:30: This series has been highly competitive over the last 4 years. And over the last 3 years, the average margin of victory was just 2.7 points. Both teams coming off wins after sluggish outings: LSU worked a South Carolina team coming off a big win while Auburn narrowly beat Ole Miss on an explosive play down the stretch. Auburn gave last year's National Championship team a hard time and should deliver today. Not a fan of Bo Nix but he did bounce back well after a disastrous outing vs South Carolina. He went 23 of 30 for 238 yards and should get some nice looks against an LSU defense that's given up 344 YPG through the air! On the other hand, the Auburn defense is getting gutted on the ground and should address that. LSU will surely try to get the run game going. And LSU's QB Brennan is listed as doubtful so freshman TJ Finley will get his second start. He looked pretty good last week but going to fade him and Orgeron on the road here. Auburn is 4-1 ATS at home in this series and should get sweet revenge. |
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10-31-20 | Michigan State v. Michigan -21 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Michigan State/Michigan Noon: Michigan State's former HC Dantonio had success against his instate rival; however, now that Mel Tucker is now at the helm, it will be a monumental task to be competitive against the Wolverines at this stage. Tucker was left with a limited cupboard to work with and a mediocre recruiting class; moreover, big losses defensively at linebacker, secondary and entire defensive line. And the Spartans' offense, which was pathetic last year, broke in a new QB last week - Rocky Lombardi - who threw for 319 yards, but 7 turnovers, including losing a fumble didn't cut it. On the other hand, Michigan looked good last week with new QB Joe Milton in their route of Minnesota. Wolves, which is 5-0 ATS as a favorite, blasted Michigan State by a combined 65-17 over their last 2 meetings. We'll look for another blowout as Harbaugh looks to establish control of Michigan in recruiting. |
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10-31-20 | Memphis v. Cincinnati -6.5 | 10-49 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Memphis/Cincinnati Noon: Double revenge game for the Bearcats. They come into this one 4-0 ranked #7 and look to knock off a Memphis team that beat them not only in their regular season finale but two weeks later in the AAC Championship. This year's Bearcats bring a solid core group back with good depth from a good recruiting class. They've got a duel threat QB in Desmond Ridder with a solid supporting cast. They should be able to move the ball well vs a Memphis' defense that allows a whopping 568 YPG! Sure, the Tigers can move the football with the #6 ranked offense in the nation; however, Cincinnati is well disciplined defensively and opportunistic with nine forced turnovers. Cincinnati has covered 9 of the last 11 in this series and should finally get a solid SU win with emphasis. Lay the TD. |
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10-24-20 | Michigan v. Minnesota +3.5 | 49-24 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
10-24-20 | Iowa State +3 v. Oklahoma State | 21-24 | Push | 0 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Iowa State/Oklahoma State 3:30: Iowa State dangerous on the road with revenge vs an opponent with rest at 8-0 ATS. They've covered 4 of the last 5 in this series and we won't sleep on them here. |
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10-24-20 | Tulane +21 v. Central Florida | Top | 34-51 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
Tulane/UCF 2:00: UCF has its share of defensive woes giving up a whopping 518 YPG. Tulane has one of the top 3 run games in the nation pounding out 229 YPG and can work the soft UCF defensive core to keep the explosive #1 offense off the field. Even so, Tulane is soft in coverage but has two menacing defensive ends that can bring heat. Tulane stayed in this game last year for a 31-34 cover as an 8 point dog. HC Fritz is a dangerous revenge coach and 8-0 ATS as a road dog of 17 or more points off back-to-back SU losses. Tulane the call. |
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10-24-20 | Nebraska +27.5 v. Ohio State | 17-52 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
Nebraska/Ohio State Noon: Nebraska not as bad as the 48-7 demolition at home vs OSU indicated last season. Nebraska had nearly a whole year to stew over that defeat. And Scott Frost has his top 3 rushers returning, including versatile QB Adrian Martinez; moreover, all 5 offensive linemen return. Defensively, the Cornhuskers still have question marks - mostly defensive line with decent linebackers and some playmakers in the secondary. Frost did recruit well for the 3-4 scheme the last few years including a Top 10 class this year and that will help with quality depth. As for OSU, they had 10 players go to the NFL from last year's team; however, QB Justin Fields will be around to give trouble. Going to look for a little rust early vs a vengeful Nebraska team that should resemble the 2018 - 31-36 loss but cover (+17). Nebraska the call. |
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10-24-20 | Auburn -3.5 v. Ole Miss | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Auburn/Ole Miss Noon: Got to steer clear of a Ole Miss defense allowing a whopping 580 YPG. And Covid 19 has ravaged their defensive personnel more as we speak. We'll look for Bo Nix and company to get back their mojo here. Auburn 7-0 ATS as road favorites of more than 2 points vs an opponent off a SU loss. Auburn the call. |
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10-24-20 | Oklahoma v. TCU +7 | 33-14 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Oklahoma/TCU Noon: TCU's HC Patterson is in his twentieth year for the Horned Frogs. Every year following a losing year as been a winner for him; as a matter of fact, he's 35-7 and SU/27-13 when coming off a losing year. He's 2-1 ATS thus far following last year's losing campaign. And considering last year's 4 point loss to OU as an 18 point dog, Patterson should have his club fired up here. He's 7-3 ATS as a home dog and 9-0 ATS w/ rest vs less than .600 opponent. Defensively, TCU will keep you in the game. They have their work cut out for them vs the explosive OU offense but can still grind it out offensively. OU still hasn't found a defense. OU 0-6 ATS off 40+ points. |
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10-23-20 | Illinois +19.5 v. Wisconsin | 7-45 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
Illinois/Wisconsin 8:00: Illinois insulted being a nearly 3 TD dog to a team they upset last year. Illinois has a good point. The Fighting Illini bring back nearly their entire offense including QB Brandon Peters equipped with some pretty good skill weaponry and, perhaps, the strength - offensive line. Defensively, Illinois forced 28 turnovers last year and bring back a solid core of that group with a few more solid additions. They face a Wisconsin team that will be without their QB Jack Coan (foot). Paul Chryst will go with redshirt freshman Graham Mertz who saw action vs a pair of MAC teams in garbage time. Sure, Wisconsin won't have Jonathan Taylor running rampant through the secondary but will surely reload with a solid cast of skill and linemen. And defensively, little, if any falloff from their stellar defense. Nevertheless, without the noisy Camp Randall Stadium crowd, Illinois can hang around. They're riding a 6-1 ATS conference run, 5-1 as a dog and 4-1 ATS as a road dog. Grab the points. |
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10-17-20 | Georgia +5 v. Alabama | 24-41 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 20 m | Show | |
Georgia/Alabama 8:00: Alabama defense under Golding giving up 473 YPG! Players out of position, missed tackles, lack of QB pressures/sacks, yielding in both run and pass. Saban tried to straighten it out this week but relegated to Zoom conferences because of catching the virus. After testing negative twice, Saban is cleared to be back on the field but don't expect the defensive flaws to disappear overnight. Sure Georgia is an average offense by NCAA standards this season; however, QB Stetson Bennett is hitting 63% of his passes with 5 TDs and 0 INTs. The running game is not explosive but do bang out 175 rush yards a game. And I'm well aware of the explosiveness of the Alabama offense. They're once again rich in talent across the board and QB Mac Jones is solid; however, Georgia has the best defense I've seen in years assembled under HC Smart. Very difficult to run on the Bulldogs this year. Their defensive line is deep and they can bring the heat. And they have a ball hawking secondary. Sure Saban is 21-0 vs former coaches but Smart (0-2) has been competitive in losses. We'll look for the Bulldogs to make a game of it. |
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10-17-20 | Kansas v. West Virginia -22 | 17-38 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
Kansas/West Virginia Noon: We won't be afraid of laying wood in this matchup. Kansas is very low in offensive production and gives up way too many points defensively. And their top RB Williams (32 yards on 14 carries last week) hobbled off the field late vs Oklahoma State. The Jayhawks face another formidable defense with West Virginia. They rank 8th in total defense and should pitch a shutout here. On the other hand, WV QB Doege has a quality supporting cast and should guide them in the end zone frequently. Kansas' defense allows 41 PPG. Les Miles (Covid 19) won't be on the sidelines and probably glad he won't. WV the call. |
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10-17-20 | Clemson -27 v. Georgia Tech | 73-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Clemson/Georgia Tech Noon: Georgia Tech feeling good off a huge win at home vs L'ville as a 4' point dog. But hold everything. The Engineers have recently failed to capitalize following wins as indicated by their 0-6 ATS mark off a SU win; moreover, they're 0-5 ATS at home vs a team with a winning road record. Clemson, on the other hand, 11-0 ATS vs a team under .666 off a SU dog win. GT not ready to step up to this kind of level yet. Clemson the call. |
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10-17-20 | Pittsburgh +13.5 v. Miami-FL | Top | 19-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
Pittsburgh/Miami Fla Noon: We won't underestimate Narduzzi as a coach. He's pulled some amazing upsets in his head coaching career. He's currently coming off two straight losses, each by 1 point. He's got another quality defense that can get after the passer with bookends Jones and Weaver. The Panthers' secondary will need to tighten up after allowing too many yards through the air the last few weeks; however, Miami Fla, which does have a very good QB King, but his receivers aren't the quality of NC State's or BC's. Pitt does a good job of stopping the run (52 YPG) and they're 3rd in the nation in sacks and 4th in TFLs. Offensively, QB Pickett (ankle) is questionable and the line is dictating he will not play. Fortunately, Arizona State transfer - Joey Yellen is a capable backup to keep this competitive. Pitt is 10-4 ATS off a SU loss and the road team in this series is 7-3 ATS. Revenge for Pitt from last year's 16-12 defeat. |
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10-16-20 | BYU v. Houston +5 | 43-26 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 51 m | Show | |
BYU/Houston 9:30: So far, BYU's Zack Wilson looks like a Heisman Trophy candidate with 14 Total TDs, 1,241 yards passing and an astounding 81.2% completion percentage. However, this should be a good test for him and BYU. Houston's defense is much improved under DC Cauthen. They have athletes and kept the Cougars in the game last week vs Tulane after Houston's offense had 5 turnovers. We'll look for Dana Holgorsen's offense to shake off the rust this week. Houston has weapons and a solid offensive line to compete with the BYU beasts up front. We'll take the points. |
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10-16-20 | SMU -6 v. Tulane | 37-34 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
SMU/Tulane 6:00: SMU missing top receiver Reggie Robertson Jr. (knee) who was an absolute nightmare for defensive backs the first quarter of the season. However, QB Shane Buechele still has a good assortment of weapons to go to. Tyler Page, Danny Gray, TE Granson, and RB Bentley IV as a receiver, can work a Tulane secondary that's given up explosive plays by the bunch load this season; as a matter of fact, the Green Wave defense has given up 13 completions of 25+ through 4 games. Tulane defense not a great pass rushing team could be in for a long night despite the loss of Robertson Jr. And concerns a plenty after letting flood gates open vs Navy and Houston in the second halves. Tulane not an explosive offense and lots of uncertainty still at QB. Sonny Dykes has his offense cooking and don't think the Green Wave can trade points effectively. SMU 4-1 ATS last 5 meetings and 5-1 ATS at Tulane. |
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10-15-20 | Georgia State +3.5 v. Arkansas State | 52-59 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
Georgia State/Arkansas State 7:30: Georgia State blew out Arkansas State last year 52-38 and I'm taking the points again. The Red Wolves still have defensive breakdowns against the run and pass. Georgia State can run the rock (470 yards over 2 games) and versatile QB Cornelious Brown is capable of upping his completion percentage tonight. Sure, Arkansas State has a prolific passer in Logan Bonner; however, like how the Panthers got after another prolific passer - Holton Ahlers. Georgia State has been well rested (off since October 3rd). The Panthers are 6-1 ATS off SU win of 14+ points. Arkansas State wants revenge but 0-5 w/ revenge vs opponent off SU dog win. Georgia State the call. |
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10-10-20 | Marshall v. Western Kentucky +7 | 38-14 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
Marshall/Western Kentucky 7:30: So far, Marshall looks like a national champion caliber team with two easy wins including 17-7 win over Appalachian State! But a closer look reveals the Mountaineers are adjusting to first year HC Shawn Clark, and Marshall hasn't played since that win - September 19th. On the other side, Western Kentucky has underachieved at 1-2 with their lone win barely getting by a poor MTU squad. But I like the Hilltoppers here; after all, Tyson Helton has some good experience back including versatile QB Pigrome who's tossed 6 TDs with 0 INTs. Helton's team is well disciplined and will be competitive here; after all, over the last 3 games in this series, the winner was decided by one score or less. WKY is looking to avenge last year's close loss and should deliver. Marshall 0-6 ATS off back to back SU/ATS wins. |
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10-10-20 | Florida State v. Notre Dame -20 | 26-42 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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10-10-20 | Tennessee +13 v. Georgia | 21-44 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
Tennessee/Georgia 3:30: Georgia looked impressive last week but we won't count the Volunteers out yet. Pruitt turned around the Vol's after that 43-14 loss at home to the Bulldogs last year. Vol's have gone on an 9-1 SU run since. Keep in mind that although Georgia's HC Smart grabbed the #1 recruiting class this season, Pruitt has a Top 10 class himself including raiding a number of Georgia recruits including nabbing starting tackle Cade Mays. Tennessee's QB Guarantano playing well and should keep this one tight. Vol's 6-1 ATS on the road vs greater than .500 opponent off an ATS win. Tennessee the call. |
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10-10-20 | NC State v. Virginia -7 | 38-21 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
NC State/Virginia Noon: A lot of action on NC State after upsetting Pittsburgh last week. Meanwhile, Virginia coming off a loss to #1 Clemson; however, did manage to put outrush and outgain the Tigers in yards; consequently, they covered. We'll look for Virginia to bounce back here. Lots of the Cavaliers still have a sour taste in their mouths losing the 2018 battle to NC State 35-21. The Cavaliers have a solid run stop unit (96.5 YPG) and their defense had a good glance at QB Devin Leary who won the starting job and engineered a great final drive last week. But looking for a letdown here. The Wolfpack have been notorious for underachieving following wins at 1-10 ATS; moreover, 0-5 ATS off a SU dog win vs a team above .333 winning percentage. Virginia is tough to beat at home, getting good play out of QB Brennan Armstrong, and eager to get back in the win column. With NC State 0-6 ATS on the road vs winning teams, Virginia the call. |
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10-09-20 | Louisville -4.5 v. Georgia Tech | 27-46 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
Louisville/Georgia Tech 7:00: Both of these teams are well coached; as a matter of fact, Tech's Collins and Card's Satterfield actually coached together years ago. Card's Satterfield has a team more deeply rooted in his system than Collins, who had to take over for Paul Johnson's Flex Bone predominant run oriented offense. Consequently, Cardinals a bit ahead of the curve. Louisville has taken on two tough foes following an easy win over WKY. Miami U and Pittsburgh no lightweights this year. Georgia Tech took out a suspect Florida State team and lost back to back games vs respectable UCF and struggling Syracuse. With both teams coming off a bye, look for Louisville to deliver behind dynamic QB Malik Cunningham who is good to go after scary incident vs Pitt. Satterfield loves to run the rock and Hawkins is the man. Engineers' defense has not been good and could be in for a long night. And the jury is still out on G Tech's QB Sims who has just 3 TD/8 INTs. Cards 3-0-1 ATS off a loss, 4-0 ATS on the road. GT not a good history of a home dog at 1-7 ATS. Cardinals the call. |
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10-03-20 | Auburn +7.5 v. Georgia | 6-27 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 1 m | Show | |
Auburn/Georgia 7:30: Glad to take the points here with Malzahn. He's looking to avenge last year's 21-14 loss and carries a pretty good revenge record vs conference opponents. Sure Georgia has the top recruiting class in the nation but still unsettled at QB with a glut of talent (Bennett, Mathis, Daniels) but no apparent stand out. And I'm not thrilled with their run game (2.9 YPC) vs Arkansas? Like the Tigers' QB Nix who's blossoming into a solid SEC signal caller. He's got a solid supporting cast and a good defense. After three straight losses to the Bulldogs, Malzahn should be able to deliver one here. |
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10-03-20 | Texas A&M +18.5 v. Alabama | 24-52 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
Texas A&M/Alabama 3:30: Both teams were perhaps looking ahead to this one. Last week, Alabama shot out to a 35-3 lead before allowing a backdoor cover to Missouri; Texas A&M was in a scrum with Vandy before winning 17-12. Vandy defense the real deal though. And A&M underrated QB Kellen Mond is no joke. Remember, Jimbo Fisher pulled together a Top 10 recruiting class with surrounding talent for Mond. And defensively, the Aggies are deep enough to hang with the big boys of the SEC. Too many points to give to a very good Jimbo Fisher team. |
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10-03-20 | South Carolina +17 v. Florida | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
South Carolina/Florida 12:00: USC hung in there last week vs Tennessee. QB Hill (transfer from Colorado State) is well groomed by his mentor and former HC of Colorado State - OC Bobo. Tennessee's defense is well disciplined under HC Pruitt yet Collin Hill dropped nearly 300 on them. Florida defense gave up explosive plays to Ole Miss last week and this has the makings of a closer than what odds makers think. Last year, the Gamecocks actually outgained the Gators in a 27-38 loss. Gamecocks 8-2-1 ATS as a road dog and we'll grab the generous amount of points. |
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10-03-20 | Baylor v. West Virginia +1.5 | Top | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
Baylor/West Virginia 12:00: Baylor and their new coaching staff are excited along with fans on the blowout of KU. But I'm not putting a whole lot of stock into that win considering the Jayhawks lost to lightweight Coastal Carolina the previous week. WV battled a very good Oklahoma State team despite the loss of their starting QB. WV's HC Neal Brown will have his men clean up their game this week. Sloppy play, penalties cost them. That's uncharacteristic of a Neal Brown coached team. We'll look for his offensive line to improve dramatically this week. The Mounties are looking to avenge last year's 17-14 loss (covered +17') at Baylor. Brown likes to run the rock and has a pretty good pair of backs and a decent QB in Doege. Brown is 6-0 as a home dog and we'll look for him to school Baylor's new HC Aranda. |
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09-26-20 | Tennessee -3 v. South Carolina | 31-27 | Win | 100 | 17 h 59 m | Show | |
Tennessee/S. Carolina 7:30: Tennessee started miserably last year at 1-4 SU before turning things around winning 7 of their last 8 games. Pruitt comes back with a loaded roster coupled with a Top 10 recruiting class! S. Carolina, on the other hand, cleaned house getting rid of most offensive coaches on the staff. It's going to take time to build the chemistry; in the meantime, we'll look for Tennessee to roll in their opener. |
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09-26-20 | West Virginia +7 v. Oklahoma State | 13-27 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
West Virginia/Oklahoma State 3:30: Oklahoma State had trouble moving the football last week vs Tulsa when QB Spencer Sanders (ankle) went down early. He has not been cleared to play. I like WV's HC Neal Brown who did wonders while at Troy. The Mountaineers got off to a good start crushing lightweight Eastern Kentucky last week. QB Jarret Doege, who transferred from Bowling Green, looked good in his debut and he's got a pretty good surrounding cast that accumulated 624 yards. It won't be easy this week but I like where the Mounties are headed. WV the call. |
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09-26-20 | Iowa State -2.5 v. TCU | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Iowa State/TCU 1:30: Disappointing season opener and uncharacteristic of Matt Campbell's team. We'll look for a more polished Cyclones' unit today; after all, Purdy tore up TCU 49-24 last year. And he still has a the nucleus of that skill personnel to work with. We'll look for a more polished offensive line this week. On the other hand, TCU is used to having a lightweight as a season opening game and it won't be easy. QB is not a strong point on TCU with Downing (4 games started last year) and Duggan who completed just 53.4% of his pass with a 15/10 TD/INT ratio. Iowa State 4-0 ATS TCU and 15-6 ATS off a SU loss. Iowa State the call. |
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09-26-20 | Florida -13 v. Ole Miss | 51-35 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
Florida/Ole Miss Noon: Not going to be an easy transition for Lane Kiffin. Weakened recruiting classes by former coach Matt Luke put them back a few years. Kiffin does have some solid recruits he brought over. And Ole Miss did go 6-2 ATS down the stretch last season. However, Kiffin didn't have enough time to work with his core group during off season and face Dan Mullen's group that's entering their third season and strong back-to-back recruiting classes (Top 10). Mullen likes to run the ball and that should show improvement this year with a strong line and good skill weaponry around QB Trask. Florida the call. |
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09-19-20 | Miami-FL v. Louisville -2 | 47-34 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
Miami Florida/Louisville 7:30: Revenge game for Louisville and the Cardinals should deliver. Last year, Miami U created some special teams plays that spurred a 52-27 route. This season, with Louisville HC Satterfield in his second year and able to upgrade personnel to add to an already solid nucleus on both sides of the ball. Offensively, QB Micale Cunningham is a big time player with a great supporting cast. The Cardinals should work a depleted Hurricanes' secondary with only 5 scholarship players left. Defensively, Cardinals showed improvement from a year ago as they held a pretty good Western Kentucky team to a total of just 248 yards. Sure, Miami has Houston transfer D'Eriq King running the show with a new OC and Miami won't be the bungling offense of last year. We'll look for Satterfield's bunch to be up for the challenge and deliver. |
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09-12-20 | UL-Monroe v. Army -21.5 | 7-37 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
UL-Monroe/Army 1:30: The Black Knight machine rolled to victory last week in a 42-0 knockout of MTU. A big winner for me. Today, we'll look for Army to keep it rolling. UL-Monroe not equipped with a whole lot of weaponry on both sides of the ball to counter the firepower of Army. From last year, the Warhawks lost their top two wide receivers, four starting offensive linemen, and versatile veteran QB Caleb Evans. Defensively, they were ranked 128th in the nation in Total Defense and don't have significant upgrades this year; after all, they had the 121st recruiting class in the nation. Army 4-1 ATS as a favorite of 13+ and 6-1 ATS in September. Army rolls. |
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09-05-20 | Middle Tennessee State v. Army -3 | 0-42 | Win | 100 | 15 h 8 m | Show | |
Middle Tennessee State/Army 1:30: Army has been operating business as usual in their bubble throughout the pandemic, which gives them an advantage - especially with a new QB under center. Christian Anderson should get the nod and, although he won't have the juice that Ahmad Bradshaw brought to the field, he's meshed with his teammates all spring and should be productive. MTSU allowed 4.9 YPC last year and I don't see any upgrade in their run stop unit this year. MTSU does have a quality offense behind QB O'Hara; however, Army's defense was 33rd in the nation last year and they bring back much of their defensive line and linebacker corps. MTSU had two key offensive skill components opt out this year and they've had on and off practices throughout the spring. Army the call. |
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09-03-20 | South Alabama +15 v. Southern Miss | 32-21 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
S. Alabama/Southern Miss 9:00: First meeting between these teams and we'll take the points. The Jaguars showed promise late last season when Desmond Trotter was inserted in as the starting QB. He ignited the stagnant offense. This season he has a veteran offensive line to call signals behind and good skill weaponry. As for the Golden Eagles, they're operating with two new coordinators on both sides of the ball and will miss 4 key players who opted out of this season. We'll look for the Jaguars to keep this competitive. |
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01-13-20 | Clemson +6.5 v. LSU | Top | 25-42 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 18 m | Show |
Clemson/LSU 8:00: Exciting matchup with the undisputed two best teams in the nation. Burrow and his amazing offense coupled with an LSU defense that really came on strong down the stretch; as a matter of fact, few weaknesses in this LSU machine as HC Orgeron was the beneficiary of the most talented team in the nation. Nevertheless, LSU, like any other team, has its weaknesses - albeit very few- that can be exploited. Assuming veteran Clemson DC Venables has his Top 5 Pass Defense in the Nation limiting explosive plays, LSU may have trouble scoring TDs in the Red Zone where LSU struggles a bit; as a matter of fact, inside the 10, LSU's Red Zone Offense ranks 61st in the nation. Clemson doesn't have natural pass rushing edge rushers but bring heat from a variety of positions to be 3rd in the nation in sacks. Venerables loves using hybrid S/OLB Simmons from all angles and he can even cover RB Edwards-Helaire out of the backfield. As for Clemson offensively, QB Lawrence doesn't have to take a backseat to anyone. He's a proven winner with a great supporting cast including Tee Higgins, Ross and arguably the most explosive RB in the nation Etienne. LSU's defense has allowed 11 rushes for 30+ yards this season. Coaching edge to Swinney who is a money making 9-1 SU/ATS as a dog in a Playoff or Bowl! Clemson the call. |
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01-06-20 | Miami-OH v. UL-Lafayette -14 | 17-27 | Loss | -101 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
UL-Lafayette/Miami-OH 7:30: Ragin' Cajuns may not be able to compete with the Power 5 programs of the NCAA just yet, but can handle the mid-majors. UL-Lafayette has a veteran offensive line with a couple beasts, including All-American G Dotson and All Conferance Hunt. They've helped pave the way for a bruising rush attack that grinds out 265 YPG with 41 TDs. They have a trio of backs who rushed for 2,755 yards. Sure, Miami OH has a decent defense but not able to withstand the bruising line of the Cajuns for 4 quarters; especially, with a pedestrian offense the Redhawks bring to the field. Miami OH ranks 122nd offensively in the nation. Sure, ULL defensive run-stop-unit gives up yardage but tightens in the red-zone (10th ranked in nation). ULL 4-0 ATS in non-conference and 6-1 ATS off SU loss. Redhawks sport a money burning 2-10 ATS mark outside their conference. Cajuns should deliver. |
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01-02-20 | Boston College v. Cincinnati -7.5 | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
Boston College/Cincinnati 3:00: Tough assignment for interim HC Gunnell to hold together BC program without their key cog and OC Bajakian. BC's starting RB Dillon who was the ignition to their offense, decided to sit out in prep for NFL while their OC took the same role at Northwestern. That will put an enormous burden on sophomore QB Bailey who took over for injured starter Brown (knee) earlier in the year. Cincinnati had a great year but still stewing after back-to-back close losses to American Athletic Conference Champ - Memphis. Bearcats' defense the real deal and should control this game. Cincinnati the call. |
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01-01-20 | Baylor +4.5 v. Georgia | 14-26 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Baylor/Georgia 8:45: If this game was played during the regular season, Georgia would be the prohibitive favorite and possibly worth going with; however, motivational factor comes in to play tonight. Georgia will be without nearly a dozen players for various reasons. And the 37-7 burial by LSU December 7th sucked the life out of this team. Jake Fromm hasn't completed above 50% of his passes in 5 straight games. Sure, Swift is a big time RB but LSU shut him down completely because of a Georgia passing game that's not scaring defenses. And Baylor's defense is one to be reckoned with. They play the run well, get after the QB (3.3 sacks per game), and opportunistic in creating fumbles and interceptions. The Baylor offense can run the football and QB Brewer (concussion protocol but likely to play) has talented skill personnel to go to. Baylor has been a covering machine all season including 5 straight covers down the stretch. Motivational factor with Baylor as Rhule will have his guys ready after valiant effort in Big 12 Championship Game vs Oklahoma. Baylor the call. |