01-01-20 |
Wisconsin v. Oregon +3 |
|
27-28 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 33 m |
Show
|
Wisconsin/Oregon 5:00: Close call here, for Wisconsin is a dangerous bowl team rattling off 5 straight wins; however, both teams have explosive offenses and rock solid defensively. The key determinent is Oregon's QB Herbert who is a big time player. He has a veteran offensive line protecting him including LT Sewell (Outland Trophy) and a really good wideout in Johnson. And what makes the pass game click is RB Verdell who ran all over the nation's #1 run stop unit Utah. Sure, Wisconsin's RB Taylor is as good as they get but the jury is still out on QB Coan. Oregon has a really good defense, tough vs the run and oportunistic. Wisky 0-5 ATS as a neutral favorite and I believe this one will be close, therefore, we'll grab the points.
|
01-01-20 |
Minnesota v. Auburn -6.5 |
|
31-24 |
Loss |
-116 |
12 h 58 m |
Show
|
Minnesota/Auburn 1:00: Minnesota stepped up significantly this year under HC Fleck. They're well disciplined, solid in every facet of the game as exhibited against their biggest win of the season at home vs Penn State November 9th. QB Morgan was awesome and well surrounded with RB Rodney Smith, and big time receivers Johnson and Bateman. And defensively, stout and strong; however, the Gophers still a recruiting class or two away from hanging with the likes of Auburn. Sure, Auburn lost three games but all competive games and against Top 7 teams including a hard fought 23-20 loss at #1 LSU! And keep in mind that Auburn beat bowl teams Oregon (neutral site), Texas A&M in College Station and Alabama in Iron Bowl. Minnesota lost in their step up games to Wisconsin and Iowa and was the beneficiary of not having to play Ohio State and Michigan. Auburn's veteran offensive line, big time skill personnel and a Top 20 defense should be too much for the Gophers. Auburn 17-3 ATS after allow 35+ in their last game vs an opponent off a SU loss. And Malzahn lost his OC but calls a pretty good game. Auburn should deliver.
|
01-01-20 |
Michigan v. Alabama -7 |
|
16-35 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 29 m |
Show
|
Michigan/Alabama 1:00: Can't side with the Wolves with Harbaugh on account of their horrible road record and bowl games vs Top 10 teams at 0-6! Sure, Alabama won't have LB Lewis and CB Diggs as they prep for NFL draft. Nevertheless, Saban's cupboard is still full of quality goods for star receivers Jeudy, Ruggs and Smith will be at the disposal of QB Mac Jones. And 1000+ rusher Harris, whom Michigan lost the recruiting battle too, should find room behind the rock solid 'Bama offensive line. Michigan's defense brings back bad memories of how Wisconsin moved them around like furniture. On the other hand, the Wolve's offense isn't exactly explosive with Patterson at the helm. And he won't have Tarik Black (transfer) to go to. Alabama the call.
|
12-31-19 |
Texas +7.5 v. Utah |
|
38-10 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 17 m |
Show
|
|
12-31-19 |
Kansas State v. Navy -3 |
|
17-20 |
Push |
0 |
14 h 31 m |
Show
|
|
12-31-19 |
Kentucky +3 v. Virginia Tech |
|
37-30 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 16 m |
Show
|
Kentucky/Virginia Tech Noon: Hard to fade Virginia Tech, which will be playing for long term tenured DC Bud Foster who will be retiring this year. But Kentucky is more sound in a variety of areas. Their offensive line is outstanding significantly producing the #4 run game in the FBS. QB Bowden Jr. sports a 5-2 mark since he was inserted in the lineup and he won the Paul Hornung Award for his versatility. VT is impressive offensively too behind QB Hooker who is 6-2 as a starter this year; however, offensive line question marks at times and they face a fierce KY defense. 'Cats 4-0 ATS vs teams above .500 and 6-0 ATS in non-conference games. Got to take the field goal here.
|
12-30-19 |
Illinois +6.5 v. California |
Top |
20-35 |
Loss |
-106 |
13 h 39 m |
Show
|
Illinois/California 4:00: Impressed with the Fighting Illini who snuck up on foes of the Big Ten. Illinois turned in a strong season finish with a 6-0 ATS run down the stretch with QB Peters, including outrights over Wisconsin, at Purdue and at Michigan State. He was concussed in the finale loss to NW. He's back for this one and Illinois should deliver. California started strong but injuries curtailed their progress throughout the season. Their offense, ranked in the bottom tier of the NCAA, does not scare anyone. And their defense, which was outstanding last year, regressed a bit this season. Cali is 1-6 ATS in December and 1-6 ATS on a neutral field. With the Illini at 5-0 ATS as a dog, we'll ride Lovie and his boys here.
|
12-30-19 |
Western Michigan v. Western Kentucky -3 |
|
20-23 |
Push |
0 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
|
Western Michigan/Western Kentucky 12:30: Both teams have productive offenses but like the team with the defensive edge in Western Kentucky. Sure, WM has explosive RB Bellamy and veteran QB Wassink behind an experienced offensive line; however, defensively give up way too many yards and points. On the other hand, WK has a top 20 defense that ranks 6th nationally in 3rd down conversion % and 15th nationally in the red zone. Helton did a great job in developing his backup QB Storey who meshed well with a good offensive line and some solid skill personnel. And remember, WK defeated 4 Conference USA Bowl teams and a Power 5 Conference team in Arkansas. Western Kentucky the call.
|
12-28-19 |
Clemson -2 v. Ohio State |
|
29-23 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 20 m |
Show
|
Clemson/Ohio State 8:00: Been riding OSU most of the season but got to go with Swinney and his boys here. Clemson is loaded on both sides of the ball and defensively a Top 10 defense across the board including TFLs and Sacks. And an opposing QB with a brace on his knee will never strike fear in a defense of this magnitude. Fields is still not at his best as a runner and that lack of a step will be costly tonight. What makes Fields and the Buckeyes' potent offensive machine work is Fields' ability to fake throws in single coverage and use his feet to gobble up chunks of yardage. His knee troubles limit that threat especially against a fast Clemson secondary. Sure, OSU loaded with skill personnel and arguably one of the best RBs in country in J.K. Dobbins; however, Clemson's QB Lawrence has found his rhythm 20 TDs/0 INTs last 6 games and RB Etienne and amazing wideouts of Clemson just a bit too much in prime time. Clemson 10-1 ATS in December, 9-1 ATS in bowls, 4-0 ATS neutral favorite. Clemson.
|
12-28-19 |
Iowa State +4 v. Notre Dame |
|
9-33 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 42 m |
Show
|
|
12-27-19 |
USC v. Iowa -2 |
|
24-49 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 23 m |
Show
|
Iowa/USC 8:00: USC hasn't won a meaningful bowl game since Pete Carroll departed. Helton, who amazingly got his contract renewed, has question marks on if his offensive coordinator will stay or not. And sure, QB Slovis threw for 400+ in 4 of the last 5 games; however, none of those secondaries were in the top 100 defensively. USC will face the best defense of the season. Hawkeyes, rank #11 defensively with a ball hawking secondary and a DE Epenesa who is a sack machine NFL ready. Yes, Iowa's offense not that explosive but steady and physical with QB Nate Stanley at the helm. He has the current Big 10 Lineman of the Year at OT in Wirfs. Moreover, special teams a significant advantage. Iowa in the Top 10 nationally whereas USC 129th of 130 FBS teams covering kicks. Iowa the call.
|
12-27-19 |
Oklahoma State +5.5 v. Texas A&M |
|
21-24 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 43 m |
Show
|
Oklahoma State/Texas A&M: 6: 45: We'll take the points with Gundy and his Cowboys. Okie State's Gundy always dangerous as a dog let alone a Bowl Dog. Gundy has gone 3-1 SU/ATS as a bowl dog. In season finales, A&M coming off a humiliating loss to LSU while Okie State comes off a competitive loss to Oklahoma. The LSU loss typified Coach Fisher's frustration with his recruits. In step up games vs Top 10 bowl teams, Fisher went 0-5 SU. Clearly Oklahoma State is not in the category as a Top 10 team but very competitive. And now that Cowboys' RB Hubbard has decided to play in this one to up his NFL status to perhaps a late #1 draft choice, State has fighting chance. He makes the play action game run smoothly for either Sanders or Dru Brown. As for A&M, their top defensive player - Madubuike decided to skip this bowl to prepare for the NFL draft. We'll grab the points.
|
12-26-19 |
Miami-FL v. Louisiana Tech +7 |
|
0-14 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 7 m |
Show
|
Louisiana Tech/Mia Fla 4:00: Skip Holtz a dangerous dog in his career at 50-26-1 ATS. We'll take a TD here with Holtz and his Bulldogs who will be playing in their home state. Moreover, the Bulldogs come into this one sporting a 5-0 SU bowl run. Miami U, on the other hand, lost 8 of its last 9 bowl games and, again, underachieved, this time under first year HC Diaz. Sure, the former Miami U defensive coordinator still has a suffocating defense; however, their offense (88th in nation) does not scare anyone. Quarterback issues and, even worse, offensive line problems were a direct result in not able to establish a quality run game (120th nationally). And their leading rusher Deejay Dallas will not play. LT, which wasn't great defensively, does possess the 3rd best defense in the nation in the red zone which means a lot against a non-explosive team. And LT's offense, lead by QB J'mar Smith (17/4 TD/INT) should be rolling again. He was suspended for the Marshall and UAB losses but made a difference back for the season finale with a win over UTSA. We'll grab the dog here.
|
12-23-19 |
Marshall +16 v. Central Florida |
|
25-48 |
Loss |
-111 |
13 h 46 m |
Show
|
Marshall/Central Florida 2:30: Marshall has a rich history of winning bowl games as their 12-2 SU mark indicates. And current HC Holiday sports a perfect 6-0 SU/ATS mark in bowls for Marshall. UCF a formidable foe under Heupel but not as dominant as they were the past few years. Marshall has a solid QB in Green with a good supporting cast including RB Knox. Defensively, LBs Beckett and Cobb are outstanding. 16 points a bit too much vs a team that repeatedly steps up in big games. Marshall the call.
|
12-20-19 |
Buffalo v. Charlotte +6.5 |
|
31-9 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 2 m |
Show
|
Buffalo/Charlotte 2:00: Question marks with the Bulls which tend to flop in big games. Last season, with a more experienced and talented club, laid an egg in the MAC Championship and then went on to flop in their bowl. This year's Buffalo team still has that potent run game with Patterson and Marks behind the experienced offensive line but their QB Vantrease not a vertical threat nor running threat. On the other hand, I like turnaround specialist HC Will Healy who did an amazing job in his first year getting Charlotte to a bowl for the first time since joining FBS in 2015. He's got a strong run game too along with a versatile QB in Reynolds. The conditions will be windy in Nassau Bahamas and Reynolds gives us a better chance for success than his counterpart. Defenses are similar and Charlotte has a sack specialist in Highsmith (14 sacks) and an outstanding LB Watts (9 sacks.). We'll take the points.
|
12-14-19 |
Army +11.5 v. Navy |
|
7-31 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 12 m |
Show
|
Army/Navy 3:00: Historically a low scoring game, this one sets up as one too. With light drizzle, and two run games worth note (Navy #1/Army #2), lots of clock eating here. At the same time, both teams very similar in production on both sides of the ball. QBs Perry (Navy) and Hopkins (Army) lead dangerous triple option teams - both limited in passing. Hopkins did bang up his leg in the last game in Hawaii but good to go. Army surely underachieved this season and won't be bowling but they were in almost every game; as a matter of fact, they lost 6 of 7 by single digits. Army won this one 3 straight and they won't be bowling this year; however, Army will consider this as their bowl keeping this one tight. Army the call.
|
12-07-19 |
Wisconsin v. Ohio State -15.5 |
Top |
21-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 24 m |
Show
|
Wisconsin/OSU 8:00: Hard to stop the Buckeye machine this year with a perfect season and 9-2 ATS in the process. Moreover, they usually stay hungry this time of year with a 4-1 ATS December ledger. They dominated Wisconsin in Columbus back on October 26th taking away Wisconsin's biggest threat - Jonathan Taylor. OSU allows a miniscule 232.6 YPG and surely QB Jack Coan isn't going to dent the ball hawking secondary. OSU usually wins the battle in the trenches and Wisconsin can't beat them there. On the other hand, OSU QB Justin Fields (MCL) is good to go after the scare at Michigan. He's got a crap load of weapons including J.K. Dobbins to do more damage. OSU feeds off blowouts as their 10-2 ATS mark off a SU win of 20+ indicates. OSU the call.
|
12-07-19 |
Georgia +7.5 v. LSU |
|
10-37 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 28 m |
Show
|
Georgia/LSU 4:00: LSU has solidified a spot in the CFP. They have the most likely Heisman Trophy candidate QB Burrow who pilots the top offense in the nation. However, I do like the Georgia defense that is very difficult to run and pass against. They absolutely shut down a potent Auburn offense for nearly 4 quarters before a late surge as Georgia loosened up coverage. I'm going to look for them to keep Burrow in check early. Offensively, the Bulldogs feed off RB Swift who is good to go after sustaining a shoulder bruise last week. LSU has had some defensive lapses this year and Georgia can run the football. Georgia desperately needs a win here to qualify for that 4th CFP spot. We'll look for them to make a run for the money.
|
12-07-19 |
Baylor +9.5 v. Oklahoma |
|
23-30 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 56 m |
Show
|
Baylor/Oklahoma Noon: I was on Baylor in the first meeting and I'm staying on them here despite the return of Oklahoma's top gun WR Lamb. Baylor has an underappreciated defense that is top tier in the Big 12 and 13th ranked in the nation in terms of allowing points (18.4 PPG). Brewer and company can also move the football and proved it in the first matchup. The Bears are coming off a blow out win at Kansas on the 30th. Rhule will surely have his boys fired up for this one in an opportunity for an outside shot at that fourth spot in the playoffs. Rhule is 16-3 ATS against conference foes coming off a double-digit win. Baylor the call.
|
12-06-19 |
Oregon +7 v. Utah |
|
37-15 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 58 m |
Show
|
Oregon/Utah 8:00: Utah has been a money making machine this year with 8 straight covers; however, Oregon has a veteran offense with a future #1 NFL draft choice in QB Justin Herbert to keep it close. Sure, the weather conditions are poor with rain and high winds on a soggy Levi Stadium grass in Santa Clara; however, Oregon has a run game too at 181 YPG. It won't be easy against one of the top defenses in every category across the board. Nevertheless, like Oregon to keep it tight. Remember, Utah was in a similar situation last year leading into the conference championship and ended up laying an egg to a lesser talented Washington team. And defensively, Oregon underrated with a solid run-stop unit and ball hawking secondary. Ducks the call.
|
11-30-19 |
Wisconsin v. Minnesota +3 |
|
38-17 |
Loss |
-107 |
14 h 16 m |
Show
|
Wisconsin/Minnesota 3:30: Gophers turning in a magical season and I'm staying on them here. Minnesota beat up the Badgers last year 37-15 at Wisconsin. This year, Minnesota has a better football team across the board. QB Tanner Morgan has been outstanding managing games and has a pair of 1000+ receiving yard receivers in Johnson and Bateman; moreover, the run game consistently cooks with 1000+ yard rusher Rodney Smith. On the other side of the ball, the Golden Gophers possess the 11th ranked defense (yards allowed) and have an outstanding pass defense. The key, of course, is stopping RB Jonathan Taylor. Badgers are on a 1-4 ATS slide and just 5-11 ATS off a SU win. They've failed to cover in 5 of their last 7 November tilts. Gophers 32-16-2 ATS in November and I'm rowing the boat with Fleck and the Gophers.
|
11-30-19 |
Wyoming +11 v. Air Force |
|
6-20 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 45 m |
Show
|
Wyoming/Air Force 2:00: Wyoming is an amazing 10-0 ATS in this series. Cowboys' defense plays the run well (2.8 YPC) and we'll look for more assignment defensive football against AF's vaunted triple option. Wyoming the call.
|
11-30-19 |
Wake Forest -3.5 v. Syracuse |
Top |
30-39 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 15 m |
Show
|
WF/Syracuse 12:30: Nothing left to play for but pride for Syracuse. An underachiever this year at 4-7 and home for the holidays. On the other hand, WF overachieved this year and going bowling. Morever, Clawson and his boys are out to avenge last year's 41-24 home shellacking. This season, boasts the 17th ranked offense in the nation and should move the ball up and down the swiss cheese Syracuse defense (111th ranked). Offensively, Syracuse has had QB problems all season. Tommy Devito did not live up to expectations; of course, he had big shoes to fill with Dungey (Browns) leaving. WF usually wins against losing teams and should deliver here.
|
11-30-19 |
Ohio State -8 v. Michigan |
|
56-27 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 47 m |
Show
|
OSU/Mich Noon: Michigan is at their best this season at home (6-0 SU) but still not talented enough to win this one. OSU is on a 16-2 SU run in this series and Harbaugh is 0-4 (2-2 ATS) vs them. OSU has Heisman trophy candidates (QB Fields and DE Young ) on both sides of the ball. Throw in a top rated defense and a punishing offensive line with an underrated RB Dobbins and outstanding wide-outs. Last week, OSU made costly errors (fumbling on Penn State's one yard line) to keep from covering. Today, look for total focus as the Buckeyes roll.
|
11-29-19 |
Virginia Tech -2.5 v. Virginia |
|
30-39 |
Loss |
-107 |
12 h 48 m |
Show
|
Virginia Tech/Virginia Noon: If this game was played early in the season, Virginia would have the edge and would be my undisputed selection; however, Virginia is a money burning 4-19 SU in their last 2 games of the year. The Cavaliers AD did them a favor this time, however, scheduling lightweight Liberty last week after their bye week. Today, the Hokies are a significant upgrade for them. VTech has compiled a sweet 6-1 SU/ATS run ever since QB Hooker has been inserted in as the starter. He has not thrown an interception. His counterpart - Perkins - has been very sharp too; however, since well loved veteran DC Bud Foster announced that this will be his last year coaching, his defense has been lights out; as a matter of fact, they're coming off 2 straight shutouts! Virginia's defense has had some key injuries including star C Hall (ankle) and that will be trouble against Fuente's bunch who has his run and pass game cooking. VTech 5-2 ATS at Virginia and I'm rolling with the Hokies.
|
11-29-19 |
Miami-OH +3.5 v. Ball State |
|
27-41 |
Loss |
-113 |
11 h 10 m |
Show
|
Miami OH/Ball State Noon: On paper, it appears Ball State has a significant edge with QB Drew Plitt passing for big numbers while leading the offense to 34.3 PPG! However, the Cardinals' defense is too much in a giving mode and I'm not buying in. Miami OH has a sluggish offense but do play sound defense. They've found ways to win 7 games this season and I'm staying on them here. Redhawks have covered 13 of the last 16 conference games, and 4-1 ATS in Muncie; furthermore, they're 6-1 ATS in November. Ball State a sluggish 3-13 ATS at home vs teams above .500. Miami OH the call.
|
11-26-19 |
Western Michigan -8.5 v. Northern Illinois |
|
14-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 54 m |
Show
|
Western Michigan/N. Illinois 7:00: Western Michigan has a chance to represent the MAC West in MAC Championship with a win here; therefore, much to play for. As for Northern Illinois, playing for pride; however, not much shown this season in comparison to yesteryear. The Huskies had a nice run in MAC contention and bowl games up until this season under new HC Hammock. He's taken this team a step backwards. N Illinois riddled with mistakes (-7 turnover margin) sloppy play and poor decision making. QB Childers, in for starter Bowers (concussion), threw 3 INTs last week and he'll have to go against another opportunistic defense in WM. WM, (+7 turnover margin), should ride their thoroughbred - Bellamy - in the cold Huskie Stadium. WM had an extra week of prep and, because they're bowling and have something to play for, that should pay dividends. And although WM hasn't shown strength on the road, the sparse crowd in DeKalb will have no effect on them here. Huskies just 3-8 ATS after allowing 40+ and 3-13 ATS after a double-digit loss at home. WM the call.
|
11-23-19 |
Nebraska -6 v. Maryland |
|
54-7 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 11 m |
Show
|
Nebraska/Maryland 3:30: Both teams struggling but Nebraska still has a chance to go to a bowl if they win out. We'll look for them to get by Maryland which proved it get beat the lightweights but get blown out when faced with a competitive team. Not a fan of Locksley who did nothing when at New Mexico years ago. And his team has not been competitve in his losses, not only losing on the scoreboard but in the stats by a wide margin! On the other hand, Nebraska's HC Frost has his men competitive. They ran the rock well as RB Mills led the way gutting the Wisconsin defense for 7.7 YPC! We'll look for the 'Huskers to clean up their mistakes and cruise in this one.
|
11-23-19 |
Texas A&M +13 v. Georgia |
Top |
13-19 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 15 m |
Show
|
Texas A&M/Georgia 3:30: Georgia now in the #4 spot after getting by Auburn. And they're likely "eating the cheese" as they relish another shot at the National Championship; however, not so fast as Texas A&M is no joke. They're coming off a blowout of South Carolina and usually handle blowout wins well as their 7-2 ATS mark indicates after a 20+ point win. A&M QB Mond has plenty of weapons at his disposal, a sound offensive line as well. Georgia's defense, as good as it is, can be worn down late as indicated last week after Auburn actually outrushed them. A&M HC Fisher can call plays with the best of them. And A&M's defense highly underrated. The Aggies lost all 3 to Top 10 opponents (Clemson/Alabama/Auburn) yet competive in all. Pretty good value here as A&M looks for their signature win. With Georgia just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 homies, we'll grab the points.
|
11-23-19 |
Michigan v. Indiana +10 |
|
39-14 |
Loss |
-115 |
12 h 36 m |
Show
|
Michigan/Indiana 3:30: The jury still out on Michigan when they hit the road vs quality opposition. They got smothered at Wisconsin, did not cover at Illinois, lost SU at Penn State and now enter a dangerous Memorial Stadium in Bloomington where Indiana has covered 4 of 5. And despite a shellacking from Ohio State, the Hoosiers sport a Top 20 defense (yards allowed) and the #12 passing team in the nation behind Peyton Ramsey. Indiana has gone 3-0-1 ATS in this series. With Michigan just 3-8 ATS on the road and Ohio State looming over them next week, I'm taking the points..
|
11-23-19 |
Boston College +21 v. Notre Dame |
|
7-40 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 24 m |
Show
|
Boston College/Notre Dame 2:30: BC on a decent 4-2 ATS run. They need one more win to be bowl eligible and should be competitive here. BC is 20-8 ATS on the road, 5-1 ATS at Notre Dame, and 14-3-1 ATS as a road dog. ND just 3-6 ATS as home chalk and can't be trusted in November at 7-16-1 ATS. BC's QB Grosel finally showing signs of gaining confidence after taking over for injured starter - Brown; of course, he's got a really good RB Dillon and solid TE Hunter to help him. BC offensive line can hold its own (with the exception of Clemson). BC should cover here.
|
11-23-19 |
Penn State v. Ohio State -18 |
|
17-28 |
Loss |
-113 |
11 h 57 m |
Show
|
Penn State/OSU Noon: Penn State does have a solid Top 20 defense and an offense that produces 428 YPG. And yes, QB Clifford has a few weapons in RB Journey Brown and WR Hamler; however, don't believe they're offensive line can hold up against the front 7 of OSU, especially now that DE Chase Young returns. OSU is the #1 defense in the nation in yards and points allowed! And offensively, Justin Fields and company may be held in check for a quarter or two but gradually will pull away and assert themselves late for the win and cover. Penn State HC Franklin a shaky 1-13 ATS on the road vs opponents greater than .666 win %; moreover, 1-7-1 ATS as a road dog of less than 25 points.
|
11-22-19 |
Colorado State +7 v. Wyoming |
Top |
7-17 |
Loss |
-130 |
21 h 52 m |
Show
|
Colorado State/Wyoming 9:30: Wyoming has struggled since they lost their duel threat QB in September. They're offensive line is also banged up after coming off 2 straight losses. Rams, meanwhile, have gone on a 3-1 SU/ATS run. They lost their QB Hill (ACL) but O'Brien has done a nice job as the backup. Rams are coming off a home loss to Air Force; however, AF triple option difficult to prep for in a week. Rams are 10-2 ATS off a double-digit loss at home. And they're 18-6 ATS in their last 24 road tilts. With the road team at 5-1 ATS in this series, we'll grab the TD with the road team.
|
11-20-19 |
Toledo v. Buffalo -8 |
|
30-49 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 53 m |
Show
|
Toledo/Buffalo 7:30: Hard to imagine Jason Candle's team getting 8 points against a MAC opponent. But it's true and justified. Based on inability to hang in conference games on the road with turnovers offensively and poor defense, Toledo has been embarrassed on the conference road vs lightweights Bowling Green and, to a lesser degree, Ball State. As for Buffalo, with the exception of an inexplicable breakdown late to Kent State, the Bulls have been a solid play at UB Stadium (13-4 ATS). Tonight, in the November chill of Buffalo, they'll pound the rock with Patterson and Marks. QB Vantrease (6 TDs/1 INT) has done a nice job managing the games in the absence of starter Myers. Ball control and good defense should be enough to deliver tonight for the Bulls who are vying for bowl eligibility with this win.
|
11-16-19 |
Oklahoma v. Baylor +10.5 |
Top |
34-31 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 42 m |
Show
|
Oklahoma/Baylor 7:30: Oklahoma has had its share of problems against winning Big 12 teams. Last week we cashed in on Iowa State as a road dog and they were a 2 point conversion away from steeling a SU win. Tonight, it won't get any easier for the Sooners. They're defense has worn down over the course of the season as the 48 and 41 points in back to back weeks indicate. They'll have their hands full with QB Brewer and company who have an experienced offensive line that's plowed backs to 188 YPG (5 YPC); morover, they spread the field as well as anyone in the league with a plethora of athletes. On the other hand, Baylor's defense held its own with some pretty good offenses. Sure, this is the best offense they'll face, but we'll give the edge to the home team in revenge mode. Sooners just 4-9-1 ATS in last 14 road games. Baylor hangs tight.
|
11-16-19 |
Minnesota +3 v. Iowa |
|
19-23 |
Loss |
-103 |
13 h 42 m |
Show
|
|
11-16-19 |
Georgia v. Auburn +3 |
|
21-14 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 25 m |
Show
|
Georgia/Auburn 3:30: Georgia just a victory away from clinching the SEC East but it's not going to be easy. Auburn has taken on a tough schedule and slugged it out with some of the best with just 2 losses - both on road including a 3 point loss and cover at #1 LSU. Sure, Georgia has that awesome defense that hasn't allowed a rush TD all season, and, on the offensive end arguably the best back in the nation in Swift. But keep in mind that Auburn is 18th in the nation in rush TDs and 19th in the nation in rush yards per game (220 YPG). Also keep in mind that the Tigers play the run well (Top 20 run stop unit) and structurally well positioned across the board overall defensively. And yes, they're off a bye week and usually take advantage of it (5-0 ATS). Oh, and they're seeking to avenge last year's 27-10 loss at Georgia. Did I mention that they're 7-0 ATS as dogs with revenge vs an opponent off back-to-back SU wins? Auburn the call.
|
11-16-19 |
Navy +7.5 v. Notre Dame |
|
20-52 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 2 m |
Show
|
Navy/Notre Dame 2:30: Navy has given ND lots of problems over the past few decades including at South Bend where the Midshipmen sport an 11-2 ATS mark. Navy is once again a threat after a down 2018. Sure, the line has tightened (+7') but deservedly so. The Navy defense is structurally improved and their offense is back to running like a well oiled machine. FB Carothers is pounding out nearly 10 YPC! And with an extra week to prep for ND, Navy should be ready. On the other hand, ND didn't have a bye week and the triple option is tough to prep for. And not the greatest time to take on Navy. ND HC Kelly a shaky 6-16-1 ATS in November. Navy the call.
|
11-16-19 |
Tulane v. Temple +6 |
|
21-29 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 59 m |
Show
|
Tulane/Temple Noon: Tulane is getting better every year under Fritz and having a great year; however, a bit overvalued to be giving a sound Temple team a near TD on its home field. Temple is coming off a masterful defensive performance against USF. The Owls are 41-17-1 ATS after allowing less than 100 yards rushing. Sure, Tulane has that explosive offense but keep in mind their QB McMillan accounts for alot of that offense including leading rusher. We'll look for Temple to scheme accordingly and play them tough. Owls 4-1 ATS in last 5 home games and we'll grab points here.
|
11-15-19 |
Fresno State +1 v. San Diego State |
|
7-17 |
Loss |
-105 |
19 h 54 m |
Show
|
|
11-14-19 |
North Carolina +4 v. Pittsburgh |
|
27-34 |
Loss |
-106 |
5 h 23 m |
Show
|
NC/Pittsburgh 8:00: Tar Heels 6-0 ATS off a bye and should keep this one tight. The last 3 games in this series tight (combined 7 points victory margin). Tar Heels find a way.
|
11-13-19 |
Bowling Green v. Miami-OH -17 |
|
3-44 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 16 m |
Show
|
Bowling Green/Miami OH 8:00: Miami OH the much better team here. Sure, BG has won four straight in Oxford but not this season. Redhawks have won and covered 4 of their last 5 MAC games and take on a significantly inferior BG team coming off a bye week. Sure, a bye week this late in the season is generally a good thing, for a winning team; however, BG sitting at 3-6 SU on the year with virtually no shot at a bowl game is a bad thing; after all, losing teams in November off a win followed with a bye week are a dismal 2-9 ATS. BG's offense is pedestrian. It centers around running QB Grant Loy who also leads the team in rushing. Loy has 5 TD/7 INT on the season. He faces a pretty good Miami OH defense. In comparison, Miami OH's defense allows nearly 100 yards per game LESS than BG's. Miami OH's QB Gabbert is nothing to rave about but he and his backfield mates should have career numbers against a Falcons' defense that allows 34 PPG! Technically, BG 1-7 ATS vs an opponent off back-to-back SU win (last one as a dog). Miami OH should cruise.
|
11-09-19 |
Iowa State +15 v. Oklahoma |
Top |
41-42 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 31 m |
Show
|
Iowa State/Oklahoma 8:00: Iowa State used to be the whipping boy for Oklahoma before Matt Campbell got there. To think the Sooners were 73-5-2 SU in the history of this series with routine blowouts for years. Enter Matt Campbell and the Cyclones' culture has changed. Campbell is 3-0 ATS the Sooners including the amazing 38-31 outright as a 31 POINT DOG in Norman in 2017! Campbell still is equipped with enough weaponry to be more than competitive tonight. QB Brock Purdy not as flashy as Hurts but every bit as tough a competitor. he's got a great TE to go to in Kolar, solid steady receivers and an emerging freshman RB in Breece Hall. Defensively, Cyclones every bit as solid as Oklahoma. And remember, Cyclones have out-gained every opponent this season except Baylor (-6). Iowa State 7-0 ATS as a dog off a SU/ATS loss and dangerous here.
|
11-09-19 |
LSU v. Alabama -5.5 |
|
46-41 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 23 m |
Show
|
LSU/Alabama 3:30: Books need Alabama after the 'Tide opened at -7 and was bid down to 5'. We'll grab the 'Tide here. Orgeron may finally have an offense at LSU but he's a ATS bust as a head coach going 11-23 SU vs winning SEC teams in his career. Sure QB Burrow is putting up record numbers and has the usual LSU stud receivers to go to; however, remember what Alabama did to them last year AT Tiger Stadium - a 29-0 whitewash. Alabama's reloaded and Tagovailoa (ankle) has good movement in practice. And as good as LSU's receivers are, Alabama's Waddle, Smith and a virtually uncoverable Jeudy are nearly impossible to keep from the end zone. Alabama is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 in this series and a solid 7-2 ATS off a bye. Tide rolls.
|
11-09-19 |
Stanford -3 v. Colorado |
|
13-16 |
Loss |
-115 |
12 h 12 m |
Show
|
Stanford/Colorado 3:00: Stanford does not have its best team this season but one thing about David Shaw's Cardinal is they get better as the season progresses. Shaw 25-7 SU in November; moreover, he and his boys usually dispatch the weak sisters of the PAC 12 this time of year. They're 18-7-2 ATS vs teams below .500 and 10-1 ATS vs less than .666 opponent off a SU/ATS loss. With QB Costello back in the fray and looking to guide his team to bowl eligibility with a few more wins, Cardinal is the way to go here. Colorado is a fade for they're 0-8-1 ATS in November and headed down another inglorious free-fall.
|
11-09-19 |
Penn State v. Minnesota +7 |
|
26-31 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 41 m |
Show
|
Penn State/Minnesota Noon: #17 ranked Minnesota can possibly vault to a single digit ranking with a signature win vs #5 Penn State. P.J. Fleck has done an amazing job developing this program as the Gophers attempt to stay undefeated. RB Rodney Smith sets the tone for the Minnesota offense behind a solid offensive line. It won't be easy vs the #2 rush defense in the nation; however, if there is a small weakness Minnesota can exploit, it is Penn State's secondary. Gopher's underrated QB Tanner Morgan has the ability to stretch the field and he's accurate. On the other hand, Penn State is every bit as dangerous as their #5 ranking suggests. Their TE Freiermuth is as good as they get. But Minnesota's defense is rock solid and plays the pass well (#9 in FBS). Antoine Winfield Jr. who has the genes of his old man who played forever in the NFL, is a ball hawking (5 INTs) stud to lead a dangerous secondary. Minnesota gets the edge at home here. Penn State is incredibly consistently inconsistent off ATS covers at 1-7 ATS. Minnesota the call.
|
11-09-19 |
Vanderbilt +27 v. Florida |
|
0-56 |
Loss |
-102 |
9 h 23 m |
Show
|
Vanderbilt/Fla Noon: Vanderbilt is a pathetic excuse for an SEC team; nevertheless, they should cover here. They're 4-1 ATS in Florida and catching the Gators at a bad time. Florida has been through SEC's murderer's row taking on the likes of Auburn, LSU, S. Carolina and last week dropping to Georgia. Sure, Florida will pound the crap out the poor run stop unit of Vandy and get in the win column but don't believe they'll cover the inflated number. Vandy's had some recent pathetic teams under Mason yet managed to keep the losing margins tight to the tune of 2, 7, 14 and 10 the last 4 years. Fla is just 2-7 ATS off SU losses and 4-10 ATS in November. Vanderbilt the call.
|
11-06-19 |
Miami-OH v. Ohio -7 |
|
24-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 41 m |
Show
|
Miami OH/Ohio U 8:00: Miami Ohio's defense keeps them in games but their offense (123rd in FBS) has been dreadful. QB Gabbert has completed just 53% of his passes with 5 TD/5 INT. Run game is respectable and that is what they'll lean on tonight against a Bobcat run-stop-unit that has trouble stopping the run; however, Ohio U defense will surely adjust accordingly to take away Miami's main threat -RB Shelton who cut loose for 148 yards on 14 carries at Kent State prior to their bye. A side note - Kent State defense is at the bottom tier in the FBS. Ohio U has a ground game with a deep backfield. We'll look for the Bobcats to be focused tonight; after all, they're in a revenge mode (30-28 LY) and flourish off a SU win vs an opponent off a SU/ATS win at 11-0 ATS. They're also 6-0 ATS at home off a SU dog win. With the favorite and home team at 3-1-1 ATS in this series, Ohio U the call.
|
11-02-19 |
Virginia v. North Carolina -1.5 |
|
38-31 |
Loss |
-109 |
7 h 8 m |
Show
|
Virginia/North Carolina 7:30: NC's HC Mack Brown doing a great job in putting the Tar Heels in position to win. They should do well here behind freshman QB Howell who has the surrounding talent to deliver at home. NC grinding out 434 yards of offense per game and making big plays defensively. That doesn't bode well for Virginia, which is struggling on the road (1-3) primarily due to turnovers (10). Cavaliers 1-4 ATS in November and will fade them here.
|
11-02-19 |
Georgia -6 v. Florida |
Top |
24-17 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 51 m |
Show
|
Georgia/Florida 3:30: Despite double-revenge motive for Florida, I'm staying with Georgia here. Gators, and surely reserve QB Trask, will face the best defense in the SEC today. Bulldogs have allowed 267 YPG or 4.3 Yards Per Play. Georgia takes away the run game and makes it extremely difficult to pass downfield. On the other hand, Georgia's run game has continued to roll. They're pounding out 238 Yards Per Game behind RB Swift. In this series, the team that has won the run game has won the game. Veteran QB Fromm should be the benefactor behind Swift to keep the vulture like Florida pass rush unit at bay. Favorite in this series 4-0 ATS and we'll roll with Georgia.
|
11-02-19 |
Akron v. Bowling Green -3.5 |
|
6-35 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 45 m |
Show
|
Akron/Bowling Green 2:00: The Zips flat out cannot run the football ranked dead last in the nation in rush yards per game (56); consequently, QB Nelson under constant duress. BG is not better but has a run game and that will help at home. Akron's defense is pretty bad (36 PPG allowed). The Zips have yet to cover a game this season and it will be another stiff challenge here; after all, they're 1-10 ATS in the last 11 meetings vs BG.
|
11-02-19 |
Nebraska -3.5 v. Purdue |
|
27-31 |
Loss |
-104 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
11-02-19 |
NC State v. Wake Forest -7.5 |
|
10-44 |
Win
|
103 |
9 h 58 m |
Show
|
|
10-26-19 |
South Florida v. East Carolina +2 |
|
45-20 |
Loss |
-105 |
14 h 47 m |
Show
|
S. Fla/East Carolina 3:45: Mike Houston gradually turning around East Carolina after a disastrous two years under Scottie Montgomery. Houston has the Pirates on a 3-0 ATS run and brimming with confidence with a strong second half comeback (cover) at UCF last week. We'll look for the Pirates to finally get a win in this series.
|
10-26-19 |
Auburn +11 v. LSU |
|
20-23 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 46 m |
Show
|
Auburn/LSU 3:30: Now that Malzahn took over play calling duties (started in bowl game last year), his offense is cooking; especially in the run game where they're 11th in the nation running the rock. And QB Nix is doing a solid job managing the game. We'll look for Auburn to eat clock and gain yards to keep the explosive LSU offense off the field. Auburn also sports a 23 ranked defense. Auburn a sweet 7-0 ATS as dog of 11 or less with revenge vs an opponent off back to back SU wins. Auburn it is.
|
10-26-19 |
Miami-FL v. Pittsburgh -4 |
|
16-12 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 19 m |
Show
|
Miami-Fla/Pittsburgh Noon: Miami Fla off embarrassing loss at home to rebuilding Georgia Tech. Today, it won't get easier as the Panthers seeking to avenge last season's 24-3 loss. Panthers' HC Narduzzi is finally shaping his defense to what he had at Michigan State as a DC years ago. Pittsburgh leads the FBS in sacks (36) and that doesn't bode well for the Hurricanes. Miami-Fla has uncertainty at QB with Perry and Jarren Williams both nursing shoulder injuries; moreover, the 'Canes have yielded 31 sacks which is the 4th most in the FBS. Pittsburgh the call.
|
10-26-19 |
Liberty -7.5 v. Rutgers |
|
34-44 |
Loss |
-103 |
11 h 2 m |
Show
|
Liberty/Rutgers Noon: At first glance, how can a team that is just in its second year of FBS play be laying 7' points on the road to a Big Ten team? Then you look at the numbers and see why. Rutgers has been mauled by all of its conference opponents, the starting QB and top WR both red-shirted and the HC was dismissed. Rutgers ranks dead last in scoring at 11.1 PPG. On the other hand, Liberty's HC Freeze, who did great things for Ole Miss from 2012 - 16. He's got a solid offensive unit. Defensively, the Flames are struggling but do get back their corners Faulk and Dabney to shore up the secondary this week. Liberty the call.
|
10-19-19 |
Duke +3.5 v. Virginia |
|
14-48 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 19 m |
Show
|
Duke/Virginia 3:30: Duke QB Harris delivering and thankful for run game from Jackson behind a sturdy offensive line. We'll look for the Blue Devils front to hold up against the sack happy Cavaliers. Sure, Virginia has covered 4 straight in this series but Cavaliers' poor offensive line play, has caused a sluggish run game in turn putting QB Perkins under constant duress; as a result: inability to punch it in the end zone could be costly here vs a stout Duke defense. And the loss of CB Bryce Hall (ankle) is a big blow to the Cavaliers. Duke the call.
|
10-19-19 |
Temple +9.5 v. SMU |
|
21-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 29 m |
Show
|
|
10-19-19 |
Tulsa v. Cincinnati -16.5 |
Top |
13-24 |
Loss |
-105 |
14 h 5 m |
Show
|
Tulsa/Cincinnati 3:30: Cincinnati not ready to hang with the likes of Ohio State yet but can surely handle the lightweights of the American Athletic. Tulsa is included in the lightweights after two sub-par season under HC Montgomery. The Golden Hurricane is coming off their 2nd straight loss - 45-17 whitewash vs Navy on their home field. Now, they travel to a pretty strong venue - Nippert Stadium where the Bearcats have covered 4 straight. Bearcats have a solid defense and an offense that can make plays behind QB Ridder who has a dangerous target in WR Medaris. Hurricane defense demoralized vs Navy - allowing 388 yards on the ground. Fickell is 5-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite and we'll roll with him and Cincinnati here.
|
10-19-19 |
NC State v. Boston College +3.5 |
|
24-45 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 24 m |
Show
|
NC State/BC Noon: This series has been tightly contested in recent years and the Wolfpack were surely not impressive in their last 2 road tilts - blowout losses at West Virginia and Florida State. BC has a solid offensive line (allowed only 3 sacks) to support QB Grosel - who did an admirable job after starter Brown went down at Louisville. BC is 5-1-1 ATS in this series and had an extra week to prepare to avenge last year's 23-28 loss at Raleigh. BC can run the rock with RB Dillon (745 yards) and that will surely help Grosel in play action. NC State still searching for an identity offensively. We'll grab the points with BC which is 18-6 ATS in October and 4-1 ATS following a bye.
|
10-19-19 |
Clemson -24 v. Louisville |
|
45-10 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
10-18-19 |
Marshall +6 v. Florida Atlantic |
|
36-31 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
10-12-19 |
Navy -1 v. Tulsa |
|
45-17 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 54 m |
Show
|
|
10-12-19 |
Kent State v. Akron +15 |
|
26-3 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 28 m |
Show
|
Kent State/Akron 3:30: Quite insulting to the Zips to be underdogs of two touchdowns to their fiercest rival. The Zips have never been a two touchdown underdog on their home field to the Flashes. With the exception of the Rob Ianello years (2010-11), the Zips have always been competitive in this series for the highly coveted Wagon Wheel Trophy. I do realize the Zips run game is crappy; however, Kent State's run stop unit is not exactly a stone wall (allowing 279 yards per game); as a matter of fact, the Badgers' RB Jonathon Taylor thrashed them for record setting numbers including 5 TDs! Sure, it was the Badgers and Akron is far from that caliber. Nonetheless, Zips off a bye week and it's iffy if QB Kato Nelson (shoulder) will return. He was in street clothes Tuesday at practice. I do like 3rd stringer Zach Gibson who went in for ineffective backup Robbie Kelley and went 12 of 16 for 173 yards. He does have some receiving weapons. We'll look for the Zips to hang tight here.
|
10-12-19 |
Oklahoma -10 v. Texas |
|
34-27 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 11 m |
Show
|
Oklahoma/Texas Noon: Hard to dismiss Texas HC Herman's record as a dog but not comfortable with Texas here. Sooners have the most explosive offense in the nation led by Heisman favorite - Hurts. Texas defense ranked 104th in the nation and their secondary is thin (injuries). Yes, Ehlinger is a dark-horse Heisman candidate himself; however, Oklahoma brings to the Cotton Bowl a Top 50 defense. And Lincoln Riley remains dangerous as a conference road favorite of less than 14 points against .500 or greater teams. Oklahoma delivers.
|
10-12-19 |
Memphis v. Temple +4.5 |
Top |
28-30 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 55 m |
Show
|
Memphis/Temple Noon: Rod Carey doing another bang up job to continue Temple's success. Carey, who had great success at Northern Illinois, came over to Philadelphia this season to start the Owls at 4-1. He has some talent to work with as Temple continues to improve its numbers. They're a Top 20 defense and #10 vs the pass which will be vital in stopping the Memphis ground game and QB Brady White. I believe his men are up for the challenge; so far, they've held their last 2 opponents to 5 of 28 on third down. And offensively, the Owls can pound the rock as RB Davis has accumulated 503 yards rushing behind a veteran offensive line. QB Russo has his limitations but makes plays. Memphis just 1-10 ATS on the road vs opponent off a double-digit SU win. Temple's covered four straight in this series and Rod Carey has always been a dangerous conference home dog of a coach.
|
10-05-19 |
Texas v. West Virginia +10.5 |
|
42-31 |
Loss |
-109 |
2 h 6 m |
Show
|
Texas/West Virginia 3:30: West Virginia heading in right direction with HC Neal Brown. Brown, while with Troy, went 6-0 ATS as a home dog of more than 9 points. He's got Oklahoma transfer Austin Kendall running the show and he's doing a solid job as his offensive line is improving - especially to help establish run game. Texas, meanwhile, having trouble defending the pass (124th in nation) and not good when laying double digits on road. Texas also has Oklahoma on deck and the Longhorns are 1-7 ATS in this situation.
|
10-05-19 |
Maryland -13.5 v. Rutgers |
|
48-7 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
10-05-19 |
Utah State +28 v. LSU |
|
6-42 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
10-05-19 |
Iowa +4 v. Michigan |
|
3-10 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
10-04-19 |
Central Florida -3 v. Cincinnati |
|
24-27 |
Loss |
-120 |
19 h 45 m |
Show
|
|
09-28-19 |
NC State +7 v. Florida State |
|
13-31 |
Loss |
-120 |
6 h 30 m |
Show
|
|
09-28-19 |
SMU -7.5 v. South Florida |
|
48-21 |
Win
|
102 |
2 h 14 m |
Show
|
SMU/USF 4:00: SMU run game cooking and Texas transfer QB Buechelle running an efficient offense with multiple support from coaching staff and players. USC defense pretty good but offensively, they're stuck in neutral. Poor QB play with McCloud and even worse Barnett. And USF sloppy play exacerbated with penalties. SMU the call.
|
09-28-19 |
Clemson v. North Carolina +27.5 |
|
21-20 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
09-28-19 |
Virginia +11 v. Notre Dame |
|
20-35 |
Loss |
-116 |
2 h 42 m |
Show
|
|
09-28-19 |
Northwestern +25 v. Wisconsin |
|
15-24 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 39 m |
Show
|
|
09-28-19 |
Arkansas v. Texas A&M -23 |
|
27-31 |
Loss |
-109 |
10 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
09-27-19 |
Arizona State v. California -4 |
|
24-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 41 m |
Show
|
Arizona State/California 10:30: California's defense picking up where it left off last year. Although there are some troublesome spots, Golden Bears have now held their last 11 opponents to less than 24 points. And they put away SEC Ole Miss last week on the road with superior play from their QB Chase Garbers who perhaps played his best game in two seasons at the helm of California's improving offense. Arizona State very competitive in games but overvalued at 1-3 ATS. They got upset at home vs Colorado last week. The Sun Devils are just 1-8 ATS off a SU conference favorite loss. Bears 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of less than 12 points off a non-conference game. Cal the call.
|
09-27-19 |
Duke +3 v. Virginia Tech |
|
45-10 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 43 m |
Show
|
Duke/Virginia Tech 7:00: Virginia Tech has shown regression in areas this season. Despite all the returning starters on a Bud Foster defense, they've made mediocre offenses appear to be juggernauts. They were outstated by BC, Old Dominion and Furman in their 0-3 ATS ledger this season. Duke is hungry for revenge from last year's 31-14 embarrassment at home. Blue Devils are 9-1 ATS on the road with revenge off a non-conference game and 5-0 ATS as a dog with rest. Duke the call.
|
09-21-19 |
Notre Dame +15.5 v. Georgia |
|
17-23 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
09-21-19 |
Nebraska -13 v. Illinois |
|
42-38 |
Loss |
-104 |
6 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
09-21-19 |
West Virginia v. Kansas +5 |
|
29-24 |
Push |
0 |
3 h 1 m |
Show
|
|
09-21-19 |
Appalachian State v. North Carolina -2.5 |
|
34-31 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 16 m |
Show
|
|
09-21-19 |
LSU -23.5 v. Vanderbilt |
|
66-38 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 40 m |
Show
|
LSU/Vanderbilt Noon: Given the same game with the old LSU offense under Orgeron, this would be a tough call laying that amount of wood; however, with the wide open attack of LSU Pass Game Coordinator - Brady, we'll lay it! Joe Burrow is a perfect fit for the Tigers' offense which has arguably the best receivers in the NCAA at his disposal. And throw in the run game, Vandy, which , which allows a generous 512 YPG or 7.8 yards per play, long day for the Commodores; after all, LSU still has that historical solid defense and Vandy offense not a threat. LSU 7-1 ATS as a road favorite of 12 or more vs an opponent off a SU loss. Tigers the call.
|
09-20-19 |
Air Force +7.5 v. Boise State |
|
19-30 |
Loss |
-125 |
21 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
09-19-19 |
Houston +5 v. Tulane |
|
31-38 |
Loss |
-105 |
67 h 23 m |
Show
|
Houston/Tulane 8:00: Tulane is no joke as HC Fritz has them improving every year; however, Houston still ahead of the recruiting game and should deliver here. The Cougars stomped Tulane last year 48-17 under former HC Applewhite. Now West Virginia's former head man - Dana Holgorsen calling the shots and he's picked up the Cougars recent tradition of covering as a dog (2-0) with covers against two ranked teams - Oklahoma and Washington State. Houston is a dangerous 14-1-1 ATS as a dog over the last 7 years. Defensively, the Cougars need work but have the explosive offensive firepower to match points with Tulane. Houston the call.
|
09-14-19 |
San Diego State -16.5 v. New Mexico State |
|
31-10 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
09-14-19 |
Oklahoma -22 v. UCLA |
|
48-14 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
09-14-19 |
Florida State v. Virginia -7 |
|
24-31 |
Push |
0 |
6 h 52 m |
Show
|
Florida State/Virginia 7:30: Florida State's defensive woes should catch up with them here. Seminoles are allowing a generous 520 YPG in non conference play against non-power 5 schools. HC Taggart in a panic mode brought in Jim Leavitt as another quality control assistant (former Fla State DC Mickey Andrews already on staff) to fight damage control for beleaguered DC Barnett. Too many voices from too many egos make a mess. We'll look for well disciplined Virginia, which boasts a defense that allows just 228 YPG and offensively running smooth with QB Bryce Perkins at the helm. Mendenhall's boys should continue to roll.
|
09-14-19 |
USC -4 v. BYU |
|
27-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 24 m |
Show
|
USC/BYU 3:30: BYU feeling good off upset win at Tennessee; however, that win watered down by Tennessee's opening game loss to lightweight Georgia State. USC coming off blowout over Stanford and in the process found future star in freshman QB Slovis. He has explosive weaponry to go to under first year OC Herrell who will find holes in the BYU secondary to exploit. Too much speed for the Cougars to contain unless they didn't cut their grass or watered down the grass field excessively. USC the call.
|
09-14-19 |
Eastern Michigan +7.5 v. Illinois |
|
34-31 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
09-13-19 |
North Carolina +3 v. Wake Forest |
|
18-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
09-07-19 |
LSU v. Texas +7 |
Top |
45-38 |
Push |
0 |
1 h 18 m |
Show
|
|
09-07-19 |
Nebraska -4 v. Colorado |
|
31-34 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 46 m |
Show
|
|
09-07-19 |
Texas A&M +17 v. Clemson |
|
10-24 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
09-07-19 |
Syracuse +1.5 v. Maryland |
|
20-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
|
Syracuse/Maryland 12:00: Syracuse arrived as a legitimate contender last year and reloaded while maintaining the nucleus of last year's 10 win campaign. Maryland, however, had 52% of starts by seniors last year and in rebuilding phase under Locksley. So I'm not putting much weight in Week 1 blowout over lightweight Howard. And considering they're 0-9 ATS after scoring 35+, money on Syracuse.
|
09-02-19 |
Notre Dame -18 v. Louisville |
|
35-17 |
Push |
0 |
18 h 22 m |
Show
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Notre Dame/Louisville 8:00: Louisville should get it rolling under new HC Satterfield but it will take time. Former Cardinals' HC Petrino did not leave the cupboard bare as lots of starters return as well as reserves with playing time; last season, however, those returnees were part of 122nd offense in points scored and 128th in points allowed. QB Juwan Pass had his confidence destroyed as he was yanked repeatedly. It won't be an overnight turnaround for him vs a well disciplined Notre Dame defense tonight. Moreover, ND's offense returns QB Ian Book (68% completions last year), two of his top three receivers and an experienced offensive line. ND's HC Kelly has a tendency to start seasons strong (6-2 ATS September) and we'll lay the wood.
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08-31-19 |
Virginia -2.5 v. Pittsburgh |
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30-14 |
Win
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100 |
6 h 56 m |
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Virginia/Pittsburgh 7:30: Pittsburgh is 4-0 SU in this series and the tide should turn tonight. Virginia is coming off a successful season under Mendenhall in which the Cavaliers were a covering machine. That success should continue on into this season with Virginia bringing back lots of bodies plus Mendenhall's best recruiting class yet. And defensively like the secondary with NFL prospect CB Bryce Hall leading the way. Pittsburgh does have a new OC in Whipple to put some pep into the archaic system last year; however, a rebuilt o-line will take time to gel. Virginia the call.
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08-31-19 |
Virginia Tech -4 v. Boston College |
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28-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 36 m |
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Virginia Tech/Boston College 4:00: BC has heavy graduation losses and in the start of a rebuild instead of a reload. V Tech, however, had 60% underclassmen starts made by 23 players which was in the top percentile of BCS Football last year. And V Tech has a bitter taste in their mouth from last year's late collapse, which is rare for Fuente. VT the call.
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