Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-01-22 | Boston College +9.5 v. Virginia | Top | 55-67 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Tuesday 10* Top Play Boston College Eagles +9.5 @ Virginia Cavaliers @ 6 ET - The Cavs are a solid team known for stellar defense. However, their long-term struggle season after season tends to be with scoring and that is the situation now moreso than ever this season. That is a big part of the reason the Cavaliers are a rather mediocre 12-9 this season. Now, because they are at home and hosting an Eagles team that has had its share of struggles this season we are seeing this line way too high. Virginia has gone just 7-7 last 14 games and only 3 of the wins were by more than 5 points. You read that right...the Cavs have just 3 wins of more than 5 points in their last 14 games! That said, I love the Eagles plus the big points here and will challenge the Cavaliers to win this game by double digits. Boston College has some extra confidence heading into this win off a big win over Pittsburgh. Keep in mind, that is the same Panthers team that the Cavs beat by an average margin of only 3 points in their two meetings this season. The Eagles have played 20 games this season and only 5 of them resulted in a loss by a double digit margin. I see the Cavaliers winning this game but I look for it to be a tight low-scoring battle as the road team covers! 10* BOSTON COLLEGE +9.5 |
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01-31-22 | Grizzlies v. 76ers -2.5 | Top | 119-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -2.5 vs Memphis Grizzlies @ 7:10 ET - The 76ers did not just lose at Memphis last month, they got embarrassed by 35 points. Philly played that at game without Embiid and Curry but both those guys will be playing in the rematch in Philadelphia. On that ugly night in Memphis last month, the undermanned Sixers simply shot very poorly while the Grizzlies were on fire. That will not be the case in the rematch. I like the fact that Philly is off an ATS loss versus Sacramento, we had the Kings as a big dog that night and was a solid winner. Note that the Sixers have not had back to back ATS losses since that tough mid-December stretch that included the ugly loss at Memphis. So it has been about 7 weeks since the Sixers have had B2B ATS losses. Coming off the non-covering win versus the Kings, look for Philly to not only win this game but also cover as it is a much shorter number to cover. Yes Memphis is a very strong team but Philly is tough at home and especially when they are motivated. The 76ers will be ready to go here and their 2-point win versus Sacramento ended a streak that saw each of the Sixers last 17 wins come by a margin of 3 or more points. Look for this win to get the job done and get the hosts right back into the ATS win column. Lay the short number! 10* PHILADELPHIA -2.5 |
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01-31-22 | Colgate -8.5 v. Lafayette | Top | 72-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
NCAAB Patriot League Game of the Year 10* Top Play Monday Colgate Raiders -8.5 @ Lafayette Leopards @ 6 ET - I know this is a bit of an off the radar match-up but it caught my attention for two reasons. Colgate, whom I lost with Friday, was a team I was looking to come back with in their next game. Lafayette is a team from Easton PA whom I am familiar with from my family roots in Rickenbach PA which is just north of Reading PA and not far from Easton. The Leopards had rare success in recent seasons but this season they are back to being the bad Lafayette team they usually are. Lafayette lost league scoring champion Justin Jaworski coming into this season and that has hurt this team a lot. They are 5-13 on the season and the Leopards have lost 5 of 7 games and just can not score at nearly the same level that the Raiders can. Colgate had won 4 straight before their tough loss at Boston University and they will bounce back here. The last time the Raiders faced the Leopards they dominated and won the game by 25 points. I know this is a big line on the road but it is fully justified in a game in which the majority of my models are projecting a double digit road win. Lafayette's last loss was by only 4 points but, prior to this, their last 3 losses all were by 14 or more points. Look for this one to be in that range as well. 10* COLGATE -8.5 |
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01-30-22 | Pittsburgh v. Boston College -3.5 | Top | 56-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play Boston College Eagles -3.5 vs Pittsburgh Panthers @ 4 ET - The Eagles off back to back ugly losses but both were on the road and they had their chances against the Tar Heels at North Carolina but shot extremely poor in that game. Boston College is now back home and I expect the shots to be falling for them here as they enjoy their return home. The Eagles are catching the Panthers at an ideal time for a big win. Pittsburgh is off a big win versus Syracuse and note that the Panthers have only managed B2B wins twice this season and each time the 2nd game was against a foe much weaker than this BC team. Look for the Eagles to come up with a blowout win here. 10* BOSTON COLLEGE -3.5 |
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01-29-22 | Kings +10.5 v. 76ers | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Month NBA 10* Top Play Sacramento Kings +10.5 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:40 ET - The Kings are off B2B ugly losses but have been off for two days since that B2B situation. Also, there is a chance that BOTH Fox and Metu will be back for this game. Even if only one returns or neither returns, Sacramento has a great shot at a solid cover in this one in my opinion. Prior to the B2B ugly losses, the Kings last 7 losses featured only one by more than ten points! Here we are working with a line of 10.5 and a rested and angry Sacramento team is going to put up a helluva fight in this one. Philly is 4-2 SU last 6 games but only 2 of the wins by more than 10 points and the Sixers just beat a Lakers team without LeBron James. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between the Kings and 76ers. Philadelphia is 0-3 ATS the last 3 times they were at home and coming off an ATS cover in their prior game. That is the situation here and a hungry and motivated and rested Kings team that should be healthier here too is going to be a handful for Philly to deal with. This one decided by single digits. 10* SACRAMENTO +10.5 |
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01-29-22 | St. John's +13.5 v. Villanova | Top | 62-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Saturday 9* Top Play St John's Red Storm +13.5 @ Villanova Wildcats @ 4:30 ET - The Red Storm can hang tough in this game. Looking at their road games this season, St John's did get blown out once but they also lost by 2 at Indiana, lost by 2 at Pittsburgh, lost by 10 at a ranked Providence team, lost in OT at UConn, and are off a big road win at Seton Hall. As you can see the Red Storm have been solid away from home and are coming off a confidence-boosting win over the Pirates. That said, I feel this is too many points for Villanova to be laying here. The Wildcats are a strong ranked team but off a dominating win over DePaul that is resulting in an inflated line here. Nova has big games against two ranked teams, Marquette and UConn, coming up and the Cats may not be fully prepared her for a scrappy Red Storm team that is absolutely going to give them all they can handle in this one. Look for this game to be decided by a single digit margin. 9* ST JOHN'S +13.5 |
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01-28-22 | Pennsylvania +4 v. Harvard | Top | 78-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
CBB Ivy League Game of the Month Friday 10* Top Play Pennsylvania Quakers +4 @ Harvard Crimson @ 5 ET - Dingle is off a huge game for the Quakers even though he shot very poorly from 3-point land. Getting him rolling again - 31 points in that game - is a huge plus for Penn and watch him now knock down his threes at a much higher rate in this one. The Quakers are playing better currently than what their full-season record indicates and that is why they are such a small dog here even though Harvard has the much better full-season record. Note that the Crimson have been without forward Chris Ledlum - top rebounder and 2nd leading scorer - each of last 3 games. Also, Harvard has been without another key rotation player, guard Idan Tretout, each of the last 3 games. The Quakers get it done on the road here and we probably will not even need the points but I will grab them for added insurance in this one. 10* PENNSYLVANIA +4 |
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01-28-22 | Colgate -1 v. Boston University | Top | 72-76 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Friday 9* Top Play Colgate Raiders -1 @ Boston University Terriers @ 2 ET - Both teams entering this game on hot streaks but Boston University enters the game with the much better record on the season plus this game is on their home floor. Do not let the line fool you here. The game is priced this way for a reason and Colgate dominated the Terriers in their meetings last season plus enters this game on a 4-game winning streak with all 4 wins by MORE than a DOZEN points each! The Raiders get the best of this one even though the game is at Case Gym in Boston. 9* COLGATE -1 |
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01-27-22 | Lakers +2.5 v. 76ers | Top | 87-105 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Thursday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Lakers +3 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:30 ET - Right away this morning this line jumped out at me. This line opened nearly at a pick'em even though Philly is at home and has won 12 of 15 games and they are hosting a Lakers team that had lost 11 of last 18 games before the win at Brooklyn. Also, LA is only 9-12 in road games this season. Sure, Anthony Davis is back now for the Lakers but essentially a "pick" on the road against a 76ers team that has been hot and has the better record this season. Looks funny, right? Sure enough the betting masses have hammered the Sixers here and the line has gone as high as a +3. As long time followers know, I love being a contrarian and I am all over the small road dog here. This game was priced this way for a reason and I feel the Lakers have a chip on their shoulder and are out to prove some things now that they are getting healthy. Keep in mind, Sixers still dealing with some injury issues too. 10* LOS ANGELES LAKERS +3 |
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01-27-22 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska +7.5 | Top | 73-65 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Early Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play Nebraska Cornhuskers +7.5 vs Wisconsin Badgers @ 5 ET - Yes, the Badgers are off a loss here but the last time they were off a defeat they barely squeaked by Nicholls, a Southland Conference team! Also, Wisconsin has a big game on deck this weekend hosting rival Minnesota. Yes, the Badgers have a strong record this season but lets talk about what they have done since opening the season with a pair of blowout wins. Wisconsin has since gone 13-3 but the average margin of the 13 wins is only 6 points! Simply put, the Badgers are not known for blowing teams out. Only 2 of their last 12 victories have been by a double digit margin! The Cornhuskers have an ugly 6-13 SU record on the season but this is a scrappy underdog when on their home floor. Nebraska lost versus Ohio State in OT, was down by just 5 to Illinois with under 2 minutes to go in game, and lost by just 7 to Indiana. All those games were at home and all of those games so the Huskers fall just short. I would not be surprised, given the situation here, to see the Cornhuskers get the shocker upset but, at the very least, a home dog cover is likely here. 10* NEBRASKA |
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01-26-22 | Clippers v. Magic | Top | 111-102 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Wednesday 9* Top Play Orlando Magic Pick vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 7:10 ET - The Clippers are off a hard-fought win last night at Washington where they rallied for the win after being down by 30 points at the half! Look for this to have taken a lot out of LA and now they face a rested Orlando team. While the Clips are 2nd night of a back to back and playing 5th road game in 8 days, the Magic playing just 2nd game in 5 days and have been off the past two days. Also, Mo Bamba has been back in starting lineup and is expected to be there again for Orlando tonight. The Magic going to be too much for a tired Los Angeles team in this one. 9* ORLANDO Pick |
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01-25-22 | Pelicans v. 76ers -8 | Top | 107-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Philly Special Tuesday 9* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -8 vs New Orleans Pelicans @ 7:05 ET - The Sixers are off a 6-point win at San Antonio but each of their last 7 wins heading into that game had been by a double digit margin. In fact, those 7 Philly wins came by an average margin of 15 ppg. Now catching New Orleans off a hard-fought win last night and in the 2nd night of a back to back and with Brandon Ingram hurting (if he even does play) this looks like another rout. 9* PHILADELPHIA -8 |
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01-25-22 | Cincinnati v. Temple +4.5 | Top | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
CBB PA Dominator Tuesday 9* Top Play Temple Owls +4.5 vs Cincinnati Bearcats @ 7 ET - I know the Owls have been off for nearly two weeks and they may be a bit sluggish/off in the first half of this game. But eventually Temple will put it together in this match-up and I love the Owls now getting 4.5 points after this line opened up closer to just a bucket on this one. The last 3 meetings between these teams have all been decided by 3 or less points. Temple is a tough team at home and Cincinnati has been a mediocre team on the road this season. Also, the Bearcats have some injury issues at forward with Newman and Lahkin. Even if those two guys play they are unlikely to be 100% and I look for the Owls to take advantage. Two of last three Cats road games were losses and the only win was by just 4 points. Temple is 4-1 SU and ATS last 5 games and I look for the Owls to get the home dog cover in this one. 9* TEMPLE +4.5 |
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01-24-22 | Boston College +11 v. Wake Forest | Top | 57-87 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
CBB Early Slaughter Monday 10* Top Play Boston College Eagles +11 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ 6 ET - Wake Forest just demolished North Carolina 98-76 Saturday. Must of been pure and complete dominance, right? Hardly, you would be hard pressed to find another box score like this one! The Tar Heels had 81 shots from the field and the Demon Deacons had just 59 field goal attempts yet won by 20+ points! Highly unlikely and it was just one of those nights where UNC "couldn't throw it in the ocean" as they were just off with their shooting all night! Though WF has been hot this is the perfect letdown spot. I am not saying Boston College will get the upset but I am saying they should stay within single digits for sure and we are getting extra line value here after the Wake Forest result on Saturday. Note that the Eagles have won 2 of last 3 games and though this was preceded by a stretch of losses, note that Boston College has had only 2 losses by more than 11 points this entire season. Very comfortable with the big points here given the situation and the Eagles playing with a little more confidence after winning 2 of 3 games. 10* BOSTON COLLEGE +11 |
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01-23-22 | Rams +3 v. Bucs | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 3 h 56 m | Show |
NFL Daytime Dominator Sunday 9* Top Play Los Angeles Rams +3 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ 3 ET - Do you think the Rams are only 4 points better than the Eagles team that the Bucs just flat out embarrassed last week? Me neither! But that is what this line is telling you as the Rams are +3 this week after the closing line on last week's game was Eagles +7. That is only a 4 point variance and I am not buying it. The odds makers do not intentionally set "trap lines" but this is one that will likely "trap" public bettors as Tom Brady and the defending Super Bowl Champions are only a 3 point favorite on their home turf. The Rams look like a team on a mission after their dismantling of the Cardinals last week and I love their defense. Also, this is not a pedestrian offense for LA like the poor Philly offense with a rookie QB that TB faced last week. Upset alert! 9* LOS ANGELES RAMS +3 |
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01-23-22 | Tottenham Hotspur +0.5 v. Chelsea | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 37 m | Show |
EPL Goal Line Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Tottenham +0.5 +110 @ Chelsea @ 11:30 AM ET - These clubs have met twice very recently and Tottenham deserved a much better fate in the second fixture compared to the first. That said, and with Chelsea missing some key players including their #1 goalkeeper for this one, I feel we have excellent value with Tottenham plus a half goal and plus money too. The visitors have only lost 5 matches all season and, keep in mind, a win or a draw here gets us the money. Yes, Chelsea is one of the best clubs in the league but they have not been as dominant of a late and are a bit short-handed here and they have won only 12 of 23 matches in league action. In other words, about a 50-50 chance they don't win this match but those chances go even lower when you consider they are facing a Tottenham squad that is only 8 points behind them in the table but has played 4 less fixtures! The point is the, the losses and draws for Chelsea are going to come in matches like this again quality competition and I look for a very strong effort from the visitors here to get us the win at the betting counter! 10* TOTTENHAM +0.5 +110 |
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01-22-22 | 49ers +6 v. Packers | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 46 m | Show |
NFC Game of the Year NFL 10* Top Play San Francisco 49ers +5.5 @ Green Bay Packers @ 8:15 ET - The 49ers beat a good Cowboys team last week. That was not just about Dallas being bad it was that the Niners are built well for playoff football and they proved that last week. Defensively this team is solid and, oh by the way, San Francisco plays in a division with Arizona and the Rams. LA may have made the Cards look bad last week but the fact is both the Cardinals and Rams are very good teams and finished the regular season with a combined record of 23-11. As for the Packers, they play in a division with the likes of the Vikings, Bears, and Lions. Not only did none of those teams have a winning record, the 3 combined for a 17-33-1 record. Now don't get me wrong, Green Bay is an excellent team. I am just pointing out that they might be a bit over-valued. Also, Green Bay won at San Francisco earlier this season but the Niners lost the turnover battle 2-0. The 49ers actually had 26 first downs compared to only 21 for the Packers. Also, the line in that game was SF -3 and that means the markets considered the teams equal then. Now this game is at Green Bay and the line was as high as a -6 on the Packers. Suddenly GB is now deserving of an extra 3 points compared to the original match-up? The point is that if this line was priced the same was as the original match-up it would be GB -3. This is value. Packers played 17 games this season and only 8 were wins by more than 3 points which means 9 were not! You get my point. The Niners have now played 18 games and only 5 were losses by more than 3 points which means, of course, the other 13 games were not! I just look for a very tightly contested game quite possibly decided by 3 points and whether SF wins or GB wins I don't care as long as the margin is slim like that. The fact is though I sense an upset here. The Niners allowed 17 points per game last 6 games. GB, not including meaningless season finale in which they did not care, did enter that contest having allowed 26 points per game last 6 games. The better D and a very confident group will be able to get the upset here but I am grabbing the points for added insurance. 10* SAN FRANCISCO +5.5 |
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01-22-22 | Bengals v. Titans -3.5 | Top | 19-16 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
NFL Daytime Dominator 9* Top Play Tennessee Titans -3.5 vs Cincinnati Bengals @ 4:30 ET - Huge rest edge here for Tennessee off the bye week while Cincinnati was in action for wild card weekend. Give the Bengals credit as they got it done last week and are elated to have finally won a playoff game after a 3-decade stretch without notching a post-season win. That said, Cincinnati has already achieved something and there was a lot of celebrating last week. However, now they are facing a much different animal. The Titans are not the Raiders...not even close. Playing a playoff game on the road instead of at home...not even close. The point is that Joe Burrow and the Bengals are in for a rude awakening going on the road and facing one of the top teams in the league and one with a good amount of playoff experience on its roster. Look for this to turn into a blowout as Cincinnati perfectly fits the mode of a "one and done" in terms of how they are built for a post-season run. They just don't have the ground game on offense that the hosts have and now those hosts getting back Derrick Henry at RB this week too. 9* TENNESSEE |
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01-21-22 | Toledo +4.5 v. Ohio | Top | 87-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Toledo Rockets +4.5 @ Ohio University Bobcats @ 6 ET - This is a great match-up featuring two teams off to great starts this season. I feel the value lies with the revenge-seeking underdog on the road. Though Toledo had won the past two regular season meetings, they fell short in March in the MAC Tourney Semi-Finals. As a result, the Rockets ended up going to the NIT while the Bobcats got the one more win they needed in the MAC Championship and ended up going to the Big Dance. Ohio University certainly still has a fantastic program as evidenced by their strong start this season but Toledo is highly motivated here and has a fantastic team. The Rockets have only 4 losses this season and the two most recent ones were by a margin of only 3 points. Toledo is on a 5-game winning streak and keeps it going here! If you look at the stats so far this season, the Rockets are the better shooting team and also have the better statistics on the defensive side of the ball too. I am grabbing the points here in a game where an upset would certainly not be a surprise! Take the points for added insurance. 10* TOLEDO +4.5 |
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01-20-22 | Suns -2.5 v. Mavs | Top | 109-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns -2.5 @ Dallas Mavericks @ 7:30 ET - Huge scheduling edge for the Suns here. The Mavericks are in the 2nd game of a back to back while Phoenix has been off since Monday. Phoenix has beaten Dallas in 8 of last 9 meetings SU and we have a small number to cover here with this one in the -2.5 range. I know the Mavericks are hot but so too are the Suns and they are the better overall team. Phoenix has the better shooting stats on offense and defense and given the scheduling edge and match-up edges here, look for the Suns to continue their series dominance in meetings between these teams. By the way, Phoenix is also 8-1 last 9 road games and the Suns have won 6 straight away from home! 10* PHOENIX -2.5 |
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01-19-22 | Nets +1.5 v. Wizards | Top | 119-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Brooklyn Nets +1.5 @ Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - Teams tend to step up big in the first game after a superstar goes down. With Durant getting hurt in Brooklyn's last game, the Nets will have guys upping their game for this one and lets not forget they have two guys on the floor (Harden and Irving) that are superstars that can carry this team too. I like the fact that Brooklyn is 4-0 SU last 4 times when off a loss. I like the fact that Wizards are off a big win over Philly and could be flat here. Yes, Washington has been stacking some wins recently but these were against a lot of weaker competition - until the upset of the Sixers. The upset of Philly had a lot do with the 76ers being in a bad situation and we actually used Washington right here in that game and got the win. Now we come right back and fade a Wizards team that was on an 0-6 ATS run before that win and cover versus Philadelphia. The Nets are hungry and they get the win here! 10* BROOKLYN +1.5 |
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01-18-22 | Wolves v. Knicks +3.5 | Top | 112-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
NBA Early Contrarian Tuesday 10* Top Play New York Knicks +3.5 vs Minnesota Timberwolves @ 7:40 ET - The Wolves are attracting attention here as a small road favorite but, in typical contrarian fashion, I am on the other side. I like the Knicks as a home dog off an embarrassingly low-scoring home loss to Charlotte. Keep in mind, New York had won 5 of 6 (both SU and ATS) before that loss. Also, the Knicks now catch the Timberwolves off a huge win over Golden State. Could Minnesota be a little flat after the Warriors? I absolutely believe so. Also, the Knicks have won 2 of the last 3 meetings and the only loss was by a single point! Value with the home dog getting solid points here! 10* NEW YORK KNICKS +3.5 |
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01-18-22 | Baylor -6 v. West Virginia | Top | 77-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
CBB ESPN2 Dominator Monday 10* Top Play Baylor Bears -5.5 @ West Virginia Mountaineers @ 5 ET - Buy low, sell high. It works in the stock market and it works long-term in the sports betting market as well. Does not mean you win every single time but when opportunities like this come around I don't hesitate to get involved. The Bears have lost back to back games so there is an anti-Baylor sentiment right now. This line has dropped already from 6.5 to 5.5 but I look at this situation differently than the markets and hence the value here. The Bears are a very good basketball team off back to back losses and now they are on the road so we get some line value with a manageable spread since they are travelers for this one! Keep in mind, the host Mountaineers are on a 1-3 ATS run which included 2 SU losses. Those 2 SU losses for West Virginia were each by 15 or more points! Look for another double digit margin here as the Bears pull away as this one goes one. 10* BAYLOR -5.5 |
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01-17-22 | Cardinals +4 v. Rams | Top | 11-34 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Month Monday 10* Top Play Arizona Cardinals +4 @ Los Angeles Rams @ 8:15 ET - The road team won both meetings in the regular season. Rams on a 2-4 ATS run in home games. Cardinals were 8-1 SU and ATS in road games. Los Angeles known for playoff disappointment. I also like Murray over Stafford at the QB spot as the latter has been a little turnover-prone of late and the former is such a dangerous playmaker. The Cards are offering line value here because there is a lot of anti-Arizona sentiment based on their late season fade but a lot of that had to do with some injury issues that have since improved. Other than the split against Arizona, Los Angeles went just 1-4 SU in games against teams that ended up in the playoffs this season. Also, the Rams had a pair of wins against two other teams (Colts and Ravens) that came by margins of just 3 and 1, respectively. The point is that there is a lot of value with grabbing the points here in my opinion and an outright upset would certainly not surprise me in the least. 10* ARIZONA +4 |
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01-16-22 | 49ers +3 v. Cowboys | Top | 23-17 | Win | 102 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
NFL Contrarian Crusher Sunday 10* Top Play San Francisco 49ers +3 @ Dallas Cowboys @ 4:30 ET - You all likely know the traditional factor of a home team generally having a factor of 3 points in the line in the NFL. That said, this line is saying that these teams are equal even though Dallas finished 12-5 and won their division while the 49ers barely made the playoffs! San Francisco's 10-7 record placed them 3rd in their 4 team division. With all this said, you know where that places me on this game. When something does not look right most will just line up on that side where they feel there is a mistake and now they miraculously have some gift from the odds makers. It just does not work that way folks. Many may be enticed to play Dallas at home -3 here but in typical contrarian fashion I am on the other side of the public in this one. The Cowboys went only 5-3 at home this season and the Niners went 6-3 on the road. Also, SF won 7 of last 9 games and Dallas - other than 2 wins against Eagles in divisional battles - went 1-4 in games against playoff teams. This is another game where all the pressure is on the home favorite. In fact, the expectation is that if Cowboys don't make a run in this post-season there will be some coaching staff shake-ups. This is a lot of pressure on a team and Dallas has never been known for handling pressure well. Upset alert! 10* SAN FRANCISCO +3 |
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01-15-22 | Patriots v. Bills -4.5 | Top | 17-47 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
AFC East Game of the Year Saturday 10* Top Play Buffalo Bills -4.5 vs New England Patriots @ 8:15 ET - The Patriots could be hosting this game but they instead went 1-3 their last 4 games. The Bills could be on the road for this game but instead they got the job done and went 4-0 last 4 games. Also, the experience of last year's post-season run for Buffalo and QB Josh Allen is huge. Allen had a 5-1 TD-INT ratio in last year's playoff run and that included a 3-0 ratio at home. Now he and the Bills take on a rookie QB Mac Jones making his first ever playoff start and it is on the road and it is in frigid conditions for a QB who played his college ball at Alabama. As for Allen, he played his college ball in Wyoming and certainly is no stranger to cold weather games. It will be frigid at Orchard Park Saturday and Allen and the Bills stay hot and make it 5 straight SU wins and, along the way, they get the cover too! 10* BUFFALO -4.5 |
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01-14-22 | Celtics v. 76ers -3 | Top | 99-111 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -3 vs Boston Celtics @ 7 ET - Yes the Sixers off a loss but they clearly got caught looking ahead to this showdown with the rival Celtics. Philadelphia had won 7 straight games before that loss. Also, the 76ers have won 4 of last 5 versus Boston. The Celtics are off a win and cover but this was preceded by ATS losses in 6 of last 8 games. The better team at home and laying a manageable price and they had been the hotter team. I'll take it as the Sixers bounce back off a loss. 10* PHILADELPHIA -3 |
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01-14-22 | Crystal Palace v. Brighton & Hove Albion -0.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
EPL Game of the Week Friday 10* Top Play Brighton & Hove Albion +110 vs Crystal Palace @ 3 ET - We are getting some line value here because Crystal Palace has played a little better of late. The better results had a lot to do with scheduling and so I don't expect it to continue here. Now Palace is on the road where they have won just 1 match all season. Also, Crystal Palace is without a few players who are playing in the Africa Cup of Nations and this includes Zaha who is one of their top scorers. Also, Brighton & Hove has revenge on their minds here from losing most recent match versus Palace. The hosts do come into this match hot as they have been winning and playing well on both ends of the pitch and the only draw in their 4 game unbeaten streak was versus Chelsea and there certainly is no shame in playing out to a draw against those guys. Considering all these factors look for the club on its home pitch to get the full 3 points in the table by notching a key victory in this one. 10* BRIGHTON & HOVE +110 |
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01-13-22 | Stanford +7.5 v. Washington State | Top | 62-57 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Thursday 10* Top Play Stanford Cardinal +7.5 @ Washington State Cougars @ 5 ET - There has been a line move toward the Cougars here and it is likely due to the fact that the Cardinal are in a perceived flat spot coming off their big upset win versus USC Tuesday. So I get it. I understand it. But I feel we have value here as the line is just too much. Stanford is 9-4 SU this season and their last two losses were by 7 or less points. They won't be too tired from Tuesday's game because it was their first game since prior to Christmas. Keep in mind too that Washington State is off a bit of a big win too as Saturday they got their first win at Utah in 75 years. The Cougars have not won back to back games since November. Also, the Cardinal had won 3 straight in this series before a loss in the most recent meeting between these teams so some payback is on order here. Even if they fall short SU look for the points to be enough for the ATS cover for the road dog in this one. 10* STANFORD +7.5 |
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01-12-22 | Hornets +5.5 v. 76ers | Top | 109-98 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Charlotte Hornets +5.5 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - Not only does Charlotte have revenge here from the Sixers having dominated recent meetings in this series, the Hornets also catch Philly with a big game against rival Boston on deck. I love this game for the situational aspects and Charlotte comes into this one hot with wins in 6 of last 8 games and 1 of those 2 losses was by just 3 points. The Hornets are on a 7-2 ATS run last 9 games and I am fully expecting at least another cover here and an outright win would truly not be a shock by any stretch of the imagination! There is a reason the 76ers, even though at home and on a 7-game winning streak, are priced so low here. In other words, don't let the line fool you! Grab the points with the underdog. 10* CHARLOTTE +5.5 |
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01-12-22 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Bruins | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
NHL Puck Line Punisher 10* Top Play Montreal Canadiens Puck Line +1.5 goals +130 @ Boston Bruins @ 7:05 ET - Yes the Bruins are the much better team and much hotter team and the Canadiens are coming back from a long layoff due to covid issues. However, this is an Original Six rivalry match-up and Montreal is anxious and excited to finally be taking the ice again. The Habs energy is going to be a difference maker in this one and Boston is off a big win at Washington where they fell behind 2-0 but then went on to win 7-3. This is a flat spot situation for the Bruins after the big win over Alex Ovechkin and Company plus with having a perceived tougher game versus Flyers on deck. No team has fewer wins (7) on the season than Montreal so it is hard to blame Boston for overlooking them here but it will prove to be a mistake. The road dog surprises here and I don't see them losing by more than a 1-goal margin. 10* MONTREAL +1.5 +130 |
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01-12-22 | Norwich City +1.5 v. West Ham United | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
EPL Goal Line Rout Wednesday 10* Top Play Norwich City +1.5 -115 @ West Ham United @ 2:45 ET - Of course it goes without saying that West Ham is the much stronger club this season. However, ironically the original match was postponed because Norwich had covid and injury concerns but now it is West Ham that has the issues and yet this match will be played. As hungry as Norwich is to taste victory and with the hosts being the more short-handed club, I like our chances here with the road dog on the goal line. We can get +1.5 goals at a reasonable price and I look for Norwich to build off their 1-0 win in English FA Cup action over the weekend. That was a confidence boost this club needed and remember a few games back in English Premier League action they lost by only a 1-0 count to a tough Manchester United club! Note that West Ham has won only 4 of 9 home matches this season and has a positive goal differential of only +3 in their 9 home matches. The point is that this match is likely to be much closer and more hard-fought than many are expecting. 10* NORWICH CITY +1.5 -115 |
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01-10-22 | Spurs +6.5 v. Knicks | Top | 96-111 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Monday 10* Top Play San Antonio Spurs +6.5 @ New York Knicks @ 7:40 ET - Yes the Knicks might get Kemba Walker back tonight but that is a question mark and he has played only 6 games since around Thanksgiving. He has quite a ways to get in getting back in to top form if he even plays tonight. I love the Spurs in this revenge spot. They lost at home to New York earlier this season by a double digit margin. They are hungry from a win after coming up just short in overtime at Brooklyn yesterday. Even though this is a back to back spot the game yesterday was an ultra early one and San Antonio is actually in pretty good shape for this one. New York has only 3 wins by more than a 3 point margin in their last 9 home games! The Spurs last two road trips ended with tough match-ups at Phoenix and at LA (versus Lakers) but they got the job done ATS in both games and actually blew out the Lakers in a SU win there. Another upset here would not surprise me in the least but we should get a least the ATS cover at a minimum. 10* SAN ANTONIO +6.5 |
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01-09-22 | Chargers -2.5 v. Raiders | Top | 32-35 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
NFL GAME OF THE YEAR Sunday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Chargers -2.5 @ Las Vegas Raiders @ 8:20 ET - Win and you are in! So this one pretty clear cut in terms of its magnitude for the post-season. That said, the winner is going to be the road team in my opinion and don't be fooled by the fact that the home team is an underdog here. Yes the Raiders have won 3 straight games but we will take a closer look at that 3-game win streak right after I remind you that Las Vegas had lost 5 of 6 before that 3-game run! So about those 3 wins, they faced a Colts team that got QB Wentz out of covid protocol essentially right before the game and it showed as Indy had their lowest yardage output of the season but clearly they were not ready for the game. The week before that the Raiders beat a Broncos team without QB Bridgewater and Denver was struggling on offense without him. The week before that LV beat a Browns team that was down to 3rd string QB and dealing with a covid mess. The point is that the Raiders got a ton of breaks during this 3-game winning streak and they had lost 5 of 6 before the string of good luck. Their luck runs out here as they face a QB that picked them apart in first meeting and is raring to go for the rematch as well. The Raiders finally face a healthy #1 QB and a rather healthy team overall that also is playing with a ton of motivation. The Chargers last 3 ROAD games against teams that are all now going to the playoffs were all wins and came by a combined score of 98 to 70. I look for another big road win here as the Raiders have had a season marred by off the field issues and problems and simply got lucky to even be in this spot. This is the week their luck has run out as this Las Vegas team - take a close look at them - simply does not have the look of a playoff team. The road favorite proves that on the field tonight! 10* LOS ANGELES CHARGERS -2.5 |
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01-09-22 | Spurs +11 v. Nets | Top | 119-121 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play San Antonio Spurs +11 @ Brooklyn Nets @ 12:10 ET - Home game for Brooklyn means no Kyrie Irving. Nets struggling too as they are 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS last 5 games. I know San Antonio also struggling but they are not the ones laying double digits here! The point is that Brooklyn has been struggling to win games let alone cover big double digit spreads like this. I know the Spurs are down some guys but they hung around against the 76ers for much of that game Thursday until Philadelphia pulled away late. The way the Nets are going, I just don't see them as being capable of pulling away like that in this game. 10* SAN ANTONIO |
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01-09-22 | Minnesota +12 v. Indiana | Top | 60-73 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Minnesota Golden Gophers +12 @ Indiana Hoosiers @ Noon ET - Indiana is off a big win over Ohio State. Keep in mind though, that 16-point victory was a 4-point game with about 6 minutes left in the game. The Hoosiers, coming off a big win over ranked Big Ten foe, could absolutely be a little flat here. At the very least, their a little over-valued in this spot as a result in my opinion. Note that Indiana was only 4-3 SU last 7 games heading into that win over the Buckeyes. Minnesota just got blasted by Illinois by 23 points so the set up here in terms of line value is perfect. The Golden Gophers had entered that game against the Illini with an overall 10-1 record this season and the lone loss was by 8 points to a ranked Michigan State team. I feel the Gophers better than they are being given credit for here and we have big value with the big line. 10* MINNNESOTA +12 |
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01-08-22 | St. Mary's +3.5 v. BYU | Top | 43-52 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
CBB ESPN Smash Pass Saturday 10* Top Play St Mary's Gaels +3.5 @ Brigham Young Cougars @ 10 PM ET - In a game projected to be a tight low-scoring game there is extra value with having the points on your side. Both teams are strong defensively but what I like about St Mary's is their big trouble last season was poor shooting but they have better in that regard so far this season. The Gaels getting 3.5 points here because they are on the road but also I like the double revenge angle here as St Mary's returned most everybody from last season's team and they lost both games to BYU last season. Look for the Gaels to get some measure of revenge here against the Cougars and the best kind of revenge is payback for a home loss by handing that team a home loss. I expect an outright road win for the revenge-minded Gaels here at Brigham Young but will grab the point in case they fall just short. 10* ST MARY'S +3.5 |
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01-08-22 | Jazz -3.5 v. Pacers | Top | 113-125 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Hoops Annihilation Saturday 10* Top Play Utah Jazz -3.5 @ Indiana Pacers @ 7:10 ET - I am aware of the injury issues / covid issues (at least as of 9 AM ET game day) but the fact is I just love the situational edges here. Yes I know that Utah is in a back to back but the fact they are off a loss and it was a game in which they led by double digits at the half has me liking the Jazz a ton here. They will clean things up after a defeat in which they turned it over 21 times in comparison to an opponent that turned it over only 7 times. Also, the Pacers are struggling badly. Indiana has lost 6 straight games and 9 of its last 11. Adding to the value here is Indiana won at Utah earlier this season in November. The Jazz want payback and they'll get it here! 10* UTAH -3.5 |
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01-08-22 | Chiefs v. Broncos +11 | Top | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
NFL Daytime Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Denver Broncos +11 vs Kansas City Chiefs @ 4:30 ET - The Chiefs can still get to the #1 seed in the AFC if they simply win this game and the Titans lose Sunday. While the former has a good chance (though I expect a tight game) the latter is highly improbable as Tennessee is also a double digit favorite this weekend since they are facing the Texans. Mentally, the Chiefs are not in the right frame of mind for a blowout win here. They blew their chance at the #1 seed by losing to the Bengals last week. There will be some carryover effect from that loss into this game. Also, KC's biggest concern here has to be staying healthy. The Broncos, on the other hand, have no such concerns here and I expect them to be flying all over the field with aggression as they host a long-time division rival that has had their number for about 5 or 6 seasons in a row now. Yes, the Broncos have a tough QB situation but this team is highly motivated here, will be going hard at home in this one, and can throw caution to the wind in an all-out effort to finish the season with a win over a hated division rival. I will grab the big points here as I expect this game to be decided by just a single score. Chiefs need to stay healthy. They know their chances of the #1 seed are very slim and it is better to avoid injury here. 10* DENVER +11 |
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01-07-22 | Spurs v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 100-119 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs San Antonio Spurs @ 7:10 ET - Spurs are on the road again and playing for 3rd time in 4 nights. Also, San Antonio off a huge upset win at Boston. The 76ers crushed SA by 35 points the last time they hosted them. After tonight, the Sixers next game not until Monday and that one is back on the road and Philly enters this game off a road win at Orlando. In other words, the 76ers will be fully focused and want to make the most of this opportunity at home. As for the Spurs, they have two more tough games while on this long road trip as they have the Nets and Knicks up next for Sunday and Monday. Look for this one to be all Philly as the home team is the healthier team too plus will be up for this one and this looks like a flat spot for the travelers in this match-up. 10* PHILADELPHIA -7.5 |
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01-07-22 | Marquette -2 v. Georgetown | Top | 92-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
CBB Big East Game of the Month Friday 10* Top Play Marquette Golden Eagles -2 @ Georgetown Hoyas @ 6:30 ET - The Golden Eagles will take advantage of a rusty Hoyas team here. Georgetown has not played in 3 weeks and they certainly are not invincible on their home floor either. Not only have the lost a couple at home already this season they also have lost to Marquette in each of the last two times they have hosted them. However, the Hoyas did beat the Golden Eagles in the Big East tourney last season and it is payback time here. Marquette did not just lose that game, they got embarrassed as they scored just 14 first-half points on their way to a 19 points loss. The Golden Eagles are a young team but have already grown as the season has gone on and have covered each of their last two road games plus enter this game off a big home win over Providence. 10* MARQUETTE -2 |
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01-06-22 | Maryland +11 v. Illinois | Top | 64-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
CBB Early Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play Maryland Terrapins +11 @ Illinois Illini @ 7 ET - The Illini just are not the same team without point guard Andre Curbelo and his return is unlikely for tonight's game yet this line is priced as if he would be playing. Maryland is a talented team that has been bolstered this season with solid play from newcomers (transfers) Qudus Wahab and Fatts Russell. They have joined Eric Ayala to give this team a solid trio at the top and the Terrapins have not lost a game by more than 8 points this season. They are getting double digits here and, the point is, Maryland getting double digits as a dog would equate to a 13-0 record this season! I know Illinois, even with Curbelo hurting, is still a high-quality team but only 4 of their last 11 games have been victories by more than 10 points! I look for this game to be decided by a single digit margin given all of the above. 10* MARYLAND +11 |
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01-05-22 | Alabama +2 v. Florida | Top | 83-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
SEC Game of the Month Wednesday CBB 10* Top Play Alabama Crimson Tide +2 @ Florida Gators @ 7 ET - We are getting line value here because the Crimson Tide are on the road. Alabama is ranked and is the better team in this match-up and Florida is not as strong as Gators teams we have seen in recent seasons. So long-term approach here is bettors see Florida as a small home favorite and are induced to jump all over it but Bama is really the stronger team this season and could contend for the SEC Title. Also, the Gators game at Ole Miss for last week was cancelled so this will be Florida's first game in two weeks. They are likely to be rusty here as a result. The Tide, on the other hand, are off a win versus Tennessee last week and that gives them an edge here as at least they have seen some recent action. I know the Crimson Tide have slipped up lately in terms of ATS results but that is merely serving to give us line value in this spot. Keep in mind Florida's last game was a big win but over an out-classed Stony Brook foe. Prior to that the Gators were on a 1-4 ATS run. The Tide has played the tougher schedule so far this season too. 10* ALABAMA +2 |
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01-04-22 | LSU +7 v. Kansas State | Top | 20-42 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
CFB Situational Slaughter Tuesday 10* Top Play LSU Tigers +7 vs Kansas State Wildcats @ 9 ET - The Wildcats scored a COMBINED total of just 27 points in their last two games of the season and that included one against a Longhorns team that had a bad season. The Tigers scored 27 points in EACH of their last two games of the season and that included an outright upset win over a solid Texas A & M team which made sure LSU got their 6th win and is the reason they are playing in a bowl game. I look for them to make the most of the opportunity. Kansas State has gone from being a -2.5 favorite to now being favored at a full -7 as of game day. Yes there are reasons for the line move but long-time followers know I love to fade line moves and grab the value on the other side. Certainly the Cats played a respectable schedule as they play in the Big 12 but the Tigers and the SEC schedule was even tougher. Too much value to pass up on with the big points being offered here. 10* LSU +7 |
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01-04-22 | Ohio +1.5 v. Akron | Top | 69-63 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play Ohio University Bobcats +1.5 @ Akron Zips @ 6 ET - Akron is off a huge win over Buffalo. That was big for the Zips because the Bulls had knocked them out of the MAC Tournament last season. As for the Bobcats, they lost by 20 points in their visit to Akron last season so they will be looking to make up for that Tuesday. I expect Ohio University to do just that as they are a fantastic 10-2 this season and their only two losses were to LSU (12-1 this season) and Kentucky (a ranked team) and both those teams are solid SEC programs. The fact Bobcats are on the road here is the only reason they are a small dog and I won't hesitate to grab them given the above factors. They catch the Zips a little flat off their revenging win. 10* OHIO UNIVERSITY +1.5 |
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01-03-22 | Browns +3 v. Steelers | Top | 14-26 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
AFC North Game of the Year Monday NFL 10* Top Play Cleveland Browns +3 @ Pittsburgh Steelers @ 8:15 ET - The Browns are eliminated from playoff contention while the Steelers remain alive with a win tonight though they would also have to win plus get unlikely help next week. The point is that Pittsburgh is playing with playoff pressure while Cleveland is not. The Browns have now gone from being a 3-point favorite to a 3-point dog in this one. The line swing of about a full TD is simply too much. Keep in mind, the Steelers are a rival for Cleveland. Just as their playoff hopes were squelched yesterday, the Browns would love nothing more than to end Pittsburgh's playoff hopes tonight. There is no pressure to do so but they would love to do it. So you have a road team playing loose and relaxed and hungry for an elimination win over a rival. You have a host that has not even scored a first-half touchdown in ANY of their last FIVE games and is playing with playoff pressure here. The Steelers are a bit lucky they are even 2-3 SU in their last five games and I look for them to struggle to score points again in this one. The Browns will deliver a "shocker" tonight as Pittsburgh is the team that needs to win but, to this day, the betting markets have just never fully gotten a grasp on this. The reaction is that if a team needs to win it will win and that is just not how this stuff works. This is particularly true in a rivalry game. I'll happily take the points in this one! 10* CLEVELAND +3 |
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01-03-22 | Alabama State -8 v. Mississippi Valley State | Top | 84-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Monday 10* Top Play Rotation #306051 Alabama State Hornets -8 @ Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils @ 5 ET - The Hornets are only 2-11 this season and yet opened up as 10 point favorites here on the road at Mississippi Valley State. Big mistake, right? After all the line already dropped to a -8 because the sharps must be lining up on the Delta Devils here. Long-time followers know how I feel about supposed mistakes by the odds makers. The fact is that Alabama State at least has a couple wins on the season and also the Hornets are coming off back to back ATS covers against Texas Tech and Texas! They have certainly been a lot more competitive than a Mississippi Valley State team that is 0-10 this season and losing by an average margin of 29.5 points per game! The Delta Devils have one loss by a 4-point margin but all the other 9 defeats hae been by 14 or more points and I feel strongly this one will too! The Hornets are the better shooting team and the much better team on the defensive end also and one of just two wins that Mississippi State had season was on the road against this team. Now payback will be delivered on the road in their first meeting since then! 10* Alabama State -8 |
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01-02-22 | Vikings +13 v. Packers | Top | 10-37 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play Minnesota Vikings +13 @ Green Bay Packers @ 8:20 PM ET - Frigid temperatures expected for this one and it is a divisional battle and it is just too many points in my opinion. Even though Vikings are with their #2 QB, Mannion can be a good game manager and I am expecting a huge game from RB Cook in this one. The Packers should still win this game but I expect it to be by a margin closer to the original 1 TD line on this game not two TDs! The home team has won just twice in last five meetings between these divisional foes and the two wins by the host were each by 5 or less points! Green Bay has won 4 in a row but all but 1 were by 8 or less points! The Vikings have played 15 games this season and not one of them have been a loss by more than 8 points! That means if you had the Vikes +13 in all games this season you would be a perfect 15-0! Happy to test that edge here! 10* MINNESOTA +13 |
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01-01-22 | Baylor v. Ole Miss -1 | Top | 21-7 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
CFB Game of the Year Saturday 10* Top Play Ole Miss Rebels -1 vs Baylor Bears @ 8:45 ET - Ole Miss has the more dynamic offense in this match-up. Also, could Baylor QB Gerry Bohanon be impacted by the fact he has missed some recent game action with a hamstring injury? I believe the answer to that will prove to be yes. Keep in mind, the Rebels allowed an average of only 18 points per game over their last 4 games. The Bears are off a tight 21-16 win over Oklahoma State in the Big 12 Championship Game but did allow 24 or more points in 6 of 9 games heading into that one. Also, in their win over the Cowboys they actually were outgained by nearly 100 yards but were the beneficiary of 4 Oklahoma State interceptions in that game. That is not happening again here as Mississippi QB Matt Corral threw only 4 all year and plus threw for 20 touchdowns. Also, the Rebels have an excellent ground attack so they have a balanced offense and a tremendously solid defense! The Bears are in trouble here and are over-rated in my opinion and the SEC foe how had only 2 losses this season will get it done. One of their only two losses was to mighty Alabama and the other one was to a very solid Auburn team that had almost beaten the Crimson Tide this season. 10* OLE MISS -1 |
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01-01-22 | Utah v. Ohio State -3.5 | Top | 45-48 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
CFB Contrarian Crusher Saturday 9* Top Play Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 vs Utah Utes @ 5 ET - This is a contrarian play here. The common viewpoint on this game is that Ohio State is disappointed to be here. Lets not forget this is the Rose Bowl! Yes the Buckeyes were playing for the national championship last year and this year they will not be. However, this is an Ohio State team that is angry after losing badly at Michigan to finish their regular season off. The Buckeyes want to erase the bitter taste of defeat from their mouths here and they also want to get some redemption against a Pac-12 foe as their only other loss this season came at the hands of Oregon. That is the same Ducks team that the Utes manhandled twice this season. However, Ohio State is coming to play here and Utah does not have the explosive offense that the Buckeyes have. Look for that to be a key difference maker here and the favorite pulls away as this game goes on. They are far more motivated for this game than most realize. 9* OHIO STATE -3.5 |
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01-01-22 | Providence v. DePaul +1.5 | Top | 70-53 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play DePaul Blue Demons +1.5 vs Providence Friars @ 3 ET - The Friars are off a big win versus Seton Hall but the Pirates were down 5 players, including 1 starter, and this resulted in a limited rotation as the bench was much shorter than usual. Now Providence faces a tough DePaul team and this is a rare road game for the Friars. Look for home court and health to be big difference makers here. Keep in mind Providence had just one player shoot well from 3-point land in the win over Seton Hall as the rest of the team made just 1 of 11 three pointers! Look for the Friars to struggle on the road here and the Blue Demons take advantage with a big home court win as they get revenge for a pair of tight losses last season versus Providence including one in double OT! 10* DEPAUL +1.5 |
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12-31-21 | Georgia -7.5 v. Michigan | Top | 34-11 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
CFB Game of the Month Sunday 10* Top Play Georgia Bulldogs -7.5 vs Michigan Wolverines @ 7:30 ET - The Wolverines are known for struggling in big games. I know Michigan finally came up big in their big game versus Ohio State and also won the Big Ten Championship over Iowa. However, that does not change the fact that the Wolverines have lost 4 straight bowl games both SU and ATS and now they face a team that might be the best team in the country. I know Georgia lost to Alabama but this Bulldogs team is really something else. They had allowed only 7 points per game in 12 straight wins before the loss to Alabama in the SEC Championship Game. Now we get a chance to take one of the best teams in the country off a loss and laying only about a TD and we can fade a team with a poor recent bowl history under Harbaugh...I'll take it! Lay the points for a big play here. The Bulldogs defense will be the difference in this one. The Wolverines allowed 23.6 in their 5 games away from home before the Big Ten Championship. The Bulldogs never allowed more than 17 points this season until the loss to Crimson Tide. Michigan allowed 17 points or more in all 5 of those games away from before beating Iowa. The Dawgs D rules the day here. 10* GEORGIA -7.5 |
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12-31-21 | Cincinnati v. Alabama -13.5 | Top | 6-27 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
CFB Contrarian Crusher Friday 9* Top Play Alabama Crimson Tide -13.5 vs Cincinnati Bearcats @ 3:30 ET - The Bearcats are undefeated and yet nearly a two TD underdog against a Crimson Tide team that has one loss on the season. Big mistake by the odds makers, right? Hardly! In typical contrarian fashion, laying the big points in this one! Look for Alabama to crush Cincinnati here. The Tide played a tougher schedule, have the much better passing attack and the much better run defense. All signs pointing to a blowout here as the Bearcats finally find out what it is like to take a major step up in class in terms of the high level of opponent they are now facing. They finally got their wish of being a part of the national title discussion and having that chance to prove that a smaller program can get it done on the big stage. Unfortunately for Cincinnati though, this story does not have a good ending. 9* ALABAMA -13.5 |
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12-31-21 | Suns -4.5 v. Celtics | Top | 108-123 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Friday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns -4.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 1:10 ET - The Celtics are without leading scorer Jayson Tatum. The Suns have struggled recently and that has led to line value in this spot as it has kept the line lower than it should be. Boston has struggled and lost 3 straight games SU and now has lost 8 of last 11 games. Phoenix has won 11 of 14 road games SU this season and they get the win and cover in this one as home team struggles without Tatum and plus without Dennis Schroder and also Marcus Smart still dealing with a hand injury. 10* PHOENIX -4.5 |
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12-30-21 | Pittsburgh +3.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 21-31 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
Peach Bowl Blowout Thursday 10* Top Play Pittsburgh Panthers +3.5 vs Michigan State Spartans @ 7 ET - The Panthers have the better numbers overall this season and I definitely like their edge on defense in this match-up in particular. Yes there are some opt-outs for this game but that is effecting both teams. I also know the Spartans have the better recent bowl history but feel we have value with the defensive-minded physical underdog in this match-up. The Panthers hold the edges in pass defense and I like their ground game too. Strong rushing team and with a solid defense and they are an underdog. This one has all the right ingredients that equate to value. Also, Pat Narduzzi is Pittsburgh's head coach and he was the defensive coordinator at Michigan State from 2007 to 2014. The Spartans are coached by Mel Tucker and this is the first ever bowl game he has coached in. Grab the points! 10* PITTSBURGH |
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12-29-21 | Oregon v. Oklahoma -6.5 | Top | 32-47 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
CFB Bowl Insider Wednesday 10* Top Play Oklahoma Sooners -6.5 vs Oregon Ducks @ 9:15 ET - The Sooners are the much better overall team in my opinion. Yes they have lost a couple games recently but they only trailed Baylor by 3 entering 4th quarter of the defeat that ended a 17-game winning streak for Oklahoma. Also, the Sooners other loss was by just 4 points to another strong team, Oklahoma State. That said, take a look now at the Ducks losses: lost to a Stanford team that has since lost 7 straight games and finished the season 3-9. Also, Oregon lost twice to Utah by a combined score of 76 to 17. The fact we can still get Oklahoma in the TD range for this game has me rating this play with my top play rating as I feel we have the much stronger team here at a bargain price and the Ducks have shown on 3 different occasions this season that they are fully capable of really disappointing in a game. They do it again here and the Sooners roll. 10* OKLAHOMA -6.5 |
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12-29-21 | Arkansas v. Mississippi State -2.5 | Top | 68-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Wednesday 10* Top Play Mississippi State Bulldogs -2.5 vs Arkansas Razorbacks @ 5 ET - Bulldogs got blasted at Arkansas by double digits last season. That takes the run to 32-12 SU for the home team in match-ups between these foes. Mississippi State should keep that home trend going here and they are 15-4-1 ATS in the last 20 meetings as a host against the Razorbacks. I look for a big key here to be that home court edge and also how it impacts the shooting of these two teams. Arkansas has been horrible both inside and outside the 3-point line in terms of shooting percentages away from home this season. The Bulldogs have been rock solid in terms of the shooting percentages at home this season with 50.2% and 40.6% overall and outside the arc, respectively. Lay the short number here. 10* MISSISSIPPI STATE -2.5 |
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12-28-21 | 76ers -6.5 v. Raptors | Top | 114-109 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -6.5 @ Toronto Raptors @ 7:40 ET - The Raptors roster is severely depleted by covid right now. Even though Pascal Siakam and Gary Trent Jr should return tonight they could be on minutes restrictions and this is still a team expected to be without its top two scorers. Both Fred VanVleet and OG Anunoby are expected to still be out for this one. Keep in mind the #3 and #4 scorers are Siakam and Trent so this team is far from 100 percent right now. Also, the road team has won and covered each of the last two meetings between these teams and that includes a road win for the Raptors at Philly last month which makes this a revenge game for the Sixers. With revenge on their side, including the playoff loss a few years ago in a season that ended in Toronto for Embiid and Philly, I am expecting the 76ers to come up big here and take advantage of a short-handed Raptors team. Lay it! 10* PHILADELPHIA -6.5 |
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12-27-21 | Dolphins v. Saints +3.5 | Top | 20-3 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
NFL Primetime Thrasher Monday NFL 10* Top Play New Orleans Saints +3.5 vs Miami Dolphins @ 8:15 ET - Ian Book of the Saints is scheduled to make his first ever NFL start and, in the eyes of the betting marketplace, that means the Dolphins win this game. I disagree. It is not as if Book has never played on the big stage as he played his College Football at Notre Dame! This guy is use to big game settings and also this game is at home. Having the support of the home fans will certainly help Book. Also, New Orleans is a solid team battling to stay alive in the playoff race and they are catching value here because the Dolphins have been on a winning streak. Keep in mind, two of those six Miami wins were over a Jets team that is 4-11 and another one was over a Giants team that is 4-11 and also Houston is 4-11 and Carolina is 5-10. So of the 6 wins in their win streak, 5 were against combined current records of 21-54 (counting Jets record twice). I am just not sold on this Miami team and only one of those 6 wins was on the road and prior to that road win the Dolphins had lost 4 straight games when away from home. 10* NEW ORLEANS +3.5 |
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12-27-21 | Rockets +6.5 v. Hornets | Top | 99-123 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Monday 10* Top Play Houston Rockets +6.5 @ Charlotte Hornets @ 7:10 ET - The Hornets are missing a few key players. The Rockets are getting a little healthier and could have a few key guys back on the floor for this one. That said, I like the value with the under-valued underdog in this one. Charlotte is off a win but has not won back to back games since before Thanksgiving. Don't be surprised if the road dogs get the outright upset here but, of course, I am grabbing the points as added insurance. Charlotte was only 3-9 last 12 before most recent win and 2 of those 3 wins were by a margin of just 3 or less points! Tremendous underdog value here especially considering the current covid/injury issues for each club. 10* HOUSTON +6.5 |
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12-27-21 | Brown +10 v. Syracuse | Top | 62-93 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
CBB ACC Network Blowout Monday 10* Top Play Brown Bears +10 @ Syracuse Orange @ 6 ET - With all the time off between games for these teams I feel it strongly favors a double-digit dog. That's because it could be a bit of a sloppy game with a tough flow to it. That equates to a game in which it is hard to establish a big lead and maintain it. Yes Syracuse is the better team from the bigger conference. However, the Orange playing for the first time since over two weeks ago. Also, that was a loss that wrapped up a 2-5 stretch for Syracuse and one of those two wins was by just two points in double overtime. The Bears off a loss versus Vermont but it was by only a 5-point margin and Brown entered that game having won 4 straight. Two Bears losses that immediately preceded the 4-game winning streak were by 6 or less points. Tremendous value with the points here as I look for it to be tough for Syracuse to pull away as both teams show some rust in this game after the long layoff. 10* BROWN +10 |
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12-27-21 | Western Michigan v. Nevada +7 | Top | 52-24 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
CFB Earliest Blowout Monday 10* Top Play Nevada Wolf Pack +7 vs Western Michigan @ 11 AM ET - In the regular season the situation here for Nevada would be devastating. But, in bowl time, when a team has extra time to prepare for a game things can be managed much better. Nevada has a number of opt outs for this game but nearly the entire defense is intact and it is made up of veteran players. On offense yes they are starting an inexperienced QB but the 6'9 signal-caller has had extra time to prep with this team and they are going against a MAC defense. The MAC has not performed well overall in these bowls thus far. So, what about the MWC? They are a perfect 4-0 and that includes beating a Pac-12 team (Ore St) and a team (UTSA) that nearly finished with a perfect record in the regular season. This line has gone from Nevada -3 or -4 to now the Wolf Pack being a +7 underdog. More times than not these line moves never work out like the betting masses think they will. A 10 point swing here? A MAC team favored by 7 over an MWC school? I know that Nevada also has an interim head coach for this one but he has this team believing and viewing this is as their "one game season" together. Practices have been spirited and you are going to see a spirited effort from the Wolf Pack come game time too. Look for the defense, mostly intact other than being without one top player, to absolutely be the dominant force in this game! 10* NEVADA +7 |
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12-26-21 | Washington Football Team +9.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 14-56 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
NFL Primetime Punisher Sunday 10* Top Play Washington Football Team +9.5 @ Dallas Cowboys @ 8:20 ET - Washington gets Taylor Heinicke back at QB for this game. This is a rivalry game. Washington swept the Cowboys last season but now has revenge from a loss at home versus Dallas two weeks ago. The Football Team now in a little better shape from the covid that had impacted their roster recently. Also, the road team is a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS in the last 4 Cowboys games. Also, Dallas is 1-2 SU and ATS last 3 home games. The road team gets the money in this one. The set up is perfect, everyone is on the Dallas bandwagon now after their big road trip and now, as per usual, the Cowboys return to Jerry's World and disappoint. Look for the Cowboys to win but not cover as I expect this to be a tight game decided by a one-score margin. Look for a huge game from Heinicke in this one and the Cowboys get caught looking ahead to Arizona in a tough match-up in this one. 10* WASHINGTON +9.5 |
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12-26-21 | 76ers -3 v. Wizards | Top | 117-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -3 or -3.5 @ Washington Wizards @ 6:10 ET - The Wizards are expected to be without one of their top scorers as Bradley Beal likely to miss due to covid protocols. The Sixers will take advantage with fresh legs for both Joel Embiid and Tobias Harris and I expect each of them to play in this game. Either way, I like Philly in this match-up as the Sixers have won 9 of last 11 meetings between these teams and this is a small number to lay so a SU win should equate to an ATS win as well. I know the Sixers have been struggling but this looks like an ideal bounce back spot as Washington will be short-handed and is also just 1-3 SU and ATS last 3 home games. That trend continues here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -3 or -3.5 |
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12-25-21 | Colts +2.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 22-16 | Win | 100 | 24 h 0 m | Show |
NFL Primetime Punisher NFL 10* Top Play Indianapolis Colts +2.5 @ Arizona Cardinals @ 8:15 ET - The Cardinals have lost back to back games and 3 straight home games! Not much home field edge here for Arizona. As for the Colts, they are one of the hottest teams around with going 8-3 last 11 games! Indianapolis is off a key win over the Patriots but they will not let up here and the key is they also had a bye week before facing New England. The Colts are the fresher team and hotter and they are still chasing the Titans for the top spot in the division so, again, no letdown here! The Colts have covered 9 of last 11 road games and I will take the points here but don't expect to need them as Arizona is starting to doubt themselves. B2B losses and 3 straight defeats at home...the doubts are creeping in on this team and this Colts team is even better than their full season record indicates. Keep in mind they started the season a poor 0-3 so they have come a long way since then. 10* INDIANAPOLIS +2.5 |
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12-25-21 | Ball State +6 v. Georgia State | Top | 20-51 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 47 m | Show |
CFB Perfection Play Saturday 10* Top Play Ball State Cardinals +6 vs Georgia State Panthers @ 2:30 ET - Value with the points here. Feel we are getting extra value in this line simply based on the fact that the Panthers went 8-4 ATS this season while the Cardinals went 4-8 ATS this season. There is really not a lot that separates these two teams and yet Ball State is getting about 6 points in this one. Yes, they come from the MAC and that conference has struggled in these bowls but Georgia State is from the Sun Belt Conference and that is certainly not a powerhouse conference. The Cards have had extra bowl prep time to prepare for a Panthers offense that is rather ground-heavy while I feel strongly that the Cardinals have the better passing attack and that will ultimately prove to be the difference in this one. 10* BALL STATE +6 |
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12-25-21 | Wyoming -7.5 v. South Florida | Top | 77-57 | Win | 100 | 22 h 13 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play Wyoming Cowboys -7.5 vs South Florida @ 1:30 PM ET @ Stan Sheriff Center in Honolulu, Hawaii - This game is the battle for 5th place in this tournament and it has a local start time of 8:30 AM ET on Christmas Day. That is very tough on teams even though the players have been in Hawaii for some time already. It is just tough to play early morning basketball and to shoot well that early in the day. That said, I feel this situation strongly favors the much better team on offense. Wyoming shoots about 10 percentage points higher both inside and outside the arc and also averages about 20 points more per game on the season! With that said, a South Florida team that often struggles to score points is likely in trouble in this early morning start! Also, the Bulls are off a rare win where they did score well. Keep in mind, this is a USF team that is 0-4 SU this season when off a win. Yes, South Florida has yet to win back to back games this season. The Cowboys have 10 SU wins this season and 9 of those in lined games and they have had only 1 ATS loss in those 9 victories! Lay it! 10* WYOMING -7.5 |
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12-25-21 | Hawks v. Knicks -6 | Top | 87-101 | Win | 100 | 21 h 22 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Blowout Saturday 10* Top Play New York Knicks -6 vs Atlanta Hawks @ 12:10 ET - Trae Young has been ruled out for this game so that explains the Hawks being an underdog of about a half dozen points in this one. New York is at home and the Knicks, very short-handed Thursday, actually impressed me with their efforts. I had Washington in that one and we got the well-deserved win but I did like what I saw from the Knicks. That said, they will be in a little better shape health-wise for this one and they catch the Hawks missing a very key player, Young, among others who could miss as well due to covid. This is the first time the Knicks have hosted the Hawks since Atlanta knocked them out of the post-season here at Madison Square Garden back in early June. That said, we have plenty of motivational factors working in our favor here as well. Yes the Knicks won at Atlanta last month but they have waited a long time for this chance to exact some revenge at home as well. I look for them to get it and for it to be a solid win by 9 or more points just like their 9-point win last month. 10* NEW YORK -6 |
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12-23-21 | 49ers v. Titans +3 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 101 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
NFL Thursday Thrasher 10* Top Play Tennessee Titans +3 vs San Francisco 49ers @ 8:20 ET - The Titans are off a loss at Pittsburgh but they nearly doubled up the Steelers in yardage. Tennessee was simply done in by turnovers in that game and this is helping to give us line value here. Keep in mind this Titans team has beaten the Colts twice this season plus the Chiefs, Rams, and Bills. Tennessee can beat anybody on any given Sunday and love them in this spot as a home dog against an over-valued 49ers team! 10* TENNESSEE +3 |
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12-23-21 | Wizards -1 v. Knicks | Top | 124-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Blowout Thursday 10* Top Play Washington Wizards -1 @ New York Knicks @ 7:40 ET - The Knicks have been greatly impacted by covid. That is why the Wizards are a small favorite here and is also why I will gladly take them in this spot! Washington has triple revenge from losing all 3 meetings with New York last season. The Wizards are off a big road win at Utah and have picked up 4 road wins since Thanksgiving so it is not as if Washington does not win on the road. Also, the Knicks are just so depleted in terms of their roster right now and this is a New York team which is off a win versus Detroit but this followed losses in 8 of last 10 games. 10* WASHINGTON |
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12-23-21 | Central Florida +7 v. Florida | Top | 29-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
CFB Game of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play Central Florida Knights +7 vs Florida Gators @ 7 ET - Too many points. Florida has not covered 6 straight games. Central Florida, in this match-up, is like the little brother facing the big brother, an SEC team from the same state. That said, the more motivated team to (no offense intended) to be playing in the Gasparilla Bowl rather than a bigger bowl closer to (or on) New Year's is going to the Knights. They will prove to be the team that wants this more. UCF has won 5 of 6 games SU and here they are getting a full 7 points. Florida's only 3-5 SU last 8 games and one of those wins was by just 3 points and the other 2 were against Samford and a bad Vanderbilt team. The Gators just have not shown us much this season and I expect more of the same in this bowl game. 10* UCF +7 |
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12-22-21 | Cavs +6.5 v. Celtics | Top | 101-111 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Cleveland Cavaliers +6.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 7:40 ET - The Cavaliers have won and covered 6 straight games and overall are on an incredible 13-1 ATS run. The Celtics are off a home loss to Philly and have lost 5 of last 7 games SU. The Cavaliers have revenge from loss in most recent meeting between these teams and, keep in mind, before that defeat Cleveland had won 3 straight meetings with Boston. The Cavs have an incredible overall ATS record on the season plus are 10-5 SU in road games this season. Look for those trends to continue here. 10* CLEVELAND +6.5 |
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12-22-21 | Arizona v. Tennessee -1.5 | Top | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Wednesday 10* Top Play Tennessee Volunteers -1.5 vs Arizona Wildcats @ 7 ET - The Wildcats are 11-0 this season and the Volunteers already have 2 losses. Must be something wrong with this line, right? After all, how can Arizona be an underdog when they have not lost a game all season? Precisely! The point is that Tennessee is the favorite for a reason! Don't let the line fool you. The fact is that the Volunteers have played a bit of a tougher schedule and their two losses were to Villanova and Texas Tech, the latter of which was in overtime. The Vols have the rest edge here too since their most recent game, versus Memphis, was cancelled. Home court edge, rest edge, and in my opinion a slight strength of schedule edge so far this season. Two high-quality programs but watch the hosts surprise a lot of people when the knock off an undefeated team that is ranked among the top teams in the country. 10* TENNESSEE -1.5 |
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12-21-21 | Washington Football Team v. Eagles -6.5 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
NFL PA Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles -6.5 vs Washington Football Team @ 7 ET - The Eagles are rested off a bye week and also much healthier both on the injury front and in terms of covid issues as you compare these two teams heading into this one. That said, I like the Eagles to roll big at home. Philly finally gets a chance to give Washington some payback as they had won 6 in a row from 2017 to 2019 but then lost both meetings last season. Now it is time for the Eagles to resume the domination and their ground game and better health status and the home field edge will all be key factors as they pull away for the double digit win here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -6.5 |
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12-21-21 | Seahawks +7 v. Rams | Top | 10-20 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
NFL Early Blowout Tuesday 9* Top Play Seattle Seahawks +7 @ Los Angeles Rams @ 7 ET - Just too many points now that Seattle has gotten healthier and is playing a little better. The Rams are a quality team but so many times they disappoint and you know the Seahawks are going to bring their "A game" here and that means we should see quite the ball game here. This one likely to go down to the wire and an outright upset would not surprise me in the least. That said, we have excellent line value here with the +7 on this one. The Seahawks off B2B wins and though they have 8 losses this season 4 of those were by 3 or less points. The Rams are of B2B wins and covers but had lost 5 straight ATS prior to that. LA appears overvalued here and the road dog gets it done. 9* SEATTLE +7 |
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12-21-21 | Wyoming -3.5 v. Kent State | Top | 52-38 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
CFB Daytime Dominator Tuesday Top Play 9* Wyoming Cowboys -3.5 vs Kent State Golden Flashes @ 3:30 ET - The Golden Flashes are a MAC school facing a stronger MWC team here. Don't be fooled by their 6-6 record. Wyoming got better on offense as the season went on and the defense, as per usual, has been the consistent backbone for this Cowboys team. That will be the key again here as Kent State struggles to score and also eventually gets worn down by their opponents ground game. 9* WYOMING |
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12-20-21 | Vikings v. Bears +6.5 | Top | 17-9 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
NFL NFC North Game of the Year Monday 10* Top Play Chicago Bears +6.5 vs Minnesota Vikings @ 8:15 ET - I am aware of the Bears having injury/covid issues which has been particularly impacting to their secondary. However, other players for Chicago will step up as needed and let's not forget that Vikings QB Kirk Cousins is just 1-9 SU in Monday Night games. I know not all of that falls on him but it is still a stat that is hard to ignore and now here the Vikings have to win by 7 or more to beat us. I'll grab the big home dog points. You know the Bears are going to bring it in a divisional game like this at Soldier Field. Also, Chicago has won 5 of last 6 meetings between these divisional foes. The Vikings enter this game on a run that, for me, just makes it tough to trust them at all as a favorite. Minnesota nearly blew last week's huge lead versus Pittsburgh as the Vikings defense has now allowed 30.5 points per game last 4 games. Before getting blown out at Green Bay last week, a loss fueled by turnovers, the Packers had allowed only 17 points per game in their 3 divisional games this season. They will bounce back here and the Bears have allowed only 17 points per game in their last 4 games against the Vikes. Typical contrarian angle for me here as the whole world is looking at the situation with the Bears secondary but there is much more to this game than just that aspect and the hungry home dog finds a way to overcome the adversity. 10* CHICAGO +6.5 |
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12-20-21 | Raiders v. Browns -3 | Top | 16-14 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
NFL Contrarian Crusher 9* Top Play Cleveland Browns -3 vs Las Vegas Raiders @ 5 ET - Long-time followers know that I am a contrarian in my handicapping. Most will be lining up on the Raiders here because it was the Browns with all the covid issues. But that means bettors are overlooking the fact that Las Vegas has lost 5 of 6 games and has had a very rough season due to all the off the field distractions. Even if Baker Mayfield can't go for the Browns or Case Keenum could not go then Nick Mullens, solid NFL experience with 49ers, would likely get the call here. Either way I like the fact that we get the Browns at home just favored by the typical 3 points assigned for home field advantage. I say that because the markets are implying these teams are equal and I just don't think they are right now. The moving of the game from Saturday to Monday has allowed the Browns to get healthier and they will get it done in this one and improve to 6-2 in home games this season. 9* CLEVELAND |
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12-20-21 | Tulsa -8.5 v. Old Dominion | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
CFB Daytime Dominator Monday 10* Top Play Tulsa Golden Hurricane -8.5 vs Old Dominion Monarchs @ 2:30 ET - Both these teams are 6-6 but Tulsa is the vastly superior team and played a much tougher schedule. Also, check out their performances against some quality teams and tell me if you think the Monarchs could have duplicated such efforts. Tulsa lost at Oklahoma State by just 5 and were leading that game in the 4th quarter. Also, the Golden Hurricane hung around with Ohio State until the Buckeyes finally pulled away convincingly over the final 5 minutes. Tulsa also nearly beat Cincinnati outright on the road. I can not imagine Old Dominion coming anywhere close to duplicating those efforts. Also, the Monarchs did not even play last season - covid - but the Golden Hurricane did and went 6-0 in their conference games but then lost their bowl game last season. Most of those players returned this season and their motivation level is very high to close this season differently! Last year they faced an SEC team in the bowls and this season they face a CUSA team. Huge difference and they should win this handily by a solid double digit margin. 10* TULSA -8.5 |
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12-19-21 | Saints +11.5 v. Bucs | Top | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
NFL NFC South Game of the Year Sunday 10* Top Play New Orleans Saints +11.5 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ 8:20 PM ET - The Buccaneers are over-valued here. The Saints have owned this series, last season's playoff loss notwithstanding, for quite some time and actually are a perfect 7-0 SU and ATS last 7 regular season meetings. Now I am certainly not saying they will win this game outright but I do expect them to keep this game very competitive throughout. Yes, last week's win was against "only" the Jets but it also was a game in which the Saints got back some key players on offense and that showed in the results. I am well aware the Bucs are the more talented team in this match-up but they continue to be overvalued. Keep in mind a few weeks ago they looked like they would not cover the 3.5 versus Colts but then Fournette got a late TD run when really they were just trying to set up winning field goal. Then last week they were very fortunate to beat the Bills let alone cover the 3.5 as every late break went their way and, again, it was a long late TD run when setting up for FG would have won it. This Bucs team could easily (and should) be just 5-8 ATS this season and the Saints have been a road covering machine and a divisional covering machine in recent seasons and that continues here. Just too many points to give a respectable team like New Orleans even though they are a different team without Winston at QB. Look for Hill to continue to give opponents trouble with his running ability and look for another big game from RB Kamara here as his return last week was big for this team. 10* NEW ORLEANS +11.5 |
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12-18-21 | Patriots v. Colts -2 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
NFL Saturday Slaughter - 10* Top Play Indianapolis Colts -2 vs New England Patriots @ 8:20 ET - The Patriots are 6-0 on the road this season and the Colts are 3-4 at home this season. Why is Indianapolis favored here? Exactly! At the end of the day, the odds makers are the sharpest people around long-term. Sure things fluctuate from day to day and week to week and month to month but those guys are extremely good at what they do. The point here is, don't let the line fool you. Many will be piling up on a New England team that has won 7 straight games but the Colts are the play here. Of the Pats road wins, they faced the Bills in a windstorm that completely changed the complexion of that game. Their other road wins are against the 8-6 Chargers but then 4 teams that are a combined 16-36 on the season! In other words, this is going to be a tougher test than most anything that the Pats have faced on the road this season. Colts hungry to make a statement at home. 10* INDIANAPOLIS |
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12-18-21 | Knicks +4.5 v. Celtics | Top | 107-114 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Divisional Annihilation Saturday 10* Top Play New York Knicks +4.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 7:10 ET - The covid protocol situation suddenly impacting all sports in a heavy way is going to make things even tougher on teams in back to back situations. That is the situation tonight for Boston and the Celtics expended a lot of energy in battling back against the Warriors last night only to ultimately fall short anyway. This back to back spot will be very tough on Boston while New York comes in rested and off a win at Houston Thursday. That said, value with the underdog in this one. I know that neither team has been playing very well but the situation makes the underdog very attractive in this one. 10* NEW YORK +4.5 |
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12-18-21 | UAB v. BYU -6.5 | Top | 31-28 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
CFB Game of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play BYU Cougars -6.5 vs UAB Blazers @ 3:30 ET - I know this UAB team is respectable for sure and I know the location of the Independence Bowl in Shreveport, LA also favors them. However, the line move on BYU from 8.5 to 6.5 has helped to raise this one to top play level for me. BYU started the season with 5 straight wins and ended the season with 5 straight wins. The two losses were in the middle of that were against Boise State and Baylor. No shame in losing to those two teams. Conversely, the Blazers were a 23.5 points dog versus Georgia and lost by 49 points. Also, UAB lost to Liberty by 24 and also got upset by Rice even though they were favored by 24 points in that one! Yes the Blazers should not have lost their game with UTSA and the Roadrunners did have a great season but the fact is UAB did lose it and they play in the CUSA which is certainly resulted in them playing a much weaker schedule than the 10-2 Cougars did! Look for Brigham Young to prove to be too much in this one. 10* BYU -6.5 |
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12-17-21 | Heat v. Magic +7.5 | Top | 115-105 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
NBA Southeast Division Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Orlando Magic +7.5 vs Miami Heat @ 7:10 ET - Still have football fever? Look at this game in this way then - the Heat opened up favored by a field goal and now are favored by a touchdown :) - but in all seriousness, I love fading the line move here. Miami was favored by 3 and now is favored by 7 in this one and they are still without Butler and Adebayo. I know Orlando has had a very rough season but, keep in mind, 4 of their last 8 games were either an outright win (Denver) or a loss by 5 or less points (3 of the defeats). The Magic also beat Utah here in Orlando earlier this season and they are catching the wounded Heat off a hard-fought win over the 76ers in Philly. This looks like the ideal flat spot for Miami. The Magic failed to cover at Miami earlier this season but had gone 3-0 ATS in the 3 meetings preceding that one. The Magic get up for facing the in-state rival Heat and I look for them to get the job done here and an upset would not surprise me as Miami has struggled on the road this season and are battling injuries. 10* ORLANDO +7.5 |
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12-16-21 | Chiefs v. Chargers +3 | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
NFL Thursday Thrasher - 10* Top Play Los Angeles Chargers +3 vs Kansas City Chiefs @ 8:20 ET - The Chiefs have been hot but they faced a fading Raiders team twice during this 6-game win streak. They also faced a Giants team that is now 4-9 and faced the Packers when they were without Aaron Rodgers. The Chiefs also benefited from 3 turnovers in their wins over the Cowboys and Broncos and actually were outgained 404 to 267 by Denver in that deceiving 22-9 win. Give KC credit for getting all these wins but the point is that there has been some good fortune in there too. Now facing the #2 team in their division that can tie them in the standings with a win on Thursday, Chiefs are in for a real challenge here. I like the Chargers a lot as a home dog here. Both these teams have strong passing offenses but the key could be the pass defense here. Based on yardage allowed, the pass defense of LA far superior to that of KC on the season. The home team wins the air battle here in this one and, in doing so, also wins the game. 10* LA CHARGERS +3 |
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12-16-21 | Incarnate Word +17.5 v. Rice | Top | 55-85 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash - 10* Top Play Incarnate Word Cardinals +17.5 @ Rice Owls @ 12:15 ET - I know Rice is the better team from the bigger conference but don't be surprised if the Cardinals hang around in this game. Incarnate Word lost some key guys from last season but have received bigger contributions than expected from some newcomers and this is a well-coached team too. That said, even though they have a tough 2-8 SU record note that they have won 2 of last 3 games and also 3 of their last 6 losses have been by a single digit margin. Rice, looking at their last 7 games, have won 4 of 7 but 3 of the 4 wins by 15 points or less including two by just 5 points and one of those was in triple OT. The Owls get the win here but look for it to be by single digits. 10* INCARNATE WORD +17.5 |
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12-15-21 | Heat v. 76ers -6 | Top | 101-96 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator - 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -6 vs Miami Heat @ 7:10 ET - Joel Embiid (ribs) did participate in the morning shootaround. That is no guarantee he will play but it is a good sign for the 76ers. Either way we do the Heat will not have Bam Adebayo or Jimmy Butler and I look for Philly to roll in this one. Philadelphia is 5-1 SU last 6 times when off a loss and the Sixers lost at Memphis in an embarrassing ugly blowout loss to the Grizzlies by 35 points. Bounce back time here at home. Miami is off a road loss and is now on a 1-5 ATS run in road games. 10* PHILADELPHIA -6 |
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12-13-21 | Rams +2.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
NFL NFC West Game of the Year - NFL 10* Top Play Los Angeles Rams +2.5 @ Arizona Cardinals @ 8:15 ET - The Jaguars were just what the doctor ordered for the Rams! Last week's blowout win by 30 over Jacksonville was exactly what Los Angeles needed. Building momentum off that huge victory I look for LA to come up big again here. Yes, they lost to the Cardinals earlier this season at home but the Rams got the series sweep both SU and ATS each of the two prior seasons. Also, the bad news for the Cards here is that this game is at home. All kidding aside, the fact is that the road team is 5-0 SU/ATS in the Cardinals last 5 games! I look for that trend to continue here as LA is not happy at all about the way the first game between these teams this season played out. They will respond big here. The Rams are two games behind Arizona in the NFC West standings but after tonight there are still 4 games to go in the regular season and LA can move within 1 game of the Cardinals with a win tonight. Look for them to get it as they resume their series dominance plus make it 6 in a row in terms of road team victories in Cards games. 10* LOS ANGELES RAMS +2.5 |
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12-12-21 | Mavs -4 v. Thunder | Top | 103-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks -4 @ Oklahoma City Thunder @ 7:10 ET - Luka Doncic is out for this game. Of course that is factored into this line however and I am going to lay the small number with Dallas on the road. The Mavericks fell apart in the 4th quarter at Indiana Friday after Doncic got hurt. Also, he made just 1 of 8 three pointers and the team made just 4 of 29! No wonder the Mavs lost by 13 with ridiculous numbers like that. In fact, Dallas actually outscored the Pacers by 14 not including 3-pointers. In other words, the horrible 3-point shooting of the Mavs was the difference in the game and that won't be repeated here against a bad Thunder team. Yes, OKC had B2B wins before losing to the Lakers Friday but, prior to those two wins Oklahoma City had lost 10 of 11 games. Only 1 of their last 11 losses by less than 4 points. Each of the Mavs last 6 wins by 8 or more points. Each of last 3 games between these teams decided by 8 or more points and the Mavs took 2 of the 3 and I look for guys to step up with Doncic out and help lead the Mavericks to a big road win in this one. 10* DALLAS -4 |
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12-12-21 | Winnipeg v. Hamilton +3 | Top | 33-25 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
CFL Grey Cup Sunday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +3 vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 6 ET - I am aware the Ti-Cats have some injury issues heading into this one but it also is a revenge game from the most recent Grey Cup (2019) and Hamilton is also the host city for this one and we are getting a full +3 here. There is tremendous irony here in how this one will play out. In 2019 Hamilton had a huge season while Winnipeg caught fire late and it carried into a post-season run and the Blue Bombers rode the momentum all the way to winning it all. Now this season it is Winnipeg with the much better regular season record but the Tiger-Cats caught fire late in the season and now riding a post-season streak coming into this one. Again, just very ironic and I feel strongly the same script that played out in the most recent Grey Cup plays out in this one as Hamilton (8-6 regular season) gets it done against Winnipeg (11-3 - top regular season record). Remember we saw this happen in 2019 with Hamilton (15-3) losing to Winnipeg (11-7). Looking closer at this season's standings, note that Ti-Cats went 5-2 at home while the Bombers were 4-3 on road. Also, Winnipeg was 3-2 against the East while Hamilton was 4-2 against the West. Considering all of the above and the fact we can get a full 3 points, I like my changes with a Tiger-Cats team determined to get revenge here in the biggest game of them all. 10* HAMILTON +3 |
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12-12-21 | Bills +3.5 v. Bucs | Top | 27-33 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
NFL Non-Conf Game of the Month Sunday 10* Top Play Buffalo Bills +3.5 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ 4:25 ET - The Bills are on short rest this week and the Bucs have regular rest. I certainly understand that factor. However, the fact Buffalo lost at home Monday versus the Patriots and they are 4-0 SU/ATS this season when off a loss has me liking the Bills a ton in this spot. Buffalo won those 4 games by a combined score of 137 to 34 says a lot. No, this game will not be a blowout like that but the point is the Bills respond very well off losses and I like them to at least get the cover in this one. Keep in mind, Buffalo has only lost the money once in last dozen games as a road dog and also they have covered all but 1 of last 10 in non-conference action. Tampa Bay has won and covered 3 in a row but this team was 3-6 ATS on the season prior to that. The Bills have the much better pass defense and rushing offense and I look for both of those factors to help lead the way to a road cover, if not outright win, in this one! 10* BUFFALO +3.5 |
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12-11-21 | Nuggets v. Spurs | Top | 127-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Denver Nuggets Pick @ San Antonio Spurs @ 8:40 ET - In games played since Thanksgiving, Denver is 3-0 SU/ATS when they enter a game off a loss. After losing at San Antonio Thursday (Nuggets were in a B2B by the way), Denver should respond here. They get a chance at immediate revenge against the Spurs and note that in each of the past 6 meetings between these teams there has never been a case where there the Nuggets did not get either the SU or ATS win or both in back to back games. Throughout calendar year 2021 that trend has held true and with Denver failing to cover or win outright in the loss Thursday at San Antonio, look for them to get payback Saturday. Of course with this line a pick'em, any SU win also an ATS win for the Nuggets and I look for them to get it done in a big way here! 10* DENVER Pick'em |
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12-11-21 | LSU v. Georgia Tech +8 | Top | 69-53 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
CBB Non-Conf Game of the Month Saturday 10* Top Play Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +8 vs LSU Tigers @ 6 ET - The Yellow Jackets are a scrappy underdog with a strong backcourt. The backcourt depth they have is going to give LSU some trouble here in this one. Georgia Tech going to be tough for the Tigers to put away especially with this game being played at Atlanta. We get line value here too because LSU is undefeated on the season. The Tigers are 8-0 SU this season but barely snuck into the top 25 and that is because their strength of schedule thus far is absolutely a concern. We take advantage here with a Yellow Jackets team that is off B2B losses but actually led North Carolina in the 2nd half of the eventual loss by a double digit margin. Just too many points here in a game that should be ultra competitive all the way through and I look for better shooting down the stretch for the Jackets here after that tough performance against the Tar Heels as the 2nd half wore on. Battle tested and a hungry home dog combine for strong odds of the host getting the money in this one. 10* GEORGIA TECH |
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12-10-21 | Mavs +2 v. Pacers | Top | 93-106 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
Perfection Play Friday NBA 10* Dallas Mavericks +2 vs Indiana Pacers @ 7:10 ET - The road team is on a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS run in meetings between these teams the past two seasons. Home court just has not mattered in their recent match-ups and I do not expect it to matter here either. The Mavericks are off a win and very hungry to build a win streak again like they did in early to mid November when they won 5 of 6 games. Consistency key for this Dallas team right now and they circled this 3-game road trip (began with win at Memphis Wednesday) as a chance to get things rolling again as they wrap up at Oklahoma City Sunday. I like the fact that, in addition to the 4-0 trend above, we also have a situation that is 3-0 this season going against Indiana. The Pacers enter this game off B2B wins and they have yet to win 3 straight this season. Indiana is 0-3 this season when they enter a game off B2B wins. Look for all these trends to continue Friday. 10* DALLAS +2 |
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12-09-21 | Jazz v. 76ers +3.5 | Top | 118-96 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash - 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (+) vs Utah Jazz @ 7:10 ET - The Sixers seek revenge for a 35 point blowout at Utah last month. The home team is now a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS in last 5 meetings between these teams and that trend should continue here. Philly has been playing better as they have gotten healthier and now have won 3 straight games. The Jazz off a win and cover last night but were on a 2-5 ATS run in the 7 games prior to last night's contest. So Utah is off a win and cover but they have not won and covered both games of a back to back yet this season and that is another trend I don't expect to change tonight either. This is their 4th back to back this season and I look for them to continue to struggle to put together back to back wins in these spots. 10* PHILADELPHIA +3.5 |
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12-09-21 | Texas +1 v. Seton Hall | Top | 60-64 | Loss | -116 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Rout - 10* Top Play Texas Longhorns +1 @ Seton Hall Pirates @ 6:30 ET - Historically line flips like this don't seem to go well for those who follow the money. The point is when a line flips and a team that was the underdog becomes the favorite if you play that team that becomes the favorite and has been steamed by the betting markets it just does not work out well. I expect that long-term trending to continue here as Seton Hall was a 2.5 point dog and is now favored and I like UT considering that situation. The Longhorns want to atone for their lone loss this season which was an embarrassing one against Gonzaga. Now here is their first chance against a quality team since that ugly loss to the Bulldogs. The Pirates have won 7 of 8 games this season and that is why we're getting line value here with a ranked among the top ten teams in the nation. I'll take it! 10* TEXAS +1 |
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12-07-21 | Nets v. Mavs +4 | Top | 102-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conf Game of the Month - 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks +4 vs Brooklyn Nets @ 7:35 ET - I am grabbing the home dog in a great situation here. Dallas is off back to back ATS losses and they have performed very well ATS when in that situation this season. Also, Kristaps Porzingis is upgraded to probable for this one and Luka Doncic was at practice yesterday and is simply dealing with a sore ankle. I don't see him missing this game even though he is listed as questionable. Mavericks are 3-0 SU and ATS last 3 meetings with Brooklyn. The Nets enter this game on a stretch that has seen them cover just 1 time in their last 9 games! 10* DALLAS +4 |
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12-07-21 | Virginia -4.5 v. James Madison | Top | 49-52 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week - 10* Top Play Virginia Cavaliers -4.5 @ James Madison @ 6:30 ET - This line was as high as a 6.5 and then dropped to as low as a 4. Long-time followers know I like to fade line moves. I feel we are getting excellent line value here with the Cavaliers. Yes the Dukes have the better record early this season but consider the competition they have faced. This is no disrespect to James Madison but they play in the Colonial Athletic Association. Virginia, on the other hand, plays in the Atlantic Coast Conference. The Cavs projected by many to finish in the top 3 or 4 in the ACC while the Dukes also expected to be top 3 or 4 in their conference but again that is the CAA. Yes James Madison is at home for this game but I just think Virginia's defense is going to be too much for this Dukes team. Two years ago when these teams met the Cavaliers won 65 to 34. I am not saying this game but will be like that but I am just saying I do not think the gap has closed so much between these teams. Tony Bennett one of the best coaches in college hoops and I do expect a victory by about a 10 point margin in this one as they dial up the defense again in this one. 10* VIRGINIA -4.5 |
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12-06-21 | Patriots v. Bills -2.5 | Top | 14-10 | Loss | -118 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
NFL ESPN Blowout - 10* Top Play Buffalo Bills -2.5 vs New England Patriots @ 8:15 ET - The weather is going to be quite bad tonight in terms of winds which is going to make the ground game more important in this one. Statistically, both teams are solid in terms of running the ball but in terms of rush defense the Bills rate much better. That plus home field could make a huge difference in this game. Also, in terms of cold weather familiarity and dealing with blustery winds, Bills QB Josh Allen played his college ball at Wyoming while Mac Jones played at Alabama. These couple keys I just mentioned may seem like minor ones but they do carry some weight here and can be a difference maker in a key divisional battle like this. The Patriots have certainly been the hotter team of late but I like the Bills in this one at home and looking to make up for the embarrassing effort against the Colts the last time they played here at Orchard Park. 10* BUFFALO -2.5 |
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12-06-21 | 76ers -7 v. Hornets | Top | 127-124 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash - 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -7 @ Charlotte @ 7:10 ET - I expect Tobias Harris to be back tonight as his illness was non-covid related and the Sixers have had two off days since knocking off the Hawks on Friday. Philly showed great resilience in that game and, even if Harris does not play, I like them here. The 76ers have allowed an average of 93 points per game last 3 while the Hornets, NOT even including OT points, have allowed 131 points per game last 4 games. This is also the front end of a 2-game set as these teams meet again in Charlotte Wednesday. That said, the road team should be fully focused on the task at hand here and I look for the team that is much better defensively to prevail by double digits. 10* PHILADELPHIA -7 |