Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-21-23 | Orioles v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | 2-7 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Orioles/Rays (SUPER TOTAL) This is a really interesting series, as both teams are among the best in the American League and they're both from the same division. They say that divisional matchups are always the most important and that they almost always mean more to the home side. But we're going to steer clear of the side on this one and instead focus on the total. looking at these starting pitchers and we definitely think that runs are going to be at a premium in this game on Wednesday night. Baltimore goes with Tyler Wells who is 6-2 with a 3.20 ERA (he has an 82 to 16 strikeout to walk ratio), while the home side goes with Taj Bradley, who is 4-3 with a 4.19 ERA (and 63 to 15 strikeout to walk ratio.) Recent form always plays a big part in our handicapping and these two guys come in on top form. Expect them each to battle deep, and because of that, the play is the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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06-20-23 | Padres v. Giants UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
10* UNDER Padres/Giants (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring affairs of late, but we're expecting those trends to finally end here this evening. San Fran has won eight in a row, and it's seen the total go "over" in six straight. Despite yesterday's 7-4 extra-innings win, note that the Giants have still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. SD has seen it go "over" in two straight now, but note that it's seen the total go "under" in three of its last four in trying to avenge a road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. We have two battle-tested starters going head-to-head here and we're expecting a classic "duel" tonight: Seth Lugo is 3-3 with a 4.10 ERA for the Padres, while Anthony DeSclafani is 4-6 with a 4.31 ERA for the Giants. The situation, combined with the above O/U ATS stats makes the "under" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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06-20-23 | Mets v. Astros -133 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
10* Astros (BOB) We like the Astros to snap their current five-game slide against their former teammate Justin Verlander tonight. Verlander 2-3 with a 4.40 ERA and 1.22 WHIP for the Mets, while his counterpart Framber Valdez is 6-5 with a 2.27 ERA and 1.03 WHIP for the Astros. Houston has lost five straight, which is significant to note as well, as the Astros are 7-3 in their last ten after five or more straight losses in a row. We're taking the Astros to finally bounce-back here after last night's humbling 11-1 loss; the play is Houston! AAA Sports |
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06-20-23 | Dream v. Wings -165 | Top | 73-85 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
10* Wings (NON-CONF GOW) Here's a great situational play. Dallas has lost three straight, both SU and ATS, and that's significant to note here as the Wings are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. These teams played here to kick off the season, and Dallas won 85-78 as a two-point favorite back on May 20th. ATL has won three straight, both SU/ATS, which is also important to take note of, as the Dream are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight after three or more straight SU/ATS victories in a row. With a home game vs. New York up next, we expect the visitors to finally have a letdown here and get caught "looking ahead" as well; lay the points the play is Dallas! AAA Sports |
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06-19-23 | Red Sox v. Twins -128 | Top | 9-3 | Loss | -128 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
10* Twins (AL GOW) We think the Red Sox have a classic "letdown" here after four straight victories, including three straight at home over the Yankees this weekend. Can anyone say "letdown" spot?! The Twins come in disgusted with their performance over the weekend, losing three of four to the Tigers here at home. For argument's sake, we're going to classify these starting pitchers as a "wash," as James Paxton is 2-1 with a 3.09 ERA for the Red Sox, while Pablo Lopez is 3-3 with a 4.27 ERA for the Twins. Boston is just 16-17 at home, while Minnesota is 21-17 at home. For all the reasons listed above, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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06-18-23 | Hamilton -133 v. Toronto | Top | 14-32 | Loss | -133 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
10* Hamilton (EAST-CONF GOM) The Argos are the defending Grey Cup Champs, yet they're the underdog at home here in their first game of the season?! With nearly 80% of the public money on the Argos, we're going the other way here and grabbing Hamilton. Yes, the Ti-Cats lost 42-31 at Winnipeg in Week 1, but the Blue Bombers are once again projected to be the best team in the league stat wise, and certainly offensively. The Argos have the fourth best shot at winning the Grey Cup in the early odds. But Toronto is a big step down in competition with the high turnover in the offseason. Look for the high-flying Ti-Cats to surprise the defending Champs on their own field; lay the price with confidence, the play is Hamilton on the moneyline! AAA Sports |
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06-18-23 | Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Giants/Dodgers. Both teams have been playing to several high-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to finally end here. San Fran has won six straight, and it's seen the total go "over" in four straight. Note though that the Dodgers have seen the the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. The Dodgers fell 15-0 yesterday, which is also signficant to note here, as LA has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last nine in trying to avenge a loss of ten or more runs vs. an opponent. Logan Webb is 5-6 with a 3.15 ERA for the Giants, while Tony Gonsolin is 4-1 with a 1.93 ERA for the Dodgers. Expect them to battle deep and for this total to ultimately stay well "under" once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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06-18-23 | Rays v. Padres -143 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
10* Padres (ASSASSIN) The Rays are a great team, but we think they get caught "looking ahead" here to a day off, followed by a long stretch at home. The Padres are looking to make up ground and to win this series off yesterday's victory. Yonny Chirinos and Joe Musgrove have similar numbers, but we give the slight nod to Musgrove at home here. Look for San Diego to build off yesterday's win and lay this price with confidence! AAA Sports |
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06-17-23 | Edmonton Elks v. BC OVER 46 | Top | 0-22 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER Elks/Lions (WEST-CONF TOY) Both teams come in off low-scoring Week 1 contests, but we're anticipating a much more wide-open contest here in BC this weekend. Edmonton fell 17-13 at home to Saskatchewan as a 2.5-point favorite. Including the two pre-season games, the Elks are 0-3. BC enters off a 25-15 road win at Calgary as a 2.5-point underdog. The total stayed well "under" the number of 50.5 in that one. Note though that BC has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five off an upset road win as an underdog. Talor Cornelius wasn't horrible in a losing cause for Edmonton last week, finishing with 202 yards passing, one TD and two picks. Eugene Lewis was unstoppable though with 148 receiving yards. Last year Edmonton allowed an average of 33.3 PPG, so the Week 1 result was in fact a huge improvement, but that said, that was at home. Now on the road, we're expecting a letdown. BC looked sharp in its 25-15 road win at Calgary. We should see Vernon Adams have an even stronger performance this week, as he finished 27 of 35 for 288 yards, two TD's and an INT. We're expecting a more wide-open affair here; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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06-17-23 | Columbus v. New York City FC OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -118 | 48 h 35 m | Show |
10* OVER NYCFC/Columbus (EAST-CONF. TOY) New York City FC comes in desparate to break its longest winless urn in MLS regular-season play since 2015. Last week the Pigeons managed a 0-0 draw with Real Salt Lake, pushing their winless run in MLB to eight games. The Columbus Crew come in on the other end of the spectrum, having won three in a row and off an impressive 2-1 win over the Chicago Fire. The Boys in Blue have picked up back-to-back domestic fixture wins and they'll now look to translate that into success here in MLS. New York has had plenty of success against Columbus in the past and in a contet that we see having a much "faster pace" than anticipated, we look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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06-16-23 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan +7 | Top | 45-27 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
10* Saskatchewan (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams enter 1-0 SU/ATS. Winnipeg held on for a 42-31 win over Hamilton at home as a 4.5-point favorite, while Saskatchewan looked impressive as well in a 17-13 defensive victory at Edmonton as a 2.5-point underdog. Ultimately we think that Winnipeg's offense will be a little less effective on the road, and especially facing this improved Riders defensive units. To say this is a "revenge" game as well would be an understatement after the Blue Bombers swept the season series with Saskatchewan last year. But the Bombers looked poor down the stretch last week, as they actually had a 32-4 lead with five minutes into the third quarter only to hold on for the 42-31 win. We expect the home side to make a game of this one. We're stopping short in calling for the outright upset though; grab the points, the play is the Roughriders! AAA Sports |
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06-16-23 | Blue Jays v. Rangers +1.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
10* Rangers RUNLINE (VALUE POW) Here's two teams in need of a win. That said, home field advantage can't be overlooked here in this particular matchup between two good pitchers that have been struggling of late. Toronto has lost four of its last six, including two of three at Baltimore earlier this week, while Texas has lost six of eight. Kevin Gausman (5-3, 3.12 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, while Martin Perez (6-2, 4.67) toes the slab for the home side. Perez has allowed 14 runs over his last three starts, but we expect him to settle down here. Note that he's 3-0 with a 1.40 ERA over his last four starts here at Globe Life Field. Gausman got rocked in his last outing as well, allowing six runs off seven hits with four walks over just four innings. Overall we feel we're getting great value here on grabbing the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is Texas on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-16-23 | Mercury v. Mystics OVER 157.5 | Top | 69-88 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
10* Phoenix/Washington OVER (ASSASSIN) Washington has seem the total go "under" the number in six straight after their most recent 87-66 loss at Indiana as a 4-point favorite. Note tough that the Mystics have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten off a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite. Washington is 5-4, but Phoenix is just 2-6, most recently falling 83-69 at home to Seattle as a 6.5-point favorite. That's also signficant to note, as the Mercury have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. Two teams in dire need of a victory are going to get out and push the pace in this one from start to finish, and as a result, we expect this total to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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06-15-23 | Storm v. Aces -17.5 | Top | 63-96 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
10* Aces (BOB) For us, this is a great "situational" play, set up by some strong ATS stats. Seattle is coming off an 83-69 win at Phoenix as a 6.5-point favorite, but note that the Storm are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten off a SU/ATS road win as an underdog. The last time these teams faced off, Las Vegas won by a score of 105-64, and that's what we're expecting here tonight as well. Las Vegas is 8-1, and while it's just 1-4 ATS in its last five, we absolutely feel that the value has now finally swung the other way for the Aces. We expect Las Vegas to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion; lay the points, the play is indeed on the Aces! AAA Sports |
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06-15-23 | Angels v. Rangers -137 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -137 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
10* Rangers (AL GOM) Texas broke a three-game slide with a convincing 6-3 win last night, and we're expecting the home side to now close out this series with another victory, despite the Angels going with their ace Shohei Ohtani. He's 5-2 with a 3.32 ERA, but he's lost his last four starts in Texas. Nathan Eovaldi is having a huge season and we expect him to keep that momentum rolling here, coming in at 9-2 with a 2.49 ERA. LA is now 8-2 in its last ten, but we're expecting the visiting side to have another letdown here. Eovaldi is in fact 8-0 with a 1.65 ERA over his last ten starts; in our humble opinion, this is the very definition of "great line value." The play is Texas! AAA Sports |
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06-15-23 | Calgary v. Ottawa +5.5 | Top | 26-15 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 21 m | Show |
10* Redblacks (ASSASSIN) Both teams are 0-1 to open the season. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Ottawa will have Nick Arbuckle under center, and Calgary has Jake Maier starting. Maier and the Stamps got squashed at home 25-15 by the BC Lions, who aren't expected to do much this season. Maier had 166 yards, 1 TD and I INT. Ka'Deem Carey had just 39 rushing yards. Ottawa fell 19-12 to Montreal. Arbuckle had three INT's and was 19 of 35 for 175 yards. Let's be honest, both teams looked shaky. But we're expecting Arbuckle to improve here, and Ottawa's defense looked pretty good overall. The outright upset?! Anything's possible, but we're not calling for that; grab the points, the play is indeed on Ottawa! AAA Sports |
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06-14-23 | Houston Dynamo v. Los Angeles FC UNDER 3 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 30 h 0 m | Show |
10* UNDER Houston/LA FC (MLS TOW) LA FC is on a terrible run right now, having gone five straight matches without a win across all leagues. They also fell 4-0 to Houston on Sunday in MLS action, breaking their four-game unbeaten streak in MLS (note though that LA FC has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four in trying to avenge a shutout loss against an opponent.) LAFC was at one point unbeaten over its first eight matches in the MLS. Houston will have to be careful not to have a letdown here after a superb performance against Chicago in the US Open Cup last week to cement their spot in the Semi-Final with Real Salt Lake. Note as well that in eight away MLS matches, Houston has taken just two points. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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06-14-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks -133 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -133 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
10* Diamondbacks (ASSASSIN) This was an interesting series matchup before it started on Monday, as each team came into the series really hot. Arizona win won the opener 9-8, but Philadelphia bounced back wiht a big 15-3 victory last night. However, we think this is a starting pitching matchup that does favor the D-Backs here, and at this price at home, we expect they can keep the momentum rolling. The Phillies are still just 14-23 on the road, while Arizona is now 21-15 at home. The visiting side hands the ball to the lefty Ranger Suarez, who is 1-2 with a 4.70 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. He's so far been consistently inconsistent and we don't see things changing here in this difficult road venue and also especially going up against Arizona Ace Merrill Kelly, who is 8-3 with a 2.92 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. Kelly has admittedly been better on the road than at home, he's 5-0 with a 2.12 ERA on the road, and 3-3 with a 3.56 ERA at home. But, despite that, we still think at this price here at home that Kelly is for sure the VALUE PLAY; lay the short price, the play is Arizona! AAA Sports |
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06-14-23 | Marlins v. Mariners UNDER 7 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
10* UNDER Marlins/Mariners (TOTAL BOB) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, including in the Mariners 9-3 win last night. Seattle has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, which is significant to note as the M's have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Miami has also seen the total go "over" in three straight, which is also important for us to take note, as the Fish have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. We have two red hot starters going head to head, and that's another reason this total is so low, but still not low enough in our estimation. Eury Perez is 3-1 with a 2.17 ERA for the Marlins, while Luis Castillo is 4-4 with a 2.70 ERA for the M's; all signs finally point to a lower-scoring "under" in this one! AAA Sports |
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06-13-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights -166 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 36 h 7 m | Show |
10* Vegas (WINNER) Florida has responded well in this spot for bettors, but at this price, and despite most of the public money on them, we still think that the Knights offer really great value to secure its first ever Stanley Cup. Las Vegas has been great on both ends of the ice in this series, but especially on the defensive end. Now on the road, we expect the Panthers to falter as the game wares on. Lay the price, the play is Las Vegas! AAA Sports |
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06-13-23 | Dream v. Liberty UNDER 171 | Top | 86-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
10* UNDER Dream/Liberty (TOY) These teams played last week and New YOrk won at Atlanta by a score of 106-83. The total went well "over" the number of 165, but we're expecting a more defensive affair here in the rematch. Note that ATL has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. ATL has lost three straight, and it's seen the total go "over" in three straight. Note though that the Dream have seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Look for a much more methodical pace here; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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06-13-23 | Rockies v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
10* OVER Rockies/Red Sox (IL TOW) Everything points to this one flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later. Colorado has seen the total go "under" the number in three straight now after yesterday's 4-3 win here. Note though that Colorado has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Boston has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Chase Anderson is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA for the Rockies. Difficult spot for Anderson obviously and the sample size is just too small. Karl Crawford is 1-3 with a 3.68 ERA for the Red Sox. This is just a case of each of these guys being in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" though, as the overall situation, comibned with the above relevant O/U ATS stats all do indeed point to this one flying "over" the posted number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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06-12-23 | Heat +9 v. Nuggets | Top | 89-94 | Win | 100 | 35 h 49 m | Show |
10* Heat (BLOCKBUSTER) After back-to-back losses, we like Miami to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Note that the Heat are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight SU/ATS home losses vs. an opponent. Miami won't go down without a savage fight here. The Heat were undervalued and overlooked throughout the Playoffs, and we think that's the case here as well. This is just too many points for a Denver to cover. The Nuggets are likely going to be Champions after this, but good teams win and GREAT teams cover; grab the points, the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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06-12-23 | Angels v. Rangers -150 | Top | 9-6 | Loss | -150 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
10* Rangers (AL GOW) The Angels have been surging, and the Rangers have been stumbling somewhat of late, but I think the home side has the better starting pitcher going tonight and that'll be more than enough to help Texas get back on track in the opener of this series. LA has won six of its last seven, but off a 9-4 home win over Seattle yesterday, I think it'll have its hands full here with a now focussed Rangers side looking to snap a skid in which they've lost four of their last five. But as stated, this starting pitching matchup favors the home side in my opinion, as Tyler Anderson is 3-1 with a ballooned 5.62 ERA for the Halos, while Dane Dunning is 5-1 with a 2.52 ERA for the Rangers; lay the price, the play is Texas! AAA Sports |
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06-11-23 | Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
10* Red Sox/Yanks OVER (AL EAST TOY) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Boston has seen the total go "under" in both games here in the Bronx, including yesterday's 3-1 loss. It's interesting to note though that the BoSox have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four in trying to avenge a road loss against an opponent in which they were held to one or no runs in. New York has now seen the total go "under" in three straight, which is significant to note here as well, as the Yanks have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Both starting pithers have been "pedestrian" at best this year, and pedestrian won't get the job done tonight in our opinion. Brian Bello is 3-4 with a 3.97 ERA and 1.43 WHIP for the Red Sox, while Clarke Schmidt is 2-6 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.46 WHIP for the Yanks. Look for these guys to make an early exit and ultimately expect this total to fly "over" the posted number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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06-11-23 | Saskatchewan v. Edmonton Elks -135 | Top | 17-13 | Loss | -135 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
10* Edmonton MONEYLINE (ASSASSIN) We're going to suggest skipping playing the spread, and instead just lay the price for Edmonton to win this game "straight up." Saskatchewan missed the playoffs last year for hte first time since 2016. Trevor Harris is a new face under center for the visiting side. Edmonton fans can empathize though, as their team has just seven combined wins over the last two seasons. Taylor Cornelius showed flashes of competence last year under center for the Elks, and we expect him to be a difference-maker here on Opening night on home soil. Edmonton is at home and Cornelius is more acclimated with his offense than his counterpart. Lay the moneyline, the play is the Elks! AAA Sports |
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06-11-23 | Sun v. Dream UNDER 163.5 | Top | 89-77 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER Connecticut/Atlanta (SUPER TOTAL) These teams have been playing to some higher-scoring games, but we expect those trends to end this evening. Connecticut is 7-2 after splitting a home two-game series with Las Vegas most recently. Both games went "over" the number. Atlanta is just 2-4 after back-to-back losses, most recently a 106-83 setback at home here to New York. That though is important for us to take note of, because ATL has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after a home loss in which it allowed 100 or more points in. This is in fact the opener of a home and home set between these clubs, and all signs point to this first game being a tight, lower-scoring defensive one; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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06-10-23 | Golden Knights +103 v. Panthers | Top | 3-2 | Win | 103 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
10* Vegas (BLOCKBUSTER) We've played on Vegas in every game so far, and we'll ride the Knights again here. Strengths and weaknesses are well known for each side. There are literally millions of reveiew articles out there if you want to get up to speed on how each reached this point. The bottom line here though is that Vegas has responded well in this spot for bettors, going 4-1 in its last five in trying to avenge a road loss as an underdog vs. an opponent; great value here on the Knights! AAA Sports |
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06-10-23 | Ottawa v. Montreal OVER 43.5 | Top | 12-19 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER Ottawa/Montreal (ASSASSIN) Ottawa Redblacks missed the playoffs last year with a 4-14 record. Ottawa QB Jeremiah Masoli is out with a knee injury, so we'll see a combination here of Dustin Crum, Nick Arbuckle and Tyrie Adams. The Alouettes signed QB Cody Fajardo, who finished with 16 TDs and 13 INTs for the Roughriders last year. Look for Fajardo to be given the green light here today to open things up in this new offense. Expect this total to soar "over" the number as the game comes down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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06-10-23 | Mets v. Pirates UNDER 9 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
10* UNDER Mets/Pirates (SUPER TOTAL) Both teams have been struggling, and each has been playing to several higher-scoring affairs of late. These facts though have only helped in contributing to this total here on Saturday in being a bit higher than it normally would/should be in our opinion. The Mets have now lost seven straight, and they've seen the total go "over" the number in their last three, including in yesterday's 14-7 series opening loss here. Note though that New York has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Pittsburgh has also seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, which is also significant to note here as the Pirates have seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Two really decent starters who we expect to battle deep; the Mets turn to Kodai Senga, who is 5-3 with a 3.75 ERA, while the home side counters with Johan Oviedo, who is 3-4 with a 4.29 ERA. The overall situation combined with the above listed ATS trends does indeed make the "under" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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06-09-23 | Nuggets v. Heat +3.5 | Top | 108-95 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
10* Heat (GOW) If you want a complete review of how each of thee team's got here, then there are plenty of "preview" articles out there. Literally millions. If you're wagering on this game then you know the cast of characters and the strengths and weaknesses of each side. You also know that Denver is up 2-1 in this series, and because of that, we're expecting Miami to risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes to secure another slight upset. Note that Miami has done well in this spot for bettors as well, going 7-2 ATS in its last nine off a home loss as an underdog. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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06-09-23 | Mercury v. Wings OVER 167.5 | Top | 77-90 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
10* OVER Phoenix/Dallas (TOW) These teams have been involved in some lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. The Mercury will be hungry to get back in to the winner's circle after starting the season just 1-4. That includes an 84-79 loss here at Dallas just two nights ago. While Phoenix did cover with the 5.5-point spread, the total went "under" the number of 167.5. Note though that the Mercury have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a SU road loss vs. an opponent. Dallas is 4-3. It's seen the total go "under" in three straight, which is significant to note, as the Wings have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. We're expecting a much more efficent, and overall faster-paced affair here in the second game of the B2B scenario between these clubs; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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06-09-23 | Twins v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
10* OVER Twins/Jays (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several lwer-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to come to an explosive end here in the opener of this one North of the border. Minnesota has lost five straight, and it's seen the total go "under" in six straight. Note though that the Twins have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last ten after playing to five or more straight losses in a row. The Jays enter the weekend after playing four staright at home here to Houston, going 3-1 in the process, winning the last three in the series, with all three of those contests going "under" the number. Note though that TO has seen the total go "over" the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Both pitchers have been decent, with Sonny Gray at 4-1 with 2.15 ERA for the Twins, while Yusei Kikuchi is 6-2 with a 4.40 ERA for the Jays. This, though, is just a case of each being in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time," as the overall situation, combined with the above listed O/U ATS stats do indeed make the "over" the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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06-08-23 | BC v. Calgary OVER 50.5 | Top | 25-15 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
10* OVER Lions/Stampeders (TOTAL BLOWOUT) These teams met in the West Division semi-final last year, so blood will be boiling on each side and we expect that to translate into offensive production on the field. Note that this O/U line opened at 46.5 and has since been bet up. We're following the money on this one and expecting this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later. The Lions were 6-3 on the road last year, while the Stamps were 5-4 at home. Vernon Adams Jr. and Taquan Mizzell are an effective duo for the Lions. Jake Maier is now under center in Calgary, and he'll be leaning on 1,000-yard receiver Malik Henry and running back Ka’Deem Carey. But overall here in Week 1 and on Opening Night, we can expect a faster-paced, wide-open offensive affair; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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06-08-23 | Golden Knights +110 v. Panthers | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 35 h 9 m | Show |
10* Knights (BLOCKBUSTER) With a line like this, clearly the oddsmakers believe these teams are very evenly matched. And for the most part they are, but the Playoffs, and the Finals are all about "momentum" and timing and Las Vegas comes to the East Coast with a ton of each working in their favor. With the majority of the public wagers on the Panthers here in Game 3, we're staying true to our contrarian ways and "going the other way." In many such instances in the past, we'd be quick to back the 0-2 team in this situation, but that doesn't always work out. And in our opinion, this will be one of those instances. Overall the VALUE here in our opinion is on Las Vegas at this price; and that's the call, the play is the Golden Knights! AAA Sports |
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06-08-23 | White Sox v. Yankees OVER 8 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
8* OVER White Sox/Yanks (TOTAL BLOWOUT) These teams have been playing to several lower-scoring affairs of late, including in the White Sox 3-2 upset victory here in yesterday's series opener, but we're expecting much more of a "slug-fest" here on Thursday afternoon in the Bronx. Note that New York has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The White Sox have now won four straight, and they've seen the total go "under" in all four of those contests as well. That fact though has only helped in driving today's number a little lower than it normally would/should be though in our opinion. Neither starter has been anything to write home about this year. Lance Lynn is 4-6 with a 6.55 ERA for the White Sox, while Luis Severino is 0-1 with a 5.28 ERA for the Yanks. This number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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06-07-23 | Nuggets -135 v. Heat | Top | 109-94 | Win | 100 | 60 h 40 m | Show |
10* Nuggets (BLOCKBUSTER) We base a lot of our selections on public perception. We're contrarian handicappers at heart. The lines here in the Finals are sharper than ever. The value here for us though lies in Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets bouncing back and taking Game 3 (note that Denver is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent.) We've played on Miami a lot during the Playoffs already. In fact, we had a play on Miami in the FIRST HALF in Game 2, and while the came up just short unfortunately, the Heat did go on to win and cover (we did also recommend to play for the ENTIRE game if did not have access to FIRST HALF lines.) So that was an unfortunate loss, but here we feel the value has now swung in favor of the visiting side, which has responded well in this spot for bettors; lay the short points, the play is Denver! AAA Sports |
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06-07-23 | Orioles v. Brewers OVER 8 | Top | 2-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
10* OVER Orioles/Brewers (BEST OF BEST) These teams have been playing to lower-scoring affairs of late, but we're expecting that to end this evening. We had a play on Milwaukee last night in the Brewers 4-3 extra-innings victory. Milwaukee is now back in 1st in the NL Central at 33-28. Milwaukee has now won four of its last five. It's seen the total go "under" in six of its last seven, including in three straight. That's important to take note of for us though, as the Brewers have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Baltimore has seen the total go "under" in three of its last four, including in the most recent loss. The Brewers get the job done most nights with the seventh ranked offense that averages 4.92 RPG. The overall ERA is middle of the road though at 4.16, ranked 15th. The overall situation, combined with the strong O/U ATS stat listed above, makes the OVER the correct call here in this one on Wednesday night! AAA Sports |
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06-06-23 | Fever +6.5 v. Sky | Top | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
10* Fever (WNBA GOW) Chicago is 4-3, while Indiana is 1-4. The desperate Fever have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright in our opinion, but in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. Indiana may only be 1-4 SU, but it's 3-2 ATS, including winning three straight ATS. We feel that the Fever are still being undervalued here. Chicago broke a two-game slide with an 86-82 win at New York last time out. The Sky are 6-1 ATS, and now we firmly believe they're overvalued by casual bettors at this point. Chicago hits the road after this for a Westcoast swing, so it's also a "look ahead." Look for the desperate vistors to, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; the play is Indiana! AAA Sports |
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06-06-23 | Orioles v. Brewers -115 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 38 m | Show |
10* Brewers (IL GOY) We like the Brewers to carry over their recent momentum here at home, and overall we feel the home side offers tremendous value at this price. Each team had Monday off. Baltimore has been trading wins and losses over its last eight games, and off an 8-3 win over San Fran most recently, we're expecting this trend to continue here. Milwaukee is now first in the NL Central off a sweep of what was a red hot Cincinnati side over the weekend. Kyle Gibson is 7-3 with a 3.89 ERA for the Orioles, while Freddy Peralta is 5-5 with a 4.62 ERA for the Brewers. For arguments sakes, we're calling these guys a "wash." The Brewers bullpen has been strong over the last month and once again, this all comes down to what we perceive to be insane "line value" on what we feel is a very undervalued and hungry home side; lay the short price, the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
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06-06-23 | Twins v. Rays OVER 8 | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
10* OVER Twins/Rays (AL TOM) Both teams come into this series having played to several lower-scoring games, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Minnesota went 2-2 at home against Cleveland this weekend, losing the final two. The final three games in the series went "under" the number, which is important to note here as the Twins have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Tampa took three of four in Boston over the weekend. The final three games went "under" the number. And that's also significant to take note of, as the Rays have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Louie Varland is 3-1 with a 3.51 ERA for Minnesota, while Zach Eflin is 7-1 with a 3.30 ERA for the Rays. We have a difficult time finding too many negative things to say about either starter, so we won't bother. The overall situation, combined with the above listed O/U trends though will see this one fly "over" the number as the game comes down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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06-05-23 | Cubs v. Padres OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
10* OVER Cubs/Padres (NL TOY) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but despite a couple of decent starters going head-to-head here in the finale of this four-game series, we think they're at the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" tonight, as we expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. Chicago has now seen the total go "under" in six straight games after last night's 7-1 win here. Note though that Chicago has still seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. SD has now seen the total go "under" in three straight after yesterday's loss. Note though that Chicago has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a home loss as a dog vs. an opponent. Because this play is on the "over," it's going to be an ACTION play, meaning it doesn't matter who gets the start here. Kyle Hendricks is scheduled for the Cubs and he's 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA. The home side counters with Blake Snell, who is 1-6 with a 4.50 ERA. The overall situation, combined with the above listed O/U trends does indeed make the "over" the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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06-05-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -120 | 32 h 56 m | Show |
10* UNDER Panthers/Knights (TOW) We had a play on Game 1 on the "over," but we're anticipating a much more defensive affair here in Game 2. These teams both have great goaltending and defense, and note that Florida has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent. Expect a much more methodical pace here from each side, as each waits for the other to make the first mistake. In an environment like that, everything points to a lower-scoring defensive affair; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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06-04-23 | Heat +8.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
10* HEAT FIRST HALF (ASSASSIN) NOTE: If you don't have access to FIRST HALF lines, then we also like Miami for the ENTIRE GAME as well. Miami only took two free throws in Game 1 and was still only a three-pointer away from covering. Miami got better as the game went on after getting steamrolled at the start. We can expect another strong performance from the visting side, but we're anticipating this time for Miami to jump out to a lead in the first half. The Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent; look for Miami to pay immediate dividends in the first half! AAA Sports |
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06-04-23 | Yankees v. Dodgers UNDER 9 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Yanks/Dodgers. These teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this evening. The Yanks have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six after last night's 6-3 victory. Some would have "pushed" on that total last night, but it did close at 8.5, so so far both games here in LA have gone "over" in this series. We're expecting more of a "duel" here finally in the finale. Note that LA has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a home loss as a dog vs. an opponent. Domingo German is battle-tested for the Yanks, now 3-3 with a 3.98 ERA and tiny 0.98 WHIP. He'll be opposed by Bobby Miller, who is 2-0 with a 1.64 ERA and even more impressive 0.91 WHIP. Look for these two "studs" to battle deep and for this total to ultimately stay "under" once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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06-03-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 79 h 47 m | Show |
10* OVER Panthers/Knights (TOTAL BLOOD-BATH) It's going to be an exciting Stanley Cup Final. These teams are extremely similar in many regards. Las Vegas has a core group of guys that have been playing in the postseason for a few years now, while Florida's Cinderella story is looking to add one more positive chapter. We're steering clear of a side in Game 1 and instead focussing on the total. If this were a regular season game, the total would be site at either 6 or 6.5. The Playoffs have produced plenty of lower-scoring defensive affairs, but note that Florida has seen the total go "over" the number in five of its last seven when playing with three or more days of rest. In what we anticipate will be a wide-open and faster-paced affair in Game 1, we're going with the "over" for sure! AAA Sports |
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06-03-23 | Cardinals v. Pirates UNDER 9.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Cards/Pirates (PITCHERS DUEL) Both teams have been playing to higher-scoring affairs recently, but we expect those trends to end this afternoon. Pittsburgh has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five games. That includes in yesterday's series-opening 7-5 victory here over the Cards. Note though that St. Louis has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four in trying to avenge a road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Two decent starters going head-to-head here, and we're expecting a "duel:" Jordan Montgomery is 2-6 with a 4.48 ERA for the Cards, while Luis Ortiz 1-2 with a 4.35 ERA for Pittsburgh. Note that despite just a 1-2 record vs. Pittsburgh lifetime, Montgomery does own the sharp 2.95 ERA in that span. The overall situation points to this total staying below this super high number; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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06-02-23 | Guardians v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
10* UNDER Guardians/Twins (AL CENTRAL DIV. TOY) Both teams have been playing to higher-scroing games of late, but we expect those trends to end this evening. Cleveland has now seen the total go "over" the number in three straight after falling 7-6 in last night's series opener here. That's significant to note though as Cleveland has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straigth "overs" in a row. Minnesota has seen the total go "over" in three of its last four. The bottom line here though is we really like these starting pitchers and we ultimatley believe they'll be throwing deep into this one: Cleveland goes with Aaaron Civale, who is 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA, while Minnesota counters with Bailey Ober, who is 3-2 with a 2.68 ERA. The overall situation combined with the above listed ATS O/U stat does indeed make the "under" the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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06-01-23 | Heat v. Nuggets OVER 219 | Top | 93-104 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 39 m | Show |
10* OVER Heat/Nuggets (BLOWOUT) Everything about this Game 1 SCREAMS "under," but in the end we're actually expecting a must faster-paced affair that most are expecting. These are two very defensive-minded clubs, but note that the Nuggets have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten when playing with three or more days of rest. The Nuggets will be out to push the pace from start to finish, and they won't take the foot off the gas at all as they look to crush the will and spirit of the Heat. Miami though has won the first game of every series so far in the Playoffs though, scoring 130 points in Game 1 vs. Milwaukee, 108 points in the Game 1 victory over New York and 123 points in Game 1 vs. Boston. Everything points to this total flying "over" the posted number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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06-01-23 | Reds v. Red Sox -153 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
8* Red Sox (BLOOD-BATH) After losing the first two games of this series, we like Chris Sale to outduel his counterpart and for the Red Sox to finally bounce-back in the finale. Note that Boston is still 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The Reds are finally primed for a letdown after five straight victories, as note that Cincinnati is just 2-6 in its last eight after five or more straight wins in a row. Hunter Greene is an unremarkable 1-4 with a 4.18 ERA for the Reds. Sale is 5-2 with a 4.72 ERA for the Red Sox. After a brutal start to the season, Sale has been "on fire" and we expect that progression to continue; lay the price, the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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05-31-23 | Yankees v. Mariners UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
10* UNDER Yanks/Mariners (BLOOD-BATH) The first two games of this series have flown "over" the number, but we're finally expecting a more defensive "duel" here in the finale. Note that Seattle has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. Clarke Scmidt is 2-5 with a 5.58 ERA for the Yanks, while George Kirby is 5-4 with a 3.43 ERA for Seattle. We're expecting these starters to battle deep, and as a result, we look for this total to stay "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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05-31-23 | Chicago Fire +0.5 v. Toronto FC | Top | 0-0 | Win | 100 | 34 h 27 m | Show |
10* Chicago +0.5 (MLS GOW) We simply don't trust Toronto at all. It did end a five-match winless run in all competitions last weekend, but an immediate return to mediocrity seems imminent. The Reds won 3-1 over DC United, while Chicago will be the hungrier team now after squandering a second-half advantage and drawing 3-3 with New England last time out. Chicago hasn't had much luck North of the border, but that just adds fuel to the fire here. The outright is possible, but let's grab on the spread as the great price; the play is Chicago +0.5. AAA Sports |
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05-31-23 | Roma v. Sevilla OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 30 h 13 m | Show |
10* OVER 0.5 goal in FIRST HALF of the EUROPA LEAGUE FINAL. Yes, if Jose Mourinho and Roma are going to win this game, it'll be on the backs of their elite defensive play, but we're still expecting at least one goal in the FIRST HALF of the Europa League Final. Sevilla is in the superior form currently, and it'll be trying desperately to dictate the tempo early. If you can only play of the ENTIRE GAME, then we also like the OVER for the match as well. Regardless, we're laying the price with confidence here on the OVER in the FIRST HALF! AAA Sports |
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05-30-23 | Guardians v. Orioles -146 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
10* play on the Orioles. Off yesterday's series opening 5-0 loss, we think that Kyle Gibson and the home side offer great value at this price to "bounce back." Note that Baltimore is 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge a shutout home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Cleveland is still just 12-14 on the road this year, which doesn't bode well for starter Cal Quantrill, who is 2-3 with a 4.75 ERA this season. Gibson is 6-3 with a 3.82 ERA. All things considered, we feel this line could/should in fact be a lot larger; lay the price, the play is Baltimore! AAA Sports |
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05-30-23 | Padres v. Marlins -119 | 9-4 | Loss | -119 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
8* play on the Marlins. The Padres are regressing, and the Marlins are surging and we expect these trends to continue here on Tuesday night. The Marlins swept their series at the Angels and they enter having won four of their last five, while the Padres lost two of three in the Bronx over the weekend. Ryan Weathers is 1-3 with a 3.94 ERA for the Friars, while Sandy Alcantara is 2-5 with a 4.86 ERA for the Fish. Alcantara is 2-1 with a 0.96 ERA in three career starts vs. the Padres, while Weathers is 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA in two career starts vs. the Marlins; lay the price, the play is indeed on Miami! AAA Sports |
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05-30-23 | Rangers v. Tigers +1.5 | 10-6 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
8* play on Tigers runline. We like the Tigers to bounce back off yesterday's series opening 5-0 loss. Note that Detroit is 3-1 in its last four in trying to avenge a loss at home as a dog vs. an opponent. Martin Perez is 6-1 with a 3.83 ERA for the Rangers, while Alex Faedo is 1-2 with a 4.15 ERA for the Tigers. Faedo is coming in with a ton of momentum here though off his best start of his career, striking out ten and allowing just two runs with no walks over six innings in the eventual 7-2 win over the White Sox. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is Detroit on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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05-29-23 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 203 | Top | 103-84 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
10* OVER Heat/Celtics (ECF TOW) Boston has won three straight, and all three of those contests have gone "under" the number. That fact though has only helped in driving this Game 7 total a few points lower than it really should be in our opinion. Note that Boston has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Miami will be looking to avoid becoming a footnote in NBA history here, as no team in the NBA Playoffs has ever come back from an 0-3 deficit. Note though that the Heat have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a home loss as a dog vs. an opponent; this number is a tad low now, so the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-29-23 | Golden Knights v. Stars -121 | Top | 6-0 | Loss | -121 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
10* Stars (WCF GOW) "Momentum" is a very real, tangible factor in sports (at times,) and that's especially true in the Playoffs. Dallas has battled back to force a Game 6 and now the Stars will have captain Jamie Benn back in the line-up after a two-game suspension for cross-checking Matt Stone in Game 3. So, the momentum has for sure now swung in favor of the Stars, and an epic Game 7 showdown in the desert is just what the NHL wants. The bottom line for this one is that these teams are indeed evenly matched, but at this price, the home side is the best value play; lay the short-price, the play is Dallas! AAA Sports |
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05-29-23 | Guardians v. Orioles OVER 8 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
10* OVER Guardians/Orioles (ULTRA TOTAL) These AL foes need wins. Cleveland more so. The Guardians are 23-29, including just 11-14 on the road. They took two off three at home from St. Louis over the weekend. Cleveland though has seen the total go "under" in seven straight games. Baltimore is 34-19 overall and 16-10 at home. The Orioles lost two of three at home to Texas over the weekend, but bounced back in yesterday's 3-2 victory. Baltimore has seen the total go "under" in three of its last four. Tyler Wells is 3-1 with a 3.47 ERA for the Orioles, but is coming off one of the worst starts of his career, getting shelled for five runs over five innings in a fortunate no-decision to the Yanks. Logan Allen is 1-2 with a 3.31 ERA for the Guardians. He took a loss in his last outing as well, allowing four runs off seven hits vs. the White Sox on Tuesday. We expect these starters to get chased early and we then look for this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-28-23 | Padres v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | Top | 7-10 | Win | 105 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
10* OVER Padres/Yankees (IL TOW) We have two really good starters going head-to-head here, but we feel that this is a case of each being in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time." The total has gone "under" the number in the first two games of this series, but we're expecting more of a "slug-fest" finally here in the finale. The Yanks have now seen the total go "under" in three straight, which is important to note here as over thes short-term New York has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Yu Darvish is 3-3 with a 3.67 ERA this year for the Padres, while Gerrit Cole is 5-0 with a 2.53 ERA for the Yanks. Each has actually had tremendous success against his opponent today in the past, but as the old saying goes, that was then and this is now. The overall situation points to this one eclipsing the posted number as it comes down the stretch; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-27-23 | Celtics v. Heat +3 | Top | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 35 h 13 m | Show |
10* Heat (BLOCKBUSTER) We've played on the Celtics over the last two games, but now we're jumping on the Heat. Note that Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge two or more SU/ATS losses in a row to an opponent. The Celtics are a great team, and it was almost inconceivable that they'd be swept in this series. But, after two titanic efforts to get to this point, we're finally expecting a letdown here on the road. Miami has been the surprise team out of the East this season and in a contest that we see being decided late, or by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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05-27-23 | Stars v. Golden Knights -131 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -131 | 35 h 38 m | Show |
10* Knights (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on Dallas in Game 4, and honestly we feel a bit "lucky" after that OT victory. Regardless, with a chance to now punch their ticket to the Stanley Cup Final, we absolutely believe that the "home ice" advantage can not be overlooked in this case. Note that Las Vegas is 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent as well. In our professional opinion, this is the very definition of "great line value;" lay the short price, the play is Las Vegas! AAA Sports |
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05-27-23 | Giants v. Brewers -110 | 3-1 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
8* Brewers (VALUE-PLAY) After back-to-back losses to open this three-game series, we're on the side of the public today, rolling with the Brewers to bounce back in the finale, as ultimatley we feel we're getting supreme line value in this one. Note that despite their two wins here, the Giants are still just 11-14 on the road, and despite two losses here, the Brewers are still 15-11 at home. Note as well that Milwaukee is 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses vs. an opponent. For arguments sakes, we're going to call these starters a "wash." Logan Webb is 3-5 with a 2.91 ERA for the Giants, while Corbin Burnes is 4-4 with a 3.97 ERA for the Brewers. The overall situation, combined with the above listed/relevant trend does indeed make MILWUAKEE the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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05-26-23 | Astros v. A's OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
10* OVER Astros/A's (ASSASSIN) Both of these AL sides have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Houston had won eight straight, before dropping the final two at Milwaukee, losing 6-0 and 4-0. Note though that the Astros have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five off a road shutout loss. The A's have lost eight straight, and they've seen the total go "under" in all eight of those setbacks. That fact though has only helped in driving this series Opening total a little lower than it normally would be in our opinion. Hunter Brown has been decent for the Astros, going 4-1 with a 3.20 ERA. His counterpart though James Kapriellian has been a complete "gas can" this year, going 0-4 with a ballooned 8.68 ERA for the A's; the overall situation, combined with the above strong/relevant O/U trends does indeed make the "under" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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05-25-23 | Heat v. Celtics -7.5 | Top | 97-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
10* Celtics (ASSASSIN) Boston survived this series with a clutch 116-99 victory in Game 4, and we like the Celtics to rally again here at home with another win and cover. We're contrarian at heart here, and with most of the bets and early money on the Heat, we naturally LOVE the Celtics even more. We think that Boston has finally "figured" out this Miami defense and that all signs here point to another blowout. NBA fans, get ready for a big Game 6 in Miami in a couple days, because everything we see points to a BIG win and COVER by Boston in Game 5; so lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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05-25-23 | Golden Knights v. Stars -110 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
10* Stars (BLOCKBUSTER) With their backs against the wall, and despite their captain Jamie Ben suspended for one game for his cross check on Matt Stone in Game 3, we expect the Stars to dig deep here and find a way to deliver in Game 4. The Knights had everything go right for them in Game 3, but note that Dallas is 4-1 in its last five in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Great value on this desperate home side; lay the price, the play is Dallas! AAA Sports |
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05-25-23 | Blue Jays v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jays/Rays (SUPER TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we expect those trents to end this afternoon. Toronto has seen the total go "over" in five straight after yesterday's 7-3 beatdown loss. Note though that the Jays have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Tampa Bay has also now played to five straight "overs," which is also significant for us to take note of, as the Rays have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. We call these starters a "wash," and we expect them to battle deep into this one. Alek Manoah is 1-4 with a 5.15 ERA for the Jays, while Zach Eflin is 6-1 with a 3.45 ERA for the Rays; the overall situation, combined with the above strong O/U trends make the "under" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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05-24-23 | Hurricanes +100 v. Panthers | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
8* Hurricanes (BLOCKBUSTER) The Panthers are the best team in the NHL?! It sure looks that way. Absolutely unstoppable so far after going down 0-2 to the Bruins in the first round. However, we do finally expect Florida to have a letdown here, as Carolina won't be swept in this series. Note that the Canes are still 7-3 in their last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. Look for Carolina to risk life and limb today to avoid the sweep; great value here on the Hurricanes! AAA Sports |
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05-24-23 | Giants v. Twins -154 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
8* Twins (BLOWOUT) We like the Twins to bounce back after losing the first two games of this series. In fact, Minnesota has lost three straight, which is definitely significant to note as the Twins are 4-1 in their last five after three or more straight losses in a row. As good as Anthony DeSclafani has been for the Giants (3-3, 3.09 ERA), we give the big nod to Joe Ryan (6-1, 2.25 ERA.) All things considered, we believe this to be the very definition of "great line value;" the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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05-23-23 | Red Sox v. Angels OVER 9.5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
10* OVER Red Sox/Angels (TOW) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, including in the Angels 2-1 series opening win last night. LA has now seen the total go "under" the number in three straight, which is significant to note, as the Angels have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Boston enters hungry for a win here after seeing the total go "under" in four straight. Simply put, we have no faith in these starting pitchers: Byan Bello is 3-1 with a 4.45 ERA and 1.58 WHIP for the Red Sox, while Griffin Canning is 2-2 with a 6.14 ERA and 1.58 WHIP for the Angels. Look for these starters to get chased early and expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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05-23-23 | Celtics +2 v. Heat | Top | 116-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
10* Celtics (BOB) Both Miami and Denver have played at elite levels and are on course for a date in the Finals. Before that happens though, we expect the Celtics to dig deep here and to at least win one game in this series. Note that Boston is still 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent; grab the points, the play is BOSTON! AAA Sports |
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05-23-23 | Golden Knights v. Stars -137 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -137 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
10* Stars (BLOCKBUSTER) We were on Las Vegas in Game's 1 and 2, but now that this series has shifted to Dallas, we're expecting Dallas to risk life and limb here to secure the victory. The first two games both went to OT, so in reality, this series could easily be 2-0 in favor of the Stars. These teams are very evenly matched, but we absolutely believe that "home ice" will prove to be crucial in this series. Finally, note that the Stars are still 6-2 in their last eight in trying to avegnge two or more straight losses against an opponent; lay the price, the play is DALLAS! AAA Sports |
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05-22-23 | Red Sox v. Angels OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* OVER Red Sox/Angels. Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this evening. Boston has seen the total go "under" in three straight after winning two of three in San Diego over the weekend. Note though that Boston has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Angels won two of three vs. the Twins at home over the weekend, and the final two games also went "under" the number. Tanner Houck is an unimpressive 3-3 with a 5.48 ERA for the Red Sox. Jamie Barria is 1-1 with a 1.96 ERA for the home side. Houck has been a "gas can" thus far. The sample size is still too small for Barria, who we believe is in the wrong place, at the wrong time; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-22-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers -3 | Top | 113-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
10* Lakers (BEST OF BEST) We've played on the Lakers several times in the Playoffs, but we haven't had any success so far in this series. But with the threat of elimination, we like the Lakers to dig deep here in Game 4 and to deliver a solid win and cover. There's no way LBJ is getting swept. LA isn't going to go on to win this series, but note that the Lakers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent; lay the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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05-22-23 | Hurricanes v. Panthers -106 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
10* Panthers (BLOCKBUSTER) Florida has the Hurricanes number in this series. The Panthers have been unbelievable in the Playoffs and now back at home, we think they're going to win Game 3 as well here. Carolina had its chance at home in Game 2 and came up short, and everything points to it running out of steam here on the road. Note as well that Florida is 7-2 in its last nine as a home favorite in the -105 to -120 range. Great value on a great team; the play is Florida! AAA Sports |
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05-21-23 | Celtics -3 v. Heat | Top | 102-128 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 58 m | Show |
10* Celtics (BLOCKBUSTER) Boston is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight ATS/SU losses in a row. Clearly, the Heat have been a very surprising team in the Playoffs. They're duplicating their success from the "Bubble" run. A letdown does finally seem imminent here though against a Boston team that is essentially playing its biggest game of the entire year. This one is all about which is the "hungrier" and more "desperate" team in this fight for us; lay the short points, the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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05-21-23 | Stars v. Golden Knights -122 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 34 h 32 m | Show |
10* Knights (WCF GOY) We think that home ice advantage will prove to be crucial in this series. Dallas jumped out to an early lead in Game 1, but Las Vegas eventually wore down the Stars and then pulled away for the comfortable 4-2 victory. Las Vegas was 30-17 at home this year. The Knights enjoy one of the best "home ice advantages" in the entire league, and at this price, we feel the best VALUE play for sure in Game 2 is on the Knights to take a commanding lead in this series; lay the price, the play is Las Vegas! AAA Sports |
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05-21-23 | Diamondbacks v. Pirates +1.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -145 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
8* Pirates runline (SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION) While we do feel an outright win is possible, our official call will be to grab the home side on the "runline" option. Great value here paying a mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra time. Pittsburgh won the opener 13-3, but then fell 4-3 yesterday. Note thought that the Pirates are 3-1 in their last four in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs an opponent. Merril Kelly is 4-3 with a 2.92 ERA for the D-Backs, but we're calling him a "wash" on the road here with Pirates' starer Roansy Contreras, who is 3-4 with a 4.40 ERA. Each has had success against his opponent in the past, but all signs point to this one being a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; the play is Pittsburgh on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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05-20-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers -5.5 | Top | 119-108 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 54 m | Show |
10* Lakers (BLOCKBUSTER) The Lakers were competitive in Game's 1 and 2. With their backs against the wall, we think that LeBron James and company will dig deep here and not only deliver a victory, but do so in blowout fashion. If the Nuggets have had one clear weak point this season, it's been their play on the road where they're just 21-25 SU and ATS. The Lakers are 30-18 SU and 27-19-1 ATS at home. They're also 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. With essentially their season on the line, we like LA in this one! AAA Sports |
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05-20-23 | Panthers v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -113 | 35 h 13 m | Show |
10* OVER Panthers/Hurricanes (ECF TOY) We had a play on the "over" in Game 1, and while that came up short, we're now finally expecting a much more wide-open affair here in Game 2. Carolina will be pushing the pace here now to avoid the dreaded 0-2 hole before heading over to Florida. Also note that the Hurricanes have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Florida has seen the total go "under" the number in six straight games. Carolina has seen it go "under" in two straight. But now the value has finally swung the other way as far as the total is concerned in our opinion, as the overall situation, combined with the above trends and stats all point to the "over" as the correct call in our opinon! AAA Sports |
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05-20-23 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -142 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -142 | 21 h 57 m | Show |
10* Jays (BLOOD-BATH) We like Alek Manoah to settle down here finally after a shaky start to the 2023 season and to take full advantage of this favorable starting pitching opponent. Manoah was unbelievable last year, but he's been inconsisent so far to this point, going 1-4 with a 5.40 ERA. Last year he was 7-4 with a 2.43 ERA at home and he's had plenty of success vs. the Orioles in the past. Look for the Jays' ace to finally put together a solid effort here. The Orioles counter with the erratic Grayson Rodriguez, who is 2-1 with a 6.57 ERA after allowing eight runs off nine hits over three innings in a loss to the Angels in his last outing. We're giving a big nod to Manoah, who we feel could/should in fact be a much larger fav; lay the price with confidence, the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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05-19-23 | Red Sox v. Padres -135 | 6-1 | Loss | -135 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
8* Padres (PITCHING MISMATCH) We like Blake Snell and the home side to dig deep here in the opener of this interleague series. San Diego looks to snap a string of poor play which has seen it go just 3-7 in its last ten. That includes two straight one-run losses to the lowly Royals here most recently. Note though that SD is 7-2 in its last nine off a home loss as a -200 favorite or greater. After losing six of its previous seven, the Red Sox come to town off a 2-1 series win at Seattle. James Paxton is 0-0 with a 3.60 ERA for the Red Sox, while Blake Snell is 1-5 with a 4.61 ERA for the Friars. This is just Paxton's second start since TJ surgery and we think he'll struggle here. Despite the Padres being just 1-7 in Snell's stars, he has a very respectable 3.54 ERA over his past five starts and he's 7-3 with a 2.59 ERA in 12 career outings vs. Boston. Both teams are dealing with injuries, but we like Snell here in this matchup; the play is San Diego! AAA Sports |
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05-19-23 | Stars v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 35 h 3 m | Show |
10* OVER Stars/Knights (BLOCKBUSTER) These were two really good defensive teams during the regular season, but they've played to many high-scoring games here in the Playoffs. Dallas saw six of its seven games with the Kraken go "over" the number, while Las Vegas saw three of its six games go "over" with the Oilers, including the final two. With a few extra days off to heal up, we're expecting these "fresh legs" on each side to help with the overall pace of this contest, which in turn we expect will drive this total "over" the number sooner, rather than later (note as well that Dallas has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten when playing with three or more days of rest.) This Game 1 total is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-19-23 | Heat v. Celtics -8.5 | Top | 111-105 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 10 m | Show |
10* Celtics (EAST-CONF FINALS GOY) We had a play on the "over" in Game 1, and that easily cashed in the Heat's blowout victory. We target the Celtics here though in Game 2, as this is a spot they've done well in for bettors, going 8-2 (80%) ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. An 0-2 hole would be unbelievably difficult for the C's to climb out of with the series shifting to Miami after this. This is Boston's biggest game of the entire year, for all intents and purposes, it's "do or die." The Heat have already accomplished what they set out to do, and that's to earn a "split" over these first two games, as to steal away the home floor advantage. Expect Miami to take a step back here all around, and for the now desperate Celtics to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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05-18-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 227 | Top | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 31 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on the Lakers in Game 1 and we came up short, because we took the line right when it came out. Some pushed in Game 1 on the spread, while others won as well against the closing line. Game 2 then we're skipping the spread and instead we're going to hammer the "under" here, as we expect another competitive battle, but a much more defensive one this time around. Note that LA has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a road loss against an opponent. Look for LA to double-down defensively here and fr the pace of Game 2 to be much more methodical all around; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-18-23 | Panthers v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 30 h 49 m | Show |
10* OVER (BLOCKBUSTER) Two teams very familiar with each other collide in this one. All of Canada won't be tuning in for this series, but it should be a good one none-the-less. Florida's path to this point has been impressive. Carolina's less so, but each has been really good on both ends of the ice to advance. Each has had a few days off between series, and we feel this will help in contributing to a much higher-scoring game than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe (in fact note, FLA has seen the ottal go "over" the number in four of its last five when playing with three or more days of rest.) This number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-18-23 | Rays v. Mets UNDER 9 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rays/Mets (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams have been playing to some higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end here this afternoon. The Mets have now seen the total go "over" the number in four straight after yesterday's 8-7 victory, while the Rays have now seen the total go "over" the posted number in six straight games. Note though that Tampa has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last seven in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent. Taj Bradley is 3-0 with a 3.52 ERA for the Rays, while Tyler Megill is 4-2 with a 4.02 ERA for the Mets. Look for these two capable starters to battle deep and expect this total to stay "under" the number before it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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05-17-23 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 209.5 | Top | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 59 h 19 m | Show |
10* OVER Heat/Celtics (BLOCKBUSTER) Two teams that are very familiar with each other collide here in Game 1. The Heat have been the surprise team so far in the Playoffs, and they're once again huge underdogs here in this series. Of the four remaining teams left, they are ranked fourth in terms of their odds to win the entire thing. Miami though has gotten out to a quick start in each series by "stealing" the first game, and we're expecting the visiting side to really push the pace here to try and take advantage of a potentially tired Celtics team that needed seven games to get past the 76ers. All signs point to defense taking a back seat here in Game 1; this number is low, the play is the OVER. AAA Sports |
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05-17-23 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +1.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
10* Jays RUNLINE (ULTIMATE BLOOD-BATH) We had a play on the Jays yesterday and while that big pick unfortunatley came up short, we're confident that Toronto can bounce back here and avenge the opening two losses of this four-game series. Two really good starters here. Is almost impossible to say anything negative about Yanks' starter Gerritt Cole, who is 5-0 with a 2.22 ERA. We just feel he's finally in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" today. He'll be opposed by Chris Bassitt, who is 5-2 with a 3.49 ERA. These guys are a "wash," but note that the Jays are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. We're laying the price here though and grabbing the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is Toronto on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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05-17-23 | Pirates +1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
10* Pirates RUNLINE (BLOWOUT) The Pirates were the talk of the league over the first month, but they've come back down to Earth over the last three weeks. Pittsburgh is now just 2-14 in its last 15 after yesterday's 4-0 series opening loss. Note though that Pittsburgh is still 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge a shutout loss against an opponent. Detroit is 19-21, but we expect Eduardo Rodriguez to have his hands full today. The Detroit starter is 4-2 with a 1.57 ERA, while Rich Hill is 3-3 with a 4.35 ERA for Pittsburgh. We don't trust Detroit as such a large favorite, despite it being at home. Look for Hil to match Rodriguez inning for inning and in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're grabbing the desperate visiting side on the "runline" option! AAA Sports |
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05-16-23 | Royals v. Padres OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
10* OVER Royals/Padres (ASSASSIN) We had a play on the "over" yesterday, and that unfortunately came up short in the Padres 4-0 victory. The Friars have now seen the total go "under" the number in 12 straight games. That fact though has only helped in driving today's O/U line lower than it normally would be though in our opinion. Note as well that KC has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a shutout road loss vs. an opponent. Brady Singer is just 2-4 with a ballooned 7.71 ERA for the Royals. He'll be opposed by Seth Lugo, who is 3-2 with a 3.18 ERA for the Padres. The overall situation, combined with the above strong O/U ATS stat finally make the "over" the correct call here in this Padres game! AAA Sports |
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05-16-23 | Lakers +5 v. Nuggets | Top | 126-132 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 11 m | Show |
10* Lakers (WEST-CONF FINALS GOY) The NBA will have some "new" faces in the Finals this year after the Lakers got rid of the defending champs in six games. The Nuggets needed six games as well to get past the Suns. The Lakers are a lot deeper than Phoenix, and Athony Davis is playing almost on par with Nikola Jokic right now. The bottom line here is, if Jokic doesn't ball out every single game, then Denver will struggle. Now, Jokic has the ability to dominate in every game, but it's easier said than done. The Lakers looked great defending the Warriors, and we think they have a legitimate shot at winning Game 1 outright. While that my in fact happen, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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05-16-23 | Yankees v. Blue Jays -162 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -162 | 26 h 17 m | Show |
10* Blue Jays (AL EAST GOY) This is the second game of a four-game series North of the border, and it's definitely one that favors the home side in our opinion. The Yankees come into this series 23-19 overall, but a sub-par 7-9 on the road. The Jays are 24-16 overall, and 12-3 at home. Domingo German is 2-3 with a 4.00 ERA after allowing two runs over five innings in a no-decision vs. the Rays in his last outing. German is only 1-3 at home, but he sports a 3.19 ERA in friendly confines. He's 1-0 on the road, but with a ballooned 5.79 ERA. Kevin Gausman is 2-3 with a 3.38 ERA after scattering three hits over six scoreless innings in what turned out to be an unfortunate no-decision vs. the Phillies in his last outing. Gausman is 2-3 with a 4.09 ERA on the road, but 0-0 with a 1.80 ERA in two games at home this year. Look for Gausman to be the difference-maker in this one; lay the price, the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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05-15-23 | Phillies v. Giants -109 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
10* Giants (BLOOD-BATH) The Phillies had won five in a rw to move to 20-20 and second in the NL East before yesterday's 4-0 loss at Colorado. Now I think Philadelphia will suffer another letdown in the opener of this series in San Fran, vs. a Giants team now desperate for a victory. The Giants have lost three in a row and six of their last eight. San Fran though is 3-1 in its last four after three or more straight losses in a row. The Giants are just 17-23, but we're giving a big nod to Alex Wood (0-0, 2.45 ERA) over his counterpart Bailey Falter (0-6, 5.75.) Look for the "hungrier" home side to deliver and as Bob Barker used to say: "The Price Is Right" for sure as well; the play is San Francisco! AAA Sports |
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05-15-23 | Royals v. Padres OVER 9 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
10* OVER Royals/Padres (IL TOY) The Padres have played to 11 straight "unders", but we're expecting that trend to finally end here in the opener of this IL series. KC has seen the total go "under" in three of its last four. The Royals are coming off a three-game sweep at Milwaukee, but note that KC has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after three or more straight losses in a row. San Diego comes in desperate as well after five straight losses, but note that SD has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after five or more straight losses in a row. Brad Keller is 3-3 with a 4.31 ERA for the Royals, while Michael Wacha is 3-1 with a 4.82 ERA. Both have benefitted from run support in the early going, as their ERA's are pedestrian at best. The overall situation, combined with the above listed O/U ATS stats all add up to make the "over" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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05-15-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars UNDER 6 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 35 h 46 m | Show |
10* UNDER Kraken/Stars (TOW) So far all six games in this series has flown "over" the posted number, but we're finally expecting that trend to end here in Game 7. Note that the Stars have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in 13 of their last 19 in trying to avenge a three goals or greater road loss vs. an opponent. Also note that Seattle has still also seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last seven after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. With everything on the line, we're expecting both teams to tighten up and as a result, all signs do indeed finally point to a highly-defensive affair here in Game 7; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-14-23 | Golden Knights +1.5 v. Oilers | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 37 h 56 m | Show |
10* Knights PUCKLINE (BLOCKBUSTER) This has been a very back-and-forth series, but with a chance to close it out here, we do feel that Las Vegas has much more than just a "punchers chance" to "steal" Game 6. This is a game that we see coming right "down to the wire," or which could also see extra time. The bottom line here is that despite having the home ice advantage here, we feel these teams are much more evenly matched than what this line is suggesting, and because of that, the value in our opinion swings to the undervalued underdog. Lay the price, the play is LV on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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05-14-23 | 76ers +7.5 v. Celtics | Top | 88-112 | Loss | -115 | 55 h 35 m | Show |
10* 76ers (WINNER) This has been a back-and-forth series, and while we're stopping short in calling for an outright upset here in Game 7, we do expect the hungry visiting side to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Note that Philly has responded well in this spot for bettors by going 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. There's no clear-cut favorite to win the title anymore. Anyone that can put together some sort of run based around chemistry and health will have a big opportunity to take it all. In this pressure-packed situation, we feel it's a lot more evenly matched than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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05-14-23 | Pirates v. Orioles OVER 8 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
10* OVER Pirates/Orioles (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring affairs of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this afternoon. Pittsburgh has gone just 1-11 in its last 12 games. It's coming off the 2-0 loss yesterday. Note though that Pittsburgh has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a shutout road loss vs. an opponent (and also in four of its last five in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent.) Baltimore has seen the total go "under" in six straight after taking the first two in this series. That fact though has only helped in driving today's total a point or so lower than it normally would/should be in our opinion. Mitch Kller is 4-1 with a 2.72 ERA and has been a lone bright spot for the Bucs during their slide back into mediocrity over the last couple of weeks. But we expect regression here finally. The home side counters with Kyle Gibson, who is 4-2 despite a pedestrian 4.40 ERA. The overall situation, combined with the above strong O/U stats make the "over" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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05-13-23 | Astros v. White Sox -113 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
10* White Sox (BLOOD-BATH) Neither team has gotten out to a great start. The Astros are 19-18, while the White Sox are just 13-26. After three straight losses though, including yesterday's series opening 5-1 loss here to Houston last night. we're expecting Dylan Cease and the home side to dig deep here and find a way to post a victory (note that the CWS are 7-2 in their last nine after three or more straight losses in a row.) This is a pitching matchup that favors the home side. Brando Bielak is 0-1 with a 4.15 ERA. The sample size is still just too small to drawn any firm conclusions. Cease is 2-2 with a 5.58 ERA. Look for Cease to settle down here at home and for Chicago to avenge yesterday's setback; lay the price, the play is the ChiSox! AAA Sports |