Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-13-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 6 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 51 m | Show |
10* UNDER Stars/Kraken (BLOCKBUSTER) So far all five games in this series have flown "over" the number, but we're finally expecting a very defensive contest here in Game 6. Note that the Kraken have seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. And note that Dallas has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-13-23 | Rays v. Yankees UNDER 8 | 8-9 | Loss | -118 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Rays/Yanks (SUPER TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this afternoon. New York has now seen the total go "over" the number in five staright after yesterday's 6-5 win. Note though that the Yanks have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The Rays won the first game by a score of 8-2, but they've seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent. Shane McClanahan is 7-0 with a 1.76 ERA for the Rays, while Nestor Cortes Jr. is 3-2 with a 4.74 ERA for the Yanks. Look for these two quality starters to battle deep, as all signs point to this total staying well "under" the number once it's all said and done. AAA Sports |
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05-12-23 | Warriors v. Lakers -135 | Top | 101-122 | Win | 100 | 33 h 22 m | Show |
10* Lakers moneyline (BLOCKBUSTER) Yes, the NBA would love this series to go to a Game 7, but we're expecting LeBron James and company to dig deep here at home in Game 6 and find a way to end it here and now. Note as well that the Lakers have responded well in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. The Achilles heel of the Warriors has been their play on the road all year, and that is, unfortunately, going to come back to bite them in the end here once again when they need a decent performance the most; home-court advantage is the difference-maker for LA in its straight-up win in Game 6! AAA Sports |
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05-12-23 | Oilers v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 32 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER Oilers/Knights (BLOCKBUSTER) We are all tied up at two games apiece as we head back to Las Vegas. Game 1 flew "over" the total, but the last three have gone "under." Suffice it to say, we're expecting a much more wide-open, and ultimately higher-scoring affair here in this pivotal Game 5 matchup. Note that Las Vegas has seen the total go "over" the number in five of its last seven in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent. Edmonton has also seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row; this number is now low, so the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-12-23 | Knicks +5 v. Heat | Top | 92-96 | Win | 100 | 31 h 50 m | Show |
10* Knicks (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on New York in Game 5, and we like the Knicks to, at the very least, take Game 6 right down to the wire as well. Momentum swings back-and-forth in the playoffs. The Heat looked unbeatable up until Game 5, and now that they've had a letdown, New York is the one that comes in confident here. With the majority of the public money on Miami, we're going to "go the other way" and make a big time contrarian wager here on the Knicks in Game 6! AAA Sports |
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05-12-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 30 h 44 m | Show |
10* OVER Panthers/Leafs (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on the Leafs in Game 4, as they finally managed to score some goals and hold on for the victory. How will Florida respond here now on the road and off its first loss in a while? If Toronto has any hopes of extending this series for at least one more game, it'll have to keep the foot on the gas offensively obviously. Note, Toronto has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in six straight games now, which is significant to note, as the Leafs have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 still after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. And note that Florida has seen the total go "over" the number in three of its last four in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. With the home side pushing the pace of this one like we expect, and with the Panthers forced to match, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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05-12-23 | Pirates v. Orioles -144 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
8* Orioles (SITUATIONAL MISMATCH) The Pirates are a terrible team. They somehow jumped out to an early great start, but that momentum is FAR in the rear-view mirror, as Pittsburgh comes to Baltimore with its tail between its legs after going just 1-9 in its last ten. The Orioles are 24-13 overall and 11-5 at home. They're in the toughest division in MLB. Or at the least the most competitive. Neither Johan Oviedo (2-3, 5.59 ERA) of the Pirates, not Kyle Bradish (1-1, 5.95) of the Orioles has gotten out to a great start, but the home field advantage is definitely working in Bradish's favor here. Recent form plays a big part here, as in his last start Oviedo was shelled for seven runs off ten hits over five innings in a loss to the Jays, while Bradish allowed three runs over five innings in a tough loss to the Braves. This line could/should in fact be a lot larger in our opinion; la the price, the play is Baltimore! AAA Sports |
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05-11-23 | Nuggets +3.5 v. Suns | Top | 125-100 | Win | 100 | 34 h 48 m | Show |
10* Nuggets (BLOWOUT) Success in the Playoffs is about many different factors all coming together to work out for the lucky team that prevails in the end. That includes timing, chemistry, injuries, and even "momentum." Denver now firmly has the "momentum" back in this series, and while it wasn't able to get the job done here in Phoenix in Game's 3 and 4, we're expecting a bounce-back on the road here finally. The Suns' starters are exhausted at this point as well. The outright win is obviously possible, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Denver! AAA Sports |
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05-11-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars UNDER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 36 m | Show |
10* UNDER Kraken/Stars (BLOCKBUSTER) All four games in this series have flown "over" the number, but we're now finally expecting a very defensive affiar here in Game 5. Note that Seattle has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last seven in trying to avenge a home loss as an undredog vs. an opponent. Also note that Dallas has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or mroe straight "overs" in a row; this number is now, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-11-23 | Celtics v. 76ers UNDER 213.5 | Top | 95-86 | Win | 100 | 31 h 28 m | Show |
10* UNDER Celtics/76ers (BLOCKBUSTER) While four of the five games have gone "over" the number in thius series, including in three straight, we're finally expecting a very defensive affair here in this pivotal Game 6. The Celtics are on the ropes, but note that they've seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Boston is hampered with injuries right now, and that's had a major effect on its offense. Philadelphia has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or mroe straight "overs" in a row as well; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-11-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 109 | 30 h 23 m | Show |
10* UNDER Devils/Canes (BLOCKBUSTER) So far all four games in this series have gone "over" the posted number of 5.5. Once again here in Game 5 we have an O/U line of 5.5 as well. This time however, finally, we're expecting a super defensive affair. And that's because for the first time in this series there's a possibility of elimination. The Devils though have seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent as a favorite. Look for each side to "tighten-up" here in Game 5; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-11-23 | White Sox +102 v. Royals | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
10* White Sox (WINNER) The White Sox have been trading wins and losses for eight straight games after yesterday's 9-1 defeat here, and we're expecting this strong patten to continue here in the finale of this four-game set. Note that Chicago is still 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge a road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Despite only being 2-3 with a 4.84 ERA, I give Chicago starter Mike Clevinger a big nod over counterpart Brady Singer, who enters a terrible 2-4 with a ballooned 8.82 ERA. We like Clevinger and the White Sox in this revenge/rebound situation; the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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05-10-23 | Golden Knights +1.5 v. Oilers | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -150 | 30 h 46 m | Show |
10* Vegas PUCKLINE (BLOCKBUSTER) Wed had a play on the "under" in Game 3, but in Game 4 we feel the value has now swung in favor of the visiting side again. Las Vegas smashed Edmonton 5-1 in Game 3 and we believe it has a very legitimate shot at winning this Game 4 outright as well. With the majority of the public money on Edmonton, we like the Knights even more here. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra periods, we're laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance; the play is Las Vegas! AAA Sports |
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05-10-23 | Lakers v. Warriors OVER 226 | Top | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 30 h 24 m | Show |
10* OVER Lakers/Warriors (BLOCKBUSTER) This has been a great series so far. The Lakers are on the cusp of knocking off the defending champs, but clearly, the NBA would love nothing more than to see this series go the full seven games. Game 7 would land on a Sunday primetime as well. To do that though, the Warriors will have to do what they do best on the offensive side of the ball, and that's push the pace and stretch this LA defense. Finally, note that GS has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge two more straight ATS/SU losses in a row vs. an opponent; this number is indeed low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-10-23 | Heat v. Knicks -165 | Top | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
10* Knicks (BLOCKBUSTER) We like the Knicks to respond here in Game 5. It's do or die. Note that New York is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge two or more SU/ATS losses in a row vs. an opponent. The Heat have won seven straight ATS. They're overachieving and we believe they'll finally have a small mental letdown here. We say the Knicks aren't done quite yet; lay the points, the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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05-10-23 | Maple Leafs -115 v. Panthers | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
10* Leafs (BLOCKBUSTER) We've pretty much been on the Leafs throughout this series, and we obviously haven't done very well. But, with their backs against the wall, we expect them to find a way to extend this second round series at least one more game. Toronto is still 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The Panthers have overachieved and primed for the letdown here. Hey Florida, no sweep for you! Lay the price, the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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05-10-23 | Rangers v. Mariners OVER 7 | Top | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
10* OVER Rangers/Mariners (BLOOD-BATH) These two starters have been great to open the season, and the first two games of this series have gone "under" the number. But those facts have only helped in driving this particular total now a couple runs lower than it normally would be in our opinion. As previously stated, these starters have been great, but perhaps a little TOO great. Dane Dunning is an unrealistic 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA for the Rangers, while Luis Castillo is 2-0 with a 2.38 ERA for the Mariners. However, note that Texas has seen the total go "over" the number in a near-perfect five of its last six in trying to avenge a road shutout loss vs. an opponent; his number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-09-23 | Suns v. Nuggets UNDER 228.5 | Top | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 32 h 10 m | Show |
10* UNDER Suns/Nuggets (BLOCKBUSTER) After going up 2-0, the Nuggets then lost the next two games in Phoenix. This series shifts back to Denver now all tied up at 2-2. Three of the four games in this series have gone "over" the number, but that fact we feel has only helped in driving this pivotal Game 5 total a few points higher than it normally would/should be. Note as well that Denver has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight ATS/SU losses in a row vs. an opponent. With the shift in venue, expect Game 5 to be a defensive one here in Denver; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-09-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 5.5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 17 m | Show |
10* UNDER Stars/Kraken (BLOCKBUSTER) All three games of this series have flown "over" the number, but all signs finally point to a very defensive affair here in this pivotal Game 4 here in Seattle. Note that Dallas has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a five goals or greater loss against an opponent. Also note that Seattle has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-09-23 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 214.5 | Top | 115-103 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 49 m | Show |
10* UNDER 76ers/Celtics (EAST-CONF RND 2 TOY) We're all tied up at 2-2 as the series once again shifts to Boston. With so much on the line, we're expecting nerves to be frayed, and for each side to really tighten up defensively. Note that Boston has seen the total go "under" the number as well in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. This has been a competitive back-and-forth series, but Game 5 has defensive battle written all over it; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-09-23 | Hurricanes v. Devils UNDER 5.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 10 m | Show |
10* UNDER Hurricanes/Devils (EAST-CONF RND 2 TOY) These were two of the best defensive teams in the league, but so far all three games in this series have flown well "over" the number. Suffice it to say, we're expecting this pivotal Game 4 here in New Jersey to a be a very hard-hitting, classic lower-scoring defensive-battle. Note that Carolina has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row, hile New Jersey has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 in the same position; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-09-23 | Blue Jays v. Phillies -124 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
10* Phillies (IL GOW) The Jays are playing a lot better these days, but off a 3-0 sweep at Pittsburgh, we think they'll stumble here in the opener of their second straight IL series. The Phillies just broke a six-game slide with a 6-1 win over Boston in their last game, so they won't be lacking motivation here as they start to try and make up ground now after a slow start to the season. Toronto's "ace" Alek Manoah is just 1-2 with a 4.71 ERA, while Aaron Nola is 2-2 with a 4.64 ERA for the Phillies. Look for the hungry home side to keep the foot on the gas here and for Toronto to finally take a small step back; the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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05-08-23 | Warriors v. Lakers OVER 227 | Top | 101-104 | Loss | -111 | 34 h 28 m | Show |
10* OVER Warriors/Lakers (WEST-CONF TOW) Our 10* Western Conference Round 2 TOTAL OF THE YEAR was on the "under" in the Warriors/Lakers Game 3. Congrats to everyone that tailed us on that one. Now however here in Game 4, we're expecting a much faster-paced affair, and ultimately we expect that to help in driving this total "over" the number sooner, rather than later. Additionally note as well that the Warriors have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss in which they where held to 99 or fewer points in; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-08-23 | Rangers v. Mariners -150 | 2-1 | Loss | -150 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
8* Mariners (SITUATIONAL MISMATCH) We like the surging Mariners to keep surging here on Monday night. Texas just took two of three from the Angels, but we expect the visiting side to have its hands full tonight. The Mariners enter having won six of their last seven, including just taking two of three here at home over the Astros over the weekend. Jon Gray is 1-1 with a 4.40 ERA for the Rangers, while Logan Gilbert is 1-1 with a 4.01 ERA for the Mariners. Note that Gray though is just 1-2 with a 5.53 ERA in five career starts vs. Seattle, while Gilbert is 2-0 with a 2.85 ERA in seven lifetime starts vs. the Rangers; lay the price, the play is Seattle! AAA Sports |
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05-08-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers UNDER 7 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 32 h 26 m | Show |
10* UNDER Knights/Oilers (WEST-CONF TOW) We had a play on the "under" in Game 2 and we're expecting another lower-scoring, tighter defensive-affair here in Game 3 as well. It's interesting to note as well that Las Vegas has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to one or less goals in. As this series progresses, we're expecting these teams to tighten up things on the defensive end; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-08-23 | Knicks +4.5 v. Heat | Top | 101-109 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 56 m | Show |
10* Knicks (EAST-CONF GOW) This has been a back-and-forth series and we're expecting that pattern to continue here. New York bounced back after the Game 1 loss with a win and while the outright is possible again here in our opinion in Game 4, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can. The Knicks have responded well in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a loss vs. an opponent in which they were held to 90 or fewer points in. Grab as many points as you can, the play is the Knicks! AAA Sports |
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05-08-23 | Rockies +1.5 v. Pirates | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -133 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
10* Rockies RUNLINE (NL GOY) At 20-15, Pittsburgh is still No. 1 in the NL Central. The Pirates "quick start" was the talk of the league, but the Pirates are now dealing with injuries to a few key players and they enter the new week and this new series having lost seven in a row. We think this slide of futility is going to continue, at least for another night. The Rockies are just 14-21 and only fifth in the NL West, but they enter playing their best ball of the season thus far, having won six of their last seven, including two of three at the Mets over the week (13-6 win on Sunday.) We feel these starting pitchers are a "wash." Kyle Freeland is 3-3 with a 3.76 ERA for the Rockies, while Mitch Keller is 3-1 with a 3.32 ERA for the Pirates. Momentum swings in favor of the Rockies here. Outright win is obviously possible, but the value here lies in laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is Colorado on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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05-07-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 35 m | Show |
10* play on the UNDER Stars/Kraken. We had a play on the Kraken on the puckline in Game 1 and 2. We're 1-1 in this series. This series is all tied up at 1-1 nw. Both of these games in Dallas went "over" the number, but we expect a more defensive affair here. Note that Seattle has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a two goals or greater loss vs. an opponent; we're steering clear of the side here in Game 3, but feel the value in this series has now shifted to the "under" in this one! AAA Sports |
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05-07-23 | Nuggets v. Suns UNDER 228 | Top | 124-129 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 12 m | Show |
10* UNDER Nuggets/Suns (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on the Suns in Game 3. Congrats to everyone that tailed us. For Game 4 though we're steering clear of a side and instead focusing in on the total. Two of three have gone "over" the number in this series, but note that Denver has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last 11 off a SU/ATS road loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. It's a really big game for both teams. A win here for the Suns and they're right back in this series with a best of three to go. A win here for the Nuggets and they're heading home with the 3-1 strangle-hold. We expect everything to "tighten up" here in Game 4; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-07-23 | Dodgers v. Padres OVER 8 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
10* OVER Dodgers/Padres (NL WEST TOY) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. LA has seen the total go "under" in the first two games of this series, falling 5-2 in the opener, before yesterday's 2-1 bounce back. SD has now seen the total go "under" in four straight. The Padres though have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which they were held to one or fewer runs in. Julio Urias is 4-3 with a 3.86 ERA for the Dodgers, while Joe Musgrove is 1-0 with a 10.80 ERA. Two decent starting pitchers here, both of who are in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" today. The overall situation, coupled with the strong O/U trend listed above make the "over" the correct call and it represents our NL WEST TOTAL OF THE YEAR! AAA Sports |
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05-07-23 | Maple Leafs -130 v. Panthers | 2-3 | Loss | -130 | 33 h 35 m | Show | |
8* play on the Leafs. We've played on the favored Leafs in each of the first two games of this series, and we're obviously 0-2. With their backs against the wall though, we like them to respond here in Game 3. Note that Toronto is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The Leafs are also still 7-3 in their last ten in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which they were held to one or fewer goals in. Lay the price, the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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05-07-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +3 | Top | 115-116 | Win | 100 | 30 h 8 m | Show |
10* 76ers (BLOCKBUSTER) Philadelphia managed a win in Game 1 without big man Joel Embiid in the line-up, but the Celtics have bounced back to take Game's 2 and 3, both SU an ATS. But now we feel that the value has swung to the desperate home side, which will be risking life and limb today to avoid going down 3-1 and heading back to Boston. Note as well that Philly is 7-3 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. Clearly the outright win is a possibility, but our official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the 76ers! AAA Sports |
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05-07-23 | Hurricanes v. Devils UNDER 5.5 | 4-8 | Loss | -125 | 30 h 36 m | Show | |
8* play on the under. We had a play on Carolina in Game 1, and then a play on the "over" in Game 2. We're expecting a much tighter affair here in Game 3 though as the series shifts to New Jersey. The first two games of this series have both flown "over" the number, but note that New Jersey has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The Devils went down 2-0 to New York as well last round and then advanced in seven games. All signs point to a very defensive affair here in New Jersey; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-07-23 | Red Sox v. Phillies UNDER 9.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
10* UNDER Red Sox/Phillies (TOP TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. The Red Sox have seen the total go "over" the number in six straight. Boston has also won eight straight games. Philadelphia has seen the total go "over" in five straight and the Phillies enter having lost six in a row. Note though that Philly has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Tanner Houck is 3-1 with a 5.34 ERA for Boston, while Taijuan Walker is 2-2 with a 6.91 ERA for the Phillies. Neither will be lacking motivation today. Look for these teams to play to a lower-scoring outcome here today; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-06-23 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 227.5 | Top | 97-127 | Win | 100 | 31 h 54 m | Show |
10* UNDER Warriors/Lakers (WEST-CONF TOY) We're all tied up at 1-1 here after two games. The first two games of this series have flown "over" the posted number, but we're finally expecting a more defensive affair here with the shift in venue. Note as well that LA has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent as well. We just expect the Lakers to really double-down with their perimeter defense in Game 3, while at the same time we're looking for them to run the majority of their offense through big man Anthony Davis. This Game 3 total is a little high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-06-23 | Oilers v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 123 | 29 h 15 m | Show |
10* UNDER Oilers/Knights (WEST-CONF TOY) Las Vegas has so far seen the total go "over" the number in all five of its playoff games this year, including in Game 1 here vs. Edmonton in its 6-4 victory. Note though that the Golden Knights have seen the total go "under" the number in ten of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Also note that Edmonton has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed six or more goals in. This Game 2 total is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-06-23 | Blue Jays -128 v. Pirates | Top | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
10* Jays (BLOOD-BATH) Toronto broke a five-game slide with a 4-0 win yesterday and we expect the Jays now build off that victory with another one here. The Pirates got off to an unbelievable start to the season, but perhaps a little TOO unbelievable. Expect their transition back down to mediocrity to be a swift one. Toronto hands the ball to Jose Berrios, who is 2-3 with a 5.29 ERA, while the home side counters with Johan Oviedo, who is 2-2 with a 4.78 ERA. Pittsburgh has a few key players on the injured list as well now. Berrios is 1-0 with a 3.72 ERA in two career starts vs. Pittsburgh. Oviedo has faced the Jays once and he held them scoreless over three innings last year, but the Pirates still lost the game 4-0. We think Berrios is the correct call here; the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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05-06-23 | Knicks +4 v. Heat | Top | 86-105 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 44 m | Show |
10* Knicks (BLOWOUT) New York took advantage in Game 2 without Jimmy Butler in the line-up, and we expect the Knicks to take the overachieving Heat off-guard here as well. Despite the loss, Miami has now covered the spread in five straight games, but note that the Heat are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after five or more ATS victories in a row. Grab the points, the play is NEW YORK! AAA Sports |
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05-06-23 | Marlins v. Cubs -167 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
8* Cubs (ROUT) I had a FREE PLAY on Chicago yesterday and I believe that the Cubs can keep the foot on the gas here on Saturday and find a way to deliver in what is another great situational starting pitcher matchup for it. The Marlins go with Brian Hoeing, who is 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA, while the Cubs counter with Drew Smyly, who is 3-1 with a 2.83 ERA. Smyly has now gone five straight starts allowing two or fewer earned runs and he owns a 2.37 ERA in six lifetime appearances vs. the Fish. This is a big starting pitching mismatch, one SO big, that it makes this a price in which we have no worries in laying; so lay the price, the play is indeed on Chicago! AAA Sports |
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05-05-23 | Nuggets v. Suns -4 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 34 h 33 m | Show |
10* Suns (2ND RND WEST-CONF GOY) This is it, it's do or die for the Suns. Can KD and Devin Booker win a single game in this series? We say they can, and this is the game they do it! Dating back to Game 5 vs. the Clippers, the Suns have now lost three straight ATS, and that's definitely significant to note here, as Phoenix is a near-perfect 7-1 ATS in its last eight after three or more ATS losses in a row. The Suns are also 6-3 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent in which they were held to 90 or fewer points in. Denver's weakness this year? It's just 20-23 SU/ATS on the road. Look for Booker and KD to push hard and find a way to deliver here in Game 3; lay the points, the play is Phoenix! AAA Sports |
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05-05-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 121 | 31 h 19 m | Show |
10* OVER Devils/Hurricanes (BLOCKBUSTER) Carolina skated away with the 5-1 victory in Game 1 and the total flew "over" the posted number of 5.5, and we're expecting these teams to AT LEAST hit that combined number of goals here again in Game 2. Note that the Devils have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a three goals or greater loss against an opponent. All signs point to a similar wide-open offensive affair here in Game 2; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-05-23 | A's v. Royals -142 | 12-8 | Loss | -142 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
8* Royals (MISMATCH) Two of the absolute worst teams in the league go head to head here, but this is one that the Royals are going to win in our estimation. The A's have been downright terrible in every facet. Their starting pitcher today Kirk Muller is 0-2 with a 6.28 ERA. The A's have allowed 244 runs, by far the most in baseball. The Royals have only been slightly better, but we're giving a big nod to their starter Brad Keller, who is 2-2 with a 3.56 ERA. Note that the A's bullpen has blown nine of 12 save chances while posting a 6.78 ERA in the process. Look for Keller to take advantage here; lay the price, the play is Kansas City! AAA Sports |
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05-05-23 | Celtics v. 76ers OVER 213.5 | Top | 114-102 | Win | 100 | 31 h 13 m | Show |
10* OVER Celtics/76ers (BLOCKBUSTER) The first game in this series flew "over" the number in the 76ers' 119-115 upset victory as 10.5-point dogs. Game 2 went "under" the number in the Celtics' 121-87 win. Now with the shift in venue and all tied up, we're expecting a wide-open offensive affair here in Game 3, similar to what we saw in Game 1. Also note that Philly has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss in which it was held to 90 or fewer points in; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-05-23 | Red Sox v. Phillies UNDER 8 | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Red Sox/Phillies (TOP TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. The Red Sox have won six straight and they've seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six, including four straight. Note though that Boston has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Phillies have lost four straight and they'll be eager to stop the slide obviously. They've also seen the total go "over" the number in three straight. We have plenty of experience on the hill here as Boston hands the ball to Chris Sale, who is 2-2 with a 6.75 ERA, while the Phillies counter with Zach Wheeler, who is 3-1 with a 3.86 ERA. Wheeler is coming off a gem, going six scoreless and striking out seven in a win over Houston. Sale also turned the corner with his last performance, allowing one run over seven innings in a win over Cleveland. Look for these two to battle deep and as such, look for this total to indeed stay "under" the number! AAA Sports |
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05-04-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Stars | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -154 | 33 h 33 m | Show |
10* Kraken puckline (2ND RND. WEST-CONF GOY) We had a play on Seattle in Game 1 on the puckline, and we're getting even better value on the Kraken here in Game 2. Seattle controlled the pace and almost every aspect of Game 1 and we don't see anything changing here in Game 2. Jake Oettinger looked shaky against this aggressive Seattle attack and we think he's in trouble here in Game 2 as well. In another contest that we see being decided late or even in extras, our official 2nd Rnd. WEST-CONF GOY is indeed the Kraken on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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05-04-23 | Lakers +6 v. Warriors | Top | 100-127 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 35 m | Show |
10* Lakers (BLOCKBUSTER) Can you imagine a World where the Lakers are up 2-0 over the Warriors in the second round of the NBA Playoffs? Because we can! LA looked like the better overall team despite some big performances from Stephen Curry and other key players being super efficient from the outside. The Warriors struggled to put away the Kings in seven games and that fatigue was evident down the stretch in Game 1. We don't see it getting any better for the defending champs here in Game 2. The Lakers have just as much talent and experience and we just feel that this game will very likely be decided by whichever club has its hands on the ball last; grab the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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05-04-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 115 | 30 h 15 m | Show |
10* UNDER Panthers/Leafs (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on Toronto in Game 1 and while we like the Leafs in Game 2 as well, we can't lay this larger juice and we're not interested in laying the 1.5 goals on the puckline, but instead we feel the best value here is on the total in Game 2. And after Game 1 stayed "under" the number of 6.5, we're expecting another really tight and lower-scoring game here in Game 2 as well. Toronto will be risking life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes to avoid the 0-2 hole and we expect that style of contest to help in pushing this one "under" once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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05-04-23 | Brewers -143 v. Rockies | 6-9 | Loss | -143 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
8* Brewers (BLOOD-BATH) At this price, despite being on the road, Wade Miley and the Brewers will be a popular wager today. Typically we are a contrarian service, but enough is enough for the Brewers here today who have lost three straight, including the first two here at Coors. Note though that Milwaukee is 8-2 in its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. I think the Rockies take a step back here today facing Brewers' ace Wade Miley, who is 3-1 with a 1.86 ERA. He'll be opposed b Connor Seabold, who is 0-0 with a 5.27 ERA. Better hurry to get down on this one before the line moves any higher; the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
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05-04-23 | Mets v. Tigers UNDER 8 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Mets/Tigers (SUPER TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring affairs, but we expect those trends to end this afternoon with two solid starting pitchers going head-to-head in Detroit. The Mets have lost four of their last five, including the first two in this series, as they dropped both games of yesterday's double-header. Both games went "over" the number. Note that the Mets have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. Detroit is 3-2 in its last five, and it's seen the total go "over" in four of those contests. Justin Verlander makes his season debut for the Mets after sitting out the first month with a minor injury. He tossed five innings of no-run ball in Double A on Friday as a tune-up. He's ready to go. He'll be opposed by Eduardo Rodriguez, who is 2-2 with a 2.21 ERA. Look for these starter to be the main storyline in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-03-23 | Oilers v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 37 h 37 m | Show |
10* Oilers/Knights UNDER (BLOOD-BATH) Two teams that were expected to move onto the second round, have in this Western Conference second round series. Both the Oilers and the Knights were great on both ends of the ice this season, but we expect Game 1 to have a "feeling out" period, and because of that, we're ultimately expecting this total to sneak "under" the posted number. Note as well that the Knights have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 when playing with three or more days of rest; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-03-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -9 | Top | 87-121 | Win | 100 | 35 h 1 m | Show |
10* Celtics (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on Boston in Game 1, and while that pick came up short, we're now very confident that the Celtics will respond with a resounding victory here in Game 2. James Harden had a huge game with Joel Embiid injured, but we can expect the home side to be keyed in on the Philly star moving forward. Whether Embiid plays or not, we like the Celtics to bounce back here in fine fashion, as note that Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Having accomplished what it set out to do (earn a "split" in Boston over the first two games), look for Philadelphia to take a step back here in Game 2; lay the points, the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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05-03-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes -113 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 34 h 5 m | Show |
10* Hurricanes (BLOWOUT) We based our picks on many different things. We've always felt that being flexible with our approach is the best way to secure profits over the short, mid and long-term. This particular play comes down to "common sense." Carolina has the upper hand here because the Hurricanes finished off the Islanders in six games and have had a couple extra days off. The Devils had to come from behind and hang on for dear life to move past the Rangers in an exhausting seven-game opening series. Can anyone say "letdown" spot for the Devils here?! All things considered, a really good price here on Carolina in Game 1! AAA Sports |
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05-03-23 | Cubs -182 v. Nationals | 1-2 | Loss | -182 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
8* Cubs (SPECIAL) Jake Irvin will be making his major league debut tonight for the Nationals: "He's stretched out to about 90 pitches," Nationals manager Davey Martinez said. "So we're going to give him an opportunity to come out here and start for us and see what he does and see where he goes." We say this one favors Marcus Stroman (2-2, 2.29 ERA) and the hungry visiting side. Chicago has lost three of his last four starts, so he's a golden opportunity for the Cubs to provide their "ace" with some support finally. Considering the starting pitching talent discrepancy, this line could/should in fact be larger in our opinion; the value here does indeed swing to Chicago! AAA Sports |
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05-03-23 | Mets -152 v. Tigers | 5-6 | Loss | -152 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
8* Mets (BLOWOUT) Just a complete mismatch on the mound here between these starters in the first game of the double-header. The Mets have had a day off, while the Tigers have had two days off. New York is 16-13 overall and 10-7 on the road, while Detroit is 10-17 overall, including just 5-7 at home. The Mets hand the bal to Joey Lucchesi, who is 1-0 with a 2.19 ERA, while the home side counters with Joey Wentz, who is 0-3 with a ballooned 6.45 ERA. Look for New York and Lucchesi to take advantage and set the early tone in this first game; lay the price, the play is indeed on New York! AAA Sports |
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05-02-23 | Lakers v. Warriors OVER 227.5 | Top | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 34 h 19 m | Show |
10* OVER Lakers/Warriors (BLOCKBUSTER) The NBA got what it wanted, a matchup between LeBron James and Stephen Curry in the second round. The Warriors look more vulnerable than ever, and King James and company will be throwing their "best shots" at the defending champs here in Game 1. Whoever gets out of this series will likely have to face Denver in the Western Conference Final. Regardless, we're anticipating a really wide-open affair in Game 1, rather than an intense, lock-down defensive one. Both teams took a big step back defensively this year and all signs point to a classic "shootout;" this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-02-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Stars | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 33 h 1 m | Show |
10* Kraken PUCKLINE (BLOOD-BATH) The Kraken are coming off a thrilling upset Game 7 win over Colorado and we think they can sneak in under the radar here and give the Stars a run for their money here in Game 1 of this series. Will rest lead to rust for the Stars? It very well could in our opinions! The Kraken were at their best on the road all year, and that's once again the case here in Game 1 of this series. The pressure is all on Dallas here, and that is also working in favor of the Kraken; while the outright win is possible, the official call is to grab the visitors on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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05-02-23 | Orioles -145 v. Royals | 11-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
8* Orioles (SITUATIONAL MISMATCH) We don't mind laying chalk on a road favorite when we believe our "play on" side should/could in fact be a much larger one. And that's the case here for sure. The visitors hand the ball to Tyler Wells, who is 1-1 with a 2.79 ERA, and he'll be going up against Ryan Yarbrough, who is 0-3 with a 6.35 ERA. At 19-9, the Orioles are out to their best start since 1997. Wells does actually lead the league with a minuscule 0.724 WHIP. He's made two career starts vs. the Royals and won both. The Royals' 7-22 record matches a franchise-worst start of all time. Yarbrough has had success vs. the Orioles in the past, but that was then and this is now. The current form of these starters plays a huge role in the outcome of this contest; the play is on Baltimore! AAA Sports |
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05-02-23 | Heat v. Knicks -6.5 | Top | 105-111 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 36 m | Show |
10* Knicks (2ND RND GOY) We had a play on New York in Game 1, and while that pick came up short, we're expecting a big bounce-back for the Knicks here in Game 2, and a predictable letdown from the Heat here in Game 2. Miami did the exact same thing in its series vs. the Bucks, winning outright in Game 1, and then both losing SU and ATS in Game 2, satisfied with knowing that it had already "earned the split." Jimmy Butler has been balling out, but we think that the Knicks will make adjustments as well here. The Knicks were in control of Game 1 up until half-time, and then they uncharacteristically fell apart. Note though that NY is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Everthing points to a bounce-back blowout here in Game 2 for the home side; lay the points, the play is NEW YORK! AAA Sports |
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05-02-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs -147 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -147 | 31 h 15 m | Show |
10* Leafs (BLOCKBUSTER) We've been enjoying the NHL Playoffs and we're ready to sink our teeth into the second round and really get a huge run going on the ice. In fact, so far we've played every single NHL and NBA Playoff game. This is a common sense play for us. There's plenty of talent on both sides. We could easily write a convincing argument for either team to come out on top here in Game 1. But situationally we feel it sets up great for the Leafs, who eliminated the Lightning in six games. The Panthers however had to go to OT in Game 7 to earn their unlikely series victory over the mighty Bruins. The Leafs got a monkey off their backs, winning their first playoff series since 2004. But now they have a clear advantage, and one which we feel should/could be a lot larger than what this line is suggesting; great value here on Toronto in Game 1! AAA Sports |
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05-01-23 | Phillies v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER Phillies/Dodgers (NL TOW) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring affairs of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. The Phillies come to town having their four-game win streak come to an end last night in a 4-3 setback at Houston. The Phillies are starting to play a lot better, despite having some key sluggers out still. They've seen the total go "under" in four straight though. LA has seen the total go "under" in two straight. The Dodgers lost two of three to the Pirates, before then bouncing back with a three-game home sweep of the Cardinals over the weekend. LA has seen the total go "under" in two straight. Tony Gonsolin is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA for the Dodgers. He sprained his ankle in spring training. He worked his first 3 1/3 innings, holding the Pirates scoreless last week. Clearly a much tougher task here today though. Taijuan Walker is a big dog here on the road, he's 2-1 with a 4.97 ERA so far for the Phillies. Overall he's 3-3 with a 4.32 ERA in 11 career starts vs. LA. Regardless, we don't trust either starter to go deep. Everything finally points to a higher-scoring affair; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-01-23 | Suns v. Nuggets UNDER 227.5 | Top | 87-97 | Win | 100 | 34 h 54 m | Show |
10* UNDER Suns/Nuggets. The first game in this second round Western Conference series went "over" the number, but we're expecting a much more defensive affair here in Game 2. The Nuggets did a good job on both ends of the floor in Game 1, especially defensively. We expect a duplicate game-plan here from Denver in Game 2. Note though that Phoenix has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. Expect fatigue to be an issue here for each side in the second straight here in Denver; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-01-23 | Rangers v. Devils -117 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 32 h 37 m | Show |
10* Devils (ASSASSIN) It's all come down to this. So far, home ice advantage hasn't really mattered in this series between these two evenly matched sides, but I expect that to indeed be the differnece-maker here in Game 7. It's been a magical season for New Jersey, with the biggest turnaround in terms of wins from one season to the next. The Rangers expended a ton of energy to stay in this series last time out, and we're expecting a letdown here finally on the road; look for the Devils to find a way to deliver (and note, a great price on the home side here in Game 71!) AAA Sports |
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05-01-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -9 | Top | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 22 m | Show |
10* Celtics (GOW) During the regular season, the Celtics enjoyed beating up on the 76ers regularly, posting a 3-1 record. We're expecting a similar sort of outcome in this series as well. And we're definitely expecting the Celtics to set the early tone with a blowout victory. Philly star Joel Embiid is also dealing with a nagging knee injury. Look for that to have a big effect in this series as well. Either way, all signs point to a home side blowout in Game 1; lay the points, the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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04-30-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Avalanche | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 35 h 16 m | Show |
10* Kraken puckline (DESTRUCTION) Colorado salvaged its season with a 4-1 win in Game 6 in Seattle, but who could have predicted that series would have ever gone to a Game 7? The Kraken have defied the odds, and we love their chances to continue to make history here. Note that Seattle was fantastic on the road this year, finishing 28-12-1-3 away from friendly confines. The pressure here is on the Avs, and we think Seattle can take advantage. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra time, we're grabbing Seattle on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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04-30-23 | Phillies v. Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
10* OVER Phillies/Astros (INTERLEAGUE TOW) Both teams have played to several lower-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this evening. Philly has seen teh total go "under" in three straight. The Phillies have now won four in a row. Note though that Philadelphia has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Houston has now seen the total go "under" in four straight after the back-to-back losses to open this series. However, note that Houston has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge two or more straight losses vs. an opponent. Bailey Falter is 0-4 with a 4.50 ERA for the Phillies, while Jose Urquidy is 1-2 with a 5.64 ERA for the Astros. Pretty pedestrian numbers so far. All signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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04-30-23 | Panthers +1.5 v. Bruins | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 32 h 24 m | Show |
10* Panthers PUCKLINE (BLOOD-BATH) This has been an interesting series. Boston was hands down the best team in the regular season, on both ends of the ice, but the Bruins have stumbled and bumbled their way here to this Game 7 at home. The Panthers have defied the odds and are on the brink of one of the biggest playoff upsets in recent memory. "Momentum" is a very real, almost tangible factor in sports and Florida comes in with a ton of it. The pressure is on Boston, and we think that works in the Panthers favor as well; the play here is Florida on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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04-30-23 | Warriors v. Kings | Top | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 30 h 31 m | Show |
10* Warriors MONEYLINE (WINNER) This has been a back-and-forth series. Golden State was terrible on the road this year, but the NBA would love nothing more than to have Stephen Curry going up against LeBron James in the Playoffs. For us, this one comes down to experience in this position. The Kings are in unchartered territory, where these are the moments that Stephen Curry lives for. Sacramento had a great season, but we expect it to finally come to and end here on Sunday night; forget the spread option, instead this play is on Golden State on the moneyline! AAA Sports |
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04-30-23 | Heat v. Knicks -4 | Top | 108-101 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 1 m | Show |
10* Knicks (BLOCKBUSTER) Both of these teams were underdogs in their opening round series. The Heat got a huge series from Jimmy Butler, but we feel an imminent letdown is, well, imminent now for Butler and the Heat! The Knicks dominated their series over the Cavs from the get-go. We feel New York is better equiped to deal with Miami's outside shooting as well. Miami is thin after its starters, and the Knicks take advantage of that in Game 1; the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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04-29-23 | Oilers v. Kings UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 23 m | Show |
10* UNDER Oilers/Kings (BLOCKBUSTER) Three of the five games in this series have flown "over" the number, including the last two, but we're finally expecting a much more defensive affair here in Game 6. Note that the Kings have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last nine in trying to avenge two or more losses against an opponent. With the home side setting the pace like we anticipate, all signs point do indeed point to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one! AAA Sports |
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04-29-23 | Cardinals v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 105 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
10* UNDER Cards/Dodgers (NL TOY) We're expecting a lower-scoring "duel" here in the second game of this three-game series. Last night the Dodgers won the opener by a score of 7-3. LA has now seen the total go "over" the number in seven straight. Despite still having several key injuries, LA is starting to resemble the team that won 111 games last year finally. That said, note that the Dodgers have still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. We have two experienced starters going head-to-head here, and all signs point to a classic "duel" as we eluded to off the top, as the Cardinals' Jordan Montgomery is 2-3 with a 3.81 ERA, while the DOdgers' Clayton Kershaw is 4-1 with a 2.32 ERA. Everything points to this total now staying well "under" the posted number! AAA Sports |
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04-29-23 | Suns v. Nuggets UNDER 226.5 | Top | 107-125 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 38 m | Show |
10* Suns/Nuggets UNDER (BLOCKBUSTER) The bottom line here is we think that the longer lay off between series here will lead to each offense coming out a bit "rusty." It's the whole "rest" leading to "rust" angle. Phoenix doesn't play wide-open transition basketball anymore. The Nuggets prefer to run their offense through Nikola Jokic. For sure the home side will be looking to control the tempo, rather than push the pace in our opinions, as that'll just play into the strength of the Suns' offensive attack. Regardless, we look for Game 1 to indeed go "under" the posted number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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04-29-23 | Devils v. Rangers -119 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
10* Rangers (BLOCKBUSTER) The Rangers won the first two games of this series by identical 5-1 scores, but the Devils have battled back to win three straight. Now facing elimination, we're expecting the Rangers to risk life and limb here to push it to a Game 7. Note that the Rangers are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge a shutout loss to an opponent. New York is also 8-4 in its last 12 after three or more straight losses in a row. Great value here on the desperate home side; the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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04-29-23 | Maple Leafs -101 v. Lightning | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 29 h 52 m | Show |
10* Leafs (BLOCKBUSTER) I'm expecting Toronto to end this series here and now. The Lightning have had zero "home ice advantage" in this series, losing both games 3 and 4 here in Tampa. The Leafs answered the Game 1 7-3 loss, with a 7-2 win in Game 2. Toronto is also 7-2 in its last nine in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. With the majority of the public money going one way, we're going to go the other; play on Toronto! AAA Sports |
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04-28-23 | Grizzlies +5 v. Lakers | Top | 85-125 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 19 m | Show |
10* Grizzlies (BLOCKBUSTER) With their backs against the wall, the Grizzlies got the job done in Game 5. Now Memphis will have to do what it hasn't been able to do so far in this series, and that's win on the road. Or else it's going Golfing tomorrow. The Lakers looked fatigued, and there are now some injury concerns. All of a sudden, the pressure is on LA to close out this series, but it feels as if the momentum has now swung the other way again. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is MEMPHIS. AAA Sports |
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04-28-23 | Avalanche -144 v. Seattle Kraken | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 33 h 32 m | Show |
10* Avs (BLOCKBUSTER) After back-to-back losses to Seattle, and now facing elimination, we're expecting the defending champs to dig deep here and deliver with a victory on the road. Note that Colorado is 7-2 in its last nine in tring to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. The NHL is going to love this series going to Game 7 back in Colorado; lay the price, the play is Colorado! AAA Sports |
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04-28-23 | Stars v. Wild -107 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -107 | 32 h 9 m | Show |
10* Wild (BLOCKBUSTER) The Wild finished 26-13-0-4 at home this year, and now facing elimination, we're expecting Minnesota to dig deep here and find a way to deliver in Game 6. Note that Minnesota is 7-3 in its last ten as a home favorite in the -110 to -130 range. The Wild play with revenge, and for the Playoff lives here; all things considered, a great price on desperate Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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04-28-23 | Yankees v. Rangers -176 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
10* Rangers (AL GOY) This is the second game of a four-game set between the Yankees and the Rangers. Thursday sees Gerrit Cole go up against Andrew Heaney, and we're releasing this selection before that game has even started. MLB is one of the only sports where each and every game has to be looked at individually, mainly because of the starting pitching aspect. This particular play is based almost entirely on the starting pitching matchup. The Rangers enter this series eager to bounce back after getting swept in three games by the Reds: "There's nothing to be concerned about," Rangers' coach Bruce Bochy said. "I mean, we've got a lot of baseball left. These guys will bounce back. We have a tough team ahead of us, so we will have to play our best ball, but no, no one is concerned, and we will continue to get better." But as stated off the top, this one is based upon the starting pitchers. Clarke Schmidt is 0-2 with a 6.30 ERA for the Yankees, while Jacob deGrom is 2-0 with a 3.04 ERA for the Rangers. Look for the Rangers' new super-star starter to rise to the occassion here and get the better of his old cross-town rival; lay the price, the play is Texas! AAA Sports |
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04-28-23 | Kings v. Warriors -7 | Top | 118-99 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 8 m | Show |
10* Warriors (BLOCKBUSTER) Momentum is a very real, almost tangible factor in sports. And to be the Champ, you gotta beat the Champ. The Warriors have now won three straight and with a chance to close out this series here and now in front of the home town crowd, we're fully expecting Stephen Curry and the now confident Warriors to do just that. The Kings are now banged up as well. For us, we're giving this one the good ole "eye test," as we love the defending Champs in this elimination possibility spot here at home; lay the points, the play is Golden State! AAA Sports |
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04-28-23 | Bruins v. Panthers UNDER 6 | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 9 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bruins/Panthers. Three of five games so far in this series have flown "over" the number, including the last two, but we're expecting a very defensive affair here in Game 6. The Bruins have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last six in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent. While the last few games have flown "over" the number, all signs point to this particular contest finally being a super-defensive affair; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-28-23 | Hurricanes +110 v. Islanders | Top | 2-1 | Win | 110 | 30 h 49 m | Show |
10* Hurricanes (BLOCKBUSTER) With a chance to close out this series, I expect Carolina to do just that here on the road in Long Island. Note that the Hurricanes are 4-1 in their last five in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent. After losing Game 3 by a score of 5-1 in New York, the Hurricanes then responded with a 5-2 win in Game 4. We're expecting a similar final combined outcome here as well; fantastic value on Carolina! AAA Sports |
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04-27-23 | Jets v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 109 | 30 h 43 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jets/Knights. The first four games in this series have had their O/U line set at 5.5, and so far all four games have gone "over" that posted total. Game 5 though sets up as much more of a defensive affair in our opinions, as we expect Winnipeg to risk life and limb to try and send this back North of the border for at least one more game. Note as well that the Jets have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent; the first four games went "over," but in this crucial contest, all signs point to the "under" as the correct call! AAA Sports |
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04-27-23 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 232.5 | Top | 128-120 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 36 m | Show |
10* Celtics/Hawks UNDER (BLOCKBUSTER) Atlanta has forced a Game 6 after a 119-117 win at Boston as a 14-point underdog. The total went "over" the number of 230.5. We're expecting a much more defensive affair here though in ATL as Boston will look to double-down on the defensive end and end this series here and now. Note as well that the C's have seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. While the last three games in this series have flown "over" the posted number, all signs point to this crucial Game 6 being a super-defensive affair; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-27-23 | Rangers v. Devils OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 2 m | Show |
10* OVER Rangers/Devils. The Rangers jumped out to a 2-0 lead, but New Jersey has now evened it up with two straight victories. The first two games went "over" the posted number, the last two have gone "under." Now here in this pivotal Game 5, we're expecting a much more wide-open affair, one which blasts past this posted number sooner, rather htan later. Note as well that the Rangers have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last ten in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-27-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 102 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bolts/Leafs. So far all four games of this series have gone "over" the number. We're expecting a much more defensive affair here finally in this huge Game 5. Note that Tampa has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent. Expect Game 6 to be an all out war from the opening face-off until the final horn; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-27-23 | Dodgers v. Pirates UNDER 8 | Top | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
10* UNDER Dodgers/Pirates (EARLY) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end here this afternoon. The Dodgers have seen the total go "over" in five straight after yesterday's 8-1 loss. Note though that LA has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Previous to this series with the Dodgers, the surging Pirates, who have now won eight of their last nine, had seen the total go "under" in four straight. Julio Urias is 3-2 with a 3.33 ERA for LA, while Mitch Keller is 2-0 with a 3.64 ERA for Pittsburgh. Look for these competent starters to battle deep and expect this total to stay "under" the posted number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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04-26-23 | Warriors -4 v. Kings | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 30 h 11 m | Show | |
10* Warriors (BLOCKBUSTER) We stated when this series started that "home floor" advantage would be crucial, and that's been the case so far. The injury to De'Aaron Fox though throws a monkey-wrench into that angle though. Whether Fox plays or not in this one, we look for Steph Curry and the defending champs to now take advantage, and take control of this series with a big road win. That's not something that the Warriors have done well this year, but now that the Playoffs are here, we're expecting a different result this time around. The stage is now set for Curry take over; lay the points, the play is Golden State! AAA Sports |
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04-26-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Avalanche OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
10* OVER Kraken/Avs (BLOCKBUSTER) This series is all tied up. Colorado has its hands full now in a best of three series. Seattle was at its best on the road and we're expecting the Kraken to throw their best shot here to try and pull off another epic upset. Note as well that Colorado has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-26-23 | Heat v. Bucks UNDER 219.5 | Top | 128-126 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 56 m | Show |
10* Heat/Bucks UNDER (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on the Heat in Game 4, and now they have a huge 3-1 lead in this series. Miami accomplished what it set out to do originally, which was to split the first two games in Milwaukee. But I don't think even the most hardcore Heat fan would have predicted that they'd be leaving Miami with a 3-1 lead after Game 4. Regardless, here we are. The Playoffs for both the NBA and the NHL are about timing, about chemistry, about momentum, and it's about staying healthy. Miami has really come together at the most opportune time. This wasn't Jimmy Butler's greatest regular season, but he sure looks like a Super Star right now in this series. And now the Heat are a huge underdog on the road here in Game 5 as it's do or die for the Bucks moving forward. Milwaukee can control the paint in this series for the most part, but the Bucks have struggled to contain the outside shooting. For this Game 5 though I'm going to steer clear of the side. Instead I think the total is the sharp maneuvere here. So far all four games have gone OVER the number, but I like the way this one sets up to be a lower-scoring outcome. The Bucks have actually seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread road loss against an opponent, nd clearly situationally it's all hands on deck for Milwaukee, which will have to run full and half court defensive pressure throughout on this one. The first four games of this series have gone "over" the number, but that fact has only helped in driving this Game 5 Over/Under line a few points higher than it normally would or sholud be; we're on the UNDER in this one. AAA Sports |
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04-26-23 | Lakers +4.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 99-116 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 10 m | Show |
10* Lakers (BLOCKBUSTER) We're giving Game 5 the good old "eye test." LA is the better team here in every metric since the Playoffs started. Momentum is a very real, even tangible factor in sports, especially in the Playoffs. And LA just has the Grizzlies number right now. Ja Morant was unreal in Game 4, but his supporting cast has fallen away. The reverse is true for the Lakers, who appear to be gaining stronger chemistry with each game so far. While the outright win is cleary possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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04-26-23 | Marlins v. Braves -153 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
10* Braves (NL BOB) Atlanta has taken the first two games of this series by scores of 11-0 and 7-4. We can expect the defending champs to keep the foot on the gas here in the third game of this four game set. Despite this being the Marlins ace in Sandy Alcantara, who was lights out last year, but who hasn't quite lived up to those expectations this season yet, I think we're getting great value on the defending champs here at home. They hand the ball to Bryce Elder, who is 2-0 with a minuscule 1.14 ERA and a sharp 23 to 7 strikeout to walk ratio. He had a hard luck no-decision last time outm, going six innings and allowing one run with six strikeouts vs. the hard-hitting Astros. Alcantara though as eluded to earlier hasn't been in the same form this season as he was last year, as so far he's 1-2 with a 5.47 ERA. In his last outing he went six innings and allowed five runs in a 5-0 loss at home to the Diamondbacks (Previous to that he was shelled for nine runs over four innings in a 15-3 loss at Philadelphia. At this time of the year, "current form" is crucial and as Bob Barker used to say as well, the Price Is Right on this one for sure; lay the price with confidence, the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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04-26-23 | Panthers v. Bruins UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -120 | 27 h 44 m | Show |
10* Panthers/Bruins UNDER (BLOCKBUSTER) This series has flipped-flopped from the "under" to the "over" so far throughout each of the first four games, and we're fully expecting this patten to continue here after Boston posted its second straight victory in a 6-2 win in Game 4. Note as well that Florida has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last seven in trying to avenge a three goals or greater home loss against an opponent; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-26-23 | Knicks v. Cavs OVER 202.5 | Top | 106-95 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 58 m | Show |
10* OVER Knicks/Cavs (BLOCKBUSTER) So far all four games of this series have fallen "under" the numbrer, but we're expecting Game 5 to finally have a faster tempo, and as such, we look for the total to finally fly "over" the posted number sooner, rather than later. It's do or die for the Cavaliers, who lost both games in New York, first losing 99-79, following by a 102-93 setback. Cleveland though has seen the total go "over" the number in still eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent; this number is a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-25-23 | Clippers v. Suns -11.5 | Top | 130-136 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 25 m | Show |
10* Suns (WEST-CONF GOW) With a chance to end this series here and now at home, we're expecting KD and the Suns to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. The Suns dropped the first game of this series, but their chemistry has improved each night. The Clippers are dealing with several serious injuries to key players. We're expecting Phoenix to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion; lay the points, the play is Phoenix! AAA Sports |
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04-25-23 | Kings v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -109 | 36 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Kings/Oilers (BLOCKBUSTER) This has been an exciting back and forth series, as we're all tied up going into Game 5. The last two games hae gone to OT. Note though that the Kings have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. In this crucial Game 5 contest, look for each side to double down on the defensive end, as it looks for the other to make the first mistake; this number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-25-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 222.5 | Top | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 36 h 30 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wolves/Nuggets (BLOCKBUSTER) Did Minnesota just delay the inevitable after its 114-108 OT home win as a 3.5-point underdog in Game 4? Of course it did. The Nuggets now return home where they'll look to close things out. The Wolves are a sizeable dog here, and we're steering clear of the side, but as far as the total is concerned, we just expect the Nuggets to clamp down defensively here, as note that Denver has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. While the last three games of this series have been higher-scoring, all signs point to this Game 5 being a slower-paced, and lower-scoring outcome; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-25-23 | Wild +127 v. Stars | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 34 h 14 m | Show |
10* Wild (WEST-CONF GOW) Up until Game 4, we had gone 3-0 with the correct sides in this series. We had Minnesota last time out, and while that play came up short, we feel that the Wild have great value here to bounce back and once again even up this series. Note that the Wild are 5-1 in their last six in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Between these two evenly matched teams, we look for the more desperate road side to deliver; the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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04-25-23 | Tigers v. Brewers -167 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -167 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
10* Brewers (SITUATIONAL MISMATCH) After losing two of their last three, including two in a row, including yesterday's series opener here vs. the lowly Tigers, we like the Brewers with their ace on the mound, to bounce back tonight. Spencer Turnbull is just 1-3 with a 7.85 ERA for the Tigers, and he's severely overmatched here by Eric Lauer, who is 3-1 with a 4.30 ERA. Note that the Brewers are also 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent; lay the price with confidence, the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
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04-25-23 | Hawks +11.5 v. Celtics | Top | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 34 h 8 m | Show |
10* Hawks (EAST-CONF GOW) We had a play on the Hawks in Game 4 and that play came up a bucket short. With their backs against the wall and facing elimination, we expect ATL to keep this contest a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. The Hawks won't go down without a fight, and note that ATL is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. No outright as stated above, but grab the points; the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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04-25-23 | Islanders v. Hurricanes -150 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -150 | 33 h 27 m | Show |
10* Hurricanes (EAST-CONF GOW) We had a play on the Islanders in Game 3, and the we went with the underdog Hurricanes in Game 4. Now with a chance to close out this series, we're fully expecting the Hurricanes to do just that on Tuesday night. The Isles have just been too inconsistent down the stretch. New York is also just 17-19-4-3 on the road. Carolina is the better team in almost every single offensive and defensive metric and this line could/should in fact be a lot larger. The value here is on Carolina to deliver the goods! AAA Sports |
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04-24-23 | Avalanche v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 36 h 12 m | Show |
10* OVER Avs/Kraken (BLOCKBUSTER) The first two games of this series went "under" the number, but Game 3 here in Seattle flew "over" the 5.5 in the Avs 6-4 win. The upstart Kraken will look to even things up here, and we do believe the shift in venue will see this series once again produce another really high-scoring affair in Game 4. Note as well that the Kraken have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five off a home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |