Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs v. Eagles UNDER 50 | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 316 h 5 m | Show |
10* UNDER Chiefs/Eagles (TOM) I think this Philadelphia defensive line has a chance to go down as one of the best in history. Especially if the Eagles win this game. The first thing you think about when you think about these two teams is the two men under center. Most would think that with Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts as QB's, that we'd be in store for a high-scoring "shootout," but that's simply not going to be the case in my opinion. Both Hurts and Mahomes have been injured in the Playoffs. They do get two weeks off to prepare, but I believe these underrated defenses will benefit the most with the extra time. Each offense will be committed to the run, as it'll be the only way to keep these aggressive pass rushing units honest. Another big factor here sees two of the league's best "rushing QB's" going head-to-head. When you add it all up, I say this O/U line is a few points higher than it should be; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-12-23 | Wofford +10.5 v. NC-Greensboro | Top | 89-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
10* Wofford (Southern GOM) I'm clearly not predicting an outright upset or anything, but I do think the stage is set for a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Wofford is just 13-13 after three straight SU/ATS losses in a row. But that's important for us to note here, as the Terriers are a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more straight ATS/SU losses in a row. Wofford also plays with revenge after a 73-64 loss to UNC Greensboro on New Year's Eve. The Spartans are 17-9 and rolling along after winning eight of their last ten, including three straight, both SU and ATS. Note though that UNC Greensboro is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU/ATS wins in a row. With a game vs. 18-9, No. 2 Samford on deck up next, not only does this set up as a "letdown" spot for the home side, but also a "look-ahead." When you add those two factors together, you get "TRAP GAME." No outright, but much tighter than expected; grab the points the play is Wofford! AAA Sports |
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02-12-23 | Alexander Volkanovski v. Islam Makhachev OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Push | 0 | 36 h 5 m | Show |
10* OVER (UFC TOY) Two gritty, tough fighters. I don't see this one ending any time soon. If one of these two fighters gets a "KO" or submission, it'll be similar to what we saw with Leon Edwards and Kamaru Usman, right near the end of the fight. Otherwise, the skill and experience each brings to the table is unmatched. Keeping this one simple, as I believe these key factors will indeed see this match go the distance; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-11-23 | Washington v. Washington State UNDER 136.5 | Top | 51-56 | Win | 100 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
10* UNDER Washington/Washington State (PAC 12 TOY) This one sets up really well to be a very defensive affair. Washington is 13-12 overall this year, but just 1-7 on the road. Washington State is only 10-15 this season, but it's 7-3 at home. An interesting matchup, but one that screams defensive battle to me. Washington has lost three straight, and that's important to note here, because the Huskies have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after three or more straight losses in a row. Washington State has lost two straight on the road. It's seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, and that's also significant for us to note here, as the Cougars have seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last six after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Washington State averages 67.4 PPG, while Washington averages only 69.7. Expect a tight, lower-scoring defensive battle; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-11-23 | Mavs v. Kings -2.5 | Top | 128-133 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
10* Kings (BEST OF BEST) No need to overanalyze this one, as I believe the immediate "revenge factor" will be all the motivation the Kings need here to win and cover here at home. Dallas is indeed coming off the 122-114 win here last night as a 4.5-point underdog. Note that Sacramento is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. There are a few other situational factors working in favor of the Kings here as well, but the bottom line is that the "revenge" angle will turn out to be the difference-maker in motivation between these clubs tonight; the play is Sacramento! AAA Sports |
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02-11-23 | Devils v. Wild -113 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
10* Wild (ASSASSIN) No need to over think or overanalyze this one. The Devils have been great this year, but after opening up the second half with B2B home wins, I'm expecting a small letdown here in the opener of this tough road swing. Conversely, the Wild have opened the second half with three straight losses, which is important to note for us here, as Minnesota is 7-2 in its last nine after three or more straight losses in a row. Expect the "hungrier" and more desperate home side to find a way to deliver; the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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02-11-23 | Newcastle United -175 v. AFC Bournemouth | 1-1 | Loss | -175 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
8* Newcastle (BLOOD-BATH) I think Newcastle United is well worth the price of admission in this spot. The Magpies are of a lacklustre 1-1 draw with West Ham, so Newcastle won't be taking anything for granted here. Here's the perfect opponent to get back on track against, as Bournemouth is 19th place in the standings, most recently coming off 1-0 shutout loss to Brighton Hove and Albion last week. Bournemouth is winless in the last six vs. the Magpies, and I expect that string of futility to continue here. This is just a bad matchup for Bournemouth, which is clearly in the wrong place, at the wrong time this weekend; lay the price, the play is Newcastle! AAA Sports |
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02-10-23 | Hornets v. Celtics OVER 229.5 | Top | 116-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
10* OVER Hornets/Celtics (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring contests of late, but I believe those trends will end this evening. Charlotte comes in off five straight ATS/SU losses. That's significant to note here though as the Hornets have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after five or more straight losses in a row. The Hornets have also seen the total go "under" in five straight games, and that's important to note as well, as Charlotte has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. The Hornets also play with revenge after falling 130-118 at home to Boston in January. Note as well that Charlotte has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponet. Boston averages 117.4 PPG, ranked fourth overall. It's seen the total go "under" in three straight. This O/U line is now a few points lower than it normally would/should be; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-10-23 | Kent State v. Buffalo UNDER 151 | Top | 72-65 | Win | 100 | 27 h 36 m | Show |
10* UNDER Kent/Buffalo (MAC TOM) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end here on Friday. Kent is 19-5, but is just 6-5 on the road. Buffalo is only 12-12, but it's a much more respectable 9-3 at home. Kent averages 75.1 PPG, while Buffalo averages 80.2. The last time these teams played though, Kent controlled the action in the 74-68 victory in late January, the total staying well "under" the posted number of 151.5. Expect a similar, lower-scoring defensive battle here as well; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-10-23 | VfL Wolfsburg v. Schalke 04 OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -119 | 20 h 57 m | Show |
10* OVER Wolfsburg/Schalke (Bundesliga TOY) Both teams come in highly motivated for a victory here, and I believe this sense of extreme competition will result in plenty of balls finding the back of the net. Schalke is out to snap a run of five straight winless league matches. The Wolves can empahthize, as they've lost three straight across all competitions. Schalke will finally have an opportunity get some shots on net vs. Wolfsburg after recent 0-0 draws vs. FC Koln and Borussia Monchengladbach. All signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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02-09-23 | Suns v. Hawks -5.5 | Top | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
10* Hawks (ASSASSIN) The Hawks went 1-3 on their road trip. They've gone 0-2 ATS in their last two, but I think a little home-cooking is just what the doctor ordered for ATL tonight. While just 27-28 overall this year, the Hawks are 13-11 at home. Phoenix is 30-26 this season, but only 11-17 on the road. The Suns come in off three straight SU road victories, but with their finale of this trip set in Indiana tomorrow night, I expect Phoenix to get caught in a "trap" here, with a small mental letdown, combined with "looking ahead." Lay the points, the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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02-09-23 | Canucks v. Islanders -210 | 6-5 | Loss | -210 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
6* Islanders (CHOKE-OUT) I'm laying the price here and expecting an absolute beatdown. Vancouver is brutal on the road and it comes out of the all star break with two straight really tough losses, falling 5-4 in OT at Jersey, and the 4-3 at the Rangers just last night. Fatigue's a major issue here. The Isles though have won two straight since the reak, most recently hammering the Kraken 4-0 here two nights ago. New York throttled the Canucks 6-2 in Vancouver earlier in the year, and I'm expecting a similar style lop-sided destruction here as well; lay the price, the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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02-09-23 | UMKC +3.5 v. Western Illinois | Top | 76-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
10* Kansas City (MID-MAJOR MAULING) While I think an outright victory isn't out of the question obviously with a short spread like this, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Kansas City is 10-15, while Western Illinois is 15-9. KC had won three straight, but it comes to town having dropped two in a row, both SU and ATS. That includes an 85-57 loss to Oral Roberts last time out. That however is important for us to take note, as the Roos have responded well in this spot for bettors, going a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five off a SU/ATS loss in which they were held to 59 or less points in. KC not surprisingly plays with revenge here as well after falling 60-52 at home to the Leathernecks back in January. That is also signifcant to note here, as KC is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Off a 75-72 road upset over Nebraska Omaha, all signs finally point to a letdown here for the home side; grab the points, the play is KC! AAA Sports |
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02-08-23 | Wild v. Stars OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER Wild/Stars (CENTRAL TOY) Everything points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later. Minnesota has seen the total go "under" the number in four strraight. It's off a listless 3-2 loss at Arizona as a -233 favorite. I expect a bounce-back performance here in this difficult road venue. The Stars have seen the total go "under" the number in six straight after their 3-2 shootout win over the Ducks to open up the second half. Note though that Dallas has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Most nights these teams play a very trapping, defensive style of hockey, but all signs point to a very wide-open "shootout" here between these divisional foes on Wednesday in my opinion; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-08-23 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State UNDER 135 | Top | 68-71 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
10* UNDER Texas Tech/Oklahoma State. I like the way this one sets up to be a defensive battle. Texas Tech is 2-1 in its last three, but it's coming off an 89-62 loss at Baylor. The Red Raiders have seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, but note that they've seen the total go "under" in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Oklahoma State has won three straight, but SU and ATS. Most recently it was a 79-73 victory over TCU. The Cowboys have now seen the total go "over" in four straight. This is the first meeting of the year between these schools, but last March when they faced off, Oklahoma State won by a score of 52-51. The overall situation, combined with the above listed trends make the "under" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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02-08-23 | Pistons v. Cavs OVER 222 | Top | 85-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
10* OVER Pistons/Cavs (Central TOY) This one sets up realy well to be more of a wide-open "shootout," rather than a slower-paced defensive affair in my opinion. Detroit is just 2-8 in its last ten. It's coming off back-to-back losses. Most recently it was a 111-99 setback to the Celtics. Note though that Detroit has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after a SU/ATS loss in which it was held to 99 or less points in. The Pistons also play with revenge after falling 102-94 to the Cavs back in November (however, note that Detroit has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or less point in as well.) Cleveland enters off three straight quality wins. I say it keeps the momentum rolling here. It's off a 114-91 win over Washington, but note that the Cavs have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS victory in which they held their opponent to 95 or less points in. The situation, combined with these strong trends all point to the "over" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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02-07-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 235.5 | Top | 112-146 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wolves/Nuggets (BLOOD-BATH) These teams just played against each other and the Wolves won by a score of 128-98. That total "pushed" on that one, but I expect more of a defensive affair here. Note that Denver has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after a SU/ATS loss in which it was held to 99 or fewer points in. Minnesota has now been trading wins/losses over its last five games. I expect a much more defensive battle in the immediate rematch here; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-07-23 | Ducks v. Blackhawks -129 | 3-2 | Loss | -129 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
8* Hawks (DESTRUCTION) I just think a great spot here for the Hawks. The Ducks played and lost 3-2 in a shootout just last night at Dallas, and despite coming in off the All Star break, I believe fatigue will be a major factor here in the second game of the B2B. The Hawks beat the Ducks 3-2 in Anaheim at the start of the season, but I expect a more comfortable victory here at home. With Arizona coming to town on Friday, this is a two-game home stand that Chicago will be digging deep to try and sweep. One game at a time, this line could/should in fact be much larger in my opinion; the value indeed swings to the Blackhawks! AAA Sports |
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02-07-23 | Ohio -3 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 82-76 | Win | 100 | 25 h 25 m | Show |
10* Ohio (MAC GOY) Ohio is 12-11, while NIU is 10-13. Ohio is off a 78-68 win over Miami Ohio and I like the Bobcats to keep the momentum rolling here. Note that Ohio though has lost three against the spread, which is important for us to note, as the Bobcats are in fact a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their last six after three or more straight ATS setbacks in a row. Jaylin Hunter led the way for Ohio, scoring 23 points. Ohio's offense is the difference-maker for me here, as I just can't see the Huskies keeping pace, as note that the Bobcats average 110.2 points per 100 possessions (77.9 PPG.) NIU looks primed for a letdown after B2B victories, most recently beating Bowling Green 86-78. David Coit led all scorers, dropping 21 points. The Huskies though average only 71.1 PPG. Ohio's weak point is on the defensive end, but that unit catches a break today facing the Huskies; I'm riding with Ohio to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish! AAA Sports |
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02-07-23 | Oilers -151 v. Red Wings | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
8* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Oilers. I think Edmonton is worth the price of admission in this one. The Oilers have won seven of their last ten. They average 3.7 GPG, ranked No. 1 in the league. Detroit returns to action having gone 5-5 in its last ten. The Oilers average 3.0 GPG, which ranks 24th. This is the first matchup of the season between the clubs but look for the well-rested Oilers and their superior offense to dig deep here and find a way to deliver; the play is indeed on Edmonton! AAA Sports |
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02-07-23 | Juventus -170 v. Salernitana | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 18 m | Show |
10* ASSASSIN Juventus. Salernitana would leapfrog Juventus in the table with a win here, but I don't foresee that happening. After falling 8-2 to Atalanta, Slernitana bounced back with a 2-1 victory at Lecce last weekend. Salernitana earned a controversial 2-2 draw with Juventus earlier in the season, but I don't expect lightning to "strike twice" here. This is a "must win" scenario of Juventus, which has just one point over its last three matches. That includes a 2-0 loss to Monza last weekend. But here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against. Honestly, I believe this line could/should in fact be much larger; lay the price, the play is Juventus! AAA Sports |
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02-06-23 | Weber State v. Northern Colorado +1.5 | Top | 54-88 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
10* Northern Colorado (BIG SKY GOY) Weber State is the better team, but it won't be in this one tonight. It's 12-11 overall, but just 5-7 on the road. Northern Colorado is 7-16 and only 2-6 at home. Weber State has won four of its last five, but off a tight 72-71 OT win at Idaho State, I expect a slight mental letdown here from the visiting side. The Bears on the other hand play with revenge after falling 81-72 at Weber State as 3.5-point underdogs on December 29th. That's signficiant to note here as UNC is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an oppoent. UNC is off three straight road losses, which is also significant to note as the Bears are 8-2 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU losses in a row. Weber State gets caught looking ahead to its home game vs. 17-8 Montana State on Friday, and UNC rallies to snap the slide and get revenge; the play is Northern Colorado! AAA Sports |
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02-06-23 | Cavs v. Wizards +2.5 | Top | 114-91 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
10* Wizards (EASTERN CONFERENCE GOY) I love the way this one sets up for Washington. I think an outright is possible, but my official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Cleveland is off B2B wins, but off a 122-103 victory at the Pacers just last night, I believe the Cavs come in fatigued here in the second game of the B2B scenario. Cleveland is 33-22 this year, but still just 1l-16 on the road. The Wizards have had big leads in each of their last two losses, so they won't be taking anything for granted here. The Wizards play with the added incentive of revenge as well after falling 117-107 in OT at Cleveland in October. Washington has three straight "winnable" games at home here with Charlotte and Indiana coming to town next. As I said off the top, clearly the outright win is a very real possibility, but let's grab the points; the play is Washington! AAA Sports |
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02-06-23 | Sampdoria v. Monza -132 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -132 | 21 h 24 m | Show |
10* Monza (Seria A GOY) Two teams moving in opposite directions, I say we're getting great value on Monza. Sampdoria is coming off a fourth straight loss, while Monza is riding high off a win over Juventus, sweeping both games. Samp is coming off a 2-0 loss to Atalanta. It also only has six total goals on the road so far this season. Monza coach Raffaele Palladino should have an almost full squad available to him on Monday. This is going to be a burial and as I said off the top, this line could/should in fact be much larger; the play is Monza! AAA Sports |
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02-05-23 | Nuggets v. Wolves UNDER 230.5 | Top | 98-128 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
10* UNDER Nuggets/Wolves (ASSASSIN) Denver is coming off three straight wins, including a 128-108 victory over ATL just last night. It's seen the total go "over" the number in four straight, but note that the Hawks have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten still after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Look for Denver to try and slow the pace down throughout here. Minnesota is off the 127-120 home loss as a favorite to Orlando, but note that the Wolves have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-05-23 | Houston -10.5 v. Temple | Top | 81-65 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
10* Houston (AAC GOY) I think the "revenge" angle works for Houston here after Temple upset the Cougars 56-55 back on January 22nd as a 15.5-point underdog. Note that Houston is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent; lay the points, the play is Houston! AAA Sports |
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02-05-23 | Reims v. AJ Auxerre UNDER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Win | 100 | 17 h 22 m | Show |
10* UNDER Stade Reims/Auxerre (Ligue 1 TOY) Reims is in form while Auxerre is struggling right now. I look for Reims to sit back and wait for Auxerre to make the first mistake, and because of that, I'm expecting a lower-scoring "under" in this one. Reims is currently on a 13-game unbeaten streak. Last weekend Will Still led his team to a 1-1 tie with Paris Saint-Germain. Auxerre has lost seven straight. Auxerre plays better at home than on the road, but it hasn't found the back of the net in its last two in front of the home town crowd. I think it'll struggle again as well here; this one has "under" written all over it! AAA Sports |
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02-05-23 | Derrick Lewis v. Sergey Spivak -227 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 34 h 27 m | Show | |
6* Spivak (SPECIAL) Lewis is ranked No. 7 in the heavyweight division despite losing his last two fights. Spivak is now moving the opposite direction, as he's won five of his last six fights, moving his way up to No. 12. This is a "must win" for Lewis, but this is a huge fight for Spivak, which will give him the credibility he would need to move closer to a title shot. Lewis is just in the wrong place at the wrong time here, and I actually feel this line could easily be much higher. Lewis has been exposed after losses to Tai Tuivasa and Sergei Pavlovich. Spivak is undervalued here after an impressive second-round TKO win over Augusto Sakai last time out at UFC Vegas 59; lay the price, the play is Spivak! AAA Sports |
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02-05-23 | Kyle Nelson v. Doo Ho Choi -185 | 0-0 | Push | 0 | 33 h 0 m | Show | |
6* Doo Ho Choi (SPECIAL) Doo-Ho Choi is an exciting featherweight that hasn't fought in the promotion since 2019. This is a make or break fight for the once up and coming fighter, who has lost his last three fights. Here's the perfect target to get back on track against. Kyle Nelson, who has lost his last two fights. Doo-Ho Choi has the skills to bounce back. Although Nelson has fought more recently, I still give the nod to Choi here. Lay the price with confidence on the "better" fighter; the play is Doo Ho Choi! AAA Sports |
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02-04-23 | Lakers v. Pelicans +1.5 | Top | 126-131 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (WEST-CONF GOY) The Lakers end their five-game road trip here. They lost the first two games against the Celtics and Nets, but then they've bounced back with back-to-back victories. Most recently it was a come from behind 112-111 victory at the Pacers. I think LA will get caught "looking ahead" here to a couple days off. New Orleans on the other hand is out to snap a ten-game losing streak. This is almost a "do or die" scenario for the Pels. They also play with the added incentive of "revenge" after falling 120-117 in OT as 3.5 point favorite in LA back in November. This is a great "situational" play; the pick is on New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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02-04-23 | Vermont v. Albany +11 | Top | 87-68 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
10* Albany (AE GOY) Vermont is 12-10, but just 5-6 on the road. Albany is only 6-18, but it's a much more respectable 3-4 at home. Vermont is off four straight victories, but I believe this is just a few points too many to have to lay on the road here. The Catamounts only average 69.5 PPG. The Great Danes average 66.4. Albany has lost six straight, both SU and ATS, and that's important for us to note here, as note that the Great Danes are still 7-3 ATS in their last ten after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Look for the hungry home side to battle until the final buzzer, and in so doing, also comfortably cover this spread at the same time; the play is Albany! AAA Sports |
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02-04-23 | West Ham United v. Newcastle United UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show |
10* UNDER Westham/Newcastle (EPL TOW) Both teams really need a win here, for entirely different reasons. Because of that though, I'm expecting a "war of attrition" here, where each sits back and waits for the other to make the first mistake. Newcastle United is looking to strengthen its spot in the Top 4, while the Hammers are out to win B2B games for just the second time this season. The Magpies are off a 2-1 win at St. Mary's. They've been fantastic defensively, posting a league-high 12 clean sheets, while also not conceding a goal in their last six top-flight matches. Westham beat Everton 2-0 last week, and then also beat Derby County at the FA Cup on Monday night. Expect the Hammers to carry over their recent up-tick in defensive play as well. All things considered, I think this total is high; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-03-23 | Magic v. Wolves OVER 231 | Top | 127-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
10* OVER Magic/Wolves (ASSASSIN) Orlando went 1-1 at Philadelphia earlier in the week, and the total went "under" the number in each. Minnesota has won four of its last five, and it's seen the total go "under" in five straight. But that's important for us to note here, as the Wolves have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Look for this non-conference game to be less intense defensively and expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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02-03-23 | Mt. St. Mary's v. Iona -15 | Top | 51-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
10* Iona (MAAC GOY) I'm expecting a lop-sided blowout here on Friday. Mount Saint Mary's is 7-15, while Iona is 14-7. Mount St. Mary's has lost two straight, most recenlty falling 73-62 to St. Peter's. Mount St. Mary's is ranked tenth offensively in the conference, and fourth on the defensive side. The Gaels are coming back from an 18-point deficit to beat Quinnipiac 78-72 and I expect Iona to keep that momentum rolling here. The Gaels are ranked first offensively in the conference, and ninth defensively. Iona catches a much needed break on the defensive end this evening though. After going 2-2 their last four in conference play, I expect the Gaels to come in focussed and to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Iona! AAA Sports |
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02-03-23 | Fulham v. Chelsea -162 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -162 | 23 h 41 m | Show |
10* Chelsea (EPL GOW) It was a crazy ending to the January transfer window, but I like Chelsea in this matchup here at Stamford Bridge. The Blues actually spent over $300 million pounds during the month, and they're going to still need a massive turnaround here in the second half to make the top four. But one game at a time. This is also an immediate "revenge" game, after a 2-1 win for Fulham at Craven Cottage three weeks ago. Since that win though, Fulham have lost both league matches and been forced into an FA Cup replay by lower-league opponents. Fulham has never completed a league double over Chelsea, and I say it won't happen here; lay the price, the play is indeed Chelsea! AAA Sports |
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02-02-23 | Lakers v. Pacers +1.5 | Top | 112-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
10* PACERS (NON-CONF GOM) The Lakers have been playing better over the last month. They're coming off a big 129-123 OT win at the Knicks, after dropping the first two games of their road trip at Boston and Brooklyn. The Pacers actually beat the Lakers 116-115 in LA back at the start of the season. I'm not reading anything into the "revenge" angle here though. LA finishes its road trip at New Orleans, and it could very well be caught "looking ahead" to that Conference matchup. The Pacers are just 1-9 in their last ten and they enter off three straight SU/ATS losses in a row. That's significant to note here though as Indiana is 6-2 ATS in its last eight after three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. With Sacramento coming to town tomorrow, Indiana can't afford to look past the "on again, off again" Lakers; grab the points, the play is the Pacers! AAA Sports |
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02-02-23 | James Madison v. Old Dominion OVER 138 | Top | 78-73 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
10* OVER JMU/ODU (SUN BELT TOM) James Madison is 15-8, while ODU is 13-9. These are two teams in need of a victory here, and I expect this competitive like atmosphere to produce a much higher final combined score than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. James Madison actually averages 82.9 PPG, and it has seven players averaging between 7.9 and 13 PPG. ODU averages 67.5, but after playing to seven straight "unders," I feel this O/U line is now just a bit too low for the home side, as note that the Monarchs have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. This number is a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-02-23 | Valencia v. Real Madrid -250 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 13 m | Show |
10* Real Madrid (MONEYLINE FIRST HALF) Valencia is terrible, and I expect it to struggle. Especially in the first half. Valencia is currently in 14th place in the La Liga standings, most recently falling 1-0 to Real Valladolid this weekend. Real Madrid is in second place, but many feel that they've failed to live up to expectations. What better time than right now vs. this weaker competition?! Los Blancos were held to a 0-0 stalemate by Real Sociedad in the last outing, but this is a much more favorable matchup. Real Madrid has won three straight in this series. Look for favorite to come out firing as it looks to take control of this game in the FIRST HALF! AAA Sports |
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02-01-23 | Hawks v. Suns UNDER 230.5 | Top | 132-100 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
10* UNDER Hawks/Suns (NON-CONF. TOM) I feel there are enough situational factors that point to this being more of a defensive affair, than a wide-open "shootout" to pull the trigger on a big play on the "under" in this one. The Hawks have now seen the total go "over" the number in three straight after their most recent 129-125 road loss at Portland. That's significant for us to note though, as Atlanta has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Phoenix has seen the total go "over" in two straight. It hits the road for five straight on the East Coast starting in Boston on Friday and I say the home side gets caught "looking ahead." Look for this non-conference game to be less intense offensively; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-01-23 | Illinois-Chicago v. Illinois State UNDER 136.5 | Top | 62-68 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
10* UNDER Illinois Chicago/Illinois State. A couple of 9-14 bottom feeders collide here in the Missouri Valley Conference on Wednesday night and in my opinion, I expect points to be at a premium. Each side has played to several higher-scoring games of late, but we can expect those trends to end here. The Flames only average 67 PPG, while allowing 70.7. They catch a break here today on the defensive end facing Illinois State, which averages just 66.2 PPG, while allowing 68.6. When these teams faced off back on December 28th, it was UIC which came away with the 55-51 win as a one-point favorite. Look for these hungry and evenly matched teams to play to a similar, lower-scoring "under" here as well! AAA Sports |
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02-01-23 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs +113 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
10* Leafs (Atlantic GOM) It's the last game of the first half before each side, and I believe that the revenge minded home side offers fantastic value to get the job done. Boston has lost three straight. It's limping towards the finish line here and I think it'll just go through the motions in Toronto. The Leafs do indeed play with revenge after falling 4-3 in Boston in the middle of January. The Leafs have won three of their last four including a commanding 5-1 victory over Washington here most recently. All things considered, I view this to be the very definition of "great line value;" the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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01-31-23 | Northwestern v. Iowa UNDER 150 | Top | 70-86 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
10* UNDER Northwestern/Iowa (BIG TEN TOY) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I'm expecting a much more defensive affair this evening. Both teams have done decently to this point. Northwestern is 15-5, while Iowa is 13-8. The Wildcats enter on a three-game win skein. Most recently they beat Minnesota by a score of 81-61. I'm expecting a similar final combined score here as well, as Northwestern only averages 69.8 PPG, but makes up for it on the defensive end, holding opponents to an effective field goal percentage of 46.8 percent, ranked 45th. So expect the visitors to slow this one down at all costs. Iowa averages 81.3 PPG, but it's been trading high-scoring "overs" with low-scoring "unders" over its last six games, and off a 93-82 home win over Rutgers last time out, all signs point to this pattern continuing. Expect a more methodical pace here; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-31-23 | Heat +5.5 v. Cavs | Top | 100-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
10* Heat (ASSASSIN) While I do think an outright win is possible, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. Miami's three-game win streak just came to an end in a 122-117 loss at Charlotte, but that's important for us to note here as Miami 7-3 ATS in its last ten after a SU/ATS loss as a favorite. It plays with revenge here as well after falling l13-87 at home to Cleveland as a seven-point dog at the start of the season. That's also signficant to note here, as the Heat are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in against an opponent. Cleveland has been trading ATS wins/losses over its last seven games, and off a 122-99 home win over the Clippers as an 11-point fav, I expect this pattern to continue here. In what I expect to be a very competitive affair, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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01-31-23 | Kings v. Hurricanes -200 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
6* Hurricanes (SPECIAL) It's the final game before the All Star break for both teams. I expect the Kings to just "go through the motions" here though, while I believe that Carolina truly wants to finish off the first half with one last victory, after steamrolling its way to the No. 1 spot in the Metropolitan, overtaking the idle Devils over the last two weeks. Carolina has won five straight and everything points to it keeping the foot on the gas one more night. LA's five-game road trip started well with three straight wins, but it fell 5-2 at Tampa most recently. A loss tonight, and it's still a successful overall trip. Look for Carolina to go up early and keep the pedal to the metal until the final horn blares; lay the price with confidence, the play is Carolina! AAA Sports |
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01-30-23 | South Dakota v. Oral Roberts -15.5 | Top | 53-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
10* Oral Roberts (SUMMIT GOY) I think that the 10-12 South Dakota Coyotes are in over their heads tonight visiting the 19-4 Oral Roberts Golden Eagles. South Dakota is coming off a win over St. Thomas MN, while Oral Roberts beat Omaha on Saturday. South Dakota though is just 2-7 on the road and it only averages 69.4 PPG. It's won three straight ATS, but that's only helped in driving down this spread in favor of the Golden Eagles. Oral Roberts has lost two of its last three ATS, but I expect it to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one. Note that it enters averaging 84.5 PPG, ranked fifth in the country. All signs point to a lop-sided blowout; the play is Oral Roberts! AAA Sports |
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01-30-23 | Lakers v. Nets UNDER 231.5 | Top | 104-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
10* UNDER Lakers/Nets (NON-CONF TOY) The Lakers have been trading high-scoring games with lower-scoring ones over their last five games, and off a 125-121 OT loss in Boston, I'm expecting this pattern to continue. And with a game at the Knicks tomorrow night, the last thing that LA wants to do here is turn this into a shootout with the Nets. Brooklyn lhas seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, and that's something we need to take note of here, as the Nets have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. With a much more important game at Boston on the 1st of February, I say the home side also gets caught "looking ahead" here. Boston woni 116-103 in LA back in November and the total sailed OVER the number of 2l8 in that one. I believe we'll see a similar final combined score here as well; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-30-23 | Magic v. 76ers UNDER 233.5 | Top | 119-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
10* UNDER Magic/76ers (EAST-COAST EXPRESS) Both teams have been playing to some higher-scoring affairs of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. Orlando had won three of four before a two-game losing streak. It's coming off a l28-109 home loss to the Bulls. It's been trading high-scoring games with lower-scoring ones over its last six games and I expect that pattern to continue here. The last time these teams played, the 76ers managed the 133-103 win, which is important for us to note here, as Orlando has also seen the total go "under" in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss of 25 or more points vs. an opponent. This is the start of two straight between the teams here in Philly, and I expect a much more defensive affair than what the bookmakers are trying to lead us to believe; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-29-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs UNDER 47 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 150 h 14 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bengals/Chiefs (CONF. CHAMP TOY) The first thing you think about when you think about these two teams are the two men under center. Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes are two of the most electrifying QB's in the league right now. Both of these teams are among the league leaders on offense, but in my opinion, I expect more of a defensive affair in this one. The injury to Mahomes has like 80% of the early public money on the Bengals. I'm staying away from choosing a side in this one, but I think the last thing that KC can afford to do now is turn this into a "shootout" with Burrow and the Bengals. Look for the experienced Mahomes to control his offense with short crossing routes and over the top dumps. Both of these defenses are fantastic as well, and are just overshadowed by these two polarizing pivots. Look for this hard-fought game to result in a lower-scoring "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-29-23 | Capitals v. Maple Leafs -135 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
8* Leafs (DESTROYER) Toronto is off a 6-2 loss at home to Ottawa, but I say it bounces back here at home against Washington, avenging a 5-2 loss in the Nation's capital in December. And with the Bruins coming to town on the 1st of February before the All Star break, this is a important game here for sure. Washington is off a 3-2 SO win over the Pens at home two nights ago. It has one more game at Columbus before the break land I say the Caps get caught "looking ahead." All things considered, I believe this line could/should in fact be much larger; the play is Toronto AAA Sports |
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01-29-23 | 49ers v. Eagles -140 | Top | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 147 h 50 m | Show |
10* Eagles MONEYLINE (CONF. CHAMP GOY) If you're betting on this game, then you know the cast of characters on each team. Both the players and the coaches. You know the strengths and weaknesses of each of these teams. If not, there's literally millions of "review" articles out there that'll get you caught up on all of that information. I'm here to tell you why I think that the "sharp" move is to avoid the spread option with the Eagles altogether, and instead pay a bit more and just play this one on the moneyline. I do like the Eagles ATS as well, but I definitely like them a whole lot more on the moneyline, especially at this price. These two teams are even in many respects. Defensively, special teams. Each is loaded with individual talent. The bottom line for me though is about the two guys under center. Who do you trust more between Hurts and Purdy? For me, and after what I witnessed last weekend, I trust Hurts at home. Lay the price, the play is Philly on the moneyline option! AAA Sports |
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01-29-23 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Cleveland State UNDER 137.5 | Top | 72-78 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER IUPUI/Cleveland State (HORIZON LEAGUE TOY) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. IUPUI is just 3-19 after its latest 81-75 loss at Purdue Fort Wayne. It only averages 63.1 PPG, but somehow it's seen the total go "over" in four straight. Note though that IUPUI has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. It plays with revenge here after an 89-54 loss at home to Cleveland State two weeks ago. The Vikings are 13-9 after a 79-74 win over Purdue Fort Wayne. Despite that victory, note though that Cleveland State still only averages just 70 PPG. I'm expecting a much more defensive affair here in the rematch; this number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-29-23 | Heat v. Hornets OVER 221.5 | Top | 117-122 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
10* OVER Heat/Hornets. Everything points to a higher-scoring shootout here in my opinion. Neither team has played to many high-scoring affairs of late, but that's only helped in driving this O/U line a few points lower than it normally would/should be. Miami has definitely been playing better of late, having won four of its last five, including three straight. It's seen the total go "under" in four straight, and that's significant to note for us, as llthe Heat have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Charlotte has won three of its last five. It's coming off a 111-96 home win over the Bulls, which is significant for us to note as well, as the Hornets have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS home win as an underdog and in which they held their opponent to 99 or fewer points in. They also play with revenge here after a 132-115 loss at Miami back in November. I expect a similar wide-open, high-scoring "shootout" here as well; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-29-23 | CS Bakersfield v. Hawaii UNDER 118.5 | Top | 69-72 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
10* UNDER CSU Bakersfield/Hawaii (BIG WEST TOY) Two teams on different ends of the spectrum. CSU Bakersfield is 6-13, and Hawaii is 15-6. The Roadrunners are off a 79-58 home loss to UC Davis, and I think they'll struggle to reach that many points here on the road. Note that they average 58.3 PPG. Hawaii only averages 68. The Warriors are coming off a tight 65-64 home loss to UC Santa Barbara. These two teams play at a couple of the slowest paces in the nation. The fact of the matter is that the Roadrunners haven't posted more than 58 points in six straight games. Expect a slower-paced defensive affair, one that falls well "under" the number once the final buzzer sounds! AAA Sports |
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01-28-23 | Pepperdine +10 v. Loyola Marymount | Top | 70-84 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
10* Pepperdine (WC GOY) Here are two teams on opposite ends of the spectrum, but that fact is in fact working in our favor here, as I believe this spread is a few points larger than it really should be. Pepperdine is 7-15, while Loyola Marymount is 15-7. The Waves are averaging 77.3 PPG, and allowing 79.4. The Lions are averaging 76.6 PPG, while allowing 69.9. The Waves catch a bit of a break here on the defensive end, as the Lions don't play at the fastest pace. Pepperdine has no issues scoring. Loyola Marymount has a look-ahead matchup at BYU up next as well. Finally note that the underdog is a near-perfect 6-1 ATS the last seven in this series. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Pepperdine! AAA Sports |
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01-28-23 | Raptors v. Blazers UNDER 228.5 | Top | 123-105 | Win | 100 | 16 h 42 m | Show |
10* UNDER Raptors/Blazers (EXPRESS) Toronto is off the 129-117 road loss at Golden State just last night. The last thing the Raptors can afford to do here is to get into a "shootout" with Damian Lillard and the Blazers. Portland has won two straight blowouts at home, winning 147-127 over San Antonio, before a 134-124 victory over Utah. Clearly, both of those totals eclipsed the posted number. Despite that though, the Blazers still only average 114 PPG, ranked 17th. These teams played at the beginning of the month North of the border and the Raptors won by a score of 117-105, and the total stayed "under" the number of 226.5. I look for more of a slower-paced defensive affair here between these non-conference opponents, similar to their last matchup; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-28-23 | Sabres v. Wild -175 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
8* Wild (SPECIAL) I like the Wild to post a victory here in their final game before the All-Star break. Buffalo actually returns home after this for one final game against conference opponent Carolina on Feb. 1st and I believe they'll get caught "looking ahead." Who could blame the Sabers for finally having a bit of a letdown after five straight wins, including three straight on the road? Minnesota though just snapped an ugly three-game slide with a tough 3-2 OT home win over Philadelphia. The Wild play with revenge here as well after a 6-5 loss at Buffalo at the start of 2023. Expect the Wild to fold up their tents and throw in the white towel here early; lay the price, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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01-28-23 | Lakers v. Celtics -7.5 | Top | 121-125 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
10* Celtics (ASSASSIN) The Celtics beat the Lakers 122-118 in OT on the road back in December, and these teams "pushed" on the spread in that one. The Celtics though have lost three straight, and I expect them to put an end to the "bleeding" here. Note that Boston is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. The Celtics have in fact lost five straight ATS. I say the "revenge" factor gets thrown out the window here. LA has won three of its last four, but it's still just 10-14 on the road. The Lakers have a difficult road ahead at Brooklyn, the Knicks, the Pacers and Pelicans, and I believe they get caught "looking ahead" here. I'm laying the points and expecting a rout; the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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01-27-23 | Grizzlies v. Wolves OVER 237.5 | Top | 100-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
10* OVER Grizzlies/Wolves (TOTAL EXPRESS) These teams can score with the best of them, and they usually don't concentrate too much on the defensive end. That's led to their totals typically being sky-high for most games. That said, each has been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to finally end here this evening. The Wolves have won three of their last four, but they'll have their hands full here with a revenge-minded Grizzlies team that fell 109-101 at home to Minnesota back in November. While that game fell well "under" the total, note that Memphis has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent in which it was the favorite. That was at the start of the season, but now these offenses are rolling. Expect them to keep rolling here and watch this total eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-27-23 | Red Wings v. Islanders -160 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
8* Islanders (ROUT) The Islanders have a big opportunity to wipe away the stench of a six-game losing streak in the final outing before the All-Star break. New York plays with the added incentive of "revenge" here as well after falling 3-0 to the Wings in early November. Note that New York is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to avenge a shutout loss as a favorite against an opponent. The Wings are off a thrilling 4-3 OT win at Montreal just last night. Expect Detroit to just "go through the motions" here in the final game before the break; lay the price with confidence, the play is the Islanders! AAA Sports |
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01-27-23 | Manhattan v. Niagara OVER 126 | Top | 62-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
10* OVER Manhattan/Niagara (ASSASSIN) I like the way this one sets up to be an offensive contest. Each team has been playing to several "unders" of late, but that's only now helped in contributing to this O/U line being a few points lower than it normally would/should be. When these teams played on January 8th, Manhattan upset Niagara by a score of 64-59 as a 3.5-point underdog. The total in that contest stayed "under" the postd number of 128, but note that Niagara has seen the total go "over" the number in ten of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss as a favorite against an opponent. Look for the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish, and then expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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01-26-23 | Mavs +1.5 v. Suns | Top | 99-95 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
10* Mavericks (ASSASSIN) For a couple of different reasons, I really like the way this one sets up for Luka Doncic and the Mavs. Off back-to-back SU/ATS losses, the Mavericks will be focused on the task at hand here. Dallas beat Phoenix 130-111 at the start of December. Everyone was beating the Suns at that point. Since then, Phoenix actually enters this one red hot with four straight victories, both SU and ATS. All of them have been here at home. Note though that the Suns are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight after playing to three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. I say the Suns come in a bit complacent here and while I clealry feel an outright victory is possible, everything points to a minor letdown here from Phoenix, while all signs point to Dallas rallying; grab the points, the play is the Mavericks! AAA Sports |
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01-26-23 | Arkansas State v. Southern Miss UNDER 132.5 | Top | 57-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
10* UNDER Arkansas State/USM (SUN BELT TOY) All signs point to this being a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Arkansas State is coming off seven straight SU losses. It's seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, including in its 87-78 OT home loss to Marshall. Note though that Arkansas State has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Southern Miss has played to four straight "overs," but it still only averages 75.9 PPG, ranked 80th. Look for the conference leader to clamp down defensively and control the tempo of this contest; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-26-23 | Penguins v. Capitals -111 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
10* Capitals (SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION) I think a great spot and a great price here on Washington. These teams are evenly matched, but from a situational stand point, this one definitely looks good for the Capitals. Pittsburgh has been trading wins and losses over its last six games, and after an exhausting 7-6 OT win over Florida in its last outing, I'm expecting this pattern to continue. The Capitals play with revenge after a 4-1 loss to the Pens in November. Pittsburgh returns home after this to play lowly San Jose as well before the All Star break, so it's a "letdown + look-ahead" position, and that normally = trap game. Washington comes in hungry to avenge that loss and snap a two-game slide. And with B2B road games before the all-star game, this is an important home contest that they can't afford to look past. In my opinion, this is the very definition of "great line value." The play is Washington! AAA Sports |
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01-25-23 | Hurricanes v. Stars -102 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
10* Stars (BLOOD-BATH) Two really good teams here, and it wouldn't be too difficult to write a convincing argument for either side to win. But at this price, I think the revenge-minded home side is the correct call. Dallas comes in off a 3-2 OT loss to Buffalo. It lost 5-4 at Carolina in December. With the Devils coming to town next, I expect the Stars to come in really focussed here. Carolina is off B2B wins, but with a game at home against the lowly Sharks next, I say the visitors get caught "looking ahead." As Bob Barker used to say: "The Price Is Right!" The play is the Stars! AAA Sports |
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01-25-23 | Hawks -1 v. Thunder | Top | 137-132 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
10* Hawks (ASSASSIN) I think this one sets up well for the Hawks. Atlanta has now lost two in a row after a five-game win streak, most recently it was a 111-100 setback at Chicago. But overall the Hawks have done really well in this spot for bettors, as they do play with "REVENGE" here after a 121-114 home loss to the Thunder as 6.5-point favorites back in December and Atlanta is 6-1 against the spread in its last seven in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread home loss as a favorite against an opponent. Oklahoma City is 14-9 at home and it's playing its best basketball of the season. It's won seven of its last ten and it's covered in eight straight. All good things do come to an end though. After their most recent 101-99 road win in Denver as three-point underdogs, I'm finally expecting a letdown (I will point out though, that that was without Jokic in the line-up for the Nuggets.) From a situational stand point, I think Oklahoma City is now overvalued here by bettors and bookmakers alike. I love the way this one sets up for ATL to exact some revenge; the play is the Hawks! AAA Sports |
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01-25-23 | Xavier v. Connecticut -6.5 | Top | 82-79 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
10* UConn (BIG EAST GOW) Xavier has been great, but I think it's getting a little TOO much respect here now. It lost 73-72 to DePaul, and then bounced back with a 95-82 win over Georgetown. Beating the Hoyas these days is no big deal, but what is concerning is that the Musketeers allowed 80 or more points for the third time in their last five games. UConn got back on track with a dominant 86-56 home win over Butler last time out, snapping a three-game slide. The Huskies started out the season 14-0, and their first loss of the year occurred at home to Xavier, falling 83-73 as three-point favs on New Year's Eve. Look for the Musketeers to struggle defensively again, and for the revenge-minded Huskies to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; the play is UConn! AAA Sports |
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01-24-23 | Georgia Tech +11 v. Clemson | Top | 51-72 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
10* Georgia Tech (ACC GOY) I base my selections on many different things. I've always felt that being "flexible" with one's approach is the best way to secure profits over the long-term. Sometimes I completely dissect a play, looking at every angle possible, each individual player matchup, and every stat and angle I can possibly uncover. Other times I can just give a game the "eye test" and employ the "KISS" method (Keep It Simple Stupid!) Regardless, for this particular play I think it sets up well for Georgia Tech from a situational stand point. Clemson is 11-0 at home, but I'm not calling for an outright upset. I think the Yellow Jackets comfortably sneak in through the back door in the second half. GT is off six straight SU losses, and three straight ATS, which is significant to note, as the Yellow Jackets are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. They also play with revenge after falling 79-66 at home to Clemson as two-point underdogs in December. That's also significant to note, as GT is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Clemson's at FSU next. I think it takes the foot off the gas in the second half. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Georgia Tech! AAA Sports |
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01-24-23 | Sabres v. Blues -130 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
10* Blues (ASSASSIN) I think good value here on the Blues. A great situational play overall. Buffalo has now won three straight after a tough 3-2 OT win at Dallas just last night. I layed the price and had the Sabres on the puckline option, but here I'm going against Buffalo. I say the Sabres are now definitely fatigued after that victory,a nd with a tough game at Winnipeg and Minnesota upcoming, it's also a "look-ahead" spot. Letdown + look-ahead = TRAP! St. Louis is off a 5-3 home loss to Chicago, so is definitely hungry to bounce back. It also plays with revenge after falling 6-2 to Buffalo back in November. All in all, I believe this to be the very definition of "great line value." The play is the Blues! AAA Sports |
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01-24-23 | Bulls v. Pacers +1.5 | Top | 110-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
10* Pacers (CENTRAL DIV GOY) The Pacers return home desperate to snap a four-game road losing streak. Indiana has also gone 0-5 ATS in its last five, which is significant for us to note here in backing the home side, as the Pacers are in fact 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after five or more straight ATS losses in a row. They also play with the revenge factor after falling 124-109 to Chicago back in October. With a tough game at Orlando tomorrow night, I fully expect the home side to take advantage of familiar surroundings. Chicago is off three straight SU/ATS victories after last night's 111-100 home win over the Hawks. Fatigue plays a factor here in the second game of the B2B though. Grab whatever points you can, the play is Indiana! AAA Sports |
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01-23-23 | Grizzlies -115 v. Kings | Top | 100-133 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 47 m | Show |
10* Grizzlies (WEST-CONF GOW) Off B2B road losses, and having now gone 0-3 ATS, I like the Grizz to find a way to get the job done here against the Kings. Note that the Grizzlies are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after three or more straight ATS setbacks in a row. The Kings are primed for a letdown here in my opinion after suffering their first loss in six games vs. the 76ers last time out, falling 129-127. Look for the Grizzlies to take advantage! AAA Sports |
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01-23-23 | Sabres +1.5 v. Stars | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
10* Sabres PUCKLINE (BEST OF BEST) Buffalo is coming off B2B home wins, most recently clobbering the Ducks 6-3 on Saturday. The Sabres average 3.80 GPG, ranked second, so they always have an opportunity to "steal" a game on any given night from any team in the league. Perhaps surprisingly though, Buffalo has in fact been much better on the road than at home, coming in with a 12-7-1-0 record away from friendly confines. This is the opener of a tough four-game Western swing, and with a game at the Blues tomorrow night, I expect the visiting side to "leave everything on the ice" this evening. Dallas is off B2B wins as well, including a 4-0 victory over the Coyotes in its last outing. In fact, that's B2B shutout victories for the Stars, who blanked LA 4-0 in the game previous. Suffice it to say, all signs finally point to a letdown here though; lay the short price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance! AAA Sports |
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01-23-23 | Grambling State -3 v. Arkansas-Pine Bluff | Top | 77-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
10* Grambling State (ASSASSIN) Grambling State is 11-7 and Arkansas-Pine Bluff is 9-11. If history is any precedence, then the Tigers have to be liking their chances. Grambling State's 76-65 win over Arkansas-Pine Bluff on January 24th, 2022 was its fifth straight victory in the series. Arkansas-Pine Bluff is interestingly 0-5 ATS in its last five vs. teams with a winning record though. UAPB is unbeaten at home this year, but that just speaks volumes to the level of competition it's faced to this point. Grambling State has been tough on the road and after four straight ATS losses in a row, I believe they're in fact undervalued here finally this evening; lay the points, the play is Grambling State! AAA Sports |
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01-22-23 | Lakers v. Blazers -5 | Top | 121-112 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
10* Blazers (EXPRESS) The Lakers are coing off a tight 122-120 home win over Memphis as 7-point dogs. With a home game against the Clippers on Tuesday, LA could be caught looking ahead here. Portland plays with revenge after falling 128-109 to the Blazers in November, and that's significant for us to note, as it in fact 6-2 ATS in its last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss of 15 or more points as a favorite. Portland is 11-9 at home after a 105-95 loss to the 76ers three nights ago, but with the Spurs coming to town tomorrow, the Blazers are going to step up here and take care of business in this revenge scenario in my opinion; lay the points, the play is the Blazers! AAA Sports |
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01-22-23 | Jets v. Flyers OVER 6 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
10* Over Jets/Flyers (TOTAL BOB) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring "unders" of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening in this one. Winnipeg is off the 5-1 win at Ottawa last night and I look for it to keep the foot on the gas in the second game of the back-to-back. The Flyers are off the 2-1 road win at Detroit yesterday, and I expect the exact same thing from Philadelphia, as fatigue goes out the window for each side here on Sunday. This is the first matchup of the year between the clubs, but look for this non-conference game to be less intense defensively, and more wide-open; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-22-23 | Cowboys v. 49ers UNDER 47 | Top | 12-19 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
10* UNDER Cowboys/49ers (TOTAL ASSASSIN) Two really good teams here. The first thing you think about when you think about either is the offense though. Brock Purdy and the weapons around him or impressive, but it was the 49ers' defense which sustained the team early and which is the unsung here of this team. The same can be said about Dak Prescott and his offense. However, it's been the Dallas defense which has been consistently under-rated this season. This is going to be a great game, but one that's decided by field position, by which team protects the ball, and by the men in the "trenches" on both sides of the field; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-22-23 | Bengals v. Bills -4.5 | Top | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 143 h 2 m | Show |
10* Bills (DIVISIONAL GOY) The Bills are the correct call this weekend in my opinion. Say what you want, these teams are almost mirror images of each other. Let's be honest, it would not be too difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these team's to come out on top and deliver the goods this weekend. If you're betting on this game, then you know the cast of characters on each side. You know how each of these team's got to this point and you know what their strengths and weaknesses are. I think the Bills benefit greatly from playing at home in this divisional matchup, and ultimatley I expect this big factor to be the difference-maker in the outcome of this contest. Lay the points, the play is Buffalo! AAA Sports |
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01-22-23 | Wichita State v. SMU UNDER 136 | Top | 71-69 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wichita State/SMU (AAC TOY) The bottom line here for this one, is that both teams are struggling to score right now, and their defensive metrics far outweigh their offensive numbers. Wichita State's top player only averages 12 PPG. But the Shockers like to play at a slow pace, ranked 304th in pace out of 363 teams in the country. SMU's tempo is only ranked 143rd. SMU will look to utilize its size on offense. That means running the offense through the big men, and that means setting up a lot of "half court sets" while on offense. When you add it all up, this number is indeed high; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-21-23 | Giants v. Eagles -7.5 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 125 h 49 m | Show | |
8* Eagles (SPECIAL) I like Jalen Hurts and the Eagles this weekend. I like the Eagles here in this spot even if for some reason Hurts doesn't suit up. Philadelphia finished 7-2 at home this year. It averages 28.1 PPG which ranks third. And it's a balanced offense, averaging 241.5 YPG passing and 147.6 YPG rushing. The Defense allows 20.2 PPG, which ranks eighth. The Eagles are extremely opportunistic defensively as well with 27 total takeaways so far, ranked third. Everything went correctly for the Giants last weekend. I just don't see lightning striking twice Daniel Jones. New York averages only 21.5 PPG, ranked 16th. They allow 21.8 PPG, ranked 18th. The Giants are 4-4 SU on the road this year, but a disproportionate 7-1 ATS. I say New York's "bounce back" season comes to an end here behind a methodical approach from the superior Eagles; lay the points, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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01-21-23 | Celtics v. Raptors +2.5 | Top | 106-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
10* Raptors (ASSASSIN) All signs point to a Toronto victory here in my opinion. That said, I'll still recommend to grab as many points as you can. Boston has won eight straight now after a 121-118 OT home win over Golden State last time out. That victory though snapped a five-game ATS winning streak, and I believe the C's will have their hands full here as well. With upcoming games at Orlando and Miami, I also think Boston gets caught looking ahead. The Raptors play with revenge here as well after a 116-110 loss to Boston as 1.5 point dogs back in December. The Raptors return home hungry after B2B SU/ATS road losses, most recently falling 128-126 at Minnesota. The Raptors welcome the Knicks to town tomorrow, so this is an opponent tonight that they can ill afford to look past. Clearly, that would never happen. The C's are the cream in the East, but all signs point to a Boston letdown/look-ahead here finally. The hungrier team finds a way at home this evening; the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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01-21-23 | Jaguars v. Chiefs UNDER 52 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 122 h 29 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jags/Chiefs (DIVISIONAL TOY) I had the Jaguars last weekend. Do I feel "lucky?!" Of course I do! That said, I don't see lightning "striking twice" for Jacksonville this weekend. Kansas City is 7-1 at home and it scores 29.2 PPG, which is ranked No. 1. I think though that the Chiefs defense is vastly underrated. Especially in the playoffs, and especially at home. I have been a big fan of what Trevor Lawrence and Doug Pederson have done this year, but I think the "fairy tale" ends this week. I say a big letdown is in order here. Look for the Chiefs to "control" this game and to cruise to a lower-scoring victory; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-21-23 | Marshall v. Arkansas State +11 | Top | 87-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
10* Arkansas State (ATS BLOODBATH) Marshall is coming off an 81-73 win over Texas State on Thursday. It's now 16-4 overall and 5-2 in conference action. That said, I still think this is a few too many points to be giving up on the road vs. the hungry Arkansas State side which is 9-11 overall and 1-6 in Sun Belt play. Mashall averages 81.6 PPG, while Arkansas State averages 65.7. With ten days off after this before a game vs. App State on February 2nd, I believe this sets up as a "look-ahead" spot. The Red Wolves are 8-5 at home and while I'm not calling for an outright victory, all signs point to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Arkansas State! AAA Sports |
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01-21-23 | Texas Tech +5 v. Kansas State | Top | 58-68 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
10* Texas Tech (BLOWOUT) K-State is 16-2 after its 83-82 OT win at home over Kansas. It was an epic victory, and I'm expecting a predictable letdown here. Texas Tech is 10-8 and I think it comes in as clearly the much hungrier side. K-State is playing great, but from a situational stand-point, I absolutely expect a mental letdown here after the win over the Jayhawks. Texas Tech made the Tournament as a three seed last year. The Red Raiders have fallen off, but after six straight conferene setbacks to open the season, we won't have to question their effort here today. Grab the points and expect a battle until the final whistle; the play is Texas Tech! AAA Sports |
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01-20-23 | Avalanche v. Canucks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 118 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Avs/Canucks (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. Colorado comes in off three straight wins. It's now 23-17-2-1, but it still averages 3.07 GPG, ranked 21st. Vancouver is just 18-23-2-1 and it averages 3.36 GPG, ranked ninth. The Canucks have been struggling of late though, having lost eight of their last ten. A struggling offense can be mainly blamed. Colorado plays with revenge here after a 4-2 loss here at the start of the month, and that's significant to note in fact, as the Avs have seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a two goals or greater loss against an opponent. Expect a competitive contest, but a tighter defensive one than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-20-23 | Nets +6.5 v. Jazz | Top | 117-106 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
10* Nets (NON-CONF GOM) After four straight SU losses in a row, and five straight ATS setbacks, I expect Brooklyn to be the "hungrier" dog in this fight, and therefore I'm going to recommend to grab as many points as you can in this one. Brooklyn is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after five or more ATS losses in a row. Utah has won four of its last five, including three straight ATS. But the Jazz are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven after three or more ATS victories in a row. This is the second game of a back-to-back for Brooklyn after the 117-112 loss at Phoenix last night. The Jazz are off a 126-103 win over the Clippers. I say these teams are very evenly matched and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever club has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab the points; the play is Brooklyn! AAA Sports |
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01-20-23 | Toledo v. Buffalo UNDER 168 | Top | 86-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
10* UNDER Toledo/Buffalo (MAC TOW) Toledo is 12-6, while Buffalo is 9-9. That includes though going a near-perfect 8-1 at home. The Rockets are coming off a 90-75 win over Ohio in their latest contest, but I believe they'll have a much more difficult time moving the ball here on the road. The Rockets weakness comes on defense where they're allowing an average of 78.6 PPG. But that defense catches a break here facing a Bulls' offense that averages 79.9 PPG. The Bulls are coming off a blowout win as well, smashing Bowling Green 100-71. Both teams play at incredibly fast paces, but the school that plays the best defense is going to be the one that comes out on top here. These are two really good offenses, and poor defenses, and this is also a really high total. I see enough things "going wrong" to keep this total well "under" the number; and that's the play! AAA Sports |
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01-19-23 | Devils -125 v. Seattle Kraken | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
10* Devils (BEST OF THE BEST) I think the Kraken are getting way too much respect here. Seattle went on an amazing run, but I believe further regression is now in order after B2B losses. Note as well that Seattle is 10-9-2-0 at home, while New Jersey is 18-2-1-0 on the road. The Devils are coming off five straight wins and I say they try to end their incredibly successful road trip with one last big effort here. In my professional opinion, this is the very definition of "great line value." The play is New Jersey! AAA Sports |
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01-19-23 | CS-Fullerton v. Long Beach State -4.5 | 67-72 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
8* LBSU (BAIL-OUT BLOWOUT) Two teams in need of a win, but I expect the home side to dig deep here and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover. The Titans are 10-9, but ust 2-6 on the road. They're coming off a 76-46 home victory over CSU Bakersfield. Fullerton has now covered in six straight, but that's important to note here, as it's in fact just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after five or more straight ATS covers in a row. LBSU is 8-10, but it's 4-3 at home. It averages 75.4 PPG, while Fullerton averages 70. Look for the motivated home side keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is LBSU! AAA Sports |
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01-19-23 | UC San Diego +3.5 v. Cal Poly | Top | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
10* UC San Diego (ASSASSIN) The UC San Diego Tritons are 6-12 overall, and 1-5 in league play. They'll be eager to snap a five-game losing streak, most recently falling 78-70 at home to UC Davis (note though, the Tritons are 4-1 ATS in their last five after five or more straight losses in a row.) Cal Poly is 7-11 overall, and just 1-5 in conference play. The Mustangs are on a five-game losing streak as well, but I think they come in here still hung up on their latest loss, a crushing 83-78 OT setback at UC Riverside. These teams are evenly matched and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever one has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is indeed on UC San Diego! AAA Sports |
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01-19-23 | Portland State v. Weber State OVER 140.5 | Top | 68-84 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
10* OVER Portland State/Weber State (BIG SKY TOY) For a number of different reasons, I think this total is low. Both teams enter hungry for a win here at 8-10. Portland State will be particularly eager to return to action after a tight 69-67 home loss to Northern Colorado as a five-point favorite (note though that Portland State has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after a SU/ATS home loss in which it was the favorite and in which it was held to 69 or fewer points in.) Portland State does average 77.7 PPG though. Weber State will have to match pace here, as it comes in averaging 66.1 PPG. It's seen the total go "under" in four straight, but that's only helped in driving today's O/U line a few points lower than it normally would/should be. When these teams played last year, Portland State won by a score of 81-75. I predict a similar final combined score here as well; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-19-23 | Warriors v. Celtics UNDER 235 | Top | 118-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER Warriors/Celtics (TOTAL EXPRESS) We can expect a tight, lower-scoring affair here in my opinion for a couple of different reasons. The last time these teams played was in Golden State and the Warriors won by a score of 123-107 as a 2.5-point dog, the total staying well "under" the posted number. I'm expecting a similar tight defensive affair here. Golden State has seen the total go "over" in four straight, which is signficant to note as the Warriors have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. With a game at Cleveland tomorrow, I say the Warriors save some "gas" as well. The Celtics have won four straight. They're coming off the 130-118 road win at Charlotte. Note though that they've seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a road loss against an opponent of ten or more points. This total is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-18-23 | Stars -155 v. Sharks | 3-5 | Loss | -155 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
8* Stars (SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION) I believe that Dallas is worth the price of admission in this spot. The Stars just snapped a two-game slide with a 4-0 win at Vegas last time out. They beat San Jose by a score of 5-2 in December and I'm expecting a similar sort of outcome here as well. Dallas has a much more difficult game at the Kings tomorrow night, so this is a golden opportunity that they simply can't look past. The Sharks are off a disheartening 4-3 shootout loss at home to the Devils, just another massive disappointment in a season of major letdowns. Lay the price with confidence, the play is Dallas! AAA Sports |
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01-18-23 | Oregon v. California UNDER 132.5 | Top | 87-58 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
10* UNDER Oregon/Cal (PAC 12 TOM) These teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end here this evening in what I anticipate will be a much tighter, and ultimatley lower-scoring defensive affair. Oregon is 10-8, but just 1-2 on the road. Cla is only 3-15 and just 3-8 at home. Oregon has seen the total go "over" in two straight games, including an 87-68 home victory over Arizona as a four-point underdog. Despite that though, the Ducks still only average 69.6 PPG. After that emotional upset victory, I predict some regression here. Cal averages only 61.8 PPG. It's now lost two straight, falling 66-51 at WSU, and 81-78 in OT at Washington last time out. I have a hard time seeing either side reaching its seasonal offensive average; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-18-23 | Abilene Christian +9.5 v. Utah Valley | 54-84 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
8* Abilene Christian (SPECIAL) The Abilene Christian Wildcats are 9-9, and the Utah Valley Wolverines are 14-5. The Wildcats are averaging 76.4 PPG, while allowing 67.9. The Wolverines are averaging 76.6 PPG, while allowing 67.7. The Wildcats have been sliding of late, but that's only helped in driving today's spread a few points larger than it normally would/should be. Look for the Wolverines to get caught looking ahead to their upcoming game at Grand Canyon up next. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Abilene Christian! AAA Sports |
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01-18-23 | Wizards +6.5 v. Knicks | Top | 116-105 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
10* Wizards (EAST-CONF GOM) Washington is 18-26 and I think it comes in under the radar here facing the 25-20 Knicks, who are interestingly 14-8 on the road, and only 11-12 at home. I base my picks on many different things, and one thing I always look at is the "REVENGE FACTOR. And the revenge fator does indeed come into play here. The Wizards have lost two straight, as they fell 112-108 at home as 3.5-point underdogs to the Knicks just last week, before then also falling 127-118 at home to Golden State on Sunday. But Washington is a wallet-expanding 7-1 against the spread in its last eight in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread home loss against an opponent in which it was held to 110 or fewer points in. The Knicks three game win streak was just snapped in a 123-121 overtime loss at home to Toronto as two-point favorites, and with a much more difficult upcoming schedule at Atlanta, Toronto, Cleveland, Boston and Brooklyn, I think this not only sets up as a letdown spot for the home side, but also a LOOK AHEAD SPOT, and when you add letdown spot and look ahead spot together, that = TRAP GAME. I'm banking on the revenge-minded Wizards to keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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01-18-23 | St. Louis v. Loyola-Chicago UNDER 142.5 | Top | 76-59 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
10* UNDER Saint Louis/Loyola Chicago (TOTAL BOB) The Saint Louis Billikens are 12-6 and the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers are 6-11 and I'm expecting a very defensive affair. The Billikens come to town injured, with several key players sidelined. They'are also just 2-3 on the road. Saint Louis averages 76.6 PPG, while the the Ramblers average only 67.6. Loyola Chicago is coming off an 86-55 loss at Saint Joseph's, and I expect an even smaller final combined score in this contest. Look for a much tigher, and ultimatley lower-scoring battle here, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-17-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Oilers -158 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
8* Edmonton (SPECIAL) I'm going to lay the larger price on the Oilers here. I think Edmonton is in fact undervalued here. Yes, the Kraken have been on an impressive run, and so far they've been even better on the road than at home, but I think this lop-sided trend will start to correct itself here. Seattle just had its eight-game win streak snapped in a 4-1 loss at home to Tampa just last night. Edmonton plays with revenge after a 5-2 loss to Seattle at the start of the month. Edmonton is playing its best hockey of the season right now after three straight wins and I believe it'll continue that hot run here; lay the price, the play is the Oilers! AAA Sports |
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01-17-23 | Raptors +5 v. Bucks | Top | 122-130 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
10* Raptors (ASSASSIN) Despite playing just last night, I like Toronto to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. The Raptors are playing their best basektball of the season right now, having won four of their last five, including last night's come from behind 123-120 OT win at New York. Toronto plays with the added incentive of "revenge" here as well after a 104-101 OT loss at home to the Bucks as 5.5-point favorites in early January. Milwaukee bounced back off two-straight losses in Miami to beat Indiana 132-119, but the Bucks are still averaging just 112.2 PPG, ranked 21st. Milwaukee has a road game at Cleveland up next. I think this is going to be a tight game for sure, so I'm grabbing the points; the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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01-17-23 | Houston v. Tulane UNDER 148.5 | Top | 80-60 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
10* Houston/Tulane UNDER (AAC TOW) The Cougars are 17-1, but I still think they'll want to body up on Tulane here and turn it into more of a defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Most recently they're coming off an 83-77 win over USF at home. The Green Wave are 12-5, and they're off a 77-69 home win over UCF. Houston is very average offensively with 75.9 PPG, ranked 96th, but their defense is ranked No. 1 overall, conceding just 52.9 PPG. Tulane is averaging 81.9 PPG, while allowing 73.8. Suffice it to say, the Wave have yet to face a defense like Houston's. With the visiting side playing full and half court pressure throughout this contest, I'm expecting the total to say "under" the number! AAA Sports |
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01-16-23 | CS-Northridge +16.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 51-58 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
10* CS Northridge (BIG WEST GOM) Outright victory? I'm not calling for that whatsoever. I do however look for the home side to take the foot off the gas after getting a big early lead, leaving the back door wide open for the hungry 3-13 Matadors to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. Hawaii is 13-4. This is the first match up of the year between the teams, but CS Northridge does play with double revenge after two losses last year in the series. Hawaii's 9-2 at home, but I believe it gets caught looking ahead to a two-game road trip starting this Friday at Big West leading UC Irvine. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is CS Northridge! AAA Sports |
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01-16-23 | Cowboys v. Bucs +3 | Top | 31-14 | Loss | -115 | 172 h 50 m | Show |
10* Bucs (WILDCARD GOY) I think the correct call on Monday night is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Tampa actually closed out the regular season in better form that Dallas. The Cowboys lost their final two games. Tampa clinched vs. Carolina in Week 17 in Brady's best game of the season, and then they went into half of their Week 18 matchup vs. the Falcons with a 17-10 lead, before then sitting all their starters in the second half. Brady's been waiting all year for the playoffs and his team is healthier now that it's been all season. These teams played in Arlington in Week 1 and the Bucs won by a score of 19-3. Dallas is just 1-5 ATS the last six in this series. The Bucs have a good run defense, so it turns Prescott's offense really one-dimensional. Clearly, the outright win isn't out of the question, but let's grab the points; the play is Tampa Bay! AAA Sports |