4* Total Money UNDER Colts/ Chiefs

4* Total Money UNDER Bengals/ Texans

Taking the TEXANS. Lost last week with Houston and the Under vs Buffalo. Where the heck did those offenses come from? Look. I got a playoff team, a good, defense first playoff team - at home team, in a back to back spot after getting ripped last week. There is no way I am not on Houston here. And Cincy. Look. I will grab my Cincy winner from last and be thankful. Because we saw how this season is going to play out. Get up 21-3 with the help of turnovers and then be in a position to lose late? Defense still has problems apparently. I have the better coach - and really, in a must win spot. Bils with Super Bowl prospects, and Cincy playoff bound hopes - you can't lose to these 2 teams out of the gate, especially at home. I am also on the UNDER in this one.  4* Money Maker HOUSTON TEXANS

Taking the RAIDERS. Line is now under a TD! wow. I would say drastic overreaction. But is it? Raiders have a decent defense and decent veteran QB with a good OC calling the plays. Plus a good little RB that they love. I know we have a bit of skewed look with Vegas beating Miami and the Chargers losing outright to Arizona. But maybe it is time to ask if Herbert really as good as people make him out to be. He had good numbers vs the Raiders so we will see if that continues this afternoon. I think LAC misses their DC who is now in Balitmore.  Won't be shocked to see this one go over but haven't play it yet. And lets be honest here. If the Chargers win, it is a big double digit win and 6 points or 9 won't matter at all. But, if Vegas is sticking around inside of a score or 2, I won't be shocked if the Raiders win it outright. 4* Money Maker LAS VEGAS RAIDERS

Taking the EAGLES. Not shocked at a line move out to a TD. Titans look to be the worse team in football at least after Week 1. I know the overreaction crew will be all over Philly. And that is why the line moved up. But honestly. Are you really going to try and be cute taking the Titans today? I can't believe all the pre-season hype on these guys. Did anyone watch them in August? If anything - the fact that Washington nearly came back and forces OT is reason enough to back the Iggles. No overalooking a team they 'should' beat. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

Taking the BEARS. I gotta say, taking a team that just scored 57, in my gut, it doesn't feel right. Like, they should be laying 10+ after that Carolina game. Vikings off a bit of  crazy game themselves with a big 4th quarter rally behind backup, but savvy veteran QB Carson Wentz. Line is now up to 4.5. Flores is a great DC for Minny. Doubt the Bears sniff 40 in this one, heck 30 might be a stretch. But, I think they can keep Carson Wentz and this offense under wraps. We can't just dismiss the fact the Chicago defense allowed 37 points either. I might actually come in on the under 48.5 on this one to be perfectly honest with you. For now though, I think the Bears win by about 10. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS

Going UNDER the total here. I have a bad number on this one. 44.5 currently. Look If you have just found me and my football picks. I am a get down early guy. I feel good enough about my numbers not to wait to see what happens. Sometimes we get a good number, sometimes not the best. I don't own the sites. I can't come in and delete and add things as the line moves. I bet these games at these lines. Anyway, that all being said. How is it 44.5 or 45 points? Green Bay's offense is not that great. The defense is decent. Not great, but good enough. I think the Jets have a really good defense though. Good enough to keep Love in check and Green Bay to below 23 points. And the Jets offense. Still trying to find itself. Are you really gung ho on them after they beat the Titans? I didn't think so. The fact that GB blew the game and lost how they lost leads me to believe we get a monster game this afternoon. 23-16 seems about right. 4* Total Money UNDER Packers/ Jets

Taking TAMPA. 2 quick turnovers and you go from being up 3-0 to down 21-3. 4 turnovers in all and you still were a defensive stop away from getting the ball back down 6! Baker revenge game vs his old squad. Look. Anytime I get back a team at home after a poor game like the Bucs had last week, I would be looking to play them. I also played the OVER in this one. Line has moved 2.5 since the opener. If I am taking a favorite, I am not betting it to be a close game. Bucs should win this by 2 TDs or more. The talk will be of Tampa ATS failures dating back to last year. Those people also forget Tampa started 6-2 ATS last year. Nor will I mention injuries. Trends are great, but you have to be able to look at the full picture. Tampa into the ATS win column. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY BUCS

4* Total Money OVER Browns/ Bucs

Going UNDER the total. I'll try to keep this simple as not to offend NE fans. Drake Maye struggles vs good defenses. Just look at the numbers. Look at the last half dozen games. Now, are the Steelers a playoff team? Eh. Borderline. Do they bring their lunch pail and play tough football - absolutely. I would like to say first team to 20 wins, and they probably do, but will probably end up with 24 points. Patriots have some extra time off to work on things defensively. Again, like Packers Jets. 24-16 range. 4* Total Money UNDER Steelers/ Patriots

Taking the COLTS. Had this one before last week Sunday + Monday Night games were even played. Well. I thought Indy would beat the Ravens at home, not get mauled. But KC winning on MNF was any easy one (got lucky with that under Never In Doubt!) - I love my 6.5s for dogs. Walker with a huge game for KC. Did everything a Super Bowl winning RB should do. Mahomes breaks out for a rushing TD. Who saw that one coming? But - as great as they looked, this line... has not budged from that 6.5. Colts looked bad. Daniel Jones another QB like Nix + Mahomes coming back from an injury. I think the short week is huge here for Indy. Walker had a huge game - and Mahomes knee. I don't know. Again, short week. I am most likely going to come in on the UNDER in this one. I think we see the running backs take center stage. Playoff game last year stayed under 23-20 in OT. I think that is more than we get tonight. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS --- just a tad bit of movement on this game from when we released it. LY, Cards with Murray played these guys to a 23-20 game here in Arizona. In Seattle, Brissett was down 38-7 going into the 4th. I don't know if Lock is a 5 point downgrade. But, with rest, and some guys coming back on defense for Seattle, plus we add in some extra prep - I CAN"T SAY TAKE 4.5. I do put games out early. Sometimes if you get down early, you might get a good number. But it doesn't guarantee a win. At this price, I would not be interested in the homedog.

Taking DENVER. Had this one in even before the Monday night game began. Heck - this was in before the Sunday games even started last week. I had KC + the Under last week. So for me, this was a play to lock in on. Denver off a loss on MNF where the entire football world will get on them for being bad. How is the Bo Nix love today? Big revenge spot for Denver over the Jags who were the only team to beat them at home last year.  A pretty good thumping 34-20. Again. A disaster on MNF. People want Davis Mills. The sky is falling, help. Please. Broncos get right here at home 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS

Taking the FALCONS. We got a little movement on this one. Carolina now favored by 2.5 as Cooper Rush downgraded, maybe we get a Tua sigthing. Jack Strand perhaps? Pennix still questionable. You know what. I love it. This is where Stefanski shines! This is a guy who won games with Jeff Driskel, Joe Flacco, Dorian Thompson Robinson, Baily Zappe, Jacoby Brissett, Case Keenum, Nick Mullins, Baker Mayfield + Deshaun Watson. 2 time COY. Guy is a miracle worker. I'll have a -125, you will be getting a dog Outright on Sunday afternoon. And real fast on the Panthers. Yes. I had them last week. Bad game, we lost. The Falcons offense is not the Bears. But with their RB, Atlanta will have scoring opportunities. Home team wins. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS