Handicapper Stephen Nover’s Basketball Picks & Predictions

Stephen Nover

I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.

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Stephen Nover's CBB Unbeaten Totals Crusher

Stephen Nover has been one of the top college basketball handicappers during the past two plus seasons cashing 62 percent of his plays. Stephen is unbeaten this season on his CBB totals and he's found another Over/Under winner on today's card. Lock in now and reap the rewards!

Stephen Nover's CBB Unbeaten Totals Crusher

Match Up	Pick	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Analysis
Saints vs Broncos	OVER 36 -110	Free	31-3	Loss	-110	Show
OK, so the Broncos don't have a quarterback. It's not unique. The Bears haven't had one and now the Bengals don't. The oddsmaker has acted accordingly dropping the total all the way down to 36. That's low enough for me to make a pizza bet on the Over. The Saints may be able to reach this total just by themselves. New Orleans is the No. 5 scoring team in the league averaging nearly 30 points per game. The Saints have scored at least 24 points every game. The Broncos are below average defensively surrendering 26.7 points per game. If this game was to get out of hand, it's not inconceivable Denver's defense could quit. Taysom Hill has weapons with Alvin Kamara, Michael Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders. Hill doesn't have the accuracy of Drew Brees, but he provides a running option the Saints don't get from their other quarterbacks. Hill also should be more comfortable now that he has made an NFL start. Welcome Kendall Hinton. What do we have with him? Who knows? He's a practice squad wide receiver who played QB for parts of four seasons at Wake Forest completing 133 of 251 passes for 53 percent with 8 TD's and 7 interceptions. The Broncos have speed on the flanks with Jerry Jeudy and KJ Hamler. Noah Fant is an emerging tight end star. Melvin Gordon and Phillip Lindsay are an above average running back tandem. The Broncos also have a good kicker, Brandon McManus. He gets to kick in elevated conditions. There are no weather problems either with clear skies, no wind and temperatures in the high 30's. I'd rather try to go Over this low total in today's NFL with rules heavily skewed toward offense than try to make an Over work with a mid-40's total if Brett Rypien, or even recently resurrected from the junkyard Blake Bortles, were behind center.
Virginia Tech vs South Florida	South Florida +8½ -115	Premium	76-58	Loss	-115	Show
South Florida is a borderline postseason contender with a defensive-minded backcourt and size up front. The Bulls didn't shoot well on Saturday and lost, 84-68, to Rhode Island in the Basketball Hall of Fame Tip-off at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. No fans were in attendance. So it's easy to overlook South Florida when it takes on 2-0 Virginia Tech today. The 2-0 Hokies are coming off a huge, 81-73, overtime upset victory against third-ranked Villanova in the tournament. Virginia Tech was supposed to have played Temple. But the Owls had to drop out due to COVID-19 issues. So the Hokies may not have their full focus after that huge and unexpected victory against such a power. South Florida coach Brian Gregory knows Virginia Tech, an ACC team, from having coached against them when he was the head man at Georgia Tech.
Chiefs vs Bucs	Bucs +3½ -108	Premium	27-24	Win	100	Show
Given New Orleans being down Drew Brees, the Buccaneers could be the most complete team in the NFC. They have the defense to slow down the Chiefs' high-powered offense and a passing attack that can take advantage of a Kansas City secondary that in its last two games versus the Raiders and Panthers allowed 74.1 percent completions, 8.3 YPA, a 5-to-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio while coming up with just two sacks in 83 dropbacks by opposing quarterbacks Derek Carr and Teddy Bridgewater. Tom Brady spearheads a much more dangerous passing attack than those two teams. Brady could have the top wide receiving trio in the league with Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Antonio Brown. They are getting in sync more each week. It's a bad spot, too, for the Chiefs. The Buccaneers are home with much to prove after big game home losses to the Saints and Rams. The Chiefs are in a division sandwich having just gotten satisfying revenge on the Raiders and hosting the Broncos next week.
Bears vs Packers	Packers -9 -110	Premium	25-41	Win	100	Show
I want the Packers off a loss where they are a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS under Matt Lafleur. Aaron Rodgers hasn't lost to the Bears at home when he's started and finished a game since 2015. Green Bay averages 30.8 points, third-highest in the NFL. The Bears entered their break last week averaging fewer than 16 points during their last four games. They are either last or second from the bottom in scoring, total yards and rushing yards., Chicago has a patchwork offensive line and just one weapon, Allen Robinson. The Packers can limit Robinson with shutdown cornerback Jaire Alexander. Mitch Trubisky is great against the Lions. He's lousy against every other team. The Bears already have given up on Trubisky. He's back because Nick Foles is hurt and has been equally ineffective. The Bears also are 0-6 SU and ATS following a bye.
Browns vs Jaguars	Browns -7 -104	Top Premium	27-25	Loss	-104	Show
The Browns don't have to do much here versus such an undermanned opponent. Baker Mayfield can just hand the ball off to Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, while easily picking his spots against a dead Jacksonville team that is staggering with injuries. Jacksonville gives up the second-most yards per game in the NFL and yields nearly 30 points per contest. If not for a fluke victory against the Colts at home opening week, in which they were totally outplayed statistically, the Jaguars would be winless and ranking among the worst teams of all time. They haven't won since Week 1 with six of their defeats occurring by at least eight points. And now the Jaguars have to deal with their longest injury list. Jacksonville had one decent pass rusher, Josh Allen. He's out. The Jaguars have a cluster injury problem in the secondary down their three top cornerbacks. On offense, the Jaguars will be minus their top wide receiver, D.J. Chark, plus their best lineman, guard Andrew Norwell. Jake Luton proved to be as terrible as expected. So now the Jaguars turn to their third-string QB journeyman stiff Mike Glennon. Cleveland doesn't need Myles Garrett and Denzel Ward to take advantage of Glennon's lack of downfield throwing skills and no mobility.
Titans vs Colts	UNDER 51½ -110	Premium	45-26	Loss	-110	Show
The Colts are a run-first team that will be minus their best running back, Jonathan Taylor, and probably center Ryan Kelly. The Titans are going to feed Derrick Henry. They are down to their third-string left tackle with Taylor Lewan and backup Ty Sambrailo both out. Tennessee's next two best offensive lineman, guard Rodger Saffold, and center Ben Jones, are each questionable. Indy ranks in the top five in all of the major defensive categories. They held the Titans to 17 points just two weeks ago. Ryan Tannehill had a season-low 5.4 yards per attempt and a 55 percent completion rate in that game. Expect a brisk game with the clock constantly moving due to many running plays. The Titans will make sure to clean up their punting and special teams play, which was costly to them in their loss to the Colts two weeks ago.

Stephen Nover

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