Stephen Nover
I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.
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Bookmakers pay little attention to the Canadian Football League. Stephen Nover has taken advantage of this to score huge profits beating the CFL in six of the last seven seasons. This includes 2021 when Stephen went 15-8-1 on his CFL plays for 65 percent. Take advantage of his expertise, research and top sources to score a big profit, too, in this beatable, niche sport.
College presents opportunities that the NFL doesn't where sometimes you can actually find line value. I've beaten the colleges the past three years by combining many handicapping factors such as matchup analysis, statistics, history, weather and situational elements. Information is the key. I'm fortunate that I have many sources to rely on. Many stem from having been a sportswriter/sports editor for daily newspapers in the Midwest, South and West for more than 20 years and having been the sports gaming writer for the Las Vegas Review-Journal for 13 years while also having covered the UNLV football team as the team beat writer for several years. I have the knowledge, experience and resources necessary to win. I've won the past three years and I expect to turn a tidy profit again this season.
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Stephen Nover is one of the most respected NFL handicappers in North American with the record to back it up: 26 of 29 winning NFL seasons! All of Stephen's plays come with his trademark deep dive analysis. Stephen is a multiple Rotisserie league football champion and was an award-winning sportswriter for the Las Vegas Review-Journal for 13 years. He also worked for the legendary linesmaker Roxy Roxbury, who was the top oddsmaker in North America before retiring. Don't miss out. Lock in now and get all of Stephen's plays at a top value season price.
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Free picks
The price is low enough to back the streaking Guardians, who are peaking at the right time with 14 wins in their last 16 games.
Cleveland is 21-7 in its last 28 road contests. The Rangers have lost nine of their past 13 home games. Texas is 4-10 the past 14 times hosting Cleveland. The Guardians have 19 more wins this season than Texas and 18 fewer losses than the Rangers.
The pitching matchup is Cal Quantrill versus Glenn Otto. Another checkmark to the Guardians both in starting pitching and bullpen.
The right-handed Quantrill is 13-5 with a 3.56 ERA. The Rangers are 3-11 in their last 14 games against righty starters.
Otto pitches his worst at home with a 6.10 ERA.
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
San Diego State went 12-2 last season. The Aztecs lost some key players, but they shouldn't be a home underdog to Toledo.
The Rockets are 2-1, but look at who they've played. Toledo's victories have been against Long Island, 37-0, and UMass, 55-10. Those victories padded their team statistics. When Toledo stepped way up in class, the Rockets were clobbered, 77-21, at Ohio State.
The Aztecs are 1-2 but have played stronger competition. Their losses were to Pac-12 teams, Arizona and powerful Utah.
This is the lowest total Houston has had this season - and it's not justified.
Rice has bounced back from a 66-14 opening loss to USC, to roll past McNeese State, 52-10, and then upset Louisiana Lafayette, 33-21, last week. That marked the seventh straight time the Owls have gone above the total.
TJ McMahon has completed nearly 64 percent of his passes for Rice for 642 yards and seven TD's through these first three games. Houston ranks 118th in total defense. The Cougars have this low defensive ranking despite not having faced a top-30 offense.
The 1-2 Cougars are frustrated having lost to Texas Tech in double overtime and then getting upset by Kansas, 48-30, during their past two games. The Cougars have a high-powered attack led by QB Clayton Tune, who has completed close to 63 percent of his throws for 744 yards and five TD's. He has one of the better receivers in the country, Nathaniel Dell. Houston scored 44 points against Rice last season.
The Over has cashed in five of Houston's last six games.
The competition hasn't been good. Still, Mississippi has held its first three opponents to an average of 4.3 points after shutting out Georgia Tech last week. So I find this total too high.
Tulsa is No. 1 in the country in passing with Davis Brin. But the Golden Hurricane are going against an SEC defense that is playing great. The Rebels are averaging more than four sacks a game. Tulsa has given up 10 sacks in three games against inferior competition.
Mississippi has run the ball nearly 65 percent of the time. The Rebels will look to pound the ball against Tulsa. The Golden Hurricane have had trouble stopping the run. But running the ball is good for the Under especially with a total in this high range.
The combination of being run-oriented and playing outstanding defense has resulted in Ole Miss going Under in 10 of its last 11 games.
This total may look high on the surface, but it's not when these two teams are involved. There were 85 and 86 points scored in North Texas' last two games. There were 76 points produced in Memphis' last game.
Both teams are well above average offensively and terrible defensively. Each also ranks in the top 25 in fastest tempo. That's a recipe for Over.
North Texas ranks 126th defensively in yards giving up 502.8 per game. The Mean Green allow 36.5 points a game, which rates 115th. Memphis QB Seth Hennigan and his bevy of weapons can easily exploit that.
The Tigers are 99th in scoring defense permitting 31.3 points a game. They rank 111th in pass defense. North Texas ranks 33rd in offensive yards per game.
SERVICE BIO
Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons.
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