02-24-21 |
Celtics -1.5 v. Hawks |
|
112-127 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 40 m |
Show
|
|
02-23-21 |
Kansas +2.5 v. Texas |
|
72-75 |
Loss |
-107 |
21 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
02-22-21 |
Bulls +1 v. Rockets |
|
120-100 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 47 m |
Show
|
Bulls/Rockets 8:05: Bulls' HC Donovan getting the best out of limited talent. Lavine has elevated his game while making supporting players better. Chicago a solid 7-1 ATS as a road dog and should be able to deliver an outright over a collapsing Houston team. HC Silas losing the locker room and he's not equipped with the best mix of locker room guys. Rockets' offensive identity out the window when D'Antoni left. Rockets now 23rd in the NBA offensively. Houston 1-9 ATS on Mondays and failed to cover in 6 of last 7 home games. Chicago has not had success in Houston but that should change.
|
02-21-21 |
Wisconsin v. Northwestern +6.5 |
|
68-51 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 58 m |
Show
|
|
02-21-21 |
Michigan v. Ohio State -1 |
|
92-87 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
02-20-21 |
Virginia -1.5 v. Duke |
|
65-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 53 m |
Show
|
Virginia/Duke 8:00: Virginia the more complete team here. Defensively, #6 in the nation - allowing 59.9 PPG. They're coming off a blowout loss at Florida State after a 4 game win streak. Good wakeup call for the Cavaliers. They're 8-0-1 ATS off a loss and covered 3 of the last 4 vs Duke. Duke 0-7 ATS off a SU win of 20+. Two blowout wins of lightweights - WF and NC State doesn't mean Coach K's team is back. And the Blue Devils aren't a better team without Jalen Johnson (opted out). With the road team 21-6-1 ATS in this series, we'll grab the Cav's here.
|
02-20-21 |
Auburn +5 v. LSU |
|
80-104 |
Loss |
-116 |
14 h 58 m |
Show
|
Auburn/LSU 4:00: Both of these teams aren't known for their defensive prowess this season. LSU can score but don't rule Auburn out. Since Sharife Cooper has been inserted in the lineup, Auburn has been in virtually every game. They're 4-0 ATS on the road vs teams with a home win % above .600. Cooper is not only a great scorer (19.6 PPG) but the key facilitator who makes his teammates better. LSU just 1-4 ATS at home. Road team 8-2 ATS in this series and we'll be glad to take the points with Pearl's competitive bunch.
|
02-20-21 |
West Virginia +3.5 v. Texas |
Top |
84-82 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 25 m |
Show
|
West Virginia/Texas 3:00: WV no longer deep enough to go full "Press Virginia" but now have some offensively weaponry that can outshoot opponents; of course, that wasn't the case in their last game on the 13th when they missed multiple one footers and free throw attempts. We'll look for Huggins to have cleaned up their game since and get it together today. The Mounties, which lost Tshiewbe (departure) and Cottrell (Achilles) now go to a smaller lineup to space the floor and allow 6'10" big man -Derek Culver to do his thing. And that smaller lineup can shoot! Sherman, McNeil, Bridges, McBride and Matthews Jr. can ring it up. Texas, on a 1-6 ATS slide, just 8-20 ATS at home vs a team with a road win % above .600. We'll look for sweet revenge for the Mountaineers.
|
02-20-21 |
Kentucky v. Tennessee -7 |
|
70-55 |
Loss |
-106 |
12 h 16 m |
Show
|
Kentucky/Tennessee 1:00: Kentucky struggling to find an offense this season scoring just 69.9 PPG at 41.6% from field and 32.6% from perimeter - all in bottom tier of NCAA. Not a good mix going into a strong Tennessee venue. Tennessee controls the #17th ranked defense in the nation allowing just 62.3 PPG. Tennessee already knocked off the Wildcats at Rupp Arena earlier this season 82-71. Johnson and Springer were dominant in that game and now Bailey and Fulkerson are stepping up their game. Tennessee's HC Barnes would love another win over Calipari to establish his presence in the SEC recruiting war. Kentucky 0-5 ATS vs Top 25 and 0-4 ATS on the road against teams with home winning % above .600. Tennessee the call.
|
02-19-21 |
Monmouth v. Iona -2 |
|
86-91 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 51 m |
Show
|
|
02-18-21 |
Iowa +1 v. Wisconsin |
Top |
77-62 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 3 m |
Show
|
Iowa/Wisconsin 7:00: Iowa stepping up its game with a blowout at Michigan State 88-58 on Saturday. The Hawkeyes last two wins pretty impressive because HC McCaffery finally has his guys playing defense. The #3 offense in the nation, that averages an impressive 87.4 PPG, has held its last three foes to a combined 38.3% from the floor and 25.7% from the perimeter - much better than the season average of 42%/34.6%, respectively. Wisconsin, devoid of athletes, will attempt to turn this game into an ugly half court game; however, Iowa has shooters in Weiskamp, Bohannon, Nunge and even the coach's son - Connor McCaffery who team well with one of the top big men in the conference - Luke Garza - who dominates the boards and improving defensively as the season progresses. Wisconsin's Trice tries hard but doesn't have a whole lot of offensive support - as evidenced on Sunday vs a Michigan team that didn't play in nearly three weeks yet managed to shut the Badgers down in the second half (starters 2 of 16). Road team in this series 7-3-1 ATS. We'll grab a point with the better shooting team.
|
02-17-21 |
Kentucky v. Vanderbilt +4 |
|
82-78 |
Push |
0 |
18 h 7 m |
Show
|
Kentucky/Vanderbilt 7:00: Kentucky continues to be overvalued at 5-13-1 ATS on the season and one of Calipari's worst teams at Kentucky. The Wildcats got the best of Vandy in the first game of this series this season but Vandy easily covered as an 11' point road dog. The Commodores are 2-0 ATS in same season revenge under Stackhouse and should deliver at home tonight. Scottie Pippen Jr. has been a consistent scorer and all around facilitator. Disu has been good on the boards and inside threat. If either Evans, Wright or Harvey can give good support tonight, Vanderbilt should deliver. We'll bet they do.
|
02-15-21 |
Virginia +1.5 v. Florida State |
Top |
60-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 3 m |
Show
|
Virginia/Florida State 7:00: Virginia poised to knock off Florida State in their dominant venue. The Seminoles struggled at GT in a loss and then took WF to OT before finally pulling it off in a shootout. I can assure you that they won't get those great looks at the basket like they did Saturday. Virginia in a lock down mode defensively controlling the #4 defense in the nation. On the other hand, Florida State has been lax on the perimeter (34.4% allowed - 230th nationally) and that won't cut it vs the dangerous perimeter game of Virginia (39.9%). Cavs 4-1-1 ATS in last 6 on the road and 4-1 ATS after allowing less than 50 points. Virginia 4-1 ATS in this series and we'll roll with them.
|
02-14-21 |
Michigan v. Wisconsin +1 |
|
67-59 |
Loss |
-115 |
11 h 23 m |
Show
|
Michigan/Wisconsin 1:00: Wisconsin hasn't beaten a notable opponent in the Big 10 yet but has a good chance here; after all, Michigan hasn't played since January 22nd (Covid19 related issues). The Badgers are eager to avenge their earlier season 77-54 loss. The score wasn't indicative on how bad the loss was; as a matter of fact, the Wolverines went on a 43-6 run before the Badgers made it respectable in garbage time. Currently, Wolverines haven't had much practice time during layoff and out of rhythm. Badgers a good defensive team (21st nationally) and should exact revenge. Badgers 6-1 ATS on Sundays and we'll grab them here.
|
02-13-21 |
Northwestern +8 v. Rutgers |
|
50-64 |
Loss |
-107 |
16 h 26 m |
Show
|
Northwestern/Rutgers 5:00: Northwestern started respectably with a few impressive Big 10 wins and then collapsed on an 0-10 SU slide; however, value coming back to the Wildcats on a 3-1 ATS run. They're looking to avenge January 31st home loss and have a good shot here. They've covered the last two times visiting Rutgers and took the Scarlett Knights to OT in 2 games there in the last 3 trips. Chase Audige needs more help and he should get it here. The Wildcats can spread the floor and hit 3s; after all, they're 2nd in the Big 10 in making perimeter shots. Rutgers not exactly a fortress guarding the perimeter. Rutgers 1-4 ATS off a SU loss and 0-4 ATS vs teams under .400. NW 5-0 ATS on Saturday. With the road team at 4-0 ATS in this series, we'll grab the points with NW.
|
02-13-21 |
Villanova -2.5 v. Creighton |
|
70-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 44 m |
Show
|
Villanova/Creighton 5:00: Villanova off an impressive 32 point demolition over Marquette is poised to deliver at Creighton. Wildcats distributing the ball well and playing selfless basketball. Villanova had success at Creighton. Villanova is 10-2 ATS on the road vs winning home teams. Creighton off two wins themselves against Marquette and Georgetown as well. Creighton had 17 turnovers vs Georgetown. They can get away with that vs the mediocre Hoyas but not against the well disciplined Wildcats. Road team has covered 4 straight in this series. Blue Jays 0-4 ATS on Saturdays and we'll grab Villanova.
|
02-13-21 |
Colgate -4 v. Army |
|
84-74 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 31 m |
Show
|
Colgate/Army 4:00: Colgate clearly the better team here. Interesting series in which the Red Raiders destroyed Army 101-57 on January 2nd only to lose to them the next day 75-73. Colgate plays better on road and Richardson, Burns and Cummings should be focused here. Black Knights 1-4 ATS at home vs winning road teams.
|
02-13-21 |
Oklahoma v. West Virginia -2.5 |
|
91-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 60 m |
Show
|
Oklahoma/West Virginia 1:00: Realize Oklahoma a dangerous team and giant killer; however, West Virginia in good shape to exact revenge from January 2nd loss. A few days prior to that loss, WV HC Huggins found out that his highest rated prospect Oscar Tshiebwe was transferring to Kentucky. The 6'9" potential star, made Huggins retool his team with a 4 guard lineup. They lost 75-71 to Oklahoma but showed promise. They've been on a 6-2 SU/5-3 ATS run since with Miles McBride and Derek Culver taking control while the supporting cast is buying in. WV on a 3-0 SU/ATS tear and we'll look for another winner here.
|
02-10-21 |
Connecticut -1.5 v. Providence |
|
59-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 12 m |
Show
|
U Conn/Providence 4:00: U Conn at 9-3 ATS this season as Hurley doing a good job building the Huskies in his third season. They're coming off a poor defensive effort against Seton Hall and struggled offensively without a go-to-guy to spark the offense. That should change tonight, as the Huskies welcome back leading scorer Bouknight (elbow) who should ignite the sputtering offense. U Conn averages just 67.3 PPG without him and a healthy 75.5 PPG with him. Huskies playing better on road too, as their 7-0 ATS road mark vs teams with home winning records. They're catching the Friars on an 0-3 SU slide and ripe to get worked here. U Conn sports a 3-1 SU/ATS mark in the last 4 in this series and should deliver.
|
02-08-21 |
Gonzaga v. BYU +11.5 |
|
82-71 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
02-06-21 |
Texas Tech -16 v. Kansas State |
Top |
73-62 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 14 m |
Show
|
Texas Tech/Kansas State 4:00: Last time these teams played this season, Tech won but failed to cover at home 82-71. It wasn't a satisfying win for Coach Beard; after all, Tech underachieved on the defensive end allowing K State to score nearly 5 points above their season average. Kansas State is a pathetic 334th in the nation in scoring while Tech is 15th in the nation defensively -giving up just 61.7 PPG. K State is young, ravaged by injuries. We'll look for McClung and company to open up on the perimeter where the Wildcats are most vulnerable - allowing a generous 38.4% from perimeter. Tech, a solid road team covering their last 4 road tilts, should be much more focused here. We'll lay the wood.
|
02-06-21 |
Kansas +2 v. West Virginia |
|
79-91 |
Loss |
-103 |
12 h 40 m |
Show
|
Kansas/West Virginia 2:00: West Virginia struggling to finish games. They almost got upset at home by Big 12 doormat Iowa State. Culver the most consistent player on the team as others unpredictable. Sure, they'll be up for this revenge game against an always tough Kansas team. Kansas lost 4 of 6 to then Top 11 teams. Jayhawks 11-2 ATS on the road vs a team with a home win % above .500. Kansas the call.
|
02-06-21 |
Seton Hall v. Connecticut -1 |
|
80-73 |
Loss |
-108 |
11 h 28 m |
Show
|
Seton Hall/U Conn Noon: Hurley doing a solid job in rebuilding U Conn into a Big East contender. Now 9-2 ATS - virtually competitive in every game. Hurley is now in his third season with U Conn and has improved every year with the Huskies. He has his men playing well despite losing their leading scorer Bouknight on January 5th; since then, U Conn has gone 5-1 ATS by clamping down defensively. U Conn is allowing 63 PPG (29th nationally) and #1 in the conference defending the perimeter. Huskies have gotten consistent scoring from Cole and Martin while Whaley and Polley have been good supporting players. Seton Hall hasn't played U Conn since 2013 and never had good success at U Conn. We'll look for that tradition to stay true here.
|
02-06-21 |
Alabama -2 v. Missouri |
|
65-68 |
Loss |
-112 |
11 h 39 m |
Show
|
Alabama/Missouri Noon: Alabama was on a big roll until 'giant killer' Oklahoma knocked them off in Norman. Alabama bounced back strong against a vengeful LSU team February 3rd. Today, we'll look for Shackelford and company to be too much for the Tigers. Alabama a good road team (4-1 ATS).
|
02-04-21 |
Nuggets +5 v. Lakers |
|
93-114 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 46 m |
Show
|
Nuggets/Lakers 10:05: Nuggets playing at a high level and HC Malone using talented bench well. Jokic playing at an MVP level leading the Nuggets on a 6-1 ATS run. Denver competitive in this series and have played well in Los Angeles. They've had a few extra days off with the postponement of the Pistons' game. Well rested Nuggets should be ready. Lakers coming off an extended road trip and haven't done well in this role; as a matter of fact, Lakers 0-4 ATS at home following a road trip of 7 or more days. Lakers AD and LeBron dealing with minor injuries, good opportunity for Denver to sneak in a cover.
|
02-02-21 |
West Virginia -11.5 v. Iowa State |
|
76-72 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 48 m |
Show
|
|
02-02-21 |
Baylor v. Texas +5.5 |
|
83-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 47 m |
Show
|
|
02-02-21 |
Purdue +2.5 v. Maryland |
|
60-61 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 39 m |
Show
|
Purdue/Maryland 6:30: Purdue, one of the youngest teams in the Big 10, growing up as they rattled off a 5-1 ATS run. The Boilermakers own 5 wins over Top 25 teams. Newman and Trevion Williams becoming a strong outside-in combination. Terrapins have shown their vulnerability in the paint and also on the perimeter vs good teams. Sure, MD played Purdue tough on Christmas in a 73-70 SU loss at Purdue; since then, Purdue has gotten better while MD has stumbled on a 2-5 ATS slide. Purdue is 2-0 in their last 2 trips to Maryland and we'll grab the points here with the better team.
|
02-01-21 |
Georgia Tech +4 v. Louisville |
|
58-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 53 m |
Show
|
Georgia Tech/Louisville 2:00: Louisville not playing well on a 1-3 SU/ATS slide while Georgia Tech turning it up a few notches. Cardinals got choked out by a mediocre Clemson team scoring just 50 points. Meanwhile, the Engineers upset a very talented Florida State team 76-65. HC Pastner has done a masterful job in teaching GT how to win. Prior to Florida State, the Yellow Jackets lead incumbent champ Virginia by 11 before falling in OT. And a late surge by Duke cost them a win. We'll look for the surging momentum to carry over here vs a declining Cardinals team. Moses Wright and Jose Alvarado a dangerous inside and out combination; moreover, Michael Devoe, who dropped 19 points on Florida State, a major third option threat. Jackets are now 5-0 ATS vs winning teams. Grab the points.
|
01-31-21 |
NC State v. Syracuse -5 |
|
73-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
01-30-21 |
Kansas +2.5 v. Tennessee |
|
61-80 |
Loss |
-105 |
15 h 34 m |
Show
|
Kansas/Tennessee 6:00: Kansas came off three straight losses with a rather unconvincing win at home vs TCU; nevertheless, got it done and the team should be focused here despite what HC Bill Self said regarding facing non-conference Tennessee with conference foe Kansas State on deck. Come on, Kansas can use their second team to dismantle this year's version of lightweight Kansas State. We'll look for Self's bunch to be laser focused here. Tennessee is pretty good defensively but when stepping up to top tier teams, they have yet to shine. Volunteers an underachieving 1-5 ATS vs teams above .500 and has not covered 5 of last 6 at home. Kansas 11-2 ATS on the road vs home teams above .600. With Agbaji, Wilson and McCormack finally establishing a nice rhythm offensively, we'll grab the points with the better team and coach.
|
01-30-21 |
Texas Tech -3.5 v. LSU |
|
76-71 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 3 m |
Show
|
Texas Tech/LSU 2:00: At first glance, LSU getting 3' at home seems like the play; however, a closer look reveals a disturbing 0-5 ATS mark at home vs teams above .500 on the road. And the home blowout vs Alabama revealed lots of weaknesses, especially on the defensive end. Texas Tech is surely no offensive juggernaut but will smother you on the defensive end. LSU has shooters and can score, no doubt; however, poor defensively; consequently, the Red Raiders will finally get some decent looks at the basket after taking on #2 Baylor and the frenetic defense at West Virginia. Tech delivers the goods here.
|
01-30-21 |
Texas A&M -1 v. Kansas State |
|
68-61 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 35 m |
Show
|
Texas A&M/Kansas State Noon: Both struggling teams in the bottom tier of the Big 12; however, at a competitive standpoint, Aggies still hustling, playing defense, diving for loose ball and attacking boards. On the other hand, K State, shy of talent, trying less effectively as exhibited by their conference play. They've won one game in the conference against hapless Iowa State and have been blown out in 5 of their last 6 including a 107-59 burial. And that was playing with revenge from their December blowout loss! If they're not motivated there, than got to question competitiveness. Buzz Williams' bunch does sport a 5-1 ATS mark on the road vs a home team with a home win % less than .400. We'll grab the Aggies here.
|
01-28-21 |
Belmont -5 v. Austin Peay |
|
81-76 |
Push |
0 |
20 h 2 m |
Show
|
Belmont/Austin Peay 8:30: Belmont has covered 5 of the last 6 in this series. The one they didn't cover occurred January 25th of last year - an 86-78 outright at the Winfield Dunn Center in Tennessee. We'll look for the Bruins to be more focused this time around; after all, they've covered 9 of their last 10 on the road and that loss sits in the back of their minds. Belmont is equipped with a talented team led by 6'11" Nick Muszynski (15.4 PPG/5.4 RPG), perimeter threat Luke Smith, and all out hustle guy G Grayson Murphy. Austin Peay has a the ever dangerous Terry Taylor but not consistent surrounding help. Governors' defense suspect - allowing 48% from the floor (325th); consequently, that doesn't bode well vs the 15th scoring team in nation averaging 83.2 PPG. And the Bruins are pretty sound defensively. Don't see Austin Peay matching points here.
|
01-27-21 |
Thunder +7.5 v. Suns |
|
102-97 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 4 m |
Show
|
|
01-26-21 |
Tulsa +1 v. Temple |
|
67-76 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 39 m |
Show
|
Tulsa/Temple 1:00: Offensively challenged Temple struggling to manufacture points (62.7 PPG) lingering at 329th in the nation; as a matter of fact, their leading scorer Damian Dunn does lead the team at 14.6 PPG but shooting just 33.3% from the field. As for Tulsa, not an offensive juggernaut by no means but Rachal (14.8 PPG) has a decent supporting cast. And Tulsa excels on the defensive end where they allow just 62.8 PPG on just 37.8% from the floor. Temple's defense not nearly as good and are yielding on the perimeter at 36.5%. Temple's Coach McKie is no Fran Dunphy who had Temple rolling. McKie struggling in his second year and 0-2 SU/ATS in this series. Tulsa should get back in the win column after taking it on the chin walking into same season revenge last Wednesday. They've had extra prep to stew over it and should hand the Owls another conference loss.
|
01-25-21 |
Texas Tech +2.5 v. West Virginia |
|
87-88 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 36 m |
Show
|
Texas Tech/West Virginia 9:00: Texas Tech has gotten their Top 5 defense rolling and it's paying off in dividends. McClung has averaged 20.2 PPG this month. And the Red Raiders have won all three of their road conference games (3-0 SU/2-1 ATS). Meanwhile, WV had Covid19 issues and lost their big man - 6'9" Tshiebwe and have to adjust to a four guard lineup around 6'10" Derek Culver. Texas Tech had a bit of a layoff and its usually a good thing under Big 12 Coach of the Year - Chris Beard. We'll grab the points with Tech.
|
01-24-21 |
Notre Dame v. Miami-FL -2 |
|
73-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
01-23-21 |
Baylor v. Oklahoma State +9 |
|
81-66 |
Loss |
-109 |
12 h 39 m |
Show
|
Baylor/Oklahoma State 2:00: When you're at the top, everyone wants a piece of you. And you most likely will get the best effort from the dog. Today, #2 Baylor steps foot in a strong venue -Gallagher-Iba Arena. Okie State has a talented team with future #1 NBA draft choice Cade Cunningham who is a matchup nightmare at the point. He has a good support from his mates including Likekele (12 PPG/7.8 RPG). Sure, Baylor is a beast and the legitimate #2 in the nation; however, Okie State has taken on the best of the Big 12 and fared well including winning outright at Texas Tech, covering easily at Texas and beating Kansas on this floor. The Cowboys have not lost a game this season by more than 3 points. A bit better coaching and they could easily be undefeated with the talent they have. Today, despite the 10 day layoff, we'll look for them to be on their game and give Baylor a run for the money.
|
01-23-21 |
Kansas v. Oklahoma +1 |
|
68-75 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 43 m |
Show
|
Kansas/Oklahoma Noon: At first glance, Kansas seems to be the play; after all, Bill Self is a atop the coaching universe with an astounding 82% winning ledger since 2003. And he's an amazing 11-1 ATS on the road in his his last 12 vs teams above .500 at home. But hold everything. Kansas already beat Oklahoma January 9th 63-59 at home. They did so while Oklahoma was without both of their starting forwards Manek and Jalen Hill (Covid19 protocol). Both are back today in a revenge mode. Kansas early season star - Jalen Wilson struggling now (4 of 14 from floor) and won't find great looks against a pretty good Lon Kruger defense. Sure, Self had only two 3 game losing streaks in 2005 and 2013. And guess which team extended it to 3 on both accounts? Oklahoma the call.
|
01-23-21 |
Virginia Tech +1.5 v. Syracuse |
|
60-78 |
Loss |
-109 |
11 h 11 m |
Show
|
Virginia Tech/Syracuse Noon: Lots of inconsistencies with Syracuse. They're on one day and off another. They're 1-4 ATS in their last 5 tilts. They're coming off a thrashing of Miami, perhaps their best game of the year. It takes a while for Boheim's zone defense to get in rhythm and they sure suffocated the Hurricanes January 19th. However, bright Hokies' HC Mike Young had a few extra prep days (BC game postponed Wed) to work on dismantling the zone. He's got a big man in Aluma to give the Orange trouble. And the Orange have had trouble with long bodies this year (NC). And Young has some talented scorers in Radford and Cone to aid Aluma. Moreover, the Hokies play defense allowing just 64.7 PPG. Hokies coming off wins vs ND, Duke and WF, we'll look for them to keep rolling.
|
01-23-21 |
Auburn +3 v. South Carolina |
Top |
109-86 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 39 m |
Show
|
Auburn/South Carolina Noon: In this series, Auburn's covered the last 2 and won 3 of the last 4 SU. Ever since Auburn's Sharife Cooper was cleared to play - January 9th, the Tigers have been rolling. They've covered 3 straight and Cooper has 4 teammates who score double-digits to count on. Knock on Auburn is their defense; however, they cover the perimeter well (29.9%) and can condense down near the paint facing an offensively challenged South Carolina team struggling to find an offensive identity. SC 1-4 ATS on Saturday and on a 1-4 ATS slide. We'll grab the points with Pearl and his surging Tigers.
|
01-22-21 |
Michigan -3 v. Purdue |
|
70-53 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 22 m |
Show
|
Michigan/Purdue 7:00: Michigan got out of the gate strong with 11 straight wins before getting spanked at Minnesota on January 16th. They responded well, however, with a season sweep of Maryland. We'll look for the Wolves to stay focused here against the heating up Boilermakers which rattled off four impressive SU/ATS wins. Wolves are dominant inside with Dickinson and good perimeter play with Mike Smith and Livers. Purdue does have a solid big man in Trevion Williams but the Wolverines' defense tightens down low, allowing just 37.9% from the floor (12th in nation) and Purdue doesn't have the perimeter game to match Michigan. With Michigan 7-0-1 ATS in this series, we'll stay with Michigan.
|
01-21-21 |
St. Mary's -2.5 v. Loyola Marymount |
|
65-61 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 19 m |
Show
|
|
01-20-21 |
Spurs +1.5 v. Warriors |
|
99-121 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
01-20-21 |
Auburn +6 v. Arkansas |
|
73-75 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
01-20-21 |
Clemson +1.5 v. Georgia Tech |
|
65-83 |
Loss |
-109 |
17 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
01-19-21 |
Alabama v. LSU +1 |
|
105-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 36 m |
Show
|
Analysis to follow...line flipped to underdog and we'll take it!
|
01-19-21 |
Seton Hall +9 v. Villanova |
|
74-76 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
01-18-21 |
Kansas +9 v. Baylor |
Top |
69-77 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 37 m |
Show
|
Kansas/Baylor 9:00: Kansas struggled at Oklahoma State getting into rhythm but after postponement of Saturday's game vs Iowa State (Covid19), the Jayhawks had time to smooth out their game. Meanwhile, #2 ranked Baylor continues to roll coming off an impressive win at Texas Tech on the 16th. Their length and depth has given teams fits this season; however, Kansas' McCormack and Wilson able to hold their own down low. Need Agbaji to get it going from the perimeter and we'll bet on it. Jayhawks a sweet 11-1 ATS on the road vs a team with a home winning % greater than .600. The road team in this series is 23-8-1 ATS while the dog has covered 7 of the last 9. We'll never underestimate a Bill Self coached team off a loss especially getting this quantity of points. Kansas has covered 3 of the last 4 in this season and, with the additional prep, has the edge.
|
01-16-21 |
Missouri v. Texas A&M +4.5 |
|
68-52 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 1 m |
Show
|
|
01-14-21 |
Warriors +5 v. Nuggets |
|
104-114 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
01-14-21 |
Purdue +4 v. Indiana |
|
81-69 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 48 m |
Show
|
|
01-13-21 |
Texas Tech +2 v. Texas |
|
79-77 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 31 m |
Show
|
|
01-13-21 |
Lakers v. Thunder +8 |
|
128-99 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 13 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Thunder 8:05: Thunder overdue to break their 0-4 mark on 0 rest. They're coming off a loss at home last night to San Antonio but sit at 5-2 ATS as a home dog. They'll be without Horford tonight but have some quality depth (Roby) to make up the difference and be competitive. Gilgeous-Alexander and George Hill give them a shooters chance to stay in this one. As of now AD is questionable with a toe injury and LeBron may opt to sit or limit minutes. We'll look for the Thunder to steal one here. OKC 4-1 ATS the last 5 in this series.
|
01-13-21 |
Tulsa +3.5 v. Wichita State |
|
53-72 |
Loss |
-105 |
18 h 38 m |
Show
|
Tulsa/Wichita State 7:00: Revenge game for Tulsa. The Golden Hurricane lost at home to the Shockers 69-65 on December 15th. Since then, Tulsa has gone on a 6-0 SU / 5-0 ATS. HC Haith usually has his team playing killer defense this time of year and they're in mid-season form. Tulsa is ranked 14th in the nation defensively allowing just 60.2 PPG. They're 3-0 ATS on the road and dangerous. Wichita State is definitely not the defensive team this year that they were in the Greg Marshall days. New HC Isaac Brown has them playing hard but hitting just 40.8% from the floor and not a 3 point threat. We'll grab the points with the Golden Hurricane.
|
01-12-21 |
Kansas -3.5 v. Oklahoma State |
|
70-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 56 m |
Show
|
Kansas/Oklahoma State 8:00: Cowboys coming off a satisfying win at Kansas State but should run into trouble here. Oklahoma State finding ways to lose at home as exhibited against TCU and West Virginia - games they should have closed out. Bill Self eats these teams up. His Jayhawks are 12-3 ATS on the road and 11-1 ATS against a team with a winning home record. Kansas 4-1 ATS the last 5 in this series and we'll roll with the Jayhawks.
|
01-12-21 |
Duke -1 v. Virginia Tech |
Top |
67-74 |
Loss |
-109 |
17 h 9 m |
Show
|
Duke/Virginia Tech 7:00: Now that Coach K is back on the bench, Duke playing with energy and emotion. You can tell because their defense has picked up. They've had double digit steals over last two games and winning battle on the boards. F Hurt is stepping up his game and when he scores in double-digits, Duke is 18-5 SU. Sure, Duke has been overvalued most of the year but value coming back to the Blue Devils. Duke the call.
|
01-08-21 |
Purdue v. Michigan State -4 |
|
55-54 |
Loss |
-115 |
17 h 47 m |
Show
|
Purdue/Michigan State 7:00: This series has favored the home team (4-0-1 ATS). Sure, Michigan State lost 7 straight ATS up until Tuesday when they got it together vs Rutgers with a 68-45 blasting. We'll look for that momentum to carry over here. Although Michigan State has its share of turnover problems, Purdue is even worse (averaging 1.8 more than opponents). And the Boilermakers are anything but their namesake offensively averaging just 71.6 PPG (201 nationally). Purdue 0-7-2 ATS vs teams above .600. We'll lay a few buckets with Aaron Henry and the Spartans.
|
01-07-21 |
Illinois v. Northwestern +7.5 |
|
81-56 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 50 m |
Show
|
|
01-06-21 |
St. Joe's v. St Bonaventure -12 |
|
57-83 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 12 m |
Show
|
St. Joe's/St. Bonaventure 4:00: Hawks 0-7 SU in Billy Lange's first year at the helm but have taken on a pretty rough schedule. They've been competitive taking Auburn and URI to OT. However, they're facing basically the same team they faced last year 89-73; as a matter of fact, Bonnies have won and covered last 4 in this series with an average margin of victory of 18 points. Hawks poor defensively at the bottom tier in the nation (341st) allowing 89.4 PPG. Offensively, St. Joe's has very little perimeter game and I don't see it heating up at the Reilly Center in NY. Bonnies the call.
|
01-06-21 |
Tulsa +1 v. South Florida |
|
61-51 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 18 m |
Show
|
Tulsa/USF 4:00: Tulsa is a streaky team when they get rolling under Haith. They have a very good defense, strong backcourt in Joiner and Rachal, and now have recently developed an inside presence with Idowu. Tulsa has won 9 straight in this series and simply the better team.
|
01-05-21 |
Missouri v. Mississippi State +2.5 |
|
63-78 |
Win
|
102 |
21 h 47 m |
Show
|
Missouri/Mississippi State 9:00: #13 ranked Missouri, picked to be a bottom feeder in their conference this season, overachieving. Coming off a big win at Arkansas on Saturday, they now have to go into a tough venue at Humphrey Coliseum vs Mississippi State. Bulldogs are coming off a double overtime loss at home vs Kentucky Saturday. Look for veteran HC Howland to clean up the Bulldogs' turnovers, which cost them late in the game. Iverson Molinar and Stewart Jr. should help lead the way. Bulldogs have covered nine straight in this series and we'll take the points here.
|
12-31-20 |
Suns +4 v. Jazz |
|
106-95 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
12-31-20 |
Michigan v. Maryland +2.5 |
|
84-73 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
12-23-20 |
Northwestern +9.5 v. Indiana |
|
74-67 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 39 m |
Show
|
Northwestern/Indiana 8:30: Northwestern uncharacteristically has an offense this year. They're coming off a huge win over then #4 ranked Michigan State. They've been having success this year (4-1 SU/ATS) by utilizing a Princeton style offense and have 4 shooters on the floor to do it; consequently, they've lit it up from 3 pt range at a 43.5% clip. And yes, they still play great defense holding foes to under 60 PPG. Indiana is tough at home, no doubt; however, Northwestern has covered 4 of 5 in this series including 3 of 4 at Indiana. We'll take the hot Wildcats as Indiana had turnover issues beating Butler in their last game.
|
12-16-20 |
TCU +5 v. Oklahoma State |
|
77-76 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
12-15-20 |
Wichita State v. Tulsa -1.5 |
|
69-65 |
Loss |
-120 |
19 h 39 m |
Show
|
Wichita State/Tulsa 7:00: Wichita State dealing with the fallout of their legendary coach - Gregg Marshall - resignation. Interim HC Isaac Brown having a tough time dealing with Covid 19 issues and getting his team in rhythm. They were sloppy at home on the 12th with turnovers and offensive poor rhythm down the stretch in a winnable game vs Okie State. Tulsa, on the other hand, not polished either but did put together a decent win 11 days ago. Tulsa is ahead in the defensive curve at this point of the season as well. Tulsa has a senior laden team with Rachal (17.3 PPG) and Joiner (11.7 PPG/7 RPG) leading the way. They've covered 8 of their last 11 at home and should deliver.
|
12-15-20 |
St Bonaventure v. Akron +6.5 |
|
81-74 |
Loss |
-105 |
14 h 39 m |
Show
|
St. Bonaventure/Akron 2:00: No tune up game for the Bonnies on account of Covid 19 restrictions. Akron, however, did get a chance to blow out lightweight Cedarville 97-49. The Zips arguably have the best player in the MAC Loren Christian Jackson on the floor and he's got a decent supporting cast. Bonnies do have a veteran team but they have a good travel here in their first game whereas the Zips have a mere 40 minute bus drive and have experience playing on this Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse floor in Cleveland. We'll grab the 6' points.
|
12-01-20 |
Kentucky v. Kansas -4 |
|
62-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 21 m |
Show
|
|
10-09-20 |
Heat +7.5 v. Lakers |
|
111-108 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 23 m |
Show
|
Heat/Lakers 9:00: Heat has played the dog role well throughout the playoffs (9-4 ATS) and I'm staying on them here. Butler, Herro, Adebayo, Crowder, Robinson have a burning desire to compete and have proven to play with the best of them. Just need Nunn to step up his game a bit more for the shoes of Dragic are big to fill. Heat operate on 2 days rest well at 7-3 ATS. We're going to look for Miami to take this to the wire.
|
10-02-20 |
Heat +10 v. Lakers |
|
114-124 |
Push |
0 |
3 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
09-30-20 |
Heat +4.5 v. Lakers |
|
98-116 |
Loss |
-102 |
25 h 50 m |
Show
|
|
09-26-20 |
Nuggets +5.5 v. Lakers |
|
107-117 |
Loss |
-102 |
5 h 55 m |
Show
|
|
09-25-20 |
Heat +3.5 v. Celtics |
|
108-121 |
Loss |
-109 |
19 h 27 m |
Show
|
Heat/Celtics 8:30: Heat on an 11-2 run and playing off the chart team basketball. Virtually every player that hits the floor for Miami has turned in a significant contribution. Tyler Herro soared to new heights dropping 37 on Boston Wednesday. Butler, Dragic, Adebayo, Crowder just playing off the chart basketball in the playoffs. And those guys are getting spelled relief by a fabulous energy driven bench. Boston, however, has turnover problems and uncertainty in shot selection at critical times of the game which are costly. Heat Spoelstra does an amazing job preparing Miami and we'll look for the Heat to deliver tonight.
|
09-23-20 |
Celtics v. Heat +3 |
|
109-112 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 20 m |
Show
|
Celtics/Heat 8:30: As I mentioned for Saturday, Celtics would get a good boost from Hayward and it helped for the win and cover to get them back in the series. But the final score wasn't indicative of the competitiveness in that game. Celtics capitalized on a few Miami miscues down the stretch to blow it open. We'll look for Spoelstra, who's been doing an amazing job, to make the necessary adjustments for the Heat. Every Heat player is making a significant contribution and you don't see that often on any team. Heat on a 10-2 ATS run, 11-4 ATS off a SU loss of 10+, and yes, they play well on extended rest at 40-18 ATS on 3+ days rest. Heat deliver.
|
09-22-20 |
Lakers v. Nuggets +6.5 |
|
106-114 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 5 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Nuggets 9:00: Hard to put away the Nuggets as the Jazz and Clippers found out. 2-0 deficit for Denver becoming routine and they're not going away. Held their own in Game 2 for the cover. Tonight, they'll need to crash the defensive boards harder. Denver 5-1 ATS off a SU loss, 7-1 ATS after allowing 100+, and 4-0 ATS on 1 day rest. Denver the call.
|
09-19-20 |
Celtics -3 v. Heat |
|
117-106 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
Boston/Miami 8:30: Had Miami for first two games but will go with Boston here; after all, like Miami, they're a well coached team that should be able to close it out tonight. Hayward (questionable), who's been practicing with team, should add a spark with some solid minutes. Celtics are 6-1 ATS off an ATS loss and overdue for a win.
|
09-15-20 |
Heat +2 v. Celtics |
|
117-114 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 7 m |
Show
|
Miami/Boston 6:40: Good matchup with two well coached teams but like Miami in Game 1. Butler, averaging 20+ PPG in playoffs is a difficult matchup for most teams and that can be applied here. He's got a great supporting cast as Dragic (20+ PPG in playoffs) got hot when Spoelstra inserted him as a starter. And Adebayo has emerged as a double/double threat. Boston did get the best of the season series 2-1 but Miami won the last game August 4th in the bubble. Miami improved dramatically when the season resumed. Heat 39-18 ATS on 3+ days rest. We'll take the Heat.
|
09-09-20 |
Raptors v. Celtics -3 |
|
125-122 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
09-08-20 |
Heat -4 v. Bucks |
|
103-94 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 2 m |
Show
|
Miami/Milwaukee 6:30: Unlikely for Milwaukee to continue their success with Giannis struggling with a sprained ankle. Miami had its chance to close out this series Sunday but let up when Giannis went down. No suck let up tonight. Butler won't allow his teammates to get relaxed and we'll look for the Heat to turn it up. Milwaukee has not played well when given points as their 10-25-1 ATS mark indicate, including 1-4 ATS in their last 5 dog roles. Heat 23-8 ATS off a SU loss and 4-0 ATS as a favorite. Heat the call.
|
09-06-20 |
Bucks v. Heat -2 |
|
118-115 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 5 m |
Show
|
Bucks/Heat 3:30: I've been all over the Heat in every game of this series and I'm not jumping off now, especially with Giannis nursing a sprained ankle. Heat out hustling the Bucks in every facet of the game. Spoelstra will have his guys playing lights out. And Jimmy Butler- one of the fiercest competitors in the game- has the eye of the tiger mentality. It is infectious among his teammates. Underrated Adebayo doing an amazing job crashing the boards. And Dragic, ever since inserted as a starter, has been outstanding. Heat deliver.
|
09-05-20 |
Raptors v. Celtics +1 |
|
100-93 |
Loss |
-105 |
17 h 4 m |
Show
|
Toronto/Boston 6:30: Toronto was fortunate to pull out Game 3 so they do have a breath of air here; however, Boston, still playing well and Coach Stevens should make the needed adjustments. Boston the call.
|
09-04-20 |
Rockets +6.5 v. Lakers |
|
112-97 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 8 m |
Show
|
Rockets/Lakers 9:00: Lakers had a bit of time to heal but LeBron James nursing a groin, A.D. - finger, and Rondo (back spasms) will take the floor. Rockets coming off an emotional high after delivering last second win over OKC and must make a quick transition to get back in the hungry state of mind. Lakers should be the favorite but tighter game I project. Lakers haven't been a good favorite (4-9 ATS) and just 1-7-1 ATS in Conference Semifinals. Rockets 9-3 ATS last 12 in Los Angeles. And they're playing well in the bubble and surely won't be intimidated.
|
09-04-20 |
Bucks v. Heat +5 |
|
100-115 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 56 m |
Show
|
Milwaukee/Miami 6:30: Spoelstra dialing up the right moves as I hinted on before this series started. Starting Dragic is paying dividends. He has been a key supporter for go-to-guy Jimmy Butler. And Adebayo continues to be impressive on the glass. We'll look for Miami to hang around again and, perhaps steal another game.
|
09-02-20 |
Thunder +5.5 v. Rockets |
|
102-104 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 27 m |
Show
|
|
08-31-20 |
Heat +5.5 v. Bucks |
|
115-104 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 55 m |
Show
|
|
08-30-20 |
Celtics +2.5 v. Raptors |
|
112-94 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
08-24-20 |
Lakers v. Blazers +7 |
|
135-115 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 28 m |
Show
|
|
08-23-20 |
Celtics -7.5 v. 76ers |
|
110-106 |
Loss |
-106 |
11 h 18 m |
Show
|
Celtics/76ers 1:00: We'll look for Boston to close strong again. 76ers' Embiid trying to do it all; in the process, getting to the free throw line and racking up points; however, he's gassed late because of a lack of accuracy from him and his supporting cast. 76ers shot just 29% collectively in Game 3. Boston is well oiled on both ends of the floor with a rhythmic offensive flow and can clamp down late. Boston to sweep.
|
08-22-20 |
Rockets v. Thunder +2.5 |
|
107-119 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 32 m |
Show
|
Rockets/Thunder 6:00: No reason why OKC can't bounce back here. OKC did well vs Houston during the regular season at home and at Houston. Houston is hot in the bubble getting lots of guys involved in scoring. Donovan is a pretty good coach and should find an effective strategy to counter offensive minded D'Antoni. Keep in mind that OKC is 5-0 SU after being in a 2-0 Playoff deficit. We'll back OKC
|
08-21-20 |
Clippers -5 v. Mavs |
|
130-122 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
08-21-20 |
Celtics -5.5 v. 76ers |
|
102-94 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
08-21-20 |
Nuggets v. Jazz |
|
87-124 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 26 m |
Show
|
|
08-20-20 |
Blazers +7 v. Lakers |
|
88-111 |
Loss |
-113 |
20 h 12 m |
Show
|
Portland/Los Angeles 9:00: As indicated in Game 1 analysis, Lakers in dire need of third option. Game 1 result indicated what I suggested as LeBron and A.D. did their part but the rest of the Lakers contributed to just 32% shooting. And clutch shots were definitely missing. On the other hand, Portland continued their hot play in the Bubble as Lillard lit it up and he's getting good help from an assortment of players. Lakers sorely miss Avery Bradley (out) on both ends of the floor. A healthy Rondo would help but he's not in game shape. Look for Portland to be competitive again as their rhythmic offense continues.
|
08-19-20 |
Mavs +5.5 v. Clippers |
|
127-114 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
08-18-20 |
Blazers +6.5 v. Lakers |
|
100-93 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 42 m |
Show
|
Blazers/Lakers 9:00: Lakers did not look good in the bubble going 1-6 ATS down the stretch. Blazers virtually outscored opponents in their August run with little defense. As it is, Blazers have more options at the moment surrounding Lillard. Lakers miss defensive stopper and good ball handling Avery Bradley (out). Rondo (thumb) is in a recovery mode and if plays, maybe a step slow. LeBron and Davis still the best tandem on the floor but without that consistent third option, this series should be more competitive. Blazers are 46-22 ATS in this series. And remember, they gave the Lakers fits in LA at 19-7 ATS. On this neutral floor where the Blazers are hitting shots, we'll grab the points in Game 1.
|
08-17-20 |
Mavs v. Clippers -6.5 |
|
110-118 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 23 m |
Show
|
Mavericks/Clippers 9:00: Mavericks have a dangerous offense behind Porzingis and Doncic; however, defensively they're not where they need to be and, ultimately, their youth should cost them here. Clippers come in with more experience, a top tier multiple NBA Finals MVP Leonard and his prolific scoring mate - George. Clippers' HC Rivers should script a solid defensive plan to slow Mavericks down; in addition, Clippers have significant edge in rebounding. Clippers 4-0 ATS in this series and can't trust the Mavericks in the NBA Conference Quarterfinals where they're a money burning 3-8 ATS. LA the call in G1.
|
08-10-20 |
Nuggets +5 v. Lakers |
|
121-124 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 56 m |
Show
|
Nuggets/Lakers 9:00: Lakers haven't played well since clinching #1 seed back on August 3rd. They've lost 3 straight and offensively out of rhythm. Meanwhile, Denver has won 3 of its last 4 and getting their usual great work out of Jokic and Murray; in addition, Porter Jr. has arrived as a consistent scorer for them. Denver the call.
|
08-09-20 |
Spurs +3.5 v. Pelicans |
|
122-113 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 35 m |
Show
|
Spurs/Pelicans 3:05: Spurs haven't had much success in Louisiana; however, home court advantage minimal at best in these empty arenas. Spurs lead the Pelicans by a 1/2 a game and sport a 4-1 mark as a dog. Pelicans should have Zion Williamson back on the floor but not a meaningful advantage. Spurs have covered their last 2 road games. And I'll take getting points with Popovich over Gentry in crucial games any day of the week.
|