Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-18-21 | Mariners v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 104 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
Mariners (Gonzalez) @ Texas (Foltynewicz) 8:05 PM ET Game# 973-974 Play On: Under 8.5 (10*) Marco Gonzalez has exhibited excellent form throughout his last 3 starts with an 0.83 ERA and all those games stayed under the total. One of those starts was a complete game win over Texas. The Seattle bullpen has posted an excellent 1.54 ERA and 0.86 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Seattle has played 10-3 to the under during its last 13 games. Mike Foltynewicz has seen each of his last 3 starts go under. During that stretch, he compiled a superb 3.00 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. Foltynewicz has seen his last 4 starts versus Texas all stay under the total and had a superb 0.92 WHIP in those outings. Texas is coming off yesterday’s 3-1 loss to Seattle in a game they left 5 men on base. The Rangers have played 19-6 to the under this season following a game in which they left 5 or fewer men on base. Bet on this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager. |
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08-17-21 | Brewers v. Cardinals UNDER 7 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Brewers (Burnes) @ Cardinals (Wainwright) 7:45 PM ET Game# 905-906 Play On: Under 7.0 (10*) The Brewers Corbin Burnes has seen both of his starts in 2021 versus the Cardinals go under while his 0.82 ERA and 0.64 WHIP had much to do with those low scoring affairs. Burnes has pitched 5-0-1 to the under during his career when facing St. Louis and struck out 48 in 27 2/3 innings pitched. Burnes has allowed 1 earned run or less in 7 of his previous 8 starts. Burnes has an exceptional 2.16 ERA in 20 starts this season. Since 2019, St. Louis has played 11-1 to the under when facing a National League starting pitcher with an ERA of 2.70 or better and there was only a combined average of 5.7 runs scored per game. Adam Wainwright has pitched 4-1 to the under in his last 5 starts with a brilliant 1.95 ERA and 0.81 WHIP. Just as a impressive is the fact that Wainwright pitched 7.0 innings or more in each of those outings, and includes a 2-hit complete game shutout during his previous outing. The Cardinals bullpen has a superb 2.70 ERA and 1.11 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager. |
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08-16-21 | A's -107 v. White Sox | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
A’s (Montas) @ White Sox (Keuchel) 8:10 PM ET Game# 969-970 Play On: A’s -107 (10*) The White Sox have gone an excellent 39-22 this season at home. However, they’re a terrible 1-5 as a money line home underdog. The White Sox lefthander Dallas Keuchel has gone 0-4 in his last 4 team starts with a lofty 5.79 ERA and allowed an alarmingly high 7 home runs in 23 1/3 innings pitched. He will be facing an Oakland team tonight that’s averaged 7.3 runs per game over their last 7 and smashed 14 home runs during that stretch. Oakland is coming off yesterday’s 7-4 loss at Texas. Despite that loss, they’re 12-4 during their previous 16 games and that includes 4-0 in the last 4 following a loss. The A’s have also gone an extremely profitable 16-4 in 2021 versus AL Central teams. Furthermore, since 2019, Oakland is an impressive 73-34 (.682) when facing lefthanded starting pitchers. Frankie Montas has displayed terrific form throughout his previous 3 starts while posting a 1.89 ERA and averaged 6.3 innings pitched per outing while doing so. The A’s bullpen has an excellent staff 1.67 ERA and 0.78 WHIP over the course of its last 7 games. Bet on the A’s for a Top Play money line wager. |
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08-14-21 | Yankees +128 v. White Sox | Top | 7-5 | Win | 128 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
Yankees (Taillon) @ White Sox (Cease) 7:10 PM ET Game# 973-974 Play On: Yankees +128 (10*) The Yankees are coming off a gut wrenching 9-8 loss to the White Sox in their previous game. However, the Bronx Bombers are 6-0 in their last 6 following a loss. The Yankees are also a profitable 47-26 (.644) during night games this season. The Yankees Jameson Taillon is 5-0 during his last 5 team starts with a brilliant 0.89 ERA. Furthermore, Taillon is 15-5 during his career road starts when facing a team with a winning record. The White Sox Dylan Cease has made 1 start against the Yankees this season and allowed 5 earned runs in only 4 1/3 innings pitched. Bet on the Yankees for a Top Play money line wager. |
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08-07-21 | Marlins v. Rockies -1.5 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 116 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
Marlins (Luzardo) @ Rockies (Gomber) 8:10 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Rockies -1.5 (+116) (10*) Miami has gone a dismal 8-21 (.270) during its last 29 road games. The Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo has a lofty 5.73 ERA and 1.58 WHIP this year in 7 starts. The Rockies Austin Gomber has been extremely good at Coors Field this season while posting a 1.98 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in 7 starts. Colorado has gone a highly profitable 12-2 this season as a money line favorite of -120 or greater and outscored their opponents by a decisive margin of 4.2 runs per game. Bet the Rockies on the run-line for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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08-05-21 | Giants -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
Diamondbacks (Kelly) @ Giants (Wood) 3:40 PM ET Game# 905-906 Play On: Giants -1.5 (-105) (10*) Arizona is coming off yesterday’s 7-1 loss to San Francisco. The Diamondback have gone an abysmal 0-20 in their last 20 this season following a game in which they scored 1 run or less, and they were outscored by an average margin of 3.2 runs per outing. Arizona will be facing lefty Alex Wood this afternoon. Wood has averaged 5.8 strikeouts per game in his 18 starts this season. Conversely, Arizona is an atrocious 2-38 this season when facing pitchers who average 5.0 or more strikeout per start, and they were outscored by a sizable margin of 4.0 runs per game. The Arizona bullpen has a pathetic 8.00 ERA over its last 7 games. The Giants will be facing Arizona starter Merrill Kelly today. This current Giants active roster has gone 31-for-93 against Kelly in their careers for a .333 batting average and immense .961 OPS. The Giants are an extremely profitable 49-25 when facing righthanded starters this season and 26-13 during day games. San Francisco is 12-2 this season when facing Arizona. Alex Wood is 2-0 versus Arizona this season with a more than respectable 3.27 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. During their last 7 outing, San Francisco have averaged a lofty 6.2 runs scored per game while also cracking 13 home runs. Bet on the Giants on the run-line for a Top Play wager. |
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08-02-21 | Giants -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 11-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
Giants (DeSclafani) @ Diamondbacks (Widener) 9:40 PM ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Giants -1.5 (-120) (10*) Taylor Widener has faced 2 of the weakest hitting teams in baseball (Texas, Pittsburgh) during his last 2 starts and was awful on both occasions. During those 2 outings he allowed 10 earned runs on 13 hits while walking 6 in just 8 1/3 innings pitched. The Arizona bullpen has compiled a lofty 5.68 ERA and 1.62 WHIP over their previous 7 games. The Diamondbacks are coming off yesterday’s 13-0 blowout loss to the Dodgers. Arizona is an abysmal 1-19 this season following a game in which they scored 1 run or fewer. They were outscored in those 20 occurrences by an average of 2.9 runs per game. The Diamondbacks are also a dismal 3-19 this season as a money line home underdog of +125 or greater and were outscored by an average of 3.9 runs per game. If you take away his 5 starts against the Dodgers this year, Anthony DeSclafani could possibly be in the National League Cy Young Award conversation. That’s how well he’s pitched against everyone else. Since 2016, DeSlafani ius 5-1 during his team starts versus Arizona with a brilliant 1.27 ERA and 0.68 WHIP. The Giants bullpen has an impressive 1.10 WHIP this season and that includes an even better 0.89 throughout their previous 7 games. The Giants have dominated Arizona this season while winning 9 of 10 against them. Bet the Giants on the run-line for a Top Play wager. |
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07-31-21 | Orioles v. Tigers -103 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
Orioles (Means) @ Tigers (Manning) 6:10 PMN ET Game# 969-970 Play On: Tigers -103 (10*) When looking at the season resume of Baltimore starting pitcher John Means it is certainly impressive. Nonetheless, Means recently returned from a 7-week stint on the DL. Since that time, he’s made 2 starts and registered a horrible 8.02 ERA while allowing 5 home runs in just 11 2/3 innings pitched. Despite Friday’s win at Comerica Park, Baltimore is still an atrocious 19-35 on the road this season. Detroit had their 10-game home winning streak ended in yesterday’s 4-3 loss to Baltimore. Matt Manning is 3-0 in his home team starts this season with a more than respectable 3.14 ERA. During 7 starts this season, Manning has allowed an average of 1.57 walks per outing and 5.1 hits per appearance. He will be facing an Orioles team that has gone an abysmal 4-24 on the road this season versus starting pitchers averaging 1.75 or less walk per outing. Additionally, Baltimore is also a bankroll draining 13-41 since last season when facing starting pitchers who allow an average of 5.5 or fewer hits per outing. Bet the Tigers on the money line. |
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07-30-21 | Phillies v. Pirates OVER 9 | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
Phillies (Velazquez) @ Pirates (Crowe) 7:05 PM ET Game# 901-902 Play On: Over 9.0 (10*) Philadelphia has played 9-1 to the over in their last 10 away and there was a combined average of 13.5 runs scored per game. The Phillies will be facing Pittsburgh righthander William Crow today. Crowe has allowed an alarmingly high 8 home runs during 29 2/3 innings pitched in his last 6 starts. That’s noteworthy since Philadelphia has smashed 12 home runs over their previous 7 games. Vincent Velazquez has been horrible during his previous 4 starts while posting a 10.91 ERA and 2.04 WHIP. Velazquez has also been prone to giving up the long ball as well in 2021. That’s been especially apparent throughout those previous 4 starts when he surrendered 7 home runs in only 15 2/3 innings of work. Velazquez has pitched 2-0 to the over during his career at PNC Park in Pittsburgh with a hefty 7.15 ERA and 1.82 WHIP. The Phillies bullpen has a lofty 1.67 WHIP throughout its last 7 games, and they’ve been a disaster for a better part of the past 2 seasons. William Crowe has amassed a large 7.57 ERA and 1.82 WHIP in 8 starts at night this season. The Pirates are coming off being swept in a 3-game series versus Milwaukee who has arguably the best pitching staff in baseball. Pittsburgh went just 13-for-91 (.143 BA) in that 3-game set. However, the Pirates have played 9-0 to the over this season following a 3-game stretch in which they recorded a team batting average of .175 or worse. The Pirates have also played 6-0-1 to the over during its last 7 at home when the total was 9.0 or greater and there were a combined 14.0 runs scored per game. Bet on the over for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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07-29-21 | Rockies v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
Rockies @ Padres 10:10 PM ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Under 8.5 (10*) Kyle Freeland has seen his last 6 starts go under the total. Freeland was a huge contributor to those low scoring affairs while recoding a 2.06 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. Since the start of last season, Freeland has pitched 10-1 to the under as a road money line underdog of +100 or greater, and there was just a combined 5.7 runs scored per game. Freeland is coming off a terrific start at Dodger Stadium last Saturday when he allowed only 1 earned run in 7.0 innings pitched. Since 2019, Freeland has pitched 9-0 to the under following a start in which he allowed 1 earned run or less. Additionally, Colorado has played 5-1 to the under this season in games played at San Diego. Joe Musgrove has made 2 starts versus Colorado this season while allowing only 1 earned run and striking out 17 through 11 1/3 innings pitched. Musgrove has produced a superb 2.83 ERA and 1.05 WHIP during his 10 home starts in 2021. The Padres bullpen has been consistently good for the better part of this season. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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07-28-21 | Diamondbacks v. Rangers -105 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
Diamondbacks (Bumgarner) @ Rangers (Lyles) 8:05 PM ET Game# 927-928 Play On: Texas -105 (10*) Veteran lefthander Madison Bumgarner has enjoyed some bright monet this season. However, Bumgarner is a shell of what he once was in terms of dominance and consistency. This is an Arizona team which has gone an abysmal 3-33 during its last 36 away games. They’re also an awful 0-8 this season when facing American League opponents. Texas put a halt to a 12-game losing streak with yesterday’s 5-4 win over Arizona. It must be note, during that 12-game skid 10 of those were on the road. The Rangers are a respectable 8-6 during its last 14 at home when considering their terrible 36-65 season record. I’m not the least bit enamored with Texas starter Jordan Lyles, and especially when looking at his most recent performance lines. Nevertheless, since 2019, Texas is 9-1 at home versus a team with a losing record with Lyles as their starting pitcher. Bet on the Rangers for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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07-24-21 | White Sox v. Brewers -120 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
White Sox (Rodon) @ Brewers (Burnes) 7:10 PM ET Game# 927-928 Play On: Brewers -120 (10*) This is an excellent starting pitcher matchup. However, you may be shocked to know, dating back to last season, the White Sox have gone 0-20 (-3.7 RPG) in their last 20 as an underdog of +106 or greater, and that includes 0-14 this year. The White Sox Carolos Rodon has been terrific on the road this season. Nevertheless, it’s highly likely he will need to rely on his bullpen at some point, and that’s not good news since White Sox relievers have a large 7.94 ERA throughout its previous 7 games. Milwaukee’s Corbin Burnes is a vastly underrated pitcher and much has to do with where he plays. Burnes has been in sensational form through his last 4 starts while posting a 0.99 ERA and 0.80 WHIP. The Brewers bullpen has been solid of late. Any MLB home team (Brewers) with a money line of between -135 and +115, versus an American League opponent (White Sox) who has a team batting average of .255 or worse, and they scored 2 runs or fewer during each of its previous 2 games, resulted in those home teams going 70-21 (76.9%) since 2017. This exact betting situation has come up 16 times this season and the home teams went an extremely profitable 13-3. Bet on the Brewers as a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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07-23-21 | Rays v. Indians OVER 9 | Top | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
Tampa Bay (Fleming) @ Cleveland (Plesac) 7:10 PM ET Game# 965-966 Play On: Over 9.0 (10*) The Rays lefthander Josh Fleming has displayed terrible form over his last 3 starts while posting a large 8.66 ERA and 1.59 WHIP. The Rays have played 30-16 to the over on the road this season and 35-20 over when facing a right-handed starting pitcher like they will be today. Tampa Bay is currently a money line favorite of -116 in this match. They have played 14-3 to the over this season as a road favorite of -110 or greater and there was a combined average of 11.7 runs scored per game. Cleveland has played 26-9 to the over this season when facing a lefthanded starting pitcher. Dan Plesac has a lofty 5.16 ERA over his last 4 starts and allowed an alarmingly high 7 home runs in just 20 2/3 innings pitched. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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07-20-21 | Mariners v. Rockies -1.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
Mariners (Gonzalez) @ Rockies (Marquez) 8:40 PM ET Game# 929-930 Play On: Rockies (-1.5) (+105) (10*) The Mariners Marco Gonzalez has a large 6.98 ERA in 4 road starts this season. That’s certainly a red glag when considering he will be pitching at the hitter’s paradise called Coors Field tonight. The Rockies German Marquez has made 3 career starts versus Seattle while registering a dominant 1.71 ERA and 0.67 WHIP. Marquez has displayed excellent form over his last 5 starts with a microscopic 0.75 ERA, 0.50 WHIP, and averaged a plentiful 7.2 innings pitched per outing. It then comes as no surprise when I say that Colorado went 5-0 in those outings and won by a decisive margin of 3.8 runs per game. Marquez has gone 10-2 in his home team starts this season with an impressive 3.06 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. Colorado is far and away the worst road team in baseball this year. However, at the friendly confines of Coors Field they have gone an extremely profitable 32-19 (.627) and that includes 19-7 (.731) during their previous 26 at home. During those last 26 home games, $100 bettors that backed Colorado made a net profit of $1533. Bet on the Rockies for a 10* Top Play run-line wager. |
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07-19-21 | Pirates v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
Pirates (DeJong) @ Diamondbacks (Smith) 9:40 PM ET Game# 959-960 Play On: Over 9.5 (10*) Pittsburgh has amassed 11 hits or more in each of its last 4 outing while averaging 6.3 runs scored per game. The Pirates Chase DeJong has displayed shaky form over his last 4 starts while posting a sizable 6.86 ERA and 1.63 WHIP. The Pirates bullpen has been erratic this season and during their past 7 games have recorded a lofty 1.52 WHIP. The Pirates will be facing lefty Caleb Smith tonight. Since the start of the 2019 season, Pittsburgh has played 49-25 (66.2%) to the over when facing lefthanded starting pitchers. The Pirates have played 9-1 to the over in their last 10 as an underdog and when the number is 8.0 or greater. Those 10 outings produced a combined 12.0 runs scored per game. Caleb Smith is coming off a pair of horrible starts in which he allowed 14 earned runs in just 7.0 innings pitched. The Arizona bullpen has a massive 10.38 ERA and 2.08 WHIP in their previous 7 games. That includes allowing 9 home runs in only 26.0 innings of work. Arizona has played 6-0 to the over this season as a money line home favorite of -124 or less and there was a combined average of 12.5 runs scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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07-18-21 | Mariners +116 v. Angels | Top | 7-4 | Win | 116 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
Mariners (Logan) @ Angels (Sandoval) 4:07 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: Mariners +116 (10*) The Mariners Logan Gilbert has gone 8-0 in his last 8 team starts while posting a stellar 2.57 ERA and 0.76 WHIP. Gilbert has also gone an extremely profitable 7-1 this season as a money line underdog of +100 or greater. Seattle will be facing lefthander Pablo Sandoval today and he owns a season ERA of 3.51. Seattle has gone a sparkling 15-6 this season when facing an American League starting pitcher who has an ERA of 3.70 or better. Conversely, the Angels will be facing Logan Gilbert who has an identical season ERA of 3.51. The Angels have gone 3-12 this season when facing an American League starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or better. Bet on the Mariners for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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07-17-21 | Brewers v. Reds UNDER 8 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
Brewers (Woodruff) @ Reds (Castillo) 7:10 PM ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Under 8.0 (10*) Milwaukee pitcher Brandon Woodruff has pitched 8-0-1 to the under in 9 road starts this season while posting a brilliant 1.99 ERA and 0.68 WHIP. The Brewers won 11-6 last night over the Reds. Milwaukee has played 4-1 to the under this season after scoring 10 runs or more in their previous game. The Reds Luis Castillo has pitched 5-1 to the under during his last 6 starts with an outstanding 1.63 ERA. Despite going over the total on Friday night, Cincinnati has played 15-4 to the under throughout its previous 19 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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07-16-21 | Mariners v. Angels OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
Mariners (Flexen) @ Angels (Heany 9:38 PM ET Game# 929-930 Play On: Over 8.5 (10*) The Mariners Chris Flexen has pitched 6-0 to the over in his away starts this season while recording a lofty 6.97 ERA and 1.74 WHIP. Seattle is currently a money line underdog of +123 in this divisional matchup. Chris Flexen has pitched 11-0 to the over during his career team starts as a money line road underdog of +100 or greater, and there was a combined 13.4 runs scored per game. Seattle has played 25-16 (61%) to the over in away games this season. The Angels Andrew Heaney has pitched 10-0 to the over this season when there was a total of 7.0 to 8.5, and there were a combined 11.6 runs scored per game. Heaney has displayed terrible form over his last 3 starts with a sizable 9.42 ERA and 1.88 WHIP. The Angels have played 29-16 (64.4%) to the over this season at home. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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07-14-21 | Suns +5 v. Bucks | Top | 103-109 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
Suns @ Bucks 9:05 PM ET Play On: Suns +5.0 (10*) I cashed in with Milwaukee in the last game of these NBA Finals after they crushed Phoenix 120-100. However, I am banking on Phoenix being the resilient team they has shown to be for the past 5 plus months. Since 1/28/2021, Phoenix has gone 15-3 following a loss in their previous game. The Suns are also 13-1 SU&ATS in their last 14 this season following a non-division game in which they allowed 120 points or more. Additionally, Phoenix is 10-0 SU&ATS during their previous 10 games this season following a non-division loss in which they allowed 100 points or more and won by an average of 13.6 points per contest. Bet on the Suns plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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07-11-21 | Suns v. Bucks OVER 221.5 | Top | 100-120 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
Suns @ Bucks 8:05 PM ET Game# 505-506 Play On: Over 221.5 (10*) Counting the first 2 games of the series, these teams have met 4 times this season and each contest went over the total. The average combined score in those 4 contests was 238.3 points scored per game. Furthermore, both teams have now gone over the total in each of their last 4 playoff games. During that span, Milwaukee’s contests have averaged a combined 227.3 points scored per outing and Phoenix 225.0 points per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play. |
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07-08-21 | Bucks +5 v. Suns | Top | 108-118 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
Bucks @ Suns 9:05 PM ET Play On: Bucks +5.0 (10*) Milwaukee lost the opening game of these 2021 NBA Finals on Tuesday by a score of 118-105 and failed to cover as a 5.5-point underdog. Since losing Game 2 of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series against Brooklyn, The Bucks have won 4 straight following a loss and won by an average of 15.7 points per game. As a matter of fact, Milwaukee is 9-1 in their last 10 overall following a loss. Any NBA Finals Game 2 away underdog of 8.0 or less that’s coming off an away underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 8.0-points or less, and they’re facing either a #1 or #2 seed, resulted in those away underdogs going 7-0 SU&ATS since 1994. The average line in those contests was 5.2. Bet on the Bucks plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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07-07-21 | Tigers v. Rangers UNDER 8 | Top | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
Tigers (Mize) @ Rangers (Gibson) 2:05 PM ET Game# 919-920 Play On: Under 8.0 (10*) The Rangers Kyle Gibson has been sensational in 8 home starts this season while recording a 1.09 ERA and all 8 games stayed under the total. Texas has played 13-2 to the under this season at home during the day and there was a combined average of 5.9 runs per game. Detroit has played 27-12 (69%) to the under in day games this season. The Tigers starter Casey Mize has pitched 13-2 to the under in 2021 when Detroit was a money line underdog of +100 or greater. Mize has also pitched 8-1 to the under in road starts this season while posting a more than respectable 3.18 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. Bet on this game to stay under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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07-06-21 | Bucks v. Suns -5.5 | Top | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 28 h 21 m | Show |
Bucks @ Suns 9:05 PM ET Play On: Suns -5.5 (10*) Since losing Game 3 of their 1st round series versus the Lakers, Phoenix has gone 11-2 SU and 10-3 ATS to reach the NBA Finals for a first time since 1993. Milwaukee secured their sport in the NBA Finals with an Eastern Conference Finals Game 6 win at Atlanta as a 3.5-point underdog. Despite that win, the Bucks are just 2-5 SU&ATS as a road underdog this season. Milwaukee is 0-2 SU&ATS in their last 2 series openers The Bucks will enter the NBA Finals with a win percentage of just .651. Any NBA Finals Game 1 home favorite of 8.0 or less versus an opponent with a win percentage of .728 or worse, resulted in those home favorites going 13-0 ATS since 2005, and the average margin of victory came by a decisive 13.1 points per game. Phoenix is a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS in their opening games of a playoff series during these 2021 NBA Playoffs. The Suns have also played terrific defense throughout this year’s postseason while holding opponents to just 101.9 points scored per game. Bet on the Suns minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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07-05-21 | White Sox v. Twins OVER 10 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
White Sox (Cease) @ Twins (Ober) 7:10 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Over 10.0 (10*) These teams have played 7-2 to the over when facing each other this season. The Twins are coming off yesterday’s 6-2 win at Kansas City. Minnesota has played 15-2 to the over this season following a game in which they scored 2 runs or fewer. The White Sox have gone over the total in their last 7 outings and there were a combined 13.0 runs scored per game. The White Sox Dylan Cease has a sizable 6.08 ERA and 1.57 WHIP this season. The Twins Bailey Ober has made 3 home starts this season with an uninspiring 6.75 ERA, 1.65 WHIP, and averaged only 3.9 innings pitched per outing. Ober has made 2 starts against the White Sox this season and compiled an alarmingly high 11.08 ERA during those outings which includes surrendering 5 home runs in 7 1/3 innings pitched. Both bullpens have been vulnerable this season and that’s been especially so throughout the past week. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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07-04-21 | Cubs v. Reds -115 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
Cubs (Hendricks) @ Reds (Miley) 1:10 PM ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Reds -115 (10*) The Cubs have dropped 8 games in a row, and all have been on the road. During their current 8-game funk, Chicago has scored 2 runs or fewer on 6 occasions. Kyle Hendricks has gone 0-3 in his last 3 starts at Cincinnati while posting a terrible 12.46 ERA and 2.38 WHIP. The Cubs bullpen has left much to be desired of late. Wade Miley has gone 5-1 in his last 6 teams starts with a sparkling 2.53 ERA. Since 2018, Miley has made 5 starts against the Cubs and allowed 2 earned runs or few 4 times. The Reds bullpen has been extremely good throughout its previous 8 games. Bet on the Reds for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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07-03-21 | Bucks v. Hawks -126 | Top | 118-107 | Loss | -126 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
Bucks @ Hawks 8:35 PM ET Play On: Hawks -126 (10*) The Bucks have rarely been a road underdog this season but failed miserably when it transpired. Milwaukee is 1-5 SU&ATS as a road underdog during this 2020-2021 NBA campaign. Conversely, Atlanta has gone an extremely profitable 20-1 straight up in their last 21 this season as a money line home favorite. Furthermore, Atlanta is 5-0 straight up in their last 5 and 8-1 during its previous 9 as a money line home favorite following a loss. Bet on Atlanta for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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07-03-21 | Red Sox v. A's -133 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
Red Sox (Richards) @ A’s (Irvin) 7:15 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: A’s -133 (10*) The Red Sox enter today riding an 8-game win streak. Yet, they find themselves as an underdog against a team in which they are currently 4.5 games better than in the current MLB standings. That speaks volumes to me and prevents me from falling for the trap of taking the red-hot underdog in this spot. The Boston starter Garrett Richards has been in horrible form over his last 4 starts while posting a sizable 9.18 ERA and 2.34 WHIP. Conversely, Oakland’s Cole Irvin is 5-0 in his last 5 team starts while compiling a sparkling 2.64 ERA in doing so. Bet on the A’s for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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07-02-21 | Rangers v. Mariners -113 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
Rangers (Gibson) @ Mariners (Gilbert) 10:10 PM ET Game# 977-978 Play On: Mariners -113 (10*) Texas will go with their ace Kyle Gibson on the mound tonight. Texas is 8-0 at home this season with Gibson as their starter. However, they’re just 2-5 on the road with Gibson. The Rangers are an abysmal 3-20 in their last 23 away games, 0-7 this season when their money line is +125 to -125, and 17-36 in 2021 when facing righthanded starting pitchers. Seattle is a solid 24-16 (.600) at home this season which includes 7-2 during its previous 9. Seattle’s Logan Gilbert has gone 5-0 in his last 5 team starts with an impressive 2.85 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. Bet on the Mariners for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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07-01-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -3 | Top | 112-123 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
Atlanta @ Milwaukee 8:35 PM ET Play On: Milwaukee -3.0 (10*) The line has been adjusted accordingly due to the absence of Milwaukee star Giannis Antetkounmpo (28.1 PPG/11.0 RPG). However, the Bucks have enough talent to survive in the short term without him. Milwaukee is 32-11 at home this season which includes 6-1 in the playoffs. The Bucks will be out to atone for a Game 4 loss by 22 points as a sizable 9.0-point favorite. Any NBA Playoffs Game 5 home team that’s coming off exactly 1 loss, and has a win percentage of .627 or better, resulted in those home teams going 50-9 (84.7%) since the 1999 postseason. The straight up results take on added significance due to the low number we are being asked to cover. Bet on Milwaukee minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-29-21 | Bucks -6.5 v. Hawks | Top | 88-110 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
Bucks @ Hawks 8:35 PM ET Game# 521-522 Play On: Bucks -6.5 (10*) The Bucks won Game 3 at Atlanta by a score of 113-102 and covered as a 5.0-point favorite. That seemed like a sizable number to cover as a road favorite versus an opponent that entered that contest having gone 22-5 straight up in their previous 27 at home. However, Atlanta has now dropped 3 of their last 4 at home and they find themselves as an even larger home underdog than they were in Game 3. Additionally, the status of star point-guard Trae Young is questionable for Game 4 after he tweaked a previously injured angle during 4th quarter action. It’s no fluke that Milwaukee finished the game by outscoring Atlanta 25-7 and that dominating run coincided with Trae Young reinjuring his ankle. Remember, we are talking about a player (Young) that has averaged 29.8 points and 9.5 assists per game during these 2021 NBA Playoffs. Even if he does play tonight, it’s not a stretch to believe he will be far less than 100%. During the past 2 games of this series both won by Milwaukee, the Bucks shot better than 51% on each occasion, and were +28 on the boards which included amassing a combined 31 offensive rebounds. Any NBA Playoffs away favorite of 6.0 or greater (Bucks) that’s coming off a win by 21 or less has gone 18-1 ATS (94.7%) and 19-0 SU since 2013. Those away favorites won by an average of 16.2 points per game. Bet on the Bucks minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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06-29-21 | Rays v. Nationals -109 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
Rays (Hill) @ Nationals (Ross) 7:05 PM ET Game# 929-930 Play On: Nationals -109 (10*) The Tampa Bay Rays have lost 6 straight road games heading into today. Conversely, Washington is 8-1 in their last 9 and 12-3 during its previous 13 at home. The Rays starter Rich Hill has been shaky over his last 3 starts while recording a lofty 5.52 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. Joe Ross has been exceptional over his last 4 starts with a 1.73 ERA and 0.85 WHIP. Bet on the Nationals for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-28-21 | Cubs v. Brewers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 4-14 | Loss | -116 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
Cubs (Hendricks) @ Brewers (Peralta) 8:10 PM ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Under 7.5 (10*) Since the start of last season, Kyle Hendricks has pitched 3-1 to the under in 4 starts versus Milwaukee while posting a superb 1.26 ERA and 0.73 WHIP. Hendricks has displayed excellent form during his last 3 starts overall with a 1.00 ERA and 0.67 WHIP. The Chicago bullpen has been superb over their previous 7 games while compiling a staff 2.67 ERA and 0.78 WHIP. The Cubs have scored 2 runs or fewer in 11 of their last 14 games. Since the start of the 2019 season, the Cubs have played 25-12 (67.6%) to the under when facing Milwaukee. They’ve also played 6-0-1 to the under during their previous 7 games overall. The Brewers Freddy Peralta has been terrific this season. As a matter of fact, during his previous 5 starts Peralta has recorded a brilliant 1.44 ERA and 0.73 WHIP while 4 of those games stayed under the total. The Milwaukee Bullpen has been solid over their last 7 games with a staff 2.93 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-26-21 | Suns v. Clippers +1 | Top | 84-80 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
Suns @ Clippers 9:05 PM ET Game# 591-592 Play On: Clippers +1.0 (5*) The Clippers have gone a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 at home during these 2021 NBA Playoffs and won by a decisive average of 16.2 points per game. Speaking of perfect, the Clippers are 10-0 SU&ATS in their last 10 at home versus Phoenix with an average victory margin of 21.2 points per game. During the first 2 rounds of the playoffs, Los Angeles is 2-0 SU&ATS in Game 4 of those series and outscored those opponents (Dallas, Utah) by 19.5 points per contest. Bet on the Clippers for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-25-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -7.5 | Top | 91-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
Hawks @ Bucks 8:35 PM ET Game# 581-582 Play On: Bucks -7.5 (10*) Milwaukee is coming off a 116-113 home loss as an 8.0-point favorite in the series opener on Wednesday. The Bucks are 6-0 SU&ATS this season as a favorite of -5.5 or more following a straight up loss as a favorite of -6.5 or more in their previous game, and they won by an average of 14.0 points per contest. That loss dropped the Bucks season win percentage to .642 while Atlanta sits at .600 heading into today. Any NBA Playoffs Game 2 home favorite of 7.5 or greater (Bucks) that’s coming off a home favorite of 5.5 or more straight up loss in Game 1, and they possess a win percentage of .639 or better, versus an opponent (Hawks) with a winning percentage of .648 or worse, resulted in the Game 2 home favorites going 18-2 ATS (90%) since 1994. Those home favorites also held their opponents to less than 100 points in 18 of those 20 games. Bet on Milwaukee minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-24-21 | Suns v. Clippers OVER 221 | Top | 92-106 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
Suns @ Clippers 9:05 PM ET Game# 571-572 Play On: Over 221.0 (10*) The Phoenix Suns have shot 50% or better in their last 4 and 6 of its previous 7 games. Throughout their last 5, the Suns are a combined 51.5% from the floor, 39.6% on their 3-point attempts, and 91.6% at the free throw line while averaging 117.6 points scored per game. Game 2 of this series on Tuesday stayed under the total. The Clippers have played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 playoff contests following an under during its previous outing. Those 3 games all had a combined 228 or more points being scored which far exceeds the current number for Game 3 of this Western Conference Finals. During their last 5 contests, the Clippers averaged 117.0 points scored per game, shot 49%, and connected on 42.6% of their 3-point attempts. I’m looking for peak offensive efficiency in this game from both teams, and it will produce a wildly entertaining and high scoring affair. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-23-21 | Rockies v. Mariners -101 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
Rockies (Marquez) @ Mariners (Sheffield) 4:10 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: Mariners -101 (10*) The Rockies are an abysmal 5-28 on the road this season and 1-13 in day games. The Rockies starter German Marquez is 0-5 in his team starts this season with a lofty 5.74 ERA and 1.61 WHIP. Seattle is 8-1 in their last 9 which includes a current 5-game winb streak. Seattle is a more than respectable 24-15 at home this season and includes 12-3 during its previous 15 at Safeco Field. The Mariners bullpen has compiled a dominating 2.22 ERA and 0.62 WHIP throughout its previous 7 games. Since 2019, Seattle is 12-4 at home when Justus Sheffield is their starting pitcher. Bet on the Mariners for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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06-20-21 | Hawks v. 76ers -7 | Top | 103-96 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
Atlanta @ Philadelphia 8:05 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Philadelphia -7.0 (10*) Philadelphia is coming off a 104-99 Game 6 win at Atlanta to stave off elimination a force a deciding Game 7. Now they return home where they’ve gone an outstanding 68-14 straight up in their last 82 games and that includes 49-30-3 ATS (62%). Additionally, if they were facing an opponent coming off a SU&ATS loss the 76ers improved to 30-5 SU and 25-8 ATS (75.8). Any NBA Playoff Game 7 home favorite of 4.5 or greater (76ers) who’s coming off a game in which they allowed 118 points or fewer, and they (76ers) have won 57 or more of its last 82 at home, versus an opponent (Hawks) with a win percentage of .613 or worse, resulted in those home favorites going 15-1 ATS since 2002. If those contests took place after Round 1 of the playoffs had been completed, then the home teams improve to a perfect 7-0 ATS and they won by an average of 15.7 points per game. Bet on Philadelphia minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-19-21 | Brewers v. Rockies -115 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
Milwaukee (Houser) @ Colorado (Gomber) 9:10 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Colorado -115 (10*) Adrian Houser get the start for Milwaukee and he’ll be facing a Rockies team that has been outscored by an average of 0.8 runs per game this season. Nevertheless, since the start of last season, Houser has gone 2-9 in his team starts versus teams that have been outscored by 0.5 or more runs per game for the season. As a matter of fact, Milwaukee is 0-8 this season when facing teams who have been outscored by 0.5 or more runs per game. The Brewers enter today having lost 5 in a row while averaging a mere 2.6 runs scored and 5.0 hits per game. Colorado has been the worst road team in baseball this season with an abysmal 5-27 record. However, at their friendly confines of Coors Field in Denver they’ve gone 25-14 and includes 6-0 during their previous 6 at home. The Rockies Austin Gombert has been terrific in 5 home starts while posting a brilliant 0.95 ERA and 0.81 WHIP. Since 5/1/2019, Colorado has gone a perfect 7-0 in games versus Milwaukee. Bet on Colorado for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-18-21 | White Sox v. Astros UNDER 8 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
White Sox (Rodon) @ Astros (Garcia) 8:10 PM ET Game# 973-974 Play On: Under 8.0 (10*) Carlos Rodon has been terrific this season for the White Sox. Rodon has seen 7 of his last 8 starts stay under the total while recording a 2.45 ERA and 0.90 WHIP. During 6 road starts in 2021, Rodon has compiled an imposing 1.80 ERA and 0.94 WHIP while striking out 55 in 35.0 innings pitched. Rodon will be facing a red-hot Houston batting order which has smacked 20 home runs throughout their previous 7 games. However, the White Sox southpaw hurler has only surrendered only 1 home run per 11.1 innings pitched this season. Luis Garcia of Houston has gone 3-0 in his last 3 home starts with a brilliant 1.00 ERA and 0.89 WHIP. Furthermore, Garcia has pitched 4-0 to the under in his last 4 starts overall with a 1.93 ERA and 0.90 WHIP. This total opened at 9.0 and has since dropped to its current number despite the offensive prowess that Houston has displayed of late. I am going to think like an odds-maker in this one and go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-17-21 | Nets v. Bucks UNDER 220.5 | Top | 89-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
Nets @ Bucks 8:35 PM ET Game# 501-502 Play On: Under 220.5 (5*) The Bucks have played terrific defense in their 5 home playoff contests while allowing just 98.4 points per game and holding its opponents to a combined 39.4% shooting. The Buck have scored 108 points or fewer in all 5 games of this Eastern Conference Semifinal series. Milwaukee has played 6-0 to the under during their previous 6 following a loss and there was only a combined average of 206.0 points scored per game. The Nets are coming off a home win on Tuesday to take a 3-2 series lead. Brooklyn has played 4-0 to the under in their last 4 following a win and there was just a combined 207.5 points per game. These teams have played 5-0-2 to the under in their last 7 games against one another this season and that includes 4-0-1 in the first 5 played in this series. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5*. |
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06-16-21 | Phillies v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
Phillies (Wheeler) @ Dodgers (Kershaw) 10:10 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Under 7.0 (10*) Since 2018, Clayton Kershaw has made 3 starts versus the Phillies and had a superb 1.50 ERA and 0.94 WHIP during those outings. Kershaw has a solid 3.39 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 14 starts this season. Zack Wheeler has displayed excellent form over his last 7 starts while compiling a 1.39 ERA and 0.74 WHIP throughout that stretch. Wheeler has also pitched 7.0 or more innings in each of his last 5 and 8 of his previous 9 starts. His ability to pitch deep into games has been the best remedy for Philadelphia’s erratic bullpen from being exposed. Wheeler has made 3 starts against the Dodgers since 2018 and recorded an impressive 3.43 ERA and 0.90 WHIP during those outings. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-14-21 | Jazz +5 v. Clippers | Top | 104-118 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
Jazz @ Clippers 10:00 PM ET Game# 563-564 Play On: Utah +5.0 (10*) The Western Conference’s top seed Utah is coming off Saturday’s humbling 132-106 road loss to the #4 seed Clippers. However, the Jazz still lead this series 2-1 and I look for them to rebound with a strong effort tonight. Additionally, Utah has gone 12-1 straight up in their previous 13 after allowing 120 points or more during its last game. Considering the Jazz are an underdog, that’s an in-season team trend I just can’t ignore. The Clippers are coming off a 4-3 series win over Dallas during opening round action and lost 3 home games while doing so. Any NBA Playoffs #1 seed that’s a conference road underdog of 5.5 or less who’s coming off a loss by 11 to 26 points in their previous contest, and they have a season win percentage of .755 or worse, resulted in those road underdogs going 12-1 ATS (92.3%) since 2002. Those underdogs were also 9-4 straight up in those contests. Bet on Utah for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-14-21 | Canadiens v. Golden Knights -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 110 | 56 h 23 m | Show |
Montreal @ Las Vegas 9:05 PM ET Play On: Las Vegas -1.5 (+110) (10*) Since falling behind Toronto 3-1 in their first round series versus Toronto, Montreal has reeled off 7 straight wins. Yet, the sportsbooks seem undeterred and unimpressed by the Canadiens recent success based on the money line for Game 1 versus Las Vegas. The strategy is working since were have seen a high volume of money line bets come in on Montreal at this early of a juncture. Las Vegas will be battle tested after beating Minnesota in 7 games and #1 seed Colorado in 6. Bet on Las Vegas -1.5 on the puck-line for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-13-21 | Nets v. Bucks +2 | Top | 96-107 | Win | 100 | 24 h 13 m | Show |
Bucks @ Nets 3:30 PM ET Play On: Bucks +2.0 (10*) Milwaukee is coming off a narrow 86-83 win in Game 3 but failed to cover as a 3.5-point favorite. That victory improved the Bucks season win percentage to .645 and dropped Brooklyn to .666. This sets up a terrific NBA betting angle which fits perfectly into Game 4 of this Eastern Conference semifinal series. Any NBA home team with a win percentage of .600 to .750 that scored 113 points or fewer in their previous game, versus an opponent (Nets) that’s coming off a road loss but still covered as an underdog, and they scored 111 points or fewer in that previous contest, resulted in those NBA home teams going 59-5 (92.2%) straight up since the 1993-1994 season began. This straight up betting angle takes on added significance since it back the home underdog in this contest. By the way, those home teams also went 46-14-4 ATS during those 64 games regardless of what the point-spread was. Bet on the Bucks plus the small number for a 10* Top Play. |
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06-12-21 | Jazz v. Clippers -4.5 | Top | 106-132 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
Utah @ LA Clippers 8:30 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: LA Clippers -4.5 (10*) The Clippers are coming off a 117-111 loss at Utah to put them in a 2-0 series hole. However, NBA Playoffs betting history indicates that home favorites down 2-0 in a series have been extremely profitable over the past 29 years when cast into the precise situation displayed below. Any home favorite of 3.0 to 8.5 in Game 3 of a playoff series that’s down 2-0, and their loss in Game 2 came by 6-points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 38-14 ATS (73.1%) since the 1992 postseason began. Bet on the Clippers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-11-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +1.5 | Top | 127-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
Philadelphia @ Atlanta 7:35 PM ET Game# 531-532 Play On: Atlanta +1.5 (10*) The Atlanta Hawks are 13-0 in their last 13 home games. Yet, the Hawks find themselves as a small home underdog in today’s Game 3 of this Eastern Conference Semifinal series. It must be noted, since the start of the 2018-2019 NBA season, Atlanta is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS when playing at home versus Philadelphia. That includes a 112-94 blowout win in their only home game versus Philadelphia this season. Since the start of last season, Philadelphia has gone a dominating 63-9 at home. However, they’re an uninspiring 29-40 on the road during that identical time frame. Bet on Atlanta for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-10-21 | Blue Jays v. White Sox +101 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 101 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
Blue Jays (Ryu) @ White Sox (Keuchel) 8:10 PM ET Game# 965-966 Play On: White Sox +101 (10*) The White Sox will be facing a lefty starter in Toronto’s Hyun-Jin Ryu. Since the starter of last season, the White have gone an incredible 29-4 when facing lefthanded starting pitchers. Ryu has displayed great control this season while walking just 11 men during his 11 starts. However, the White Sox are 14-1 at home this season when facing a pitcher that averages 1.75 or fewer walks per start. Dallas Keuchel gets the start for the White Sox tonight. Chicago is 5-1 at home this season when Keuchel was their starter. Bet on the White Sox for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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06-10-21 | Nets v. Bucks -3.5 | Top | 83-86 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
Nets @ Bucks 7:35 ET Game# 521-522 Play On: Bucks -3.5 (10*) After losing and failing to cover each of the first 2 games of this series, the Bucks will be extremely desperate tonight for a win, and I for one believe they will be up to the task. Furthermore, they will be out to atone for a humiliating 125-86 loss in Game 2 at Brooklyn this past Monday. It’s worth noting, since the start of the 2018-2019 season, Milwaukee is 5-0 SU&ATS as a home favorite of 12.0 or less following a game in which they scored fewer than 100 points, and their average margin of victory was by a decisive 14.6 points per contest. This will be a spot where Brooklyn will miss the absence of star point guard James Harden not being available due to injury. Any NBA Playoffs home favorite of 3.0 to 6.5 that’s playing in a Game 3 and is down 2-0 in the series, resulted in those home favorites going 22-7 (76%) ATS since 2004. Bet on the Bucks minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-09-21 | Mariners v. Tigers -132 | Top | 9-6 | Loss | -132 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
Seattle (Flexen) @ Detroit (Mize) 7:10 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Detroit -132 (10*) Seattle has gone a dismal 6-15 in their last 21 away games. The Mariners Chris Flexen has been terrible in 4 road starts this season while compiling a sizable 8.10 ERA and 1.85 . Flexen doesn’t figure to get much help from a Mariners bullpen who has an awful 8.77 ERA throughout their previous 7 games. Detroit has gone a respectable 16-11 in their last 27 games. The Tigers are also 10-5 in their previous 15 home games and that includes 4-0 during its last 4 at Comerica Park. Detroit is 4-0 versus Seattle this year. The Tigers Casey Mize has been in excellent form over his last 4 starts while recoding a 2.08 ERA and 0.77 WHIP during that stretch. Mize won his only start versus Seattle this season while allowing only 1 earned runs on 3 hits and 3 walks in 7 2/3 innings pitched. Bet on Detroit for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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06-08-21 | Clippers +3 v. Jazz | Top | 109-112 | Push | 0 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
LA Clippers @ Utah 10:05 PM ET Play On: LA Clippers +3.0 (10*) The Clippers showed resilience in overcoming a 3-2 series deficit against Dallas in opening round action. As a matter of fact, the Clippers went 3-0 SU&ATS on the road during that Western Conference Quarterfinal series. The Clippers faced a tougher opponent in Dallas than Utah faced against an extremely young Memphis team. That will pay dividends for the Clippers at least early in this series. Bet on the Clippers plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-07-21 | Bucks v. Nets UNDER 234 | Top | 86-125 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show |
Milwaukee @ Brooklyn 7:35 PM ET Play On: Under 234.0 (10*) This is a significantly low number compared to these teams last 3 meetings in which there was an average total of 242.0 per game. Furthermore, all 3 of those head-to-head games all went under the total. As a matter of fact, this total opened at 235.0 compared to 240.0 in Game 1. Part of that adjustment is due to the absence of Nets star point guard James Harden. The rest is a result of early sharp money like mine getting down early. Any NBA team (Milwaukee) that’s playing their 4th game or less during the previous 10 days and with a total of 230.0 or greater, and both teams have a win percentage of .600 to .750, resulted in those contests playing 26-3 (89.7%) to the under since 1996. The average total in those 29 contests was 234.9 and there were only a combined 222.0 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-05-21 | Bucks +4 v. Nets | Top | 107-115 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
Milwaukee @ Brooklyn 7:35 PM ET Play On: Milwaukee +4.0 (10*) There will be no analysis today due to time restrictions. |
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06-01-21 | A's v. Mariners UNDER 8 | Top | 12-6 | Loss | -118 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
Oakland (Bassitt) @ Seattle (Gonzalez) 10:10 PM ET Game# 919-920 Play On: Under 8.0 (10*) This will be the first time that Chris Bassitt will pitch against Seattle this season. He made 2 starts against them last year and was dominant while allowing just 1 earned run on 8 hits and walked none during 12 2/3 innings pitched. Bassitt is 7-1 in his last 8 team starts and 7 of those were quality ones. The Oakland bullpen has been lights out throughout their previous 7 games with a cumulative staff ERA of 1.29 and 0.95 WHIP. Oakland has played 6-2 to the under in their last 8 games. The Mariners Marco Gonzalez has displayed excellent form over his last 3 starts with a 2.50 ERA and 0.89 WHIP. The Seattle bullpen has been superb during their previous 7 games with a staff 1.78 ERA during that stretch. Seattle has been one of the worst offensive teams in MLB thus far in 2021. Additionally, like Oakland, they have played 6-2 to the under during their previous 8 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play. |
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05-31-21 | Nationals v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 109 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
Nationals (Ross) @ Braves (Morton) 5:10 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Braves -1.5 (+109) (10*) Washington starter Joe Ross is 0-3 in his last 3 road team starts this with a terrible 8.52 ERA and 1.89 WHIP. The Nationals enter today on a 4-game losing streak and scored only a combined 4 runs in that stretch including being held scoreless twice. The Braves were rained out yesterday and are coming off a 13-2 blowout loss on Saturday at Citi Field in New York. Since the start of last season, Atlanta has gone an extremely profitable 23-8 following a game in which they scored 2 runs or less and outscored their opponents by 2.7 runs per outing. Atlanta pitcher Charlie Morton has displayed superb form over his last 3 starts while posting a 2.04 ERA and 0.91 WHIP.Bet on the Braves for a 10* run line wager. |
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05-30-21 | Clippers v. Mavs +3 | Top | 106-81 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
Dallas missed a golden opportunity to get a stranglehold of this series following a home loss on Friday. Nevertheless, it served as a wakeup call and I look for a strong effort from the Mavericks at home on Sunday. Furthermore, the Mavericks are 5-0 straight up in their last 5 games following a loss. That bodes well for betting value when considering they're a small underdog today. Bet on Dallas plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-29-21 | Jazz v. Grizzlies +5.5 | Top | 121-111 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
Utah @ Memphis 9:35 PM ET Game# 577-578 Play On: Memphis +5.5 (10*) The Grizzlies enter Game 3 of this series on a 5-game home winning streak. Memphis is coming off a 141-129 loss to Utah in Game 2 which evened this series at 1-1. The Grizzlies have gone 7-1 straight up in their last 8 games this season following a road loss by 10 points or more. Memphis is also 3-0 SU&ATS this season in that previously mentioned situation when they were an underdog and won by 15.0 points per game. Furthermore, regardless of the point-spread, Memphis is 13-2 SU&ATS during their previous 15 games following a loss by 10 points or more. The Grizzlies are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 as a home underdog despite losing 4 of those 5 contests straight up. However, those 4 straight up losses came by only a combined 7 points. Conversely, Utah has gone 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS during its last 6 road games following a win by 10 or more. Bet on Memphis plus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-28-21 | Clippers v. Mavs UNDER 220 | Top | 118-108 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
LA Clippers @ Dallas 9:35 PM ET Game# 565-566 Play On: Under 220.0 (10*) Despite winning the first 2 games of this series on the road, Dallas currently finds themselves as a 2.5-point home underdog. Dallas has seen their last 6 as a home underdog all go under the total this season, and there was a combined 210.5 points scored per game. The Clippers have played 6-1 to the under in their previous 7 road games when there was a total of 220.5 or less, and there was only a combined 206.1 points scored per game. Counting the playoffs, these teams have met 5 times this season, and 4 went under the total. All 5 of those contests were also played at an extremely slow pace. Barring red-hot shooting from both teams like we saw in Game 2 on Wednesday, I’m eagerly anticipating a low scoring affair tonight relative to the current total. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-27-21 | Nuggets v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 120-115 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
Denver @ Portland 10:35 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Portland -3.5 (10*) Portland is coming off a 128-102 loss to Denver on Tuesday which evened this series up at 1-1. Despite that defeat, Portland has gone an impressive 11-3 in their previous 14 games. Furthermore, the Trailblazers are 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a loss and won by a substantial margin of 24.3 points per game while doing so. Any NBA Playoffs home favorite of -2.0 or more with a winning record that’s playing a Game 3 in the first round and is coming off a loss by 8 points or more which evened the series at 1-1, versus an opponent (Denver) with a win percentage of .595 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 13-0 ATS since 1993. The home favorites won those 13 contests by a decisive margin of 11.7 points per game. Bet on Portland minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-26-21 | Wizards v. 76ers -8 | Top | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
Washington @ Philadelphia 7:05 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Philadelphia -8.0 (10*) Philadelphia took Game 1 of this series with a 125-118 win but failed to cover as a 7.5-point home favorite. They barely missed the cover despite allowing Washington to shoot 55.7% from the field. That kind of shooting performance by the Wizards is highly improbable to occur again tonight against a usually stout defensive team like Philadelphia. I am also extremely confident that that Washington will continue to have few if any defensive answers in slowing down Philadelphia. During their 4 games versus Washington this season, Philadelphia has averaged 126.5 points per contest while shooting a sizzling hot 53% and includes 42.7% from 3-point range. Any NBA Playoff home favorite of 3.0 to 10.5 (Philadelphia) that’s playing Game 2 of a series, and they are coming off a home win in which they failed to cover by 3.5 points or fewer, resulted in those home teams going 13-0 SU&ATS since the 2007 postseason, and the average margin of victory came by 16.5 points per contest. Play on Philadelphia minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-25-21 | Lakers v. Suns +2 | Top | 109-102 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
LA Lakers @ Phoenix 10:05 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Phoenix +2.0 (10*) Phoenix won the opening game of this series 99-90. The Suns have now won 15 of their last 16 home games. Conversely, the Lakers are 0-4 SU&ATS in their previous 4 away games when their point-spread was +3.0 to -3.0. Any NBA home team playing in an opening round Game 2 of a playoff series that’s coming off a home win by 7 points while allowing less than 100 points, and they possess a win percentage of .615 or better, resulted in those home teams going 48-6 (88.9%) straight up since 2000. This NBA Playoffs straight up betting angle takes on added value since it supports the underdog in this contest. Bet on Phoenix plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-24-21 | Cardinals v. White Sox -1.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 115 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
Cardinals (Kim) @ White Sox (Lynn) 8:10 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: White Sox -1.5 (+115) (10*) The St. Louis lefthanded pitcher Kim is 5-1 in his team starts this season with a shiny 2.73 ERA. However, he’s yet to reach the 6th inning in any of those outings. That is problematic when considering the Cardinals bullpen has a cumulative 7.46 ERA and 2.01 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. The White Sox Lance Lynn has been terrific in 7 starts this season while posting a 1.55 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. The White Sox bullpen has been solid at home this year while recording a staff 3.38 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, and amassing 75 strikeouts while walking just 13. The White Sox have gone an extremely profitable 24-3 when facing lefthanded starters since last season began. They have faced 12 southpaw starters in 2021 and averaged 8.0 runs scored per game while smashing 17 home runs. Putting that home run number in perspective, Chicago has hit only 27 home runs in 33 games when facing right-handed starters. Bet the White on the run-line for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-23-21 | Wizards v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 118-125 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
Washington @ Philadelphia 1:05 PM ET Game# 507-508 Play On: Philadelphia -7.5 (10*) For starters, Philadelphia enters this opening game of the series with a full week of rest. Conversely, Washington will be playing their 3rd game in 5-days. That’s a huge advantage to Philadelphia in that specific category. Since the start of last season, Philadelphia has gone a dominating 37-3 straight up in conference home games and they also went a profitable 27-13 ATS (67.5%) in those contests. Furthermore, if those conference home tilts took place after Game 55 of the season, the 76ers were 9-0 SU&ATS and won by a decisive 18.7 points per contest. Since the 2016-2017 season began, Philadelphia has gone 9-0 straight up at home versus Washington, and 3-0 ATS if they were favorites of 7.5 or more. Additionally, the 76ers won all 3 meetings against Washington this season. During those 3 head-to-head meetings, Philadelphia averaged a sizable 127.0 points scored per game, shot a sizzling hot 54.3% which included an extremely impressive 47.4% from 3-point territory, and held a +7.3 rebound per game advantage. Bet on Philadelphia minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-22-21 | Blazers +1.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 123-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Portland @ Denver 10:35 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: Portland +1.5 (10*) For starters, I don’t see the Nuggets having any sustained success this postseason without Jamal Murray (21.2 PPG). Based on this current line, the sportsbooks are in agreeance with my opinion. Let’s not forget, Murray averaged a sizable 26.5 points scored per game, shot 50.5%, made 45.3% of his 3-point attempts, and was 89.7% from the free throw line during 19 playoff game a year ago. He was the main cog in leading Denver to the Western Conference Finals where they lost to the eventual world champion Lakers in 5 games. As a matter of fact, Murray had 4 games of 40 or more points during last year’s playoffs. Portland finished the season by winning 10 of their previous 12 games. It’s by no coincidence that they caught fire once they had both starting guards Damien Lillard and C.J. McCollum on the floor at the same time. McCollum missed an extended period of this season due to injury. The former Lehigh star played in just 47 of Portland’s 72 games this season. However, he did average a career best 23.1 points per game this season. McCollum has averaged 20 points or more during the previous 5 postseasons. His running mate Damien Lillard average 28.8 points and 7.5 assists per game during regular season action. The Blazers point guard also averaged 7.2 free throws per contest and made 92.8% of those attempts. Lastly, Portland was an extremely profitable 11-3 SU&ATS on the road this season when their point-spread was +3.0 to -3.0. Bet on Portland for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-21-21 | Hurricanes v. Predators +120 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 120 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
Carolina @ Nashville 7:08 PM ET Game# 43-44 Play On: Nashville +120 (10*) It’s do or die for Nashville tonight for all intents and purposes. They’re down 2-0 in the series and are coming off a humbling 3-0 loss in Game 2 and 5-2 defeat in the series opener. On a positive note, since the start of last season, Carolina is 1-6 following back-to-back home wins by 2 goals or more. Additionally, Nashville was outscored 2-0 during 3rd period action in Game 2. The Predators are 7-1 this season following a game in which they allowed 2 goals or more in the 3rd period of their previous game. Recent NHL money line betting history indicates that the Predators are a superb value in this specific situation. Since the 2016-2017 NHL season began, any home team that’s coming off a division loss by 3 goals or more, and they’re facing an opponent coming off home wins in each of their previous 2 games played, resulted in the home clubs going 40-11 (78.4%). The home team’s average money line in those 51 games was +108. Bet on Nashville for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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05-20-21 | Pacers v. Wizards -3 | Top | 115-142 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
Indiana @ Washington 8:05 PM ET Game# 575-576 Play On: Washington -3.0 (10*) These teams have met 3 times during regular season action and Washington walked away a winner on each occasion. The Wizards finished regular season play winning their last 4 and 9 of its previous 10 home games. The Wizards are coming off Tuesday’s 118-100 loss at Boston. They’ve gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 as a home favorite following a loss and won by a decisive margin of 14.0 points per game. During their 3 regular season matchups against Indiana, Washington averaged a massive 143.0 points scored per game, shot 58.4% from the field, and made an extremely impressive 46.3% of its 3-point attempts. Bet on Washington minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-19-21 | Pirates v. Cardinals -1.5 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
Pirates (Cahill) @ Cardinals (Flaherty) 7:45 PM ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Cardinals -1.5 (-105) (10*) The Cardinals are 4-0 versus Pittsburgh this season and all those wins came by 3 runs or more. St. Louis will go with their ace Jack Flaherty on Wednesday and he’s been sensational thus far in 2021. Specifically speaking, Flaherty is 8-0 in his team starts with a stellar 2.47 ERA and 0.95 while all those wins came by 2 runs or more. Furthermore, the Cardinals hurler has made 3 starts at Busch Stadium this year while recording a dominating 0.95 ERA and 0.52 WHIP during those outings. Flaherty is also 8-2 in his career team starts versus Pittsburgh with a 2.47 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. St. Louis is 11-1 in their last 12 as a money line favorite. The Pirates Trevor Cahill is 0-4 during his team starts at night this year with a terrible 9.33 ERA and 1.80 WHIP. Bet on the Cardinals as a 10* Top Play run-line wager. |
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05-18-21 | Hornets +3 v. Pacers | Top | 117-144 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
Charlotte @ Indiana 6:35 PM ET Game# 559-560 Play On: Charlotte +3.0 (10*) Charlotte is unequivocally the healthier team in this matchup All you have to do is look at the Pacers current injury report below resembles the 1222-page book titled “War and Peace” written by Leo Tolstoy. The last time these teams met was on April 2nd at Indiana and Charlotte walked away with a decisive 114-97 win and did so as a 5.0-point underdog. Furthermore, the sportsbooks currently have this as virtually an even game despite Charlotte entering today on a 5-game losing streak. This just in, they just aren’t that kind or careless when setting a line. Bet on Charlotte for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-17-21 | Rockies v. Padres -1.5 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 118 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
Colorado (Gray) @ San Diego (Darvish) 10:10 PM ET Game# 959-960 Play On: San Diego -1.5 (+118) (10*) Colorado is an abysmal 2-14 on the road this season and 12 of those 14 losses came by 2 runs or more. Furthermore, since 6/21/2019, Colorado has gone 26-64 on the road and 50 of those defeats were by 2 runs or greater. Colorado’s Jon Gray has made 2 road starts this season and had a lofty 6.30 ERA in those outings. The Rockies are coming off yesterday’s gut wrenching 7-6 home loss to Cincinnati in a game they led 6-1 after 7 innings. Once again the Rockies terrible bullpen imploded in that loss and they now have a massive 9.39 ERA with a 1.91 WHIP over their previous 7 games. The Padres have won 5 straight at home versus Colorado and held them to a combined 9 runs scored while doing so. You Darvish has been remarkable during his last 6 starts with an exceptional 1.47 ERA and 0.81 WHIP during 43.0 innings pitched. The Padres have won 6 of their last 7 and averaged 7.0 runs scored per game during that stretch. The San Diego bullpen has been terrific all season and they’re averaging well over a strikeout per inning. Bet on San Diego for a 10* Top Play run line wager. |
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05-16-21 | Lightning -120 v. Panthers | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
Tampa Bay @ Florida 7:38 PM ET Game# 65-66 Play On: Tampa Bay -120 (10*) This to me is a simple matter of reading between the lines with no pun intended. We have a Florida team playing at home in an opening game of a playoff series, and they finished regular season play on a 6-game win streak, versus an opponent who has lost 3 straight while being outscored 14-3 in the process of doing so, and it’s the road team who is listed as a money line favorite. Furthermore, these teams finished the regular season with 2 consecutive games against won another which resulted in 4-0 and 5-1 wins by Florida. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the home underdog but I’m not falling for the trap. Besides, Tampa Bay possesses an enormous edge when it comes to postseason experience which usually shows up early in a series. Bet on Tampa Bay for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-15-21 | Bruins v. Capitals OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
Bruins @ Capitals 7:15 PM ET Game# 47-48 Play On: Over 5.5 (10*) These teams finished the regular season with a game against each another, and Washington skated away with a 2-1 win. Despite that low scoring affair, the series between these teams this season has played 6-2 to the over. Prior to that loss, Boston had scored 3 goals or more in 7 straight and 13 of their previous 15 games. The Capitals finished regular season play as the 4th highest scoring team at 3.4 goals per game, and they were also #3 on the power play with a 24.8% conversion rate. Furthermore, Washington has played 7-1 to the over during its last 8 when there was a total of 6.0 or less and they went under in their previous game. Boston has played 9-1-1 to the over following an under in their previous game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play. |
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05-13-21 | Kings +8 v. Grizzlies | Top | 110-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Sacramento @ Memphis 8:05 PM ET Game# 573-574 Play On: Sacramento +8.0 (10*) Since the start of the 2014-2015 NBA season, any team (Sacramento) coming off home wins by 10 points or more in each of their previous 2 games played, and they have a win percentage of .340 or better after game 27 of their season, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .571 or worse, and that team (Memphis) is coming off a straight win as an underdog, resulted in those teams going 28-1 straight up. This NBA straight up betting angle takes on added value since it backs the sizable underdog in this contest. Bet on Sacramento plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-11-21 | Wolves v. Pistons +7.5 | Top | 119-100 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Detroit 7:05 PM ET Game# 529-530 Play On: Detroit +7.5 (10*) I know the Pistons roster has been ravaged by injuries to key personnel. However, Minnesota laying this many points in this precise betting situation is a bit much. The Pistons are 0-2 SU&ATS in their last 2 games. Nonetheless, Detroit is 6-0 ATS as an underdog this season following ATS losses in each of their previous 2 games, and they won straight up on 3 of those occasions. Detroit is 20-49 (.289) this season. Minnesota is coming off a 128-96 road win at Orlando and covered with ease as a 7.5-point favorite. That win improved their season record to 21-47 (.309). This sets up an extremely profitable NBA straight up betting angle which heavily favors the home underdog in this contest. Any home team with a win percentage of .285 or better (Detroit), versus an opponent who has a win percentage of .250 to .400, and they are coming off an ATS win in which they (Minnesota) covered by 19.5 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 49-7 straight up since the 2016-2017 season began. Bet on Detroit plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-05-21 | Suns v. Hawks +1 | Top | 103-135 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
Phoenix @ Atlanta 8:05 PM ET Game# 521-522 Play On: Atlanta +1.0 (10*) This will be a tough sport for even an excellent team like Phoenix. The Suns will be playing their 3rd road game in 4 days and are coming off yesterday’s 134-118 win at Cleveland. Teams that have faced the Hawks when playing with nor rest have gone 3-10 SU&ATS in their last 13 games this season. That includes 1-7 SU&ATS in the last 8 if Atlanta was playing with 1 or more days rest. Speaking of Atlanta, they have gone an extremely profitable 14-2 SU&ATS in their last 16 at home, and that includes 6-0 SU&ATS during their previous 6. This will be an excellent opportunity to make a statement for Atlanta against an elite opponent that will be potentially vulnerable this evening. Bet on Atlanta for a 10* Top Play. |
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05-04-21 | Blue Jays v. A's -119 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
Toronto (Kay) @ Oakland (Irvin) 9:40 PM ET Game# 925-926 Play On: Oakland -119 (10*) Toronto will go with lefthander Anthony Kay on the mound tonight. Kay has made one start this season and it was an unimpressive one to say the least. During that outing, Kay allowed 4 earned runs on 6 hits in just 3 1/3 innings pitched. Oakland will go with Cole Irvin as their starting pitcher in Game 2 of this series. Irvin has been in terrific form over his previous 3 starts while posting a 1.56 ERA, striking out 20 batters, and walking just 2 over 17 1/3 innings pitched. Oakland’s bullpen has been lights out during their previous 7 games in recording a cumulative 1.57 ERA. The A’s will be facing a Toronto team with a poor .238 team batting average. Since the start of last season, Oakland has gone an extremely profitable 25-6 at home when facing American League opponents with a team batting average of .265 or worse. Furthermore, Oakland is 8-3 this season versus southpaw starting pitchers and 11-1 following 2 straight wins. Bet on Oakland for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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05-01-21 | Pelicans v. Wolves +4.5 | Top | 140-136 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
New Orleans @ Minnesota 8:05 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Minnesota +4.5 (10*) I cashed in with Minnesota as a 4.5-point home underdog on Thursday in their 126-114 win over Golden State. I am coming right back with them on Saturday. Minnesota has now gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 with 3 of those coming as an underdog. Minnesota is 2-0 SU&ATS this season versus New Orleans in games they were an 8.0 and 8.5-point underdog while winning both by comfortable double-digit margins. The Timberwolves are also 3-0 SU&ATS in their previous 3 at home and those wins came against opponents with a combined 109-80 (.577) record. Conversely, New Orleans has gone 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 as a favorite of 9.5 or less. Bet on Minnesota plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-30-21 | Orioles v. A's UNDER 8 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
Baltimore (Means) @ Oakland (Fiers) 9:40 PM ET Game# 925-926 Play On: Under 8.0 (10*) Both teams played yesterday and had to travel across 3 time zones for today’s game against one another. More times than not teams struggle offensively when cast into that exact situation. Each team has recently been a mirror image of one another when considering both have played 4-0 to the under during their previous 4 and 12-2 under throughout its last 14 games. John Means get the call for Baltimore on Friday and he has an excellent 1.50 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in 5 starts this season. Means has witnessed all 3 of his away starts going under with his microscopic 0.48 ERA playing a large part in those low scoring affairs. Means will be facing an Oakland team which has averaged a paltry 2.9 runs scored per game over its last 7 outings. Means has made 1 start against the A’s in 2021 and was terrific while allowing just 1 earned run on 2 hits in 6 1/3 innings pitched. Additionally, the Orioles bullpen has been lights out over their previous 7 games while posting a cumulative 1.72 ERA and 0.86 WHIP. Mike Fiers will make his first start of the season for Oakland. Nonetheless, Fiers has made 5 career starts against Baltimore and had a dominant 1.65 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in those appearances. The A’s bullpen has recorded a solid 2.86 ERA over their last 7 games. Oakland is coming off a 3-2 win at Tampa Bay yesterday. Since the 2019 MLB season began, Oakland has played 7-0 to the under at home when the total is 8.5 or less and following an away game in which they scored 3 runs or fewer. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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04-28-21 | A's v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
Oakland (Irvin) @ Tampa Bay (Glasnow) 7:10 PM ET Game# 917-918 Play On: Under 7.5 (10*) After enduring a terrible 2021 debut, Oakland lefthander Cole Irvin has bounced back nicely over his last 3 starts by posting a 2.70 ERA and 1.14 ERA during those outings. The A’s bullpen has a shiny 2.91 ERA throughout their previous 7 games. Tampa Bay ace Tyler Glasnow gets the call today for Tampa Bay. Glasnow has been brilliant in his first 5 starts of the season while compiling a 2.05 ERA, 0.75 WHIP, and he’s struck out 46 batter in 30 2/3 innings pitched. The Rays have a terrible .180 team batting average this season in 8 games versus lefthanded starters. Since 2019, Tampa Bay has played 8-2 to the under against Oakland and that includes 5-0 under at Tropicana Field. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-27-21 | Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 114 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
Mariners (Gonzalez) @ Astros (Javier) 8:10 ET Game# 973-974 Play On: Astros -1.5 (+114) (10*) Seattle starter Marco Gonzalez has made 4 career starts at Minute Maid Park in Houston and had a poor 6.41 ERA and 1.88 WHIP during those appearances. Since the 2019 season began, Houston has gone an incredible 17-1 at home versus Seattle and 12 of those wins came by 2 runs or more. The Astros starter Christian Javier has been dominant in 3 starts this season with a 1.32 ERA and 0.88 WHIP. Bet Houston on the run line for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-26-21 | Phillies v. Cardinals -104 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
Philadelphia (Wheeler) @ St. Louis (Wainwright) 7:45 PM ET Game# 905-906 Play On: St. Louis -104 (10*) Zack Wheeler has displayed shaky form over his previous 3 starts by posting a lofty 5.40 ERA and 1.80 WHIP. Wheeler has made 2 career starts at St. Louis while compiling a sizable 5.40 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. Since the start of last season, Philadelphia is 3-17 when there was a total of 7.0-8.5 and that includes 1-10 in away games. After an uninspiring 2021 debut, Adam Wainwright has bounced back nicely over his last 3 starts while recording a stellar 2.65 ERA and striking out 23 in 17.0 innings pitched. Since 2012, the veteran right-hander has gone 4-0 in his home team starts against Philadelphia and his 2.52 ERA in those outings was a major reason why. Bet on the Cardinals for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-25-21 | Suns +2 v. Nets | Top | 119-128 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
Phoenix @ Brooklyn 3:30 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: Phoenix +2.0 (10*) This will be the finale of an extremely 4-game in 7-day road trip for Phoenix. The Suns opened the trip with wins over 2 of the Eastern Conference’s elite team in Milwaukee and Philadelphia. They then laid an egg at Boston on Thursday losing to the Celtics 99-86. However, that was their 3rd road game in 4 days and were destined to fail following 2 huge wins. Now they come into today’s matchup against another Eastern Conference team and with 2 days of rest. Furthermore, the Suns are 9-0 SU&ATS in their last 9 following a loss and won by a decisive average of 14.8 points per game. The Suns will also be out to revenge a 128-124 home loss to Brooklyn on 2/16 in a game they squandered a 24-point lead. Furthermore, Phoenix has gone an unscathed 6-0 SU&ATS this season as a road underdog of 5.5 or less. Speaking of Brooklyn, they’re coming off a 109-104 home win over Boston. However, the Nets have gone 0-4 straight up in their previous 4 following a win and lost by 11.0 points per contest. Bet on Phoenix for a 5* wager. |
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04-22-21 | Mets v. Cubs +104 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 104 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
Mets (Lucchesi) @ Cubs (Williams) 7:40 ET Game# 903-904 Play On: Cubs +104 (10*) The Mets lefthander Joey Lucchesi has struggled in 2 career starts at Wrigley Field with a 7.20 ERA and 2.00 WHIP. This current Cubs roster has gone an eye-popping 15-23 (.652) during their careers when facing Lucchesi. At the time of this writing, the Cubs are a money line favorite of -112. Since last season, Lucchesi is 1-8 in his team starts as a road favorite of -110 or greater. The Mets bullpen has been shaky this season while recording a cumulative 5.45 ERA and that includes an even worse 7.04 on the road. Since the 2020 season began, the Mets are a terrible 10-18 when facing a team with a losing record. The Cubs Trevor Williams is 3-1 in his career team starts versus the Mets and with a stellar 2.42 ERA. During 2 home starts this season Williams has registered a shiny 2.45 ERA and 1.00 WHIP during 11.0 innings pitched. The Cubs have endured their fair share of offensive struggles this season but that hasn’t been the case when going up against lefthanded starting pitchers. The Cubs are 4-0 versus southpaw starters this season while averaging 7.5 runs scored per game. Nic Lentz is slated to be the home plate umpire for this game. Since 2019, home teams have gone 32-10 (.762) when Lentz was calling balls and strikes. Bet on the Cubs for a 5* money line wager. |
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04-22-21 | Suns v. Celtics +1.5 | Top | 86-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
Phoenix @ Boston 7:05 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Boston +1.5 (10*) Boston is coming off a disappointing 102-96 home loss to a 24-34 Chicago Bulls team. It was even more disheartening when considering that defeat halted a season high 6-game Celtics win streak. However, one can make a strong argument that they were caught looking ahead to today’s matchup against Phoenix (42-16) and tomorrow’s contest at Brooklyn (39-20). Furthermore, since the start of last season, Boston is a profitable 15-7 ATS as an underdog of 3.0 or less. Boston has also gone 5-0 ATS in their last 5 as an underdog of 2.5 or less versus an opponent with a win percentage of .700 or better. This is an extremely tough spot for Phoenix even as good as they are. This will be their 3rd road game in 4 days, and they’ll be playing with no rest. Additionally, they are coming off wins during their previous 2 against elite teams in Milwaukee and Philadelphia. Both those contests went right down to the wire with Phoenix beating the Bucks on Monday 128-127 in overtime and then yesterday’s 116-113 victory over the 76ers. NBA betting history over the past 25 seasons has proven that teams like Phoenix in this identical situation haven’t fared well straight up let alone laying points in away games. Since the 2012-2013 NBA season began, road teams playing with no rest that are coming off road wins by 5 points or fewer in each of their previous 2 games played, resulted in those road teams going 0-12 straight up. Bet on Boston plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-18-21 | Wolves v. Clippers -10 | Top | 105-124 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
Minnesota @ LA Clippers 10:05 PM ET Game# 581-582 Play On: Clippers -10.0 (10*) Minnesota is coming off a 119-111 home win over Miami. The Timberwolves have gone 0-13 straight up and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games this season following a straight up win. Furthermore, they were an underdog of 5.0 or greater in 7 of those 13 contests and went 0-7 ATS while losing by an average of 18.6 points per game. Minnesota is also 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 away games versus the Clippers and lost by 15.4 points per contest. The Clippers are 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 conference home games as a favorite and had an average victory margin of 17.6 points per contest. The Clippers are also 6-0 straight up and 5-1 ATS this season as a conference home favorite of 8.5 or more with a winning margin of 16.5 points per game. Bet on the Clippers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-17-21 | Warriors v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
Golden State @ Boston 8:35 PM ET Game# 561-562 Play On: Boston -4.5 (10*) Golden State has been reinvigorated since Stephen Curry returned from injury. The Warriors are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4. However, hold the phone because 3 of those victories have come over Houston, Oklahoma City, and Cleveland. Those 3 teams have a combined season record of 54-113 (.323). Additionally, Oklahoma City is currently on a 9-game losing streak and Houston has gone an abysmal 4-31 over its last 35 contests. Boston is starting to like the team I thought they would be heading into this season. They have won 5 straight and covered each of their last 4 with 3 of those coming on the road. The Celtics are also 4-0 ATS iun their previous 4 as a home favorite of 3.5 or greater and won by a decisive margin of 17.8 points per game. Bet on Boston minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-16-21 | Tigers v. A's OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
Detroit (Urena) @ Oakland (Montas) 9:40 PM ET Game# 925-926 Play On: Over 8.5 (10*) The Detroit Tigers have surprisingly hit 20 home runs in 13 games this season which includes 13 over its previous 7 outings. Detroit’s Jose Urena has been erratic in his first 2 starts of the season while registering an 8.21 ERA and 2.09 WHIP. He doesn’t figure to get much help from a Tigers bullpen which currently has a 7.38 ERA and has surrendered 13 home runs in 50.0 innings pitcher. The Tigers have played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 and there was a combined 10.7 runs scored per game. Detroit has also averaged 6.0 runs scored and 10.0 hits per game during its previous 4 outings. Oakland has witnessed 6 of their 8 home games this season playing to the over. The A’s have also played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 and there were a combined 12.0 runs scored per game. Oakland enters today riding a 5-game wins streak and averaged 7.4 runs scored per outing. Oakland’s Frankie Montas has been shaky in his first 2 starts of 2021 while recoding an 8.31 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. The oaklanbd bullpen which has been so reliable in recent season as a lofty staff ERA 5.30 in 2021. Bet on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-15-21 | Bucks v. Hawks OVER 230 | Top | 120-109 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
Milwaukee @ Atlanta 7:35 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Over 230.0 (10*) Milwaukee is coming off yesterday’s 130-105 road win over Minnesota. The Bucks have played 8-0 to the over this season when there’s been a total of 225.0 to 230 and they scored 125 points or more in their previous game. Those 8 contests averaged a combined 241.1 points scored per game. Additionally, teams playing Atlanta with no rest this season have played 8-1 to the over and that includes 8-0 in the previous 8 with a combined 240.6 points scored per game. Atlanta has gone under in each of their previous 2 games. However, they have played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 following back-to-back unders and there was 232.7 points scored per contest. The Hawks have also played 5-0 to the over this season at home when there’s been a total of 233.0 or less and their current opponent scored 120 points or more in their previous game. Those 5 home games produced a combined 238.6 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-13-21 | Heat v. Suns -3 | Top | 86-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
Miami @ Phoenix 10:05 PM ET Game# 579-580 Play On: Phoenix -3.0 (10*) Phoenix is coming off an 126-120 home win over Houston last night despite sleep walking through the 2nd half but failed to cover as a large 13.0-point favorite. Phoenix led that contest 81-58 at halftime and then were outscored the rest of the way by a 62-45 margin by arguably the league’s worst team. The Suns coaching staff was none too pleased with their 2nd half effort and especially so defensively. I look for Phoenix to come back with a strong response tonight that has won 6 of its last 7 and includes going 3-0 during their previous 3 away games. The good news for Phoenix heading into tonight’s game is they’ve gone 11-0 SU&ATS following an ATS loss and won by an average of 16.4 points per contest. The Suns have also gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 at home this season when playing with no rest with an average margin of victory coming by 12.6 points per contest. Conversely, home teams with a win percentage of .600 or better and are playing with no rest versus Miami are 3-0 straight up this season with an average winning margin of 9.4 points per game. Lastly, Phoenix has won their previous 8 home games and that’s significant considering the small number we’re being asked to cover. Bet on Phoenix minus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-11-21 | Rockies v. Giants -124 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show |
Rockies (Marquez) @ Giants (DeSclafani) 4:05 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Giants -124 (10*) This current Giants roster has career numbers of 42-117 (.359) against Rockies starter German Marquez. He doesn’t figure to get much assistance from a Colorado bullpen which has combined for a lofty 5.80 ERA and 1.74 WHIP throughout their first 9 games of this 2021 season. Since winning their season opener, Colorado has gone a dismal 2-6. The Giants have won the first 2 games of this series. Since the start of last season, San Francisco has gone an extremely profitable 22-9 versus teams with a losing record. The Giants have witnessed each of their previous 6 games going under the total. Since last season, San Francisco is 8-1 following 3 consecutive game staying under which includes 3-0 this year. Bet on the Giants for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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04-10-21 | Raptors v. Cavs +3 | Top | 135-115 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
Toronto @ Cleveland 7:35 PM ET Game# 583-584 Play On: Cleveland +3.0 (10*) Toronto has gone an abysmal 0-7 SU&ATS in their last 7 away games and lost by an average of 12.9 points per contest. The Raptors are coming off Thursday’s 122-113 home loss to Chicago. Conversely, Cleveland is coming off back-to-back road wins by 24 and 27-point margins. These teams have met just once this season and Cleveland walked away with a 116-105 home win. Any NBA home team that’s coming off back-to-back road wins by 20 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent coming off a loss by 9 points or greater, resulted in those home teams going 46-1 straight up since the 1997-1998 season began. Bet on Cleveland plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-08-21 | Suns v. Clippers -6 | Top | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
Phoenix @ LA Clippers 10:05 PM ET Game# 569-570 Play On: LA Clippers -6.0 (10*) This seems to be a relatively high number when considering Phoenix leads the Clippers by 3.0 games in the Pacific Division standings. Nonetheless, this is where thinking like an oddsmaker will serve us well. The sportsbooks are inviting you to jump on the sizable road underdog with a superb season record of 36-14 (.720). When something looks to good to be true when it comes to sports betting it can be construed as a sucker bet on most occasions. Now let’s examine this specific NBA betting situation. Phoenix is coming off last night’s overtime home win over current Western Conference #1 seed Utah and did so as a 2.5-point underdog. The Suns had to expend a ton of emotional and physical energy to attain that huge victory. Not only will Phoenix being playing with no rest tonight, it’s also going to be their 3rd game in 4 days. Additionally, the Suns will be facing a rested Clippers team which also possesses an impressive 34-18 record, and they’re coming off a pair of double-digit home wins in their previous 2 games played. Any NBA home favorite of 10.5 or less (Clippers) that’s playing with 1 or more days of rest and is coming off a home favorite ATS win where they covered by 7.0-points or more, versus an opponent (Suns) playing with no rest and coming off a home underdog straight up win by 15 points or fewer, and they (Suns) have a win percentage of .250 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 12-0 ATS since the 1997-1998 season began. The average point-spread for those 12 favorites was -7.8 and their winning margin came by 16.8 points per game. Bet on the Clippers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-07-21 | Jazz v. Suns +2.5 | Top | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
Utah @ Phoenix 10:05 PM ET Game# 561-562 Play On: Phoenix +2.5 (10*) This will be chance to make a statement for Phoenix versus a Utah team that currently has the best record in the Western Conference. Nonetheless, the Suns aren’t too shabby themselves when considering they’ve gone 27-6 straight up and 23-10 ATS over their previous 33 games. Phoenix will also enter tonight’s contest winners of 6 straight games. Dating back to last season, the Suns have gone an extremely profitable 8-1 SU&ATS as an underdog following a straight up win. Since the 1990-1991 NBA season began, home teams that have won 6 or more games in a row have gone 753-230 (85.3%) straight up. Bet on Phoenix plays the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-06-21 | 76ers -125 v. Celtics | Top | 106-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
Philadelphia @ Boston 7:35 PM ET Game# 731-732 Play On: Philadelphia -125 (10*) Philadelphia is coming off an 116-100 home loss to Memphis in a game they were a 3.5-point favorite. Boston is coming off a 116-86 home win over Charlotte. That win improved the Celtics season record to 25-25 (.500). Additionally, the Celtics are just 2-6 straight up at home this season following a win by 15 points or more. Since the 2015-2016 NBA season began, any favorite (Philadelphia) who is coming off a home favorite straight up loss by 10 points or more and is facing an opponent coming off a home win in which they scored 110 points or more, and they (Boston) have a win percentage of .600 or worse, resulted in those favorites going 26-0 straight up. Bet on Philadelphia for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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04-05-21 | Baylor v. Gonzaga -4 | Top | 86-70 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
Baylor vs. Gonzaga 9:20 PM ET Game# 811-812 Play On: Gonzaga -4.0 (10*) College Basketball fans have been waiting for this matchup to take place all season and appropriately it occurs in the National Championship game. I cashed in easily with Baylor as a 10* Top Play on Saturday in their blowout win over Houston. I really like this Bears team, but Gonzaga can beat you in a vast assortment of ways. The Bulldogs are coming off their thrilling overtime win against a game and resilient UCLA team. It was the first time in 28 games that Gonzaga had not won a game by 10 points or more. The Bulldogs will be inspired by seeking their first ever national championship and after coming up short in the title game versus North Carolina in 2017. Additionally, Gonzaga will look to be the first team to finish undefeated and win a national championship since Indiana accomplished the feat in 1976. The Bulldogs had their scare against UCLA and now they’ll get back to their dominant self tonight. Bet on Gonzaga minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-03-21 | Houston v. Baylor -5 | Top | 59-78 | Win | 100 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
Houston vs. Baylor 5:15 PM ET Game# 801-802 Play On: Baylor -5.0 (10*) Houston is the first team in NCAA Tournament history that has won 4 straight games against double-digit seeds. However, they were lucky to escape with a 3-point win over Rutgers and nearly squandered a 17-point halftime lead before winning by 6 versus #12 seed Oregon State in their previous game. On both occasions they failed to cover. Conversely, Baylor is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 with wins coming over the likes of #8 seed Wisconsin, #5 seed Villanova, and #3 seed Arkansas and the average margin of victory was 11.0 points per game. They covered each of those 3 contests as a favorite and averaged just 6.2 turnovers committed per game. Furthermore, Baylor is #1 nationally in 3-point shooting at 41.1% and #3 in offensive efficiency by scoring 123.0 points per every 100 possessions this season. Not only has the top seeded Bears had a tougher slate than Houston during the “Big Dance”, they also played in a significantly stronger Big 12 Conference than the American Athletic where Houston competes. Bet on Baylor minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-02-21 | Diamondbacks v. Padres UNDER 8 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
Diamondbacks (Kelly) @ Padres (Kelly) 10:05 ET Game# 919-920 Play On: Under 8.0 (10*) I cashed in with the over in the 1st game of this season last night. However, I am going the opposite way tonight and for good reason. Arizona starter Merrill Kelly has gone 4-0 in his last 4 starts against San Diego and posted a brilliant 0.34 ERA while doing so. He lasted 6.0 plus inning in each of those 4 outings. His counterpart tonight is a quality lefthanded starter in Blake Snell who will be making his Padres debut. Since the start of last season, Arizona has gone 1-7 on the road versus southpaw starters while averaging only 3.2 runs scored and 6.1 hits per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-31-21 | Knicks -3.5 v. Wolves | Top | 101-102 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
New York @ Minnesota 8:05 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: New York -3.5 (10*) New York is coming off a 98-88 home loss to Miami and failed to cover as a 3.5-point underdog. That defeat dropped their season record to 24-23 (.511). The Knicks have gone 8-0 straight up and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 as a favorite following straight up loss. Their average line in those 8 contests was -3.6 and they won straight up by an average of 12.5 points per game. Conversely Minnesota enters today with a dismal 11-36 (.234) season record. Any NBA favorite of 3.5 to 9.0-points (New York) that’s playing after Game 11 of their season and is coming off a home SU&ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 3.0-points or more, and they possess a win percentage of .510 to .600, versus an opponent (Minnesota) with a win percentage of .244 or worse, resulted in those favorites going 29-1 (96.7%) since the 2005-2006 season began. Bet on New York minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-30-21 | UCLA v. Michigan -6.5 | Top | 51-49 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
UCLA vs. Michigan 9:55 PM ET Game# 659-660 Play On: Michigan -6.5 (10*) #1 seed Michigan (23-4/.852) takes on #11 seed UCLA (21-9/.700) in Tuesday’s NCAA Tournament East Regional Final. The Wolverines are coming off a 76-58 win over Florida State while covering with ease as a 2.0-point favorite. UCLA is coming off an overtime win over Alabama and did so as a 6.0-point underdog. Since the 1990 NCAA Tournament, any #1 seed that’s a favorite of 10.0 or less who possesses a win percentage of .851 to .944, and is playing after Round 1, and they covered their previous game by 4.5-points or more, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .771 or less and they are coming off an upset win, resulted in those top seeds going 12-0 ATS. The average line in those 12 contests was 8.8 and those #1 seeds won by a substantial average of 19.8 points per game. Bet on Michigan minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-29-21 | Arkansas v. Baylor -7.5 | Top | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
Arkansas vs. Baylor 9:57 PM ET Game# 653-654 Play On: Baylor -7.5 (10*) Baylor is coming off a 62-51 win over Villanova and covered as a 7.5-point favorite. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Baylor has gone an extremely profitable 12-1 ATS following a game in which they allowed 55 points or fewer and they outscored their opponents by an average of 16.1 points per game. Furthermore, Arkansas averages a robust 65 field goal attempts per game this season which translates to playing at a lightning-fast tempo. However, Baylor is 9-1 ATS during the past 3 seasons versus opponents averaging 62 or more field goal attempts per game and outscored those team by a decisive margin of 20.0 points per contest. Simply put, attempting to play up tempo basketball plays right into the Bears hands. Arkansas barely escaped with a 72-70 win over #15 seed Oral Roberts in their previous game while failing to cover as an 11.0-point favorite. Any NCAA Tournament favorite of 9.0 or less that’s playing after Round 1, and they’re coming off an ATS cover as a favorite, versus an opponent (Arkansas) coming off game in which they failed to cover as a favorite, and that opponent has a win percentage of .687 or better, resulted in those favorites going 7-0 ATS since 2012. The average margin of victory in those 7 contests was 17.7 points per game. Bet on Baylor minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-28-21 | UCLA v. Alabama -6.5 | Top | 88-78 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 47 m | Show |
UCLA @ Alabama 7:15 PM ET Game# 645-646 Play On: Alabama -6.5 (10*) History isn’t on the side of UCLA in this contest. Since the NCAA Tournament Play-In Round was established in 2015, no team has advanced from that round to a Regional Final. As a matter of fact, the only other team to even reach the Sweet 16 was Syracuse in 2018. The Bruins have been beneficiaries of a favorable draw in their NCAA Tournament wins while defeating #11 seed Michigan State, #6 seed BYU, and #14 seed Abilene Christian. They will be facing a whole other level of competition on Sunday when they square off against #2 seed Alabama. Alabama enters this Sweet 16 contest having won their last 8 and 22 of its previous 25 games. The Crimson Tide had a combined +37 rebounding advantage in the first 2 rounds versus Iona and Maryland. Alabama has the lethal combination of being a good 3-point shooting team and they defend the 3-point line extremely well (28.9%). The Crimson Tide has allowed their last 5 opponents to average a mere 11 free throw attempts per game. Alabama enters this contest with a season record of 26-6 (.813). The Crimson Tide is coming off an impressive 96-77 win over Maryland in a game they easily covered as a 6.0-point favorite. They will be facing a UCLA team with a season record of 20-9 (.690). The combination of this data sets up an NCAA Tournament betting angle which has remained perfect since 2002 and is shown below. Any Sweet 16 favorite of 3.5 or more that’s a #2 seed (Alabama), and they possess a win percentage of .806 to .870, and they’re coming off an ATS win as a favorite in which they scored 68 points or greater, versus an opponent (UCLA) with a win percentage of .685 or better, resulted in those #2 seeds going 12-0 ATS since 1992. The average margin of victory in those 12 contests came by 13.5 points per game. Bet on Alabama minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-27-21 | Villanova v. Baylor -7 | Top | 51-62 | Win | 100 | 22 h 23 m | Show |
Villanova vs. Baylor 5:15 PM ET Game# 621-622 Play On: Baylor -7.0 (10*) Villanova entered the NCAA Tournament having lost 3 of their last 4 games. That funk coincided with them losing senior starting point guard Conor Gillaspie to a season ending knee injury during a 73-61 loss at Butler on 2/28. The Wildcats also had favorable matchups in the first 2 rounds against #12 seed Winthrop and #13 seed North Texas. Villanova will be facing a much different animal on Saturday in #1 seed Baylor (24-2). The Bears began the season 18-0 before COVID protocols shut them down for 23 days. When returning they were unimpressive in their first 2 games before gradually returning to form. Anything short of a national championship with this loaded roster would be considered a failure in Waco. This team seems to be more than capable of living up to those expectations and Saturday will be a statement game for them in that regard. Since the 1993 NCAA Tournament, any #1 seed playing in a “Sweet 16” game that’s favorite of 3.5 to 9.5, coming off a favorite ATS cover, and they’re facing a #5 seed or higher with a win percentage of .687 or better, and that underdog is coming off ATS covers in each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those #1 seeds going 10-0 SU&ATS. The average victory margin in those 10 contests was by a decisive 14.9 points per game. Bet on Baylor minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |