Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-15-19 | Texans v. Titans -2.5 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -130 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
Houston @ Tennessee 1:00 PM ET Game# 313-314 Play On: Tennessee -2.5 (10*) I know that Houston has yet to lose back to back games this season. However, getting blown out at home by Denver last Sunday was inexcusable, and hardly bodes well for a team fighting to make the postseason. The Texans defense isn’t playoff caliber. Houston has gone a dismal 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 division away games when facing an opponent with a winning record. Since Ryan Tannehill has taken over for Marcus Mariota at quarterback the Titans offense has an entirely different feel to it. More importantly, Tennessee has gone a red-hot 6-1 SU&ATS with Tannehill as their starter, and that includes 4-0 SU&ATS at home. Houston may have more pure talent on paper than Tennessee, but the Titans are the better team right now, and they’re peaking at the right time. Additionally, Tennessee has gone 3-0 SU&ATS during its last 3 home games against Houston. Bet on Tennessee minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-13-19 | Lakers v. Heat +6 | Top | 113-110 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
Lakers @ Heat 7:05 PM ET Game# 539-540 Play On: Heat +6.0 (10*) Kudos to the Lakers on their fantastic start to the season. However, what seems to be overlooked on a national scale is the terrific 18-6 record of Miami. Furthermore, the Heat are a perfect 11-0 at home while winning by a enormous by NBA standards 15.7 points per game. This is a game for the unheralded heat to make a statement in front of a national TV audience and receiving this generous amount of points provides ample betting value. Bet on the Heat plus the points for a 10* Top Play. |
|||||||
12-11-19 | Michigan v. Illinois -1 | Top | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
Michigan @ Illinois 9:00 PM ET Game# 651-652 Play On: Illinois -1.0 (10*) This looks like a trap if there ever was one. We have an unranked team in Illinois that enters this contest having lost 2 in a row as a favorite over #5 Michigan. The books are begging you to take the ranked team in this matchup. I’m not falling for the bait with knowing that odds-makers aren’t generous, nor do they leave themselves vulnerable to public betting. Bet on Illinois for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-10-19 | Indiana v. Connecticut +2 | Top | 57-54 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
Indiana vs. Connecticut 9:30 PM ET Game# 629-630 Play On: Connecticut +2.0 (10*) The Hoosiers are beneficiaries of a relatively soft schedule on their way to a 8-1 start. Their lone quality win came at home against #18 Florida State. They followed that up in their previous game with a 20-point loss at unranked Wisconsin. Furthermore, that loss was the first game not played on their home floor. This game will be played at Madison Square Garden in New York. There will be a pro UConn crowd at the Garden tonight with many Huskies Alum in the area in addition to a reasonably short enough drive from Connecticut to downtown Manhattan. UConn owns a win over then national ranked Florida, and they also lost to #23 Xavier by a narrow 1-point margin on a neutral floor while covering as a 5.0-point underdog. Bet on Connecticut for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Seahawks v. Rams +1 | Top | 12-28 | Win | 100 | 29 h 10 m | Show |
Seahawks @ Rams 8:20 PM ET Game# 157-158 Play On: Rams +1.0 (10*) Seattle is coming off a 37-30 home win over Minnesota. That victory improved the Seahawks record to 10-2 (.833). However, it must be noted, 9 of their 10 wins have come by 8 points or fewer. My point being, despite their stellar record it’s not like they’ve been dominant while doing so. The Rams desperately need this game to keep their playoff hopes alive. They’re coming off last Sunday’s impressive 34-7 win at Arizona that improved their record to 7-5 (.583). It was just one of a couple times this season they resembled the defending NFC champion. Los Angles is currently 1.0 game behind the Vikings (8-4) for the final NFL Wildcard spot. With Minnesota hosting Detroit as a double-digit favorite this week, the Rams can ill afford to lose and hope to have a realistic chance of making the postseason parade. Any home team (Rams) that’s coming off a road win by 22 points or more, and they have a win percentage of .583 or better, versus an opponent coming off a home game in which they scored and allowed 24 points or greater, and they (Seahawks) own a win percentage of .833 or worse, resulted in those home teams going 30-0 straight up since 1986. Bet on the Rams for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-07-19 | Georgia v. LSU OVER 55.5 | Top | 10-37 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 54 m | Show |
Georgia vs. LSU 4:00 PM ET Game# 117-118 Play On: Over 55.5 (10*) Georgia’s defense is elite as evidenced by the giving up just 10.4 points and 257.1 yards per game this season. However, they will be facing the best offense in the country on Saturday with all things being considered. LSU has scored 42 points or more in 10 of 12 games this season on their way to an unblemished 12-0 record and #1 ranking. The Tigers are averaging a robust 48.7 points and 560.4 yards per game. Conversely, the LSU defense has been vulnerable at time. The Tigers stop unit has allowed 37 points or more 4 times and permitted its opponents to amass 530 yards or more of total offense on 3 separate occasions. I like the combined score to reach 60 points or greater in this SEC Championship Game. Bet on this contest to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-04-19 | Texas Tech v. DePaul +2 | Top | 60-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
Texas Tech @ DePaul 8:30 PM ET Game# 855-856 Play On: DePaul +2.0 (10*) Texas Tech has just 1 returning starter from last season’s team that lost in the national championship game. The Red Raiders are coming off 2 straight losses at the hands of Iowa and Creighton both of which are currently unranked. DePaul is off to an excellent 8-0 start to the season. They’ve had 3 notable road wins thus far over Minnesota, Boston College, and Iowa. Tonight will be a terrific opportunity for the Blue Demons to make a statement and make themselves relevant again. Bet on DePaul for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
12-01-19 | Patriots v. Texans +3.5 | Top | 22-28 | Win | 100 | 29 h 53 m | Show |
Patriots @ Texans 8:20 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Texans +3.5 (10*) The one quarterback that gave New England’s elite defense problems this season was Lamar Jackson. DeShaun Watson provides a similar skill set. He may not be as dynamic a runner as Lamar Jackson is, but he can still make plenty of plays with his legs whether it be taking off to run or keeping plays alive with elusive scrambling ability. It’s hard to poke holes at the 10-1 Patriots other to say that their offense is far from dynamic, and age seems to be creeping up on Tom Brady based on recent performances. Bet on the Texans plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-30-19 | UNLV v. Nevada -7 | Top | 33-30 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 42 m | Show |
UNLV @ Nevada 3:00 PM ET Game# 389-390 Play On: Nevada -7.0 (10*) UNLV is coming off a 38-35 win over San Jose State and did so as a 7.0-point home underdog. That win improved the Rebels season record to 3-8 (.272). Conversely, Nevada is coming off a 35-28 upset win at Fresno State in a game they were a 13.0-point underdog. The Wolfpack have now gone 3-0 SAU&ATS in their last 3 and 7-4 overall. Nevada will also be out to revenge last year’s 34-29 loss at UNLV. Any college football home favorite of 7.0 to 24.0 that’s coming off a conference road SU&ATS win in which they covered by 6.5-points or more, versus an opponent (UNLV) who’s coming off a conference underdog of 6.0 or greater straight up win, and they own a win percentage of .250 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 28-1 ATS (96.5%) since 2006. Bet on Nevada minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-28-19 | Saints v. Falcons UNDER 49 | Top | 26-18 | Win | 100 | 32 h 2 m | Show |
Saints @ Falcons 8:20 PM ET Game# 309-310 Play On: Under 49.0 (10*) After putting together a modest 2-game win streak, Atlanta followed it up with last Sunday’s disappointing 35-22 loss to Tampa Bay as a 3.0-point home favorite. Conversely, New Orleans is coming off a 34-31 home win over Carolina last Sunday, and that contest easily went over the total of 46.0. Since the start of last season, New Orleans has gone under in all 7 of its contests following a game in which they scored 43 points or fewer and went over the total. These teams have seen 4 of their last 5 meetings go under the total, and that includes an Atlanta 26-9 win at New Orleans earlier this season in a contest that went way under the total of 51.5. Any home team (Falcons) with a total of 52.0 or less that’s coming off a straight up favorite loss by 13 points or more, and they possess a losing record, resulted in those games going 21-0 under the total since 2015. There was a combined average of just 30.3 points per game scored during those 21 contests. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-24-19 | Cowboys +6 v. Patriots | Top | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show |
Cowboys @ Patriots 4:25 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Cowboys +6.0 (10*) The Patriots defense has been outstanding with an exception of their 37-20 loss at Baltimore. The Ravens offense racked up 372 yards of offense on that day which is 122.6 more than Patriots defense current season average. Dallas will present similar challenges for New England. Dak Prescott doesn’t have the running capabilities of Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson, but he’s still very mobile and has the uncanny ability to keep plays alive with more than adequate scrambling abilities. You can also make a strong argument that Prescott is surrounded by better skilled players than Jackson possesses. It wouldn’t shock me at all if Dallas win this game outright. Nonetheless, I won’t be greedy and will surely accept the generous amount of points being given. Bet on the Cowboys for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-23-19 | Boston College v. Notre Dame -20.5 | Top | 7-40 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show |
Boston College @ Notre Dame 2:30 PM ET Game# 161-162 Play On: Notre Dame -20.5 (10*) Notre Dame is coming off blowout wins over Navy 52-20 and Duke 38-7 during its last 2 games. Those wins improved #16 Notre Dame to 8-2 this season. Boston College is coming off a 38-31 home loss to Florida State. That defeat dropped the Eagles season record to 5-5 (.500). Any college football favorite of 15.0 to 28.0 (Notre Dame) that’s coming off back to back wins by 28 points or greater on each occasion, versus an opponent (Boston College) with a win percentage of .125 or better and is coming off a straight up loss, resulted in those sizable home favorites going an outstanding 42-6 ATS (87.2%) since 1986. Bet on Notre Dame minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-21-19 | Colts +4 v. Texans | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 55 h 29 m | Show |
Colts @ Texans 8:20 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: Colts +4.0 (10*) The Colts have gone 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 division games. This is also a Indianapolis team which has gone an outstanding 15-5 straight up during its previous 20 regular season games. They will be without their starting running back Marlon Mack who injured his hand in last week’s 33-13 win over Jacksonville. However, backup Jonathan Williams stepped in ran for 116 yards on just 13 carries. Which further proves that the Colts offensive line is an elite unit and has been since last season. They certainly will have an opportunity to expose a Texans run defense that allowed 263 yards rushing during last Sunday’s 41-7 blowout loss at Baltimore. Granted 86 of those rush yards came from the best running quarterback in the NFL named Lamar Jackson. Nevertheless, 3 Ravens running backs combined to run for 178 yards and 6.9 yards per rushing attempt. The Colts defense has been outstanding over their previous 4 games. During that time, they’ve allowed their opponents to accumulate just 272.3 yards of total offense per game. Throughout that same 4-game span, Indianapolis allowed 16 points or fewer on 3 occasions, and that includes in each of its previous 2 outings. Contrarily, the Texans defense has allowed 25.7 points and 385.0 yards per game over their last 6 contests. Any NFL team (Colts) which has allowed 17 points or fewer in each of their previous 2 contests and is facing an opponent which has allowed 35 points or greater in their previous game, resulted in those teams going a terrific 45-14 (76.3%) since 2010. This NFL straight up betting angle takes on added value since it backs the underdog in this contest. Bet on the Colts plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-19-19 | Suns v. Kings -2 | Top | 116-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
Phoenix @ Sacramento 10:05 PM ET Game# 579-580 Play On: Sacramento -2.0 (10*) Sacramento started this season by going 0-5 SU&ATS in their first 5 games. Since that time, they’ve gone 7-0 ATS and 5-2 straight up. There only 2 straight up losses in that sequence came by 4 at defending world champion Toronto, and by 2 on the road to the Lebron led Lakers. By the way, those 2 teams currently have a combined record of 20-6 (.769). The Kings are also a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 home games which includes a 100-99 victory over red-hot Boston on Sunday. That Celtics loss snapped their 10-game win streak. Conversely, Phoenix is coming off last night’s 99-85 home loss to those very same Celtics. Bet on Sacramento minus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers UNDER 53 | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show |
Chiefs vs. Chargers 8:15 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Under 53.0 (10*) The Chargers defense has stepped up in their last 2 games against potent offensive attacks while limiting Green Bay to 184 yards and Oakland to 278. That’s a combined 175.7 yards below those 2 teams current season averages. Since Anthony Lynn took over a head coach of the Chargers in 2017, they’ve gone 15-5 (75%) under after game 8, and that includes 15-3 (83.3%) if the total was 53.0 or less. Los Angeles has also gone under in 7 of its last 9 this season. Additionally, the 2 games that went over during that sequence did so by a combined 1.5-points. Since 2016, Kansas City has gone 5-1 under the total as a division favorite in games not played at home and when there was a total of 47.0 or greater. All those contests came under the watchful eye of current head coach Andy Reid. Kansas City is coming off a 35-32 loss at Tennessee in their previous game. That defeat dropped their season record to a disappointing 5-4 (.555). Conversely, the Chargers are coming off a 26-24 loss at Oakland in a game they were a 1.0-point road favorite. The combination of these results and current season records qualifies this game for a extremely profitable NFL totals betting angle illustrated below. Any NFL team (Chargers) coming off a road favorite straight up loss by 2 points or more that’s playing after Game 9 of its season, and they own a win percentage of .250 to .400, versus an opponent (Chiefs) with a win percentage of .642 who allowed 35 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those contests going 26-3 (89.7%) under since 1984. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-17-19 | Patriots v. Eagles +4.5 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 4 m | Show |
Patriots @ Eagles 4:25 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Eagles +4.5 (10*) Granted New England is 8-1, and they’re the reigning Super Bowl champions. However, they’ve beaten just 1 team that currently has a winning record and that’s Buffalo (6-3). Their other 7 wins have come against teams with a combined record of 15-40. The Patriots are coming off their first loss of the season after a 37-20 blowout defeat at Baltimore. Philadelphia is coming off back to back wins over Buffalo 31-13 and Chicago 23-14. Their defense played exceptionally well in those wins while allowing only a combined 417 yards. Since 2016, the Eagles are 6-0 straight up and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-division home games following wins in each of its previous 2 contests. Any NFL team (Eagles) playing in a non-division game and is coming off 2 consecutive games in which they allowed 17 points or less, versus an opponent (Patriots) with a win percentage of .375 or better who allowed 35 points or more during its last contest, resulted in those teams going 16-1 (94.1%) straight up since 2010. Bet on the Eagles plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-16-19 | Stanford v. Washington State -10 | Top | 22-49 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show |
Stanford @ Washington State 4:30 PM ET Game# 403-404 Play On: Washington State -10.0 (10*) Washington State enters this week on a 2-game losing streak. Those losses dropped their season record to 4-5 (.444). This sets up a straightforward and extremely profitable college football betting angle which is displayed below. Any college football favorite of 10.0 to 20.5 that owns a win percentage of .400 to .490, and they’re coming off losses during each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those favorites going 35-5 ATS (87.5%) since 2009. Bet on Washington State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-13-19 | Spurs v. Wolves OVER 227 | Top | 114-129 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
Spurs @ Timberwolves 8:05 PM ET Game# 585-586 Play On: Over 227.0 (10*) Minnesota has seen 5 of its last 6 go over the total and there was a combined average of 235.7 points scored per game. Since the start of the 2017-2018 season, the Timberwolves have gone over the total during 6 of their 7 games played against San Antonio. Saying that Minnesota likes to play at a phonetic offensive pace is an understatement. They’re averaging a massive 96 field goal attempts per game this season and that included 100 per home contest. Speaking off a quickened offensive tempo, San Antonio certainly won’t shy away from such based on it’s average of 91 field goal attempts per game. The Spurs have been extremely shaky defensively over their last 3 outings while allowing 120.0 points per game and letting opponents shoot a combined 51.3%. Since last season, San Antonio is 15-5 over on the road when there’s been a total of 220.0 to 229.5. Those 20 contests averaged a combined 235.7 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-10-19 | Vikings v. Cowboys -3 | Top | 28-24 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 1 m | Show |
Vikings @ Cowboys 8:20 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: Cowboys -3.0 (10*) You may be surprised to know, Minnesota is 0-9-1 SU&ATS during its last 10 away games when facing a team with a winning record. They’re coming off last Sunday’s 26-23 away favorite 26-23 upset loss at Kansas City. The Vikings will be facing a Cowboys team that won 2 straight to improve its season record to 5-3 (.625), and they’re coming off a 37-18 road win this past Monday night over the New York Giants. Any non-division home favorite of 4.5 or less that’s coming off a division away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 2.0-points or more, and they possess a win percentage of .416 or better, versus an opponent (Vikings) coming off a SU&ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 18.0-points or fewer, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 ATS since 1981. The average margin of victory in those 11 contests came by a decisive 18.5 points per game. Bet on the Cowboys minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-04-19 | Bucks v. Wolves UNDER 229.5 | Top | 134-106 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
Milwaukee @ Minnesota 8:05 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Under 229.5 (10*) Milwaukee is coming off a 115-105 win over Toronto. Minnesota is coming off a 131-109 win over Washington. The combination of these 2 results sets up an NBA betting angle which has been extremely profitable during the past 22 seasons and is displayed below. Any team (Milwaukee) with a total of 220.0 or greater that’s coming off a win by 10 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent (Minnesota) coming off a win by 20 points or greater, resulted in those games going 56-19 (74.7%) under the total since 1996. The average combined points scored in those 75 contests was 219.0 per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-03-19 | Patriots v. Ravens +3.5 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 33 h 43 m | Show |
Patriots @ Ravens 8:20 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Ravens +3.5 (10*) New England has started the season 8-0 and are deserving of all the accolades that they’re receiving. However, they’ve only defeated 1 team (Buffalo 5-2) that currently has a winning record. Their other 7 wins have come against opponents that presently have a combined record of 9-35 (.205). Additionally, during that 16-10 win at Buffalo, the Patriots were outgained by 151 yards and scored only 9 offensive points. The difference was a blocked punt returned for a touchdown by New England, and 4 Buffalo turnovers. By the way, Baltimore is averaging just 1 turnover committed per contest, and have also not had an offensive turnover in 4 of its 7 games. Since John Harbaugh has taken over as head coach of Baltimore in 2008, the Ravens have gone 7-0 straight up in regular season action following a bye week and when facing a team with a win percentage of .400 or better. They won those contests by a decisive margin of 13.4 points per game. Bet on the Ravens plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
11-02-19 | Georgia -5.5 v. Florida | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show |
Georgia vs. Florida 3:30 PM ET Game# 371-372 Play On: Georgia -5.5 (10*) Florida’s defense looked terrific through their first 6 games. Nevertheless, that hasn’t been the case over their previous 2 outing in which they allowed 34.5 points and 449.0 yards per game. During those 2 contests they permitted South Carolina to rush for 217 yards and LSU amassed 218 on the ground. The Gamecocks and Tigers also combined to average a huge 6.5 yards per rushing attempt. That’s troublesome when considering Georgia has averaged 237 yards per game rushing and a massive 6.1 yards per running attempt. This is a perfect opportunity for Georgia to forge themselves right back into to the 4-team college football playoffs discussion. Despite being the favorite in this contest, they’re facing a higher ranked opponent (Florida). Nothing would elevate their status more than a convincing win which I truly believe they’re primed to do. The Georgia defense has been dominant thus far in 2019, allowing a mere 10.6 points and 266.7 yards per game. They suffered a shocking 20-17 home loss to South Carolina in a game they closed as a 20.5-point favorite. That’s been their only blemish of the season. The Bulldogs outgained South Carolina in that defeat by a decisive 468-297 yards. Unfortunately, they committed 4 turnovers in that setback while failing to create any of its own. Georgia dominated Florida in the last 2 head to head meeting by outscoring them 78-24 and outgaining the Gators 822-383. Bet on Georgia minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
10-27-19 | Packers v. Chiefs +4.5 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 21 m | Show |
Packers @ Chiefs 8:20 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Chiefs +4.5 (10*) The Chiefs are still claiming that Patrick Mahomes has a chance to play in this game. However, that seems unlikely to me considering he suffered a dislocated knee cap a little over a week ago. However, by chance that does occur, then we have a tremendous underdog betting value because this line will be moved considerably as a result. But I handicapped this game and decided on this pick based on veteran backup quarterback Matt Moore being under center. Moore will still be surrounded by plenty of offensively skilled players capable of stepping it up for him. Secondly, look for the Chiefs to make a concerted effort to run the ball against a Green Bay defense that’s given up 142.7 yards per game on the ground throughout their previous 6 contests. Kansas City is coming off a Thursday night 30-6 blowout win at Denver. This will be the first time since 2014 that Kansas City will be a home underdog and that itself should provide plenty of motivation. Furthermore, since 2016, Kansas City is 8-0 ATS and 7-1 straight up in its last 8 games as an underdog when facing an opponent with a win percentage of less than .900. Green Bay is 6-1 which is good for a win percentage of .857. Any NFL home team with a win percentage of .583 or better (Chiefs) that’s coming off an away win by 15 points or more, and they allowed 24 points or fewer in that win, versus an opponent (Packers) coming off a home game in which they scored and allowed 24 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 55-3 (94.7%) straight up since 1984. The straight up results take on added significance since it supports the underdog in this contest. Bet on the Chiefs plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
10-26-19 | Astros +100 v. Nationals | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
Astros (Urquidy) @ Nationals (Corbin) 8:07 PM ET Game# 907-908 Play On: Astros +100 (10*) The Nationals will go with veteran lefty Pat Corbin in Game 4 of the 2019 World Series. Corbin has been very good at home this season. However, he’s displayed shaky form over his last 3 starts which includes 2 postseason outings. During that stretch he compiled a sizable 6.46 ERA and 1.57 WHIP. Corbin will be facing an Astros team which has gone an extremely profitable 40-12 when facing lefty starters in 2019. Additionally, Houston is an exceptional 43-12 on the road since the start of last season when going up against left-handed starting pitchers. The Astros have a combined regular season/postseason record of 115-61 (.653) in 2019. Since 2018, Washington is a dismal 8-17 at home when facing teams with a win percentage of .620 or better, and that includes losing yesterday’s Game 3 at home. Bet on the Astros for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
|||||||
10-26-19 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State UNDER 50.5 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 20 h 16 m | Show |
Wisconsin @ Ohio State 12:00 PM ET Game# 199-200 Play On: Under 50.5 (10*) Wisconsin was obviously caught looking ahead to their highly anticipated showdown with Ohio State during last week’s shocking 24-23 upset loss at Illinois as a 29.0-point favorite. Prior to that contest, the Badgers defense was held opponents to 15 points or fewer in each of its first 6 and included pitching 4 shutouts. The 315 yards they allowed in the loss to Illinois was the first time all season that a Badgers opponent eclipsed the 300-yard mark. Ohio State enters with a perfect 7-0 record. Additionally, during their last 6 outings the Buckeyes defense has allowed 5.9 points and not team has scored more than 10 against them throughout that stretch. Furthermore, Ohio State has held opponents to 285 yards or less of total offense in all their first 7 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
|||||||
10-25-19 | Astros v. Nationals +135 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 38 m | Show |
Astros (Greinke) @ Nationals (Sanchez) 8:07 PM ET Game# 905-906 Play On: Nationals +135 (10*) Zack Greinke has been far from stellar in his 3 postseason starts while posting a lofty 6.43 ERA and allowing 5 home runs during only 14.0 innings pitched. The Houston bullpen was roughed up in Game 2 and will likely be relied upon heavily this evening. The Nationals have been a runaway freight train down the stretch having gone 18-2 in its last 20 and that includes their current 8-game win streak. Anibal has been excellent in 2 starts during this 2019 postseason while allowing just 1 earned run on 5 hits during 12 2/3 innings pitched. The Nationals bullpen which was considered a major weakness heading into this postseason. However, over the last 7 games, Washington relievers have a combined 1.77 ERA, 0.73 WHIP, and have converted all 4 of their save opportunities. Bet on the Nationals for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
|||||||
10-23-19 | Nationals v. Astros UNDER 7 | Top | 12-3 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
Nationals (Strasburg) @ Astros (Verlander) 8:07 PM ET Game# 903-904 Play On: Under 7.0 (10*) Steven Strasburg enters his first career World Series in excellent form over his last 5 starts. During that stretch, Strasburg has compiled a 1.41 ERA, 0.84 WHIP, and struck out 45 in 32.0 innings pitched. The maligned Washington bullpen has turned things around dramatically throughout their last 7 games. During that time, Washington relievers have a combined 1.40 ERA and 0.67 WHIP. Jason Verlander has proven to be a money pitcher at postseason time throughout his illustrious career with Detroit and now Houston. The star right-hander has been terrific at home this season while recording a 2.30 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in 19 starts, and just 5 of those games went over the total. Verlander has also seen only 5 of his 21 starts at night go over the total this season, and his 2.76 ERA in addition to 0.84 WHIP in those outing contributed heavily to those low scoring affairs. The Washington Nationals have certainly picked an opportunistic time to get red-hot. They’ve gone 17-2 during their last 19 and that includes a current 7-game win streak. Any road team (Nationals) which has won 7 or more games in a row with a winning record, and they’re facing an opponent (Astros) with a winning record, resulted in those games going 44-14 (75.9%) under the total since 2015. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
10-22-19 | Nationals v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
Nationals (Scherzer) @ Astros (Cole) 8:08 ET Game# 901-902 Play On: Astros -1.5 (+115) (10*) These 2 starting pitchers are superb power arms. However, Houston has struck out the least of any team in baseball this season. Washington batters have struck out 132 more times than Astros hitters while playing in 1 less game. Gerrit Cole is a terrific 17-2 in his home team starts this year with a 2.38 ERA and 0.76 WHIP. Cole has made 3 postseason starts in 2019 and recorded a microscopic 0.40 ERA during those outings while striking out 32 batters in 22 2/3 innings of work. Furthermore, since the start of last season, Cole has gone a perfect 16-0 in his home team starts when pitching on 5 or 6 days of rest. The Astros outscored their opponents in those 16 games by an enormous 5.8 runs per outing. By the way, Cole will be pitching on 6 days of rest in tonight’s World Series opener. I like the Astros to win this game by 2 or more runs. Bet on the Astros for a 10* Top Play run line wager. |
|||||||
10-20-19 | Ravens v. Seahawks -3 | Top | 30-16 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 21 m | Show |
Ravens @ Seahawks 4:25 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Seahawks -3.0 (10*) Baltimore enters this week atop the AFC North with a 4-2 record. However, they’ve faced just 1 team in their first 6 games that currently has a winning record. Seattle has maintained one of the strongest home field advantages in the NFL during the past 8 seasons. Specifically, the Seahawks are 51-13 at home since 2012, and that includes 35-6 when facing non-division opponents. That’s something I just can’t ignore when considering the small point-spread they’re being asked to cover in this contest. Furthermore, Seattle is 9.0 ATS as a non-division home favorite of between 1.5 and 5.0 since 2012. The average margin of victory in those 9 contests was a substantial 20.3 points per game. Seattle is coming off a 32-28 win at Cleveland last Sunday and it improved their season record to 5-1 (.833). Their only loss came to the 5-1 New Orleans Saints. Any NFL home favorite of 2.5 to 7.0 with a win percentage of .800 or better, and they’re coming off a game in which they scored 28 points or more, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .666 to .818, and they’re playing after Game 6 of its season, resulted in those home favorites going 16-0 ATS since 1992. The average margin of victory in those 16 contests came by an enormous average of 20.3 points per game. Vet on the Seahawks minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
10-19-19 | Arizona State v. Utah -13 | Top | 3-21 | Win | 100 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
Arizona State @ Utah 6:00 PM ET Game# 359-360 Play On: Utah -13.0 (10*) This double-digit point-spread caught my eye immediately. Especially when considered each team owns identical 5-1 (.833) records, and both are nationally ranked with Utah coming in as #13 and ASU #17. It’s like the sportsbooks are begging you to take the sizable underdog in this contest. Upon further examination, I’m not falling for the trap. Utah has been terrific defensively this season. They’re allowing a mere 13.2 points and 271.5 yards per game. The Sun Devils defense has also been impressive at time during this 2019 campaign. However, they’ve allowed 30 or more points in half their games and permitted their opponents to amass 404 yards or more of total offense in 4 of its last 5 games. Furthermore, Utah hasn’t allowed any of their 6 opponents to eclipse 400 yards, and the Utes have racked up 457 yards or more of offense in each of their previous 4 games. Utah is coming off a 52-7 win at Oregon State and easily covered as a 14.0-point favorite. Arizona State defeated Washington State 38-34 in their previous game and covered as a 1.0-point home underdog. This created a terrific college football betting angle displayed below. Any conference home favorite of 8.0 to 31.0 with a win percentage of .900 or less (Utah), coming of conference favorite ATS win in which they covered by 2.0 or more and scored 35 points or greater, versus an opponent (Arizona State) with a win percentage of .636 or better who’s coming off a conference straight up underdog win, resulted in those home favorites going a perfect 15-0 ATS since 1985. The average margin of victory in those contests was 31.5 points per game. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
10-17-19 | Astros v. Yankees -123 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -123 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
Astros (Greinke) @ Yankees (Tanaka) 8:08 PM ET Game# 919-920 Play On: Yankees -123 (10*) The Yankees are coming off a disappointing 4-1 home loss to Houston in Game 3 of this ALCS. The Bronx Bombers haven’t lost 2 straight home games since April 3rd. As a matter of fact, they lost 2 straight at home just twice this season with both coming against the 2 worst American League teams in Baltimore and Detroit. Masahiro Tanaka gets the start for New York and he was brilliant in Game 1 of this ALCS while pitching 6.0 innings of scoreless baseball on 1 Astros hit. As a matter of fact, during 7 postseason starts for the Yankees, Tanaka has recorded an excellent 1.32 ERA. Houston will go with Zack Grienke, and he’s registered an awful 8.38 ERA in 2 starts during 2019 postseason action. Furthermore, during his last 5 postseason starts, Greinke has given up 11 home runs in just 26.0 innings of work. That’s certainly reason for concern when considering he will be facing a Yankees team that’s hit 316 home runs this season. Bet on the Yankees for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
|||||||
10-13-19 | Eagles v. Vikings -3 | Top | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 25 h 51 m | Show |
Eagles @ Vikings 1:00 PM ET Game# 261-262 Play On: Vikings -3.0 (10*) The Eagles are coming off a convincing 31-6 home win over the Jets and easily covered as a large 13.0-point favorite. However, they were held to an alarmingly low 265 yards of total offense in that contest. That’s worrisome considering they will be facing a Vikings defense that’s #4 in the NFL in yards allowed at 292.4 per game. As a matter of fact, during their last 3 contests Minnesota has allowed just 13.3 points and 260.7 yards per game. Since Mike Zimmer took over as head coach of the Vikings in 2014, they’ve been a stellar 30-12 SU&ATS during regular season home games. Furthermore, they’ve gone a terrific 19-1 SU&ATS as a non-division home favorite of 11.0 or less under Zimmer, and that includes 10-0 ATS if they were facing an opponent with a winning record. Bet on the Vikings for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Washington v. Arizona +6.5 | Top | 51-27 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 39 m | Show |
Washington @ Arizona 11:00 PM ET Game# 151-152 Play On: Arizona +6.5 (5*) Washington is coming off a listless effort last Saturday night during a 23-13 loss at Stanford as a substantial 12.5-point favorite. It marked the 2nd time this season that the Huskies were upset as a double-digit favorite with the other coming against California. After losing 45-38 in their season opener at Hawaii, Arizona has reeled off 4 straight wins, and includes last week’s 35-30 win at Colorado as a 2.5-point underdog. The Wildcats are an explosive offense team that averages 37.2 points and 539.2 yards per game. Additionally, since 10/7/2017, Arizona is 6-1 SU&ATS as a home underdog of 1.5 to 10.0. Bet on Arizona plus the points for a 5* wager. |
|||||||
10-11-19 | Nationals v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
Nationals (Sanchez) @ Cardinals (Mikolas) 8:08 ET Game# 901-902 Play On: Under 8.0 (10*) Nationals pitcher Anibal Sanchez has been in very good form over his last 5 starts while posting a 2.32 ERA and 0.90 WHIP. Cardinals hurler Miles Mikolas has pitched very well at home this season by registering a 3.01 ERA and 1.05 WHIP during 15 starts at Busch Stadium. Furthermore, Mikolas is 10-2 under during 12 starts in 2019 when facing teams with a winning record. These teams met 7 times during the regular season and just 1 of those games went over the total. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
10-09-19 | Nationals v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
Nationals @ Dodgers 8:37 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: Under 7.0 (10*) Steven Strasburg has made 5 career starts at Dodger Stadium and compiled an excellent 1.97 ERA in addition to a 0.78 WHIP while doing so. Strasburg has displayed superb form over his last 3 starts overall, posting a 0.95 ERA 0.68 WHIP during those outings. Walker Buehler has made 2 home starts versus Washington this season and pitched a combined 13.0 innings of scoreless baseball. That included his NLDS Game 1 performance in which he went 6.0 innings and allowed just 1 hit. Buehler has recorded a sparkling 2.68 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, and struck out 120 in 97 1/3 inning pitched during 15 home starts this year. Buehler’s control in those home starts has been impeccable which is proven by his 1 walk per 7.5 innings pitched. These teams have seen only 1 of their 12 games played against one another at Dodger Stadium go over the total since 2017. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
10-07-19 | Browns v. 49ers -4.5 | Top | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
Browns @ 49ers 8:15 PM ET Game# 477-478 Play On: 49ers -4.5 (10*) The Browns are coming off an excellent performance last week at Baltimore in which they won by a decisive 40-25 margin. The win evened their record at 2-2. Cleveland has won road games in consecutive weeks since 2002. They had one opportunity to accomplish the feat last season, but they lost at Houston 29-13. The Browns will be without the services of 2 of their young star defensive backs in Greedy Williams and Denzel Ward. The 49ers are in a rare situation in which they’re playing at home on a Monday following a bye week. San Francisco is coming off a 24-20 win over Pittsburgh in their home opener 2 weeks ago that improved their season record to 3-0. They won that game against Pittsburgh despite turning the ball over 5 times. Any Monday night home favorite of 4.0 to 9.0-points that’s coming off a bye week, and they won their previous game, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .500 or better, resulted in those Monday home favorites going 6-0 ATS since 2009. They won those 6 contests by an average of 21.7 points per game. The 49ers have been strong defensively thus far while allowing only 18.0 points and 283.3 yards per game. During their last games San Francisco has amassed a combined 1008 yards of total offense. Any non-division home favorite of 5.5 or less that’s coming off a straight up win by 17 points or fewer, and they possess a winning record, Versus an opponent coming off a division away underdog straight up win, resulted in those home favorites going 12-0 ATS since 1981. The average victory margin in those 12 contests came by 13.3 points per game. Bet on the 49ers for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
10-06-19 | Broncos v. Chargers -6 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 59 m | Show |
Broncos @ Chargers 4:05 PM ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Chargers -6.0 (10*) Denver is coming off a 26-24 home loss to Jacksonville in a game they failed to cover as a 2.5-point favorite. The loss dropped the Broncos season record to 0-4. Adding insult to injury, Denver lost Bradley Chubb to a season ending injury in that loss to the Jaguars. The Chargers are of to their usual slow start and are 2-2 thus far. They’re coming off a 30-10 win at Miami last Sunday in a game they covered as a 14.5-point favorite. Los Angeles will get an extra boost by the return of star running back Melvin Gordon following a holdout. Any NFL home favorite of 6.0 or more that’s coming off an away favorite of 3.0 or greater ATS win in which they scored 21 points or more, and they have at least 1 loss on the season, versus an opponent coming off a home favorite straight up loss by 20 points or fewer, resulted in those home favorites going 14-0 ATS since 2002. The average victory margin in those 14 contests was 24.6 points per game. Bet on the Chargers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
10-05-19 | Northwestern v. Nebraska -7 | Top | 10-13 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 19 m | Show |
Northwestern @ Nebraska 4:00 PM ET Game# 361-362 Play On: Nebraska -7.0 (10*) Northwestern is coming off a 24-15 loss to Wisconsin which dropped their season record to 1-3. The Wildcats only win came over UNLV who annually one of the poorest football programs in the country. Northwestern’s offense is averaging just 15.5 points and 292.7 yards per game. Furthermore, they’ve committed an alarmingly high 11 turnovers in their first 4 games of the season. Nebraska was outclassed last week against Ohio State in a 48-7 home loss while also failing to cover as a 17.0-point home underdog. Despite that low scoring output in addition to being held to a mere 231 total yards, Nebraska is still averaging 31.8 points and 438.2 yards per game. The Cornhuskers will also be playing with double revenge stemming from 2 straight losses to Northwestern by narrow margins of 34-31 and 31-28. Any conference favorite of 6.0 or more that’s coming off a conference home underdog of 11.0 or greater ATS loss in which they scored 16 points or fewer, and they’re facing an opponent (Northwestern) coming off a loss by 34 points or less, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 ATS since 1980. The average victory margin in those 11 contests came by a decisive 24.8 points per game. Bet on Nebraska minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
10-04-19 | Twins v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 4-10 | Win | 105 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
Twins (Berrios) @ Yankees (Paxton) 7:07 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: Yankees -1.5 (+105) (10*) Minnesota’s Jose Berrios has a large 9.39 ERA and 2.22 WHIP in 2 starts against the Yankees since 2017. Minnesota is an outstanding 79-44 (.642) versus right-handed starters this year. However, they’ll be facing left James Paxton this season, and they’re just 22-17 (.564) versus southpaw starters in 2019. Since 2017, the Yankees have gone a dominating 10-1 at home versus Minnesota and 8 of those 10 wins have come by 2 runs or more. The Bronx Bombers are also a tremendous 40-12 (.769) at home this season when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. James Paxton has been in excellent form over his last 5 starts while posting a 1.05 ERA and 0.78 WHIP. Paxton has made 3 starts versus Minnesota since 2017 and had an impressive 1.80 ERA in addition to a 0.87 WHIP in those appearances. Bet the Yankees as a run line favorite for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
09-29-19 | Cowboys v. Saints +3 | Top | 10-12 | Win | 100 | 31 h 58 m | Show |
Cowboys @ Saints 8:20 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Saints +3.0 (10*) Dallas is coming off a 31-6 home rout of hapless Miami which improved their season record to a perfect 3-0. New Orleans is coming off last Sunday’s 33-27 upset win at Seattle as a 5.5-point underdog. Even more impressive about that New Orleans victory is they did so with backup quarterback Teddy Bridgewater under center like we’ll continue to see in the imminent future due to Drew Brees being sidelined. That victory enabled the Saints to start this season 2-1. Any regular season home underdog of 2.0 to 5.5-points (Saints) that’s coming off a away underdog straight up win, and they possess a win percentage of better than .500, versus an opponent (Cowboys) coming off a home win, and they own a win percentage of .571 or better, resulted in those home underdogs going an outstanding 28-4 ATS (87.5%) since 1988. Those home underdogs also won 25 of those 32 games straight up. Bet on the Saints plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
09-28-19 | Minnesota -1.5 v. Purdue | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 59 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Purdue 3:30 PM ET Game# 137-138.0 Play On: Minnesota -1.5 (10*) Purdue is coming off a 34-13 home loss to TCU in which they failed to cover as a 3.0-point underdog. They also blew a 14-point 4th quarter lead at Nevada in their season opening 34-31 loss. The Boilermakers are a disappointing 1-2 thus far with their only win coming at home over Vanderbilt. The Boilermakers starting quarterback Elijah Sindelar remains questionable while attempting to recover from a concussion. Minnesota enters their Big 10 Conference opener with a 3-0 record and those wins came by 7 points or less. The Gophers are unlikely to blink in a close game. They defeated Fresno State 38-35 in their only 2019 road game to this point. Dating back to last season, Minnesota has won 5 straight games under 2nd year Gophers head coach P.J. Fleck. Any conference away team that’s coming off 3 or more wins in a row, versus an opponent coming home a home underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 21.0-points or fewer, and they have a win percentage of .400 or worse, resulted in those away teams going 50-1 straight up since 1982. Bet on Minnesota for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
09-26-19 | Navy v. Memphis UNDER 54.5 | Top | 23-35 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
Navy @ Memphis 8:00 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Under 54.5 (10*) Memphis is off to a 3-0 start which has been spearheaded by a defense that’s allowed only 13.3 points and 226.3 yards per game. Navy has gone under the total in each of their first 2 games and their defense appears to be vastly improved from a season ago. Both teams are terrific in respect to time of possession. Memphis is averaging 21 first downs and 33:57 time of possession per game. Conversely, Navy averages 27 first downs and an eye popping 37:08 time of possession per contest. Each team is fully committed to running the ball. Navy has run the ball on 88.9% of their offensive plays thus far, and 63% of Memphis’ offensive plays have been rushing attempts. Defensively, Navy is allowing a mere 2.6 yards per rushing attempt while Memphis has held its opponents a more than respectable 3.1 yards per try. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
09-22-19 | Rams v. Browns +3.5 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 12 m | Show |
Rams @ Browns 8:20 PM ET Game# 487-488 Play On: Browns +3.5 (10*) If the Browns want to prove they aren’t overhyped this is certainly a spot to do so against the reigning NFC champion Rams. They will also be out to atone for a 43-13 embarrassing loss to Tennessee in their home opener. On a positive note they’re coming off last Monday night’s convincing win or the Jets in a game they easily as an away favorite of 6.5-points. Since 1988, home teams coming off a Monday night away favorite ATS have gone an outstanding 51-16 straight up. That’s surely a compelling statistic considering Cleveland will be a home underdog on Sunday night. This is the first time this season that Cleveland will be an underdog. The Browns were a very profitable 7-2 ATS a year ago as an underdog of 7.0-points or less. The Rams are coming off a convincing 27-9 home win over New Orleans in what was a rematch of last season’s NFC Championship game. That realistically opens the possibility of a flat spot for Los Angles this week. Any non-division home underdog of 3.5 or less (Browns) that’s coming off a non-division away favorite ATS win in which they scored 34 points or less, and they’re facing an opponent (Rams) coming off a win in which they scored 27 points or fewer, resulted in those home underdogs going 14-0 ATS since 1980. Those home underdogs also won 12 of those 14 contests straight up. Bet on the Browns plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
09-15-19 | Jaguars v. Texans -8 | Top | 12-13 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 11 m | Show |
Jaguars @ Texans 1:00 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Texans -8.0 (10*) Jacksonville took a huge hit for their chances of contending for a playoff spot this season after their prized offseason acquisition Nick Foles suffered a broken clavicle. Their chances now ride on the shoulders of rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew out of Washington State. Minshew was impressive in relief last week while going 22-25 passing for 275 yards during a 40-26 home loss to Kansas City. However, the Texans will have ample time to prepare for Minshew in addition to tape on him while the Chiefs didn’t have that luxury. Houston lost a heartbreaker 30-28 at New Orleans last week with the winning points coming via a 58-yard field goal as time expired. I look for a huge effort out of the Texans in their season opener. Any NFL home favorite of 7.0 or more that’s coming off an away straight up loss in which they covered as an underdog, versus an opponent coming off a home underdog ATS loss that they failed to cover by 8.0-points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 7-0 ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 7 contents came by a massive average of 29.4 points per game. Bet on the Texans minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
09-14-19 | NC State -6.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 27-44 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 47 m | Show |
NC State @ West Virginia 12:00 PM ET Game# 113-114 Play On: NC State -6.5 (10*) This 2019 Mountaineers team is terrible in comparison to the successful precedent that was set before them at West Virginia. They barely got by James Madison 20-13 in their season opener thanks to a +3 margin in turnovers, and then was blown out 38-7 last week at Missouri. That was a Missouri team that had been upset at Wyoming the week before as a 15.5-point chalk. NC State has been extremely impressive during its 2-0 start to 2019. They outscored their first 2 opponents East Carolina and West Carolina by a decisive margin of 74-6 while committing no turnovers in doing so. Any college football away favorite of 3.5 or greater that’s coming off 2 straight win in which they allowed 14 points or fewer, versus an opponent that gave up 37 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those away favorites going 50-14 ATS (78.1%) since 2008. Bet on NC State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
09-08-19 | Steelers v. Patriots -5 | Top | 3-33 | Win | 100 | 79 h 14 m | Show |
Steelers @ Patriots 8:20 PM ET Game# 477-478 Play On: Patriots -5.5 (5*) Betting against the Patriots at home during the past 4 seasons has been a recipe for claiming bankruptcy. New England has gone an extremely profitable 26-9-3 ATS in Foxboro since 2015, and that includes an even better 12-2 ATS (83%) when they closed as a favorite of 6.5 or less. New England has also had the Steelers number in recent seasons. Specifically, since 2013, the Patriots have won 5 of the last 6 head to head meetings versus Pittsburgh, and they also went 4-1-1 ATS in those contests. Those results include New England going 3-0 at Gillette Stadiums while winning by a decisive average of 16.7 points per contest. Counting the postseason, New England went 14-5 a season ago. Conversely, Pittsburgh went 9-7 and didn’t qualify for postseason actions. Those 2 records sets up a successful NFL season opener betting angle listed below. Any NFL team (New England) playing in their season opener that’s a home favorite of 7.5 or less, and they won 12 or more games in the previous year, versus an opponent (Pittsburgh) that won 12 games or fewer during the previous year, resulted in those home favorites going a perfect 11-0 ATS since 2005. The average victory margin in those 11 contests was 13.1 points per game. Bet on the Patriots minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
08-28-19 | Indians -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
Indians (Civale) @ Tigers (Zimmerman) 7:10 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Indians -1.5 (-118) (10*) The Tigers Jordan Zimmerman has displayed good form over his last 3 starts. However, each of those outings occurred on the road. Zimmerman is 0-7 in his team starts at home this season with a terrible 8.18 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Zimmerman is also 0-5 in his career home team starts against Cleveland and compiled a horrible 10.38 ERA while doing so. Detroit is a miserable 17-44 at home in 2019, and that includes an abysmal 1-15 if they were facing an American League starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.20 or better. The Tigers were outscored in those 16 games by a massive average of 5.6 runs per outing. By the way, the Indians pitcher today is slated to be Aaron Civale, and he’s collected an exceptional 0.91 ERA in 5 starts this season. Speaking of Civale, he’s recorded a sparkling 1.82 ERA in those 5 previously mentioned. That includes an appearance against Detroit in which he pitched 6.0 innings of scoreless baseball. Cleveland has gone a dominating 13-1 versus Detroit this season, and 12 of those 13 victories came by 2 runs or more. Detroit enters today having averaged 3.6 runs scored per game in 2019. Cleveland is an extremely profitable 18-1 this season against American League teams that average 3.9 or fewer runs scored per game and they averaged outscoring those opponents by 4.2 runs per outing. Bet on the Indians for a 10* Top Play run line wager. |
|||||||
08-26-19 | Reds v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
Reds (Gray) @ Marlins (Lopez) 7:10 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Under 7.5 (10*) We have a pair of starting pitchers in this game who’ve both shown excellent form over each of their last 4 starts. During that stretch, Sonny Gray has compiled a microscopic 0.38 ERA. Conversely, Pablo Lopez has posted a brilliant 0.80 ERA and 0.88 WHIP throughout those previous 4 starts. Cincinnati has averaged a paltry 3.3 runs scored per game during their last 7 outings while collecting a poor .688 OPS while doing so. The Reds bullpen has an impressive 1.00 WHIP thru its past 7 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
08-21-19 | Yankees v. A's -111 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
Yankees (Happ) @ A’s (Fiers) 10:07 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: A’s -111 (10*) The Yankees southpaw J.A. Happ has been in lousy form throughout his previous 5 starts while posting a 7.56 ERA. You may be surprised to know that since 2018 the Yankees are a dismal 3-16 as a money line road underdog of +100 to +150. Oakland is a terrific 41-22 (.651) at home this season. Since 2017, the A’s are 7-1 at home against the Yankees. The A’s are also a very profitable 21-10 in 2019 when facing southpaw starting pitchers. Oakland’s Mike Fiers is a prfect 5-0 in his previous 5 team starts with a stellar 2.78 ERA. Fiers is also an unscathed 9-0 since 2018 during his team starts in August. The veteran right-hander is also a terrific 25-6 during his home team starts since 2018. Bet on the A’s for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
|||||||
08-20-19 | Yankees v. A's +122 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 122 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
Yankees (German) @ A’s (Bailey) 10:07 PM ET Game# 973-974 Play On: A’s +122 (10*) The Yankees Doming German has enjoyed a spectacular 2019 season in which he’s presently 16-2. However, during his lone career start at Oakland last year he allowed 6 earned runs in 5.0 innings of work. Oakland has gone a terrific 40-22 (.645) at home in 2019 and that includes 9-2 in their previous 11. The A’s are coming off a loss their last time out, and they’ve gone a perfect 6-0 in their previous 6 games following a loss. Homer Bailey was terrific in his only start of 2019 against the Yankees, he allowed 1 earned run on 3 hits while walking just 1 in 6.0 innings pitched. Bailey has displayed good form over his last 3 home starts with a 3.37 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Bet on Oakland for a 10* Top Play money line underdog wager. |
|||||||
08-12-19 | Reds -102 v. Nationals | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
Reds (DeSclafani) @ Nationals (Fedde) 7:05 PM ET Game# 951-952 Play On: Reds -102 (10*) Erick Fedde has made 5 home starts this season and posted a sizable 6.85 ERA along with a terrible 1.97 WHIP during those outings. Couple that with the Nationals 6.11 ERA bullpen ERA at home in 2019 and it presents an unfavorable situation for Washington. Additionally, the Nationals have gone a poor 2-5 during its last 7 at home. The Reds are a horrible 16-31 in day games this season. However, they’ve been a more than respectable 40-29 at night. Cincinnati is coming off yesterday’s 6-3 loss to the Cubs. The Reds are 5-0 following their last 5 losses and won by 2 runs or more in each of those games. Throughout their previous 7 games, Cincinnati has averaged 6.3 runs scored per outing, hit 17 home runs, and amassed an impressive .920 team OPS. The Reds pitcher Anthony DeSclafani has made 4 career starts against Washington and compiled a very good 2.49 ERA in those appearances. Bet on the Reds for a 10* money line Top Play. |
|||||||
08-09-19 | Braves v. Marlins UNDER 8 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 6 m | Show |
Braves (Teheran) @ Marlins (Smith) 7:10 PM ET Game# 901-902 Play On: Under 8.0 (10*) Julie Teheran has stated 3 times against Miami this season and allowed 0 earned runs during 18.0 innings pitched. It then comes as no surprise to learn all 3 games went under the total. Teheran has displayed terrific form over his last 6 starts while posting a 2.04 ERA. Caleb Smith is 4-1 during his last 5 team starts while compiling an outstanding 2.40 ERA. Additionally, Smith has collected a superb 2.28 ERA and 0.87 WHIP during 8 home starts this year. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
08-08-19 | Indians -105 v. Twins | Top | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 54 m | Show |
Indians (Clevinger) @ Twins (Gibson) 8:10 PM ET Game# 965-966 Play On: Indians -105 (10*) Kyle Gibson 1-8 in his career home team starts versus Cleveland and posted a terrible 6.65 ERA while doing so. The Minnesota bullpen has amassed an awful 6.09 ERA throughout their last 7 games. Mike Clevinger has made 4 starts against Minnesota since the beginning of last season, and he compiled a sparkling 2.19 ERA during those appearances. Cleveland is a sizzling hot 24-8 over their last 32 games and that includes 11-2 in their previous 13 away tilts. The Indians bullpen has exhibited good form during its last 7 games while gathering a combined 2.96 ERA in that duration of time. Bet on the Indians for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
08-07-19 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks -133 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
Phillies (Vargas) @ Diamondbacks (Gallen) 9:40 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Diamondbacks -133 (10*) Newly acquired Justin Vargas gets the start tonight for Philadelphia. Prior to coming over at the trade deadline from the Mets, Vargas was terrific at hitter-friendly Citi Field in New York but struggled at times on the road. As a matter of fact, Vargas has a lofty 5.03 ERA this season in 10 road starts. He also averaged only 4.8 innings pitcher per start in those 10 away game appearances. That’s significant when considering that the Phillies bullpen has a sizable 5.34 ERA thru its last 7 games. Since 2017, Vargas is 0-2 against Arizona with a large 9.00 ERA. Zac Gallen will make his first start for Arizona since coming over in a trade via Miami. I scratched my head when I saw this transaction, and really thought Miami gave up a young talented arm in Gallen. During his last 3 starts, Gallen has been in excellent form which is proven by his 1.40 ERA and 0.88 WHIP throughout that time span. During their previous 7 outings, Arizona has averaged 6.4 runs scored per game, and collected an impressive OPS of .867. Bet the Diamondbacks as a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
08-06-19 | Rockies v. Astros UNDER 8 | Top | 6-11 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
Rockies (Marquez) @ Astros (Greinke) 8:10 PM ET Game# 979-980 Play On: Under 8.0 (10*) Colorado pitcher German Marquez has displayed excellent form over his last 3 starts while posting a 1.80 ERA and 0.60 WHIP. Marquez has been exponentially better on the road this season than at hitter friendly Coors Field. Marquez has compiled a very good 3.20 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in 12 road starts. Since 2017, Marquez has seen all 11 of his starts in August go under the total. Colorado is 7-0-1 under the total during its previous 8 games. Zack Greinke has exhibited stellar form through his last 3 starts in collecting a 2.50 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. Grienke has made 4 starts against Colorado in 2019 as a member of the Arizona Diamondbacks and had a sparkling 3.12 ERA during those outings. Houston has gone 27-12 (69.2%) under this year when there’s been a total of 8.0 or 8.5. The Astros have witnessed 12 of their prior 16 games stay under the total. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
07-31-19 | Astros v. Indians UNDER 9.5 | Top | 4-10 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 0 m | Show |
Astros (Urquidy) @ Indians (Plesac) 7:10 ET Game# 967-968 Play On: Under 9.5 (10*) Houston’s Jose Urquidy has been sharp in his last 2 starts while allowing only 2 earned runs on 6 hits while walking 2 in 13.0 innings pitched. Houston has seen 9 of its last 11 games go under the total. Cleveland’s Zach Plesac has been in excellent form over his last 3 starts while compiling a 1.12 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. Plesac has seen 4 of his 5 home starts go under in 2019 and his stellar 2.86 ERA and 0.95 WHIP was a key contributor to those low scoring games. Plesac has also collected a marvelous 1.23 ERA in 5 starts at night this year. Cleveland is coming off yesterday’s 2-0 loss to Houston. The Indians have gone under in 16 of 19 games this season following a loss by 2 runs or less during their previous outing. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
07-30-19 | Cubs v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
Cubs (Darvish) @ Cardinals (Wainwright) 8:15 PM ET Game# 907-908 Play On: Under 8.5 (10*) Since 2017, Adam Wainwright has made 3 home starts against the Cubs and posted a terrific 0.90 ERA. Each of those 3 games went under the total. Wainwright has struggles on the road this year. However, during his 9 home starts the veteran right-hander has a stellar 2.33 ERA. Since 2017, Wainwright has gone under the total in all 8 home starts when facing a team with a winning record. The Cubs Yu Darvish has displayed terrific form over his last 3 starts while compiling a brilliant 2.00 ERA and 0.67 WHIP. The Cubs offense has struggled of late as indicated by their poor .596 team OPS throughout their previous 7 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
07-29-19 | Diamondbacks v. Marlins -108 | Top | 6-11 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Diamondbacks (Kelly) @ Marlins (Smith) 7:10 PM ET Game# 953-954 Play On: Miami -108 (10*) Arizona pitcher Merrill Kelly has posted a lofty 5.33 ERA over his last 5 starts while allowing 6 home runs in just 25 1/3 innings. Miami pitcher Caleb Smith has a terrific 1.79 ERA in 7 home starts this season. Smith is also 4-0 in his last 4 team starts overall with a shiny 2.25 ERA. The Miami bullpen has been solid throughout their previous 7 games with a stellar 3.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. The Marlins enter today having won 4 of its last 5. Bet on the Marlins for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
07-25-19 | Twins v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 10-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
Twins (Berrios) @ White Sox (Giolito) 8:10 PM ET Game# 959-960 Play On: Under 8.5 (10*) The Twins Jose Berrios has seen each of his last 6 starts go under and he posted a very good 2.84 ERA during that stretch. Since 2016, Berrios has made 11 career starts against the White Sox and had a brilliant 2.21 ERA in those outings. Since 2017, Berrios has gone 14-4 under in 18 starts when there was a total of 8.0 or 8.5. Since 2018, the White Sox Lucas Giolito has made 2 home starts against Minnesota and compiled an excellent 0.79 ERA in those appearances. Giolito has gone 9-2 under in his 11 starts this season when there’s been a total of 8.0 or 8.5. The White Sox bullpen has been dominant throughout their previous 7 games and their 0.47 ERA during that time frame is further proof of such. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
07-24-19 | Yankees -118 v. Twins | Top | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
Twins @ Yankees 8:10 PM ET Game# 919-920 Play On: Yankees -118 (10*) After getting off to a fantastic start this season, Jake Odorizzi has come back down to earth in recent outings. During his last 6 starts Ododrizzi has posted a sizable 6.28 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. Odorizzi doesn’t figure to get much assistance from his bullpen which has collected a large 8.65 ERA and an enormous 2.23 WHIP throughout their last 7 games. The Yankees J.A. Happ is 7-1 in his away team starts this season. The Yankees bullpen has a brilliant 1.59 ERA over its previous 7 games. New York is averaging 7.7 runs scored per game while amassing a massive .932 OPS during their last 7 outings. The Yankees are coming off yesterday’s thrilling 14-12 extra inning win at Minnesota which saw them overcome an 8-2 deficit. Since 2017, New York is 29-6 after allowing 9 runs or more in their previous game. The Yankees are also an excellent 50-22 in 2019 when facing right-handed starting pitchers. Bet on the Yankees for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
07-23-19 | Yankees v. Twins UNDER 10 | Top | 14-12 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 46 m | Show |
Yankees (German) @ Twins (Gibson) 8:10 PM ET Game# 965-966 Play On: Under 10.0 (10*) Kyle Gibson has made 3 starts against the Yankees since 2018 and had an outstanding 1.62 ERA during those outings. Minnesota is currently a money line home underdog of +112. The Twins have gone under in 5 of their last 6 games this season when they’ve been a home underdog. The Yankees Domingo German has been outstanding following his return from the disabled list. Since that time, German has made 3 starts while collecting a terrific 1.50 ERA and 0.78 WHIP. All 3 of those games went under the total. German has made 1 career start against Minnesota and that came this season. During that appearance, he allowed just 1 earned run in 6 2/3 innings pitched. The Yankees bullpen has been dominating over their last 7 games which is evidenced by its microscopic 0.59 ERA throughout that stretch. In that precise time frame, Yankees relievers have struck out 43 in 30 2/3 innings of work. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
07-22-19 | Red Sox -127 v. Rays | Top | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
Red Sox (Rodriguez) @ Rays (Beeks) 7:10 PM ET Game# 911-912 Play On: Red Sox -127 (10*) Boston’s Eduardo Rodriguez has displayed very good form over his last 3 starts while compiling a 1.96 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. Despite being held scoreless on Sunday, The Reds Sox have averaged 6.1 runs scored per outing and amassed an impressive .859 team OPS during its last 7 games. Boston has gone an extremely profitable 14-2 in night games this season when Rodriguez has been their starting pitcher. Tampa Bay has averaged just 2.6 runs scored per game while collecting a poor .653 team OPS throughout their previous 7 games. Rays southpaw hurler Jalen Beeks will be making only his 2nd career MLB start. His only other start came last year against Detroit when he allowed 6 earned runs on 7 hits while walking 3 in just 4.0 innings pitched. The Tampa Bay bullpen has recorded a lofty 5.09 ERA while surrendering 7 home runs through that identical 7-game stretch. Bet on the Red Sox for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
|||||||
07-20-19 | Phillies v. Pirates -125 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
Phillies (Eflin) @ Pirates (Musgrove) 7:05 PM ET Game# 905-906 Play On: Pirates -125 (10*) The Phillies pitcher Eflin has compiled a terrible 9.90 ERA and 2.00 WHIP throughout his previous 4 starts. He doesn’t figure to get much help from a Philadelphia bullpen which has collected a large 7.62 ERA over its last 7 games. The Phillies are currently a money line underdog of +116. Philadelphia is a dismal 6-18 this season as a money line underdog of +100 to +150. Pittsburgh pitcher Joe Musgrove is 4-0 in his last 4 team starts at home while posting a sparkling 2.63 ERA and 0.75 WHIP. Bet on the Pirates for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
|||||||
07-19-19 | Mets v. Giants +1.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
Mets (DeGrom) @ Giants (Beede) 10:15 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Giants +1.5 (-110) (10*) As good as Mets ace Jacob DeGrom has been this season, he’s gone a dismal 4-13 in his last 17 team starts. He’s either been victimized by a lack of run support or a Mets bullpen that converted on just 23 of 41 (56.1%) of their save opportunities in 2019. The Giants Tyler Beede has displayed very good form over his last 3 starts while compiling a 2.84 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. Beede has been an extremely profitable 6-1 this season as a money line underdog of +100 or greater. The Giants are a red-hot 13-2 in their last 15 which includes a current 6-game win streak. The San Francisco bullpen has made good on an excellent 26 of their 33 (78.8%) of their save opportunities this season. Bet on the Giants for a 10* Top Play run line underdog wager. |
|||||||
07-17-19 | Tigers v. Indians UNDER 9 | Top | 2-7 | Push | 0 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
Tigers (Turnbull) @ Indians (Clevinger) 7:10 PM ET Game# 969-970 Play On: Under 9.0 (10*) Detroit’s pitcher Spencer Turnbull has a more than respectable 3.14 ERA in 9 road starts this season and 7 of those games went under the total. The Tigers bullpen has a solid 1.16 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Cleveland’s pitcher Mike Clevinger has been dominant in 3 home starts in 2019 with a 0.53 ERA while striking out 28 in 17.0 innings pitched. Clevinger has made 7 starts against Detroit since 2017 and compiled an outstanding 1.31 ERA during those appearances. Thru their last 7 games, Cleveland’s bullpen has posted a very good 2.01 ERA. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
07-14-19 | Dodgers v. Red Sox -102 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
Dodgers (Ryu) @ Red Sox (Price) 7:05 ET Game# 929-930 Play On: Red Sox -102 (10*) There will be no analysis today. |
|||||||
07-07-19 | Padres v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 51 m | Show |
Padres (Lucchesi) @ Dodgers (Stripling) 4:10 PM ET Game# 959-960 Play On: Dodgers -1.5 (+123) (10*) The Padres Joey Lucchesi is 0-4 in his career team starts against the Dodgers while posting a large 7.64 ERA and 1.75 WHIP while doing so. Lucchesi has a terrible 6.10 ERA this year in 6 road starts The Dodgers starter Stripling has a sparkling 2.96 ERA in starts at home this season. Stripling has made 4 starts against the Padres since last season and had a terrific 0.90 ERA during those outings. The Dodgers have lost 2 straight and haven’t lose 3 in a row since April 13th. As a matter of fact, they’ve gone 4-0 in their previous 4 after losing 2 games in a row and won the last 3 of those by 4 runs or more. Bet on the Dodgers on the run line for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
07-06-19 | Cubs v. White Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
Cubs (Lester) @ White Sox (Giolito) 7:15 PM ET Game# 929-930 Play On: Over 9.5 (10*) Lucas Giolito is enjoying a great start to the 2019 season that earned him a spot on the AL all-star team. However, he’s made 3 career starts against the Cubs, with all those transpiring since last season, and he struggled during those outings to the tune of a 7.56 ERA. He’ll be facing a Cubs team that’s smacked 13 home runs during their previous 7 games. The White Sox bullpen has compiled a sizable 6.83 ERA thru its last 7 games. The Cubs Jon Lester has seen 6 of his 7 road starts go over in 2019, and his lofty 5.67 ERA during those appearances was a major contributor as to why. Lester has surrendered an alarming 8 home runs in just 28 1/3 innings pitched during his previous 5 starts overall. He’ll be facing a White Sox team which has socked 13 home runs throughout their previous 7 games. The Cubs bullpen has an awful 8.10 ERA over their last 7 games. The game time weather forecast is calling for wins of 14 MPH blowing out to right and continuing that pattern throughout the duration of the night. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
07-03-19 | Twins v. A's +102 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
Twins (Gibson) @ A’s (Fiers) 9:07 PM ET Game# 973-974 Play On: A’s +102 (10*) I cashed with Oakland last night as my 10* Top Play and if it isn’t broke, then don’t fix it. The A’s are 11-3 in their last 14 games and that includes a current 4-game win streak. Conversely, the AL Central Division Twins have dropped 4 of its previous 5 games. The Twins are now 8-32 on the road since last season when facing a team with a win percentage of .540 to .620. Oakland is presently at .547. The A’s are an extremely profitable 9-1 in 2019 versus AL Central teams. The Oakland starter Michael Fiers has exhibited excellent form over his last 3 starts while compiling a microscopic 0.93 ERA. Since 2017 Fiers is 4-0 in his team starts against Minnesota with a very good 2.19 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Fiers has a stellar 2.17 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 8 home starts this season. Minnesota’s Kyle Gibson has posted a lofty 5.55 ERA throughout his previous 4 starts. Bet on the A’s for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
|||||||
07-02-19 | Twins v. A's -103 | Top | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
Twins (Odorizzi) @ A’s (Mengden) 10:07 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: A’s -103 (10*) After enjoying a terrific start to the season, Minnesota starter Jake Odorizzi has hit a brick wall. During his last 3 starts, Odorizzi has posted an uninspiring 6.46 ERA and 1.57 WHIP. The Twins will be facing an Oakland team with a 46-39 (.541) season record. Minnesota has gone an abysmal 8-31 on the road since 2018 when facing a team with a win percentage of .540 to .620. Oakland has gone 10-3 in their last 13 games. The A’s have also gone 9-3 in their last 12 games as a money line underdog. Daniel Mengden is 3-0 in his last 3 team starts with a brilliant 1.06 ERA. The A’s bullpen has been lights out over their previous 7 games with a staff ERA of 1.00. Bet on the A’s for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
06-29-19 | Pirates v. Brewers OVER 9 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
Pirates (Lyles) @ Brewers (Woodruff) 8:15 PM ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Over 9.0 (10*) The Pirates starter Jordan Lyles has displayed bad form throughout his previous 4 starts with a 7.71 ERA and 1.66 WHIP. Lyles has made 2 starts against Milwaukee this season and had a dismal 7.00 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in those outings. The Pirates bullpen has an uninspiring 5.62 ERA and 1.58 WHIP during night games this year. Pittsburgh has gone over in 18 of 26 this season when there’s a total of 9.0 or 9.5, and there was a combined average of 12.1 runs scored per game. The Pirates have been red-hot offensively over their last 7 while averaging 6.7 runs scored per game and they amassed a huge .909 OPS. The Brewers Brandon Woodruff has been shaky thru his previous 5 starts which is evidenced by a 5.70 ERA during that stretch. Milwaukee’s bullpen has an unimpressive 5.20 ERA in night games this season. The home plate umpire is slated to be Tom Hallion. Games in which Hallion has called balls and strikes have gone 40-24 (62.5%) over the total since 2017, and that includes 8-3 (72.7%) over this season. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
06-26-19 | Nationals v. Marlins +135 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
Nationals (Corbin) @ Marlins (Gallen) 7:10 PM ET Game# 907-908 Play On: Marlins +135 (10*) Patrick Corbin has struggled mightily in his last 4 road starts going 0-4 while posting a 10.19 ERA and 1.87 WHIP. Since 2018, Corbin has gone an abysmal 6-14 in his team starts as a money line road favorite of -110 or greater. The Nationals bullpen has been extremely shaky all season long. Miami’s Zac Gallen will be making his 2nd career MLB start but I’m not letting that sway me whatsoever. Gallen was impressive in his debut at St. Louis last week in allowing just 1 earned run over 5.0 innings of work. Gallen was dominant this year in the AAA Pacific Coast League which has many hitter friendly ballparks. This kid is the real deal and it’s a great time to back him as a sizable money line dog. Bet on the Marlins for a 5* money line underdog wager. |
|||||||
06-22-19 | White Sox v. Rangers UNDER 11 | Top | 5-6 | Push | 0 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
White Sox (Despaigne) @ Rangers (Lynn) 9:05 PM ET Game# 927-928 Play On: Under 11.0 (10*) Lance Lynn has recorded 8 straight quality starts and each of his last 6 have stayed under the total. Texas has gone under in 7 consecutive games this season as a home favorite of -121 or more. After 2 shaky starts, the White Sox starter Despaigne will be on a very short leash. That’s not all bad news considering the White Sox bullpen has collected an outstanding 2.73 ERA throughout their last 7 games. Chicago is 9-0-1 under this season as an away underdog and when there’s a total of 9.5 or more. The weather forecast is calling for winds blowing in from right-field at 14 to 15 MPH. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
06-21-19 | Reds v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 11-7 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 60 m | Show |
Reds (Gray) @ Brewers (Anderson) 8:10 PM ET Game# 959-960 Play On: Under 8.5 (10*) The Reds have seen 12 of its last 13 games go under the total. Cincinnati has also gone under in all 10 of their road games this season when there’s been a total of 8.5 to 10.0, and there’s been a combined average of 5.2 runs scored per game. These teams have played one another 6 times this season and 5 of those games stayed under the total. Milwaukee has scored 1 run or fewer in 3 of its last 4 and has a dismal .650 OPS over their previous 7 games. Sonny Gray has seen 5 of his 6 road starts stay under this season and he posted a stellar 3.21 ERA in those outings. Gray has started once versus Milwaukee this season and pitched 6.0 scoreless innings while striking out 9. The Reds bullpen has compiled an outstanding 2.01 ERA throughout its last 7 games. Milwaukee’s bullpen has a solid 3.28 ERA during its last 7 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
06-20-19 | Reds +129 v. Brewers | Top | 7-1 | Win | 129 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
06-15-19 | Padres v. Rockies -1.5 | Top | 8-14 | Win | 117 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
Padres (Lauer) @ Rockies (Marquez) 8:10 PM ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Rockies -1.5 (+117) Eric Lauer has made 2 career starts at Coors Field in Denver and didn’t make it to the 4th inning during either of those appearances. As a matter of fact, Lauer compiled a massive 21.00 ERA and 3.33 WHIP in those 2 outings. Lauer has also been significantly better at home than on the road this season. Through 5 road starts in 2018, the Padres hurler has posted a sizable 6.84 ERA. Lauer doesn’t figure to receive much help from a struggling Padres bullpen which has collected an uninspiring 6.67 ERA throughout its last 7 games. Since 2018, German Marquez has made 4 starts against Colorado and had a very good 2.49 ERA and 0.97 WHIP while doing so. Since 2017, Marquez is a remarkable 15-1 in his teams starts as a money line home favorite of -150 or greater, and Colorado outscored those 16 opponents by a substantial 4.3 runs per game. Bet on Colorado for a 10* Top Play run-line wager. |
|||||||
06-13-19 | Tigers v. Royals UNDER 9 | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
Tigers (Boyd) @ Royals (Bailey) 8:05 ET Game# 969-970 Play On: Under 9.0 (10*) Both teams have been inept offensively throughout each of their previous 7 games. During that time span, Kansas City is averaging 2.6 runs scored per game and Detroit has produced only 2.9 runs per outing. The Royals are 15-6 under this season when there’s a total of 8.0 or 8.5. Additionally, Kansas City is 17-7 under in 2019 when facing a team with a losing record like they’ll be doing this evening. The Royals have also gone under in 4 straight and went over in just 3 of its last 15 games. Homer Bailey has made 1 start each in 2018 and 2019 against Detroit and compiled a very 2.57 ERA while averaging 7.0 inning pitched per outing. Detroit’s Matt Boyd has made 14 starts this season and posted a more than respectable 3.08 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. Boyd has developed into an elite American League power pitcher which is evidenced by his 105 strikeouts in 84 2/3 innings this season. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
|||||||
06-09-19 | Bruins +108 v. Blues | Top | 5-1 | Win | 108 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
Bruins @ Blues 8:20 PM ET Game# 11-12 Play On: Bruins +108 (10*) Despite St. Louis having an opportunity to win their first ever Stanley Cup and in front of their home fans to boot, I firmly believe the Bruins will be able to stave off elimination. Boston has lost each of the previous 2 games in this series and this season they’ve gone 9-2 during its last 11 following 2 consecutive defeats which includes 5-1 on the road. Furthermore, the Bruins are coming off a 2-1 loss in Game 5, and they’ve gone 11-2 this season following an outing in which they scored 1 goal or less which includes 3-0 during these 2019 Stanley Cup Playoffs. I’m looking for Bruins goaltender Tuukka Rask to be far superior than the Blue rookie Jordan Binnington. Lastly, I full expect Boston to playing with the highest degree of desperation and urgency that St. Louis won’t be able to match for an entire 60 minutes or however long it takes to decide a winner. Bet on the Bruins for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
06-08-19 | Braves v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 101 | 2 h 40 m | Show |
Braves (Teheran) @ Marlins (Richards) 4:10 PM ET Game# 905-906 Play On: Under 7.5 (10*) The Braves Julio Teheran has compiled an excellent 0.83 ERA during his previous 6 starts. The Atlanta bullpen has a combined 2.95 ERA thru its last 7 games. Miami has gone 16-3 (84.2%) under the total this season during day games, and they have an awful .547 OPS in those outings. The Marlins Trevor Richards has exhibited superb form over his last 3 starts while collecting a 1.02 ERA and 0.85 WHIP. The Marlins bullpen has performed respectfully throughout their previous 7 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
06-07-19 | Raptors v. Warriors UNDER 215.5 | Top | 105-92 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
Raptors @ Warriors 9:00 PM ET Game# 527-528 Play On: Under 215.5 (10*) Golden State was embarrassed by their defensive effort during Wednesday’s 123-109 loss. They allowed the Raptors to shoot 52.4% in that contest. It marked just a 4th time in their 19 playoff games that Golden State allowed an opponent to shoot 50% or better. The last 3 times that this occurred, the Warriors followed that up by holding their opponents to 39.6% shooting or worse on each occasion. Despite Game 3 easily going over the total, Toronto has seen 7 of their 9 road playoff games stay under the total. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
06-05-19 | Raptors v. Warriors UNDER 213.5 | Top | 123-109 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
Toronto @ Golden State 9:00 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Under 213.5 (10*) Toronto has gone under the total in all 7 of playoff road games this year when there was a total of 218.0 or less. The average total in those contests was 212.9 and there was a combined 202.3 points scored per game. Conversely, since 2015, Golden State is 33-20 (62.2%) under the total in their home playoff games, and that includes 11-5 (68.8%) under if they’re coming off a road win. Any Game 3 NBA Playoff away underdog that’s coming off a playoff home favorite straight up loss, and the series is tied 1-1, resulted in those games going 17-8 (68%) under the total since 2005. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
06-03-19 | Bruins v. Blues -108 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
Bruins @ Blues 8:00 PM ET Game# 7-8 Play On: Blues -108 (10*) The Blues are coming off an embarrassing 7-2 home loss to Boston on Saturday. I fully expect St. Louis to play with a high degree of desperation and urgency tonight. They can ill afford to go down 3-1 in the series with Game 5 being played at Boston on Thursday. Any NHL team that allowed 6 or more goals in their previous game, and they’re facing an opponent coming off a win by 4 goals or more, resulted in those teams going a very profitable 52-24 (68.4%) during the past 5 seasons Bet on the Blues for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
|||||||
06-02-19 | Warriors v. Raptors UNDER 213.5 | Top | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
Warriors @ Raptors 8:00 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Under 213.5 (10*) The opening game of this series saw both teams combine for only 155 field goal attempts which is well below the NBA average. Yet, the contest somehow produced 227 points. When researching further I discovered some statistics that are very unlikely to occur in 2 consecutive games. The Raptors shot 50.6% and it marked a first time they eclipsed 50% in 13 games. The teams combined to go 56-63 (88.9%) from the free throw line. Not only is that free throw percentage absurd, but the number of attempts by both teams far exceeds this season’s NBA per game average. Additionally, both teams shot the ball very efficiently from 3-point territory while collectively going 25-64 (39.1%). It’s a very good percentage for one team let alone both converting at the high degree of efficiency. Golden State has gone 3-1 during this postseason following a loss. Throughout those 4 games the Warriors held opponent to 40.5% shooting and 30.3% from beyond the 3-point line. It’s quite apparent they’ve shown a postseason tendency to bear down defensively after losing in their previous game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
06-02-19 | Red Sox v. Yankees +110 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
Red Sox (Price) @ Yankees (Sabathia) 7:05 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: Yankees +110 (10*) David Price has struggled in his road starts against the Yankees in recent years. Since 2016, Price has posted a 10.12 ERA in 6 starts at Yankee Stadium. Another concern for Boston has been the performance of their bullpen of late. Throughout their previous 7 games Red Sox relievers have a combined 6.23 ERA and 1.81 WHIP. The Red Sox enter today on a 4-game losing streak and were outscored 30-18 during that stretch. C.C. Sabathia has gone 4-0 in his 2019 home team starts and his brilliant 1.71 ERA during those outings had much to do with that unblemished record. Unlike Boston, the Yankees bullpen has been lights out good over their previous 7 games. During that time, Yankees relievers have collected a sparkling 1.32 ERA. Bet on the Yankees for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
06-01-19 | Cubs v. Cardinals -133 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
Cubs (Quintana) @ Cardinals (Flaherty) 7:15 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Cardinals -133 (10*) The Cubs Jose Quintana has a sizable 6.10 ERA this season in 4 road starts. Quintana made 3 starts at St. Louis a year ago and had a 6.00 ERA and 1.75 WHIP in those outings. The Cardinals Jack Flaherty has a brilliant 2.06 ERA and 0.86 WHIP this season during 6 home starts. Flaherty pitched 6.0 innings of scoreless baseball while walking none in his previous start against Atlanta. That’s all good news for Cardinals backers when considering their team’s poor .206 batting average over their previous 10 games played. Any MLB money line home favorite of –110 or more (Cardinals) that has a team batting average of .215 or worse throughout its last 10 games, and their pitcher (Flaherty) didn’t issue a walk in his previous start, resulted in those home favorites going 56-14 (80%) since 2015. Bet on the Cardinals for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
|||||||
05-31-19 | Twins v. Rays -125 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 2 m | Show |
Twins (Berrios) @ Rays (Stanek) 7:10 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: Rays -125 (10*) The good news for Twins backers is their ace Jose Berrios is slated to start tonight. The bad news, Berrios has a lofty 5.29 ERA and large 1.88 WHIP over his previous 3 starts. Since 2016, Berrios is 0-3 in his team starts against Tampa Bay and his substantial 8.44 ERA played a major role in those defeats. Furthermore, the Twins bullpen has an alarmingly high 6.94 ERA thru its last 7 games. Tampa Bay has won 6staraight and allowed 3 runs or fewer in each of those games. During their last 7 outings, the Rays have scored an average of 6.0 runs per game while collecting an impressive .854 OPS. Ryan Stanek will make the start and as per usual will be counted on for no more than 2.0 inning before giving way to the outstanding Rays bullpen. By the way, Stanek has yet to allow an earned run throughout 8 home starts. Bet on the Rays for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
05-30-19 | Warriors v. Raptors +1 | Top | 109-118 | Win | 100 | 27 h 42 m | Show |
Warriors @ Raptors 9:07 PM ET Game# 521-522 Play On: Raptors +1.0 (10*) Toronto overcame a 2-0 series deficit in the Eastern Conference Finals to defeat Milwaukee in 6 games. The Raptors have been terrific defensively at home during these 2019 NBA Finals while holding its opponents to 95.8 points scored per game, 40.1% shooting, and 32.0% from beyond the 3-point line. Toronto went 2-0 against Golden State during regular season action, and one of those wins came without Kawhi Leonard in the lineup. Counting the postseason, Toronto has gone a terrific 40-11 (.784) at home this season. Any home team in an NBA Finals series opener has gone 13-1 straight up and 12-2 ATS since 2005. If the home team won their conference finals series in exactly 6 games, they improve to 6-0 SU&ATS at home in Game 1 of the NBA Finals and the average margin of victory was 14.0 points per contest. Bet on the Raptors for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
05-28-19 | Giants v. Marlins -110 | Top | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
05-25-19 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 212.5 | Top | 94-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
Bucks @ Raptors 8:30 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: Under 212.5 (10*) Toronto has been terrific defensively throughout their 9 home playoff games. Thru that stretch, the Raptors held visiting opponents to 96.0 points per game, 40.1% shooting, and permitting them to make only a mere 31.6% of their three-point attempts. As a matter of fact, during the first 5 games of this Eastern Conference Final Milwaukee is a terrible 30.3% from beyond the 3-point line. Toronto made 18 three-point shots and 25 free throws in the previous game. Yet, that contest still went well under the total by 9.0-points. The pace in which this series has been played has slowed considerably. The first 2 games of this series saw a combined average of 182.0 field goal attempts per game and the previous 2 produced just 167.5 per outing. Games 3 and 4 in Toronto had closing totals of 221.5 and 217.5. Both contests went over but that hasn’t deterred the odds-makers from dropping this opening total down to 214.0. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
05-23-19 | White Sox v. Astros UNDER 9 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
White Sox (Giolito) @ Astros (Martin) 8:10 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: Under 9.0 (10*) Lucas Giolito has exhibited excellent form throughout his previous 3 starts by compiling a 0.93 ERA and 0.83 WHIP. Giolito has made 2 career starts at Houston and had 2.57 ERA while both occurred since 2017. The White Sox hurler is also 4-0 in his road team starts this season with a 2.42 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. The White Sox bullpen has pitched consistently well this season. The visitors are coming off yesterday’s 9-4 win over Houston. Despite that high scoring affair, Chicago has gone under the total in 11 of their last 15 games, and that includes 4-0 under in the last 4 following a game which went over the number. Wednesday’s 9-4 loss broke a string of 6 consecutive games staying under for Houston. Corbin Martin makes his 3rd start of 2019 for the Astros and he had a very respectable 3.38 ERA and 0.75 WHIP during the first 2. Martin can have confidence and knowing that the Astros bullpen has collected a terrific 1.96 ERA and 0.96 WHIP thru their previous 7 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
05-21-19 | Phillies v. Cubs UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show |
Phillies (Eflin) @ Cubs (Quintana) 7:05 PM ET Game# 901-902 Play On: Under 7.5 (10*) For starters, there will be a wind of 17 MPH blowing directly in from right-field during game time hours. The Phillies starter Zach Eflin has been in excellent form over his last 4 starts while posting a 1.80 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, and tossing 2 complete games. Eflin made 2 starts versus the Cubs last year and had a 2.84 ERA while both games stayed under. The Cubs Jose Quintana has a sparkling 2.36 ERA and 1.05 WHIP during 8 starts at home this season. Bet this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
05-20-19 | Warriors v. Blazers +3 | Top | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
Golden State @ Portland 9:00 ET Game# 501-502 Play On: Portland +3.0 (10*) Portland could easily be up 2-1 instead of down 3-0 in this series. They blew big leads in each of the last 2 games. Since 2013, any NBA Playoff home underdog of 4.5 or less playing in a Game 4 and they’re down 3-0 in the series, resulted in those home underdogs going 7-2 SU&ATS. If those home underdogs have a win percentage of .570 or better, they improved to 4-0 SU&ATS and outscored their opponents by a decisive 13.0 points per contest. Bet on Portland plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
05-19-19 | Bucks v. Raptors -2 | Top | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
Bucks @ Raptors 7:00 PM ET Game# 549-550 Play On: Raptors -2.0 (10*) The Bucks are 10-1 SU&ATS during these 2019 NBA Playoffs, and that includes 4-0 SU&ATS in away games. Yet, they find themselves as an underdog against a Toronto team which despite reaching the Eastern Conference Finals is only 8-6 during postseason action. If it smells like a rat and looks like a rat, then it’s a rat. I’m not falling for the trap of being lured into taking the red-hot underdog. It’s also worth noting, Toronto has lost the first 2-games of this series, and they’ve suffered 3 straight defeats just once this season. The last time that occurred was way back on 11/16/2018 which is a little over 6 months ago. Since that time, Toronto has gone 7-0 following 2 consecutive losses and won by a substantial margin of 15.2 points per contest. Any NBA Playoff home favorite that playing in Game 3 of the series and is coming off away underdog ATS losses in the opening 2 games, resulted in those favorites going 44-25 (63.8%) since 2003. Taking this betting angle one step further, if those home favorites were facing an opponent with a win percentage of .730 or better, they improved to 4-0 ATS and won by 15.6 points per game. Bet on the Raptors for a 5* wager. |
|||||||
05-18-19 | Warriors v. Blazers -2 | Top | 110-99 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
Golden State @ Portland 9:00 PM ET Game# 547-548 Play On: Portland -2.0 (10*) Portland is currently down 2-0 in this Western Conference Final. Considering that no NBA playoff team has ever overcome a 3-0 series deficit, you can essentially label this as a must win contest for the Trailblazers. Portland has gone an outstanding 37-10 at home this season. Any NBA Playoffs home favorite that’s down 2-0 in a series is 47-26 ATS (64.4%) since 2003, and that includes an even better 11-4 ATS (73.3%) since 2016. Bet on Portalnd for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
05-15-19 | Raptors +6.5 v. Bucks | Top | 100-108 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
Raptors @ Bucks 8:30 PM ET Game# 531-532 Play On: Raptors +6.5 (10*) Toronto has gone under the total by a cumulative 135.0 points during their previous 10 games. Conversely, Milwaukee has beaten the point-spread by a a combined 54.0 points over its last 10 contests. This sets up an extremely profitable NBA betting angle which is illustrated in the next paragraph. Any NBA away underdog that’s gone under the total by a collective 48.0 points or more throughout their previous 10 games, and they’re facing an opponent (Bucks) who’s cover their last 10 games by a combined 54.0 points or more, resulted in those away underdogs going 43-11 ATS (79.6%) during the past 5 seasons. The average line in those 54 contests was 8.4. Furthermore, this exact NBA betting angle is 6-1 ATS during the 2018-2019 regular season and playoffs. Although conference finals teams that are coming off a 7- game series haven’t any success of late in reaching the NBA Finals, if they were an away underdog in the opening game, they’ve been a profitable point-spread wager. Since 2003, any NBA Conference Finals away underdog (Raptors) that won their previous series in 6 or more games have gone 14-5 ATS (73.7%). Those underdogs also won 10 of those 19 games straight up. Bet on Toronto plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
05-15-19 | Cubs v. Reds -124 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
Cubs (Darvish) @ Reds (Gray) 6:40 PM ET Game# 903-904 Play On: Reds -124 (10*) The Cubs Yu Darvish has exhibited serious control issues over his last 3 starts while walking 15 batters in 14.0 innings pitched. The Chicago bullpen has blown an alarming 42.9% of their save opportunities this season. The Reds are coming off 2 straight losses. Cincinnati has won its last 4 following 2 straight loses and outscored their opponents by 3.5 runs per game. The Reds bullpen has been solid this season which is evidenced by their very good staff ERA of 3.27. Any MLB home team (Reds) with a bullpen ERA of 3.33 or better, and they’re facing a National League team (Cubs) that’s averaging 4.7 or more runs scored per game, and their bullpen has blown 38% or more of their save opportunities, resulted in those home teams going 40-7 (85.1%) since 2015. Bet on the Reds for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
|||||||
05-12-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets OVER 212.5 | Top | 100-96 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
Trailblazers @ Nuggets 3:30 PM ET Play On: Over 212.5 (10*) There will be no analysis today. |
|||||||
05-10-19 | Warriors v. Rockets -7 | Top | 118-113 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
Warriors @ Rockets 9:00 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: Rockets -7.0 The Rockets have won 11 straight home games and covered in 10 of those contests. They were a favorite on all 11 occasions and won by a decisive average of 17.0 points per game. This line has certainly been adjusted due to the absence of Kevin Durant. It still won’t be enough points for the underdog Warriors against a Rockets team who will be playing with desperation and urgency in order to stave off elimination. I look for Houston to make a statement tonight and cast doubt into the Warriors for a deciding Game 7. Bet on the Rockets minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
05-09-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 108-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
Nuggets @ Trailblazers 10:30 PM ET Game# 517-518 Play On: Trailblazers -3.5 (10*) Denver is coming off a 124-98 rout of Portland on Tuesday night. The Nuggets easily covered that contest as a 5.0-point home favorite. Denver is 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6 games this season as an underdog following a home favorite ATS cover. They were outscored in those 6 contests by 12.2 points per game. Conversely, Portland is a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 home games following a straight up loss in a contest that they were an away underdog. The Trailblazers won those 6 contests by a decisive average of 13.7 points per game. Any NBA Playoff home favorite of 2.5 to 8.5 (Portland) that’s coming off a postseason away loss by 20 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 20-9 ATS (69%) since 2008. Bet on Portland minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
|||||||
05-04-19 | Cardinals v. Cubs -126 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
Cardinals (Wacha) @ Cubs (Darvish) 4:05 PM ET Game# 967-968 Play On: Cubs -126 (10*) St. Louis starting pitcher Michael Wacha has made 7 starts at Wrigley Field since 2015 and posted a sizable 6.87 ERA during those outings. Furthermore, Wacha is 1-5 in his team starts against the Cubs since while compiling a large 8.04 ERA and 1.76 WHIP. As a matter of fact, he allowed Cubs hitters to smash 9 home runs in just 31 1/3 inning pitched during those 6 appearances. Since 2017, the Cubs are a very profitable 15-5 at home against St. Louis. Chicago enters today riding a current 5-game win streak and that includes holding opponents scoreless in each of its last 2. During their previous 7 games, the Cubs have hit an impressive 15 home runs. Over that precise time frame, the Cardinals have gone yard only twice. The Cubs starting pitcher Yu Darvish has exhibited good form over his last 3 starts while collecting a 3.24 ERA. Bet on the Cubs for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |