Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-02-19 | Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 217 | Top | 95-116 | Win | 100 | 5 h 0 m | Show |
Raptors @ 76ers 8:00 PM ET Game# 581-582 Play On: Under 217.0 (10*) The first 2 games of this series easily went under the total. The average total in those contests was 221.8 and there was a combined 193.0 points scored per game. These teams are a combined 40-130 (30.7%) on their 3-point attempts during those first 2 games of the series. Toronto has now seen 7 of their last 8 stay under the total and that includes all 6 if the total was 210.0 or more. Throughout their previous 6 games, Toronto has held their opponents 90.8 points per game and 38.8% shooting. Philadelphia has gone under in 4 straight games and during that time held opponents to 41.4% shooting and includes 30.1% from 3-point range. The 76ers will be playing in just their 4th game over the past 14 days. Philadelphia is 19-3 (86.3%) under the total this season when playing 4 or fewer games during the past 10 days. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-29-19 | 76ers +6.5 v. Raptors | Top | 94-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
Philadelphia @ Toronto 8:00 PM ET Game# 561-562 Play On: Philadelphia +6.5 (10*) The 76ers lost the opening game of this series on Saturday by a score of 108-95. Philadelphia is 3.-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a loss and won by a substantial average of 19.3 points per game. Additionally, they’re 12-4 ATS this season following a loss by 10 points or more and average outscoring opponent by 9.5 points per game while doing so. The 76ers went under in their last 3 games of its series win versus Brooklyn. Each of those 3 contests went under by 7.5-points or greater. Toronto heads into today on a current 5-game win streak and has also covered 3 straight. They cover those last 3 contests by a combined 31.5 points. Additionally, the Raptors are 2-10 ATS this season after winning 5 or more games in a row. Any NBA away underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Philadelphia) that went under in each of their last 3 games by 6.0-points or greater, versus an opponent (Toronto) that’s a collective +18.0 points or more against the spread during its previous 3 outings, resulted in those underdogs going 23-4 ATS (85.2%) throughout the past 5 seasons. The average line in those 27 contests was 6.3 and the underdogs won straight up on 13 of those occasions. Bet on Philadelphia plus the points for a 10* Top Play Total. |
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04-27-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 209.5 | Top | 86-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
Spurs @ Nuggets 10:00 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Under 209.5 (10*) San Antonio is currently a 6.0-point underdog in this deciding Game7. The Spurs have gone under in 6 of its last 7 this season as an underdog and they scored just 97.4 points per game. Conversely, Denver has gone under in 16 of their previous 20 games as a favorite. The Nuggets have seen 4 of their 5 home contests against San Antonio this season go under and they held them to 96.0 points per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-26-19 | Warriors -9.5 v. Clippers | Top | 129-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
Warriors @ Clippers 10:00 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Golden State -9.5 (10*) The Warriors squandered an opportunity to close out this series on Wednesday when they lost 129-212 as a 15.0-point home favorite. Golden State is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a loss and won by 30.3 points per game. Conversely, the Clippers are 0-3 SU&ATS during their previous 3 following a win and lost by an average of 25.3 points per game. By the way, since the 2017 NBA Playoffs, road favorite are 37-13 ATS (74%). Any NBA Playoff #1 to #3 seed that’s a favorite of 4.0-points or more, and they lost their previous game by 4 points or more as a favorite of 4.0 or greater, resulted in those postseason favorites going 62-18 ATS (77.5%). This includes going 4-0 ATS during these 2019 NBA Playoffs and there was an average victory margin of 18.7 points per game. Bet on the Warriors minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-24-19 | Dodgers v. Cubs +104 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 104 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
Dodgers (Buehler) @ Cubs (Hamels) 8:05 PM ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Cubs +104 (10*) The Dodgers Walker Buehler is a very good young pitcher that showed glimpses of being a future ace last season. However, he’s compiled an uninspiring 5.40 ERA in 4 starts this season. The Cubs Cole Hamels has been brilliant in his last 3 starts while collecting a 1.29 ERA and 0.62 WHIP during that span. The Cubs bullpen has been outstanding over its last 7 games and posted 1.96 ERA throughout that period. The Cubs have won 6 of their previous 7 games and they allowed 2 runs or fewer in their wins. Bet on the Cubs for a 10* money line 10* Top Play. |
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04-23-19 | Maple Leafs +127 v. Bruins | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 46 m | Show |
Maple Leafs @ Bruins 7:00 PM ET Game# 9-10 Play On: Maple Leafs +128 (10*) The professional sports postseason zig-zag theory has worked to perfection in this series. The teams have alternated wins, neither has lost 2 straight games, and both have followed up a loss with a win. I look for that trend to continue this evening. The Leafs lost Game 6 at home and they’ll rebound to win Game 7 at the TD Garden in Boston. Bet on the Maple Leafs for a 10* money line Top Play. |
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04-22-19 | Capitals v. Hurricanes -115 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
Bucks @ Pistons 8:00 PM ET Game# 573-574 Play On: Over 219.5 (5*) There will be no analysis today. |
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04-20-19 | 76ers v. Nets UNDER 232 | Top | 112-108 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
76ers @ Nets 3:00 PM ET Game# 557-558 Play On: Under 232.0 (10*) There will be no analysis today. |
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04-19-19 | Raptors v. Magic +5.5 | Top | 98-93 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
Raptors @ Magic 7:00 PM ET Game# 551-552 Play On: Magic +5.5 (10*) Orlando has gone a superb 13-1 in their last 14 home game. That by itself provides substantial betting value on the home underdog. The Magic is coming off a 111-82 loss at Toronto in game 2 of this series. Orlando has gone an extremely profitable 8-2 SU&ATS in its last 10 and 4-0 SU&ATS (+17.3 PPG) during their previous 4 following a loss in their preceding game. That loss also ended a Magic 5-game win streak. Orlando is 10-2 ATS this season after winning 4 of its last 5 games. Conversely, Toronto is 3-1 SU&ATS in their last 4. The Raptors are a dismal 5-14 ATS this season after covering 3 of their previous 4 games. Bet on Orlando plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-18-19 | 76ers v. Nets +3.5 | Top | 131-115 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
76ers @ Nets 8:05 PM ET Game# 543-544 Play On: Nets +3.5 (10*) Brooklyn has scored 110 points or more in all 6 of their games this season against Philadelphia. As a matter of fact, the Nets have scored 110 points or greater in 11 of their last 13 games overall. Conversely, Philadelphia has allowed 110 points or more during 13 of their previous 16 games. On 2 of the 3 times in which they didn’t, they surrendered 109 points on each occasion. The Nets have gone 28-10 ATS (73.7%) and 27-10 straight up in their last 38 games this season when scoring 110 points or more. They’ve also covered both home games against the 76ers this season. Bet on the Nets plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-16-19 | Lightning v. Blue Jackets +120 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 120 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
Tampa Bay @ Columbus 7:05 PM ET Game# 37-38 Play On: Columbus +120 (10*) Since trailing 3-0 after the first period of Game 1, Columbus has outscored Tampa Bay 12-2. Columbus head coach John Tortorella has his club peaking at the most opportune time. The Blue Jackets have won 5 straight and 10 of their last 11 games. Segei Bobrovsky has been brilliant in goal over the previous 8 periods of this series. Conversely, his goaltending counterpart Andrei Vasilevskiy has a terrible .866 save percentage through the first 3 games of this series. Bet on Columbus for a 10* money line Top Play wager. |
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04-15-19 | Nets v. 76ers -8 | Top | 123-145 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
Nets @ 76ers 8:00 PM ET Game# 521-522 Play On: 76ers -8.0 (10*) The 76ers are coming off Saturday’s opening game 111-102 loss to Brooklyn and they did so as a closing 7.5-point home favorite. Any NBA Playoffs favorite of 4.0 points or more, coming off a straight up loss by 4 points or greater in a game in which they were favorite by 4.0-points or more, resulted in those favorites going 58-17 ATS (77.3%) since the 2009 NBA Playoffs. The average line in those 75 games was 8.0 and the favorites outscored their underdog opponents by a decisive 14.5 points per game. Bet on the 76ers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-13-19 | Magic v. Raptors UNDER 213.5 | Top | 104-101 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Magic @ Raptors 5:05 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Under 213.5 (10*) There’s no analysis being provided today. |
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04-11-19 | Hurricanes v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Hurricanes @ Capitals 7:35 PM ET Game# 13-14 Play On: Under 5.5 (10*) Both teams enter the playoffs with red-hot goaltenders. Carolina’s Petr Mrazek has a sparkling .942 save percentage during his last 4 starts. Conversely, Braden Holtby of Washington has collected a similar .940 save percentage over his previous 4 starts. Holtby’s last 3 starts against Carolina this season saw him compile a superb .952 save percentage. Carolina has gone 20-7-1 under this season when facing fellow Metropolitan Division teams. Washington has witnessed their last 5 home games all going under the total and there were only a combined 3.6 goals scored per outing. The Capitals lost 3-0 in their regular season against the Islanders. Washington is 11-1 under the total this season after playing in a game in which there were a combined 3 or fewer goals being scored. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-10-19 | Dodgers v. Cardinals +102 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 102 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
Dodgers (Maeda) @ Cardinals (Flaherty) 7:45 PM ET Game# 959-960 Play On: Cardinals +102 (10*) St. Louis has won 3 straight and has managed to do so while scoring exactly 4 runs in each of those games. Since 2018, the Cardinals are an extremely profitable 18-4 after scoring 4 runs or fewer in each of its previous 3 games. The Cardinals starter Jack Flaherty has made 2 career starts against the Dodgers with both occurring last season. Flaherty was dominant in those outings evidenced by his 150 ERA and 0.75 WHIP. St. Louis has a bullpen ERA of 3.14 this season. The Dodgers enter today averaging a lofty 7.2 runs scored per game. The Dodgers bullpen has blown 42.9% of their save opportunities this season. This sets up a powerful MLB money line betting angle illustrated below. Any team with a bullpen ERA of 3.33 or better, and they’re facing an opponent who’s averaging 4.7 or more runs scored per game and its bullpen is blowing 38% or more of their save opportunities, resulted in those teams going 35-6 (85.4%) since 2015. The average money line for those 41 teams was +101.6. Bet on the Cardinals for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-08-19 | Padres v. Giants UNDER 7 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
Padres (Lauer) @ Giants (Bumgarner) 9:45 PM ET Game# 959-960 Play On: Under 7.0 (10*) Madison Bumgarner has collected an outstanding 1.38 ERA in his first 2 starts of 2019. Since the start of last season, Bumgarner is 9-1 under in 10 starts when there’s a total of 7.0 or less. The Giants bullpen has been very good thus far while compiling a brilliant staff ERA of 2.38 and they’ve yet to surrender a home run during 34.0 innings pitched. Conversely, the Giants have been anemic offensively to start this season while averaging a mere 2.5 runs per game. San Diego lefty Eric Lauer allowed 0 earned runs on 4 hits while walking just 1 in 6.0 innings of work against San Francisco on 3/28. The Padres are averaging only 3.5 runs scored per game at this juncture. San Diego is 3-0 under the total when facing left-handed starters this year and San Francisco is 4-1 under versus southpaw starters. These teams have played each other 4 times this year and all went under the total. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-08-19 | Texas Tech +1.5 v. Virginia | Top | 77-85 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
Texas Tech vs. Virginia 9:20 PM ET Game# 811-812 Play On: Texas Tech +1.5 (10*) Texas Tech is coming off an impressive 61-51 win over Michigan State on Saturday. The Red Raiders are now a perfect 5-0 ATS during this NCAA Tournament and that includes their last covers coming as an underdog. Texas Tech is allowing a mere 55.8 points per game and have held opponents to just 36.4% shooting during this 2019 NCAA Tournament. Conversely, Virginia has been extremely fortunate in their previous 2 wins over Purdue in overtime and by 1 against Auburn. Both wins came via some last second heroics. Any NCAA Tournament underdog of 8.5-points or less that’s playing in the Sweet 16 or beyond, and they allowed 54 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those underdogs going 21-4 ATS (84%) since 2009. Bet on Texas Tech plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-06-19 | Auburn v. Virginia -6 | Top | 62-63 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
Auburn vs Virginia 6:09 PM ET Game# 803-804 Play On: Virginia -6.0 (10*) The public has fallen in love with the underdog Auburn Tigers and it’s reflected in the betting patterns for this Final Four contest. However, Virginia is healthier and the better team in this matchup. The Cavaliers haven’t been at their best during their 4 NCAA Tournament games, yet, they’re 2 wins away from a national championship. I look for the Cavaliers to be sharp as a razor today. Bet on Virginia minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-05-19 | Celtics v. Pacers UNDER 213 | Top | 117-97 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
Celtics @ Pacers 8:05 PM ET Game# 539-540 Play On: Under 213.0 (10*) Indiana has gone 25-14 (64.1%) under at home this season. That includes 18-3 (85.7%) under if the total was 210.0 to 219.5. The Pacers are outscoring opponents by an average of 3.9 points per game this season. Boston is 15-5 under on the road this season when facing teams with a +3.0 or greater point per game differential. Boston is coming off a 112-102 win at Miami in their previous outing. Indiana is coming off a division 108-89 blowout win at Detroit in its last game. The combination of these results and the current total sets up an extremely profitable NBA betting angle which is illustrated below. Any home team (Indiana) with a total of 200.0 or greater that’s coming off a division win by 10 points or more, versus an opponent (Boston) coming off a road win by 10 points or more, resulted in those games going 38-12 (76%) under since 1996. The average total in those 50 contests was 211.2 and there were a combined 205.0 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-02-19 | Texas v. TCU -1 | Top | 58-44 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 25 m | Show |
Texas vs. TCU 9:30 PM ET Game# 711-712 Play On: TCU -1.0 (10*) This will be the 3rd meeting of the season between these Big 12 rivals. TCU won and covered each of the first 2 and held Texas to a mere 58.5 points scored per game and a combined 39.4% shooting. TCU has won by 13 points or more in each of their first 3 NIT games. The Horned Frogs are allowing 69.9 points per games this season while Texas gives up 67.1 points per contest. Any college basketball team (TCU) that’s coming off 3 straight wins by 10 points or more and they’re and they’re allowing 67 to 74 points per game on the season, versus an opponent (Texas) that’s allowing 67 to 74 points per game on the season, resulted in those teams going 96-16 (85.7%) straight up since 1997. Bet on TCU for my 2019 NIT Game of the Year. |
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04-02-19 | Wichita State v. Lipscomb OVER 150.5 | Top | 64-71 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 32 m | Show |
Wichita State vs. Lipscomb 7:00 PM ET Game# 709-710 Play On: Over 150.5 (10*) During their first 3 NIT games, Lipscomb has averaged an impressive 89.7 points scored per outing while shooting a combined 51.9%. As a matter of fact, Lipscomb has shot 48.2% or better in each of their previous 7 games. Conversely, they’re also allowing 81.0 points per game during this 2019 NIT and opponents have eclipsed the 50% mark shooting on 2 of 3 occasions. Wichita State is currently 22-14 (.647) and Lipscomb is 28-7 (.800). Any NIT game with a total of 150.0 to 159.5, and both teams have a win percentage of .600 to .800, resulted in those contests going 24-6 (80%) over the total since 2015. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-01-19 | Pistons +5.5 v. Pacers | Top | 102-111 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
Detroit @ Indiana 7:05 PM ET Game# 561-562 Play On: Detroit +5.5 (10*) Indiana has lost 7 of its last 8 and each of their previous 3 games. Conversely, Detroit is 17-8 during their last 25 and that includes an extremely profitable 19-6 (76%) L25. Detroit has won 2 of 3 games against Indiana this season. Indiana is coming off Saturday’s 121-116 home loss to Orlando. Detroit is coming off a 99-90 win over Portland in their previous outing, and they held the high scoring Trailblazers to just 34 first half points. Any NBA team (Detroit) that allowed 35 points or fewer in the first half of their previous game, and they’re facing an opponent (Indiana) which allowed 120 points or greater in their last contest, resulted in those teams going 58-21 (73.4%) straight up since 1996. Considering this straight up betting angle sides with tonight’s road underdog it takes on even more significance. Bet on Detroit plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-31-19 | Auburn v. Kentucky -4.5 | Top | 77-71 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
Auburn vs. Kentucky 2:20 PM ET Game# 693-694 Play On: Kentucky -4.5 (10*) Auburn’s chances of winning this game took a huge hit when starting forward Chuma Okeke suffered a knee injury with 8 minutes left to play in the Tigers 97-80 blowout win over North Carolina on Friday night. At the time of his injury, Okeke amassed 20 points and 11 rebounds against North Carolina’s massive frontcourt players. Kentucky has beaten Auburn twice already this season. During those wins the Wildcats averaged 81.0 points scored per game and shot a blistering hot 54.4% from the field. Furthermore, Kentucky held an enormous 76-50 rebounding advantage. That’s even more concerning for Auburn who will be without the services of Okeke. Bet on Kentucky minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-30-19 | Texas Tech +4.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 75-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
Texas Tech vs. Gonzaga 6:09 PM ET Game# 683-684 Play On: Texas Tech +4.5 (10*) Gonzaga is #1 nationally in scoring offense (88.2 PPG) and field goal percentage (52.8%). However, they’ll be facing a Texas Tech team that’s #3 nationally in scoring defense (58.7 PPG) and #1 in defensive field goal percentage (36.7%). Texas Tech has exhibited even tighter defense throughout their first 3 NCAA Tournament games. During that time, they allowed a mere 53.0 points per game while holding opponents to a combined 35.5% shooting. They covered in each of those contests and their average victory margin was 18.0-points per contest. Additionally, the Red Raiders have shot 48.1% during that identical time frame. I’m going with the Big 12 regular season champion in this one. Bet on Texas Tech plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-29-19 | Virginia Tech +7 v. Duke | Top | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
Virginia Tech vs. Duke 9:39 PM ET Game# 669-670 Play On: Virginia Tech +7.0 (10*) Duke is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games and that includes 1-4 ATS since Zion Williamson’s return from injury. Duke barely escaped with a 77-76 win over Central Florida in their previous game and were extremely fortunate to do so as a 13.0-point favorite. Virginia Tech is a whole different team with star point guard Justin Robinson in the lineup. Following a convincing home win over Syracuse earlier this season, Robinson missed several games due to injury and the Hokies weren’t nearly as efficient offensively. Nevertheless, they did manage to beat Duke without Robinson. Well Robinson is back and so are the Hokies. Additionally, Virginia Tech is 7-1 straight up this season when playing at a neutral site. This is a balanced Virginia Tech team that’s totally capable of pulling off an upset today. However, I’ll take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Virginia Tech plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-28-19 | Texas Tech +2 v. Michigan | Top | 63-44 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
Texas Tech vs. Michigan 9:39 PM ET Game# 657-658 Play On: Texas Tech +2.0 (10*) Both teams are excellent defensively. The difference in this game will be Texas Tech is more consistent on the offensive end. The Red Raiders have scored 70 or more in 10 straight games. Conversely, Michigan has scored 70 or less in 14 of their last 19 games. Texas Tech is coming off a 78-58 win over Buffalo. Any Sweet 16 or Elite 8 underdog of 8.5 points or less that allowed less than 60 points in their previous game, resulted in those underdogs going 31-9 ATS (77.5%) since 2006. Bet on Texas Tech plus the small number for a 10* Top Play. |
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03-27-19 | Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 217.5 | Top | 100-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
LA Lakers @ Utah 10:35 PM ET Game# 583-584 Play On: Under 217.5 (10*) The Lakers have gone under in 5 straight games as an underdog. Those 5 contests went under the total by an average of 13.5 points per game. The Lakers are also 8-1 under this season when there’s been a total of 210.0 to 219.5, Those 9 contests averaged a combined 206.4 points scored per game. Utah has gone under in 5 consecutive home games and has done so by 12.9 points per outing. These teams have seen both games played against one another this season go under and there were a collective 190.5 points scored per contest. Utah shot a combined 39.2% in those contests while the Lakers weren’t much better at 40.7%. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-24-19 | Oklahoma +11 v. Virginia | Top | 51-63 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
Oklahoma vs. Virginia 7:45 PM ET Game# 861-862 Play On: Oklahoma +11.0 (10*) Oklahoma has gone a terrific 12-1 SU&ATS versus non-conference opponents this season. The Sooners are coming off Friday’s 95-72 blowout over Ole Miss in which they shot a blistering hot 57.6%. Oklahoma is 6-1 straight up this season following a game in which they shot 50% or better. The Sooners have also gone a very profitable 8-4-2 ATS this season as an underdog. There’s nothing bad to say against Virginia except that I’m fading them today. Bet on Oklahoma plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-23-19 | Auburn -2 v. Kansas | Top | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
Kansas vs. Auburn 9:40 PM ET Game# 849-850 Play On: Auburn -2.0 (10*) Although Kansas was extremely impressive in their blowout win over Northeastern on Thursday, I haven’t been crazy about this 2018-2019 Jayhawks team, and especially when not playing on their home floor. Survive and advance appropriately fits Auburn’s opening round game after escaping with a narrow 1-point win over New Mexico State. Speaking of New Mexico State, that’s the same Aggies team that gave Kansas all they can handle during a 3-point loss in early December and entered the NCAA Tournament on a 19-game win streak. Auburn has gone an eye-catching 8-1 straight up this season when playing at a neutral site, and their only defeat came by 6-points against 2019 NCAA Tournament #1 overall seed Duke. Bet on Auburn minus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-22-19 | Liberty v. Mississippi State -6 | Top | 80-76 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 55 m | Show |
Liberty vs. Mississippi State 7:27 PM ET Game# 821-822 Play On: Mississippi State -6.0 (10*) Liberty earned their automatic bid by winning 74-68 at Lipscomb as a 6.0-point underdog in their conference championship game. That victory improved the Flames season record to an outstanding 28-6 (.824). However, Liberty has yet to face an opponent this season which is part of the 68-team NCAA Tournament field. Mississippi State enters the NCAA Tournament with a solid 23-10 record. The Bulldogs own non-conference wins over 2019 NCAA Tournament teams such as Cincinnati (28-6), Wofford (29-4), and St. Mary’s (22-11). They also played 9 games against fellow SEC teams which are in the NCAA Tournament and won 3 of those contests. Any college basketball favorite (Mississippi State) with a winning record that’s facing an opponent with a win percentage of .800 or better, and they’re (Liberty) coming off a conference win as an underdog of 6.0 or more points, resulted in those favorites going 33-9 ATS (78.6%) since 1997. The average point-spread in those 42 games was 5.4. Liberty has been a trendy upset pick this week. Nevertheless, I firmly believe that’s fool’s gold. Mississippi State has seen 39.3% of their games played this season come against teams who are in the 2019 NCAA Tournament. The tougher schedule will pay huge dividends against an opponent that’s feasted on low level competition. Bet on Mississippi State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-21-19 | New Mexico State +6 v. Auburn | Top | 77-78 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show |
New Mexico State vs. Auburn 1:30 PM ET Game# 781-782 Play On: New Mexico State +6.0 (10*) Auburn won games in 4 days to win the SEC Tournament title which concluded with an upset of Tennessee in Sunday’s Finals. Now on just 3 days rest they’ll be facing an extremely dangerous New Mexico State team which has won 19 straight games. The Aggies are a dominating +13.8 rebounds per game over their last 8 outings. Conversely, Auburn is a -6 rebound per game in throughout their previous 6 contests. New Mexico State has shot 50.8% or better in 5 of their last 7 games. Auburn has allowed its previous 5 opponents to shoot a combined 47.8% and that includes an alarming 42.1% from 3-point territory. Bet on New Mexico State plus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-20-19 | Celtics v. 76ers UNDER 225 | Top | 115-118 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
Boston @ Philadelphia 7:35 PM ET Game# 567-568 Play On: Under 225.0 (10*) Boston has gone under in each of their previous 5 games as an underdog. Those contests had an average total of 227.3 and there were a combined 215.6 points scored per game. The Celtics have also gone under in 8 of their last 9 away games versus Eastern Conference opponents and there was a collective 213.2 points scored per contest. Philadelphia has gone under in 7 straight at home when there was a total of 229.5 or less. There was a combined 214.6 points scored per contests throughout those 7 home games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-19-19 | Lipscomb v. Davidson OVER 149 | Top | 89-81 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
Lipscomb @ Davidson 7:00 PM ET Game# 683-684 Play On: Over 149.0 (10*) The sharp money is on the over in this contest and that includes mine. Throughout their previous 5 contests Lipscomb has averaged a lofty 80.0 points scored per game while shooting 50% and converting on an excellent 39.2% of its 3-point attempts. Davidson is averaging a healthy 76.1 points scored per game at home this season. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-16-19 | Florida State +8 v. Duke | Top | 63-73 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
Florida State vs. Duke 8:30 PM ET Game# 633-634 Play On: Florida State +8.0 (10*) Duke revenged 2 regular season losses to archrival North Carolina by defeating the Tar Heels 74-73 in yesterday’s ACC Semifinals. Now they are laying a sizable number against a red-hot Florida State team they beat on the road in their only regular season meeting with the Seminoles. That surely equates to a potential emotional letdown despite the ACC crown being at stake. Since starting ACC play 1-4, Florida State has rebounded to win 14 of their next 15 games. Their only loss in that sequence came at North Carolina. There’s a ton of betting value today on the underdog Seminoles. I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see an outright upset. However, I won’t be greedy and will gladly take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Florida State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-15-19 | Colorado +3.5 v. Washington | Top | 61-66 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
Colorado vs. Washington 9:00 PM ET Game# 847-848 Play On: Colorado +3.5 (10*) Washington has gone 3-2 during their previous 5 games. However, they failed to cover on each occasion and were a favorite in all 5 contests. Colorado comes in red-hot having won 10 of its last 12 and that includes a current 5-game win streak. The Buffaloes will be playing with double revenge after losing both regular season meetings with Washington by margins of 7 and 9 points. The Buffaloes have been outstanding defensively during their present winning streak while allowing a mere 61.4 points per game and holding its opponents to 37.0% shooting. They also held an enormous +11.0 rebounds per game over their opponent throughout this present win streak. Bet on Colorado plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-14-19 | Louisville v. North Carolina UNDER 151 | Top | 70-83 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
Louisville vs. North Carolina 7:00 PM ET Game# 709-710 Play On: Under 151.0 (10*) Louisville has gone under in their last 6 games when there’s been a total of 126.0 or greater. Those 6 contests averaged only a combined 126.3 points scored per game. The Cardinals have covered in each of their previous 3 games. Louisville is 8-0 under the total this season following 2 or more ATS wins in a row and there were a collective 133.6 points scored per contest. The Cardinals have struggled offensively throughout their last 5 appearances while scoring a mere 63.4 points per game while shooting just 37.3% which includes 26.9% from 3-point territory. North Carolina has garnered the reputation as an explosive offensive team and rightfully so. However, they’re vastly underrated defensively. As a matter of fact, during their last 5 outings they’ve held opponents to a collective 38.6% shooting. The Tar Heels have gone under in 5 straight games when there’s been a total of 148.0 or greater. North Carolina also went under during both of this season’s games against Louisville. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-13-19 | California v. Colorado UNDER 137.5 | Top | 51-56 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
California vs. Colorado 5:30 PM ET Game# 641-642 Play On: Under 137.5 (10*) These teams met once during regular season actions and Colorado defeated California 68-59. That game easily stayed under the total of 147.0. California has seen each of their last 4 games go under when there’s been a total of 135.5 or greater. Those 5 contests averaged just a combined 130.8 points scored per game. Colorado has witnessed each of their previous game games going under when there’s been a total of 147.0 or less. Those 6 contests averaged only a collective 130.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-12-19 | Blazers v. Clippers +2.5 | Top | 125-104 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
Portland @ LA Clippers 10:35 PM ET Game# 545-546 Play On: LA Clippers +2.5 (5*) Portland has been terrific at home this season. Nonetheless, they’re a dismal 6-14 straight up and 7-13 ATS this season when facing Western Conference teams on the road. The Trailblazers are also 2-3 during its last 5 games overall and allowed a sizable 119.2 points per contest. The only negative I see for the Clippers in this one is they played last night while Portland enters tonight’s contest on 2 days rest. However, the Clippers were a 140-115 blowout winner over Boston last night which enabled them to rest their top players late in that contest. With that win over the Celtics, they’re now 5-0 SU&ATS during their last 5 at home while winning by a decisive 18.0 points per game. Since 2/2/2019, the Clippers are 5-0 SU&ATS as an underdog of 4.0 points or fewer and won by 10.4 points per contest. Bet on the Clippers plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-11-19 | Celtics v. Clippers +2.5 | Top | 115-140 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
Celtics @ Clippers 10:35 PM ET Game# 531-532 Play On: Clippers +2.5 (10*) The Celtics are a dismal 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 7.0 or less and they lost straight up on 4 of those occasions. Monday will be the finale of a 4-game in 7-day west coast trip for Boston. Conversely, the Clippers will be playing on 2 days rest and it will be just their 2nd game in 5 days. Additionally, the Clippers are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 home games while winning by a substantial 16.2 points per contest. During those 4 home tilts, they averaged 125.2 points scored per game while shooting 49.5% and converted on an excellent 44.1% of its 3-point attempts. Bet on the Clippers plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-09-19 | Michigan v. Michigan State OVER 136 | Top | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
Michigan @ Michigan State 8:00 PM ET Game# 649-650 Play On: Over 136.0 (10*) These teams are both terrific defensively. However, the last 4 games in this series have all gone over the total and there was a combined 145.8 points scored per contest. Michigan has gone over the total in each of their last 3 games. The Wolverines have also gone over during 3 of its previous 4 conference away games. Michigan State has won 4 of its last 5 games. During the past 2 seasons, the Spartans have gone over in all 9 of its home games after winning 4 of their previous 5 played. Those contests averaged a collective 158.2 points scored per game. Michigan State has averaged 76.7 points scored per outing and shot a red-hot 52.6% throughout its last 3 games. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-07-19 | Pacers v. Bucks -10 | Top | 98-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
Pacers @ Bucks 8:05 PM ET Game# 547-548 Play On: Bucks -10.0 (10*) Indiana has gone a dismal 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 as an underdog of 2.5 or greater and they lost by a substantial average of 15.8 points per game. The Pacers are coming off a 105-96 home win over Central Division cellar dweller Chicago in their last outing. Milwaukee has lost their last 2 games and it’s the first time that’s happened all season long. However, it must be noted, those defeats occurred on the tail end of a grueling 5-game in 8-day road trip. The Bucks lost 114-105 as a 13.5-point favorite at Phoenix in their previous outing. Milwaukee will be playing today’s game on 2 days of rest. They’ve gone a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS this season as a double-digit home favorite when playing on exactly 2 days of rest, and won by an enormous 25.2 points per contest. Any favorite of 10.0 or greater that’s coming off a road game in which both teams scored 100 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent (Pacers) that’s coming off a division win, resulted in those double-digit favorites going 33-11 ATS (75%) since 1996. The average point-spread was 12.9 and the favorite outscored those 44 underdogs by 16.9 points per game. Play on the Bucks minus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-06-19 | Celtics v. Kings UNDER 229 | Top | 111-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
Boston @ Sacramento 10:05 PM ET Game# 543-544 Play On: Under 229.0 (10*) Boston has gone under in 5 consecutive games. Those contests went under by a substantial average of 18.3 points per game. The Celtics have also gone under in 9 of its previous 10 away games, and that includes all 5 if there was a total of 221.5 or greater. Sacramento has gone under in 6 successive home games when there’s been a total of 229.0 or less. Those contests saw only 214.0 points being scored per occasion. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-05-19 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Wright State -8.5 | Top | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
IUPUI @ Wright State 8:00 PM ET Game# 647-648 Play On: Wright State -8.5 (10*) IUPUI has gone 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 away games. IUPUI has been terrible on the defensive end of the floor throughout their previous 5 games. During that time, they allowed opponents to shoot a combined 48.9% and that includes an alarming 43.4% from 3-point territory. They will be facing a Wright State team tonight that’s made an impressive 48.4% of its field goal attempts over their last 5 outings. Wright State is also a red-hot 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 games and already has defeated IUPUI twice during regular season action. Bet on Wright State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-02-19 | Western Carolina v. East Tennessee State OVER 146.5 | Top | 74-81 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State 4:00 PM ET Game# 765-766 Play On: Over 146.5 (10*) East Tennessee State has seen all 7 of their Ohio Valley Conference home games go over the total this season. Those 7 contests produced a combined 160.1 points scored per game. During 14 home contests this season, East Tennessee State is averaging 85.9 points scored per game and is shooting a sizzling hot 52.3%. Western Carolina has gone over the total in 5 of its previous 7 away games. Those 7 contests have manufactured a collective 168.9 points being scored per game. Western Carolina will be playing with revenge stemming from an earlier season 91-69 home loss to East Tennessee State. That contests easily sailed over the total of 142.5. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-01-19 | Blazers +5 v. Raptors | Top | 117-119 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
Portland @ Toronto 8:05 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Portland +5.0 (10*) Portland has gone an impressive 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 outings while winning by an average of 13.8 points per game and 4 of those 5 were on the road. On the other hand, Toronto is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 4.5-points or more. Bet on Portland for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-28-19 | Washington State +8.5 v. Stanford | Top | 50-98 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
Washington State @ Stanford 9:00 PM ET Game# 639-640 Play On: Washington State +8.5 (10*) No analysis on this game. |
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02-26-19 | San Diego State v. Utah State -8 | Top | 54-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
San Diego State @ Utah State 9:30 PM ET Game# 643-644 Play On: Utah State -8.0 (10*) There’s no analysis today. |
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02-23-19 | San Diego State v. UNLV +1 | Top | 60-59 | Push | 0 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
San Diego State @ UNLV 10:00 PM ET Game# 749-750 Play On: UNLV +1.0 (10*) San Diego State is coming off a huge home upset win as an 8.0-point underdog over #6 ranked Nevada 924-2) in their previous game. The Aztecs will be facing another elite Mountain West Conference team in Utah State (21-6) next. Sandwiched between is tonight’s contest versus 15-11 UNLV. This certainly shapes up as a flat spot for the Aztecs. Speaking of UNLV, they’re currently on a modest 3-game win streak. The Rebels will be out to revenge a 17-point loss at San Diego State earlier this season. Despite that decisive defeat, the game was clearly decided by free throws. San Diego State was able toi get to the charity stripe 30 times and made 24 of those attempts. Conversely, UNLV was awarded just 14 free throws and converted only 6 of those attempts. That’s a highly unlikely scenario to occur again. Bet on UNLV for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-22-19 | Nuggets v. Mavs +4.5 | Top | 114-104 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
Denver @ Dallas 8:30 PM ET Game# 527-528 Play On: Dallas +4.5 (10*) Denver has gone a superb 25-4 at home this season. However, they haven’t been as nearly successful on the road by going a mediocre 14-14. As a matter of fact, the Nuggets are a dismal 10-18 ATS (35.7%) during those 28 away games. Despite their overall losing record, Dallas is a solid 20-9 at home this season. Furthermore, since 11/6/2018, the Mavericks are a perfect 10-0 ATS as a home underdog of 7.0-points or fewer, and they won 8 of those contests straight up. Bet on Dallas plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-21-19 | Weber State v. CS Sacramento OVER 142.5 | Top | 76-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
Weber State @ Sacramento State 10:00 PM ET Game# 673-674 Play On: Over 142.5 (10*) Sacramento State is averaging 77.9 points scored per game at home this season. Throughout their previous 5 games Sacramento has shot an impressive 48.2%. Weber State is 10-5 in Big Sky Conference play and averaged 80.6 points scored per game while doing so. Weber State has gone over the total in their last 3 outings and there were a combined 157 points or more scored on each of those occasions. Sacramento State will look to avoid a slow start like they had in their previous out when they scored only 25 first half points. The combination of these facts and data qualifies for a very successful betting angle which is illustrated below. Any team (Sacramento State) with a total of 140.0 to 149.5 who scored 25 points or fewer during the 1st half of their previous game, and they’re facing an opponent (Weber State) that’s seen a collective 155 points or more being scored during each of its last 3 contests, resulted in those games going 66-23 (74.2%) over the total during the past 5 seasons. There was an average total of 145.0 in those 89 games and there were a combined 152.9 points scored per contest. As a matter of fact, this identical college basketball situation has arisen 4 times this season and all went over the total. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-20-19 | New Mexico v. Utah State -14.5 | Top | 55-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
New Mexico @ Utah State 11:00 PM ET Game# 837-838 Play On: Utah State -14.5 (10*) New Mexico has gone a dismal 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 Mountain West Conference road games. The Lobos lost those 5 contests by a decisive average margin of 18.4 points per game. Utah State is 11-1 at home this season and has outscored their opponents by a massive average of 21.7 points per game in those 12 contests. Utah State has converted on a superb 43.1% of their 3-point attempts throughout its previous 5 games. Bet on Utah State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-19-19 | Florida State v. Clemson UNDER 133 | Top | 77-64 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
Florida State @ Clemson 9:00 PM ET Game# 629-630 Play On: Under 133.0 (10*) Both teams have been stout defensively during each of late. Clemson has allowed 50.2 points per contest and held its opponents to a paltry 31.2% shooting throughout its last 5 games. Florida State has allowed 59.8 points per game while their opponent shot a collective 36.2% over their previous 5 contests. Clemson has gone under the total in 4 of its last 5 conference home games and there were a combined 120.0 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-16-19 | Fresno State -2 v. New Mexico | Top | 81-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
Fresno State @ New Mexico 7:00 PM ET Game# 719-720 Play On: Fresno State -2.0 (10*) New Mexico has gone an uninspiring 7-6 at home this season. The Lobos are coming off a 92-60 win at Mountain West cellar dweller San Jose State. However, they’ve gone 0-3 in their last 3 games following a win. As a matter of fact, they’ve lost 7 of their last 10 overall and 2 of those wins came against opponents (San Jose State/Wyoming) who’ve combined to go an abysmal 9-38 this season. Fresno State is 16-4 in their last 20 and that includes 5-1 during true road games. They’re also 4-1 in their previous 5 games with their lone defeat coming by 1 against a very good 19-6 Utah State team. Thru that 5-game stretch, Fresno State has shot a stellar 47.8% and made an outstanding 40.3% of its 3-point attempts. Bet on Fresno State for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-15-19 | Monmouth v. Rider -7.5 | Top | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
Monmouth @ Rider 7:00 PM ET Game# 867-868 Play On: Rider -7.5 (10*) This qualifies as one of those situations in which using a contrarian approach would is the most logical thing to do. Monmouth has gone 4-0 SU&ATS during their previous 4 games played. One of those wins was over Rider and they do so as a 4.5-point home underdog. Conversely, Rider is 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 contests. As a matter of fact, Rider has failed to cover in 9 straight games. Yet, Rider opened as a 5.5-point favorite and it’s since moved to 7.5 despite better than 60% wagers being made on Monmouth thus far. If it looks like a trap and seems like a trap, then it’s a trap. Bet on Rider minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-13-19 | Bucks v. Pacers +5 | Top | 106-97 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
Bucks @ Pacers 7:05 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Pacers +5.0 (10*) Milwaukee has gone an unblemished 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite. Additionally, they were a favorite of 7.0-points or greater in all those contests. Before jumping the gun let me fill you in on what I was able to discover. Upon doing further research, I found the Bucks to be just 1-6 ATS this season as a road favorite of 5.5-points or less. Indiana is a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 at home against Milwaukee. During the first 4 games of Indiana’s current home stand, the Pacers held their opponents to 91.3 points per game, 41.3% shooting, and allowed them to make just 28.9% of its 3-point shots while going a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS. Bet on Indiana plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager |
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02-12-19 | Air Force v. UNLV OVER 142 | Top | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
Air Force @ UNLV 10:30 PM ET Game# 639-640 Play On: Over 142.0 (10*) These teams met earlier this season at the Air Force Academy. That game turned into an extremely entertaining high scoring affair that saw Air Force come away with a 106-88 win, and it went over the total of 137.0. The teams combined for 129 field goal attempts while going 23-48 (47.9%) from beyond the 3-point line. This kind of scoring spree was very much out of character for an Air Force game, and thus the slight 5.0-point adjustment made to tonight’s total compared to that of the first matchup between these teams. UNLV is coming off an 83-65 loss to Fresno State in their previous outing, and that contest went under the total of 149.5. UNLV has gone over the total in 5 straight contests following an under in their previous outing, and there was a combined average of 157.8 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-09-19 | Nebraska v. Purdue UNDER 139 | Top | 62-81 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 15 m | Show |
Nebraska @ Purdue 8:30 PM ET Game# 749-750 Play On: Under 139.0 (10*) Nebraska has seen each of their previous 4 games go under the total and the Cornhuskers were a major contributor to those low scoring affairs. During that time, Nebraska is averaging a mere 55.0 points scored per game and made a pathetic 30.6% of their field goal attempts. Conversely, Purdue has witnessed their last 3 home games all go under the total while there were a cumulative 132.3 points scored per contest. Nebraska is a combined is an enormous -65 points ATS over their last 7 games. Purdue has gone over the total by a combined 29 points during its previous 3 games. The combination of this data qualifies for a very successful college basketball total betting angle which is displayed below. Any road team (Nebraska) with a total of 130.0 to 139.5 that failed to cover their previous 7 games by a combined 48.0 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent (Purdue) who’s gone over the total by a cumulative 24.0 points or greater during its last 3 games, resulted in those contests going 35-9 (79.5%) under the total since 1997. There was a cumulative 128.6 points scored per game during those 44 contests. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play. |
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02-05-19 | Kansas v. Kansas State -2.5 | Top | 67-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Kansas @ Kansas State 9:00 PM ET Game# 635-636 Play On: Kansas State -2.5 (10*) Kansas is 1-5 SU&ATS in their last 6 true road games. This is a Kansas State team that is finally healthy and returned 5 starters from a team that advanced to an NCAA Tournament Regional Final last March. The Wildcats appear to be peaking in time for another late season run. Bet on Kansas State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-03-19 | Patriots v. Rams +3 | Top | 13-3 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 14 m | Show |
Patriots vs. Rams 6:30 PM ET Game# 101-102 Play On: Rams +3.0 (10*) New England has unequivocally more postseason experience let alone Super Bowl experience than the Rams do. However, I firmly believe the Rams are the more talented team on both sides of the ball, and that will trump all on Sunday. It’s also worth noting, since last season’s Super Bowl, New England has gone a dismal 0-5 SU&ATS as a favorite of 2.0 to 9.0-points when not playing at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro. New England was outscored in those 5 contests by an average of 11.2 points per game. Bet on the Rams plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-02-19 | Rockets v. Jazz -7 | Top | 125-98 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
Houston @ Utah 9:05 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: Utah -7.0 (10*) Utah has allowed 112 and 132 points respectively during its last 2 games. The Jazz are 30-23 this season and that includes 9-1 throughout their previous 10 home games. Utah has averaged outscoring their opponents this season by 3.2 points per game. Any NBA favorite of 3.5 to 9.5-points that’s playing after game 41 of their season, and they allowed 110 points or more in each of their previous 2 contests, and they’re outscoring their opponents by an average of 3 to 7 points per game, resulted in those favorites going 33-9 ATS (78.6%) since 1996. The average point-spread during those 42 contests was 6.2 and the favorites outscored the underdogs by an average of 12.6 points per game. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-01-19 | Brown v. Dartmouth OVER 146.5 | Top | 60-58 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
Brown @ Dartmouth 7:00 ET Game# 855-856 Play On: Over 146.5 (10*) Dartmouth has gone over the total in each of their previous 3 home games. They’re also averaging a robust 82.0 points scored per game while shooting 50.4% from the field and has made a sizzling hot 41.0% of their 3-point shot attempts during 8 home games. Brown has averaged 82.0 points scored per game throughout their previous 5 contests and they’ve tallied 71 or greater during 7 of its last 8 outings. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-31-19 | Wofford v. Mercer OVER 143.5 | Top | 76-67 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 22 m | Show |
Wofford @ Mercer 7:00 PM ET Game# 667-668 Play On: Over 143.5 (10*) Mercer has seen each of its last 7 go over the total and there was a combined average of 157.7 points scored per game. During their previous 5 contests, Mercer is scoring 80.0 points per game while shooting a scorching hot 50.0% and converting on 43.0% of their 3-point attempts. They’ve also made 75.8% of their free throw attempts throughout that 5-game stretch. Wofford is currently a 7.0-point road favorite in this game. Wofford is 9-2 over the total as a favorite this season and there was a combined average of 154.7 points scored per game. Mercer is averaging 80.0 points scored per contest while Wofford amassed 81.6 points per outing during each team’s previous 5 games. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-30-19 | Grizzlies v. Wolves UNDER 209 | Top | 97-99 | Win | 100 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
Memphis @ Minnesota 8:05 PM ET Game# 559-560 Play On: Under 209.0 (5*) There will be no analysis today. |
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01-29-19 | Kansas v. Texas -1 | Top | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
Kansas @ Texas 7:00 PM ET Game# 619-620 Play On: Texas -1.0 (10*) These teams met a little over 2 weeks ago in Lawrence, and Kansas walked away with a narrow 80-78 win. Texas is coming off a disappointing 98-88 loss at Georgia in a game they closed as a 4.5-point favorite. Any college basketball team (Texas) with a point-spread of +3.0 to -3.0 that’s playing with same season revenge stemming from a loss by 3 points or less, and they’re coming off a road favorite straight up loss by 10 points or more, resulted in those teams going 27-5 SU&ATS (84.4%) since 1997. Bet on Texas for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-25-19 | Heat v. Cavs UNDER 208 | Top | 100-94 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
Miami @ Cleveland 7:35 PM ET Game# 567-568 Play On: Under 208.0 (10*) Cleveland enters today with a pathetic 9-4 record and they’ve allowed each of their last 5 opponents to shoot 47.4% or better. Cleveland has made just 44.3% of their field goal attempts this season. Miami has held their opponents to 44.9% shooting from the field this season. This sets up a very successful NBA totals betting angle which is illustrated below. Any home team (Cleveland) with a total of 200.0 or more who’s offensive field goal percentage is 43.5 to 45.5% that’s playing after game 41 of their season, and they’ve allowed their last 5 opponents to shoot 47% or better, and they’re facing a team (Miami) that has a defensive field goal percentage of 43.5 to 45.5%, resulted in those contests going 24-5 (82.8%) under the total since 1996. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-21-19 | Blazers v. Jazz -5 | Top | 109-104 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
Portland @ Utah 9:05 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Utah -5.0 (10*) Portland is an outstanding 20-7 at home this season but an uninspiring 8-12 during away games. The Trailblazers record to date stands at 28-19 (.596). These teams have met twice already this season, and Utah won both contests by decisive margins of 21 and 30 points. The Jazz are coming off a 115-99 home win over Cleveland in a game they covered as a substantial 15.5-point favorite. Utah has won 6 straight games to improve its season record to 26-21 (.553). Any NBA home favorite of 3.5 to 9.5-points (Utah) that’s coming off an ATS win in their previous game, and both teams have a win percentage of .510 to .600, resulted in those home favorites going 70-21 ATS throughout the last 5 seasons. The average point-spread in those 91 games was 5.2. Bet on Utah minus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-20-19 | Rams v. Saints -3 | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -103 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
Rams @ Saints 3:05 PM ET Game#311-312 Play On: Saints -3.0 (10*) The Rams are coming off last week’s Divisional Round 30-22 home win over Dallas. The Rams covered their closing point-spread line of -7.0. NFL Playoff home favorites of 9.0-points or fewer (Saints) that’s facing an opponent (Rams) m coming off a playoff game in which they covered as a home favorite by 6.5-points or less, resulted in those home favorites going 11-1 ATS (91.7%) since 1988. Bet on the Saints minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-19-19 | Murray State v. SIU-Edwardsville OVER 152.5 | Top | 82-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
Murray State @ SIU-Edwardsville 8:00 PM ET Game# 807-808 Play On: Over 152.5 (10*) There will be no analysis today. |
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01-17-19 | Oregon v. Arizona OVER 134 | Top | 59-54 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
Oregon @ Arizona 9:00 PM ET Game# 643-644 Play On: Over 134.0 (10*) Arizona has seen each of their previous 3 go over the total and there was a combined average of 154.0 points scored per game. Oregon has also witnessed its last 3 go over the total and there was a combined average of 153.7 points scored per game. These teams have seen each of their last 6 meetings go over and there were a combined 168.6 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-16-19 | Georgia Tech v. Clemson -8 | Top | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
Georgia Tech @ Clemson 9:00 PM ET Game# 821-822 Play On: Clemson -8.0 (10*) Granted, Clemson has gone 0-3 SU&ATS during its previous 3 games. However, those losses have come against #1 Duke, #2 Virginia, and Syracuse who just upset Duke as a 17.0-point underdog this past Monday. The Tigers average just 55 field goal attempts per game. Georgia Tech is coming off an upset win at Syracuse last Saturday which improved their season record to 10-6. The Yellowjackets have held their last 2 opponents to a mere 31% and 29% shooting for the game. Any favorite (Clemson) that averages 55 or fewer field goal attempts per game, versus an opponent (Georgia Tech) playing after game 15 of their season that averages 55 or fewer field goal attempts per game, and they held each of their last 2 opponents to 37% shooting or worse, resulted in those favorites going 23-4 ATS during the past 5 seasons. |
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01-15-19 | Warriors v. Nuggets +1.5 | Top | 142-111 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
Golden State @ Denver 9:05 PM ET Game# 521-522 Play On: Denver +1.5 (10*) Golden State has gone a money draining 2-9 ATS this season when their point-spread is +4.5 to -4.5. I’m not crazy about days of the week betting trends but this one I can’t ignore. During the past 2 seasons, when Golden State played on Tuesday nights they’ve gone a terrible 2-14 ATS. Denver has held their own at home against Golden State over the past 3 seasons by going 3-2 in those games which includes a win this past October. The Nuggets are 18-3 at home this season and that includes winning 12 straight at the Pepsi center in Denver. Considering what the current point-spread it gives the home team in this matchup ample betting value. Bet on Denver for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-15-19 | LSU v. Ole Miss -3.5 | Top | 83-69 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
LSU @ Mississippi 9:00 PM ET Game# 639-640 Play On: Mississippi -3.5 (10*) This will be just the 2nd true road game of the season for LSU. The Tigers lost by 6 at Houston in their only other away contest. Ole Miss is a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS at home this season and has won by a substantial average of 20.1 points per game. As a matter of fact, Ole Miss is a red-hot 10-0 SU&ATS in their last 10 games overall while winning by 15.2 points per contest. Some will have the concern that the Rebels are coming off an upset win at in state rival Mississippi State in their previous game. However, this is a team that’s proved their preseason critics to be completely wrong thus far and is playing with a massive chip on their shoulders. I’m riding the hot hand. Bet on Mississippi minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-14-19 | Florida State v. Pittsburgh +6 | Top | 62-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
Florida State @ Pittsburgh 7:00 PM ET Game# 869-870 Play On: Pittsburgh +6.0 (10*) Florida State has struggled offensively during 1-2 start in ACC play by shooting a dismal 39.4% and making only 27.0% of its 3-point attempts. The Seminoles are coming off of Saturday’s 80-78 home loss to Duke. Florida State has gone 0-6 ATS on the road during the past 2 seasons following a home game in which both teams scored 75 points or more. Pittsburgh enters with a very respectable 11-5 record and that includes a profitable 11-4 ATS (73.3%) mark. The Panthers have been stout defensively throughout its previous 5 games by holding opponents to 40.9% shooting and allowing them to make just 27.4% of their 3-point shots. Bet on Pittsburgh plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-13-19 | Eagles v. Saints -8 | Top | 14-20 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 49 m | Show |
Chargers @ Patriots 1:05 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Under 48.0 (10*) The Chargers have seen 13 of their last 20 away games (65%) go under the total. They’ve also gone under in 8 of their last 11 overall which includes each of its previous 3. Additionally, they’ve allowed 19 points or fewer in 8 of their previous 13 games. New England’s defense quietly performed extremely well during the 2nd of this season. Specifically, the Patriots allowed 17 points or fewer in 7 of their previous 9 games. Furthermore, New England went under the total during 8 of those 9 contests and that includes each of the last 3. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-13-19 | Chargers v. Patriots UNDER 48 | Top | 28-41 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 12 m | Show |
Chargers @ Patriots 1:05 PM ET Game# 305-306 Play On: Under 48.0 (10*) The Chargers have seen 13 of their last 20 away games (65%) go under the total. They’ve also gone under in 8 of their last 11 overall which includes each of its previous 3. Additionally, they’ve allowed 19 points or fewer in 8 of their previous 13 games. New England’s defense quietly performed extremely well during the 2nd of this season. Specifically, the Patriots allowed 17 points or fewer in 7 of their previous 9 games. Furthermore, New England went under the total during 8 of those 9 contests and that includes each of the last 3. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-12-19 | Cowboys +8.5 v. Rams | Top | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show |
Cowboys @ Rams 8:15 PM ET Game# 303-304 Play On: Cowboys +8.5 (5*) Despite Rams management spending an enormous amount of money on their defense, they still allowed a lofty 24.0 points per game during its regular season slate. As a matter of fact, the Rams have allowed 30 points or more in each of their last 4 home games. The Rams have also gone 1-5-2 ATS during this NFL campaign versus opponents that finished their regular season slate with a winning record. During the past 3 seasons, Dallas has gone a perfect 7-0 ATS in away games against teams that were allowing 24.0 or more points per game. The Cowboys are also 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games as an away underdog of 3.5 or more, and they won 10 of those 19 contests straight up. Bet on Dallas plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-10-19 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 211.5 | Top | 99-115 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
Boston @ Miami 7:05 PM ET Game# 537-538 Play On: Over 211.5 (10*) Boston played just last night, and they’ve gone over in 4 straight away games this season when playing with no rest. Furthermore, Boston has gone over in each of their previous 5 road games overall. The Celtics have scored 111 points or more in 9 straight games. Miami has seen 4 of their last 5 home games go over the total. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-09-19 | Spurs -2.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 86-96 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
San Antonio @ Memphis 8:05 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: San Antonio -2.5 (10*) No analysis today. |
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01-09-19 | Auburn v. Ole Miss +3.5 | Top | 67-82 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
Auburn @ Mississippi 7:00 PM ET Game# 785-786 Play On: Mississippi +3.5 (10*) No analysis today. |
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01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson UNDER 58 | Top | 16-44 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
Clemson vs. Alabama 8:00 PM RT Game# 151-152 Play On: Under 58.0 (10*) Both defenses are capable of dominating games. Clemson has allowed a mere 12.9 points per game which is tops in the country. Conversely, Alabama is giving up only 16.2 points per contest which ranks 5th nationally. Since the start of last season, Clemson has gone 8-1 under the total when facing opponents with a win percentage of .750 or better. Those 9 contests averaged a combined 43.9 points scored per game. Since taking over as head coach at Alabama, Nick Saban’s teams have gone 32-17 (65.3%) under the total against teams that average 200 or more rushing yards per game. By the way, Clemson is averaging 257 yards rushing per game this season. Relative to the current total of 57.5, I look for this game to be a lower scoring affair. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-07-19 | Nets +10.5 v. Celtics | Top | 95-116 | Loss | -112 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
Nets @ Celtics 7:35 PM ET Game# 579-580 Play On: Nets +10.5 (10*) The Nets are a red-hot 12-3 during their previous 15 games and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS in its last 3. Their most recent outing was a 117-100 win at Chicago. The Nets are a perfect 9-0 ATS during the last 2 seasons following a win by 15 points or more. Brooklyn has held their own during away games this season by going 10-10 straight up and 12-8 ATS. Bet on the Nets plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-06-19 | Chargers v. Ravens -2.5 | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -115 | 49 h 57 m | Show |
Chargers @ Ravens 1:00 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: Baltimore -2.5 (10*) Baltimore is #2 in rushing offense and #1 in total defense in the NFL. When it comes to playoff football, that’s unequivocally a recipe for success. The Ravens have won their last 4 at home and 6 of their last 7 overall. They also dominated the Chargers in a Week 16 road win in which they held a potent Los Angeles offense to less than 200 yards. Bet on the Ravens minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-05-19 | Seahawks v. Cowboys OVER 43 | Top | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 32 h 9 m | Show |
Seahawks @ Cowboys 8:15 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Over 43.0 (10*) Seattle saw their last 3 regular season games all go over the total. They also went over their total during their previous 3 road games and there were a combined 57.7 points scored per contest. The Seahawks have scored 20 points or more in 14 of 16 games this season and have allowed 24 or more during 5 of its 7 true road games. Since 2015, Dallas has gone 8-2 over at home when the total was 42.0 to 45.0. Those 10 contests averaged a combined 50.0 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-05-19 | Colorado v. Arizona State -6.5 | Top | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
Colorado @ Arizona State 6:00 ET Game# 697-698 Play On: Arizona State -6.5 (10*) Colorado has scored 68 or less and allowed 70 points or less in each of its previous 3 games. The Buffalos are averaging 77.8 points scored per game this season. Conversely, Arizona State is allowing 73.9 points per game. This sets up a terrific college basketball ATS betting angle which is illustrated below. Any home favorite that’s allowing 67 to 74 points per game, versus an opponent 9Colorado) that allows 74 to 78 points per games and they’re come off 3 straight outing in which both teams scored 70 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 26-2 ATS (92.9%) since 1997. The average line in those 28 contests was 6.4 and the favorite outscored those underdogs by 14.6 points per game. Bet on Arizona State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-04-19 | Thunder v. Blazers OVER 223.5 | Top | 111-109 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
Oklahoma City @ Portland 10:35 PM ET Game# 543-544 Play On: Over 223.5 (10*) Oklahoma City has allowed 100 points or more in each of their previous 8 games. Portland has won their last 2 games at led at halftime of those games by decisive 14 and 29-point margins. This leads us to an extremely profitable NBA totals betting angle which is displayed below. Any road team (Oklahoma City) with a total of 220.0 or greater that allowed 100 points or more in each of their previous 2 games, and they’re facing an opponent that led at halftime by 10 points or more during each of its last 2 games, resulted in those games going 29-7 (80.5%) over the total since 1996. The average total in those 36 contests was 226.6 and there were a combined 236.4 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play. |
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01-01-19 | Washington +7.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
Washington vs. Ohio State 5:00 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Washington +7.5 (10*) Washington was one of my 4 predictions to make the college football playoffs before the season began. Obviously, they fell short in that regard. However, this is an experienced Huskies team with an imposing defense which allowed just 15.5 points and 301.8 yards per game on their way to a 10-3 season and PAC-12 title. Conversely, Ohio State’s defense is a major concern and that was especially evident late in the year. The Buckeyes allowed 38.0 points and 451.3 yards per game during its last 3 contests against Maryland, Michigan, and Northwestern. The also gave up 49 points and 539 yards to Purdue during their lone loss of the season. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-31-18 | Virginia Tech v. Cincinnati -6 | Top | 31-35 | Loss | -106 | 51 h 54 m | Show |
Cincinnati vs. Virginia Tech 12:00 PM ET Game# 257-258 Play On: Cincinnati -5.5 (10*) Cincinnati has averaged 238 yards rushing per game on their way to an impressive 10-2 regular season campaign. That’s not good news for a Virginia Tech defense that’s surrendering an alarming 206 yards rushing per game this season. ASA a matter of fact, since 2016, Virginia Tech is a dismal 0-7 ATS when facing an opponent that’s averaging 230 or more rushing yards per game and they were outscored by 12.6 points per contest. Cincinnati finished their regular season slate with a 56-6 blowout win over East Carolina. The Bearcats average an enormous 8.2 yards per offensive play during that victory. Cincinnati is averaging 458.2 yards of total offense per game. They’ll be facing a Virginia Tech defense which has allowed 436.7 yards per game during regular season action. The combination of all the previously mentioned statistical data sets up an extremely profitable college football betting angle which is illustrated below. Any favorite of 3.5 to 10.0-points (Cincinnati) that averages 440 yards or more of total offense per game, and they’re coming off a game in which they averaged 6.75 yards or more per offensive play, versus an opponent (Virginia Tech) which is allowing 390 to 440 yards per game, resulted in those favorites going 33-8 ATS (80.5%) since 2009. The average point-spread was -7.9 and those favorites outscored the underdogs by an average of 15.0 points per game. Bet on Cincinnati minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-30-18 | Colts v. Titans +3.5 | Top | 33-17 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 1 m | Show |
Indianapolis @ Tennessee 8:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Tennessee +3.5 (10*) The uncertain status of Tennessee starting quarterback Marcus Mariota has already been factored into the current point-spread. Tennessee enters this final week of regular season action on a 4-game winning streak and with their playoff hopes on the line. Tennessee has gone an outstanding 16-3 during its previous 19 home games and that includes a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS (+10.7 PPG) when facing a fellow AFC South team. Conversely, the Colts are a dismal 4-12 in their last 16 away games which hardly bodes well for a road favorite of better than a field goal. Any NFL regular season home underdog of 4.0 or less that’s playing after game 6 and is coming off 4 or more wins in a row, versus an opponent (Colts) coming off a win by 31 points or fewer, resulted in those home underdogs going an unblemished 14-0 ATS since 1981, and they won 13 of those contests straight up. Bet on Tennessee plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-29-18 | Florida v. Michigan UNDER 51 | Top | 41-15 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 58 m | Show |
Michigan vs. Florida 12:00 PM ET Game# 249-250 Play On: Under 51.0 (10*) Any neutral field team with a total of 49.5 to 56.0 that’s playing after game 6 of their season and they’ve won 3 of its last 4 games, versus an opponent (Michigan) which has won 8 or more of their previous 10 games, resulted in those contests going 34-7 (82.9%) under the total since 1992. The average total in those 41 contests was 52.9 and there were a combined 42.7 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-23-18 | Packers v. Jets OVER 46 | Top | 44-38 | Win | 100 | 21 h 11 m | Show |
Packers @ Jets 1:00 PM ET Game# 117-118 Play On: Over 46.0 (10*) Green Bay has gone over the total in their last 6 games as a non-division road favorite and there were a combined 55.7 points scored per contest. As a matter of fact, since the start of the 2016 season, Green Bay has gone 12-1 over in non-division road games when there was a total of 55.5 or less. New York has seen each of their previous 3 games go over the total. The Jets are 9-3 over in their last 12 at home and that includes 6-0 over if they were a pick or underdog of 6.5 or less. Those 6 contests averaged a combined 55.8 points scored. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-20-18 | Marshall v. South Florida +3 | Top | 38-20 | Loss | -107 | 51 h 45 m | Show |
Marshall vs South Florida 8:00 PM ET Game# 215-216 Play On: South Florida +3.0 (10*) South Florida won their first 7 games and then when on to lose its last 5 regular season contests. Before jumping to conclusions, keep this in mind, any team entering a bowl game that lost 5 or more games in a row has gone a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS since 1980. By the way, all 4 of those contests occurred since 2011. The average margin of victory was 13.5 points per game. In the Bulls defense, the 5 losses were to Houston (8-4), Tulane (7-6), Cincinnati (10-2), Temple (8-4), and Central Florida (12-0). Those 5 teams are currently a combined 45-16 (.737) this season. This 2018 Gasparilla Bowl will be played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa which is South Florida’s home field. Moreover, teams playing in a bowl game on their home field have gone 21-12 straight up and 20-13 ATS since 1998. If those teams were an underdog and faced an opponent with a win percentage of .636 or better, they improved to 6-1 ATS and 5-2 straight up. Marshall enters this bowl game having finished 8-4 (.666) during regular season play. Bet on South Florida plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-18-18 | Wizards v. Hawks UNDER 238 | Top | 110-118 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
Wizards @ Hawks 7:35 ET Game# 549-550 Play On: Under 238.0 (10*) Atlanta enters today’s game with a terrible 6-23 season record. Conversely, Washington is 12-18 (.400). The Wizards are coming off a 128-100 home win over the Lakers on Sunday. Washington is 23-9 under the total during the past 2 seasons following a win, and there were an average of 212.1 points scored per game. Any road team (Washington) with a total of 220.0 or greater that’s coming off 1 or more wins and possesses a win percentage of .250 to .400, versus an opponent (Atlanta) with a losing record, resulted in those games going 29-3 (90.6%) under the total since 1996. The average combined score in those 32 contests was 209.6 points per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-16-18 | Kings v. Mavs -5.5 | Top | 120-113 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
Sacramento @ Dallas 7:05 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Dallas -5.5 (10*) Dallas is coming off a disappointing loss at Phoenix in their previous outing. However, the Mavericks are 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 following a loss. Furthermore, Dallas is an outstanding 11-0 straight up and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. Their only non-cover in that stretch was as a 10.0-point favorite during a 7-point win over Atlanta. Bet on Dallas minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-16-18 | Bucs v. Ravens -7.5 | Top | 12-20 | Win | 100 | 21 h 21 m | Show |
Buccaneers @ Ravens 1:00 ET Game# 311-312 Play On: Baltimore -7.5 (10*) Tampa Bay has gone a dismal 2-14 in their last 16 away games and that includes 1-7-2 ATS if they were an underdog of 9.5-points or fewer. As a matter of fact, after winning their season opener at New Orleans, Tampa lost their next 5 on the road and allowed a enormous 39.8 points per game while doing so. Baltimore has maintained a strong home field advantage since John Harbaugh has taken over the head coaching duties. Under the guidance of Harbaugh, Baltimore is a perfect 7-0 ATS as a non-division home favorite of 5.5 to 10.5 points when facing an opponent coming off a loss in their previous game. They won those 7 contests by a substantial 20.6 points per game. Baltimore’s playoff hopes will be hanging in the balance during the final 3 weeks of regular season action. They can ill afford to lose a game like this against a Tampa team that struggles on the road and comes in with a lousy 5-8 record. Bet on Baltimore minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-15-18 | Arizona State v. Fresno State UNDER 53.5 | Top | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 71 h 41 m | Show |
Arizona State vs. Fresno State 3:30 PM ET Game# 205-206 Play On: Under 53.5 (10*) Fresno State has seen each of their previous 5 games stay under the total and there was a combined average of 41.6 points scored per contest. They’ve also seen each of their 7 games played away from Bulldog Stadium this season result in going under the total. A huge part of those low scoring affairs can be attributed to their outstanding defensive unit was has allowed a mere 13.7 points and 325 yards per game this season on the way to winning a Mountain West Conference Championship. Fresno State has gone 10-1 during its last 11 while Arizona State won 3 of their last 4 games. Any college football neutral site team (Fresno) State with a total of 49.5 to 56.0 that’s won 8 or more of its previous 10 games, and they’re facing an opponent (Arizona State) that won 3 of their last 4 games, resulted in those contests going 33-7 (82.5%) under the total since 1992. The average total in those 40 contests was 52.8 and there was only a combined 42.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-12-18 | Raptors +7 v. Warriors | Top | 113-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
Toronto @ Golden State 10:35 PM ET Game# 557-558 Play On: Toronto +7.0 (10*) Toronto is coming off last night’s impressive 123-99 road win over the Los Angeles Clippers. The Raptors are a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS this season when playing with no rest. Toronto is also a very good 11-3 this season in away games. That road record also includes 6-0 straight up and 5-1 ATS when facing Western Conference opponents. Toronto is 22-7 over all this season, and their last 5 losses have all come by 7 points or less. This will be the 4th time that they’ll be facing Golden State since last season, and the other 3 meetings were all decided by 5 points or less. Bet on Toronto plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-09-18 | Patriots v. Dolphins +9 | Top | 33-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 41 m | Show |
Patriots @ Dolphins 1:00 PM ET Game# 117-118 Play On: Dolphins +9.0 (10*) You may be very surprised to know that Miami is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against New England, and that includes winning 4 of the last 5 meetings straight up. Miami has been awful on the road this season but has fared extremely well at home. Miami is 5-1 SU&ATS at Hard Rock Stadium in 2018. Conversely, New England is a perfect 6-0 at home but a beatable 3-3 on the road. Bet on Miami for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-05-18 | Spurs v. Lakers -8.5 | Top | 113-121 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
Spurs @ Lakers 10:35 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Lakers -8.5 (10*) |
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12-02-18 | Vikings +5.5 v. Patriots | Top | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 13 m | Show |
Minnesota @ New England 4:25 PM ET Game# 375-376 Play On: Minnesota +5.5 (10*) New England is coming off a 27-13 win over the Jets in a game they covered as a 13.0-point road favorite. Minnesota is coming off a 24-17 win over Green Bay in a game they covered as a home favorite. That win improved their season record to 6-4-1 (.600). Minnesota has gone an extremely profitable 35-9 ATS (79.5%) in their last 44 non-division games and all under current head coach Mike Zimmer. Any regular season NFL away underdog of 10.0-points or fewer with a win percentage of .600 or better, and is playing after game 8 of their schedule, and is coming off a home favorite ATS win, versus an opponent coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 25.0 or less and allowed 17 points or fewer, resulted in those away underdogs going 12-1 ATS since 1984. Those road underdogs also won 11 of those 13 games straight up. Bet on Minnesota plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-01-18 | Northwestern +15 v. Ohio State | Top | 24-45 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 45 m | Show |
Northwestern vs. Ohio State 8:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Northwestern +15.0 (10*) Northwestern has thrived in the underdog role under current head coach Pat Fitzgerald. Since the latter part of the 2014 season, Northwestern has gone an outstanding 20-7 ATS (74%) as an underdog and that includes 18-3 ATS (85.7%) when facing an opponent that’s not undefeated. Northwestern lost their Big 10 opener to Michigan and then preceded to win its last 7 conference games. Ohio State is coming off a huge upset win against Michigan in their regular season finale. By doing so the Buckeyes have keep their college football playoff hopes alive. It would be difficult for me to imaging they will be able to match the intensity level they displayed a week ago. Ohio State may come out on top but this game will be much closer than people will anticipate. Bet on Northwestern plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |