40* N TEXAS/MARSHALL NCAAB SHARP STAKE (Marshall -3.5) 

I will gladly lay the 3.5-points at home with Marshall on Friday as they get ready to host Nort Texas. The Mean Green come in tied with WKU for the best record in C-USA at 8-2, but it's a bit misleading. North Texas has only played 2 games to this point against the Top 5 teams in the conference (N Texas, WKU, La Tech, UAB and Marshall). Those both coming against LA Tech at home. They lost the first game to the Bulldogs and barely won the second by a final of 57-55. 

Simply put I think the Mean Green are way overvalued in what will easily be their toughest road challenge since playing 3 on the road in non-conference against Arkansas, Miss St and W Virginia. Marshall has won 6 of their 8 home games with the only setback at home in conference play against what I think is the best team in C-USA in WKU (only lost by 2). Give me the Thundering Herd -3.5! 

PICK - Los Angeles Lakers -5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 546

I will take my chances here with the Lakers as a 5-point home favorite against the Blazers. It took 4 straight losses where LA failed to cover the spread before the public had enough.

Now instead of blindly looking to back the Lakers, the public is all over the Blazers with more than 60% of the action on Portland in this game. I always like going against the public when I can and even more so in a big game like this one that will be televised on ESPN. 

LA will still be without Anthony Davis, but will be welcoming back point guard Dennis Schroder, who has been out in all 4 of the Lakers losses on this current losing streak. Getting Schroder back is huge, as it not only gives LA another guy who can handle the rock, but puts another reliable scorer on the floor. 

Scoring also figures to be a bit easier in this one, as the Blazers are not a great defensive team at all, especially on the road, where they are giving up 116.5 ppg on 48% shooting from the field and 39% shooting from behind the 3-point line. 

Lastly, we are backing LA in a very profitable spot. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who have failed to cover 8 or more of their last 10 games, with a winning record and playing a team with a winning record are 77-41 (65%) ATS since 1996. This includes a 13-4 ATS run the last 5 seasons. Give me the Lakers -5! 

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40* CLIPPERS/GRIZZLIES NBA VEGAS INSIDER (Clippers -6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Clippers exacting their revenge and covering the 6.5-point spread against the Grizzlies tonight. These two teams played last night in Memphis and the Grizzlies embarrassed LA in a 122-94 win as a 8-point dog. 

As you can see we are getting 1.5-points of value off the spread, which I think is huge given how motivated the Clippers should be for this game. LA couldn't have played much worse in last night's loss, as they shot just 40% from the field and allowed Memphis to shoot 54%. They were also -8 in turnovers, were outscored 74-24 in the paint and 21-4 in fast break points. No way this team plays that poorly in back-to-back games against the same team. Give me the Clippers -6.5! 

50* SUNS/BULLS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Suns -5.5)

I will gladly lay the 5.5-points on the road with Phoenix against the Bulls. I just think Chicago is getting a little too much respect in this one. Bulls have gone 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games, but it's really not that impressive when you look at who they have played. 

The 5 wins during this stretch have come against the Pacers, Pistons, Kings, Rockets and Timberwolves. So 4 of those wins are against teams who currently own the 4 worst records in the league in Detroit, Sacramento, Houston and Minnesota. Indiana is just 15-15 and have been playing some of their worst basketball of late. 

Phoenix is one of the best teams in the league with a 20-11 record. The Suns have won and covered 9 of their 14 road games this season and will definitely be motivated for this game coming off an ugly 121-124 loss at home to Charlotte as a 9-point favorite. Give me Phoenix -5.5!