FREE PICK: Astros/Red Sox OVER 9
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 909/910

I will take a shot with the OVER 9 in Monday's Game 3 of the ALCS between the Astros and Red Sox. This has been a very high-scoring series so far. They combined for 9 runs in Game 1 and 14 in Game 2. It's now the 5th straight playoff game for Boston that has seen at least 9 runs (4 of the 5 going for double-digits). 

The OVER is 5-1 in Houston's 6 playoff games with the OVER cashing in each of their last 5. Astros have scored at least 5 runs in all 6 of their playoff games. 

With Jose Urquidy going for Houston and Eduardo Rodriguez starting for Boston, I see no reason to expect this to be the game where the offenses don't show up. 

OVER is 12-4 in the Astros last 16 as a road dog of +100 to +150 and 12-4 in Urquidy's last 16 starts with a total of 8.5 to 10. OVER is 29-12 in the Red Sox last 41 at home after scoring 8 or more. Give me the OVER 9! 

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50* (NFL) Bills/Titans MNF MAX UNIT Top Play (Bills -6) 

I'll be the first to admit that I thought Buffalo wasn't as good as everyone was saying coming into the 2021 season. I was wrong. The Bills not only look like the best team in the AFC, but maybe the best team in the league.

I know the Cardinals hold that claim after their 6-0 start, but let's forget the Bills only loss of the season came in Week 1, where they fell 16-23 at home to the Steelers. A loss is a loss, but it didn't feel like Pittsburgh was the better team on that day.

Buffalo was up 10-0 at the half with the Steelers doing next to nothing on offense. They were still up 10-6 in the 4th quarter before they turned it over on downs, which led to a short field and a field goal. Next time they have the ball they get a punt blocked that was returned for a TD. 

Since that loss the Bills have demolished every team that has got in their way, outscoring opponents in their 4-game win streak 39.0 to 10.3! That includes last week's 38-20 beatdown of the Chiefs on the road. 

*The only thing that scares me is the Bills having a letdown after that win over KC. It clearly was a game that meant a lot to them after the Chiefs knocked beat them in last year's AFC Championship Game. 

There is reason to believe that Buffalo will show up. One, it's Monday Night Football with all the eyes on you. The other is revenge. Last year, the Bills had their 4-0 start to the season put to an end in an embarrassing 42-16 loss at Tennessee. A game many of you will remember had that epic stiff arm by Henry against Josh Norman. 

Henry is always scary to bet against, as he just take over a game, but I'm just not sold on this Titans team. They have a MASSIVE list of injuries and their 3 wins were against the Seahawks, Colts and Jags. They got destroyed Week 1 at home by the Cardinals 38-13 and have that shocking lost to the Jets back in Week 4. Give me the Bills -6!