40* (CBB) - Smart Money ATS MASSACRE (Rutgers -3.5) 

I got no problem laying the 3.5 points at home with Rutgers against the Terrapins. I just feel like there's a lot of value with the Scarlet Knights right now. KenPom has them ranked as the 94th best team in the country. The numbers may support that, but if you have watched this team play the last couple of months, you know they are MUCH better than that ranking. 

Maryland is ranked No. 83 and I don't think they are a better team than the Scarlet Knights. The Terps did just pull off a huge 81-65 home win over Illinois in their last game, but they are just 2-6 in Big Ten play and their only true road win was a double-overtime victory against a Northwestern team that has way underperformed in Big Ten play. 

Just not enough respect here for Rutgers, especially at home. Give me the Scarlet Knights -3.5! 

40* (CBB) Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (K-State +14) 

I will gladly take my chances with K-State as a 14-point dog against Baylor. The big question here is how will the Wildcats come out after a crushing 75-78 home loss to Kansas, where they had a massive 2nd half collapse. I think the opponent being the Bears and this being their first crack at the defending champs, will keep them from coming out flat off that loss. 

They could also use that loss as motivation, as that's just another sign that this team is for real. K-State might be just 10-8, but they have played like an NCAA Tournament team. Prior to letting one slip against the Jayhawks, they had knocked off Texas Tech at home and Texas on the road. They also have losses by 3 or fewer points (all 7 of 8 losses by 8 or fewer). Give me the Wildcats +14! 

40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards -4) 

It might seem a little foolish to lay 4-points with a Wizards team that has lost 3 straight and are just 1-9 ATS over their last 10 games, but I actually think there's value here with Washington at this price. 

This is an awful spot for the Clippers. LA is playing their 4th straight on the road and are primed for a letdown after 3 really tough games. Clippers lost 128-130 at Denver, won 102-101 at Philly and then lost 102-110 at New York. I just don't think there's enough gas in the tank for LA, who hasn't exactly been a great road team (8-13). 

As for the Wizards, they have been playing better than the numbers would suggest and are as healthy as they have been since they had that great start to the season. 

This also has to feel like a must win for Washington, who has to go on the road to face the Grizzlies, Bucks and 76ers before returning home to face the Suns, Heat and Nets after this game. GIve me the Wizards -4! 

40* (NBA) - TNT Tuesday VEGAS INSIDER (Lakers -2.5) 

I will gladly take my chances with the Lakers laying a short number on the road against the Nets. I'm shocked LA is this low of a favorite in this spot and even more shocked the betting public isn't on them more than they are. 

I get the Lakers haven't been as good as what we thought, but that should change here over the next month. LA is expected to have Anthony Davis back in the lineup tonight and are as healthy as they have been all season. 

Brooklyn is also down to just one of their Big 3 for this game. Durant is still out with an injury and Irving can't play at home. Nets also still missing a key piece to the rotation in Joe Harris. I just don't think the Nets have enough offensive fire-power to pull out a victory. Give me the Lakers -2.5! 

50* (NBA) - Western Conf PLAY OF THE MONTH (Blazers +3) 

I love the Blazers as a 3-point home dog against the Timberwolves. Portland should not be a dog in this matchup. The books just keep undervaluing the Blazers with Lillard out of the lineup. As great as Lillard is, his absence has really been negated by the outstanding play of Anfernee Simmons and this offense has gotten even better here recently with the return of CJ McCollum. 

Portland has gone 6-2 ATS over their last 8 games and 5 of those covers have come in games where they won outright as a dog. 

As for the Timberwolves, I love going against them on the road after a massive home win over the Nets. Minnesota has to be sick of traveling. This will be there 10th road game in their last 13 games. It's also a huge lookahead/sandwich spot, as they got a road game at Golden State on Thursday. Give me the Blazers +3! 

FREE PICK: Detroit Pistons +7 
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 514

I like the Pistons catching 7-points at home against the Nuggets. The betting public wants nothing to do with betting this Detroit team. The books know it and have been inflating the other side. Big reason why the Pistons have covered 6 of their last 9 games. 

Not only are we getting value backing the Pistons, this is a great spot for Detroit in terms of revenge. These two teams just played at Denver on Sunday. Nuggets won the game, but the Pistons got the cover, losing just 111-117 as a 12-point dog. 

The only thing that kept this from being a premium play, is the fact that Detroit is playing their first game back home after a 4-game west coast trip. I just think the quick revenge (and inflated line) outweighs that. It's their next game at Orlando that I believe will be where they struggle to show up. Give me the Pistons +7! 

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