15* CFB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Cincinnati -21.5

The Oklahoma State Cowboys have quit on their season.  Several guys have already announced they are transferring out and there will be more each week.  They are without starting QB Zane Flores due to injury, and the WR room is banged up as well.  There's a big drop off from Flores to the backup, and I can't see the Cowboys putting up too many points this week.

The Cowboys are 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS this season with their lone win coming against FSC Tennessee-Martin in the opener.  They went on to lose 69-3 at Oregon, 19-12 as 10-point home favorites to Tulsa, 45-27 as 21-point home dogs to Baylor, 41-13 as 20.5-point road dogs at Arizona and 39-17 as 14.5-point home dogs to Houston.

Houston has a terrible offense, and Oklahoma State allowed 39 points and 485 total yards to the Cougars.  So you can just imagine what this high-powered Cincinnati offense is going to do to this defense.  The Bearcats rank 31st in scoring at 36.0 points per game and 2nd at 7.8 yards per play, which is the most important stat to determine how good a team is on either side of the ball.  The Cowboys rank 129th allowing 36.7 points per game, 135th allowing 475.8 yards per game and 131st at 6.7 yards per play.

Cincinnati has a solid defense ranking 34th in scoring allowing 19.2 points per game.  Their weakness if there is one is against the pass, but the Cowboys won't be able to exploit it with a backup QB.  They only have 2 passing TD's all season.  The Bearcats only allow 3.6 yards per carry against the run and will make life miserable on the Cowboys all game.  The books have failed to adjust for just how bad this Oklahoma State team is again this week.  There will be zero home-field advantage as fans are done with this team as well.  Bet Cincinnati Saturday.

15* Tennessee/Alabama ABC ANNIHILATOR on OVER 58.5

Tennessee is a dead nuts OVER team.  The Volunteers rank 3rd in the country in tempo snapping the ball every 21.5 seconds.  What is impressive about that is they have been involved in several blowouts in their favor, so they continue to run fast-paced offense no matter the game script.  We saw that when they were trying to tack on a TD late to cover the spread against UAB when they could have taken knees.

Tennessee is 5-1 OVER in all games this season finishing with 65 or more combined points in all six games.  This total of 58.5 is very low for a game involving the Vols.  They went for 85 combined points with Georgia, 75 with Miss State, 71 with Syracuse and 65 with Arkansas in their four games against Power 4 opponents.

The Vols rank 1st in scoring offense at 48.2 points per game, 4th in total offense at 527.8 yards per game and 15th at 7.1 yards per play.  Joey Aguilar was been a great transfer QB from Appalachian State, completing 64.8% of his passes for 1,680 yards with a 14-to-5 TD/INT ratio while also rushing for 117 yards and two scores.

This Tennessee defense is a problem, though.  The Volunteers have been without their two best cornerbacks for most of the season and opponents have taken advantage of them through the air.  They allowed 44 points and 304 passing yards to Georgia, 371 passing yards to UAB, 34 points to Miss State and 31 points and 496 total yards to Arkansas in their last four games.

Alabama has had trouble running the football on offense, so they have been more pass-happy this year and that is the perfect formula to torch this soft Tennessee secondary.  QB Ty Simpson is among the Heisman Trophy favorites thriving in Kalen DeBoer's offense.  Simpson is completing 70.9% of his passes for 1,678 yards with a 16-to-1 TD/INT ratio.  

The Crimson Tide got good news on offense this week when RB Jamarion Miller and WR Ryan Williams were both upgraded to probable heading into this one.  After playing three of the best defenses in the SEC in Georgia, Vanderbilt and Missouri the last three weeks, I fully expect the Crimson Tide to have one of their best offensive outputs of the season this week taking a big step down in class here against this Vols defense.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* CFB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on UConn +2

Wrong team favored here.  UConn is coming off its bye week getting two full weeks to rest and prepare for Boston College.  The Huskies really get up for these games against Power 4 opponents, and after a fluke loss to Syracuse in OT earlier this season on the road, they are full of piss and vinegar wanting to tase that win over a Power 4 opponent this week.

They get to play a reeling Boston College team that is decimated by injuries and continues to get blown out by everyone.  The Eagles are have lost five straight and are 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall, losing by 10 at Stanford as 14-point favorites, by 4 at home to Cal as 6.5-point favorites, by 41 at Pitt as 6.5-point dogs and by 31 at home to Clemson as 14-point dogs.  They have failed to cover the spread by a combined 86 points in those four games!

The Eagles are a tired team to boot playing for a 4th consecutive week after physical games against Cal, Pitt and Clemson.  They have played 48 different players on defense this season due to injuries and attrition.  They have allowed 44.5 points per game and 503.5 yards per game the last two weeks.

It won't get much easier against this underrated UConn offense that is coming off a 51-10 win over FIU going into the bye week.  The Huskies rank 22nd in scoring at 37 points per game, 17th in total offense at 470 yards per game and 20th at 6.8 yards per play.  They have great balance averaging 183 rushing yards and 287 passing yards.  Senior Joe Fagnano is one of the most underrated QB's in the country, completing 67.2% of his passes for 1,556 yards with an 11-to-0 TD/INT ratio.  Junior RB Camryn Edwards has rushed for 637 yards and 7 TD while averaging 6.3 per carry.  Bet UConn Saturday.

15* Georgia Tech/Duke ESPN Early ANNIHILATOR on Duke ML -120

Duke has been undervalued since misleading losses to Illinois and Tulane to open the season.  They have since showed their true colors and gone 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall beating NC State 45-33 as 3-point home favorites, Syracuse 38-3 as 4-point road favorites and Cal 45-21 as 3-point road favorites.

Now the Blue Devils will earn their respect with an 'upset' win over undefeated and 12th-ranked Georgia Tech at home Saturday.  The Yellow Jackets have no been impressive in their two road games this season, needing a big comeback to beat Colorado 27-20 and only beating Wake Forest 30-29 as 13.5-point road favorites.  This will be by far their toughest test of the season at Duke Saturday.

That's especially the case considering the Blue Devils are coming off their bye week, getting two fulls weeks to rest and prepare for the Yellow Jackets.  Georgia Tech is coming off a lackluster 35-20 home win at 14.5-point home favorites against a dead Virginia Tech team last week.  A failed 2-point conversion attempt by the Hokies in the 4th quarter is the only reason the Yellow Jackets covered.  They only outgained the Hokies 7.3 to 6.7 yards per play in the win.

The Yellow Jackets have benefitted from playing a very weak schedule of opposing offenses that can keen up with QB Haynes King and company to this point.  This will be a big step up in class for them defensively against a high-octane Duke offense that ranks 25th scoring 36.5 points per game, 21st in total offense at 467 yards per game and 12th at 7.1 yards per play.  QB Darian Mensah is elite, completing 69.8% of his passes for 1,838 yards with a 15-to-2 TD/INT ratio.  He plays with passion, and his teammates love him.  Bet Duke Saturday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Purdue +3.5

It's time to 'buy low' on Purdue after four consecutive losses against an absolutely brutal schedule of USC, Notre Dame, Illinois and Minnesota.  The Boilermakers have played the 16th-toughest schedule in the country to this point, and they finally get a reprieve here against a Northwestern team they can handle.

I came away impressed with Purdue after digging into the box scores of those four losses.  They were -3 in turnovers against USC including a 70-yard INT return TD.  They put up 30 points on Notre Dame.  They were only outgained by 54 yards by Illinois and were dealing with a ton of injuries in the secondary.  And last week's 27-20 loss at Minnesota was the most misleading of them all.  They were -3 in turnovers, but outgained Minnesota 456 to 262, or by nearly 200 yards in the loss.

It's time to 'sell high' on Northwestern off a 22-21 upset win as 20-point dogs at Penn State that got James Franklin fired.  But that was a checked out Penn State team that was coming off a loss as a 24-point road favorite at UCLA the week prior, after losing to Oregon in OT at home in their biggest game of the season.  That's three straight wins for the Wildcats as they also beat UCLA by 3 at home and ULM at home.  They are 'fat and happy' and primed for a letdown this week against Purdue.

The forecast is calling for basically 100% chance of rain and 10-20 MPH winds Saturday in Evanston.  The team that can run the football better will have the advantage, and that's clearly Purdue.  Despite the brutal schedule, the Boilermakers only allow 3.8 yards per rush this season.  Despite playing a much softer schedule, the Wildcats allow 4.7 yards per rush this season.  Bet Purdue Saturday.

15* Big Ten Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Oregon/Rutgers OVER 59.5

Rutgers has turned into a dead nuts OVER team.  The Scarlet Knights are 12-2 OVER in their last 14 games overall.  They are combining with their opponents to average a whopping 63.4 points per game in those 14 games.  This total of 59.5 is too low for a game involving Rutgers right now.

The Scarlet Knights have now scored at least 28 points in nine of their last 10 games dating back to last season.  That includes games against quality defenses in Kansas State, Michigan State, Illinois Iowa and Minnesota.  They went for 65 combined points with Ohio in a 34-31 win, 62 with Miami Ohio in a 45-17 win, 70 with Norfolk State in a 60-10 win, 66 with Iowa in a 38-28 loss and 59 with Minnesota in a 31-28 loss to open the season.

After going over the total in five consecutive games to start the season, the Scarlet Knights deserved to go over last week against Washington but fell just short with 57 combined points in a 38-19 loss and a total of 61.5.  It took a miracle to keep that game under, including a combined 6 red zone trips that went for zero points!  Rutgers had 493 total yards and Washington had 590 total yards, so these teams combined for a whopping 1,083 total yards in that game.

Rutgers ranks 33rd in scoring offense at 35.7 points per game, 31st in total offense at 443.8 yards per game and 50th at 6.0 yards per play.  But this is the worst defense of the Greg Schiano era as the Scarlet Knights rank 94th in scoring defense at 27.5 points per game, 88th in total defense at 385.3 yards per game, and an eye-opening 134th at 7.0 yards per play.  It's not like they have played a very strong schedule of opposing offenses, either as they played at least three dead nuts under teams in Iowa, Minnesota and Miami Ohio with terrible offenses.

Now the Scarlet Knights are going to face the best offense they have seen all season in Oregon.  And you can bet Oregon is full of piss and vinegar right now after losing at home to Indiana last week.  I think they will keep their foot on the gas for four quarters because that loss to the Hoosiers means they need style points the rest of the way.

Oregon ranks 9th in scoring offense at 42.2 points per game, 24th in total offense at 464.3 yards per game and 17th at 6.9 yards per play.  I fully expect the Ducks to hang a 40-plus burger on the Scarlet Knights this week, and I'm confident Rutgers can get into the 20's with one of the most underrated offenses in the country.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* SEC TOTAL OF THE WEEK on LSU/Vanderbilt UNDER 49

LSU and Vanderbilt are dead nuts UNDER teams with great defenses that play slow on offense.  LSU ranks dead last (136th) in the country in tempo snapping the ball every 32.4 seconds, while Vanderbilt ranks 124th snapping it every 29.6 seconds.  Aiding us in cashing this UNDER 49 ticket is the fact that there will be 10-20 MPH winds which will affect the passing game.

LSU has scored 23 points or fewer in five of its six games with the lone exception being against FCS SE Louisiana.  The Tigers were held to 23 points by LA Tech, and they have been held to 20 points or fewer in all four of their games against Power 4 opponents.  But the Tigers finally have a legit defense, ranking 5th in scoring defense at 11.8 points per game.  They have held five of their six opponents to 10 points or fewer!

Vanderbilt has put up some solid offensive numbers this season, but this will be the best defense they have faced this season.  The only comparable defense they faced was Alabama, who held them to 14 points in a game that should have finished 23-14 for 37 combined points but the Crimson Tide scored in the final seconds when they basically could have kneeled on it.  Even then it still finished with only 44 combined points.

The Commodores rank 35th allowing 19.3 points per game and 32nd allowing 313.3 yards per game.  They held Alabama in check, and they will certainly be able to hold this pedestrian LSU offense in check as well to keep this thing well UNDER the total.  Vanderbilt is 8-1 UNDER in its last nine SEC games.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* Utah/BYU FOX ANNIHILATOR on Utah -3

BYU is one of the most overrated teams in the country due to facing the 66th-ranked schedule in the country and opening 6-0 against it.  They have padded their stats with home wins over WVU, Stanford and Portland State, and they got yet another miracle win last week over Arizona.  This is where their luck ends against the best team they have played by far this season in Utah.

BYU is a tired team playing for a 5th consecutive week and no must face a very physical team in Utah that will dominate them at the line of scrimmage on both sides of the football.  They needed double-OT to beat Arizona 33-27 on the road last week.  They recovered their own fumble that managed to bounce forward for a 1st down on the final drive that allowed them to send that game into OT.  It was extremely lucky.

Utah is a wagon this season.  The Utes are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS this season and every bit as good as that record would indicate.  And despite that ATS record, they remain undervalued due to their 34-10 home loss to Texas Tech.  It was a misleading final and a lot closer than the score suggests as it was a 13-10 game with less than 10 minutes remaining in the 4th quarter before a confluence of events blew it wide open.  Texas Tech is a national title contender.

Utah just beat Arizona State 42-10 at home, beat West Virginia 48-14 on the road, bet Wyoming 31-6 on the road and crushed UCLA 43-10 on the road.  So they have played a road-heavy schedule, and three of their best performances of the season were on the road.  They will have plenty of fan support for this game being played in their home start of Utah in the Holy War.

Not only is Utah better at the line of scrimmage on both sides of the football, but they have the much better QB as well.  Devon Dampier is a sleeper Heisman Trophy candidate, completing 71.5% of his passes for 1,131 yards with an 11-to-3 TD/INT ratio, while also rushing for 378 yards and 5 scores.  Bear Bachmeir is a poor man's Dampier and much less elusive.  He is completing 63.2% of his passes for 1,220 yards with an 8-to-3 TD/INT ratio, while rushing for 295 yards and 7 scores.  Keep in mind he has played the much softer schedule, too.

Utah ranks 16th scoring 39.5 points per game, 25th at 459.7 yards per game and 40th at 6.3 yards per play.  The Utes rank 11th in scoring defense allowing 13.8 points per game, 19th at 293.5 yards per game and 23rd at 4.7 yards per play.  They have elite numbers, outscoring opponents by 25.7 points per game, outgaining them by 166 yards per game and 1.6 yards per play.

These teams have a common opponent in West Virginia.  Utah beat West Virginia 48-14 on the road, while BYU only beat West Virginia 38-24 at home.  I fully expect the Utes to win this game by a TD or more, so getting a -3 is a great value here.  Bet Utah Saturday.

15* AAC Saturday Total DOMINATOR on UTSA/North Texas OVER 67.5

Two dead nuts OVER teams with great offenses and terrible defenses square off Saturday in what should be a shootout between UTSA and North Texas.  The Mean Green rank 16th in tempo snapping the ball every 23.7 seconds.  The Roadrunners also don't mind playing fast, and these are two pass-happy teams with great quarterbacks.

UTSA just poured on 61 points against a decent Rice defense last week.  North Texas just allowed 63 points to South Florida last week.  The OVER is 4-1 in North Texas' last five games overall with 69 or more combined points in three of their last four games.

The Mean Green rank 6th in the country in scoring putting up 43.3 points per game.  They average 6.2 yards per play with a balanced attack of 268 passing yards per game and 168 rushing yards per game.  UTSA averages 34.5 points per game and should top that number against this weak UNT defense.

I love both of these quarterbacks.  Junior QB Owen McCown is completing 64.1% of his passes for 1,221 yards with a 12-to-4 TD/INT ratio.  Sophomore QB Drew Mestemaker is completing 66.7% of his passes for 1,573 yards with a 13-to-3 TD/INT ratio.  UNT head coach Eric Morris is working wonders for yet another QB under him, and his history includes the likes of Chandler Morris, Patrick Mahomes, Cam Ward and John Mateer.

These teams combined for 75 points last season, and they have combined for at least 66 points in five of their last six meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Baylor/TCU ESPN 2 Early ANNIHILATOR on Baylor +3

I love the spot for the Baylor Bears this week.  They are coming off their bye week and have had two full weeks to rest and prepare for TCU.  Meanwhile, the Horned Frogs will be playing for a 6th consecutive week and are a tired team right now.  I think these teams are fairly equal, but the rest advantage for Baylor should have them favored and not underdogs in this matchup.

I would argue Baylor is the better team when you look at common opponents.  Both teams lost 27-24 on the road to Arizona State.  But Baylor was -3 in turnovers in that loss and only outgained by 44 yards by ASU, while TCU gave up 500 total yards to a mediocre ASU offense and was outgained by 229 yards by the Sun Devils.  Baylor beat Kansas State 35-34 at home two weeks ago, while TCU lost 41-28 at Kansas State last week.  

Baylor's Sawyer Robertson has put up Heisman Trophy-worthy numbers this season.  He is completing 63.7% of his passes for 2,058 yards with 19 TD on the season. Robertson leads a Baylor offense that ranks 28th scoring 36.3 points per game, 9th at 494 yards per game and 30th at 6.5 yards per play.  This TCU defense leaves a lot to be desired after allowing 41 points to Kansas State last week.  And this will be by far TCU's toughest test of the season defensively. Wrong team favored here.  Bet Baylor Saturday.

20* Big 12 TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Baylor/TCU OVER 66

Two dead nuts OVER teams square off in this showdown between Baylor and TCU Saturday.  Baylor ranks 5th in tempo snapping the ball every 21.9 seconds while TCU ranks 14th snapping the ball every 23.6 seconds.  So these are two Top 15 teams in tempo, and there will be a ton of possessions in this game and lots of opportunities for points as a result.

Baylor is the real dead nuts OVER team.  They combined for 62 points with Auburn, 93 with SMU, 72 with Oklahoma State and 69 with Kansas State.  Auburn's offense has proven to be one of the worst in the country since then, and they allowed 38 points to the Tigers.  The Bears are 110th in scoring defense at 29.7 points pre game, 109th in total defense at 402.8 yards per game and 81st at 5.6 yards per play.

I'd argue that this TCU offense is the best that the Bears will have faced to this point, too.  The Horned Frogs rank 34th in scoring at 35.3 points per game, 35th in total offense at 439 yards per game and 32nd at 6.5 yards per play.  Josh Hoover is one of the best QB's in the country, completing 64.7% of his passes for 1,893 yards and 18 touchdowns.

Baylor's Sawyer Robertson is better.  He is completing 63.7% of his passes for 2,058 yards with 19 TD on the season, and he's more of a dual-threat than Hoover.  Robertson leads a Baylor offense that ranks 28th scoring 36.3 points per game, 9th at 494 yards per game and 30th at 6.5 yards per play.  This TCU defense leaves a lot to be desired after allowing 41 points to Kansas State last week.  And this will be by far TCU's toughest test of the season defensively.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* AAC TOTAL OF THE WEEK on FAU/USF OVER 72.5

Two of the biggest dead nuts OVER teams in the country square off Saturday when Florida Atlantic travels to South Florida.  In fact, they are the top two teams in tempo this season with USF 1st and FAU 2nd both snapping the ball every 21.3 seconds.  This is the highest total in college football this week for good reason, but it's not high enough.  

This will also be a night game Saturday and perfect conditions for a shootout with temps in the 70's, no wind and no rain.  Both offenses will be looking to put on a show, and both defenses will be gassed by the 2H of this one with how much tempo these two offenses play with.

South Florida is 4-0 OVER in its last four games overall and 8-2 OVER in its last 10 games dating back to last season with 77 or more combined points in seven of those 10 games.  So this total of 72.5 actually isn't that high for a game involving USF.  They will come close to covering this total on their own like they have the last three weeks.  They beat North Texas 63-36, Charlotte 54-26 and South Carolina State 63-14.

FAU is 4-1 OVER in its last five games overall.  The Owls lost 38-28 at FIU for 66 combined points, beat FAMU 56-14 for 70 combined points, lost 55-26 at home to Memphis for 81 combined points and beat UAB 53-33 for 86 combined points.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* MWC TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Wyoming/Air Force OVER 58.5

Air Force is a service academy so oddsmakers have failed to adjust their totals up high enough for being a dead nuts OVER team.  They have failed to do so again this week against Wyoming, and we'll take advantage today.

Air Force is 6-0 OVER in all games this season combining for 62 points with Bucknell, 79 with Utah State, 86 with Boise State, 79 with Hawaii, 65 with Navy and 99 with UNLV.  Yet the books are giving us a 58.5-point total due to Wyoming's previous reputation, but even the Cowboys have transformed to more of an OVER team this season.

The Falcons have one of their best offenses in program history scoring 38.3 points per game, averaging 490.3 yards per game and 7.1 yards per play.  They have really thrived since finding their QB of the future in sophomore Liam Szarka, who has thrown for 1,021 yards and 8 TD while averaging 12.5 per attempt, while also rushing for 585 yards and 8 TD on 5.7 per attempt.

But the Falcons have their worst defense in program history, which is the reason they are such a dead nuts OVER team.  They allow 40 points per game, 496.7 yards per game and 8.1 yards per play this season.  You just watch them and can see that they have no team speed on defense, and they keep giving up explosive play after explosive play.

Wyoming went for 63 combined points with San Jose State last game and 57 combined points with Colorado three games back.  They did have a lower scoring game against UNLV at home that finished with just 48 combined points in between, but that game was played in hail and wind and terrible weather aided it in staying under.  That won't be the case in this one.

Wyoming went for 413 total yards against San Jose State last week including 304 passing from QB Kaden Anderson, who has made a big leap in Year 2 as a sophomore.  He should have one of the best games of his career against this soft as butter Air Force defense.  But this isn't your typical Wyoming defense.  The Cowboys allowed 28 points to San Jose State, 31 to UNLV and 37 to Colorado in their last three games.  No question Air Force is going to continue scoring at will against this Wyoming defense as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* USC/Notre Dame NBC No-Brainer on USC +8.5

Everyone is off USC now after losing 34-32 at Illinois and it's now time to 'buy low' on the Trojans.  But there were a ton of factors that contributed to that loss that are getting overlooked.  They were playing their 5th consecutive week, were coming off a late-night home win against Michigan State, and had to travel out East for a 9:00 AM body clock game at Illinois.  

Lincoln Riley has been notoriously poor traveling East at USC.  To make matters worse, there was a bout of food poisoning running through the locked room the night before.  It even kept their green dot on defense in S Kamari Ramsey out of that game, and their defense struggled without him and their top CB.  Both should be back this week.  LT Elijah Page was out as well, so they had to completely shuffle around their offensive line.  WR Ja'Kobi Lane only played 30 snaps in the loss.

The Trojans returned home following their bye week and crushed Michigan 31-13.  They outgained the Wolverines 489 to 316, or by 173 total yards.  What I was most impressed with was the fact that USC won the line of scrimmage on both sides of the football, rushing for 224 yards and holding Michigan to just 109 rushing yards.  And that bodes well for them to be able to hold up against Notre Dame at the line of scrimmage this week. I also like the fact that this is a night game so the travel East for USC is much less of a factor than it was for that early start time against Illinois.

QB Jayden Maiava is having a Heisman-caliber season completing 71.9% of his passes for 1,852 yards with an 13-to-2 TD/INT ratio, while also rushing for 4 scores.  Makai Lemon is one of the best receivers in the country with 44 receptions for 682 yards and 6 TDs.  Having Lane (18 receptions, 313 yards 2 TD) healthy moving forward will make this USC offense that much more potent as he is the clear No. 2.

Since opening the season with a road loss to Miami and a home loss to Texas A&M, Notre Dame has gotten back on track against a soft schedule going 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games which would be 4-0 ATS if you bet them early against Boise State where they won by 21 against a 22-point closing line.  I think it's now time to 'sell high' on the Fighting Irish as this will be a huge step up in class for them after beating Purdue, Boise State and NC State at home and Arkansas on the road.

Two key injuries for Notre Dame are getting overlooked here.  They will be without their best offensive lineman and their best defensive lineman this week.  That will help USC be able to hang in the trenches, and I wouldn't be surprised to see the Trojans actually win the battle at the line of scrimmage.  C Ashton Craig suffered what is likely a season-ending injury last week against NC State, and injuries to starting centers are as big as it gets in terms of O-Line injuries.  The Fighting Irish will also be without DT Boubacar Traore (24 tackles, 5 TFL, 4 sacks) for this one.

USC has been the better team when you dig into the numbers.  USC is scoring 45.5 PPG, averaging 553 YPG and 8.3 YPP on offense, while allowing 21.3 PPG, 352 YPG and 5.6 YPP on defense.  The Trojans are outscoring opponents by 24.2 PPG, outgaining them by 201 YPG and 2.7 YPP.  Notre Dame averaging 40 PPG, 465 YPG and 7.2 YPP on offense while allowing 20.8 PPG, 349 YP and 5.3 YPP on defense.  The Fighting Irish are outscoring opponents by 19.2 PPG, outgaining them by 116 YPG and 1.9 YPP.  Good numbers, but not as good as the Trojans have put up this season.  Bet USC Saturday.