Jack's Free Pick Friday: Tulane +6

The Tulane Green Wave are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall.  Only once in those eight games did they lose by more than 7 points, so they have been extremely competitive.  The lone exception was their 15-point loss at Memphis last time out, which I believe has them back to being undervalued here Friday.

The Green Wave had covered six straight prior to failing to cover their last two games.  They lost by 3 to UCF as 1.5-point dogs in a game the Knights shot 14-of-26 from 3-point range.  And then that 15-point loss to Memphis as 10.5-point dogs in which they shot just 25.9% as a team and still nearly covered.

Now Tulane wants revenge from a 61-64 loss to Cincinnati on February 7th.  That was one of the many close wins for the Bearcats of late.  Indeed, Cincinnati has won five of its last six games by a combined 10 points.  None of those five wins came by more than 3 points, and the lone loss was a 38-point loss to Houston.  The Bearcats have just two wins all season by more than 5 points.

Cincinnati is 17-41 ATS in its last 58 games overall.  The Bearcats are 0-7 ATS following a win this season.  Cincinnati is 8-23 ATS in its last 31 games as a home favorite.  Tulane is 5-1 ATS in its last six games as a road underdog.  The Green Wave are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games after playing a game as a road underdog.  Bet Tulane Friday.

No. 1 Ranked Overall Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has absolutely CRUSHED the books over the past 42 months! He is riding a 1933-1629 Run L1265 Days on all premium plays that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $156,740!

No. 3 Ranked Basketball Capper All-Time! Check the long-term results and you’ll see that Jack Jones has put together a MASSIVE 2661-2316 Hoops Run since 2012 that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in a WHOPPING $175,980! He has delivered FIVE Top-5 Basketball Finishes L8 Years! (#1 2012-13, #3 2013-14, #4 2017-18, #4 2011-12, #5 2015-16)

Jack has delivered a HOT 61-39 Run L24 Days on all premium plays! He crushed the books with a 4-1 Thursday with an easy win on Santa Clara +30.5 and the Grizzlies +8, Wizards +7.5 & Michigan State +4 all winning outright! This money train stays right on track with Jack's Friday 5-Play Power Pack for $59.95! Leading the charge are THREE 20* Top Plays for you to cash in! You'll receive 1 CBB & 4 NBA plays in all tonight upon purchase!

It would cost you roughly $190.00 to buy all five plays separately, so YOU SAVE $130.00 with this 5-Pack! Sign up and bet with confidence knowing you are GUARANTEED PROFITS or Saturday's entire card is ON JACK!

20* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Miami Heat +6.5

Whether or not the Utah Jazz keep covering, you're paying a tax to bet them now because the verdict is out on them.  That's because they have gone 22-2 SU & 21-3 ATS in their last 24 games overall.  My job is to find value, and there's definitely value in fading the Utah Jazz moving forward due to the streak they've been on.

I'll pick my spots, and this looks like a great spot to fade the Jazz.  The Miami Heat will be out for revenge from a 94-112 loss at Utah on February 13th less than two weeks ago.  The Heat have gotten a lot healthier since and get them at home this time around.

The Heat are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall with four wins by 8 points or more and an upset road win over the Los Angeles Lakers.  They have gotten several key players back from injury recently including Goran Dragic, and they could get Tyler Herro back tonight.  This is pretty much as healthy as they have been all season.

We saw what they could do when healthy last season in making it to the NBA Finals.  And after digging themselves an early hole, this team is playing with a sense of urgency right now.  Jimmy Butler and company will relish this opportunity for revenge and to put an end to this Utah streak.  We'll get one of the biggest efforts of the season from the Heat tonight, which should be enough to cover this 6.5-point spread and possibly win outright.  Bet the Heat Friday.

20* CBB DOG OF THE WEEK on Southern Illinois +20

Loyola-Chicago is way overvalued right now after going 12-1 SU in its last 13 games overall.  I've been 'selling high' on this team a lot lately, and I'm not going to stop today as this line is way out of hand with the Ramblers being 20-point favorites over a very competitive Southern Illinois team.

The Ramblers went 7-0-1 ATS in their first eight games during this 13-game run, but they weren't more than 11.5-point favorites in any of those games.  Since they have been 18-point favorites or higher three times and failed to cover all three of those games.  I cashed in Evansville +18.5 and +18 in 13 and 11-point losses, respectively.  And last time out I cashed in Valpo as 19-point dogs in a 2-point loss to Loyola-Chicago.

It's a good time to 'buy low' on Southern Illinois after going just 4-11 SU in its last 15 games overall.  But the Salukis have just two losses all season by the kind of margin its going to take for Loyola-Chicago to cover this ridiculous number.  And they just lost by 1 and beat Valpo by 3 in their last two games to give them a common opponent with the Ramblers.

Southern Illinois is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 road games off a close home win by 3 points or less.  Loyola-Chicago is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games vs. poor defensive teams that allow a shooting percentage of 45% or higher after 15-plus games.

Plays on road teams (Southern Illinois) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against an opponent that went under the total by 48 or more points total in their last 10 games are 70-35 (66.7%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Roll with Southern Illinois Friday.

15* NBA Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Hornets/Warriors UNDER 233.5

The Golden State Warriors and Charlotte Hornets will be playing in a rematch tonight from Charlotte's 102-100 win on February 20th.  So they will meet less than a week later after combining for just 202 points in that game.  And the total has been set at 233.5 points for the rematch, which is way too high when you consider familiarity favors defense and UNDERS.

Charlotte actually shot 49.3% as a team and 20-of-40 (50%) from 3-point range in that first meeting and still only scored 102 points.  It was played at a very slow pace, and I think this rematch could be just as slow or even slower based on recent developments on the injury front for the Warriors.

Golden State just got back two post players in Wiseman and Looney, which will force them to play bigger lineups and will also help them out defensively as Wiseman is an eraser.  They held the Knicks to 106 points and the Pacers to 107 points in their two games since both guys returned.  Those games saw just 220 and 218 combined points.

Plays on the UNDER on home games where the total is 230 or higher (Golden State) - in non-conference games off a road win are 37-9 (80.4%) since 1996.  Charlotte is 21-5 UNDER in its last 26 games with a total of 230 or higher.  Golden State is 8-1 UNDER In its last nine games following two consecutive road games.

The UNDER is 7-0 in the last seven meetings with the last three seeing 202, 197 and 180 combined points.  All seven saw 231 or fewer combined points with an average of just 205.1 combined points per game.  That's more than 28 points less than this 233.5-point total.  Take the UNDER in this game Friday.

15* Pacers/Celtics ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Boston -2.5

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Boston Celtics, who are coming off three straight road losses to the Pelicans (OT), Mavericks (by 3) and Hawks (by 15).  That loss to the Hawks was on the 2nd of a back-to-back so it is understandable.

Now the Celtics are back home tonight and had yesterday off to rest.  The Celtics were last seen destroying the Hawks by 12, the Nuggets by 13 and the Raptors by 14 in three of their last five home games.  And they will be highly motivated for a victory tonight to end this skid.

The Pacers just aren't very good since trading away Victor Oladipo and getting an injury Caris LeVert back for him.  T.J. Warren being out has also hurt.  The Pacers are just 4-8 SU & 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games overall.  Their four wins came against the Grizzlies, Pistons, Hawks and Timberwolves.  They are getting too much respect here as only 2.5-point road underdogs tonight to a superior Celtics team.

The Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as underdogs.  The Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Boston is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 home games.  The Celtics are 19-6 ATS in their last 25 games after playing two consecutive road games.  Boston is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games.  Take the Celtics Friday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Clippers/Grizzlies UNDER 225

I cashed in the Grizzlies +8 in their 122-94 upset win over the Clippers last night.  Now I like the UNDER in the rematch tonight after seeing just 216 combined points in that first meeting.  Familiarity favors defense and lower scoring games, so we'll take the UNDER tonight.

Memphis isn't going to shoot 54.3% overall and 57.9% from 3-point range like they did last night.  The Clippers won't shoot as poorly as they did, but in the end it will be a similarly low scoring game that stays well UNDER this 225-point total.

The Grizzlies are a much better defensive team now that they got a lot of guys back from injury, including Brandon Clarke, Justice Winslow and Kyle Anderson who are all great defenders.  Clearly that showed last night as they stifled the Clippers, who are tough to tame.  

And the Clippers are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA themselves led by Kawhi and Patrick Beverly.  Both teams rank in the top half of the league in defensive efficiency, and the Clippers are just 27th in pace while the Grizzlies are 14th.

The UNDER is 24-8 in Grizzlies last 32 home games.  The UNDER is 11-1 in Grizzlies last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Take the UNDER in this game Friday.