Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-08-19 | Cavs +5 v. Wizards | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Sharp Money ATS NO-BRAINER on Cavs +5 -109 Cleveland is worth a look here as a small dog against the Wizards. This might seem like a favorable line to back Washington at home against a Cavs team that is just 2-5 on the season and come in having lost 3 straight. However, I actually like Cleveland to win this game outright. I've liked what I've seen out of this Cavs team. The schedule just has been tough to start. This is by far the worst team they have played. I also don't like this spot for the Wizards, who will have 4-days off after this one. Wizards are a miserable 5-15 ATS last 20 home games played on Friday and have gone just 11-25 ATS last 36 vs a bad team that's winning between 25%-40% of their games. Cavs are 18-7 ATS last 25 vs a team that's winning fewer than 40% of their games and 8-3 ATS last 11 on the road vs teams in this spot. Take Cleveland! |
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11-08-19 | Central Florida -17 v. Tulsa | 31-34 | Loss | -109 | 55 h 10 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF - UCF/Tulsa Weeknight MONEYMAKER on Central Florida -17 -109 I got no problem laying the big number here with UCF at Tulsa Friday night. I get the Golden Hurricane have played some of the top teams in the AAC tough this year, but I just question how much fight they have left after last week's gut-wrenching loss at Tulane. With that loss to the Green Wave, Tulsa is now 2-7 on the season and can no longer reach the 6-win mark to become bowl eligible. With that said, I don't know that a fully motivated Golden Hurricane team could keep this close. UCF is rolling right now. The Knights followed up a 63-21 win at Temple with a 44-29 victory of Houston. UCF is scoring 46.3 ppg and Tulsa is allowing 33.0 ppg. Knights are 7-3 ATS last 10 on the road. Take Central Florida! |
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11-08-19 | Marist +7.5 v. VMI | 58-56 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Vegas Underdog ATS ANNIHILATOR on Marist +7½ -110 I just feel like this is way too many points for the Keydets to be laying against the Red Foxes. I get Marist isn't very good and is expected to finish near the bottom of the MAAC, but not a lot is expected out of VMI either. While the Red Foxes will be taking the court for the first time this season, the Keydets opened on Tuesday at East Carolina and get destroyed 80-68 as a 8.5-point dog. VMI was lucky to only lose by 12, as they shot just 37% from the field, while allowing the Pirates to connect on 53%. That's a ECU team that won just 10 games last year. Take Marist! |
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11-07-19 | Blazers v. Clippers OVER 228 | Top | 101-107 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
5* NBA - Western Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Blazers/Clippers over 228 -109 I look for the Blazers and Clippers to fly past the total when the two face off in LA tonight. These are two of the most efficient offenses in the league right now. Clippers are No. 3 in offensive efficiency and the Blazers are just two spots back at No. 5. On top of that, both of these teams rank in the top half of the league in pace of play and the bottom half of the league in defensive efficiency. I do think the Clippers can be a top tier defensive team if they choose, but I don't see them having the energy on that side tonight playing in the second game of a back-to-back. OVER is 30-18 in the Clippers last 48 home games and 11-2 in their last 13 at home if they are playing their 3rd straight at home. Take the OVER! |
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11-07-19 | Blue Jackets +135 v. Coyotes | 3-2 | Win | 135 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Blue Jackets +135 I like the value here with Columbus, as I feel the Blue Jackets are poised to snap their 5-game losing streak. Playing Arizona has got this team back on track numerous times before, as Columbus has won 7 of the last 8 meetings in the series. I also think this is a solid spot to fade the Coyotes after heartbreaking 4-3 loss at Calgary on Tuesday, where they blew a 3-1 lead in the final 3:30 of regulation and went on to lose in OT. Blue Jackets are 9-1 in their last 10 after 3 straight non-conference games and 12-2 in their last 14 after 2 straight games where 4 or fewer goals were scored. Take Columbus! |
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11-07-19 | Temple v. South Florida +2.5 | 17-7 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - USF/Temple ATS NO-BRAINER on South Florida +2½ -112 Really like the price and the spot here with South Florida as a home dog Thursday night against Temple. Public is all over the Owls and the books are letting them have it with this line being less than a field goal. For most people they just can't get past how bad USF was early in the year. Charlie Strong has really got this team on track and let's not forget this was a team a lot of people were picking ahead of Temple in the ACC prior to the season starting. Confidence can be everything and the Bulls have it right now, as they have won 3 of their last 4 and are starting to impose their will on the ground. USF has rushed for 240+ yards in 3 of their last 4. Temple just followed up a 24-point loss at SMU with a 42-point loss at home to UCF. Teams with a line of +3 to -3 that rushed for 150+ yards in their last game and are facing a team that was outgained on the ground by 125+ yards are 27-6 (82%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take South Florida! |
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11-07-19 | Golden Knights +123 v. Maple Leafs | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line DESTROYER on Golden Knights +123 Easy play here on Vegas as a decently priced dog. Golden Knights got their 4-game road trip started off with a 2-1 win at Columbus on Tuesday and are now 5-2 away from home this season. I get the Maple Leafs come in off back-to-back wins, but they struggled for a good portion of their last game at home against a bad Kings team and the game before they squeaked out a 1-goal win at Philly. Prior to that they had lost 4 of 5. Take Vegas! |
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11-06-19 | 76ers v. Jazz OVER 210.5 | 104-106 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Late Night Total HEAVY HITTER on 76ers/Jazz over 210½ -105 I look for the Jazz and 76ers to fly past the total tonight. The UNDER is 7-0 in Utah's first 7 games. I think the books have over-adjusted the number here, creating value on the OVER. This is the lowest total of the season for the Jazz and it's not like they are facing an offense that can't score. Philadelphia is averaging 114 ppg and have played 3 times without their best player in Embiid. While the 76ers offense has traveled well (115.0 ppg on the road), the defense has not. Philadelphia is giving up 114 ppg and allowing teams to shoot 52% from the field on the road, including 44% from deep. Both teams will hit at least 105 in this one. Take the OVER! |
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11-06-19 | Virginia -2.5 v. Syracuse | 48-34 | Win | 100 | 21 h 38 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Virginia -2½ -110 I got no problem laying the short number here with the defending champs on the road against the Orange. No denying that Virginia lost a lot of talent from last year's team, but time after time TOny Bennett has made it work with whatever he has on his roster. To think this team won't be one of the best in the ACC is a mistake. Syracuse is a team I think could be down this year. They lost 3 of their top 4 scores and the backcourt situation doesn't look ideal. Sure they will play tough defense under Jim Boeheim, but I don't think that will be enough here. I just don't see Syracuse scoring enough to pull off the upset. Take Virginia! |
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11-06-19 | Blues v. Oilers -145 | 5-2 | Loss | -145 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Oilers -145 Edmonton is definitely worth a look here at home against the Blues. Both teams come in playing well and I could see people wanting to jump on St Louis here, as they have won 5 straight and 7 of 8 overall. However, this is a bad spot for the Blues, as they will be playing their 3rd straight on the road and will be on no rest after playing last night in Vancouver. St Louis head coach Craig Berube has seen his teams go a mere 2-14 in road games when playing their 8th game in 14 days. Take Edmonton! |
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11-06-19 | Bulls v. Hawks OVER 219 | 113-93 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Bulls/Hawks over 219 -110 I'm confident the Bulls/Hawks will fly over the total Wednesday night in Atlanta. With both teams off big games Tuesday night, I just don't see the defensive effort being there for either side. Bulls were in a heated contest against the Lakers at home and the Hawks pulled out a late rally to upset the Spurs. OVER has cashed in 3 of the last 4 games for the Bulls. I know the UNDER is a perfect 6-0 in Atlanta's 6 games, but they played several games without their best player in Trae Young. He returned against SA and scored 28 points in the 2nd half after a slow start. Hawks defense took a huge hit with John Collins getting handed a 25-game suspension, so Atlanta will have to rely on the offense even more. OVER is 7-3-1 in Chicago's last 11 off a SU loss and 4-1 in Atlanta's last 5 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take the OVER! |
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11-06-19 | Green Bay v. Purdue -19 | Top | 57-79 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE MONTH on Purdue -19 -110 I got no problem laying the big number with Purdue at home against the likes of Green Bay. I think people are sleeping on the Boilermakers a little bit due to them losing Carson Edwards, but this is a team that has the good to contends with the likes of Michigan State and others for the Big Ten title. They might not have the superstar on their roster like Edwards, but they are extremely deep and I just don't see the Phoenix being able to keep pace. History agrees, as the Boilermakers are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 as a home favorite of 18.5 to 24 points. Take Purdue! |
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11-05-19 | Blackhawks v. Sharks UNDER 6.5 | 2-4 | Win | 105 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Blackhawks/Sharks under 6½ +105 I think the books have set the bar way too high for Tuesday's NHL action between Chicago and San Jose. Most will focus on the amount of goals these two teams are allowing, especially the Sharks, who have given up 4 or more in 6 of their last 8. The thing is these are two struggling offenses. Chicago has scored 3 or fewer in 10 of their last 11 games and the Sharks have scored 2 or fewer in 5 straight. UNDER is 5-0 in the Blackhawks last 5 when playing their 3rd game in 5 days and 5-0 in their last 5 when revening a loss where they gave up 4 or more. Take the UNDER! |
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11-05-19 | St. Mary's -3 v. Wisconsin | Top | 65-63 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Late Night NO LIMIT Top Play on St. Mary's -3 -115 You might be wondering why Wisconsin is getting points against the Gaels. It's for good reason and I think St Mary's is going to make easy work of a Badgers team in transition. Wisconsin only loses two starters, but they lost one of the best players in the country in Ethan Happ. For a team that ranked 276th in scoring at 68.6 ppg, I think the offense is going to have a hard time keeping pace with better competition. The Gaels have all their key guys back from last year's NCAA Tournament team that won 22-games and beat Gonzaga in the WCC Tournament, despite many thinking it was going to be a down year for St Mary's. They also got some key guys back from injury and this is one they need for their resume come March. Take St. Mary's! |
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11-05-19 | Avalanche +130 v. Stars | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Avalanche +130 I just think this is the perfect time to take a gamble on Colorado. Avalanche come in having lost 4 straight, but are still 8-6 on the season, so it's only a matter of time before they get back on track. As for the Stars, they are due for a letdown after winning 3 straight and 6 of their last 7. History supports this, as Dallas is just 3-15 in their last 18 when they come in having won 6/7 of their last 8 games. Avalanche on the other hand are 5-0 in their last 5 when coming off a road loss where they were shutout. Take Colorado! |
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11-05-19 | Magic v. Thunder UNDER 204 | 94-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Magic/Thunder under 204 -110 Don't be fooled into taking the OVER with this low total in tonight's NBA action between the Thunder and Magic. I actually think there's value with the UNDER in this one. Both of these teams are strong defensively. OKC is tied for 3rd in defensive efficiency and Orlando is right on their heels at No. 5. Not only that, both teams are struggling on the other side of the ball. Magic are dead last in the league in offensive efficiency and the Thunder aren't to far back at 26th. Orlando also plays at the second slowest pace in the league. Take the UNDER! |
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11-05-19 | Toledo v. Valparaiso +3 | 77-79 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS HEAVY HITTER on Valparaiso +3 -110 I think we are getting a great price on the Crusaders. Toledo is one of the better programs in the MAC, so they get a lot of love from experts. I just think they are getting a little too much coming into the 2019-20 season. Sure they won 25 games last year, but they lost two of their best players in Jaelan Sanford and Nate Nagigato. Valpo went just 15-18 last year and with the news that leading scorer and rebounder, Derrick Smits left for Butler, not much is expected of this team. They got back a couple of double-digit scorers, while adding in 3 transfers. Eron Gordon from Seton Hall, Nick Robinson from St. Joe's and ZIon Morgan from UNLV. I think the wrong team is favored. Take Valparaiso! |
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11-05-19 | Celtics -5.5 v. Cavs | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Vegas ATS ANNIHILATOR on Celtics -5½ -109 I got no problem laying a short number on the road with Boston against the Cavs. Cleveland is showing some fight under first year head coach John Beilein, but that's only going to get this team so far with the talent they have. Even with the Celtics likely playing without Enes Kanter or Jaylen Brown, I look for Boston to win this game by double-digits. Celtics have won 4 straight since losing a hard fought game at 76ers in their opener, which included a 118-95 win at New York against a similarly bad Knicks team. Take Boston! |
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11-05-19 | Kansas +1 v. Duke | Top | 66-68 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 1 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Opening Night PLAY OF THE YEAR on Kansas +1 -109 Most are going to look at this and just blindly take Duke because of how much respect this program has with Coach K. Everyone knows the Blue Devils lost a lot from last year's team, but the assumption is that they just reload. I get it and that's definitely true to a point, but I got a hard time believing Duke has anywhere close to as talented a Top 3 as they had last year with Zion, RJ Barrett and Cam Reddish. Things didn't look good for KU early on in the offseason, but that didn't last long. Jayhawks got two guys back they thought were leaving early in Udoka Azubuike and Devon Dotson. THey also were not expecting Sivio De Sousa to win his appeal and be eligible to play. I like the mix of youth and experience on this team and while Duke might have the better NBA talent, I think it's going to take time for the Blue Devils to reach their full potential with how young they are. Take Kansas! |
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11-05-19 | Virginia Tech v. Clemson -5 | 67-60 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 13 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Clemson -5 -115 I like the Tigers to win here easily at home against ACC rival Virginia Tech. Clemson lost a couple guys to ACL injuries that they hoped would help this year, but there's still plenty of talent on deck for the Tigers to build on last year's 9-9 finish in conference play. As for the Hokies, they are a team in major transition after losing an elite head coach in Buzz Williams. Not only that, Williams didn't leave new head coach Mike Young a whole lot to work with. Hokies lost 4 starters and have to replace their top 5 scores from last year. It's also worth noting that Clemson got a bit of a head start, as they played and won the World University Games in Italy. That time to build chemistry is huge and should have them ready to roll to start the year. Take Clemson! |
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11-05-19 | Frances Tiafoe v. Jannik Sinner -150 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
3* TENNIS - Afternoon Money Line CASH COW on Jannik Sinner -150 Easy play here on Jannik Sinner in his match with Frances Tiafoe in Tuesday's Next Gen ATP Finals held in Milan. These two just met less than a month ago at the European Open and Sinner won that 6-4, 3-6, 6-3. I expect more of the same in this one. Take Sinner! |
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11-04-19 | Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 224 | 118-127 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Late Night Total ANNIHILATOR on Blazers/Warriors under 224 -109 The Warriors are a complete mess right now. They won't have Steph Curry for months because of a broken hand. Draymond Green is out at the moment with a torn ligament in this finger and D'Angelo Russell is questionable with an ankle injury. Without these 3 in the lineup, they scored just 87 points in a 6-point home loss to the Hornets. The only way Golden State even has a chance to be competitive without Curry and Green is to slow the game way down and play hard defensively, which is what I'm expecting here agianst the Blazers. Even if they can't keep Portland in check, this should turn into a blowout and still stay under the high total set by the books. Take the UNDER! |
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11-04-19 | Cowboys v. Giants +7 | Top | 37-18 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 57 m | Show |
5* NFL - Cowboys/Giants MNF ATS HEAVY HITTER on Giants +7 -115 I love the value here with New York getting a TD at home against the Cowboys. No question this line is inflated in favor of Dallas, as they are a massive public team and the Giants are one of the worst teams in the league right now at 2-6. Dallas also getting a ton due to the fact that they went into their bye off a dominating 37-10 win at home over the Eagles and due to the fact they whooped the Giants at home 35-17 in Week 1. Thing is that was with Eli Manning at quarterback and without their top wide out Golden Tate. Daniel Jones is definitely an upgrade of Eli and I think this offense will be able to do enough to cover this spread. Cowboys are just 6-16 ATS last 22 road game soff a home win by 21 or more points and the Giants are a dominant 17-3 ATS last 20 after giving up 17 or more points in the 1st half of 2 straight games. Take New York! |
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11-04-19 | Pistons v. Wizards OVER 224.5 | 99-115 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Pistons/Wizards over 224½ -109 I look for Detroit and Washington to have zero problem eclipsing the total Monday night. The Wizards haven't exactly been playing a lot of defense. In Washington's last 3 games they have allowed 124 to the Spurs, 159 to the Rockets and 131 to the T-Wolves (without KAT). All of those saw a combined score of 140 or more. Pistons aren't a great offensive team, but they are scoring 112.7 ppg on the road and giving up 115.7 ppg on the road. Wizards are averaging 133.5 ppg on their home floor. OVER is 30-15 in Washington's last 45 with a total of 220 to 229.5 and 25-10 at home the last two seasons with a total of 220 or more. Take the OVER! |
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11-03-19 | Jazz v. Clippers -4 | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
4* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Clippers -4 -109 This is just too good a value to pass up with the Clippers at home. Los Angeles just lost at Utah by double-digits last week, but that was to be expected given that Khawi didn't play. With Leonard in the lineup the Clippers should have no problem winning by 5 or more at home. Utah has failed to cover 5 of their last 6 on the road, while the Clippers are a strong 31-16 ATS last 47 as a favorite. Just look at the Jazz's road games this year. They scored a mere 86 points in a 9-point loss to the Lakers, barely beat the Suns by 1-point in Phoenix and lost outright to the Kings as a 4-point favorite. Take Los Angeles! |
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11-03-19 | Patriots v. Ravens +3.5 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
5* NFL- Pats/Ravens SNF PLAY OF THE MONTH on Ravens +3½ -115 I know the Patriots have looked unbeatable threw the first half of the season, but you just can't ignore how easy the schedule has been. Their last 7 games have come against the Browns, Jets, Giants, Redskins, Bills, Jets and Dolphins. Buffalo is the only one of those teams with a winning record. Note that while they beat the Bills 16-10, they should have probably lost. Buffalo had a 375 to 224 edge in total yards and 23 first downs to the Pats 11. This Ravens team is the best that NE will have seen all season. Lamar Jackson's ability to make plays with his legs is the one thing you can't defend for and I think we see the NE defense struggle for the first time this season. Also, big edge playing at home in a prime time game like this. Road favorites who are outscoring opponents by 10+ ppg are just 18-52 (26%) ATS over the last 10 seasons when coming off a win by 10 or more. Take Baltimore! |
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11-03-19 | Lakers v. Spurs OVER 217.5 | 103-96 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
3* NBA Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Lakers/Spurs over 217½ -109 I think this is an easy play on the OVER. Lakers offense has been clicking lately and it figures to only get better the more chemistry LeBron and AD form. Not to mention they have recently just got back a big time scorer in Kyle Kuzma. Lakers have scored 119 or more in each of their last 3 games. I could easily see them getting to that points, but all we need is for both teams to get to 109 and we can't lose. Spurs have scored 113 or more in 4 of 5 games and are averaging 119 on the road. OVER is 6-0 in Spurs last 6 at home and 10-3 in the Lakers last 13 vs a team with a winning record. Take the OVER! |
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11-03-19 | Flames v. Capitals -155 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Capitals -155 Definitely worth a look here to take the Capitals and lay the juice on the money line at home against the Flames. Washington is 10-2-0-3 on the season and come in having won 3 straight and 7 of 8 overall. Calgary has won two straight, but this is a tough spot for the Flames, who are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and their 5th straight on the road overall. Take Washington! |
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11-03-19 | Jets v. Dolphins +3.5 | 18-26 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
4* NFL - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Dolphins +3½ -120 As difficult as it may be to bet on a team at this price that doesn't have a win, I really like the value with Miami on Sunday. This is not the same Dolphins team that wasn't trying early in the season. They have really been playing hard and enter having covered 3 straight. Jets are a complete mess right now. The ghosts that Sam Darnold started seeing against the Patriots were also in Jacksonville, as Darnold threw 3 more picks and was sacked 8 times by the Jaguars. Not only is he struggling, but there's beef within the locker room and how management handled the attempt to trade safety Jamal Adams. No team wants to go 0-16 and I think we get a big effort here from the Dolphins and they get that first win of 2019. Take Miami! |
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11-03-19 | Colts v. Steelers -105 | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
3* NFL - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Steelers -105 I'm just not buying into the Colts 5-2 start and feel like we are getting exceptional value here with Pittsburgh as a pick'em at home. Indianapolis could just as easily by 2-5 as they are 5-2. All 7 games they have played in having been decided by 7-points or less. it's the 8th time this has happened since the merger and they are the only one of those to have more than 4 wins. Steelers weren't overly impressive in their MNF win over the Dolphins and just aren't getting a lot of love with Mason Rudolph at quarterback. I think that offense is better than they get credit for, but I really like how this Steelers defense is playing. They have forced at least 2 turnovers in each of their last 6 games with 3 or more in each of their last 3. They are also really good against the run and I think slowing down the ground game is the best way to keep Indy's offense in check. Take Pittsburgh! |
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11-02-19 | New Mexico +5 v. Nevada | 10-21 | Loss | -109 | 132 h 16 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Late Night ATS NO-BRAINER on New Mexico +5 -109 The Lobos are definitely worth a look here at this price. I get New Mexico has lost 5 straight and are just 2-6 on the season, but Nevada isn't exactly lighting up the world. Wolf Pack have 4 wins but two of those are against UTEP and Weber State. they have lost 3 of their last 4 and are just 1-4-1 ATS last 6. Nevada shouldn't be laying more than a field goal with how they play defense. Wolf Pack are allowing 37.6 ppg and 6.4 yards/play. Lobos have been a great bet under Davie against teams that give up a lot of points. New Mexico has covered 13 of their last 15 against teams that allow 31 or more points/game. Lobos are also 10-2 ATS last 12 on the road after trailing in their previous game by 24 or more at the half. Take New Mexico! |
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11-02-19 | 76ers +2.5 v. Blazers | 129-128 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Situational ATS HEAVY HITTER on 76ers +2½ -110 Easy play on the 76ers getting points against the Blazers Saturday night. Portland is getting love here because they are at home, but the Blazers did just finish up a 4-game road trip and have been on the go since the season started (have yet to play two straight at home). Philadelphia has started out 4-0 and will not be overlooking this one. Last year the Blazers swept both meetings against the 76ers in blowout fashion, winning 129-95 at home and 130-115 at Philly. I just don't think this year's Blazers team is as strong as the one that made the Western Conference Finals. Even with Embiid suspended, I still think the 76ers will role here. Take Philadelphia! |
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11-02-19 | Nuggets v. Magic +4.5 | 91-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Undervalued UNDERDOG on Magic +4½ -110 Most will immediately look to fade Orlando here, as the Magic will be on no rest and just got annihilated by 32 at home last night against the Bucks. Not me. I'm confident Orlando will respond here with not only a cover, but I like them to win outright. Denver has last their last two. The most recent being a 122-107 loss at New Orleans as a 4-point favorite. The offense just isn't in sync right now for the Nuggets and while it didn't show last night, this Magic team can get after you defensively. Even after giving up 123 to the Bucks they are still allowing just 97 ppg at home. Take Orlando! |
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11-02-19 | Devils v. Hurricanes OVER 6 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Devils/Hurricanes over 6 -115 Easy play here on the OVER 6 in Saturday's NHL matchup between the Devils and Hurricanes. Last time out the Hurricanes put up 7 goals in a win over Detroit and has now seen the OVER cash in 4 of their last 6. New Jersey has played 3 straight with a combined score of 7 or more. Over has cashed in all 3 of those and is 5-1 in their last 6 overall. OVER is also a strong 40-19 in the Devils last 59 against teams like the Hurricanes who are scoring on 17.5% or more of their power play chances. Take the OVER! |
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11-02-19 | Canadiens +109 v. Stars | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Canadiens +109 Most will look to take Dallas as a small home favorite with the Stars winning 5 of their last 6, but I really like this spot for Montreal, who has won 3 straight and scored 14 goals in the process. The big thing with Dallas' recent run is that while they are winning games, the offense is not producing at a high level most nights. Stars have scored 2 or fewer in 4 of their last 5 and 9 of their last 11. Note that Dallas is just 6-8-0-1 overall and home teams that have won 3 of their last 4 and still have a losing record are just 43% on the money line the last 5 seasons. Take Montreal! |
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11-02-19 | UAB +10.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 7-30 | Loss | -110 | 129 h 14 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - Non-Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH on UAB +10½ -110 As bad as it's been for the Volunteers this year, I think the public is going to be tempted to take Tennessee laying less than two touchdowns against a team from C-USA, especially considering the Vols have won 2 of their last 3, including a 41-21 blowout win over South Carolina last time out. That tells me the books really like UAB's chances to cover and I agree. The Blazers are extremely well coached under Bill Clark, who has a 31-15 record in 3+ seasons in Birmingham. Vols are also just 5-14 ATS in their last 19 home games and 2-7 ATS last 9 off a win. Great system in play favoring a fade of Tennessee. Home teams that have won 2 of their last 3 games and still own a winning percentage between 25% to 40% are just 8-34 (19%) ATS when facing a team with a winning record. Take UAB! |
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11-02-19 | Oregon State +6.5 v. Arizona | 56-38 | Win | 100 | 127 h 35 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Oregon State +6½ -107 Big time value here with the Beavers catching almost a touchdown on the road against the Wildcats. Oregon State is a program on the rise. Beavers have already won 3 games this season and just pulled off a big upset at Cal as a double-digit dog. Arizona has lost and failed to cover 3 straight games. To say the defense has been bad for the Wildcats would be an understatement. Arizona has allowed 41 or more in 3 straight games. Prior to playing to really good defensive teams in Utah and Cal, Oregon State scored 28 or more in 4 straight, twice eclipsing 40 points. I actually like the Beavers to win this game outright, but I'll take the points for insurance. Great system in play favoring a play on the Beavers. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in Weeks 10-13, who have covered 4 of their last 5 are 38-13 (75%) ATS last 10 seasons. Take Oregon State! |
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11-02-19 | Tulsa v. Tulane -9.5 | 26-38 | Win | 100 | 126 h 57 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Sharp Money ATS HEAVY HITTER on Tulane -9½ -109 I got no problem here laying the points with the Green Wave at home. This is the ideal spot to fade Tulsa off an absolutely gut-wrenching 42-41 loss at home to Memphis. That's now 4 straight losses for the Golden Hurricanes and I just don't think they are going to want anything to do with playing a pissed off Tulane team on the road. Green Wave are just 4-3, but those 3 losses have all come on the road against top tier teams in Memphis, Navy and Auburn. Last year Tulane won and covered at Tulsa and the year before won 62-28 as a slim 5.5-point home favorite. Green Wave are 4-0 ATS last 5 at home and 18-8 ATS last 26 at home vs a team with a losing road record. Tulsa is 3-9 ATS last 12 off a cover, 1-4 ATS last 5 after scoring 40 or more and 2-8 ATS last 10 after rushing for 200+ yards. Take Tulane! |
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11-02-19 | UNLV v. Colorado State -9 | 17-37 | Win | 100 | 126 h 59 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Colorado State -9 -108 I got no problem laying single digits with the Rams at home against this UNLV team. The Rebels surprised some people last week with a mere 3-point loss at home to San Diego State as a 11.5-point dog. Mainly because the Aztecs look like a team that will be playing for the MWC title later this month. I just think that was UNLV simply giving it all they had and San Diego State kinda just going thru the motions against a team they knew they were better than. Every other loss the Rebels have suffered has been by more than two touchdowns. Colorado State got off to that awful 1-5 start, but a lot of that was them just playing a brutal schedule out of the gate Rams enter having won their last two, including a 41-31 upset win at Fresno State last time out. Colorado State has simply been undervalued and it shows with their 4-1 ATS mark in their last 5. UNLV is 6-16 ATS last 22 on the road after losing 6/7 of their last 8 games and 3-11 ATS last 14 off a cover. Take Colorado State! |
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11-02-19 | TCU +4.5 v. Oklahoma State | 27-34 | Loss | -109 | 125 h 30 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on TCU +4½ -109 I think the value here with TCU as a dog against the Cowboys. Both teams are off big wins last week. Horned Frogs defeated Texas 37-27 at home, while Oklahoma State went on the road and beat a red-hot ISU team. I think the key to slowing down this Cowboys team is to stop the run and that's something TCU has done extremely well. Horned Frogs are giving up just 3.2 yards/carry. Oklahoma State had also just lost at home to Baylor by 18 the week before and also lost by double-digit to a pretty mediocre Texas Texas squad. Cowboys are much better suited to beat teams that want to get in a shootout. OK State is just 9-21 ATS vs similar teams like TCU that control 32+ minutes of possession and 21+ first downs. Underdog has also covered 4 straight in the series. Take TCU! |
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11-02-19 | Marshall v. Rice +10.5 | 20-7 | Loss | -109 | 122 h 50 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF - No Doubt ATS ANNIHILATOR on Rice +10½ -109 I think we are getting a decent price here with the Owls catching double-digits. Rice is thought of by many as one of the worst teams in the country, as the are winless at 0-8 and haven't been good recently. I'm not saying they are a good team, but they are better than their record. Owls have a mere 8-point loss to undefeated Baylor, only lost by 3 to Louisiana Tech and have been competitive in really all but a couple games against WF and Texas. Marshall has been one of the most overvalued valued teams in the country. The Thundering Herd have a solid 5-3 SU record and are riding a 3-game winning streak, but are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Basically anytime Marshall is favored you want to look to the other side. Thundering Herd are 3-11 ATS last 2 seasons when giving points. They have also not covered a single spread in games played on Saturday (0-6) this season. Owls are 32-16 ATS last 48 at home in weeks 10 thru 13 and 6-2-1 ATS last 9 vs a team with a winning record. Take Rice! |
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11-01-19 | Spurs -6.5 v. Warriors | Top | 127-110 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
5* NBA - Late Night PLAY OF THE MONTH on Spurs -6½ -108 I'm not sure how you pass up on the Spurs in this spot. I know San Antonio is playing on no rest after a hard fought loss against the Clippers last night, but the Warriors have looked awful to start the season and now must play without Steph Curry. Golden State really doesn't have a guy they can go to at the point to fill the void left by Curry. Not to mention they were already lacking scoring outside of the former league MVP. Add in the awful defense they have played and I don't care who the Spurs send out there they should win here by double-digits no problem. Warriors just 12-30-1 ATS last 43 at home. Spurs have covered 4 of the last 5 in the series and the favorite has covered 11 of the last 15 in the series. Take San Antonio! |
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11-01-19 | Bucks v. Magic +5 | 123-91 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
3* NBA - No Doubt ATS ANNIHILATOR on Magic +5 -115 The books are begging you to take the Bucks here as a small road favorite against the Magic, especially with Milwaukee coming off that ugly loss to the Celtics where they blew a huge lead. I just don't trust this Bucks team on the road in this pot. Not only are they coming off a big game against Boston, they got the defending champs on their home court tomorrow. Orlando is a sneaky good team and while they are just 2-2 to start, they haven't shot the ball well at all. Defensively they are better than people think. They have held 3 of their first 4 teams under 40% shooting. Magic are 8-3 ATS last 11 at home, while the Bucks are just 1-4 ATS last 5 on the road. Take Orlando! |
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11-01-19 | Sabres v. Capitals OVER 6 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Sabres/Capitals over 6 -115 Easy play on the OVER in Friday's NHL matchup with the Capitals and Sabres. OVER is on a ridiculous 10-4 run to start the season in Washington's games and the OVER is a perfect 8-0 in the Capitals' last 8 games. Each of Washington's last 7 games have seen at least 7 goals. Capitals have scored at least 3 goals in 11 straight and have allowed 3 or more 9 times during this stretch. OVER is 27-13 in the Sabres last 40 off a loss by 1 goal or less, 26-12 in their last 38 on the road vs a team with a winning record and 30-19 last 49 vs a team that's allowing 3 or more goals/game. Take the OVER! |
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10-31-19 | Canadiens v. Golden Knights -200 | 5-4 | Loss | -200 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
3* NHL- Money Line MASSACRE on Golden Knights -200 I got no problem laying the big number here with Vegas at home against the Canadiens. Golden Knights are fresh off a 5-2 iwin at home against Anaheim and have won 6 of their last 9 overall. I know Montreal has won 2 straight and scored a bunch of goals in the process, but they are amere 5-16 last 21 after scoring 4 or more goals in 2 straight games. Also a strong system in play favoring a fade of the Canadiens. Poor defensive teams that are allowing 2.85+ goals/game are just 40-68 last 5 seasons if off 2 straight blowout wins by 3 or more goals. Take Vegas! |
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10-31-19 | 49ers -10 v. Cardinals | Top | 28-25 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 39 m | Show |
5* NFL - 49ers/Cardinals TNF ATS NO-BRAINER on 49ers -10 -109 Usually I wouldn't lay a big number like this on the road in a division matchup, but I just think the 49ers are going to win here easily. This San Francisco defensive front is unreal and are making it near impossible for opposing teams to throw on them. 49ers rank No. 1 in pass defense, giving up a ridiculous 128.7 ypg. Arizona is down starting running back David Johnson and backup Chase Edmonds, which forced them to make a trade with the Dolphins for Kenyan Drake. I don't see the Cardinals being able to have the kind of success running the ball needed to keep this 49ers defense honest. Last week the Cardinals had just 40 rushing yards and 197 passing yards against a good Saints defense. 49ers should score into the 20's here and easily win this game by 14-plus points. Take San Francisco! |
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10-31-19 | West Virginia +19 v. Baylor | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 23 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF - W Virginia/Baylor ATS ANNIHILATOR on West Virginia +19 -115 I feel like the price is right to back the Mountaineers in Thursday's game at Baylor. The Bears are ranked No. 12 and sitting at 7-0, but I'm not buying this being one of the 15 best teams in the country. Last time out Baylor won 45-27 at Oklahoma State, but they trailed by double-digits in the 2nd half. West Virginia is a team the betting public wants nothing to do with, which is why we are getting such a great price with them in this one. I know the results don't look great, but the Mountaineers have hung around early in a lot of their games and have played a really tough schedule with 6 of 7 against Power 5 teams. Mountaineers new head coach Neal Brown has got his team to thrive in this spot, going 11-2 ATS on the road vs a team with a winning record. Baylor is just 3-12-1 ATS last 16 vs a team with a losing record. Take West Virginia! |
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10-31-19 | Heat -6.5 v. Hawks | 106-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
3* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Heat -6½ -109 This is an easy play on the Heat. Miami just beat Atlanta 112-97 on Tuesday and they completely dominated after Trae Young went out with an ankle injury. I could see some talking themselves into betting the Hawks at home here, but I just feel that Young is too valuable to Atlanta's success. I've also really liked what I've seen out of this Miami team. Keep in mind that game against the Hawks was the first time Jimmy Butler suited up for the Heat. He had 21 points. Miami's just got too much depth for Atlanta to keep it close. Take Miami! |
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10-30-19 | Clippers v. Jazz -2.5 | 96-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Clippers/Jazz ATS NO-BRAINER on Jazz -2½ -105 This is just too good a price to pass up with Utah at home. The Jazz haven't really played great to start the year and yet are 3-1. I get the Clippers have looked great to start the year, but I think they are overvalued because of it. Last time they were on the road they lost by 8 at Phoenix and there's not many places tougher to play than Utah. Jazz are 21-10 ATS last 31 off a non-cover and have covered 3 straight at home against the Clippers. I believe Utah's defense will be the deciding factor in this matchup. Jazz are allowing just 91.5 ppg and just 88.0 ppg at home. LA is giving up 112.5 ppg and 126.0 ppg on the road. Take Utah! |
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10-30-19 | Clippers v. Jazz OVER 215 | 96-110 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Late Night Total ANNIHILATOR on Clippers/Jazz over 215 -109 I'm not expecting this thing to get into the 230's or anything, but I see a ton of value with the total at this price. Utah is averaging 106.5 ppg at home and will be facing a Clippers defense that is giving up 126.0 ppg on the road. While Utah has an elite defense that is allowing just 91.5 ppg, it's hard to see them holding this Clippers team under 100, as LA is averaging 121.5 ppg. Not to mention the books are begging for UNDER money with this total, as the public will be much more inclined to take the UNDER seeing that the Jazz haven't played a game all season where the two teams combined for more than 200 points. Take the OVER! |
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10-30-19 | Nationals +125 v. Astros | Top | 6-2 | Win | 125 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
5* MLB - World Series Game 7 VEGAS INSIDER on Nationals +125 I love the value here with Washington as a road dog in Game 7. The road team has won all 6 games in the series so far and I expect that trend to continue with the Nationals sending out Max Scherzer against Zack Greinke. Scherzer was a late scratch for Game 4, but is ready to go for Game 7 and there's not a guy I would rather have on the mound in a winner take all than him. As for Greinke, he hasn't looked great in the postseason. He started Game 3 at Washington and only gave up 1 run in 4 2/3 innings, but gave up 7 hits and walked 3. I also think all the pressure is on the Astros being the heavy favorites to win it all when the series started. Nationals have been playing with house money since that epic rally in the Wild Card game and I'm confident they find a way to win this one. Take Washington! |
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10-30-19 | Wolves v. 76ers -6.5 | 95-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
4* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on 76ers -6½ -110 I got no problem laying this number at home with the 76ers. Philadelphia is coming off a couple of uninspiring wins over the Pistons and Hawks, but both of those were on the road. 76ers are not the same team on the road as they are at home. They were 31-10 at home last year compared to 20-21 on the road. Philadelphia doesn't just win SU at home. They are 56-37 (60%) ATS at home the last 3 seasons. They are also a dominant 24-8 ATS last 32 at home against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Timberwolves are 3-0 to start the season, but two of those wins are against Eastern Conference bottom feeders in Brooklyn and Charlotte. The other is a win at home against the Heat (without Jimmy Butler), where they trailed by 7 going into the 4th quarter. Minnesota just 3-7-1 ATS last 11 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games and have failed to cover 5 straight against the 76ers. Give me Philadelphia! |
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10-30-19 | Lightning v. Devils +113 | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Devils +113 New Jersey is worth a look here as a home dog against the Lightning. Tampa Bay should not be favored on the road right now against anybody with how they are playing. Lightning have lost 3 of 4 and have not been able to get their offense going. They lost 4-1 last time out and have now scored 3 or fewer in 4 straight games. New Jersey is off a loss at home to Arizona, but had won 2 straight prior to the setback, as they continue to play much better after that dreadful start. Take New Jersey! |
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10-29-19 | Hawks v. Heat -8 | Top | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
5* NBA - Hawks/Heat Southeast GAME OF THE MONTH on Heat -8 -105 This line is begging you to take the Hawks and the public is taking the bait. I just don't think we are going to get the kind of effort needed from Atlanta to keep this close. Hawks are off a gut-wrenching 105-103 loss at home to the 76ers last night. A game the Hawks led by 9 after the 1st quarter and still had the lead going into the 4th quarter. Another factor here is the schedule makes this one a little less enticing for the Hawks, as they will turn around and host Miami on Thursday. As for the Heat, they are off to an impressive 2-1 start that includes a 5-point win at Milwaukee. They did that without their prized new addition of Jimmy Butler, who will make his debut tonight. Heat's only home game was the season opener and they won by 19 over Memphis. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after allowing 105 or more in 2 straight are 95-51 (65%) ATS since 1996 when facing an opponent off a loss by 3 or fewer points. Take Miami! |
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10-29-19 | Oilers v. Red Wings +115 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 115 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
5* NHL - Non-Conf PLAY OF THE MONTH on Red Wings +115 Most will be looking to take Edmonton as a small road favorite, but I love this spot for Detroit as a home dog. Red Wings have lost 8 straight, so there's no question we are going to get a big effort at home to stop the losing streak. Lucky for them they are catching the Oilers at the right time. Edmonton has lost 3 of 4 after that amazing start. Oilers are really struggling to score as they have scored 2 or fewer in 4 of their last 5 and have given up 12 goals in their last 3 games, including 6 last time out against Florida. Home underdogs of +100 to +200 that have recorded 33 or more shots on goal in 3 straight games are a dominant 28-16 (64%) on the money line the last 5 seasons. Take Detroit! |
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10-29-19 | Grigor Dimitrov v. Ugo Humbert +135 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 37 m | Show |
5* TENNIS - Rolex Paris Masters TOP PLAY on Ugo Humbert +135 I'm confident Ugo Humbert will take out Grigor Dimitrov in the opening round of the 2019 Rolex Paris Masters. Dimitrov is the former No. 3 ranked player, but he's not in great form having lost 4 of his last 5 matches. Humbert is coming off a win at the Brest Challenger and is 8-1 in his last 9 matches. Take Humbert! |
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10-28-19 | Panthers v. Canucks -124 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Canucks -124 I like this spot for Vancouver. The Canucks have to be chomping at the bit for this game to get started after blowing a 5-1 lead late in the 2nd period of a 6-5 shootout loss to Washington on Friday. That was a rare loss for Vancouver, as they had won 6 of their previous 7 games. Florida is just 16-41 last 57 as a road dog of +100 to +200 and 18-31 in their last 49 after playing in a game where 7 or more goals were scored. Take Vancouver! |
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10-28-19 | Warriors v. Pelicans OVER 235 | 134-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Warriors/Pelicans over 235 -109 Don't be afraid of the big number here. These two should easily eclipse this total. Each of the Pelicans first 3 games have seen a combined score of 139 or more. Both teams also love to push the pace. New Orleans is currently No. 6 and the Warriors are No. 9. Both are also struggling defensively. Golden State ranks dead last in defensive efficiency and the Pelicans come in at 25th. OVER is 21-8 in the Pelicans last 29 after 2 straight losses and the average score in this spot has been 138.1. Take the OVER! |
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10-28-19 | Thunder +10.5 v. Rockets | 112-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
3* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Thunder +10½ -109 OKC is definitely worth a look here as a double-digit dog at Houston. Thunder avoided an 0-3 start with an emphatic 120-92 win at home over the Warriors, where they had a 42-point lead one point in the game. OKC also covered in a 5-point loss as a 9-point dog at Utah. No question they are going to be up for this one. Houston has failed to cover each of their first two as they are simply being overvalued by the books to start the year. They were lucky to leave with a 126-123 win at home against the Pelicans on Saturday, a game they were favored by 12. Look for the Thunder to keep this much closer than the books anticipate. Take Oklahoma City! |
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10-28-19 | Magic +4.5 v. Raptors | Top | 95-104 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
5* NBA - Eastern Conf PLAY OF THE MONTH on Magic +4½ -105 Most are going to be tempted to take the Raptors here laying what looks like a short number at home against the Magic, who have failed to cover each of their first two games. I like Orlando quite a bit at this price. What people are going to overlook with Toronto is them playing their 3rd game in 4 nights, all 3 at different venues. This is only the second game in the last 5 days for Orlando. Magic simply haven't shot the ball well in their first two games and are due for a few more shots to fall. Hard to see Toronto's defense being at it's best playing 3 in 4. Road dogs who had a losing record the previous year and off a road loss are 37-12 ATS (76%) ATS last 5 seasons. Take Orlando! |
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10-27-19 | Packers -4 v. Chiefs | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 49 h 13 m | Show |
5* NFL - Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE YEAR on Packers -4 -105 No reason to overthink this one. This is too good a price to pass up with Green Bay given the circumstances. Kansas City will not have the reigning MVP in Patrick Mahomes and if you watched the offense last week with Matt Moore after Mahomes went down, it's night and day. I get we are seeing almost a 7-point swing with Mahomes out, but I feel he's worth more than that. It's also not just Mahomes that the Chiefs are missing. They are unlikely to have star defensive tackle Chris Jones, corner Kendall Fuller and edge rusher Frank Clark. I get the defense played well against the Broncos, but Denver's offense is a complete mess with how bad Flacco is playing. I don't see the Chiefs defense being able to slow down Aaron Rodgers on Sunday and I could see this getting out of hand early. It just feels like a throw away game for KC with Mahomes out. Take Green Bay! |
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10-27-19 | Blazers v. Mavs -2 | Top | 121-119 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
5* NBA - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Mavs -2 -109 The Mavs are definitely worth a look here as a slim home favorite against the Blazers. I think Dallas is even better than anticipated and the Mavs have started out 2-0. Portland on the other hand is a team that came into this season way overvalued after last year's trip to the Western Conference Finals. Portland won last time out at Sacramento, but that's not saying much given how bad the Kings have looked to start the season. I just don't think this will be a very profitable team on the road, especially early on, as it will take some time for the books to adjust to how much worse off this year's team is. Mavs are 6-1 ATS last 7 at home vs a team with a winning road record and the Blazers are a mere 2-8 ATS last 10 times they have played the Mavs on the road. Take Dallas! |
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10-27-19 | Sharks v. Senators UNDER 6.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
3* NHL Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Sharks/Senators under 6½ +104 I believe the books have set the total way too high for tonight's NHL action that has the Senators hosting the Sharks. Ottawa is not a great offensive team. They have scored 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 6 games. San Jose's offense is a little better, but it's far from great. Sharks have eclipsed 3 goals just 3 times in 11 games. I just think it will take a lot to go right for these two bad offenses to combine for 7+ goals. Take the UNDER! |
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10-27-19 | Raiders +7 v. Texans | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 45 h 18 m | Show | |
4* NFL - Undervalued DOG OF THE WEEK on Raiders +7 -115 The Raiders are definitely worth a look here at this price. Oakland's not a team that gets a lot of love to start with, while Houston is a pretty decent public play with how much the public likes Deshaun Watson. Add in the Raiders coming in off an ugly looking 42-24 loss to the Packers and I don't think there's any doubt this line is inflated. However, a closer look at the box score shows the Raiders were a lot more competitive than that final against Green Bay. In fact, Oakland outgained the Packers 484 to 481. They had two times where they had 1st and goal and didn't score a point an another turnover in the redzone. Gruden has this team going in the right direction and I not only think they can cover, but win this game outright. Take Oakland! |
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10-27-19 | Browns +11.5 v. Patriots | 13-27 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
3* NFL - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Browns +11½ -115 Cleveland is worth a look here as a double-digit dog against the Patriots. I just think we are seeing New England way overvalued coming off that dominating performance against the Jets, where they made Sam Darnold see ghosts. Most just assume that Cleveland will have no shot of keeping this close, but I think they not only keep it within the number, I think they give NE a real scare here. Browns have a massive edge in rest, as they will be coming off their bye, while the Patriots are on a short week after playing on MNF. Favorites of 10.5 or more that are outgaining opponents by 1.75 or more yards/pass attempt are just 15-39 (28%) ATS if off 2 straight games holding a team to 5.5 or fewer yards/pass attempts. Take Cleveland! |
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10-27-19 | Bengals v. Rams UNDER 48 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 42 h 56 m | Show | |
3* NFL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Bengals/Rams under 48 -110 I look for the Bengals and Rams to stay UNDER the mark set by the books in Sunday's action at Wembley Stadium in London. For two teams to combine for a total this high, you need production from both offenses. I don't think we are going to get that. Cincinnati's offense has scored 17 or fewer in 5 of their last 6 games and a big reason for those offensive struggles is they can't run the ball. Bengals are dead last in the NFL, averaging a mere 53.1 ypg on the ground. A lot of people questioned the Rams moves to send Peters away and bring in Jalen Ramsey. Hard to argue with the results in their first game with Ramsey, as they held the Falcons to just 10 points and 224 total yards. Another key factor here that should help both defenses is the familiarity with the offensive schemes, as Bengals new head coach Zac Taylor came over from LA and is trying to run the same schemes he learned under McVay. Take the UNDER! |
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10-26-19 | Utah State +4.5 v. Air Force | Top | 7-31 | Loss | -111 | 104 h 59 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - Utah St/Air Force MWC GAME OF THE YEAR on Utah State +4½ -111 I love the Aggies getting more than a field goal against the Falcons. Air Force's starting quarterback Donald Hammond is questionable to play and if he does suit up he might not be 100%. Regardless, I would have liked Utah State at this price. Utah State is 4-2 with their only two losses at Wake Forest and at LSU and they probably should have beat the Demon Deacons (lost 35-38). Aggies got one of my favorite 'Group of 5' quarterbacks in Jordan Love and he should torch this Air Force defense that is allowing opposing QB's to complete 64% or more. Last year Love threw for 356 yards and 2 scores against the Aggies. Utah State has covered 14 of their last 19 overall as the books just don't give them the credit they deserve. Air Force 0-6 ATS last 6 after covering 2 of their last 3 and 0-7 ATS last 7 after outrushing two straight opponents by 125 or more yards. Take Utah State! |
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10-26-19 | Clippers v. Suns UNDER 228 | 122-130 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Late Night Total KNOCKOUT on Clippers/Suns under 228 -110 I think these two teams will fly past the total Saturday night. The rest of the league has to be a bit worried with what they are seeing from the Clippers, as they look every bit as good as we thought they we would Khawi and they are going to be adding Paul George to the mix here shortly. Clippers have featured the most efficient offense in the league at 123.6 points per 100 possessions. The next best is the hawks at 116.7. The defense was great the first two games, but one was against a Lakers team that is the slowest pace team in the league and the other against a Warriors team that looks to be in big trouble with their lack of scoring options. I don't think the Clippers will bring that same intensity on defense against the Suns on the road and I wouldn't be surprised at all if both teams score into the 120's. Take the OVER! |
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10-26-19 | California +21.5 v. Utah | 0-35 | Loss | -110 | 106 h 15 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF - Late Night BAILOUT WINNER on California +21½ -110 Easy play here on the Golden Bears catching more than 3 touchdowns against Utah. The most points Cal has allowed in any game this year is 24. If they allow that we simply need them to score 3 to cover. We just saw Utah score only 21 at home against ASU. Cal's defense is better and we have seen them play some of their best football on the road as a dog. They won 20-19 as a 13-point dog at Washington and 28-20 as a 2.5-point dog at Ole Miss. They also covered as a 21-point dog at Oregon. Touching on that, no way should Utah be favored by more at home against Cal than the Ducks. Take California! |
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10-26-19 | Astros +106 v. Nationals | Top | 8-1 | Win | 106 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
5* MLB - Astros/Nationals WS Game 4 TOP PLAY on Astros +106 After nailing Houston in Game 3 last night, we are now a perfect 3-0 in the World Series. I love Houston again in Game 4, as I see this thing being tied up 2-2 going into Game 5. Astros won 4-1 on Friday. Most will assume Washington has the edge on the mound with Pat Corbin against rookie Jose Urquidy. I don't think so. Corbin has got just 2 starts this postseason. While he's struckout 21 hitters in just 11 innings, he's also allowed 6 runs and issued 8 walks. I look for Houston to get to him early and often in this one. Astros are 43-14 in their last 57 road games vs a left-handed starter, while Washington is a mere 8-17 in their last 25 at home vs a team that's won more than 62% of their games. Take Houston! |
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10-26-19 | Pelicans +11 v. Rockets | Top | 123-126 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
5* NBA - Southwest Division PLAY OF THE MONTH on Pelicans +11 -110 I absolutely love the value here with New Orleans as a double-digit dog against the Rockets. I think with the Pelicans off a hard fought loss last night, most will be looking to fade them in the second of a back-to-back against a Houston team looking to rebound from a loss to the Bucks in their season opener. I just think there's enough talent with New Orleans, even without Zion, to keep this within single digits. Big thing here on no rest is the Pelicans are a very deep team. They had 10 guys play at least 14 minutes last night with no one playing more than 33. Houston has a lot of star-power, especially with the 1-2 punch of Westbrook and Harden. It has a chance to be special, but it's going to take some time for the chemistry to form. Thus making the Rockets a team to fade early on, especially when they are big favorites like this. Take New Orleans! |
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10-26-19 | Blue Jackets +142 v. Flyers | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Blue Jackets +142 Great price and spot to back Columbus as a big road dog against the Flyers. The Blue Jackets come in having won 2 straight and 5 of 8 overall. All 3 losses during this run have come by just 1-goal. Philadelphia just beat the Blackhawks 4-1 in Chicago on Thursday and that result is definitely worth noting. Flyers are just 1-7 in their last 8 at home after giving up 1 or fewer goals in their last game. They are also just 4-11 in their last 15 at home vs a division opponent. Blue Jackets 12-2 last 14 on the road after allowing 3 or more goals in back-to-back games. Take Columbus! |
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10-26-19 | Texas State +12 v. Arkansas State | 14-38 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 33 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF - Vegas Undervalued UNDERDOG on Texas State +12 -110 Love the Bobcats here as a double-digit dog against the Red Wolves. I just don't think Arkansas State is worthy of laying a number like this. They just got beat bad at home by Lafayette and the week before lost by 14 as a favorite at Georgia State. This team also lost as a 23-point favorite to Southern Illinois. As for Texas State, this team is better than they get credit for. They are just 2-4, but have played a tough schedule. Their 4 losses are to Texas A&M, Wyoming, SMU and ULM. More than anything, we got a massive system in play. Teams that have allowed 300 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games against an opponent that just rushed for 100 or less are 4-25 (14%) ATS the last 10 seasons. Take Texas State! |
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10-26-19 | Tulane +4 v. Navy | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 100 h 38 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - American Athletic PLAY OF THE WEEK on Tulane +4 -110 The Green Wave are definitely worth a look here getting more than a field goal against the Midshipmen. Green Wave are coming off an ugly loss at Memphis, but that's a really good Tigers team. Their only other loss is at Auburn by just 18. Navy has been a nice surprise, but I'm just not buying them being as good as their record. Also, they don't get the edge of being an option team and facing a team that doesn't know how to stop it. Tulane also runs the option. I just think the Green Wave have the better talent here and they have thrived in this spot. Tulane is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games when trailing in their previous game by 24 or more. Navy comes in having won and covered 3 straight and are 5-1 ATS on the season. This is the point where you want to fade teams like the Midshipmen. Teams that have won 80% or more of their games and covered the spread by 49 or more points total in their last 5 games are a mere 16-42 (28%) ATS the last 5 seasons when playing a good team that has won 60% to 80% of their games. |
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10-26-19 | Florida International -3 v. Middle Tennessee State | 17-50 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 21 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Florida International -3 -110 I see a ton of value here with FIU laying only a field goal against the Blue Raiders on Saturday. The Panthers got off to a slow start with just 1 win in their first 4 games and I think people wrote this team off. Turns out the schedule was harder than it looked. They lost at Tulane, who is 5-2 with their only two losses on the road to Auburn and Memphis. They followed that up with a loss at home to WKU and they too are 5-2. The other against LA Tech who is 6-1 and looking like the team to beat in C-USA. Since that slow start FIU has gone 3-0 with all 3 coming in blowout fashion. They should have no problem making easy work of Middle Tennessee, who is going to have a hard time bouncing back from a crushing 33-30 loss at North Texas. Blue Raiders are 0-5 ATS last 5 versus a team with a winning record. FIU is 6-2 ATS last 8 road games. Take FIU! |
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10-26-19 | Auburn v. LSU -10 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -107 | 99 h 49 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - Auburn/LSU SEC GAME OF THE YEAR on LSU -10 -107 This might seem like a big number for LSU to be laying against a Auburn team that is 6-1 both SU and ATS, but I just think LSU is a clear step above Auburn. Everyone was calling for LSU to have a letdown last week against Mississippi State and they cruised to a 36-13 win. Auburn gets a lot of love for beating Oregon and Texas A&M, but they also lost by 9 at Florida and LSU beat the Gators by 14. I just don't think the Auburn can go score for score with LSU and this will get ugly once Auburn is forced to throw. Home favorites in games involving two dominant teams that are outgaining opponents by 1.2 or more yards/play are 70-32 (69%) ATS if coming off 3 straight games where the gained 6.35 or more yards/play. Also a strong system in favor of fading Auburn. Teams like Auburn that have beat the spread by 49 or more combined points in their last 5 games and have won 80% or more of their games are a mere 31-70 (31%) ATS when facing a team with a winning record. Take LSU! |
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10-26-19 | North Texas -3.5 v. Charlotte | 38-39 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 49 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on North Texas -3½ -110 The Mean Green are worth a look here as a small road favorite against the 49ers. North Texas hasn't been as good as people were expecting given they returned Mason Fine at quarterback, but they got two losses at SMU and Cal. They also had an ugly loss to Houston after King redshirted and a loss at SOuthern Miss. I like how they responded last week with a 33-30 win over Middle Tennessee. I just don't think it's asking a lot for them to win by a touchdown against this Charlotte team. The 49ers are 2-5 and the two wins are against Gardner Webb and UMass. They come in having lost and failed to cover in 4 straight. They are giving up 39.4 ppg against teams that only average 29.5 ppg. North Texas is putting up 32.1 ppg and 449 yards/game. Charlotte is just 1-5 ATS last 6 conference games. Take Mean Green! |
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10-26-19 | Illinois +10 v. Purdue | 24-6 | Win | 100 | 95 h 27 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Big Ten ATS PLAY OF THE WEEK on Illinois +10 -110 I think we are seeing some great value here with the Fighting Illini as a double-digit dog against Purdue. I think when the public sees a team like Illinois pull off a massive upset like they did last week beating Wisconsin as a 29-point underdog, there first thought is that team will have a big letdown. I'm just not buying that. I think we see the Fighting Illini use that win to their advantage and I wouldn't be shocked at all if they won this game outright. Purdue covered last week at Iowa as 17.5-point dog, but that Hawkeyes team looks broken. Boilermakers just have no threat of a running game. They are averaging 59 ypg and 2.2 yards/carry. If they struggle at all in the passing game they will lose here. Road underdogs off a home win against a conference opponent are 36-12 ATS (75%) last 5 seasons when facing a team like Purdue that is off a conference loss by 7 or less. Take Illinois! |
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10-25-19 | Blazers v. Kings OVER 225 | Top | 122-112 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
5* NBA - Western Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Blazers/Kings over 225 -110 I look for the Blazers and Kings to fly past the total tonight. Sacramento let the Suns of all teams shoot 50% from the field in their season opener. That says a lot about this team and the effort they will be giving on the defensive side of the ball. The offense did manage just 95 points on 39% shooting, but I would expect a much better showing from the offense at home. Blazers also due for a much better shooting night after connecting on just 41% against a really good Denver team. OVER is 18-7-1 last 26 Blazers games after they failed to cover the spread and 8-1-1 in their last 10 vs a team with losing record at or below 40%. Take the OVER! |
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10-25-19 | USC v. Colorado +12 | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - USC/Colorado Weeknight NO-BRAINER on Colorado +12 -105 Really like the value here with Colorado as a double-digit home dog against the the Trojans. I think now is the time to strike with the Buffaloes after 3 straight losses. The last two being blowout losses on the road to Oregon and Washington State. USC has had their moments and are off an impressive 41-14 win at Arizona, but I'm not ready to lay double-digits with them in a prime time road game. Not to mention this is a really tough spot for the Trojans with a monumental game on deck at home against Oregon. USC is just 19-40-1 last 60 off a SU win, 4-11-1 ATS last 16 on the road and 1-6 ATS last 7 on Friday. Take Colorado! |
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10-25-19 | Astros -118 v. Nationals | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 38 h 36 m | Show |
5* MLB - Astros/Nationals Game 3 VEGAS INSIDER on Astros -118 We cashed in on the Nationals in each of the first two games of the series. Most will be looking to stay on Washington after how impressive they looked in Games 1 and 2, but my money is on the Astros to make this a series and avoid going down 3-0. Houston definitely has the edge on the mound here with Greinke going up against Sanchez. After a couple poor starts to open up the postseason, Greinke pitched much better in Game 4 against the Yankees. Greinke has owned the Nationals, going 6-1 with a 1.27 ERA and 0.830 WHIP in 9 career starts. Take Houston! |
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10-25-19 | Sabres -102 v. Red Wings | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Sabres -102 Easy play here on the Sabres at basically a pick'em on the road against the Red Wings. Buffalo comes into this game at 8-3 and will be motivated after an embarrassing 6-2 loss at New York last night. Detroit is 3-7 and are entering on a 6-game losing streak. They have just 1 win at home on the season. Red Wings are a mere 14-33 last 47 at home vs teams who are scoring 3+ goals/game. Take Buffalo! |
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10-25-19 | Raptors +3.5 v. Celtics | 106-112 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Situational ATS VEGAS INSIDER on Raptors +3½ -110 Book are begging you to take the Celtics at basically a pick'em at home against the Raptors and the public is taking the bait. It was not an impressive start for Boston in their opening loss to the 76ers. Celtics shot a miserable 36.7% from the field. Toronto is a team that I think people are sleeping on, which is rare thing for the defending champs to not get any love, but that will happen when you lose your best player. No question this isn't as good a team without Leonard, but it's still one of the better rosters in the east. People still don't realize how good Siakam is. Celtics just 5-16 ATS over the last 2 seasons off a road loss and just 5-15-1 ATS last 21 at home. Take Toronto! |
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10-25-19 | Jan-Lennard Struff v. A De Minaur -172 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
3* TENNIS - Swiss Indoors Basel CA$H COW on A De Minaur -172 We cashed in on Alex De Minaur in an easy 6-3, 6-4 win over Fritz in the opening round of the 2019 Swiss Indoors Basel and will come back with De Minaur in his Quarterfinal matchup against Jan Lennard Struff. Only previous meeting was won by De Minaur and I like the No. 28 ranked player to get the job done again. Take De Minaur! |
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10-24-19 | SMU -13.5 v. Houston | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -109 | 78 h 41 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - SMU/Houston C-USA PLAY OF THE MONTH on SMU -13½ -109 Laying almost two touchdowns on the road in a weekday game isn't thought of as a great play. I don't care. I think SMU is going to absolutely lay it on the Cougars tonight. Houston had a spirited effort in the first game after King decided to take a healthy red-shirt because his team wasn't good enough, but that was against a North Texas team that has not lived up to expectations. They then were beat badly at Cincinnati and barely won on the road against UCONN. As for the Mustangs, they haven't lost a game behind their star transfer QB Shane Buechele, who ranks in the Top 10 in both yards (2,122) and TD passes (18). Books have not been able to set the number high enough, as SMU is 6-1 ATS. They are going to score at will against this Houston defense and I don't see the Cougars being able to keep pace. Take SMU! |
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10-24-19 | Sabres v. Rangers OVER 6 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Sabres/Rangers over 6 -113 I'm taking the OVER 6 tonight in the NHL matchup between the Sabres and Rangers. Buffalo comes in having scored 3 or more goals in 9 of their first 10 games. New York has allowed 3 or more goals in 6 of their first 7. Wouldn't shock me at all if the Sabres put up 6 on their own in this one. With that said, I do think we get at least a few goals from the Rangers at home. OVER is 30-18 in Buffalo's last 48 after going OVER the total in their previous game. OVER is also 16-4 in Rangers last 20 at home after scoring 2 goals or less in 5 straight games. Take the OVER! |
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10-24-19 | Sabres -112 v. Rangers | 2-6 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Sabres -112 Easy play here on the Sabres as a small road favorite against the Rangers. Buffalo comes into this game at 8-2 behind a potent offense. Sabres have scored 3 or more goals in 9 of 10. They shouldn't have any problem keeping that streak going, as NY has allowed 3 or more in all but one game. Rangers are also not playing great hockey right now. They have lost 5 straight since starting out 2-0 and I don't see them getting right against this caliber a team. Rangers are 9-32 last 41 after 2 straight games where they scored 2 or fewer goals. Take Buffalo! |
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10-24-19 | Jannik Sinner +105 v. Gael Monfils | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
3* TENNIS - Early Bird Erste Bank Open CA$H COW on Jannik Sinner +105 Love the value here with Jannik Sinner at plus-money. If you haven't heard of Sinner, it won't be long. He's went from outside the Top 300 to ranked in the Top 100 since April. He's an 18-year-old phenom and I look for him to have no problem advancing past the Italian Gael Monfils. Take Sinner! |
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10-23-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers UNDER 218 | Top | 108-100 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
5* NBA - Late Night TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Nuggets/Blazers under 218 -109 You will hear a lot about the offensive playmakers on both sides of the ball in this game, but I think we are going to see the two defenses shine. This season opener means a little more, especially to the Nuggets, as the Blazers knocked them out of the playoffs last year. I also think Portland is still a team playing with a chip on their shoulder, as they just continue to not get the respect they feel they deserve. This team just went to the Western Conference Finals and yet no one is picking them as a title contender. I expect as close to a playoff-like atmosphere as you can expect this early in the season. I also think we are getting a few points of value here with the books inflating the total in a nationally televised game. Take the UNDER! |
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10-23-19 | Nationals +168 v. Astros | Top | 12-3 | Win | 168 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
5* MLB - World Series G2 VEGAS INSIDER on Nationals +168 Most are going to want to take the Astros in Game 2, as they will just assume Houston is going to even up the series after losing Game 1 at home. I get it, but the value here is too good to pass up with Washington. We saw the Nationals offense get to Cole in Game 1 and he had been incredible before that outing. I think they stay hot against Verlander, who has not been elite of late. He's given up 5 HR's in his last 3 starts. Washington's Stephen Strasburg has been dominant in the playoffs and owns a 1.89 ERA and 0.895 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Washington! |
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10-23-19 | Penguins v. Lightning UNDER 6.5 | 2-3 | Win | 104 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Penguins/Lightning under 6½ +104 Love the value here with the high total in tonight's NHL matchup between Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay. I still think we are seeing an inflated total with the Penguins from them scoring 23 goals in a 5-game winning streak. That offense has come and gone. Pittsburgh has managed just 2 goals in back-to-back losses and will be facing a stingy and motivated Lightning defense that just allowed a season-high 6 goals. Penguins not only are struggling offensively, but they have allowed 3 or fewer in 4 of their last 5. UNDER is 10-3 in the Penguins last 13 road games after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games. Take UNDER! |
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10-23-19 | Cavs v. Magic -8 | 85-94 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
4* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Magic -8 -109 I got no problem laying the big number here with Orlando at home against the Cavs. Cleveland added another talented point guard in Garland, but already got a young stud point guard in Sexton. I'm not convinced these two will be a good fit together. Also, there's just not a ton of talent on this roster. Magic basically brought everyone back from a team that improved by 17 wins last year. I think this is a sneaky good team and that continuity should be a big advantage early in the season. I see the Magic jumping all over the Cavs early and coasting to a double-digit win. Take Orlando! |
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10-23-19 | A De Minaur -125 v. Taylor Fritz | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
4* TENNIS - Swiss Indoors Basel CASH COW on A De Minaur -125 Easy play here on Alex De Minaur to take out Taylor Fritz in the second round of the Swiss Indoors Basel. These two have faced off twice before, most recently the final at Atlanta in July and De Minaur has won both. He dominated the earlier match this year. take De Minaur! |
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10-22-19 | Lakers v. Clippers UNDER 226.5 | Top | 102-112 | Win | 100 | 26 h 4 m | Show |
5* NBA - Opening Night GAME OF THE YEAR on Lakers/Clippers under 226½ -110 I think the books have completely missed the mark with the total in tonight's highly anticipated season opener between the Clippers and Lakers. I think we are seeing a high number because the Lakers brought in AD and the Clippers added Kawhi and George. However, George is not ready to play and Lakers will be without Kuzma. You got two of the very best defensive players on the same team in Leonard and Patrick Peverley. Lakers got LeBron and AD and a bunch of guys that can play defense in Rondo, Howard, Bradley Green, etc. I'm expecting playoff like intensity from both teams in this game and a bit of a slower pace. Total should be closer to 215 than 225. Take the UNDER! |
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10-22-19 | Golden Knights v. Blackhawks UNDER 6.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Golden Knights/Blackhawks under 6½ -105 The UNDER is definitely worth a look in tonight's NHL matchup that has the Blackhawks hosting the Golden Knights. Chicago has scored 3 or fewer goals in all but one game and will be facing a Vegas defense that has allowed 2 or fewer in 4 of their last 6. Also don't see a lot of offense out of the Knights, who have scored 3 or fewer in each of their last 4. Vegas will also be looking to play at a slower pace in the second game of a back-to-back road set and 3rd in 4 nights. UNDER is 27-16 in Vegas' last 43 road games when playing their 4th game in 7 days. UNDER is also 29-8 (78%) in all NHL games since 1996 when you got a total of 6 or more where the road team is outscoring opponents by 0.5 goals/game and are off a blowout loss by 4 or more. Take the UNDER! |
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10-22-19 | Coyotes v. Rangers UNDER 6 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Coyotes/Rangers under 6 -109 I just don't see these two teams reaching 7 goals. Arizona has one of the best defenses in the league. They have held 6 of their first 7 opponents to 2 goals or fewer. Rangers haven't scored more than 2 in 4 straight. Key here is that New York won't let the Coyotes go off at home. Arizona's offense hasn't been nearly as potent on the road. UNDER is 50-35 in the Coyotes last 85 road games and 20-11 in the Rangers last 31 at home with a total of 6 or more. Take the UNDER! |
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10-21-19 | Patriots v. Jets +10 | 33-0 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
4* NFL - Pats/Jets MNF ATS NO-BRAINER on Jets +10 -110 This is too good a price to pass up with New York at home. The Jets looked like a different team with Sam Darnold under center last week, as they upset the Cowboys 24-22 as a 7-point home dog. New York isn't just going into MNF thinking they can keep it close, they believe they can win outright. These two already played back in Week 3, which the Patriots won 30-14. New England only won by 16 and Luke Faulk started that game for the Jets. Tom Brady threw for 306 yards in that win, but the Pats only man aged 68 rushing yards on 27 attempts (2.5 yards/carry). Brady completed 30 of 42 pass attempts. Of those 30, 18 were to Rex Burkhead, Phillip Dorsett and Josh Gordon. Both Burkhead and Gordon are out and Dorsett is questionable. There was also concern Edelman might not play and he had 7 of the other 12 receptions. I look for this to be a low-scoring game, which definitely adds to the value here with New York at this price. Jets have covered 24 of their last 35 at home against good teams that are outscoring opponents by 6+ ppg and 7-1-1 ATS last 8 at home vs a team with a winning road record. Take New York! |
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10-21-19 | Avalanche +129 v. Blues | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Vegas Money Line MASSACRE on Avalanche +129 How do you not back Colorado as a underdog. The Avalanche are 7-0-1 to start out the 2019 season. Their 15 points in 8 games is a new franchise best. They are also the only team in the NHL that has yet to lose a game in regulation. I get St Louis won it all last year, but the Blues are off to a very modest 3-2-3 start and are reeling at the moment. St Louis has lost 4 straight and while the offense is consistently scoring, they have scored 3 or fewer goals in all but one game this season. In comparison, Colorado has scored 4 or more goals in 6 of 8 games. Avalanche are also 6-0 last 6 when listed as a dog. Take Colorado! |
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10-20-19 | Eagles v. Cowboys UNDER 50 | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 52 h 16 m | Show | |
3* NFL - Eagles/Cowboys SNF HEAVY HITTER on Eagles/Cowboys under 50 -110 We are getting great value on the UNDER as the books always inflate the number on the total in these prime time games. You also got two division rivals that are very familiar with one another. Last 5 games in the series have all finished with fewer than 50 points in regulation. Cowboys offense has hit a road block as they have taken a step up in competition and I just don't see them doing a lot against that talented Eagles front that is outstanding against the run. Key here is that Dallas is a pretty good defensive team. They are in the top half of the league against both the run and the pass. Take UNDER! |
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10-20-19 | Canadiens +100 v. Wild | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Canadiens +100 Canadiens are definitely worth a look here at basically a pick'em at Minnesota. No reason not to keep fading the Wild with what we have seen from this team to start the season. Minnesota has started out 1-6 and it's not like they losing a bunch of close games. All 6 losses have been by 2 goals or more. Montreal is just 4-4, but they have been playing well with 3 wins in their last 4. That includes a dominant 4-0 win at home against these Wild. Expect more of the same on Sunday. Take Minnesota! |