Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-14-18 | Niagara +14 v. Loyola-Chicago | Top | 62-75 | Win | 100 | 17 h 54 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Niagara + I really like the value here with the Purple Eagles as a big dog against everyone's favorite Cinderella story from last year in Loyola-Chicago. Last year the Ramblers surprised everyone all the way to the Final Four. With that success comes expectations, as well as a pretty big target on your back. We have already seen them stumble, as they lost their second game of the season to Furman at home as a 8.5-point favorite. Loyola shot just 37% from the field. All Niagara did in their first game is upset a St Bonaventure team at home 80-72 as a 4.5-point dog. A team that you might recall won 26 games last year. The biggest thing for me with the Ramblers is last year's success came in year 7 under head coach Porter Moser, so it's not like he just arrived and flip the script. It tells me last year's success was about the talent on hand and while they got some nice pieces back they lost three seniors who played big roles. I'm not saying they won't win this one, I just don't seem them winning by double-digits. Take Niagara! |
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11-14-18 | Miami-OH v. Northern Illinois UNDER 48 | 13-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Miami-OH/Northern Illinois UNDER I just don't think this is going to be a very entertaining game to watch and these two will struggle to come close to the total set by the books. For starters, the game-time temperature is executed to be around 25-degrees and it will only get colder. It's just not as easy to score when it's that cold, as the passing game and big chunk plays are limited. For Northern Illinois this will be their final home game, so I expect a solid effort here on senior night. However, I do think some of the motivation here was lost with Western Michigan's loss to Ball State last night. With that defeat, the Huskies go from needing a win to lock up a spot in the MAC title to this game being more about pride. As for Miami, they kept their bowl hopes alive last week in a 30-28 win over Ohio and with a a win here they got a good shot to reach 6-6, as they host Ball State in the finale. Expect a big effort here from the RedHawks in a low-scoring affair. Take the UNDER! |
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11-14-18 | Capitals +160 v. Jets | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 52 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Capitals
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-14-18 | Bulls v. Celtics UNDER 210.5 | 82-111 | Win | 100 | 16 h 28 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Bulls/Celtics UNDER The Bulls have been an UNDER machine with the struggles they are having offensively combined with the effort they are giving on the defensive side of the ball. UNDER is 3-0 in Chicago's last 3, 6-1 in their last 7 and 9-3 in their last 12. Considering Boston comes in having lost 4 of 5 over a 5-game road trip with the only win against the Suns, I have to believe they give a big effort defensively to make sure they get back on track. As for the offense, they haven't been shooting well of late. They scored just 94 and shot 38.7% from the field last time out against the Blazers. Bulls have held 6 of their last 7 to 107 or less and if they can simply do that, this won't come close to the number set here. Take the UNDER! |
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11-13-18 | Rockets v. Nuggets UNDER 215 | 109-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Rockets UNDER I don't see this one coming close to the total set by the books. It's hard to explain how the Rockets went from such an offensive juggernaut to one that is headed into the middle of November ranked 28th in the NBA at 102.7 ppg. They put up 115 at home last time out against the Pacers, but had gone 4 straight games prior to that where they failed to hit 100 (scored fewer than 90 twice). The Nuggets are coming off a high-scoring game against Milwaukee at home, where they lost 121-114. That's now 3 straight losses for Denver after their 9-1 start. I don't think their early success was a fluke and this should be a max effort spot defensively for the Nuggets to snap their skid. While the offense has been a disaster for Houston the defense has been really good. The Rockets are allowing just 95.8 ppg over their last 5. They got no choice but to keep playing hard on that side of the ball as they try to dig themselves out of their poor start. Take the UNDER! |
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11-13-18 | Georgetown v. Illinois -6 | Top | 88-80 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Non-Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Illinois - I love the Illini at this price against the Hoyas. I think this Illinois team might be one of the biggest sleepers in the country. Brad Underwood had a great track record of improving teams in his first year on the job, but Illinois actually got worst in his first go of things last season. Underwood could have had basically the same team back, but instead got rid of the players that didn't fit his system and added in a bunch of talent (6 freshmen, 2 transfers). One of those freshman is 5-star point guard Ayo Dosunmu, who now gives them 3 playmakers in the backcourt with the return of senior Aaron Jordan and sophomore Big Ten All-Freshman guard Trent Frazier. Georgetown had similar struggles in the first year under head coach Patrick Ewing. I don't see the same upside with the Hoyas in year-two. Georgetown is 2-0, but only beat Maryland Eastern Shore by 15 as a 30.5-point favorite then had to hold on for a 7-point win at home against Central Connecticut. Illinois put up 99 in a 36-point win over Evansville as a mere 16-point favorite and that same Evansville team only lost by 6-points the next time out at Xavier. I just don't see Georgetown being able to keep pace offensively with this Illini team, especially on the road. Take Illinois! |
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11-13-18 | Coyotes v. Red Wings +101 | 1-6 | Win | 101 | 2 h 54 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Red Wings
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-13-18 | Harvard v. Massachusetts -3.5 | 74-71 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Vegas Oddsmakers ERROR on UMASS - Really like the value here with the Minutemen laying a short number at home against the Crimson. I like the direction this UMass team is headed under Matt McCall. They got a legit scorer in junior Luwane Pipkins (21.2 ppg last year) and a sharp-shooting sophomore guard in Carl Pierre (47% from 3's) to lead the way. They also got a big who can dominate in Rashaan Holloway and a couple of transfers in Curtis Cobb and Jonathan Laurent who are starting. Harvard is a team that has high expectations this year of making the the NCAA Tournament, but we just saw them lose 81-71 at home to Northeastern. Until they get back their two studs from injury in Bryce Aiken and Seth Towns, this team will struggle to win games. Take UMass! |
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11-13-18 | Wisconsin v. Xavier +2 | 77-68 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational Vegas Insider on Xavier + I'm not buying the Badgers being a road favorite over the Musketeers. Xavier was a No. 1 seed in last year's NCAA Tournament, but lost head coach Chris Mack and a trio of playmakers in Trevon Blueitt, J.P. Macura and Kerem Kanter. I just think the assumption here is that the Musketeers will take a big step back this year. I don't think that's the case at all. Mack's assistant Travis Steele is taking over a team that not only returns a lot of talent, but added in some experienced grad transfers and solid freshmen. I get Wisconsin gets everyone back from a team that was decimated by injuries last year, but these are Bo Ryan's Badgers any more. I'm not saying Wisconsin won't be a strong team, I just think they are getting a little too much respect on the road against a Big East power. Take Xavier! |
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11-13-18 | Western Michigan -8.5 v. Ball State | 41-42 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 44 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Western Michigan
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-12-18 | Spurs v. Kings OVER 217 | 99-104 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
4* NBA Western Conf TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Spurs/Kings OVER Books have missed the mark here with the total in tonight's NBA matchup between the Spurs and Kings. I just think this is a big overreaction to what we have seen of late from both teams. San Antonio lost 88-95 at Miami and then won 96-89 at home against the Rockets in their last two. Both of those extremely low scoring. Same thing with Sacramento's last game, as they combined for just 187 in a 101-86 loss at home to the Lakers. I look for both teams to get back on track offensively. Kings simply had a bad night at the office against LA. Sacramento has been one of the top offenses in the league early on. They are scoring 115.3 ppg and rank in the top half of the league in both effective field goal percentage and offensive efficiency. While the offense has been great, they are giving up 116.8 ppg and the Spurs come in averaging 114.7 ppg on the road. San Antonio is only giving up 107.9 ppg on the season, but are allowing 112.0 ppg away from home. Take the OVER! |
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11-12-18 | Giants v. 49ers -3.5 | 27-23 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
3* Giants/49ers MNF ATS ANNIHILATOR on 49ers - I think the perception here is that these are two bad teams and the value is with New York as a dog. I'm not buying it. Everyone keeps thinking the Giants are better than what they have shown because they got two dynamic players in Odell Beckham and Saquan Barkley. The problem is, the offensive line can't block or pass protect and Eli Manning is simply not very good anymore. Add in the fact there's nothing for New York to play for with a record of 1-7 and this is not a team I would want anything to do with on the road. As for the 49ers, I think we can confidently say they are still playing hard after the effort they gave on Thursday Night Football last week against the Raiders. You can say what you want about Nick Mullens first start being a fluke because it came against a bad Oakland team, but he looked like the real deal. There's also something about Monday Night Football that brings out the best in San Francisco. The 49ers are a ridiculous 26-6 ATS in their last 32 games played on MNF. Take San Francisco! |
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11-12-18 | Troy State +6 v. Pittsburgh | 75-84 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Troy + I look for the Trojans to go into Pittsburgh and give the Panthers all they can handle. Pitt has started out 2-0, but there's nothing to be excited about wins over Youngstown State and VMI. There's still a long way for these Panthers to go before they can be taken seriously. Pitt won just 8 games all of last year, going winless (0-18) in ACC play. They fired head coach Kevin Stallings and several key players either graduated or transferred out of the program. The future figures to be bright under Jeff Capel, but this figures to be a long rebuilding season. Troy is one of the top teams out of the Sun Belt and showcased some of their potential in a mere 4-point loss at St Louis as a 12-point dog last time out. Trojans nearly won on the road as a double-digit dog, despite shooting just 38.9% from the field. If they can hit some shots tonight, I definitely could see them winning this outright. Take Troy! |
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11-12-18 | Bowling Green +8.5 v. VCU | 61-72 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Bowling Green + I like the value here with the Falcons as a near double-digit dog against the Rams. Bowling Green comes in at 1-1, but the lone loss is nothing to be ashamed of. The Falcons lost 84-80 at St. John's as a 18.5-point underdog. Bowling Green shot 50% against the Red Storm and if they are hitting their shots they are a very difficult team to beat. VCU is a program that still gets respect nationally from their success under Shaka Smart and last year the Rams missed out on the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2010. While VCU has opened up 2-0, neither win has been all that impressive. They have beat Gardner-Webb and Hampton, each by a final score of 69-57. They failed to cover as a 14-point favorite against Garder Webb and there wasn't even a line against Hampton. Falcons are an impressive 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs a team with a winning record and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after covering the spread in their last game. Take Bowling Green! |
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11-12-18 | Blackhawks v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 52 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on under
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-11-18 | Hawks v. Lakers UNDER 241 | 106-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
3* NBA Late Night Total DESTROYER on Lakers/Hawks UNDER There's just too much value here on the UNDER to pass up with this ridiculously high total. I know both of these teams are scoring at a decent clip and have had their struggles defensively, but I just don't see the pace being where it needs to be to eclipse this number. Lakers will be in the second game of a back-to-back set, as they played at Sacramento last night. Hawks had yesterday off, but this is their first game out west and will be their 4th game in the last 6 days. LA won 101-86 over the Kings last night, holding a red-hot Sacramento offense to just 34.8% shooting. I think they are going to be a lot stronger defensively now that they got Tyson Chandler. UNDER is 4-0-1 in Laker's last 5 off a win and 3-0-1 in their last 4 at home. Take the UNDER! |
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11-11-18 | Chargers v. Raiders +10.5 | 20-6 | Loss | -110 | 81 h 50 m | Show | |
3* NFL Week 10 Vegas ATS SHOCKER on Raiders + Oakland couldn't have looked much worse than they did in a 34-3 loss to the 49ers on Thursday Night Football. A game the Raiders were actually favored to win. The public isn't going to want anything to do with this team and the books know it. They have drastically inflated this line on the Chargers and there's just no way I'm passing up on a double-digit home dog. It's one thing for the Raiders to not show up against a bad 49ers team that had a guy no one heard of playing quarterback, but I'm confident they will show up here at home against a hated division rival. Last 15 times Derek Carr has been a dog of 6.5 to 13.5 points the Raiders have gone an impressive 10-5 ATS. Oakland is also 3-1-1 ATS last 5 at home vs a team with a winning road record and the Chargers are a mere 1-5 ATS in their last 6 off a cover. Take Oakland! |
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11-11-18 | Southern Miss +11 v. SMU | 74-64 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Southern Miss + I love the value here with the Golden Eagles as a double-digit dog against the Mustangs. Southern Miss is a team you want to look out for early on this season. They are now a few years removed from the NCAA sanctions and will have basically their entire roster back from last year's 16-win team. They are a legit sleeper in C-USA and will be out to make a statement here against a quality program like SMU. The Mustangs won their opener at home against Northwestern State, but it wasn't pretty. SMU only won by 11-points as a massive 25.5-point favorite. They shot just 39% from the field, which is a bit concerning given the level of competition they were playing. SMU did lose their go-to-guy in Shake Milton, who led the team with 18.0 ppg). They will also be without projected starting guard Jarrey Foster. Look for Golden Eagles to hang around and maybe win this game outright. Take Southern Miss! |
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11-11-18 | Patriots v. Titans +7 | Top | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 100 h 19 m | Show |
5* AFC No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Titans + Big time value here with Tennessee as a touchdown dog at home against the Patriots. After that ugly start to the year New England has won 6 straight and gone 5-1 ATS in the process. After the books got killed in Week 9, they are making the public pay and this is just way too many points for the Patriots to be laying on the road against a good team like the Titans. I know Tennessee doesn't always look pretty, but they are 4-4 and have covered 5 of their last 7. The most recent being a 28-14 win at Dallas as a 4-point dog. This Titans defense is way better than they get credit for. Their strength is against the pass, as they rank 7th allowing just 239.0 ypg. While the offense can look anemic at times, this Patriots defense is one they should be able to move the ball against. NE is allowing 23.5 points/game, 420 yards/game and 6.2 yards/play on the road. I don't think there's a ton of difference from Tennessee and say the Bears, yet the NE was a mere 2-point favorite at Chicago and needed a lot to go right to win that game. Titans are 10-3 ATS last 13 vs a team with a winning record and 5-1 ATS last 6 at home. Take Tennessee! |
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11-11-18 | Lions +7 v. Bears | 22-34 | Loss | -115 | 100 h 15 m | Show | |
4* NFC North Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE WEEK on Lions + There's simply too much value here with Detroit as a touchdown dog in Sunday's NFC North clash with the Bears. Chicago is sitting on top the division and off back-to-back blowout wins over the Jets and Bills. The Lions on the other hand have lost 2 straight and not exactly looked great in the process, scoring just 14 at home against the Seahawks and 9 last week at Minnesota. All this has the line here inflated to the point where you have to take a shot with the Lions. I get Chicago has a great defense, but I'm not the least bit sold on that Bears offense and this Detroit defense has been playing better of late. Matthew Stafford has also enjoyed recent trips to Soldier Field, winning 4 of 5. Bears are a mere 3-12 ATS in their last 15 when coming off back-to-back covers as a favorite and the Lions are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 road games after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games and a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games after trailing by 10+ points at the half in each of their last 2. Take Detroit! |
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11-11-18 | Saints v. Bengals +6 | 51-14 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 6 m | Show | |
3* NFL Week 10 Underdog PLAY OF TH DAY on Bengals + I know Cincinnati is dealing with some injuries and likely won't have star wide A.J. Green on the field, but I think that only adds to the already awful spot for New Orleans. Most are just going to assume the Saints keep rolling after their big win over the Rams, but I just think this a massive flat spot. The last 4 games have really all been big time spots for New Orleans. The first was a home game against the Redskins on MNF where Brees was going for the passing yards all-time record. Then came back-to-back grinding road games against Baltimore and Minnesota before a showdown with LA for the all-important head-to-head tiebreaker for the No. 1 seed in the NFC. On deck is a showdown with the defending Super Bowl champs at home. Drew Brees has faced the Saints 3 times and gone just 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS. Andy Dalton on the other hand is an impressive 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS in the last 9 times the Bengals have been listed as a home dog. Take Cincinnati! |
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11-11-18 | Falcons v. Browns UNDER 51 | 16-28 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
3* NFL Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Falcons/Browns UNDER The books have set the bar way too high for Sunday's showdown between Atlanta and Cleveland. The Falcons defense was a liability early on and the perception is that with their inability to stop opposing teams and their ability to score, they are destined for high-scoring games. Thing things is, Atlanta's defense has improved as we have progressed through he season. Last time out they went on the road and held the Redskins to a mere 14 points. They will also be up against a Browns offense that has undergone some major changes of late with the firing of head coach Hue Jackson and offensive coordinator Todd Haley. Not only do I think Cleveland will struggle to score, but I like the Browns to make things difficult on Matt Ryan and that Atlanta offense. Falcons just aren't the same on the road as they are at home. They come into this game averaging 28.5 ppg overall, but are only scoring 22.3 ppg on the road. UNDER is 23-8 in the Browns last 31 home games off a home loss and a perfect 9-0 in their last 9 home games after 2 or more losses. Take the UNDER! |
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11-10-18 | Clemson v. Boston College +20 | 27-7 | Push | 0 | 22 h 10 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Boston College + I just think the price is right to take a shot on the Eagles here as a massive home dog. Clemson couldn't have looked much better since that scare against Syracuse at home. They beat Wake Forest 63-3, NC State 41-7, FSU 59-10 and Louisville 77-16. Impressive to say the least, but outside of the NC State game, those other 3 teams aren't very good and NC State just lost at home to the Demon Deacons with WF playing a backup QB. Simply put, the ACC is way down this year, but Boston College is one of the better teams in this league. I think Chestnut Hill is one of the more difficult places to play in the ACC, especially when you got a good BC team hosting a top tier opponent like the Tigers. One thing is for sure, the Eagles are going to play their hearts out with a chance to potentially move into the drivers seat to the ACC Atlantic title. I don't think that's going to happen, but with the way BC can run the football, they should be able to keep that Clemson offense off the field and I think the Eagles defense will be aided by mother nature, as temps will be in the high 30's with winds at close to 15 mph. Wouldn't be the first time the books have undervalued BC. Eagles are 15-6 ATS last 21 games overall, 12-2 ATS in their last 14 off a cover and 11-1 in their last 12 vs a conference opponent. Take Boston College! |
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11-10-18 | Northern Iowa -4 v. Texas-Arlington | 65-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Late Night ATS ANNIHILATOR on Northern Iowa - Really like the value here with UNI as a short favorite against UT Arlington. Both teams come in off wins against teams they were all but guarantee to beat. I just think this is a complete mismatch in terms of talent. The Mavericks went 21-13 last year, but fired head coach Scott Cross because the AD was upset about not making any NCAA Tournament appears. Cross had won 72 the past 3 seasons. Arlington not only will be adjusting to a new coach (Chris Ogden), but they have to replace all 5 starters, including two of the best players to ever play at the program. UNI went just 16-16 last year and 7-11 in the Missouri Valley. First time since 2002 that they were under .500 in conference play. They were better than their record (KenPom had them rated 3rd best team in the MWC). I like head coach Ben Jacobson and he's got the Panthers flying under the radar in 2018. Take Northern Iowa! |
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11-10-18 | Florida State +18 v. Notre Dame | 13-42 | Loss | -105 | 59 h 38 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF NON-CONF (FSU/ND) GAME OF THE WEEK on Florida State + As difficult as it might be to take Florida State, I really like the Seminoles to give the Irish a major scare on Saturday. Not only is Notre Dame starting to feel the pressure of each game down the stretch, but now they have to play without starting quarterback Ian Book, who is dealing with a rib injury. It will be back to Brandon Wimbush for the Notre Dame offense and while he's experienced and fully capable of guiding this team to a victory, the offense won't be as potent with him under center. While the Irish have everything to lose, FSU has nothing to lose at this point and that makes them a dangerous team. Expect them to go for it on 4th down and toss in a few trick plays to try and pull off the upset and keep slim homes of making a bowl game alive. Irish have historically struggled against the number this time of the year. Notre Dame is just 14-31 ATS in their last 45 home games in the month of November and 7-18-1 in their last 26 at home vs a team with a losing road record. Look for the Seminoles to keep it closer than expected. Take Florida State! |
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11-10-18 | Temple +4.5 v. Houston | 59-49 | Win | 100 | 21 h 9 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF AAC PLAY OF THE DAY on Temple + I like the value here with Temple as a dog against the Cougars. I think people are just assuming that the Owls aren't going to show up for this one off that heartbreaking loss at UCF. At the same time, they are writing off Houston's ugly 45-31 loss at SMU as a bad showing in a game they didn't have to win (still control their own destiny for ACC West title). I just think the books are begging for you to take Houston in this one, when Temple might be the better team. The Owls have been a different team since their 0-2 start and are 5-2 in their last 7 with their only losses AT BC and UCF. I think the defense for Temple can slow down this Cougars attack and the Owls will be able to move the ball against a Houston defense that has allowed 35+ in each of their last 3 games. Owls are 22-6 ATS in their last 28 conference games, 13-5 ATS last 18 vs a team with a winning record, 41-19 in their last 60 road games and 21-7 ATS last 28 off a SU loss. Take Temple! |
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11-10-18 | Columbia +4 v. Marist | 76-82 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Vegas Undervalued UNDERDOG on Columbia + I think the books have the wrong team favored in this one. Marist might be one of the better teams in the MAAC, but that's not saying much. The Red Foxes went on the road and lost at Army in their opener, doing so despite shooting 51.9% from the field. Columbia is a team that could surprise in the Ivy League this year. They have 4 starters back, as well as several of their top reserves. Last year a young team struggled to win away from home (1-14), but now they should start beating these teams on the road where they have the edge. Look for the Lions to pull off the minor upset. Take Columbia! |
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11-10-18 | Oregon v. Utah -4 | 25-32 | Win | 100 | 43 h 37 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF PAC-12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Utah - I think we are getting a great price here on the Utes as a small home favorite against the Ducks. I know Utah is coming off a loss at ASU and in the defeat lost starting quarterback Tyler Huntley and then later in the week saw leading rusher Zack Moss go down to a season-ending injury. Even with those two big injuries, I like Utah to win this game and cover at home. Oregon had everything in front of them when they pulled off the big upset win at home over Washington, but the Ducks lost the next week at Washington State and just haven't been the same. They followed up the loss to the Cougars with an awful 44-15 loss at Arizona and while the rebounded with a 42-21 win at home against UCLA, they had 9 fewer first downs than the Bruins and UCLA outgained the Ducks 496-492. Utah backup quarterback Jason Shelly didn't look great in relief against the Sun Devils, but that was on the road against a good defense and he was pressed into a tough spot playing from behind. Oregon doesn't pose near the threat defensively and he'll be much better prepared. There's also still a lot still at stake for Utah, who is sitting tied on top the Pac-12 South at 4-3 with USC and Arizona. Ducks are 2-10 ATS last 12 conference road games and 0-6 ATS last 6 road games after playing 3 straight conference games (later in the year). Oregon is also a mere 2-10 ATS last 12 off a home win and 0-7 off a win by 21 or more. Take Utah! |
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11-10-18 | Mississippi State +24.5 v. Alabama | 0-24 | Win | 100 | 53 h 39 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF SEC GAME OF THE WEEK on Mississippi State + It would be easy to want to jump on Alabama here after watching them go into LSU and beat the No. 3 team in the country 29-0 with a 576 to 196 edge in total yards and 29 first downs to the Tigers 13. I just think people don't understand how difficult it is to play after investing so much in the game the previous week, especially this late in the year. Alabama head coach Nick Saban has came out and said just how much that game against LSU meant to him and his team and how hard it will be for them to emotionally get up for the Bulldogs. They have traditionally played Mississippi State after facing LSU. That was the case last year and they were fortunate to win. They were down 7 in the 4th quarter and won the game on a TD with 25 seconds to play. While the Bulldogs are 7-3 and sitting at No. 16 in the country, they haven't been as good as some people expected, at least on the offensive side of the ball. The defense has been out of this world good. Mississippi State has allowed more than 20 points once all season and that was more a result of the offense putting the defense in a bad spot. With no shot at winning the conference and a bowl game already locked up, this is the Bulldogs Super Bowl of 2018. I don't know if they have enough offense to pull it off, but I love them to keep it within the number. Take Mississippi State! |
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11-10-18 | Knicks v. Raptors UNDER 220.5 | 112-128 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
3* NBA Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Knicks/Raptors UNDER I think we could see a bit of a sluggish start here for Toronto. You have an earlier start time than normal with the 3:05 EST tip. You also have the Raptors having not played since Wednesday when they concluded a 4 game road trip in Sacramento. I also think with some fresh legs we could see Toronto get after it a little more defensively with this being a division game and the Knicks aren't exactly an offensive juggernaut. New York has scored 108 or less in 5 of their last 6 and average just 105 ppg on the road. UNDER is 6-2 in Toronto's last 8 vs a team with a losing record, as well as 7-3-1 in the Knicks last 11 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. UNDER is also 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams in Toronto. Take the UNDER! |
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11-10-18 | Canucks v. Sabres OVER 6 | 3-4 | Win | 105 | 2 h 57 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on over
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-10-18 | TCU +12.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 10-47 | Loss | -105 | 75 h 18 m | Show |
5* NCAAF Big 12 GAME OF THE YEAR on TCU + No one is going to give TCU any shot of winning this game and with all the pressure that's on West Virginia to win out and potentially make the playoffs, I think this is the definition of a trap game. Keep in mind that the Mountaineers are off that thrilling 42-41 win at Texas, where they scored a touchdown in the final seconds and instead of playing for overtime, they went for two and got it. Easy for them to look past the Horned Frogs, who were just 1-5 in their previous 6 games before sneaking out a win at home against Kansas State thanks to a missed extra point by the Wildcats. I know it's nothing to be impressed with, but any kind of momentum is a big positive for TCU going into this fight. The Horned Frogs are going to be extremely motivated here to play spoiler and they still need to win 2 of their final 3 to get bowl eligible. I don't know if they can pull off the upset, but it's definitely not out of the question with how strong they are defensively. The one game that West Virginia lost was against Iowa State, who I think is right there with TCU for the best defense in the Big 12. The Cyclones didn't just keep Will Grier and the Mountaineers in check, they held them to 9 first downs and 152 total yards. Horned Frogs are 28th in the country vs the pass (190.7 ypg), which is where you have to be strong to slow down WV. Look for this to be a low-scoring game and for the Horned Frogs to keep it close. Take TCU! |
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11-10-18 | Ohio State v. Michigan State +4 | 26-6 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Michigan State + I'm going to grab the points here with the Spartans at home. Everyone just keeps assuming Ohio State is going to morph into this different team when they haven't played well in quite some time. I think they fooled some people with wins over TCU and Penn State, two games they could have easily lost. They didn't play well at home against Minnesota, got annihilated at Purdue and barely held on to beat a 1-win Nebraska team everyone thought they would destroy (17-point favorite). Now they are laying points on the road against a Michigan State team that really thrives in the underdog role, especially at home. I know they lost as a home dog to Michigan a few weeks back, but I think the Wolverines are way better than the Buckeyes. These two teams have played 3 common opponents in league play. Michigan State is 3-0 and Ohio State is 2-1. Spartans have allowed 17.0 ppg and Buckeyes 33.7 ppg. Not to mention the extra motivation that the Spartans are going to have after last year's embarrassing 48-3 loss at Ohio State. I'll take the points as insurance, but I like home dog to win outright. Take Michigan State! |
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11-09-18 | Celtics v. Jazz -3 | Top | 115-123 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
5* NBA Non-Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH on Jazz - This is an easy play on Utah as a small home favorite against the Celtics. The Jazz really need to get on track after losing 4 of their last 5. They were able to stop the bleeding and their 4-game skid with a 15 point win over the Mavs last time out. I expect that strong play to carry over to this one. We know we are going to get a big effort here from Utah, as this will be the first time that long-term Jazz star Gordon Hayward returns to Utah in an opposing team's uniform. On top of that, the Jazz are catching Boston at the perfect time. The Celtics are in the midst of a 5-game road trip and playing on zero rest after rallying in the 2nd half to win in OT at Phoenix last night. Boston looked like they were already running on fumes, as they scored just 35 in the 1st half against the Suns. They simply aren't going to have the energy/effort to keep this game competitive. We also now know Kyrie Irving won't play and I could see some other guys minutes restricted, as this game just doesn't mean much in the grand scheme of things for the Celtics. Take Utah! |
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11-09-18 | Cal-Irvine +6 v. Texas A&M | Top | 74-73 | Win | 100 | 23 h 38 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Cal-Irvine + I fully expect UC Irvine to a be a team people are talking about as a sleeper in the NCAA Tournament. The Anteaters are absolutely loaded in terms of experience and talent for a team of their size. Irvine gets back all 5 starters, their top 3 reserves and talented redshirt freshman Collin Welp. It's why the Anteaters are as short a dog as they are against a Power 5 program in Texas A&M, who has two starters back from last year's Sweet 16 team. The thing with the Aggies is they figure to be down a few notches after losing one of the best frontcourts in the country with Tyler Davis, D.J. Hogg and Robert Williams all gone. In total they lost 4 guys 6-9 or taller who averaged at least 6.7 ppg and 4.4 rpg. I not only think the Anteaters will keep this thing close enough to cover, but I like them to win this one outright. They already won and covered as a 15-point favorite in their season opener (shot 54% from the field). Aggies on the other hand won by just 15 as a 29-point favorite. Take UC-Irvine! |
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11-09-18 | NC-Greensboro v. LSU -10.5 | 91-97 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on LSU - I got a lot of respect for the UNC-Greensboro program. I know they got 3 starters back from a team that gave Gonzaga a scare in the NCAA Tournament, but I just don't see them being able to keep this within 15 points against a very talented LSU team on the Tigers home floor. LSU cruised to a 94-63 win at home over SE Louisiana, easily covering as a 20.5-point favorite. it could have been even worse if the Tigers wanted. They called off the dogs on defense after taking a 45-18 lead at the half. As for the Spartans, they had to rally from a 1st half deficit to beat North Carolina A&T. Winning by a final score of 74-66 as a 16-point favorite. They shot 50% from the field and barely won against an inferior team. That's a bad sign, as they aren't going to be shooting anywhere close to 50% on the road vs LSU. Look for the Tigers to have the cover in the bag early. Take LSU! |
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11-09-18 | Rangers v. Red Wings -122 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 1 h 14 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Red Wings
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-09-18 | Louisville v. Syracuse -20 | 23-54 | Win | 100 | 58 h 17 m | Show | |
4* Friday Night ACC PLAY OF THE WEEK on Syracuse - This one is pretty straight forward. Only one of these teams is interested in playing football in the final month of the season. Louisville has hit rock bottom following the departure of Lamar Jackson and it feels like the team has quit on head coach Bobby Petrinio. The Cardinals haven't won a game since beating WKU by a mere 3-points as a 23.5-point favorite in the middle of September. They are an atrocious 1-8 ATS this season, as the books just can't give them enough points. A true sign of a team not caring is defense and Louisville is allowing a ridiculous 48.7 ppg and 501.2 ypg in ACC play, where they are getting outscored by more than 27 ppg. I just think with how potent the Orange are offensively and the defense figuring to play well in front of a rowdy home crowd for a prime time game, this is going to get ugly in a hurry. Don't think for a second Dino Babers and his players haven't forgot about how this series has gone the last two years. Louisville whooped them 62-28 on their home field in 2016 and last year beat by 46. Take Syracuse! |
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11-08-18 | Bucks v. Warriors UNDER 238.5 | Top | 134-111 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
5* NBA TNT Thursday GAME OF THE MONTH on Bucks/Warriors UNDER This is going to be a heavily bet game. Not just because we have a potential NBA Finals preview with the Warriors and Bucks, but this is also the last NBA game on the board and it's nationally televised on TNT. Books know the public is going to be on the OVER in this one, as they love backing the OVER with Golden State and the Bucks come in averaging 120 ppg. I just think it's resulted in ton of value here on the UNDER. People focus so much on the offense side of the ball with these two teams, they don't give their defenses enough respect. Bucks are No. 2 in the NBA in defensive efficiency and the Warriors are 13th. Regardless of where Golden State is ranked, I think we all know that they are elite defensively when they want to be. Most nights they don't need to be. I think in this spot against the "Greek Freak" they will be ready to go. UNDER is 7-1 in Golden State's last 8 games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take the UNDER! |
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11-08-18 | Bucks +6.5 v. Warriors | 134-111 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Bucks No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-08-18 | Celtics v. Suns +10 | 116-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational ATS NO-BRAINER on Suns + Most are going to just assume Boston will come out pissed after losing two straight and easily cover this spread against a Suns team that just lost at home to the Nets by 22 points as a 2-point dog. I just don't think it's going to play out like that. As good as the Celtics are, a lot of teams struggle with these long road trips, especially when they are going clear across the country like Boston has. I just think they could struggle to bring the energy here against a bad Suns team and two much bigger games on deck at Utah and Portland. This is also an ideal bounce back spot for Phoenix. Anytime a team gets embarrassed like the Suns did in their last game, they typically bring a little extra next time out. That should be enough for them to hang around and keep this within the number. Take Phoenix! |
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11-08-18 | Panthers v. Steelers UNDER 52 | 21-52 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
4* Panthers/Steelers TNF Total ANNIHILATOR on Panthers/Steelers UNDER These are two of the better offenses in the NFL with big time playmakers at quarterback and I think we have seen the books inflate the total quite a bit knowing the public will want nothing to do with the UNDER in this matchup. I just think people are underestimating the talent on the defensive side of the ball. I know Pittsburgh's defense struggled early on this season, but they have held each of their last 4 opponents to 21 or fewer points, including a mere 17 points to the high-power Falcons offensive attack. Carolina has scored 42 and 36 in their last two games, but both of those were at home, where they have played 5 of their 8 games so far. Panthers are only averaging 20.7 ppg on the road. As for the Panthers defense, I think it's got the pieces on that side of the ball to at least slow down this Pittsburgh attack. It's also getting to that time of the year where it gets a lot harder to score with less than ideal conditions. I'm not saying it's going to be 14-17, I just see more of a 24-20 type of game. UNDER is a solid 25-11 in Carolina's last 36 off a division win by 10+ points and 8-1 in their last 9 road games on a grass surface. Take the UNDER! |
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11-08-18 | Rockets -2.5 v. Thunder | 80-98 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
3* NBA Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Rockets - Houston has now won 3 straight since their shocking 1-5 start to the season, but it's not from them lighting up the scoreboard like we saw last year. It's been outstanding defense that has got the Rockets back on track. I think because the offense hasn't looked great, they are still flying a bit under the radar. I certainly think they should be favored on the road over OKC. While the Thunder have won 6 straight (covered 5 in a row), they likely won't have Russell Westbrook. Even if he plays, I still would like Houston at this line, as it's only a matter of time before the Rockets start connecting on their shots. There's too much talent on that roster for them to continue to shoot 42.4% from the field. Rockets are 30-18 ATS in their last 48 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points and 28-14 in their last 42 as a road favorite. Take Houston! |
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11-08-18 | Wake Forest v. NC State UNDER 70 | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
4* Thursday Night NCAAF Over/Under KNOCKOUT on Wake Forest/NC State UNDER Too much value here with the UNDER to pass up. The books have inflated this number quite a bit with it being a prime time game and the public sure to come in on the OVER with how these teams have looked recently. Wake Forest combined for 91 at Louisville a couple weeks back and 65 last week with Syracuse. NC State's last two have seen them combine for 91 with Syracuse and 75 with FSU. I just don't think we are going to get enough scoring from both sides to eclipse the mark here. Wake Forest lost starting quarterback Sam Hartman and have had less than a handful of games to get red-shirt sophomore Jamie Newman ready for action. Newman has seen the field some, but hasn't exactly impressed. With how good NC State is against the run, I don't think Wake will be able to sustain enough drives to score the number of points needed to push this over. If the Demon Deacons don't score and the Wolfpack get up big, they will likely take their foot off the gas and look to play a lot of seniors, who maybe don't get to see the field a lot (senior night). UNDER is also 13-3 in NC State's last 16 off a home conference win, 12-4 in their last 16 vs a team with a losing record and 6-0 in their last 6 vs teams who can't stop the run (allowing 200+ ypc). Take the UNDER! |
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11-08-18 | Siena v. George Washington -6.5 | 69-61 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on George Washington - I like the value here with the Colonials. George Washington was upset in their season opener at home by Stoney Brook. That's not as bad a loss as you might think. As for Siena, they went on the road and lost by just 10 as a 19.5-point dog to Providence. Those results would have most tempted to take the points with the Saints in this one, but I look for the Colonials to bounce back in a big way at home. Georgia Washington really beat themselves in their game against Stoney Brook. They shot 47.3% from the field to Stony Brook's 38.6%. What killed the Colonials is that they went 16 of 34 (47.1%) from the free throw line and turned it over 17 times. Both areas I expect to see major improvement in tonight. Take George Washington! |
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11-08-18 | Coyotes +125 v. Flyers | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 52 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Coyotes
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-07-18 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies +4 | 87-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
4* NBA Western Conf PLAY OF THE WEEK on Grizzlies + The betting public is going to see this line and feel great about backing the Nuggets as a short road favorite against a Grizzlies team that is off back-to-back losses. I see this line as a full on trap by the bookmakers. It tells me the books don't expect Denver to perform well in this spot. I agree with them. The Nuggets are coming off a 115-107 win over a Boston team a lot of people expect to be in the Finals. They are now 9-1 and have to be feeling pretty good about themselves. Add in all the Kyrie Irving and Jamal Murray BS that's in the media, and I just don't see them coming out ready to play against a Memphis team that wasn't good last year and so far doesn't look like anything special. Grizzlies didn't have Mike Conley last year and they do now, so this team is going to be better than last year. It will take a few games for them to get the chemistry back. They like the direction they are going. Part of the reason they are 5-4 is they have played 6 of their first 9 games on the road. They are 3-0 at home with all 3 wins coming by double-digits. Big statement game for them and I think they get the victory. Take Memphis! |
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11-07-18 | Toledo v. Northern Illinois -3.5 | 15-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Northern Illinois No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-07-18 | Penguins v. Capitals OVER 6 | 1-2 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
3* NHL Over/Under PLAY OF THE DAY on Penguins/Capitals OVER The OVER has cashed in 6 of the last 8 games for the Capitals. One was a push on a total of 6 and the other was a game where they combined for 5 with a total of 6.5. No reason to not expect a lot of goals in Washington games going forward and I just think there's a good chance these two teams combine for 6 or more tonight. Since they shutout Boston in their season opener, the Capitals have allowed multiple goals in every single game since. In their last 12 games they have allowed 4 or more goals 7 times and 3 times gave up at least 6. It's not just bad defense. They are scoring a bunch as well. Washington has scored at least 3 goals in 7 of their last 8. Pittsburgh hasn't score much of late, but are a team we know can go off. Their defense has also been spotty of late, allowing 19 goals in their last 4 games. Take the OVER! |
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11-07-18 | Marshall v. Eastern Kentucky +9 | 105-77 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
3* CBB No Doubt ATS ANNIHILATOR on Eastern Kentucky + I like the value here with Eastern Kentucky as a near double-digit dog at home to Marshall. Many will recall the Thundering Herd upsetting No. 4 seed Wichita State in the opening round of last year's NCAA Tournament. Head coach Dan D'Antoni runs a similar run-and-gun offense to that of the Houston Rockets, where his younger brother coaches. This will be a very public team and I don't think the books will hesitate to inflate the number on them. The Colonels decided it was time for a change and fired head coach Dan McHale. They replaced him with A. W. Hamilton, who actually played at Marshall. This is one of those special games, where you put a little more into getting a win, especially with it being the season opener. Eastern Kentucky will need to find some new guys to compliment their star in Nick Mayo, who might be the best player in the Ohio Valley. I believe they will and this could be a surprise team in the OVC. I think they keep it closer than expected and got a legit shot at winning the game outright. Take Eastern Kentucky! |
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11-06-18 | San Francisco +3 v. UC-Davis | Top | 76-42 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Opening Night GAME OF THE YEAR on San Fran + I'm shocked the Dons are a dog in this fight, but I'll gladly take some insurance points in a game I see San Francisco winning rather easily. The Dons have won 42 games in the first two seasons under head coach Kyle Smith and made it all the way to the CBI Finals last March. This year's team looks even stronger than the one that went 22-17 and finished 4th in the WCC behind the likes of Gonzaga, St Mary's and BYU. They probably can't challenge Gonzaga for the title, but I could definitely see them surprising and finishing higher in the standings. UC Davis is also off a strong season and et back Big West Player of the Year T.J. Shorts, but lost two key starters, including China Moneke, who nearly averaged a double-double (18.4 ppg, 9.6 rpg). I just don't see them keeping pace with the Dons in this one. Take San Francisco! |
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11-06-18 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. UCLA -12.5 | 71-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on UCLA - The Bruins should have no problem here covering this short humber at home against Purdue Fort Wayne. The Mastadons posted a winning record last year and get back 3x All-Summit 1st Team guard John Konchar, while UCLA never reached their full potential and were knocked out in Dayton in the First Four of the NCAA Tournament. This year there are no distractions and the Bruins are loaded with talent that's ready to make a run at a Pac-12 title. I fully expect them to win here by 20+ and have this line covered by halftime. Take UCLA! |
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11-06-18 | Kent State v. Buffalo UNDER 44 | 14-48 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF Tues. Night MAC Total NO-BRAINER on Kent State/Buffalo UNDER A lot of people are going to look and see that Buffalo is averaging 34.9 ppg and are fresh off a 51-point outburst against a good Miami, OH team and instantly want to take the OVER at this number, especially seeing that Kent State just played in a game against Bowling Green that saw a combined 63 points scored. What they will fail to notice is that the conditions here are going to be miserable. Wins are expected to be blowing at close to 30 mph and there's a chance it could rain on top of that. That's going to all but negate the passing games for both teams and really make it hard to just get first downs. Buffalo is just going to do whatever it takes to get the win and aren't going to be interested in keeping their starters in with a massive game on deck against Ohio (win and the lock up a spot in MAC Championship Game). Take the UNDER! |
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11-06-18 | Hawks v. Hornets OVER 231 | 102-113 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
4* NBA Southeast TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Hawks/Hornets OVER The books have completely missed the mark here with this total. Atlanta has played in 3 straight shootouts that have gone over the total, but I expect a much better defensive effort here on 2 days of rest. Hawks are also off a win and cover. UNDER is 21-5 in Atlanta's last 26 off a cover and 8-2 in their last 10 on 2 days of rest. I also think Atlanta's offense could struggle to reach their season average of 110.8 ppg. Charlotte's defense was on point last time out, holding the Cavs to just 94 points. They have held 4 of their last 5 opponents to 43.5% or worse from the field. UNDER is also a solid 11-4 in the Hawks last 15 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Take the UNDER! |
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11-06-18 | North Carolina v. Wofford +11 | 78-67 | Push | 0 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Wofford + A lot of people are going to think this line is a mistake. The No. 8 ranked Tar Heels are barely a double-digit favorite on the road against Wofford from the Southern Conference. Those that have done their homework will understand this line and the value that comes with the Terriers. Wofford brings back all 5 starters from last year's team that went 21-13, including a 79-75 win at North Carolina last year. I get the Tar Heels will be out for revenge, but it means every bit as much to the Terriors to win again. UNC has the chance to be good, but must work in a lot of new pieces and replace one of the ACC's best point guard is in Joel Berry, as well as one of their best all-around players in Theo Pinson. I expect this one to go right down to the wire and wouldn't be shocked if the Terrior did in fact pull off the upset. Take Wofford! |
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11-06-18 | Stars v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 105 | 2 h 60 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on under
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-05-18 | Titans v. Cowboys UNDER 40 | 28-14 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
3* Titans/Cowboys MNF Total ANNIHILATOR on Titans/Cowboys UNDER I'm going to side with the UNDER on Monday Night Football. Despite how both of these offensives have struggled at times, the public won't be able to help themselves with the OVER at this number. I just don't see these two getting to 40 points, as this has defensive battle written all over it. These are really just two ideal teams to back for a low-scoring game. It's no secret the Cowboys are a run-first team with Zeke. I think people are kinda expecting them to go off with the addition of Amari Cooper, but chances are it will take some time before Cooper's impact is really felt. He's got to learn the whole playbook. Tennessee has one of the worst passing attacks in the NFL (30th, 192.3 ypg) and while they are focus on running, they aren't great (17th, 107.9 ypg). Most importantly these two bad offenses will be up against two teams that are really playing well on the defensive side of the ball. Titans are 3rd in scoring defense (18.1 ppg) and 9th in total defense (338.7 ypg). Cowboys are 1st in scoring defense (17.6 ppg) and 3rd in total defense (313.7 ppg). Take the UNDER! |
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11-05-18 | Titans +5.5 v. Cowboys | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Titans No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-05-18 | Bulls v. Knicks UNDER 214.5 | 116-115 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
4* NBA Eastern Conf TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Bulls/Knicks UNDER Hard to not like the value here with the UNDER at this price. Chicago's playing short-handed early on this season, as they are without starters Lauri Markkanen and Kris Dunn, as well as key reserves Bobby Portis and Denzel Valentine. In their last 6 games they have scored 107 or fewer points in 5 games. The only exception was against Golden State when the Warriors gave up 74 points in the 2nd half with the game way out of reach. New York is in a similar spot, as they are still waiting for Kristaps Porzingis to play his first game. Rookie Kevin Knox and Courtney Lee are both out and now leading scorer Tim Hardaway Jr. may not be able to play, as he's dealing with a back injury. He's listed as questionable, but given this is the 2nd game of a back-to-back (played last night in Washington), have to think he will be given the night off. Just not enough offensive talent here to eclipse the total set here and both teams are playing hard defensively. UNDER is 6-1 in the last 7 Knicks games when they are facing a team with a losing record and 6-0 in the Bulls last 6 off a SU loss. Take UNDER! |
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11-05-18 | Rockets v. Pacers OVER 212 | Top | 98-94 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 56 m | Show |
5* NBA Vegas Insider TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Rockets OVER The under has cashed in each of the last 4 games for the Pacers and Houston is coming off a game against the Bulls where they won by a final score of 96-88. I think all of this has created some great value on the OVER in this one. Both meetings between these two teams last year saw at least 213 points. Indiana is averaging 109.5 ppg at home and the Rockets are putting up 112.7. For whatever reason the Rockets have been ice-cold shooting at home, yet are hitting 46.4% from the field on the road and averaging 15 made 3-pointers on 37.3% shooting from deep. With a big game against OKC (Melo was booted and signed with Houston) on deck for the Rockets and Indiana off the big win over Boston and another big game on deck against the 76ers, I just don't think we see an all out effort defensively from either side here. That should have this thing finishing a lot closer to 220-225. Take the OVER! |
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11-05-18 | Rockets +1 v. Pacers | 98-94 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
3* NBA Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Rockets + It's been a roller-coaster start to the season for Houston, who no one thought would be sitting under. 500 (3-5) in November. However, it's a big shocker when you consider Harden has missed 3 games and Paul has missed 2. The only two guys to start all 8 games are Capella and Tucker. No way this team was going to keep playing as poorly as they were. They got their two stars back in the lineup and have won 2 straight. I look for them to make it 3 in a row with a win tonight at Indiana. The Pacers are quality team and are tough to beat at home, but I just think they are a bit outclassed here and in a big letdown spot after defeating Boston 102-101 on a last second 3-pointer by Oladipo. Rockets are a rock solid 58-38 ATS in all road games over the last 3 seasons, 28-14 ATS in their last 42 as a road favorite and 18-7 ATS in their last 25 as road favorite of 6 points or less. Take Houston! |
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11-05-18 | Devils v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 57 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on over
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-04-18 | Packers +6 v. Patriots | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 81 h 26 m | Show | |
4* NFL Situational ATS Vegas INSIDER on Packers + Great spot here to take a shot on Aaron Rodgers and the Packers as a near touchdown underdog. Last week Green Bay was a near double-digit dog at the Rams and they nearly won the game outright, losing by just two points. I don't know why this team isn't getting more love than they are, but there's not many times I won't take this may points with Rodgers. Green Bay has the numbers of a top team, as they are 5th in the NFL in total offense (412.1 ypg) and 12th in total defense (340.9 ypg). Patriots have won 5 straight and are 4-1 ATS during this stretch, which is part of the reason we are getting the number we are. I know it's hard to win in New England this time of year, but I think the Packers need this game more and I like their chances of at worst keeping it within the number. Packers are 35-18 ATS in their last 53 road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games and there's a great system in play. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points who are a strong passing team (completing 60% or better) and have gained 6.75 or more yards/attempt in each of their last 4 games are 25-6 (81%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. Take Green Bay! |
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11-04-18 | Magic v. Spurs UNDER 209 | 117-110 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
4* NBA Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Spurs UNDER These two teams could have a difficult time just getting to 200 points. While scoring is up for the league as a whole, the Magic haven't caught on board. There's teams out there scoring 120+ on a nightly basis. Orlando has hit 100 points just 3 times in 8 games. Their last 3 games they have scored, 91, 99 and 95. Spurs are always a great fundamental team and execute at a high level. They are really playing well defensively right now, as they are giving up just 99.8 ppg over their last 4. San Antonio will have no problem keeping this Magic offense in check. I'm willing to be the Spurs won't score enough to eclipse this mark. UNDER is 6-0 in the Spurs last 6 vs a team with a losing record 7-0 in the Magic's last 7 vs a team with a winning record and 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in the series. Take the UNDER! |
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11-04-18 | Knicks v. Wizards -6.5 | Top | 95-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
5* NBA Eastern Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Wizards - Last time out the Wizards were booed off their own court in a 134-111 loss at home to the Thunder. Washington is now 1-7 thru their first 8 games and have lost 5 straight. It's not acceptable to go 1-7, but they have played 5 of their first 8 games not the road and their 3 at home were against likely playoff teams in the Heat, Raptors and Thunder. They also have 3 losses by 4-points or less. Simply put, it's not as bad as people are making it. I'm confident this team will get it figured out and I'm willing to bet it happens at home today against the Knicks. New York has played well at times and are off a nice 118-106 win at Dallas, but the Knicks aren't a playoff team. They are 3-6 on the season and I just don't see them being able to match the intensity of a desperate Wizards team that I believe will treat this like a must-win. Take Washington! |
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11-04-18 | Sabres v. Rangers -120 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
3* NHL Situational Money Line SMASH on Rangers - I love the value here with New York as a small home favorite against the Sabres on Sunday. Buffalo is off an impressive 9-2 win over Ottawa on Saturday and most will just think they keep it rolling into this game. You don't have many games where you put up near double-digits on the ice and I think some of the Sabres might have partied it up last night and won't be all that interested in today's game against the Rangers. While Buffalo is playing on close to 24 hours of rest, plus travel, New York hasn't played in 3 days. I just don't see the Sabres being able to match the energy or intensity of the Rangers in this one. Take New York! |
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11-04-18 | Rams v. Saints UNDER 59 | 35-45 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 35 m | Show | |
4* NFL Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Rams UNDER Most are just going to expect these two high-powered offenses to light up the scoreboard. I'm not saying this will be a defensive battle, but a total of 59 is way too high for this one. This isn't just another game. There's a good chance the No. 1 seed and home field in the NFC will be determined by who wins. I expect both teams to treat this like a playoff game and we just don't usually see a shootout in the postseason. Not to mention, as good as these two offenses are, they both have a ton of talent on the defensive side of the ball. These two teams played last year in late November and combined for just 46 (26-20) points with a total of 54. We might get a little more scoring with the game in New Orleans, but I think this ends closer to 50 than it does 60. Take the UNDER 59! |
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11-04-18 | Bears v. Bills +10 | Top | 41-9 | Loss | -105 | 87 h 10 m | Show |
5* NFL Non-Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Bills + The public perception couldn't be any worse on the Bills right now. No one wants anything to do with backing Buffalo, especially given that Nathan Peterman is expected to start. I get it, but there's just too much value here with the Bills as a double-digit home dog. Chicago's a good team, but they aren't the Patriots and shouldn't be laying this many points on the road, especially with their limitations offensively and how strong Buffalo is on the defensive side of the ball. It was a bit of a fluke the Bills didn't cover the 13.5-point spread agains the Patriots. I not only think they will cover this big number, but I wouldn't be shocked if they won this game outright. I know there's talk out there about the Bears not looking past the Bills, but that's easier said than done, especially with two big division home games on deck. I think the difference here will be Buffalo's defense taking away Chicago's running game and making Trubisky beat them. Bears are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games after playing their previous game at home and are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 on the road after a game where they gained 6 or more yards/play. Take Buffalo! |
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11-04-18 | Chiefs v. Browns +9 | 37-21 | Loss | -105 | 72 h 36 m | Show | |
3* NFL Vegas ATS Line MISTAKE on Browns + The Chiefs not only were the talk of the NFL early on, they opened the season a perfect 7-0 ATS before finally failing to cover last week as a 10-point home favorite against the Broncos. KC was in a good spot to cover, as they were up 30-14 in the 2nd half. I don't think that will keep the public from backing the Chiefs and I think there's a ton of value here going against them. The Browns haven't been as good as they had hoped and their most recent blowout loss at Pittsburgh resulted in head coach Hue Jackson and offensive coordinator Todd Haley getting fired. Most will just think Cleveland has no shot of keeping this close, but I like interim head coach Gregg Williams (defensive coordinator) and you almost always see a team play their best after a big coaching change. The Browns got the talent defensively, to get pressure on Mahomet and force him into some mistakes. This is also a big letdown spot for the Chiefs, who have to think they can just show up here and win. KC's defense has played well of late at home, but that stop unit has really struggled on the road. Look for Baker Mayfield to have a big game here and maybe even lead the Browns to an upset win. Take Cleveland! |
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11-04-18 | Steelers v. Ravens -2 | 23-16 | Loss | -103 | 57 h 54 m | Show | |
4* Steelers/Ravens AFC North PLAY OF THE WEEK on Ravens - I like the value here with Baltimore laying less than a field goal at home against the Steelers. I think the fact that Pittsburgh has won 3 straight, while the Ravens have lost 3 of 4 has people thinking we will see a different result than the last time these two teams played (Baltimore won 26-14 at Pittsburgh earlier this season) Not me. I expect a similar outcome with the Ravens defense keeping the Steelers in check and Baltimore winning here by double-digits. The Ravens let one get away at Cleveland off that big win over Pittsburgh, then suffered a crushing loss at home to the Saints and failed to bounce back not eh road against a good Carolina team. I don't think Baltimore has regressed at all and they will take care of business at home. History suggest Pittsburgh will struggle against the number after their recent success. The Steelers are just 6-17 ATS in their last 23 road games when they come in having covered 4 of their last 5. Pittsburgh is also just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 off a SU win. Ravens come in having gone 5-1 ATS in their last 6 off a loss and 8-3 in their last 11 after losing their previous game by more than 14 points. Take Baltimore! |
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11-04-18 | Utah State v. Hawaii +18 | 56-17 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 32 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Hawaii
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-03-18 | Jazz v. Nuggets -4 | 88-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
3* NBA Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Nuggets - I love the value here with Denver as a short home favorite against the Jazz tonight. The Nuggets have been one of the big surprises early on, as they have opened up 7-1 and are a perfect 4-0 at home, where they are outscoring teams by 12.2 ppg. Utah is a solid team, but I just don't think they have the good to keep this one close with how well Denver is playing. Especially given that the Jazz are playing on no rest after suiting up last night at home against the Grizzlies. It's also their 3rd game overall in the last 4 days. A situation in which the Jazz have gone a mere 16-29 ATS over the last 3 seasons. Utah is also just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 when playing on 0 days of rest. Take Denver! |
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11-03-18 | Louisiana Tech v. Mississippi State -23.5 | 3-45 | Win | 100 | 59 h 55 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF Big Money PLAY OF THE DAY Mississippi State - I think a lot of people will consider grabbing the points with Louisiana Tech, as they are going to feel like this is a big trap game for the Bulldogs. Technically speaking it is, as Mississippi State is off the big home win over Texas A&M and has a game at Alabama on deck next Saturday. I just don't think a less than 100% Bulldogs team can win here by at least 4 touchdowns. A lot of people will point to how well La Tech played in their near upset win over LSU earlier this season, but that's the exact reason why I don't think Mississippi State is going to take this team lightly. Keep in mind LSU was up 24-0 midway thru the 3rd quarter before taking their foot completely off the gas. I also think the fact that the Bulldogs had lost 3 of their previous 4 before beating Texas A&M, is another reason why they will show up here. It's fun beating up on lessor competition, especially when things aren't going your way. I think the offense is desperate to have one of those breakout games where they score 50+ points and that defense front should make life miserable for the visiting Bulldogs. Take Mississippi State! |
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11-03-18 | Montreal v. Hamilton OVER 48.5 | 30-28 | Win | 100 | 2 h 60 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on over
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-03-18 | Utah v. Arizona State +7.5 | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 81 h 7 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF Pac-12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Arizona State + Utah is simply getting way too much love right now. The Utes have won and covered 4 straight. The books have taken notice and really inflated this line, as there's no way Utah should be laying over a touchdown on the road to Arizona State. The Sun Devils have been hit or miss, but they come into this one off a 3-point win at USC as a 3-point dog. They are just 2-4 in their last 6 games, but all 4 losses have come by a touchdown or less. It's also been a brutal stretch, as they have hosted Michigan State and Stanford, while playing no the road against the likes of San Diego St, Washington, Colorado and USC. I like this Utah team, but I think people are jumping the gun a little bit on this team. The win at Stanford was impressive, but they also caught the Cardinal off back-to-back massive road games against Oregon and Notre Dame. The other 3 wins were at home against Arizona and USC and at UCLA. This team lost by 14 at Washington, barely beat Northern Illinois on the road and lost at Washington State. I think Arizona State has a legit shot at winning this game outright. Sun Devils are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games against strong defensive teams like Utah, who allow 4.5 or less yards/play and have won these games outright by an average score of 31-24. Take Arizona State! |
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11-03-18 | Kansas State +8.5 v. TCU | 13-14 | Win | 115 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Kansas State + I just think there's way too much wrong with this TCU team for them to be laying over a touchdown to anyone in the Big 12. I get Kansas State isn't that good, but the Horned Frogs just lost to Kansas. The only way a Gary Patterson coached team loses to a team like Kansas, is the players have given up on themselves and each other. It's not easy for these kids to keep fighting when things go so badly, especially when the expectations are so high coming into the year. TCU played in the Big 12 title last year and they were thinking conference title. They go into November not even remotely in the conversation. They haven't covered since Sept. 7th at SMU. Now is not the time to play the due factor with this team. They might win, but I'm confident it will be by 7 or less if they do. Take Kansas State! |
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11-03-18 | UL-Lafayette +10 v. Troy | 16-26 | Push | 0 | 22 h 41 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF Vegas Line MISTAKE on Lafayette + Great value here with the Ragin' Cajuns as a double-digit dog against the Trojans. Lafayette has been playing well. They have won 3 of their last 4 with the only loss coming on the road against App State by a final of just 27-17. They more than showed they could hang with the top tier talent in this league. Keep in mind with their 4-4 overall record. They played Alabama and Mississippi State on the road and happened to lose the game in between those two SEC powers to Costal Carolina (by only 2). Troy's a good team, but this is too many points for them to be laying in this spot. While this game could have a big impact on the Sun Belt race, it's going to be hard for Troy to not look ahead to next week's showdown at Georgia Southern. A game they have to feel like they have to win to have any real shot at the East Division title. I think this is going to be a very competitive game that's decided late. I wouldn't be surprised at all if the Ragin' Cajuns won here outright. Take Lafayette! |
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11-03-18 | Georgia Southern v. UL-Monroe +7.5 | 25-44 | Win | 100 | 23 h 31 m | Show | |
3* Group of 5 PLAY OF THE DAY on UL-Monroe + Hard to not like the value here with the Warhawks getting over a touchdown at home against the Eagles. The public doesn't follow the Sun Belt closely, but most average fans are aware of the fact that Georgia Southern knocked off then No. 25 Appalachian State last week. The Eagles didn't just win, they dominated 34-14 as a 11-point dog. I think people have a hard time not betting teams off a big upset win, especially at what to them looks like a favorable price. Not to mention the Eagles have gone 7-1 ATS on the season. The books set a bad line last week on Georgia Southern and have made up for it here. This is a big sandwich game for Georgia Southern, not only are they off the big win over App State, but they have a massive game on deck against Troy that they have to win. A loss here and a win over Troy they still control their own destiny for the East title and spot in the Sun Belt title game. I think the Warhawks win this one outright. Take ULM +7.5! |
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11-03-18 | Senators v. Sabres OVER 6 | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 1 h 5 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on over
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-03-18 | Oklahoma State v. Baylor +7 | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF BIG 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Baylor + I think this is the prime spot to fade Oklahoma State. The Cowboys are fresh off that upset win at home against Texas. They put everything they had into that game. Now they are a touchdown favorite on the road to a Baylor team that was just annihilated by West Virginia last week 58-14. A game a lot of people watched, with it being a weekday matchup. I think those two outcomes have created amazing value on the Bears, who I think are going to win this game outright. Baylor is much-improved over last year and just a couple weeks ago they nearly knocked off Texas on the road. As for Oklahoma State, this team has disappointed more than it's flashed what we saw against the Longhorns. The week before they got rolled 31-12 at Kansas State and have lost at home to ISU and Texas Tech. I like Baylor head coach Matt Rhule and believe it's going to be just another year or two before he's got this team competing at the top of this conference. I'm willing to bet he has his team fired up after that ugly performance and I just don't see the Cowboys being able to match that intensity on the road, especially with a certain in-state rival on deck named Oklahoma. Take Baylor! |
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11-03-18 | Rutgers v. Wisconsin -28.5 | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 16 m | Show |
5* NCAAF Big Ten GAME OF THE MONTH on Wisconsin - I got no problem here laying the big number on the Badgers at home. Wisconsin will have zero problem here winning by more than the spread against a horrible Rutgers team. The Badgers come into this one off a 31-17 loss at Northwestern, which really put them behind the 8-ball in the Big Ten West, but they still aren't out of it. Either way, Wisconsin isn't a team to lay down when things aren't going their way. If anything, the Badgers are going to be that much more locked in for this Saturday's game and that's bad news for a Rutgers team that's 0-5 in conference play and haven't won since beating Texas State at home in their season opener. I think the only reason this line isn't more, is because Rutgers only lost by 3-points at home to Northwestern in their last game and they are off a bye. I look more at how this team lost by by 49 at Ohio State this season and that's not their only bad showing on the road. They lost by 41 at Kansas and by 27 at Maryland. Rutgers is getting outscored by an average of 35 ppg on the road (47-8) and Wisconsin is beating teams by an average of 21 (38-17) at home. It's also worth noting that the Scarlet Knights haven't scored more than 17 points in their last 7 games. I don't think they get to that mark and the Badgers should be pushing 50. Take Wisconsin! |
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11-03-18 | Nebraska +18 v. Ohio State | 31-36 | Win | 100 | 48 h 15 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF Power 5 Underdog PLAY OF THE WEEK on Nebraska + I think the perception here is that Ohio State is going to return from their bye week and take out all their frustration from that ugly loss at Purdue on Nebraska. I would expect Ohio State to win this game, but I don't see them pulling away by more than 3 scores. I know it was a struggle for Nebraska to win a game, but they have really played well in several games. Prior to getting that elusive first win over Minnesota, they blew a late lead in a 34-31 loss at Northwestern and they covered as 18.5-point dogs in a loss at Wisconsin. The Cornhuskers are also coming out of their bye and while this is a must-win for Ohio State if they want to have a realistic shot of winning the Big Ten East and making the playoffs, I think it will be hard for them to take this Nebraska team seriously and not look ahead just a little to next week's game at Michigan State. Keep in mind it wasn't just one bad game at Purdue. Ohio State didn't look all that great in their previous game at home against Minnesota, winning by a final score of 30-14 as a 29-point favorite. They haven't covered a game since beating Tulane 49-6 back in late September. Over the last 5 seasons, home teams that lost by 28 or more points to the spread in their previous game are a mere 6-28 (18%) ATS in weeks 10 through 13. Take Nebraska! |
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11-03-18 | South Carolina v. Ole Miss +1 | 48-44 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF SEC GAME OF THE WEEK on Ole Miss I like the value here with Ole Miss as a home dog to the Gamecocks. I know it's basically a pick'em but don't think for a second the Rebels don't know who is favored to win. I just think Ole Miss is better than they get credit for and should be at least a field goal favorite here against South Carolina. The Gamecocks barely won at home last week against Tennessee and really haven't lived up to their expectations. They came into this season thinking SEC East title. That's pretty much out the window and I think for them it's now all about the two big road games to end the season with Florida and Clemson. The Gators are up next week and I think South Carolina has a hard time matching the intensity of the Rebels. Fading the Gamecocks off a win has been very profitable. South Carolina is 0-5 ATS last 5 off a SU win. Look for them to make it 0-6 after Saturday. Take Ole Miss! |
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11-03-18 | Syracuse -4.5 v. Wake Forest | 41-24 | Win | 100 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF Early Bird ATS SMASH on Syracuse - I think we are getting a great price here to back Syracuse. This has already been a special season for the Orange. They have secured their first bowl bid since 2013 and are ranked in the Top 25 for the first time since 2001. They are 6-2 and have to be thinking double-digit wins right now. I just don't see them laying an egg here against Wake Forest and I feel like that's the only way they don't win by at least a touchdown. Don't be fooled by the Demon Deacons 56-35 win at Louisville last week. The Cardinals are trash and playing like it. This is still the same team that lost 63-3 at home to Clemson, lost by 21 to an awful FSU team and lost by double-digits at home to BC. The defense has been a major problem for Wake and will be picked apart by Eric Dungey and this Orange offense that has put up 91 in their last 2 games. Demon Deacons won't be able to keep pace. Take Syracuse! |
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11-03-18 | Michigan State v. Maryland +3 | 24-3 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 52 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Maryland No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-02-18 | Wolves v. Warriors UNDER 240 | 99-116 | Win | 100 | 17 h 27 m | Show | |
4* NBA Western Conf TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Warriors/Wolves UNDER I just think that given how good the Warriors offense has been early on and this being a nationally televised game on ESPN, we are seeing quite the inflated total for tonight's showdown between Golden State and Minnesota. Last time out the Timberwolves knocked off the Jazz 128-125 as a 7-point home dog, which is worth noting, as the UNDER is 10-1 in Minnesota's last 11 road games off an upset win over a division rival as a home dog. Not to mention, there's no doubt the Timberwolves are going to give everything they got against the Warriors, regardless of the tension inside the locker room. UNDER is also 12-3 in the Warriors last 15 games against the Western Conference and 7-2-1 in their last 10 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. UNDER is also 22-8 in the last 30 meetings between these two franchises. Take the UNDER! |
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11-02-18 | Raptors v. Suns +11 | 107-98 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Suns No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-02-18 | Grizzlies v. Jazz -7.5 | 110-100 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Jazz No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-02-18 | Thunder v. Wizards UNDER 229 | 134-111 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
3* NBA Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Thunder UNDER I'm expecting a big time effort here from Washington at home, as they try and get things going in the right direction after their 1-6 start. They still haven't won a game on their home court this season. You can count on them laying it all on the line here and it will certainly help that Dwight Howard is going to make his season debut. Big reason Washington has struggled is their defense and lack of rebounding, the two areas that Howard figures to impact the most. As for OKC and them not going off to push this over, this is a tough spot for the Thunder. They are coming off a 111-107 win at Charlotte last night, where they had to use a ton of energy rallying from a 19-point 2nd half deficit. I just think that effort and the travel will have them playing at a slower pace than normal. UNDER is 31-13 in OKC's last 44 as a road dog, 15-5 in their last 20 on the road with a total of 220 or more and 11-2 in their last 13 after scoring 110 or more points in 3 straight games. Take the UNDER! |
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11-02-18 | Rockets -3 v. Nets | 119-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Rockets - I don't think anyone saw Houston sitting at 1-5 thru their first 6 games. I know they just lost 104-85 at home to the Blazers and aren't expected to have James Harden back until tomorrow's showdown with the Bulls, but I just can't pass up on the Rockets at this price against the Nets. Brooklyn's not a good team. They are coming off a 1-point win at home against the Pistons, but shot just 42.6% from the field. Their other two victories are against the Knicks and Cavs. Houston simply can't continue to shoot as poorly as they have. They were 31 of 96 (32.3%) from the field against the Blazers. Big time bounce back spot for the Rockets off that embarrassing performance and the Nets are just the team to get them back on track. Houston is a solid 27-13 ATS as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons and a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games off a blowout loss by 15 or more. Take Houston! |
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11-02-18 | Toronto +6.5 v. Ottawa | 9-24 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
3* CFL Friday Night ATS ANNIHILATOR on Toronto + Great spot here to grab Toronto as a near touchdown dog against the Redblacks. This line is based a lot on the records of these two teams. The Argonauts are tied with Montreal for the worst record in the league at 4-13, while Ottawa is sitting on top the East standings at 10-7. The key here being that the Redblacks have already secured the East division title, so there's really no incentive to win here. A lot of the starters (best players) will be rested and kept out to avoid injury. I just think anytime you go into a game without a real sense of urgency, it's hard to win and I have to think the Argonauts would like to end this forgettable season on a high note. Either way, all we need is for them to keep it close. Take Toronto! |
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11-02-18 | Panthers +130 v. Jets | 4-2 | Win | 130 | 2 h 52 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Panthers
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-01-18 | Blackhawks v. Oilers -1.5 | 0-4 | Win | 195 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
3* NHL Puck Line MASSACRE on Oilers - I'm going to take the Oilers to not only secure a win at home over the Blackhawks, but I got them on the -1.5 puck line for an even bigger payout. Chicago is struggling right now. The Blackhawks have lost 3 straight and have been outscored 13-6 during this stretch. Edmonton on the other hand has won 6 of their last 9, which includes a win at Chicago last week. Blackhawks have really struggled defensively and the Oilers have scored 19 goals in their last 5 games. Look for them to get out to an early lead and cost to a win here by at least 2 goals. Take Edmonton -1.5! |
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11-01-18 | Raiders v. 49ers -3 | 3-34 | Win | 105 | 51 h 53 m | Show | |
4* Raiders/49ers NFC West GAME OF THE WEEK on 49ers - San Francisco should have no problem here cashing in a win against the Raiders. This has been a complete disaster of a first season for Oakland under new head coach Jon Gruden. It started with the team trading away not just their best defensive player, but one of the best the NFL has to offer in Khalil Mack. The defense clearly misses him, as Oakland enters tonight's game giving up 31.1 points/game. Prior to last week's game against the Colts they traded star wide out Amari Cooper to Dallas. While I think a lot of the players already threw in the white towel on this season, I think that was the icing on the cake. Raiders responded just as you would expect and lost 42-28 at home to the Colts. I know this is the battle of the bay and all that, but that's not really a thing when you have a matchup of two 1-win teams. I'm sure Oakland will show up against some of the top teams later on, but I don't think they care about this game at all. Most players already want nothing to do with playing on the road in these Thursday game on short rest. With or without C.J. Beathard at quarterback, I think the 49ers win here without much problem, as this team at least still has some fight in them. Note that SF backup quarterback Nick Mullens did flash some nice potential in the preseason and has a great offensive mind calling the plays. Take San Francisco! |
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11-01-18 | Kings v. Hawks UNDER 231 | 146-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Kings/Hawks UNDER The Kings come into this one off a 107-99 win at Orlando as a 4.5-point dog, while Atlanta enters off an ugly 136-114 loss at Cleveland as a 4.5-point dog. Those two results set up a very profitable system on tonight's game going under the total. UNDER is 40-13 (76%) over the last 5 seasons when you have a team off an upset win as a road dog (Kings) playing against a team off a blowout road loss by 20 or more points. It's also worth noting the Kings have won 4 straight as an underdog and are now 5-3 on the season, which sets up another profitable system, as the UNDER is 23-5 (82%) with a total of 200 or more with a team off 2 or more outright wins as a road dog and have a winning record on the season. Take the UNDER! |
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11-01-18 | Temple v. Central Florida UNDER 62 | 40-52 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 41 m | Show | |
3* Temple/UCF NCAAF PLAY OF THE DAY on Temple UNDER I don't see any way these two teams combine for more than 60 points. These are two of the top defensive teams in the ACC. UCF is only giving up 19.2 ppg in conference play and the Owls are allowing just 14.2. The biggest key here is this Temple defense has the talent and speed to contain this high-powered UCF offense. The Owls are 25th in the country this season, giving up just 330 yards/game, while also holding teams to just 4.2 yards/carry. On top of that star quarterback McKenzie Milton is dealing with an ankle injury that caused him to miss UCF's last game. While he likely plays, he might not pose near the threat running if it's not 100%. Temple may once again be without star running back Ryquell Armstead and the offense hasn't been the same the last two games without him. Even if he does return, it's unlikely the Owls will put up a big number on the road against this UCF defense. Take the UNDER! |
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11-01-18 | Temple +12 v. Central Florida | 40-52 | Push | 0 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Temple No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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11-01-18 | Clippers v. 76ers OVER 229 | Top | 113-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
5* NBA Non-Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Clippers/Sixers OVER Get ready for some offensive fire-works in tonight's NBA showdown between the Clippers and 76ers. Neither of these teams brought much energy on the defensive side in their last game on Tuesday and with just 1-day off I expect more of the same. Los Angeles allowed 128 points and 51.1% shooting in 18-point loss at OKC, which saw a combined score of 238. Philadelphia gave up 129 and 51.1% shooting in a 17-point loss at Toronto, which saw 241 combined points. 76ers come into this one averaging 115.2 ppg at home and the Clippers are averaging 117.3 ppg on the road. OVER is 13-4 in the Clippers last 17 after playing in a game with a combined score of 235 or more, 8-3-1 in their last 12 off a SU loss and 5-2 in Philadelphia's last 7 overall. Take the OVER! |
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11-01-18 | Thunder v. Hornets UNDER 227.5 | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Thunder/Hornets UNDER Books have set the total too high for tonight's NBA action that has the Hornets hosting the Thunder. Both these teams are playing well coming into this game and I expect big efforts from each side on the defensive end. OKC has played well defensively this year and will be extra-motivated to get their first road win of the season. Charlotte has also been a strong defensive team early on and will definitely be up for this one against Westbrook and company. UNDER is 30-13 in OKC's last 43 as a road underdog and 6-1 in the Hornets last 7 vs a team with a winning record. There's also a great system in play. UNDER is 27-8 (77%) over the last 5 seasons when you have a total of 220 or more with a team off a home win by 10 or more against an opponent off a home win where they score at least 110 points. This system fits both of these teams! Take the UNDER! |
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11-01-18 | Stars +133 v. Maple Leafs | 2-1 | Win | 133 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
4* NHL Underdog PLAY OF THE WEEK on Stars + I like the value here with Dallas as a decently priced road dog against the Maple Leafs. Toronto has cooled off quite a bit since their 6-1 start, as they are just 2-3 in their last 5 with all 3 losses coming at home and both wins against Winnipeg. Stars have won 3 of their last 4 after a 3-game losing streak and have won 5 of their last 6 vs a team with a winning record. Toronto has been playing in some lower-scoring games and are just 4-9 in their last 13 home games after 3 straight games that went UNDER the total. Maple Leafs are also 0-4 in their last 4 home games after playing their previous game at home and have lost in this spot by 2.5 goals/game. Take Dallas! |