01-01-16 |
Ole Miss -7 v. Oklahoma State |
Top |
48-20 |
Win
|
100 |
35 h 55 m |
Show
|
10* Ole Miss -7, not higher over Oklahoma State Don't mean to raddle anyone, but this will be a close call from the spread standpoint. The Pokes are 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last 5 bowl games dating back to 2010 all under the leadership of HC Mike Gundy. As a 6-1/2 underdog they defeated Washington last year SU 30-22 in the Cactus Bowl..So, this is a step-up in class via the Sugar Bowl which is all SEC country. Ole Miss recent taste of bowl action in the last three years..2-1 SU/ATS. The 42-3 loss to TCU in Peach Bowl has the Hugh Freeze group sky high! Only negative is their very best defensive player is out of the game as you know per the news releases recently. The Rebs started strong 4-0 SU beating Alabama, but then lost on the road at Florida, Memphis(?), and Arkansas...Easily, the unit has an issue with focus. But, that will NOT be the case today knowing the opposing talent, the conference and the chance to pick up a DD win (9-3) season is a glaring issue. The Rebs finished nicely beating and covering vs. LSU and Mississippi State...two hated rivals. SEC BOWL FAVS show 4-0 ATS going into Saturday. Oklahoma State (10-2) only lost two games, both at the end of the season to Baylor and Oklahoma. The Pokes lead with their passing game QB Rudolph as the unit ended #10 in the NCAA throwing the pigskin. The schools last played in 2010...Ole Miss 21-10. For the Rebs to cover they will need their rushing attack to control the tempo and field position, and of course, the legs of QB Kelly will be needed. OKS is 2-7 ATS off a SU loss, 4-10 ATS after surrendering 450+ yards and 3-7 ATS off ATS loss. The Rebs are 1-5 ATS off a SU win, but you can discount that item, considering the TCU debacle last season. Ole Miss comes in 24-8 ATS non-conference, 3-0-1 ATS (January), 6-1-1 ATS at neutral sites and 4-1 ATS in BOWL games. This should be a high scoring, as I remember the opening total was 67. In closing, history has shown that teams relate more closely to current reality and for the Pokes losing BB conference game...ouch! So, we are riding OLE MISS!
|
01-01-16 |
Notre Dame +6 v. Ohio State |
|
28-44 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
01-01-16 |
Tennessee v. Northwestern +9 |
|
45-6 |
Loss |
-115 |
23 h 12 m |
Show
|
5* NORTHWESTERN +9 over Tennessee The 'Cats come out of the surprising Big-10 with a 10-2 record, and the catalyst could have been the 40-10 loss to Iowa early. Coach Fitz has done a great job, and stands to be the first coach in NW history to win 11 games. The key for the Wildcats is their stingy defense, and with Vols inconsistent offense, I believe we have a great shot of not only covering but winning SU. This situation means more to NW, so they will have the EMOTIONAL EDGE. Also, UT is 1-7 ATS off a SU win of 20 plus. Finally, the 'Cats show 4-1 ATS in bowl games...NORTHWESTERN.
|
12-31-15 |
Oklahoma v. Clemson +4 |
|
17-37 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
12-31-15 |
Houston v. Florida State OVER 56 |
|
38-24 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 9 m |
Show
|
|
12-30-15 |
NC State v. Mississippi State UNDER 59.5 |
|
28-51 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 42 m |
Show
|
3* (251/252) NCS/Mississippi State UNDER 59-1/2-60 I just check the number has hit back to 60 numerous stores, that supports our side of the ledger. Granted when you survey the recent bowl activity, OVER seems the appropriate percentage angle. However, last year when the SEC Bulldogs played in a bowl game vs. an ACC unit, they not only lost but were torched defensively. Coach Mullen has made it a point in bowl preparation to enforce "focused" approach on the defensive side of the bowl, because of the losses and gap issues vs. SEC types. NCS has one of the best defenses in the country and just might confuse DAK today, enough to "slow" red zone penetration. With some added and the line moving up...LOW!
|
12-29-15 |
Baylor v. North Carolina OVER 68.5 |
|
49-38 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
12-29-15 |
Air Force +7 v. California |
|
36-55 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 32 m |
Show
|
122915 (241) 5* Air Force+ (8-5) over California (7-5) @ 2:00 Eastern Armed Forces Bowl…BDS Here we go, might type of football game a running unit (Air Force) vs. a passing attack (California). Air Force came into the season with some high hopes, but key injuries (Romine) took their toll. The Falcons went 3-3 SU in their early going, while the Golden Bears won their first 5 games. After Air Force went on a nice winning streak in the MWC, but dropped a heart breaker in the championship game to San Diego State. California after that perfect run fell off losing 4 straight games. So, we find both units here in the Military Bowl. Looking back, California destroyed San Diego State in September, but the Aztecs were somewhat flat after blowing out San Diego University. Cal leads the all-time series 6-2 SU with Air Force 1-3 SU in the Military Bowl. To win SU the Falcons will need to control the football throughout as the Golden Bears are 7-0 ATS when scoring 30 plus a game. Still, the Cal defense is very forgiving as they given up at least 24 points a game in the majority (all but 2) games this season. Cal comes 4-14 ATS on grass, the Falcons 6-1 ATS in non-conference games. Finally, the Golden Bears a PERFECT 0-5 ATS vs. winning football teams…TAKE THE POINTS!
|
12-27-15 |
Rams +12.5 v. Seahawks |
|
23-17 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
|
12-27-15 |
Panthers v. Falcons +7 |
|
13-20 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 8 m |
Show
|
122715 5* Atlanta (110) +7 or +6-1/2 over Carolina @ 1:00 Eastern Prefer everyone buying ½ point! Recently, we have been going against the Panthers looking for their time to drop anchor and pick their tag of “normalcy” and a SU loss…no dice! Carolina continues to cash SU wins, but the Giants did not give up last week, thankfully. Here the task gets a little more difficult against a NFC South opponent in Atlanta (7-7) who is going nowhere, so this is there SUPER BOWL! Clear talent differential for sure, but the running game for the Panthers #3 overshadows the #17 unit for Atlanta. So, if the Falcons can find their short passing game and control a little better at the line of scrimmage, as they did last week vs. JAX they may win this SU. After all, we know, even “SUPERMAN” is human! Also, there is a bit of revenge, double carded if you will with Carolina blasting the home unit 72-3 in the last two encounters. The Falcons are 6-2 ATS week #16, with the home team 6-1 ATS in the series. Plus, the Panthers show 0-4 ATS after allowing 150+ yards rushing last time out…ATLANTA!
|
12-27-15 |
Bears v. Bucs OVER 45 |
|
26-21 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 32 m |
Show
|
|
12-27-15 |
Steelers -10 v. Ravens |
|
17-20 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
12-26-15 |
Nebraska +6 v. UCLA |
|
37-29 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
|
|
12-26-15 |
Redskins +3 v. Eagles |
|
38-24 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 28 m |
Show
|
122615 Play on: 5* (103) Washington +3 over Philadelphia @ 8:25 Eastern Okay, the Redskins are a poor road unit, have not played well on the road this season. However, they have won back-to-back games late in the season and face their most challenging event thus far off a nice roll. Philly is damaged physically coming in with a weak an injured secondary, let alone a “chasing” LB unit that can’t assimilate a big play when needed. Oh, thin on the DL too. Another injury inside their defensive starter set would cripple their current rotation. Offensively, QB Bradford is playing well, but trying to overcome a “score” deficit tonight most lightly will change Chip’s game planning! The only way the Eagles win this, is if they jump up early and control the game? Series: Underdog 4-1 ATS, ‘Skins 6-of-8 in Philadelphia. Also, historically when an Eagles football team is fading at the end of season and coming off a DD loss at home…0-8 ATS. Realize Washington brings conflicting ATS numbers, but “mindset” here all WASHINGTON!
|
12-26-15 |
Tulsa v. Virginia Tech OVER 61.5 |
|
52-55 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 17 m |
Show
|
|
12-26-15 |
Miami (Fla) v. Washington State OVER 62 |
|
14-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 2 m |
Show
|
|
12-26-15 |
Connecticut v. Marshall -5 |
|
10-16 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
12-24-15 |
Cincinnati v. San Diego State -2 |
|
7-42 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 40 m |
Show
|
|
12-24-15 |
Middle Tennessee State v. Western Michigan OVER 64 |
|
31-45 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 16 m |
Show
|
5* Western Michigan/Middle Tennessee State OVER 64 First off, they don't play defense in the USA, combined the offenses average 69 points per game. Thus far in 2015, defenses have been lacking in post season...so, go HIGH! Good Luck.
|
12-23-15 |
Georgia Southern +7.5 v. Bowling Green |
|
58-27 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* GEORGIA SOUTHERN +7-1/2 over Bowling Green Yesterday we split out, because of the Temple debacle. However, we are using just one side in the Wednesday game plan for the bowl card. Actually, I'm ticketing the school who I believe has the most dangerous and under valued offense on the playing field in either bowl game today. Take Georgia Southern to trade points with Bowling Green in a real nail bitter, and we thank the lines makers for the complimentary +7-1/2 to boot! Good Luck!
|
12-22-15 |
Toledo v. Temple -2.5 |
|
32-17 |
Loss |
-120 |
5 h 27 m |
Show
|
|
12-22-15 |
Akron +7.5 v. Utah State |
|
23-21 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 35 m |
Show
|
4* Akron +7-1/2 over Utah State Taking the value here with the number and the running game of the Zips. Utah State seemingly in a home game scenario finished the season in a negative set, because thought after early success they could win their conference, not so! Critical here for the traveling unit is their mindset, mindset and coach Holtz. Akron finished 4-0 SU/ATS running for 229 yards in their last game vs. Kent. Granted UTS is a more difficult class of defense and will show up today, but they much mental to overcome based on recent results. UTS is 3-7 ATS in non-conference game, while the Zips are 5-0 ATS L5 after holding an offense to under 100 yards on the ground...WIRE JOB!
|
12-20-15 |
Bears v. Vikings -6 |
|
17-38 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 53 m |
Show
|
122015 4* Minnesota (306) over Chicago @ 1:00 Eastern The Vikings are just 2-4 ATS since 2009 when laying singles in this highly contested division long-time rivalry. In November Minnesota (-1-1/2) did win out 23-20 at Chicago. The Bears were limited to just 305 yards in total offense. Overall, Chicago defense allows 5.5 yards per play, 62% completion effectiveness. So, the visitor will have their hands full again as they face a unit looking to make the playoffs, while playing 3-of-4 really tough games vs. Green Bay, Seattle and Arizona. Coming in Minnesota is 10-3 ATS overall, 4-2 ATS at home, 9-0 ATS off a SU loss and 12-3-1 ATS in December. Remember the Vikings average 4.6 yards per game rushing which should be the answer to their ball control keys this afternoon. Chicago has a sure fire malady in PK Robbie Gould who again last week vs. Washington cost them dearly. Plus the offense has suffered this season 3rd down…42%. Chicago being 5-0 ATS as roadies does not give an automatic, especially considering 6-13 ATS record inside the division.
|
12-20-15 |
Panthers v. Giants +4 |
|
38-35 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 53 m |
Show
|
5* NY Giants+ over Carolina @ 1:00 Eastern NFL GAME OF THE WEEK Our bowl game of the week PUSHED here because of the timing of the line insert, but a national level the LOBOS covered based on the Saturday line in most stores. This situation is real special because I have an old friend that's attending looking for the upset, so with that in mind...The Giants have shot themselves in the foot this season despite centered in the NFC East. Winning last week over Miami stirred some hope in the Big Apple, but the Giants running game needs some stretch to win SU here. Carolina is undefeated, 10-3 ATS, 5-1 ATS and looks dominating doing so! QB Newton is every bit the stellar star we thought when he was a youngster at Auburn. He hates to lose and will take over the game when needed. Still, over the last ten years these New Yorkers are 4-2 SU & ATS vs. the Panthers...the favorite in the series is 3-3 ATS since 2006. Also, changing roles from one year to the next accrues value this time to New York. Carolina played 9 games last season on the road...they were the UNDERDOG IN ALL GAMES! In 2015 with the change road SOS schedule they have given -3, -3, -3-1/2, -1 and -5-1/2...ALL AGAINST LOSING TEAMS...Carolina lost ATS last time out on the highway versus New Orleans with the heaviest price of -5-1/2. We must remember the lines makers are human also, and they find difficult to change character until there is a definitive long-term picture with corresponding results. Note, here the line is only -4? Carolina is 7-1 ATS vs. NFC, NYG 6-2 in December...more importantly playing in New York going back decades has always been a difficult venue for winning marque teams...There is no doubt Carolina has MOTO pass to a PERFECT season, but the immense pressure of the construct will show and give Eli and company a great chance to win the WHOLE GAME...Good Luck! FREE TOTAL: Carolina/NYG OVER
|
12-20-15 |
Chiefs v. Ravens UNDER 41 |
|
34-14 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
12-19-15 |
Jets v. Cowboys UNDER 41.5 |
|
19-16 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
12-19-15 |
San Jose State v. Georgia State OVER 55 |
|
27-16 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
12-19-15 |
San Jose State v. Georgia State +1.5 |
Top |
27-16 |
Loss |
-110 |
24 h 47 m |
Show
|
10* Georgia State+ over San Jose State @ 7:00 Eastern CURE BOWL...BDS The first ever Cure Bowl has San Jose State (5-7) traveling a great distance. SJU did defeat NMU last time out, but vs. other FBS units...a horrid 9-28 SU in the past. GSU a starter program going back to 2010 finished the season on a 4-0 SU run. And, they were very kind to their backers going 8-3-1 ATS. Fundamentally, they average 6.3 yards per play. Granted the Spartans come out of the MWC a more highly rated conference, but they did not fair well this season and seem to give up at the end of games...I doubt very much they are interested going to Florida around the holidays, despite the warm weather. The EMOTIONAL EDGE here is all GEORGIA STATE...Look for an outright upset!
|
12-19-15 |
BYU v. Utah -2.5 |
|
28-35 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 35 m |
Show
|
121915 3* Utah (204) over BYU @ 3:30 Normally, would not go after this type situation considering the overall coaching exodus at BYU with legendary Mendenhall and the OC going to Virginia…What does this tell the recruits for the Cougars? Utah has not played well down the stretch losing some really tough games, being hurt by passing games (#96th YA) with tall and talented receivers just check out the numbers from the UCLA, USC and Arizona games. The Utes too, like the Cougars have been hurt by injuries, however, each show 9-3 SU BYU with the more productive 8-4 ATS mark coming into the “Unholy War Bowl.” The last meeting between these two was in 2013…@ Utah, Utes 20-13 winners…Utah has won 5-of-6 SU in the series. Overall the series has been closely contested with 14 of the last 17 games decided by less than a touchdown. This season when you check out PF/PA…very similar… The mental here because of the coaching changes for BYU favors the Utes…and SOS, FPI too…UTAH by 4.
|
12-19-15 |
Arizona v. New Mexico +8 |
|
45-37 |
Push |
0 |
43 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* New Mexico + (202) over Arzona @ 2:00 Eastern College Bowl Game of the Week...Saturday We clearly had a difficult choice between the Lobos and one other squad as our game of the week, however, I am sticking with the aforementioned considering they are at home will not give up even if behind in the 4th quarter. As we enter another wacky bowl season, the public should be highly aware of the tendency to leap in the early sets to find themselves only behind when the more quality games come about. Here the line came -11-/-1/2 or -11 to start, pending your outlet now down to -9 or -8 (Thursday) in most stores on the Strip. Arizona (6-6) despite their 1-4 finish are the more talented unit and will have QB Solomon ready to start. However, AU will be missing 4 starters and have injuries in depth positions coming into action. On the other hand, NMU playing out of the MWC is lacking in SOS, has not played well historically vs. the PAC-12 (0-6) and have issues with special team units. Granted this is much to swallow as a 5* selection, but NMU has the definitive EMOTIONAL EDGE considering how they played physically and mentally at the end of the season. We especially, consider their ability to run the football and control the clock here. Arizona is 1-4 ATS in post season bowls, but 3-1 ATS recently laying singles. Still, NMU will not give up and play this to the wire...TAKE THE POINTS!
|
12-13-15 |
Cowboys +6 v. Packers |
|
7-28 |
Loss |
-107 |
6 h 31 m |
Show
|
|
12-13-15 |
Titans v. Jets OVER 42.5 |
|
8-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
37 h 15 m |
Show
|
4* JETS/Titans OVER 42-1/2 This is somewhat of a worrisome number considering the Titans fly as far as Mariota takes them, especially with big plays. Like the fact the New Yorkers are coming off a major cross town win over the Giants, so they will be high here. In fact, the Jets are 6-2 OVER L8, 5-1 OVER vs. AFC and 4-1 OVER vs. .
|
12-13-15 |
Steelers +3 v. Bengals |
Top |
33-20 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 46 m |
Show
|
121315 10* Pittsburgh +3 (105), nothing less….over Cincinnati @ 1:00 Eastern Spent many years doing weekend radio in the “Steel City” accruing friends and contacts! All I can tell you is, they are buzzing about Big Ben and the Steelers. Granted it plays right into the Las Vegas line movement that has the number down to +2-1/2 at the Westgate on the Strip. We specified you must have +3 to qualify this situation as a GOY! Granted the Bengals have had a solid season but, the last two weeks Pittsburgh is playing Super Bowl caliber football. The Bengals show 10-2 SU in the division, the Steelers suffering without Big Ben 7-5 SU. Visiting Pittsburgh is not awed by the site or Cincinnati winning and covering the last three in the series, covering 4-of-5 on the road. In addition, historically Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin has been money in the bank as a road underdog against a unit off a SU/ATS win. Last week the Bengals chewed up the Browns 37-3, so we expect somewhat of a slow start for Cincy here in the first quarter…Remember Pittsburgh leads the series 55-35. Critical is the Steelers secondary which has been hurt by the big play this season, so look for these two, despite weather, to trade points all day….We close with the Bengals 1-7 ATS in week #14, with Pittsburgh 13-2-1 ATS in Cincinnati…Now you can understand the heavy money overload the last two days…Good Luck, and thank you!
|
12-12-15 |
Army v. Navy -21.5 |
|
17-21 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 7 m |
Show
|
5* Army+ over Navy It's not often that I go against Navy, but this is is a great situation. Just based on talent and offensive productivity it would be easy to pencil in the Middies. Granted Army is in a long series losing streak, but in 3-of-4 the have been highy competitive losing by 7, 4 and 6. Also, the current Navy players are aware of coaching changes, and have a bowl celebration locked up! THIS IS THE BOWL GAME FOR ARMY...The Cadets have cashed 3/4 in the series, and looking back face their highest priced ticket since 2007...+19-1/2...TAKE!
|
12-12-15 |
Army v. Navy UNDER 50 |
|
17-21 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 39 m |
Show
|
|
12-10-15 |
Vikings v. Cardinals UNDER 46.5 |
|
20-23 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
12-07-15 |
Cowboys +3 v. Redskins |
|
19-16 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 20 m |
Show
|
|
12-06-15 |
Jets v. Giants +2.5 |
|
23-20 |
Loss |
-106 |
15 h 31 m |
Show
|
|
12-06-15 |
Texans v. Bills -3 |
|
21-30 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
12-05-15 |
West Virginia v. Kansas State +6 |
|
23-24 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
12-05-15 |
Florida v. Alabama -17 |
Top |
15-29 |
Loss |
-106 |
149 h 23 m |
Show
|
|
12-05-15 |
Temple v. Houston -5.5 |
|
13-24 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 28 m |
Show
|
|
12-03-15 |
Packers v. Lions +3 |
|
27-23 |
Loss |
-105 |
23 h 51 m |
Show
|
|
11-29-15 |
Patriots v. Broncos +3 |
|
24-30 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
11-29-15 |
Steelers +3.5 v. Seahawks |
|
30-39 |
Loss |
-107 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
|
|
11-29-15 |
Vikings v. Falcons UNDER 45.5 |
|
20-10 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 19 m |
Show
|
|
11-29-15 |
Raiders v. Titans +1 |
Top |
24-21 |
Loss |
-112 |
2 h 4 m |
Show
|
|
11-28-15 |
Connecticut +12 v. Temple |
|
3-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 58 m |
Show
|
|
11-28-15 |
Alabama -14 v. Auburn |
|
29-13 |
Win
|
100 |
32 h 45 m |
Show
|
|
11-28-15 |
UTEP v. North Texas -2 |
|
20-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 1 m |
Show
|
4* NTU -2 over ULM @ 3:30 Eastern If the Miners circumvent their (-9.4) tendency to turnover the football they can take advantage of the ULM major losses on offense (Jones and Leftwich) to secure a SU and ATS victory. Further, the Green are a solid 13-3 ATS at home versus a school with a losing road record, while the visiting Miners come in 1-10 ATS on turf. Good Luck.
|
11-28-15 |
UNLV v. Wyoming +2 |
Top |
28-35 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 40 m |
Show
|
|
11-28-15 |
Florida Atlantic v. Old Dominion +4 |
|
33-31 |
Win
|
100 |
38 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
11-27-15 |
Iowa -1.5 v. Nebraska |
|
28-20 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 17 m |
Show
|
|
11-27-15 |
Missouri v. Arkansas -14 |
|
3-28 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 39 m |
Show
|
|
11-27-15 |
Navy v. Houston +3 |
Top |
31-52 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 16 m |
Show
|
|
11-26-15 |
Eagles +2.5 v. Lions |
|
14-45 |
Loss |
-105 |
14 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
11-22-15 |
Jets -3 v. Texans |
|
17-24 |
Loss |
-120 |
3 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
11-22-15 |
Bucs v. Eagles OVER 44 |
|
45-17 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
11-21-15 |
California +11.5 v. Stanford |
|
22-35 |
Loss |
-106 |
60 h 24 m |
Show
|
5* CAL+ (385) over Stanford @ 10:30 Eastern Saturday Interesting, the Cardinal had run an 8-0 record before falling to Oregon last week on this same field. QB Hogan fumbled twice in the 4th quarter crushing Stanford's hopes of ever sliding into the College Playoffs. Do you think the Cardinal maybe a little down in the first-half, at least? Okay, Stanford (8-2) has won 5 straight in the series, and shows 4-1 ATS L5 meetings. We add Cal coach Dykes is 0-11 SU vs. Stanford, USC, UCLA and Oregon. He can't beat the Big Boys! Stanford has the edge on defense close to 7 points per game better, while the units have similar scoring numbers. Stanford has AA RB McCaffrey the go to guy when the game is on the line. No matter what the stats say, the Bears will rely on QB Goff to throw the ball down the field. He crippled Cal last year in their 38-17 loss to Stanford with 2 INTs. But, there is a huge sticking point for the Cardinal, they have COLLEGE PLAYOFF BOUND Notre Dame next....It's a revenge game for the STANFORD! Over the last 10 years before playing ND, the Cardinal is 3-7 ATS. And, remember Cal is 7-of-10 ATS on the road.
|
11-21-15 |
Iowa State +5.5 v. Kansas State |
|
35-38 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 40 m |
Show
|
|
11-21-15 |
Michigan v. Penn State +3.5 |
|
28-16 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 16 m |
Show
|
|
11-21-15 |
North Carolina v. Virginia Tech +6.5 |
Top |
30-27 |
Win
|
100 |
92 h 37 m |
Show
|
Play on: 10* Virginia Tech+ over UNC ACC GAME OF THE MONTH BDS Before the public chews up Beamer Ball value early, I'll step out calling for the outright upset despite the Tar Heels being the more talented unit overall. UNC on a 9-0 perfect run 9-1 this season 6-0 in conference, while the Hokies show 5-5 overall, 3-3 in conference, winners of BB games, the last our ACC GOY on Thursday. Where the Heels made money this season is in their + turnover ratio, however, the EMOTIONAL EDGE this time is all Hokies as they play at home. In 8-of-10 games in the series the Hokies have been the chalk, now their +6-1/2 which is a clear indicator of a talent edge, but it appears the numbers is TOO HIGH! Virginia Tech has covered back-to-back games in the series, and with such a drastic line adjustment from the last two season...TAKE THE POINTS!
|
11-19-15 |
UL-Monroe v. Texas State UNDER 63.5 |
|
3-16 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 8 m |
Show
|
5* (314) ULM and Texas State UNDER the total of 63-1/2...These two will meet for the 12th time on the gridiron when the two squads square off on national television on Thursday night. The trip to San Marcos is the sixth overall for the Warhawks and second as Sun Belt Conference foes. The Warhawks currently hold a 4-1 mark in games played in San Marcos and overall ULM leads the all-time series, 8-3. However, despite the SU number we'll go strong into the total side of the ledger considering some incredible factors, one being the coach of ULM was fired this week. In addition, the DC for TS resigned in late September. There 16-17 or more players hurt or out with injuries...lack of continuity on the playing field! Further, ULM is a bad team 1-9 SU, TX 2-7 SU. ULM is 7-1 UNDER after allowing 40+ points, while TX is a perfect 4-0 UNDER off a SU loss of more than 20 points, 4-0 UNER after surrendering 450+ yards. Also, the last two meetings have produced only 35 and 40 points..UNDER!
|
11-19-15 |
East Carolina v. Central Florida +14.5 |
|
44-7 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
11-15-15 |
Cardinals +3 v. Seahawks |
Top |
39-32 |
Win
|
100 |
34 h 20 m |
Show
|
|
11-15-15 |
Chiefs +6 v. Broncos |
|
29-13 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
|
11-15-15 |
Lions v. Packers OVER 49 |
|
18-16 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
11-15-15 |
Panthers v. Titans +5 |
|
27-10 |
Loss |
-102 |
3 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
11-15-15 |
Jaguars +6 v. Ravens |
|
22-20 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 20 m |
Show
|
|
11-14-15 |
New Mexico +30.5 v. Boise State |
|
31-24 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
11-14-15 |
Temple v. South Florida UNDER 45 |
|
23-44 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
|
11-14-15 |
Oklahoma State v. Iowa State +13.5 |
|
35-31 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
11-12-15 |
Virginia Tech +3 v. Georgia Tech |
Top |
23-21 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 58 m |
Show
|
10* Virginia Tech + over Georgia Tech @ 7:30 Eastern One it comes to big games during the college football season, I use certain coaches as a starting point in the subject game analysis. Here we have suffering Georgia Tech losers of the last 6/7 on the schedule looking to take out a hated rival at home in VPI. Unfortunately, for their backers the Vegas Strip has the Engineers as a -3 or -3-1/2 point chalk. No matter, when I’ve used Beamer Ball in the past, 100% of the time it’s when they are accruing points. The key here again for Beamer is the VTech defense which is holding units under 25 ppg. If they can limit the GTech vaunted Triple Option to around 170-180 yards on the ground, they win this SU. Remember too, this is coach Beamer’s last go around vs. Georgia Tech with this retirement coming at the end of the season. Also, last season Georgia Tech won in a nail bitter 27-24, but the series has given rise to opponent wins alternating year-to-year dating back to 2006. Technicals have the series road unit 5-0 ATS, the underdog 8-1 ATS…BEAMER!
|
11-09-15 |
Bears v. Chargers -4 |
Top |
22-19 |
Loss |
-109 |
35 h 21 m |
Show
|
(474) 10* San Diego -4, not higher...over Chicago The Chargers return home after a 3-point road loss to the Baltimore Ravens back on November 1st. The last time they played on Monday Night was back on October 12th here, losing 24-20 to the Pittsburgh Steelers. Overall HC Mike McCoy’s unit shows up 2-6 SU and 3-5 ATS. The Chicago Bears travel to the west coast after losing at home to the Minnesota Vikings on November 1st. They are 2-5 SU and 3-4 ATS this season. They have recent losing numbers ATS in the month of November, and the Vikings loss should bring a letdown despite the MN lights and the travel. Plus, defensively they are allowing almost 29 points per game. Chicago shows 8-16 ATS as an underdog and 9-14-1 ATS in non-division games. This is the first Monday edition for the Bears in 2015. During the last ten years the series is 1-1 SU & ATS. San Diego has dropped four straight to Baltimore, Oakland, Green Bay and Pittsburgh, so they will be sky high for a chance to break their deficit run and show 5-0 SU vs. the NFC and 3-1 ATS at home on MNF. Granted WR Allen is out and the OL is being restructured, but this will only heighten the determination of QB Rivers who has helped pull the Chargers together in past losing runs. Without RB Forte in the game, the Bears running attack has suffered….Look for a high scoring game San Diego 37-29.
|
11-08-15 |
Eagles v. Cowboys UNDER 44 |
|
33-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 59 m |
Show
|
5* PHILLY/Dallas UNDER 44 NFL BEST BET TOTAL....BDS Cashed a nice 3-1 ticket in CFB yesterday led by our SU/ATS 10* winner on Nebraska. Tonight the Eagles travel to Dallas after being smashed by the Pokes in the early season up at the Linc. QB Romo is still not in the lineup, and the jargon around Cassel having two wins against the Eagles means zero here. I will say the Pokes, other than Romo, have improved physically as a team. Before the 13-12 home loss to Seattle last week, the "D" had been waxed by quality quaterbacks sending the unit downhill. I believe they have regained some confidence, have REVENGE supporting the complete team, but Dallas will play conservatively on offense. With that in mind the Eagles scoring defense is solid...19.6 points per game to date, and play against their weakest offensive test on the road this season.
|
11-08-15 |
Giants v. Bucs UNDER 49.5 |
|
32-18 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 41 m |
Show
|
4* NYG/Tampa Bay UNDER 49-1/2 NFL KEY TOTAL MOVE...BDS This time around we look two defensive units that were thrashed last week for over 500 yards of total offense...Therefore, we have the increasing total price and public following driving the number higher...VALUE! We have contributing teams with total records of 5-2 and 4-3 OVER this season, but the Giants during the regular season after scoring 40+ are on 4-0 UNDER run. Now this becomes more complex since NYG has travel again down South. Defensively JPP is back on defense...Yes, from the SU standpoint the Bucs do have an edge....TB shows off a road SU/ATS win vs. the Falcons. The Bucs are 10-3 UNDER the total when booked as an underdog. The series has gone UNDER in 5 straight, while the Bucs are 7-0 UNDER in November. When assess the Giants could be fragmented today...GO UNDER!
|
11-08-15 |
Raiders v. Steelers -5.5 |
|
35-38 |
Loss |
-108 |
3 h 11 m |
Show
|
3* Pittsburgh -5-1/2 over Oakland Tried to play this using the money line on this site, but could not acquire same. This is the reason for the moderate valuation of the Steelers chances of covering the subject number vs. traveling Oakland. The Raiders smashed the Jets last week as I and all the system players hit the highway. NY was just not ready for the ball position of Oakland! Here the situation is reversed as now the under valued Raiders travel east to facing a unit that is 4-4 SU in a division chasing the 8-0 Bengals. To say this is a 'MUST WIN' for Pittsburgh is an under statement! Last time out Big Ben and company dropped a horrid 16-10 encounter to...CINCY. Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS after Cincinnati and 4-1 ATS vs. West coast unit at home during the regular season. The Raiders come in 4-12-1 ATS off a SU win. With Pittsburgh at home and in rebound mode, we will back the STEEL CITY GANG!
|
11-08-15 |
Rams v. Vikings -1 |
Top |
18-21 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 11 m |
Show
|
10* MINNESOTA -1 over St. Louis @ 1:00 Eastern NFL TOP PLAY SUNDAY...BDS Don't forget our top play Monday Night in the NFL. We are hitting 64% in the league. Today the Rams travel to Minny in a "must win" situation as they show two games behind Arizona in the division. The Vikings 5-2 SU are just one game behind the Packers. Again last week the Vikings did the job running the football for 147 yards on the road vs. Chicago. Knowing HC Fisher of the Rams quite well, look for the defense to stack the box tyring stop that edge. This will allow QB Bridgewater more time and openings for the passing game...Offensively, the Rams can never win big games consistently unitl QB Foles starts hitting over 200 passing taking pressure off the running game. STL won 27-6 last week over disoriented SF, and the public has bought in buying us real value that is on a 5-0 SU perfect run at home, 6-0 ATS in the same building. Until Foles proves us wrong...MINNESOTA!
|
11-07-15 |
Michigan State v. Nebraska +4 |
Top |
38-39 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 28 m |
Show
|
|
11-07-15 |
Iowa State v. Oklahoma -24 |
|
16-52 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
11-07-15 |
North Texas +30 v. Louisiana Tech |
|
13-56 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
11-07-15 |
Penn State +2.5 v. Northwestern |
|
21-23 |
Win
|
100 |
74 h 38 m |
Show
|
(359) 5* PENN STATE +3 over Northwestern @ 12:00 Eastern After watching the Nits (7-2) demolished the Illini last week, I am still in shock. No, there is no over estimation inside this game analysis as we believe Penn State has taken a huge step forward in their season. Now they must travel to Evanston to face the ‘Cats (6-2) who were much heralded earlier this season. We know Northwestern is coming off a bye week (0-4 ATS) which helps their cause physically, but Penn State has solid SU history versus the Wildcats over the last ten years going 6-1 SU and 3-0 SU on the road. Last year Northwestern won 29-6 at Penn State. The key was shutting down the running game…50 yards on the day. Here the Lions will need to pressure young ‘Cats QB Thorson who has demonstrated major issues with accuracy…so, if the Nits “D” wins out on 3rd down, they cash a SU and ATS ticket. Note, buy 1/2 point to secure the deal, no matter Penn State should win SU.
|
11-05-15 |
Mississippi State v. Missouri +8 |
|
31-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 30 m |
Show
|
Play: 4* Missouri +8 (316) over Mississippi State @ 9:00 Eastern What has happened to Missouri who finished 11-3 in 2014? The Tigers returned 46 letters 6 starters on both the offensive and defensive side of the ball. They show 4-4 SU, 2-6 ATS with one quality win 24-10 over crumpling South Carolina with their coach retiring in mid-season. Against Florida, Georgia and Vandy their last three games, they have scored 3, 6 and 3 to be exact! No matter, this game is a nationally televised event and Missouri would not like to be hacked again by a conference opponent. For further assistance we can look to the gusty wet weather expected tonight. Plus, this is a look ahead game for the Bulldogs who have Alabama, Arkansas and Ole Miss on-deck to complete the season. Coach Mullen’s unit is just 2-2 in the West winning three straight games vs. Troy, Louisiana Tech and Kentucky. Mississippi State has never been a good road unit going 23-32 SU the last 10+ seasons, including 2-1 this year with wins over Southern Miss and Auburn. With QB Mauk out for the Tigers, the defense of coach Pinkel will need to play a great game to keep QB Prescott in check. Plus the Tigers have solid defensive ends to help pressure the QB. Technically, we have Mizzou in good shape at 8-0 ATS in November, 4-1 ATS off a bye. Plus, the Tigers have a long-term 58-28-1 ATS record after a loss. MSU is 1-4 ATS L5 and 2-8 ATS in Thursday events.
|
11-05-15 |
Browns v. Bengals OVER 45.5 |
|
10-31 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 36 m |
Show
|
4* Cleveland/Cincinnati OVER 45-1/2 First off, the QB change should might allow more scoring for Cleveland, but certainly create defensive opportunities for the Bengals (7-0) because Johnny does carry the ball outside his body when running outside. Trivial point? Don't bet against it! This season the Bengals are rolling after a low scoring road win last last week vs. Pittsburgh, the Browns (2-6) were smashed at home 34-20 by Arizona one of the very best units in the NFL...CLASS "A" for sure. This season the Browns have gone OVER @ a 7-1 clip, the Bengals 5-2 OVER. Cleveland beat Cincinnati last year on Thursday night, so you can believe Cincy will not be flat. Further, the Brownies problems exist offensively with the 5th worst rushing offense and a pass defense that gives up the mid-range pass with frequency. Interesting tonight, is what variable can and will "Johnny Football' bring to this game, his natural maturity should help the Browns when they cross mid-field. Plus, Cleveland is 5-1 OVER off a SU loss, Cincy 4-1 OVER off a SU win. The series is 5-3 OVER L8.
|
11-05-15 |
Browns v. Bengals -12.5 |
|
10-31 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
11-05-15 |
Baylor -17 v. Kansas State |
|
31-24 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
|
4* Baylor -17...not higher over Kansas State @ 7:30 Eastern CFB BLOWOUT ALERT BDS Even without QB Russell the Bears are far the superior unit. My early season voting listed Baylor as the #1 team in the country. No matter, here they should handle the Wildcats in Manhattan. This is a KSU unit that finished last year that finished 9-4 losing 38-27 at Baylor to end the season as a 7+ underdog. They returned just 6 letters both on offense and defense, but their 3-4 SU/ATS. Coach Snyder will have the troops sky high, but we doubt they will come close, especially with the young stud QB of Baylor throwing down the field on most downs which plays into the #93 ranking in passing defense efficiency of Kansas State. In addition, the Wildcats are banged up physically. Bayor is just 1-4 ATS here, but 4-1 ATS in conference. More importantly, the Wildcats are a depressed unit this season and have yet to beat a quality unit losing 23-9 last week to Texas, and the prior week 55-0 to OU.
|
11-01-15 |
Titans +3.5 v. Texans |
|
6-20 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
11-01-15 |
49ers +8 v. Rams |
|
6-27 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
11-01-15 |
Bucs v. Falcons UNDER 49 |
Top |
23-20 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
|
11-01-15 |
Lions v. Chiefs -165 |
|
10-45 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
10-31-15 |
Notre Dame -10.5 v. Temple |
|
24-20 |
Loss |
-106 |
13 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
10-31-15 |
Tennessee v. Kentucky OVER 56.5 |
|
52-21 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 46 m |
Show
|
|
10-31-15 |
Vanderbilt +12.5 v. Houston |
|
0-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
72 h 29 m |
Show
|
103115 Play on: 5* Vanderbilt+ (167) over Houston @ 7:00 Eastern SEC GAME OF THE WEEK…BDS Last week nationally our SEC games went 3-1 vs. the number, including our 5* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Louisiana State over the total. First off, the Cougars have a conference look ahead game next week with Cincinnati, in fact, DOUBLE REVENGE. Houston is undefeated 7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS with key wins over Louisville and Tulsa. They are now on a 21-9-1 ATS monster run on the Strip! Vanderbilt is 3-4 SU, but a real nice 5-2 ATS coming off a SU/ATS win over Missouri 10-3 in Tennessee with a QB change. Realize this is a road game, but the Commies have covered at Ole Miss and Middle Tennessee State this season. Feel we are looking at a flat spot for the Cougars who show off a massive offensive showing (600+ yards and 59 points) vs. lesser UCF. Remember Vandy is an SEC unit that plays defense for 4 quarters and will not quit, no matter the score…As a road underdog the Commies are a super 11-4 ATS, and 14-6 ATS L3 years on the road overall…TAKE THE POINTS QUICKLY!
|
10-31-15 |
Boise State -19.5 v. UNLV |
|
55-27 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
10-31-15 |
Georgia +3 v. Florida |
Top |
3-27 |
Loss |
-115 |
25 h 51 m |
Show
|
10* GEORGIA +3 over Florida SEC GAME OF THE YEAR BDS
|
10-31-15 |
UMass +103 v. Ball State |
|
10-20 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 42 m |
Show
|
|
10-31-15 |
Central Florida v. Cincinnati -26.5 |
|
7-52 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
|
|
10-29-15 |
West Virginia +13.5 v. TCU |
|
10-40 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 59 m |
Show
|
102915 Play on: 4* West Virginia (111) +14 over TCU @ 7:30 Eastern At face value the public domain will be backing the home based Horned Frogs 7-0 SU, but just 3-4 ATS over struggling West Virginia. The Mounties visit 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS playing into an exceptional SOS, losers of three straight to Oklahoma, Oklahoma State and Baylor all 20-1 SU. Okay, TCU is of the elk, especially when QB Boykin is on fire, but I like the fact the Mounties have had rest (but, so has TCU). However, the visitor needed the break more…considering all the facts and circumstances. The world knows WVA is 1-10 ATS with rest, but this is a “must win” situation for the Mounties to accrue a possible bowl bid. And, when you look back at the last three games in the series, 39-38, 27-30 and 31-30 were the final scores. Understand Horned Frogs have home, talent and tech edges, but they are 2-5 ATS after a +20 point win, and they will face a unit that has taken them to the wire last three times out...CLOSE!
|
10-29-15 |
North Carolina v. Pittsburgh OVER 55.5 |
Top |
26-19 |
Loss |
-106 |
6 h 48 m |
Show
|
|
10-25-15 |
Philadelphia Eagles v. Carolina Panthers UNDER 45.5 |
|
16-27 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 29 m |
Show
|
|