10-27-16 |
Jaguars +3.5 v. Titans |
|
22-36 |
Loss |
-116 |
37 h 3 m |
Show
|
10/27/16 5* Jacksonville (101) +3-1/2 over Tennessee @ 8:25 Eastern Theme: “Grab the Hook with JAX” Yes, we realize this is a critical home game for Tennessee after losing SU to Cleveland and Indianapolis on this same field. But, the Jags are 4-1 ATS after their defense collapsed allowing 30 or more points in their most recent contest. Last week Jacksonville dropped a 33-16 encounter to Oakland down in Florida. Like the Jaguars, the home standing Titans won back-to-back games but, then lost last week 34-26 at Indianapolis. Defensively, Tennessee suffers allowing key red zone points. By the way, JAX defeated Indianapolis in week #4 on the road. Overall on defense the Jaguars allow just 290 yards (#5) a game, and can win this SU if they hold Tennessee to roughly the same output. And, after surrendering 30 or more points to their most recent opponent Tennessee comes up short in Vegas…1-9-2 ATS, and 2-8-1 ATS L10 as a HOME favorite. In closing, recall Jacksonville is 8-1-2 ATS in the series and will grab the money here. Good Luck!
|
10-27-16 |
Appalachian State v. Georgia Southern +5.5 |
Top |
34-10 |
Loss |
-105 |
26 h 30 m |
Show
|
101716 10* (H) Georgia Southern (110) over Appalachian State @ 7:30 Eastern Hate going against App. State but, RB Cox appears to be less than 100% coming into action. Last year Cox ran for two touchdowns in a 31-13 win over Southern, as the home team scored 31 straight points to win. GS could not get their passing game going to balance their attack (64 yards), therefore the App. State defense was able to focus on the air game. This time around, we look for a reversal of form as finally Southern has a more balanced attack and should at least stay under (dog) the number. We note, App. State comes in 1-8 ATS off a SU win, while the home standing GS kids bring a 7-3 ATS record vs. >.500 units. GS has dropped 5 straight to the number, but appears to be the very best side here. TAKE THE POINTS!
|
10-24-16 |
Texans v. Broncos -7 |
Top |
9-27 |
Win
|
100 |
127 h 27 m |
Show
|
102416 (478) 10* Denver over Houston @ 8:30 Eastern Granted this is not the Broncos best role of late at home, laying points. However, l’m sure I don’t have to tell you how much it means for Denver to have head coach Gary Kubiak back on the sidelines after suffering complex migraines a few weeks ago. Going all the way back to his days as a Texas A&M quarterback, the coach has always been a tenacious competitor. Now his unit shows off back-to-back losses to Atlanta and San Diego, and outstanding quarterbacks in Ryan and Brees. So, it appears to be a tailored made situation for the Broncos, at home on Monday night. The young Texans come off a scintillating OT win (26-23) over Indianapolis, and have played the majority (4-2) of their games this season in the friendly confines of NRG Stadium. Houston is 4-2 on the season (3-2-1 ATS), while the home standing Broncos bring a 4-2 mark both SU & ATS. With this being such an important game for each unit, one of the keys we look at is the turnover numbers. Denver is ranked #9 in the NFL (11-8) with a plus three but, visiting Houston is rated #26 (6-10) at minus four. On the field, and considering the current number in Vegas playing a clean game will be paramount for both teams. Recently, both Denver and Houston have been losing propositions on Monday night, but the Broncos have covered at a 4-1-1 ATS mark at home and bring a 12-5 ATS off a SU loss. Finally, the Texans have faced two quality teams this season in New England and Minnesota and were completely blown away.
|
10-23-16 |
Seahawks +1 v. Cardinals |
Top |
6-6 |
Win
|
100 |
33 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
10-22-16 |
East Carolina +1.5 v. Cincinnati |
|
19-31 |
Loss |
-104 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
|
10-22-16 |
Purdue v. Nebraska -24 |
|
14-27 |
Loss |
-108 |
18 h 36 m |
Show
|
4* Nebraska over Purdue Bad building for the hurting Boilers as they travel to Lincoln to play the pissed off 'Huskers who were beaten last year by Purdue 55-45. Nebraska will look to stay unbeaten with a 5-0 (4-1 ATS) streak after winning last week at Indiana. Here we find the number daunting on the Strip but, Purdue is banged up physically and will fall early in what should be a 45-10 win approximately for Nebraska.
|
10-22-16 |
TCU +6.5 v. West Virginia |
|
10-34 |
Loss |
-104 |
8 h 47 m |
Show
|
5* TCU+ (325) over West Va. It looks as though the Horned Frogs don't be long on the same field as the Mounties, especially in Morgantown. And, when you further note that WVU was smashed by this same unit 40-10 last year, you would fully expect a rebound effort considering. WVU is 5-0 on the season and shows with Oklahoma State on-deck. On paper, the major field weakness for either squad is the TCU defense that has been riddled by dual purpose offenses this season. However, the Frogs have won 3-of-4 with the only loss to high flying Oklahoma. Plus, they have gone 7-3 ATS in the month of October, while the Mounties are 6-20 ATS at home vs. a >.500 road unit. TAKE THE POINTS!
|
10-22-16 |
Colorado +1.5 v. Stanford |
Top |
10-5 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 25 m |
Show
|
10* Colorado+ (389) over Stanford @ 3:00 Eastern Last week all Big-10 road team won, so don't be surprised if that trend goes west this weekend with the exception of one encounter. Granted the Cardinal did defeat the Irish last week at South Bend, but this Buffalo unit has really come on this season with a outstanding 5-2 record. In addition, they show on a 7-0 ATS run this season...COLORADO!
|
10-22-16 |
Indiana +3 v. Northwestern |
|
14-24 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 7 m |
Show
|
5* Indiana (327) over Northwestern Both clubs are now 3-3 on the season, but the Hoosiers show off difficult back-to-back losses to highly rated Ohio State and Nebraska. In fact, if you add in the game against Michigan State three weeks ago it's obvious Indiana is falling down in class having to play upstart NW. Indiana comes in 5-1 ATS in conference, while the underdog fires a 5-2 ATS in this splendid series.
|
10-21-16 |
South Florida v. Temple +7 |
|
30-46 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 46 m |
Show
|
|
10-20-16 |
BYU v. Boise State -7 |
|
27-28 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
10-20-16 |
Troy -9 v. South Alabama |
|
28-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
10-20-16 |
Miami (Fla) v. Virginia Tech -6 |
|
16-37 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
10-16-16 |
Jaguars +2.5 v. Bears |
|
17-16 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 47 m |
Show
|
|
10-16-16 |
Ravens +3.5 v. Giants |
|
23-27 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 44 m |
Show
|
|
10-16-16 |
Panthers v. Saints OVER 53 |
|
38-41 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
10-15-16 |
Ohio State v. Wisconsin +11.5 |
|
30-23 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 31 m |
Show
|
|
10-15-16 |
Louisiana Tech v. UMass OVER 62.5 |
|
56-28 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 46 m |
Show
|
|
10-15-16 |
USC -10 v. Arizona University |
|
48-14 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 39 m |
Show
|
5* USC over Arizona Despite this road setting, still going with the young QB of the Trojans who's QBR is off the charts considering the opponents and settings. And, we look for Adoree Jackson of USC to continue spurring the under valued special teams with his speed and big play ability, not discounting bringing field advantage situations. Realize the underdog has been the play in this series but, the 'Cats are on a 1-7 ATS dinger and show just 5-11 ATS at home. The road unit in the series has covered 5-of-7 in Vegas. Stay with us as big games are on-deck. Good Luck.
|
10-15-16 |
Lafayette v. Army UNDER 46.5 |
|
7-62 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
10-14-16 |
Mississippi State +7.5 v. BYU |
Top |
21-28 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 21 m |
Show
|
181 10* Mississippi State +7 over BYU @ 10:15 E. One of the keys this season has been college football and the SEC combatants for this handicapper. So, we absolutely love the Bulldogs (2-3) tonight, despite a road setting in altitude. Also, we are ignoring the BYU (3-3) 5-1 ATS run on the Strip since they will truly experience a “national realm of reality” when they face this SEC unit off a loss. Remember the Cougars show tonight 0-5 ATS against the SEC. Good Luck.
|
10-13-16 |
Broncos v. Chargers +3 |
|
13-21 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 55 m |
Show
|
|
10-10-16 |
Bucs +6 v. Panthers |
|
17-14 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
10-09-16 |
Jets +10 v. Steelers |
|
13-31 |
Loss |
-123 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
|
|
10-09-16 |
Titans +3 v. Dolphins |
|
30-17 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 39 m |
Show
|
|
10-08-16 |
Houston v. Navy +17 |
|
40-46 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 19 m |
Show
|
|
10-08-16 |
Georgia Tech +6 v. Pittsburgh |
|
34-37 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
10-08-16 |
Oklahoma v. Texas OVER 72 |
|
45-40 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
10-08-16 |
Auburn v. Mississippi State UNDER 55 |
|
38-14 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
10-06-16 |
Cardinals -3 v. 49ers |
|
33-21 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 46 m |
Show
|
|
10-06-16 |
Western Kentucky v. Louisiana Tech +3 |
|
52-55 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
10-03-16 |
Giants +4.5 v. Vikings |
|
10-24 |
Loss |
-108 |
4 h 40 m |
Show
|
|
10-02-16 |
Cowboys v. 49ers OVER 43.5 |
Top |
24-17 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
|
10-02-16 |
Raiders v. Ravens -3.5 |
|
28-27 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 11 m |
Show
|
Buy 1/2 point if you can to reduce this situation to Baltimore -3. Good Luck with the current scenario. Brad Diamond
|
10-02-16 |
Bills v. Patriots UNDER 41 |
|
16-0 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 18 m |
Show
|
|
10-02-16 |
Browns v. Redskins UNDER 47 |
Top |
20-31 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
10-02-16 |
Colts v. Jaguars OVER 49 |
|
27-30 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 54 m |
Show
|
|
10-01-16 |
Louisville v. Clemson +1.5 |
|
36-42 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
10-01-16 |
Middle Tennessee State v. North Texas +17 |
|
30-13 |
Push |
0 |
3 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
10-01-16 |
Old Dominion -8.5 v. Charlotte |
|
52-17 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 26 m |
Show
|
|
10-01-16 |
Tulane v. UMass +2.5 |
Top |
31-24 |
Loss |
-104 |
6 h 34 m |
Show
|
10* UMASS over Tulane The huge edge here is UMASS is coming down in class after a huge battle last week with an SEC unit, and they COVERED. Here they match-up well with the Greenies, and they catch the unit traveling for a rare date back east. Look for a SU win by UMASS.
|
10-01-16 |
SMU +13.5 v. Temple |
|
20-45 |
Loss |
-103 |
5 h 39 m |
Show
|
|
10-01-16 |
Miami (Fla) v. Georgia Tech +8 |
|
35-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 23 m |
Show
|
|
10-01-16 |
Florida -11 v. Vanderbilt |
|
13-6 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 36 m |
Show
|
181 5* Florida over Vanderbilt @ 12:00 Eastern SEC GAME OF THE WEEK Realize the Commies are over their heads Saturday early when they face the upstart Gators who were just ousted by the fiery Volunteers in Knoxville. Not only do the visitor possess the talent advantage, but they have now answers on defense to stop a diversified offense. The road team is 8-0 ATS in the series, while Florida has covered 4 straight in Vegas when traveling to Vanderbilt. Good Luck.
|
10-01-16 |
Georgia State v. Appalachian State OVER 51.5 |
|
3-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
10-01-16 |
Texas +2.5 v. Oklahoma State |
Top |
31-49 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 2 m |
Show
|
|
09-30-16 |
Stanford +3.5 v. Washington |
|
6-44 |
Loss |
-109 |
4 h 21 m |
Show
|
|
09-26-16 |
Falcons +3 v. Saints |
|
45-32 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
09-25-16 |
Ravens v. Jaguars +2.5 |
|
19-17 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
09-25-16 |
Lions +6.5 v. Packers |
|
27-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
09-24-16 |
LSU v. Auburn +3.5 |
|
13-18 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 38 m |
Show
|
COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAME OF THE WEEK 5* AUBURN +3-1/2 (394) over LSU @ 6:00 Eastern Still not impressed by LSU thus far, considering we thought a National Title just might be in the cards. However, the start-up of new DC Aranda’s defense showed some issues last week even in the win over a MSU unit that returned just 11 starters and were playing on the road already with a loss against South Alabama in their deck of cards. Also, LSU has a banged up offensive line and there were many verbal out bursts on the sideline trying to generate cohesion last week. Granted Fournette had a solid game, and he went nuts against the Tigers front last season for 200+ yards. Still, Auburn has the running arsenal to power the LSU defensive line, even with their issues on the OL. They have a workable QB in Stan White and 12 overall returning starters who were destroyed by LSU last season 45-21. We look for a nail-bitter this time around as the home team in the series is 6-1 SU L7 times out and 6-1 ATS. By the way, Auburn is 7-1 ATS off a double digit loss.
|
09-22-16 |
Clemson v. Georgia Tech +9.5 |
Top |
26-7 |
Loss |
-102 |
22 h 59 m |
Show
|
092216 10* ACC GAME OF THE MONTH (304) Georgia Tech+ 9-1/2 or higher over Clemson @ 7:30 Eastern Okay, maybe you’re not impressed by the 3-0 Engineers who have defeated Boston College, Mercer and Vandy the last three outings and now play on a short week versus Clemson who has a perky national ranking. Still, when coach Johnson (3-9 LY) is dealing out the endorphins this week his 11 returning starters will accept whatever the savvy Johnson can generate. Clemson (14-1 LY), who returns 12 starters, surfaces off three straight wins over Auburn (at), Troy and South Carolina State. Tech may actually be their most difficult task as far as talent level thus far. Unfortunately, the Tigers play off a short week too, but have a monster issue with Louisville next in South Carolina. Feel Tech should have the emotional advantage here, considering Clemson beat them last year 43-24 holding their rushing attack to under 2 yards a carry. “It appears” coach Johnson has a more balanced edition, and being at home possess legit shot at SU win. Remember the Tigers are just 4-10 ATS in the ACC and 2-7 ATS on the road. With the home team covering 6 straight in the series, we’re all over the Engineers!
|
09-18-16 |
Bengals +3.5 v. Steelers |
|
16-24 |
Loss |
-120 |
40 h 10 m |
Show
|
(269) 4* Cincinnati+ 3-1/2 not lower, over Pittsburgh @ 1:00 Eastern Pittsburgh crushed Washington 38-16 after Big Ben threw 3 touches to augment the surprising easy win. The tables turn this week when the Steelers face one of their arch rivals, the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals broke the Jets wings with a 23-22 huge victory at New York in week #1. Also, if you’re into ATS streaks we welcome you to the Cincinnati side of the ledger….how about 9-0 ATS in road games on-deck. That is the reason for the conservative home chalk number placed aside Pittsburgh -3-1/2. The road unit and underdog is on a 3-1-1 ATS roll in the series. Cincinnati is just 1-4-1 ATS in this building, but shows 6-0-1 ATS in week #2 and 9-2-2 ATS off a SU win. Despite Pittsburgh having corresponding positive trends, they play Sunday with a 1-5-1 ATS mark on Sunday after a MNF encounter. This spot calls out Cincinnati!
|
09-18-16 |
Cowboys +3.5 v. Redskins |
Top |
27-23 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 39 m |
Show
|
Note, computer problems, analysis should restart Monday afternoon. Sorry, Brad.
|
09-18-16 |
Bengals v. Steelers OVER 48 |
Top |
16-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 0 m |
Show
|
NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK BDS...Note, analysis will return Monday afternoon.
|
09-17-16 |
Texas v. California +7 |
Top |
43-50 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
09-17-16 |
UCLA -3 v. BYU |
|
17-14 |
Push |
0 |
51 h 19 m |
Show
|
091716 5* UCLA -3, not higher (169) over BYU (H) @ 10:15 Eastern Have great respect for QB Josh Rosen of UCLA and his playmates in this difficult setting out in Provo. Last year in California the Cougars were catching doubles and almost won the whole game, before going down in a 24-23 heap. BYU is coming off a 9-4 season returning 15 starters. They defeated (-1) Arizona in Glendale 18-16, then dropped a heart breaking 20-19 battle at Utah, while catching three plus. To say the least they have driven their fans looney quite early. UCLA finished 8-5 last year, and brings back 13 starters, 9 on defense. In game #1 they lost to Texas A&M on the road in OT 31-24. Against (-26) UNLV, the Bruins pranced to a 42-21 win. In both cases there were minus signs next to their supporter’s financial statements, and here the Bruins open -1 vs. BYU, but the hard heads have pushed it to -3 this Thursday afternoon. And, the basic trends behind the game favor BYU who is 4-0 ATS at home L4 times out. However, we really LOVE UCLA who is off an easy encounter versus lesser UNLV, while the Cougars show off that 1-point war on the road. Since we’ve checked out the BYU secondary, feel QB Rosen has a superior edge over the opposing stop troops…UCLA 30 BYU 20.
|
09-17-16 |
Georgia v. Missouri +7 |
|
28-27 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 2 m |
Show
|
SEC GAME OF THE WEEK...Missouri +7 The line tension all week has been with the 'Dawgs realizes that Chubb is healthy and running. But, the Tigers have lost back-to-back games to this squad and surely needs emotional lift for the games ahead, and they are at home. Granted Mizzou scored 61 last week on hapless Eastern Michigan, and is not reasoning we focused upon. Instead, it's conference bounce back, the home field and the fact, the Tigers are 7-2-1 ATS after scoring 40 plus. Good Luck.
|
09-17-16 |
Texas State +31 v. Arkansas |
Top |
3-42 |
Loss |
-106 |
75 h 25 m |
Show
|
10* Texas State +31 or higher over Arkansas LETDOWN THEORY GAME OF THE MONTH No doubt the 2-0 'Hogs have the offense to score most every position versus smallish TSU. In fact, the last time they laid -31 was in game #1 of last season winning 48-13 over UTEP. However, the 'Hogs had Toledo next, so there was no look ahead scenario, whereas this time there is much more to ponder with Texas A&M on-deck. Talk about a revenge game! Arkansas has lost 4 straight to TAM, as the Aggies are one of the circled games for coach Bielema's troops. When go back and review the last five games prior to Texas A&M, you will find the 'Hogs have come up short in the money category going 1-4 ATS. Look for the 'Hogs at home to jump out quickly and coast to marginal win over the Bobcats, who show off a week of rest.
|
09-17-16 |
Navy v. Tulane +5.5 |
|
21-14 |
Loss |
-104 |
31 h 52 m |
Show
|
091716 3* Tulane+ (200) over Navy @ 7:00 Eastern Looking at the Wake Forest stat sheets in their early games with Tulane and Duke, we feel good that the Greenies will be able to move the football on the Navy defense, despite a unit having 7 returning starters. In our minds Tulane will not only give the Middies a better game than UConn (11-26 L3) but, win SU. UConn last week couldn’t run the football against Navy, Tulane’s diversified running game will make this encounter a down for down stress filled battle in Louisiana. Remember Navy has just one returning starter on offense, Tulane has 5 with a solid bunch of contributors. Last week against lesser Southern University the Greenies finally got their offense untracked. This psychological up-tick should help with the confidence level of the team and first year coach Willie Fritz. Last year Navy (-25) defeated Tulane 31-14 in Annapolis, that was after back-to-back disheartening wipe outs by Temple 49-10 and Houston 42-7 for the Greenies. When playing Tulane last year Navy was showing off a 41-24 beating by Notre Dame, so the Middies were sky high at home. The line has trickled down since the Sunday night opener of -11 with the public becoming aware of the competitiveness of Tulane, and the fact the triple option run by coach Fritz will cause interior issues on defense. As a reminder there is a 100% estimate of thunderstorms and rain on Saturday in New Orleans…TAKE THE POINTS!
|
09-17-16 |
San Diego State v. Northern Illinois +11 |
Top |
42-28 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 2 m |
Show
|
10* Northern Illinois +11 over San Diego State LETDOWN THEORY APPLICATION BDS...We couldn't pass this up knowing the Aztecs show off their California upset in a real offensive show. However, they now go on road (cross country) to play in Illinois against what I call a square football team. Look they show off being down in Florida 48-17 by SF. Rod Carey was 8-6 last season but, his unit, as the decided underdog, is simply getting too many points at home. HC Carey had 43 games coming into this season, and he knows how to jack up his squad. Granted this same squad did lose their MAC Title game last year so, they now have a chance to regain some "Mo" while shocking the public dollars. NIU has 13 starters returning, therefore, sufficient experience to win the whole game. Do you think the kids from California want to visit Illinois on a Saturday, when they could riding the waves?
|
09-17-16 |
Virginia +4.5 v. Connecticut |
Top |
10-13 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 39 m |
Show
|
|
09-16-16 |
Arkansas State v. Utah State OVER 55.5 |
|
20-34 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 9 m |
Show
|
|
09-15-16 |
Jets v. Bills |
Top |
37-31 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 34 m |
Show
|
10* JETS +1 (101) over Buffalo @ 8:25 Eastern AFC THURSDAY GAME OF THE MONTH Brad Diamond Sports Yes, Rex Ryan and his Bills have defeated the Jets in 5 straight games. However, can't even suggest the home team considering they dribbled through 178 yards of total offense against the stout Baltimore defense. They managed just 11 first downs last week. The Jets played a more talented team in Cincinnati, but lost a buster 23-22. Right now the Jets are higher on our power ranking chart and seem to have sufficient enough defense to limit RB McCoy who slashed them for 112 yards on this same field last November. Also, the Jets defense pressured QB Dalton of Cincinnati in week #1. That's key, putting pressure on the Bills passing game that couldn't throw down field last week against the Ravens. The Bills are 7-18-1 ATS when they go for under 90 yards rushing in their last game. New York comes in a solid 5-1-1 ATS in week #2 and 6-2-1 ATS vs. the AFC East. With New York defensive line starting to improve, we'll back the Jets to knock off Rex and company.
|
09-15-16 |
Houston v. Cincinnati +7 |
Top |
40-16 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 57 m |
Show
|
10* CINCINNATI +7 or 7-1/2 over Houston This situation fits into reverse angle set of games with the type of offense the Bearcats they should be able to take this to the wire. We would love to have +7-1/2 instead of the flat 7, but we'll take the points considering the overall handicap. Good Luck!
|
09-12-16 |
Rams v. 49ers +3 |
|
0-28 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 54 m |
Show
|
5* SAN FRANCISCO+3 over LA Another historic game on the west coast with the Rams moving back after 21 years in STL. Although favor a unit with a relocation angle, especially in an old rivalry, still can't trust the inconsistent Rams. When you figure no adores Chip Kelly any longer since moving to the pro ranks, it unthinkable going with the Duck Dandy. However, this long and historic series seems to favor the Niners on MNF. Remember SF is 24-6 ATS on Monday night and 5-0 ATS in week #1 fights. LA with a good coach still can't avoid the turnover with their 3-12 ATS record in week #1 sets. Good Luck!
|
09-11-16 |
Giants v. Cowboys OVER 47.5 |
|
20-19 |
Loss |
-103 |
4 h 13 m |
Show
|
4* Dallas/NYG OVER the total This has been an OVER series in Dallas, to the tune of 7 straight times. The Pokes have shot OVER 4-1 in the month of September, while the Giants are 4-0 OVER last four times out. With both teams being inconsistent and the turnover ratio projected to be high...GO OVER!
|
09-11-16 |
Dolphins +10.5 v. Seahawks |
|
10-12 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 58 m |
Show
|
091116 5* Miami (6-10) +10-1/2 (471) over Seattle (11-7)…NFL GAME OF THE WEEK @ 4:05 EASTERN Not afraid to go into the teeth of the Seahawks den knowing we have a Dolphins unit who will come to play for four quarters no matter the score. Surely, we believe that line assertions -7-1/2 to -10-1/2 have the public thinking blowout, but we simply don’t agree. The Dolphins finished 6-10 SU last season, exited the coach and now the franchise has invested in first year mentor, and former OC, Adam Gase. He has a difficult venue to begin his head coaching tenure playing at Seattle and facing the experienced Pete Carroll (7th year) who is 68-40 SU in his coaching career. The Seahawks lost in the playoffs 31-24 to Carolina, and are anxiously ready to erase the stigma from that game. Last year Seattle was 5-3 SU @ home and 4-4 ATS. Miami went 3-6 SU & ATS in road games last season, but the Dolphins seem more excited about this game with their new HC. In their three road wins last season, they defeated Washington in week #1, Philadelphia and New England in the final week of the season. This preseason they appear more satisfied with the continued development of quarterback Tannehill (4,288) who is coming off a nice stat year. Remember, Miami is 5-1 SU & ATS against the superior Seahawks, and I won’t discount their resolve today knowing their opening against difficult odds CenturyLink Field. The value for this handicapper is with the points and the Dolphins.
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09-11-16 |
Chargers v. Chiefs UNDER 46 |
|
27-33 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 4 m |
Show
|
|
09-11-16 |
Packers v. Jaguars UNDER 47 |
Top |
27-23 |
Loss |
-105 |
3364 h 9 m |
Show
|
10* Green Bay/Jacksonville UNDER 47 NFL EARLY TOTAL MOVE...BRAD
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09-11-16 |
Bucs +3 v. Falcons |
Top |
31-24 |
Win
|
100 |
739 h 9 m |
Show
|
|
09-10-16 |
North Carolina -7 v. Illinois |
Top |
48-23 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 46 m |
Show
|
373...10* UNC over Illinois @ 7:30 Eastern Last year North Carolina defeated the Illini 48-14 on their home field. The Tar Heels have won all three games in the series SU. The line opened -10-11 approximately, and the public has been on the TAKE all week, as the Heels now -7 this morning. Smell a trap? You bet! The Fighting Illini have been hurt by graduations and injuries in their defense and now return only 4 starters on that side of the ball. On offense they should put up points considering the home field and their 52-3 win over FCS unit Murray State last week. However, we note UNC was 11-3 last year tying a record, and bring back 14 starters frustrated from a bowl loss to powerful Baylor 49-38. They averaged 40+ last year, and gave SEC, Georgia all they could handle last week in Atlanta. But, some analyst's down on the 'Heels? Finally, North Carolina has now lost back-to-back games to Class units in Baylor and Clemson (ACC Title Game), and should rebound, even on the road, against a defensively challenged football team 31-14.
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09-10-16 |
BYU +3.5 v. Utah |
|
19-20 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 29 m |
Show
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091016 3* (383) BYU+ over Utah @ 7:30 Eastern Realize there has been substantial money bet on the Cougars out in Las Vegas last night, but still prefer this unit as one of the more dangerous in America with 15 returning starters and experienced QB Hill leading the offense. Last week BYU went into Arizona and won SU 18-16 over Rich Rod and 15 returning starters, quite an accomplishment. Utah shutout FCS unit Southern Utah 24-0 limiting their offense to just under 260 yards overall, but again an FCS school. No doubt this traditional holy war has more relativeness for the Utes who will come to play at home. However, this is a major REVENGE GAME for the visitor knowing they lost to Utah in the Las Vegas bowl last season. Plus, the Cougars have lost 5 straight to the Utes, and desperately need to turn the heat up in Salt Lake City this evening to keep their preseason projections in play. This encounter comes down a late score and a SU and ATS winner for the foe who can move the football on the ground. BYU has made changes on the offensive line because of injuries, so we are keeping this play as an APPRECIATION order for our clients, thinking it will still be a nail-bitter.
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09-10-16 |
Arkansas State +20.5 v. Auburn |
Top |
14-51 |
Loss |
-107 |
8 h 3 m |
Show
|
10* ARKANSAS STATE+ over Auburn This is a play against the War Eagle with coach Malzhan being a former coach at Arkansas State, and most likely not trying to step on their faces. Granted Auburn lost a tough call last week to Clemson, but they have A&M next week? Last year Malzhan faced three non-conference types before an SEC opponent, and did NOT cover the spread. Mental here all Arkansas State as they steal cash from the War Eagle backers. LOVE THIS GAME!
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09-10-16 |
South Carolina v. Mississippi State -7.5 |
|
14-27 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 55 m |
Show
|
|
09-10-16 |
Texas-San Antonio v. Colorado State -10 |
|
14-23 |
Loss |
-106 |
90 h 32 m |
Show
|
091016 3* Colorado State (350) -10 over UTSA @ 4:00 Eastern The home standing Rams come off a 44-7 squashing by arch-rival Colorado, as the Buffs ran for 260 yards and almost 600 yards in total offense. UTSA under former LSU assistant coach Frank Wilson defrocked FCS Alabama State 26-13, but has key RB Williams in limbo for this encounter. Most observers did not realize (in value) how much CSU lost on defense from last season. Colorado rolled out to a 31-0 lead at half-time augmented by a fumble-recovery touchdown in the first quarter which pretty much told the story of the football game. Last year CSU struggled against UTSA on the road surviving 33-31, but the Rams were really flat early (down 17-9) in the first-half. QB Stevens threw three touches to recoil his unit. This past Saturday both Stevens (4th year junior) and Bauta had problems driving against Colorado simply because they were “forced” to pass after falling behind. We note, prior to the UTSA game CSU had lost back-to-back heart breakers to Minnesota (20-23) and Colorado (24-27). With the embarrassing loss versus Colorado, expect head coach Bobo of State to have his unit ready at home. CSU is 6-1 ATS laying double-digits and 8-3-1 ATS in non-conference battles. After last week and this the home opener in beautiful Fort Collins…CSU 30 UTSA 17
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09-10-16 |
NC State v. East Carolina +5.5 |
|
30-33 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 46 m |
Show
|
91016 5* East Carolina (332) over NC State @ 12:00 Last season Brad Diamond Sports finished 22-13-1 in the famous Wise Guys’ Contest…63% ATS. We have been the champion twice in our career which is quite an accomplishment when you consider the elite list of handicappers in the contest every season. My best bet in the contest, if you missed it, was East Carolina noting line value and a reputable old system that projects out currently at 27-6 ATS. Critical, NC State has had difficulties on grass of late going 1-7 ATS. Also, the Wolfpack is 0-4 ATS off a SU win. The Pack has averaged 6.9 wins per season over the last four campaigns and brings back 14 starters from a team that lost to UNC (you know many NCS fans are restless) in 2015, and no bowl game to boot. ECU is an unknown quantity, somewhat, with new head coach Scottie Montgomery taking the reins. Montgomery has coached both on the college and pro (Steelers DBC) level, but what I like most he was the OC at Marshall which is a school that normally produces diversified offenses. To solidify our notes, no one should doubt the Pirates resolve today considering they have a senior quarterback Nelson (Rutgers transfer) leading the attack, while possessing more speed on defense. ECU brings back 11 starters, but apparently with a more diversified attack, and a positive mindset behind Montgomery. Remember both schools easily defeated FCS units last week. We note the Pirates have been hot in Vegas when facing ACC types…6-0 ATS L6. East Carolina leads the series 4-1 ATS…EAST CAROLINA+
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09-08-16 |
Panthers v. Broncos +3 |
Top |
20-21 |
Win
|
107 |
23 h 19 m |
Show
|
10* Denver +3 or +3-1/2 (452) over Carolina 452...10* DENVER +3, try to buy 1/2 point to get to three-and-a half. No matter, we like the Broncos as SB Champion is getting points at HOME! Granted no Manning, but recall 24-10 SB win by Denver illustrated their defense more than the attack unit. Also, the losing unit in Super Bowl virtually never starts strong documented by a 1-14 ATS mark in game #1 of the season. Good Luck this year!
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09-03-16 |
Miami (OH) +28 v. Iowa |
|
21-45 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 39 m |
Show
|
5* MIAMI OHIO+ over Iowa CFB LETDOWN THEORY OF THE WEEK BDS
|
09-01-16 |
Tulane v. Wake Forest UNDER 43.5 |
|
3-7 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 50 m |
Show
|
|
02-07-16 |
Panthers v. Broncos OVER 44 |
|
10-24 |
Loss |
-104 |
34 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
02-07-16 |
Panthers v. Broncos +6 |
Top |
10-24 |
Win
|
100 |
203 h 55 m |
Show
|
10* DENVER +6..nothing lower over Carolina We project this battle to be one of the great ones in the storied history of the Super Bowl. If we look back to last week, it was noted how Carolina dominated Arizona who had key injuries on the defensive side of the ball, missing the "Honey Badger" above all and his incredible "field efficiency" numbers which are off the charts. Also, QB Palmer still showed signs of the finger injury, no matter what the observers thought. I have been doing this 40-years and see the Cardinals play all the time, Palmer was no exacting and the stats prove that out. Granted the Panthers defense had a say in his effectiveness, but early touch in the 2nd half could have changed the "MO" in the game...and we liked Carolina. Here the Panthers are being solid hard everywhere as the line opened truly at -3-1/2 last Sunday, and is now at the aforementioned incredible transition. Granted Carolina is the superior physical team, and Cam is the stellar player on the field. However, we can't discount the gritty ride Denver has had all season, and their sensational defense against QB Brady and the Pats. The Broncos defense during the challenging regular season held the opponents to 18.2 points per game, and 283 an outing. They held offenses to a third down conversion ratio of 35% which is more effective than Carolina. This is critical because of Newton's running ability...If Denver is successful in this aspect of the game...they win SU. As far as the Denver offense and Manning looking at a slower paced approach (TOP) and with a much different game plan than what was shown against NE...This is really the issue as HC Kubiak will not be out coached in this situation. Remember Denver coming into the season had the #10 SOS vs. Carolina who showed #27. Granted against the spread in the playoffs the Panthers have a winning mark, but this is CLASSIC UNDERDOG set for this handicapper, as the majority of the nation is taking the Denver abilities for granted which accrues point spread value. The Broncos are 4-1 ATS vs. winning units, and no matter, I believe they will cash here in a VERY CLOSE GAME!
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01-24-16 |
Cardinals v. Panthers -160 |
|
15-49 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
01-24-16 |
Cardinals v. Panthers OVER 47 |
Top |
15-49 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 19 m |
Show
|
012416 NFL CHAMPIONSHIP TOTAL OF THE WEEK 10* (313/314) ARIZONA/CAROLINA OVER the total of 47 @ 6:40 Eastern This “should” be one of the best offensive battles in recent playoff memory. The Carolina group has garnered 15 wins vs. the Cardinals who show with 13 successes. It is the most wins logged on a combined basis by two teams in the era of the Super Bowl structure. Further, they are the first two post season types that have each averaged over 30 points a game. Our only minor concern is QB Palmer of Arizona who has had problems recently. But, the Carolina defense maybe a help as they have given up 22, 28 and 24 points in the second half of games over the last six weeks. Remember, Arizona is 5-1 OVER in the Playoffs. On the Carolina side of the ball, the Panthers one of a kind QB Cam Newtown has thrown 27 touchdowns and just 1 INT over the last 9 games, he is virtually unstoppable. And, NFL chalks laying under 10 with a SU record like Carolina have shot OVER in 8 straight playoff games (If you recall, we had 10* CAROLINA OVER as our NFL PLAYOFF TOTAL OF THE YEAR). In addition, Carolina comes 12-3 OVER vs. the NFC and 4-0 OVER in January.
|
01-24-16 |
Patriots v. Broncos UNDER 44.5 |
|
18-20 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 48 m |
Show
|
|
01-17-16 |
Steelers +7.5 v. Broncos |
|
16-23 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 54 m |
Show
|
4* PITTSBURGH +7-1/2 over Denver @ 4:40 Eastern A unique situation, Big Ben and company accruing value with the best offensive players out because of injuries. So, you can rightfully understand why the current line gives all sorts of value. And, not to discount, the situation accrues a level of relaxation for Denver's defense knowing they will not face Brown or Williams...In turn, the Steelers OC has already stated they will have to be very conservative to have a chance Sunday? I have a gold farm under my house, would you buy that? You can clearly understand the dog in the series is 6-2 ATS. In addition, the last time these two met in a playoff game, the STEELERS were a -7-1/2 favorite at Denver. Now, the number is reversed...VALUE!
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01-17-16 |
Seahawks v. Panthers OVER 44 |
Top |
24-31 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 1 m |
Show
|
10* SEATTLE/Carolina OVER the total NFL PLAYOFF TOTAL OF THE YEAR...BDS Not often we go into two quality defenses looking to go OVER, while expecting a monster result. But, we must recall these two have recently "scored" the last two meetings 50 & 48 to be exact. With that in mind believe we have Seattle traveling for the 2nd week from the west coast to play an early game which just might bring problems for their defense in the 2nd half. The Panthers have gone OVER 10/15 this season. Realize Seattle has gone UNDER 5 straight when the total hits 40+ but, again this situation brings two explosive quarterbacks who bring it all on each down. Also, the series has gone UNDER 5 straight, but somewhat misleading considering the aforementioned numbers. Carolina has shot OVER 11-3 vs. the NFC, and 6-0-1 OVER after gaining 350+ yards in their last game. Seattle shows 5-1 OVER L6 playoff games. Look for a surprising HIGH scoring game with weather being co-operative. Good Luck! Going into the second game Saturday, we are 12-1 in the NFL with our 5* New England winning. CASHED OUR NFL PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR LAST WEEK..10* MINNESOTA!
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01-16-16 |
Packers v. Cardinals -7 |
|
20-26 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 52 m |
Show
|
4* ARIZONA -7. not higher over Green Bay Hate going against the stat guys in the office, but the fundamental differences between these two are too much for me to pass up. First, HC Arians approach to big games is effective and precise. He is a much under rated head master. Granted the Cards have injuries, but the Packers will fear the force at the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. When we chase big playoff games it means so much to have a running game and a defense...DITTO ARIZONA. Don't be fooled by the easy win last week in Washington by the Pack. yes we were on the right side. Still, different set of issues facing Green Bay, being on the road for the second straight week. while the Cards healed their bodies and watched their Washington encounter. The home unit has covered 5-of-6 in the series, while the Cards show an AMAZING 27-12 ATS off a loss by 20+ (Seattle). If you don't think the EMOTIONAL ANGLE is all Arizona here, my, my...CARDINALS!
|
01-16-16 |
Chiefs v. Patriots -5 |
|
20-27 |
Win
|
100 |
82 h 18 m |
Show
|
5* NEW ENGLAND -5, not higher…(302) over Kansas City @ 4:35 Eastern NFL PLAYOFF GAME OF THE WEEK…BDS Granted the current win streak of 11 games by the Chiefs is a number viewed with great respect. And, most will consider Kansas City’s 3-1 ATS mark at New England as a go with sign for the Chiefs. However, overall the Patriots come 12-3-2 ATS home vs. winning road units L17 times out. The crowd favorite KC a horrid 1-6 ATS in NFL playoff games last seven. New England is 7-3 SU and 5-5 ATS L10 playoff games, at home 4-3 ATS in the post season since 2011. In addition, this is a monster REVENGE game for the Pats and coach Bill Belichick after NE was smashed in KC (2014) 41-14. The Chiefs went out to a 27-0 lead, augmented by 8 sacks of All-Pro quarterback Tom Brady. Also, the last game played in NE was in 2011...34-3 for the Patriots. During the 2015 regular season KC ranked #27 in total offense just 331+ yards per game, and #26 in total defense allowing just 339 yards a game. NE rated #6 with 374 yards per game on offense, defensively #24 with 339 yards allowed per outing. Recall last week vs. Houston the Chiefs capitalized on a QB with virtually few viable scoring drives in that 30-0 loss. This time around QB Brady and the Patriots have accrued some rest time to heal the numerous injuries sustained during the regular season. Comparable offensive productivity night and day between Houston and the Patriots. Finally, Chiefs OL has allowed 46 sacks in 2015, so look for the NE defense to challenge early in passing downs! New England.
|
01-11-16 |
Alabama v. Clemson UNDER 50.5 |
|
45-40 |
Loss |
-103 |
128 h 3 m |
Show
|
5* Alabama Under the total Champiomship Best Bet Good Luck...BDS
|
01-10-16 |
Packers +1 v. Redskins |
|
35-18 |
Win
|
100 |
45 h 9 m |
Show
|
5* GREEN BAY over Washington NFL KEY BEST BET ANGLE BDS
|
01-10-16 |
Seahawks v. Vikings +5 |
Top |
10-9 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 23 m |
Show
|
011016 10* Minnesota+ (104) over Seattle @ 1:05 Eastern NFL PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR…BDS Rarely do we go against the Seahawks, but I believe we have a special situation Sunday afternoon in Minnesota. To add a little “outside edge” to the battle, the weather projection is estimated to be around zero degrees. Already, I am thinking about former legendary HC Bud Grant’s approach to this type scenario, but then again the Vikings have that already with their running game and the ability to play one down at a time. Surely, we are aware of the 38-7 beating the Seahawks put on the Vikings in December on this same field…So, we have same season REVENGE, on the same field in less than perfect weather conditions. Remember Seattle jumped out early in that encounter and stifled the Vikings run game, which led to throwing the ball in obvious down and distance situations. This gave the #1 rushing defense even more of situational edge. Seattle (10-6, 8-7-1 ATS) is on a solid 6-1 SU run coming in with QB Wilson (24/1) in solid form. In that run the Seahawks out pointed the opposition 224-98. They have been playing on a high for sure. RB Lynch (abdominal) will be starting for the first time since November. Minnesota (11-5, 13-3 ATS) has had some inconsistency but, they were hurt with RB Peterson’s injury. He is expected to be 100%. The Vikings (144.9) start with the #4 running game in the NFL. Defensively, they have held opponents to 18.9 points per game, and are one of the better run defenses in the NFL. When you consider they are at home Sunday, the unit should be more than ready to cut off the big plays by QB Wilson. Last year in the NFL playoffs, the underdog went 6-4 ATS. Granted Seattle comes 5-2 ATS in the month of January, but Minny has been money in the bank at home 10-3 ATS. And, at home they show a PERFECT 5-0 ATS versus winning road units. With REVENGE, the weather, home field and the EMOTIONAL EDGE…Take the points!
|
01-09-16 |
Chiefs -3 v. Texans |
|
30-0 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 18 m |
Show
|
4* KC -3, not higher over Houston NFL POWER ANGLE BDS
|
01-03-16 |
Seahawks +6 v. Cardinals |
|
36-6 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 7 m |
Show
|
4* SEATTLE+ over Arizona NFL UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK BDS
|
01-03-16 |
Eagles v. Giants OVER 50.5 |
|
35-30 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
01-03-16 |
Patriots v. Dolphins UNDER 46.5 |
|
10-20 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 9 m |
Show
|
|
01-03-16 |
Jets v. Bills +3 |
Top |
17-22 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 54 m |
Show
|
10* BUFFALO +3, nothing lower over New York NFL SUPER CONTEST TOP PLAY...8-2 L2 WEEKS BDS...HAPPY NEW YEAR!
|
01-02-16 |
TCU v. Oregon -103 |
Top |
47-41 |
Loss |
-103 |
59 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
01-02-16 |
Kansas State v. Arkansas -12.5 |
|
23-45 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 20 m |
Show
|
|
01-02-16 |
Penn State v. Georgia UNDER 43 |
|
17-24 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 60 m |
Show
|
010216 Tax Slayer Bowl 4* Penn State/Georgia UNDER the total @ 12:00 Eastern Here two interesting units, the Nits settling under coach Franklin carrying a 7-5 SU record losing 3 straight to end the season vs. Michigan State (16-55 A), Michigan (16-28 H) and Northwestern (21-23 A). Penn State did not beat a Class “A” or Class “B” unit this year, the loss to Temple in Philadelphia was a telling factor for experiences to follow. Georgia completed a 9-3 SU season and considering coaching issues and injuries, the ‘Dawgs showed very decently, considering they won 4 straight to end the season versus Kentucky, Auburn (A), GS and Georgia Tech (A)…the road wins gives an improved picture of their capabilities. The Tech win to end the season was a revenge situation, holding the Bees to 7 points. GA held the last 4 opponents to 10 ppg. Coaching structure now has Richt out, McClendon interim for this game, before HC Smart takes over. Georgia is 6-4 SU L10 bowl games, 6-4 ATS (5-4 ATSF). Penn State shows with the defensive player of the year in Nassib and the #14 stop unit (324). However, they falter numerically on offense rating #106 and #110 in total offense (2014 & 2015), now you understand the firing of OC Donovan…QB coach Rayne will run the offense here. The problem on offense has been in an out QB Hackenberg 53.3% completion scores (2,386/16/5). OVERALL…Can’t assume this will be a wide open game, as both will must likely look to control the tempo, and work of a positive field and turnovers. With that in mind I am more inclined to go UNDER the total of 43, despite some movement the other way this morning…Remember, both are very challenged extending drives offensively, as Georgia is ranked #118 in 3rd down conversions at .313…Penn State #125 at .281. From situational standpoint must consider the changing coaching scope at Georgia. This is usually not a good way to approach a bowl game with that uncertainty in some players’ minds…Techs have Georgia 6-0 UNDER, 8-0 UNDER vs. winning units and 5-1 UNDER against non-conference. The Lions come 4-1 UNDER L5, 21-8 UNDER vs. non-conference types.
|