11-22-14 |
Miami (Fla) v. Virginia +6 |
|
13-30 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 16 m |
Show
|
|
11-22-14 |
Stanford v. California +5.5 |
|
38-17 |
Loss |
-100 |
80 h 50 m |
Show
|
112214 Play on: 4* California+ (184) over Stanford @ 4:00 Eastern College Football Upset Spending more time in the PAC-12 because of the fallout in many SEC programs this year. As we write our findings have California and Stanford 5-5 SU on the season. Stanford is 1-3 SU on the road, while California is 2-3 SU at home. The Cardinal has lost to Southern California, Notre Dame, Arizona State, Oregon and Utah this season. California has been defeated by Arizona, Washington, UCLA, Oregon and Southern California. Stanford is on a perfect 0-5 ATS run on the road. Cal has covered 7-of-10 ATS and 6-of-7 ATS this as an underdog. Remember the kids from Palo Alto have controlled this series with hated California, so the home standing BEARS have major REVENGE Saturday….GL
|
11-22-14 |
New Mexico +22 v. Colorado State |
Top |
20-58 |
Loss |
-112 |
71 h 27 m |
Show
|
|
11-22-14 |
Marshall v. UAB +20 |
|
23-18 |
Win
|
100 |
67 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
11-22-14 |
Marshall v. UAB OVER 68 |
|
23-18 |
Loss |
-106 |
19 h 44 m |
Show
|
|
11-20-14 |
Kansas City Chiefs v. Oakland Raiders UNDER 43 |
|
20-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 55 m |
Show
|
|
11-20-14 |
North Carolina +6 v. Duke |
|
45-20 |
Win
|
100 |
73 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* North Carolina+ over Duke @ 7:30 Eastern (Thursday) We are inserting this early on Monday, but our analysis will follow by Tuesday night. So, please check back. Thank you for your patience. BDS
|
11-18-14 |
UMass +9 v. Akron |
|
6-30 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
11-17-14 |
Pittsburgh Steelers -5.5 v. Tennessee Titans |
|
27-24 |
Loss |
-100 |
24 h 51 m |
Show
|
4* Pittsburgh over Tennessee MNF SMASH MOUTH WINNER BDS
|
11-17-14 |
Pittsburgh Steelers v. Tennessee Titans UNDER 46 |
|
27-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 51 m |
Show
|
111714 Play on: 3* Pittsburgh/Tennessee UNDER the total @ 8:30 Eastern The Pittsburgh Steelers (6-4) and Tennessee Titans (2-7) show tonight with a very different perspective as it pertains to their season records. The controlling unit despite being on the road is the Pittsburgh Steelers. They are coming off a SU road loss to the lowly Jets 20-13 last week, while going UNDER the total. Tennessee despite their record has been competitive at time. The Titans are on a 1-3 SU run, while going 3-1 UNDER. The major problem all year long has been their starting quarterback as they have gone through three starters with Locker, Whitehurst and now rookie Mettenberger taking the snaps. Below is the weekly QBR numbers for the Tennessee quarterbacks this season illustrating my key point…NO LEADERSHIP ON OFFENSE. Week #1…No rating Week #2…Locker 13.7….QBR Week #3…Locker 31.1 “ Week #4…Whitehurst 61.4 “ Week #5…Locker 99.2 “ Week #6…Whitehurst 39.4 “ Week #7…Whitehurst 49.9 “ Week #8…Mettenberger 22.7 “ Week#8...Mettenberger 30.1 “ After swallowing those horrid numbers, you now can see why the Tennessee offense has been the primary catalyst in a losing season. As far as Pittsburgh, the Steelers were going along so well winning against the Texans, Colts and Ravens before being dinged up in NY but Michael Vick no less. No doubt this is a must WIN situation for the Steelers trying to get back on track in the AFC Central as they are ½ game behind the Bengals who won yesterday against the sagging Saints. No matter, the Titans will give their best in front of the national audience. Therefore, we can forecast a lower scoring game, the total line has dropped from 47-to-46 and we agree. Normally, the Steelers play HIGH off a SU loss 8-of-9 to be exact. Just remember, our QBR notes as assistant Dick LeBeau of Pittsburgh is 18-2 SU vs. a rookie and first year quarterbacks. UNDER!
|
11-16-14 |
New England Patriots +3 v. Indianapolis Colts |
|
42-20 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 41 m |
Show
|
5* New England+3 or more over Indianapolis I am posting this early and will return with our overall analysis, if time surrenders an opening. Already this morning there is line movement down. Play this ASAP, sorry for the issue, Brad.
|
11-16-14 |
Detroit Lions v. Arizona Cardinals UNDER 41.5 |
|
6-14 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 27 m |
Show
|
5* Arizona/Detroit UNDER 41-1/2 NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK BDS
|
11-16-14 |
Denver Broncos -9 v. St. Louis Rams |
|
7-22 |
Loss |
-109 |
22 h 12 m |
Show
|
465 5* Denver over St. Louis @ 1:00 Eastern NFL GAME OF THE WEEK If there is a no-brainer on the NFL card, I believe you are looking at it. The Denver Broncos come in 7-2, while the struggling Rams show at 3-6. To make matters worse for St. Louis they are electing to make a change at the quarterback position with Shawn Hill coming back to the lineup. The only positive for the Rams is they should be able to take the run away from the Broncos who average under 100 yards a game in that category. But, they still must find a way to limit the electrifying Peyton Manning, and we all know that’s an impossible task. I looked at a possible LETDOWN, but just can’t see it based on the current facts and circumstances. Recall the Rams have a history of playing poorly late in the season and show 2-10 ATS in week #11. Plus, they are 16-39 ATS after gaining under 250 yards in their last game. In closing, the Broncos are a PERFECT 5-0 ATS on the road vs. a home unit with under a .500 record. Good Luck.
|
11-16-14 |
Seattle Seahawks +1.5 v. Kansas City Chiefs |
Top |
20-24 |
Loss |
-102 |
26 h 20 m |
Show
|
457 10* Seattle+ over Kansas City @ 1:00 Eastern NFL LINE VALUE GAME OF THE MONTH BDS When the public moved the line from Seattle -1 to KC -1, -1-1/2, I knew my assertions would follow through on the playing field this Sunday. I love Big Red as an overall technical coach. And, to support this mindset, if you’ve been following us this season, you know we have been on Kansas City numerous times, including the road test in Buffalo last week. KC leads the series 32-18, and the last time they played was in 2010 with the “Chefs” winning 42-24. As we now know Seattle is a SUPER CHAMPION, Kansas City has won just one SUPER BOWL (IV) 23-7 over Minnesota and that’s a “few” years ago. My reasoning, the Seahawks are more structured to handle a championship type game, even on the road. Seattle is 15-5 ATS vs. winning units and 8-2 ATS on the road vs. >.500 teams. We know they are just 1-6 ATS in the series, but this “spot” entertains a whole different set of circumstances, including the Seattle ability on defense to mitigate the running game of KC. Good Luck!
|
11-15-14 |
Arizona State v. Oregon State +8 |
Top |
27-35 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 20 m |
Show
|
|
11-15-14 |
LSU -1 v. Arkansas |
|
0-17 |
Loss |
-109 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
|
5* LSU -1 over Arkansas CFB LINE VALUE EDITION BDS We waited a little too long to play this as the public money shown earlier this week has evaporated. At this time STRENGTH DOLLARS are showing from ALL the sharps on the Tigers. We mentioned in our USA interview this week that QB Harris will be taking snaps under center during certain down and distance situations. Because of his agility who will give the depleted Arkansas defense headaches. HC Miles realizes he didn't vie for the SEC title this year, because once again LSU does not have a 5* QB on the roaster. Mettenberger was a Georgia recruit. It's been years since we've seen this type signal-caller in Baton Rouge. Technically, in this type situation, MILES is 21-1 SU!
|
11-15-14 |
UL-Lafayette v. Louisiana Monroe +7 |
|
34-27 |
Push |
0 |
78 h 31 m |
Show
|
111514 Play on: 5* UL-Monroe+ over UL-Lafayette @ 7:00 Eastern CFB GAME OF THE WEEK BDS… Saturday we are looking to stay away from as much of the marquee games as possible. So, when we opened the stat sheet and looked at SOS with an underdog scenario in mind, we found a unit that is truly flying under the radar this week. Down in Louisiana football is the sport of choice, carrying a solid fan base from all levels of academia. In the five years during the tenure of HC Todd Berry the Warhawks of ULM of gone 1-4 SU in the series with ULL, 1-6 SU since 2008. The majority of games have been very close, so you can imagine why we have chosen this situation for our clients. ULL comes in 6-3 SU & 5-4 ATS currently riding a 5 game winning streak. They are coming off a 44-16 destruction on the road versus New Mexico State last Saturday. ULM shows 3-6 SU & 3-5-1 ATS hitting the field Saturday after losing a heart breaker at talented Appalachian State 31-29. That was in the second of BB road games, prior they dropped a hard fought battle with A&M 21-16. Six of the nine games played by ULM this season have been very close. ULM has lost 5 straight games. In this series the UNDERDOG has covered 6 straight (15-2 ATS L17). The opposing ‘Cajuns are 1-8 ATS vs. a unit with a
|
11-15-14 |
Kentucky v. Tennessee -8.5 |
|
16-50 |
Win
|
100 |
94 h 21 m |
Show
|
111514 Play on: 5* Tennessee (336) over Kentucky @ 4:00 Eastern SEC GAME OF THE WEEK BDS This week we have 5-5 Kentucky vs. 4-5 Tennessee down in Knoxville Saturday afternoon. The Vols show off a bye, while the Wildcats attempt to rebound from a 63-31 loss at home to Georgia. The major question is how will KU respond with their bowl hopes gone considering they have Tennessee and Louisville next to finish the season. Kentucky is 6-17 ATS in SEC games and 0-6 ATS in November. Tennessee owns this series and now catches the Wildcats on a four game losing streak. If UT wins they have Missouri and Vanderbilt to finish which would qualify for a minor bowl at 7-5 SU. Tennessee has cashed 7-of-9 ATS in Knoxville, while the chalk is 5-1 ATS in the series…TENNESSEE!
|
11-15-14 |
Appalachian State v. Arkansas State OVER 64.5 |
Top |
37-32 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 28 m |
Show
|
10* Arkansas State/Appalachian State OVER 64-1/2 CFB TOTAL OF THE MONTH Saturday afternoon we have scheduled SHOOTOUT in the SBC. Each is ranked high up in offense NCAA wide #41 and #43. To be exact, Arkansas State is averaging 33.2 points per game and Appalachian State is at 34.3 points per game. Defensively App State allows 28 points per, while Ark. State gives up 24 points per game. App.State is 4-1 OVER L5 games out, while Arkansas State is OVER L6 in November. Further, Arkansas State has shot OVER 4 straight and straight in the SBC.
|
11-15-14 |
Temple +12 v. Penn State |
Top |
13-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 49 m |
Show
|
10* Temple+12 over Penn State CFB EASTERN EDGE GAME OF THE MONTH BDS
|
11-15-14 |
Army v. Western Kentucky -8 |
Top |
24-52 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 46 m |
Show
|
Play on: 20* Western Kentucky -8 ½ (330) over Army @ 12:00 Eastern COLLEGE GAME OF THE YEAR We know Army (3-6) is coming off a solid 35-21 over Connecticut last week, while WK (4-5) handled UTEP 35-27. The Cadets looked improved against the Huskies as the finally ended their three game skid. Army has lost every road game this year. The Army offense dictates tempo with their rushing #5 nationally, almost 300 yards per game. One of key psychological edges for the Cadets is their triple-option attack, as not many in the south use such an attack. Army, though, rarely throws the football, so if can establish a solid defensive game plan, you have a great shot at defeating the aggressive system. Where Army really suffers is on defense as they allow almost 33 points per game and well over 400 yards in offense. Opposing Western Kentucky is the opposite breed from the offensive standpoint focusing primarily on the passing game, averaging 40 points per game. They are currently rated #2 in the NCAA from the passing yardage standpoint @ 371 yards a game. QB Doughty is the real deal and has accrued 3,300+ yards throwing down the field. He’s hit on 28 touches with a 67% passing accuracy. Where the Hilltoppers have problems is on defense as they show way down the rankings giving up almost 42 points per game. Still, the real issues inside the game for West Point is being on the road where they have suffered at 6-20 ATS of late. In what most likely be a high scoring shootout, Army simply can’t score quick enough to stay with the Hilltoppers. WK is 13-6 ATS versus losing teams…Western Kentucky 45 Army 27
|
11-13-14 |
Buffalo Bills v. Miami Dolphins UNDER 42.5 |
|
9-22 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 25 m |
Show
|
111314 Play on: 4* Miami/Buffalo UNDER the total @ 8:25 Eastern Tonight’s game has the makings of a playoff round with each 5-4 unit striving to win for their next step towards the post season. Last week KC coach Reid had his defense take out the Bills up in Buffalo by limiting the catches of the receivers, in essence squeezing their offensive formations. In order for Miami to gain revenge for an earlier season loss to Buffalo, the Fish must also execute a similar defensive game plan. Now, there is no doubt Miami will come to play, as they show in TRIPLE REVENGE this evening. But, the line math is too high for this capper to make a side play, so we are going after the total with history and current reality bending together. Buffalo is 7-2 UNDER, Miami 5-4 UNDER this season. Miami show 4-0 UNDER L4, 5-0-1 UNDER L6 on Thursday night, 6-0-1 UNDER week #11 and 22-8-1 UNDER in November. The Bills enter this evening 4-0-1 UNDER off a SU loss, 5-1 UNDER in November and 4-1 UNDER on grass. Fundamentals indicate the Bills have played better with QB Orton (3-2) at the helm, almost 66% completion ratio. But, the Bills have still gone UNDER in 3 straight, their last OVER was vs. the Packers (Rodgers) on October 12th. Miami’s Tanneyhill is no Rodgers and the Fish have been putting up inflated numbers vs. lackluster defenses, Oakland, Chicago, and Jax. The Bills have had one major offensive out break since the 29 they scored vs. Miami back on September 14th and that was against the floundering NY Jets….UNDER!
|
11-13-14 |
East Carolina v. Cincinnati +1.5 |
|
46-54 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 8 m |
Show
|
Play on: 4* Cincinnati+1-1/2 over East Carolina @ 7:00 Eastern CFB LINE VALUE KEY BEST BDS The 6-2 Pirates of ECU face the 5-3 Bearcats of Cincinnati on Thursday night in game we feel there has been much line value found in the post for the home team Cincinnati. The recharged Bearcats changed character midway through season showing off easy wins over South Florida and Tulane, while chasing Memphis for the top spot in the AAC. Fortunately, for ECU they come in off a bye week losing to Temple on the road prior. I had a chance to take in the whole Temple game, and believe me the Pirates looked flat (5 fumbles) and inconsistent. Actually, prior to the Temple loss the Pirates were ranked?? The Pirates have the #8 rated defense limiting foes to 339 total yards a game, 23 points per. Offensively ranked #26 accruing 550 yards per game, while averaging 35.0 points per. On the other hand, Cincinnati comes in very competitive #70 in total defense (476) allowing 29.8 ppg. Offensively, the Bearcats are ranked #76 (466) averaging 34.8 points per game. Clearly, if ECU is to win QB Carden will need to return to form after the Temple debacle. Carden has a solid receiving group with RBs Hairston and Allen (605) carrying the ground arsenal. The key for Cincinnati is the quarterback position as stellar Gunner Kiel did not look strong in the Tulane game, as Legaux came in hitting 3 touches to pick up a big win. The home team is 7-1 ATS in series with Cincinnati 4-0 ATS L4 here. TAKE THE POINTS!
|
11-10-14 |
Carolina Panthers v. Philadelphia Eagles -7 |
|
21-45 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 23 m |
Show
|
4* Philadelphia -7 (not higher) over Carolina No comment BDS
|
11-09-14 |
Tennessee Titans v. Baltimore Ravens -10 |
|
7-21 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 46 m |
Show
|
110914 Play on: 4* Baltimore over Tennessee APPRECIATION NFL SPECIAL SUNDAY BDS…. Key: Baltimore is off back-to-back losses. You might think we are hoping against hope that the “sloppy” Ravens will come to play putting away the Titans. And, that’s taking into consideration the up-tick by former LSU QB Mettenberger putting spark in the Titans vanilla offense. Techs, initially, bring negatives as the underdog in the series is 17-5-2 ATS, but Tennessee is 16-35-1 ATS vs. >.500 units. Plus, they are just 2-6 ATS in 2014. Baltimore 7-3-2 ATS in the month of November and 10-4 ATS in Baltimore. We close with HC Harbaugh 8-1 ATS off a SU & ATS loss vs. a unit off a SU double-digit loss. Baltimore garners an appreciation move from yours truly…GL
|
11-09-14 |
Atlanta Falcons v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 46.5 |
|
27-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
11-09-14 |
Kansas City Chiefs -1 v. Buffalo Bills |
|
17-13 |
Win
|
102 |
13 h 35 m |
Show
|
110914 Play on: 5* Kansas City over Buffalo @ 1:00 EST NFL GAME OF THE WEEK BDS Cashed our NFL GAME OF THE WEEK last time around with New England over Denver. This Sunday we go up to Buffalo and check out the 5-3 Chiefs and the 5-3 Bills. We know the Chiefs very well simply because we have a strong book on HC Andy Reid since was the Eagles mentor here in Philadelphia. Last week the Chiefs won and covered in a 24-10 win over the error prone Jets. Buffalo did the same winning an covering before their bye over those same Jets 43-23. The opening line was -2, it’s now down to -1 favoring KC. Yes, the early money has been on Buffalo. At the quarterback position we now have a wash as Alex Smith has been consistent of late leading the Chiefs to wins in 5-of-6 SU. Replacement QB for Buffalo Kyle Orton has brought the improving Bills to victory in 3-of-4 SU. Orton took over for the struggling E. J. Manuel and the Bills have prospered. But, this time around the Bills offense meet the #1 passing defense (199) in KC. Over statistically both clubs are similar KC #5 on defense Buffalo #7. Offensively, KC is #26, while Buffalo is #28. The last time these two met was last year as KC won 23-13 garnering two fortunate defensive touchdowns. Techs have the Bills 1-4 ATS off a SU win of more than 14 points and 9-24-1 ATS off a SU win. The road team has covered 5-of-6 in the series. We realize Buffalo 6-1 ATS vs. KC, the Chiefs did not have QB Smith in the equation. Plus KC is a super 10-3 ATS on the road. With QB Smith starting his football team is 21-1-1 SU.
|
11-09-14 |
Atlanta Falcons v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 |
Top |
27-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 14 m |
Show
|
10* Tampa Bay +3 over Atlanta NFL TOP PLAY UNDERDOG BDS... Love this situation as we have the Atlanta Falcons (?) laying points on the road. This scenario carries the EMOTIONAL ANGLE of the day as we catch the Bucs off a win trying to extract a measure of revenge vs. Atlanta for their 56-14 beating up in Atlanta earlier this season. This is a MUST WIN for the Bucs who's suffering fans have not seen their favs win at home in 2014. Stay with the Bucs today.
|
11-08-14 |
Oregon v. Utah +8 |
|
51-27 |
Loss |
-105 |
96 h 31 m |
Show
|
4* Utah+ (194) over Oregon @10:00 Eastern WISE GUYS BEST BET This is a rebound effort for us as last week we dropped a rough outing with ND’s special teams and rushing defense going to sleep late in the game. Here I have great respect for the Oregon program. In fact, in our early season interviews we projected the Ducks as one of the units in the College Championship game. Honestly, I don’t know if they’ll get that far because the Utes being at home with their defense have a shot SU of winning the whole game. Oregon shows 8-1, while opposing Utah hits the field with a solid 6-2 mark. Both teams have covered 4 straight in conference, while Utah is 7-0 vs. winning units. Finally, we’ll back the Utes who are 17-8 ATS off a SU loss.
|
11-08-14 |
Alabama v. LSU UNDER 48.5 |
|
20-13 |
Win
|
100 |
72 h 26 m |
Show
|
5* LSU/Alabama UNDER the total Taking this baby early in the week to afford line movement its natural course of action. Only once since 2008 has the battle gone OVER the number (48-1/2) mentioned above. Last year the Tide had AJ taking snaps and he performed perfectly for Alabama as they scored the last 21 points in the game to help the number OVER the total. Also, former Tiger Odell Beckham gave LSU great field position with his KR yardage. This season Alabama is the #2 rated scoring defense holding the opp. to 14 points per game, LSU the #4 rated scoring defense limiting the offenses to 15.9 points per game. In what should be a low scoring game...UNDER!
|
11-08-14 |
Colorado v. Arizona -17 |
Top |
20-38 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 28 m |
Show
|
10* Arizona -17 over Colorado COLLEGE CONFERENCE BLOWOUT GOY Write-up Pending BDS...
|
11-08-14 |
Kansas State v. TCU -6 |
|
20-41 |
Win
|
100 |
55 h 44 m |
Show
|
110814 5* TCU over Kansas State @ 7:30 Eastern COLLEGE GAME OF THE WEEK BDS… One issue that is easily solved the Horned Frogs (7-1) actually accrue line value Saturday with the “public” affection for head coach Bill Snyder of Kansas State. After eight games on the schedule this is only the third road outing for the Wildcats (7-1). For TCU they show off a road win non-cover at Morgantown. For this handicapper, it projects added value here as the confidence level for TCU should now be at an all-time high under head coach Gary Patterson. And, they are successful even though they lost senior quarterback Matt Joeckel for the season. QB Trevone Byokin is a super athlete, but was inconsistent last week at WVU. In that game the Horned Frogs scored the last ten points to secure a heart pumping victory. We note, the Mounties sored one of their touches via a fumble recovery. If TCU is to win and cover they will need a perfect game caring for the football. Understand this is a hostile environment for KSU and represents a playoff game on its own. TCU has derived a major edge playing this in Fort Worth. Last week Kanas State easily handled the defense less and turnover prone Oklahoma State unit 48-14 for their 5 straight win. Coach Snyder’s club lives off their defense #16 overall #9 stopping the run. The TCU win last week runs their streak to three after losing at Baylor. Kansas State’s only loss was to Auburn. The Horned Frogs strength is offense with their 500+ yards a game and the #6 ranked passing attack nationally. They are #2 in points scored! Defensively, KSU has an edge possessing the Big-12 best defense, but the Horned Frogs are #1 nationally in turnovers earned with +15. DOUBLE REVENGE…Coach Patterson is 0-2 vs. his former alma mater Kansas State. TCU has covered 6 straight at home and 9-of-10 ATS overall. TCU 7-3 ATS B/4 BB road games. We realize the Wildcats are 20-5-1 ATS vs. winning units, but this is being played at TCU who has the EMOTIONAL EDGE. Remember, this is a PROGRAM GAME for the Horned Frogs who came over from the MWC. Interesting the only loss by TCU this season was to Baylor, but the Bears lost to like kind West Va. in Morgantown 41-27. I believe based on the current facts and circumstances TCU has the edge…39-24.
|
11-08-14 |
Baylor v. Oklahoma OVER 72 |
|
48-14 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 35 m |
Show
|
4* Oklahoma/Baylor OVER the total Waited until this morning to insure the weather (55*) would be clear enough not to short circuit both of these powerful offenses. No matter each will have their foot to the metal to simply out score the opposition. Believe the game will be in the 40'S. Good Luck, I will have one more play late this afternoon for night action...Good Luck, and thank you.
|
11-08-14 |
Iowa +1 v. Minnesota |
Top |
14-51 |
Loss |
-110 |
26 h 34 m |
Show
|
110814 Play on: 10* Iowa +1 (123) over Minnesota @ 12:00 Eastern Here we have two teams with 6-2 records fighting to achieve a seed in the BIG-10 Championship game. In preseason most experts had the Golden Gophers down the list in the West Division of the conference. However, they come in off a BYE week with a 3-1 SU record in the BIG-10. Before losing a heart breaker to the Illini, Minnesota had won 4 straight. MU is 5-0 SU this season at home. They are actually tied with Iowa in the division. The Hawkeyes show off a 48-7 crusher of the Wildcats of NW after a BYE. Iowa has won the L2 in the Minnesota series in a convincing way 23-7 and 31-13. This season Iowa has really improved on offense as last weeks’ crusher would indicate bullying the Wildcats, and now they average almost 30 points a game coming into action Saturday afternoon. The Hawkeyes have improved over their 2013 edition in scoring defense holding the opposition to 20-points per game, ranked #14 limiting offenses to only 323 yards per game. Minnesota shows listed as the #10 rated offense in the BIG-10 not in the country, clarifying. Their key on offense is senior RB Cobb who has crossed the goal line 7 times carrying 1,000+ yards. On defense, MU is listed as the #40 unit in scoring defense giving up only 22.2 points per game. Yes, these two are very similar, but the value in the game has gone to IOWA from the line standpoint as the visitor opened as a -2 favorite, but the public domain has bought out the price to a “Pick.” We know that Minny does not play well SU & ATS b/4 Ohio State (next). We’re not projecting a look ahead because of the nature of this game. Since Minnesota has not lost at home have the sharps and the public over played the Gophers situation? In the series, Iowa has covered 13-of-19 in Vegas. Iowa has not only covered 8-of-9 on the road, but 6 straight on the road vs. a winning home unit. So, coach Ferentz and company will be prepared to take home the cash in a series Iowa leads of late with a 10-3 SU record. Remember if Iowa becomes the UNDERDOG the line value generates a stronger position for us…Good Luck.
|
11-06-14 |
Cleveland Browns v. Cincinnati Bengals -6 |
Top |
24-3 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 8 m |
Show
|
10* Cincinnati over Cleveland NFL TOP PLAY LATE MONEY MOVE BDS Note, the Bengals are on an incredible home streak of late, and look to build on their early "MO" this season. The home unit in this series is 3-0-1 ATS. We know the dog has been the play overall in the series the last six years, but Cleveland is 2-7-1 ATS vs. winning home team. And, there is a mid-week NFL system that's cashed 3-of-4 in the month November. Finally, the play of RB Hill who is emerging for the Bengals allows for a major play here. GL
|
11-05-14 |
Northern Illinois v. Ball State +3 |
|
35-21 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 9 m |
Show
|
110514 4* (108) Ball State+ (3-5) over Northern Illinois (6-2) @ 8:00 Eastern CFB MAC KEY BEST BET BDS Here is a MAC encounter which appears to have two teams in different mind sets. The Huskies are a solid 6-2 with suffering BSU 3-5. The NIU offense stats out 100+ yards a game better than the Cardinals. They show ranked #33 in overall offense, while BSU shows at #101. NIU has the most dynamic all purpose threat on the field in sophomore QB Hare who has over 1,800 yards of offense with 16 touches. He was handed the lead role on offense in late September. LY NIU picked up a 48-24 win over Ball State, but the Cardinals played well for three quarters only to collapse late. Going in BSU had won 7 straight games. The Cardinals have lost 5 straight in the series, so this is a MAJOR REVENGE. Remember NIU is 0-6 ATS in the MAC with BSU 9-3 ATS off a week of rest. BSU coach Pete Lembo is 28-18 coming into action and fields a unit that won 10 games last year, so don't discount the abilities of the Cardinals.
|
11-02-14 |
Baltimore Ravens -1 v. Pittsburgh Steelers |
Top |
23-43 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
|
10* Baltimore over PittsburghNFL KEY SUNDAY NIGHT EDITIONBDS...It might appear we are running into a wall on Sunday night with the Ravens on the road, and the Steelers in REVENGE for that 26-6 beat down applied by the Ravens in the early going. But, traveling Baltimore with a solid coach in Harbaugh are huge off a su loss at 4-1 ATS. Plus the Steelers have been playing, somewhat, over their heads offensively. And, they show 2-7 ATS off a SU win. Both clubs 5-3 SU, we will see a critical game for each here on Sunday night. Look for a buzzer job tonight with Baltimore grabbing the cash....BDS
|
11-02-14 |
Denver Broncos v. New England Patriots +3 |
|
21-43 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 49 m |
Show
|
110214 5* (468) New England over Denver @ 4:25 Eastern NFL GAME OF THE WEEK BDS This afternoon up in Foxboro the 6-2 Patriots take on the 6-1 Broncos in what should be another classic AFC showdown. Of course, it’s Manning vs. Brady (Manning is 5-4 SU L9) in the battle of fabled quarterbacks. In the series New England has won 10-of-13 SU. But, New England is on a MASSIVE home winning streak of 13 games coming into action. Last week they crushed hapless Chicago 51-23. After a slow start the Pats behind Brady have won 4 straight games in the month of October, and they did so with some nagging injuries. Denver shows off a 35-21 win over hated San Diego. Manning threw 3 touches with 286 passing yards overall. Statistically, the Pats are #8 in total offense with 29.8 points per game with 363.1 yards on average. The Broncos are rated #14 in total offense with 32 points per game carrying 398.4 yards per outing. On defense, despite the rankings the numbers are close with #3 Denver limiting the opposition to 20.3 points per game with 315.3 yards on average. New England is rated #17 in total defense holding opponents to 21.7 points per game and 340.5 yards per outing. A key here will be the turnover ratio, New England is #1 in the take-away vs. give-away margin with +11, while NE +4. Techs have the Broncos 9-20 ATS on the road vs. a winning home unit! Further, NE has covered 6 straight at home vs. a >.500 road team. In the series the home team has covered 4 straight, while NE has covered 4-of-5 ATS overall.
|
11-02-14 |
Oakland Raiders v. Seattle Seahawks OVER 43 |
|
24-30 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 33 m |
Show
|
110214 5* Seattle/Oakland OVER the total @ 4:25 Eastern NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK BDS… Seattle (4-3) is showing up in the Northwest this Sunday after BB road games vs. versus STL and Carolina. Oakland arrives still negative on the season with a 0-7 record scoring only 105 points to-date. Despite the match-up this is a huge game for Seattle looking to gain MOMENTUM before the most difficult part of their schedule with 7 major games on-deck. Overall this is a nice technical spot for the OVER with Oakland 8-1 OVER in the 2nd of BB road games and 4-0 OVER in week #9. The series has gone OVER 12-of-17 and 7-of-8 OVER in Seattle. The Seahawks show 4-0-1 OVER in week #9 and 6-3 OVER off BB road games. No matter the total, this should be a surprising high scoring game…OVER!
|
11-02-14 |
San Diego Chargers +2.5 v. Miami Dolphins |
|
0-37 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 48 m |
Show
|
3* San Diego +2 1/2 or +3 over Miami Try buying 1/2-point to bring this number to +3. Note, if San Diego can run the football for over 100 yards they'll accrue a SU and ATS win. Look the Chargers have won 10-of-13 ATS and have played well this season. This is a critical game in the AFC...SAN DIEGO+ NFL APPRECIATION MOVE BDS
|
11-02-14 |
Washington Redskins +1 v. Minnesota Vikings |
Top |
26-29 |
Loss |
-106 |
4 h 54 m |
Show
|
10* Washington+ over Minnesota NFL LATE MONEY MOVE BDS...
|
11-01-14 |
Notre Dame -14 v. Navy |
|
49-39 |
Loss |
-109 |
59 h 55 m |
Show
|
110114 Play on: 5* Notre Dame (311) over Navy @ 8:00 Eastern COLLEGE GAME OF THE WEEK BDS Well if the Irish would have won last week over Florida State (27-31) this selection would have no validity. Instead we have Notre Dame coming in off a heart breaking loss going on the road to face up-start Navy. The Middies show off wins over VMI 51-14 and San Jose State 31-14, not elite competition. Prior they had lost three straight vs. Rutgers, Air Force and Western Kentucky, not a Class A unit to be found. They do have classy QB Keenan Reynolds leading the way, but the ND defense has faced better this season. On the other side of the ball, the Irish offense should have a big day passing behind QB Golson throwing to WR Fuller against a Navy secondary that is not of division one quality. Overall their defense is ranked #85 allowing 27.6 points per game. With the game being played at FedEx Field the balance of student body and general fans should have strong east coast support for ND. Techs show ND 5-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back road games. With this being considered a home game for Navy we note the Middies are 0-6 ATS vs. a winning road unit. Plus, the “road” team is 16-3 ATS in the series, while ND has taken 4-of-5 vs. Navy.
|
11-01-14 |
Oklahoma State v. Kansas State -14 |
Top |
14-48 |
Win
|
100 |
76 h 25 m |
Show
|
110114 Play on: 10* KANSAS ST. (368) over Oklahoma State CFB REVENGE GOY BDS Kansas State has won 4 straight after losing that home affair against highly ranked Auburn. KSU is now rated #11 when they face arch-rival Oklahoma State on Saturday night. This is a MUST WIN for the Wildcats if they want to secure the Big-12 Conference title. Kansas State is undefeated in conference. Last time KSU handled Texas easily 23-0. At one time Oklahoma State had won 5 straight games, but then faltered badly to West Virginia and TCU. Oklahoma State has won 5-of-7 SU in the series. Statistically in the BIG-12 these two are closely valued with OKS averaging 30.2 points per game, while allowing 28 points per game. KSU is averaging 36.9 points per game, allowing 19.3 points per game. As you can imagine the KSU real strength is on defense as they shutout Texas last week and held one of the nation’s most powerful teams, Auburn, to 14 points. Their key has been stopping the run holding the opposition to under 100 yards a game. The Oklahoma State weaknesses of running the football and pass defense should do them in here. The Wildcats are a PERFECT 10-0 ATS off a Big-12 game vs. a unit off back-to-back SU losses. Whereas, Oklahoma State is 1-5 ATS in the series with KSU coming in on 4 game ATS winning streak…KANSAS STATE!
|
11-01-14 |
Arkansas +11 v. Mississippi State |
|
10-17 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 44 m |
Show
|
110114 Play on: 5* Arkansas+ over Mississippi State @ 7:15 Eastern SEC GAME OF THE WEEK As our SEC special last week, we cashed Kentucky over MSU (7-0) catching that ½ point cover. We look to do the same on Saturday night when the ‘Hogs visit Starkville. Talent wise the Bulldogs have the most edges, except when Arkansas has the ball on offense in running situations. That huge offensive line should help mitigate the blitzes favored by HC Mullen. You can go back to last season and that 24-17 win in OT by the Bulldogs as the ‘Hogs had chances to win in the 4th quarter, but failed to convert. That’s indicative of the type of resolve Arkansas will come to play with on Saturday night. This current spot authors Arkansas (4-4) in a double revenge situation. No doubt the ‘Hogs have defensive issues, but they had those negatives when they lost to Alabama 14-13. We note Arkansas played ‘Bama off a bye week. Granted the overall situational angle here is complex with ‘Hogs aching for a win in the SEC as they show 0-16 SU, 6-10 ATS in the league. The obvious techs have MSU 10-2 ATS in the series with the home team 5-0 ATS…Granted the ‘Hogs have had issues with the Bulldogs. But, hold on MSU has Alabama and Mississippi on the road to test their quest for an undefeated season. My thoughts here are in a “MOTO” construct, as the Bulldogs fully expect to win based on their series history with only UT Martin up next. Arkansas is 15-6 ATS in the month of November and 7-1 L8 vs. a winning football team. As long as we are catching that ½-point again I’m staying on the ‘Hogs to pull a major surprise.
|
11-01-14 |
Auburn +1.5 v. Ole Miss |
Top |
35-31 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 47 m |
Show
|
10* Auburn +1-1/2 or +2 over Ole Miss CFB FALSE FAVORITE SMASH BDS....Please grab this quickly as the line is melting as we write!
|
11-01-14 |
Georgia State v. Appalachian State OVER 66 |
|
0-44 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 32 m |
Show
|
4* App.State/Georgia State OVER 66-67 We note there is wind and some snow expected, but without going into abnormal text each lack drive stopping defense which should equate to a very high math count...GL and thank you. BDS
|
11-01-14 |
Western Kentucky v. Louisiana Tech -7 |
|
10-59 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 57 m |
Show
|
110114 5* Louisiana Tech -7 (352) over Western Kentucky @ 3:00 Eastern Everyone knows I follow the Louisiana schools closely in all sports. When Skip Holtz took over the coaching job at Louisiana Tech, my interest started to really peak. However, LY they finished 4-8 behind the young mentor, though, have since been breathing fire against the opposition with 5-3 record in 2014. Western Kentucky, as you know, is another unit that we track closely. This season they have helped us cash both ATS and Total tickets, but coming into Saturday they are just 3-4 SU. WK has an inconsistent offensive line, slightly under the talent at LT. But, Looie has played stiffer competition and show with 18 juniors and seniors in starting positions. Both units have strong passing attacks (finesse types), but there is a major difference statistically when the defenses are assessed. LT has the #50 rated defense overall in the NCAA holding the opponents to 25.9 average points per game. Considering their opposition this season allowing only 350 yards per game on average is super. Here is where Western Kentucky loses their shirt…eh..eh jersey’s as they allow 549 yards defensively ranking #115 nationally. Their points deficit averages 41.1 points per game…The line opened around -5, -5 ½ and has now shot up to -7 ½. WK is 1-5 ATS off a SU win and show at 1-3 SU in roadies. LT is 6-2 ATS L8 and 16-7-1 ATS vs.
|
10-30-14 |
New Orleans Saints -3 v. Carolina Panthers |
|
28-10 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 46 m |
Show
|
5* New Orleans over Carolina NFL LATE MONEY MOVE BDS
|
10-30-14 |
Troy v. Georgia Southern -25.5 |
|
10-42 |
Win
|
100 |
53 h 39 m |
Show
|
3* Georgia Southern over Troy CFB EARLY MOTO THURSDAY BDS
|
10-27-14 |
Washington Redskins v. Dallas Cowboys -9.5 |
Top |
20-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
101 h 52 m |
Show
|
10* Dallas -9 1/2 over Washington NFC EAST GAME OF THE MONTH Note, we are realizing this game early because of the public perception and line movement. So, take advantage of the number and play it ASAP...Thank you and best of luck!
|
10-26-14 |
Green Bay Packers v. New Orleans Saints -1 |
Top |
23-44 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 35 m |
Show
|
10* NEW ORLEANS -1 over Green Bay NFL SUNDAY NIGHT GAME OF THE MONTH Our 10* plays are RED HOT 8-0 coming in with COLLEGE and NFL selections. BDS
|
10-26-14 |
Seattle Seahawks v. Carolina Panthers OVER 44.5 |
|
13-9 |
Loss |
-107 |
5 h 18 m |
Show
|
5* Carolina/Seattle OVER the total NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK BDS Monster Saturday 8-1 with sides 8-0!
|
10-26-14 |
Miami Dolphins -6 v. Jacksonville Jaguars |
|
27-13 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 10 m |
Show
|
4* Miami over Jacksonville NFL ROAD WARRIOR EDGE BDS
|
10-25-14 |
Old Dominion v. Western Kentucky UNDER 77 |
|
51-66 |
Loss |
-106 |
76 h 39 m |
Show
|
5* Western Kentucky/Old Dominion UNDER 77 KEY COLLEGE TOTAL SATURDAY BDS
|
10-25-14 |
Michigan v. Michigan State -17 |
|
11-35 |
Win
|
100 |
94 h 6 m |
Show
|
3* Michigan State over Michigan CFB EARLY MOTO PLAY I will return later with our MOTO GAME OF THE YEAR! We are 1-0 with our games of the year in college football this season (10* CFB Washington Line Mismatch GOY).
|
10-25-14 |
West Virginia -102 v. Oklahoma State |
|
34-10 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 15 m |
Show
|
4* West Va. over Oklahoma State....MONEY LINE At his (line) price, the more effective way to hit Saturday is with the ML approach. Granted the Mounties are coming off that brutal win over Baylor in Morgantown, and does set up as a letdown spot. Still, if WVU is going to the next level nationally they MUST WIN these key encounters on the road. West Va. has a more balanced offense and special advantages here. Finally, the Cowboys who are talented, simply have not done well against (>.500) winning units on the Strip, going 0-5 ATS as they field Saturday. Good Luck!
|
10-25-14 |
Mississippi State v. Kentucky +15 |
|
45-31 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 11 m |
Show
|
5* Kentucky +15 over Miss. State SEC GAME OF THE WEEK BDS
|
10-25-14 |
Central Michigan -5.5 v. Buffalo |
Top |
20-14 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 2 m |
Show
|
10* Central Michigan over Buffalo MAC GAME OF THE MONTH BDS Note, our 10* selections are RED HOT at 6-0!
|
10-25-14 |
UAB v. Arkansas -23 |
|
17-45 |
Win
|
100 |
85 h 25 m |
Show
|
4* Arkansas over UAB CFB BOUNCE BACK SPECIAL BDS
|
10-25-14 |
North Texas v. Rice -14 |
Top |
21-41 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 49 m |
Show
|
10* Rice over North Texas CFB MOTO GOY BDS
|
10-24-14 |
Oregon -17.5 v. California |
|
59-41 |
Win
|
100 |
55 h 60 m |
Show
|
5* Oregon over Call PAC-12 GAME OF THE WEEK BDS
|
10-23-14 |
Connecticut v. East Carolina -7500 |
|
21-31 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 57 m |
Show
|
4* East Carolina over UConn CFB KEY MONEY LINE BEST BDS
|
10-20-14 |
Houston Texans v. Pittsburgh Steelers -3 |
Top |
23-30 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 45 m |
Show
|
10* Pittsburgh -3 or less over Houston NFL LINE VALUE TOP PLAY 102014 Play on: 10* Pittsburgh (478) over Houston @ 8:30 Eastern MNF TOP PLAY BDS Cashed a nice 5* ticket last Monday night with the 49ers and now look for additional capital for the MNF bankroll. The #1 reason why we have the Steelers on our ticket this evening is EMOTION. After being axed by traditional (and neighborhood rival) Cleveland last week we fully expect to see Pittsburgh play their best game this season. Granted they are not as soliid as the 2011 team that went 12-5 SU, but they have an outstanding chance to right their ship here. Pittsburgh is 7-0 SU on Heinz field on Monday night. Plus they show at 5-1 ATS in week #7, while the Texans show at 0-6 ATS on Monday night. Finally, with all the negative press and back biding hitting the home town Steelers, look for coach Tomlin to author a much needed bounce back win…Good Luck!
|
10-19-14 |
Kansas City Chiefs +4 v. San Diego Chargers |
Top |
23-20 |
Win
|
100 |
41 h 27 m |
Show
|
10* KC+4 over San Diego BDS
|
10-19-14 |
Atlanta Falcons v. Baltimore Ravens UNDER 49.5 |
|
7-29 |
Win
|
100 |
78 h 52 m |
Show
|
5* Baltimore/Atlanta UNDER the total NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK BDS
|
10-19-14 |
Seattle Seahawks v. St. Louis Rams UNDER 43.5 |
|
26-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 14 m |
Show
|
101914 Play on: 4* Seattle/St. Louis UNDER the total Most will look at the number and the overall situation and assume the game will go OVER. However, we have Seattle (3-2) coming off an embarrassing loss at home to Dallas, and now must go on the road in an early start to face the Rams (1-4). Seattle’s numbers (133-113) are showing a reduction in differentials from last year, while St. Louis (101-150) has dropped from the same time last season. The key for the St.Louis offense is running the football and controlling the clock. However, the Seattle defense has held the opposition to 82.2 yards per game. The Rams are ranked down the ladder in the NFL running department #18 with slightly over 100 yards per game. Remember St. Louis has lost three straight to quality offenses Dallas, Philadelphia and San Francisco. The Seahawks do not have a high producing offense at this time, especially now with the “threat” Percy Harvin leaving for the Jets. Based on where Seattle is coming from, I expect their best defensive effort of the season, and a close low scoring game. St. Louis can’t expect to play with an “open offense” in this all important bounce-back game in front of their home crowd. The UNDER has hit 4 straight in the series with 4 consecutive UNDERs in St. Louis. Last year Seattle held the Rams to 9 points in each game, while the game does play into a turnover system favoring the UNDER…SEATTLE IS 5-0 UNDER vs the NFC WEST!
|
10-19-14 |
New Orleans Saints v. Detroit Lions -2 |
|
23-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
10-18-14 |
Georgia State v. South Alabama OVER 55.5 |
Top |
27-30 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 60 m |
Show
|
10* South Alabama/Georgia State OVER the total CFB TOTAL OF THE MONTH BDS
|
10-18-14 |
Missouri v. Florida -5.5 |
|
42-13 |
Loss |
-108 |
19 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
10-18-14 |
San Jose State -134 v. Wyoming |
|
27-20 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 39 m |
Show
|
|
10-18-14 |
Ball State v. Central Michigan -8 |
|
32-29 |
Loss |
-106 |
33 h 48 m |
Show
|
101814 5* Central Michigan (338) over Ball State @ 3:30 Eastern COLLEGE GAME OF THE WEEK…5-2 Last week we stayed away from the Chips (4-3) since they were playing out Northern Illinois and their vaunted offense. Instead we used Western Michigan on the money line and took home the cash. Here we will use CMU who has an improved offense going against the hard trying unit from Ball State who shows 1-5 SU. Remember we told you the Chips were a team to be aware of considering they are coming a 6-6 season bringing back 19 starters. Ball State started 2014 with only 11 starters. In fact the Cardinals have come down hard since their heroics from last season. They are 0-3 SU on the road, while going 0-2 SU in conference. Ball State when in a road setting is allowing 28 points per game. This weakness we fully expect the Chips to exploit with their improved attack. The series techs do favor the visitor, but CMU is on a 4-0 ATS run against losing teams and 6-1 ATS in conference. In addition, CMU is 37-17-2 ATS off an ATS win…CHIPS 27 BALL STATE 17
|
10-18-14 |
New Mexico +9 v. Air Force |
|
31-35 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 3 m |
Show
|
4* New Mexico +9 or +9 1/2 over AirForce BDS
|
10-18-14 |
Eastern Michigan v. UMass -14 |
Top |
14-36 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 57 m |
Show
|
10* UMASS -14 over Eastern Michigan EASTERN EDGE GAME OF THE WEEK BDS
|
10-18-14 |
Western Michigan v. Bowling Green -135 |
|
26-14 |
Loss |
-135 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
5* Bowling Green (Money Line Only) over Western Michigan Used the Broncos last week on the money line, but concede BG has the major edge on the stat sheet being at home and looking to extend their MAC undefeated legend. Good Luck, we will have more MONEY LINE chances today. Brad
|
10-18-14 |
Virginia +155 v. Duke |
|
13-20 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 1 m |
Show
|
|
10-18-14 |
Purdue +12.5 v. Minnesota |
|
38-39 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 42 m |
Show
|
|
10-18-14 |
Baylor v. West Virginia +7.5 |
Top |
27-41 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 29 m |
Show
|
|
10-17-14 |
Temple v. Houston OVER 50 |
|
10-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
77 h 43 m |
Show
|
5* Temple/Houston OVER the total College Total of the Week BDS...
|
10-16-14 |
Utah v. Oregon State +3 |
Top |
29-23 |
Loss |
-120 |
6 h 0 m |
Show
|
10* OREGON STATE+ 3 or higher over Utah Held this out assuming the late money would come to the Utes, not so! Both clubs 4-1 with Utah having the more effective rushing attack, but the passing game of the Beavers will help PULL THE UPSET or take this to the wire. That's why +3 or 3 1/2 makes our club a TOP PLAY. In addition, both units need the game, so the home field becomes more of a factor Utah was just 9-18 in conference going into this season, so we feel they are over valued!
|
10-13-14 |
San Francisco 49ers -3 v. St. Louis Rams |
|
31-17 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 4 m |
Show
|
5* San Francisco -3 over STL Not afraid to lay -3 (nothing higher) here, especially with the Niners off a win, and the Rams off a phony close encounter with Philly. The Eagles prevent defense led the Rams to three touchdowns. Realize this series favored the home team in ATS markers, but SF is an incredible 12-2 ATS in October which illustrates how well Harbaugh adjusts to the season. Also, SF is 22-6 ATS in MNF.
|
10-12-14 |
NY Giants +3 v. Philadelphia Eagles |
|
0-27 |
Loss |
-120 |
129 h 3 m |
Show
|
5* NYG +3 or higher...over Philadelphia NFL GAME OF THE WEEK The Eagles survived last week as they again built an early lead only to falter on defense in so many different situations. New York, however, was at with QB Eli Manning leading the way in a solid win over suffering Atlanta. The Giants running attack fell off to 3.6 yards-per-carry, and Eli's net yards passing fell to 193 yards. But, New York scored 13 points in the 4th quarter to come from behind at home. Before the Atlanta game, QB Eli Manning was on fire hitting 73% of his passes. NYG is now 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS on the campaign. Prior to the Atlanta home win the Giants crushed a turnover prone Washington 45-17 and defeating HOT Houston 30-17 in New York. This season NYG is 1-1 SU & ATS on the road. The Eagles show 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS after stopping the Rams (with 2nd string QB..Davis) 34-28. We note, the Rams became a "public team" Sunday morning as the line went from -6 1/2-to-3 1/2??? Philadelphia is still having problems on the offensive line with only 2 starters in the lineup, and they really do miss center Kelce. QB Foles (12-3 starter) has been off this season as we predicted, and the running game is having problems with OL issues and sulking of RB McCoy. The UNDERDOG in the series is 14-4-1 ATS with the Giants 6-2-1 ATS in Philly.
|
10-12-14 |
Washington Redskins v. Arizona Cardinals OVER 45 |
|
20-30 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
5* Arizona/Washington OVER the total NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK BDS
|
10-12-14 |
Pittsburgh Steelers +1 v. Cleveland Browns |
Top |
10-31 |
Loss |
-107 |
6 h 55 m |
Show
|
10* Pittsburgh+ over Cleveland Play on: 10* (253) Pitttsburgh over Cleveland NFL SU UNDERDOG WINNER Still not fully impressed with the Browns, despite miracle (made the NFL record books) win last week with Hoyer at the QB position. Still Cleveland comes in respectable 2-2 SU off a highly early schedule. The Steelers show 3-2 SU after struggling with the NFL disaster Jacksonville and playing a challenging a tough early schedule. We note Pittsburgh won game #1 in week #1 in the series 30-27 (-5) in Cleveland. Realize the WORLD is going to be looking for the testy Browns to bounce back, but there is so much line value with the Steelers in a +4 in our power sheets over Cleveland. The key default in the game is the Cleveland defense that is ranked #31 in total defense giving up 422 yards a game. As long as Big Ben stays healthy for the Steelers believe this will be a surprising easy win. The Steelers are 5-2 ATS in the series, while going 5-1 ATS in the month October. Pittsburgh comes to play for four quarters this Sunday.
|
10-12-14 |
Green Bay Packers v. Miami Dolphins +3.5 |
Top |
27-24 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 20 m |
Show
|
10* Miami+3 over Green Bay NFL SHOCKER OF THE MONTH BDS
|
10-11-14 |
USC v. Arizona +3 |
|
28-26 |
Win
|
100 |
61 h 22 m |
Show
|
Play on: 5* Arizona+ 3 (168) over Southern California @ 10:30 COLLEGE GAME OF THE WEEK (Notre Dame last week) Realize the public domain will be knee jerking to Southern California who is off a SU and ATS loss to Arizona State, while ‘Zona shows off a MAJOR UPSET of Oregon 31-24. I had the displeasure of seeing the Oregon and Arizona game, and realized the public will look to go against Arizona here assuming a letdown. But, we note the Wildcats have an additional day of preparation off their Thursday win (Oregon). The extra rest helps mitigate the depressive syndrome off an emotional effort. Arizona entered the 2014 off an 8-5 record with just 13 starters, figuring to be maybe #3 or #4 in the PAC-12 South. Instead they are 5-0 SU and 2-4 ATS coming in at the top of the South Division. Talented Southern California is 3-2 SU & 3-2 ATS after being crushed by Arizona State. We told most who would listen that the Trojans were going into a strong technical box vs. ASU, but the Sun Devils not only covered they won SU 38-34 on the final play of the game. If any unit is going to be flat here, it is the Hollywood Trojans. Looking back, on the road USC lost to Boston College, but upset Stanford. In the Cardinal game the Trojans were the underdog. Here they are the favorite? The Trojans do possess a 1.8 point per game advantage in average scoring differentials (defense vs. offense). The Trojans have the more prolific defense, ‘Zona the better offense. Last year USC defeated Arizona 38-31, so we have REVENGE a situation for the surprising ‘Cats. In that 38-31 encounter the Trojans led 28-10 at half and coasted the rest of the way. USC QB Cody Kessler had a huge first-half, so look for Rich Rod to come up with a gimmick defense to shrink the passing angles for the talented junior. USC leads the series 28-8 with a split in their last two games, and possesses a +9 in the turnover column. If Arizona is to win this SU, they will need to score early building a lead, while refraining from the critical TO angle. Being at home is a huge ADVANTAGE, along with revenge with USC showing off a heart breaker last week. Arizona is 7-2 ATS in the series covering the last 3-of-4 at home. Critical: The UNDERDOG is 8-1 ATS in the series…GRAB THE POINTS (+3) EARLY!
|
10-11-14 |
Air Force +7.5 v. Utah State |
Top |
16-34 |
Loss |
-104 |
24 h 59 m |
Show
|
10* Air Force +7 1/2 or 8 over UTAH STATE Note: Please play this selection as early as possible, because they are generating many tickets Friday evening on the Falcons. CFB LETDOWN THEORY TOP PLAY BDS
|
10-11-14 |
Alabama v. Arkansas +9 |
|
14-13 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 33 m |
Show
|
5* Arkansas +9 over Alabama SEC GAME OF THE WEEK With dubious weather conditions expected try and play this early on Saturday morning to insure you have the whole number per the above...Good Luck
|
10-11-14 |
Washington +4.5 v. California |
Top |
31-7 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 2 m |
Show
|
101114 Play on: 10* Washington (169) over California @ 6:00 CFB LINE MISMATCH OF THE YEAR Wake up public here comes the high flying Golden Bear passing game looking to defeat pesky Washington. Technically, the major issue for California backers is the “loss of value” as they opened -1 sitting at -4 ½ on Friday afternoon. The Bears show 4-1 SU & ATS off an “upset” win over Washington State 60-59. Believe the line assertions have been dedicated by that win. Cal is #1 in scoring within the PAC-12 and 4th in total yardage. Washington comes in off a bye (major edge) 4-1 SU and 2-3 ATS. The defensive key for the Huskies “D” is slowing QB Goff of California as he hung 5 touches on Washington State with 527 yards to compliment the result. With all the chatter about the Cal offense, we note they have a porous defense ranked ####119 in total defense (40.4 ppg, 464 ypg). Washington has played some close games this year and I gained much respect for them inside the Stanford road game despite the SU loss. The Huskies come in shooting 33.0 points per game, while allowing 24.2 points per on defense. As far as the EMOTIONAL match-up the situation actually favors Washington with additional rest (7-0 ATS vs. PAC-12) and the Bears coming off that heart pumping win. Techs give clear guidance as the Bears are a horrible 4-13 ATS in the PAC-12 combing with a 3-13 ATS record at home. Washington shows 4-1 ATS in the series with a nice support tech inside the series as the UNDERDOG is 4-1 ATS.
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10-11-14 |
Michigan State -21 v. Purdue |
|
45-31 |
Loss |
-105 |
81 h 39 m |
Show
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4* MICHIGAN STATE -21 (not higher) over Purdue Last week in these pages we plucked out the 'Due as a MAJOR TOP PLAY and they covered giving us a 3-0 SWEEP with our TRIPLE CROWN PACKAGE (10-1). We noticed how vulnerable the Illini defense was to the running game (349) which eventually allowed QB Appleby (Purdue) to throw 15-20 lighting up the seams of the Illinois secondary. When you look back at the schedule you can calculate how Western Kentucky (one of the teams we follow closely) ate up the Illinois defense, along with Washington and Texas State (another school we follow closely). On the other hand, Purdue's defense is rated #101 allowing 28 ppg. illustrating how their lack of talent will show against quality opponents. Michigan State held on last week to beat Nebraska 27-22 as the 'Huskers scored 19 points in the fourth quarter to make it close, including a 62-yard punt return for a TD. However, MSU held Nebraska to under 100 yards rushing. Remember the Spartans are the #13 rated unit in total defense. Look for a big win by MSU.
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10-11-14 |
Oregon v. UCLA +3 |
Top |
42-30 |
Loss |
-125 |
2 h 54 m |
Show
|
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10-11-14 |
Western Michigan +105 v. Ball State |
|
42-38 |
Win
|
105 |
3 h 11 m |
Show
|
5* Western Michigan Money Line CFB LATE MONEY MOVE BDS
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10-11-14 |
Arkansas State v. Georgia State UNDER 63 |
|
52-10 |
Win
|
100 |
71 h 29 m |
Show
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5* Georgia State/Arkansas State UNDER 63 CFB TOTAL OF THE WEEK BDS
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10-11-14 |
Rice +115 v. Army |
|
41-21 |
Win
|
115 |
65 h 48 m |
Show
|
4* Rice over Army CFB MONEY LINE WINNER BDS
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10-06-14 |
Seattle Seahawks v. Washington Redskins +8 |
|
27-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 52 m |
Show
|
4* Washington +8 over Seattle Here again the Seahawks travel to the east coast laying the wood against a frustrated football team. We agree the Redskins will lose the game SU, but the points are a gift considering Seattle is playing into a negative situation. In fact, Seattle is 17-35-1 ATS during the month of September, while Washington is a super 4-1 ATS during week #5. We note, Seattle does have a large home date on-deck with Dallas...Good Luck.
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10-05-14 |
Cincinnati Bengals -2 v. New England Patriots |
|
17-43 |
Loss |
-115 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
|
3* Cincinnati over NE NFL SUNDAY NIGHT CRUSHER BDS
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10-05-14 |
Kansas City Chiefs +5 v. San Francisco 49ers |
|
17-22 |
Push |
0 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
5* KC over SF NFL GAME OF THE WEEK BDS
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10-05-14 |
Atlanta Falcons v. NY Giants OVER 50 |
|
20-30 |
Push |
0 |
2 h 21 m |
Show
|
5* NYG/ATLANTA OVER the total NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK BDS
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10-05-14 |
Houston Texans +6.5 v. Dallas Cowboys |
Top |
17-20 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 13 m |
Show
|
10* HOUSTON+ over Dallas NFL UPSET ALERT BDS
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10-05-14 |
Baltimore Ravens +3 v. Indianapolis Colts |
Top |
13-20 |
Loss |
-120 |
1 h 29 m |
Show
|
10* Baltimore+ over Indy NFL UPSET ALERT BDS
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10-04-14 |
South Carolina v. Kentucky +4 |
Top |
38-45 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 19 m |
Show
|
10* Kentucky+ over South Carolina SEC GAME OF THE MONTH
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