10-28-17 |
UL-Monroe +3 v. Idaho |
|
23-31 |
Loss |
-120 |
6 h 50 m |
Show
|
4* UL-Monroe (165) over Idaho (H) @ 5:00 Eastern Double Revenge series scenario for the visiting Warhawks (3-4, 4-3 ATS) in another smashing Sun Belt game versus home standing Idaho (2-5, 3-3-1 ATS). Despite a home situation, really can't trust the emotionally drained Potato Heads who were just CRUSHED by Missouri 68-21. Sometimes it's very difficult for a defense to rebound in a must-win situation. ULM is the #33 rated offense in the nation this season and can produce a 500+ total yardage outing here. ULM is 5-1 ATS on the road and 4-1 ATS on turf. And, after gaining 200+ yards on the ground they come in 4-1 ATS. Although, Idaho is at home and brings consistent numbers ATS in the conference, seemingly the Warhawks have the "critical" emotional edge Saturday. Good Luck.
|
10-28-17 |
Louisiana Tech -13 v. Rice |
|
42-28 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 0 m |
Show
|
3* Louisiana Tech (175) over Rice (H) @ 3:30 Eastern The Bulldogs show off BB disturbing losses to Southern Miss and UAB by an overall total of 8 points, now 3-4 on the season. Rice 1-6 is at home after five straight losses to UTSA, Army, Pittsburgh, FIU and Houston by a combined point-differential of 88 points an average of 17.6 points per game. Last year, although with a stronger unit it was Louisiana 61-16 over Rice, as the winner gained a total of 735 yards overall, 301 rushing all on their home field. The Owls despite their record have improved somewhat in 2017 but, lack the offense to pull the upset or sufficient firepower to cover the number on their home field. Rice is dead last in NCAA offenses securing 11 points a game and that's against the #104 rated schedule in 2017. They are 1-4 ATS on turf (their home field), while Tech shows 4-1 ATS L5 vs. losing units and 15-3 ATS after allowing 280+ yards through the air. Good Luck.
|
10-28-17 |
Virginia +1.5 v. Pittsburgh |
|
14-31 |
Loss |
-102 |
1 h 59 m |
Show
|
|
10-28-17 |
Oklahoma State v. West Virginia +7.5 |
|
50-39 |
Loss |
-103 |
2 h 5 m |
Show
|
4* West Va+ over Oklahoma State @ 12:00 Eastern 6-1 Pokes show up in West Virginia after beating Texas 13-10 down in Austin, while the 5-2 Mounties also arrive off a win 38-36 over Baylor at Waco. Last year Oklahoma State at home beat the Mounties 37-20 accruing a yardage advantage of 421-358. Granted the Pokes have the talent advantage but, show 1-4 ATS L5 in the conference. Believe the inconsistent West Virginia defense will play their best game of the year, gaining an ATS win and maybe an outright win for the home crowd. Good Luck.
|
10-26-17 |
Stanford v. Oregon State +21.5 |
|
15-14 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
4* Oregon State+ (110) over Stanford @ 9:00 Eastern Stanford (5-2) travels to Oregon State (1-6) for a Thursday night Pac-12 and ESPN affair. The Cardinal have won seven straight in the series, 6-1 ATS. Last year Stanford won at home 26-15. This time around Stanford is in the midst of a four-game winning streak against Oregon, Utah, Arizona State and UCLA. Whereas, the Beavers have lost five straight to Colorado, Southern California, Washington, Washington State and Minnesota. The Cardinal possesses the edges on offense and defense, Points for and Points against. Classic RB Love (1,387, 11) should be ready for tonight, while Oregon State will look to replacement QB Garretson (114.3) continuing on the uptick. Starter QB Luton has been out with an injury. From the emotional standpoint, this should be a challenging spot for Stanford who has a MAJOR REVENGE game with Washington State on-deck. Also, in these short week starts, the home team accrues somewhat of an edge and the Beavers show off a bye. Technically, the Cardinals have illustrated much success this year but, show 2-5 ATS after allowing 20+ points. Oregon State is 4-1 ATS in Thursday calls, 9-3 ATS in conference and 7-3 ATS at home. We’ll take a ticket with the Beavers to keep this close.
|
10-26-17 |
Eastern Michigan +7.5 v. Northern Illinois |
|
27-30 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
10-23-17 |
Redskins v. Eagles -5 |
|
24-34 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 6 m |
Show
|
4* Philadelphia (478) over Washington...MNF Redskins (3-2) are off close win against San Francisco after generating an early dominating lead. They are 10-21 ATS on Monday night. Also, QB Cousins of Washington is a perfect 0-5 SU in MNF. The 5-1 Eagles come in flying with great confidence and the home crowd to help support their efforts. A few key areas that Philly should have an advantage is their tenacious DL vs. the 'Skins OL. Remember, Washington has scrambled in third-down situations on the road converting just 37.5%. The opposing Philly group is ranked #1 in that important offensive conversion rate with a 50.7% effectiveness. QB Wentz of the Eagles has the sensational dual-threat capabilities which should cause real problems tonight for the Washington defense. Trending, the Eagles are 5-2 ATS on Monday night and at home have covered 4 straight against a winning road team. Good Luck.
|
10-22-17 |
Falcons v. Patriots OVER 56 |
|
7-23 |
Loss |
-106 |
9 h 16 m |
Show
|
4* (475/476) Atlanta/New England OVER the total @ 8:30 Eastern This situation looks HIGH basically. It’s a Sunday night affair and a major revenge game for the Falcons who lost 34-28 to NE back on FEBRUARY 5th, if you recall? In that incredible football game, the Patriots put up 544 yards of total offense. The Falcons, effective generated less with 344 yards, 104 on the ground. This season the 4-2 Patriots are averaging 28.7 points per game (#5) and the Falcons (3-2) 24.2 points per outing (#12). The series comes in 5-2 OVER L7 encounters. NE is 6-1 OVER off a SU win and Atlanta OVER 14-2 on turf. If the Falcons improve their running game, they will generate more quality opportunities via positive field position this time around. Good Luck.
|
10-22-17 |
Bengals +4.5 v. Steelers |
|
14-29 |
Loss |
-114 |
6 h 9 m |
Show
|
4* Cincinnati+ over Pittsburgh Note we had to reduce the unit strength of this play as the "players" on the Strip are chasing Cincinnati (2-3) early this morning. Our assertion is still solid with the visitor losers of four straight in the series and 7-of-8. Pittsburgh (4-2) is 3-0-1 ATS L4 meetings. The Steelers are off a SU/ATS win as an underdog out in KC. Cincy shows off a bye week after beating the Bills and come into this Sunday afternoon looking for revenge. Both teams have struggled overall on offense this season with scoring averages under 20-points a game. So, we look for a low scoring defensive type battle which should entice the underdog money, and we agree. Remember, the Steelers have not covered back-to-back games this season and arrive with a 1-4 ATS off a SU win. We know Pittsburgh has controlled the series ATS but, this overall situation does favor the emotionally drive Bengals who have covered 4 straight on the road. Good Luck.
|
10-22-17 |
Titans -5.5 v. Browns |
|
12-9 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 11 m |
Show
|
5* TENNESSEE over Cleveland GAME OF THE WEEK....BDS Note, we may have a play later on today. Here believe the 0-6 Browns are in trouble again versus a unit that is averaging 24.3 points inside a schedule that has been stronger than Cleveland. Realize this is a road situation but, note the Browns have been playing the 30th ranked schedule in 2017. And their 6-25-1 ATS L32 and 3-13 ATS at home (0-5 ATS October). The Titans show 6-2 ATS after gaining over 350 yards in their last game...GL.
|
10-21-17 |
Colorado +10 v. Washington State |
Top |
0-28 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 30 m |
Show
|
10* (411) Colorado +11 over Washington State @ 10:45 Eastern Last week Washington State (6-1) was flying high going into the Cal game but, came away with a 38-3 loss. Now the Cougars set up at home to play hard trying Colorado (4-3). The Cougars are 5-0 SU at home this season and the world is expecting a large rebound. Colorado surely does not have the defensive talent of the Bears so, we expect a combined higher scoring game this afternoon. Another question for State is, will QB Faulk comeback from a five-interception game, being sacked nine times? Granted Colorado has given up 35.5 points per game this season, winning last time over Oregon State by 3. The Buffs were rebounding from three straight losses, the last two heart stoppers, 27-23 to UCLA and 45-42 to Arizona. The key for the visitor will be TOP which is critical keeping the Cougars offense off the field. If the Buffs running attack continues to improve we should have a nail-bitter here. Also, QB Montez of Colorado has been successful with his conservative passing game not throwing an INT in 95 attempts. Staying away from the turnover is critical for the visitor. Recall last year Colorado defeated Washington 38-24. Trending we find Colorado 6-1 ATS L7 road games vs. a home unit with a winning record and 7-2 ATS on the road L9. Washington State fields with a 1-4 ATS mark in October and 2-5 ATS record against a winning team. In the series, the UNDERDOG is 5-2 ATS. Good Luck.
|
10-21-17 |
LSU v. Ole Miss OVER 60 |
|
40-24 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 18 m |
Show
|
102117 4* (405/406) Ole Miss/LSU OVER the total @ 7:15 Eastern Our total this evening is in a traditional battle between Ole Miss and LSU being played down in Oxford. To be clear, because of sanctions, this is the Rebels Bowl game. Doubt highly they can win this SU but, with highly ranked QB Patterson (2,143) and a corpse of talented receivers the underdog will look to do damage against DB “U!” What will cause great pain for the Rebels is their soft running attack, placing the offense in horrible down and distance situations. RB Wilkins will need a big game to keep the Tigers defense guessing. Make no mistake, though, Ole Miss will put up some points indeed. They are averaging 31.8 points and allowing 37.0 per game. LSU is averaging 25.6 points while surrendering 19.4 points per game. However, they will be facing a very forgiving defense that is ranked #82 in third down stops…@ 40.4%, not good. Ole Miss is 7-1 OVER L8 and 5-0 OVER vs. the SEC. LSU is 5-2-2 OVER in October and 9-3-1 OVER after holding the prior opposition to under 170 yards passing. We look for a high scoring game and the OVER on the Vegas board. Good Luck.
|
10-21-17 |
Oregon v. UCLA -6 |
|
14-31 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 17 m |
Show
|
102017 4* (384) UCLA -6 (H) over Oregon @ 4:00 Eastern Oregon will be without QB Justin Herbert on Saturday afternoon out in Los Angeles, and that should be the demise of the Ducks this afternoon. The offense overall has floundered since his injury. Last week Oregon (4-3) was crushed by Stanford (5-2) 49-7. The Ducks come in 1-3 SU L4. The frustrated Bruins show at home 3-3 overall, 1-3 SU L4. Clearly, UCLA has the edge in strength of schedule but, must turnaround a six-game losing streak to the Ducks dating back to 2007. They have a HUGE edge at quarterback with Josh Rosen (392.3) but, must stay away from the turnover bug (15, L6 games) to be successful both SU and ATS. On defense, that’s another story for a Mora coached unit allowing 40.5 points per game. However, Oregon has a very young team especially on defense and we believe they will not illustrate consistent pressure against UCLA QB Rosen. Granted there are trending numbers favoring Oregon but, without the ability to control TOP we’ll take the Bruins. The Ducks show 2-7-1 ATS on the road L10. Good Luck.
|
10-21-17 |
Tulsa v. Connecticut +4 |
|
14-20 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 20 m |
Show
|
4* UCONN+ (318) over Tulsa @ 12:00 Eastern As you know we used UCONN as a major play on this site last week. Here we catch the Huskies at home, while being booked as the underdog(?). For decades in College Football there has been a noted negative losing pattern of major proportions when schools from the South or Southeast region come East booked as the favorite. Tulsa is 0-3 SU on the road this season, and show off an upset win over Houston. UConn cashed last week down in Philly when they defeated Temple in an AAC game. The Huskies actually have a viable chance of running the football Saturday against a Tulsa rush defense (dead last nationally) that is hurting at the line of scrimmage. Also, UCONN has a major edge in senior starters 15-10. From the trending standpoint, Tulsa is a perfect 0-6 ATS after allowing less than 20-points in their last game. Good Luck.
|
10-21-17 |
Louisville +6.5 v. Florida State |
|
31-28 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 49 m |
Show
|
3* Louisville +6-1/2, prefer 7....over Florida State CFB Fan Appreciation Saturday Special...BDS Sorry, no analysis appreciation moves
|
10-20-17 |
Marshall v. Middle Tennessee State +2 |
|
38-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 32 m |
Show
|
102017 5* Middle Tennessee State+ (310) over Marshall @ 7:00 Eastern Our C-USA Game of the Week has 5-1 Marshall visiting 3-4 MTS. Despite, the change in quarterback (Stockstill injured) to young Urzua, the Blue Raiders attack is holding well and playing more efficiently at home. Actually, MTS seems to be in a qualifying spot with this a huge revenge game after being crushed last year and showing now 4-0 ATS off a SU loss. Also, Marshall maybe somewhat overvalued nationally as the Blue Raiders have faced a more challenging schedule. In closing, we’ll back the home team that clearly has the emotional edge, while covering four straight in the series. Good Luck. #1 nationally in 2017 10-0 perfect run in College Football 12-1 L13 selections overall 15-1 in the NHL L16
|
10-19-17 |
Memphis v. Houston OVER 61.5 |
|
42-38 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 40 m |
Show
|
4* (303/304) Houston/Memphis OVER the total What I like much about this encounter is the turnover factor concerning each unit. Houston has surrendered 13 turnovers this season and leads the AAC in that category. Upstart Memphis comes in creating the 2nd most turnovers in the conference with 17. Add in the short week, and we could have a generous total in the turnover stat for each club. Remember, the Tigers are 7-1 OVER on Thursday, while the Cougars show 9-4 OVER in Thursday editions. Further, Houston is 6-2 OVER L8 times out. Finally, in 2016 Memphis at home defeated Houston 48-44 with almost 1,200 total yards of offense. Good Luck.
|
10-15-17 |
Rams +2.5 v. Jaguars |
Top |
27-17 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 21 m |
Show
|
10* Rams (265) over Jacksonville @ 4:05 Eastern NFL Sunday Late Money Move Top Play Alert...BDS Buy before the line drops...Good Luck.
|
10-15-17 |
49ers v. Redskins OVER 45.5 |
|
24-26 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 31 m |
Show
|
4* (263/264) SF/Washington OVER the total @ 1:00 Eastern Even if there is a weather issue expect a sloppy, turnover-filled game. After playing on Monday night the 'Skins show 4-0 OVER in their next encounter. Further, they use QB Cousins (107.6) who is on fire and has already exceeded 1,000 yards of production. Both defenses allow 20+ points a game, while SF (#32) is dead last in allowing third down conversions. Offensively, the Niners rebounded last week scoring 23 points against Indy. Technically, SF is 9-2 OVER after allowing 350+ yards and 4-0 OVER in week #6 of the season. Home-standing 'Skins show 11-1 OVER off SU loss and 14-4 OVER against the NFC. Good Luck.
|
10-15-17 |
Packers v. Vikings +3.5 |
|
10-23 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 54 m |
Show
|
3* Minnesota (260) over Green Bay One of the great fundamentals here is the fact the Vikes are #1 in the NFL in opponent 3rd down conversions (2.8). That's critical the Packers coming off a huge offensive showing last week. However, GB is 2-8 ATS after surrendering 30+ points in their last game, and Minny is a super 9-1 ATS at home against a winning road unit. Appreciation Winner!! More to follow.
|
10-14-17 |
Navy +3.5 v. Memphis |
Top |
27-30 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 39 m |
Show
|
|
10-14-17 |
Georgia Tech +6.5 v. Miami-FL |
|
24-25 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 17 m |
Show
|
|
10-14-17 |
Auburn v. LSU +7.5 |
|
23-27 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 35 m |
Show
|
4* LSU (208) +7-1/2 over Auburn Over the years LSU has been a very dangerous team in Death Valley when they appear to be overmatched. Visiting Auburn is 5-1 vs. LSU's 4-2 record. Key...the ability of the LSU defense to circumvent the Auburn running which is their most important offensive cog. Recently, the LSU OC has brought back the old jet sweep which has helped the attack. Because Auburn's defense has a tendency to overact we think LSU can produce more than expected offensively. Overall, this should be a defensive struggle and a close game. The home team in the series is 7-1 ATS, while LSU has covered 4-of-5 in the series. Good Luck.
|
10-14-17 |
Florida State -7 v. Duke |
|
17-10 |
Push |
0 |
4 h 42 m |
Show
|
4* (155) Florida State -7 over Duke Difficult game for the struggling 1-3 Sems but, can't trust Devils who are off back-to-back losses. Florida State has the major edge at the line of scrimmage with their tenacious athletic defense, and remember State is a desperate unit. Both units have key injuries, Sems a little more attrition but, they have more depth. FSU is 19-0 SU in the series winning by double-digits in all. Duke (4-2) has lost back-to-back games after starting with four straight wins. Realize this is huge game for the Devils but, trust Sems personality and talent especially, if QB Jones plays a conservative game and stay away from key turnovers in positive field position. FSU has covered 5 straight in this building. Good Luck.
|
10-14-17 |
Connecticut +11 v. Temple |
|
28-24 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
10-13-17 |
Washington State v. California +17 |
|
3-37 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
10-13-17 |
Clemson v. Syracuse +24 |
|
24-27 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
10-12-17 |
Eagles v. Panthers -3 |
|
28-23 |
Loss |
-101 |
7 h 8 m |
Show
|
4* (104) Carolina -3 over Philadelphia @ 8:25 Eastern Both units are in first place within their divisions at 4-1 SU, the Panthers show off amazing back-to-back road wins 33-30 over New England and 27-24 against Detroit. Carolina is 3-0 SU on the road this season, 1-1 at home being waxed by NO 34-13 in week #3. The Eagles have won three straight over NYG 27-24, 26-24 at the Chargers and 34-7 over Arizona. QB Wentz (137.8) leads the NFL in 3rd down effectiveness but, Carolina has limited the opposition quarterbacks to a passing rating of 87.8. Just remember Philly’s recent wins have been against suffering football teams with a 3-12 SU mark. Critical, the Eagles will be without Sproles, Darby, Johnson and Cox with other players nicked up in the first 22. Also, Philly coach Pederson is 0-6 SU on the road without Lane Johnson in the lineup. Further, Philadelphia is 3-7 ATS on the road L10 times out. The Panthers come in 12-5-1 ATS in week #6 affairs. The chalk in the series is on a PERFECT 4-0 ATS run.
|
10-08-17 |
Ravens v. Raiders UNDER 40 |
|
30-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
4* (469/470) Baltimore/Oakland UNDER 40 With QB Carr out for Oakland, the Raiders will rely more on their big offensive line and running attack to keep E. J. Manual out of trouble so, expect a conservative game plan. In addition, the Ravens have had real problems the last few weeks, and now they head to the west coast where they are 0-3 SU (1-5). From the technical standpoint, Oakland is 7-3-2 UNDER off SU loss, while Baltimore comes in 8-1 UNDER off a DD loss at home. Good Luck.
|
10-08-17 |
49ers v. Colts -1 |
|
23-26 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
10-08-17 |
Cardinals +7 v. Eagles |
Top |
7-34 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 47 m |
Show
|
|
10-07-17 |
Temple v. East Carolina UNDER 60 |
|
34-10 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 30 m |
Show
|
|
10-07-17 |
Eastern Michigan +14 v. Toledo |
|
15-20 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 43 m |
Show
|
5* (317) Eastern Michigan+ over Toledo @ 12:00 Eastern Normally, would never go against the Rockets at home against a lesser foe but, their defense is dropped to #95 in total defense nationally. So, despite EMUs frustrations this season, they should get under the number and challenge Toledo SU. EMU is 12-3-1 ATS on the road and 8-1 ATS against .500+ units. Toledo on a recent down at home is 0-5 ATS in Vegas.
|
10-05-17 |
Patriots v. Bucs +5 |
|
19-14 |
Push |
0 |
1 h 23 m |
Show
|
|
10-04-17 |
Arkansas State -7.5 v. Georgia Southern |
|
43-25 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 51 m |
Show
|
4* Arkansas State (301) over Georgia Southern @ 8:00 Eastern A Decent number for State to lay on the road considering they are just 1-2 SU with the only win over Arkansas-Bluff. In 2016, Arkansas State at home survived 27-26 against Southern. Where they major change here is on offense where State has become more of a passing with QB Hansen (10/2) throwing for 985 yards and 69% completions. Southern has new starter behind the center in QB Wertz (2/2) but, he has struggled to throw the football with just 230 yards in three games. Also, on the playing field Arkansas State eleven senior starters to just four for Southern. Overall, the visitor has too many weapons at this point in the season for Georgia Southern. Remember, State is 5-0 ATS off a bye week. Good Luck.
|
10-02-17 |
Redskins +7 v. Chiefs |
|
20-29 |
Loss |
-115 |
2 h 31 m |
Show
|
|
10-01-17 |
Eagles +2.5 v. Chargers |
|
26-24 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 57 m |
Show
|
4* Philadelphia+ over San Diego The Chargers seem very overpriced here knowing they are 0-6 ATS off a SU loss and 0-7-1 ATS L8. They 0-3 SU, and don't seem to play consistently throughout the football. The Eagles 1-2 have been in all three of their games, despite a 1-2 record. What I like here is the Philly yards-per-point of 14.5 vs. the Chargers 19.7, while at home LA is showing 25.8 yards per. Eagles by a FG.
|
10-01-17 |
Giants v. Bucs UNDER 45.5 |
Top |
23-25 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 45 m |
Show
|
10* TB/NYG UNDER the total The Giants have averaged slightly over 12 points a game against Philly, Detroit, and Dallas. Tampa Bay on the other hand, playing just two games has scored 46 points against Minnesota and Chicago. However, we remind you the Bucs led 23-0 after four straight turnovers by Chicago. Here we both units frustrated feel we'll see a low-scoring game. The series has gone UNDER 7-of-9 and 5-1 UNDER L6 in Tampa Bay. With reality setting in for both so-so units, go low. Good Luck.
|
10-01-17 |
Bengals -3 v. Browns |
|
31-7 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 38 m |
Show
|
5* Cincinnati over Cleveland NFL GAM OF THE WEEK...BDS In Bill Lazor's first week as OC, the Bengals got the ball out of Andy Dalton's hands quicker and relied more heavily on their best weapon, A.J. Green. Cincy also finally leaned on Joe Mixon. The rookie earned 21 offensive touches in Week 3, exactly equaling his workload in the first two games combined. We should see more Mixon this week. The patient runner has superior vision to go along with game-breaking ability. With Mixon as a dual-threat, it should open up play-action shots from Dalton deep against a Browns secondary that has been burned often through three games. With the Bengals winning 5 straight in the series we'll stay with the road unit ATS.
|
10-01-17 |
Saints v. Dolphins +3.5 |
|
20-0 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 16 m |
Show
|
3* (252) Miami+ over New Orleans @ 9:30 Eastern NFL Early Foreign Edition…BDS Here we go again with the beleaguered NFL playing across the pond in an early morning set US. Last week the underdog Fish were smashed by the New York Jets 20-6 in what looked like one feeble football team. The Saints (1-2) last time out smashed the “Panthers” 34-13. To begin with the Dolphins lost their starting QB and had use retread Jay Cutler which proved to be another offensive mistake by the Miami brain trust. The Saints after going 0-2 really step out in their Carolina win as QB Brees had a super game and the running attack finally showed some steam. Remember, the Fish have more talented defense than offense and catch the role of an underdog in an early start (Jacksonville). New Orleans no doubt has been a super October ATS machine of late but, the unit is a PERFECT 0-4 ATS off a win of 14 or more. The “obvious” technicians will be all over NO but, I like our chances with +3, +3-1/2 and Miami.
|
09-30-17 |
Clemson v. Virginia Tech +7.5 |
|
31-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 21 m |
Show
|
|
09-30-17 |
New Mexico State v. Arkansas -18 |
|
24-42 |
Push |
0 |
1 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
09-28-17 |
Texas v. Iowa State +5 |
|
17-7 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
09-24-17 |
Chiefs v. Chargers +3.5 |
|
24-10 |
Loss |
-115 |
29 h 40 m |
Show
|
4* (484)…LA over Kansas City @ 4:25 Eastern NFL Upset Alert….BDS Difficult game to assess, somewhat, considering the visiting Chiefs are winners of 6 straight in the series and have Andy Reid as their coach. I’ve always enjoyed capping Reid’s games going back to his days with the Philadelphia Eagles. The visitor has recently crushed their division opponents, however this situation seems to setup well for the home standing Chargers. Critical will be the LA defensive abilities trying to corner the down the field attack of KC with QB Alex Smith looking to do damage. Remember, though, this game is more important to the Chargers who have started 0-2 SU, while losing in horrible fashion in each encounter. If QB Rivers (73.6%) can extract some midfield openings for his receivers the Chargers may control the tempo of this football game. We think he has a great shot especially, considering the Chiefs are 1-7 ATS after allowing 350+ yards in their last game. We close with LA 11-4-2 ATS in September.
|
09-24-17 |
Broncos v. Bills +3.5 |
|
16-26 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 29 m |
Show
|
|
09-24-17 |
Dolphins v. Jets +6.5 |
Top |
6-20 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
09-24-17 |
Steelers v. Bears UNDER 44 |
Top |
17-23 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
09-24-17 |
East Carolina +4.5 v. Connecticut |
|
41-38 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 19 m |
Show
|
|
09-23-17 |
UCLA v. Stanford -7 |
|
34-58 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 51 m |
Show
|
5* (410) Stanford -7, nothing higher over UCLA @ 10:30 Eastern CFB PAC-12 GAME OF THE WEEK...BDS Power numbers give us the Cardinal tonight at home. Granted they are 0-5 ATS vs. >.500 units and 0-4 ATS at home recently. However, they show 11-3 ATS off a SU loss, and now we have "true" line value with the public taking down the early quote. UCLA (4.2) has deficit running numbers compared to the Cardinal 7.5 yards per carry, which is a critical insight when evaluating "TOP." Finally, "I could go on forever" the favorite in this series is hitting a red hot 78% against the number. Buy at -7! Good Luck!
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09-23-17 |
Hawaii v. Wyoming OVER 54 |
|
21-28 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 4 m |
Show
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09-23-17 |
Hawaii v. Wyoming -4.5 |
|
21-28 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 57 m |
Show
|
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09-23-17 |
Penn State v. Iowa +13.5 |
Top |
21-19 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 27 m |
Show
|
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09-23-17 |
Syracuse v. LSU OVER 56 |
|
26-35 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 53 m |
Show
|
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09-23-17 |
UL-Monroe +5 v. UL-Lafayette |
Top |
56-50 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
09-23-17 |
Alabama v. Vanderbilt +20.5 |
Top |
59-0 |
Loss |
-115 |
1 h 54 m |
Show
|
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09-23-17 |
Old Dominion v. Virginia Tech -28 |
|
0-38 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 21 m |
Show
|
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09-23-17 |
Army +3 v. Tulane |
|
17-21 |
Loss |
-115 |
2 h 30 m |
Show
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4* Army (381) +3 over Tulane @ 12:00 Eastern Would feel stronger about this situation if they were, obviously, playing back east....but, we still favor the Middies (2-1) who should control the line of scrimmage and the game clock. Respect Tulane (1-2) who can score but, their defense should not have the long-term capabilities of shutting down their opposition. Remember, is 5-1 ATS vs. the AAC and 8-2 ATS in the month of September. The Greenies show with a horrendous 1-8 ATS home mark vs. winning road units. Good Luck.
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09-23-17 |
UNLV v. Ohio State UNDER 66.5 |
|
21-54 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 47 m |
Show
|
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09-22-17 |
Virginia +13.5 v. Boise State |
|
42-23 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 12 m |
Show
|
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09-21-17 |
Rams v. 49ers UNDER 40 |
|
41-39 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 38 m |
Show
|
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09-18-17 |
Lions v. Giants UNDER 42 |
|
24-10 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 8 m |
Show
|
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09-17-17 |
Eagles +6 v. Chiefs |
|
20-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
25 h 53 m |
Show
|
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09-17-17 |
Titans v. Jaguars OVER 41 |
|
37-16 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 31 m |
Show
|
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09-16-17 |
Clemson v. Louisville +3.5 |
Top |
47-21 |
Loss |
-115 |
26 h 17 m |
Show
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10* Louisville+ over Clemson @ 8:00 Eastern Saturday CFB TOP UPSET ALERT....BDS
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09-16-17 |
Tennessee +4.5 v. Florida |
Top |
20-26 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 46 m |
Show
|
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09-16-17 |
Central Michigan +9.5 v. Syracuse |
|
17-41 |
Loss |
-103 |
6 h 34 m |
Show
|
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09-16-17 |
Air Force +23.5 v. Michigan |
|
13-29 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 9 m |
Show
|
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09-16-17 |
Oklahoma State v. Pittsburgh +11.5 |
|
59-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 25 m |
Show
|
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09-15-17 |
Illinois v. South Florida UNDER 55.5 |
|
23-47 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 2 m |
Show
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5* SFU/Illinois Under 55-1/2 CFB BEST BET TOTAL...BDS
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09-15-17 |
UMass +14.5 v. Temple |
Top |
21-29 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 27 m |
Show
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10* UMASS+ over Temple @ 7:00 Eastern CFB EASTERN EDGE TOP PLAY...BDS
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09-14-17 |
Texans v. Bengals OVER 38 |
|
13-9 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 39 m |
Show
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4* Cincy/Houston OVER 38 BDS...NFL BEST BET TOTAL
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09-10-17 |
Eagles -1 v. Redskins |
|
30-17 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 53 m |
Show
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4* (459) Philadelphia over Washington @ 1:00 Eastern Washington almost booked a playoff game last season and here they opened as a -2-1/2 favorite way back in the summer out on the Strip. Philadelphia deflated last season behind young QB Wentz, however, the kid was truly hammered at times looking shell shocked against the upper crust of the league. Owner Lurie, though, opened up the purse strings and went after some key offensive talent to allow Wentz some weapons to make a difference. If newly acquired RB Blount (NE) has a "good" day the Eagles have a great chance of securing a week #1 (4-0 ATS) win on the road. Washington lost critical late season games to the Giants and Panthers of which their followers have not let them forget. Granted QB Cousins is back to run the offense but, they have 7 new starters to blend in this early start? In their December (2016) back breaking loss to Washington (22-27), the Eagles defense gave up a rushing TD with under 2:00 minutes of the 4th quarter for a come from behind loss. Philly ran 76 plays to 46 for Washington. In addition, the Eagles had a 13 minute time of possession advantage but, the 'Skins outgained them 11.1 to 6.8 yards-per-play. So, this a HUGE REVENGE GAME for Philly who now have weapons for Wentz to utilize against the so-so 'Skins defense. Remember, Washington has not won an opening day encounter going back to 2012. Eagles by 4.
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09-09-17 |
Auburn +6 v. Clemson |
|
6-14 |
Loss |
-115 |
29 h 3 m |
Show
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5* Auburn+ (377) over Clemson @ 7:00 Eastern Brad Diamond's Famous SEC Game of the Week This is game #2 of the season for these stellar programs out of the ACC and SEC. Both schools won against smallish programs in week #1. The defending national champions Clemson, though, have a huge hurdle to overcome Saturday, playing against a SEC unit without QB Deshaun Watson who has graduated to the NFL. That's ground's enough for this handicapper to give Auburn a more than serious look, especially when you consider that today's visitor has dominated the series 33-14-2. Clemson brings just 12 starters back, while Auburn has 15 in the fold. Clemson comes in winners of three straight in the series, which equates to a triple revenge scenario for Auburn and they're getting points! And, we remind the public Auburn has covered 5-of-6 in non-conference games. Good Luck.
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09-09-17 |
Northwestern v. Duke OVER 55 |
|
17-41 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 21 m |
Show
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4* (315/316) Northwestern/Duke OVER 55 @ 12:00 Eastern Clearly, a contrarian move considering the total on the board (series) currently has never been exceeded going back as far as 1998. That tells you the boys in Vegas are not dead at the switch. NW (7-6) coach Fitzerald (77-62) have 16 starters returning with super QB in Thorson who killed the Devils secondary in 2016. Because of their experience, the 'Cats could really challenge in the Big Ten this season. Duke (4-8) out of the ACC brings back 14 starters with young 6-5 QB Jones stepping in to lead the attack. He put up strong numbers, however, against lowly UNCC last week. No matter he should be able to exploit the Wildcats secondary that is truly banged up. With this being triple revenge for Duke, we fully expect an exceptional offensive outing Saturday afternoon. The climate will help with the temperatures in the 70's.
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09-07-17 |
Chiefs +9.5 v. Patriots |
|
42-27 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 28 m |
Show
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4* Kansas City+ (451) over New England @ 8:30 Eastern Psychologically this encounter belongs 100% to the Kansas City Chiefs and old-time head coach Andy Reid. We’ll start with the Patriots (14-2) who won the Super Bowl 34-28 after being behind 28-3 in the third quarter versus the Falcons. Prior NE had defeated Houston, and then Pittsburgh in the AFC Championship game. The Patriots are the only team in history to win back-to-back Super Bowls. For sure, NE grew to be Vegas sweet hearts again finishing 13-3 ATS (8-0 streak). Here, they play as the chalk (-8, -9) at home in this Thursday night affair to begin 2017. On the other hand, Kansas City came out of the 2016 campaign 12-4 after crushing late on a 10-2 SU run, however, Ole Andy lost to the Steelers in the divisional round playoffs 18-16. Remember that because, the Chiefs play big games close as a habit. Coach Reid is 6-0 ATS challenging AFC East entrants. These two faced each other in the 2016 playoffs with NE winning 27-20. The key fundamental stat from last year that provides underdogs with a built-in edge is the Chiefs defense which scored 5 touchdowns on that side of the ball. Important, KC was ranked #1 in turnover margin (+16) in 2016 and return an outstanding front seven defensively. Granted the Chiefs lost RB Ware and will be using a third string running back for the most part but, NE also will miss an ace on their offense WR Edelman. With so much tension in the line for the Patriots believe we’ll see a FG game and quite possibly an over-time affair. TAKE THE POINTS!
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09-01-17 |
Colorado State v. Colorado -3.5 |
|
3-17 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
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Colorado over Colorado State Surely, this spot points to line value for the Buffs, even though the Rams played last week. Coach McIntyre has CU sky high for this date in Denver (neutral site) and he already stated that QB Montez is ready mentally and physically, despite being tagged as the starter for the season. Remember, last year the kid played well in relief and had a massive game at Oregon. The talk is the Buffs lost too many starters on defense but, we disagree. They have very talented replacements on defense and a huge OL that will fortify their crushing running attack. The last time these two played the Buffs won 44-7. Look for a different type venue here with the Rams flashy QB and there ability to throw down the field. Look for Colorado to dominate with their ball control offense frustrating the CSU defense, and keeping their offense off the field. Technically, Colorado is 4-0 ATS in September and have covered the last 11-of-15 in the series. State is 5-12 SU against the PAC-12. Finally, believe there is a close game on deck but, we see Colorado winning by 7. Good Luck.
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09-01-17 |
Navy v. Florida Atlantic +10 |
|
42-19 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 53 m |
Show
|
Fla. Atlantic+ over Navy @ 8:00 Clearly, the "Trap Game" of the day in College Football. First off, Navy comes in the more established program with a solid coach running the triple option. FAU has some solid assets of their own with Lane Kiffin running the show. He has picked up some HIGH-LEVEL talent to fortify the Owls program. And, he now has another riverboat gambler in OC Kendal Briles. So, we look for an uptick offensively. When looking at the returning starters from the production standpoint, FAU is ranked #8 on offense. On defense, the production base of returning starters has an effective yield of 76%. The Middies come in a huge favorite but, bring only a 32% production efficiency on offense. Their defense has a 53% production effectiveness, overall the squad is ranked just #103 in the nation. This situation might surprise some but, I know Kiffin would like to start 2017 with a win. For now, we'll just TAKE THE POINTS.
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08-31-17 |
Ohio State v. Indiana UNDER 58 |
|
49-21 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 59 m |
Show
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5* Ohio State/Indiana UNDER the total This maybe one of the best defenses the Hoosiers have put together in many years. In fact, this spring the program focused on stopping the run and pass, and of course, LB Scales was on the mark against any formation. Overall Indiana returns 9 starters on defense but, must stop the run more effectively to stay in this encounter with highly ranked Ohio State. The Buckeyes have a plethora of offensive personnel and a classic textbook defense led by that vicious DL. And, we note DC Schiano loves the group's talent. Remember this is a conference game for each but, Indiana will want it more considering their status. Ohio State has Oklahoma up on September 9th so, I'm assuming Urban will want to keep his troops healthy for that national championship type battle. Indiana comes in 7-of-10 UNDER. Good Luck.
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02-05-17 |
Patriots -3 v. Falcons |
|
34-28 |
Win
|
100 |
245 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
01-22-17 |
Packers v. Falcons OVER 60 |
Top |
21-44 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 54 m |
Show
|
|
01-15-17 |
Steelers v. Chiefs UNDER 45 |
|
18-16 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
01-15-17 |
Steelers +2 v. Chiefs |
Top |
18-16 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 22 m |
Show
|
(305) 10* Pittsburgh over Kansas City @ 8:20 Eastern No matter the line can’t trust Andy in a pick situation vs. the better quarterback with “Mo.” Granted the Steelers are 0-4 ATS in Kansas City, but Pittsburgh has built up some props as is accruing current reality advantages on the playing field. With the Chiefs 1-7 ATS in playoff games, there is only one-side on Sunday…Pittsburgh!
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01-14-17 |
Seahawks v. Falcons OVER 51 |
Top |
20-36 |
Win
|
100 |
52 h 2 m |
Show
|
10* Atlanta/Seattle OVER the total NFL TOP PLAY TOTAL….BDS It’s January and usually we’re hitting them well in football. Saturday, though, is seemingly tough call when you look at the site and the Seattle playoff defense. Still, must go OVER the number considering the line is now 52 at the Stations out in Las Vegas, opened at 49-1/2 universally. The weather is not a factor considering the Dome facility. The home standing Falcons have been on fire ‘OVER’ inside our ICE MASTERS programming this season. They have a combined average of almost 60-points per game. They are 8-0 OVER this season down in the Georgia confines. Opposing ‘Hawks are 11-4-1 OVER in playoff games last 16 times out, and 5-0 OVER L5 home standing playoff games. And, an amazing 10-1-1 OVER against NFC teams. Seattle has shot OVER 6-of-7 in Divisional Playoff encounters and 6-2 OVER in road Playoff games. The series is 5-1 OVER, and with Seattle a consistent 11-5 OVER mark vs. a winning record, we look for this to be a high scoring game and quite possible a game that is driven into OT considering the frenzy of both these talented teams. Good Luck.
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01-09-17 |
Clemson v. Alabama -6 |
|
35-31 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 44 m |
Show
|
|
01-08-17 |
Dolphins v. Steelers OVER 47 |
|
12-30 |
Loss |
-102 |
1 h 23 m |
Show
|
|
01-08-17 |
Dolphins v. Steelers -11 |
|
12-30 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
01-07-17 |
Lions v. Seahawks -8 |
|
6-26 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
01-07-17 |
Lions v. Seahawks UNDER 44.5 |
Top |
6-26 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 4 m |
Show
|
I'll take that extra 1/2 to create a winning angle for tonight in the NFL Playoffs. And, don't miss my double play Sunday in the NFL to help you crush the books. Remember here, Seattle is at home and the noise level will an added edge and a deficit-ridden angle for the traveling Lions. Also, Detroit has been UNDER 8-2 of late, while going 10-2 UNDER vs. a winning home unit. Fundamentally, one stat that talk to a more deliberated offensive show for each are the QB ratings of 91.2 and 91.8, these hurlers will look to use percentage situations to advance the football.
|
01-02-17 |
Auburn +3 v. Oklahoma |
|
19-35 |
Loss |
-130 |
10 h 4 m |
Show
|
|
01-02-17 |
Iowa v. Florida -3 |
|
3-30 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 17 m |
Show
|
5* Florida over Iowa Have great respect for Iowa program but, there is too much Gator speed and math applications that reflect a stronger positioning case for the favorite. Would be, somewhat, conservative considering we cashed both 10* College moves on Saturday. Good Luck!
|
01-01-17 |
Chiefs v. Chargers +5 |
Top |
37-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 59 m |
Show
|
|
01-01-17 |
Patriots v. Dolphins +10 |
Top |
35-14 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
home team in series 9-0 ATS, and until this string is broken must favor Miami and their ability to score and quite possibly bring this under the posted total to ensure an ATS cover. Also, Miami has covered the L4 at home in the series. Brady will be cocked but, resilient home unit will grab the cash. Good Luck.
|
12-31-16 |
Ohio State v. Clemson +3 |
Top |
0-31 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
12-31-16 |
Washington v. Alabama -13 |
Top |
7-24 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
12-30-16 |
North Carolina v. Stanford OVER 54 |
Top |
23-25 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 31 m |
Show
|
The injuries to Hood and McCaffrey have kept this line steady which adds real value to overall game concept on offense of attacking consistently referenced by each OC. GO HIGH AND CASH!
|
12-29-16 |
South Florida v. South Carolina UNDER 62 |
|
46-39 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 45 m |
Show
|
|
12-28-16 |
Indiana v. Utah UNDER 55 |
|
24-26 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
12-27-16 |
Army v. North Texas +11 |
|
38-31 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
12-26-16 |
Lions +6 v. Cowboys |
|
21-42 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 30 m |
Show
|
|
12-26-16 |
Vanderbilt +5.5 v. NC State |
|
17-41 |
Loss |
-103 |
1 h 2 m |
Show
|
|