Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-07-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +3 | Top | 115-116 | Win | 100 | 30 h 8 m | Show |
10* 76ers (BLOCKBUSTER) Philadelphia managed a win in Game 1 without big man Joel Embiid in the line-up, but the Celtics have bounced back to take Game's 2 and 3, both SU an ATS. But now we feel that the value has swung to the desperate home side, which will be risking life and limb today to avoid going down 3-1 and heading back to Boston. Note as well that Philly is 7-3 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. Clearly the outright win is a possibility, but our official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the 76ers! AAA Sports |
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05-06-23 | Knicks +4 v. Heat | Top | 86-105 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 44 m | Show |
10* Knicks (BLOWOUT) New York took advantage in Game 2 without Jimmy Butler in the line-up, and we expect the Knicks to take the overachieving Heat off-guard here as well. Despite the loss, Miami has now covered the spread in five straight games, but note that the Heat are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after five or more ATS victories in a row. Grab the points, the play is NEW YORK! AAA Sports |
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05-05-23 | Nuggets v. Suns -4 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 34 h 33 m | Show |
10* Suns (2ND RND WEST-CONF GOY) This is it, it's do or die for the Suns. Can KD and Devin Booker win a single game in this series? We say they can, and this is the game they do it! Dating back to Game 5 vs. the Clippers, the Suns have now lost three straight ATS, and that's definitely significant to note here, as Phoenix is a near-perfect 7-1 ATS in its last eight after three or more ATS losses in a row. The Suns are also 6-3 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent in which they were held to 90 or fewer points in. Denver's weakness this year? It's just 20-23 SU/ATS on the road. Look for Booker and KD to push hard and find a way to deliver here in Game 3; lay the points, the play is Phoenix! AAA Sports |
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05-04-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Stars | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -154 | 33 h 33 m | Show |
10* Kraken puckline (2ND RND. WEST-CONF GOY) We had a play on Seattle in Game 1 on the puckline, and we're getting even better value on the Kraken here in Game 2. Seattle controlled the pace and almost every aspect of Game 1 and we don't see anything changing here in Game 2. Jake Oettinger looked shaky against this aggressive Seattle attack and we think he's in trouble here in Game 2 as well. In another contest that we see being decided late or even in extras, our official 2nd Rnd. WEST-CONF GOY is indeed the Kraken on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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05-04-23 | Lakers +6 v. Warriors | Top | 100-127 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 35 m | Show |
10* Lakers (BLOCKBUSTER) Can you imagine a World where the Lakers are up 2-0 over the Warriors in the second round of the NBA Playoffs? Because we can! LA looked like the better overall team despite some big performances from Stephen Curry and other key players being super efficient from the outside. The Warriors struggled to put away the Kings in seven games and that fatigue was evident down the stretch in Game 1. We don't see it getting any better for the defending champs here in Game 2. The Lakers have just as much talent and experience and we just feel that this game will very likely be decided by whichever club has its hands on the ball last; grab the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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05-03-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -9 | Top | 87-121 | Win | 100 | 35 h 1 m | Show |
10* Celtics (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on Boston in Game 1, and while that pick came up short, we're now very confident that the Celtics will respond with a resounding victory here in Game 2. James Harden had a huge game with Joel Embiid injured, but we can expect the home side to be keyed in on the Philly star moving forward. Whether Embiid plays or not, we like the Celtics to bounce back here in fine fashion, as note that Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Having accomplished what it set out to do (earn a "split" in Boston over the first two games), look for Philadelphia to take a step back here in Game 2; lay the points, the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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05-02-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Stars | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 33 h 1 m | Show |
10* Kraken PUCKLINE (BLOOD-BATH) The Kraken are coming off a thrilling upset Game 7 win over Colorado and we think they can sneak in under the radar here and give the Stars a run for their money here in Game 1 of this series. Will rest lead to rust for the Stars? It very well could in our opinions! The Kraken were at their best on the road all year, and that's once again the case here in Game 1 of this series. The pressure is all on Dallas here, and that is also working in favor of the Kraken; while the outright win is possible, the official call is to grab the visitors on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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05-02-23 | Heat v. Knicks -6.5 | Top | 105-111 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 36 m | Show |
10* Knicks (2ND RND GOY) We had a play on New York in Game 1, and while that pick came up short, we're expecting a big bounce-back for the Knicks here in Game 2, and a predictable letdown from the Heat here in Game 2. Miami did the exact same thing in its series vs. the Bucks, winning outright in Game 1, and then both losing SU and ATS in Game 2, satisfied with knowing that it had already "earned the split." Jimmy Butler has been balling out, but we think that the Knicks will make adjustments as well here. The Knicks were in control of Game 1 up until half-time, and then they uncharacteristically fell apart. Note though that NY is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Everthing points to a bounce-back blowout here in Game 2 for the home side; lay the points, the play is NEW YORK! AAA Sports |
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05-01-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -9 | Top | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 22 m | Show |
10* Celtics (GOW) During the regular season, the Celtics enjoyed beating up on the 76ers regularly, posting a 3-1 record. We're expecting a similar sort of outcome in this series as well. And we're definitely expecting the Celtics to set the early tone with a blowout victory. Philly star Joel Embiid is also dealing with a nagging knee injury. Look for that to have a big effect in this series as well. Either way, all signs point to a home side blowout in Game 1; lay the points, the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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04-30-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Avalanche | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 35 h 16 m | Show |
10* Kraken puckline (DESTRUCTION) Colorado salvaged its season with a 4-1 win in Game 6 in Seattle, but who could have predicted that series would have ever gone to a Game 7? The Kraken have defied the odds, and we love their chances to continue to make history here. Note that Seattle was fantastic on the road this year, finishing 28-12-1-3 away from friendly confines. The pressure here is on the Avs, and we think Seattle can take advantage. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra time, we're grabbing Seattle on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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04-30-23 | Panthers +1.5 v. Bruins | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 32 h 24 m | Show |
10* Panthers PUCKLINE (BLOOD-BATH) This has been an interesting series. Boston was hands down the best team in the regular season, on both ends of the ice, but the Bruins have stumbled and bumbled their way here to this Game 7 at home. The Panthers have defied the odds and are on the brink of one of the biggest playoff upsets in recent memory. "Momentum" is a very real, almost tangible factor in sports and Florida comes in with a ton of it. The pressure is on Boston, and we think that works in the Panthers favor as well; the play here is Florida on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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04-30-23 | Warriors v. Kings | Top | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 30 h 31 m | Show |
10* Warriors MONEYLINE (WINNER) This has been a back-and-forth series. Golden State was terrible on the road this year, but the NBA would love nothing more than to have Stephen Curry going up against LeBron James in the Playoffs. For us, this one comes down to experience in this position. The Kings are in unchartered territory, where these are the moments that Stephen Curry lives for. Sacramento had a great season, but we expect it to finally come to and end here on Sunday night; forget the spread option, instead this play is on Golden State on the moneyline! AAA Sports |
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04-30-23 | Heat v. Knicks -4 | Top | 108-101 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 1 m | Show |
10* Knicks (BLOCKBUSTER) Both of these teams were underdogs in their opening round series. The Heat got a huge series from Jimmy Butler, but we feel an imminent letdown is, well, imminent now for Butler and the Heat! The Knicks dominated their series over the Cavs from the get-go. We feel New York is better equiped to deal with Miami's outside shooting as well. Miami is thin after its starters, and the Knicks take advantage of that in Game 1; the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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04-28-23 | Grizzlies +5 v. Lakers | Top | 85-125 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 19 m | Show |
10* Grizzlies (BLOCKBUSTER) With their backs against the wall, the Grizzlies got the job done in Game 5. Now Memphis will have to do what it hasn't been able to do so far in this series, and that's win on the road. Or else it's going Golfing tomorrow. The Lakers looked fatigued, and there are now some injury concerns. All of a sudden, the pressure is on LA to close out this series, but it feels as if the momentum has now swung the other way again. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is MEMPHIS. AAA Sports |
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04-28-23 | Kings v. Warriors -7 | Top | 118-99 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 8 m | Show |
10* Warriors (BLOCKBUSTER) Momentum is a very real, almost tangible factor in sports. And to be the Champ, you gotta beat the Champ. The Warriors have now won three straight and with a chance to close out this series here and now in front of the home town crowd, we're fully expecting Stephen Curry and the now confident Warriors to do just that. The Kings are now banged up as well. For us, we're giving this one the good ole "eye test," as we love the defending Champs in this elimination possibility spot here at home; lay the points, the play is Golden State! AAA Sports |
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04-26-23 | Warriors -4 v. Kings | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 30 h 11 m | Show | |
10* Warriors (BLOCKBUSTER) We stated when this series started that "home floor" advantage would be crucial, and that's been the case so far. The injury to De'Aaron Fox though throws a monkey-wrench into that angle though. Whether Fox plays or not in this one, we look for Steph Curry and the defending champs to now take advantage, and take control of this series with a big road win. That's not something that the Warriors have done well this year, but now that the Playoffs are here, we're expecting a different result this time around. The stage is now set for Curry take over; lay the points, the play is Golden State! AAA Sports |
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04-26-23 | Lakers +4.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 99-116 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 10 m | Show |
10* Lakers (BLOCKBUSTER) We're giving Game 5 the good old "eye test." LA is the better team here in every metric since the Playoffs started. Momentum is a very real, even tangible factor in sports, especially in the Playoffs. And LA just has the Grizzlies number right now. Ja Morant was unreal in Game 4, but his supporting cast has fallen away. The reverse is true for the Lakers, who appear to be gaining stronger chemistry with each game so far. While the outright win is cleary possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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04-25-23 | Clippers v. Suns -11.5 | Top | 130-136 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 25 m | Show |
10* Suns (WEST-CONF GOW) With a chance to end this series here and now at home, we're expecting KD and the Suns to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. The Suns dropped the first game of this series, but their chemistry has improved each night. The Clippers are dealing with several serious injuries to key players. We're expecting Phoenix to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion; lay the points, the play is Phoenix! AAA Sports |
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04-25-23 | Hawks +11.5 v. Celtics | Top | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 34 h 8 m | Show |
10* Hawks (EAST-CONF GOW) We had a play on the Hawks in Game 4 and that play came up a bucket short. With their backs against the wall and facing elimination, we expect ATL to keep this contest a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. The Hawks won't go down without a fight, and note that ATL is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. No outright as stated above, but grab the points; the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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04-24-23 | Astros +1.5 v. Rays | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -154 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
10* Astros runline (BEST OF BEST) Two really good teams. Two really good pitchers. The Rays are 19-3 this season, including 13-0 at home. The defending champs are starting to play better after a slow start though, now 12-10 overall, including 6-3 on the road. The fact that the Rays have yet to suffer a home loss will be a big motivating factor for Houston here obviously. Jose Urquidy is 1-1 with a 3.66 ERA for the visitors, while Taj Bradley is 2-0 with a 2.61 ERA for the home side. I say these starters are a "wash." In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra innings, we're laying the reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is Houston on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-23-23 | Nuggets v. Wolves +3.5 | Top | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 36 h 54 m | Show |
10* Wolves (BLOCKBUSTER) Minnesota is 0-3 SU/ATS in this series. Note though that the Wolves are a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their last six after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. The Wolves are in "do or die" mode. We didn't expect Minnesota to get swept in this series, and we think a Wolf backed into a corner is a dangerous one. The Nuggets have played near perfect so far over the first three games, and we're finally expecting a small mental letdown here. Denver will then return home to wrap it up. The outright is possible, but grab the points; the pla is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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04-23-23 | Celtics v. Hawks +6 | Top | 129-121 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 30 m | Show |
10* Hawks (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on the "over" in Game 3. ATL jumped out to an early lead and never looked back. The Celtics looked flat, and we now think the Hawks can duplicate the performance. The majority of the early action has Boston bouncing back, but while the majority goes one way, we're going to go the other way on this one. The Hawks shot poorly in Boston, but finally their shooting percentage went up in Game 3 and we say the maintain it again here in this crucial contest. While the outright win is a possibility, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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04-22-23 | Avalanche v. Seattle Kraken +1.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -190 | 32 h 47 m | Show |
10* Kraken puckline (BLOOD-BATH) - also like ML if can't get PUCKLINE. We've played on the Kraken on the puckline option over the first two games of this series and we're 2-0 so far. This series is tied up 1-1 as it heads to the Pacific Northwest, and once again we're expecting a very tight and defensive battle between these evenly matched clubs. Colorado is in fact lucky to come away with the 3-2 victory in Game 2, after going down 2-0 to start with. We see no clear advantage for either side in this one, and that once again makes the extra 1.5 runs of insurance the prudent wager in our opinion; lay the price, the play is Seattle on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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04-22-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | Top | 101-111 | Win | 100 | 33 h 12 m | Show |
10* Lakers (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on LA in Game 1, and a play on the Grizzlies in Game 2. We think this back and forth series continues in this pattern, as we look for the Lakers to bounce back in Game 3 and revenge the Game 2 setback. LA is 24-18 at home this year, while Memphis is a poor 16-25 on the road. Having achieved the split in Memphis, we now look for the Lakers to take advantage here at home; lay the points, the play is LA. AAA Sports |
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04-22-23 | Bucks v. Heat +5.5 | Top | 99-121 | Win | 100 | 31 h 14 m | Show |
10* Heat (ROUT) We had the Heat in Game 1 and the Bucks in Game 2. Now back at home, we like Miami to, at the very least, keep this one tight enough to comfortably cover once the final horn sounds. While 26-15 SU on the road, the Bucks were just 21-18-2 ATS. The Heat were 28-15 SU at home. They're also 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. Look for Miami to ride the wave of emotion at home and grab a solid cover; the pla is Miami! AAA Sports |
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04-21-23 | Nuggets v. Wolves +2.5 | Top | 120-111 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 58 m | Show |
10* Wolves (BLOOD-BATH) Denver has a choke-hold on this series after a 2-0 start right? Well, not so quick in our opinions. The Nuggets' cryptonite this year was their play on the road, where they are just 19-22 SU/ATS. Minnesota is 23-19 SU at home. The Wolves are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge two or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row vs. an opponent; while the outright win is possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with the Wolves! AAA Sports |
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04-20-23 | Kings v. Warriors -5 | Top | 97-114 | Win | 100 | 32 h 1 m | Show |
10* Warriors (BLOCKBUSTER) I successfully played on the Kings in both Games 1 and 2, but I like the defending champs to bounce back here at home in this essentially "must win" scenario. Golden State was 33-18 at home this year, and the Warriors are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge two or more SU/ATS losses against an opponent. Look for "home cooking" to be the difference-maker for Stephen Curry and company; lay the points, the play is Golden State! AAA Sports |
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04-20-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Avalanche | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 31 h 55 m | Show |
10* Kraken (PUCKLINE BLOOD-BATH) We had a play on Seattle on the puckline in Game 1, and if you haven't had a chance to read that analysis, I believe it's worth doing so now, as for the most part, the logic and reasoning behind that pick, also directly applies to this one: Seattle won two of three games against the Avs this year and clearly the Kraken have been underestimated by teams and bookmakers alike this season. And that's the case here in our opinions, as we look for Seattle to throw its best shot at the defending champs. Note as well that the Kraken won two of those three games on the road as well. The pressure is bigger on Colorado here; grab the 1.5 goals of insurance, the play is Seattle on the puckline option! For all the reasons listed above, the play is Seattle on the puckline option in Game 2 as well! AAA Sports |
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04-20-23 | Padres v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -135 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
10* D-Backs RUNLINE (NL WEST GOY) We feel that that home side has a very real shot of winning this game outright, but at this price, we're getting fantastic value on the runline option here. Guess who leads the NL West rigth now? It's not the Padres, the Giants or the Dodgers. It's the D-Backs at 11-8. San Diego is 9-11. Earlier in the year these teams split a two-game series in San Diego. Arizona though is tied for sixth in the league in steals with 19. That's bad news for a Padres team that allows a lot of steals. Michael Wacha gets the nod for SD and he's 2-1 with a 6.06 ERA, while the home side counter with Ryne Nelson, who is 1-0 with a 3.71 ERA. Half of Nelson's six career starts have come against the Friars, so this is a team that he knows well (1-1, 3.12 ERA.) Wacha is 2-1 with a 3.82 ERA lifetime vs. the D-Backs. Wacha had a bounce-back season last year, but regression seems imminent, epsecially after a slow start in 2023. Tatis returns finally for the Padres, but we expect him to come out slow here in his very first game back. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is Arizona on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-20-23 | 76ers v. Nets +5 | Top | 102-97 | Push | 0 | 30 h 36 m | Show |
10* Nets (BLOCKBUSTER) With their backs against the wall, we're expecting the Nets to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with the points. The Nets are a lot better at home, 23-18 SU. Note as well that Brooklyn is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge two or more straight SU losses against an opponent. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Brooklyn! AAA Sports |
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04-19-23 | Kings +1.5 v. Oilers | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -145 | 30 h 6 m | Show |
10* Kings PUCKLINE (BLOOD-BATH) We had a play on the Kings on the "puckline" in Game 1, and if you didn't get a chance to read that analysis, it's worth doing so now, as for the most part, the logic and reasoning and stats that anchored that play, are also directly attributable to this one in Game 2 for us as well: 10* Kings PUCKLINE (BOB) For the second straight time, the first round of the NHL Playoffs features these two teams. Edmonton prevailed in seven games, having to come back from a 3-2 deficit. It's now payback time for the Kings. The Oilers closed out the regular-season strong, but have been notorious in having major letdowns in the playoffs. Will that happen again this year is the big question? LA will throw its best shot at the Oilers here and that could very well be enough, but in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra time, we're laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 goals of insuarnce; the play is LA on the puckline option! So, another great value play here, the play is indeed on the Kings on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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04-19-23 | Heat v. Bucks -9 | Top | 122-138 | Win | 100 | 31 h 38 m | Show |
10* Bucks. Miami earned the split already here in Milwaukee by taking Game 1 by a score of 130-117. The Heat though perhaps had a bit of an advantage coming into that one, as they were much more prepared and "game ready" so to speak after two "Play In Tournament" games, losing 116-105 to Atlanta as a 5.5-point favorite, before pulling away for the 102-91 win over the Bulls. Milwaukee was hands down the best team in the East during the regular season, but clearly the extra rest did in fact lead to some RUST for the Bucks in Game 1. But now Giannis and company are going to be fighting tooth and nail here to avoid the 0-2 hole. Miami was just terrible on the road this year, going 18-24 straight up and just 16-24-2 against the spread. The Bucks were 32-10 straight up at home and a more modest 23-19 against the spread, but Milwaukee is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. After the emotional victory in the Play In Tournament, followed by the upset victory in Game 1, I think the overachieving Heat have a predictable letdown here. While at the same time, look for the Bucks to bounce back big and keep the pedal to the metal until the final horn; lay the points, the play is the Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
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04-18-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Avalanche | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 31 h 6 m | Show |
10* Kracken PUCKLINE (U OF U BLOODBATH) Seattle won two of three games against the Avs this year and clearly the Kraken have been underestimated by teams and bookmakers alike this season. And that's the case here in our opinions, as we look for Seattle to throw its best shot at the defending champs. Note as well that the Kraken won two of those three games on the road as well. The pressure is bigger on Colorado here; grab the 1.5 goals of insurance, the play is Seattle on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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04-18-23 | Clippers v. Suns -7.5 | Top | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 32 h 8 m | Show |
10* Suns (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on Phoenix in Game 1, and while that pick lost, we're absolutely expecting KD, Chris Paul and Devin Booker to bounce back here in Game 2. Despite KD being a veteran, the Suns are still trying to get a "feel" for each other. Phoenix had its opportunity right at the end of the game and came up short. The Suns played from behind the entire night. LA is loaded with experienced talent, but is thin beyond it's star players. Having achieved the split already, we're expecting LA to take a step back here. Conversely, it was a great learning experience for KD and company, who now have something to build off. I expect that progression to be quick; lay the points, the play is Phoenix! AAA Sports |
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04-18-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5 | Top | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 30 h 19 m | Show |
10* Cavaliers (EAST-CONF GOW) We had a big play on the Cavaliers in Game 1, and while that play did come up short, we're expecting a complete bounce back here for Cleveland in Game 2 as the home side pushes the pace to avoid the dreaded 0-2 hole (note that the Cavs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite to an opponent.) Having achieved the "split," look for New York to contentedly head home as it prepares for Game 3; lay the points, the play is the Cavs! AAA Sports |
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04-18-23 | Hawks +10.5 v. Celtics | Top | 106-119 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 27 m | Show |
10* Hawks (BLOCKBUSTER) I had the Celtics in their Game 1 blowout win and cover, but I think the Hawks will, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the cover with the ample spread that they've been afforded here in the second game. The Celtics got their big Game 1 victory, but now that advantage of being well-rested is negated. I say the Hawks get a lot more room to operate here in Game 2, especially from range. I'm not calling for an outright upset or anything, but all signs point to this Game 2 being a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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04-17-23 | Kings +1.5 v. Oilers | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 36 h 2 m | Show |
10* Kings PUCKLINE (BOB) For the second straight time, the first round of the NHL Playoffs features these two teams. Edmonton prevailed in seven games, having to come back from a 3-2 deficit. It's now payback time for the Kings. The Oilers closed out the regular-season strong, but have been notorious in having major letdowns in the playoffs. Will that happen again this year is the big question? LA will throw its best shot at the Oilers here and that could very well be enough, but in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra time, we're laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 goals of insuarnce; the play is LA on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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04-16-23 | Clippers v. Suns -7 | Top | 115-110 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 18 m | Show |
10* Suns (BLOCKBUSTER) We're expecting the "home floor advantage" to be a very real factor in this series. The Clippers were 21-20 on the road, while the Suns were 28-13 at home. Funny enough, that wasn't the case for these teams during the regular season, going 2-2 against each other and each winning on the others floor. But with that said, LA hasn't faced Phoenix with Kevin Durant in the line-up. Phoenix is 8-0 in games that Durant has played in and we're expecting that streak to continue here with a convincing win for the home side in Game 1; lay the points, the play is Phoenix! AAA Sports |
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04-16-23 | Heat +9.5 v. Bucks | Top | 130-117 | Win | 100 | 32 h 45 m | Show |
10* Heat (BLOCKBUSTER) The Bucks have been sitting idle for a few days, but we believe that "rest" is going to lead to "rust" here in Game 1 of this series. We're not predicting an outright upset or anything, but everything points to this game coming "right down to the wire" in our opinions. These teams went 2-2 against each other in the regular season, as Miami does in fact match up well in this series. These teams are experienced and loaded with similar talent. We feel that this is a great situational play, and as stated, no outright, but much closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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04-16-23 | Lakers +3.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 128-112 | Win | 100 | 29 h 26 m | Show |
10* Lakers (WEST-CONF RND 1 GOY) The Grizzlies have Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr., while the Lakers have Anthony Davis and LeBron James. It comes down to the supporting cast, and this is arguably the best supporting cast that AD and The King have had. Ever. Both are also healthy for the first time in a long time. LA has gotten better defensively since the trade deadline, and we feel that Morant will have a difficult time finding a lot of room to operate vs. this improved LA defense. While the outright win is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the pla is LA! AAA Sports |
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04-15-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5.5 | Top | 101-97 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
10* Cavaliers (EAST-CONF RND. 1 GOY) The Knicks went 3-1 in the season series, but I can't understate how important I believe that the "home floor advantage" will be in this series. For both teams. New York was 24-17 on the road, while Cleveland was 31-10 at home. Bad news for Knicks backers here today as star Julius Randle is listed as questionable, and if he does play, he'll be far from 100% health. Emotions will be running high for the Cavs as they make the Playoffs for the first time since 2018. Cleveland has the most efficient offense in the league and everything points to a comfortable win and cover as this one comes down the stretch; lay the points, the play is the Cavs! AAA Sports |
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04-15-23 | Hawks v. Celtics -9 | Top | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 27 h 8 m | Show |
10* Celtics (BLOCKBUSTER) Atlanta upset the Heat in the Play-In tournament on the road, but I expect an immediate return to mediocrity here. ATL is still just 18-24 away from friendly confines, while Boston is 32-9 at home. Boston won all four regular season games, and all signs point to a blowout here in Game 1 as the C's will look to send n early message. ATL was unable to contain Boston's 3-point shooting in the regular season, and nothing will be different here; lay the points with confidence, the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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04-15-23 | Nets +8.5 v. 76ers | Top | 101-121 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 41 m | Show |
10* Nets (BLOCKBUSTER) Brooklyn went 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS vs. the 76ers during the regular season, but I think the scrappy nets comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch of this one. Philadelphia has consistently done poor in the playoffs over the last few years, and I think the 76ers are getting too much respect here against the Nets, who are 15-9 ATS as a road dog and 12-3 ATS when getting +5 or more points this year. Outright victory is possible, but let's grab the points; the play is Brooklyn! AAA Sports |
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04-14-23 | Thunder v. Wolves -5.5 | Top | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
10* Wolves (TOP SIDE) The bottom line here is that beyond Josh Giddey and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, OKC just is not very deep. At this point, I believe that becomes a major factor finally for the Thunder. Also note that Rudy Gobert will be back in the line-up tonight after serving a one-game suspension for an altercation he had with a teammate in the final regular season game. Minnesota went 3-1 SU in the regular season in this series and I expect it to make the most of this matchup once again; lay the points, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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04-14-23 | Rays v. Blue Jays +1.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
10* Jays RUNLINE (ULTIMATE) I had a play on the Rays yesterday in their 9-3 win over the Red Sox. Tampa is now 13-0 and the longer this winning streak continues to open the season for the Rays, the more unrealistic and unsustainable it becomes. Tampa is also clearly being overvalued now at this point by the bookmakers, as the majority of the public, along with seasoned pros are now essentially "blind betting" the Rays, without any real thought put into it at all. These starting pitchers are a "wash." I can make a good argument for either of these talented sides to win, but this comes down to the fact that the public and the oddsmakers have overvalued Tampa now at this point because of the unreal start. Regression is imminent Tampa fans. Regardless, at this price and with the extra 1.5 rums of insurance, I believe this to be the very definition of "great line value;" the play is Toronto on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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04-14-23 | Bulls v. Heat -5.5 | Top | 91-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
10* MIAMI FIRST HALF (ASSASSIN) (NOTE: I also like the Heat for the entire game if you do not have access to FIRST HALF lines.) For the first time in play-in tournament history, the two lower seeds won in the Eastern Conference. The Bulls upset the Raptors 109-105, but I believe they'll have a much harder time of it here in South Beach. Miami comes in off a 116-105 upset loss to Atlanta. Chicago swept the season series 3-0, meaning that the "revenge" factor definitely comes to play here. The Heat are one of the worst teams in the league ATS, but that fact has only helped in driving today's spread a few points lower than it normally would/should be. Miami is as healthy as its been all year and with most of the early money on Chicago, I feel we're getting tremendous value on the undervalued home side. As stated off the top, I like the Heat for the entire game as well, but I look for them to take the early lead into th half; the play is Miami in the first half! AAA Sports |
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04-11-23 | Wolves v. Lakers -6 | Top | 102-108 | Push | 0 | 39 h 55 m | Show |
10* Lakers (PLAY IN GOY) For a number of different reasons, I like the way this one sets up for the Lakers. The majority of the early money is on Minnesota, so as a contrarian at heart, that auto makes me like LA here. But the Wolves will be without Jaden McDaniels, who broke his hand foolishly punching a wall. Big man Rudy Gobert punched Kyle Anderson in a heated moment in the huddle. Minnesota is a mess coming into this game, while LA is at full strength. I look for the Lakers to keep the foot on the gas until the final horn; lay the points with confidence, the play is indeed on the Lakers! AAA Sports |
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04-11-23 | Hawks v. Heat -4.5 | Top | 116-105 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 56 m | Show |
10* Heat FIRST HALF (ASSASSIN. Note: I also like for the ENTIRE game if you don't have access to FIRST HALF lines.) The Heat took three of four regular season meetings with the Hawks. Atlanta has been decent ATS on the road this year, but Miami is very tough at home. The Heat rank second in the league on the defensive end, and I expect that defense to be on top of its game from the "get go" in this one, as to not allow ATL to dictate the tempo; as I say, I like Miami for the whole game as well, but the official call is the Heat in the First Half! AAA Sports |
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04-07-23 | 76ers v. Hawks -9.5 | 136-131 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
8* Hawks (BLOWOUT) The Hawks have earned a spot in the playoffs, but they're still in a fight with Toronto for eighth spot with just two games remaining. They've lost two of three to the 76ers this year, so they'll look to even up the season series here today with a big win. Philadelphia is locked into its spot, so it's expected to now rest starters over the final two games. Atlanta is playing some of its best basketball of the season right now and I expect it to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one; lay the points with confidence, the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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04-05-23 | Raptors +5.5 v. Celtics | Top | 93-97 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
10* Raptors (ASSASSIN) It's GO time for the Raptors. They're off the 120-100 win at Charlotte last night, easily covering the massive 15.5-point spread. Toronto is essentially in Playoff mode already though, as it's tied with Atlanta for eighth spot in the East, 17 games back of the Bucks. This is the start of two straight between these teams here in Boston. The Bucks have a three games lead up on Boston, which sits two games ahead of Philadelphia. The Celtics can't afford to take the foot off the gas either, but the Raptors also play with revenge here after falling 106-104 to the Celtics at home on January 21st. That however is significant to note, as the Raptors are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU home loss vs. an opponent. In what I expect to be a very tight and competitive affair, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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04-04-23 | Blue Jays v. Royals +1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
8* Royals runline (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams are 1-3. Both really need a win here, but in a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. Both teams have struggled at the plate so far. I give the slight nod to Kris Bubic in this starting pitching matchup though. He was 3-13 with a 5.58 ERA last season, but he looked great in the Spring, going 1-0 with a 1.74 ERA spannning 11 innings, with 15 K's over five appearances. Yusei Kikuchi was just 6-7 with a 5.19 ERA last year. In five career starts vs. the Royals he's a pitiful 0-2 with an 8.69 ERA. The outright is possible, but the value here lies with the runline; and that's indeed the play here, KC on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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04-03-23 | San Diego State +7.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 59-76 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 57 m | Show |
10* SDSU (ASSASSIN) Not many would have had these two in the National Championship game, but here we are. UConn has more depth and overall talent, but SDSU won't be going down quietly. I think the Aztecs have what it takes to win this one outright in fact. UConn isn't Georgia, and SDSU isn't TCU, so this National Championship Game is going to be a lot tighther than most are anticipating in my opinion. SDSU has some height and will be able to mix it up with UConn big man Sanogo in the paint. I'm not calling for an outright upset, but everything points to a real battle again here tonight; grab the points, the play is SDSU! AAA Sports |
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04-03-23 | Tigers +1.5 v. Astros | 7-6 | Win | 103 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
8* play Tigers runline. Detroit is another team that's started 0-3. The Astros looked great at times in their opening series, and pretty pedestrian in others. They're 2-2. Both starters saw limited action in 2022. Boyd was 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA, and Brown was 2-0 with a 0.89 ERA. The Tigers went down hard in that series opener, but it wasn't for a lack of trying, striking out 30 times over three games. Boyd faced the Astros once back in 2021 and he conceded just one run off six hits with one walk and four K's over seven innings in the victory. The Astros looked pedestrian at the plate in their first series collectively (.227), so that leaves the door open here for the desperate visting side. Brown is young and his sample size is still too small to properly assess. I say regression is imminent; in a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I'm grabbing the 1.5 runs of insurance with Detroit! AAA Sports |
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04-03-23 | Phillies +1.5 v. Yankees | 1-8 | Loss | -133 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
8* play Phillies runline. After starting the season 0-3, I think that Taijuan Walker can, at the very least, match his counterpart Nick Cortes Jr. inning for inning, and in a scenario like that, I feel the value swings to the desperate underdog visiting side. The Phillies are still missing key pieces in their hitting line-up. Taijuan Walker though is going to be the difference-maker in my opinion, as the veteran was 12-5 with a 3.49 ERA for the Mets last year. He faced the Yanks twice last season, going 1-0 with a 4.09 ERA over 11 innings. The Yanks are 2-1 after beating the Giants in their Opening series. Cortes Jr. went 12-4 with a 2.44 ERA last year. The 0-3 sweep won't be sitting well with anyone in Philadelphia and I expect a much more concerted effort here. In a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I'm grabbing the visitors on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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04-02-23 | Suns v. Thunder +5 | Top | 128-118 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
10* Thunder (NON-DIV. GOY) One factor I always take into account is the "revenge" factor. The last time these teams played, OKC managed the 124-120 victory over Phoenix here in mid-March. However, at times the "revenge" angle can be overblown or overrated, and for me, that's the case here for sure. I'll argue that this is the most important game of the entire season for the Thunder, who have lost two of their last three, including a 121-117 setback at Indiana last time out. The Thunder are in tenth right now, about to play in the "Play In" Tournament, sitting only 1.5 games back of the Lakers for eighth spot though. Phoenix is pretty much locked in at fourth, unable to catch Sacramento, which is 4 games ahead of it right now. Phoenix has won four straight. After this it finishes with three of its final four at home, including a "cream puff" vs. the Spurs up next. I believe Phoenix gets caught a little flat-footed here, and I expect the home side to risk life and limb to try and pull off the SU upset; that may happen, but the official call is to grab as many points as you can with OKC! AAA Sports |
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04-01-23 | Miami-FL +5.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 59-72 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 23 m | Show |
10* Miami Florida (BLOCKBUSTER) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. I think these teams are very evenly matched, and in a contest that I see coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The Hurricanes are great from the line, and UConn continues to get hammered with a lot of fouls. Miami also doesn't rely on shooting the three ball, but it's still hitting 44 percent from range. The Hurricanes are also 8-3 ATS their last 11 as an underdog, with six outright victories. While I do think the outright win is possible, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can; grab the points, the play is Miami Florida! AAA Sports |
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04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic +2 v. San Diego State | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 97 h 51 m | Show |
10* BLOCKBUSTER on FAU. I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. Not many brackets left right now. These two teams have consistently been under-rated and undervalued, both by their opponents and the bookmakers alike, and once again that's the case now for just one of those teams here tonight. And in my opinion, that's FAU. The Owls already proved that they can win this type of game over Tennessee (which I'll argue is better than SDSU). FAU dominates the glass, while the Aztecs are just mediocre in that department. Finally, note that FAU is a near-perfect 11-1 in games decided by five points or less. Clearly the outright win is possible, but grab the points, the play is FAU! AAA Sports |
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03-31-23 | Raptors +6.5 v. 76ers | Top | 110-117 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
10* Raptors (ATLANTIC DIV. GOY) While I do think an outright win is possible, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. I think this is a great "spot" bet. The Raptors have had two nights off after a 106-92 win over the Heat. Toronto has won three straight and it's currently sitting in 9th spot in the Eastern Playoff race, in fact tied with Atlanta for eigth, and two games up on Chicago. The Raptors are playing some of their best ball of the season right now and the play with the added incentive of revenge as well after dropping the most recent matchup with Philly in a 104-101 OT setback on December 19th. Philadelphia snapped a three-game slide with a much-needed 116-108 win over the floundering Mavericks, but with a date at Milwaukee up next, it's not too hard to imagine the home side also getting caught "looking ahead" here; as stated off the top, I'm not calling for the outright upset or anything, but the official call is to grab the points with Toronto! AAA Sports |
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03-30-23 | UAB -1.5 v. North Texas | Top | 61-68 | Loss | -115 | 32 h 14 m | Show |
10* UAB (NIT WINNER) It all comes down to this. A decent offensive team, vs. a decent defensive team. The old saying that "defense wins championships" will NOT be apt in this particular contest in my opinion though. The Blazers allow 70.3 points per game, but their defense finally catches a break here facing a UNT offense that averages only 64.4 PPG. Yes the Mean Green only allow 55.7, but the Blazers' are averaging 81.3 points per game. I say that it's UNT that finally runs out of momentum and gas here. Look for UAB to pull away down the stretch and lay the short points! AAA Sports |
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03-30-23 | Tigers +1.5 v. Rays | 0-4 | Loss | -114 | 27 h 6 m | Show | |
8* play Tigers runline. After an "off" year last year, Eduardo Rodriguez will be looking to bounce back after signing a big contract with the Tigers in 2021. Shane McClanahan was 12-8 with a 2.54 ERA last year, but then he got a late shoulder injury. He's 1-2 with a 2.95 ERA in three starts vs. the Tigers. Rodriguez was 5-5 with a 4.05 ERA in 17 starts last season. How long can the Rays keep maximizing their efforts with a smaller budget? I think Tampa is a bit overpriced here, but in a game that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I am going to lay the small price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is the Tigers on the run-line option! AAA Sports |
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03-28-23 | Celtics v. Wizards +11.5 | Top | 111-130 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
10* Wizards (REVENGE BOB) Boston has won three straight, both SU and ATS. Note though that the Celtics are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after three or more straight SU/ATS victories in a row. With a much more high-profile and important game at Milwaukee up next on Thursday, this also sets up as a potential "look-ahead" spot for the visitors as well. Washington does indeed play with revenge after falling 130-121 to the Celtics as a 7.5-point dog in Boston back in November. Note though that the Wizards are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. I say the hungry home side sneaks in under the radar here, catches the Celtics at a really good time here, and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to this one being a lot closer in the end than what this spread is suggesting; grab as many points as you can, the play is the Wizards! AAA Sports |
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03-27-23 | 76ers +6.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
10* 76ers (ASSASSIN) After a win at Chicago to open up this road trip, the 76ers have now lost back-to-back West coast contests, most recently falling 125-105 to a desperate Phoenix team. Yes, Philly just beat Denver 126-119 at home back in January, but I'm not reading too much into the revenge factor. For me, this particular play is a good situational one, as I feel that Philly is the much "hungrier" side here after back-to-back poor efforts. I'm expecting a battle until the final horn, so grab the points, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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03-27-23 | Canadiens v. Sabres -1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
10* Sabres PUCKLINE (EAST-CONF GOW) I'm expecting a blowout here. Montreal has been trading wins and losses over its last five games, and after an 8-2 blowout home win over Columbus last time out, I'm expecting this pattern to continue in this difficult road venue. As for the Sabres, they've broken a string of poor play with back-to-back quality victories, most recently beating New Jersey 5-4, and the Islanders on the road by a score of 2-0. Look for the Sabres to keep the pedal to the metal here with just under two weeks to go in the regular season. I look for Buffalo to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion; the play is the SABRES on the PUCKLINE option! AAA Sports |
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03-26-23 | Wizards +7 v. Raptors | Top | 104-114 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
10* Wizards (ASSASSIN) Both teams really need a win here. Washington is in 11th spot, three games back of No. 9 Toronto. After a relatively simple 118-97 win over Detroit though, I think that the Raptors will have their hands full with this revenge-minded Washington side, which fell 116-109 in OT at home as a 2.5-point favorite in early March. Note that the Wizards are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Washington snapped a four-game slide with a big 136-124 win over San Antonio last time out, and I think the Wizards throw their best shot at the Raptors today as well; grab the points, the play is Washington! AAA Sports |
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03-26-23 | Miami-FL +4.5 v. Texas | Top | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 33 h 19 m | Show |
10* Miami Florida (ELITE 8 GOY) I am going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. Both teams ahve been great. I'd argue though that Texas' path to this point has been the easier one, with wins over Colgate, Penn State and Xavier. Miami has had Drake, Indiana and Houston. Dylan Disu is a question mark in this one for Texas and if he does play, he'll be less than 100%. The Longhorns are deep, but it's still a concern. I feel that Miami has been undervalued and kind of overlooked throughout this tournament, and I believe that's once again the case here; while the outright win is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Hurricanes! AAA Sports |
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03-25-23 | 76ers v. Suns +1.5 | Top | 105-125 | Win | 100 | 15 h 60 m | Show |
10* Suns (ASSASSIN) The Suns were playing really well with Kevin Durant, but then the superstar got injured and now Phoenix has been struggling ever since. But I say their current slide ends here tonight in this favorable spot. Phoenix has lost six of its last seven, including three in a row. They've also lost seven straight ATS. The Suns also play with revenge here after falling 100-88 at Philly earlier in the sesaon, and note that Phoenix is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The 76ers played and lost just last night in Golden State, and I say that fatigue plays a factor in the outcome of this one as well; for all the reasons listed above, the play is Phoenix! AAA Sports |
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03-25-23 | Florida Atlantic +2.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 79-76 | Win | 100 | 28 h 39 m | Show |
10* FAU (ASSASSIN) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. FAU averages 79.3 PPG, while allowing only 65.7. K-State averages 75.8 PPG, while allowing 68.7. The Owls have consistently been overrated, and while I think that Wildcats' guard Markquis Nowell is fantastic, this defense is much tighter than MSU's and I have a hard time seeing Kansas State duplicating its previous performance; I'm grabbing the points in this one, the play is FAU! AAA Sports |
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03-24-23 | Princeton v. Creighton -9.5 | Top | 75-86 | Win | 100 | 104 h 30 m | Show |
10* Creighton (SWEET 16 GOY) Princeton has exceeded expectations, but I say the Cinderella story comes to an end here today. The Tigers average 76 PPG, while allowing 68.6. Creighton though is battle-tested and more consistent on both ends of the court in my opinion, averaging 76.8 PPG, while allowing 67.9. The Tigers have become a popular pick with bettors, with the majority of the early bets placed on Princeton. While most go one way though, we're going to go the other; a great contrarian Sweet 16 Game of the Year on Creighton! AAA Sports |
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03-24-23 | Miami-FL v. Houston -7.5 | Top | 89-75 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 35 m | Show |
10* Houston (ASSASSIN) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. I think No. 1 seed Houston will pull away down the stretch for a comfortable win and cover vs. No. 5 Miami. Miami has an efficient offense, but this Houston defense is on an entirely different level. Houston has a rebounding advantage over Miami as well, and the Hurricanes defense is just mediocre. Houston has the advantage in every metric and we can expect that to translate into a solid cover; the play is Houston! AAA Sports |
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03-24-23 | San Diego State v. Alabama -7.5 | Top | 71-64 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 22 m | Show |
10* ALABAMA FIRST HALF (BLOWOUT) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. San Diego has gotten this far because of its great defense, but I have a hard time seeing it slowing down this incredibly deep Alabama offense, with four players averaging double-figures. But the thing is, Alabama's defense is even better than the Aztecs is. I look for the TIDE to go up early and keep the foot on the gas going into the break; this is a play on ALABAMA in the FIRST HALF, but if you don't have a FIRST HALF line available, I still like the TIDE against-the-spread for the entire game as well! AAA Sports |
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03-23-23 | Michigan State -1.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 93-98 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* Michigan State (ASSASSIN) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. With a spread like this, the oddsmakers feel these teams are very evenly matched. The Spartans are slightly better offensively, while the Wildcats are slightly better defensively. I like Tom Izzo's experience though and I also think MSU's shooting from range will be a difference-maker. The Spartans only hit 2 of 16 three-pointers in their win over Marquette, but still managed a nine-point victory. I don't expect them to shoot that poorly again here; lay the short points, the play is Michigan State! AAA Sports |
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03-22-23 | Blazers +4 v. Jazz | Top | 127-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
10* Blazers (ASSASSIN) A complete contrarian play here. A vast majority of the bets and money is on Utah, but that fact has helped in driving this spread a few points too high in my opinion. Utah has somehow won four of its last five SU and it's also gone 6-0 ATS in its last six. The Jazz have just beaten the Celtics and Kings at home, but with Milwaukee coming to town on Friday, this does indeed now set up as a "look ahead" spot as well for Utah. No such luxury for Portland, which enters desperate after six straight losses. I think Utah's surge comes to an end here and Portland, at the very least, takes this one right down to the wire; while the outright win isn't out of the question, let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-22-23 | Pacers v. Raptors -8 | Top | 118-114 | Loss | -114 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
10* Raptors (EXPRESS) The Raptors are ninth in the East, so are part of the Play In Tournament at the moment. Indiana is currently 12th. Toronto plays with double revenge here as the Pacers have won both earlier meetings so far this season. Here's the perfect opportunity to get that double revenge, as the Pacers continue their four-game road trip after a loss at Charlotte on Monday. The Pacers actually had an 18-point second-quarter lead over Charlotte, but they lost 115-109 in the end. Indiana was super sloppy with the ball, turning it over 21 times. Charlotte's bench outscored Indiana's bench 45-18. Indiana was without Tyrese Haliburton for that one and he'll also be out for this one against Toronto (Haliburton is Indiana's number 1 guy, averaging 20.8 points and 10.4 assists per game.) Indiana averages 115.8 points per game and allows 118.3. Toronto averages 112.9 points per game, while allowing 112.1. Toronto has won seven in a row at home. It plays with double revenge. It catches the Pacers without their top player in the line-up. I smell a blowout here North of the border; lay the points, the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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03-21-23 | Cavs v. Nets +3 | Top | 115-109 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
10* Nets (ASSASSIN) After three straight SU/ATS losses in a row, I like the Nets to dig deep and bounce back here. Note that Brooklyn is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Cleveland has won three of it slast four. It's coming off two straight home victories. This is the opener of two straight here between these clubs in Brooklyn, and I say the more desperate home side doubles down and, at the very least, takes this one right down to the wire. The Nets had a winning record before KD and Kyrie left and it'll now be a struggle to maintain that position, but I love the way this one sets up for them here at home tonight; grab the points, the play is the Nets! AAA Sports |
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03-21-23 | North Texas v. Oklahoma State -5 | Top | 65-59 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 2 m | Show |
10* Oklahoma State (NIT) Anyone who had Oklahoma State vs. Eastern Washington can't be feeling too great after the way that last game ended for the Cowboys. OKS was an 11.5-point favorite and won by 11 after the Eagles hit a meaningless 3-pointer with time winding off the clock. But where the Cowboys failed ATS last time out, I fully expect them to pull away for a comfortable cover with this more manageable spread. OKS averages 69.5 PPG, while allowing 66.8. North Texas averages 63.7 PPG, while allowing only 55.4. The problem here for UNT though is now it runs in to perhaps an even better defense than its own. The level of competition simply can't be compared between these two; I'm expecting a blowout, so lay the points with Oklahoma State! AAA Sports |
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03-20-23 | Wolves +8.5 v. Knicks | Top | 140-134 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
10* Wolves (ASSASSIN) Minnesota has lost three straight. Note that the Wolves are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU losses in a row. Minnesota plays with revenge after falling 120-107 at home to the Knicks as a 2.5-point favorite back in November. Note that the Wolves are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The Knicks have won three straight, both SU and ATS, but note that New York is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. With an upcoming difficult two-game road trip at Miami and Orlando up next, expect the Knicks to take the foot off the gas in the second half. While an outright win is entirely possible, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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03-20-23 | Senators +1.5 v. Penguins | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
10* Senators PUCKLINE (GOW) Both teams are really struggling. Pittsburgh has lost three straight, while Ottawa has lost five in a row. With a two-game road trip at Colorado and Dallas up next, I say the Pens once again get caught flat-footed here and "look ahead" to those contests. Ottawa is 7-2 in its last nine after five or more straight losses in a row. The Sens also play with the added incentive of revenge here after falling 4-1 to Pittsburgh back on January 20th. I expect this game to be decided late, or even in extra time, so I'm laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance; the play is Ottawa on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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03-20-23 | Rice +7 v. Southern Utah | Top | 79-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
10* Rice (CBI GOW) Rice may have stumbled down the stretch of the regular season, but it looked great in its 84-78 win over Duquesne to open this tournament. I say the Owls now build off that performance and, at the very least, give the Southern Utah Thunderbirds everything they can handle. Southern Utah has been playing well, having won four of its last five. They also looked impressive in their opening 72-50 win over Northern Alabama. These team's numbers are similar and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever has the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Rice! AAA Sports |
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03-19-23 | Nuggets v. Nets +1.5 | Top | 108-102 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
10* Nets (ASSASSIN) Denver has struggled since the All-Star break. I don't see it being able to muster much of an offensive attack here after falling 116-110 at the Knicks just last night. The Nuggets have now dropped five of their last six. Brooklyn had won five of six before dropping two in a row. With two nights off to prepare for this one though, I love how this one sets up for the home side. While I do think an outright victory is possible, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Brooklyn! AAA Sports |
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03-19-23 | Bruins v. Sabres +1.5 | Top | 7-0 | Loss | -150 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
10* Sabres PUCKLINE (DESTRUCTION) I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. I expect Boston to finally have a bit of a letdown after yesterday's come from behind 5-2 win at the Wild. The Bruins are the best team in the NHL, but with a night off before a favorable home matchup vs. the Senators, this also sets up as a look-ahead position. Buffalo is desperate to get back into the winner's circle after going just 2-8 in its last ten. Not surprisingly, it plays with revenge here after a humbling 7-1 defeat to the Bruins in Boston at the start of March. I expect Buffalo to risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes today, and because of that, the play is the Sabres on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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03-18-23 | Duke -3 v. Tennessee | Top | 52-65 | Loss | -112 | 23 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* 2ND ROUND GOY on Duke. I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament. These teams are moving in opposite directions in a way right now. Duke is peaking, and Tennessee is struggling to remain elite. The Vols are still trying to adjust after star point guard Zakai Zeigler went down with a torn ACL. Santiago Vescovi is now the leading scorer at 12.6 PPG, but he struggled in the first round with just 3 points in 27 minutes. Duke's guard Jeremy Roach is playing the best basketball of his career, and so is the rest of his team; look for the Blue Devils to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish! AAA Sports |
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03-17-23 | Florida Atlantic +2 v. Memphis | Top | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 30 h 11 m | Show |
10* FAU (BLOCKBUSTER) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis during the Tournament. FAU comes in "under the radar" in my opinion. The Owls average 79.3 PPG, and allow just 65.7. Memphis averages 79.5 PPG, while allowing 72.6. FAU has the experience, size and athleticism to win this one outright and give Purdue a serious scare in the next round; grab the points, the play is FAU! AAA Sports |
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03-17-23 | Drake +2 v. Miami-FL | Top | 56-63 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 50 m | Show |
10* Drake (BLOCKBUSTER) Going to be really succinct with my analysis throughout the Tournament. I think many will discount Drake here, as I already see the majority of the money on Miami Florida. The Bulldogs are no push-overs, clearly a sentiment shared by the oddsmakers. The Bulldogs average 75.6 PPG, and allow just 64.8. Miami averages 79.6 PPG, while allowing 71.7. While the majority of the public goes one way with this wager, we're going to go the other; the play is Drake! AAA Sports |
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03-17-23 | 76ers v. Hornets +10 | Top | 121-82 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
10* Hornets (ASSASSIN) Here's a great spot for the Hornets. I'm not predicting an outright win or anything, but I do think they'll be competitive until the final horn. Charlotte is coming off three straight losses, and note that the Hornets are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU losses in a row. They also play with revenge after a 131-113 loss to Philly back in December, and note that the Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last five trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. With a game at the Pacers tomorrow night, I say Philly gets caught "looking ahead" here in the second half and takes the foot of the gas; grab the points, the play is Charlotte! AAA Sports |
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03-17-23 | VCU v. St. Mary's -4 | Top | 51-63 | Win | 100 | 23 h 19 m | Show |
10* Saint Mary's (BLOCKBUSTER) Saint Mary's lost in the West Coast Conference Tourney to Gonzaga, but I think the Gaels have more than enough gas left in the tank to handle VCU. The Rams beat George Washington on March 4th to take the A-10 Tourney Final. I just think the A-10 is watered down after the Top 3 teams. The Gaels have veteran leadership and a more well rounded side; lay the points, the play is Saint Mary's! AAA Sports |
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03-16-23 | Boise State +1.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 67-75 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 19 m | Show |
10* Boise State (NCAA FIRST ROUND GOY) Boise State finished 24-9, while Northwestern was 21-11. The Broncos lost to Utah State in the Mountain Westn Conference by a score of 72-62 in the second round. Northwestern got bounced 67-65 by Penn State in the first round of the Big Ten Tournament. The bottom line here is that Boise State enters the NCAA Tournament in much better overall form in my opinion. The Broncos have scored 66 or more points in eight of their last nine outings, while Northwestern lhas scored 65 points or fewer over five straight games. Clearly the outright win isn't out of the question, but the official call will be to grab as many point as you can; the play is Boise State! AAA Sports |
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03-16-23 | Oral Roberts +6.5 v. Duke | Top | 51-74 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 17 m | Show |
10* Oral Roberts (BLOCKBUSTER) Outright win? It's not entirely out of the realm of possibility, but in a contest that I see coming "right down to the wire," I'm going to grab the points. Oral Roberts finished 30-4, while Duke was 26-8. Neither team was great agains the spread. Oral Roberts though comes in off a high and I think it can keep the momentum rolling here after annihilating North Dakota State 92-58 as a ten-point favorite in the Summit Conference Tournament Championship Game, keeping the foot on the gas until the final horn. Duke won the ACC by taking down Virginia 59-49 as a 3.5-point favorite. Oral Roberts has flown under the radar all season, and that's the case again here as well in my opinion. While I do think an outright win is possible, in the end let's grab the points on this undervalued underdog; the play is Oral Roberts! AAA Sports |
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03-16-23 | Nuggets -12.5 v. Pistons | Top | 119-100 | Win | 100 | 27 h 51 m | Show |
10* Nuggets (U OF THE U) Enough is enough! If you're a Denver fan, that's definitely the way you feel right now after four straight SU/ATS losses in a row. Have Jokic and the Nuggets suddenly forgot how to play? I'd say it's just going to be small "speed bump" in the season, and that things will return to normal shortly. In fact, I believe the time has come for a severe beating. Note that Denver plays with the added incentive of revenge after the Pistons inexplicably beat the Nuggets 110-108 on the road on November 22nd as 10.5-point underdogs. As note, the Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite against an opponent. The Pistons are downright terrible and they're simply in the wrong place at the wrong time in this one; lay the points, the play is the Nuggets! AAA Sports |
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03-16-23 | Illinois +2 v. Arkansas | Top | 63-73 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 34 m | Show |
10* Illinois (ASSASSIN) The No. 9 Fighting Illini finished 20-12, while the No. 8 Arkansas Razorbacks were 27-12. Both teams backed their way into the tournament. Illinois lost three of its last four, while Arkansas dropped four of its previous five. The Illini average 74.7 PPG, while allowing 67, while Arkansas averages 74.4 PPG, while allowing 72.6. If history is any precedence, then Illinois has to be loving its chances here, as the Illini have won all five meetings with Arkansas (haven't played since 2004). Either way, the Illini's superior defense will prove to be the difference-maker in my opinion; grab the points the play is Illinois! AAA Sports |
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03-16-23 | Howard +22 v. Kansas | 68-96 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
8* Howard (BLOWOUT) Howard is No. 16, finishing 22l-12 in the MEAC. Kansas is the No. 1 seed, finishing 27-7. The Bison have won five straight overall, and they're 4-2 in neutral court games this year. Kansas has lost to Texas twice in the last week and gone just 2-2 in its last four (gone 5-2 in neutral court games.) Howard has consistently been undervalued by oddsmakers this year (16-12 ATS), while Kansas has been overvalued (14-17 ATS.) That's the case again here, so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-15-23 | Arizona State v. Nevada +2.5 | Top | 98-73 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
10* Nevada (FIRST FOUR GOY) Nevada finished 22-10 on the year, losing to San Jose State in the Mountain West Conference tournament. The Wolfpack did close out the regular season decently finishing 4-3 down the stretch. In their last game they had to battle back from a 31-26 first-half deficit to force overtime, but they everntually fell 81-77. Arizona State was 22-12 this year and the Sun Devils fell to Arizona in the Conference Tournament last Friday. The Sun Devils finished the regular season with two straight losses but they opened up the Conference Tournament with two straight wins, including over USC 77-72. But then they ran into a decent defense in Arizona and they lost 78-59. After looking at what each team has done coming in, I do like the Wolfpack here. Despite having lost three sraight games, Nevada has scored 67 or more points in all three. Arizona State on the other hand has scored 65 or fewer points in four of its last five. Look for Nevada's superior offense right now to be the difference-maker down the stretch; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-15-23 | Alcorn State v. North Texas -17 | Top | 53-69 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
10* North Texas (ASSASSIN) I like the 26-7 North Texas Mean Green to jump out to an early lead, to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish, and to pull away for a comfortable win and cover once it's all said and done. Alcorn State averages 68.3 PPG, while allowing 70.8, while UNT averages 63.7 PPG, while conceding just 55.4. Good news for UNT's offense today facing this porous defense. I have a hard time seeing the Braves putting up much of an offensive attack today vs. this aggressive Mean Green defense. And that's the difference for me, as Alcorn State will face its stiffest test of the season right here; lay the points, the play is North Texas! AAA Sports |
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03-14-23 | Mississippi State -1.5 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 59-60 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 14 m | Show |
10* Mississippi State (ASSASSIN) Pittsburgh finished 22-11 and Mississippi State was 21-12. The Bulldogs took out Florida in the second round of the NCAA Tournament, but then fell to Alabama. I just think the SEC is a much tougher conference ultimately. Pittsburgh was 22-11 overall. It beat Georgia Tech in the second round of the ACC Tourney, before falling to Duke in the quarterfinals. Pittsburgh has the slightly better offense, while Mississippi State has the slightly better defense. I'm banking on the Bulldogs defense to get them through to the First Round; lay the points, the play is MISSISSIPPI STATE! AAA Sports |
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03-14-23 | Villanova v. Liberty -3 | Top | 57-62 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
10* Liberty (BLOOD-BATH) Liberty isn't getting enough respect here. The Flames finished 26-8, while the Wildcats were 17-16. Liberty finished just a couple of points away from the NCAA Tournament, falling 67-66 to Kennesaw State in the A-Sun Tournament Championship Game. Overall the Flames average 75.2 PPG, while allowing 60.6. It got bounced by Creighton by a score of 87-74 in the conference Tourney. Overall the Wildcats average 70.3 PPG, while allowing 67.8. The Flames experience and superior offense will be the difference here. Lay the points, the play is Liberty! AAA Sports |
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03-14-23 | Pistons v. Wizards -11.5 | Top | 97-117 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
10* Wizards (TOP SIDE) This is a good "common sense" play. Detroit enters off a rare victory just last night, pulling away for a 117-97 victory at home over the Pacers. The win snapped an 11-game slide. With tough upcoming home games vs. the Nuggets and Heat, I say the visitors have an immediate letdown here in the second game of the B2B scenario. The Wizards will be huntry here to snap a three-game slide, but note that Washington is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU losses in a row. The Wizards beat Detroit 119-117 on its own floor last week, and while they failed to cover the spread there, everything points to a cover of the "rocking chair" variety here at home; lay the points, the play is the Wizards! AAA Sports |
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03-12-23 | Knicks +1.5 v. Lakers | Top | 112-108 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
10* Knicks (ASSASSIN) The Knicks have lost three straight, both SU and ATS after last night's 106-95 loss to the Clippers here. Note though that New York is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. New York also plays with revenge here after a 129-123 OT loss to the Lakers at home on January 31st as a two-point fav. That's also significant to note here for us, as the Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponet. The Lakers have some new faces and have been playing well, as they've won and covered in three straight. Note though that LA is still just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Despite having played just last night, I like the Knicks here to bounce back in this favorable spot; grab the points, the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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03-11-23 | Heat v. Magic +2.5 | Top | 114-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
10* Magic (ASSASSIN) No need to overthink this one. I base my picks on many different things, but this particular one I'm basing on "common sense." I had a play on the Heat in their 119-115 home win over the Cavs. I believe fatigue will be a major issue here for Miami though in the second game of the B2B. Orlando plays with revenge after falling 107-103 in OT to the Heat on February 11th, and that's sigificant for us to note as Orlando is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. Orlando has lost three straight, so it comes in desperate here and while I do think the outright win is a possibility of course, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Orlando! AAA Sports |
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03-11-23 | Cincinnati v. Houston -9.5 | Top | 48-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
10* Houston (AAC TOURNEY GOY) I am keeping my writeups very succinct today, as there is a lot going on and I need to get this information out as fast as possible. The Bearcats managed the 84-54 win over Temple yesterday to advance, and they've now covered in three straight. Note though that Cincinnati is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after three or more ATS victories in a row. Houston beat Cincinnati 75-69 on January 28th at home, but it did not cover the large 14.5-point spread. Tonight's spread is much more manageable. Houston beat ECU 60-46 to advance. It's now gone 0-4 ATS in its last four, but note that the Cougars are still 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. This is a very manageable spread to cover; look for Houston to pull away down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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03-11-23 | Cornell +6.5 v. Yale | 60-80 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
8* Cornell (SPECIAL) Yale did finish 10-1 at home, but this is at a neutral site. THe Bulldogs come into the Tournament having won and covered in three straight, but note that Yale is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU/ATS covers in a row. Cornell finished 17-10. It went 0-3 SU/ATS over its final three. That however is also significant for us to note, as the Big Red are 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. Cornell went 1-1 vs. Yale this year. It won at home and lost on the road. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Cornell! AAA Sports |
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03-10-23 | Cavs v. Heat +1.5 | Top | 115-119 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
10* Heat (BLOOD-BATH) No need to overthink this one. I thik that the Cavs are the better team. I think the Heat have plenty of issues this year. That said Cleveland has been poor on the road, and Miami has been its best in front of the home town crowd. The Cavs are just 14-19 on the road, while the Heat are 21-13 in front of the home town crowd. These teams played just two nights ago in Cleveland and the Cavaliers won and covered by a score of 104-100. Note though that Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. A little "home cooking" is just what the doctor ordered here for Miami; grab the points, the play is the Heat! AAA Sports |