Matt Fargo
11-3 Overall sports Run. 241-206-9 NFL Run and Week 17 has FIVE Winners Saturday and Sunday. CFB 19-10 run. Bowls resume on Saturday. CBB 88-67 Run after a 5-0 Monday/Tuesday SWEEP. NBA 7-5 Run and back on Saturday.
PREMIUM PICK STREAKS
Top NFL Picks (+7790) 900-746 L1646 55%
All Sports Sides (+5758) 454-435 L889 51%
MLB Money Lines (+5276) 183-193 L376 49%
Top NHL Money Lines (+3936) 454-384 L838 54%
CFL Picks (+2446) 120-88 L208 58%
Top NBA Picks (+2121) 1834-1678 L3512 52%
Top Football Picks (+1833) 1567-1408 L2975 53%
Basketball Picks (+1778) 127-99 L226 56%
NCAA-B Sides (+1715) 88-64 L152 58%
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Orlando is coming off a loss against Charlotte last night by 15 points and the Magic are now on a 0-5-1 ATS run and now catching points in this second game of a back-to-back. The Magic sit sixth in the Eastern Conference after losing six of their past 10 as injuries continue to be an issue but that is levelled out tonight based on the Denver injuries as well. Jalen Suggs and both Wagners remain out with Franz getting close and Suggs remaining questionable. Denver is coming off a four-point win over Minnesota on Christmas following a rare road loss at Dallas which snapped an 11-game road winning streak. The Nuggets are without three starters of their own as Cameron Johnson, Aaron Gordon and Christian Braun are all out for tonight. Here, we play on home teams revenging a same season loss, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 99-46 (68.3 percent) since 2017. 10* (524) Orlando Magic
This is a play on the CSU NORTHRIDGE MATADORS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. The first game back from the Christmas break takes place on Saturday in a one off game night and we would stay away but there are some strong angles here. We are not a big proponent of road revenge but we are backing that here as CSU Northridge made it to the postseason last year for the first time since the 2019 CBI as it made it to the NIT only to lose at Stanford by 17 points. The Matadors won four straight games prior to the break and come in with renewed confidence after a 4-5 start. Stanford is off to a 10-2 start following a nine-point win over Colorado in Phoenix which was its third straight win. The Cardinal are now back home at Maples where there will be no students in what will be a tame atmosphere. ACC play starts next week as Stanford opens with a pair of games at home against Notre Dame and Louisville so the lookahead is there. 10* (619) CSU Northridge Matadors
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our Texas Bowl Annihilator. LSU was another Power 4 disappointment this season and head coach Brian Kelly paid the price as he was fired after a 49-25 loss to Texas A&M and the Tigers closed 2-2 after that under interim head coach Frank Wilson III. He will remain the coach in the Texas Bowl before he goes to Mississippi and the roster will be pretty decimated as he will be bringing a lot of players with him when he takes over an unknown role within the offense. The offense was bad to begin with and it will be Michael Van Buren at quarterback who will be making his fourth start. The Tigers are No. 117 in Offensive EPA and will be facing a very underrated Houston defense that started great, had a lapse and then ended great. The Houston offense got a boost as quarterback Conner Weigman announced shortly after the end of the regular season that he planned to return for his senior season after throwing for 2,475 yards and 21 touchdowns while rushing for 644 yards and 11 touchdowns. Cougars head coach Willie Fritz came into a below average situation and after going 4-8 in his first season, he led them to a 9-3 record. The opt-pouts and transfers are minimal and the Cougars are going to be extremely motivated in getting that tenth win. 10* (240) Houston Cougars
This is a play on the BYU COUGARS for our Pop Tarts Bowl Dominator. Motivation is a huge factor in bowl games and it can be hard to get a read on some teams on how motivated they will be and BYU is going to be highly motivated as it will be out to prove a point that it belonged in the CFP with the Cougars only two losses coming against Texas Tech. One positive sign for them is that head coach Kalani Sitake turned down Penn St. and signed an extension to stay in Provo and his players respect that immensely so they are in it for him and playing with that chip on their shoulder. The one main concern is that BYU will be without its top two running backs, Big 12 Offensive Player of the Year LJ Martin, and RB2 Sione Moa. Martin elected to have shoulder surgery last week to increase his healing time. It is a blow but the rest of the roster is intact. Georgia Tech head coach Brent Key said the matchup is just as important to his team, which was 8-0 and ranked in the top 10 at one point before dropping three of its last four. We do not like how the team finished so motivation can only go so far. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage between .600 and .800 after two or more consecutive straight up losses. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 2021. 10* (232) BYU Cougars
This is a play on the PENN ST. NITTANY LIONS for our Pinstripe Bowl Smash. The two biggest disappointments in the Power 4 square off in New York. Penn St. opened the season 3-0 then lost its next three games which led to the firing of head coach James Franklin and then losing its next three games with interim head coach Terry Smith before closing with three straight wins to become bowl eligible. Penn St. has been surprisingly good on offense as it is No. 26 in EPA and No. 18 in Success Rate and will be facing a defense that is No. 50 in EPA. Ethan Grunkemeyer was not horrible at quarterback as his numbers were arguably better than Drew Allar so it has not been a downgrade which many thought it would be. He has posted a higher completion percentage and a higher passer rating while putting up an equal yards per completion. Clemson will be down a ton due to injuries, transfers and opt-outs as 27 players will not see action including eight players that started in the regular season finale. Here, we play against teams on a neutral field averaging between 230 and 275 passing ypg going up against teams allowing between 175 and 230 passing ypg, in a non-conference game between two teams from Power 4 conferences. This situation is 24-11 (68.6 percent) since 2021. 10* (227) Penn St. Nittany Lions
This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Saturday Enforcer. We played against Houston last week as it survived a scare against the Raiders and pulled out a 23-21 win to make it seven straight wins while snapping a four-game ATS winning streak. The Texans were likely caught looking ahead to this game and took Las Vegas lightly as this is a big game where they can leapfrog the Chargers with a win and move from No. 7 to No. 6 or possibly even No. 5 should the Bills go down against the Eagles. Houston still has a shot at the AFC South albeit unlikely with the Jaguars up one game and closing with the slumping Colts and the Titans. The Chargers are back home following a pair of road wins to make it four straight victories and they can still take the AFC West with a win here and then a win at Denver in the season finale next week and they still have an outside shot at the No. 1 seed in the conference. They will be the public side here because they are at home and playing with revenge from a playoff loss last season where Justin Herbert tossed four interceptions. Here, we play on teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after seven or more consecutive wins. This situation is 36-19 (65.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (411) Houston Texans
SERVICE BIO
Matt Fargo is becoming recognized as one of the best and most consistent handicappers in the world. He has been handicapping professionally since his college days and his hard work and dedication have paid off considerably. In his 14 years of handicapping, Fargo has had winning seasons 11 times and has not had only one losing season in the past 10 campaigns. He brings with him numerous high ranking finishes in all sports with 23 Top Tens in the past five years alone including four #1's.
Matt has appeared on numerous radio shows over the last few years giving out sought after information, free plays and spot-on analysis that the bettor needs. He is commonly referred to as "Mr. Analysis" as his game day reports are considered to be some of the finest and most thorough available anywhere. If you want reasoning for a play, Matt gives it to you.
Rating Scale
Play Rating will be displayed in each title and range anywhere from 5* to 10* for Premium Plays and 3* for Free Plays.
Enforcer – this is the Signature Play for Matt and is usually backed with a 10* Rating unless otherwise noted.
Supreme Annihilator – this is typically a favorite or a pickem that Matt feels has the opportunity to destroy the line.
Dark Horse Dandy – this is an underdog that is being faded for the wrong reasons and usually has a chance to win a game outright.
Star Attraction – this is a game that can be seen on national television providing great watch and win opportunities.
Total Dominator – while rare, these are the best over/under releases and occur more in football and baseball than any other sports.
- Here are a few more of the basketball handicappers on our site: