Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #150 Under 40.5 in Minnesota Golden Gophers @ Northwestern Wildcats (12p.m., Saturday, November 23 ABC) The Gophers look to bounce back against after suffering their first loss of the season last time out at Iowa. They still have everything to play for and should be able to get back on track against Northwestern, a team that cannot move the football. Northwestern has gone under the posted total in 44 of their last 61 home games (1 push). Minnesota has gone under the posted total in 4 of their last 5 games played in the month of November. Do not miss Doc’s Sports Weekend Football card! Perfect 3-0 last Sunday and you can get all of our plays this week with a one-week football package. Sign-up now and let 48 years of handicapping experience work for you.
ASA FREE PICK #123 ASA PLAY ON Kansas State (+) over Texas Tech, Saturday at 7:00 PM ET - Our power ratings have KSU as a small favorite here so we feel the value is definitely on the Wildcats. Tech has been an underdog in every Big 12 home game this year and now they are laying points vs a 6-4 KSU team. Both teams are off misleading finals which has something to do with this number. The Wildcats lost at home vs West Virginia despite outgaining the Mountaineers 421-319. Texas Tech looks like they played well in their 33-31 home loss to TCU, however the Red Raiders were outgained 549 to 402. KSU was a 14-point favorite last week vs WVU and blew it with 24-20 loss despite dominating the stats as we mentioned. We expect them to play with some fire this week after that embarrassing loss. Tech, on the other hand, had to come from 21 points down at home vs TCU yet still lost expending serious physical and mental energy in the comeback. Falling short could have them flat this week. We have a huge edge defensively here with Kansas State allowing 116 fewer yards per game. Tech gives us a whopping 478 YPG (124th nationally) and 6.5 yards per play. They have allowed at least 30 points in 6 of their last 7 games. The Raiders have been outgained in every conference game but one this season. They should not be laying points in this game. Let’s remember that just a few weeks ago this KSU team beat Oklahoma followed that up with a blowout win over rival Kansas and then took Texas to the wire on the road in a 27-24 loss. Those 3 games led up to last week’s disappointing loss to WVU so it’s not as if this team was playing poorly. They are 4-2 ATS as a dog this year and have been a huge money maker in that role with a 44-22 ATS record dating back to 2009. They had a hiccup last week and they bounce back here with a road win.
Syracuse after a lousy season upset Duke last week by a 46-9 count as big underdogs. However in the past this program has experienced consistent loses against the spread in their followup of a big dog win . SYRACUSE is 2-11 ATS off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog with the average ppg diff clicking in at -19.8 ppg. Look for the inconsistency of the Orange to be on full display here vs a up trending Cardinal side that is off a recent home victory vs a decent Virginia side that is superior to their upstate NY guests.
CFB team (LOUISVILLE) - off a road win against a conference rival against opponent off a double digit upset win as an underdog of 6 more are 28-7 ATS L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Louisville to cover
10* FREE NCAAF PICK (Nebraska -6)
I'll take my chances here with Nebraska winning by at least a touchdown on the road against the Terps. I can only imagine what this number would have been to start the season, as the Cornhuskers have come no where close to expectations. With that said, Nebraska is sitting there at 4-6 and has a shot to make a bowl if they can win this one and beat Iowa at home next week.
I know they have lost 4 straight, but two of those were by 7 or less and they were a lot more competitive than last week's final score of 37-21 against Wisconsin. Maryland is simply a dumpster fire right now. Some of it's a lack of talent, but they have also been decimated by injuries. They just can't score. They have had 6 games out of their 10 where they scored 17 or fewer. Their only two wins against Power 5 teams are against Syracuse and Rutgers. The other is a win over Howard.
No concerns for me with the Terps off a bye, as they are just 3-11 ATS last 14 times off a bye week. They are 5-12 ATS last 17 at home vs a team with a losing road record and Nebraska is 7-3-1 ATS last 11 on the road vs a team with a losing home record. Give me the Cornhuskers -6!