1* Free Pick on Broncos +2½

Denver getting 2.5 at home against a Seattle team that just coughed the ball up 4 times is the number I want on Thursday night.

The Seahawks lost 32-29 to the 49ers on Sunday.

Sam Darnold threw 2 picks, and both Emanuel Wilson and George Holani lost fumbles.

Darnold is up to 5 interceptions in three full games this season after a league-worst 20 turnovers in 2025.

Now Seattle has to fix that on a short week, on the road, at altitude.

That's a bad spot for a sloppy offense.

The injury report doesn't help.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba is questionable with an ankle issue after being estimated as limited on both practice reports.

Zach Charbonnet remains out.

Asked if Charbonnet would play, Mike Macdonald said, "As of right now, the answer is no, subject to change".

That leaves Wilson, fresh off a fumble, leading the backfield.

If Smith-Njigba is limited or out, there isn't much behind him.

Cooper Kupp has seen three or fewer targets in four of five games.

Rashid Shaheed has 9 catches for 96 yards with no receiving touchdowns.

Denver isn't pretty on offense at 19.4 points a game, but the Broncos are 3-2 and just won 23-17 at the Chargers.

That defense held Los Angeles to 17 without Pat Surtain.

Surtain is doubtful again and Riley Moss is questionable, which is why the points are here.

I'll take them.

A home team off a road win, catching 2.5 against a turnover machine on a short week, is value at this price.

I like the Broncos

1* FREE INFO PLAY Seahawks vs Broncos under 41 -115