1* Free Sharp Play on Bucs vs Cowboys under 48½ -110

1* Free Pick on Bucs/Cowboys: under 47½

This total is priced off Sunday's shootout, and short-week Thursday football rarely delivers a sequel.

Dallas just played a 64-point game.

The Cowboys trailed Houston 16-6 at halftime and stole it 34-30, with Dak Prescott throwing 45 times for a season-high 335 yards and CeeDee Lamb soaking up 21 of those targets.

That performance is built into 47.5.

Dallas is averaging 30.5 points and allowing 28 through four games, so the books have already pushed this number up.

You make money when you buy, not when you sell, and the buy price on the over here is the worst it's been all season.

Now both teams turn around on three days' rest.

Thursday games get sloppy.

Game plans shrink, legs are heavy, and offenses that live on rhythm tend to look a step slow.

The Cowboys are also patching the offensive line.

Tackle Drew Shelton is doubtful and unlikely to be cleared for Thursday.

Guard Tyler Smith was only cleared to return to practice Monday after opening the season on injured reserve, and he was limited in his first session back.

Getting him activated on a short week is a stretch.

Outside of Lamb, the passing game is thinner than the scores suggest.

Cowboys tight end Jake Ferguson sits at 0.71 yards per route run with just 12 catches for 83 yards.

If Lamb doesn't see 21 targets again, Dallas has to grind this one out.

Take the inflated number before it drops.

I like the Under

1* FREE INFO PLAY Bucs vs Cowboys under 48 -110

Our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to cover the spread against the Dallas Cowboys on Thursday at 8:15pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Tampa Bay hasn't won a single game yet. But, the good thing is that the division isn't great either this season.

The Buccaneers didn't look that bad last week with Daniels in at QB.

With a week under his belt, we're anticipating Daniels to have an even better performance on Thursday.

Dallas hasn't been extremely impressive either, winning just two of it's first four games.

The Cowboys have allowed 112 points over the four games -- an average of 28.0 points a game.

We're on TB.

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