Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Minnesota Timberwolves -7.5

The Minnesota Timberwolves have quietly gone 5-3 SU & 5-3 ATS in their last eight games overall with all three losses by single-digits to the Heat, Pelicans and Grizzlies.  They have upset wins over the Warriors and Jazz (twice) during this streak.  They clearly aren't just playing out the string.

The same cannot be said for the Pistons, who are 1-6 SU & 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.  Four of those six losses came by double-digits against a very soft schedule.  The Pistons have decided to sit a bunch of their best players here down the  stretch as it appears they are intentionally losing games.  They are without Grant, McGruder, Ellington, Diallo and Plumlee right now and are likely to be without Joseph, Frank Jackson and Josh Jackson.

The Timberwolves are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six road games.  The Pistons are 1-5 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the Timberwolves Tuesday.

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Free Total Annihilator On Heat vs Celtics over 222½ -110

1* on Bulls +5 -110

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Chip's FREE Winner

Miami at Boston 7:30 ET

Heat over Celtics- This is a rematch of Chip's lone Sunday NBA release, his Megabucks winner as the Heat handled Boston as a small 1.5 underdog. Boston has lost three of four and six of nine and will the season ending injury to Jaylen Brown who was averaging 24/7 points and six rebounds. Miami has had the best of the Celtics not only in last year's Eastern Finals but overall and is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Boston. Despite this take Boston!

Mikey Sports FREE NBA play Tuesday 5-11-21

LA Clippers -12 1/2

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Dave's Tuesday Free Play:

1* on Milwaukee Bucks -13

The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks lost on a blowout last night to the San Antonio Spurs.  They should still be pretty fresh because their starters didn't play big minutes.  And they had 2 days off prior to that defeat.  Look for the Bucks to come back hungry tonight for a win after having their 5-game winning streak come to an end.  They are just one game behind the Nets for 2nd place in the East with plenty to play for.  The Magic have nothing to play for and it is showing as they are resting a bunch of players.  The Magic are just 4-16 SU & 7-13 ATS in their last 20 games overall.  They have lost 3 straight games by double-digits to the Celtics by 36, the Hornets by 10 and the Timberwolves by 32.  The Bucks are 6-0 SU in their last 6 matchups with the Magic with all 6 wins coming by 14 points or more, including wins by 22 and 37 points in their 2 matchups this season.  Take Milwaukee.

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1* NBA - Knicks/Lakers *FREE PICK* on Lakers -4.5 

Tuesday's Free NBA Pick is on the Los Angeles Lakers as a 4.5-point home favorite against the New York Knicks. With LeBron James expected back in the lineup after missing the last few and Kyle Kuzma returning after sitting out their last game, this is just too good a price to pass up with LA. 

I know the Knicks have been playing great and off road win against the Clippers, but this is now their 6th road game in the last 10 days. Lakers are playing just their 2nd game in 4 days. 

I also think that while LA is 1.5-games back of Portland with just 4 to play and need to finish ahead with the Blazers holding the tie-breaker, they have to feel like they got a chance to get out of this play-in tournament. After the Knicks they finish up with Houston, @ Pacers and @ Pelicans. Blazers last 3 are @ Utah, @ Suns and Nuggets. Bet the Lakers -4.5! 

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1* Free Wiseguy Play on Heat -1½ -110

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Miami Heat -1.5

The Miami Heat jumped out to a 79-53 halftime lead over the Boston Celtics on Sunday before calling off the dogs in the second half.  That made the final score of 130-124 appear much closer than the game really was.  Look for the Heat to put it on the Celtics again Tuesday knowing that they want to try and get in the Top 6 in the East to avoid the play-in round of the playoffs, and the Celtics are the team that is trying to chase them down.  That's why they won't take Boston lightly in the rematch after just beating them.  Boston just isn't good enough now that Jaylen Brown is out for the season with a wrist injury to hang with a healthy Heat team.  The Heat are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games overall and clearly in playoff mode right now.  The Celtics are 3-6 SU & 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall and stumbling to the finish line.  Give me the Heat.

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This is a huge spread tonight. Especially since the Clippers have covered only two of their last nine games. They are getting healthy but a bunch of players are getting back into the rotation that are rusty. This team seems to be trying to tune up for the postseason instead of winning right now. These teams played last week in LA and the Clippers needed a big rally to win the game late in the fourth. That showed us that Toronto matches up well. They have also covered in nine of the last 13 meetings. Toronto is eliminated from the postseason. But they have pride. And they will be facing their old best player in Kawhi Leonard, and that should be enough to give them the motivation to keep this one within double digits. 

1* Free Play on Nets -5½ -110