FREE PICK: Boston Red Sox -125
We cashed the Red Sox/Astros O 9 runs with ease in Game 3, as Boston went on to win that game 12-3. Even thought I don't like the OVER as much in Game 4, I definitely wouldn't take the UNDER, especially with it being bumped up to 10.
I do see quite a bit of value with Boston -125 on the money line. Not only do I love the Red Sox offense at home, but I think they got a pretty big edge on the mound with them sending out Nick Pivetta and the Astros going with Zack Greinke.
Pivetta hasn't made a start in the playoffs, both of his appearances came in relief in their series with Tampa Bay. He wasn't great in the first outing, but pitched outstanding in Game 4 of the ALDS, giving up just 3 hits with 7 K's in 4 scoreless innings.
I trust him a lot more than I do Greinke. He too hasn't made a start. His only action came in 1 inning of relief in a blowout loss to the White Sox. He was awful down the stretch of the regular-season. In his last 3 starts he gave up 19 runs on 19 hits in 13 innings. It would be one thing if he was facing a slumping offense, but Boston is scoring runs in bunches every single time they take the field. Give me the Red Sox -125!
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