Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-15-16 | Kent State v. Bowling Green UNDER 55 | 7-42 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
302 Kent State at Bowling Green While the Mid-American Conference is thought of as a high scoring league we often find value on the under when these teams play in the national spotlight. Face it, the general sports bettor wants scoring and lots of it, which is why this MACtion games have been so successful for ESPN. Last week these two combined for 66 and 58 points so the first reaction would be for another high scoring MAC contest. But we only made this line 47.1 which gives us a full touchdown advantage on the under in this contest. Kent State is a very good defensive team in this conference, and the Falcons have gotten better on that side of the ball as the season has unfolded. Look for a lower scoring contest here. PLAY UNDER |
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11-12-16 | Illinois +26.5 v. Wisconsin | 3-48 | Loss | -106 | 44 h 21 m | Show | |
163 Illinois at Wisconsin The Fighting Illini have been at its best away from home this season. Despite a 1-2 road mark this team had a 6.1 to 5.9 yards per play advantage at Nebraska and crushed Rutgers 24-7. Coming off a confidence building win over Michigan State we like the Illini to keep this one close. This is definitely a soft spot in the Wisconsin schedule. The last six games the Badgers have played Northwestern, Nebraska, Iowa, Ohio State, Michigan and Michigan State. Two of those games had to be decided in overtime. After winning three straight games by margins of 14, 6 and 8 points, we can really see this Badger team going through the motions here. Especially when you consider the Badgers have beaten Illinois five straight seasons. From a mathematical standpoint catching upwards of 27 points in a game totaled at 39 is an easy take. PLAY ILLINOIS |
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11-12-16 | Appalachian State +1 v. Troy | Top | 24-28 | Loss | -115 | 49 h 22 m | Show |
159 Appalachian State at Troy The Mountaineers have won both meetings with the Trojans by margins of 3 and 39 points the last two years. The 44-41 triple overtime game from a year ago was with the Mountaineers as a 24 point favorite. That game was sandwiched between two Thursday games with contenders Georgia Southern and Arkansas State. You can bet coach Satterfield will remind his team of that situation from a year ago. With only ULM and New Mexico State remaining on the schedule Appalachian State can focus fully on Troy here. Troy has put together a really good season, but this team hasn’t played a good team since the September 10th meeting at Clemson. The Trojans have been a 9 point or larger favorite in each of the last five games. App State has the much more explosive team despite playing a slightly tougher schedule. This team knows how to win on the road and we expect a solid victory over the Trojans. PLAY APPALACHIAN STATE |
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11-12-16 | SMU +7 v. East Carolina | 55-31 | Win | 100 | 50 h 14 m | Show | |
133 SMU at East Carolina Chad Morris really laid into his team after that 51-7 blowout loss at home vs Memphis last week, and the players got the message. After winning just 3 games combined the past two seasons, the players were feeling high and mighty after back to back wins over Tulane and Houston. That reality lesson should make this Mustang a fired up squad come Saturday. SMU has performed well on the road with outright wins at Tulane and North Texas, along with taking Tulsa to overtime. East Carolina beat NC State was back on September 10th but have lost 6 of 7 since. The offense has struggled in the red zone and the defense has been shredded on a regular basis. Line play has been a major factor with the Pirates sitting at a -20 on the season in sacks. SMU on the other hand is +6 on the season. That line play gives us a huge edge here as we expect the Mustangs to avenge back to back losses to the Pirates. PLAY SMU |
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11-12-16 | Baylor v. Oklahoma UNDER 79 | 24-45 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
200 Baylor at Oklahoma This Baylor offense is not even close to previous versions, scoring just 22 last week against a questionable TCU stop unit. The only times it reached 40 points was against SMU, Iowa State and Kansas. Only once in those three games did the Bears surpass 5.7 yards per play. Oklahoma has held 6 of 9 opponents to less than 5.3 yards per play. This defense has really tightened up since Texas Tech put up 59 points against them. With a very high total in an early start game we look for this contest to be lower scoring than projected. PLAY UNDER |
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11-12-16 | Kentucky +14 v. Tennessee | Top | 36-49 | Win | 100 | 41 h 42 m | Show |
165 Kentucky at Tennessee Not buying into the line movement here as Kentucky has been every bit as good as Tennessee the last month. The Wildcats have a sizable explosive play advantage on the season of 1.4 per game over the Volunteers. In matching up similar opponents and using 3.5 as home field advantage we see Kentucky fares very closely to Tennessee. The Wildcats were -34.5 against Florida while Tennessee was +6.5. That was the clear outlier when looking at these games. Against South Carolina it was +3.5 for the Wildcats and +0.5 for Tennessee. Against Alabama it was -24.5 for KY and -42.5 for TN. Versus Georgia it was -6.5 for the Wildcats and +6.5 for the Volunteers. With Tennessee expected to be the SEC East Champions coming into the season, we can fade this team down the stretch. Off three straight losses there is no way Tennessee deserves this much credit in the betting marketplace. PLAY KENTUCKY |
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11-11-16 | Boston College v. Florida State OVER 47.5 | 7-45 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
117 Boston College at Florida State The better team usually dictates the pace and it’s clear who is considered the superior team here. While Boston College was excellent defensively the last two seasons the same cannot be said this year, especially when playing solid offensive teams. The Eagles permitted 49 to Virginia Tech, 56 to Clemson and 52 to Louisville. Tough to play under this number when facing another team who has had defensive problems all season. Florida State has held just one opponent under 19 points this year and that was Wake Forest in a 17-6 victory. This team has permitted 34, 63, 35, 37, 19, 37 and 20 points in every other game. We all know the Seminoles can put up points in a hurry, and we expect this to be a higher scoring game. In looking at explosive plays the Eagles produce 8.0 per contest while the Seminoles sit at 12.9 per game. That average of 10.45 is a full 2 explosive plays higher than any other game lined in the 40’s this week. That gives us a tremendous advantage against this current line. PLAY OVER |
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11-10-16 | UL-Lafayette +8 v. Georgia Southern | 33-26 | Win | 100 | 49 h 43 m | Show | |
113 UL Lafayette at Georgia Southern While the Ragin’ Cajuns haven’t overwhelmed this season the defense has been impressive. The last six FBS opponents have produced 23, 3, 24, 37 in double overtime, 41 in four overtimes and 23 points. On the road UL Lafayette lost by two in four overtimes at Tulane, lost by six in two overtimes at New Mexico State and beat Texas State by 24. This is just the fourth game in six weeks for the Ragin’ Cajuns who have had a nice rest with two bye weeks. Georgia Southern on the other hand is playing for the sixth straight week after facing a physical Mississippi team a week ago. At home against FBS competition the Eagles struggled against ULM in a 23-21 win and lost to Appalachian State by 24 points. In yards per play this club has been outgunned in seven straight contests. Not the type of team we want laying close to double digits. Give us the Ragin’ Cajuns on Thursday to take this one to the wire. PLAY UL LAFAYETTE |
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11-09-16 | Toledo v. Northern Illinois +7 | 31-24 | Push | 0 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
106 Toledo and Northern Illinois at Chicago The numbers point to Toledo being the favorite here but take a look at the discrepancy between the schedules of these two teams. By far Toledo’s toughest opponent was a 55-53 loss at BYU. Other than that game the next toughest opponent for the Rockets was likely Ohio U, a 31-26 home loss. Northern Illinois on the other hand lost at Wyoming in overtime, were blown out at South Florida, lost at home to San Diego State and lost by 15 at undefeated Western Michigan. Three of those four games were played in the first three contests of the season, right after star QB Drew Hare was lost for the season. This is a totally different Huskies team that the one who was finding its way early on. Northern Illinois has won six straight against the Rockets, including outright underdog wins as a 7 and 8 1/2 point dog. While this is technically a neutral game the Huskies will have the crowd advantage. It also has an extra day to prepare after playing last Tuesday. PLAY NORTHERN ILLINOIS |
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11-08-16 | Eastern Michigan +1 v. Ball State | Top | 48-41 | Win | 100 | 23 h 1 m | Show |
101 Eastern Michigan at Ball State The Eagles have dropped five straight in this series, but keep in mind this team posted a 13-47 overall record during that time. This Chris Creighton squad is far superior to any of those teams. In fact, a win here and the Eagles will become bowl eligible. After back to back losses to Western Michigan and an improving Miami Ohio, a victory here is paramount before heading into the bye week. Ball State has dropped 4 of 5 overall with the lone victory coming at Buffalo in a non-covering affair. The running game for the Cardinals is quality but this Eastern Michigan run defense is much tougher than in past years. We can see the Eagles putting a lot of pressure on the Ball State signal caller, making the offense one dimensional. Eastern has the much more explosive team averaging +1.1 explosive plays per game while Ball State sits at a -1.6. PLAY EASTERN MICHIGAN |
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11-05-16 | Nebraska +17 v. Ohio State | Top | 3-62 | Loss | -104 | 78 h 35 m | Show |
415 Nebraska at Ohio State Only one team all season has scored more than 22 points in regulation against the Huskers. That was Oregon way back in week three who tallied 32. The last five games Nebraska has permitted 17, 14, 22, 16 and 13 points in regulation. Tough not to like a sizable underdog with a defense like that. Ohio State is really struggling offensively. Without JT Barrett being 100% it takes away the ability for the QB to run from the pocket. The last four games Ohio State has produced 5.9, 5.0, 5.6 and 5.4 yards per play. These two clubs faced two good conference opponents this year, Northwestern and Wisconsin. In regulation Ohio State outscored those two by 4 total points, Nebraska outscored the same two teams in regulation by 11 points. So why are the Buckeyes such a prohibitive favorite? Public perception. PLAY NEBRASKA |
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11-05-16 | East Carolina +8.5 v. Tulsa | 24-45 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 18 m | Show | |
353 East Carolina at Tulsa The Pirates have defeated the Golden Hurricane six straight meetings, yet the early money has been all over the host. Last week East Carolina finally had success in the red zone which has been a problem in the early going. This club was moving the ball well between the 20’s but finally found the end zone with regularity against a good defensive team in Connecticut. Tulsa under Philip Montgomery averaged 37.2 ppg a year ago, and 59 and 50 the past two games this season. So there is little problems offensively. The problem is a defense that has permitted 27 points or more in the past six games. That includes 41 to Fresno State, 40 to SMU and 27 to a limited Tulane squad. On the season Tulsa has a -0.6 explosive plays per game average. This despite playing a five point easier schedule than the Pirates, who are exactly even in explosive plays this season. Too many points to lay with this weak defense. PLAY EAST CAROLINA |
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11-05-16 | Maryland +31 v. Michigan | 3-59 | Loss | -109 | 74 h 56 m | Show | |
347 Maryland at Michigan No need to rush out for this one as its very likely the line will continue to rise with the Wolverines. Maryland has been a different team this year with Perry Hills behind center. He was injured in the first half against Penn State and the drop-off was immediate. Now that he’s back at QB Maryland has a chance to make a game of it. The Terrapins put up 28 against Michigan State and 36 last week against Indiana. Michigan is the superior team but this line is inflated. Just last week the Wolverines struggled to put away the Spartans, giving 24 1/2 points. We have Michigan State 3 points better than Maryland, so the correct line should be 27 1/2 at the most. If you discount the games Hills didn’t play the Terrapins would likely be a 24 point underdog. That gives us plenty of line value on the underdog. With Maryland playing with shutout revenge for a 28-0 loss a year ago, we back the road underdog. PLAY MARYLAND |
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11-05-16 | Charlotte +20 v. Southern Miss | Top | 38-27 | Win | 100 | 74 h 38 m | Show |
357 Charlotte at Southern Miss Charlotte was a team getting a lot of press in the offseason with 16 returning starters. After facing Louisville, Eastern Michigan and Temple that hype dissipated. But looking back we see that all three of those teams are much improved, which gives us value on the 49ers now. The last three games Charlotte has outscored the opposition 81 to 74 despite playing two of those games on the road. The 49ers also have a slightly better explosive plays per game average than does the Golden Eagles, despite playing a little tougher schedule. Charlotte is off a bye after winning at Marshall by 3, while Southern Miss just beat the Thundering Herd at home by 10. There is no way the Golden Eagles deserve to be favorites of this magnitude. The Golden Eagles own just one FBS victory by more than this spread, and that was over UTEP, in a game it only had a 0.9 yards per play advantage. PLAY CHARLOTTE |
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11-05-16 | Fresno State +15.5 v. Colorado State | Top | 0-37 | Loss | -106 | 73 h 9 m | Show |
371 Fresno State at Colorado State Don’t look now but the Bulldogs have become major money makers after the firing of head coach Tim DeRuyter. Four straight covers by a combined total of 16 1/2 points. After blowing a huge lead and losing in overtime to Tulsa, followed by a 25 point loss at UNLV, this team was left for dead. Not anymore as this club is playing with new enthusiasm. Colorado State has three FBS wins on the season, against UTSA, Utah State and UNLV. In two of those three games the Rams lost the yards per play category. In all three of those games Colorado State won the turnover battle. This is the first time all season this club has been a double digit favorite. The last time in that role was against these very same Bulldogs last year, and the Rams only won that game 34-31. We look for more of the same here. PLAY FRESNO STATE |
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11-03-16 | UCLA +12 v. Colorado | Top | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 58 h 17 m | Show |
315 UCLA at Colorado The Bruins have beaten the Buffaloes all five times since Colorado joined the PAC12. In every meeting UCLS has been a double digit favorite. Just last year Colorado was getting 23 points in Los Angeles. Now the Buffalos have been installed as a double digit favorite Thursday at home. While there is a drop-off at quarterback without Rosen, this line is saying its an eight point line adjustment. With last week off for the Bruins, the team can make the needed adjustments at quarterback. Just three weeks ago the Buffaloes gave Arizona State 11 1/2 points here. We have UCLA a full 10 points better with a healthy Rosen. Once again the line here has been overblown. Too many points to not back the Bruins here off its worst defensive effort of the year. PLAY UCLA |
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11-01-16 | Bowling Green +17 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 20-45 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 7 m | Show |
301 Bowling Green at Northern Illinois What a difference a year makes with these two schools. The last three seasons these programs played for the MAC Championship. Now neither will be making the big game. Mike Jinks took over for Dino Babers this season and the club was overwhelmed from the start, much like what happened to Northern Illinois this season. But both clubs have settled down now that conference action is underway. Just three weeks ago Bowling Green traveled to Ohio U and were installed as a 12 point underdog, in a 30-24 Bobcats win. Now the line is 5 points higher against a Huskies team that we have power rated as equal to Ohio U. That gives us plenty of value with the Falcons on Tuesday. Bowling Green still turns the ball over way too often, but the offense is starting to click. Bowling Green has produced 24 points or more in its last four games, against some of the better defenses in the MAC no less. Last time out Northern Illinois crushed Buffalo 44-7. But the offensively challenged Bulls lost the turnover battle by 4 in the first half in that game. The Bulls never had a chance to compete. Northern is the better team but this line is outrageous. PLAY BOWLING GREEN |
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10-29-16 | Tulsa v. Memphis -6.5 | Top | 59-30 | Loss | -106 | 56 h 32 m | Show |
162 Tulsa at Memphis The Golden Hurricane has lost to Memphis by 24 and 20 points the past two seasons. The only FBS victories this season for Tulsa have come against San Jose State, Fresno State, SMU and Tulane. The middle two games coming in overtime. Memphis has suffered just two losses on the year, at Mississippi and at Navy. Two teams much better than Tulsa. The Tigers have a +1.5 explosive plays per game more than the Golden Hurricane while playing almost identical strength of schedules. Look for another double digit victory for Memphis. PLAY MEMPHIS |
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10-29-16 | Boise State -13.5 v. Wyoming | 28-30 | Loss | -106 | 54 h 6 m | Show | |
187 Boise State at Wyoming The last six years Boise has beaten the Cowboys by margins of 20, 49, 41, 31, 22 and 45 points. The Broncos have two extra days to prepare after outlasting BYU last Thursday. Boise has played a 2 point tougher schedule and still has a 4.7 explosive plays per game edge over Wyoming. The Cowboys are starting to get a lot of press as of late, but the wins over Northern Illinois, Colorado State, Air Force and Nevada all have one thing in common. Every one of those clubs are having a down year. We see no reason why the Broncos cannot continue the dominance in this series. PLAY BOISE STATE |
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10-29-16 | Arizona State v. Oregon -8 | Top | 35-54 | Win | 100 | 52 h 57 m | Show |
202 Arizona State at Oregon The Sun Devils have dropped 3 of 4 as of late with the offense averaging just 22.8 points per game. The quarterback position has been hampered with injuries and the starting center is out for this game. In three road games this season Arizona State is 0-3 ATS with spread losses of 12 1/2, 12 and 17 1/2 points. Oregon looked good coming out of the bye giving California all it could handle in a double overtime loss. On the season the Ducks have played a 5 point tougher schedule and still owns a 2.4 explosive play per game average over the Sun Devils. With the Ducks being winless on the season ATS there is tons of value on this Oregon squad. PLAY OREGON |
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10-29-16 | Northwestern +27 v. Ohio State | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 51 h 59 m | Show | |
169 Northwestern at Ohio State The Wildcats are 21-9 ATS in the role of road underdogs, including three straight outright victories over Wisconsin, Iowa and Michigan State. The only losses on the season have come against Western Michigan and Nebraska, two undefeated teams by a combined margin of 12 points. Many will look to back the Buckeyes and Urban Meyer off a loss. But this Ohio State offense just can’t be trusted in this price range. The last three games the Buckeyes have averaged 5.0, 5.6 and 5.4 yards per play. That’s far from an elite offense. Ohio State and Meyer are an extremely good team but this isn’t the elite squad the talking heads would have you believe. Ohio State is on a 4-7 run as home favorites, and this is a very lofty spread. PLAY NORTHWESTERN |
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10-29-16 | Maryland v. Indiana -5 | 36-42 | Win | 100 | 51 h 59 m | Show | |
142 Maryland at Indiana This is just the second Big 10 road game of the season for the Terrapins. The first being a 38-14 loss at Penn State. Last year the only road conference win for Maryland was the season finale at Rutgers. Indiana has taken a great deal of money in the betting marketplace the last couple weeks in losses to Northwestern and Nebraska. The line movements were incorrect then, but in our opinion now is the time to back the host. Indiana has played a 6 point tougher schedule than Maryland and is sitting at a bargain price. The Hoosiers won at Maryland last year and we expect a double digit victory here. PLAY INDIANA |
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10-29-16 | Army v. Wake Forest -5.5 | Top | 21-13 | Loss | -115 | 53 h 8 m | Show |
132 Army at Wake Forest The Black Knights gained a lot of attention in knocking off Temple 28-13 as a 13 1/2 point underdog to start the season. But since then Army is 2-3 vs FBS competition with the only wins coming against Rice & UTEP. In fact, This team has played one of the weakest schedules in the entire FBS. How about facing North Texas, Duke, Buffalo, UTEP and Rice the past five FBS games. This team has dropped three straight ATS by a combined margin of 53 points. Army is an overrated squad right now in the betting markets. Wake Forest has beaten Army each of the last four seasons and has already faced an option team in Tulane in the season opener. The Demon Deacons are off a bye and have cashed 4 of 5 games heading into this clash. The last two games Wake held Florida State and Syracuse to a combined 26 points. This line is cheap based on the perceived improvement from Army. Keep in mind there is a huge strength of schedule edge here for the host as Wake Forest has played a 14 point tougher schedule than the Black Knights. PLAY WAKE FOREST |
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10-29-16 | Duke v. Georgia Tech -5.5 | 35-38 | Loss | -115 | 47 h 14 m | Show | |
176 Duke at Georgia Tech Duke has won the last two meetings against the Yellow Jackets, but dropped ten straight before that. Duke is 2-4 SU on the season against FBS competition and have lost the yards per play battle in every single contest. That includes games against the likes of Virginia and Army. Many will talk about the effort against Louisville last time out for the Blue Devils. A 24-14 loss. But keep in mind the Cardinals outgunned Duke 7.7 to 4.0 in yards per play. Georgia Tech has a 3.3 explosive play per game advantage over Duke, and that is despite playing a tougher schedule. We get to take advantage of a weak team here, and the line is very cheap. PLAY GEORGIA TECH |
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10-28-16 | Navy v. South Florida -6.5 | 45-52 | Win | 100 | 54 h 53 m | Show | |
114 Navy at South Florida The Midshipmen have been a bit lucky scheduling wise as of late. After upsetting Houston the game at East Carolina was cancelled because of the hurricane flooding. That avoided a letdown situation. The team took advantage of the extra week off by beating Memphis on Saturday. Now with a possible lookahead to Notre Dame next week we have Navy taking to the road to face South Florida. Not only are the Bulls coming off an embarrassing 16 point loss at Temple, this team is playing with revenge for a 29-17 loss last year at Navy. Willie Taggart was stressing physicality in practice this week and we expect a supreme effort from the host. Quinton Flowers left the Temple game because of injury but he’s 100% this week according to the coaching staff. With a bye on deck for the host this game is a must win for USF. The Bulls have a 1.6 explosive plays per game advantage here despite having played a 2 1/2 point tougher schedule. This line is very cheap. PLAY SOUTH FLORIDA |
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10-27-16 | Akron v. Buffalo +17.5 | 20-41 | Win | 100 | 32 h 46 m | Show | |
106 Akron at Buffalo Strong spot play here for the Bulls who are off a road trip to Northern Illinois and play on the road again next week at Ohio. The Buffalo offense has picked up the pace a bit as of late producing 229 and 199 offensive first half yards the past two games. The problem was a -4 turnover disadvantage in the first half last week against Northern Illinois. This Buffalo offense isn’t built to come from behind so the second half showing last week was a forgone conclusion. Akron on the other hand win play three games in a 12 day span. It beat Ball State on the road last week in a furious second half comeback. Next Wednesday the Zips host MAC powerhouse Toledo. In the meantime Akron heads to the road to play the lowly Bulls. This is easily the least important game for the Zips, but the most important in this three game stretch for the Bulls. Finally we have the advantage of line value. Last week Akron was a 3 1/2 point underdog at Ball State. Basically meaning the two teams are rated the same if you use a 3 point home field advantage. Just two weeks ago Buffalo was an 11 point home dog to Ball State, now the line as we write this is at 17 1/2. So in just a week or so Akron is being rated 6 1/2 points higher than Ball State. Woodson is back at QB for the Zips but the weather should play to the Bulls. The game is supposed to be played in the rain with winds from 10-20 mph. That should slow down the passing attack of Akron, leading to Buffalo making this a game. By the way, the Bulls have beaten Akron four straight times in UB Stadium. PLAY BUFFALO |
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10-22-16 | Wyoming v. Nevada +4.5 | 42-34 | Loss | -105 | 73 h 18 m | Show | |
374 Wyoming at Nevada This game all comes down to buying low and selling high. Wyoming which has a huge home/road dichotomy, is off a satisfying home underdog win over Air Force followed by a bye. After beating Colorado State and Air Force you know this team is riding high and mighty with the week off. Nevada on the other hand has dropped 3 of 4 including a loss last week at lowly San Jose State. In that game the Wolf Pack held a 4.6 to 3.9 yards per play edge but were -2 in turnovers. Now with its own bye on deck it’s extremely important for Brian Polian and his crew to turn this season around. Before the season this line would have been around Nevada -12. So you can see how much perception of these two programs have changed. We look for the host to right the ship here and gain the outright victory. PLAY NEVADA |
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10-22-16 | Georgia Southern v. New Mexico State +14 | Top | 22-19 | Win | 100 | 77 h 21 m | Show |
396 Georgia Southern at New Mexico State The Eagles are 2-3 SU vs FBS competition on the season and 1-4 ATS. It has been out gained in yards per play in 4 of 5 games. Yet for some reason Georgia Southern has been installed as a double digit road favorite. It’s also the fourth straight road game for the Eagles and third straight since its bye week. The Eagles also have to play on Thursday hosting Appalachian State in a revenge matchup. Needless to say this is a terrible spot for the visitor. New Mexico State is just 2-4 SU vs FBS competition but did beat another ground oriented attack in in-state rival New Mexico. Coming off an embarrassing 55-23 loss at Idaho after a bye, you can be assured Doug Martin and his crew will be fired up for this home battle. The Aggies are undefeated in Aggie Memorial Stadium this year and have double revenge against this opponent. When looking at explosive plays the Aggies are +0.5 per game while the Eagles are -2.0 on the season. Georgia Southern just doesn’t have the breakout backs it has had in prior seasons. PLAY NEW MEXICO STATE |
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10-22-16 | UTEP +9.5 v. Texas-San Antonio | 52-49 | Win | 100 | 70 h 30 m | Show | |
383 UTEP at UTSA The Miners went into the bye week having lost five straight games to the likes of Texas, Army and Louisiana Tech. UTEP is 5-2 ATS as of late coming off a bye and we expect Sean Kugler to have his teams full attention here. Especially considering that it has double revenge against this UTSA squad. The Roadrunners have taken a lot of money lately as Frank Wilson and his crew look to be on the upswing. But keep in mind despite victories the last two weeks the wins came against Southern Miss and Rice, two of the most disappointing teams in college football. UTSA still has problems protecting the quarterback and putting pressure on opposing signal callers. The Roadrunners are now -17 in sacks against FBS competition this season. This team doesn’t have the line play to lay this type of number. PLAY UTEP |
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10-22-16 | Old Dominion +13.5 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 24-59 | Loss | -106 | 69 h 23 m | Show |
385 Old Dominion at Western Kentucky We’ve been very impressed by the job Bobby Wilder has done with the Monarchs. Three straight victories with the only FBS losses coming at Appalachian State at North Carolina State. With an extra week to prepare we look for Old Dominion to avenge two straight losses to the Hilltoppers. Western Kentucky has failed to cover the number in five straight games but it’s gone unnoticed because of a 3-3 straight up record. But this team could come in here a bit suggest after going to the wire against Middle Tennessee, Louisiana Tech, Vanderbilt and Miami Ohio. All games decided by seven points or less including two contests involving a total of three overtimes. Now it’s homecoming week with the team knowing it has dispatched the Monarchs by 17 and 15 points the previous two years. When looking at explosive plays the visitor has the edge at +1.2 per game as opposed to a -0.5 for the host. This one is decided very late. PLAY OLD DOMINION |
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10-22-16 | Purdue +24 v. Nebraska | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 73 h 55 m | Show | |
329 Purdue at Nebraska Nice spot here for the Boilermakers who relieved head coach Darrell Hazell of his duties after a 49-35 loss to Iowa last week. Hazel took over for Danny Hope before the 2013 season. In Hopes tenure the Boilermakers won 5, 4, 7 and 6 games. Under Hazell the team won 1, 3, 2 and have struggled against this season. But all is not lost in West Lafayette as this team has the talent to be competitive in this league. Especially in this spot against a Nebraska team that it has covered against the last two meetings. While the Cornhuskers are surely looking to avenge a 55-47 loss at Purdue last year, the scheduling spot is extremely rough. After a nip and tuck victory at Indiana a week ago the team has Wisconsin and Ohio State road games on deck. The Huskers have home loss revenge against the Badgers and Ohio State is the best team on its schedule. While the Huskers are undefeated straight up on the season, it’s just 4-2 in yards per play on the year. The Huskers have also gotten off to slow starts this season with its biggest halftime lead being 10 points hosting Wyoming. If the same thing happens here we can see the Purdue players gaining confidence which is what you can’t have with a favorite in this price range. PLAY PURDUE |
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10-22-16 | Ohio v. Kent State +3.5 | Top | 14-10 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 43 m | Show |
362 Ohio at Kent State The Bobcats are 3-3 SU on the season against FBS competition with a turnover margin advantage of plus 9. As we know turnovers for the most part are random and therefore the Bobcats have been very fortunate. In fact, last week was the first time Ohio U lost the turnover battle and in turn lost the game outright to Eastern Michigan. This team is rated higher by the gambling community than anyone who has watched this team play. Kent State is 1-4 SU on the season but has covered 3 of 5 games against the FBS. The offense obviously struggled against Penn State and Alabama but has averaged over 28 ppg against league opponents. That’s far better than the 9.1 ppg the Golden Flashes averaged a year ago. Speaking of a year ago, Kent State is looking to avenge a 27-0 shutout at the hands of this Bobcat team in Athens. With this being just the second home game against FBS opposition we can see the team fired up to exact some revenge. PLAY KENT STATE |
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10-22-16 | Central Florida v. Connecticut +3.5 | 24-16 | Loss | -103 | 63 h 53 m | Show | |
360 Central Florida at Connecticut The Knights sure have been taking a lot of money lately. While we love the job Scott Frost has done in Orlando, we still feel too much credit is being given to this young team. Last week we went against them with Temple and were fortunate to cover, but we still have the Huskies favored here. Connecticut has beaten the Knights by 27 and 8 points the past two seasons, covering the spread by a combined 47 points. While the Knights are far better than a year ago, this was a 9-4 team in 2014. Simply put there hasn’t been nearly enough improvement in this Knights team to close the huge gap between these two the last couple meetings. Connecticut isn’t pretty as the offense is pedestrian, but this defense has been solid. Just 2-4 on the season vs FBS competition this team remains under the radar. The Huskies are 6-3 SU at home the past two years with the loses coming to Navy, South Florida and a Syracuse team that just upset Virginia Tech. The Knights aren’t in that category as of yet. PLAY CONNECTICUT |
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10-15-16 | Temple +4 v. Central Florida | Top | 26-25 | Win | 100 | 52 h 58 m | Show |
123 Connecticut at South Florida The last nine games in this series have been decided by 8, 3 , 3, 7, 6, 3, 2, 4 and 7 points. So why is this line so much higher? Connecticut won outright in four of those nine games. This is a very tight series and this line is highly unusual. UConn isn’t going to dazzle you with a potent offense but this team knows how to play against superior competition. Just last year this club beat Houston outright as a double digit underdog and only lost 9-6 at Missouri catching 21 1/2 points. USF has a short week ahead as it takes on Temple on Friday. The Bulls only loss this season came against Florida State, as this is a very good football team. But we haven’t seen enough out of this squad to lay this type of number. PLAY CONNECTICUT |
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10-15-16 | Connecticut +20 v. South Florida | Top | 27-42 | Win | 100 | 51 h 25 m | Show |
123 Connecticut at South Florida The last nine games in this series have been decided by 8, 3 , 3, 7, 6, 3, 2, 4 and 7 points. So why is this line so much higher? Connecticut won outright in four of those nine games. This is a very tight series and this line is highly unusual. UConn isn’t going to dazzle you with a potent offense but this team knows how to play against superior competition. Just last year this club beat Houston outright as a double digit underdog and only lost 9-6 at Missouri catching 21 1/2 points. USF has a short week ahead as it takes on Temple on Friday. The Bulls only loss this season came against Florida State, as this is a very good football team. But we haven’t seen enough out of this squad to lay this type of number. PLAY CONNECTICUT |
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10-15-16 | North Carolina +7 v. Miami (Fla) | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 46 h 26 m | Show | |
139 North Carolina at Miami Florida Last week the Tar Heels played in a quagmire with Hurricane Matthew blowing into town. For a team that passes as much as North Carolina the hurricane made them quite one dimensional. Now we see an overreaction in the line as the betting public has written off this club. The same team who won outright at Florida State just two weeks ago. The same Florida State team who just beat this Miami squad in Miami. The Hurricanes finally played a decent team last week and lost at home. Before that Miami had faced Florida A&M, Florida Atlantic, Appalachian State and Georgia Tech. North Carolina has faced the likes of Georgia, Pittsburgh and Virginia Tech. Mark Richt is doing a fine job in Coral Gables but this team isn’t yet to the level to lay a touchdown against a team of North Carolina’s stature. This one goes down to the wire. PLAY NORTH CAROLINA |
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10-15-16 | Ball State v. Buffalo +10.5 | Top | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 48 h 6 m | Show |
122 Ball State at Buffalo The Cardinals are 2-3 straight up against FBS competition and haven’t been favored by double digits in ten games. The last time the Cardinals were such a big favorite it lost outright to Georgia State, failing to cover the spread by 25 points. When we break down explosive plays we find the host having the better numbers than this high priced road favorite. Buffalo is 1-3 vs FBS competition and are off back to back blowouts to Kent State and Boston College. But this line movement is too extreme as Kent State was favored by just 3 points last week. We only rate Ball State three points better than the Golden Flashes. So we are getting an additional four points here with a fired up home dog looking to make amends. An outright upset wouldn’t surprise. PLAY BUFFALO |
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10-15-16 | Eastern Michigan +7 v. Ohio | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 49 h 45 m | Show |
117 Eastern Michigan at Ohio U Been very impressed with the job Craig Creighton has done at Eastern Michigan this season. Since 2009 this team had been 15-69 and the laughingstock of the MAC. But this year his Eagles have been very competitive with a 3-2 SU record against FBS competition. What’s been especially good is that transpired despite a -4 turnover disadvantage. The last four games when looking at yards per play the Eagles have held their own. +1.9 ypp against Charlotte, +1.5 vs Wyoming, +1.2 against Bowling Green and were only outgunned by 20 point favorite Toledo by 0.2 yards per play. Ohio U is 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS vs FBS opposition. But keep in mind that this team has a turnover advantage of +10 and a sack advantage of +17 on the year. Teams that dominate those two stats should be much more successful. Coming off unimpressive victories over Miami Ohio and Bowling Green, we can clearly see the sell sign on the Bobcats. PLAY EASTERN MICHIGAN |
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10-15-16 | Vanderbilt +14 v. Georgia | Top | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 43 h 48 m | Show |
179 Vanderbilt at Georgia Second straight road game for the Commodores who are off a 20-13 loss at Kentucky. But teams who fail to cover in the first game of a back to back are an excellent play the following week. We saw this earlier in the season as the Commodores won outright at Western Kentucky after failing at Georgia Tech. That makes Vandy 5-0 ATS in that situation the last five years. Despite dropping game at Kentucky and Florida the past two weeks the Commodores beat both teams in yards per play. Georgia enters this game 3-2 SU against FBS members. Beating North Carolina by 9, Missouri by a single point and South Carolina by 14 when running back the onside kick at games end last week. We just haven’t seen enough out of this Georgia team to lay this type of number. Our explosive play chart rates Vandy much higher than the Bulldogs. Tough to lay this big of number without long touchdowns. PLAY VANDERBILT |
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10-14-16 | Mississippi State +7 v. BYU | 21-28 | Push | 0 | 36 h 33 m | Show | |
111 Mississippi State at BYU The Bulldogs are off a complete embarrassment last week at the hands of Auburn. That came after a bye week which really makes it bad for coach Dan Mullen. So we expect a major rebound from a team that won 9 and 10 games the previous two years. The last three seasons State is 10-4 ATS off a straight up loss. BYU on the other hand played five straight nail biter games decided by a field goal or less, and are off a 31-14 upset victory at Michigan State. With a Thursday night game against rival Boise State on deck, we can see the Cougars not being 100% focused here. PLAY MISSISSIPPI STATE |
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10-08-16 | Washington v. Oregon +9 | Top | 70-21 | Loss | -104 | 53 h 33 m | Show |
386 Washington at Oregon Coming into this season we were already aware of how good this Washington team would be, along with the expected drop-off of the Ducks. Yet all three of our power ratings made Oregon a 1 1/2 point favorite in this game. So what has happened this season to make this game 11 points higher? Virtually nothing other than a nationally televised blowout win over Stanford. A Cardinal team that had just beaten USC and UCLA the previous two weeks before taking on the Huskies on a short week. We take nothing away from this Washington team but keep in mind it had to go to overtime to beat Arizona the prior week. Oregon enters this game on a three game losing streak, dropping contests to Nebraska, Colorado and Washington State, three bowl worthy opponents. Over the last 10+ years the Ducks are 61-10 straight up in Autzen Stadium. Oregon enters this contest knowing it has beaten the Huskies 12 straight games, yet is installed as a sizable home underdog. This team has been a home dog just twice in this last decade plus. Winning both games outright and covering the spread by a whopping combined margin of 74 1/2 points! PLAY OREGON |
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10-08-16 | Northern Illinois +19.5 v. Western Michigan | Top | 30-45 | Win | 100 | 77 h 10 m | Show |
321 Northern Illinois at Western Michigan It’s a huge matchup of series history against current form. Northern Illinois has beaten Western Michigan seven straight times with the closest outcome being by 7 points. Western Michigan on the other hand have beaten the likes of Northwestern, Illinois and Central Michigan. PJ Fleck is a highly sought after coach who will likely be offered the Purdue job at years end. But this is not a very good spot for the Broncos. Last weeks blowout of Central Michigan was the legitimizer win for this program. After winning eight games each of the last two years the Broncos are now on the edge of the Top 25, and are talked about being a possible undefeated squad. But before we get too far ahead of ourselves Western Michigan fans, keep in mind you are +9 in turnover margin against FBS competition. In fact, the Broncos haven’t turned the ball over all season. That type of luck isn’t likely to continue as this team, coming into this season, were -4 in turnovers in the first three years of the PJ Fleck era. Northern Illinois is 1-4 on the season but a perfect 1-0 in MAC action. Losses at Wyoming in altitude, along with defeats at South Florida and San Diego State are excusable. Both those teams are Top 30 worthy. This is a veteran team with 58 lettermen returning along with a starting quarterback who transferred in from Western Michigan. That knowledge of the system can only help the Huskies. While Western is the clearly better team in the public eye, Northern Illinois knows how to beat this team. PLAY NORTHERN ILLINOIS |
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10-08-16 | Purdue +10.5 v. Illinois | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 49 h 53 m | Show | |
345 Purdue at Illinois Before the season we lined this game at Illinois by a touchdown, the line is now more than three points higher. Why? Because Purdue can’t hold onto the football. In the three FBS games the Boilermakers are -8 in turnover margin. You would have to go all the way back to 2002 to find a Purdue program with that type of turnover luck. The years prior to and afterward they had a +11 and +12 turnover margin. What we are trying to explain is there is a great deal of luck when predicting turnover margin, and we expect some regression. Purdue has major revenge with the Illini from a 48-14 home loss a year ago. Before you make the case that this team has a lot of revenge situations lately, let me explain. The prior meetings in this series were decided by 11, 4, 3 and 7 points. With Purdue winning 3 of those 4 games and the lone loss coming by four points. Against FBS competition Illinois has scored 23 against North Carolina, 10 against Western Michigan and 16 against Nebraska. That’s just over 16 points per game without playing any elite defenses. Tough to lay double digits in a close series when you can’t put a lot of points on the board. PLAY PURDUE |
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10-08-16 | Texas State +10.5 v. Georgia State | 21-41 | Loss | -115 | 49 h 42 m | Show | |
363 Texas State at Georgia State The Bobcats have won 2 of the 3 meetings against the Panthers, yet they have been installed as a sizable underdog. This is a team that has already faced the likes of Arkansas and Houston and beat Ohio U on the road. Everett Withers has this team believing in itself and after facing an FCS club last week will be well prepared to avenge that 41-19 home loss a year ago as a favorite. Since becoming at FBS program in 2011 the Panthers have produced a 6-26 straight up record at home. How many games has this team won in this building by double digits? Just twice against South Alabama and Troy, with the largest victory being 14 points. So you are asking a very poor home team with a minimal home field advantage to do something it rarely does, win by margin. Georgia State has played four games this season, scoring 21, 14, 17 and 3 points. That’s an average of just over 11 points per game. Very close to the current line in this contest. Tough to lay doubles when you yourself can’t put points on the board. PLAY TEXAS STATE |
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10-08-16 | Maryland v. Penn State +1.5 | 14-38 | Win | 100 | 46 h 34 m | Show | |
328 Maryland at Penn State The Terrapins are getting a lot of love right now with the line moving them to the favorite in this game. But while we like what DJ Durkin has done with this team, the excitement for this program doesn’t match the talent. The Terrapins have played Howard, Florida International, Central Florida and Purdue. The best of the bunch is a UCF team that also has a new coach and is going through a system change. While Maryland was able to beat the Knights 30-24 it was helped along by a +4 turnover advantage. The other teams have not been impressive in any way this season. Now Maryland is expect to beat Penn State outright in Happy Valley. Penn State is far more tested with games against Pittsburgh, Temple, Michigan and Minnesota. The Nittany Lions won 2 of those 4 contests with only the loss at Michigan being non-competitive. Penn State as a program isn’t where it used to be, but it’s still further along than Maryland. Before the season started we made Penn State a two touchdown favorite here, there has not been a 14 point change between these two programs thus far. PLAY PENN STATE |
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10-07-16 | Boise State v. New Mexico +17 | Top | 49-21 | Loss | -104 | 57 h 32 m | Show |
316 Boise State at New Mexico Many will look towards the revenge angle in this one as Boise State was shocked 31-24 last year, losing as a 31 point favorite. But a quick look at history shows that the Broncos have a terrible time against the option. When going against Air Force and New Mexico the past five years Boise State is 6-3 straight up but 0-9 ATS. In fact those spread losses have been by margins of 18, 38, 8, 27, 9, 1.5, 22.5, 3.5 and 18. That’s over 16 points per game against the spread. The Broncos played Utah State last week so it has no extra time to practice for the option. Bob Davie has done a tremendous job here in Albuquerque since taking over the program in 2012. After consecutive single win seasons from 2009 thru 2011 this club has posted win totals of 4, 3, 4 and 7 the past four seasons. That may not sound overly impressive to most, but people in the know are well aware of his coaching ability. An outright upset here would really not be out of the realm of possibility. PLAY NEW MEXICO |
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10-07-16 | Clemson v. Boston College +17 | 56-10 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 11 m | Show | |
312 Clemson at Boston College Obvious letdown spot here for the Tigers off that huge victory over Louisville on national television and it doesn’t help that next week they host NC State for homecoming. This Clemson offense isn’t nearly as potent as a year ago and this will be the best defense these Tigers have faced this season. Keep in mind the last three seasons Clemson has won by margins of 17, 4 and 10 points while averaging just 25 points per contest. It’s hard to lay 17 in a game in which you have only been able to score 25. This Clemson team only has 3 more explosive plays than they have allowed on the season. That includes games against Troy, South Carolina State and Georgia Tech. Boston College is not a potent offense but it has averaged just short of 15 ppg the last three meetings. It’s the third straight home game for the Eagles which have a bye on deck. The last time BC has been a double digit home dog was in 2014 against #9 USC, the Eagles won that game outright 37-31. PLAY BOSTON COLLEGE |
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10-06-16 | Temple +9.5 v. Memphis | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 77 h 6 m | Show | |
305 Temple at Memphis Surprised by the high line here as Temple has been an excellent 10-4 ATS when installed as a road underdog. The Owls have had its way against the Tigers winning by 19 last year in a 21 1/2 point cover. Cashing by 4 1/2 the previous year, and winning by 20 in 2013 in a 28 point cover. Temple is a team that doesn’t make mistakes and has won 13 of its last 19 games straight up. Memphis looked great against the likes of SE Missouri State, Kansas and Bowling Green. But the team stepped up in class against Ole Miss last week and lost by 20. The offensive line continues to struggle as the QB was under pressure all game. Memphis won 10 and 9 games the last two years under Justin Fuente and Paxton Lynch, but despite the early blowouts this team isn’t nearly as good. If the Tigers couldn’t cover against Temple with those two, we can’t see them distancing themselves from the Owls here. PLAY TEMPLE |
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10-05-16 | Georgia Southern v. Arkansas State +8.5 | 26-27 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
302 Georgia Southern at Arkansas State Money continues to pour in on Georgia Southern but is that really sharp money? Sure the Eagles have the better record and the stats show them to be the superior team, but take a look at the schedules. Georgia Southern has played Savannah State, South Alabama, Louisiana Monroe and Western Michigan. When stepping up in class to play the Broncos this team lost by 18 and had a -4 turnover disadvantage. Arkansas State on the other hand faced Toledo, Auburn, Utah State and Central Arkansas. The FCS loss to Central Arkansas is a major reason why this line is high, but teams off a loss to a lower division squad are teams we want to back the following game. The Red Wolves have won 7 games or better each of the last five years. In that time frame they have been home dogs just three times. With this being the first conference game for the Red Wolves the team can still reach the goal of winning the Sun Belt Conference. It’s a new season for Arkansas State and a nationally televised game in Jonesboro is just the ticket to get this bad taste out of the players mouths. PLAY ARKANSAS STATE |
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10-01-16 | Oregon v. Washington State +2.5 | Top | 33-51 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
216 Oregon at Washington State This Oregon program is on the decline under Mark Helfrich. His teams performed well in 2013 and 2014 with the Chip Kelly recruits. But last year the Ducks broke a streak of 7 straight seasons of double digit victories with a 9-4 record including losing its bowl game. The last two weeks the Ducks lost to both Nebraska and Colorado despite winning the turnover battle in each game, which is hard to do. Washington State and Mike Leach has played Oregon tough over the years. The last five games the Cougars have covered by margins of 23 1/2, 16, 15 1/2, 5 1/2 and 20 points. Last year Washington State won in straight up fashion in Eugene. The wrong team is favored here. PLAY WASHINGTON STATE |
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10-01-16 | Memphis v. Ole Miss -14.5 | Top | 28-48 | Win | 100 | 103 h 50 m | Show |
116 Memphis at Mississippi The Tigers have been impressive thus far with dominate wins over SE M and Bowling Green. But the first win came against an FCS team and the Jayhawks and Falcons are two of the weaker teams in the FBS this season. That said, Mike Norvell has inherited a team that won 9 and 10 games the previous two years with Justin Fuente at the helm and Paxton Lynch behind center. Mississippi has had this game circled after losing at Memphis last year 37-24 as a 10 1/2 point road favorite. While Memphis has played a very weak schedule Ole Miss has taken on the likes of Alabama, Georgia and Florida State. Under Hugh Freeze the Rebels are 14-7-1 when installed as home favorites and the team has a bye week on deck. We look for an inspired effort from the host as the step up in defenses faced for Memphis will be too much to overcome. PLAY MISSISSIPPI |
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10-01-16 | Akron v. Kent State +7 | Top | 31-27 | Win | 100 | 73 h 9 m | Show |
154 Akron at Kent State Tough to lay points on the road in a rivalry game when your defense is allowing 577.7 yards per game the last three contests. Akron hasn’t beaten the Golden Flashes in regulation the past five times here. The only victory was a double overtime 30-27 win here in 2008. In three games against FBS competition the Zips have permitted 45, 38 and 54 points. No way this team should be a touchdown favorite. Due to injuries the Golden Flashes are down to its third string quarterback, but like the Cleveland Browns last week the drop-off is virtually nonexistent. Kent is coming off a physical Alabama game last week but the two previous contests were vs FCS squads. Kent is also playing with shutout revenge for a 20-0 defeat last year at Akron. In two FBS games Kent has played at Penn State and Alabama, the drop-off in defensive faced is huge. PLAY KENT STATE |
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09-30-16 | Toledo v. BYU -3.5 | 53-55 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 21 m | Show | |
108 Toledo at BYU We made this line before the season as BYU -7 1/2, and can’t figure out why it’s moved over a field goal. Toledo is a team we really like in the MAC but they have yet to be tested. Wins against Arkansas State, Maine and Fresno State isn’t enough to prepare you for BYU off a rare home loss in altitude. The Rockets rarely travel west of the Mississippi and haven’t done well in that regard the past 20 years. BYU has already faced Arizona, Utah, UCLA and West Virginia, they are very well tested. The UCLA game was the only contest played at home this season. With Michigan State on deck the Cougars need a satisfying win and we believe they get it. While Toledo has the speed edge the Cougars have a huge edge in the trenches. PLAY BYU |
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09-24-16 | Oklahoma State +9 v. Baylor | 24-35 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 9 m | Show | |
349 Oklahoma State at Baylor The Cowboys have been tested with back to back games against Central Michigan and Pittsburgh. This is a team that is on a 6-3 run as road dogs and well remembers last years meeting hosting the Bears. Oklahoma State was ranked #4 in the country and were knocked off by Baylor 45-35 at home. That led to a three game losing streak to end the season after such a promising start. This game has been circled by the Cowboys. Oklahoma State has won six straight outright on the road including wins at Oklahoma, Texas, West Virginia and Texas Tech. Unlike the Cowboys Baylor has cruised this season against some of the worst teams in college football. Wins over Northwestern State, SMU and Rice doesn’t prepare you for Big 12 play. While the Baylor defense has been fine the offense produced just 5.2 yards per play against SMU and 6.6 vs Rice. The big play ability in past seasons doesn’t seem to be there this season in Waco. Too many points to give a Cowboys team that has revenge on its mind. PLAY OKLAHOMA STATE |
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09-24-16 | Florida +6.5 v. Tennessee | 28-38 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 4 m | Show | |
383 Florida at Tennessee It’s not often that a team has lost 11 straight in a series is installed as a touchdown favorite. Especially since the Volunteers have majorly underperformed this year while this weeks opposition has been outstanding. In three games this season Tennessee has lost the yards per play battle 4.4 to 4.3 against Appalachian State, and 5.3 to 4.9 against Virginia Tech. Last week the team did outperform Ohio 5.9 to 4.2 but only won by 9 as a 27 1/2 point favorite. While this is the first road game of the season for Florida, last year under Jim McElwain the Gators went 3-1 SU on the road with the only loss being by 7 at #6 LSU. Florida is down to its second string QB this week but Appleby had plenty of experience at Purdue before transferring. The best unit on the field is the Florida defense which is already +15 sacks on the season. A major advantage this week against a Tennessee offensive line which has struggled. We look for the Gators to extend this winning streak to 12 with an outright win in Knoxville. PLAY FLORIDA |
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09-24-16 | Miami (OH) +17 v. Cincinnati | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 50 h 19 m | Show |
375 Miami Ohio at Cincinnati Terrible scheduling situation for the host who played Houston on National Television last week and have major revenge against South Florida on deck. USF led Cincy 51-3 at halftime in what would become an embarrassing 65-27 loss. The Bearcats have dominated this one way rivalry series winning ten straight. We can’t see them getting up to play this lesser MAC team. Miami on the other hand is much improved this year and has already faced the likes of Iowa and Western Kentucky, two spread covering contests. While conference action starts next week as the Redhawks host Ohio, this game has more meaning to the players. A win over their close rival would build major confidence heading into MAC action. Under Chuck Martin Miami is 9-4 ATS as a road underdog and they have enough talent to take this one to the wire. PLAY MIAMI OHIO |
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09-24-16 | Iowa -12.5 v. Rutgers | 14-7 | Loss | -106 | 70 h 59 m | Show | |
325 Iowa at Rutgers The Hawkeyes lost as a two touchdown favorite last week to an excellent FCS team in North Dakota State. But we expect a big bounce back here from Kirk Ferentz and his crew. Iowa is 24–13-1 ATS off a straight up loss the past nine years. The Hawkeyes have also been a terrific road favorite cashing ten straight in that role. Iowa has been an outstanding 12-3 straight up on the road the past 3+ years and Rutgers doesn’t have much of a home field advantage. Iowa is a physical team that can dominate this thin Rutgers squad as the game goes on. Rutgers has played two FBS teams thus far losing the yards per play stat by 2.9 to Washington and by 0.2 to New Mexico at home last week. A Lobos team who prefers to run the football as opposed to beating you through the air. The Scarlet Knights are on a 1-7 straight up run in conference play with the lone victory coming against Indiana by 3 points. With only Northwestern on deck there is absolutely no lookahead for the Hawkeyes who have beaten the Wildcats by 30 and 41 points the past two years. PLAY IOWA |
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09-23-16 | USC v. Utah -3 | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 57 h 58 m | Show | |
310 USC at Utah The Trojans continue to struggle against physical teams as they have now lost eight straight games to Stanford. Utah and Stanford are the two most physical teams in the conference and USC must play them back to back on a short week. The Trojans haven’t been a good road underdog over the years posting a 3-7 spread mark the last five years. USC has failed to cover in Utah since the Utes joined the PAC 12. QB Sam Darnold is making his first start for the Trojans, he is the more mobile signal caller which is needed against this relentless pass rush of Utah. In two FBS games the Utes have a +9 margin in sacks as this team was all over the offenses of BYU and San Jose State. Holding those teams to just 18 points per game. This contest has special meaning for the Utes as these two squared off last year with Utah ranked #3 at the time. That loss at USC set the tone for a total collapse by this squad as Utah dropped 3 of 6 to end the regular season. We know Kyle Whittingham will remind his team of that situation. Big coaching edge here for Utah as the Utes gain revenge against a struggling Trojan squad. PLAY UTAH |
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09-17-16 | Texas State +31 v. Arkansas | 3-42 | Loss | -106 | 72 h 17 m | Show | |
161 Texas State at Arkansas The Bobcats of Texas State really impressed us opening week as we had them plus the points vs Ohio U. This team showed a fight we had not seen out of the Bobcats in previous seasons. Everett Withers has a solid background of coaching success in the FCS, FBS and the NFL. He has brought a new energy to this program and we expect his former success to translate well here. Off an upset victory and a bye week these kids are excited to continue this renewed season. Arkansas is off the overtime win at TCU with Texas A&M revenge on deck next week in the Jerry Dome. The Razorbacks have dropped four straight to the Aggies so you know that game has been circled. But while Arkansas is 2-0 on the season the stats tell a different story. The Razorbacks were outgained in yards per play against Louisiana Tech 5.1 to 4.1 and against vs TCU 6.2 to 5.5. While its true the Razorbacks like to run the football, those numbers are still alarming. Especially for a favorite in this point range in a clear sandwich spot on the Razorback schedule. PLAY TEXAS STATE |
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09-17-16 | Navy -5.5 v. Tulane | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 72 h 45 m | Show | |
199 Navy at Tulane Last week QB Worth got his first start after Tago Smith was lost to injury in the opener against Fordham. Worth moved the club pretty well in his first action and should continue to improve with more time on the field. The Midshipmen have been very good on the road with six straight seasons of positive ATS marks. Navy beat Tulane last year 31-14 as a 23 1/2 point favorite. Tulane has gotten off to a great start with Willie Fritz with wins over Wake Forest and Southern. But keep in mind weather was a factor against the Demon Deacons and Southern is an FCS entrant. This is still a program that entered the year off 9 losing seasons the past 10, with a combined 34-88 record. Fritz has changed the offense to a spread option here after coming over from Georgia Southern, but these players weren’t recruited for this type of offense. Considering that Navy is years ahead of Tulane in running this offense you have to expect the Midshipmen to have a sizable advantage. PLAY NAVY |
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09-17-16 | Eastern Michigan v. Charlotte +3 | 37-19 | Loss | -104 | 72 h 19 m | Show | |
112 Eastern Michigan at Charlotte The Eagles are 8-60 over the last decade plus when playing on the road. Currently winning just one of the last 21 contests away from Ypsilanti. The last four seasons the Eagles have posted a combined 7-41 overall record heading into 2016. Suspended QB Brogan Roback is coming back this week which is a major reason why money has come in on Eastern Michigan. The same starting QB who led them to a 1-11 record last year. Against Missouri the Eagles were outgunned 8.3 to 5.0 yards per play. We are not buying in on any improvements in this program. Charlotte was blown out by Louisville opening night in front of the entire nation. The 49ers then took care of FCS entrant Elon. But this is an improved team under Brad Lambert in his fourth year here. It’s already on a similar level as this Eagles team. We would much rather trust the fired up home team to get the job done here. Wrong team favored. PLAY CHARLOTTE |
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09-17-16 | South Florida v. Syracuse +14.5 | 45-20 | Loss | -109 | 69 h 33 m | Show | |
150 South Florida at Syracuse Don’t read too much into that South Florida blowout of Northern Illinois last week. The Huskies were coming off an overtime contest in the altitude of Wyoming and then had to travel down to the heat and humidity of Tampa. In addition the Huskies lost its starting quarterback to injury in that contest. USF beat Syracuse at home last year by 21 points and have a huge instate game against Florida State on deck. Last Friday Syracuse hosted Louisville on prime time television. While the final verdict got out of hand we like the job Dino Babers is doing here. The line on that game jumped to Louisville -17 which is in the same ballpark as this contest with South Florida. But while the Bulls are a very good team there is no way this squad is in the same category as Florida State, Louisville and Clemson. With the major lookahead for South Florida the Orangemen will take this one to the wire. PLAY SYRACUSE |
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09-17-16 | Alabama v. Ole Miss +11.5 | 48-43 | Win | 100 | 68 h 21 m | Show | |
194 Alabama at Mississippi The Crimson Tide’s stock couldn’t be higher going in to this double revenge situation at Mississippi. As in the stock market you want to buy low and sell high and we are looking to sell on this Alabama team. Don’t take this the wrong way, this is an excellent team but this line is way out of whack based on recent meetings. Alabama gave 6 1/2 to Ole Miss last year at home while laying just 4 1/2 two years ago on this field. Alabama lost those games outright by a combined 23 points against the spread. Mississippi was just catching 4 1/2 on a neutral field against Florida State. A team we rank right behind Alabama in our power ratings. So if that opening game would have been played at home the Rebels would have been getting roughly 1 point against Florida State. Simply put there is no way in hell that the Crimson Tide is 10 points better than Florida State. This line is completely out of whack and we will side with an excellent Huge Freeze in a home underdog role. 5-2 ATS in that situation at Mississippi. PLAY MISSISSIPPI |
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09-17-16 | Akron +17.5 v. Marshall | Top | 65-38 | Win | 100 | 66 h 23 m | Show |
165 Akron at Marshall Classic overreaction here as the Zips were heavily bet last week only to be blown out at Wisconsin. The line went from +25 to +21 1/2 at close and the Zips were never in the game. But Terry Bowden and the Zips are always a dangerous road dog and because of last week this line is highly inflated. Akron has won 6 of its last 7 games dating back to last year. Bowden always brings in high quality transfers, so despite bringing back only 7 starters this year the team has talent. As opposed to the Zips, Marshall has played just one game this year, a blowout of Morgan State. The team has back to back huge recruiting rivalry games on deck against Louisville and Pittsburgh. Because of last week’s results this line is at least 4 points higher than it should be, the lookahead for the Thundering Herd adds to our advantage. PLAY AKRON |
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09-15-16 | Houston v. Cincinnati +7 | Top | 40-16 | Loss | -101 | 77 h 54 m | Show |
104 Houston at Cincinnati The Cougars shocked Oklahoma in the opener 33-23 and made a major jump up in the standings. Last week without injured QB Greg Ward the team beat Lamar in a non-covering victory. While we agree this is talented team, there is no way this team should be a touchdown favorite here. First off in the win vs Oklahoma the Sooners won the yards per play battle 6.0 to 5.0. This is a team traveling on a short week to play on ESPN against a divisional rival. The last three years Houston won at home by 3, lost at Cincinnati by 7 and lost at home to Cincinnati by 7. The Cougars were a combined 29-11 the last three years but just 1-2 vs the Bearcats. Cincinnati dominated a Big 10 team on the road last week winning by 18 over Purdue. In the last decade this team is 8-2 ATS as a home dog, winning outright the past two occurrences. This is the biggest game of the season for the host. The fans will be primed and we expect this game to come down to the wire. PLAY CINCINNATI |
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09-10-16 | Virginia +24.5 v. Oregon | 26-44 | Win | 100 | 82 h 44 m | Show | |
361 Virginia at Oregon Don’t give up on the Cavaliers after just one game. The Richmond Spiders are a very good FCS program. It was the first game in the Bronco Mendenhall tenure and the future continues to look bright. Mendenhall raved about the new QB who put up excellent stats. A big problem for the Cavaliers was lost fumbles including two by Taquan Mizzell who went through the entire training camp without taking hits. The coach admitted that the lack of pad on pad work contributed to the fumbles. He also pointed out that he would be simplifying the defense this week as he gave his young team too much to worry about in the opener. Keep in mind that Mendenhall has always been an excellent underdog from his days at BYU. His teams performed very well on the road and especially good stepping up in class vs non-conference opposition. He will have his team especially ready here after the general public has lost interest. We expect the Ducks to continue to step back this season. The team only won 9 games a year ago after seven straight years of double digit victories. The Oregon fan base is feeling the same as the team didn’t sell out last weeks contest breaking a long sellout record. While the offense should be potent again the defense allowed 37.5 ppg a year ago. Virginia can move the football against this squad as we expect both teams to exchange scores. Too many points to lay with a program on the decline. PLAY VIRGINIA |
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09-10-16 | Akron +24 v. Wisconsin | Top | 10-54 | Loss | -106 | 75 h 4 m | Show |
329 Akron at Wisconsin You couldn’t ask for a better spot for Akron to take on the Badgers. Not only was Wisconsin looking to avenge a season opening loss to LSU from two years ago. But the game was a historic contest played in Lambeau Field. Even before the game was actual played you could see the excitement in the faces of the Wisconsin players who would step on this historic field to play a football game. After pulling the upset the players celebrated as if winning the national championship. Now with Akron and Georgia State on deck before the Big 10 season gets underway, do we really expect the Badgers to show the same type of emotion? Akron was the top MAC school last year against the run, allowing just 2.9 yards per carry on the season. Even when stepping up in class against Oklahoma the team managed just 3.0 ypc, Pittsburgh was more of the same at 2.8 ypc. Terry Bowden always brings in a lot of transfers which is why this team is always so goo on the lines. We expect the Zips to give the Badgers all it cab handle on Saturday. PLAY AKRON |
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09-10-16 | Central Michigan +21 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 113 h 32 m | Show |
327 Central Michigan at Oklahoma State The Chippewas are going to make us money this year and our first chance to cash is on Saturday. The John Bonamego era started last year with a 7-6 mark and he brings back 16 returning starters after just 9 a season ago. While this isn’t the best team in the MAC it’s the most balanced as the Chips are solid on both sides of the ball and has a possible NFL QB in Cooper Rush behind center. This team is 6-1 as a road dog the last two years and covered by 12 1/2 points last year hosting these Cowboys in the opener. The 24 points Oklahoma scored in last years meeting was just a point more than the 23 it scored against Oklahoma last year, a season low for the Cowboys. Oklahoma State crushed SE Louisiana last week but turnovers were the key. The Cowboys average starting field position was its 46 yard line. Oklahoma State has lost 3 of its last 4 games played including the Sugar Bowl loss to Mississippi. This team doesn’t deserve to be a 3 touchdown favorite here against a solid Central Michigan squad. PLAY CENTRAL MICHIGAN |
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09-09-16 | Louisville v. Syracuse OVER 68 | 62-28 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
303 Louisville at Syracuse Last year the Cardinals allowed 28.8 ppg when playing away from home. Offensively the Cards are explosive with Lamar Jackson behind center. A dual threat QB with loads of talent. Before Dino Babers and his high octane offense moved to Syracuse, he was the head man at Bowling Green. He runs a fast paced offense with as many plays as possible. The faster the better. Before he came to BG the Falcons games averaged 53.7 ppg. In his two years at BG the Falcons games averaged 63.5 and 71.1. He wants to play the same way with the Orangemen. Last year Bowling Green at home had final scores of 72, 86, 69, 100 and 85. We expect this to be a fast paced shootout. PLAY OVER |
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09-03-16 | Texas State +21 v. Ohio | 56-54 | Win | 100 | 18 h 55 m | Show | |
173 Texas State at Ohio U The Bobcats are guaranteed to win this one, and lose also as both teams come into this encounter with the same nickname. That’s just about all that will be in common here as Texas State has a new coaching staff with Everett Withers taking over. The team only has 10 returning starters but that may not be a bad thing considering the 3-9 record from a year ago. The offense is expected to be varied in a high tempo set. Ohio doesn’t really have anything to go on regarding this Texas State offense, which is a good thing. Ohio was very lucky to go 8-5 a year ago and enter this season a bit overrated in our numbers. This is a team that has only beaten two quality teams combined the past two seasons, Marshall and Northern Illinois. The Bobcats from Ohio are a middling MAC squad that shouldn’t lay this type of number to any FBS squad. Last year this team was even on yards per pass on the season while being beaten on yards per rush 5.0 to 4.3. That doesn’t add up to an 8-5 team or a squad deserving of laying three touchdowns. PLAY TEXAS STATE |
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09-03-16 | Hawaii +40 v. Michigan | 3-63 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
155 Hawaii at Michigan So much has been made of the Hawaii travel schedule going from Australia to Hawaii and then to Michigan. The truth of the matter is the Warriors are well used to long travel trips as they average 8 to 9 hours in flight weekly. In fact, all the talk of the negative travel situation gives us added value. When it comes down to the game, Hawaii has a solid edge as it has a game under its belt, while Michigan still isn’t announcing its starting quarterback. Harbaugh has already said up to 13 freshmen may see the field this year, with this being a great chance to add to its experienced depth. Hawaii DC Kevin Lempa was on the same staff at Boston College as Michigan DC Don Brown. Therefore the Warriors will we well aware of the defense it will face. The Wolverines hype adds to this huge number as we will back Hawaii in a game in which we have a full five points of value. PLAY HAWAII |
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09-03-16 | Boise State v. UL-Lafayette +20 | 45-10 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 10 m | Show | |
204 Boise State at UL Lafayette The Broncos enter this team with high hopes in the third year with Bryan Harsin in charge. While the team does have 13 returning starters a full 50% of this roster has never taken a snap for the Broncos. The team is talented but depth could be a big problem as the season unfolds. The Ragin’ Cajuns’ are coming in off a poor season, winning just 4 games after four straight 9-4 campaigns. The ULL defense was the problem last year allowing the most points in nearly a decade. But this is a team who is 21-7 straight up at home in the Mark Hudspeth era. The heat and humidity is going to play a huge factor in this game as well as the early start time. Boise State is used to playing at night in cooler weather, that’s the exact opposite of what they will see here. The Ragin’ Cajuns’ have the personnel to trade scores with the Broncos. PLAY UL LAFAYETTE |
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09-02-16 | Army v. Temple -14.5 | 28-13 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
148 Army at Temple Not buying the line move here as we are not as impressed with Army coming into the season as others are. Keep in mind this team was 2-10 last year in the second season of the Jeff Monken era. The two victories came against Bucknell and Eastern Michigan, one of the five worst FBS squads year in and year out. Army just doesn’t have an offense than can move the ball in this matchup. Just 244 yards per game and 22.1 ppg last year for the Black Knights who played a very easy schedule. Temple has gone from 2 wins to 6 and 10 in the three years with Matt Rhule at the helm. This team enters the season off back to back losses to Houston in the AAC Title and Toledo in the Boca Raton Bowl. You can bet this squad is chomping at the bit to get that taste out of their mouths. Temple has beaten Army six straight times by 21 ppg on average. Covering the past three meetings by 19, 34 1/2 and 15 points. This line is cheap. PLAY TEMPLE |
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09-01-16 | Oregon State +13 v. Minnesota | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
143 Oregon State at Minnesota Gary Anderson is heading into his second season in Corvallis. He managed a 2-10 record the opening season with only 9 returning starters. This year he is up to 13 returners. The offense dropped off 6.7 ppg from the previous season while the defense regressed 5.4 ppg. We look for supreme regression in those numbers this season. Anderson was 2-0 vs Minnesota as coach of Wisconsin, so he knows this program well. Minnesota is getting quite a bit of hype coming off a 6-7 season. But keep in mind the Golden Gophers won only three games at TCF Bank Stadium a year ago. Beating a poor Illinois team by 9, and two MAC teams in Kent State and Ohio by 3 point margins. We like the Gophers this year but this price range is currently our of its league. PLAY OREGON STATE |
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09-01-16 | South Carolina +4.5 v. Vanderbilt | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
141 South Carolina at Vanderbilt Because of off field concerns Steve Spurrier lost interest in the game the last few years on his tenure. In comes a hungry Will Muschamp to pick up the pieces and bring this program back to previous levels. After seven straight winning seasons the Gamecocks managed a 3-9 record a year ago. We expect a rebound season from South Carolina despite only 9 returning starters.To go from beating Vanderbilt 7 straight games by double figures to now being a dog is just a huge overreaction in our eyes. Vanderbilt has won just 7 total games in the last two years under Derek Mason. The team is 4-7 straight up at home vs FBS programs, with two of those victories coming against Old Dominion and Massachusetts. Under Mason the Commodores have averaged 15.2 and 17.2 points. Hard to lay over a field goal with teams that can’t score. PLAY SOUTH CAROLINA |
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01-02-16 | Penn State +6.5 v. Georgia | 17-24 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
Taxslayer Bowl 273 Penn State & Georgia in JacksonvilleThe Nittany Lions won a neutral site game against Maryland by a single point but lost every true road game it played this season. But they did play the leagues elite in those road losses. Penn State’s head man is very familiar with the SEC having coaching Vanderbilt before coming to Happy Valley. The Nittany Lion program has been down the past few years, so you know this squad will be excited to be here. |
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12-31-15 | Oklahoma v. Clemson +4.5 | 17-37 | Win | 100 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
Orange Bowl262 Oklahoma & Clemson in MiamiThe Sooners have bowl game revenge here but this line has gotten out of hand. The only undefeated team in the country and long time #1 squad is now getting way too many points here. A steady flow of money has come in on Oklahoma but we’re not so sure it’s smart money. Keep in mind the Sooners took advantage of the worst defensive teams in college football. Big 12 teams are currently 1-3 straight up this bowl season with more to come in the lesser bowls after January 1st. Clemson has simply done what has been asked of them, beat the teams on its schedule. Florida State and Notre Dame wins are more impressive than any the Sooners have beaten. Oklahoma has been fortunate to face second string signal callers in key games. Oklahoma enters as the hotter team but all momentum is lost when both teams have such a long time frame between games.PLAY CLEMSON |
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12-30-15 | NC State v. Mississippi State -6.5 | Top | 28-51 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show |
Belk Bowl
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12-28-15 | Pittsburgh +3 v. Navy | 28-44 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Military Bowl |
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12-26-15 | Southern Miss v. Washington -8.5 | Top | 31-44 | Win | 100 | 265 h 8 m | Show |
Heart of Dallas Bowl
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12-26-15 | Connecticut +5 v. Marshall | Top | 10-16 | Loss | -104 | 20 h 28 m | Show |
St Petersburg Bowl |
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12-22-15 | Toledo v. Temple -2.5 | Top | 32-17 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
Boca Raton Bowl
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12-05-15 | Air Force v. San Diego State -6.5 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 43 m | Show | |
328 Air Force at San Diego State |
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12-05-15 | West Virginia -5.5 v. Kansas State | 23-24 | Loss | -106 | 27 h 52 m | Show | |
313 West Virginia at Kansas State |
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12-05-15 | Texas State v. Arkansas State -25 | 17-55 | Win | 100 | 25 h 30 m | Show | |
310 Texas State at Arkansas State |
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11-28-15 | Florida State v. Florida +3 | 27-2 | Loss | -120 | 28 h 10 m | Show | |
188 Florida State at Florida |
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11-28-15 | Texas A&M v. LSU -5.5 | 7-19 | Win | 100 | 24 h 50 m | Show | |
194 Texas A&M at LSU |
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11-27-15 | Missouri v. Arkansas -14 | Top | 3-28 | Win | 100 | 24 h 23 m | Show |
132 Missouri at Arkansas Revenge game for the Razorbacks who dropped the final game of the regular season last year to the Tigers. QB Brandon Allen has been on fire as of late throwing a school record 7 touchdowns last week in a one point overtime loss. Missou has failed to reach the end zone in its last two road contests, and has only 15 offensive touchdowns in 11 games. The Tigers are averaging just 14.5 points per game. The Tigers need a win to become bowl eligible, and it’s the last regular season game under Pinkle. But this team went all out the last two weeks at home against BYU and Tennessee and we feel the tank is getting mighty low for Missouri.PLAY ARKANSAS |
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11-26-15 | South Florida v. Central Florida +24.5 | 44-3 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
112 South Florida at Central Florida Sometimes you have to hold your nose and trust your numbers. That’s the case here as we go against the surging Bulls and back a Knights team that has been the biggest disappointment in college football this year. South Florida has won 6 of 7 as of late including trouncing a pretty good Cincinnati team last week on national television. With a shot at the conference championship still in the balance and a bowl game for the first time since 2010, Willie Taggart and crew will be overlooking its in-state rival here.Central Florida on the other hand sits winless on the season. No team wants to be remembered for a zero win season, especially the seniors who had won 31 games the past three seasons. Winless teams have been a money maker playing its last game and with in-state pride on the line we will back the Knights here.PLAY CENTRAL FLORIDA |
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11-21-15 | San Diego State -16 v. UNLV | 52-14 | Win | 100 | 33 h 58 m | Show | |
415 San Diego State at UNLV |
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11-21-15 | Texas A&M v. Vanderbilt +7 | Top | 25-0 | Loss | -120 | 33 h 25 m | Show |
400 Texas A&M at Vanderbilt |
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11-21-15 | Wake Forest v. Clemson -29 | 13-33 | Loss | -106 | 26 h 36 m | Show | |
340 Wake Forest at Clemson |
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11-21-15 | Michigan State v. Ohio State -13 | 17-14 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 33 m | Show | |
372 Michigan State at Ohio State |
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11-21-15 | Old Dominion v. Southern Miss -21 | Top | 31-56 | Win | 100 | 41 h 38 m | Show |
378 Old Dominion at Southern Miss |
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11-21-15 | Louisiana Tech -24.5 v. UTEP | Top | 17-15 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 12 m | Show |
411 Louisiana Tech at UTEP |
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11-21-15 | Iowa State +6 v. Kansas State | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 22 h 2 m | Show | |
381 Iowa State at Kansas State |
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11-20-15 | Cincinnati -2 v. South Florida | 27-65 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 3 m | Show | |
315 Cincinnati at South Florida We’ve been believers this year in the South Florida Bulls but the markets are making a big jump this week in our opinion. While the defense is very good and the offense gets better by the week, they are not yet in the same talent level as the Bearcats.Cincinnati has been dominating conference play but sits at just 3-3 on the season, a full game behind the Bulls. The Bearcats are outscoring the opposition by 10.3 ppg while the Bulls are at 6.5 ppg. But the big discrepancy is in yardage as Cincinnati is out gaining the opposition by a whopping 238 yards in conference play while South Florida has just a 16 yard advantage. Turnovers have hurt the Bearcats which is to be expected from a passing team. Cincy has owned this series with a 7-2 record and 9-2 ATS. Against the three common opponents the Bearcats won the yardage battle by 263 while the Bulls had a 21 yards per game edge. Look for Cincinnati to easily cash this televised contest on Friday. PLAY CINCINNATI |
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11-18-15 | Central Michigan -10 v. Kent State | Top | 27-14 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
307 Central Michigan at Kent State |
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11-14-15 | Wyoming v. San Diego State -24 | Top | 3-38 | Win | 100 | 36 h 34 m | Show |
216 Wyoming at San Diego State |
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11-14-15 | Oklahoma v. Baylor -2.5 | Top | 44-34 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 51 m | Show |
188 Oklahoma at Baylor |