Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-02-17 | Miami-OH v. Marshall -2 | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 98 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #158 Take Marshall Thundering Herd over Miami (OH) Redhawks (Saturday 6:30 pm) These two teams may appear to be heading in opposite directions but Marshall has been a traditional power whereas Miami (OH) is not. The Redhawks have lost nine straight home openers and Marshall is too good of a program to be down for long. Throw out last year and the Herd have won 33 games the previous three seasons. Miami started the season 0-6 last year and lost to Marshall by double digits twice in the last four years. |
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09-02-17 | California v. North Carolina -11 | Top | 35-30 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 34 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #178 Take North Carolina Tar Heels over Cal Golden Bears (Saturday 12:20 pm ACCN) Always like going against west coast teams playing a 12 pm eastern time start on the east coast. Cal has a new coach and I expect them to struggle on both sides of the football against North Carolina. The Tar Heels are 9-1 in their home openers over the last 10 years winning by an average margin of 35 points per game. The Bears got blown out in the last four losses in 2016 and they must replace all their skill position players from 2016. The Bears are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games when they are an underdog. UNC has covered the spread in 4 straight nonconference games. |
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09-02-17 | Wyoming +11.5 v. Iowa | 3-24 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #155 Take Wyoming Cowboys over Iowa Hawkeyes (Saturday 12 pm BTN) Iowa just does not get out of the gate fast against inferior teams. Kirk Ferentz has been at Iowa forever and this does not appear to be one of his better squads. The Cowboys have the best player on the field in quarterback Josh Allen, a legitimate NFL prospect playing the MWC. Wyoming is 25-12 ATS in their last 37 games as an away underdog. The Pokes played Nebraska better than they score would indicate last year and Iowa has covered opening week just once in the last five years (against FCS team). Wyoming will move the football and I think they have a chance to win this game straight-up. Wyoming is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. Iowa is 3-10 ATS (1 push) in their last 14 home games. |
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08-26-17 | Hawaii +2 v. UMass | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 99 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #293 Take Hawaii Warriors over UMASS Minutemen (Saturday 7 pm) These teams met in the regular season finale last year on the island and now meet a week early to open the 2017 football season. Massachusetts just appears to be a lost soul now without a conference and may be on the verge of failing out of FBS football. They won just 2 of their 12 games last year and I do not expect things to get any better for Coach Mark Whipple this season. Hawaii is going the other way under second year coach Nick Rolovich who I am a big fan of. That got three weeks of extra practices last year by beating UMASS and becoming bowl eligible and I expect them to put up a lot of points in this game. UMASS is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games. I feel Hawaii needs to win this game to become bowl eligible and they get it in a close hard-fought battle. |
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08-26-17 | Oregon State v. Colorado State -3.5 | 27-58 | Win | 100 | 95 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #292 Take Colorado State Rams over Oregon State Beavers (Saturday 2:30 pm CBSSN) Gary Anderson is not a top-level coach and has struggled at Oregon State after so-so results in two years at Wisconsin. He is likely coaching for his job this season in Corvallis and I just do not see many wins for him on the schedule this year. The Rams have been bowl eligible each of the first two years under Mike Bobo and have the extra motivation of opening a brand-new stadium in this game. CSU hopes this stadium can get them into a bigger conference and winning games against Power 5 teams will certainly help their cause. Colorado State is 14-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 19 nonconference. |
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02-05-17 | Patriots -3 v. Falcons | Top | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 124 h 20 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #101 Take New England Patriots over Atlanta Falcons (Super Bowl 51, Sunday, 6:30 pm FOX) Just cannot bet my hard-earned money against Brady and Belichick. The Patriots are the more complete team on both sides of the football and will have two weeks before kickoff to devise a plan to slow down this high-powered Atlanta offense. If New England can jump on to a lead early I see them winning this game by double digits as Atlanta has not faced that much over the last couple of months. The Falcons still have a very shaky defense and if New England is balanced that will not allow their front four to just tee off on the quarterback. The current Patriots have won four of their six Super Bowls and Belichick and Brady have won 24 playoff games together. The Patriots have the No. 1 ranked defense and the defense has the advantage when playing the No. 1 offense in the Super Bowl winning five of the last six meetings. Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 playoff games (0-6 ATS prior to this year). New England has covered the spread in five straight games against teams with a winning record. |
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01-22-17 | Steelers v. Patriots -5.5 | 17-36 | Win | 100 | 125 h 4 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #314 Take New England Patriots over Pittsburgh Steelers (Sunday 6:30 pm CBS) Neither team looked that impressive last week but playing on the road for the second straight week will eventually doom the Steelers. New England will face a lesser defense this week in Pittsburgh than they saw from Houston last week. The Patriots are almost unbeatable at home going 33-4 and 26-9 ATS (2 pushes) in the last 4 years. New England also has an advantage with rest also playing at home on Saturday night compared to Pittsburgh playing on Sunday night in Kansas City. QB Tom Brady has put up incredible numbers this season with 30 touchdowns compared to just 4 interceptions. Pittsburgh has not faced an explosive offense since November and that will be their undoing in this game. New England is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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01-22-17 | Packers +5 v. Falcons | 21-44 | Loss | -105 | 121 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #311 Take Green Bay Packers over Atlanta Falcons (Sunday 3 pm FOX) The Packers continue to get little respect from the oddsmakers and the public and us will be all over Green Bay for a second straight week. This will be a shootout as both offenses have a major advantage of the defense and it might take forty points to win this game. That being said, we will side with the franchise that has done it before in Green Bay. QB Aaron Rodgers is playing at an extraordinary level and I believe he is even better in a dome compared to playing in the elements at Lambeau Field. Atlanta is just 4-5 ATS in their 9 home games this season. This is a franchise that has not had much postseason success and I expect that trend to continue Sunday. Green Bay has already knocked off the No. 1 seed in Dallas and they also beat No. 1 seed Atlanta on their way to a Super Bowl Championship in 2010. Green Bay has covered the spread in five straight games against teams with a winning record. Atlanta is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 playoff games. |
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01-15-17 | Packers +4.5 v. Cowboys | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 118 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #307 Take Green Bay Packers over Dallas Cowboys (Sunday 4:40 pm FOX) The Cowboys were clearly the best team in the NFC this season but they are facing a juggernaut in Aaron Rodgers that will pick apart this Dallas defense like nobody has this season. During this seven game winning streak QB Rodgers has a 19-0 touchdown to interception ratio. Dallas was just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. If Green Bay can stop the running attack that will put enormous pressure on the Dallas coach and quarterback that have not had any postseason success (1 win against Detroit in recent years). Green Bay did not miss a beat without Jordy Nelson last week against a much better Giants defense. If Green Bay can stabilize this game early I truly believe it will go down to the wire with the Packers coming out on top. The Packers have covered the spread in 4 straight playoff games. Dallas is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 playoff games. |
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01-14-17 | Texans +16 v. Patriots | Top | 16-34 | Loss | -100 | 98 h 33 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #303 Take Houston Texans over New England Patriots (Saturday 8:15 pm CBS) NFL PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR. The Texans are a huge underdog in this game despite having one of the best defenses in the league. New England is solid to good on both sides of the football but I just feel Houston is due to put forth a good performance against New England. The Texans have a lot of coaches with New England ties and they were gutless in the meeting against the Patriots this year. Only twice in their last thirteen postseason games have the Patriots won a game by more than 13 points. Houston has enough talent to hang around and I just do not see a 20+ point victory in this game. New England is 11-1 ATS since the return of Tom Brady and sooner or later the law of averages will have to even out. The same thing happened with Temple covering 12 straight games before losing outright to Wake Forest in the Military Bowl. I am not predicting a straight-up win for the Texans but I feel they can keep this game closer than the posted number. |
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01-09-17 | Clemson +7 v. Alabama | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 151 h 55 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #151 Take Clemson Tigers over Alabama Crimson Tide (Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) This is just too many points considering Clemson has the much better offense and a couple of playmakers on defense. The spread is solely based on Nick Saban and the respect everyone has for him. He is great but as we saw last week with Urban Meyer, the head coach alone cannot will his team to a victory. Alabama has yet to see an explosive offense like Clemson that can beat you on the ground or through the air. The SEC was way down this year in terms of talent on offense and Deshaun Watson will pick them apart like he did last year. He has not played very many clean games in 2016 but I believe this will be a breakout performance that will propel him up the draft board. Throw in the fact that Clemson has revenge and I really believe Clemson wins this game straight-up. Clemson has covered the spread in six straight bowl games. Clemson is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. |
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01-08-17 | Giants +4.5 v. Packers | 13-38 | Loss | -107 | 123 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #107 Take New York Giants over Green Bay Packers (Sunday 4:40 pm FOX) We have been riding the Packers down the stretch to great success but finally feel the value has gone to the other side. This is the most complete team Green Bay has seen since late October and beating up on the NFC North is just not that impressive. These two teams met on October 9th with Green Bay winning by seven points in a game that neither team played well. Eli Manning is just a different player in the postseason and has won in Green Bay twice in the playoffs. Green Bay still has major holes on defense and will struggle to run the football in this cold weather game. New York is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 road playoff games. |
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01-07-17 | Raiders v. Texans -3.5 | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 99 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #102 Take Houston Texans over Oakland Raiders (Saturday 4:35 pm ABC) We went against the Raider last week in Denver and easily collected on that ticket and will do so again in Houston on Saturday. The Raiders are limping into the playoffs and are likely using Connor Cook in this game. Houston also has quarterback issues but I still believe Brock Osweiler has some talent and will win this game at home. The Texans went 7-1 at home this season and were leading against a healthy Derek Carr in Oakland earlier this season. Oakland lost the one player they cannot afford to lose and because of this they will be a quick out in the 2017 Playoffs. Houston wins this game big and we collect in the process as well. |
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01-02-17 | Auburn v. Oklahoma -3 | 19-35 | Win | 100 | 151 h 45 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #282 Take Oklahoma Sooners over Auburn Tigers (Sugar Bowl, Monday, 1/2 8:30 pm ESPN) Bob Stoops loves to beat up on the SEC in meaningless bowl games and he will get another chance to accomplish this on Monday night. Auburn was not the same team down the stretch losing two of their last three games and now they must face a team that ran the table in the Big 12. Baker Mayfield just has too many weapons on offense for Auburn to keep up. This was not a typical Auburn offense as the Tigers relied more on their defense to win game. OU wins their 10th straight game as we collect in the process as well. Auburn will have their moments but just cannot match Oklahoma score for score. |
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01-02-17 | Western Michigan v. Wisconsin -7.5 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 143 h 56 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #278 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Western Michigan Broncos (Cotton Bowl, Monday, 1/2 1 pm ESPN) Wisconsin has too much beef for this mid-major to stay within double digits in the Cotton Bowl. Wisconsin will be the best defense Western Michigan has seen all season long as they are No. 8 in the country in total defense. Some feel that Wisconsin and their fans are not excited about being in the Cotton Bowl but that is not the case. Wisconsin always travels well and they will have a good crowd in the stands come Monday. The Broncos are just average at stopping the run and expect Wisconsin to exert their strength in this area. |
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01-01-17 | Packers -3.5 v. Lions | Top | 31-24 | Win | 105 | 127 h 31 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #309 Take Green Bay Packers over Detroit Lions (Sunday 8:30 pm NBC) Nobody will be giving the Lions a chance to win this game and we will be in that boat as well. Detroit has not performed well in two consecutive games and now likely face a winner take all on Sunday Night Football. The Lions have not win a division title since 1993 and they have never made it to the Super Bowl in their franchises existence. Green Bay has beaten Detroit 20 of the last 25 meetings and they are just functioning much better now. Detroit got picked apart by the Dallas passing attack on Monday night and I just do not expect their corners to be able to slow down the Packer wide receivers. Aaron Rodgers is now able to use his feet and that makes him the best dual threat quarterback in the league. Green Bay has won five straight games and Clay Matthews is playing at a high level making this one of the better defensive teams in the league. Detroit is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 divisional games. Green Bay is 23-11 ATS in their last 34 divisional games. |
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12-31-16 | Ohio State v. Clemson +3.5 | 0-31 | Win | 100 | 101 h 7 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #274 Take Clemson Tigers over Ohio State Buckeyes (Fiesta Bowl, Saturday, 12/31 7 pm ESPN) The wrong team is favored in this game and expect Clemson to win straight-up. The Tigers have won both meetings with the Buckeyes including the 2014 Orange Bowl as an underdog like they are here. Ohio State just does not see teams as explosive as Clemson is from the Big 10. DeShaun Watson is due for a breakout game and like last year he will get it in the semi-finals of the College Football Playoff. Both teams are young but Clemson has the experience from last year to propel them onto the Championship game. |
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12-30-16 | Nebraska v. Tennessee -4 | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 73 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #264 Take Tennessee Volunteers over Nebraska Cornhuskers (Music City Bowl, 12/30 3:30 pm ESPN) The Vols return to Nashville looking to make amends to their loss last game out against Vanderbilt. Nebraska started off hot but as usual they folded down the stretch and there is no guarantee that QB Tommy Armstrong will play in this game. Nebraska lost three of their last five games including a blowout loss to Iowa to close out the regular season. Tennessee was one of the most underachieving teams this season but they still have talent and they blew out a Big 10 team last year in a bowl game. Tennessee has a huge edge in special teams and that will allow them to win this game by 10-13 points. |
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12-30-16 | TCU v. Georgia | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 70 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #258 Take Georgia Bulldogs over TCU Horned Frogs (Liberty Bowl, Friday, 12/30 12 pm ESPN) Not impressed with TCU at all this season. They had quarterback issues down the stretch and did not record a quality victory this season. Georgia has won all three match-ups with TCU and they are building under first year head coach Kirby Smart. TCU has been blown out in their last two losses and lost three games as a favorite over their last five games. SEC is better than the Big 12 and playing in Memphis will allow the Dawgs to pack the stands. |