Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-14-20 | Wisconsin -3.5 v. Michigan | 49-11 | Win | 100 | 100 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #161 Wisconsin Badgers over Michigan Wolverines (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 14 ABC) This line has been all over the place early in the week with Wisconsin appearing that they will be able to field a team for the first time in three weeks. Michigan has their own problems that are much greater than Covid. Coach Harbaugh appears to be on his way out and Michigan is just 1-2 on the season with both losses coming to teams they were favored to beat. Wisconsin beat a much better Michigan team by 21 points last season, and they have covered the spread in 10 of the last 13 meetings. The best player on the field in Graham Mertz and expect big things out of him on Saturday. Michigan is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. Wisconsin is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a road favorite. |
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11-14-20 | Oregon -9.5 v. Washington State | Top | 43-29 | Win | 100 | 100 h 30 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #185 Oregon Ducks over Washington State Cougars (7p.m., Saturday, November 14 FOX) The Ducks have a chance to make the College Football Playoff and I just feel they are better on both sides of the ball in this game. Washington State has a new head coach, and they are very inexperienced at the quarterback position. The Cougars have been great against Oregon in recent years, but they no longer have Mike Leech and Anothy Gordon on the sidelines. The Ducks have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 road games when they are the favorite. Oregon put up 35 points last week against a better defensive team in Stanford and they know they need to come out and dominate to break into the top 10 rankings. Wazzou is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a victory in their previous outing. |
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11-14-20 | Nevada -17 v. New Mexico | 27-20 | Loss | -109 | 99 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #179 Nevada Wolf Pack over New Mexico Lobos (6:30p.m., Saturday, November 14 FS2) Nevada is legit and they will be in the MWC Title Game next month because of their talent and their schedule. New Mexico is another tomato can that they can just roll over and they receive a break with this game being played in Las Vegas instead of Albuquerque. The Lobos are coming back from Hawaii to practice in Las Vegas and I do not see them keeping this game under 20 points. The Wolf Pack have been getting better teach week and sooner or later their offense will get rolling in this game and they will not be stopped. Nevada has beaten New Mexico in 4 of the last 5 games (4-1 ATS). New Mexico has a terrible defense giving up 541 yards per game. Nevada has covered the spread in 4 straight games. New Mexico is 5-17 ATS in their last 22 MWC games. |
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11-14-20 | South Florida v. Houston -13.5 | 21-56 | Win | 100 | 96 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #172 Houston Cougars over USF Bulls (3p.m., Saturday, November 14 ESPN+) Just do not see the Bulls putting forth another good effort like they did last week against Memphis. This will be their second straight road game and Houston is 4-0 against them (3-1 ATS) in their last 4 meetings as conference opponents. USF is 1-6 on the season with their only win coming against the Citadel. They have been blown out by Cincinnati, Notre Dame, East Carolina, and Tulsa. Houston has played a tough schedule in 2020 and they are ready to beat up on a lesser opponent. USF is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Houston is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
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11-13-20 | East Carolina v. Cincinnati -27.5 | 17-55 | Win | 100 | 76 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #130 Cincinnati Bearcats over East Carolina Pirates (7:30p.m., Friday, November 13 ESPN2) Apparently the Bearcats will not play any more road games this season. This is their third straight home game and by far the weakest of the three opponents. Cincinnati has beaten East Carolina in 8 of the last 9 games (6-3 ATS) and they may have the best defense in the country. The Bearcats have a realistic chance to make the college football playoff, but this cannot just win game, they must dominate. Cincinnati has an 897-173 edge in rushing over their last 3 opponents. East Carolina is 0-5 in their last 5 games played in Cincinnati. The Bearcats are 9-4 ATS in their last 12 home games. Until Cincinnati does not cover a game, we will continue to ride them. |
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11-08-20 | Dolphins v. Cardinals -4.5 | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 121 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #472 Arizona Cardinals over Miami Dolphins (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 8 CBS) Miami is all in on Tua but their win last week was a little bit of fool’s gold. The Rams dominated the stat sheet, but special teams and turnovers did them in. Arizona will not be as generous today, as the Cardinals are well within the playoffs race but play in an extremely competitive division. Just do not believe Miami has the weapons on offense to attack this suspect Arizona defense. QB Wilson picked apart Miami and Arizona just beat Seattle last time out. Just cannot back a team that had a 31-8 deficit in first downs last week. Miami is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning home record. |
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11-08-20 | Raiders v. Chargers -1 | 31-26 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take Los Angeles Chargers over Las Vegas Raiders (4:05p.m., Sunday, November 8 CBS) Was not that impressed with the Raiders last week and playing their second straight road game will doom them on Sunday. The Chargers continue to be tough luck losers, but they seem to have found their quarterback in Justin Herbert. Cleveland just could not get off the field last week against Las Vegas but expect the Chargers to be able to make some plays on defense and force the Raiders to punt from time to time. Las Vegas is 17-36 ATS (1 push) in their last 54 games following a victory in their previous game. Los Angeles is 9-3 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 14 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. |
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11-08-20 | Giants +3.5 v. Washington Football Team | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 117 h 21 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take New York Giants over Washington Football Team (1p.m., Sunday, November 8 FOX) Just do not believe that Washington should be favored by this many points against any team in the NFL. New York has won 5 of the last 6 games with Washington and they are 14-3 in their last 17 games when they are an underdog playing on the road. This is the first time in 14 games that Washington is favored to win a game. The Giants should some life last week against Tampa Bay and expect that to carryover into this game as well. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games between the Giants and Football Team. Washington is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week. |
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11-07-20 | Tennessee -1.5 v. Arkansas | 13-24 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #403 Tennessee Volunteers over Arkansas Razorbacks (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 7 SECN) Tennessee got a much-needed bye week to regroup after three straight losses and expect them to take care of business on the road against Arkansas Saturday night. After losing to Alabama last year, Tennessee would go on to win six straight games and I see a similar streak happening today. Arkansas is better this year, but I cannot overlook the fact that they are 4-24 straight-up in their last 28 games. Tennessee is 3-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 road games. |
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11-07-20 | Clemson -5 v. Notre Dame | 40-47 | Loss | -114 | 100 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #401 Clemson Tigers over Notre Dame Fighting Irish (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 7 NBC) Clemson getting D.J. Uiagalelei some game action last week was huge, and I expect him to play even better tonight in South Bend. The Tigers turned it on in the second half against Boston College scoring the last 24 points in that game. Notre Dame is 6-0 this season but it is a little bit of fools gold, as every team that they have played this season has a losing record. Clemson just is on another talent level compared to Notre Dame and even without Trevor Lawrence they will win this game by double digits. Clemson is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games when they are favored. |
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11-07-20 | Houston v. Cincinnati -13 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 96 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #328 Cincinnati Bearcats over Houston Cougars (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 7 ESPN) We used the Bearcats last week as our top play and never looked back as they cruised to a 49-10 victory against Memphis. Now they take a step down in class facing Houston, again at home with fans in the stands. The Bearcats may have the best defense in the country and Houston has not done anything to show me that they can stay with good teams. Their two losses have come by an average of 20 points per game, well over today’s posted number. The Bearcats are 7-3 straight-up and 7-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games against Houston. Still not sold that Dana Holgorsen is this offensive genius that can keep this program as a 10-win team in the AAC. They were 4-8 last year and do not see them being more than a .500 team this year. Lay the points with the best defensive team in the country. |
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11-05-20 | Packers v. 49ers +7 | 34-17 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #301 San Francisco 49ers +7 over Green Bay Packers (8:20p.m., Thursday, November 5 NFLN) People cannot get their money in fast enough on the Packers for the game tonight. Both teams have people out (49ers have more) but Rodgers struggles in his home state of California and I do not envision a blowout tonight. San Francisco is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 games against the Packers. |
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11-04-20 | Ball State v. Miami-OH OVER 55 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take Over 55.5 in Ball State Cardinals @ Miami Oh Redhawks (7p.m., Wednesday, November 4 CBSSN) Ball State has gone over the posted total in 4 straight games and 6 straight games played during the month of November. The Cardinals can score points but cannot stop teams leading to a strong play with the over. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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11-01-20 | Raiders v. Browns -2.5 | Top | 16-6 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 52 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #260 Cleveland Browns over Las Vegas Raiders (1p.m., Sunday, November 1 CBS) Just feel the line is light and we will side with the home team looking for their sixth victory on the season. OBJ is out, but Cleveland still has a ton of weapons and QB Mayfield should be able to pick apart this suspect Raiders defense. Las Vegas has a ton of issues on both sides of the football and Cleveland usually does well when not playing Pittsburgh or Baltimore. The Raiders have allowed 30+ points in 5 of their last 6 games including 12 rushing touchdowns during this span. Cleveland is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against Las Vegas. The Raiders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 AFC games. |
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10-31-20 | Nevada v. UNLV +14 | 37-19 | Loss | -100 | 101 h 23 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #154 UNLV Rebels over Nevada Wolf Pack (10:30p.m., Saturday, October 31 FS1) Just feel this is an overaction from the games last week. Nevada is the better team in this game, but the Rebels will be up for this game. Fans will be allowed in at Allegiant Stadium and UNLV has won this game two straight years (underdog in both games). The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings for the Freemont Cannon. Nevada is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite. UNLV is 12-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
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10-31-20 | North Carolina -6.5 v. Virginia | 41-44 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #113 North Carolina Tar Heels over Virginia Cavaliers (8p.m., Saturday, October 31 ACCN) The visitor is 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings and I just believe the Carolina offense is much better. Virginia will not be able to keep pace in this game, as I do not think they are capable of scoring 40+ points in this game. QB Sam Howell got back on track last week putting up 48 points and if he does that again in this game the visitor should easily cover. North Carolina is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. The favorite is also 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games between UFC and UVA. |
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10-31-20 | Virginia Tech v. Louisville UNDER 67.5 | 42-35 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #122 Under in Virginia Tech Hokies @ Louisville Cardinals (4p.m., Saturday, October 31 ACCN) Just do not see explosive passing games in either of these two teams. Therefore, expect both teams to try and establish the run and thus that sets up a strong play with the under. Louisville has gone under the posted total in 5 of their last 7 home games against team with a winning road record. Virginia Tech has played under today’s posted total in 4 straight games. |
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10-31-20 | Memphis v. Cincinnati -6.5 | Top | 10-49 | Win | 100 | 91 h 54 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #138 Cincinnati Bearcats over Memphis Tigers (12p.m., Saturday, October 31 ESPN) Really like this Cincinnati team and we will continue to use them with these low numbers. The Bearcats won in Dallas last week against SMU as a small underdog. Now they are back at home and face an easier team in Memphis. Payback is also on the line, as Memphis beat Cincinnati in back to back games last year to earn the Group of 5 New Year’s Six Bowl bid (Cincinnati covered both games). But this is not the same Memphis team, as they have a new coaching staff and gave up 500 total yards to Temple last week. The Bearcats has an outstanding defense allowing just 12.5 point per game and if they can score close to 30 points in this game they should easily cover. Cincinnati is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against Memphis. The Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. |
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10-25-20 | Seahawks -3 v. Cardinals | 34-37 | Loss | -120 | 123 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #467 Seattle Seahawks over Arizona Cardinals (4:05p.m., Sunday, October FOX) Arizona will not be facing Andy Dalton and a dysfunctional team on Sunday. The Seahawks are coming off a bye and get to face Arizona on a short week, as the Cardinals played on Monday night football. Seattle won in Glendale by 17 points and I see another double-digit victory for the road team on Sunday. QB Wilson is playing at an MVP level and the coaches are finally letting him throw the ball early in games. Seattle is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 years coming off a bye week. The Seahawks are 13-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 18 road games. The Cardinals are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a victory of more than 14 points in their previous game. |
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10-25-20 | Chiefs v. Broncos +10.5 | Top | 43-16 | Loss | -125 | 119 h 17 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #472 Denver Broncos over Kansas City Chiefs (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 25 CBS) Denver is coming off a big victory at Foxborough last Sunday, a team the Chiefs struggled to beat. Now Kansas City must play in the Mile-High air on short rest against a team that is desperate to remain in the playoff race. Kansas City has dominated Denver in recent years but getting Drew Lock back should stabilize the Broncos offense. The Broncos are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games played during the month of October. |
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10-25-20 | Bucs v. Raiders OVER 51.5 | 45-20 | Win | 100 | 29 h 3 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #474 Over 52 in Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Las Vegas Raiders (4:05p.m., Sunday, October 25 FOX) This is an attractive matchup, and it will be interesting to how the Bucs respond after a big win against the previously undefeated Packers last Sunday. Tampa Bay has gone over the posted total in 15 of their last 20 games. Las Vegas has gone over the posted total in 4 of their last 5 games (1 push). |
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10-25-20 | Packers -3 v. Texans | 35-20 | Win | 100 | 116 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #465 Green Bay Packers over Houston Texas (1p.m., Sunday, October 25 FOX) When the Packers lose, they tend to get blown out, but they usually bounce back strong. Romeo Crennel made a play to be the permanent coach of the Texans that backfired last week against Tennessee. Now he knows he will not be retained, and the Texans are just playing out the string. Green Bay is 3-1 ATS in this matchup with Houston and the Texans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. 75% of the early money is on Green Bay and expect them to win this game by 7+ points. Houston is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. |
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10-25-20 | Browns v. Bengals +3.5 | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 116 h 50 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #452 Cincinnati Bengals over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, October 25 CBS) Cleveland had a devastating loss last week at Pittsburgh and I am not sure they will be able to right the ship in just one week. The Bengals played the Browns tough in the first meeting and I see this game going down to the wire as well. Cleveland does not do well as a road favorite losing both games last year in the division when that occurred. Cincinnati is getting players back on defense and expect them to win this game straight-up. Cleveland is 2-10 ATS in the last 12 meetings with Cincinnati. |
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10-25-20 | Panthers v. Saints OVER 49.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 26 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #462 Over 51 in Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints (1p.m., Sunday, October 25 FOX) The Panthers struggled to put the ball in the endzone last week against Chicago but they are still an over team to play this season. The Panthers have gone over the posted total in 4 of their last 5 divisional games. New Orleans has gone over the posted total in 5 straight games. |
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10-24-20 | Virginia v. Miami-FL -11 | 14-19 | Loss | -117 | 99 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #330 Miami Hurricanes over Virginia Cavaliers (8p.m., Saturday, October 24 ACCN) Virginia does not have a quarterback without Brennan Armstrong and they will not be able to use 2-3 other guys and stay within single digits against Miami. If he does play, he will be rusty, and I just do not see many weapons on offense for Virginia to threaten this Miami defense. Virginia has lost three straight games including the last two by 17 points to Wake Forest and NC State. Miami could not beat Clemson (join the club) but there other 3 wins have all been by double digits. D’Eriq King is going to picks apart this defense and I just do not believe Virginia will be able to keep pace. If Miami can put it together on offense, they can score 50+ points in this game. Miami is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite. Virginia is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. |
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10-24-20 | Wyoming v. Nevada +4.5 | Top | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 98 h 50 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #382 Nevada Wolf Pack over Wyoming Cowboys (7p.m., Saturday, October 24 CBSSN) Just believe that the wrong team is favored in this game. Nevada returns a ton of talent on both sides of the football including QB Strong, who played well as the season went on last year. They should be able to move the football on a Wyoming defense that does not return much talent and have the replace their defensive coordinator for the second straight year. Nevada is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. Jay Norvell lost his father this week and I think they play an inspired game in his honor. |
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10-24-20 | Virginia Tech v. Wake Forest +10 | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 94 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #324 Wake Forest Demon Deacons over Virginia Tech Hokies (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 24 ESPN3) We used Wake Forest last week as our Underdog Game of the Year and won it easily. Not sure why they are this big of an underdog this week against Virginia Tech, a team that could not stop North Carolina whatsoever. Wake Forest will be able to score points in this game and if they can stop the rushing attack of the Hokies, I feel they can win this game straight-up. The home team is 9-0 ATS in the last 9 games that Wake Forest has played. Wake Forest has scored 40 points in every game this year except their opener against Clemson. If they do that in this game, they should be able to cover. Virginia Tech is 7-23 ATS in their last 30 road games when they are favored. |
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10-24-20 | Florida Atlantic v. Marshall -16.5 | 9-20 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #374 Marshall Thundering Herd over FAU Owls (2:30p.m., Saturday, October 24 FSN) Never been a big fan of Willie Taggart and feel he will run this program into the ground like he did at Florida State. Marshall has won 6 of the last 7 games with FAU and have a superior defense in this matchup. They are allowing just 9.5 points per game and less than 70 rushing yards. The Owls have been off for three weeks and they struggled to put away Charlotte in their only game this season. FAU is just not the same team without Lane Kiffin and they will lose this game by 20+ points. FAU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Marshall. The Thundering Herd is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games. |
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10-19-20 | Cardinals v. Cowboys +2 | 38-10 | Loss | -108 | 104 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #276 Dallas Cowboy over Arizona Cardinals (8:15p.m., Monday, October 19 ESPN) Just do not see that much of a drop-off with Dak Prescott injured and Andy Dalton under center. Arizona has had an easy schedule, and they should be 5-0 considering the teams that they have played. Arizona is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Dallas. The home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 matchups between the Cardinals and Cowboys. Dallas win this game straight-up, and getting points is icing on the cake. |
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10-18-20 | Packers v. Bucs | 10-38 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #271 Green Bay Packers over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 18 FOX) Many people did not expect the Packers to match their win total of 13 games from last year. But they are on pace to do just that and will enter this game healthy and well rested off a bye week. QB Brady is showing his age and is not playing at a level that can win games against the top teams in the league. Green Bay has won 3 straight games in this series, and the line has swung 5 points to the side of the Packers. Green Bay is better on both sides of the football, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when they are the favorite. Tampa Bay is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against NFC teams. |
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10-18-20 | Browns v. Steelers -3.5 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 47 h 9 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #262 Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, October 18 CBS) Cleveland has played well of late and have stayed under the radar. If they win this game everyone will take notice, but beating Pittsburgh is something they seldom do. The Browns have not won at Pittsburgh since 2003. Enough said. |
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10-18-20 | Bears v. Panthers -2.5 | Top | 23-16 | Loss | -110 | 113 h 22 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #252 Carolina Panthers over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, October 18 FOX) The Bears are a fraud at 4-1 and I think there is a good chance they do not even make the playoffs come January. 3 of their 4 wins have come against the Lions, Giants, and Falcons. Carolina has won 3 straight games and Chicago is 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games. Carolina is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of October. The Panthers have something going with a new coach and quarterback and we will ride them again on Sunday looking for their fourth straight wins. |
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10-17-20 | Georgia v. Alabama -3.5 | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 56 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #166 Alabama Crimson Tide over Georgia Bulldogs (8p.m., Saturday, October 17 CBS) Alabama looked terrible on defense last week, but I expect a much better effort on Saturday night in Tuscaloosa. Georgia does not play an up-tempo spread offense like Ole Miss does, and I expect Alabama to play much better in this game. Georgia has a strong defense, but I am not that impressed with their offense and do not believe Stetson Bennett is a big-time, high division one quarterback. Alabama has won 5 straight games against Georgia. Alabama put up 723 yards last week, and I am just not sure Georgia can keep pace with them. The Bulldogs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog. Alabama is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Charlie Strong inspires the Alabama defense, and the home team win by double digits. |
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10-17-20 | North Carolina v. Florida State OVER 64 | 28-31 | Loss | -107 | 30 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #126 Over 64 in North Carolina Tar Heels @ Florida State Seminoles (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 17 ABC) We used North Carolina last week as our top play and easily won as they scored 56 points against Virginia Tech. Now they face a worse team in Florida State and expect them to light up the scoreboard again on Saturday. Florida State gave up 42 points to Notre Dame last week in a game that went over the posted total by halftime. North Carolina has gone over the posted total in 9 of their last 12 road games. Florida State has gone over the posted total in 6 of their last 8 games. |
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10-17-20 | Virginia v. Wake Forest +3 | Top | 23-40 | Win | 100 | 92 h 21 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #122 Wake Forest Demon Deacons over Virginia Cavaliers (4p.m., Saturday, October 17 ACCN) Just feel that the wrong team is favored in this game. Wake Forest needed some time off to get healthy and I feel their offensive is explosive and can score points with their up-tempo style. Virginia has quarterback injury issues, and they are coming off a home loss to NC State. They were not competitive in that game and they have lost 3 straight games to Wake Forest. Coach Clawson has won 4 straight games when they are an underdog of 3 points or less. This team played NC State much better than did Virginia and would have won that game if not for a couple of fluke plays. Virginia is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against Wake Forest. The underdog is 5-2 ATS (1 push) in the last 8 meetings between the Cavaliers and Demon Deacons. Wake Forest is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. |
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10-17-20 | Kentucky v. Tennessee -6 | 34-7 | Loss | -112 | 22 h 9 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #134 Tennessee Volunteers -6 over Kentucky Wildcats (12p.m., Saturday, October 17 SECN) Tennessee has dominated this series and giving less than 7 points makes this a strong play for us. Tennessee is 33-2 straight up and 26-9 ATS against Kentucky over the last 35 meetings. I just trust the Tennessee offense more in this game and hopefully we see the good Jarrett Guarantano in this game. The Volunteers are 6-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 SEC games. |
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10-12-20 | Chargers v. Saints OVER 50 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 99 h 39 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #478 Over 51 in Los Angeles Chargers @ New Orleans Saints (8:15p.m., Monday, October 12 ESPN) The pressure is on the Saints to show they are not over the hill and their offensive is still one of the best in the NFL. The over has hit 5 straight games when these two teams square off with one another. The Chargers have gone over the posted total in 5 of their last 6 road games. New Orleans has gone over the posted total in 6 of their last 8 Monday Night Football games. |
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10-11-20 | Dolphins v. 49ers -9 | 43-17 | Loss | -108 | 70 h 26 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #470 San Francisco 49ers -9 over Miami Dolphins (4:05p.m., Sunday, October 11 FOX) TOP NFL PLAY OF THE WEEK The 49ers are starting to get healthy and feel that this is a game that will get them back on track. San Francisco has a brutal schedule on deck and will enter that gauntlet at 3-2 on the year. Miami is sticking with QB Fitzpatrick for some reason and he does not give either side of the football much confidence. Seattle moved the football at will, had a red zone interception and still won a true road game by 8 points. The 49ers have a much better defense than does Seattle and I expect Miami to struggle moving the football against them. San Francisco beats bad teams big and that will be the case again on Sunday. Miami is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against San Francisco. The 49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. |
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10-11-20 | Bengals +13.5 v. Ravens | 3-27 | Loss | -115 | 117 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #467 Cincinnati Bengals over Baltimore Ravens (1p.m., Sunday, October 11 CBS) This is just a lot of points to be giving for a divisional game. Cincinnati is capable now on offense of moving the football and scoring some points. Baltimore is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite against other AFC North teams (Pittsburgh, Cleveland, & Cincinnati). The stats lasts week against Washington were not that impressive for Baltimore. Washington had 6 more first down in that game and Baltimore had just 7 more total yards. The Bengals are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games when they are an underdog. Baltimore is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games. |
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10-11-20 | Panthers v. Falcons OVER 53 | Top | 23-16 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 45 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #452 Over in Carolina Panthers over Atlanta Falcons (1p.m., Sunday, October 11 FOX) Some fluke plays early in the Falcons Monday night game cause the point total to stay under but I do not see that happening on Sunday. Atlanta still is an over team with a strong passing game and poor defense. Carolina has gone over the posted total in 22 of their last 32 games when they are a road underdog. Atlanta has gone over the posted total in 4 of their last 5 home games when they are favored. |
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10-10-20 | Alabama v. Ole Miss OVER 68.5 | 63-48 | Win | 100 | 50 h 3 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #328 Over 69.5 in Alabama Crimson Tide @ Ole Miss Rebels (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 10 ESPN) The over has collected in 4 of the last 5 games between Alabama and Ole Miss. Alabama has gone over the posted total in 4 of their last 5 SEC games. Mississippi has gone over the posted total in 9 of their 13 games played during the month of October (1 push). |
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10-10-20 | Florida State v. Notre Dame OVER 52.5 | 26-42 | Win | 100 | 50 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #354 Over 52 in Florida State Seminoles @ Norte Dame Fighting Irish (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 10 NBC) I always like to play the over with the Irish, as they are a team that can light-up the scoreboard. Florida State continues to be unimpressive regardless of who the coach is, but they need to show progress in this game, especially on offense. Florida State has gone over the posted total in 8 of their last 10 road games. Notre Dame is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week. |
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10-10-20 | Oklahoma v. Texas +2 | 53-45 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #324 Texas Longhorns over Oklahoma Sooners (12p.m., Saturday, October 10 FOX) Both teams are struggling at the moment, but Texas has covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 meetings with Oklahoma. The Longhorns have the edge at quarterback in this game for the first time in years and I have not been that impressed with Sooner Quarterback Spencer Rattler. Unlike Sam Ehlinger, he does not have the ability to beat you with his legs. Texas is a better team and Tom Herman is a better coach when they are the underdog and less is expected of them. The Sooners are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games. The Longhorns are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games as an underdog. |
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10-10-20 | Virginia Tech v. North Carolina -5 | Top | 45-56 | Win | 100 | 92 h 43 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #320 North Carolina Tar Heels over Virginia Tech Hokies (12p.m. Saturday, October 10 ABC) Both teams return a ton of talent from 2019 but I just feel Carolina has a major edge at quarterback and that will be the difference in this game. Braxton Burnmeister has not looked good in either start this season and has not thrown for over 170 yards in either game. QB Hendon Hooker may play in this game but he will be rusty having not played a snap this season. Virginia Tech had covid issues last week holding out a bunch of players. Carolina did not look impressive last week but they had a ton of time off and playing last week should get them back in the groove for this game. The Tar Heels have a strong rushing defense and the better quarterback in this game. Those are two indicators that this is the right side to take. The home team has covered the spread in this series 4 of the last 5 games. Virginia Tech is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. Carolina is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. |
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10-04-20 | Bills v. Raiders +3 | Top | 30-23 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 1 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #276 Las Vegas Raiders over Buffalo Bills (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 4 CBS) Karma will bite the Buffalo Bills in this game. They were very fortunate to win last week against the Rams with the help of a questionable pass interference call kept their game winning driver alive. The Raiders got worn down last week against the Patriots but expect them to bounce back in a big way at home today against the Bills. The Raiders played well against the Saints and expect them to find their form from that game. Buffalo is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Oakland. Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played during the month of October. Oakland is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. |
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10-04-20 | Chargers v. Bucs -7 | 31-38 | Push | 0 | 97 h 37 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #266 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Los Angeles Chargers (1p.m., Sunday, October 4 CBS) Just believe the Buccaneers continue to be a little under valued and feel they will win this game by double digits. The Chargers are coming off a bad home loss to the Panthers and they are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games. QB Brady is coming off his best performance on the year in which he threw for 3 touchdowns and 9 interceptions in a dominating victory at Denver last Sunday. Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. Los Angeles is 1-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games. |
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10-03-20 | Auburn +7 v. Georgia | 6-27 | Loss | -114 | 56 h 2 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #153 Auburn Tigers over Georgia Bulldogs (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 3 ESPN) Top College Football Play of the Week The Bulldogs are banking on a big upgrade on offense with QB JT Daniels clear to play but I just do not see an offensive explosion. They struggled last week with Arkansas trailing 7-5 at halftime and I do not expect their offensive line to hold up in this game against Auburn. The Tigers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games. Auburn has not had much success against Georgia in recent years, but I like there quarterback better and the talent is just too even to be giving this many points. Auburn can win this game straight-up and expect them to easily cover the spread. |
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10-03-20 | Texas Tech v. Kansas State -2.5 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 75 h 8 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #136 Kansas State Wildcats over Texas Tech Red Raiders (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 3 FS1) Just do not trust Texas Tech. Both teams experienced dramatic games last week with Kansas State beating Oklahoma and Texas Tech blowing a big lead late against Texas. The Wildcats have dominated this matchup winning 8 of their last 9 games against the Red Raiders (7-2 ATS). Texas Tech just does not historically win these types of games, especially on the road. They have allowed 30+ points in 10 of their last 11 games. Texas Tech is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games. Kansas State is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Big 12 games. |
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10-03-20 | Missouri v. Tennessee -11.5 | 12-35 | Win | 100 | 72 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #116 Tennessee Volunteers over Missouri Tigers (12p.m., Saturday, October 3 SECN) The Tigers 38-19 loss last week against Alabama was very misleading. Missouri trailed 35-3 before they produced some yardage and points after Alabama took the pedal off the gas and substituted backups into the game. We used Tennessee as our top play last week and they were in control of that game despite being terrible on third down. Tennessee won this game last year as an underdog and they currently have the longest winning streak of any team in the country. Missouri is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss in their previous game. Tennessee is 5-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 SEC games. |
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09-27-20 | Lions v. Cardinals -5.5 | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -105 | 120 h 29 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #484 Arizona Cardinals over Detroit Lions (4:25p.m., Sunday, September 27 FOX) Just do not understand these lines the last two weeks with the Lions. They jumped up on Green Bay 14-3 last week and still got killed. Now they are on the road for a second straight week and most believe they have a lame duck coach and the team is going nowhere fast. Arizona is getting more confident each week and Kyler Murray looks like he was worth taking as the No. 1 overall pick. The Lions have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 games. Detroit is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in the desert. The Cardinals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. |
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09-26-20 | Tennessee -3 v. South Carolina | Top | 31-27 | Win | 100 | 100 h 35 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #405 Tennessee Volunteers over South Carolina Gamecocks (7:30p.m., Saturday, September 26 SECN) Tennessee got off to a horrible start last year but beating South Carolina by 21 points was the turning point. That was the first game of a six-game winning streak to close out the 2019 season. Tennessee is more experienced and that is a good thing since practices have been hard to come by during this Covid summer. The visitor is 18-5 ATS in the last 23 games between Tennessee and USC. Carolina was terrible on offense last year and I just do not have confidence that Will Muschamp is the guy to turn this program around. South Carolina is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 SEC games. |
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09-26-20 | Louisville v. Pittsburgh -2.5 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 92 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #402 Pittsburgh Panthers over Louisville Cardinals (12p.m., Saturday, September 26 ACCN) WKU losing straight-up despite being a big favorite to Liberty last Saturday was an indicator that this Louisville team is not all that good. The Cardinals lost at home to Miami later that evening and I do not see things getting better for them on the road at Pittsburgh. The Panthers were not very impressive either against Syracuse but remember that the Orange hung around against North Carolina for three quarters before collapsing in the fourth quarter. Pittsburgh has won 5 of the last 6 games against Louisville and has covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 meetings. The Panthers dominated more than the score indicated last week but missed three field goals. They clean that up today and win this one by double digits. |
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09-20-20 | Giants +5.5 v. Bears | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 74 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #277 New York Giants over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, September 20 FOX) The Giants were in position on Monday to take the game with the Steelers down to the wire, but a turnover inside the red zone did them in. Now they face a team in Chicago that was extremely lucky to get a victory last week at Detroit. The Bears should not be favored by this many points against any team in the league. RB Barkley will have an easier time running the football in this game, and QB Jones will only get better as the season progresses. The Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games played in Chicago against the Bears. Chicago is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. |
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09-20-20 | 49ers v. Jets +7.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -135 | 74 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #270 New York Jets over San Francisco 49ers (1p.m., Sunday, September 20 FOX) The 49ers have a Super Bowl hangover, and now injuries are starting to pile up. The Jets are terrible as well, but I just believe they will bounce back at home after getting pounded last week at Buffalo. New York went 3-1 against the NFC in 2019 (straight-up and ATS). The underdog has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings. San Francisco is 7-19 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 games as a favorite. The Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. |
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09-20-20 | Lions v. Packers -5.5 | Top | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 118 h 55 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take Green Bay Packers over Detroit Lions (1p.m., Sunday, September 20 FOX) Green Bay just continues to be undervalued again in 2020. This team won 13 games in 2019 and started off 2020 with a dominating road win at Minnesota. Now they return home to face the Lions, a team that has had very little success in Green Bay over the years. Detroit is coming off an unthinkable loss to Chicago last week in a game they led by 17 points in the fourth quarter. Green Bay has won 7 straight games against divisional teams. The favorite is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings between Detroit and Green Bay. The Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of September. |
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09-19-20 | Wake Forest v. NC State -2.5 | Top | 42-45 | Win | 100 | 101 h 55 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #108 NC State Wolfpack over Wake Forest Demon Deacons (8p.m., Saturday, September 19 ACCN) Wake Forest has the advantage of having played last week but the home team has dominated this series. The home team has won 19 of the last 23 meetings and is also 18-5 ATS. NC State is coming off a rare down year in 2019 winning just 4 games but the track record of Dave Doeren suggests they will bounce back and have a winning record this year. Wake Forest has allowed 36.3 points per game in their last 6 games. Wake Forest is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win in their previous game. |
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09-19-20 | Liberty v. Western Kentucky -14 | 30-24 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 55 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #124 WKU Hilltoppers over Liberty Flames (12p.m., Saturday, September 19 ESPNU) Western Kentucky did not play that well on offense last week but should have a much easier time moving the football against Liberty this week. The Toppers defense played decent against Louisville but got beat deep on a couple of fluke plays. They did block two punts in that game and I just believe they are better in all three phases than is Liberty. The Flames lack experience on both sides of the football, and this is their first game of the season. WKU is 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games. Liberty is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 nonconference games. |
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09-17-20 | Bengals v. Browns -6 | 30-35 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #102 Cleveland Browns over Cincinnati Bengals (8:20p.m., Thursday, September 17 NFLN) The Browns need this game after laying an egg in the first game against Baltimore. The Bengals outperformed some expectations in Week 1, but I just do not believe they are a good enough team to be competitive on the road. The line has dropped under a touchdown, and now I believe the value lies with the Browns. The favorite is 8-2 ATS in the last two meetings in this Battle of Ohio. Cincinnati is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games played on Thursday. |
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09-14-20 | Steelers v. Giants +6 | 26-16 | Loss | -108 | 125 h 12 m | Show | |
10 Unit Play. Take #479 Pittsburgh Steelers over New York Giants (7:15p.m., Monday, September 14 ESPN) This is a popular pick with all the newsletters and handicappers, and we will side with them early in the season. Pittsburgh needs to make the playoffs this year after missing out the last two years. Pressure is on Tomlin and Roethlisberger and expect them to respond in a positive way to challenge Baltimore in the AFC North. QB Jones played well at times last season, but now does not have an offensive coach. The Giants have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 games as a home underdog. New York is also 2-7 ATS in their last 9 Week 1 games. Pittsburgh is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played on Monday Night Football. |
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09-13-20 | Dolphins +6.5 v. Patriots | 11-21 | Loss | -100 | 95 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #453 Miami Dolphins over New England Patriots (1p.m., Sunday, September 13 CBS) The Patriots are still the Patriots, but I just feel this is too many points to be giving against a divisional foe. Miami won at Foxboro in their last game of the 2019 season and should only be better this year under year 2 of Brian Flores. Miami is 6-1 ATS in their season opener over the last 7 years. The Patriots are 0-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 home games. Miami is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against AFC teams. |
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09-13-20 | Seahawks v. Falcons +2.5 | 38-25 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #462 Atlanta Falcons over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, September 13 FOX) Just do not believe the Seahawks have all that great of talent besides Russell Wilson. Seattle has failed to cover 5 straight season openers. Expect a lot of offense in this game but I believe the Falcons need this one more in order to get off to a good start in 2020. Atlanta won 6 of their last 8 games in 2019 to save the job on Dan Quinn. Matt Ryan will be able to hold his own in this game especially with the better offensive weapons that they have. Seattle is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings. |
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09-13-20 | Packers +3 v. Vikings | 43-34 | Win | 100 | 95 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #469 Green Bay Packers over Minnesota Vikings (1p.m., Sunday, September 13 FOX) Many people are expecting Green Bay to fall back this year after going 13-3 in 2019. But we will gladly grab the points in this game, as the Packers have covered the spread in 4 straight games against the Vikings. QB Cousins is no match for QB Rodgers, as he is just 7-31 in his last 38 games against teams that finish the season with a winning record. Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Week 1 games. |
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09-12-20 | Western Kentucky v. Louisville -11.5 | Top | 21-35 | Win | 100 | 78 h 4 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #406 Louisville Cardinals over WKU Hilltoppers (8p.m., Saturday, September 12 ACCN) Just liked how Louisville played in year one under Scott Satterfield winning 8 games including the Music City Bowl last time they took the field. They return a ton of playmakers on both sides of the football including Micale Cunningham, who threw for 22 touchdowns last year. They teams met last year at a neutral site and they game was over early with Louisville up 24 points at halftime before a minor comeback by WKU to only lose by 17 points. Louisville is expected to have some fans in the stands and that will only make this much more of a homefield edge. The Cardinals are 19-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 26 games against Conference USA teams. |
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09-12-20 | Syracuse +22.5 v. North Carolina | 6-31 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #395 Syracuse Orange over North Carolina Tar Heels (12p.m., Saturday, September 12 ACCN) Just feel this spread has risen too high considering this is a conference game with no fans in attendance. The Orange played better down the stretch winning two of their last three games, both times they were underdogs. They return some talent on offense and should be able to score some points to keep up with North Carolina. The Tar Heels are loaded on offense as well, but Mack Brown teams have never been known to be offensive juggernauts. Expect the Orange to stay within this number, which has now gone over three touchdowns. Syracuse is 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games played during the month of September. |
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09-07-20 | BYU -1.5 v. Navy | Top | 55-3 | Win | 100 | 105 h 16 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #243 BY Cougars over Navy Midshipman (8p.m., Monday, September 7 ESPN) The line movement tells me a lot for this game. Navy opened as a small home favorite of 2.5 but now BYU is favored at release time for this play. I always like extra time to prepare for the triple option and that is what BYU has for this game. QB Zach Wilson is back behind center for the Cougars and played better down the stretch last year winning 5 of his last 6 regular season games. Most year’s Navy has to rebuild and that is again the case this year losing their quarterback from last season. They were not as good as their record indicated last year and are just a middle of the pack team in the AAC this year. Navy is 1-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games against Independent teams. |
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09-05-20 | Middle Tennessee State v. Army -3 | 0-42 | Win | 100 | 51 h 42 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #242 Army Black Knights over Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1:30p.m., Saturday, September 5 CBSSN) This game was added in August and thus the Blue Raiders do not have as much time as normal to prepare for the triple option. The Black Nights took a step back in 2019 but look to turn things around in 2020 and this is important game for them in hopes of having a winning season. MTSU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played during the month of September. Army is 5-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games played during the month of September. 82% of the money is coming in on Army and that is usually a key indicator early in the season. |
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09-03-20 | South Alabama +15 v. Southern Miss | 32-21 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #235 South Alabama Jaguars +13 over Southern Miss Golden Eagles (9p.m., Thursday, September 3 CBSSN) This line opened at 16 but has come down under two touchdown and we will side with the line movement. The Golden Eagles did not perform well down the stretch losing three straight games by double digits to close out the 2019 season. USA is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Southern Miss is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played on Thursday. |
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08-29-20 | Austin Peay State v. Central Arkansas OVER 43 | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 12 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #308902 Over in Austin Peay Governors @ Central Arkansas Bears (9p.m., Saturday, August 29 ESPN) College Football is back and this is the lone game of week 0. These two teams met last year and it was more of a defensive struggle but we believe things will open up this year. Central Arkansas likes to move the football through the air and averaged close to 300 yards passing per game. Austin Peay averaged over 34 points per game last year and I see both teams reaching the 20’s in points. We will not worry about won wins this game and just focus our attention on the total. |
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02-02-20 | 49ers v. Chiefs -1 | Top | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 125 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #102 Kansas City Chiefs over San Francisco 49ers (6:30p.m., Sunday, February 2 FOX) The line on this game is low and you can make a case for both sides. In the end I just feel it is the Chiefs time especially for their Coach Andy Reid, a sentimental favorite of most people to finally win a Super Bowl. Coach Reid is outstanding coming off a bye and he also has the better quarterback behind center in this game. Two straight weeks the Chiefs have gotten behind early only to have the lead by halftime and control the game in the second half. The 49ers have not faced any adversity in the playoffs this season and I am not sure how they will react if the Chiefs can force them to throw the football in obvious passing situations. Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against San Francisco. The 49ers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a win of more than 14 points in their previous game. Kansas City is 7-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games. |
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01-19-20 | Packers v. 49ers -7.5 | 20-37 | Win | 104 | 126 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #312 San Francisco 49ers over Green Bay Packers (6:40p.m., Sunday, January 19 FOX) The 49ers dominated the regular season meeting. This game will be closer, but I just believe San Francisco is better in all 3 phases plus have a better coaching staff to boot. San Francisco has covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 games against Green Bay. San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. This has a feel of the NFC Championship from 3 years ago when Green Bay went to Atlanta and just could not compete losing 44-21. |
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01-19-20 | Titans +7.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 24-35 | Loss | -105 | 123 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #313 Tennessee Titans over Kansas City Chiefs (3:05p.m., Sunday, January 19 CBS) Everyone just assumes the Kansas City will cruise to the Super Bowl after having their scare early in the divisional round against Houston. But one must remember Andy Reid has really struggled in this round winning just 1 time in 6 tires. Tennessee appears destined to run the gauntlet of New England, Baltimore, and now Kansas City. The Titans are much better coached than are the Texans and if they get a lead in this game, they may not give it up. Tennessee is 7-3 straight-up in their 10 road games this season (7-3 ATS). The road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings between Tennessee and Kansas City. The Chiefs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 playoff games. The Titans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games. |
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01-13-20 | Clemson v. LSU -5.5 | 25-42 | Win | 100 | 151 h 55 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #284 LSU Tigers over Clemson Tigers (8:10p.m., Monday, January 13 ESPN) LSU has been more dominating for the start of the season to the finish and playing in New Orleans will push them over the top to win a National Championship. Clemson had a very physical game against Ohio State in the semifinals and I just do not know how much left they have in the tank for this game. Clemson had trouble containing Ohio State and benefited by a strong red zone defense. LSU will move the football and finish drives in the red zone with a touchdown. LSU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games when they are favored. Clemson’s winning streak ends tonight as the LSU Tigers prove once again, they are the best team in the country. |
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01-12-20 | Seahawks v. Packers -3.5 | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 125 h 18 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #308 Green Bay Packers over Seattle Seahawks (6:40p.m., Sunday, January 12 FOX) Green Bay still gets no respect for being 13-3 and many believe Seattle will just walk into Lambeau Field and win this game. Green Bay was 7-1 this season at home and has dominated Seattle in Wisconsin going 5-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 meetings. The Packers are a much healthier team than are the Seahawks and I just do not believe QB Wilson has enough weapons around him to win this game. Seattle is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 divisional round games. Green Bay is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. Packers use their home field advantage to rise to the occasion and win this game by close to 10 points. |
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01-11-20 | Vikings v. 49ers -6.5 | Top | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 99 h 13 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #302 San Francisco 49ers over Minnesota Vikings (4:35p.m., Saturday, January 11 CBS) The Vikings are coming off an impressive victory, but this team has not handled prosperity well and now must travel to the west coast to face the best team in the conference. San Francisco is 4-1 straight-up against Minnesota in the playoffs. San Francisco has a great play caller in Kyle Shanahan, and they are better than Minnesota on both sides of the football. Minnesota is 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games against teams with a winning record. San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games between the Vikings and 49ers. Minnesota cannot backup their performance from last week and thus San Francisco wins this game by double digits. |
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01-05-20 | Seahawks v. Eagles +2.5 | Top | 17-9 | Loss | -105 | 118 h 51 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #148 Philadelphia Eagles over Seattle Seahawks (4:40p.m., Sunday, January 5 NBC) The Seahawks are reeling at the moment having lost two straight home games and injuries have taken its toll on this team. Philadelphia is heading in the right direction and I do not believe they will lose twice to Seattle in the city of Brotherly Love. Seattle defense is not close to what it once was and all the pressure of QB Wilson having to do everything is finally catching up with this team. Seattle is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 playoff games. Philadelphia is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of January. |
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01-04-20 | Titans v. Patriots -4.5 | 20-13 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 35 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #144 New England Patriots over Tennessee Titans (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 4 CBS) Everyone is ready to bury the Patriots, but I am not one of them. Tennessee has not been playing great down the stretch either losing two of their last three games before Houston laid down last week letting them cruise to a victory. New England beat Tennessee is the playoffs two years ago by 21 points. I see them winning this game by 7-10 points. QB Tannehill has looked good but I just do not trust him, especially with so much on the line in the playoffs. Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between Tennessee and New England. Tennessee is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games played on Saturday. New England is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of January. Just believe the Patriots have too much pride to go out in the Wild Card round and they will find a way to get it down on Saturday. |
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01-03-20 | Ohio v. Nevada +8.5 | 30-21 | Loss | -112 | 69 h 42 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #276 Nevada Wolf Pack over Ohio Bobcats (Idaho Potato Bowl, 3:30p.m., Friday, January 3 ESPN) This line really jumped after Nevada got in a brawl last game against UNLV and will be missing some key people in this game. But we will grab the points, as the Pack have had over a month to get new players acquainted. Nevada has better wins on the season and should have a better crowd since Boise is much closer to Reno compared to Athens. This is not one of Ohio’s better teams under Frank Solich and they pretty much just beat the dreads of the MAC to get to 6 wins. Ohio is 2-7 in their last 9 games as a favorite. Nevada is 3-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 bowl games. |
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01-02-20 | Tennessee -1.5 v. Indiana | Top | 23-22 | Loss | -110 | 221 h 33 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #293 Tennessee Volunteers over Indiana Hoosiers (Gator Bowl, 7p.m., Thursday, January 2 ESPN) Tennessee has had a remarkable turnaround winning 5 straight games to close out the regular season and get the fan base back on board. Both teams have a lot of experience, but I believe the best unit on the field will be the Tennessee defense. Tennessee is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against Big 10 teams. Their last 3 bowl appearances have come against Big 10 teams and they have won those games by 17, 39, and 14 points. Indiana did not finish the season well, losing 2 of their last 3 games with only a 3 point victory against Purdue during this span. |
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01-01-20 | Wisconsin -2.5 v. Oregon | 27-28 | Loss | -110 | 195 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #267 Wisconsin Badgers over Oregon Ducks (Rose Bowl, 5p.m., Wednesday, January 1 ESPN) The Badgers being favored in this game tells me we are on the right side. Just not a fan of Mario Cristobal as a game coach. He is a great recruiter but never seems to get over the hump and have a truly great season. QB Just Herbert is in a similar boat, as he looks the part but never seems to put it together for 60 minutes. Wisconsin has been playing the way Oregon wants to play for the last 30 years. RB Jonathan Taylor is the best player on the field, and he wants to go out with a bang! Wisconsin is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. Oregon is 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games following an ATS win in their previous game. |
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12-31-19 | Kentucky v. Virginia Tech -2.5 | 37-30 | Loss | -105 | 166 h 35 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #292 Virginia Tech Hokies over Kentucky Wildcats (Belk Bowl, 12p.m., Tuesday, December 31 ESPN) Mark Stoops was getting some publicity for the Florida State job but that would have been an uninspiring hire. Kentucky is not any good this year and they had one of the worst passing offenses in the country. They were floundering for most of the season before getting better down the stretch winning 3 straight game. 2 of those wins came against terrible teams, but they did beat Louisville in their regular season finale. They have quarterback that struggles to throw the football and you can bet Bud Foster will make the Wildcats beat them through the air. Virginia Tech had an up and down season, but they did win 8 games and are a much more balanced team. They lost last time out to Virginia and that prevented them from playing in the ACC Championship. But it also keep them fresh and healthy by avoiding Clemson and they will be ready to make a big statement in this game. This will be the last game for Bud Foster, and he has just as much respect as most head coaches in the country. The players and coaches want to send him out with a victory. Virginia Tech is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. Kentucky is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Lay the points and play Virginia Tech. |
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12-30-19 | Illinois +7 v. California | 20-35 | Loss | -115 | 146 h 41 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #249 Illinois Fighting Illini over California Golden Bears (Redbox Bowl, 4p.m., Monday, December 30 FOX) Lovie Smith was close to being fired but turned it around in 2019 to qualify for a bowl game. Cal had a hot start to the season but faded during conference play losing 5 of their last 8 games down the stretch. This game is being played in Santa Clara but the Bears to not travel well and Illinois is excited to be here. Cal is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Illinois is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. |
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12-29-19 | Titans v. Texans +4 | 35-14 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 57 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #102 Houston Texans over Tennessee Titans (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 29 CBS) Nothing seems predictable in the AFC South. This game obviously means more to the Titans, as a victory will guarantee them a spot in the playoffs. Houston just beat this team earlier in the season and feel they can keep this game close at home despite resting some key personal. Tennessee is 4-12 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 games against Houston. |
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12-29-19 | Raiders +3.5 v. Broncos | 15-16 | Win | 100 | 122 h 56 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #131 Oakland Raiders over Denver Broncos (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 29 CBS) We will grab the points in this game, as the Raiders still have an outside chance to make the playoffs. Raiders played one of their best games of the season last week against the Chargers, a better team than they will face on Sunday. Oakland won the first meeting by 8 points and I do not see them getting blown out in this game. Denver had trouble putting away the Lions last week and just should not be favored by this many points against anyone in the league. Oakland has covered the spread 4 straight games against Denver. The Broncos are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games against AFC West teams. |
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12-29-19 | Chargers v. Chiefs -8 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 119 h 31 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #126 Kansas City Chiefs over Los Angeles Chargers (1p.m., Sunday, December 29 CBS) The Phillip Rivers era as the starting quarterback of the Chargers will likely come to an end on Sunday. The Chargers have been one of the most disappointing teams in the league this season and will finish out the season losing 6 of their last 7 games. Kansas City has dominated this series winning 10 of the last 11 games against Los Angeles (8-3 ATS). The Chiefs still have a chance to earn a first round bye and thus their will be no let-up in this game from start to finish. |
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12-28-19 | Clemson -2 v. Ohio State | 29-23 | Win | 100 | 102 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #243 Clemson Tigers over Ohio State Buckeyes (Fiesta Bowl, 8p.m., Saturday, December 28 ESPN) Not much you can find to not like about either of these teams. Just feel Clemson is favored for a reason and they have been in a competitive game this season, something that cannot be said for Ohio State. Clemson has the more experienced coaching staff and they have covered the spread in 18 of their last 21 games. Clemson is the defending National Champion and they can play the no respect card since they were awarded the No. 3 seed despite winning 27 straight games. Clemson is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games. Ohio State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against ACC teams. |
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12-27-19 | USC +2 v. Iowa | 24-49 | Loss | -108 | 78 h 48 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #233 USC Trojans over Iowa Hawkeyes (Holiday Bowl, 8p.m., Friday, December 27 FS1) Clay Helton lives to coach another year and the Trojans had a pretty good season despite injuries and a brutal schedule. Just not a fan of Iowa this season on the offensive side of the football. QB Nate Stanley is just not a big-time player and Iowa did not perform well against the top teams on their schedule. USC had a nice finish to the season winning 3 straight games (2 road games) and this team wants Clay Helton as their coach despite the fan base and media. USC is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. Iowa is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games on grass. |
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12-27-19 | Michigan State v. Wake Forest +4 | 27-21 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #230 Wake Forest Demon Deacons over Michigan State Spartans (Pinstripe Bowl, 3:20p.m., Friday, December 27 ESPN) Michigan State has fallen back to a middle of the pack Big 10 teams and they do not warrant to be favored by anyone that qualifies for a bowl game. Wake Forest returns a ton of talent and I just do not believe their defense will be picked apart by Michigan State. The Spartans got to play to terrible teams to close out the regular season but prior to that they lost 5 straight games and they were only competitive in one of those 5 losses. Wake Forest finished poorly down the stretch, but they have the edge in offense and special teams and will win this game straight-up. Michigan State is 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games. Wake Forest is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games. |
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12-26-19 | Miami-FL v. Louisiana Tech +6.5 | 0-14 | Win | 100 | 217 h 10 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #224 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs over Miami Hurricanes (Independence Bowl, Thursday, December 26 ESPN) Miami just is not what they once were and nobody can figure out how to get this program back to glory. They finished the season with two straight losses including a 10-point setback to Duke, a team that did not even quality for a bowl. Manny Diaz thought he had all the answers resigning from Temple after not even coaching a game. He has been humbled and already lost the fan base and former players. The Bulldogs had a good year and were in great shape before stumbling down the stretch losing 2 of their final 3 games. But they did rebound beating UTSA last time out and will be more excited to be in this game than Miami is. The Hurricanes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 bowl games. The Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 bowl games. |
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12-23-19 | Packers +5 v. Vikings | 23-10 | Win | 100 | 149 h 23 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #481 Green Bay Packers over Minnesota Vikings (8:15p.m., Monday, December 23 ESPN) The final Monday Night Football game of the season is an NFC North rivalry. This game actually means more to Green Bay, as they have visions of the No. 2 seed and a bye. Even if Minnesota wins this game, they still will likely be a wildcard and thus I do not see them blowing out the Packers in this contest. Green Bay is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Minnesota is 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning record. Expect a field goal game and we will collect with whoever comes out on top. |
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12-22-19 | Cowboys -2.5 v. Eagles | 9-17 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 33 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #475 Dallas Cowboys over Philadelphia Eagles (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 22 FOX) This is likely a winner take all game! If Dallas wins, they clinch the NFC East and will host a home game on wild card weekend. The Eagles have won two straight games, but they struggle to put away the Giants and Redskins. The Cowboys played their best game of the season last time out and they just have much more talent on offense than the Eagles do. Dallas blew out Philadelphia by 27 points earlier this season. The favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 matchups. Philadelphia is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games. |
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12-22-19 | Giants +2.5 v. Redskins | 41-35 | Win | 100 | 118 h 9 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #465 New York Giants over Washington Redskins (1p.m., Sunday, December 22 FOX) Both teams played well last week with the Giants winning their game and the Redskins nearly knocking off Philadelphia. New York played their best game of the season against Washington back in September and I expect them to win this game as well straight-up regardless of who plays for them under center. New York is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games against Washington. The Redskins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. |
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12-22-19 | Panthers v. Colts -6.5 | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 118 h 9 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #472 Indianapolis Colts over Carolina Panthers (1p.m., Sunday, December 22 FOX) Carolina backdoor covered last week against Seattle and despite that late rally they have decided to bench their quarterback in Kyle Allen. The Colts will not be the playoffs either, but they have not quit like the Panthers have and expect them to go all out with a chance of finishing the season at 8-8. Indianapolis is 12-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 18 games against NFC teams. Carolina is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. |
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12-21-19 | Washington v. Boise State +3.5 | 38-7 | Loss | -106 | 101 h 41 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #216 Boise State Broncos over Washington Huskies (Las Vegas Bowl, 7:30p.m., Saturday, December 21 ABC) Chris Petersen has been a fixature at both schools and we will resign as head coach of the Washington Huskies after this game. Boise State just wins bowl games and they have won 3 of their last 4 bowl games including a victory in the Las Vegas Bowl two years ago. Washington did not have a good year finishing just 7-5 and did not beat any top teams in the country this season besides USC. Boise State is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. Washington is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. |
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12-21-19 | Bills v. Patriots -6 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 98 h 40 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #454 New England Patriots over Buffalo Bills (4:30p.m., Saturday, December 21 NFLN) This game appears big on paper but in reality that is not the case for the Bills. Even if Buffalo wins this game, New England still controls its own destiny to win the NFC East and would just have to beat the Dolphins in Week 17 at Foxboro. But the Patriots need a bye if they have any plans of doing damage in the playoffs this year. New England has beaten Buffalo 15 of the last 17 games at Gillette Stadium. The Patriots got well last week against the Bengals and will win this game by close to 10 points. New England is 42-19 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 63 home games. |
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12-15-19 | Bills v. Steelers -1.5 | 17-10 | Loss | -115 | 126 h 29 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #322 Pittsburgh Steelers over Buffalo Bills (8:25p.m., Sunday, December 15 NBC) Just not sold on the Buffalo Bills and feel their record is mostly a byproduct of their schedule. Buffalo has struggled against the AFC North this season losing to the Browns and Ravens and only beating the Bengals by 4 points. This is the final home game for the Steelers, and it is a must win if they have visions of making the playoffs this season. Buffalo does not get many primetime games and I do not believe they will be up for the challenge in this game. Buffalo is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. |
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12-15-19 | Rams v. Cowboys | 21-44 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #329 Los Angeles Rams over Dallas Cowboys (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 15 FOX) This line opened at -3.5 (Dallas) and has been bet down all week long and still is not where it should be. Dallas is terrible and is only being talked about because they play in the NFC East. This game does not mean much for the Cowboys and it will likely come down to them beating the Eagles on 12/22 to determine their playoff fate. We used the Rams are our top play last week and won easily against the Seahawks and now they face a much more dysfunctional team. The Rams are 8-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. Dallas is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. |
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12-15-19 | Bears v. Packers -4 | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 119 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #310 Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, December 15 FOX) The Packers are not getting much respect of late and thus we will take them on Sunday against a team they have already beaten once this season. Just do not trust QB Trubisky to win games on a consistent basis. Green Bay knows they need this game in order to win the division and they will get it by 7-10 points. Chicago is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. The Bears are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games against the Packers. |
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12-08-19 | Seahawks v. Rams +1 | 12-28 | Win | 100 | 126 h 52 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #158 Los Angeles Rams over the Seattle Seahawks (8:20p.m., Sunday, December 8 NBC) The Rams appeared to get it last week and they must win games to keep their chances of a wild card berth alive. Seattle can afford to drop this game, since their chances of winning the division lie with their December 21st game against the 49ers. The Rams played the Seahawks tough earlier this season in Seattle and should be able to emerge victorious with this game being played at the Coliseum. Seattle is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played in Los Angeles. The Rams are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against NFC teams. |
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12-08-19 | Chiefs v. Patriots -3 | 23-16 | Loss | -105 | 122 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #152 New England Patriots over Kansas City Chiefs (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 8 CBS) Everyone is ready to put the nail in the coffin for Patriots, but I am not one of them. The Patriots have not lost at home this season and they should be able to get their offense back on track against this suspect Chiefs defense. This is strength vs strength, as the Chiefs offense is their best unit and they will have to go against the Patriots defense, which is their best unit. New England is 42-18 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 62 home games. Kansas City is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played during Week 14 of the regular season. It may not be pretty, but the Patriots will pull out this game by 7-10 points. |
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12-08-19 | 49ers v. Saints -2.5 | 48-46 | Loss | -109 | 119 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #138 New Orleans Saints over San Francisco 49ers (1p.m., Sunday, December 8 FOX) This is a bad situational game for the 49ers, as they are playing their second straight 1 p.m. road game (10 am local). The 49ers gave the Ravens all that they can handle last week and now must face a team with an even greater home field advantage. QB Garoppolo continues to turnover the football each game and thus may be the best defense he will face this season. I believe the 49ers are deflated knowing they could end up as the No. 5 seed in the NFC and thus I would expect them to drop at least 2 of their remaining 4 games. San Francisco is 6-13 ATS (1 push) in their last 20 games against NFC teams. New Orleans is 51-25 ATS (1 push) in their last 77 games against teams with a winning record. |