Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-14-19 | Ohio +6 v. Marshall | 31-33 | Win | 100 | 79 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #171 Ohio Bobcats over Marshall Thundering Herd (6:30p.m., Saturday, September 14 Facebook) Like taking the Bobcats as an underdog, as they are well coached and beaten the Thundering Herd 4 of the last 5 meetings. Marshall is coming back from Boise last week and lost that game 14-7, but the score was misleading. Marshall did not get a first down in the second half and were outgained by over 250 yards. Ohio is 17-7 ATS in their last 24 nonconference games. Marshall is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games. |
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09-14-19 | East Carolina v. Navy -7 | 10-42 | Win | 100 | 76 h 32 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #140 Navy Midshipmen over East Carolina Pirates (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 14 CBSSN) This is an important year for Navy to right the ship after a down year and losing to Army for the third straight year. East Carolina should not provide much opposition in this game and they have a new coach and system this year. The Pirates are 11-29 as an underdog in the regular season of more than 7 points. East Carolina is 1-4 in their last 5 games with Navy. ECU is also 7-21 ATS in their last 28 road games. |
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09-12-19 | Bucs v. Panthers UNDER 49.5 | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 32 h 17 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #102 Under in Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers (8:20p.m., Thursday, September 12 NFLN) We used the Panthers under last week and it was the proper play. A late flurry got that game over the 50 point total but I just do not see that happening again this week. QB Jameis Winston looked terrible last week and I just do not believe he can put up points on a consistent basis. He needs to not turn over the football (three 2 pick-6’s last week) and we should be able to collect with the under. Tampa Bay has gone under the posted total in 6 of their last 7 games. |
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09-09-19 | Broncos v. Raiders | 16-24 | Loss | -110 | 129 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #481 Denver Broncos over Oakland Raiders (10:15p.m., Monday, September 9 ESPN) The Broncos always seem to get out of the gate well and Oakland is still dysfunctional. Denver needs to play better on the road and this is a very winnable game that can get them off on the right foot. Denver has not suffered an ATS defeat in Week 1 since 2014. The Raiders are 9-19 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 39 games. The Raiders are never a good better as a home favorite going 4-11 in their last 15 home games against divisional teams (LAC, KC, Den). |
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09-08-19 | Steelers v. Patriots -5.5 | 3-33 | Win | 100 | 103 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #478 New England Patriots over Pittsburgh Steelers (8:20p.m., Sunday, September 8 NBC) Pittsburgh is a trendy pick this year despite losing their top wide receiver and running back. But I just cannot go against New England at home when the spread is less than 7 points. New England is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. Bill Belichick is a much better coach than Mike Tomlin and Pittsburgh has never defeated New England in Foxboro. New England is 27-12 ATS in their last 39 games against AFC teams. Pittsburgh is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 openers. |
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09-08-19 | 49ers v. Bucs | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 99 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #461 San Francisco 49ers over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4:25p.m., Sunday, September 8 FOX) Just feel that Jameis Winston is a lost cause at quarterback and even Bruce Arians cannot fix him. Jimmy Garoppolo is back healthy and despite not playing well in practice and preseason game he always seems to turn it on when the lights are on. San Francisco is 6-2 when Garoppolo is under center and score over 27 points per game. Tampa Bay is 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite. San Francisco is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 opening games. |
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09-08-19 | Rams v. Panthers +3 | 30-27 | Push | 0 | 95 h 17 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #468 Carolina Panthers over Los Angeles Rams (1p.m., Sunday, September 8 FOX) Carolina was unstoppable at home when Cam Newton is healthy, and they quietly got better on both sides of the football. Los Angeles will suffer a super bowl hangover as the loser in that game is just 3-16 ATS in Week 1 during this century. We will grab the points with the home underdog and expect the Panthers to win this game straight-up. Los Angeles is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 Week 1 games. |
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09-07-19 | Miami-FL v. North Carolina +4.5 | 25-28 | Win | 100 | 78 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #384 North Carolina Tar Heels over Miami (FL) Hurricanes (8p.m., Saturday, September 7 ACCN) Just feel there is magic at North Carolina with Mack Brown back as coach. This team was not favored last week but won against South Carolina and we will grab the points this week at home against Miami. Carolina had a 213 yard edge last week and I just do not believe Miami is capable of blowing anyone out in conference play. Mack Brown fired Manny Diaz during the season in 2013 as defensive coordinator at Texas after giving 550 yards rushing in a single game. Miami is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games. North Carolina is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games. |
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09-07-19 | BYU v. Tennessee -3 | Top | 29-26 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 17 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #358 Tennessee Volunteers over BYU Cougars (7p.m., Saturday, September 7 ESPN) I always like taking a team off an embarrassing loss in Week 1 and Tennessee fits that bill to a T. Tennessee played poorly on both sides of the ball but they still have talent and they did not suffer major injuries in their last loss last week to Georgia State. BYU did not look impressive at all either last week at home against Utah. Tennessee would have been a double-digit favorite had they beaten Georgia State last week but now enter around a field goal favorite. That gives us great value with this play. BYU is 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games against SEC teams. Tennessee bounces back to win this game big. |
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09-07-19 | Nebraska -3.5 v. Colorado | 31-34 | Loss | -109 | 74 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #331 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Colorado Buffaloes (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 7 FOX) The Cornhuskers are out for revenge in this game after losing to Colorado last year in a game they should have won. Colorado has better talent last year and has a new coach and system this year. Nebraska won not sharp last week in their opener but expect a much better performance this week. Just not sold on Mel Tucker has a head coach and do not believe he will be able to win consistently without the Georgia talent. Colorado is 2-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Nebraska is 21-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 30 road games. Payback happens in Boulder on Saturday by double-digits. |
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09-07-19 | Army +23 v. Michigan | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 70 h 21 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #311 Army Black Knights over Michigan Wolverines (12p.m., Saturday, September 7 FOX) It is now or never for Michigan with their hopes of making the CFB Playoff and winning the Big 10 under Jim Harbaugh. Army is a tough team to prepare for and they should be able to move the football up and down the field methodically chewing up clock and keep the Michigan offense off of the field. Army is 7-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. Michigan is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games. Michigan has a new offensive system and is playing two quarterbacks and I just do not see a rout in this game. |
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09-07-19 | Rutgers +20.5 v. Iowa | 0-30 | Loss | -106 | 70 h 21 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #315 Rutgers Scarlet Knights over Iowa Hawkeyes (12p.m., Saturday, September 7 FS1) This is a lot of points to be giving in a conference game. Iowa does not have a dynamic offense that can run up a ton of points unless they can score points off of turnovers. Rutgers pulled away late against UMASS to win last week and I see them keeping this game close for 60 minutes. The Hawkeyes are just 8-18 ATS as a double-digit favorite in Big 10 games. Iowa is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Rutgers has covered the spread in their last 6 games. |
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09-05-19 | Packers +3 v. Bears | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 31 h 45 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #451 Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (8:20p.m., Thursday, September 5 NBC) Green Bay is healthy and has a much better quarterback than Chicago does. QB Rodgers is 16-5 ATS against the Bears in his career and has a 45-10 touchdown to interception ratio in those games. Green Bay has won 13 of the last 17 match-ups with Chicago. Expect this game to go down to the wire and we will grab the points in this game. |
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09-01-19 | Houston +23.5 v. Oklahoma | 31-49 | Win | 100 | 126 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #215 Houston Cougars over Oklahoma Sooners (7:30p.m., Sunday, September 1 ABC) Just do not see a blowout in this game since Houston should be able to move the football and score some points. Not a fan of QB Jalen Hurts and do not believe he can throw the ball well enough to keep the defense honest. Houston returns a ton of talent on offense and having a veteran new coach should put some life back into this program. This will be a high scoring game but I believe Houston can hold their own in this game and keep it under 20 points. 60% of the money is coming in on the underdog and that tells me we are on the right side. Houston is 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games played during the month of September. |
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08-31-19 | Louisiana Tech +20.5 v. Texas | 14-45 | Loss | -102 | 102 h 10 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #209 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs over Texas Longhorns (8p.m., Saturday, August 31 LHN) We will take the points in this game as we hope Texas is looking ahead to their game with LSU the following Saturday. The Bulldogs return only 11 starters but they do return all of their top skill positions. That tells me that they will be able to move the football for 4 quarters and put up some points late for a backdoor cover. Louisiana Tech is 38-18 ATS in their last 56 road games. |
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08-31-19 | Oregon +3.5 v. Auburn | Top | 21-27 | Loss | -107 | 102 h 51 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #207 Oregon Ducks over Auburn Tigers (7:30p.m., Saturday, August 31 ABC) It is now or never for this Oregon team and the PAC-12 Conference all-together. Oregon has experience on both sides of the football and a quarterback offensive line combo that may be the best in the country. Auburn is just a middle of the pack team this year in the SEC and they have a coach that is on the hot seat. The SEC still have better players in the trenches but I just do not believe a freshman quarterback can walk into this type of game and beat this experience Ducks team. Oregon is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played during the month of August. Auburn is 3-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 nonconference games. |
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08-31-19 | Virginia v. Pittsburgh +2.5 | 30-14 | Loss | -103 | 102 h 37 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #204 Pittsburgh Panthers over Virginia Cavaliers (7:30p.m., Saturday, August 31 ACCN) Just do not believe Virginia warrants to be a road favorite in a conference game. Both teams have defensive minded coaches and Pittsburgh has won 4 straight meetings and covered the spread in the last 3. Pittsburgh is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 ACC games. |
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08-31-19 | Toledo +12 v. Kentucky | 24-38 | Loss | -105 | 94 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #171 Toledo Rockets over Kentucky Wildcats (12p.m., Saturday, August 31 SECN) Expect Kentucky to take a step back this season coming off a 10 win performance in 2018. It is still Kentucky, a basketball school and that not care all that much about football and they must replace numerous starters on both sides of the football. The Wildcats have not covered a season opener in the last 7 years. Toledo is always a top team in the MAC and I believe that they will keep this game in single digits. Kentucky is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 non-conference games. Toledo is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games. |
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08-30-19 | Wisconsin v. South Florida +13.5 | 49-0 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #150 USF Bulls over Wisconsin Badgers (7p.m., Friday, August 30 ESPN) Wisconsin does not play many true road nonconference games and without a proven quarterback I just do not believe they can run over this USF team. The Bulls were a fraud last year opening the season 7-0 but beating nobody during that winning streak. But they might have a little Hawaii in them, as the Warriors had a similar path and they opened with an impressive win last week against a Power 5 teams. If the Bulls can stop the run they should be able to keep this game within single digits. Wisconsin had a very disappointing season in 2018 and I just do not believe they will be able to flip the switch in 2019 with questions on both sides of the football. Wisconsin is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played during the month of August. USF is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against Big 10 teams. |
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08-24-19 | Arizona v. Hawaii +11 | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 83 h 58 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #294 Hawaii Warriors over Arizona Wildcats (10:30pm., Saturday, August 24 CBSSN) Always like to use Hawaii early in the season especially when playing at home. Arizona will be better in year two under Kevin Sumlin but they still have a long way to go especially on the defensive side of the football. This game will likely feature a lot of points, but I just do not believe Arizona will be able to pull away and win this game big. Going to Hawaii is usually treated like a vacation and not a business trip and thus I do not expect Arizona to be all-in for this game. |
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02-03-19 | Patriots -2.5 v. Rams | 13-3 | Win | 100 | 126 h 7 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #101 New England Patriots over Los Angeles Rams (6:30p.m., Sunday, February 3 CBS Super Bowl 53) Just cannot put my money going against QB Tom Brady and Coach Bill Belickick. We saw two weeks ago how New England was able to slow down the high-powered Chiefs for the entire first half and I expect them to have similar success against the Rams. The Patriots have an outstanding offensive line and Tom Brady has not been hit in two playoff games. The Rams are fortunate to be here, and I just do not believe it is there time yet. New England has beaten Los Angeles five straight times (4-1 ATS) dating back to the time they met in the Super Bowl. Expect this to be a double-digit win for the Patriots although they may give up a late score to put it in single digits. The Rams opened as the favorite in this game, but all the early money swing the line to New England. The Rams are 5-15 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games after accumulating for than 350 yards in their previous game. Very few people outside of New England want the Patriots to win this game but they will earn their sixth Super Bowl Championship and we will collect in the process as well. |
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01-20-19 | Patriots +3 v. Chiefs | 37-31 | Win | 100 | 125 h 15 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #313 New England Patriots over Kansas City Chiefs (6:40p.m., Sunday, January 20 CBS) The Chiefs have all of the pressure on them in this game and I have not sure they will be able to rise to the occasion and win this game. Coach Andy Reid does not have much success in this championship weekend winning just 1 time in 5 tries. QB Brady is used to playing in the elements unlike QB Luck last week and the cold weather will not affect him. Both teams will give up yards in this game but I do not believe the Chiefs defense will be able to rise to the level they played last week again this week. Despite the win last week, Kansas City is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 playoff games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home playoff games. New England already won at Chicago this year and they are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 road games. |
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01-20-19 | Rams v. Saints -3.5 | 26-23 | Loss | -108 | 122 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #312 New Orleans Saints over Los Angeles Rams (3:05p.m., Sunday, January 20 FOX) The Saints were rusty to start last week against Philadelphia, but they dominated the second half and I do not expect them to look back and dominate this game for 60 minutes. Despite being a slight underdog, the Saints won the first meeting this season by double digits and expect a similar result in this game as well. The Rams are just 1-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. The home team has covered 7 straight games in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. I still believe the Saints are due for a breakout game offensively and there is no better time for that to occur than Sunday in the Superdome in front of their fans. |
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01-13-19 | Chargers v. Patriots -3.5 | Top | 28-41 | Win | 100 | 121 h 31 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #306 New England Patriots over Los Angeles Chargers (1:05p.m., Sunday, January 13 CBS) The Chargers have been on a roll but playing their third straight road games against a rested team will doom them in. The Patriots are a much better team at home and they are the only team that did not lose a home game this season. Los Angeles still seems to be banged up at the skill positions and I am not sure that their wide receivers can stretch the field against New England. QB Rivers is 1-5 in his career against New England and is 0-2 in the playoffs. New England is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 playoff games. Los Angeles is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against New England. Everyone is doubting the Patriots at this moment, but they still are the Patriots with the best coach/quarterback combo of all time. New England dominates for 60 minutes and wins this game by double digits. |
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01-12-19 | Colts +5.5 v. Chiefs | 13-31 | Loss | -109 | 100 h 0 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #301 Indianapolis Colts over Kansas City Chiefs (4:35p.m., Saturday, January 12 NBC) The Colts are the offense to tear apart this Chiefs defense and I see them winning this game straight-up on Saturday afternoon. Kansas City has lost 6 straight home playoff games and if they hit adversity early in this game expect their crowd and players to panic. Indianapolis put forth a dominating performance last week on defense and shutdown Houston for much of that game. Indianapolis is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Kansas City. The Chiefs are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 playoff games. The Colts are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. |
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01-07-19 | Alabama -5.5 v. Clemson | 16-44 | Loss | -110 | 128 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #152 Alabama Crimson Tide over Clemson Tigers (8p.m., Monday, January 7 ESPN) For the first time in the playoff era an undefeated team will emerge victorious for this game. Both teams were impressive in their semi-final game, but I just cannot go against Alabama especially when the line is under a touchdown. Alabama has a quarterback that can move the ball at will in the passing game and I am just not sure a freshman quarterback will be able to match Tua Tagovailoa blow for blow. Alabama beat Clemson 24-6 last year and I see them winning this game by double digits as well. Just cannot go against Nick Saban in this type of a game. The Crimson Tide are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against ACC teams. The Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 nonconference games. |
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01-05-19 | Seahawks v. Cowboys -1 | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 80 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #104 Dallas Cowboys over Seattle Seahawks (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 5 FOX) The Seahawks closed out the regular season with back-to-back home games, but they are just not the same team on the road. Seattle beat Dallas earlier this season, but this game will be in the State of Texas. Dallas has they pass rushers to sack QB Wilson, something that happened 51 times this season. Dallas has won 7 of their last 8 games. The Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 playoff games. The Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. |
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01-05-19 | Colts v. Texans | 21-7 | Loss | -125 | 76 h 21 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #102 Houston Texans over Indianapolis Colts (4:35p.m., Saturday, January 5 ABC) Everyone is one the Colts bandwagon, but I just do not believe that can beat the Texans twice in one season in Houston. The Texans are 11-2 in their last 13 games and they have the pass rushers to get to QB Luck early and often. Beating Blaine Gabbert is not the same as beating DeShaun Watson on the road and Houston will advance to play New England. Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road playoff games. Houston is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. |
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01-01-19 | Washington v. Ohio State -6.5 | 23-28 | Loss | -110 | 149 h 27 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #276 Ohio State Buckeyes over Washington Huskies (5p.m., Tuesday, January 1 ESPN Rose Bowl) Urban Meyer may not be popular with the national media but he is loved in Columbus especially by his staff and he will get the proper sendoff in this game. Ohio State has a huge edge on offense and their defense has been playing much better of late. Washington got pounded by Penn State last year in a New Year’s Six Bowl Game, as the final score was not indicative of how Penn State dominated. Beating Washington State is not that same as beating Ohio State and I just do not believe they can keep this game in single digits. Dwayne Haskins will likely be heading to the NFL after this game and he will want to put on a show in a standalone game in Pasadena. Washington is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games. Ohio State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. |
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01-01-19 | Kentucky v. Penn State -6.5 | 27-24 | Loss | -106 | 145 h 27 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #272 Penn State Nittany Lions over Kentucky Wildcats (1p.m., Tuesday, January 1 ABC Citrus Bowl) Kentucky was overanked for most of the season and they are just not a good team whatsoever. Penn State is well coached, and they will be able to score points in this game and I just do not believe Kentucky will be able to keep up. The Wildcats are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 nonconference games. Penn State is 6-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 nonconference games. Sometimes it is best not to overthink these things. Kentucky is a basketball school and Penn State is a football school. Expect Penn State to win this game by double-digits. |
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12-31-18 | Michigan State +3 v. Oregon | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 123 h 26 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #262 Michigan State Spartans over Oregon Ducks (3p.m., Monday, December 31 FOX Redbox Bowl) COLLEGE BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR. Never been a fan of Mario Cristobal as a head coach. He was a very uninspired hire and his recruiting greatness never seems to match his coaching ability. The same cannot be said about Michigan State coach Mark Dantonio, as he gets the most out of his talent and this year is no exception. Oregon may have the edge on offense, but Michigan State has the best defense they have seen all season long and Sparty also had a huge edge in special teams. QB Herbert will play in this game but I believe he is already thinking about the NFL draft and is not that concerned about winning this game. Oregon has been the favorite in their last 3 bowl games and they have lost all of them straight-up (2 of them by double-digits). Michigan State dominated Washington State in their bowl game last year and expect a similar performance this year in a California bowl game. Oregon is 5-15 ATS ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games following a victory in their previous game. Michigan State is 7-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 neutral site games. |
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12-30-18 | Colts -2.5 v. Titans | 33-17 | Win | 100 | 105 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #321 Indianapolis Colts over Tennessee Titans (8:20p.m., December 30 NBC) This is a winner take all game on Sunday Night Football. Not much needs to be said about this game except for this one stat: QB Andrew Luck is 10-0 lifetime against the Titans. Tennessee has QB issues but regardless we are taking Indianapolis. |
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12-30-18 | 49ers +10.5 v. Rams | 32-48 | Loss | -130 | 101 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #331 San Francisco 49ers over Los Angeles Rams (4:25p.m., December 30 FOX) The 49ers appear to be on a carbon copy of their performance last season. They started off terrible only to play much better down the stretch. Most people are off of the Rams bandwagon and I do not see this game being a blowout. LA is 3-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games. San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in Week 17 over the last 5 years. The 49ers are pesky and that will be the case again on Sunday. |
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12-30-18 | Dolphins v. Bills -3.5 | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 97 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #320 Buffalo Bills over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, December 30 CBS) Miami is not the same team on the road especially playing in the cold. Miami may have major changes come Monday and I just do not see their motivation for winning this game. The Dolphins have been outgained 9 consecutive games. Buffalo has a good defense and if they can take care of the football, they should win the game by at least a touchdown. Miami is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Week 17 games. |
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12-29-18 | Notre Dame +14 v. Clemson | 3-30 | Loss | -126 | 76 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #255 Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Clemson Tigers (4p.m., Saturday, December 29 ESPN Cotton Bowl) Clemson is getting Alabama like respect with this spread and they just do not warrant it. They have played a very easy schedule this season and outside of their defensive line I believe the Irish match-up well with them. Notre Dame has been playing in big games all season long and they will not be intimidated by this match-up. Brian Kelly is a great offensive mind and they will be able to move the football and score points on Clemson. This is the type of team Clemson just does not see often in the ACC. The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 nonconference games. Notre Dame is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games. |
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12-28-18 | Iowa State +3 v. Washington State | 26-28 | Win | 100 | 57 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #247 Iowa State Cyclones over Washington State Cougars (9p.m., Friday, December 28 ESPN Alamo Bowl) The line has come down since it was posted in early December and I expect Iowa State to win this game straight-up. Mike Leach has not done well in bowl games since being the coach in Pullman winning just 1 of his 3 games (1-3 ATS). Iowa State is very familiar with this type of offense in the pass happy Big 12 and they have a defense that can slow down Washington State. The Cougars are -5 ATS in their last 5 Big 12 games. The Cyclones is 15-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 22 games against teams with a winning record. |
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12-27-18 | Miami-FL v. Wisconsin +4 | Top | 3-35 | Win | 100 | 220 h 43 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #238 Wisconsin Badgers over Miami Hurricanes (5:15p.m., Thursday, December 27 ESPN Pinstripe Bowl) Just do not see why Miami is favored in this no buzz rematch from a bowl game last year. Wisconsin picked apart Miami last year and their quarterback had a career game against them. I just get the feeling that they will rekindle some of that magic in this game against a warm weather team playing a late December game in New York City. Wisconsin has won 4 straight bowl games. Miami has lost three straight games and they are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 bowl games. Miami is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Big 10 teams. Grab the points and expect Wisconsin to win this game straight-up. |
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12-23-18 | Chiefs v. Seahawks +2.5 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 127 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #130 Seattle Seahawks over Kansas City Chiefs (8:20p.m., Sunday, December 23 NBC) Seattle let one get away last week in Santa Clara and still need to win 1 of their final 2 games to ensure a wild card berth. Kansas City has a terrible defense QB Mahomes will struggle to pick apart this defense especially in a night game on the road. Seattle is 23-10 ATS (1 push) in their last 34 games played during December. Kansas City is 0-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games. |
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12-23-18 | Texans v. Eagles -1 | 30-32 | Win | 100 | 119 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #114 Philadelphia Eagles over Houston Texans (1p.m., Sunday, December 23 CBS) The Eagles rekindled the magic last week with Nick Foles that they had in 2017 and we will use them again in a must win situation playing at home. Houston has a lot to play for as well, as they can claim the No. 2 seed in the AFC if they win out. But the Texans just cannot be trusted, and they never seem to handle prosperity well under Coach Bill O’Brien. Houston has running back issues and I just cannot see them closing out the season winning 12 of their last 13 games. The line has already moved a lot since the Sunday Night Football game and I just feel that Philadelphia is going to make the playoffs as a wild card team. Philadelphia is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against teams with a winning road record. Houston is 1-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games played in December. |
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12-23-18 | Bills v. Patriots -12.5 | 12-24 | Loss | -109 | 119 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #104 New England Patriots over Buffalo Bills (1p.m., Sunday, December 23 CBS) This is a get-well game for the Patriots. If they win their final two games against two terrible teams, they will likely earn the No. 2 seed and a first round bye. New England already beat Buffalo by 19 points this season in upstate New York and they are on a 4-0 ATS run in this matchup. Buffalo will not be able to score enough points to keep this deficit under double-digits. New England is 36-16 ATS in their last 52 games. Buffalo is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Just too much on the line for the Patriots to take this game lightly. |
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12-22-18 | Ravens +5 v. Chargers | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 103 h 43 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #123 Baltimore Ravens over Los Angeles Chargers (8:20p.m., Saturday, December 22 FOX) The Chargers may be the best team in the NFL at the moment, but in order to avoid the No. 5 seed they must win their final two games. Injuries are still a major factor for them on offense and they are facing the best defense in the AFC tonight. Baltimore just has a spark since Lamar Jackson took over as the starting quarterback and I see them taking this game down to the wire. The Chargers do not have a home field edge and they are coming off an emotional win last week against Kansas City. Expect a slight letdown in this game. LA has failed to cover the spread in 2 of their last 3 home games (lost to Denver straight-up). The underdog has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 match-ups. |
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12-16-18 | Patriots -2 v. Steelers | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #327 New England Patriots over Pittsburgh Steelers (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 16 CBS) Both teams need to turn the page quickly after bad losses last Sunday. The Patriots seldom lose two games in a row and they are playing a team in disarray at the moment. Pittsburgh has not beaten New England since 2011 and the Patriots are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games following a loss in their previous game. Over this winning streak, the Patriots average margin of victory is 11 points against the Steelers. Pittsburgh is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games played during the month of December. New England is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games played in December. |
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12-16-18 | Seahawks v. 49ers +7 | 23-26 | Win | 100 | 123 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #326 San Francisco 49ers over Seattle Seahawks (4:05p.m., Sunday, December 16 CBS) The 49ers are coming off an impressive win against the Broncos and we will use them again this week against Seattle. Their game last month was closer than what the score would indicate, and Seattle was not that impressive last week on offense against Minnesota especially in the passing game. San Francisco took the foot of the gas last week and thus the final score was not reflected in how they dominated (led 20-0 at half). Seattle does not need to win this game to make the playoffs and I just do not see a blowout by the visitor. The 49ers performed well down the stretch last season after a terrible start and it would not surprise me if history repeats itself in 2018 as well. |
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12-16-18 | Dolphins v. Vikings -7 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 120 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #308 Minnesota Vikings over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, December 16 CBS) A see a lot of comparisons to how Green Bay performed last week. Miami is coming off an unthinkable win last week against New England, but they now must travel north to take on a team desperate for a win. Minnesota played well on defense last week against Seattle and they just fired their offensive coordinator and expect to see a spark on the offensive side of the football this week. Miami is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games when they are an underdog. Remember last year when Minnesota had a remarkable win against New Orleans and then laid an egg the next week against Philadelphia? Expect that to happen to Miami this week, as they will lose by double digits. Minnesota is 27-10 ATS in their last 37 games following a loss in their previous game. |
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12-16-18 | Packers +6 v. Bears | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 35 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #317 Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, December 16 FOX) The Packers played much better last Sunday after firing their head coach. Do not see them getting blown out in this game and thus expect them to take it down to the wire decided by only a field goal. QB Rodgers is 17-4 against Chicago and had a remarkable comeback on one leg to beat them in the first game of the season. The Bears have all but clinched the NFC North (need 1 win or 1 Minnesota lost) and thus they have a margin of error in this game. Green Bay is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 meetings in Chicago. The Bears are 14-40 ATS (1 push) in their last 55 games after accumulating over 150 yards rushing in their previous game. |
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12-16-18 | Bucs v. Ravens -7.5 | 12-20 | Win | 100 | 73 h 16 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #312 Baltimore Ravens over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1p.m., Sunday, December 16 FOX) Both of these plays feature a shady home favorite against a terrible team. This is the time of year teams tend to mail it in and I expect Tampa Bay to fire their coach and Arizona just does not have enough weapons to hurt Atlanta. Expect double digit wins by each of these home teams. |
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12-16-18 | Raiders v. Bengals -2.5 | 16-30 | Win | 100 | 73 h 15 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #310 Cincinnati Bengals over Oakland Raiders (1p.m., Sunday, December 16 CBS) Somebody must win this game between two terrible teams. It has been 17 games since the Raiders have won two games on the road. Both teams have bad defenses but look for the Bengals to score some points and I just do not believe the Raiders can keep pace with them. Oakland is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Cincinnati. The Bengals are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 games played in December. |
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12-15-18 | Browns v. Broncos -3 | 17-16 | Loss | -103 | 103 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #306 Denver Broncos over Cleveland Browns (5:20p.m., Saturday, December 15 NFLN) The Broncos laid an egg last week against San Francisco but expect them to bounce back in a big way at home against Cleveland. The Browns dominated the NFC South covering every game against those 4 teams, but they are playing a team desperate for a win on Sunday. Denver now has a week to adjust to key injuries on both sides of the football and expect them to be much better on Saturday. Cleveland is 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a losing record. Denver is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Cleveland. |
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12-15-18 | Arizona State v. Fresno State -4 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 98 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #206 Fresno State Bulldogs over Arizona State Sun Devils (3:30p.m., Saturday, December 15 ABC Las Vegas Bowl) We have had good success using the MWC team in this game over the years. This is the only bowl game that the MWC gets to play against a Power 5 conference and unlike previous years the MWC team is the favorite in this game. Arizona State got a gift last time out against Arizona who self-destructed and costs them a chance to become bowl eligible. Fresno State is better on both sides of the football and should be able to control this game for 60 minutes. Over the last 2 years under Coach Tedford, the Bulldogs are 18-6 ATS (2 pushes). Arizona State will not have N’Keal Harry for this game and that is a big loss that will be tough to overcome. Arizona State is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against MWC teams. |
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12-15-18 | North Texas +8.5 v. Utah State | 13-52 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 14 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #201 North Texas Mean Green over Utah State Aggies (2p.m., Saturday, December 15 ESPN New Mexico Bowl) We will grab the points in this game since both teams have stud quarterbacks and this should be a high scoring game. Utah State lost their coach and I just do not see them blowing out the Mean Green since their new coach is not on the current staff. |
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12-09-18 | Eagles +4 v. Cowboys | Top | 23-29 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 5 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #129 Philadelphia Eagles over Dallas Cowboys (1:25p.m., Sunday, December 9 FOX) Everyone has just given the Cowboys the NFC East and disregarded the defending Super Bowl Champions. We will gladly take the points in this game and look for Philadelphia to come out strong in this must win game for them. The Eagles are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road divisional games when they are an underdog. The Cowboys are 9-18 ATS in their last 27 home divisional games when they are a favorite. The road team has covered the spread in 11 of the last 14 match-ups. |
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12-09-18 | Broncos v. 49ers +4 | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 69 h 28 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #124 San Francisco 49ers +4 over Denver Broncos (4:05p.m., Sunday, December 9 CBS) TOP NFL PLAY OF THE WEEK The Broncos have made a rally of late winning three straight games to take some pressure off of Head Coach Vance Joseph. But I just do not trust them to win four straight games with three of those four games coming on the road. Losing Chris Harris Jr and Emmanuel Sanders will be too much for this team to overcome within a week. The Broncos are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games played during Week 14 of the regular season. The 49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played in December. Denver does not have an explosive offense that can attack this San Francisco defense and if Nick Mullens can take care of the football, they should win this game straight-up. |
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12-09-18 | Giants -3.5 v. Redskins | 40-16 | Win | 100 | 120 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #121 New York Giants over Washington Redskins (1p.m., Sunday, December 9 FOX) The Giants get to face a back-up quarterback for the second straight week but this time it will be Mark Sanchez who was just signed a couple of weeks ago after Alex Smith went down. New York dominated Chicago for most of the game last Sunday before the Bears made a late rally to send it into overtime. If the Giants can stop the run, they should win this game by double digits. Washington is 6-6 and that is truly amazing consider their 52-man roster is terrible. I could see them not winning another game all season. New York is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. Washington is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 divisional games. The will be a big public play but I still see the Giants winning this game easily. |
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12-09-18 | Patriots -7.5 v. Dolphins | 33-34 | Loss | -100 | 120 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #117 New England Patriots over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, December 9 CBS) The Patriots are a tough team to beat come November – December. Miami has played well at home this year, but New England cannot afford to take them lightly if they hope to secure a first round bye this season. The Patriots have been playing much better on defense and if their offense can repeat their past performances from years past this will be the team to beat in the AFC come January. New England has covered the spread in 5 straight divisional games. Miami is 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games in December. |
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12-09-18 | Ravens +7 v. Chiefs | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 120 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #105 Baltimore Ravens over Kansas City Chiefs (1p.m., Sunday, December 9 CBS) The Chiefs were not that impressive against the Raiders last Sunday and now they play a much better team in the Ravens with another big spread. QB Lamar Jackson has not put up great stats but he has inspired this team with three straight wins and we will jump on the bandwagon. The road team has covered 6 of the last 8 meetings. Kansas City will have their explosive moments, but I believe Baltimore will be able to take this down to the wire and easily cover the spread. |
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12-02-18 | Chargers v. Steelers OVER 51 | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 126 h 17 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #354 Over in Los Angeles Chargers @ Pittsburgh Steelers (8:20p.m, Sunday, December 2 NBC) Both teams have dynamic offenses and thus we expect the scoreboard to be lighten up Sunday night in Pittsburgh. The Steelers have gone over the posted total in 6 of their last 7 home games. This match-up has gone over the posted total in 4 of the last 5 meetings in Pittsburgh. |
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12-02-18 | Vikings v. Patriots -5.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 122 h 21 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #376 New England Patriots over Minnesota Vikings (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 2 FOX) These back to back road games on the docket for Minnesota will likely doom them in. Going to New England this week and Seattle the next week is as tough to travel as there is in the league. Minnesota just does not have the same defense that they had last year. New England will be able to score in the thirties in this game and I just do not believe Minnesota will be able to keep pace. The Patriots are starting to get healthy and they are always tough to beat in December (8-1 ATS last 9 December games). Minnesota is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. The Patriots have just been going through the motions of late, but this is a game that they will get up for and win it by double-digits. |
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12-01-18 | Fresno State v. Boise State -2.5 | 19-16 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #318 Boise State Broncos over Fresno State Bulldogs (7:45p.m., Saturday, December 1 ESPN) The Broncos are the best team in the MWC and playing the championship on the blue turf is a big advantage that the Bulldogs will not be able to overcome. Boise State has won 7 straight games and they have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games against Fresno State. This will not be a blowout, but Boise State just has a knack for pulling out close games especially at home. Usually the Broncos are double digits favorites at home, but we have used them the last two times the spread was low. QB Rypien will go out a winner and we will collect in the process as well. |
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12-01-18 | Memphis +3.5 v. Central Florida | 41-56 | Loss | -113 | 98 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #309 Memphis Tigers over UCF Golden Knights (3:30p.m., Saturday, December 1 ABC) It ends tonight! The winning streak for the Golden Knights will come to an end on Saturday against a team that nearly beat them in the regular season. It will be imperative for the Tigers to stop the Golden Knights rushing attack and make Darriel Mack beat them through the air. Memphis is 15-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 AAC games. UCF just does not have a path to the College Football Playoff and that will show up in this game, as Memphis wins it straight-up. |
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12-01-18 | Stanford -2.5 v. California | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 97 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #333 Stanford Cardinal over California Golden Bears (3p.m., Saturday, December 1 PAC-12 Network) Stanford has won 8 straight in this series by an average of 20 points per game (6-2 ATS). Stanford has had a brutal schedule this year, but they have regrouped of late having won their last two games. This game comes down to Stanford being efficient on offense and if they can score in the twenties, they will likely win this game. Stanford plays better on the road going 5-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 road games. The road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 7 Big Games! |
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11-29-18 | Saints v. Cowboys +8 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 54 h 21 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #302 Dallas Cowboys over New Orleans Saints (8:20p.m., Thursday, November 29 FOX) New Orleans is the best team in football but Dallas is the type of team that can contain them on both sides of the football. The Cowboys have won three straight games and I just do not see them getting blowout at home. Dallas needs this game more and thus I think they can take this down to the wire. Dallas has won 4 of their 5 home games this year. The underdog is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings between New Orleans and Dallas. |
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11-25-18 | Packers +3.5 v. Vikings | 17-24 | Loss | -120 | 121 h 23 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #271 Green Bay Packers over Minnesota Vikings (8:20p.m., Sunday, November 25 NBC) The Packers have extra days to prepare for this game and I just do not see a blowout by the home team. Green Bay has yet to win a road game this season, but they always seem to take it down to the wire and this game should be no different. Green Bay has an easy schedule after this game and they could run the table if they can beat Minnesota in Minneapolis. The underdog has covered the spread in 6 of the last 8 meetings. Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. QB Rodger is still the best player on the field and the extra rest should allow some of his playmakers to get healthy for this game. |
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11-25-18 | Steelers v. Broncos +3 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 117 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #270 Denver Broncos over Pittsburgh Steelers (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 25 CBS) We used the Broncos last week and won the game straight up despite being around a touchdown underdog. Pittsburgh is coming off a remarkable comeback against Jacksonville but playing in Denver is always a tough task. 4 of the Broncos losses have come against top teams in the NFL by a combined 16 points. Pittsburgh is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games played during Week 12 of the regular season. Denver is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. The underdog is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in the last 9 meetings. |
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11-25-18 | Seahawks v. Panthers -3 | 30-27 | Loss | -119 | 114 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #264 Carolina Panthers over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, November 25 FOX) The Panthers have lost two straight games, but they are a perfect 5-0 this season at home. The Hawks are still rebuilding around QB Wilson and they just do not have many playmakers on either side of the football. Carolina needs this game more to ensure they reach the playoffs as a Wild Card team. Carolina is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games. Seattle is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a victory in their previous game. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. |
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11-24-18 | Notre Dame -10.5 v. USC | 24-17 | Loss | -107 | 97 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #225 Notre Dame Fighting Irish over USC Trojans (8p.m., Saturday, November 24 ABC) USC has a lame duck coach and Notre Dame continues to cover spread and show they are one of the top 4 teams in the country. A win by the Irish will allow them to reach the College Football Playoff. USC has lost 4 of their last 5 games. The Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played at the Coliseum. The talent would indicate a single digit spread but USC has quit and this will be the last game they play in the 2018 season. The favorite has covered the spread in the last 6 meetings. Notre Dame is 4-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 road games. USC is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 nonconference games. |
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11-24-18 | LSU v. Texas A&M -2 | 72-74 | Push | 0 | 97 h 37 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #210 Texas A&M Aggies over LSU Tigers (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 24 SECN) LSU still gets a lot publicity for beating Georgia but they still have the same issues that have plagued this team for years. Their offense is vanilla and Texas A&M has the much better offensive mind in Jimbo Fisher. If the Aggies defense can stop the running attack of the Tigers they will win this game by double-digits. The favorite is 7-0 ATS (1 push) in the last 8 meetings. The previous regime struggled in November and Coach Fisher knows the importance of finishing strong and getting the 8th victory of the season. Texas A&M is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games. |
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11-24-18 | Arizona State v. Arizona +2 | Top | 41-40 | Win | 100 | 93 h 35 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #234 Arizona Wildcats over Arizona State Sun Devils (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 24 FS1) PAC 12 GAME OF THE YEAR The home team has won the last 5 meetings in the Territorial Cup. Arizona needs to win this game to become bowl eligible and they have played much better down the stretch winning 2 of their last 3 games (both wins have come against teams that beat ASU). Arizona State should not be favored as they are just 1-4 straight-up on the road in 2018. There will be a lot of points in this game, but I like the way QB Khalil Tate has been playing over his last three games (12 touchdown and 3 interceptions). Arizona is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. Arizona State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. The underdog is 15-6 ATS in the last 21 Territorial Cup meetings. |
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11-24-18 | Michigan v. Ohio State +4.5 | 39-62 | Win | 100 | 89 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #162 Ohio State Buckeyes over Michigan Wolverines (12p.m., Saturday, November 24 FOX) Just have a feeling Ohio State is due for a complete 60-minute game. If they cannot get up for this game, then this team is just not very good. Michigan has not won in Columbus since 2000 and Ohio State has won 13 of the last 14 meetings. Michigan still has a monkey on their back and Harbaugh has yet to win the Big 10 or beat his hated rival. This will be the best offense Michigan has seen this year and likely even better than Notre Dame. Michigan is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Coach Meyer has never been a home underdog at Ohio State and I feel they will not only cover the spread, but win this game straight-up. |
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11-23-18 | Washington +3 v. Washington State | 28-15 | Win | 100 | 74 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #143 Washington Huskies over Washington State Cougars (8:30p.m., Friday, November 23 FOX) The Apple Cup takes place in Pullman, WA on Friday night. The Huskies have owned this series winning 8 of the last 9 meetings by an average of 22 points per game. Washington State still has an outside chance to reach the College Football Playoff, but I just feel Washington is the better all-around team. Washington is 8-3 yet nobody is talking about them. A win by Washington will put them in the PAC 12 Championship Game with he potential to reach the Rose Bowl. Washington is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games played in Pullman. |
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11-23-18 | Nebraska +10 v. Iowa | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 65 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #123 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Iowa Hawkeyes (12p.m., Friday, November 23 FOX) Just like the way Nebraska has been playing over the last month. We have hit two top plays with them and feel they can keep this game closer than the posted number. This will be the final game for Nebraska and you can bet Coach Frost wants to set the tone for 2019 in this game. Nebraska got embarrassed by Iowa last and pride will be on the line in this game. The future looks much brighter for Nebraska and Iowa appears destined to be an 8-4, 7-5 type of team. The road team has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings. |
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11-22-18 | Bears v. Lions +4.5 | 23-16 | Loss | -115 | 42 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #106 Detroit Lions over Chicago Bears (11:30am, Thursday, November 22 CBS) The Bears are the team to beat in the NFC North, but I still do not believe in them. Throw in the face the Mitch Trubisky may not play and I feel that the wrong team is favored. The Bears have super short rest after playing on Sunday Night Football and now must play the first game of the day on Thanksgiving. Detroit is 3-1 straight-up (3-1 ATS) in their last 4 games played on Thanksgiving. Chicago is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings at Ford Field. |
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11-18-18 | Cowboys +3.5 v. Falcons | 22-19 | Win | 100 | 119 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #453 Dallas Cowboy over Atlanta Falcons (1p.m., Sunday, November 18 FOX) Both teams have been streaky, but it appears Dallas is trending up whereas Atlanta laid an egg last week at Cleveland. Dallas should be able to run the football in this game and that will allow them to have success passing as well off of play action. Atlanta will put up some points and yards in this game but in the end, Dallas will pull it out by a field goal. The Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. |
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11-18-18 | Bucs v. Giants -1 | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 119 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #466 New York Giants over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1p.m., Sunday, November 18 FOX) The Giants just have to many playmakers to be this bad. They picked up a big win last Monday in San Francisco and should be able to make it two in a row against another bad team in Tampa Bay. Tehir offensive line played their best game of the season last time out. The Buccaneers have lost 6 of their last 7 games and not being able to decide on a quarterback has cost them dearly. Their last two games have been over early and I just do not see them being able to win on the road at the Meadowlands. Tampa Bay is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a losing record. New York is 6-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games against Tampa Bay. |
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11-18-18 | Steelers -5 v. Jaguars | 20-16 | Loss | -108 | 119 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #471 Pittsburgh Steelers over Jacksonville Jaguars (1p.m., Sunday, November 18 CBS) Things have gotten bad in a hurry for Jacksonville as they have been flexed out of Sunday Night Football in favor of a better match-up. Pittsburgh is currently on pace for a bye in the playoffs and cannot afford to look past this game. Jacksonville beat Pittsburgh twice last year and that just makes this a strong play for us with the visitor. The Jaguars are 11-22 ATS (1 push) in their last 34 home games when they are an underdog. Pittsburgh has covered the spread in 5 straight games and I just do not believe Jacksonville can beat them again. The road team has covered 5 straight games in this series. |
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11-17-18 | Cincinnati +7.5 v. Central Florida | 13-38 | Loss | -114 | 103 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #353 Cincinnati Bearcats over UCF Golden Knights (8p.m., Saturday, November 17 ABC) Both teams have explosive offenses, but they difference in this game will be the play of the Bearcat defense. If they can get a lead in this game and make UCF play from behind, they will win it straight-up. Cincinnati has the fifth ranked defense in FBS and UCF will finally have some resistance on offense. UCF is 2-8 ATS in their last 8 games played during the month of November. UCF will have their moments in this game and there will be some points scored but getting around a touchdown is just too good to pass up with Cincinnati. |
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11-17-18 | Pittsburgh -5.5 v. Wake Forest | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 95 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #321 Pittsburgh Panthers over Wake Forest Demon Deacons (12p.m., Saturday, November 17 ACCN) The Panthers are for real having won three straight games against better competition from what they will see today in Winston – Salem. They just need to win one of their two remaining games to earn a spot in the ACC Championship Game. Wake Forest is coming off a major upset against NC State last Thursday and because of that this line is three points shorter from what it should be. Wake Forest is 0-3 ATS this year as a home underdog. The Demon Deacons are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Pittsburgh has covered the spread in 5 straight games. |
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11-17-18 | Ohio State v. Maryland +15 | 52-51 | Win | 100 | 95 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #350 Maryland Terrapins over Ohio State Buckeyes (12p.m., Saturday, November 17 ABC) Ohio State has not looked good in recent weeks and this is a classic look ahead situation with a winner take all game on deck against Michigan. Ohio State won last week against Michigan State, 26-6 but that score is very misleading as Michigan State self-destructed in the second half. Maryland needs win victory in their last two games to become bowl eligible. They will not accomplish that but would be able to keep this game around a 10-point deficit. Ohio State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Maryland is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
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11-17-18 | Michigan State v. Nebraska +2.5 | Top | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 94 h 28 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #416 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Michigan State Spartans (12p.m., Saturday, November 17 FOX) Nebraska is one of the most improved teams in the country and they have a good chance to win their remaining two games on the schedule. They have been playing a home heavy schedule of late and this has allowed them to get healthy. Michigan State has a terrible offense and I just do not believe they will be able to attack and score consistently on this suspect Husker defense. Nebraska has covered the spread in 5 straight games including our top play a few weeks ago when they blew out Minnesota. This is just a classic case of two teams heading in different directions. QB Arian Martinez can play and will be a force to be reckoned with for years to come in this conference. Nebraska is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings with Michigan State (4-1 in Lincoln). |
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11-15-18 | Packers v. Seahawks -2.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 55 h 50 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #308 Seattle Seahawks over Green Bay Packers (8:20p.m., Thursday, November 15 FOX) Both teams need this game in order to remain in the playoff hunt for a wild card spot in the NFC. Green Bay has had no recent success in Seattle and they will be playing their third road game in the last four weeks. The home team is a perfect 6-0 straight-up and against the spread in the last six match-ups. It is always tough to play on the road on Thursday nights and I feel that the team that runs the ball the best will win this game. That will be the Seahawks. Green Bay is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Seattle is 7-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games played on Thursday. |
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11-11-18 | Falcons -4 v. Browns | 16-28 | Loss | -103 | 117 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #253 Atlanta Falcons over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, November 11 FOX) the new look Cleveland Browns coaching staff could not light a spark and they got blown out by Kansas City at home. Now they face another high explosive offense that is coming off their best performance of the season last week in Washington. The Browns have lost 4 straight games with 3 of those 4 setbacks being blowouts. Atlanta can score their way to a victory on Sunday and if they do not give the Browns a short field, Cleveland will not be able to keep pace. The Browns are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games against teams from the NFC. Cleveland is 7-23 ATS in their last 30 games in November. |
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11-11-18 | Patriots -6.5 v. Titans | 10-34 | Loss | -102 | 117 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #259 New England Patriots over Tennessee Titans (1p.m, Sunday, November 11 CBS) The Patriots in November is always a strong play and they should be healthier this week in Nashville. Tennessee is coming off a short week and had no success against the Patriots last year in the playoffs. New England has covered the spread 6 straight times with a bye week on deck. This will not be a blowout, but New England just has more talent on offense and their defense should be able to frustrate QB Marcus Mariota. Tennessee is 2-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games played in November. New England is 5-0 ATS and straight-up in their last 5 games against Tennessee. |
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11-11-18 | Cardinals +17 v. Chiefs | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 117 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #267 Arizona Cardinals over Kansas City Chiefs (1p.m., Sunday, November 11 FOX) This is a very similar setup to Buffalo and Minnesota earlier in this season. We used Buffalo in that game and cruised to a victory (beat Minnesota straight-up). Arizona will not win this game straight-up, but I do expect them to stay below the humongous number. This is the classic look ahead situation for Kansas City, as they have the LA Rams on deck. Arizona is terrible, but they have been covering the spread of late going 4-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games. |
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11-10-18 | LSU v. Arkansas +14 | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 99 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #200 Arkansas Razorbacks over LSU Tigers (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 10 SECN) Take a flier with Arkansas in this game as we expect lingering effects from LSU’s loss to Alabama last week to show up in this game. Arkansas is terrible, but LSU is not explosive at all on offense and thus I wonder if they can cover this big spread on the road. Look for Arkansas to take care of the football and keep this deficit under double-digits for 60 minutes. The Razorbacks have had good success against the Tigers covering the spread in 8 of the last 11 games. |
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11-10-18 | Temple v. Houston -4.5 | 59-49 | Loss | -108 | 99 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #116 Houston Cougars over Temple Owls (7p.m., Saturday, November 10 CBSSN) Houston has dominated this series as AAC opponents going 3-0 ATS. This is the second straight road game for Temple and they are facing another explosive offense in Houston. The Cougars are coming off a head scratching loss to SMU last week but expect them to rebound in a big way against Temple at home. Houston is just too explosive on offense for Temple to keep pace. Houston is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. Playing back-to-back road games against two explosive offenses will doom in Temple during the second half of this game. |
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11-10-18 | Miami-FL +3.5 v. Georgia Tech | 21-27 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #139 Miami Hurricanes over Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (7p.m., Saturday, November 10 ESPN) Mark Richt may not be a great coach but he sure has had success against Georgia Tech and their option attack. He has beaten Georgia Tech 15 of 17 games and getting points with Miami is too good to pass up on Saturday night. Miami is in desperate need of a victory today in order to salvage their season, as they enter this game having lost 3 straight games. If they can stop the option and force Georgia Tech to pass, they will win this game straight-up. Miami has covered the spread in 7 of their last 9 games against Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. |
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11-10-18 | South Florida v. Cincinnati -12 | Top | 23-35 | Push | 0 | 99 h 49 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #156 Cincinnati Bearcats over USF Bulls (7p.m., Saturday, November 10 ESPN U) The Bulls are in freefall at the moment having lost two straight games after a 7-0 start to the season. They will not get out of that funk tonight against Cincinnati a team that is a sneaky 8-1 on the season. USF is getting no respect from the linemakers evident by being a big underdog two of the last three weeks. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. USF played cupcakes to open the season and their defense will provide little resistance against the Bearcats. USF is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 AAC games. This is going to be a double-digit blowout for the Bearcats and we will collect big with them in the process. |
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11-10-18 | Ole Miss v. Texas A&M -11 | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 92 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #124 Texas A&M Aggies over Ole Miss Rebels (12p.m., Saturday, November 10 CBS) Both teams are coming off loses but expect the Aggies to rebound at home against Ole Miss. Texas A&M has a defense and that is something lacking on the Ole Miss sideline. This is an important game for Jimbo Fisher to keep the emotions high and not let the season get away from them. The Rebels have had trouble scoring points against the top defenses in the SEC. The Aggies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played in College Station. Ole Miss is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. |
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11-10-18 | Kansas +12 v. Kansas State | 17-21 | Win | 100 | 92 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #142 Kansas State Wildcats over Kansas Jayhawks (12p.m., Saturday, November 10 FSN) Both teams are struggling, and Kansas has a lame duck coach that has been told he will not return in 2019. The Wildcats have won 9 straight games against the Jayhawks (7-2 ATS) and Bill Snyder needs a victory in the worst way on Saturday. K-State has had a brutal schedule, but it lightens up to close out the season and they must win all three of their remaining game to become bowl eligible. The favorite in this game is 18-5 ATS in the last 23 meetings. Kansas State has been beating Kansas by 29 points per game in the last nine meetings and expect them to win this game by 14-17 points. |
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11-09-18 | Fresno State v. Boise State +3 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 78 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #114 Boise State Broncos over Fresno State Bulldogs (10:15p.m., Friday, November 9 ESPN2) Cannot remember the last time Boise State was an underdog at home in MWC play (18 years!). That being said it is not warranted, as Boise State is far and away the best offense Fresno State will see this year. Fresno State has an outstanding defense, but you just do not go into Boise in a night game and expect to come out on top. If the Broncos can take care of the football, they will have a great chance to win this game straight-up. Fresno State has been on an outstanding ATS run in a variety of categories but that will all come to an end Friday night. Boise has not played many complete games this season but they will be up for this game. |
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11-04-18 | Texans +1.5 v. Broncos | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 120 h 14 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #465 Houston Texans over Denver Broncos (4:05p.m., Sunday, November 4 CBS) Houston is clearly the team to beat in the AFC South and just picked up some added ammunition at the wide receiver position for this game. Denver is just not the same team at home in November compared to September and their head coach is likely on the way out come January. Houston is 5-0 in their last 5 games and Denver is 1-5 in their last 6 games. The Broncos do not have the same defense as they had the last few years and Houston will be able to move the football on them. Denver is 5-14 ATS in their last 20 games. |
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11-04-18 | Chargers v. Seahawks -1 | Top | 25-17 | Loss | -115 | 120 h 14 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #468 Seattle Seahawks over Los Angeles Chargers (1:05p.m., Sunday, November 4 CBS) The Seahawks have been playing outstanding football of late and will enter this game having won 4 of their last 5 games. It could be 5-0 if not for a 2-point loss to the Rams. QB Wilson is getting the job done with a bunch of unheralded playmakers around him. They were dominate for three quarters last week against the Lions and look for more of the same this Sunday at home against the Chargers. LA is still banged up on both sides of the football and might be without some key playmakers for this game. LA is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye. Seattle still has a lot of home games remaining this season and I look for them to win all of them and make the playoffs as a wild card. The Chargers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Seattle has covered the spread 4 of their last 5 games. |
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11-04-18 | Lions v. Vikings -4.5 | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 117 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #452 Minnesota Vikings over Detroit Lions (1p.m., Sunday, November 4 FOX) The NFC North is still anybody’s division to win and the Vikings will bounce back in a big way against the Lions. Minnesota has already lost two games at home this season and cannot afford any more home setbacks. Detroit has a habit of getting down big early and if that happens on Sunday they will not be able to recover. Minnesota is 16-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games as a home favorite. Detroit has had some success against Minnesota in recent years but that will change on Sunday. The quarterbacks are a wash, but the Vikings defense will be the difference in this game. |
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11-04-18 | Chiefs v. Browns +9 | 37-21 | Loss | -105 | 117 h 10 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #454 Cleveland Browns over Kansas City Chiefs (1p.m., Sunday, November 4 CBS) The Browns have had an eventful week firing their head coach and offensive coordinator. The Browns have a good defense and now that their defensive coordinator is the head coach expect them to be aggressive attacking this young explosive quarterback. Just feel the Chiefs will look past this game with a game against the Rams on the slate in two games. This is the definition of a flat spot for Kansas City. They will go through the motions and win this game by 6-7 points. The underdog has covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games in this match-up. |
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11-03-18 | Oklahoma -12 v. Texas Tech | 51-46 | Loss | -121 | 99 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #349 Oklahoma Sooners over Texas Tech Red Raiders (8p.m., Saturday, November 3 ABC) The Sooners are starting to turn it on and put up 702 total yards against Kansas State last Saturday. They will not be able to fully shutdown the Red Raiders in this game, but I truly believe they will outscore them and win this game by double digits. Oklahoma has played two great games after losing to Texas and they have scored 53.5 points per game over their last 4. The Sooners have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games played in November. |
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11-03-18 | Alabama v. LSU +14.5 | 29-0 | Loss | -105 | 99 h 12 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #420 LSU Tigers over Alabama Crimson Tide (8p.m., Saturday, November 3 CBS) Just too many points for Alabama to be giving on the road against a team full of athletes on defense. It will be important that LSU not beat themselves in this game with turnovers and special teams. Coach Orgeron is 15-4 in SEC games and this is likely the only chance Alabama has to lose a game during the regular season. There is just something special about night games in Baton Rouge and the fans into the game from the start. Alabama is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of November. LSU is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games. |
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11-03-18 | UCLA v. Oregon -7.5 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 99 h 43 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #382 Oregon Ducks over UCLA Bruins (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 3 FOX) The Chip Kelly game takes place Saturday afternoon in Eugene, OR. The Ducks laid an egg last week in Tucson and need to bounce back in a big way against an inferior opponent. UCLA is in full rebuild mode and they will enter this game having lost 10 of their last 11 conference road games by an average of 16 points per game. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between UCLA and Oregon. Many fans are still skeptical about Mario Cristobal and this can be his chance for a statement win against a former coach that has great success with Oregon. |
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11-03-18 | Missouri v. Florida -6 | 38-17 | Loss | -109 | 95 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #338 Florida Gators over Missouri Tigers (4p.m., Saturday, November 3 SECN) Expect Florida to bounce back in a big way after losing to Georgia last Saturday in Jacksonville. The Tigers have trouble when playing conference opponents (0-4) and have trouble moving the football against teams with speed on defense. The Gators have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games. The Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 SEC games. Florida jumps on them early and wins this game by double digits. |
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11-03-18 | Georgia Southern -7.5 v. UL-Monroe | Top | 25-44 | Loss | -104 | 94 h 14 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #377 Georgia Southern Eagles over ULM Warhawks (3p.m., Saturday, November 3 ESPN 3) The Eagles continue to cover spread (7-1 ATS run) and the oddsmakers cannot get a handle on the talent they have. They will enter this game having won five straight games and have been controlling the time of possession in nearly every game that they play. Georgia Southern has beaten ULM all three times they have faced each other as conference opponents. This selection is simple, ULM has trouble stopping the run and Georgia Southern is an outstanding triple option team. The Warhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. The Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played in the month of November. |
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11-03-18 | Michigan State -1 v. Maryland | 24-3 | Win | 100 | 91 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #347 Michigan State Spartans over Maryland Terrapins (12p.m., Saturday, November 3 ESPN 2) The Spartans have the defense that can contain the Terrapins and become bowl eligible after a victory on Saturday. Maryland is 3-19 ATS in their last 22 games following a victory in their previous game. QB Rocky Lombardi appeared to give the Spartans life on offense last week and look for that to continue this Saturday. This game comes down to the fact that Michigan State is great at stopping the run and if that holds true again they will win this game going away. Maryland is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning record. |
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10-28-18 | Packers +9.5 v. Rams | Top | 27-29 | Win | 100 | 123 h 16 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #271 Green Bay Packers over Los Angeles Rams (4:25p.m., Sunday, October 28 FOX) TOP NFL PLAY OF THE WEEK. This is one of the largest spreads you will ever see against the Packers with Aaron Rodgers has quarterback. I believe it is too big considering the Packers are coming off a bye and should be able to get some key players back for this game. The Rams have been struggling to cover big numbers despite last week’s romp against an inferior opponent (San Francisco). Expect a shootout int his game that goes down to the wire. Green Bay will have a ton of fans in Los Angeles for this game and the Rams struggled to win home games last year. 56% of the early money is coming in on the Packers and that seldom happens with an underdog with this big of a number. Green Bay has covered the spread 5 straight times against the LA Rams. |