Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-28-18 | Colts v. Raiders +3 | 42-28 | Loss | -104 | 123 h 55 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #268 Oakland Raiders over Indianapolis Colts (1:05p.m., Saturday, October 28 CBS) We got a few extra points when the Raiders traded away WR Cooper early this week. The fact remains the Colts should not be giving points to any team on the road. The Colts did not look impressive at all in their last two road games against the Jets and Patriots. This is an important game for the Raiders to keep the faithful coming to games and expect a much better effort coming off a bye week after laying an egg in London two weeks ago. The Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against the Colts. Oakland is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week. Indianapolis is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a victory in their previous game. |
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10-28-18 | Seahawks v. Lions -3 | 28-14 | Loss | -108 | 120 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #262 Detroit Lions over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, October 28 FOX) Detroit needs this home game with road games against Minnesota and Chicago on deck. The Lions are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as a home favorite. Seattle has not impressed me much this year as this began a rebuild under Russell Wilson. They are 3-3 but those wins have come against Arizona, Dallas, & Oakland. If Detroit can stop the run, Seattle will have trouble moving the football. The home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings between Seattle and Detroit. The Hawks are 4-16 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games played during Week 8 of the regular season. |
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10-28-18 | Redskins v. Giants +1 | 20-13 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 48 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #260 New York Giants over Washington Redskins (1p.m., Sunday, October 28 FOX) The Redskins sit atop the standing of the NFC East yet still do not garner much respect from the oddsmakers. The Giants covered the spread against the Falcons last Monday night but still to 1-6 on the season. New York played well on defense and if they can hold Matt Ryan down they can certainly hold down Alex Smith. Washington is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. New York is 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games played during Week 8 of the regular season. The Giants are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against the Redskins. |
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10-27-18 | Washington State v. Stanford -3 | 41-38 | Loss | -103 | 102 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #162 Stanford Cardinal over Washington State Cougars (7p.m., Saturday, October 27 PAC-12N) Washington State is just not the same team on the road as they are when they play in Pullman. This will not be a blowout, but Stanford should be able to control the game if they can get a lead in the first half. Stanford is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 game against teams with a winning record. Washington State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played on grass. |
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10-27-18 | South Florida v. Houston -7.5 | 36-57 | Win | 100 | 98 h 17 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #184 Houston Cougars over USF Bulls (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 27 ABC) Houston has beaten USF three straight times and No. 4 will come by double digits on Saturday. The Bulls are undefeated and ranked yet enter as a sizable underdog in this game. That is a great indicator that we are on the right side with the Cougars. USF has played a very weak schedule thus far and they will struggle to run the football against Houston in this game. USF is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 AAC games. Houston is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 AAC games. |
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10-27-18 | Wisconsin -6.5 v. Northwestern | 17-31 | Loss | -109 | 95 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #139 Wisconsin Badgers over Northwestern Wildcats (12p.m., Saturday, October 27 FOX) The Badgers are going to win the Big 10 Western Division and the only game I see them losing in the regular season is at Penn State. Northwestern does not have the weapons on either side of the football to threaten Wisconsin’s quarterback or their secondary. All of Wisconsin’s 5 victories have come over today’s posted number. Wisconsin is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games. Northwestern is 1-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 home games. |
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10-26-18 | Wyoming v. Colorado State -2.5 | 34-21 | Loss | -102 | 81 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #122 Colorado State Rams over Wyoming Cowboys (10p.m., Friday, October 26 CBSSN) We have gone against Wyoming most of the season and will continue to fade them again on Friday. They have lost 4 straight games and they same thing happens keeps happing. Their offense is terrible and if Colorado State does not beat themselves with turnovers they will win this game by double digits. The Rams have had an up and down season, but they close out the season with 4 winnable games and have an outside chance to reach a bowl game. Wyoming is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. The offense of the Rams will allow them to win this border battle. |
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10-21-18 | Cowboys +2 v. Redskins | 17-20 | Loss | -115 | 121 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #471 Dallas Cowboys over Washington Redskins (4:25p.m., Saturday, October 21 CBS) Dallas appeared to right the ship in a big way last week against Jacksonville. Now they head on the road to play a team that have had great success in recent years. Dallas has beaten Washington 5 straight games. Washington is just 1-6 ATS in their last 6 divisional games. The Cowboys have the better running back and the better defense and that should be enough to win this game straight-up. Washington seems to alternate wins and losses this season and expect that to continue Sunday. Dallas has covered the spread 4 straight games in Landover. The underdog is 30-10 ATS in the last 40 match-ups. Really believe that the wrong team is favored, and we will take the points with the better team. |
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10-21-18 | Patriots -3 v. Bears | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 118 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #453 New England Patriots over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, October 21 CBS) The Patriots are following a similar formula as in past years. After a couple of losses early in the season they put it together in October and cruise to another 13-3, 12-4 season. New England is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games. The Bears just do not have the offense to attack the Patriots defense like Kansas City did last Sunday night. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Chicago is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played during Week 7 of the regular season. |
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10-21-18 | Panthers v. Eagles -4.5 | 21-17 | Loss | -106 | 118 h 4 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #460 Philadelphia Eagles over Carolina Panthers (1p.m., Sunday, October 21 FOX) The Eagles need to continue to win games if they have hopes of making the playoffs and defending their championship. They won last Thursday night to even their record at 3-3 and now have extra rest for this home game against Carolina. The Panthers did not play well last week against Washington and expect a double-digit road loss this week at Philadelphia. The Eagles are 17-4 at home under Doug Pederson and 13 of those 17 victories have come by more than a field goal. If the Eagles can stop the run, they should win this game easily. Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings with Carolina. |
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10-20-18 | Memphis v. Missouri -9.5 | 33-65 | Win | 100 | 97 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #398 Missouri Tigers over Memphis Tigers (4p.m., Saturday, October 20 SECN) We will side with the power 5 conference in this battle of Tigers. Memphis put a lot of effort into their game last week against UCF trying to knock them off for the first time since 2016. They feel shot in that game and I do not believe they will be able to get back up for this game in Columbia. QB Lock has picked apart non-power 5 teams and expect that to continue on Saturday. Memphis is 4-3 but they have not beaten anybody this season (UCONN, Mercer, Georgia State, & South Alabama). Missouri is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. Memphis is 1-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games against SEC teams. |
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10-20-18 | Minnesota v. Nebraska -3.5 | Top | 28-53 | Win | 100 | 97 h 40 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #380 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Minnesota Golden Gophers (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 20 BTN) TOP COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAY OF THE WEEK. It ends tonight! Nebraska will put together a 60-minute game against a similar opponent talent wise and record their first victory of the season and first with Scott Frost as head coach. Minnesota played well last week at Ohio State, but I just do not believe they can put forth that same effort in this game. They did not play as well the last two games before that getting blown out by Maryland and Iowa. This will be their third road game in their last four games and both of their road games have come by double digits. I still like freshman QB Martinez and believe he will have success against this Gopher defense. The favorite in Gopher games has covered the spread 9 of the last 10 games. Nebraska had a 231-32 edge in rushing last week. Today is the day the stats reflect the result and Nebraska will win this game by double digits. We will hit a big play in the process as well. |
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10-20-18 | Miami-OH v. Army -7.5 | 30-31 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #330 Army Black Knights over Miami Redhawks (12p.m., Saturday, October 20 CBSSN) Army has beaten the teams that they are supposed to beat this season and expect that trend to continue Saturday afternoon in West Point, NY. The Black Knights have won 5 straight home games. Miami is 0-3 ATS in their nonconference games this season. The Redhawks have played every week of the season and it is hard to prepare for the triple option on short notice. Army is 4-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games. |
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10-20-18 | Auburn -4 v. Ole Miss | 31-16 | Win | 100 | 93 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #399 Auburn Tigers over Ole Miss Rebels (12p.m., Saturday, October 20 ESPN) Auburn is been a great disappointment of late but playing Ole Miss is just what the doctor ordered to get back on track. The Tigers dominated this game last year winning 44-23 (led 35-3 at half) and this will be another double-digit victory for a team and coach desperate to get back on track. The Rebels have been giving up 263 yards per game rushing in conference play. Auburn has the better defense in this game and Ole Miss will struggle to move the football and keep up in scoring. Auburn is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games played in Oxford. |
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10-14-18 | Chiefs v. Patriots -3 | 40-43 | Push | 0 | 127 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #276 New England Patriots over Kansas City Chiefs (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 14 NBC) Just a strong gut feeling that the Chiefs will come back to earth in this game. That has been the history under Andy Reid after another fast start to the season. If New England has any hope of being the No. 1 seed this year in the AFC they must win this game. Both teams have impressive ATS runs but New England has revenge from last year against Kansas City and they are tough to beat at home (35-14 ATS run). I just feel that when good teams met, generally the team that needs it more gets it. Do not like to lay this many points against Kansas City but feel confident that New England will win this game straight-up and should be able to cover the spread as well. |
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10-14-18 | Rams v. Broncos +7 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 123 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #270 Denver Broncos over Los Angeles Rams (4:05p.m., Sunday, October 14 FOX) The Broncos are just a different team at home especially early in the season. LA struggled to put away Seattle last week and now face a better defense in Denver at high elevation. The Broncos got embarrassed last week in New York and expect pride to set it and they play much better in Week 6. This is an important game for Coach Joseph to save the 2018 season and likely his job going forward. The underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings between the Rams and Broncos. Denver lead another high-powered offense by double digits in their last home game and expect them to take this game down to the wire as well. Back-to-Back road games will catch-up with the Rams somewhat in this game. |
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10-14-18 | Seahawks v. Raiders +3 | 27-3 | Loss | -115 | 120 h 41 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #266 Oakland Raiders over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, October 14 FOX) The Raiders once again give away a home game for this trip to London. That being said, the Seahawks are not good enough to be laying points against anyone in the league for a neutral site game. Both teams have issues but I feel Oakland has more weapons on offense and will be able to put up some points and yards against a Seahawk defense that is a shell of its former self. Seattle is 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games played during Week 6 of the regular season. Oakland is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against Seattle. |
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10-13-18 | Wisconsin +9.5 v. Michigan | 13-38 | Loss | -106 | 57 h 40 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. #169 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Michigan Wolverines (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 13 ABC) TOP COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAY OF THE WEEK. Wisconsin just does not get blown out much in there games. Getting this many points against a team still searching for a marquee win is too good to pass up. Michigan has a brutal schedule remaining with games against Michigan State, Penn State, and Ohio State still on deck. Playing the west division allows Wisconsin to avoid upsets when there are not at their best. Wisconsin has yet to play a complete game this season, but I expect them to put forth a big effort Saturday night. The number keeps rising since their secondary is banged up, but I do not believe Michigan will be able to take advantage of this. Wisconsin is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games. Michigan is 18-37 ATS in their last 55 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Wisconsin is 9-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games against Michigan. |
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10-13-18 | New Mexico v. Colorado State +1 | 18-20 | Win | 100 | 99 h 37 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #150 Colorado State Rams over New Mexico Lobos (4p.m., Saturday, October 13 ATTSN) The Rams have been one of the most disappointing teams in the conference this season but they have played a difficult schedule and should be able to get back on track in MWC play. They have talent and have owned this series winning 8 in a row against the Lobos. New Mexico dominated UNLV last week but the Rebels were without their starting quarterback. New Mexico is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The home team is 7-2 ATS (1 push) in the last 10 matchups between New Mexico and Colorado State. |
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10-13-18 | Washington v. Oregon +3.5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 98 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #160 Oregon Ducks over Washington Huskies (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 13 ABC) Oregon is legit and has a quarterback that can attack this Washington defense. The Ducks should be undefeated except for a collapse against Stanford in their last home game. Now they are coming off a bye whereas Washington did not look impressive at all against a terrible UCLA team. Oregon has been pounded in the last two meetings, but they are still 12-2 straight-up and against the spread in the last 14 meetings. Washington has been on the road a lot this year and that will catch up to them in this game. Washington is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Oregon is 6-1 ATS (1 push) against Washington in the last 8 meetings in Eugene. |
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10-13-18 | Georgia v. LSU +7.5 | Top | 16-36 | Win | 100 | 98 h 10 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #198 LSU Tigers over Georgia Bulldogs (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 13 CBS) SEC GAME OF THE YEAR Georgia has yet to be tested this season but their schedule ramps up from here on out. Playing at LSU is never an easy task and except them to be in for a 60-minute game today in Baton Rouge. LSU has covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 games in October. The Tigers have the speed to contain Georgia and I just do not see a blowout in this game. We will gladly grab the points and not worry about who pulls this game out by a field goal. |
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10-13-18 | Pittsburgh v. Notre Dame -20.5 | 14-19 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 17 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #154 Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Pittsburgh Panthers (2:30p.m., Saturday, October 13 NBC) I have said the last two weeks that you must continue to ride Notre Dame until they fail to cover a spread. We have used them the last two weeks and won easily and expect more of the same on Saturday against an inferior team. Pittsburgh is coming off an overtime win against Syracuse but the talent level they face is much stronger in this game. Since QB Brook has been named the starting quarterback the Irish appear to be unstoppable (3-0 ATS). Pittsburgh is 6-19 ATS (1 push) in their last 26 nonconference games. Notre Dame is 40-18 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 60 games played during October. |
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10-13-18 | Florida -7 v. Vanderbilt | 37-27 | Win | 100 | 95 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #191 Florida Gators over Vanderbilt Commodores (12p.m., Saturday, October 13 ESPN) The Gators have been on a roll since losing to Kentucky winning 4 straight games including beating LSU and Mississippi State in the process. Vanderbilt has been pounded in their last 2 SEC games and this will be a double digit loss as well. Florida has not lost at Vanderbilt since 1988 (13 straight wins) and have covered the spread in 70% of their last 10 games in Nashville. The Commodores have trouble defending the pass and expect Coach Mullen to pick them apart. Vanderbilt is 1-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 SEC games. |
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10-07-18 | Jaguars +3.5 v. Chiefs | 14-30 | Loss | -115 | 119 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #453 Jacksonville Jaguars over Kansas City Chiefs (1p.m., Sunday, October 7 CBS) This low number wants to entice bettors to play the Chiefs. We will not bite and gladly take the points with the best defensive team in the league. Kansas City started off 4-0 last season before struggling to make the playoffs and losing in the wild card round. Kansas City has a short week and Jacksonville is the type of team that can slow down QB Mahomes. Jacksonville is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Kansas City is 1-4 ATS when playing on Sunday following an appearance on Monday Night Football. |
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10-07-18 | Broncos v. Jets | 16-34 | Win | 100 | 119 h 55 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #460 New York Jets over Denver Broncos (1p.m., Sunday, October 7 CBS) The Jets have revenge on their minds as they lost to the Broncos in 2017. That victory by Denver ended an 8-game losing streak but Denver is a much different team on the road. Coach Joseph has only won 1 road game in his year plus as coach of the Broncos. The Jets have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games. A 1-3 team is favored against a 2-2 team, that tells me a great deal about being on the right side of this game. Denver suffered a devastating loss last Monday against Kansas City, a game which they led by 10 points in the fourth quarter. There will be a carryover in this game, as they Jets will win it by 7-10 points. Denver is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games. This is only the Jets second home game this season and they will put forth a good effort on Sunday afternoon in East Rutherford. |
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10-07-18 | Packers v. Lions +1.5 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 119 h 55 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #464 Detroit Lions over Green Bay Packers (1p.m., Sunday, October 7 FOX) The Packers lost to the Redskins in their last road game and they have major issues at the wide receiver position. The underdog has covered all 4 of Detroit’s games this season and I truly believe they have the more talented roster in this game. QB Rodgers has been sacked 12 times this season and they are not facing a rookie quarterback in this game. Detroit pounded in the Patriots in their last home game and I expect them to play from in front in this game. The Lions have had some decent success against the Packers beating them both times last year. Detroit is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Green Bay is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 divisional games. |
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10-07-18 | Wyoming v. Hawaii -3 | Top | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 106 h 56 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #414 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors over Wyoming Cowboys (11:59p.m., Saturday, October 6) Wyoming has a major problem on offense and if Hawaii does not beat themselves with turnovers, they will win this game by double digits. Hawaii took Wyoming into overtime last year with QB Allen playing for the Pokes. He will not be on the island this year and the Cowboys are averaging just 18 points and 300 total yards. Hawaii is coming off a 5OT win on the road last Saturday and they now are on pace to make a bowl game this season. When Wyoming loses, it tends to be big as their three losses this season have come by 22, 27, & 20 points. Wyoming put a lot into their game last week against Boise State in Laramie and they performed poorly. The oddsmakers have not caught onto how bad Wyoming is this season, as they have not covered a spread in their last 4 lined games. |
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10-06-18 | Notre Dame -5 v. Virginia Tech | 45-23 | Win | 100 | 102 h 18 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #349 Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Virginia Tech Hokies (8p.m., Saturday, October 6 ABC) Until Notre Dame loses a game we will continue to ride them on these short numbers. Virginia Tech is without their starting quarterback and already lost to Old Dominion this season. They played better last week against Duke but the Blue Devils are not a powerhouse whatsoever. Virginia Tech has a weak defense this year and Notre Dame will get their offense rolling at some point in this game and I just do not believe the Hokies will be able to keep pace. Notre Dame is 39-18 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 59 games played in October. |
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10-06-18 | San Diego State v. Boise State -14.5 | 19-13 | Loss | -106 | 97 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #354 Boise State Broncos over San Diego State Aztecs (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 6 ESPN U) Boise State is far and away the best team in the MWC and we will continue to ride them. We hit out top play with them last week against Wyoming and now they play a very similar team in San Diego State. The Aztecs need to keep this game low scoring and that will be impossible to do facing QB Rypien. Boise State had a 506-214 yardage advantage last week against Wyoming and they should have won by more than 20 points. San Diego State was favored last year against Boise State and lost 31-14. The same holds true as last week, if Boise State does not beat themselves they will win this game by 20 points. San Diego State is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Boise State has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. |
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10-06-18 | Maryland v. Michigan -17.5 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 95 h 10 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #338 Michigan Wolverines over Maryland Terrapins (12p.m., Saturday, October 6 ABC) Maryland is improved but Michigan owes this series of late under Coach Harbaugh. Michigan is 3-0 ATS in their last three games against Maryland with a combined score of those games being 122-13. Michigan now has balance on offense with a quarterback that can move the football through the air. Maryland will not be able to run the football for 315 yards like they did against Minnesota. Michigan came out flat against Northwestern last week but turned it on in the second half and expect them to carry that into this early start on Saturday. Maryland is 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games following a victory in their previous game. Michigan is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played at Michigan Stadium. |
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10-05-18 | Utah State v. BYU -2.5 | 45-20 | Loss | -107 | 79 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #312 BYU Cougars over Utah State Aggies (9p.m., Friday, October 5 ESPN 2) BYU has a much better team this year than last year and should be able to beat Utah State at home on Friday night. BYU turned over the football 7 times in that game last year and still only lost by 16 points (led by 14 points in the second quarter). BYU has played a brutal schedule thus far and they always have a home field advantage in Provo. This is a game BYU needs in order to save their season and expect them to get it. Utah State is 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning record. BYU has covered the spread 4 straight games against MWC teams. 71% of the early money is coming in on BYU and we expect them to bounce back as well. |
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10-01-18 | Chiefs v. Broncos +5.5 | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 146 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #278 Denver Broncos over Kansas City Chiefs (8:15p.m., Monday, October 1 ESPN) Kansas City has won 4 straight in this series but this will be the toughest defense they have faced all season long. QB Mahomes has played outstanding thus far in the season but his defense has been giving up a ton of points this year as well (30.7 per game). The underdog has covered the spread in 6 of the last 8 match-ups. Denver has some weapons on offense and should be able to keep this game close with a good chance to pull the upset in the fourth quarter. |
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09-30-18 | Browns v. Raiders -1.5 | Top | 42-45 | Win | 100 | 118 h 17 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #270 Oakland Raiders over Cleveland Browns (4:05p.m., Sunday, September 20 CBS) The Raiders have had chances in all three of their games but sit at 0-3. This is a very important game for the Raiders and a must win if they have any chance of making the playoffs this season. QB Baker Mayfield will get the start after a nice performance at home against the Jets. Playing in the Black Hole is a much harder task. Cleveland is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a losing record. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between Cleveland and Oakland. |
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09-30-18 | Dolphins v. Patriots -6.5 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 115 h 14 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #252 New England Patriots over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, September 30 CBS) This is a popular newsletter play early in the week and I am included in expecting the Patriots to play much better at home this week. The Dolphins are 3-0 and a win in Foxborough might give them the division title but I just cannot trust them to win this game. New England has won 9 straight games against Miami in Foxborough (7-2 ATS) by an 18 point margin of victory. The favorite is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Miami is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games played on fieldturf. |
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09-30-18 | Texans +2 v. Colts | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 115 h 13 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #253 Houston Texans over Indianapolis Colts (1p.m., Sunday, September 30 CBS) The Texans are the most disappointing team in the league, but they are going to win games this year and the AFC South is not out of reach at the moment. The Colts fought hard against the Eagles last week but they offense was horrible with only 209 total yards. That will not get the job done today against the Texans and if they can muster a pass rush they will win this game by double digits. Houston is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games played in Week 4. The road team is 5-1 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 8 meetings. |
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09-30-18 | Bucs v. Bears -3 | 10-48 | Win | 100 | 115 h 12 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #264 Chicago Bears over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1p.m., Sunday, September 30 FOX) Tampa Bay came back down to earth last Monday getting behind big against Pittsburgh with 4 turnovers. Now they are on the road with a short week against a much better defense. Tampa Bay is just 2-7 ATS with a bye week on deck. The Bears should be 3-0 if not for poor coaching in their home opener. Tampa Bay has secondary injuries and that should allow QB Trubisky to have success in the passing game. Chicago came out slow against Arizona last week and I just feel they are due to a complete game in all facets of the game (offense, defense, special teams). Tampa Bay is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games played during Week 4. |
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09-29-18 | Boise State -17 v. Wyoming | Top | 34-14 | Win | 100 | 97 h 15 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #203 Boise State Broncos over Wyoming Cowboys (7p.m., Saturday, September 30 CBSSN) The Cowboys and their fans will be up for this game but the fact remains they just do not have the offensive firepower to keep pace in this game. Wyoming is 2-2 this season but their wins have come against a terrible New Mexico State team and an FCS team in Wofford by just three points. If Boise State does not turn over the football they will win this game by 21+ points. Wyoming is 117th in the country in points per game and they have gotten pounded by Washington State and Missouri. I believe Boise State is better than both of those teams. Boise State has won 11 of the last 12 meetings. The Broncos are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. The road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. |
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09-29-18 | Florida v. Mississippi State -7.5 | 13-6 | Loss | -105 | 96 h 15 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #194 Mississippi State Bulldogs over Florida Gators (6p.m., Saturday, September 29 ESPN) One of the more surprising results last week was Mississippi State getting destroyed by Kentucky. Florida one by default last week against Tennessee who turned the football over six times. The only had 186 yards passing in that game and just 14 first downs. But this is a game the Bulldogs want in the worst way to show Coach Mullen made the wrong decision leaving Starkville for Gainesville. Mississippi State is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games. Florida is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following an ATS win in their previous game. Florida has not covered the spread against Mississippi State in the last 4 match-ups. |
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09-29-18 | Pittsburgh v. Central Florida -13.5 | 14-45 | Win | 100 | 94 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #140 UCF Golden Knights over Pittsburgh Panthers (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 29 ESPN U) UCF just wins and expect them to win this game at home by double digits. The Panthers have been terrible in the second halves this year and expect that to continue in this game. The Golden Knights can still score points and the Panthers will not be able to keep pace in this game. UCF is fifth in total offense at over 587 yards per game. Pittsburgh is 7-19 ATS in their last 27 nonconference games. UCF is 8-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games following an ATS win in their previous game. |
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09-29-18 | Bowling Green v. Georgia Tech -28.5 | 17-63 | Win | 100 | 90 h 17 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #124 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets over Bowling Green Falcons (12p.m., Saturday, September 29 ACCN) The Falcons really struggle to stop the run and that is pretty much all Georgia Tech does. Bowling Green is 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog and sooner or later Georgia Tech will cover a spread in 2018. Bowling Green is allowing 334 yards per game rushing and 6.44 yards per rushing attempt. The Falcons are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games. The line has already moved 4+ points towards the Yellow Jackets and it is still not enough. It will be a 30-point home victory in Atlanta, GA. |
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09-28-18 | Memphis v. Tulane +14 | 24-40 | Win | 100 | 74 h 19 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #106 Tulane Green Wave over Memphis Tigers (8p.m., Friday, September 28 ESPN 2) The Green Wave is better than what their record is, and I just do not see a blowout in this game. Memphis has allowed points and they like to win games by outscoring their opponent and that becomes a tougher task once conference play opens up. Tulane runs the spread option and a running team has already beaten Memphis this season (Navy). Tulane is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Memphis is 2-10 ATS (1 push) in their last 13 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. |
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09-27-18 | Vikings +7 v. Rams | 31-38 | Push | 0 | 51 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #101 Minnesota Vikings over Los Angeles Rams (8:20p.m., Thursday, September 27 FOX) The Vikings suffered the worst loss in years last week against Buffalo. They were obviously looking ahead to this game and I expect a much better effort in this game. Talent wise I put Minnesota as an equal to Los Angeles and they beat them by 17 points last year. The Rams lost a bunch of home games last year including in the playoffs and we will gladly take the points in this game. The Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. The Vikings are 43-21 in their last 64 games. |
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09-24-18 | Steelers v. Bucs +1.5 | 30-27 | Loss | -105 | 149 h 44 m | Show | |
10 Unit Play. Take #490 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Pittsburgh Steelers (8:15p.m., Monday, September 24 ESPN) We will ride the Fitzmagic train in this game. Many are expecting Pittsburgh to break out of this funk but you just cannot trust their defense whatsoever. Big Ben is having to throw the football every play since they are getting down early and Pittsburgh is just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of less than 7 points. QB Fitzpatrick has put up monster passing numbers in the first two games and this will be the weakness defense he has faced year to date. Pittsburgh is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Tampa Bay is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS victory in their previous game. |
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09-23-18 | Bengals v. Panthers -2.5 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 118 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #464 Carolina Panthers over Cincinnati Bengals (1p.m., Sunday, September 23 CBS) Just do not believe that the Bengals can handle prosperity. Everything went right for the Bengals last Thursday night getting a three-touchdown lead, but they still had to hang on for the victory against Baltimore. Carolina is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games preceding their bye week. Carolina is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. Carolina is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games against AFC teams. |
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09-23-18 | Giants v. Texans -6 | 27-22 | Loss | -107 | 118 h 31 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #472 Houston Texas over New York Giants (1p.m., Sunday, September 23 FOX) The Giants have major offensive line issues and this is not the defense that will allow them to get back on track. Houston needs a victory in the worst way after falling just short in their first two games on the road. QB Eli Manning cannot be successful without a strong offensive line and Houston is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games as a favorite against a nondivisional team. New York is 3-16 ATS in their last 19 games. Houston is better on both sides of the football and they cannot afford to look past this Giants team. New York is playing their second straight road game in Texas and they will lose this game by double digits. |
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09-23-18 | Bills +17.5 v. Vikings | 27-6 | Win | 100 | 117 h 29 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #477 Buffalo Bills over Minnesota Vikings (1p.m., Sunday, September 23 CBS) The Vikings are in disarray of missing three field goals last week against Green Bay. It will be hard for them to get up for this game against the worst teams in the league. With the Rams on deck for the Vikings expect them to just go through the motions in this game and win it by around 10-13 points. Buffalo made the right decision to start QB Josh Allen and they are 7-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games against NFC teams. Not much good can be said about Buffalo but they made the playoffs last season and pride will set in and I believe they will put forth a good effort in this game. |
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09-22-18 | Stanford v. Oregon +3 | Top | 38-31 | Loss | -115 | 101 h 37 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #356 Oregon Ducks over Stanford Cardinal (8p.m., Saturday, September 22 ABC) This is a game that can put Oregon on the national radar once again. A win will likely prevent Stanford for reaching the PAC-12 Championship Game and set up a battle between Washington and Oregon on October 13. The Ducks result last week was misleading as they were clearly looking ahead to this game and have revenge on their minds after getting pounded last year in Palo Alto. Getting rid of Willie Taggert can only be beneficial evident by this lack of success at Florida State. Stanford is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played in September. Oregon has the weapons to attack this Stanford defense and expect them to win straight-up. The Line has swing too much and the value now clearly lies with Oregon. |
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09-22-18 | Mississippi State -9.5 v. Kentucky | 7-28 | Loss | -115 | 100 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #359 Mississippi State Bulldogs over Kentucky Wildcats (7p.m., Saturday, September 22 ESPN2) The Bulldogs are for real in 2018 and they may be the second-best team in the SEC West. The SEC East appears to be Georgia and a bunch of pretenders and thus we will gladly lay the points on the road with the better overall team. QB Fitzgerald had 6 touchdowns last week and he has lighten up the scoreboard since coming off an opening game suspension. The Bulldogs are 8-1 straight-up (6-2 ATS) in their last 9 meetings with the Wildcats. Kentucky has not done well in Lexington going 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games at Commonwealth Stadium. Mississippi State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. |
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09-22-18 | TCU v. Texas +3.5 | 16-31 | Win | 100 | 97 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #380 Texas Longhorns over TCU Horned Frogs (4:30p.m., Saturday, September 22 FOX) TCU got shell shocked in the third quarter last week in a defacto home game against Ohio State. Texas is coming off an impressive win against USC and it is imperative that they follow that up with a victory this week to keep the momentum going. TCU has not played in Fort Worth since September 1st and that will catch up with them in this game. Texas has played a home heavy schedule as this is their fourth game of the season and their third game Texas Memorial Stadium. Coach Herman cannot afford to look past any opponent as he did not have a good season last year and already has a lost to Maryland this season. TCU is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win in their previous game. |
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09-22-18 | Clemson -16.5 v. Georgia Tech | 49-21 | Win | 100 | 96 h 10 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #337 Clemson Tigers over Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 22 ABC) The Tigers have the defensive line that will be able to stop the rushing attack of the Yellow Jackets. Clemson has won 5 of the last 6 meetings (4-2 ATS) by an average margin of victory of 18 points per game. Clemson is allowing just 89 yards rushing each game (about 2.1 yards per carry). Georgia Tech has scored just 17 combined points in their last 2 games against Clemson. Georgia Tech is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Yellow Jackets are in a serious downturn and this may be the year they make a coaching change, as Paul Johnson does not inspire an exciting brand of football. |
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09-22-18 | Texas A&M v. Alabama -26.5 | 23-45 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #406 Alabama Crimson Tide over Texas A & M Aggies (3:30 p.m., Saturday, September 22 CBS) I guess you have to keep riding Alabama until they do not cover a spread. The Tide has looked dominating on all levels of play and we will lay the wood in this game against a rebuilding Texas A&M squad. The Aggies had their Super Bowl two weeks ago against Clemson, but that game was a home and I just do not believe they can put forth that big of an effort on the road. Alabama has won 20 straight home games by an average of 32 points per game. A&M is 4-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 14 SEC games. Alabama has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 home games. |
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09-22-18 | Louisville v. Virginia -4.5 | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 93 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #348 Virginia Cavaliers over Louisville Cardinals (12:30p.m., Saturday, September 22 ACCN) The Cardinals appear to be in a downward trend and this year they have no Lamar Jackson to bail them out. They were outgained last week against Western Kentucky and now face a better defense in Virginia this Saturday. Louisville is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games. Virginia has a chance to make a bowl game this year but must win this game in order to accomplish that. Virginia is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. Louisville is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games played during September. |
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09-21-18 | Washington State v. USC -3.5 | 36-39 | Loss | -105 | 79 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #310 USC Trojans over Washington State Cougars (10:30p.m., Friday, September 21 ESPN) USC appears to be in freefall at the moment but playing at home against Washington State should get them back on track. The Cougars beat the Trojans last year for the first time since 2002 and I do not see them winning two straight against a much more talented team. USC has won 12 straight conference games at the Coliseum. Washington State is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games. USC is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games following a loss in their previous game. |
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09-16-18 | Giants +3 v. Cowboys | Top | 13-20 | Loss | -108 | 122 h 53 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #287 New York Giants over Dallas Cowboys (8:20p.m., Sunday, September 16 NBC) Both teams are coming off losses in Week 1 but I just see more hope with the Giants compared to the Cowboys. Dallas used to have a strong offensive line but that is not the case anymore. They still have RB Elliott but defenses can stack the line against them since they do not have much deep threat wide receivers. Dallas is just 7-18 ATS in their last 25 home games against a divisional team. New York will win this game straight-up because they have many more weapons on offense compared to Dallas. New York has covered the spread in 5 of the last 7 meetings with Dallas. |
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09-16-18 | Patriots -1 v. Jaguars | 20-31 | Loss | -120 | 118 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #283 New England Patriots over Jacksonville Jaguars (4:25p.m., Sunday, September 16 CBS) This will be a litmus test for the Jaguars to show that they are one of the top teams in the AFC. The spread is low, and it is not often you find New England as only a slight favorite. New England has covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games. With RB Fournette not 100% we will gladly take the team with the better quarterback in this game. New England is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games. Jacksonville is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 Week 2 games. |
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09-16-18 | Chiefs v. Steelers -5 | 42-37 | Loss | -105 | 114 h 29 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #272 Pittsburgh Steelers over Kansas City Chiefs (1p.m., Sunday, September 16 CBS) Pittsburgh gets up for Kansas City and they have beaten them in 6 out of the last 7 meetings. Pittsburgh did not play well last week against Cleveland but they have covered the spread in 6 of their last 8 home openers. Big Ben needs to bounce back after a terrible performance last week and expect him to do that in a big way. Pittsburgh’s rushing attack did not miss a beat without Le’Veon Bell and expect more of the same on Saturday. I am still not solid on QB Pat Mahomes despite his great performance last week in Los Angeles. This is the second straight road game for the Chiefs and that will catchup with them as Pittsburg wins this game by 10-13 points. |
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09-15-18 | Arizona State v. San Diego State +5 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 100 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #210 San Diego State Aztecs over Arizona State Sun Devils (10:30p.m., Saturday, September 15 CBSSN) Everyone is drinking the Herm Edwards Kool-Aid after beating Michigan State last week and I feel this number is inflated. SDSU won in Tempe last year by double digits and I feel they have a good chance to win this game straight-up. Arizona State has Washington on deck and playing at his half empty stadium is always a touch task to get the adrenalin flowing. SDSU is not as strong as they have been in the past couple of years but they still play sound football and like to control the game with a strong running attack and solid defense and that should be able to chip away at the clock and keep them in this game for 60 minutes. ASU is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against MWC teams. SDSU is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
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09-15-18 | Washington v. Utah +7 | 21-7 | Loss | -115 | 100 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #206 Utah Utes over Washington Huskies (10p.m., Saturday, September 15 ESPN) I believe Utah is the team to beat in the PAC-12 South and getting points with them at home is a prime opportunity for a big play. Washington will be traveling for the second time in three weeks to open the season and this will be another hostile environment. Utah is 6-3 ATS as a home underdog and had Washington beat last year in Seattle before a late rally by the Huskies allowed them to emerge victorious. Washington is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. Utah is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing during the month of September. |
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09-15-18 | Ohio State v. TCU +13.5 | 40-28 | Win | 100 | 98 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #204 TCU Horned Frogs over Ohio State Buckeyes (8p.m., Saturday, September 15 ABC) This is the game that Ohio State will miss having Urban Meyer on the sidelines. This is a defacto home game for TCU since this game is be playing in Arlington and TCU is located in Fort Worth. TCU got off to a slow start against SMU last week but turned it on in the second half and they clearly had an eye on this game. The Frogs will have a coaching advantage in this game and I just do not see them losing by double digits. Ohio State has yet to be tested and I feel this game will go down to the wire. We will grab the points in this contest. |
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09-15-18 | North Texas v. Arkansas -7 | 44-17 | Loss | -106 | 93 h 23 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #174 Arkansas Razorbacks over North Texas Mean Green (4p.m., Saturday, September 15 SECN) The Razorbacks should be able to get back on track at home against North Texas on Saturday. This will be the first true road game for the Mean Green and they are just 8-16 ATS in their last 24 games as a road underdog. Arkansas had a big lead last week before Colorado State rallied to finally one a game this season. This will be a setup for North Texas and they are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Arkansas losing last week makes them a play this week, as Coach Chad Morris will have his team’s attention all week and will play a full 4 quarters on Saturday. |
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09-15-18 | LSU +9.5 v. Auburn | 22-21 | Win | 100 | 93 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #153 LSU Tigers over Auburn Tigers (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 15 CBS) Not too many teams put more talent on the field than does LSU and Auburn is not one of those teams. LSU won last year and I see them game going down to the wire yet again. LSU has the defense to contain the Auburn offense and if LSU can protect the football they should be in position to win this game in the fourth quarter. LSU is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games. These have been low scoring games in the last 4 meetings in Auburn and getting close to double digits is too good to pass up. |
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09-15-18 | Tulane -3.5 v. UAB | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 2 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #163 Tulane Green Wave over UAB Blazers (1p.m., Saturday, September 15 Facebook) NONCONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR UAB decided to bring back football for some reason after a two-year absence, but I just do not believe they can compete with teams from the American Athletic Conference. UAB is -77.5 ATS in their last 4 lined games and have lost 4 straight games against Tulane. The Green Wave are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 nonconference games. Tulane is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against UAB. Tulane just missed out on being bowl eligible last year and with Ohio State on deck this is a must win game for them in their hopes of reaching 6 wins. Tulane returns a ton of experience on offense led by QB Bank and WR Encalade. They should be able to pick apart the Blazers on defense and I just do not believe UAB will be able to keep pace. Tulane pulls away in the second half to win this game by double digits. |
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09-09-18 | Chiefs +3.5 v. Chargers | 38-28 | Win | 100 | 93 h 10 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #469 Kansas City Chiefs over Los Angeles Chargers (4:05p.m., Sunday September 9 CBS) We will gladly grab the points in this AFC West game. The Chiefs did not look very good for most of the preseason, but Andy Reid has never had a strong record in exhibition play. The Chargers always seem to start out the season slow and there is added pressure on them this year as many feel they are the teams to beat in the AFC West. Kansas City won both meetings last year by double digits and eight straight overall (6-2 ATS). Expect this to be a closer game by Kansas City pulls it out straight-up. |
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09-09-18 | Bills v. Ravens -7.5 | 3-47 | Win | 102 | 90 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #460 Baltimore Ravens over Buffalo Bills (1p.m., Sunday September 9 CBS) Many believe that this is a make or break year for Coach Harbaugh and he will be replaced if his team does not make the playoffs. They will be able to get off to a good start since Buffalo appears to be in rebuild mode after making the playoffs in 2017. The Ravens looked dominating in exhibition play and have scored over around 29 points per game over their last 9 contests. Baltimore is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Week 1 games. |
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09-09-18 | Jaguars v. Giants +3 | Top | 20-15 | Loss | -100 | 95 h 53 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #462 New York Giants over Jacksonville Jaguars (1p.m., Sunday September 9 FOX) Jacksonville is going to start the year in an unfamiliar role, as a road favorite. I see them taking a step back this season and things have to be better for the Giants in 2018. Jacksonville is just 2-6 ATS in road openers in recent years. QB Manning has numerous weapons this season, something he sorely lacked as the 2017 season progressed. Jacksonville’s defense feasted on bad quarterback play in their own division and I expect them to give up points and yards against effective quarterbacks. Jacksonville is 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games played during the month of December. |
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09-08-18 | Wyoming v. Missouri -18 | Top | 13-40 | Win | 100 | 77 h 51 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #368 Missouri Tigers over Wyoming Cowboys (7p.m., Saturday September 8 ESPN U) The Tigers should have saw the blueprint of how to beat Wyoming if they scouted the game last week. Do not turn the ball over and make the Cowboys drive the 75 yards plus to score. Wyoming only had success last week against Washington State when the Cougars gave them short fields. The Cowboys were terrible on offense and will not be able to keep up in scoring in this game. Missouri has a tempo offense that usually scores points often and quickly especially against inferior competition. Wyoming is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games played in September. Missouri is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. |
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09-08-18 | UMass v. Georgia Southern -2.5 | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 76 h 50 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #364 Georgia Southern Eagles over Massachusetts Minuteman (6p.m., Saturday September 8 ESPN+) The Minuteman got pounded last week against their in-state rivals and I do not see things getting any better on Saturday. The Eagles are a run heavy team and are a tough team to prep for with only a week’s time. UMASS pounded Georgia Southern last year and you can bet the Eagles have remembered that embarrassing performance. Throw in the fact this is the second straight road game for the Minutemen and I see the Eagles pulling away late. Georgia Southern is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games. |
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09-08-18 | Colorado +4.5 v. Nebraska | 33-28 | Win | 100 | 73 h 23 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #353 Colorado Buffaloes over Nebraska Cornhuskers (3:30p.m., Saturday September 8 ABC) There is great excitement for the Scott Frost era in Lincoln, but like Chip Kelly found out last week success does not happen overnight. Colorado put forth a dominating performance last week against Colorado State and Nebraska has yet to play a game this season. Fan enthusiasm can only take Nebraska so far this season and I truly believe that the wrong team is favored in this game. Nebraska is 1-9 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 12 home games. Colorado is 11-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Nebraska. |
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09-08-18 | New Mexico v. Wisconsin -34.5 | 14-45 | Loss | -106 | 70 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #316 Wisconsin Badgers over New Mexico Lobos (12p.m., Saturday September 8 BTN) New Mexico is a poor man’s version of Wisconsin with a run heavy offense without a strong passing game. Wisconsin should be able to overpower New Mexico on both sides of the football. The Lobos dominated last week against a team nobody has heard of in Incarnate Word. Coach Chryst always seems to be aware of the point spread evident by the fact he had his quarterback throw deep late in the fourth quarter last Friday. New Mexico is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 nonconference games. Wisconsin is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after an ATS loss in their previous game. With New Mexico State on deck, the Lobos just want to get their payout from this game, stay healthy, and score a few points. They will lose by 40 points. |
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09-02-18 | Miami-FL -3 v. LSU | 17-33 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
5-Unit Play. Take #217 Miami FL -3 over LSU (Sunday, September 2nd at 7:30 PM ET) Take Miami FL ATS as my 7-Unit CFB Smash for Sunday night. This pick falls into one of my top CFB systems and I have the Hurricanes winning this game by 10+ points Sunday night. The Hurricanes return 14 starts 7 on offense and 7 on defense including their quarterback while LSU returns just 10 starts with 5 on each side of the ball and not their starting quarterback from last season. This Canes team has never looked better and I expect them to get off to a quick start on both sides of the ball that will silence the crowd in Dallas. The Hurricanes were one of only 22 teams in all of college football to allow less than 20 ppg last year during the regular season and you can expect this defense to be hungry for the turnover chain again this season. The Canes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of September and the Tigers are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against an ACC opponent. Play Miami FL ATS. |
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09-01-18 | Marshall -1 v. Miami-OH | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 99 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #179 Marshall Thundering Herd over Miami (OH) Redhawks (3:30p.m., Saturday September 1 ESPN+) This was a very competitive game in 2017 with Marshall pulling out a 31-26 victory. That is about how I see this game going as well, with the traditional of success Marshall has being the difference. The Herd has dominated this series winning 9 of the 10 meetings (7-3 ATS). Both teams return a ton of experience but Marshall was 4-0 ATS in 2017 in their last 4 road games and Miami is just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games. |
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09-01-18 | Washington State v. Wyoming +1.5 | Top | 41-19 | Loss | -106 | 97 h 60 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #206 Wyoming Cowboys over Washington State Cougars (3:30p.m., Saturday September 1 CBSSN) TOP PLAY OF THE WEEKEND. Wyoming lost QB Josh Allen to the Buffalo Bills but they return a ton of starters all around that position. Washington State does not start off well under Coach Mike Leach, losing 5 of their 6 openers including two against FCS teams. Wyoming has a strong defense and playing in Laramie is always a tough challenge. Wyoming is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games. Washington State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Getting points makes this our strongest play, as we fully expect the Cowboys to win this game straight-up. |
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09-01-18 | Houston -25 v. Rice | 45-27 | Loss | -108 | 94 h 43 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #153 Houston Cougars over Rice Owls (12p.m., Saturday September 1 CBSSN) The Owls are in a complete rebuild with a new coach after going 1-11 last season. They won last week against Prairie View A&M and that may be their only win they get this season. Houston has won the last 4 meetings with Rice by an average of 25 points per game. Rice was 0-4 ATS in nonconference games in 2017 and they are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games when they are a double-digit underdog. Houston is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games played in September. Rice is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. |
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08-31-18 | Colorado State v. Colorado -7.5 | 13-45 | Win | 100 | 79 h 11 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #148 Colorado Buffaloes over Colorado State Rams (9:30p.m., Friday August 31 CBSSN) Colorado State got embarrassed last week against Hawaii. Their offense put up a ton of yards but most of it came in garbage time as they were down big in the second half and had to throw the football on every down. Colorado has owned this series of late going 8-2 and winning by an average of 16 points per game. The Buffaloes have tape on the Rams and that should benefit them a great deal in this game. Expect them to jump on the Rams early and cruise to a double-digit victory. |
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08-31-18 | San Diego State v. Stanford -14 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 79 h 39 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #150 Stanford Cardinal over San Diego State Aztecs (9p.m., Friday August 31 FS1) The Aztecs were not the same team as the 2017 season progressed. They started 6-0 but then got blown out in back to back home games and also suffered an embarrassing bowl loss to Army. Stanford has revenge in their corner after losing at San Diego in 2017 to this Aztec team. It will be hard for the Aztecs to overpower the Cardinal and I just do not believe SDSU can make enough plays in the passing game to have this be a competitive game. Stanford has won 10 straight home openers by an average of 25 points per game. SDSU is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games against PAC-12 teams. Stanford is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games played on Friday. |
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08-30-18 | Northwestern +103 v. Purdue | 31-27 | Win | 103 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #135 Northwestern Wildcats over Purdue Boilermakers (8p.m., Thursday August 30 ESPN) The line is moving toward Northwestern and who are we to argue with that. Purdue must replace a ton of players on defense and I believe they will take a step back this year. Northwestern is used to playing close game and they will find a way to pull this out. Northwestern is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. 61% of the money is coming in on the underdog and they will win this game straight-up. |
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08-30-18 | Central Florida v. Connecticut +23.5 | 56-17 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 37 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #134 Connecticut Huskies over UCF Golden Knights (7p.m., Thursday August 30 ESPN U) We saw last week with Hawaii and Colorado State and feel the same theme holds true again. This is just too many points to be giving in an opening game, especially an opening conference game. UCF is still loaded but I do not believe Josh Heupel is on par as a coach with Scott Frost. UCONN is 12-3 straight-up in home openers. The Golden Knights will pull away late and win this game by double digits, but it will fall short of this huge number. |
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08-25-18 | Hawaii +14.5 v. Colorado State | 43-34 | Win | 100 | 101 h 52 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #293 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors over Colorado State Rams (7:30p.m., Saturday August 25 CBSSN) The Rams lost a ton of talent from last year and have been without their head coach Mike Bobo. He is dealing with an illness and I just do not see a blowout against a conference opponent. Hawaii took a step back last year under Nick Rolovich but they will be competitive in this game losing to the Rams by just single digits. Colorado State is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games. Hawaii is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games played during August. |
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02-04-18 | Eagles v. Patriots -4 | Top | 41-33 | Loss | -107 | 126 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #102 New England Patriots over Philadelphia Eagles (6:30p.m., Sunday February 4 NBC) I feel this is a pretty solid line, but I just cannot see New England losing this game straight-up. All of the Tom Brady Super Bowl games have been close and New England is just due for a convincing win to cap off a great career of Brady and Belichick. Nick Foles still cannot be trusted and I do not expect him to be able to put up big numbers on a neutral field against this New England defense. Philadelphia is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. New England is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a winning record. |
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01-21-18 | Vikings v. Eagles +3.5 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 126 h 43 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #314 Philadelphia Eagles over Minnesota Vikings (6:40p.m., Sunday January 21 FOX) Both teams are lucky to be alive as their divisional opponents had chances to beat them late in each of their games. That being said I still expect the Eagles to play the no respect card throughout the week as they are once again a home underdog. Philadelphia is 3-0 lifetime against Minnesota in the playoffs and they are 8-1 this season at home (only loss was Week 17 – meaningless game). The Eagles held Atlanta to just 281 total yards last week and the Falcons have a more explosive offense than does Minnesota. Turnovers will play a huge role in this game but playing at home will allow Philadelphia to pull this game out by a field goal. Philadelphia is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. |
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01-21-18 | Jaguars v. Patriots -8.5 | 20-24 | Loss | -104 | 122 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #312 New England Patriots over Jacksonville Jaguars (3:05p.m., Sunday January 21 CBS) Much like last week, I just cannot put my money going against the Patriots. New England might not be as strong as they were in past years but the teams in the conference are much worse compared to them. The Patriots have a huge edge in quarterback play and I just do not believe Blake Bortles can repeat his performance from last week. New England has great success covering these big numbers and at some point, in this game QB Brady will figure out the Jaguars defense and pick them apart in the passing game. New England is 7-2 ATS against teams with a winning record this season. New England is 36-15 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 53 home games. Despite covering the spread last week, Jacksonville is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road playoff games. |
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01-14-18 | Saints v. Vikings -4 | Top | 24-29 | Win | 100 | 121 h 28 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #308 Minnesota Vikings over New Orleans (4:40p.m., Sunday January 14 FOX) The Vikings will complete the season sweep of the Saints on Sunday. The Vikings have won 10 of their last 11 games and already beat the Saints by double digits. Despite the Saints being much improved on defense they are still at a major disadvantage in this game with an advantage of all three components of the defense (line, linebackers, and secondary). QB Brees will have to play outstanding for New Orleans to be competitive in this game and I do not see that happening. His receivers made remarkable catches last week against Carolina and I just do not believe that they can do that for a second consecutive week. New Orleans has not been playing that well of late going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. Minnesota is 34-16 ATS (1 push) in their last 41 home games. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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01-13-18 | Titans v. Patriots -13 | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 101 h 5 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #304 New England Patriots over Tennessee Titans (8:15p.m., Saturday January 13 CBS) Tennessee is nowhere on the same level as New England. The Patriots had a week to rest up and they are also wanting to make a statement to the media that they are a united bunch. New England is 11-2 over the past 3 years when they are a double-digit favorite. I just do not believe Tennessee has the weapons to exploit a suspect New England defense. The Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 playoff games. The Titans are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 road games. |
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01-13-18 | Falcons v. Eagles +3 | Top | 10-15 | Win | 100 | 97 h 15 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #302 Philadelphia Eagles over Atlanta Falcons (4:35p.m., Saturday January 13 NBC) Everyone is on the Atlanta Falcons bandwagon and off the Philadelphia Eagles. A No. 1 seed has never been an underdog in the divisional round but that is the case on Saturday. The Eagles still have a ton of talent around the quarterback position and they will be able to play the no respect card in a big way on Saturday. Atlanta had the benefit of playing in a warm weather city last week but that will not be the case in Philadelphia this Saturday. QB Ryan has not played up to his MVP standards of a year ago and I still have no confidence in their offensive coordinator. The Eagles have a top ranked defense against the run and that should make Atlanta one-dimensional. The Falcons are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 playoff games. Philadelphia is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. |
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01-08-18 | Alabama -4.5 v. Georgia | 26-23 | Loss | -102 | 151 h 54 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #151 Take Alabama Crimson Tide over Georgia Bulldogs (8:45p.m., Monday January 8 ESPN) Just cannot put my hard-earned money going against Nick Saban and Alabama. We rode them against Clemson and that game was never really in doubt. Alabama is the gold standard in college football and to beat them you need a quarterback that can stretch the field vertically. Georgia does not have that, and I believe they are just a poor man’s version of what Alabama is. Nick Saban does not lose games against former assistants and I just do not believe Georgia will be able to run the football between the tackles. Alabama is not strong on offense either, but they play a style that does not put much pressure on QB Hurst and as along as they take care of the football they will win this game by double-digits. Alabama is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. |
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01-07-18 | Panthers +6.5 v. Saints | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 123 h 15 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #107 Carolina Panthers over New Orleans Saints (4:30p.m., Sunday January 7 FOX) Nothing came easy in the NFC South this season and I do not see a blowout with two teams that are very familiar with one another. One of the hardest things to do in sports in beat a team three times in one season and that is what the Saints are trying to do. Carolina is 8-1 this season in games decided by 8 points or fewer and will enter this game having won 3 of their last 4. I do not believe they were going all out to win last Sunday and that will certainly not be the case today since this is an elimination game. The Saints have not been as explosive on offense during the month of December and for them to cover this spread, QB Drees will have to put up 24+ points. New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Carolina is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games. |
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01-06-18 | Falcons v. Rams -6 | 26-13 | Loss | -120 | 103 h 41 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #104 Los Angeles Rams over Atlanta Falcons (8:15p.m., Saturday January 6 NBC) The Rams are back and should have no problem taking down the defending NFC Champions. Atlanta just was not the same team all season long and I believe Los Angeles has better personal on both sides of the football. QB Ryan has not thrown multiple touchdown passes in his last six games. The Rams have not had much of a home field advantage for most of the season but that will change for this game. People in LA love events and hosting their first playoff game in over two decades will bring out the masses. Atlanta is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 playoff games. Los Angeles is 8-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home. |
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01-01-18 | Alabama -2.5 v. Clemson | 24-6 | Win | 100 | 151 h 21 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #273 Take Alabama Crimson Tide over Clemson Tigers (Sugar Bowl, Monday, 1/1 8:45 pm ESPN) MAGNIFICENT 7 GAME Despite being the No. 1 overall seed, the Tigers got a bad draw having to face Alabama in New Orleans. Alabama has the most talent of any roster in college football and this long layoff will allow them to get healthy especially on the defensive side of the football. Clemson will have trouble running the football against Alabama, as they allow under 100 yards per game rushing. Throw in the fact that Alabama has revenge on their minds from Clemson defeating them last year and I just do not believe Kelly Bryant can move the football like Deshaun Watson did against Alabama. The Crimson Tide is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. |
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01-01-18 | Central Florida +10 v. Auburn | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 143 h 2 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #267 Take UCF Golden Knights over Auburn Tigers (Peach Bowl, Monday, 1/1 12:30 pm ESPN) UCF has a remarkable season and I believe they will be able to score points to keep this game somewhat competitive. One must question the Tigers motivation for this game after not making the playoff by suffering their third loss of the season in the SEC Championship Game. UCF will need to sell out to stop the run against Auburn and make the Tigers beat them through the air. Auburn is 0-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 nonconference games. |
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12-31-17 | Raiders +9.5 v. Chargers | 10-30 | Loss | -130 | 123 h 34 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #325 Take Oakland Raiders over Los Angeles Chargers (Sunday 4:25 pm CBS) The Raiders should have beaten the best team in the league on Christmas night, but they were done in by turnovers and missed field goals. Despite losing three straight games, the Raiders have been competitive in their last two games and I just do not believe they will throw in the towel and not come ready to play in Week 17. Los Angeles is 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games. Just too many points to be giving in this divisional match-up. |
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12-31-17 | 49ers +4 v. Rams | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 123 h 33 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #331 Take San Francisco 49ers over Los Angeles Rams (Sunday 4:25 pm FOX) We will keep riding the 49ers and Jimmy Garoppolo until proven otherwise. We have used them the last two weeks and expect them to cover again and win their fifth straight game to close out the regular season. This game means nothing for the Rams and they are just 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite in a divisional game. Los Angeles only beat San Francisco by 2 points in the first meeting this season and that was when San Francisco was in disarray and had yet to record a win. The 49ers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games. |
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12-31-17 | Texans +4 v. Colts | 13-22 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 20 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. #315 Take Houston Texans over Indianapolis Colts (Sunday 1 pm CBS) Just do not believe that the Colts are good enough to be favored over anyone in the NFL not named the Browns. Houston lost to Indianapolis at home this season and losing twice to them might cause Houston to consider making a coaching change. Indianapolis has not scored more than 20 points since 10/29 and thus it makes covering this number even more difficult. Houston is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home in their previous game. Indianapolis is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against AFC South teams. |
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12-30-17 | Washington v. Penn State -1.5 | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 98 h 14 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #262 Take Penn State Nittany Lions over Washington Huskies (Fiesta Bowl, Saturday, 12/30 4 pm ESPN) COLLEGE BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR, MAGNIFICENT 7 GAME I felt all season long that Penn State was the best team in the Big 10. They blew the game against Ohio State and they got tripped up the following week at Michigan State in a game delayed by weather. Despite Washington returning a ton of players from last year’s team that made the playoff, they did not look very impressive this season. They lost two games in which there were favored and played a very weak nonconference schedule. Penn State played a much more difficult schedule and they have a major edge on offense especially in the trenches. Penn State won their last three games to close out the regular season by an average of 35 points per game and I believe they will win this game by double digits as well. Penn State is 9-2 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. Washington is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 nonconference games. |
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12-30-17 | Iowa State v. Memphis -3.5 | 21-20 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 54 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #260 Take Memphis Tigers over Iowa State Cyclones (Liberty Bowl, Saturday, 12/30 12:30 pm ABC) MAGNIFICENT 7 GAME Memphis has the advantage of playing this game in this home stadium and they should be able to take care of business against Iowa State. The Cyclones got a lot of praise midway through the season, but they finished just 7-5 losing three of their final four games. Memphis has a major edge on offense and they scored 15 touchdowns on plays for 40 or more yards. The Tigers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss in their previous game. Memphis has a very experienced team that they want to make a statement against a team from the Power 5. |
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12-29-17 | USC +8.5 v. Ohio State | 7-24 | Loss | -115 | 79 h 6 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #255 Take Southern Cal Trojans over Ohio State Buckeyes (Cotton Bowl, Friday, 12/29 8:30 pm ESPN) MAGNIFICENT 7 GAME What a match-up the Cotton Bowl got this year as the traditional Rose Bowl match-up moves west. Just do not know how motivated Ohio State will be for this game since they were not selected for the four-team playoff. USC has beaten Ohio State 7 straight times and Ohio State just is not an offensive machine like they have been in previous years under Urban Meyer. QB Sam Donald is 20-2 as a starting quarterback and USC has the edge at the quarterback position with a future NFL player behind center for them. Ohio State has ample opportunities to blow out Wisconsin yet could not do that. Ohio State is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. |
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12-29-17 | Kentucky +8 v. Northwestern | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 75 h 7 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #251 Take Kentucky Wildcats over Northwestern Wildcats (Music City Bowl, Friday, 12/29 4:30 pm ESPN) MAGNIFICENT 7 GAME Just do not see a blowout in this battle of Wildcats. Northwestern is 9-3 but they benefitted from play in the Big 10 West and won three overtime games in a row. Kentucky has a strong defense and Northwestern does not have an explosive offense. I believe the long layoff will help Kentucky get back on track and may hurt the momentum Northwestern had to finish out the season. If Kentucky can stabilize this game early expect it to go down to the wire and thus we will collect with the underdog regardless who comes out on top. |
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12-28-17 | Michigan State +1 v. Washington State | 42-17 | Win | 100 | 56 h 33 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. #277 Take Michigan State Spartans over Washington State Cougars (Holiday Bowl, Thursday, 12/28 9 pm FS1) MAGNIFICENT 7 GAME The Spartans had a great bounce back season this year going 9-3 and 7-2 in Big 10 play. Michigan State has a strong defense to match-up well with Washington State’s passing attack as they are 14th in passing efficiency. Washington State put a lot into the Apple Cup and they got killed in that game to close out the regular season, 41-14. Washington State has not performed well in their last three bowl games, losing two of them and scoring just 32 combine points in their last two years. Michigan State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 bowl games. Washington State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against teams from the Big 10. |
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12-27-17 | Purdue v. Arizona -3 | 38-35 | Loss | -120 | 198 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #276 Take Arizona Wildcats over Purdue Boilermakers (Foster Farms Bowl, Wednesday, 12/27 8:30 pm FOX) Both teams are happy to be bowling are Arizona had a remarkable turnaround very few people saw coming. Arizona has a dynamic offense behind Khalil Tate, who can beat you will his arm and his legs. Purdue does not have many offenses like Arizona has in the Big 10 West and generally better offenses are the way to go in bowl games since there is a long layoff. Purdue is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 bowl games. |
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12-27-17 | Southern Miss +16.5 v. Florida State | 13-42 | Loss | -110 | 191 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #235 Take Southern Miss Golden Eagles over Florida State Seminoles (Independence Bowl, Wednesday, 12/27 1:30 pm ESPN) Magnificent 7 Game. Florida State has not been able to reach the playoffs the last couple of years, but they last two years they still won games at a high rate. 2017 was a much different story, as they fell of a cliff and had to win their last game just to become bowl eligible. Just do not believe that they will be up for this game and they are playing a team that wants to win the Independence Bowl. Southern Miss won 8 games this season and they are solid on both sides of the football. FSU is going through a coaching change and their offense was terrible most of the season. Hard to believe FSU fans are excited about this game and Golden Eagle fans can drive to this game. Florida State is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. Southern Miss is 4-1 in their last 5 nonconference games. |
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12-26-17 | Kansas State v. UCLA +2.5 | 35-17 | Loss | -105 | 174 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #234 Take UCLA Bruins over Kansas State Wildcats (Cactus Bowl, Tuesday, 12/26 9 pm ESPN) You can pretty much pencil in Kansas State for seven wins every year that Bill Snyder coaches this team. They have not done well in the past few bowl games going 2-5 straight-up (2-5 ATS). I believe UCLA got a boast by hiring Chip Kelly as their new head coach. They also have Josh Rosen and the Wildcats had trouble slowing down many quarterbacks in the Big 12. Kansas State will play smart and not beat themselves I just do not believe they are explosive on either side of the football. If UCLA does not turnover the football they will win this game straight-up. Kansas State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against PAC 12 teams. |